Worlds BEST NQ Scalper Reveals His A+ Trading Strategy — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00welcome everyone to Chart Fanatics the go-to channel for the most in-depth strategy and
- 0:05concept breakdowns from the very best verified traders in the world And to kick this off there
- 0:12is none other than the very best trader in the prop firm space And I would say generally
- 0:17speaking too I don't know if you you'll take that but I'll throw it in there anyway but
- 0:21he has the record for the largest payout in prop film history with a total in payouts of 2.3 over
- 0:29$2.3 million And not only that just to top it off if that wasn't good enough in December he took
- 0:36$130,000 to over $1.4 million in roughly about a month Absolutely incredible And you probably
- 0:44already know who it is It is the founder of the lab Trader Kane Appreciate you mate What another
- 0:51amazing intro Yeah Yeah Yeah It's you really went out all out there So well we're very excited Kane
- 0:57cuz this is a new concept something that we're very proud of and I know that we're going to you
- 1:01know really provide so much value to the trading audience and the and the community generally And
- 1:05we're going to go into your strategy that basically you're using to achieve those
- 1:10payouts achieve the results Yeah And uh where where should we begin i have a relatively basic
- 1:16strategy I I think from a high level perspective I always want to see price rebalance into 50% of
- 1:22the range and then continue with the trend right and I built a model around that The main thing
- 1:26that I consistently talk about is the daily and the hourly and H4 PO3 And it's just I think we
- 1:31should really dig into that today because I think that's where a lot of people go wrong They really
- 1:35marry daily bias of I want to see price trade here but actually I'm more of a I want to see
- 1:40price trade from here to here if price doesn't get to where I want it to go and I don't engage
- 1:45and I'll just trade the other way in the coming days weeks months Yeah I think we should should
- 1:49really really go over that So let's go straight into it then Yeah So I think every single day
- 1:55when I approach the chart I I am looking for price to I guess manipulate right so if we have if let's
- 2:01just say the daily open is here and I I want to see price trade higher to trade lower I have two
- 2:07options right i can either wait for price to trade lower with my draw being higher and then look for
- 2:14various different things right a change state delivery an inversion I'm saying all of these
- 2:19words that everybody is familiar with right but typically what I look for is I look for this and
- 2:25then a much higher range and then there is around 50% Obviously this is wildly inaccurate because
- 2:3150% would be here but it doesn't look as great What I'm looking for is I'm looking for price to
- 2:35trade into around 50% And then trade into 50% of this range because I don't need a big move I just
- 2:43need to grab that base hit every single day and then I'm done I move on And if you know I take a
- 2:50couple of stabs at this and if I'm wrong I'm wrong That's okay I'm you know I'm wrong sometimes and
- 2:54that's that's fine But I I really really tried to instill into everybody that all I need to do
- 3:02is wait for price to trade into and we'll draw it out right is let's just say more recently
- 3:09we'll use recent price action Price is tumbling Yeah All I want to see is price trade into 50%
- 3:16of the range here and then 50% of this range Yeah And all I want is this move right here because at
- 3:27that point even though the trend is this is the trend if this is going to continue to great If
- 3:34it's not it's most likely going to reverse from here Yeah Yeah So all I need is this move right
- 3:43here I don't need to trade from here to here because this is a risky move Yeah you know and
- 3:49I don't need to try and grab this because this is fighting the overall downtrend that we're
- 3:55currently in Yeah Yeah So I only need to do that So how do I do that right Um and and what do I
- 4:01look for because obviously it's all well and good just saying I'm looking for 50% of the range And
- 4:06you're only trading NASDAQ right yeah I'm only trading NASDAQ Obviously I look at um I look
- 4:10at uh the SP00 ES for for divergence but we'll get into that Right We can take uh the price action of
- 4:17recent as as a as a good example right let's just say the the daily chart looks like this right um
- 4:31uh yeah And then this one looks like this And then this is the daily open that we're currently
- 4:38in Right All I want to see is price either trade And this is obviously just a daily chart is I want
- 4:45to see price trade into this high which roughly is around 50% of the range Yeah Right So all I'm
- 4:54looking for is I'm either looking for price to trade below this low Mhm And I can look to trade
- 5:00at some sort of reversal That is a lot of a much more risky trade because it's fighting the overall
- 5:06trend Yeah or I wait for price to manipulate at a significant time point and then I'm trading from
- 5:14here to here Yeah Yeah It's just this tiny little move that I want Why would I look at it like we
- 5:23can just rub this out So this is the daily time frame right yeah This is the daily time frame
- 5:30Sorry you do the you do the text Okay So what would I when I approach the chart I would always
- 5:36look at the the daily candle forming with a wick above this area Okay right if if this is going to
- 5:44continue typically we continue from previous day highs etc etc right so I would always anticipate
- 5:51that this daily candle is going to form not like that It's going to form like this and it may end
- 5:58up looking like that it may go all the way off the table right are you identifying fair value
- 6:04gap or is that not really is that just an added confluence and you're more focused on the Yeah I
- 6:08mean this is this would definitely like if there's an imbalance there in price i.e the delivery is so
- 6:12one-sided then yeah I want to see the delivery rebalance 100% It's the daily high right i don't
- 6:19care if this wick comes all the way down here and there's no high here I would still frame this as
- 6:24my version of manipulation right we manipulate above the the previous day high everybody that got
- 6:30short inside of this move here And forgive me I do speak quite bearish terms quite a lot recently
- 6:36because I have been quite bearish on the market So it's hard to just suddenly speak more bullish So
- 6:42everybody that got short in this this candle from previous day that is swinging that's swing trading
- 6:47etc etc When we get a daily close here the one thing they don't want to see is us trading to
- 6:52this high So the amount of orders that are being stopped at this point So these would be your stop
- 6:57losses here Yeah They would be my stop losses Yeah that I'm that I'm anticipating that are getting
- 7:02run Obviously there are some days that this just never happens right and this wick looks like this
- 7:11and we trade like that and that's fine There are obviously other confluences that I look for in
- 7:16this area but this is just like you say the daily time frame right now right i combine the daily
- 7:22time frame with the the H4 and then from a really from a like a very micro time frame is the the H1
- 7:31for where I want to see all of those time frames align and once they align we then obviously look
- 7:36for entries right yes and at that point so I'm anticipating daily P3 H4 PO3 H1 P3 and then I'm
- 7:46once these are triggered I'm looking at this P3 would power of three So accumulation accumulation
- 7:54manipulation distribution And so let's just let's just take this and simplify this for a lot of
- 7:59people right because some people there's multiple different ways that it's done Where's the the
- 8:05black pen hey guys just a very very quick one If you're enjoying this playbook and you want to get
- 8:10it sent directly to you make sure to go on chart fanatics.com put your email in and every episode
- 8:15we drop we will send you a direct PDF breaking down this exact playbook Or alternatively also
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- 8:28collaboration So if you want to actually add the playbook to your Tradezella make sure you go check
- 8:32that out as well But let's get back into this episode Okay So some people support and resistance
- 8:38traders some people are range traders etc etc So when when we get price typically trade within a
- 8:43range like this this is just a low This is just a high Typically I'm I really subscribe to market
- 8:51maker theory right so at this point is where 90% of people get trapped and they're like this is a
- 8:59retest of the the trend of the range and we and we take a long right that's that break and retest I
