You should, unfortunately, be worried about Sam Altman. — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00On November 17th, 2023, Sam Altman,
- 0:02wildly successful CEO of OpenAI, was
- 0:05fired.
- 0:05>> The godfather of ChatGPT kicked out of
- 0:08the company he founded.
- 0:10>> Employees were revolting, investors were
- 0:12freaking out. Nobody seems to understand
- 0:13why this guy was fired. And then,
- 0:15>> [music]
- 0:15>> four days later, Sam Altman is
- 0:17apparently back as OpenAI CEO.
- 0:20>> I want to tell you the full story.
- 0:22[music] Some of it we only know now,
- 0:23thanks to unsealed court testimony
- 0:25that's come out just this year. I think
- 0:26you need to understand what happened
- 0:28[music] those five days if you want to
- 0:30understand this strange moment we're
- 0:32living in. [music]
- 0:32>> AI is a technology for taking away your
- 0:34job and maybe eventually displacing
- 0:37human sovereignty over our own future.
- 0:39>> Where, frankly, a handful of unelected
- 0:41tech CEOs have more power over the
- 0:44future than most heads of state. [music]
- 0:46>> You've said AI could wipe out half of
- 0:48all entry-level white-collar jobs and
- 0:50spike unemployment to 10 to 20% in the
- 0:52next 1 to 5 years.
- 0:54>> Yes.
- 0:54>> And the most powerful of all those
- 0:56people might be Sam Altman, the CEO of
- 0:59OpenAI, a company founded on the idea
- 1:01that no one person should control
- 1:03artificial intelligence.
- 1:04>> AI will probably, like most likely sort
- 1:07of lead to the end of the world, but in
- 1:08the meantime,
- 1:10uh there will be great companies
- 1:11created.
- 1:12>> So, why was Sam Altman fired? And what
- 1:14does that tell us about who gets to
- 1:16decide our future?
- 1:25Friday, November 17th, 2023.
- 1:28Sam Altman is in a hotel room in Las
- 1:30Vegas. He's in town for the Formula 1
- 1:33race. It is a well-earned break. He's
- 1:35been spending the better part of a year
- 1:37doing press, traveling the world meeting
- 1:39global leaders ever since his company,
- 1:41OpenAI, released a chatbot, which
- 1:44you know what? I'm just going to go
- 1:45ahead and assume you've heard of.
- 1:46>> ChatGPT.
- 1:48>> ChatGPT is on pace to pass 100 million
- 1:51active monthly users after just 2
- 1:53months.
- 1:53>> Things are, by any reasonable measure,
- 1:56going extremely well for Sam. His
- 1:58company is about to be valued at $86
- 2:00billion.
- 2:02People are calling him the Oppenheimer
- 2:04of his generation, which he doesn't seem
- 2:06to mind. He sometimes mentions that he
- 2:07and Oppenheimer share a birthday,
- 2:09[music] fun fact. At noon, Sam opens his
- 2:11laptop for a quick video call. On the
- 2:13other side is OpenAI's board. Let me
- 2:15introduce them. We've got Adam D'Angelo,
- 2:18CEO and founder of Quora, you know, that
- 2:20the website with the
- 2:22questions, you know the one.
- 2:24Helen Toner, AI policy researcher, day
- 2:26job at a Georgetown think tank. We've
- 2:28got Tasha McCauley, robotics
- 2:30entrepreneur. And Ilya Sutskever,
- 2:33OpenAI's chief scientist. Widely
- 2:35regarded as one of the most brilliant AI
- 2:37researchers around. Also a co-founder of
- 2:40the company, also Sam's friend. Sam was
- 2:43expecting a routine call.
- 2:45It is not a routine call.
- 2:47Sutskever reads from a prepared
- 2:49statement.
- 2:51"The board has," he says, "lost
- 2:53confidence in Sam's ability to lead the
- 2:55company. They are terminating his
- 2:57employment effective immediately. There
- 2:59will be a public announcement shortly."
- 3:02Sam is too stunned to speak. He feels
- 3:05like he's in a bad dream.
- 3:07After the call, Sam is locked out of his
- 3:09laptop.
- 3:1020 minutes ago, he was CEO of the most
- 3:12famous AI company on Earth.
- 3:15And now he can't get into his own Gmail.
- 3:19Now, minutes later, the board puts out a
- 3:21public statement. It reads,
- 3:23"Mr. Altman's departure follows a
- 3:24deliberative review process by the
- 3:26board, which concluded that he was not
- 3:29consistently candid in his
- 3:30communications with the board, hindering
- 3:33its ability to exercise its
- 3:34responsibilities." The board also names
- 3:36an interim CEO in the announcement, Mira
- 3:39Murati, OpenAI's chief technology
- 3:41officer.
- 3:42Within minutes, this firing is one of
- 3:44the biggest news stories in the world.
- 3:47Sam's phone is getting so many texts per
- 3:49second his iMessage app crashes.
- 3:51300 miles away at OpenAI's San Francisco
- 3:54offices,
- 3:55hundreds of people are standing around
- 3:57staring at their phones refreshing the
- 3:59same four tabs. Nobody is working.
- 4:01Nobody can work. Their CEO was just
- 4:03fired 20 minutes ago and nobody will
- 4:05tell them why. Also caught off guard is
- 4:08Microsoft, OpenAI's most important
- 4:10investor. Murati had called them mere
- 4:12minutes before the public announcement
- 4:14went out. Satya Nadella, the CEO of
- 4:16Microsoft, [music] is to use the
- 4:18technical term,
- 4:19pissed.
- 4:20Sutskever and Murati [music] hold a
- 4:22company-wide meeting to try to explain
- 4:24what's happened.
- 4:26Someone asks if there was a specific
- 4:28incident or something and Sutskever
- 4:30replies, "I wish I could go into
- 4:31details, but I can't."
- 4:33Someone asks if they'll ever find out
- 4:35more. Sutskever says, "Keep your
- 4:37expectations low."
- 4:39Then, someone asks about the tender
- 4:41offer.
