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Yes, AI Will Take Your Job. But What Happens NEXT Is Worse — Transcript

by Species | Documenting AGI · 2,889 words · 442 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:00Headline after headline is about yet
  2. 0:02another company laying off thousands of
  3. 0:04workers due to AI. If you're wondering
  4. 0:06what signs to look for to tell if you're
  5. 0:08about to be laid off, I'm going to
  6. 0:10explain step by step how exactly AI
  7. 0:12could take your job. This video is a
  8. 0:14scenario based on the intelligence
  9. 0:16curse, a deeply researched and widely
  10. 0:18circulating report in the AI industry.
  11. 0:20The Federal Reserve chairman Jerome
  12. 0:22Powell says the AI hiring apocalypse is
  13. 0:26real. Job creation is pretty close to
  14. 0:28zero. Let's imagine you're the CEO of a
  15. 0:31firm with a thousand employees, most of
  16. 0:33whom are junior or entry- level. A new
  17. 0:35AI company approaches you with a pitch.
  18. 0:37An AI [music] agent that can do the work
  19. 0:39of a junior employee for 1/5if of the
  20. 0:41cost. The more aggressive firms in your
  21. 0:44sector immediately fire most junior
  22. 0:46employees, but you're cautious. You're
  23. 0:48skeptical that this new AI can replace
  24. 0:50humans, so you treat it as a tool.
  25. 0:52Instead of outright replacing [music]
  26. 0:54humans, everything the AIs do is subject
  27. 0:57to human approval. But within months,
  28. 0:59the AI agents are outperforming most of
  29. 1:01your human employees. This comes as a
  30. 1:03shock to you. But the experts aren't
  31. 1:05surprised. From 2019 to 2025, the length
  32. 1:08of tasks AIs [music] could perform
  33. 1:10doubled every 7 months. This is just the
  34. 1:13trend continuing. And here's the thing,
  35. 1:15you might feel uneasy with these
  36. 1:17developments. But you can't get out of
  37. 1:18this situation because the more that
  38. 1:20your employees rely on the AI tool, the
  39. 1:22faster and better their work becomes. In
  40. 1:24fact, your top performers are now the
  41. 1:27ones who let the AI do everything before
  42. 1:28clicking approve. For basic tasks,
  43. 1:31humans in the loop aren't improving the
  44. 1:33work. They're slowing it down. And if
  45. 1:35you can see that, so can your board.
  46. 1:38Every day, more and more AIs join the
  47. 1:40workforce. The board is happy with the
  48. 1:42extra productivity, but not with the
  49. 1:44payroll. They have a question. Why
  50. 1:46aren't you firing the unproductive human
  51. 1:48employees? You argue to keep them on
  52. 1:50humanitarian grounds. You don't want
  53. 1:52your workers to be replaced by AI. The
  54. 1:54board isn't convinced, but you warned
  55. 1:56them that mass firings would be bad PR
  56. 1:58for the company, and that is enough to
  57. 2:00get the board off your back for now. End
  58. 2:03of quarter, your earnings are up, but
  59. 2:05your competitors, the ones who replaced
  60. 2:08humans entirely, have reported even
  61. 2:10higher earnings at a fraction of your
  62. 2:12costs. In any other economy, your
  63. 2:14results would be a win. But here, you're
  64. 2:17losing market share, and your stock
  65. 2:19price takes a massive hit. So, the board
  66. 2:21delivers an ultimatum. Fire the
  67. 2:24unproductive junior employees or we'll
  68. 2:26replace you with a new ruthless CEO who
  69. 2:28will replace all of your junior staff
  70. 2:30with AI. You know that you can't do any
  71. 2:32good if you get fired. So, saving some
  72. 2:34jobs is better than saving no jobs. So,
  73. 2:36you compromise, firing half your junior
  74. 2:39staff. You hang on to your own role and
  75. 2:41convince yourself that maybe someday, if
  76. 2:43the board allows it, you'll be able to
  77. 2:45hire all your old staff back. After all,
  78. 2:47no one else is hiring them, so they'll
  79. 2:49still be on the job market. But AI
  80. 2:51progress doesn't slow down. At this
  81. 2:53point, your managers are managing more
  82. 2:54AIs than humans. And every month, the AI
  83. 2:57agents improve, doing more and more
  84. 2:59work, while the human employees remain
  85. 3:01[music] stagnant. AI has set a new
  86. 3:03standard that all junior human employees
  87. 3:05are failing to live up to. So, the board
  88. 3:08wants you to fire all of them. You offer
  89. 3:09a compromise. All junior employees will
  90. 3:12be put on a performance improvement
  91. 3:14plan, giving them one last chance to
  92. 3:15prove their worth to the company and to
  93. 3:17prove that they can do the work that's
  94. 3:19just as good as AI. A month later, a
  95. 3:22tiny handful of exceptional junior
  96. 3:23employees who have proven their worth
  97. 3:26are promoted to management, but over 90%
  98. 3:28of them are fired. One of them is Alice.
