"Your Website Won't Matter in 3 Years" — Transcript
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- 0:00your website won't matter in three years
- 0:02or that's the claim. AI agents will find
- 0:04the business, compare options, and
- 0:06eventually book the appointment without
- 0:07the customer ever needing to visit a
- 0:09website. I think that future is probably
- 0:12coming, but I'm not sure I agree the
- 0:14conclusion of websites not matter
- 0:16follows from it. Let's watch.
- 0:18>> The CEO of Google, Sundarbachai, said in
- 0:20a recent interview that 2027 is the year
- 0:22of the agents. At the same time, 58% of
- 0:25Google searches end with no clicks. That
- 0:27means over half the people that are
- 0:28going to Google and searching for things
- 0:30never end up on a website. They're
- 0:31getting their answers from AI. In this
- 0:33video, I'll show you why websites will
- 0:34matter dramatically less over the next 3
- 0:36years.
- 0:36>> So that 58% number is actually a little
- 0:39out of date. The newer data from earlier
- 0:412026 puts zeroclick searches at about
- 0:4468%. So if anything, the trend he's
- 0:46pointing to is stronger now than when
- 0:48that original study came out. And Google
- 0:51is in fact very clearly moving in this
- 0:52direction. Sundar Pachai has been
- 0:55talking about search becoming more and
- 0:56more agentic. I watched his interview on
- 0:59this channel earlier. Google is already
- 1:01rolling out agents inside search that
- 1:03can reason across information on the
- 1:05internet and eventually take actions for
- 1:07you. So the basic premise here, I'm on
- 1:09board. All right, before we talk about
- 1:10why websites are not going to be
- 1:12important, let's talk about where we are
- 1:13right now. So essentially before people
- 1:15were searching for keywords. They were
- 1:17searching for Hback repair near me and
- 1:19they were finding businesses. They were
- 1:21reading reviews and then they were going
- 1:22to websites and converting into leads.
- 1:24Exactly what I just showed you. Now
- 1:25people are shifting to conversations. In
- 1:28fact, [snorts] Google just made the
- 1:29biggest change in 25 years to their
- 1:31search engine box. If you go to Google
- 1:33right now and you type in something,
- 1:35instead of it saying search, it says AI
- 1:37mode. And when you click that button, it
- 1:38actually goes to Gemini. It does not go
- 1:40to traditional Google search.
- 1:41>> So this part, he's also right, but the
- 1:44shift underneath it started years ago.
- 1:45Google used to rely much more heavily on
- 1:48matching the words in your search to the
- 1:49words on a page. Then in 2017,
- 1:52researchers at Google published the
- 1:54transformer paper. Transformer is the T
- 1:56in chat GPT. It's basically the
- 1:59architecture behind modern large
- 2:01language models behind AI. Google then
- 2:04started bringing that same generation of
- 2:05language understanding technology into
- 2:07search with systems like neural matching
- 2:10and BERT. So, modern Google search and
- 2:12chat GPT, they're not doing the exact
- 2:14same thing, but they're built on a lot
- 2:16of the same underlying ideas about
- 2:18understanding language, context, and
- 2:20meaning. This is why Google no longer
- 2:22needs someone to type the exact same
- 2:23words that appear on the page to rank
- 2:26you.
- 2:26>> We need to build out pricing content.
- 2:28So, people are going to Gemini, Chatbt,
- 2:31uh, Claude, and they're asking questions
- 2:33and then they're saying, "Well, how much
- 2:35does that cost to do?" And the reason
- 2:36pricing content is so important is
- 2:38because people ask AI pricing questions
- 2:40constantly. And if you don't publish
- 2:41pricing online, AI has nothing to
- 2:43reference. And businesses that answer
- 2:44this openly are going to win.