- 4:42Now, this wasn't mentioned much in
- 4:43reporting at the time, but in just a few
- 4:45days OpenAI was due to close a deal that
- 4:47would let employees sell their own
- 4:49shares at that $86 billion valuation.
- 4:52For a lot of employees, that meant
- 4:54millions of dollars. Some people had
- 4:56already put down deposits on houses.
- 4:59So, Brad Lightcap, the COO, has to take
- 5:01this question.
- 5:03And he says,
- 5:04"The tender, we're um we're going to
- 5:06see."
- 5:08None of this, it turns out, is
- 5:09particularly reassuring.
- 5:11>> That whole weekend was one of the most
- 5:12stressful uh periods in my life, I would
- 5:14say. It was like a civil war within the
- 5:16company.
- 5:16>> Around 2:00 p.m., Sam puts out a tweet
- 5:19in his trademark all lowercase. He says,
- 5:23"I loved my time at OpenAI. It was
- 5:25transformative for me personally and
- 5:27hopefully the world a little bit. Most
- 5:28of all, I loved working with such
- 5:30talented people."
- 5:32Greg Brockman, who is OpenAI's
- 5:34president, also a co-founder, also a
- 5:36board member until the same four people
- 5:38removed him that same day, has been told
- 5:41that he can stay on as OpenAI's
- 5:42president.
- 5:44Instead, he retweets Sam and announces
- 5:46that he's quitting in solidarity.
- 5:48Three more senior researchers quit as
- 5:50well. Employees feel like the sky is
- 5:53falling.
- 5:54Sam, for his part, gets on a flight back
- 5:56to San Francisco.
- 5:57Late Friday evening, the board takes a
- 6:00meeting with OpenAI's senior executive
- 6:02team. So, not the whole company this
- 6:03time, just the 15 or so most senior
- 6:05employees.
- 6:07The board keeps citing confidentiality
- 6:09and just continues to avoid answering
- 6:11any questions in detail. [music] And the
- 6:12execs are furious. They say the board
- 6:15has no choice but to reinstate Altman,
- 6:17otherwise they'd be letting the company
- 6:18die. Helen Toner replies, "That could in
- 6:21fact be consistent with the mission."
- 6:25At first glance, that sounds completely
- 6:26insane.
- 6:27Why would a board fire a wildly
- 6:29successful CEO and call it consistent
- 6:32with the mission?
- 6:38OpenAI was founded in 2015, not as a
- 6:41normal tech company, as a nonprofit
- 6:44research lab. It was funded by donations
- 6:46from the likes of Elon Musk, also a
- 6:48co-founder, Peter Thiel, and Sam Altman
- 6:50himself.
- 6:51Ilya Sutskever was there from day one.
- 6:54And the mission was not to make money.
- 6:56It was very explicitly to save the
- 6:59world. [music]
- 7:00Easy to roll your eyes at, but here's
- 7:02what these people at least claimed to
- 7:03believe. That within their lifetimes,
- 7:06possibly within the next decade or two,
- 7:08humans would build machines smarter than
- 7:10themselves. Machines that could do new
- 7:12scientific research, could run a
- 7:14military strategy, just do any cognitive
- 7:16work that humans can do.
- 7:18They had a name for this.
- 7:20AGI.
- 7:20>> AGI, artificial general intelligence.
- 7:24>> And they believed that whoever built AGI
- 7:26first would have in their hands the most
- 7:28powerful technology to have ever existed
- 7:31on Earth.
- 7:32And they did not think that this was a
- 7:34safe enterprise.
- 7:36This is Sam Altman writing on his
- 7:37personal blog back in 2015.
- 7:40Development of superhuman machine
- 7:41intelligence is probably the greatest
- 7:43threat to the continued existence of
- 7:46humanity. In that blog post, Sam
- 7:48recommends this book, Superintelligence.
- 7:52And the book's argument is basically
- 7:53this. Humans run this planet not because
- 7:56we are the strongest species, but
- 7:57because we're the smartest. You build
- 7:59something smarter than humans, then the
- 8:01same cold logic applies.
- 8:03>> It's smarter than us, right? There's no
- 8:04way we're going to prevent it getting
- 8:05rid of us if it wants to. If you want to
- 8:07know what life's like when you're not
- 8:09the apex intelligence,
- 8:11ask a chicken.
- 8:12>> That's the position that OpenAI's
- 8:14founders thought humanity was about to
- 8:16be in. So, they set up this research lab
- 8:18to build AGI themselves and build it
- 8:21safely before someone less careful
- 8:23builds it first. They specifically do
- 8:24not trust Google DeepMind.
- 8:26>> The reason I wanted to create OpenAI was
- 8:28to serve as a counterweight to Google.
- 8:29The furthest thing from Google would be
- 8:31like a nonprofit that is fully open cuz
- 8:34Google was closed, for-profit. We don't
- 8:36want this to be a sort of profit
- 8:38maximizing
- 8:39>> a behemoth from hell, you know?
- 8:41>> [laughter]
- 8:41>> That just never stops.
- 8:43>> OpenAI's original mission, and you can
- 8:44still read this online, was to advance
- 8:46digital intelligence in the way most
- 8:48likely to benefit humanity as a whole,
- 8:50unconstrained by the need to generate
- 8:52[music] financial returns. These are not
- 8:54normal startup commitments. But, here's
- 8:56the problem.
- 8:57Training cutting-edge AI turns out to
- 8:59cost an astronomical amount of money.
- 9:01>> Like, I think one thing that no one
- 9:03knows yet is just how much money you
- 9:04need, you know, billions for sure, tens
- 9:06of billions, maybe hundreds of billions,
- 9:07I sure hope not.
- 9:08>> So, in 2019, Sam Altman comes up with a
- 9:12fix, one that happens to land him as CEO
- 9:14of the company.
- 9:16The idea is this.
- 9:17A nonprofit board of directors that owns
- 9:20and controls a for-profit subsidiary.
- 9:23So, the for-profit can take investment,
- 9:26it can pay [music] competitive salaries
- 9:27including startup equity, it can build
- 9:29data centers, it can compete with
- 9:31Google. But,
- 9:33it answers to the [music] nonprofit, and
- 9:35the nonprofit answers to the mission.
