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"Your Website Won't Matter in 3 Years" — Transcript

by Caleb Ulku · 3,305 words · 498 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:00your website won't matter in three years
  2. 0:02or that's the claim. AI agents will find
  3. 0:04the business, compare options, and
  4. 0:06eventually book the appointment without
  5. 0:07the customer ever needing to visit a
  6. 0:09website. I think that future is probably
  7. 0:12coming, but I'm not sure I agree the
  8. 0:14conclusion of websites not matter
  9. 0:16follows from it. Let's watch.
  10. 0:18>> The CEO of Google, Sundarbachai, said in
  11. 0:20a recent interview that 2027 is the year
  12. 0:22of the agents. At the same time, 58% of
  13. 0:25Google searches end with no clicks. That
  14. 0:27means over half the people that are
  15. 0:28going to Google and searching for things
  16. 0:30never end up on a website. They're
  17. 0:31getting their answers from AI. In this
  18. 0:33video, I'll show you why websites will
  19. 0:34matter dramatically less over the next 3
  20. 0:36years.
  21. 0:36>> So that 58% number is actually a little
  22. 0:39out of date. The newer data from earlier
  23. 0:412026 puts zeroclick searches at about
  24. 0:4468%. So if anything, the trend he's
  25. 0:46pointing to is stronger now than when
  26. 0:48that original study came out. And Google
  27. 0:51is in fact very clearly moving in this
  28. 0:52direction. Sundar Pachai has been
  29. 0:55talking about search becoming more and
  30. 0:56more agentic. I watched his interview on
  31. 0:59this channel earlier. Google is already
  32. 1:01rolling out agents inside search that
  33. 1:03can reason across information on the
  34. 1:05internet and eventually take actions for
  35. 1:07you. So the basic premise here, I'm on
  36. 1:09board. All right, before we talk about
  37. 1:10why websites are not going to be
  38. 1:12important, let's talk about where we are
  39. 1:13right now. So essentially before people
  40. 1:15were searching for keywords. They were
  41. 1:17searching for Hback repair near me and
  42. 1:19they were finding businesses. They were
  43. 1:21reading reviews and then they were going
  44. 1:22to websites and converting into leads.
  45. 1:24Exactly what I just showed you. Now
  46. 1:25people are shifting to conversations. In
  47. 1:28fact, [snorts] Google just made the
  48. 1:29biggest change in 25 years to their
  49. 1:31search engine box. If you go to Google
  50. 1:33right now and you type in something,
  51. 1:35instead of it saying search, it says AI
  52. 1:37mode. And when you click that button, it
  53. 1:38actually goes to Gemini. It does not go
  54. 1:40to traditional Google search.
  55. 1:41>> So this part, he's also right, but the
  56. 1:44shift underneath it started years ago.
  57. 1:45Google used to rely much more heavily on
  58. 1:48matching the words in your search to the
  59. 1:49words on a page. Then in 2017,
  60. 1:52researchers at Google published the
  61. 1:54transformer paper. Transformer is the T
  62. 1:56in chat GPT. It's basically the
  63. 1:59architecture behind modern large
  64. 2:01language models behind AI. Google then
  65. 2:04started bringing that same generation of
  66. 2:05language understanding technology into
  67. 2:07search with systems like neural matching
  68. 2:10and BERT. So, modern Google search and
  69. 2:12chat GPT, they're not doing the exact
  70. 2:14same thing, but they're built on a lot
  71. 2:16of the same underlying ideas about
  72. 2:18understanding language, context, and
  73. 2:20meaning. This is why Google no longer
  74. 2:22needs someone to type the exact same
  75. 2:23words that appear on the page to rank
  76. 2:26you.
  77. 2:26>> We need to build out pricing content.
  78. 2:28So, people are going to Gemini, Chatbt,
  79. 2:31uh, Claude, and they're asking questions
  80. 2:33and then they're saying, "Well, how much
  81. 2:35does that cost to do?" And the reason
  82. 2:36pricing content is so important is
  83. 2:38because people ask AI pricing questions
  84. 2:40constantly. And if you don't publish
  85. 2:41pricing online, AI has nothing to
  86. 2:43reference. And businesses that answer
  87. 2:44this openly are going to win.