- 2:46>> So I completely agree with this. We
- 2:47actually built an entire content type
- 2:49into the core 30 agent just for service
- 2:51pricing guides. And the reason is very
- 2:53simple. Local pricing content is still
- 2:56massively underproduced. If someone in
- 2:58Gary searches for water heater
- 3:00replacement cost, and you're a plumber
- 3:01in Gary, with a page that actually
- 3:03explains what that service costs, what
- 3:05makes the price go up or down, and what
- 3:07somebody locally should expect to pay,
- 3:08you've given Google and the AI systems a
- 3:11really good source to site, and they
- 3:13will almost always site a local source
- 3:15if it's available. It's a huge
- 3:17opportunity right now because most local
- 3:18businesses still don't publish this. But
- 3:21here inside the core 30 agent, we
- 3:22actually have this whole section for
- 3:24trust and you select which services
- 3:26you're interested in. You fill out the
- 3:28trust pages about the business and then
- 3:30you can come in and fill out all the
- 3:32information about the pricing itself.
- 3:33Which means we can come here, we can
- 3:35check the pricing guide and send this
- 3:37over to the content queue and have this
- 3:39written.
- 3:39>> Imagine for home service businesses,
- 3:41there's a native online booking tool,
- 3:42whatever CRM that you use that allows
- 3:45people to schedule right online, right
- 3:46inside of these AI platforms. This is in
- 3:49the next 6 to 12 months going to be a
- 3:51very, very, very reality. I literally
- 3:53was just talking to Jobber about this
- 3:54exact thing. Yeah, this is the part I
- 3:56think matters most for where local
- 3:58search is going. We're absolutely
- 4:00heading to a world where I can say find
- 4:01me a plumber who can replace my water
- 4:03heater Tuesday afternoon and the AI will
- 4:06figure out who does that work, compare
- 4:07the options and directly book the
- 4:09appointment and like he said we can
- 4:12already see major pieces of this
- 4:13happening. Uh chat GPT can today show
- 4:17restaurant availability through open
- 4:18table, resi and Yelp and Open AI is
- 4:20already testing quote requests for local
- 4:22service businesses. We've also seen that
- 4:24Google has an AI that can literally call
- 4:26businesses and ask for openings or
- 4:30availability. So this clearly is not
- 4:32hypothetically. Now the booking itself
- 4:34maybe it happens through Java or service
- 4:35titan or whatever system that business
- 4:37uses. But before the agent can book
- 4:38anybody, it still has to decide who
- 4:41belongs in that consideration set in the
- 4:43first place. Who actually does water
- 4:45heater replacement? Who serves this
- 4:47area? Which business is trustworthy? who
- 4:49has enough information available for the
- 4:51agent to understand what they offer.
- 4:54That's the part that I think becomes
- 4:55really important later on in this
- 4:57argument.
- 4:58>> I used to be at a home service business.
- 4:59The hardest thing was getting the
- 5:00stories from my technicians, getting the
- 5:02stories from my CSRs, and actually
- 5:04getting real stuff. We had to try to
- 5:06come up with it our own. So, what people
- 5:09need to be doing is every phone call
- 5:12your company receives contains future
- 5:14content. Document questions, answer them
- 5:16publicly. this is how you train AI to
- 5:18trust you.
- 5:19>> I mean, again, I largely agree with what
- 5:21he's saying, but I would go a little bit
- 5:23farther than just using real customer
- 5:24questions. Now, we do a ton of research
- 5:27and data calls inside the core 30 agent
- 5:29before we write anything because the
- 5:30goal is to make the pageformationally
- 5:32additive, right? We want search console
- 5:35data, competitor research, reviews, real
- 5:37customer questions, local information.
- 5:39We'll even make calls up to services
- 5:41like the US Census Bureau when the page
- 5:43needs local demographic or geographical
- 5:45context. Because if all you're doing is
- 5:47taking the same generic answer and
- 5:48rewriting it with AI, I don't think that
- 5:51gets better just because the wording
- 5:52came from a customer call. The useful
- 5:54part is adding information that's
- 5:56actually specific to that business, to
- 5:59that service or to that market.
- 6:02>> Agents talking to agents. So imagine you
- 6:06order something. Where's my package?
- 6:08You're and and you ordered it from
- 6:09Target. Your personal agent, let's just
- 6:11say you use Gemini Spark. If you know,
- 6:13you're going to get enrolled into that
- 6:14anyways, probably. Your agent goes to
- 6:16Target and is interacting with Target's
- 6:18agent. Okay. Then the Target agent says,
- 6:22"Okay, well, let me go check on UPS's
- 6:24system." Okay. Now, there's three agents
- 6:26involved. There's Gemini Spark, there's
- 6:28Target's agent, and there's UPS's agent.