- 9:38There are two guardrails built into this
- 9:40structure.
- 9:41Guardrail number one, investor profits
- 9:44are capped at 100x.
- 9:46Beyond that point, everything flows back
- 9:48to the nonprofit [music] to be used for
- 9:50the benefit of humanity for something
- 9:52like universal basic income.
- 9:54The idea was simple. Investors can get
- 9:56rich, but not infinitely rich.
- 9:58Past a point, the upside belongs to
- 10:00everyone.
- 10:00>> If you wanted to just make money, that
- 10:02would not be a good way to do that,
- 10:03right? Like having a nonprofit have that
- 10:05level of control over your company. They
- 10:07could have just started over and started
- 10:09a for-profit company, right? And they
- 10:10chose not to do that.
- 10:12>> Guardrail number two, the nonprofit
- 10:14board can fire the for-profit's CEO.
- 10:16This is the kill switch.
- 10:18The idea is you put people on the board
- 10:21who care about not ending the world. You
- 10:23let the capitalist machine run
- 10:25underneath them. It's the only way to
- 10:26compete. But, if it starts racing
- 10:28somewhere dangerous, the people upstairs
- 10:30can pull the plug.
- 10:32On paper, this board puts humanity above
- 10:35the company. If the two come into
- 10:37conflict, humanity is supposed to win.
- 10:40Sam Altman talks about this constantly.
- 10:42>> Like no one person should be trusted
- 10:44here. I don't have super voting shares.
- 10:47Um,
- 10:48like I don't want them. The board can
- 10:50fire me. I think that's important.
- 10:52>> Now,
- 10:53this is what OpenAI looked like as of
- 10:55November 2023 after the release of
- 10:57ChatGPT, the fastest growing tech
- 10:59product in history, and $13 worth of
- 11:02investment from Microsoft.
- 11:04In theory, the nonprofit is in charge.
- 11:06In practice, you have a handful of
- 11:09volunteers overseeing an $86 billion
- 11:11tech company.
- 11:18Saturday morning, November 18th, Sam
- 11:20wakes up in his home in San Francisco.
- 11:23So,
- 11:24what do you need if you've just been
- 11:26fired by one of the most important
- 11:27companies in tech and you'd ideally like
- 11:29your job back?
- 11:30This, to be clear, is not career advice.
- 11:34Step one, open a line of communication.
- 11:36On Saturday morning, Sam gets a call
- 11:38from the board that just fired him.
- 11:41They want to talk after the disastrous
- 11:43reaction the previous day from employees
- 11:45and senior executives. They're right to
- 11:47be worried, by the way. In a few hours,
- 11:49the executives are going to give the
- 11:50board a 5:00 p.m. deadline to reinstate
- 11:52Sam and then resign.
- 11:55Step two, assemble your allies. Sam
- 11:57starts turning his home into a war room,
- 12:00or to use his words, a government in
- 12:02exile.
- 12:03Within hours, dozens of people are
- 12:05lining up in Sam's home, including
- 12:07OpenAI employees and senior executives.
- 12:10Lawyers set up an office outside his
- 12:12bedroom. Mira Murati is there, which is
- 12:14pretty weird considering she's just
- 12:16replaced him as CEO. Sam, for his part,
- 12:19works the phones. According to his phone
- 12:21records, he's on calls for 12 hours a
- 12:23day.
- 12:24Step three,
- 12:25stay relaxed.
- 12:276:00 p.m. rolls around. The 5:00 p.m.
- 12:28deadline has come and gone. The board
- 12:30has neither reinstated Sam nor resigned.
- 12:32Sam walks out to his living room and
- 12:34starts handing out a round of Negronis.
- 12:36"You need to relax," he tells people.
- 12:38"Whatever's going to happen is going to
- 12:39happen." Step four, make a show of
- 12:42strength.
- 12:43On Saturday night, Sam sends out a
- 12:45single tweet. "I love the OpenAI team so
- 12:48much."
- 12:49Within minutes, dozens of OpenAI
- 12:51employees are retweeting it with heart
- 12:52emojis.
- 12:55Step five, set the terms of the fight.
- 12:58Now, Sam has this guy Chris Lehane on
- 13:00the line. He's a political operative
- 13:02whose personal motto is apparently
- 13:04"Everyone has a plan until you punch
- 13:06them in the mouth."
- 13:08Lehane, maybe unsurprisingly, wants Sam
- 13:10to go scorched earth on the board. Drag
- 13:13them in the press, destroy them.
- 13:15Sam, though, plays it differently. He
- 13:18steps back and lets his supporters and
- 13:20allies build his case for him.
- 13:22They start feeding sympathetic
- 13:24journalists just enough to shape the
- 13:26narrative in the press. The board
- 13:27doesn't know what they're doing. The
- 13:29board is in over their heads. The board
- 13:30won't even say why they did it. Within
- 13:3224 hours, the narrative isn't Sam Altman
- 13:35was fired. The narrative is, what the
- 13:37hell was the board thinking?
- 13:39Which
- 13:40actually is a good question.
- 13:42What was the board thinking?
- 13:51In 2003, a teenager shows up at the
- 13:54University of Toronto and knocks on the
- 13:56door of Professor Geoffrey Hinton, a
- 13:58future godfather of AI.
- 14:00That teenager's name is Ilya Sutskever.
- 14:03And he's interested in Hinton's work on
- 14:05artificial neural networks, an out of
- 14:07fashion approach to AI that's [music]
- 14:09loosely inspired by biological brains.
- 14:11So, Hinton gives Ilya an old paper. A
- 14:14few days later, the teenage Ilya comes
- 14:16back with an insight it had taken the
- 14:17field years to produce.
- 14:20For most of his life, Ilya Sutskever has
- 14:22seen things in AI before other people
- 14:24see them.
- 14:26Fast forward to 2012.
- 14:27>> [music]
- 14:28>> Ilya, Hinton, and a colleague have been
- 14:29researching deep learning, basically
- 14:31just making neural networks way bigger
- 14:33than had been tried before.