  88. 2:46>> So I completely agree with this. We
  89. 2:47actually built an entire content type
  90. 2:49into the core 30 agent just for service
  91. 2:51pricing guides. And the reason is very
  92. 2:53simple. Local pricing content is still
  93. 2:56massively underproduced. If someone in
  94. 2:58Gary searches for water heater
  95. 3:00replacement cost, and you're a plumber
  96. 3:01in Gary, with a page that actually
  97. 3:03explains what that service costs, what
  98. 3:05makes the price go up or down, and what
  99. 3:07somebody locally should expect to pay,
  100. 3:08you've given Google and the AI systems a
  101. 3:11really good source to site, and they
  102. 3:13will almost always site a local source
  103. 3:15if it's available. It's a huge
  104. 3:17opportunity right now because most local
  105. 3:18businesses still don't publish this. But
  106. 3:21here inside the core 30 agent, we
  107. 3:22actually have this whole section for
  108. 3:24trust and you select which services
  109. 3:26you're interested in. You fill out the
  110. 3:28trust pages about the business and then
  111. 3:30you can come in and fill out all the
  112. 3:32information about the pricing itself.
  113. 3:33Which means we can come here, we can
  114. 3:35check the pricing guide and send this
  115. 3:37over to the content queue and have this
  116. 3:39written.
  117. 3:39>> Imagine for home service businesses,
  118. 3:41there's a native online booking tool,
  119. 3:42whatever CRM that you use that allows
  120. 3:45people to schedule right online, right
  121. 3:46inside of these AI platforms. This is in
  122. 3:49the next 6 to 12 months going to be a
  123. 3:51very, very, very reality. I literally
  124. 3:53was just talking to Jobber about this
  125. 3:54exact thing. Yeah, this is the part I
  126. 3:56think matters most for where local
  127. 3:58search is going. We're absolutely
  128. 4:00heading to a world where I can say find
  129. 4:01me a plumber who can replace my water
  130. 4:03heater Tuesday afternoon and the AI will
  131. 4:06figure out who does that work, compare
  132. 4:07the options and directly book the
  133. 4:09appointment and like he said we can
  134. 4:12already see major pieces of this
  135. 4:13happening. Uh chat GPT can today show
  136. 4:17restaurant availability through open
  137. 4:18table, resi and Yelp and Open AI is
  138. 4:20already testing quote requests for local
  139. 4:22service businesses. We've also seen that
  140. 4:24Google has an AI that can literally call
  141. 4:26businesses and ask for openings or
  142. 4:30availability. So this clearly is not
  143. 4:32hypothetically. Now the booking itself
  144. 4:34maybe it happens through Java or service
  145. 4:35titan or whatever system that business
  146. 4:37uses. But before the agent can book
  147. 4:38anybody, it still has to decide who
  148. 4:41belongs in that consideration set in the
  149. 4:43first place. Who actually does water
  150. 4:45heater replacement? Who serves this
  151. 4:47area? Which business is trustworthy? who
  152. 4:49has enough information available for the
  153. 4:51agent to understand what they offer.
  154. 4:54That's the part that I think becomes
  155. 4:55really important later on in this
  156. 4:57argument.
  157. 4:58>> I used to be at a home service business.
  158. 4:59The hardest thing was getting the
  159. 5:00stories from my technicians, getting the
  160. 5:02stories from my CSRs, and actually
  161. 5:04getting real stuff. We had to try to
  162. 5:06come up with it our own. So, what people
  163. 5:09need to be doing is every phone call
  164. 5:12your company receives contains future
  165. 5:14content. Document questions, answer them
  166. 5:16publicly. this is how you train AI to
  167. 5:18trust you.