- 6:30Where we stand right now, pe these
- 6:32companies are spending millions of
- 6:33dollars investing in these agents, and
- 6:36there's no protocol to connect all of
- 6:37them. What Google rolled out is the
- 6:39protocol to connect all of them so that
- 6:41they can interact and come back to you
- 6:42with an answer. So you have something
- 6:45that you want, you reach out to your
- 6:46agent, your agent goes and figures it
- 6:48out and then comes back with an answer
- 6:49instantly. No search, no website, no
- 6:51calls, nothing.
- 6:52>> So keep in mind in this example, you
- 6:55already know that you that the
- 6:57information lives with target, right?
- 7:00Queries target system. You said, "Hey, I
- 7:02did something with Target. Please go
- 7:03find this answer at Target." the agent
- 7:06isn't trying to figure out where to go
- 7:08to find the answer. It already knows
- 7:10where to go. I think that's an important
- 7:12consideration here uh based on the leap
- 7:16of logic that we come to.
- 7:17>> And that is because
- 7:20Target has an agent. So, are people
- 7:22going to go to Target to buy things or
- 7:23are they going to go to their agent and
- 7:24say, "Hey, can you buy something for
- 7:25me?" Go to Target and figure it out.
- 7:28Imagine local businesses, home service
- 7:29businesses. when when people go and ask
- 7:33their agent, hey, can you go and do
- 7:35information? Can you go find things for
- 7:36me? What's going to happen is we're in
- 7:39the crawl era right now. It's crawling
- 7:40websites, which is what I just showed
- 7:41you. You know, the pricing page, the
- 7:43content, uh the online scheduling. But
- 7:46what if there was a place where you had
- 7:48all of your knowledge, all of your
- 7:50information, not on a website, but in
- 7:52what Google calls a knowledge catalog?
- 7:54>> So, again, I agree with the destination.
- 7:56We're definitely heading toward a world
- 7:57where your AI assistant can do a lot of
- 7:59the searching and comparing for you and
- 8:01eventually interact directly with the
- 8:02systems the businesses use. And as you
- 8:04mentioned, Google is building that
- 8:06infrastructure for agents to talk to
- 8:08other agents. OpenAI is moving toward
- 8:10actions inside ChatGpt. So, it's not
- 8:12some crazy science fiction version of
- 8:15search. But there's a question
- 8:17underneath all of this that matters a
- 8:19lot for an actual local business, right?
- 8:22Before the agent can contact anybody,
- 8:25who does it choose? If I ask for a
- 8:27plumber to replace a water heater, there
- 8:29might be 50 plumbers in that market, the
- 8:31agent still has to figure out which ones
- 8:33actually do that service, which ones
- 8:35serve my area, and which ones it trusts
- 8:37enough to put in front of me. That
- 8:39decision, the data to make that decision
- 8:41has to come from somewhere. And a
- 8:44knowledge catalog is a verified data set
- 8:46of information about your business where
- 8:49you can then deploy it as an agent on
- 8:50your behalf to interact with it. This
- 8:52might sound all woo woo and crazy,
- 8:54whatever, but Google's literally talking
- 8:56about this for businesses. Like you got
- 8:58to have a knowledge catalog. They
- 8:59already rolled that out. You got to have
- 9:01uh the connection with Google Search
- 9:03Console with the verified domain. They
- 9:04already rolled that out. You have to
- 9:05have a discoverability API. They rolled
- 9:07that out. They're rolling out all these
- 9:09things to give people the assets, but
- 9:10most businesses don't know about this.