- 9:05don't I'm not a breakout trader so I would never ever look for that I would actually frame this as
- 9:12some sort of manipulation back inside of the the existing accumulation Yeah To then where's the
- 9:19green pen you got it There you go And then I would look for this to be distribution to there Yeah
- 9:25So if we then visualize that as your accumulation this is distribution We got all the bends That's
- 9:39it And this is manipulation right how can I frame my daily candle within this perspective yeah I'm
- 9:48looking for the manipulation to trade into an existing high So if we use the blue this is the
- 9:54opening price So this is the daily candle At this point this daily candle looks like this
- 10:01Yeah Yeah And I want to I want to trade the wick of this candle Yeah And then we fractalize this
- 10:09right and the fractalizing just means applying the logic to to a different time frame Yeah Is
- 10:15we then look for this on a H4 Yeah So around those speaking EST times here around 6 10 typically 10
- 10:25is where I'm looking for I'm looking for 10 a.m to manipulate higher Yeah And then trade lower
- 10:29That's where if you're looking at the H4 that's where you'll notice some candles next to each
- 10:33other That's the range And then that as you say that 10 a.m one you want that wick above taking
- 10:38out those prior wicks That would be your taking out those prior highs those prior lows Yeah that
- 10:42is my ver that's my manipulation So everybody will always tell me 10 a.m reversal doesn't work
- 10:47fine then don't trade it Um but it's typically the time frame that I like to trade the most
- 10:52So that's where I'm most active in the chart 9 around 9:15 to around 11:30 EST because it
- 10:58has that 9:30 liquidity injection So it's most volatile You can grab a quick move And then at
- 11:0310:00 a.m it's most likely going to manipulate above the previous 9h hour high Yeah Trade back
- 11:09into around the 10 a.m open Statistically reverse I believe it does Some people don't believe it
- 11:14It doesn't But ultimately by this logic if I'm trading here and this is the premium discount
- 11:20that I want I actually only care for this move I don't care about this right i actually don't
- 11:25care if we distribute I just want to trade the manipulation into the back into the range
- 11:29because if it is going to continue I don't want to be caught in it And if I'm expecting bearish
- 11:35price I will just as soon as we sweep into this I will just trail my stop to break just under break
- 11:40even so that I'm I'm not losing any money due to fees etc etc So we fractalize that onto a H4
- 11:46we add in the H1 and when all of the time frames do something like this and they manipulate Yeah
- 11:52As soon as we get that sweep so say this is um so say this is 9 p uh 900 a.m sorry not PM
- 11:59This is 900 a.m and this is where 10 a.m opens Yeah I want to see 10 a.m open sweep above the
- 12:09high and once this candle flips bearish I don't want to see it continue and and suddenly become
- 12:15bullish again So at that point this would be my logical area to get break even or whatever
- 12:21And I would look for some sort of reversal in and around this area Mhm And again we can get
- 12:26into that in a minute around around actually the entry model but that we have charts as well to
- 12:31go Yeah Yeah Yeah We have we have a bunch Yeah So um and that is typically what I I look for on a a
- 12:38daily Once that that daily profile where I want to see price trade into is hit I will then do the
- 12:48exact same thing on the H4 And typically when the H4 and the H1 aligns around that 9:10 a.m
- 12:54they will typically both hit the same point that I want it to go to and then I'll wait for that
- 12:58breakdown Obviously I'm not just like oh we traded above the high I'm short or I'm or we trade above
- 13:04the below the low and I'm long confirmation stacking those layers that creates your high
- 13:08probable scenario Correct Yeah And that's what I'm always waiting for The reality of this is that
- 13:14um I guess the pros of it are once when it plays out typically this move can be quite
- 13:19quick especially to the downside and well actually and the upside once it really hits that level that
- 13:23we want If you were looking at the upside it would just be the exact same just flipped Yeah We just
- 13:27turn the chart around Yeah Literally we just flip it the other way Um and it would just be going up
- 13:34Like I said as of recent times we have been gone down quite a lot I'm staying with the trend Like
- 13:38I said I want to see price redeliver into that equilibrium that 50% of the range what the premium
- 13:43discount you name it whatever it is And then once we hit that I want to see it continue with the
- 13:47trend wait for that confirmation The pros of that are you can really catch like the highs and lows
- 13:53of the day Yes And you know you can grab that move and it can be very quick and you're in and out The
- 13:58cons of it are you are trading a reversal It's risky Yeah Right You are trading against current
- 14:03order flow you are waiting for confirmations but ultimately this is a riskier model which is why
- 14:09um for those that know me I I am very very fond of break even trades Like I love as soon as I'm
- 14:16in this trade here let's just say I'm risking $1K right the moment that I can claw this back is a
- 14:23win for me Yeah Because in my head I just lost 1K And if I can get break even here and I'm suddenly
- 14:28break even I no longer am down 1K in my head And then if suddenly I'm up 1K or I'm up 2K or I'm up
- 14:353K it's a win at that point At this point I'm now in my head I'm up 1K I'm actually up 2K because I
- 14:42risk 1K you know And that for me is the the real differentiator between a lot of people A lot of
- 14:50people only see the reward and don't focus on the risk I really emphasize the risk and get
- 14:56break even when I'm like either my intuition is like this doesn't look good because that is also
- 15:01a real thing Um but also the model is like okay hourly low 15-minute low we're now reclaiming okay
- 15:07I don't want to see that trade back into the open don't want to see that higher time frame candle
- 15:11flip bullish after we trade after that candle flips bearish and we take out the high because
- 15:16statistically if it does I'm I'm wrong right and that's just so technically that this process of
- 15:21the P3 or the AMD is then almost canceled out in a sense because the manipulation didn't manipulate
- 15:27yeah most likely you can then obviously look back and this is just how how it works is like
- 15:33most likely this is some sort of manipulation you know like on a lower time frame I don't really
- 15:38look for time frames lower than this for the for the AMD I always just want to see you know from
- 15:44a from a daily time frame this is the wick From a H4 time frame this is the wick And then an hourly
- 15:50time frame this is the wick I use that to like section off this area as me wanting to to get
- 15:57um to get short in So like I wait for that daily level to hit Great I then wait for the H4 level
- 16:02to hit and I wait for the hourly level to hit And this is the area that I want to get short In this
- 16:07case uh if it gets to the 50% of the range that's your you know original target Yeah What is it
- 16:11that you look for if ever if in terms of holding longer is there anything in particular or is it
- 16:17more so just momentum on the day is there anything that sort of stands out to you it depends really
- 16:21I really adopted this as like a take my trade get out of the market be done for the day And I really
- 16:27do adopt that mindset I think the reality is is once you start to trade bigger size you realize
- 16:32that like leaving this move to here is 20K but this move to here is 100K you do start to kick
- 16:37yourself a little bit because we're humans and we have emotions and it's like wow I could take five
- 16:42of these trades or I could have just held this one Statistically I've also like held trades out to
- 16:47lows of day and then got front run and I'm like round tripping my trade Yeah So like over time
- 16:53I've just realized that statistically if we're going to return it's 50% If we blast through it
- 16:59then I'll just I'll put my stop loss at 50% I'm that was what I was going to take for the day
- 17:04And if if it runs into this extreme great you know but you can't you can't play for those 2%
- 17:10those minus 2% or plus 2% days Yeah Because okay it's great that we've had a week and a half of
- 17:16backto-back minus one minus 2% days but it's very very you know irregular We typically have plus 0.7
- 17:24days or a minus 3 0.3% day It's like if you play for those extremes every single day yeah you are
- 17:30going to get chopped up If you play for the range every day you're going to get your base hit most