  168. 5:19>> I mean, again, I largely agree with what
  169. 5:21he's saying, but I would go a little bit
  170. 5:23farther than just using real customer
  171. 5:24questions. Now, we do a ton of research
  172. 5:27and data calls inside the core 30 agent
  173. 5:29before we write anything because the
  174. 5:30goal is to make the pageformationally
  175. 5:32additive, right? We want search console
  176. 5:35data, competitor research, reviews, real
  177. 5:37customer questions, local information.
  178. 5:39We'll even make calls up to services
  179. 5:41like the US Census Bureau when the page
  180. 5:43needs local demographic or geographical
  181. 5:45context. Because if all you're doing is
  182. 5:47taking the same generic answer and
  183. 5:48rewriting it with AI, I don't think that
  184. 5:51gets better just because the wording
  185. 5:52came from a customer call. The useful
  186. 5:54part is adding information that's
  187. 5:56actually specific to that business, to
  188. 5:59that service or to that market.
  189. 6:02>> Agents talking to agents. So imagine you
  190. 6:06order something. Where's my package?
  191. 6:08You're and and you ordered it from
  192. 6:09Target. Your personal agent, let's just
  193. 6:11say you use Gemini Spark. If you know,
  194. 6:13you're going to get enrolled into that
  195. 6:14anyways, probably. Your agent goes to
  196. 6:16Target and is interacting with Target's
  197. 6:18agent. Okay. Then the Target agent says,
  198. 6:22"Okay, well, let me go check on UPS's
  199. 6:24system." Okay. Now, there's three agents
  200. 6:26involved. There's Gemini Spark, there's
  201. 6:28Target's agent, and there's UPS's agent.
  202. 6:30Where we stand right now, pe these
  203. 6:32companies are spending millions of
  204. 6:33dollars investing in these agents, and
  205. 6:36there's no protocol to connect all of
  206. 6:37them. What Google rolled out is the
  207. 6:39protocol to connect all of them so that
  208. 6:41they can interact and come back to you
  209. 6:42with an answer. So you have something
  210. 6:45that you want, you reach out to your
  211. 6:46agent, your agent goes and figures it
  212. 6:48out and then comes back with an answer
  213. 6:49instantly. No search, no website, no
  214. 6:51calls, nothing.
  215. 6:52>> So keep in mind in this example, you
  216. 6:55already know that you that the
  217. 6:57information lives with target, right?
  218. 7:00Queries target system. You said, "Hey, I
  219. 7:02did something with Target. Please go
  220. 7:03find this answer at Target." the agent
  221. 7:06isn't trying to figure out where to go
  222. 7:08to find the answer. It already knows
  223. 7:10where to go. I think that's an important
  224. 7:12consideration here uh based on the leap
  225. 7:16of logic that we come to.
  226. 7:17>> And that is because
  227. 7:20Target has an agent. So, are people
  228. 7:22going to go to Target to buy things or
  229. 7:23are they going to go to their agent and
  230. 7:24say, "Hey, can you buy something for
  231. 7:25me?" Go to Target and figure it out.
  232. 7:28Imagine local businesses, home service
  233. 7:29businesses. when when people go and ask
  234. 7:33their agent, hey, can you go and do
  235. 7:35information? Can you go find things for
  236. 7:36me? What's going to happen is we're in
  237. 7:39the crawl era right now. It's crawling
  238. 7:40websites, which is what I just showed
  239. 7:41you. You know, the pricing page, the
  240. 7:43content, uh the online scheduling. But
  241. 7:46what if there was a place where you had
  242. 7:48all of your knowledge, all of your
  243. 7:50information, not on a website, but in
  244. 7:52what Google calls a knowledge catalog?
  245. 7:54>> So, again, I agree with the destination.