- 14:35At the time, mainstream AI researchers
- 14:37have been struggling for years [music]
- 14:38to get computers to correctly label
- 14:40images. The best in class programs are
- 14:42wrong about 25% of the time.
- 14:44Ilya and Hinton debut a network that
- 14:47demolishes that world record.
- 14:50In 2013, a young startup called DeepMind
- 14:53uses the same type of deep neural
- 14:55network and unveils an AI system that
- 14:57can top human experts at multiple
- 14:59different classic video games. In 2015,
- 15:02Elon Musk and a charismatic guy named
- 15:04Sam Altman take Ilya out to dinner.
- 15:07They don't trust DeepMind.
- 15:09They want to start a new AI lab. They
- 15:10want to save the world. They want Ilya
- 15:13to be a part of it.
- 15:15Ilya turns down a $6 million a year,
- 15:17"Please don't leave us" counter offer
- 15:19from his employer Google
- 15:21and joins them.
- 15:23In 2016, DeepMind shocks the world with
- 15:26an AI system that beats one of the
- 15:28greatest human masters of the board game
- 15:30Go.
- 15:31Next year, they try using 100 times more
- 15:34computer chips, and instead of teaching
- 15:36this AI system Go with examples, they
- 15:38just let it start playing itself. In 8
- 15:40hours, it is better at the game of Go
- 15:42than any person or program that has ever
- 15:44played. By this time, Ilya is convinced
- 15:47that the path to AGI might be as simple
- 15:49as finding the right neural network
- 15:50design and then scaling it up.
- 15:53And in 2017, 18 months into leading
- 15:55research at OpenAI,
- 15:57he reads a paper from Google that makes
- 16:00him jump out of his chair, run down the
- 16:02hall, and tell his colleagues, "Everyone
- 16:04stop what you're doing. This is it."
- 16:07Over the next 5 [music] years, OpenAI is
- 16:09going to make a series of exponentially
- 16:11larger bets that prove Ilya's conviction
- 16:14right.
- 16:16They train GPT-2 and discover that it
- 16:18has abilities they hadn't specifically
- 16:20trained it for, [music]
- 16:21like being able to translate text into
- 16:22new languages.
- 16:24The text output from GPT-3.5
- 16:26is so human-like that they wrap it
- 16:28[music] in a user-friendly interface and
- 16:30try releasing it as a chatbot.
- 16:32It hits 100 million users in 2 months.
- 16:37By this time, Ilya has developed a
- 16:38slogan.
- 16:40He says it around the office. A couple
- 16:41weeks after the ChatGPT [music] release
- 16:43at the company's holiday party, he gets
- 16:45his colleagues to chant it back to him.
- 16:48Feel the AGI.
- 16:50He wants them to take [music] it
- 16:51seriously.
- 16:52To take seriously that the progress
- 16:54might not stop. That this curve they're
- 16:57riding, a curve that started
- 16:58>> [music]
- 16:58>> way back in 1956 with a few researchers
- 17:01in New Hampshire dreaming about thinking
- 17:02machines,
- 17:03might just keep going up.
- 17:05Soon, AI systems might match human
- 17:08intelligence and then surpass it and
- 17:10then vastly surpass it.
- 17:12And then,
- 17:14the person in control of the technology
- 17:16will have their hands on something
- 17:18unprecedentedly powerful.
- 17:20Something they may not be able to
- 17:21control at all.
- 17:25>> Scientists have been accused of playing
- 17:27God for a while.
- 17:29But,
- 17:31there is a real sense in which we are
- 17:33creating something
- 17:35very different from anything you've
- 17:37created so far.
- 17:38>> At the 2022 retreat,
- 17:40Ilya and his colleagues are hanging
- 17:42around a campfire and he's got this
- 17:43wooden effigy in his hand that he
- 17:45commissioned from a local artist.
- 17:47The effigy, he explains, represents an
- 17:49AI that is pretending to be nice, but is
- 17:52actually been lying to them.
- 17:54Ilya douses it in lighter fluid and sets
- 17:57it on fire.
- 17:59Around the same time, Ilya is starting
- 18:01to get very worried about Sam.
- 18:09Sunday morning, November 19th, 2023.
- 18:12Less than 48 hours since Sam Altman was
- 18:14fired,
- 18:15and he's heading into the office.
- 18:17Interim CEO Mira Murati has invited Sam
- 18:20to come by for the day. So, Sam goes to
- 18:21the front desk, gets a visitor's badge,
- 18:24and because he's Sam, immediately posts
- 18:26a selfie with the caption, "First and
- 18:28last time I wear one of these."
- 18:30Negotiations go on for hour after hour
- 18:33with the board. Journalists are camped
- 18:35out outside the OpenAI offices tracking
- 18:37the steady stream of takeout deliveries.
- 18:39No one involved has slept much in the
- 18:41last 48 hours, but Sam feels good. The
- 18:44board is losing in the court of public
- 18:46opinion. They've definitely lost with
- 18:47the employees, [music]
- 18:48and they're even open, it seems, to
- 18:50bringing him back as CEO.
- 18:52There's haggling going on over who would
- 18:54need to resign, who would make what
- 18:55statements.
- 18:56It really seems like the board is out of
- 18:58cards and about ready to fold.
- 19:01Or are they?
- 19:03See, all week at the board has been
- 19:05putting out feelers to anyone in their
- 19:06network who might be willing to come in
- 19:08as interim CEO.
- 19:10At one point, they reach out to Dario
- 19:12Amodei, the CEO of OpenAI's bitter
- 19:14rival, Anthropic, to ask if he wants to
- 19:17be CEO, maybe even combine the
- 19:18companies.
- 19:19He's not interested.
- 19:21But, Sunday evening, late in the night
- 19:24with hundreds of employees at the office
- 19:26expecting an end to the drama, the board
- 19:28makes a sudden announcement.
- 19:30Murati has been replaced.
- 19:33There's a new CEO.
- 19:34Enter
- 19:36Emmett Shear.
- 19:38Co-founder of Twitch, the
- 19:40website with the videos and the the
- 19:42game, you know the one. Sam is shocked.
- 19:45He feels like the board has been
- 19:46negotiating in bad faith all weekend.