- 17:34of the time Maybe not every day every other day Maybe three days out of five maybe four days out
- 17:38of five Um but technically this is the area that price trades the reverses from the most
- 17:45Um but that does like I said doesn't mean that I don't sometimes stay in for here and trail this
- 17:50aggressively when we have those you know monstrous drops because someone speaks about tariffs or you
- 17:55know suddenly China decide to return tariffs and we drop a percent on ENQ it's like okay well this
- 18:02is going to continue It should just fall through here I can just trail my stop loss to here and if
- 18:05it comes back I'm wrong And sometimes that stops me out and then dies Sometimes it stops me out
- 18:10and then rallies I'm I I don't get to control that So all I can control is okay I've made this much
- 18:15money I'm locking that in Whatever happens happens If we continue we continue I'll just consistently
- 18:21look to trail that Yeah Or I'm happy with that and I'll come look at this at 4:00 when the market's
- 18:26about to close and I'll see where we are Yeah You know it's I'm a big believer and you know advocate
- 18:32of everybody wants to be a trader to work less Yes Sits at their charts for 13 hours a day and it's
- 18:37like and they're working more You're working more losing more and it's just mentally exhausting you
- 18:43know Um so yeah So that's kind of what I look for Like I said there are pros and cons to it The cons
- 18:48are that it is a risky Yeah it's a risky setup and it requires a lot of patience and that is probably
- 18:54the number one thing that 95% of people really really lack in this market They open the chart
- 18:59as soon as they wake up That's right I had the cons for the people Yep 100% Like I think not only
- 19:06the patience but because it's shorter term trading uh a lot of people assume that you don't need the
- 19:11patience right because that's for swing traders that's for the position Oh I wrote this the wrong
- 19:16way It still requires patience to let as you say the model to play out and present itself first
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- 21:27is it's a riskier trade because it's a reversal and price typically as we can you know open the
- 21:33ENQ chart you can see when it runs it runs you know we're up nearly 50% from co lows probably
- 21:38more actually when it runs it runs and typically if you try and catch a reversal on a very bullish
- 21:43asset historically it's it's you know it's dumb many many would argue at least um it's risky
- 21:51um it requires a lot of patience so would you say most of your trades even though ENQ has been quite
- 21:57bullish over you the last year Um you're still looking at sells Yeah I'm been because ultimately
- 22:04if price is going to continue higher it redelivers into that's where that 50% thing come because even
- 22:09if it's going to go long you're just getting that that base hit Uh yeah And some days like price is
- 22:15you know really overextended for like a week and I will wait for it to come down to that 50 around
- 22:19that 50% and then I'll trade the reversal back into the 50% of the drop Okay You know I'm only
- 22:24I'm basically trading 50% of the 50% Mhm You know I'm waiting for the higher time frame pullback So
- 22:28that fractal nature that fractal nature Yeah So it requires a lot of patience It's risky Um and
- 22:35if managed correctly you will have a lot of break even trades Okay Um and that is to combat this Yes
- 22:44Yeah Yes That's the only reason And people look at this as a negative thing which is why I'm
- 22:48putting it in the cons Well I think it's important because a lot of people would struggle with that
- 22:52And if they're not or at least that if they're not mindful of it they may not be as aggressive with
- 22:57their break even as they should be So then they end up taking unnecessary loss after loss And in
- 23:02reality if you manage aggressively as you're meant to uh then that allows obviously for the pros to
- 23:06take place afterwards Yeah Like I I really you know about four months ago I heard Pax a guy that
- 23:12traded the pits obviously he said "You either need to be right or right out." And I I thought about
- 23:16it and was like "That doesn't really make much sense at the time." And I was like "Well actually
- 23:20he's right like you if you're wrong you need to be out of that trade as fast as you can You don't
- 23:24want to be in it or waiting or being emotional about oh but I have a gut feel The market doesn't
- 23:29care about your gut feel It doesn't care what you think And you can do that over time So I put this
- 23:34in the cons but I would put a green bracket around this because I actually think that this is most
- 23:38of the Well this is what makes it profitable is by doing it aggressively but it's just as
- 23:42you as you say it's in the cons because you need to be mindful of it You have to know that that's
- 23:47something you have to accept Yeah And uh for some people it might be hard to accept but that is is
- 23:51so important People that don't do this correctly that pick up my model will consistently tell me
- 23:56the model is not profitable Yes Right And this is where it's like the model is profitable You're
- 24:01just not managing it correctly because you're not looking you're looking at all the reasons it could
- 24:05play out and you're not looking at all the reasons it could not play out You know suddenly the this
- 24:09area of support over here and we can rub this out is like you're playing that reversal This area of
- 24:13support where price really like did this before going higher you're trading it here and then
- 24:19this is you know 50% of this range this low and suddenly price picks back up and you're like well
- 24:24that shouldn't play out Well actually this area of support is just a basic support and resistance
- 24:30and you could have been out of this trade net zero But a lot of people don't do that and they're like
- 24:35oh it didn't just getting married to the buyers It didn't play out It's wrong The model doesn't
- 24:39work etc etc So the pros of this though are you can catch high of the day High uh/ low of the day
- 24:46Yeah Um and you can really catch a monster trade if managed correctly It is highly profitable
- 24:54because but again um it comes back into this point It's only profitable when the break evens are
- 25:01managed are managed correctly and you are trading that you the the pros are the higher time frame
- 25:08alignment and you can manage that You can really get into this trade on a very low time frame Yeah
- 25:13um time frame Would you class this uh strategy and what we've gone over as sort of rule based
- 25:21as well yeah Yeah There are rules to the there are definitely rules to the strategy How much how much
- 25:27would you say is in terms of mechanical versus discretion in this i think a robot could pick
- 25:31up the model and with the right if I could really if I sat down and wrote the logic out correctly
- 25:35it could be quite man mechanical The reality is is that I think the discretion is my edge Like
- 25:40that is just part of it right and everybody that like I've ever taught or will ever teach the first
- 25:46thing I say to them is this is going to really suck because I can't teach my intuition And part
- 25:52of my edge is my intuition But I can teach you the model and help you learn the intuition over
- 25:55times But the only way you can do that is through the reps Yeah Yeah Reps is the most important The
- 25:59reps One thing I will ask in terms of this model is it purely obviously you're trading it on NQ
- 26:05Um but is have you had traders or anyone that you know who's taken that model and used it elsewhere
- 26:10as well i traded a bitcoin short from 100k to to literally to 80k for this exact so you could say
- 26:15I don't know if the right term is fractal but it is something that can be applied elsewhere as well
- 26:19multiasset like because ultimately I like I said I subscribe to market maker theory the market just
- 26:24across the board from a liquidity standpoint means that price should always be offered at fair value
- 26:29which means it should be distributed into 50% of the range yes and omally that doesn't mean that
- 26:33price doesn't can't can't just suddenly go 50% of the range it could just trade all the way to very
- 26:39close to the new low and then redeliver into 50% of the range right and we've seen that you know
- 26:43like euro euro USD for example it trades you know sits in this range forever breaks out everyone's
- 26:48thinking it's going to the range low and then it just returns to the range EQ and it's like okay
- 26:54what do you do you just not sit in that trade and wait for the EQ Okay you probably look for
- 26:56a fractal range inside of there that you then look to trade So the pros for me right are you