  99. 3:31She begins searching for a new job, but
  100. 3:33finds that no one is hiring. All other
  101. 3:35firms in the sector are laying off staff
  102. 3:38as quickly as they can get away with.
  103. 3:40From her kitchen table, Alice scrolls
  104. 3:42through the headlines. [music] GDP is
  105. 3:44climbing. The stock market is booming
  106. 3:45under the new productivity gains from
  107. 3:47AI. And yet, unemployment rates are
  108. 3:50approaching 12%. Worse than any point
  109. 3:53since the Great Depression. She's just
  110. 3:55part of the statistic. And it's about to
  111. 3:57get worse. The new generation of AI
  112. 4:00agents doesn't just intend to replace
  113. 4:02the junior staff. It comes for the
  114. 4:04managers. These systems can coordinate
  115. 4:07entire teams of AIS, track every
  116. 4:09decision in real time, and optimize
  117. 4:12workflows with a precision no human
  118. 4:14manager can match. All at a fraction of
  119. 4:16the cost. When you look at your ORC
  120. 4:18chart, it's AIS managing AIS, and the
  121. 4:21numbers prove it works. At your next
  122. 4:23quarterly performance review, the
  123. 4:25numbers are better than ever, but the
  124. 4:26board is furious. To them, the results
  125. 4:29only confirm what they've been saying.
  126. 4:31Human managers can't compete. Your
  127. 4:34reluctance to cut them loose looks like
  128. 4:36weakness. Again, you offer a compromise.
  129. 4:38All human managers are now on a
  130. 4:40performance improvement plan. Prove you
  131. 4:42can be as good as an AI or lose your job
  132. 4:45for failing to meet standards. A month
  133. 4:46later, 90% of your human managers are
  134. 4:49gone. At this point, unemployment has
  135. 4:51passed 15%, [music] rapidly approaching
  136. 4:5320%, with job loss numbers five times
  137. 4:56worse than the Great Recession. Yet, the
  138. 4:58stock market keeps rising thanks to AI
  139. 5:00field productivity. For Alice, now 6
  140. 5:02months into her failed job hunt, the
  141. 5:04message is clear. No one's coming to
  142. 5:06save her. So, she decides to fight back.
  143. 5:09She joins rallies, writes opeds, and
  144. 5:11throws her voice behind one big idea:
  145. 5:14UBI, a universal basic income that would
  146. 5:17guarantee every citizen $1,000 a month.
  147. 5:20It sounds like hope, but the backlash is
  148. 5:22immediate. Critics point out that $1,000
  149. 5:24per month for every citizen would eat up
  150. 5:26twothirds of the budget, sending the
  151. 5:28country further into debt while
  152. 5:30rewarding people for not working. Some
  153. 5:32economists take Alice's side, offering
  154. 5:34justifications for UBI. They say the
  155. 5:37increased tax revenue from GDP growth
  156. 5:39will cover it and inflation will
  157. 5:40effectively reduce the national debt.
  158. 5:42But the debate ends when the US
  159. 5:44administration's AISAR weighs in. His
  160. 5:46verdict is blunt. UBI is a utopian
  161. 5:49fantasy and the administration will veto
  162. 5:51any bill proposing it. Alice is
  163. 5:53devastated, but no one is surprised. The
  164. 5:56AISAR's comments perfectly echo what he
  165. 5:58said back in June 2025. The left
  166. 6:00envisions a posteconomic order in which
  167. 6:03people stop working and instead receive
  168. 6:05government benefits. In other words,
  169. 6:07everyone on welfare. This is their
  170. 6:09fantasy. It's not going to happen. For
  171. 6:11Alice, the fight feels over. For AI,
  172. 6:14it's just [music] beginning. The same
  173. 6:16month the UBI bill dies, AI clears its
  174. 6:19next milestone. In 2025, it could handle
  175. 6:22tasks that took hours. Now the newest
  176. 6:24generation can run monthsl long projects
  177. 6:27without any human input or oversight.
