Will Google's New Rules End Most Businesses? — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00A directory site and a plumber do not
- 0:01die in the same way. Neil Patel just put
- 0:04out a video called The New Rules of
- 0:05Google. Most businesses won't survive,
- 0:07and the collapse he's describing is
- 0:09definitely real. HubSpot has one of the
- 0:12best SEO teams on the planet, but they
- 0:13lost 80% of their organic traffic in a
- 0:16single year. And their own CEO said that
- 0:19out loud on an earnings call. It
- 0:21happened. But every time he says
- 0:23businesses, I really want to know which
- 0:25ones he's referring to. Okay, so his
- 0:27diagnosis is correct. I'm obviously not
- 0:29going to argue with it. Publishers built
- 0:31their businesses answering questions
- 0:32Google could rank and then Google
- 0:35learned to answer them. This is very
- 0:36similar to what happened a few years
- 0:38ago. One of the clients I had was a
- 0:40mortgage company and they were
- 0:42hyperfocused on ranking for the term
- 0:44mortgage calculator. So, we ranked them
- 0:46for it. It was expensive. It's a very
- 0:48competitive term. Then one morning, we
- 0:51wake up and their traffic was down 80%.
- 0:54Uh, no ranking change, nothing. So he
- 0:56looked at the search engine result, type
- 0:58mortgage calculator into Google, and lo
- 1:00and behold, Google had added a mortgage
- 1:02calculator on the search page, so people
- 1:04didn't have reason to click anymore.
- 1:06This is basically the same thing that's
- 1:08happening with the AI overviews, except
- 1:10the AI overviews are answering almost
- 1:13allformational type queries. So the
- 1:16lists he gave, publishers, blogs,
- 1:19directories, media companies, and then
- 1:21businesses, those are not the same
- 1:23group. Okay, he mentioned them like they
- 1:26were, but they really aren't. Right.
- 1:28Local businesses, however advanced
- 1:30Google's AI is, it's still at least a
- 1:33couple of years away from being able to
- 1:34replace your water heaters. So, local
- 1:37businesses
- 1:39can't yet be replaced with AI overviews.
- 1:42Let's see what else he says. HubSpot is
- 1:44a company with one of the biggest SEO
- 1:46and content marketing teams on the
- 1:48planet. For a decade, their blog was a
- 1:50gold standard that everyone copied. Then
- 1:52according to data from HRES and SCM
- 1:54Rush, their organic traffic fell by
- 1:56about 80% in a single year. Their own co
- 2:00went on an earnings call and set it
- 2:02straight. AI overviews are answering
- 2:04people's questions now and few of them
- 2:06are clicking through to websites. Think
- 2:08about what that means. One of the best
- 2:10SEO teams in the world doing nothing
- 2:12wrong lost almost most their traffic
- 2:14anyway. So you're not getting worse at
- 2:17SEO. The ground underneath all of us
- 2:20moved. And HubSpot isn't alone. We
- 2:22pulled our own numbers at NP digital and
- 2:24the pattern shows up everywhere. In
- 2:262023, before Google's AI answers took
- 2:28over, organic traffic was still growing,
- 2:31up almost 6%. The year AI overviews
- 2:34launched, it dropped to minus 7%. The
- 2:36next year down more than 13%. So where
- 2:38did all the clicks go? Okay, so these
- 2:41numbers are across agencywide, organic,
- 2:44his whole client base, which means that
- 2:47it's blended, but it actually has very
- 2:49different impacts, right?
- 2:50Informationational queries and
- 2:52transactional queries uh do not have the
- 2:54same impact with AI overviews. They're
- 2:57not moving in the same direction right
- 2:58now. Uh for example, somebody searches
- 3:01how much does a water heater replacement
- 3:02cost? They're going to get the answer at
- 3:04the top of the page. They're not going
- 3:06to click anything. But if you're a local
- 3:09business and you talk in your area how
- 3:12much you charge to replace a water
- 3:14heater, you're very likely to be cited
- 3:16by that answer because not many plumbers
- 3:19in Gary, Indiana are talking in detail
- 3:22how much it costs to replace a water
- 3:24heater in Gary. So when somebody asks
- 3:26Google how much does it cost to replace
- 3:28a water heater, Google knows where they
- 3:30are. You're very likely to be cited.
- 3:32Keep that in mind when we talk about
- 3:34local content to get in front of
- 3:36searchers. even with the AI overviews.
- 3:38That being said, somebody searches
- 3:40plumber near me at 9:00 p.m. at night,
- 3:42uh, with water leaking through the
- 3:44ceiling, an AI overview is not going to
- 3:47help them with that. So, when Neil shows
- 3:50us the results from his own clients, it
- 3:52really tells us more about his agency's
- 3:54client mix, not about you specifically
- 3:58or what you specifically should be
- 4:00worried about. We now know that Neil's
- 4:02clients are mostly in theformational
- 4:05query national SEO space.