- 27:01can manage the train the the the trade on the it's basically multiple time frame but it's
- 27:06fractal You can get into a low time frame trade There's a con to that is that it's more risky
- 27:11Yeah you can get into a higher time frame trade They're higher probability but again they're wider
- 27:16So they're more swing trades right you can't trade them on more futures assets It's more
- 27:20um like lowle leverage products um that you would look to trade Um so it's multiple multiple time
- 27:26frame Um so it suits both traders Some traders I get come to me and go I got a real job I don't you
- 27:32know I can't be at the market all time every day Well the model works on a higher time frame I took
- 27:36a Bitcoin short based on the daily literally the daily chart I didn't look at anything else just
- 27:40the daily chart and I took that and it ran minus 20% You know so if you necessarily can't be active
- 27:45during that time window because of the fractual nature of it is still not a problem You just take
- 27:50that viewpoint higher Yeah And therefore able to swing trade/position trade Correct Yeah Ultimately
- 27:55like I said I subscribe to market maker theory I really believe that the market just delivers
- 28:00into 50% of ranges and and redelivers into a 50% of another range And sometimes that won't
- 28:05hold and it will just go lower and it's a higher time frame range all the way on the left Right i
- 28:10built a model around just grabbing that 50% to 50% And that's all I need And if I do that on a
- 28:16lower time frame I can look for a trade most days Not every day is a trading day of course just like
- 28:22everybody But I can look for that trade most days And if it's managed correctly I will most likely
- 28:28get at minimum a break even trade or some sort of profit And if price is very you know I'm grabbing
- 28:34that reversal based on that confirmation and price just reruns the high it'll be a loss But
- 28:38statistically over time it's profitable And that's you know you only get that from doing
- 28:42the reps like we said Yeah I love that And in terms of um off the back of that what would you
- 28:47look for entry- wise is that a confirmation based entry that you look for or Yeah So I look for uh
- 28:54because I'm trading the indices The indices are very you know they're very well aligned
- 28:59So if if ES let's just use ES for red um ES is red NQ is green If NQ does this right mhm ES should
- 29:09also do this right they may not look completely like in terms of you know this one's a bit lower
- 29:17but they took the same low For me this is a well delivered market okay right I don't like this I
- 29:24look for the divergences between the two because it shows relative weakness on a single asset
- 29:28Right Okay So and we and we can go I can actually show you an example about
- 29:32this Um I can show you the exact example and we'll draw the entire chart is that
- 29:39um ENQ rallied again this is say this is 9:00 a.m This is 10 Yeah And then trades lower trades
- 29:49higher and then does this and then trades into around 50% of that range Okay But at this specific
- 29:56point ES does this Okay So ES runs this existing high So then that happening that divergence is
- 30:11then telling you the the weakness on ENQ is much stronger than ES at that time Yeah So I I care
- 30:20more about this chart from a volume perspective because this chart has the most volume It's
- 30:25the most traded asset in the world other than bonds right so if this is going to just do this
- 30:34it can do that And this could just do this as well
- 30:38right it's getting very uh very crowded I love it So it could just do that Mhm I my invalidation for
- 30:49this is that why because this shouldn't then go on to break this high Yeah This should continue below
- 30:57here Okay Right And this is what I'm looking for again 50% of this around there Yeah Right
- 31:05I'm looking for that And then I'm looking for a breakdown in and around this area Okay more so
- 31:16this area because it's the wick on the hourly time frame Yeah I want to be positioned in this wick
- 31:26Well obviously this doesn't look like that but you get the point right i want to be positioned
- 31:30in here in any capacity So with that in mind I more or less just look for an imbalance in
- 31:37here that has impulsed higher Mhm Right And then I want to look for an entry once we once this SMT
- 31:46SMT divergence again call it what you want It's just a cracking correlation Um trades below this
- 31:52level I will either limit a re a retap into this area or I'll sell stop this with my invalidation
- 31:59here targeting 50% of this Yes there are other things that I could that I use to have higher time
- 32:07frame targets or actually we're most likely to trade into the low But the basis of what I teach
- 32:12is this right because you like I keep saying you only need this move from here to here You don't
- 32:20need from here to here You don't need that And most of the time this is just a motion hoping
- 32:26this plays out you know it's not doesn't have the logic of it continuing higher And like I
- 32:32said keep we'll keep saying it Everybody will look at why it wants to play out over here and not look
- 32:37at this as the reason why it won't play out Um so yeah So ultimately just to confirm right mhm
- 32:44Divergence a uh a weakness in market structure Yeah In this in this example
- 32:55it's an inversion Yep And an inversion is just a previous gap that should be used
- 33:02as support gets traded below and used as resistance and used as resistance
- 33:07Beautiful Yeah Yeah And then um and then just this is basically everything Higher
- 33:14time frame pre higher time frame premium discount that H4 PO3 So higher time frame
- 33:22uh P3 Yeah So in this instance it would be the the
- 33:29daily plus the H4 Yeah Yeah And then at that point my trade would be entry
- 33:42uh at inversion Oh my handwriting is awful No it's great At inversion and then uh my stop loss
- 33:55Oh that was awful At uh divergence Yeah Oh yeah At divergence Um and then my my TP is just
- 34:08um% 50% Love that Would you say uh one maybe not a con but something to be aware of do you think
- 34:16it takes certain adjustments for some people if they haven't been maybe utilizing you the fractal
- 34:21nature of the markets and that higher time frame sort of viewpoint so for example in this case the
- 34:26P3 from daily 4hour obviously still looking at POV um POV P3 sorry for the H1 Y um do you feel like
- 34:34sometimes people have to get used to being able to see the market in that way by keeping still
- 34:39keeping in mind the the daily when they're on the H1 for example and the 4 hour yeah I always advise
- 34:44people to to where do you if you had to tell me right now where you want to see price manipulate
- 34:50into on the daily chart where would that be mark it out Just create your little box Now do the H4
- 34:56Now do the H1 And now just create a box where they all align and figure out that that's where you
- 35:00want to see it manipulate You need logic for doing that The logic for me is the range right that
- 35:06range And it's understanding there are obviously there are some other confluences like I say that
- 35:11you that I use to say okay we might trade a little bit further than the 50% of the range It might be
- 35:1560% It might be 58% I don't look at it that way It's just 50% zero 100 Once we're above 50 I'm
- 35:22looking at that breakdown from there because that's where I'm looking at that And then I
- 35:25fractalize that from a okay well if the H4 candle frames in here I want to see a push above the
- 35:31previous H4 candle And that H4 candle has four 1 hour candles So I want to wait for that push above
- 35:36and that break down So then you're trading the H1 PO3 inside of a H4 P3 inside of a daily P3 And if
- 35:43you combine them you can get much larger targets Why because the daily P3 should technically that's
- 35:49the high of the day it should technically go to the low but for most people this is enough if you
- 35:55want to swing trade and do all that you have to really really understand the P3 fractility very
- 36:00well do you feel like the best way to start is to start with the base hit yeah over time build that
- 36:05confidence with that base hit get the results with that base hit as you're doing so you will start to
- 36:10pick up on more of that higher time frame you'll start to pick up on when does price actually play
- 36:15out for the higher time frame over time But what a lot of people unfortunately do is just try and
- 36:20focus on this straight away before they've even got the base hit done Look I'm a big believer in
- 36:24base hits right base hits have made me millions of dollars in the market Um and like I say if managed
- 36:30correctly you can really avoid a lot of silly losses and get break even days maybe a little