  178. 6:29The board has seen AI replace and
  179. 6:31surpass all junior level employees, all
  180. 6:34middle managers, all senior managers.
  181. 6:36Now all that's left is the executives in
  182. 6:38the seauite. They stop short of firing
  183. 6:40all of you outright, leaving you on the
  184. 6:42org chart in name only. Every day you
  185. 6:45participate in the humiliating ritual of
  186. 6:47coming to the office to review the AI's
  187. 6:50work. And each day with increasing
  188. 6:52horror, you realize that the AI is doing
  189. 6:54a better job than you could ever
  190. 6:55possibly hope to. After all, how could
  191. 6:57it not? The AI has more knowledge than
  192. 6:59you. It has more training than you. And
  193. 7:01because the AI CEO can monitor every
  194. 7:03single decision made within the company
  195. 7:05with perfect accuracy, it has insight
  196. 7:07into operations that no human ever could
  197. 7:09match. Unemployment smashes through 25%,
  198. 7:12[music] breaking every historical
  199. 7:13record, even the worst days of the Great
  200. 7:15Depression. On the same day that the S&P
  201. 7:17500 hits a new all-time high with record
  202. 7:20stock [music] growth,
  203. 7:23Ellis's landlord is taking her to court
  204. 7:25to evict her family from the house she's
  205. 7:27called home for the past decade. So, she
  206. 7:30jumps on a bus to Washington DC and
  207. 7:32joins a 100,000 people swarming the
  208. 7:34National Mall, chanting, "Humans first!"
  209. 7:36and waving UBI banners. But you wouldn't
  210. 7:38know it from the news. TV networks
  211. 7:40barely mention it. On social platforms,
  212. 7:43live stream links vanish from feeds
  213. 7:45under the guise of violence prevention
  214. 7:47and misinformation. The same censorship
  215. 7:50playbook, authoritarian states perfected
  216. 7:52years ago in the pre-ai era. America,
  217. 7:54[music] the world's oldest democracy,
  218. 7:57claims to still have free speech, but
  219. 7:59the online platforms that control the
  220. 8:01spread of information silence the
  221. 8:03protest. Turnout at the next [music]
  222. 8:04rally plummets. Families keep losing
  223. 8:07jobs. healthcare and homes, but the
  224. 8:09story almost fades from public view.
  225. 8:11Alice can't believe what she's seeing,
  226. 8:13but when she tries to talk to her
  227. 8:14neighbors, they brush her off. Keep up
  228. 8:16with the job search. Sometimes the job
  229. 8:18market is hard. Half the people she
  230. 8:21talks to refuse to believe her when she
  231. 8:23says that this [music] time it's
  232. 8:24different. Alice then realizes something
  233. 8:26that has always been true. People's
  234. 8:28politics aren't driven by numbers,
  235. 8:30they're driven by vibes. And the vibes
  236. 8:32during Alice's most recent protest are
  237. 8:34all about the breakup between a pop star
  238. 8:37and her star athlete boyfriend with
  239. 8:39millions of posts arguing over who's to
  240. 8:41blame. As if that mattered more than the
  241. 8:43collapse of the job market. And while
  242. 8:45the public obsesses over celebrity
  243. 8:47drama, the real drama is unfolding in
  244. 8:49the boardroom and it's about to land
  245. 8:51squarely on your desk. You're still the
  246. 8:53CEO technically, but the board calls you
  247. 8:56in to confirm what you've already
  248. 8:57suspected. The AI is doing your job
  249. 8:59better than you ever could. Your company
  250. 9:01is now run by an AI CEO. It makes every
  251. 9:04decision, flawlessly executes them,
  252. 9:07monitors every part of the business with
  253. 9:08perfect precision, and works 24/7
  254. 9:11without pause. It has beaten every
  255. 9:13target the board set. You're only human,
  256. 9:15and that makes you obsolete. The stock
  257. 9:17market keeps climbing, but only AI
  258. 9:20companies selling to other AI companies
  259. 9:22are breaking records. The rest, the ones
  260. 9:25selling food, clothing, or anything
  261. 9:27meant for humans, are drying up. With
  262. 9:3025% unemployment and rising poverty,
  263. 9:32there's simply less [music] profit in
  264. 9:34selling to humans. Politicians take
  265. 9:36note. Most of the government's tax
  266. 9:38revenue, and most of their campaign
  267. 9:40donations are coming from AI firms and
  268. 9:42their shareholders, so the AI economy
  269. 9:44that funds them becomes their main
  270. 9:46constituency. In the years to come,
  271. 9:49public schools crumble. With no need to
  272. 9:51prepare a new generation for the
  273. 9:52workforce, why should public schools be
  274. 9:54anything more than glorified daycare?
