You Will Never Win At Trading Until You Do This ( 30 Minute Fix ) — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00You know, I hate to put you on the spot
- 0:01like this, but let me ask you a
- 0:03question.
- 0:04How long has it been?
- 0:06How many months or even years have you
- 0:08been trying to become a profitable
- 0:09trader?
- 0:11Better than that, let me ask you this.
- 0:13How many videos have you watched? How
- 0:15many courses have you bought? How many
- 0:17strategies have you tried? How many
- 0:20hours have you poured into trading only
- 0:22to remain stuck? It's like this whole
- 0:25entire experience feels like you've been
- 0:26rowing a boat with its anchor down.
- 0:29Except for in this case, you don't know
- 0:31it's an anchor. You know something is
- 0:33there that's holding you down, you just
- 0:35don't know what it is. So, you keep on
- 0:36paddling the boat harder and harder
- 0:38going nowhere faster. And look, I
- 0:41totally get it. I went through the exact
- 0:43same thing 20-plus years ago when I
- 0:44started trading. The more my knowledge
- 0:47went up, the faster my account balance
- 0:50went down. And it's not supposed to be
- 0:52like that. But unfortunately for most of
- 0:55us, it is. So, if this is something that
- 0:58you've been going through, let me tell
- 0:59you why that happens and how you and I
- 1:01are going to fix it. You see, the reason
- 1:04this happens is no matter what trading
- 1:05strategy that you have learned or will
- 1:07attempt to learn in the future, no
- 1:09matter how good it sounds on paper, no
- 1:11matter how potent it's been in the hands
- 1:12of another trader, it is only average at
- 1:16best. That is unless you stack three
- 1:19pieces of context behind that strategy.
- 1:22If you don't use these three pieces of
- 1:24context, you will never win at trading,
- 1:28no matter how hard you work, no matter
- 1:31how bad you want it, you will continue
- 1:34to remain stuck and frustrated rowing
- 1:37that boat faster and faster going
- 1:39nowhere. And that is not why you got
- 1:41into trading. Now, if you don't know who
- 1:43I am, my name is Doug, and I've been a
- 1:45professional trader now for 26 years. In
- 1:47today's video, I want to share with you
- 1:48the three most important pieces of
- 1:50context that you must put behind every
- 1:52trading strategy. And I want you to
- 1:54specifically pay attention to number
- 1:56three, because it's the biggest mistake
- 1:58that most traders make and most of them
- 2:00don't even know it. Now, before I get
- 2:02into that part, I want you to know
- 2:03something. Talk is cheap in this
- 2:05industry. I am going to shoot this video
- 2:08completely live, unscripted, and uncut.
- 2:12No hindsight here. That way you will
- 2:14know for sure whether or not these
- 2:17pieces of context can help you get to
- 2:19the next level as a trader. So, on that
- 2:21note, let's go ahead and get started
- 2:23with today's video.
- 2:26So, let's begin with just the charting
- 2:28that I'm using here just so we're all on
- 2:29the same page with that. I'm using
- 2:31ThinkorSwim since we're trading live
- 2:32today. And what you see here on the
- 2:34screen is exactly what I've been using
- 2:36over the last two decades, a two-chart
- 2:38format, a shorter-term chart on the top
- 2:41which happens to be the 5-minute. I
- 2:43often toggle between that and a
- 2:4415-minute
- 2:46for entries and to get other data, which
- 2:48we'll talk about in a second as well,
- 2:50and a daily chart down bottom. This is
- 2:52how I've been doing it for two decades,
- 2:53like I said, and I'm starting today with
- 2:55YM because I think this is what we're
- 2:57going to trade, which I'll discuss that
- 2:58as well. So, let's begin with number
- 3:00one. Number one thing that you need to
- 3:02do each day when you get to your desk is
- 3:04you need to mark the four most important
- 3:09and influential levels to trade from
- 3:12each day. And those levels are the range
- 3:14high, the range low, the swing high, and
- 3:17the swing low. Now, let me show you what
- 3:19these are and how you figure them out.
- 3:21Beginning with the range high and the
- 3:22range low. The range high and the range
- 3:25low is the previous day's high price and
- 3:28the previous day's low price. This is
- 3:31one of the reasons we're going to use
- 3:32the daily chart. So, you see I have the
- 3:33daily chart here. And what I'm going to
- 3:35do is box in or draw a line on the very
- 3:38top price point of the previous day's
- 3:41candle, which is right here. Let's just
- 3:42kind of draw that out.