- 36:36bit positive days which for a lot of people still hits your daily requirement for most prop firms
- 36:41for payouts etc etc Everyone would like to trade the high and the low of the candle Yeah If you
- 36:46could do that you would be a trillionaire right so the reality is you can't do that And you may catch
- 36:52it once in a blue moon or once a month or twice a week I don't know Or not twice a week twice a
- 36:56month you know twice a week you're probably still a billionaire You may be able to do that but over
- 37:01time if you consistently look for that you'll take a lot of losers So it's better to have a set of
- 37:06rules that say "This is where I want to see price trade to." And if price is really you know moving
- 37:11or hey the volume is insane here hey trail your trail your stop loss move your TP target to the
- 37:18extreme and aggressively trail that stop loss And who knows you might get 20 30% more profit
- 37:23But don't be upset that it didn't hit the extreme because it's still past your POI that you should
- 37:27be out at Yeah Yeah And that's your line in the sand We go there for any reason you're out You
- 37:32want to see it really fall through Again to to quote Pax you want to be right or right out Yeah
- 37:38So but yeah this is what I look for And then like I say you fractalize this and say this is the you
- 37:44know this is the daily open You just imagine that the H4 opens the same way You want to see
- 37:50the exact same thing The hourly opens the same way You want to see the exact same thing trading above
- 37:54that previous hour that previous day that previous 4hour candle because when they all align and it's
- 38:01the 4hour wick inside of a daily wick inside of an hourly wick when that next hourly candle
- 38:06opens bang it will just fly Um so yeah let's take a break for a minute there guys because I want to
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- 39:39Become a better trader today Now let's get back to the episode Love that Hola Let's take a look at
- 39:44the charts now Um now that we've done all the the visuals and explainer I'm sure people are excited
- 39:49for that So we're in the chart now When I when I approach the chart I will go on the daily time
- 39:54frame like we just discussed that daily that daily fractal P3 I will mark out the current high the
- 40:01current low I will see that since trading into this low we failed to trade we failed to trade
- 40:07into 50% of this existing range Yeah And then from a again a much much higher time frame perspective
- 40:15Um sorry this is the high Yeah there is uh no leave it Um we are currently in a much higher
- 40:26time frame 50% Mhm Yep So right now typically I am looking for some sort of reversal from here up to
- 40:36here Okay Right So from a now we you know taking off the whiteboard onto the chart Yeah Overall I'm
- 40:41waiting for some sort of reversal characteristic on a daily time frame to then have my bias that
- 40:47we're looking that we're looking to trade up into that area Right let's take these drawings
- 40:53off So now we just drop down to the H4 Right and we'll go over a trade example from yesterday Right
- 41:01so if I just replay uh if I just replay this to yesterday So Thursday 10:00 a.m We'll do it from
- 41:15Thursday Uh this is Wednesday so we can just leave it on Wednesday right um Wednesday 2:00
- 41:28I would then go to that 4 hour and then I would mark out this high This made a high So if we were
- 41:33to mark out all of the four hours from the drop right This was how how it happened We
- 41:38didn't we failed to distribute into EQ We then make a new low So this then just becomes this
- 41:43We failed to distribute into EQ So this becomes a new low So you can see that we've built up an
- 41:48engineered liquidity around that resting EQ now Yeah So this is the overall 4hour r that
- 41:54that daily range Sorry So then from that 4hour perspective when we make a new low
- 41:59when we consistently do this and we just make a high make a low make a high make a low what
- 42:04it's delivering in is to 50% of this Yes Yeah So if we just go ahead and mark those out right so
- 42:10from this just put the magnet back on If we deliver from here to here you'll notice 50%
- 42:16some sort of higher time frame sweep that 4hour PO3 is in here Yeah You can see that with the
- 42:224our candles next to it sort of the range then the wick and then obviously the manipulation
- 42:28the distribution If we just drag this to the side everything we just discussed is in in here
- 42:34that 4hour that high that low 50% of the range 4hour P3 And then if we fractalize that again
- 42:42H1 I want to trade in here Oh and look I have an indicator that automatically prints S&P So
- 42:50there's your divergence There's my divergence So at that point I'm looking to trade this
- 42:54This is on this is this is on Monday actually So again before we've even gone and I'm just using
- 42:59I'm just immediately I've just jumped to that just from drawing this premium discount range
- 43:03It's not even the trade we're going to show Right So again here we failed to we did we
- 43:08fail to distribute into it yeah because we made a new low Right So here Tuesday right again 50%
- 43:16Now what are we looking for if we fractalize that premium discount right from here to here 50% we
- 43:24trade into it that H4 wick that PO3 you know again we'll just get to the the Thursday bit but I'm
- 43:31just showing you how I mark out premium discounts right so Thursday uh yeah this is Thursday at 10
- 43:38Okay So we have previous day low Yeah Yeah So this is uh sorry not previous day low This is previous
- 43:45previous day low and this is um previous day low So you got two from Wednesday right so ultimately
- 43:53from from this drop to here right that's the the current when I'm approaching the chart on
- 43:59Thursday at 2:00 Um yeah at 2:00 I would then go to a lower time frame This little gray box here
- 44:10is just marking out the Asian range It's the most lowest probability conditions I just mark it out
- 44:14as a when we sweep one of these areas typically we reverse from it Everyone should be familiar with
- 44:19the Asian range If not you can Google it It's very very very well documented about what it
- 44:23is Right So this is a similar concept in terms of like uh building up a range liquidity either side
- 44:28Building of the range sweep reverse and typically this doesn't sweep it today but it reverses right
- 44:35what happens is we end up sweeping that We get that divergence at 2 o'clock which is
- 44:41what the 2 am EST which is when I consider a London open Yeah ES sweeps that because of
- 44:46this little red line that prints It sweeps it and then it reverses So this is a good example
- 44:50of accumulation manipulation distribution to the downside right i'm not trading this
- 44:55because it's low probability conditions for me right so where is price most likely going
- 45:00to end up based on this and this mhm We can also just mark out because we would also mark
- 45:07out the hourly I can I can tell you that this is the hourly range So if we mark out this low
- 45:14uh right I refer to this as the logical liquidity target which is basically if
- 45:20we're marking a premium discount range is the first high or low in thatif that 50% drop Right
- 45:27so I want to see price trade into that area Once we hit that area overall I'm waiting for price
- 45:33to show a characteristic for us to reverse And ultimately what I'm looking for is I'm looking
- 45:38for that characteristic to form Right do we get something what's the time let's just mark this
- 45:45out Again this will just consistently move until we hit that 50% of that of that range Right do we
- 45:54get it do we get it nope We just keep going lower Right again some people would draw it
- 45:59from here the premium discount from here to here But because ES actually took the high here in my
- 46:05head this high right here is the high Okay Yeah So I don't care that this is the high or I don't
- 46:10care about this one I care about this is because this at 2:00 that's where you use that swept that
- 46:15liquidity Where I use that divergence because in my head from a logical perspective I'm treating
- 46:20this as that this liquidity has been swept and we should not return there Okay So that is the
- 46:25new dealing range Premium discount range that I want to see right so we've traded way into
- 46:31discount right or premium if you're well it's discount because it's 50% lower Right And then
- 46:37what I'm waiting for is I'm waiting for we frant ran previous day low Yeah Right So to me this is
- 46:48just engineered liquidity Yeah We're now inside of premium premium right we've got that 10 a.m
- 46:57right so if we mark out the previous 9:00 a.m high which is right here that's our hourly PO3