- 4:07>> 20 years SEO traffic is pretty simple.
- 4:09You answer a question well, Google ranks
- 4:11you and Google sends you a visitor.
- 4:13Google was the road to your website. Now
- 4:15Google is the destination. And the
- 4:16reason it can do that is the part that
- 4:19stinks. The AI answers at the top of the
- 4:22page is built from the pages people like
- 4:24you published. Google takes your
- 4:26content, sums it up, and answers the
- 4:28customer before they ever reach you. So,
- 4:30you're not competing with other websites
- 4:32anymore. You're competing with Google.
- 4:33And you're the one who handed it the
- 4:36material. And it's gotten more extreme
- 4:37every year. By early 2026, 68% of Google
- 4:40searches ended without a single click to
- 4:43the open web, up from about 60% just 2
- 4:45years earlier. A overviews are the
- 4:47engine behind that. They now appear on
- 4:49close to half of all Google searches.
- 4:51And when one shows up, click-through
- 4:52rates to websites drop by roughly 60%.
- 4:55The answer appears, people read it, and
- 4:57they stay right there. And the next
- 4:59wave, Google's AI mode, where there are
- 5:01no blue links at all. It's still small
- 5:03today, but it's doubling every quarter.
- 5:05Now, this doesn't hit every business the
- 5:08same way. Some almost immune, others are
- 5:11already finished. Yeah, not a surprise,
- 5:13right? If people can get what they're
- 5:14looking for on the search engine results
- 5:16page, just like the example I gave with
- 5:17the mortgage calculator, they're not
- 5:19going to click through. Google has been
- 5:21pushing what's called zero-click
- 5:23searches for decades. Uh including like
- 5:26embedding YouTube videos directly into
- 5:28the search engine page. All the things
- 5:30uh embedding the mortgage calculator, uh
- 5:33the knowledge panels, all of the
- 5:35information that they can possibly give
- 5:36people so they don't click and leave
- 5:38Google, right? Google makes more money
- 5:41if you stay on Google. If you leave
- 5:43Google, they lost your attention. Less
- 5:45of an opportunity for them to serve you
- 5:47ads and to make money from your
- 5:49attention. AI gave Google the ability to
- 5:52basically do this at scale. When we
- 5:55first at my agency, when we first
- 5:57started using chat GPT3 and a half in
- 5:59November, uh by January of the next
- 6:02year, January of 25, we'd shifted the
- 6:04entire agency. We weren't
- 6:06takingformational clients anymore. We
- 6:08shifted the entire agency to be focused
- 6:11only on local SEO for this reason. It
- 6:14seemed very clear at the time that uh
- 6:17with chat GPT even back the 3 and a half
- 6:20version Google was going to be able to
- 6:22use that technology and increase the
- 6:25percentage of zero click searches.
- 6:27>> So the real question is who gets hit the
- 6:29hardest.
- 6:31You can figure out with one quick test.
- 6:33If a 100 other websites already answer
- 6:35the question the same way you do, AI can
- 6:37replace all of you with a single
- 6:39paragraph. Answering questions was never
- 6:41the problem. People still lost billions
- 6:43of them every day. What gets you
- 6:45replaced is answering them with nothing
- 6:47that makes you the one worth
- 6:48remembering. The most generic version of
- 6:50the answer you used to win the click.
- 6:52Now it's the easiest thing for AI to
- 6:54absorb and hand back without ever
- 6:56sending anyone your way. Look at who's
- 6:58already paying for it. Forbes built a
- 7:00whole affiliate arm called Forbes
- 7:01Adviser on top of its reputation. Google
- 7:04hit it with a penalty for what it calls
- 7:06site reputation abuse and a big chunk of
- 7:08that visibility vanished. So a few years
- 7:11ago, if we wanted to rank for a given
- 7:13search query, we would analyze the
- 7:14content that was already ranking and
- 7:16emulate the language, the word patterns,
- 7:19the word usage that those articles used
- 7:22because those articles were being
- 7:23rewarded by Google. Google's algorithm
- 7:25was looking for more of the same stuff.
- 7:28That really stopped working uh in the
- 7:31past few years. Essentially, since chat
- 7:33GPT3 and a half came out, Google has
- 7:36been doing everything it could to get
- 7:38rid of AI slop to prevent it from
- 7:40ranking. And then in a more recent
- 7:42update earlier this summer to basically
- 7:44remove AI slop from its index. So if we
- 7:46think about how AI works, what AI slop
- 7:49actually is, AI slop is if you go to
- 7:51chat GPT or any AI model of your choice
- 7:54and say, "Hey, write me an article about
- 7:57weight loss or whatever it happens to
- 7:58be." chat GPT or the LLM is then going
- 8:01to write an article that is the
- 8:03aggregate of all the articles it finds
- 8:04on Google. Not very interesting. So,
- 8:07Google updated its algorithm to stop
- 8:10rewarding content that was very similar
- 8:12to already existing content. The
- 8:14phrasing that we use at my agency
- 8:16isformational additive. So, when we're
- 8:18writing content uh and we focus on
- 8:20local, but even if we are non-local,
- 8:22we'd have the same focus. If when we're
- 8:24writing content, we want to write
- 8:26content that isformationally additive.