  275. 9:56Instead of reading and math classes,
  276. 9:58kids now spend all day watching AI
  277. 10:01generated entertainment served by a
  278. 10:03screen that's cheaper than a teacher
  279. 10:05with an education degree. The few
  280. 10:06remaining universities are exclusivemies
  281. 10:09for the children of elites, hearkening
  282. 10:11back to the pre-industrial days of the
  283. 10:1418th century when less than 1% of people
  284. 10:16received a university education. And
  285. 10:18with AI driving all innovation and
  286. 10:20productivity, upward mobility has now
  287. 10:22been completely eliminated. The only
  288. 10:25wealthy people left are those who
  289. 10:27acquired their wealth prior to the AI
  290. 10:29takeover of the economy or those who
  291. 10:32inherited it.
  292. 10:34This scenario might seem far-fetched,
  293. 10:36but it doesn't take [music] much for
  294. 10:38this dystopia to become a reality. For
  295. 10:41this scenario to work, you only [music]
  296. 10:42have to believe in a few things. AI will
  297. 10:45continue improving up to and past the
  298. 10:48point of human intelligence.
  299. 10:51Running a human level AI will eventually
  300. 10:53be cheaper than paying a human for the
  301. 10:56same job.
  302. 10:58Private companies exist to maximize
  303. 11:00profit and when given the chance will
  304. 11:03replace human employees with AI. Even
  305. 11:06the firms that initially resist will
  306. 11:08eventually be forced by competitive
  307. 11:10pressure to replace humans with AI.
  308. 11:14The media will be or is already largely
  309. 11:17controlled by corporations that have the
  310. 11:19mechanisms to throttle the spread of
  311. 11:21ideas that they see as destabilizing.
  312. 11:23The government is also driven by
  313. 11:25incentives. And in a world where most
  314. 11:27tax revenue comes from AI firms, it will
  315. 11:30largely cater to the interests of AI. Do
  316. 11:33any of those sound implausible to you in
  317. 11:35the next 5 years? Think about how
  318. 11:37different the world was 5 years ago
  319. 11:39before the emergence of AI tools like
  320. 11:41chatbt. You might argue, well, we've
  321. 11:43been here before. Every wave of
  322. 11:45disruptive technology has always
  323. 11:47replaced some jobs, but people have
  324. 11:49always found some new ones. And you'd be
  325. 11:51right. AI isn't the first time we've
  326. 11:53seen a new technology threaten to
  327. 11:54replace human labor. But AI is unique
  328. 11:57because the companies building it have
  329. 11:58[music] explicitly made it their goal to
  330. 12:00replace all human labor. Open AI
  331. 12:03literally made it part of their founding
  332. 12:05charter.
  333. 12:07And to make matters [music] worse, AI
  334. 12:08can accelerate the spread of the paradox
  335. 12:11of plenty. When technology or resources
  336. 12:13make a country richer while keeping most
  337. 12:16of the citizens poorer by concentrating
  338. 12:18wealth in the hands of a few individuals
  339. 12:20and corporations, we've already seen it
  340. 12:23with oil and minerals. Why is Venezuela,
  341. 12:25owner of the world's largest oil
  342. 12:27reserves, enduring near famine
  343. 12:30conditions? Why is the Congo sitting on
  344. 12:32trillions of dollars in mineral wealth
  345. 12:34while its people are among the poorest
  346. 12:36[music] in the world? Or look at
  347. 12:38Nigeria, Africa's biggest oil producer
  348. 12:41with an appalling poverty rate of 47%.