  246. 7:56We're definitely heading toward a world
  247. 7:57where your AI assistant can do a lot of
  248. 7:59the searching and comparing for you and
  249. 8:01eventually interact directly with the
  250. 8:02systems the businesses use. And as you
  251. 8:04mentioned, Google is building that
  252. 8:06infrastructure for agents to talk to
  253. 8:08other agents. OpenAI is moving toward
  254. 8:10actions inside ChatGpt. So, it's not
  255. 8:12some crazy science fiction version of
  256. 8:15search. But there's a question
  257. 8:17underneath all of this that matters a
  258. 8:19lot for an actual local business, right?
  259. 8:22Before the agent can contact anybody,
  260. 8:25who does it choose? If I ask for a
  261. 8:27plumber to replace a water heater, there
  262. 8:29might be 50 plumbers in that market, the
  263. 8:31agent still has to figure out which ones
  264. 8:33actually do that service, which ones
  265. 8:35serve my area, and which ones it trusts
  266. 8:37enough to put in front of me. That
  267. 8:39decision, the data to make that decision
  268. 8:41has to come from somewhere. And a
  269. 8:44knowledge catalog is a verified data set
  270. 8:46of information about your business where
  271. 8:49you can then deploy it as an agent on
  272. 8:50your behalf to interact with it. This
  273. 8:52might sound all woo woo and crazy,
  274. 8:54whatever, but Google's literally talking
  275. 8:56about this for businesses. Like you got
  276. 8:58to have a knowledge catalog. They
  277. 8:59already rolled that out. You got to have
  278. 9:01uh the connection with Google Search
  279. 9:03Console with the verified domain. They
  280. 9:04already rolled that out. You have to
  281. 9:05have a discoverability API. They rolled
  282. 9:07that out. They're rolling out all these
  283. 9:09things to give people the assets, but
  284. 9:10most businesses don't know about this.
  285. 9:12So, this is where we're starting to
  286. 9:13split, right? I agree that the customer
  287. 9:15is not likely going to visit your
  288. 9:17website in the future. I agree the agent
  289. 9:19is eventually going to be able to do the
  290. 9:21comparison, make the call, or book the
  291. 9:22appointment, but that doesn't mean the
  292. 9:24website stops mattering. The agent still
  293. 9:26needs the information to decide which
  294. 9:28business deserves the recommendations in
  295. 9:29the first place. For a local business,
  296. 9:31the Google business profile is still the
  297. 9:33center, the heart of that local business
  298. 9:35entity. The website gives much more
  299. 9:38depth around what services the business
  300. 9:40actually provides, where it provides
  301. 9:42them, what those services cost, and
  302. 9:43whether they're relevant to what the
  303. 9:44customer is asking for. And then the
  304. 9:46rest of the internet gives the agent
  305. 9:48cooperation, reviews, citations, links,
  306. 9:51local mentions, other sites talking
  307. 9:52about that same business. So the
  308. 9:54interface can absolutely change, but I
  309. 9:57don't think removing the customer from
  310. 9:59the website removes the website from the
  311. 10:01decision. So the distinction he's trying
  312. 10:04to make here, he's separating the the
  313. 10:06website that people see from the
  314. 10:09underlying business information an agent
  315. 10:11would actually need. Services, service
  316. 10:13areas, pricing, policies, credentials,
  317. 10:15FAQs, all of that. And that part makes
  318. 10:17sense. Google has something called a
  319. 10:19knowledge catalog. That's what he's
  320. 10:21talking about. That exists. But right
  321. 10:23now, it's an enterprise infrastructure.