- 47:06So right now this is the area that I want to see price manipulate into and trade away
- 47:11But we're skipping something So what is that that is the the daily Did we take a previous
- 47:16day high no I'm still expecting to trade into some sort of low right and then if we go on to
- 47:22the 4 hour and again it's probably just going to skip forward but we mark out that previous
- 47:264hour high And then if we go back to the hourly that previous 4hour high is resting just around
- 47:32the EQ Yeah Right And then what I would do is I would say okay we've hit that hourly high at
- 47:389 at 10:00 a.m Right Now what I want to see is I want to see price breakdown This is the hour
- 47:46This is the hourly P3 What I'm looking for right Hourly P3 That is aligning with the H4 P3 Yeah
- 47:56Yeah This is at 10 So right now we also have our eye on 10 a.m high So as we approach into that
- 48:0611:00 area so this is 10:30 So we can just keep moving this There's no confirmation breakdown
- 48:12right now right okay we trade lower The H4 PO3 is looking good But in five minutes time because
- 48:21I'm looking at the bottom of my screen right now down here in five minutes time this candle is 1055
- 48:27In 5 minutes time if I look at this do I want to see a reversal from here or do I want to see this
- 48:32high taken most most of the time I want to see this high taken Okay but I would wait for some
- 48:40sort of confirmation here right so I would wait I would typically drop to a lower time frame at
- 48:47this point once this SMT prints because it's it will show you a dotted line because it's
- 48:51saying the ES is trading above this high Okay we have dual SMT so or dual divergence which means
- 48:57there's divergence at the lows and divergences at the high which means the range is getting tighter
- 49:01And now what I would look for is I would look for this inversion that's that either to hold Yeah or
- 49:09us to take the high follow through and then trade back through this inversion and my trade would
- 49:15look like this Right so at this point you would have a sell stop So at this point I would have I
- 49:22would be anticipating and again this is again due to my intuition is I'd be anticipating that this
- 49:28high would would hold right again SMT SMT at the low to to here This would be my logical liquidity
- 49:38target And again a lot of people are going to not really like this but this trade isn't the sexiest
- 49:43of trades right again this is what I would look for right now This is what my sell stop would
- 49:48look like right anticipating that if we reverse from here this this will confirm the divergence
- 49:53between these two Yeah Right What happens i'm in this trade now And at that point this will
- 49:59now be my stop loss Okay Right And then price will you get you get a chance to enter because
- 50:06price trades and we can just zoom in Price trades closes below the inversion right here You get to
- 50:13enter here and you get to enter here Right so this is right now we are entering inside of that 4hour
- 50:20wick Right because this is the previous 4hour high and we're still in that 4hour candle We don't get
- 50:25a new 4hour candle until 2 o'clock Right so we're entering inside of that 4hour wick And also you
- 50:32have to remember where did 11:00 open up right here We are also entering inside of that hourly
- 50:39wick Yes Right So the H4 previous 4hour high and the new hourly candle opened This this as
- 50:48of right now is um is the area that I would want to want to go break even right because this hourly
- 50:56candle just flipped bearish and that's just really showcasing the aggressiveness of that Correct Even
- 51:01Yeah I mean this is not even ran This has just ran one R It's just purely coincidental that it's
- 51:081 R Yeah It's I don't care that it's 1 R I just care that this hourly candle was flip break even
- 51:13Uh slip bearish Sorry It's hard to show that with trading view replay mode So it's a bit difficult
- 51:18Right So but if you envisage that let's just drag this out of the way The 11:00 a.m candle opened
- 51:26here Yeah And this is where it it opened And now this is what the candle looks like This is the
- 51:32wick This is the body Right So this would be my trade and I would be out Right And omally I get
- 51:39out of this low Yeah I can tell you what happened Trump tweeted about tariffs Uh tariffs pausing
- 51:45Yeah Right Um but if you missed this trade for any reason would you enter here now no because it hit
- 51:53discount and ultimately we're anticipating the high The reality is I closed my trade right here
- 52:01I don't care about this Yes Because if I for whatever reason was break even here and I was
- 52:06aiming for this low I would have got stopped out and then the move went went against me Yeah So I
- 52:12would have missed out on Okay A monstrous move but I still caught 381 ticks on one contract
- 52:22That's quite a lot of money right 381 times five I'm bad at math We know that right it's a lot of
- 52:28money right i'm trading more than one contract That is enough for a good amount of time And
- 52:33and again we can show you my trade seller in a minute for the trade that I took there and and
- 52:37how much that uh how much that looks like right so ultimately and that is that that is the trade
- 52:43from uh from Thursday So fits that 4hour hourly P3 Yeah trading it back to discount and I'm done
- 52:52This trade this trade runs like really really runs like you know I could I could have stayed in this
- 52:58pretty much all day until the close You know the closes all the way over here Mhm All I need is
- 53:03this tiny little move in the market waiting and waiting I could have tried to long the bottom
- 53:09here here here here here I could have shorted once we just trade above this high No confirmation And
- 53:14this could have ran all the way up here Yeah just like it ran all the way down here before trading
- 53:19higher right i don't I don't like to enter around the open as much as possible I entered twice this
- 53:26week and I took two losers around the open So on this specific day I avoided this move Okay And
- 53:33also there's no confirmation This is if you could rate it out of 10 this is a 12 plus This is a 12
- 53:40setup It's the best ever SMT 4hour high trading above into discount with that inversion straight
- 53:47into discount and if you really wanted to get back in you could I would never ever advise anyone to
- 53:52do it especially after something driven like Trump tweeting about tariffs It could have just
- 53:58gone skyhigh You know we got we got a monstrous run over here because of some tariff tweet and it
- 54:03was just like the thing is by doing the base hits over and over for the time that you do then feel
- 54:07the intuition you feel the market's in the right place and you decide to hold you've already banked
- 54:12a buffer to do that Exactly You know once Yeah exactly Once you've done the reps enough time it's
- 54:17like hey I actually know that this is or I have a gut feeling it's going to play out I've made
- 54:22a bunch of money I can take a bit more of a risk That is purely purely intuition It's not it's not
- 54:28anything of like okay there's some confirmational factors there but it's betting on your your draw
- 54:33more often than not this is purely just the model the low as you said that that's more than enough
- 54:38to make a good income and it might not be where you start you might start with micros you might
- 54:42start with a smaller capital but it's a through focusing on the the process and focusing on
- 54:49uh the strategy and sticking to it and getting those basics in that's the only way to scale
- 54:53right you have to start somewhere and build up that repetitions build up their repetitions and
- 54:57then that's the only way really to scale Let's take a break for a minute though guys cuz I
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- 57:35is in the description below Now let's get back to the episode Yeah but even if you took this
- 57:40with one micro it's 200 bucks you know is that it's not in a day right in a day Like in a day if
- 57:45you want to class the actual time let's just say it's a day right because it's you waited around
- 57:49you were patient you did all those things You you made 200 bucks Like where can you make 200 bucks
- 57:54by clicking a button and being a bit patient and practicing all of those things it's really hard
- 57:59to just get that out of nowhere So a lot of people go and work a very manual labor job for 12 hours
- 58:04a day 10 hours 9 hours a day whatever to make that money We do it and okay fine You may have
- 58:10some losers occasionally on the days but over time you're going to make more than 190 bucks
- 58:15over time because you take one trade you take two true two trades that scales and scales and scales