  349. 12:44This is the resource [music] curse. Oil,
  350. 12:47diamonds, and gold can make a country
  351. 12:49rich on paper, yet individual citizens
  352. 12:51can still go hungry. In fact, when a
  353. 12:54country's wealth is more concentrated in
  354. 12:56a single extractive industry, it becomes
  355. 12:59a natural recipe for corruption. Whoever
  356. 13:02owns the oil rigs or diamond mines has
  357. 13:04all the money they need to buy off the
  358. 13:06generals, judges, and media. But how can
  359. 13:08we avoid this? The countries that
  360. 13:10escaped the resource curse were the ones
  361. 13:13that had human-driven industries, where
  362. 13:15the wealth wasn't owned by a single
  363. 13:17person and dug out of the ground, but
  364. 13:20created by human labor.
  365. 13:22Countries like Taiwan or South Korea
  366. 13:25didn't have a natural resource jackpot.
  367. 13:28The only way that these countries could
  368. 13:30become richer and more powerful was by
  369. 13:32investing in their people. Giving people
  370. 13:34access to food, nutrition, and schools
  371. 13:36so that they'd grow up to be more
  372. 13:38productive citizens capable of designing
  373. 13:40better smartphones, [music]
  374. 13:41microchips, and entertainment. When your
  375. 13:43biggest industries rely on human talent,
  376. 13:46the humans have the bargaining power to
  377. 13:47demand [music] better living conditions.
  378. 13:49But now AI threatens to take that
  379. 13:51leverage away. It could do what oil did
  380. 13:54to countries like Venezuela and Russia,
  381. 13:56concentrating power and wealth in the
  382. 13:58hands of a small number of corrupt
  383. 13:59oligarchs at the expense of everyone
  384. 14:01else. A kind of wealth that benefits the
  385. 14:04few while making everyone else poorer.
  386. 14:06In a world where AI can do everyone's
  387. 14:08job for less money, humans have no
  388. 14:11leverage, no bargaining power to demand
  389. 14:13a higher minimum wage. This is called
  390. 14:16the intelligence curse.
  391. 14:19We want a future where AI uplifts humans
  392. 14:23without [music] replacing humans. So,
  393. 14:25how do we prevent AI from replacing us?
  394. 14:27What are the things we should let AI do?
  395. 14:29And what are [music] the things we
  396. 14:30shouldn't let it do?
  397. 14:32We need to keep an eye on three [music]
  398. 14:34things. Whether AI is intelligent,
  399. 14:36whether it's autonomous, and whether
  400. 14:38it's general. We can have a highly
  401. 14:41intelligent AI that is good at only one
  402. 14:43specific thing. Take Alphafold, the AI
  403. 14:46that won the Nobel Prize in chemistry in
  404. 14:482024. It's good at one specific thing,
  405. 14:51predicting protein structures. It takes
  406. 14:53research that might have taken months or
  407. 14:56years and accomplishes it in hours. It's
  408. 14:58a massive scientific breakthrough, but
  409. 15:00Alpha Fold is only good at one specific
  410. 15:02thing. It helps medical research, and it
  411. 15:05doesn't threaten humanity's future. We
  412. 15:06can also have AIs that are intelligent
  413. 15:08and autonomous. Look at self-driving
  414. 15:10cars. Driving is a complex task that
  415. 15:13requires an advanced AI. to safely
  416. 15:14navigate the roads. And these cars are
  417. 15:16also autonomous, but they don't have
  418. 15:18general intelligence. A self-driving
  419. 15:20Whimo car is only good at one thing,
  420. 15:23driving. The part where AI becomes
  421. 15:25dangerous is when it becomes general. A
  422. 15:28general AI is good at everything. And
  423. 15:30we're getting closer to seeing general
  424. 15:31AI with LLMs and multimodal AIs like
  425. 15:34cloth and GBT. An AI with general
  426. 15:37intelligence could replace human workers
  427. 15:38at practically every job, which again is
  428. 15:41the goal that OpenAI openly admits to.
  429. 15:44But the danger isn't just that the AI
  430. 15:46will make humans irrelevant. A general
  431. 15:48intelligence that's good at everything
  432. 15:50could learn to improve itself or create
  433. 15:52new AIs. It can become more and more
  434. 15:54powerful exponentially until it [music]
  435. 15:57becomes a super intelligence, far
  436. 15:59smarter than even the smartest humans.
  437. 16:02AI scientists are terrified that this is
  438. 16:04not only possible but likely to happen.
  439. 16:08Watch this video next to understand
  440. 16:10[music] exactly how a super intelligent
  441. 16:12AI takeover might happen based on a
  442. 16:14famous report by AI researchers.

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