- 3:44And I'm going to connect it with the
- 3:45lowest price point that you see of that
- 3:47daily candle. Now, for today I'm going
- 3:49to use lines instead of the box because
- 3:52I'm using this thinkorswim and they only
- 3:54have one shade of their box, which is
- 3:57like a puke gray. And if I put it over
- 3:59top of the candles, you don't even see
- 4:01the candles. It's not going to help us.
- 4:02So, unfortunately, we have to use lines.
- 4:04But, these lines are the range high and
- 4:06the range low. Now, after that, let's go
- 4:08back down to the intraday 5-minute chart
- 4:11or whatever time frame we've selected.
- 4:14And from here, we need to add two more
- 4:16lines. One to the top, which is the
- 4:18swing high, one to the bottom, which is
- 4:20the swing low. And since we're on the
- 4:21bottom, let's do that one. The swing low
- 4:24is the very next low underneath of the
- 4:27range low. So, here's the range low
- 4:29line, not to confuse anyone. All you got
- 4:31to do is move your eyes over to the
- 4:33left. Note this cluster of activity
- 4:37right over here. There's like a a
- 4:38quadruple bottom on the 5-minute chart.
- 4:41So, I'm just going to go ahead and lay a
- 4:43line down here. It doesn't have to be
- 4:45perfect to the penny. It's just a
- 4:47reference point, and that's going to
- 4:49constitute our swing low. Now, for the
- 4:52swing high, we're going to do the next
- 4:55high that's above the range high. We do
- 4:58the same thing. We start moving over to
- 5:00the left until we bump into the next
- 5:04highest price points, and you're going
- 5:05to see there's like this little tiny
- 5:08triple top right there. You see that?
- 5:10And that's going to constitute
- 5:13the swing high. Just like that.
- 5:16Now, once we've done this, here's what's
- 5:18so important about this and why this is
- 5:20number one.
- 5:22These, my friends, please understand
- 5:24this. These are the only places that you
- 5:28and I are going to make a trade. No
- 5:32guesswork. If it's anywhere outside of
- 5:35that, no. If it's in the middle of that,
- 5:38no. These are the most influential,
- 5:41highly influential areas, I should say.
- 5:44This is where you and I must be. Now, if
- 5:48you've been trading for a long time and
- 5:49you're studying these strategies and you
- 5:51see this beautiful pattern and you're
- 5:53wondering how come they stopped working,
- 5:56a good reason is you're trading in the
- 5:58wrong place. If you're trading anywhere,
- 6:00making a trade anywhere else in there,
- 6:03you're guessing. That's what you're
- 6:04doing. And guessing leads to
- 6:06inconsistency. Now, the question becomes
- 6:08which one of these are buy lines, which
- 6:10one of these are sell lines, and there's
- 6:12a simple process. And of course, there's
- 6:14nuances to this which we'll discuss here
- 6:16in a second, but I think a lot of you
- 6:17know this and here's how I've been doing
- 6:19it for the last two decades. The upper
- 6:22areas represent the highest sell side
- 6:27influence
- 6:29on that chart. Sell side dominant.
- 6:31Sellers control the chart. Now, don't
- 6:34take my word for it. Look at the damn
- 6:38chart. What happens every time you tap
- 6:41in to the range high? Here's 1 2 3 4.
- 6:45You tell me what happened every time you
- 6:48move to 52,300. What was the end result?
- 6:51Selling, correct? Selling. I'm not
- 6:54making it up. It's selling. It's right
- 6:55there.
- 6:56Next, the range low and swing low
- 6:59represent the strongest, most
- 7:00influential buyer, right?
- 7:04Same thing happens here, but it's
- 7:05inverse. What happens every time you
- 7:07move down to 51 8? 1 2 3 4. You find a
- 7:13buyer. Now, what's so important about
- 7:16these is you have to trust these levels
- 7:19because take a look at this activity.
- 7:21When it's dumping like this, no one is
- 7:24thinking there's a buyer going to show
- 7:26up, but there is. There is a level this
- 7:29is going to, right? Just as it is here.
- 7:33And what we want to do, as I said, is
- 7:36just make sure you put yourself in that
- 7:39position if you want to be successful.