  322. 10:25It's not like a Google business profile
  323. 10:27where a plumber can log in and fill out
  324. 10:29all this information. Now, yes, Google
  325. 10:31could eventually expand the business
  326. 10:32profile into something richer and more
  327. 10:35machine readable, but you know,
  328. 10:38absolutely they could, and it wouldn't
  329. 10:39surprise me if they did at all. But even
  330. 10:41if they went in that direction, I don't
  331. 10:43think that replaces the website. A
  332. 10:46structured catalog can tell an agent
  333. 10:47that you replace garbage disposals, but
  334. 10:50right, your website can tell it that you
  335. 10:52replaced one at 7:00 last night for a
  336. 10:54homeowner whose sink backed up during
  337. 10:56dinner. Those are not the same kind of
  338. 10:58information. One is structured business
  339. 11:00data. The other is evidence, context,
  340. 11:03and experience. And agents are going to
  341. 11:05need both. That's one of the reasons
  342. 11:07that I like the core 30 structure so
  343. 11:09much. Instead of one generic services
  344. 11:12page with 15 different things jammed
  345. 11:13into it, every service entity gets its
  346. 11:16own page with a clear relationship back
  347. 11:18to the business. So if an agent is
  348. 11:20trying to understand whether this
  349. 11:21plumber actually does water heater
  350. 11:23replacement or sewer repair or garbage
  351. 11:26disposal replacement, there's a very
  352. 11:28clean source of information for it to
  353. 11:30work from. And that is good local SEO
  354. 11:33today. It also it also happens to make a
  355. 11:36lot of sense for the agentic version of
  356. 11:38search that he's describing.
  357. 11:40>> So let me just go back and forth. Old
  358. 11:42internet, new internet. What drives
  359. 11:44traffic? The old approach is SEO,
  360. 11:46keywords, and backlinks. The new
  361. 11:47approach is AI trusted content and data.
  362. 11:49This is why you need to create the real
  363. 11:51content with real customer questions
  364. 11:52because it's not just about jamming a
  365. 11:54bunch of keywords anymore. It's about
  366. 11:55conversational AI search. How customers
  367. 11:58find you? Before they did search,
  368. 11:59website lead. Now it's going to be AI
  369. 12:02answers. Then the agent takes action on
  370. 12:04both parties behalf and takes care of
  371. 12:06this. It takes care of it. What your
  372. 12:08content is for rankings and engagement.
  373. 12:11>> Okay, so he just said rankings aren't
  374. 12:12going to matter. This is another place
  375. 12:14where I think he just goes too far.
  376. 12:16Rankings will absolutely still matter in
  377. 12:18an AI agent world. An AI agent is not
  378. 12:21going to spin the compute to deeply
  379. 12:23evaluate every single plumber in a city
  380. 12:26every single time somebody asks for a
  381. 12:28recommendation that has to do with
  382. 12:30plumbing. It must narrow the field
  383. 12:32first. And that's where ranking and
  384. 12:34retrieval still matter. If your business
  385. 12:36makes that first candidate set, then the
  386. 12:38AI can evaluate whether you're the best
  387. 12:40fit for that particular person or not.
  388. 12:43But maybe you're too far away. Maybe you
  389. 12:45don't offer that exact service. Maybe
  390. 12:46your pricing and availability don't fit.
  391. 12:48That's fine. But if you're the 50th
  392. 12:51highest plumber in that city, there's a
  393. 12:53really good chance the system never
  394. 12:55spends the compute to evaluate your
  395. 12:57business for that consumer in the first
  396. 12:59place. And the studies we have so far
  397. 13:01point in that direction. One study of
  398. 13:04chat GPT citations found that the top
  399. 13:06retrieval result was cited 58% of the
  400. 13:09time. by position 10, still on the first
  401. 13:11page, but position 10 that had fallen to
  402. 13:1414%. Another study of 400,000 Google AI
  403. 13:17overviews found that 52% of the sources
  404. 13:20they cited also ranked in the top 10.
  405. 13:22And this gets even more interesting in
  406. 13:24local. Bright Local analyzed 200,000
  407. 13:27local AI searches and found that the
  408. 13:29systems typically recommend only two to
  409. 13:31four businesses. They also found that
  410. 13:33business websites accounted for 42% of
  411. 13:36the citations they analyzed. So all of
  412. 13:38this does not mean that rankings
  413. 13:40disappear. Ranking increasingly
  414. 13:42determines whether you make the set that
  415. 13:44the AI evaluates at all. And I'd also
  416. 13:47want to be careful with the phrase train
  417. 13:49AI to trust you. Publishing a page on
  418. 13:52your website is not the same thing as
  419. 13:53training chat GPT or Gemini. What you're
  420. 13:56really doing is putting better
  421. 13:57information online for these systems to
  422. 13:59retrieve. They can then compare it
  423. 14:01against your business profile, your
  424. 14:02reviews, your citations, other websites,
  425. 14:04whatever else they have available. And
  426. 14:06if all of that lines up, you've made it
  427. 14:08easier for the system to understand what
  428. 14:10your business does and decide whether
  429. 14:11you're relevant enough to surface. It's
  430. 14:14different from training AI. And it means
  431. 14:16that your website and rankings are still
  432. 14:18important, right? You still need to get
  433. 14:21in the door. You still need to do enough
  434. 14:23to be considered.