- 19:48OpenAI employees flood out of the
- 19:50building. Sam goes [music] home in
- 19:52disgust.
- 19:53But, Sam Altman being Sam Altman, he
- 19:56already has another move lined up.
- 19:59The previous day, Microsoft CEO Satya
- 20:02Nadella had asked Sam if he wanted to
- 20:03join Microsoft.
- 20:05Now, Sam tells him he's [music] in. At 7
- 20:08minutes before midnight on Sunday,
- 20:11Microsoft CEO Satya Nadella tweets that
- 20:14Sam, along with his number two, Greg
- 20:16Brockman, will be joining Microsoft.
- 20:19Word spreads very quickly through
- 20:20employees' signal chats. Anyone who
- 20:22wants to join them will have a
- 20:23guaranteed job at Microsoft. Now, think
- 20:27about how this lands with the employees.
- 20:30They have been banking on this tender
- 20:31offer that now looks dead in the water.
- 20:34The board has just fired their leader,
- 20:36the guy that all the investors love,
- 20:38who's now been immediately snapped up by
- 20:40a much larger company, which they are
- 20:41now being invited to join.
- 20:43And they still have no idea why this is
- 20:46happening.
- 20:47All they've been given is that one
- 20:48phrase, "Not consistently candid."
- 20:52I think it's time to tell you what that
- 20:53means.
- 20:58A few weeks before the firing, a
- 21:00terrified Ilya Sutskever sends a
- 21:02disappearing email to three of his
- 21:03fellow board members, Tasha McCauley,
- 21:06Helen Toner, and Adam D'Angelo. [music]
- 21:08It contains a 70-page two-part memo. The
- 21:12screenshots inside have been compiled
- 21:13covertly over the course of months.
- 21:15There are Slack messages photographed
- 21:17with personal phones to avoid
- 21:18screenshots on company devices.
- 21:21The first line of the memo reads,
- 21:23>> [music]
- 21:23>> "Sam exhibits a consistent pattern of
- 21:25lying, undermining his exacts, and
- 21:27pitting his exacts against [music] one
- 21:29another." This forms the centerpiece of
- 21:31the case that Ilya Sutskever, the man
- 21:33who spent a decade [music] telling the
- 21:34world that superintelligence is coming,
- 21:37is starting to form against his
- 21:38co-founder and CEO, Sam Altman.
- 21:41Let's go through it. Exhibit A,
- 21:44the lying.
- 21:45Many of those screenshots came from one
- 21:48person, Mira Murati,
- 21:50the board's eventual pick as interim
- 21:52CEO. Back in October, on multiple calls
- 21:55with the board, Murati had explained in
- 21:57detail Altman's toxic leadership style,
- 21:59>> [music]
- 21:59>> a pattern of behavior going back years.
- 22:02If someone resisted his decisions, he
- 22:03would tell them whatever he thought they
- 22:05wanted to hear. If that didn't work,
- 22:07then he would undermine their
- 22:08credibility and turn people against each
- 22:10other. So, this is why the board was so
- 22:12cagey during the firing. They'd been
- 22:14told by outside legal counsel that they
- 22:16couldn't reveal this information without
- 22:19revealing Murati as the source and
- 22:21putting themselves at serious legal
- 22:23risk. Exhibit B, the safety lapses.
- 22:26At a board meeting in December 2022, Sam
- 22:30told the directors that three
- 22:31controversial changes to GPT-4 had all
- 22:34been approved by the company's joint
- 22:35safety review board. Helen Toner asked
- 22:38for documentation.
- 22:40It didn't exist. It turns out only one
- 22:42of the changes had been approved.
- 22:44Around the same time, Microsoft [music]
- 22:46started testing the still unreleased
- 22:48GPT-4 in India without any safety
- 22:50approval.
- 22:51The board found out about this by
- 22:53accident from a conversation in a
- 22:55hallway.
- 22:57Later, Sam sends a Slack message to the
- 22:59company.
- 23:00He says that the company's lawyer
- 23:02decided GPT-4 Turbo also doesn't need
- 23:05joint safety review.
- 23:08Mira Murati checks with the lawyer.
- 23:11He says
- 23:12he never said that.
- 23:13>> On multiple occasions, he gave us
- 23:15inaccurate information about the small
- 23:17number of formal safety processes that
- 23:19the company did have in place.
- 23:21>> It really seems like the man who thought
- 23:23he was building super intelligence
- 23:26was lying to the board about how he was
- 23:28keeping it safe.
- 23:30Exhibit C, the fund.
- 23:32Sam Altman had also told the board and
- 23:34the world that he was an independent
- 23:36director of OpenAI with no financial
- 23:38stake in the company. It turned out that
- 23:39the OpenAI Startup Fund, $175 million of
- 23:43venture capital deployed in OpenAI's
- 23:44name, was personally owned by Sam
- 23:47Altman. It does now seem like this was
- 23:49mostly done to make paperwork easier
- 23:51rather than for Sam's personal financial
- 23:53gain.
- 23:54But it took months for the full
- 23:55situation to be clarified to the board
- 23:57after they raised the issue.
- 23:59Exhibit D, the paper.
- 24:02Helen Toner authors an academic paper
- 24:04buried [music] within it some very mild
- 24:06criticism of OpenAI.
- 24:08Altman is furious.
- 24:10He goes to Sutskever personally, says
- 24:12that Tasha McCauley agrees Helen Toner
- 24:15needs to be removed from the board.
- 24:17McCauley had said no such thing.
- 24:20>> Not trusting the word of of the CEO who
- 24:23is your main conduit to the company,
- 24:24your main source of information about
- 24:25the company, it's just like totally
- 24:27totally impossible.
- 24:28>> It turned out that the board had been
- 24:29deadlocked for months over filling
- 24:31multiple vacancies. Sam wanted his
- 24:33picks. Interviews were on the agenda for
- 24:35the November board meeting just [music]
- 24:37days away.
- 24:38If Sam aligned directors joined the
- 24:40board, then these four would lose their
- 24:43majority and they'd never be able to
- 24:45fire him. Their window was closing.