- 7:42So, that's the outline of using the
- 7:44swing high, swing low, range high, range
- 7:46low. Now, we're going to go over this as
- 7:47well more and make live trades off of
- 7:49this.
- 7:50But, once we've done that, now I want to
- 7:52move over into the real live section of
- 7:55this market today or move you up to
- 7:56right now because you're going to get
- 7:57your very first nuance. Now, I've done
- 7:59videos about the swing high, swing low,
- 8:01range high, range low before, and one of
- 8:03the biggest questions I get is what do
- 8:05you do when the market gaps up, which is
- 8:07exactly what we have this morning. Note
- 8:10right now the YM, look at it's it's
- 8:13going to run out of the top of the
- 8:15screen here. It's up huge. So, what do
- 8:18you do in a situation where the previous
- 8:21day's activity is either way above the
- 8:23range high? What do you do in those
- 8:25situations? Well, we need to create a
- 8:27new box, a new range high and a range
- 8:29low. Here's how we do it. We come over
- 8:31here and we grab the highest price point
- 8:34we physically see with our eyes. And I'm
- 8:38going to lay a line right there. Now,
- 8:40this is the highest price point over the
- 8:42last 24 hours as well. You can always
- 8:45just go back 24 hours, take the high,
- 8:48and take the low. So, if I go back over
- 8:50here, where's the low? It's right here.
- 8:53Now, tell me when you look at the low,
- 8:55is there anything interesting you might
- 8:57see?
- 8:58Note that the low was the previous day's
- 9:02high, right?
- 9:04Interesting. You see how those levels
- 9:07come into play? So, the pre-market low
- 9:10or the post-market low is actually the
- 9:13previous day's high. So, those two lines
- 9:16constitute
- 9:18the range high, the range low. Now,
- 9:19let's start with the swing low cuz it's
- 9:21a little bit closer. All we need to do
- 9:23is come back down here and pick the next
- 9:25level, which is about right here in this
- 9:27area, right?
- 9:29And we're just going to draw a line here
- 9:31and create a new swing low. But, now
- 9:33when we come to the swing high, we don't
- 9:36have anything over here. So, for this,
- 9:39I'm going to go to the daily chart,
- 9:41right? And I want you to tell me here
- 9:42real quick,
- 9:45what do you see? So, if I grab this and
- 9:47I move it all the way over here on the
- 9:50daily chart,
- 9:52what has happened
- 9:55to the YM
- 9:56every time you've got up there? Just
- 9:58take a look at the upper red line. You
- 10:00tell me,
- 10:01what was the end result? Just think
- 10:03about it, okay? I'm going to tell you
- 10:04here in just a second.
- 10:07It should be, and you should be thinking
- 10:10sell side. Now, that doesn't really look
- 10:14like a sell, correct? Which will bring
- 10:17me to number two,
- 10:20which is range. To me, range is one of
- 10:22the most valuable tools a trader has at
- 10:25their disposal, because you've probably
- 10:27asked yourself this question. You've
- 10:29been in a trade, it starts moving in
- 10:31your favor, and you're like, "Should I
- 10:33take my money here, or should I hold a
- 10:36little bit longer?" Now, most of the
- 10:38time when we ask ourselves that, it does
- 10:39the complete opposite. But, the reason
- 10:41is because we don't understand the
- 10:42concept of range. And let me make this
- 10:44as easy as I possibly can, and most of
- 10:46you probably know, because it's
- 10:47self-explanatory. It's what an asset has
- 10:50the potential to give you every day.
- 10:54Now, let me show you how you figure it
- 10:55out and how we're going to use it in
- 10:57this case. We want to go back to our
- 10:59daily chart. Excuse the chicken scratch.
- 11:00Remember, we're just doing this live.
- 11:03And I want to go and I want to find the
- 11:05the indicator average true range. You go
- 11:09over here, you'll see it's listed as
- 11:10ATR. I already have it up here in my
- 11:12menu, and you just enable it. Do not
- 11:14touch it. Don't do do not add any
- 11:16filters to it. Just click on it like
- 11:18that, hit the apply button, and it's
- 11:20[clears throat] going to give you a line
- 11:22here on your chart. Now, if you look
- 11:23here in the case of YM down at the
- 11:25bottom over to the right, you're going
- 11:26to see 612.
- 11:29So, first, for anybody new that doesn't
- 11:31understand range, what does that mean?