  435. 14:24>> Way less than that, that you can
  436. 14:25actually deploy these things in your
  437. 14:26business and get an advantage. Build a
  438. 14:29knowledge catalog, FAQs, services,
  439. 14:31policies, service areas, expertise. I
  440. 14:33can't stress this one enough. You got to
  441. 14:34be documenting all of your stuff.
  442. 14:36Optimize for AI citations. Focus on
  443. 14:38being recommended, not just ranked. So,
  444. 14:40right now, people will go to chatbt and
  445. 14:42say, uh, you know, who's the best
  446. 14:44plumber near me or whatever. And then
  447. 14:45they'll evaluate if they're showing up
  448. 14:46for that keyword or not. Um, I made a
  449. 14:48whole video on this, which is how to
  450. 14:50actually track your rankings in AI
  451. 14:52search. And it's to shift from keywords
  452. 14:54like what you are traditionally used to
  453. 14:56doing to prompting and actual like
  454. 14:58tracking prompts. And there's two
  455. 15:00things, share a voice and mention rate,
  456. 15:01which are the most important ones. And
  457. 15:03when I say share a voice, it's how many
  458. 15:05times that they share your information,
  459. 15:07which is why you can't just rely on a
  460. 15:08blog post. You have to have multiple
  461. 15:09different types of content to be shown.
  462. 15:11And think of every piece of content as
  463. 15:13training data for the future internet.
  464. 15:14>> So, I understand what he's getting at
  465. 15:16here, but I think training data is not
  466. 15:18the best way to describe this. The
  467. 15:20opportunity is not that every page you
  468. 15:22publish somehow teaches the model who
  469. 15:24you are. It's that every useful page
  470. 15:26gives these systems another piece of
  471. 15:28evidence that they can retrieve when
  472. 15:30they're trying to understand your
  473. 15:31business a little bit better. And that
  474. 15:33brings me back to where I disagree with
  475. 15:34the title. If the agents are going to do
  476. 15:37more of the searching, comparing, and
  477. 15:38eventually booking for us, that doesn't
  478. 15:40make the website less important. It does
  479. 15:43change what a good website needs to do.
  480. 15:45Historically, we've built websites for
  481. 15:47human users and optimized them for
  482. 15:49Google's algorithm. But now the website
  483. 15:51needs to make the business incredibly
  484. 15:53easy for a machine to understand. What
  485. 15:56do you do? Where do you do it? What does
  486. 15:58it cost? What have you actually done
  487. 15:59before? And then the rest of the
  488. 16:01internet has to cooperate that you're a
  489. 16:03real business worth recommending. And
  490. 16:06agreed the customer probably will never
  491. 16:08visit your website, but the agent still
  492. 16:10will. So, if you actually want to see
  493. 16:12what this looks like in practice, I have
  494. 16:14a video where I break down the exact
  495. 16:16site structure I use for local
  496. 16:17businesses so Google and AI systems can
  497. 16:19understand every service they offer.
  498. 16:21That's the one that I would watch

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Free YouTube transcript tool

YouTube2Text is a free YouTube transcript generator — no signup, no daily limit. Paste any YouTube link and get the full transcript instantly, with timestamps, click-to-jump, translation to 100+ languages, AI prompts for ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini, and exports to TXT, SRT, VTT, or Markdown.