- 58:19then suddenly you're making you know daily wages in minutes and weekly wages in hours you know So
- 58:26um and then also so this is obviously around the open So uh I'm just going to remove all
- 58:31my drawings again So that was that trade And then on Monday I actually took a a long
- 58:38uh no no I didn't actually That's a lie Okay So we get a drop at Monday at 9:30 We get a drop
- 58:44and then we get that push up into discount here Right Again we just did the daily and the 4hour
- 58:49the fractility But this is the 9:30 drop Big build up throughout Asia We have a big drop
- 58:56here This is really showing that Asia side now where we've taken the high then we could target
- 58:59the low as well Took the high target the low Yeah So if we just mark out this to here Yeah
- 59:05Aiming for that 50% 50% pull back into 50% to then trade lower and then the Asia low sits above that
- 59:1250% as well Exactly Yeah So um again I'm just going to We obviously know how that plays out
- 59:19because so again right so a lot of people could just take this inversion right here right like I
- 59:33said 50% that breakdown What we're really missing is the key piece sometimes is that that divergence
- 59:39right so if we break this down H4 trade above the high This is the H4 PO3 The daily P3 looks
- 59:48like this We're trading above that daily high Yeah We're trading above that that 4hour resting high
- 59:57Yeah And if we go to that hourly it happened at 9:30 We manipulated higher and then traded lower
- 1:00:03again I know some people that caught this trade from a very low time frame perspective where you
- 1:00:08know they sell stop like this inversion with this being some sort of SMT and they sell stop it and
- 1:00:13they get into it and it and it falls off We can't catch those every day and I didn't personally
- 1:00:17catch it Right So based on this this 5 minute I'm waiting for that SMT to form Yes Right And
- 1:00:28it's at 3 minute Right waiting for it to form and as soon as we close back below with that
- 1:00:38SMT Yeah All I'm looking for is the first low inside of that discount I wouldn't necessarily
- 1:00:50include this This trade is definitely not the sexiest of trades It's 1.26 right but it happens
- 1:00:57more or less straight away ah this was actually the one that I got stopped on and then I re and
- 1:01:03I re-entered over here because we got again we get that confirmation of SMT and that happens
- 1:01:07sometimes right and based on that it's just it is just the laws of probabilities right I would
- 1:01:13always just leave this because it's so such a low risk-to-reward trade I would always just wait it
- 1:01:18out and then with the second trade uh I would sell stop this bas area because my bias doesn't change
- 1:01:28the only way that this changes is If we continue higher right and I would take I would always take
- 1:01:32two You got SMT then off the back of that as well Yeah Because this this was SMT Yeah Yeah And then
- 1:01:38this went on to create SMT again right with NQ taking the high and ES failing right and then I
- 1:01:45would just sell stop this this trade at this point because of my risk-to-reward and I got stopped I
- 1:01:51would just a I would aim for a larger target But more or less because it's on the three minute as
- 1:01:56soon as we take out the 15minute low yes I would just be break even Okay Right So as soon as we
- 1:02:02take this low on this I'm now break even My risk is nothing I'm not risking anything If I now get
- 1:02:10stopped to break even on the day my risk-to-reward is nothing And that was that And that was it And I
- 1:02:15walked away with a loser on the day You know not every day can be a winner Um and we can go from
- 1:02:21there That is the the the trade And then again in the PM session and we'll come on to it Again
- 1:02:27in the PM session I did a I joined a stream with a one of my one of my friends a guy that I you
- 1:02:31know I trade with sometimes in terms of I check in on his content He does a PM session every
- 1:02:36single day Um and then later on at like 2:00 with that H4 PO3 again uh we took another short and I
- 1:02:43literally finished just above break even on the day on Monday actually No it was quite That's a
- 1:02:48lie It was quite a big day That's a lie That's a straight up lie Um but we can go into the trades
- 1:02:52report There are quite a bit of break even trades in there and we can again we can we can show that
- 1:02:57and there are also some losers right but the the number one thing is that I that I always wanted
- 1:03:02to highlight by coming here and having this is that if we just respect 50% of the ranges and
- 1:03:09the ranges are marked out correctly Yeah We can really really really manage our risk You
- 1:03:13know I would always take this trade with this SMT We don't trade into 50% Well we trade into
- 1:03:1950% here but because of that this is the first low in discount I would never ever go break even
- 1:03:25on this trade because it's bad or um and I would just accept my risk Yeah And then I would always
- 1:03:30know that I will get another shot at it or I'll be wrong and I'll walk away you know So I love
- 1:03:35that It's great to highlight as well Yeah And um just before we move on to the trades a bit could
- 1:03:40I just ask in ter chart could we just see the P on the daily okay So the Bitcoin it's actually
- 1:03:48already on my chart right so okay beautiful So this is just a very higher time frame It's
- 1:03:52funny because I actually tweeted at Casper about he was like "Give me a give me a fair value gap
- 1:03:57Please make it work." So I uh I actually had that on So you can see this is the I can just come out
- 1:04:03of replay mode so we know that it's up to date So here I I used the divergence for um for ETH right
- 1:04:11so this is actually just a weekly PO3 I'm trying to trade that that weekly wick right i don't get
- 1:04:17an entry in here in this wick And then what I'm looking for is that daily imbalance with that SMT
- 1:04:25to be traded through right yes And then basically what happens is we trade through it It's a fractal
- 1:04:33I'm short right and just for everybody there's a tweet all the way over here The day I got short
- 1:04:39bare market confirmed It's over losers Be happy be sad you bought more Right and that's obviously
- 1:04:45timestamped You know I can't move that That's literally the day that I got short on that And
- 1:04:49that is that SMT We can get rid of this because we didn't go over that It's that daily imbalance
- 1:04:55And then I'm looking for that 50% of that range This is a weekly imbalance right so I wanted a
- 1:05:03good reaction out of here Again this is this this trade took a while right it's a more of a swing
- 1:05:08trade It did take a while Yeah Yeah Consolidated for a while This trade took you know took nearly
- 1:05:14a month to play out I was in it for a while Paid quite a bit in fees as well because at some point
- 1:05:20the funding switch So um yeah ultimately it took a while but it's my model to a te that divergence
- 1:05:26You could have tighter risk I don't really need that cuz I'm happy with this risk-to-reward I'm
- 1:05:30happy with two 2.25 How are you in terms of um you going from like really speedy scalp trades
- 1:05:37to then holding this sort of trade is it more was it any anything or was it more so because
- 1:05:41you know the model got all those reps you just let the model play out It's a mixture of things right
- 1:05:47i would I love to trade NQ on a higher time frame Yeah The margin requirements to do that are silly
- 1:05:54So like the leveraged opportunities to day trade and intraday trade uh indices and specifically in
- 1:06:00my case NQ are are really beneficial right so I have to get in I have to frame those lower time
- 1:06:06frame trades because I have to get in and out of the market within the same day Yeah Or I have to
- 1:06:11have millions of dollars in the account to to fund a margin requirement to hold that Um with
- 1:06:17this I don't need that I can trade this all day every day because the market is open all of the
- 1:06:21time And the margin requirements are the same no matter what time or day So I would I would like
- 1:06:27to swing trade ENQ a bit more I don't because I want to if I'm going to trade a regulated asset
- 1:06:31I want to trade it on a regulated broker Yes of course With crypto it's a bit more risky as we
- 1:06:36know and as people will know I've been burned with this a few times but this was like almost too good
- 1:06:41to pass up on You know we dropped so heavily and then bought back and it's just like okay
- 1:06:48well maybe we go to the high My risk is my risk and it is is what it is And you know was there
- 1:06:53a po a part where you went break even here or or adjust the stop i actually never moved this trade
- 1:06:58I just left it and because it was just like a I didn't even look at it you know It was like a I