- 11:33The potential in YM each day can be 600
- 11:38plus points, 612 points. Now, I say
- 11:41potential each day, let's understand
- 11:43something about markets. There are no
- 11:45guarantees. Some days they will extend
- 11:47range, some days they won't come close
- 11:48to range, but if you take a average of
- 11:51the last X amount of days, that's what
- 11:53you can expect. Now, how we use it as
- 11:56traders is a term of value. So, for
- 11:59example, if the YM is up 600
- 12:02points, it's quote-unquote expensive for
- 12:07this time period that we're trading for
- 12:09this moment in time, for the short-term
- 12:10time period as traders we are.
- 12:12It is considered to be expensive or a
- 12:15little frothy. Now, that doesn't have
- 12:16anything to do with the long-term
- 12:18picture, but the short-term picture as
- 12:19traders, which is important, short-term
- 12:21traders, excuse me,
- 12:22that's important. So, the closer you get
- 12:25400, 500, 600 points up, you start to
- 12:28get a little frothy, market's getting
- 12:30ahead of itself, right?
- 12:32The other way, if it's down 400, 500,
- 12:34600 points deep in the range, it's
- 12:37starting to get cheap or oversold on the
- 12:41short-term. Now, where that calculates
- 12:43into what we're doing is you get these
- 12:47epic level reversals once you start to
- 12:49expand
- 12:51ranges. And we'll go over that here in a
- 12:53second, but let me just kind of give you
- 12:56a little quiz. I'm going to move this
- 12:57down here.
- 12:59And then let me just leave it up. Let me
- 13:00just leave this up for a second. I'm
- 13:01going to just ask you this. With just
- 13:03the two pieces of knowledge you have
- 13:04here,
- 13:05number one, we determined what when we
- 13:08had the range high, range low, swing
- 13:09high, swing low. I mean, you look at the
- 13:11daily chart, you tell me right here,
- 13:13what has happened every time the YM has
- 13:16moved up here to 52,700, 708.
- 13:20What happens? What happens at the box
- 13:23high, range high, swing high? What
- 13:24happens?
- 13:25Sellers show up. Some magical seller,
- 13:27some seller comes out of nowhere, smash
- 13:30it a little bit lower, right? So, we've
- 13:32already determined just based off of the
- 13:34four lines we've drawn, probably should
- 13:36look to sell this thing, right? Because
- 13:37you're reaching resistance.
- 13:39But you're not just reaching resistance
- 13:41here, right?
- 13:42You're also what? 602
- 13:47points in the grain. So, I know you guys
- 13:50are good at math.
- 13:52That's almost 100% of the daily range.
- 13:54Am I correct?
- 13:56So, if you're at resistance,
- 13:59where sellers are known to be,
- 14:02you're almost 100% of range, 600 points
- 14:05was is insane, and the market's not even
- 14:07open.
- 14:08I want you to tell me,
- 14:11what what do you think is going to
- 14:13happen here? Now,
- 14:15when I should should refrain, what's
- 14:16going to happen right when the bell like
- 14:18what's the first move? What do you
- 14:21think?
- 14:22Now, I hope you're thinking sell. Not
- 14:26you want to sell, not because you're a
- 14:28seller by nature, but because that's
- 14:31what the chart's telling you to do. It's
- 14:33clear. One, resistance. Two, range. So,
- 14:37we know we're going to sell.
- 14:40But when are we going to sell? That's
- 14:41the good point. How do we know? Maybe it
- 14:43goes up a thousand, right? It's done
- 14:45that before. How do we know that's not
- 14:47the mistake of our lives? Because as I
- 14:48said earlier, it certainly doesn't look
- 14:49like it's a sell.
- 14:51This brings us to the final piece, which
- 14:52I know everybody who's watching the good
- 14:55is you're already a pro at this. You
- 14:57know exactly how to do this and do it
- 14:59perfectly. And that is tell time, the
- 15:03clock. The actual clock provides you
- 15:06with an advantage more than you would
- 15:08ever know. And unfortunately, it took me
- 15:10about four or five years before somebody
- 15:12told me how important the actual
- 15:14physical clock was, and maybe nobody's
- 15:16ever told you that. Now, let me show you
- 15:18what I'm what I'm talking about or
- 15:19explain it to to
- 15:20Each [snorts] day, you get a very
- 15:23aggressive pivot. A pivot is a shift in
- 15:26momentum or a very explosive move.