- 24:47They decided they had to act. As Ilya
- 24:50told one board member at the time,
- 24:52"I don't think Sam is the guy who should
- 24:54have his finger on the button.
- 25:00The early hours of Monday, November
- 25:0220th, 2023. 61 hours since Sam Altman
- 25:05was fired.
- 25:06Around 1:00 a.m., a letter starts to
- 25:08circulate on various signal chats. It's
- 25:10never been totally clear who drafted
- 25:12this letter, but it seems likely that it
- 25:14came from senior executives.
- 25:16Recent evidence suggests the original
- 25:18idea came from Sam himself.
- 25:21Let me read you some of it. It's
- 25:22addressed to the board of directors.
- 25:25The process through which you terminated
- 25:27Sam Altman and removed Greg Brockman
- 25:29from the board has jeopardized all of
- 25:31this work and undermined our mission and
- 25:33company.
- 25:34Your conduct has made it clear you did
- 25:36not have the competence to oversee
- 25:38OpenAI. Despite many requests for
- 25:40specific facts for your allegations, you
- 25:42have never provided any written
- 25:44evidence.
- 25:45You also informed the leadership team
- 25:47that allowing the company to be
- 25:48destroyed, quote, would be consistent
- 25:50with the mission.
- 25:52That mission, if you recall from
- 25:54earlier, being to ensure that AGI
- 25:56benefits all of humanity.
- 25:59The letter demands that OpenAI reinstate
- 26:01both Sam Altman and Greg Brockman.
- 26:04The first signature
- 26:06is Mira Murati's.
- 26:08This is one of those moments that we can
- 26:10only fully appreciate now that we know
- 26:11the full details of why the board fired
- 26:14Sam. Murati is essentially accusing the
- 26:16board of not having evidence when she
- 26:19herself provided many of the screenshots
- 26:20that formed the basis for their case.
- 26:23Of course, no one else knew that at the
- 26:25time. The letter spreads around it
- 26:26quickly, and within a few hours most of
- 26:28OpenAI's employees have signed. Along
- 26:31with the letter, many employees start
- 26:32posting the same phrase on X.
- 26:35OpenAI is nothing without its people.
- 26:38Now, there are a few possible readings
- 26:39for why so many employees signed this
- 26:41letter so quickly. One is that they were
- 26:44genuinely shocked and unhappy about
- 26:46Altman's firing.
- 26:47Another is that they were worried about
- 26:48the value of their shares. For a lot of
- 26:50them, the majority of their net worth.
- 26:53As one employee who chose to remain
- 26:54anonymous told a journalist a few weeks
- 26:56later, Sam Altman is not the best CEO,
- 26:59but millions and millions of dollars and
- 27:01equity are at stake.
- 27:04Another reading backed up by some
- 27:06reporting at the time is that once the
- 27:08letter started to snowball, people felt
- 27:10pressure to jump on the bandwagon,
- 27:11whether for fear of Altman's retribution
- 27:13or simple peer pressure.
- 27:14>> I think there was a lot of like phone
- 27:16banks and like people like getting
- 27:18really organized to try to like really
- 27:19get everyone to sign this thing.
- 27:20>> In the wee hours of Monday morning,
- 27:22another name appears on the growing list
- 27:24of signatures.
- 27:26Ilya Sutskever.
- 27:37There's this great line from season 1 of
- 27:39The Wire.
- 27:41If you come at the king, you best not
- 27:43miss.
- 27:45It's pretty timeless advice, whether
- 27:46you're talking about drug lords or
- 27:48ancient emperors. [music]
- 27:50If you challenge someone extremely
- 27:51powerful,
- 27:52you have to succeed immediately and
- 27:54totally,
- 27:55or you're screwed. Turns out that OpenAI
- 27:58was not the first time Sam Altman had
- 27:59faced this kind [music] of challenge.
- 28:02First, Loopt, Sam Altman's first
- 28:04company.
- 28:05>> Loopt is about connecting with people on
- 28:06the go, which is after all the main
- 28:08reason you have a phone.
- 28:09>> It's a location-sharing app, raises
- 28:11something like 30 million, doesn't
- 28:13really [music] ever take off, sells
- 28:15several years later for 43 million.
- 28:17Fine.
- 28:18But it ends badly.
- 28:20Senior executives twice tried to get Sam
- 28:22fired for deceptive and chaotic
- 28:24behavior. Still, he moves on to his next
- 28:26job, becoming president of Y Combinator
- 28:28age 28.
- 28:30He's really good at this. Incredible
- 28:33fundraiser, brilliant at building
- 28:34relationships. This is where his star
- 28:36really starts to rise in Silicon [music]
- 28:37Valley.
- 28:38But YC's partners and executives grow
- 28:42increasingly frustrated at Sam's
- 28:44distractibility, at the attention that
- 28:46he's paying to his own personal
- 28:47projects, including the newly founded
- 28:49OpenAI, and to his own funds.
- 28:51Eventually, YC's beloved founder Paul
- 28:54Graham and his wife Jessica Livingston
- 28:56had to intervene to get Sam removed.
- 28:58Graham has this incredible quote about
- 29:01Sam, written when Sam was just 23
- 29:02[music] and intended to be
- 29:04complimentary.
- 29:06You could parachute him into an island
- 29:07full of cannibals,
- 29:08>> [music]
- 29:08>> come back in 5 years, and he'd be the
- 29:10king.
- 29:11Murati, Sutskever,
- 29:14the board, they know this is who they're
- 29:15going up against.
- 29:16His experience, his network, his allies
- 29:19in the press. The board knows their only
- 29:21hope is to act quickly and without
- 29:23warning. This is why they couldn't risk
- 29:25getting more senior execs involved, why
- 29:27the firing comes out of the blue, why
- 29:29they couldn't warn Microsoft in advance.
- 29:31But this strategy also ultimately proved
- 29:34their undoing. Within the first day,
- 29:36Murati had seen enough to know that
- 29:38things weren't going to go the board's
- 29:39way.
- 29:40>> [music]
- 29:40>> When I realized that their decision was
- 29:43like potentially catastrophic for the
- 29:45company, I felt like I had to act very
- 29:48quickly.