- 9:12So, this is where we're starting to
- 9:13split, right? I agree that the customer
- 9:15is not likely going to visit your
- 9:17website in the future. I agree the agent
- 9:19is eventually going to be able to do the
- 9:21comparison, make the call, or book the
- 9:22appointment, but that doesn't mean the
- 9:24website stops mattering. The agent still
- 9:26needs the information to decide which
- 9:28business deserves the recommendations in
- 9:29the first place. For a local business,
- 9:31the Google business profile is still the
- 9:33center, the heart of that local business
- 9:35entity. The website gives much more
- 9:38depth around what services the business
- 9:40actually provides, where it provides
- 9:42them, what those services cost, and
- 9:43whether they're relevant to what the
- 9:44customer is asking for. And then the
- 9:46rest of the internet gives the agent
- 9:48cooperation, reviews, citations, links,
- 9:51local mentions, other sites talking
- 9:52about that same business. So the
- 9:54interface can absolutely change, but I
- 9:57don't think removing the customer from
- 9:59the website removes the website from the
- 10:01decision. So the distinction he's trying
- 10:04to make here, he's separating the the
- 10:06website that people see from the
- 10:09underlying business information an agent
- 10:11would actually need. Services, service
- 10:13areas, pricing, policies, credentials,
- 10:15FAQs, all of that. And that part makes
- 10:17sense. Google has something called a
- 10:19knowledge catalog. That's what he's
- 10:21talking about. That exists. But right
- 10:23now, it's an enterprise infrastructure.
- 10:25It's not like a Google business profile
- 10:27where a plumber can log in and fill out
- 10:29all this information. Now, yes, Google
- 10:31could eventually expand the business
- 10:32profile into something richer and more
- 10:35machine readable, but you know,
- 10:38absolutely they could, and it wouldn't
- 10:39surprise me if they did at all. But even
- 10:41if they went in that direction, I don't
- 10:43think that replaces the website. A
- 10:46structured catalog can tell an agent
- 10:47that you replace garbage disposals, but
- 10:50right, your website can tell it that you
- 10:52replaced one at 7:00 last night for a
- 10:54homeowner whose sink backed up during
- 10:56dinner. Those are not the same kind of
- 10:58information. One is structured business
- 11:00data. The other is evidence, context,
- 11:03and experience. And agents are going to
- 11:05need both. That's one of the reasons
- 11:07that I like the core 30 structure so
- 11:09much. Instead of one generic services
- 11:12page with 15 different things jammed
- 11:13into it, every service entity gets its
- 11:16own page with a clear relationship back
- 11:18to the business. So if an agent is
- 11:20trying to understand whether this
- 11:21plumber actually does water heater
- 11:23replacement or sewer repair or garbage
- 11:26disposal replacement, there's a very
- 11:28clean source of information for it to
- 11:30work from. And that is good local SEO
- 11:33today. It also it also happens to make a
- 11:36lot of sense for the agentic version of
- 11:38search that he's describing.
- 11:40>> So let me just go back and forth. Old
- 11:42internet, new internet. What drives
- 11:44traffic? The old approach is SEO,
- 11:46keywords, and backlinks. The new
- 11:47approach is AI trusted content and data.
- 11:49This is why you need to create the real
- 11:51content with real customer questions
- 11:52because it's not just about jamming a
- 11:54bunch of keywords anymore. It's about
- 11:55conversational AI search. How customers
- 11:58find you? Before they did search,
- 11:59website lead. Now it's going to be AI
- 12:02answers. Then the agent takes action on
- 12:04both parties behalf and takes care of
- 12:06this. It takes care of it. What your
- 12:08content is for rankings and engagement.
- 12:11>> Okay, so he just said rankings aren't
- 12:12going to matter. This is another place
- 12:14where I think he just goes too far.
- 12:16Rankings will absolutely still matter in
- 12:18an AI agent world. An AI agent is not
- 12:21going to spin the compute to deeply
- 12:23evaluate every single plumber in a city
- 12:26every single time somebody asks for a
- 12:28recommendation that has to do with
- 12:30plumbing. It must narrow the field
- 12:32first. And that's where ranking and
- 12:34retrieval still matter. If your business
- 12:36makes that first candidate set, then the
- 12:38AI can evaluate whether you're the best
- 12:40fit for that particular person or not.
- 12:43But maybe you're too far away. Maybe you
- 12:45don't offer that exact service. Maybe
- 12:46your pricing and availability don't fit.
- 12:48That's fine. But if you're the 50th
- 12:51highest plumber in that city, there's a
- 12:53really good chance the system never
- 12:55spends the compute to evaluate your
- 12:57business for that consumer in the first
- 12:59place. And the studies we have so far
- 13:01point in that direction. One study of
- 13:04chat GPT citations found that the top
- 13:06retrieval result was cited 58% of the
- 13:09time. by position 10, still on the first
- 13:11page, but position 10 that had fallen to
- 13:1414%. Another study of 400,000 Google AI
- 13:17overviews found that 52% of the sources
- 13:20they cited also ranked in the top 10.