- 15:29Now, they happen all certain times of
- 15:31the day, obviously, but most of the time
- 15:33the pivot that you will see or the
- 15:35explosive move that you see, the move
- 15:37that you want to trade comes after the
- 15:40first 10 minutes of the day. So, between
- 15:42minutes 10 and minutes 20, you normally
- 15:46will see, remember I'm saying normally
- 15:48here, a very aggressive and high-quality
- 15:51trading opportunity appearing. This is
- 15:55where you and I also want to trade. So,
- 15:56think about what we're talking about.
- 15:58We're trading at a specific location.
- 16:00We're trading a specific premium dollar
- 16:03amount in value, and we're trading at a
- 16:05specific time. What we're doing here is
- 16:08we're positioning ourselves
- 16:11to make money as often as possible.
- 16:14Again, nothing is guaranteed in trading.
- 16:16Nothing is perfect. But, what we want to
- 16:18do is we want to be at the right place
- 16:20at the right time as often as we can.
- 16:22And by combining those three things
- 16:24right there, that's going to put you in
- 16:26that position. The last little thing I
- 16:28want to talk to each and every one of
- 16:29you about is time itself. Because the
- 16:31very first 5 minutes of each session has
- 16:34the highest amount of tradeable volume,
- 16:36the most amount of market participants,
- 16:38you also get the most amount of, let's
- 16:40say, lunacy during that time. And until
- 16:43you've really adapted some high-quality
- 16:45technical analysis skills, I highly
- 16:48recommend you stay out of that. It's
- 16:52very difficult to get accurate readings
- 16:54in a high-speed environment if you're
- 16:57new. Now, if you're a pro, great. It's
- 16:59not a problem. But, until you've really
- 17:01developed your technical analysis
- 17:02skills, stay out of the first 10
- 17:04minutes. You just You're just asking for
- 17:06trouble. You're just asking for trouble.
- 17:08So, what I'm going to do is go back up
- 17:09here to the intraday chart right before
- 17:12the here.
- 17:14And I'm going to go down here to see my
- 17:15market opens at 6:30. So, I'm just going
- 17:18to kind of draw a box here. Again, this
- 17:20is a ugly box between 6:30
- 17:24and let's say 6:40, the first 10
- 17:26minutes, okay? Let's just make it a
- 17:27little bit bigger, right? There, okay.
- 17:30We want to make the trade outside of
- 17:33this. So, we want to give ourselves a
- 17:34little bit of time just in case the they
- 17:36want to chase this early, right? They
- 17:38might want to chase that early, they
- 17:39might want to run it up a little bit
- 17:40higher.
- 17:41Just because it's range, just because
- 17:42it's resistant, look at the market can
- 17:44do whatever the hell it wants. Maybe it
- 17:45wants to go a little bit higher. So, we
- 17:46want to let everybody kind of have their
- 17:48fun first, let them throw their money
- 17:49around, let them get their emotions out
- 17:51of the way, and then we're going to see
- 17:53if we have a short. Now, if we don't,
- 17:56and let's say the first move just
- 17:57implodes and it drops, then we're going
- 18:00to look for a lower level down here
- 18:02towards the bottom of the box, towards
- 18:05the range low and the swing low to try
- 18:08to get long. So, see, we always have an
- 18:10option. It just depends on what the
- 18:12market gives us. So, we're not
- 18:13inflicting a bias on the market. We know
- 18:15what we want to do, but we still need
- 18:17help from the market. We still need the
- 18:19market to do that. So, it's going to
- 18:20open up here in a few more minutes. I'll
- 18:22come back and we'll take a look at what
- 18:24kind of chart we have post 10 minutes,
- 18:27and then we'll see if we actually have a
- 18:28legitimate trade, and then we'll maybe
- 18:31even mask up some new levels, okay? So,
- 18:33let's go ahead and see what we have here
- 18:34in just a few minutes.
- 18:36Okay, so I am back. It's almost been 10
- 18:39minutes. We're on the 10-minute candle
- 18:40actually of the day, the second 5-minute
- 18:42candle here at least on my chart.
- 18:45And I think we have exactly what it is
- 18:47that we are looking for. Now, before I
- 18:49tell you what it is, based off of
- 18:52everything we've discussed so far, I
- 18:53want you to tell me what do you see? And
- 18:56let me give you a hint. Focus on the
- 18:59range high and the range low, and focus
- 19:03on the candles.