- 29:49>> In her deposition in the Musk v. Open
- 29:51trial this May,
- 29:52Helen Toner said this about Murati.
- 29:55She was waiting to see which way the
- 29:56wind would blow, and she didn't realize
- 29:59that she was the wind.
- 30:01And as for Ilya Sutskever,
- 30:04he thought he would be greeted as a
- 30:05hero, that he was freeing people from
- 30:07what he saw as Sam Altman's gaslighting.
- 30:10Instead, people were blaming him for
- 30:12destroying the company.
- 30:14On that Sunday night, in the office
- 30:16lobby as employees were streaming out,
- 30:19Anna Brockman, wife of OpenAI's
- 30:21president Greg Brockman, confronts Ilya.
- 30:24They were old friends. Ilya had
- 30:26officiated the Brockmans' wedding.
- 30:28In tears, she pleads with Ilya to change
- 30:30his mind.
- 30:33Ultimately,
- 30:35he blinked.
- 30:42By Tuesday morning, it's all over. More
- 30:44than 700 of OpenAI's 770 employees have
- 30:47signed the letter. With over 90% of the
- 30:50company threatening to walk, the board
- 30:52know they've lost.
- 30:54A deal is reached.
- 30:55Sutskever, Toner, and McCauley are out.
- 30:58Bret Taylor, CEO of Salesforce and
- 31:01someone that McCauley had previously
- 31:02been worried would be too deferential to
- 31:04Sam, and also Larry Summers, former
- 31:07Treasury Secretary, president of
- 31:08Harvard, agree to join the board.
- 31:11D'Angelo stays. He's actually still on
- 31:13the board to this day.
- 31:15By holding out for as long as they did,
- 31:17the board do win a few concessions.
- 31:18[music]
- 31:19Brockman and Altman won't get their
- 31:20board seats back, not right away, and
- 31:23there'll be an investigation by an
- 31:24outside law firm into what happened.
- 31:27But, it's not much, really.
- 31:29At 10:00 p.m. Pacific, the announcement
- 31:32goes out.
- 31:33Sam Altman will return as CEO of OpenAI.
- 31:37There's an impromptu party at the
- 31:39office. Everyone's celebrating. Greg
- 31:41Brockman posts a selfie with the
- 31:43caption, "We are so back."
- 31:46There's a great detail from the
- 31:48reporting.
- 31:50At some point, someone turned on a smoke
- 31:52machine. It set off the fire alarm.
- 31:55Everyone kept partying.
- 32:03About 2 and 1/2 years have passed since
- 32:05that weekend in November. Many experts
- 32:07now think that AGI could arrive in as
- 32:10little as 5 years. Even skeptics these
- 32:12days rarely give it more than 20.
- 32:15Earlier this year, Claude 3 Opus,
- 32:17an AI system capable of finding
- 32:19vulnerabilities in software that experts
- 32:21had missed for years or even decades.
- 32:23Enough of a jump up in capabilities that
- 32:25its makers decided not to release it to
- 32:27the general [music] public. Over the
- 32:29last couple of years, a lot of changes
- 32:30have happened at OpenAI as well.
- 32:32Remember that structure, nonprofit on
- 32:34top, profit caps for investors, the
- 32:37board in total control, keeping to the
- 32:39mission, the benefit of humanity. In
- 32:41December 2024, OpenAI tried to
- 32:44restructure the company.
- 32:45Under the new plan, the nonprofit would
- 32:47essentially lose control.
- 32:49The plan didn't go through. After months
- 32:51of pressure, OpenAI backed down.
- 32:55Sort of.
- 32:56Under the new new structure, the
- 32:57nonprofit is on top in name.
- 33:00There's a safety committee that in
- 33:01theory could halt model releases, and it
- 33:03owns about a quarter of the equity in
- 33:05the company.
- 33:06But, the profit caps that were supposed
- 33:08to keep OpenAI focused on its mission
- 33:10and not on investors,
- 33:12those are gone.
- 33:13And in practice, the board's authority
- 33:15is massively weakened.
- 33:18Now, it should be said that OpenAI still
- 33:21gets its models tested by third-party
- 33:23safety evaluators, and they're doing
- 33:25meaningfully important safety work on
- 33:27their current models.
- 33:29But, what's left is functionally much
- 33:31closer to a normal tech company.
- 33:34A normal tech company that was built on
- 33:36purpose by people who thought they might
- 33:38be making a civilization-ending
- 33:39technology not to be a normal tech
- 33:42company.
- 33:44Sam Altman built that structure. He
- 33:46talked publicly about how it was crucial
- 33:49that the board could fire him, how that
- 33:50was part of why OpenAI was responsible.
- 33:53He recruited some of the world's top AI
- 33:55researchers under [music] the idea that
- 33:57AGI should not be built by a
- 33:59mega-corporation.
- 34:00And then,
- 34:01when the mechanism was actually
- 34:03triggered, when the board actually did
- 34:04the thing it was designed to do, within
- 34:0672 hours,
- 34:08Sam had announced plans to go build AGI
- 34:10at Microsoft [music]
- 34:11and refused to come back until two of
- 34:13the board members who had challenged him
- 34:14were gone.
- 34:16There are fewer people left at OpenAI
- 34:17who might challenge Sam these days.
- 34:20Within a year of his return, both Ilya
- 34:22Sutskever and Mira Murati had left. A
- 34:24lot of the senior people at OpenAI who
- 34:26were most worried about AI safety have
- 34:28left, too.
- 34:29Just a few months before he was fired,
- 34:31Sam signed a one-sentence open letter
- 34:34that reads,
- 34:35"Mitigating the risk of extinction from
- 34:37AI should be a global priority alongside
- 34:40other societal scale risks such as
- 34:42pandemics and nuclear war."
- 34:44Since the board drama, which is referred
- 34:46to internally as the blip,
- 34:48Sam talks more about a gentle
- 34:50singularity.
- 34:51>> Someday, we will make something that
- 34:53qualifies as an AGI by whatever fuzzy
- 34:55definition you want. The world will have
- 34:56a 2-week freakout, and then people will
- 34:58go on with their lives.