- 1:07:03would check up on it every couple of days Oh we're up this much We're up that much Oh I could move
- 1:07:07a break even But it's just like especially the last couple of weeks Yeah The Trump tweets the
- 1:07:11crypto tweets you know it's hard to keep up Yeah It's hard to keep up Like we we we drop and then
- 1:07:16suddenly they announce American crypto reserve and it pumps 10% And it's like at that point I
- 1:07:21was already out of the trade but ultimately I was I was really wanting to see this and I you
- 1:07:28know people ask me do you think Bitcoin is a good buy right here i don't know because there's a lot
- 1:07:34to go after right but all I know is right here Oh right here this was the area that I want to see NQ
- 1:07:44trade into up here create that SMT that stalling that side that floating sideways action a drop
- 1:07:52and then if we continue higher great if we don't great you say did you mean Bitcoin you said ENQ
- 1:07:57sorry yeah I meant meant Bitcoin yeah too much ENQ on too much ENQ yeah but that divergence in this
- 1:08:02case you said was ETH right with ETH yeah within Ethereum but Ethereum's very weak right so it's
- 1:08:06again like there's divergence at the bottom here and there was divergences along here which I I
- 1:08:11knew and I accepted that my bias was lower overall with indices and just in general the market Yes
- 1:08:19Yeah You know and and we've seen over the recent weeks the market has heavily heavily corrected So
- 1:08:25yeah Well let's let's finish up with the Tradzella stat Yeah We'll show you the overall uh stats on
- 1:08:30Trade Zella Okay So this is the the Trade Zella dashboard Uh we'll just reync it So there's no
- 1:08:36you know reason As you can see here that it's a a Ninja Trader account The balance shows here as as
- 1:08:4326,988 Um and if we go to the dashboard um you'll see that the P&L is 26,988 Um it is a it was a 25k
- 1:08:53deposit Um for those that don't know I recently announced a a partnership and a basically a live
- 1:08:59trading program with Ninja So Ninja my my broker of choice I guess now Um and normally I deposited
- 1:09:0625K and they trad the the autosync feature So we can just sync all of the trades Um and then it
- 1:09:13will just show the statistics So over the period of the week you know relatively low trading volume
- 1:09:18because obviously these count as in and out in and out in and out Um and as you can see my win rate
- 1:09:24is 50% 50% 85 83 right and this is just this week There is obviously last week as well Um it's just
- 1:09:31very low week I was trying to ramp that up but as you can see the volatility from the the week
- 1:09:36commencing 2nd of March volatility is crazy at the moment VIX is crazy crazy high Um and these are my
- 1:09:42statistics right the average win loss because of that break even rate and I don't mess with the
- 1:09:48if it's right now my trades that are settings are if it's a minus it's classed as a loss okay so um
- 1:09:54some of those break even trades that I get wicked out on due to volatility do count as losses and
- 1:09:59that's just how it is but overall um you know max draw down consistency winning rate my winning rate
- 1:10:05it says trade winning percentage here obviously I haven't had a losing day but that's just because
- 1:10:09my break even percentages are so high and that why is why my average when loss is so low and then net
- 1:10:15daily P&L We obviously had that spike on on Monday as I was speaking about in the PM session where
- 1:10:19price really ran But overall it was just trying to get that nice equity curve Yeah Spir you know
- 1:10:26spiking I guess to some degree here Spiked with that 8K that 8K day Um and then the rest of the
- 1:10:32days are around that 5K 2K Again this was so using those base hits to build up the capital
- 1:10:38and then over time it will start to exponentially grow as well as when you get those larger trades
- 1:10:43that you use that intuition and have the base hits for Exactly this trade like I said uh like
- 1:10:48I explained earlier in in the video sometimes when price really really moving quite heavy you
- 1:10:53can just trail that and trail that aggressive stop loss and that was what happened there we
- 1:10:57trailed it once it hit around that 10k mark that 10k floating P&L I trailed it to just under nine
- 1:11:03um and literally as soon it just reverse wicked me out and continued a little bit and it is what
- 1:11:07it is I didn't need to get back into that move or have FOMO because based on the account performance
- 1:11:128K on you know one day on a 25k account it's crazy And it's purely down to volatility It's not down
- 1:11:19to anything else It's just I'm in the trade at the right time and price really starts to move
- 1:11:23quite heavy and the volume the volume just picks up and I just trail But the reality is I could
- 1:11:28have got out of that trade at 3K at 2K at 1K but it's purely my intuition that allows me to go this
- 1:11:34is really moving It's not slowing down So because even though showcasing the model as you have today
- 1:11:39um how important do you feel it is for traders whe whether it's your model or any model that
- 1:11:43they're learning from someone or come across yeah How important is it for them to collect
- 1:11:47the data to be able to have the confidence in it i've said this loads right it's all about the reps
- 1:11:52It's having the confidence that the the model is profitable over a period of time It doesn't
- 1:11:57need to play out every day And sometimes you may take a loser for back to back You know like my
- 1:12:02live streams the last couple of days I've taken a loser both times Yeah And then you know later on
- 1:12:07in the day I've looked at the market and gone "Oh my model's about to appear." Or I've set alerts
- 1:12:11and my model has appeared and I've clicked the button And that's just how it is That's you know
- 1:12:15the devil of the beast right so but the average person will probably stick around on the chart
- 1:12:20a lot more and take those silly little trades because they're they're like the daily the H4 or
- 1:12:26they'll be like "Oh we're trading into that daily POI." and then they'll be trading a very low time
- 1:12:31frame confirmation It's like but that could just pull back and continue You haven't got the layers
- 1:12:36to that You need that confirmation of that daily It's above it's above your area on a daily It's
- 1:12:41above your daily your area on a H1 And doing all of that consistently over you know years of data
- 1:12:48Yeah You know couple of times three four times should take you a while And once you do that in
- 1:12:53that repetition you'll spot it You'll be like "Oh skipped a step." Yeah I took a loser there
- 1:13:00I can't skip that step Those steps are there for a reason And the logic of getting out getting in
- 1:13:05and out at 50% of the the the relative ranges is because the market is going if it's going
- 1:13:11to continue it's going to continue from there And if it's going to continue without it it's a loser
- 1:13:16Congratulations It is what it is It's part of the game So putting those reps in is for me is
- 1:13:22the most important thing And that you know is why I personally use Trazella And you know I
- 1:13:28know you guys obviously work with them but um the journaling stuff inside of Tradeller allows you to
- 1:13:33journal your bad trades The back testing stuff you know they're one of the best futures back testing
- 1:13:38And obviously the automatic journaling for me is the the creme de la creme I like to just
- 1:13:43I guess show off my statistics or or showcase my statistics We love it They're great stats But yeah
- 1:13:48they're they're good stats But who knows Tuesday because I don't really trade Mondays and Fridays
- 1:13:53on Tuesday I could have a loser and these statistics look worse of course right this
- 1:13:57is a great run so far and it's no period of data to be you know oh an amazing trader because I got
- 1:14:03six seven eight winning days back to back great I could have four losers next week but overall
- 1:14:08I'm okay with that as long as over a period of three four five six months the model the
- 1:14:14model is profitable and I don't care about losing short term it's it just is what it is so well Kane
- 1:14:19I want to thank you again for breaking this all down for us I know that there's so much value and
- 1:14:23there so much for people to take away and drop a comment with your biggest takeaway from this
- 1:14:28first initial chart fanatics episode So this is our first of many to come and no better way than
- 1:14:34having Kane with us today The links for Kane and the lab will be in the description So make sure
- 1:14:38you go check those out Hit subscribe and until next time everyone it's been Chart forex Take care
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