- 19:04What are you seeing currently? Let me
- 19:07open it up just a little bit bigger cuz
- 19:09I want everyone to be be to see that.
- 19:11Now, this gray [snorts] box obviously is
- 19:12the 10-minute box. We're waiting for it
- 19:13to finish.
- 19:15Note that again, you're you're not
- 19:18making this up. There's no guessing.
- 19:19Note every time you get up there, do you
- 19:22see the drag on these intraday candles?
- 19:24This is why we're using smaller time
- 19:25frames to see this context. See all
- 19:28these I call them John Wicks. Sometimes
- 19:29people make fun of me about it, but it's
- 19:31it's a way for me to mentally relate to
- 19:33what I'm seeing.
- 19:34Note
- 19:36the the the pull on it. You you can
- 19:39smell
- 19:40>> [snorts]
- 19:40>> I can smell the selling right here in
- 19:43this. So, what I'm looking to do is get
- 19:48in here short. I I mean, you can see the
- 19:50resistance up there. So, our stop is
- 19:52going to be up over top of the high.
- 19:54Just kind of waiting for this candle to
- 19:56to kind of finish out of a little bit
- 19:58more before I enter it, just so it
- 20:00doesn't get picked up down here towards
- 20:02the low, but but look at I mean, it's
- 20:03obvious. That's what you should be
- 20:05seeing. There's clear and present
- 20:07selling at the swing high. We just need
- 20:10a little nudge. Now, this is also the
- 20:13reason it's happening is because the
- 20:14damn thing is up 600 points. That's
- 20:17important. If it was up 30, it wouldn't
- 20:19be a big deal or 50, but it's six
- 20:22freaking hundred points. It's going to
- 20:25be hard to hold this, okay? So,
- 20:27let's see where we are
- 20:29in the next couple of minutes.
- 20:32See if I can fire off an entry here. I'm
- 20:34kind of just stalling to see real quick
- 20:36if I actually get it.
- 20:39Let me just leave this open and see if
- 20:40we get it. All right. So, I went ahead
- 20:43and I entered. I'm going to put the
- 20:45screenshot up there.
- 20:4652705.
- 20:50705
- 20:52right here on the third 5-minute candle,
- 20:54which is the 15-minute candle. My
- 20:55apologies. Let me open this up. Right
- 20:58here.
- 20:59Right here on this spike. It looked
- 21:01there at one time you had a little power
- 21:02tower, but as soon as it started to drag
- 21:04on the 15-minute, I went in and entered.
- 21:07I really kind of was thinking about
- 21:08jumping in on the second candle, but I
- 21:10went ahead and let it finish. So, I
- 21:12think it's obvious we've already talked
- 21:14about it. Here are your candlesticks. I
- 21:17mean, and and let me just explain this.
- 21:19Maybe it comes up there and stops us
- 21:21out. Maybe it's just going to be one of
- 21:22those days. But, there's only so much
- 21:24confirmation you can get. I mean, once
- 21:25you got it, what what what else are we
- 21:27looking for? I mean, again, I can I can
- 21:28smell it, all right? Now, because it's
- 21:31up so much here, it's probably going to
- 21:32be a little bit radical. Now, the next
- 21:35thing we want to talk about is what to
- 21:38expect in terms of range to the downside
- 21:41and what we want to expect in terms of
- 21:43target, okay? Now, if you look here,
- 21:46what you can always do is pull other
- 21:48areas. So, note that this candle is
- 21:50fussing over here at 52 654,
- 21:54as is this one, as is these two, as is
- 21:57these two, as is these two. So, this is
- 21:59a very hardcore support level, right?
- 22:02And that's one of the reasons why I
- 22:03wanted to short there. to give myself a
- 22:05little room to stay out of the the spike
- 22:08zone. So, if we can clear this 52 650,
- 22:14we should be able to move to the next
- 22:17level. So, remember also, we're not
- 22:19guessing, we're making level-to-level
- 22:22trading. So, if we can dispatch of this
- 22:24level, which is you can see it's it's a
- 22:26little bit difficult,
- 22:28we can work on this level here. I'm
- 22:30going to draw some just zones to pay
- 22:32attention to and maybe even this one
- 22:35here.