- 13:22And this gets even more interesting in
- 13:24local. Bright Local analyzed 200,000
- 13:27local AI searches and found that the
- 13:29systems typically recommend only two to
- 13:31four businesses. They also found that
- 13:33business websites accounted for 42% of
- 13:36the citations they analyzed. So all of
- 13:38this does not mean that rankings
- 13:40disappear. Ranking increasingly
- 13:42determines whether you make the set that
- 13:44the AI evaluates at all. And I'd also
- 13:47want to be careful with the phrase train
- 13:49AI to trust you. Publishing a page on
- 13:52your website is not the same thing as
- 13:53training chat GPT or Gemini. What you're
- 13:56really doing is putting better
- 13:57information online for these systems to
- 13:59retrieve. They can then compare it
- 14:01against your business profile, your
- 14:02reviews, your citations, other websites,
- 14:04whatever else they have available. And
- 14:06if all of that lines up, you've made it
- 14:08easier for the system to understand what
- 14:10your business does and decide whether
- 14:11you're relevant enough to surface. It's
- 14:14different from training AI. And it means
- 14:16that your website and rankings are still
- 14:18important, right? You still need to get
- 14:21in the door. You still need to do enough
- 14:23to be considered.
- 14:24>> Way less than that, that you can
- 14:25actually deploy these things in your
- 14:26business and get an advantage. Build a
- 14:29knowledge catalog, FAQs, services,
- 14:31policies, service areas, expertise. I
- 14:33can't stress this one enough. You got to
- 14:34be documenting all of your stuff.
- 14:36Optimize for AI citations. Focus on
- 14:38being recommended, not just ranked. So,
- 14:40right now, people will go to chatbt and
- 14:42say, uh, you know, who's the best
- 14:44plumber near me or whatever. And then
- 14:45they'll evaluate if they're showing up
- 14:46for that keyword or not. Um, I made a
- 14:48whole video on this, which is how to
- 14:50actually track your rankings in AI
- 14:52search. And it's to shift from keywords
- 14:54like what you are traditionally used to
- 14:56doing to prompting and actual like
- 14:58tracking prompts. And there's two
- 15:00things, share a voice and mention rate,
- 15:01which are the most important ones. And
- 15:03when I say share a voice, it's how many
- 15:05times that they share your information,
- 15:07which is why you can't just rely on a
- 15:08blog post. You have to have multiple
- 15:09different types of content to be shown.
- 15:11And think of every piece of content as
- 15:13training data for the future internet.
- 15:14>> So, I understand what he's getting at
- 15:16here, but I think training data is not
- 15:18the best way to describe this. The
- 15:20opportunity is not that every page you
- 15:22publish somehow teaches the model who
- 15:24you are. It's that every useful page
- 15:26gives these systems another piece of
- 15:28evidence that they can retrieve when
- 15:30they're trying to understand your
- 15:31business a little bit better. And that
- 15:33brings me back to where I disagree with
- 15:34the title. If the agents are going to do
- 15:37more of the searching, comparing, and
- 15:38eventually booking for us, that doesn't
- 15:40make the website less important. It does
- 15:43change what a good website needs to do.
- 15:45Historically, we've built websites for
- 15:47human users and optimized them for
- 15:49Google's algorithm. But now the website
- 15:51needs to make the business incredibly
- 15:53easy for a machine to understand. What
- 15:56do you do? Where do you do it? What does
- 15:58it cost? What have you actually done
- 15:59before? And then the rest of the
- 16:01internet has to cooperate that you're a
- 16:03real business worth recommending. And
- 16:06agreed the customer probably will never
- 16:08visit your website, but the agent still
- 16:10will. So, if you actually want to see
- 16:12what this looks like in practice, I have
- 16:14a video where I break down the exact
- 16:16site structure I use for local
- 16:17businesses so Google and AI systems can
- 16:19understand every service they offer.
- 16:21That's the one that I would watch
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