- 34:59>> He recently told the New Yorker, "My
- 35:01vibes don't really match a lot of the
- 35:03traditional AI safety stuff."
- 35:06So,
- 35:072 and 1/2 years on,
- 35:09AI is more powerful than it was in 2023
- 35:12by a lot.
- 35:13OpenAI is more powerful, too. It is now
- 35:16worth $852 billion.
- 35:19The people that tried to put the brakes
- 35:21on one of the most powerful AI companies
- 35:23in the world are gone.
- 35:25The structure that was supposed to act
- 35:27as a brake is functionally gone, too.
- 35:30So,
- 35:31where does that leave us?
- 35:37I've actually met Sam Altman.
- 35:39In 2022, I was volunteering at a
- 35:41conference. I was the speaker liaison,
- 35:43and he was one of the speakers. So, I
- 35:46showed him to the green room, gave him a
- 35:48bottle of water, made small talk.
- 35:51I get it.
- 35:53I get why so many talented people have
- 35:55wanted to work with him over the years.
- 35:57I get why he's so successful.
- 35:59You talk to the guy, and
- 36:01he makes you feel like the most
- 36:02interesting person in the world.
- 36:05I think Sam Altman is not that
- 36:07mysterious.
- 36:08I think he's a guy who's really good at
- 36:10finding winning moves on whatever game
- 36:12board he happens to find himself on.
- 36:15I think he'll continue to do that.
- 36:17And I think it's
- 36:18sad and more than a little scary that
- 36:21the moves he makes might matter so much
- 36:24to the development of one of the most
- 36:25powerful and dangerous technologies in
- 36:27history.
- 36:28Sam is not the only one playing this
- 36:31game. We're doing things our way
- 36:32>> [music]
- 36:33>> and they're doing things their way.
- 36:35We'll see who wins in the market and
- 36:36we'll see who wins in the court of
- 36:38public opinion.
- 36:39>> It's unbelievably competitive, that
- 36:40whole AI space.
- 36:42>> They all want to win and they all want
- 36:43to beat each other and they all want to
- 36:44go fast.
- 36:45>> Right now, the future of AI basically
- 36:47depends on the moral compass of like
- 36:49five people.
- 36:50That's the situation we're in. Most
- 36:52powerful technology that humanity might
- 36:54ever build and how it goes depends on
- 36:56how a few CEOs are feeling.
- 36:58That is not a stable situation. I don't
- 37:01want to live in that world and I'm
- 37:02pretty sure that you don't, either.
- 37:04AI is going to change all of our lives.
- 37:07I think it's going to change our entire
- 37:08civilization.
- 37:10And we should all have a seat at the
- 37:12table where [music] how that goes gets
- 37:14decided.
- 37:15Because I think what this story really
- 37:17tells us is that self-regulation
- 37:20is not going to work.
- 37:22The OpenAI nonprofit structure was a
- 37:24close to best-case scenario of corporate
- 37:26self-regulation of AI.
- 37:29You had a nonprofit board of volunteers
- 37:32explicitly committed to humanity over
- 37:35profit with the power to fire the CEO.
- 37:38And it was defeated in 72 hours by
- 37:41market pressures, employee revolt, and
- 37:43one very powerful man's network.
- 37:45>> Although the board had the
- 37:47legal
- 37:48ability to fire me, in practice it
- 37:50didn't quite work. And that is its own
- 37:53kind of governance failure. It does make
- 37:56it harder for me to like look you in the
- 37:57eye and say, "Hey, the board can just
- 37:58fire me."
- 37:59>> So,
- 38:01here's the deal.
- 38:02We are not going to fix this from our
- 38:03bedrooms, but none of this is set in
- 38:05stone. People are realizing that these
- 38:07AGI companies are building something
- 38:09extraordinarily powerful and
- 38:11consequential and risky. I'm talking
- 38:13about people like Bernie Sanders and
- 38:14Mitt Romney and the freaking Pope.
- 38:17When OpenAI tried to restructure into a
- 38:18normal tech company without nonprofit
- 38:20governance,
- 38:21former OpenAI employees, Nobel
- 38:23laureates, and elected officials stepped
- 38:25up and made them back down.
- 38:28When OpenAI and other big tech companies
- 38:30lobbied to ban US states [music] from
- 38:32passing laws regulating AI,
- 38:34non-profits went to battle and got the
- 38:36Senate to vote 99 to 1 against the US
- 38:40cannot agree on anything Senate.
- 38:42>> [music]
- 38:42>> And then there's the super pack funded
- 38:44by Greg Brockman, OpenAI's president,
- 38:46with advice from our friend Chris
- 38:47punch-them-in-the-mouth Lehane.
- 38:49As more and more of its bad behavior was
- 38:52exposed, individual researchers inside
- 38:54of OpenAI demanded answers.
- 38:57OpenAI ended up distancing themselves.
- 38:59You really do have more leverage, more
- 39:01opportunities to influence how things go
- 39:04than you think.
- 39:06And more now than you may have in a few
- 39:07years.
- 39:08We've put a link in the description of
- 39:10this video. You can't miss it. If you're
- 39:11a US citizen, they'll tell you how to
- 39:13contact your representative in less than
- 39:15a minute. If you work at one of these AI
- 39:17companies, then please
- 39:20hold your leaders accountable. Ask them
- 39:21questions. We'd love to help you think
- 39:23about how to do that.
- 39:24If you work in policy, you can sign up
- 39:26for one-on-one advising with us. We
- 39:27would love to help you figure out how to
- 39:29pivot into AI governance and regulation.
- 39:31>> We're in a pivotal moment right now.
- 39:33I've got a 2-year-old. You know, I want
- 39:35to be able to tell him when he's grown
- 39:36up what I did and have him be proud of
- 39:37me. Just like make the jump. Redirect
- 39:39all of your focus onto trying to make
- 39:42your career something that you'll be
- 39:43proud of.
- 39:44>> And let's do it. Let's make sure that
- 39:46Sam Altman is not the only person who
- 39:48decides our future.
- 39:53>> [music]
- 39:58[music]
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