- 22:36That's pretty far, but let's see if we
- 22:38can move down there. Now, the other
- 22:41thing is with the range, let's not rule
- 22:43out here. One of the reasons I like
- 22:44this, we could fill in the gap. If I
- 22:46move this down here, guys, we can go all
- 22:49the way back down here to where it
- 22:51started. That's the lure of this. The
- 22:53risk is very low. The stop is above all
- 22:55of these wicks. Again, we just need a
- 22:58really good break of that. So, I will
- 23:00come back and keep you updated. I just
- 23:02want to stand here in dead silence like
- 23:05you know how you get with your trading.
- 23:07Let's see and I will keep you updated,
- 23:09but we just really need to get below
- 23:12that 52 650. Yeah.
- 23:15Okay, so I wanted to queue this up real
- 23:17quick. Sorry for jumping around, but I
- 23:19wanted to get this up real quick as fast
- 23:20as I could to show you. We finally got
- 23:23back into that shorter term support.
- 23:26Now, note how See it See it See it See
- 23:28how it accelerates as soon as you can
- 23:29break down those shorter term support
- 23:32structures, those shorter term buyers
- 23:34because anybody who had pop possibly
- 23:36bought that dip, excuse me, I'm getting
- 23:38amped up here a little bit, probably has
- 23:40a stop down here. So, now that we're
- 23:42free and clear of this I get a little
- 23:45bit lower I want to take some of the off
- 23:47here on the table and pay myself. But,
- 23:49what we can do now that we've got a
- 23:51break of that structure is let's move
- 23:53the stop from where we originally were
- 23:55going to put it at 57
- 23:58793 area. Let's move that down to
- 24:01roughly the entry. Just right above
- 24:03let's say right above this green candle
- 24:04right here. Uh
- 24:06again, we can still be spiked on, but
- 24:08now that we've dispatched of this level,
- 24:11we want to look at the next one which is
- 24:1252
- 24:14600.
- 24:15Let's see if we can
- 24:17get rid of that, but so far so good. Uh
- 24:20even if it stops here and we have to
- 24:22take the money, we get stopped out. The
- 24:24principal the the the principal was
- 24:25still there. Remember, resistance,
- 24:28excessive range, and the clock putting
- 24:31all this together. All right, guys. So,
- 24:32I am back. It's been a good 30 minutes.
- 24:35Look at this chart. I wanted to come
- 24:37back a little bit earlier, but I got a
- 24:39lot of things going on trading live with
- 24:40the community as well. I left these
- 24:43lines up here. It's been a mess looking
- 24:44at these lines all day, but look, each
- 24:46and every time you just broke down those
- 24:48lines. It just kind of goes from one
- 24:49level to the next.
- 24:51I didn't think this thing was going to
- 24:52produce this much in the way of gains
- 24:54and you never know that. You never know
- 24:56what you're going to get. You just have
- 24:57to get in it based off of the strategy,
- 24:59the formula, and the setup
- 25:01and let things go. But, this thing's
- 25:03already well in excess of 300 plus 350
- 25:06points and at, you know, five bucks a
- 25:08point per contract,
- 25:11this is a big trade. This is a monster
- 25:14trade. Now, I did take a little bit off
- 25:16of that here around the first support
- 25:19area just to book some profits and draw
- 25:21that stop. So, a lot of people ask,
- 25:23"Now, what do you do in a situation like
- 25:24this?" Because
- 25:26this is the benefits of trading live
- 25:27markets, trading real things,
- 25:29dealing with these circumstances. So, in
- 25:33this case, we got to start thinking that
- 25:36maybe you're going to find your way down
- 25:38into the gap back. And maybe you maybe
- 25:41you fill in this whole gap. Remember,
- 25:43this thing was overbought as hell. So,
- 25:45when you go back and you look at the
- 25:46range at the top, you're 270. You're
- 25:49still freaking green. Right? It It It's
- 25:52still green. Like, it can go red. That's
- 25:55the beauty of range. Uh I didn't think
- 25:57they were going to hit it this hard. I
- 25:58actually thought it might get bought
- 25:59back up a little faster. But, all we're
- 26:01going to do here is just trail down per
- 26:04candle. So, each candle, the stop right
- 26:06now is 52.5. We're going to keep on
- 26:09walking it down until we eventually get
- 26:12stopped out. Now,
- 26:14it it's impulsive sometimes to want to
- 26:16take the money, but in this case,
- 26:18why would we? Look at it.
- 26:20What's to say that anyone buys this?
- 26:22We'd have to see something and we've
- 26:24already got some profits. We want to
- 26:26ride this one out. We might be able to
- 26:27book another 100, 200 here. I mean, this
- 26:29thing could turn out to a like a
- 26:31mid-size sedan in gains. So, we don't
- 26:34want to give this up. I'm going to come
- 26:36back a little bit later. It's actually
- 26:38very hot here in Las Vegas. It's like
- 26:40100 110, no joke, and I'm burning up.
- 26:43I'm just like sweating here, so I
- 26:44apologize.
- 26:46Let's see if we can get down there a
- 26:47little bit lower. I think we can make it
- 26:48to what?
- 26:50The range low. Interesting, right? It's
- 26:52going to find its way down to the range
- 26:53low, maybe? Hmm? Swing low.
- 26:55Unbelievable. These levels are like
- 26:57magic. That's why Silvia calls them the
- 26:59magic lines.
- 27:00So, let's see. Let's see.
- 27:02All right, guys. I am back with a final
- 27:05update. I almost forgot I was doing this
- 27:07video cuz it's been like an hour and
- 27:10I've been doing tons of other things
- 27:11with the child. I even changed my shirt
- 27:13because it's like freaking hot here. I
- 27:15told you earlier it's like 112°.
- 27:18Air conditioner isn't even doing a good
- 27:19job. So, I apologize. I wasn't even
- 27:21paying attention. I just fired back up
- 27:22the recorder. I'm completely out of this
- 27:25trade. I did take a couple of partials
- 27:27on the way down. And actually, look
- 27:29where it got to. It got down into the
- 27:33the range low, right? And that was
- 27:35actually a nice little John Wick kind of
- 27:37reversal trade to the long side. So,
- 27:40you know, there's multiple opportunities
- 27:43in these things, but this thing went for
- 27:45well over 400 plus points. Again, you do
- 27:48the math. Five bucks a point, multiple
- 27:50contracts. This This was the biggest
- 27:53trade I made in the the month. This This
- 27:55is amazing. They don't always work this
- 27:56way. I'm not going to act like they do.
- 27:58But this was beautiful and there's even
- 28:00another one here, but I'm not I'm not
- 28:01going to take it. When I have a trade
- 28:02like that,
- 28:04I'm not going to do another one. There's
- 28:05no reason to to push it. That's just
- 28:08incredible and I
- 28:09just being up front, I don't get them
- 28:11like that every day. Huge move. But you
- 28:13can see there's also a reversal. But let
- 28:14me just ask you this.
- 28:16Where did the reversal take place? Where
- 28:18was the dip buy?
- 28:21Dip buy was down here towards the range
- 28:23low and the swing low. Where did it go
- 28:26from? Swing highs, right? Swing high
- 28:28range high
- 28:29to swing low range low. One spot.
- 28:32Trading in here in the middle got you
- 28:34what? Got you cheesed. Got you in
- 28:37trouble. Got you whipsawed all over the
- 28:40place, right? And that's what we have to
- 28:42keep in mind. So, on that note, guys,
- 28:44I'm going to end this video. Amazing
- 28:46trade.
- 28:47If you are really wanting to advance in
- 28:50your trading, you've got to put these
- 28:52three pieces of context and I think you
- 28:53know that now. But, if you're looking to
- 28:56go to another level with this and you
- 28:57really want to take this seriously,
- 28:58there's two things I want to remind you
- 29:00of. Number one
- 29:01is
- 29:02my wife and I put together a free watch
- 29:05list every week. It's something we offer
- 29:06the community. It's called the gains
- 29:07guide. The link is down there in the
- 29:09description.
- 29:10Also, you can trade with us live each
- 29:12day because
- 29:14I'm I while I'm doing this live, I'm
- 29:16also trading live with the community.
- 29:18Hence why I've got to keep cutting and
- 29:19coming back, cutting and coming back.
- 29:21Because I'm walking them through this
- 29:23trade, too, and many of them have taken
- 29:24this. And this is what it's all about is
- 29:27understanding not just a setup, but how
- 29:29things work, how markets function. So,
- 29:33on that note, guys, let me thank you for
- 29:34watching today's video. As always, I
- 29:36want to thank you for watching it. I
- 29:38hope I was able to give you some value
- 29:40today. And as always, until the next
- 29:42video, take care, trade well, and
- 29:45cheers.
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