- 8:28Meaning, if we look at the top three
- 8:30results uh for plumber near me, we want
- 8:33to write content about a plumber in that
- 8:36city that adds information that isn't in
- 8:38the existing content. What I'm saying
- 8:41basically is that AI content doesn't
- 8:43fail because it's bad. Most AI content
- 8:45is is fine, but it fails because without
- 8:49the right prompt sequence, without the
- 8:51right research, it's going to just agree
- 8:54with everything else that everybody
- 8:55wrote. Everyone can feed the same prompt
- 8:58into the same model and get back largely
- 9:00the same information from an AI
- 9:02generated article. That's what Google
- 9:04updated its algorithm to de-index. News
- 9:07brands like CNN have watched organic
- 9:09traffic fall by roughly a third year
- 9:11overyear, according to industry
- 9:13tracking. What puts you in the danger
- 9:14zone is sness. A how-to that reads like
- 9:17every other how-to. A definition page
- 9:19with nothing but the definition. A
- 9:21review where you never actually tested
- 9:23the thing. If your page has no
- 9:25fingerprint of its own, AI doesn't need
- 9:27it. It already has thousands just like
- 9:29it. And right now, you're running your
- 9:31own site through that test in your head
- 9:34wondering if it's you. For a lot of you,
- 9:36some of it is. But the real problem
- 9:38isn't losing traffic. That's just a
- 9:41symptom of something most business
- 9:42owners never noticed underneath. Most
- 9:44companies thought they owned a
- 9:45skyscraper, big, beautiful, millions of
- 9:47visitors a month. But they were only
- 9:49renting the land it sat on. And the
- 9:51landlord just changed the rules. Google
- 9:53traffic was never something that they
- 9:54owned. They were leasing it. Google
- 9:56decided who got the space, how much, and
- 9:58how long. And now Google's taking it
- 10:00back. The bleeding companies right now
- 10:02didn't lose because their content got
- 10:04worse. They lost because they only had
- 10:07one way to be found. And they didn't
- 10:09control it. They spent 10 years building
- 10:10demand for Google and almost none for
- 10:12themselves. They built dependency and
- 10:14called it success. And that works
- 10:16beautifully until the day the landlord
- 10:18changes the locks. Completely agree.
- 10:20What he's describing can also just be
- 10:22summed up by Google business profile.
- 10:24That's the profile that serves as the
- 10:28heart of a local business entity online.
- 10:31Almost every AI tool relies on the
- 10:33Google business profile as of course
- 10:35does Google itself and Gemini. Uh almost
- 10:38the only exception to this is chat GPT
- 10:40which basically just uses the Bing for
- 10:43business profile. The same thing but on
- 10:45Bing. So the entire local industry is
- 10:49built around the Google business
- 10:51profile. And this it's this is not
- 10:54theoretical. A competitor can go into
- 10:56maps, hit suggest and edit on your
- 10:58listing and then change things about it.
- 11:01If they have a decent local guide level,
- 11:03Google might just accept it. We've had
- 11:06clients who were personal injury
- 11:07attorneys that got their category
- 11:09changed to airline. Okay. When that
- 11:12happens, call stop uh basically
- 11:16overnight. So before we get too
- 11:19comfortable in local, there are of
- 11:21course ways to prevent that. Locking
- 11:22your Google business profile. There a
- 11:24lot of thirdparty tools that can allow
- 11:25you to lock up Google business profile
- 11:27so those edits can't work for you. Uh
- 11:30but even so, uh we're all very happy
- 11:32that Google removed the ability to edit
- 11:34location pins. Uh that was the worst
- 11:36tactic um that shady competitors used to
- 11:40use. But the point here is almost every
- 11:42local business who is getting traffic
- 11:44online is relying on their Google
- 11:47business profile. And if they're using
- 11:49ads, the ads are likely linked to their
- 11:51Google business profile. If they're
- 11:52using organic, then it's obviously their
- 11:54Google business profile. And even if
- 11:56they're getting traffic from AI
- 11:58recommendations, it's still likely their
- 12:00Google business profile. So, different
- 12:02mechanism, right? We're not watching
- 12:04publishers get destroyed. Different
- 12:06mechanism, same exposure. And it's
- 12:08important to note, Google hasn't made a
- 12:10significant update to its local rank
- 12:12algorithm in nearly a decade. But in
- 12:15March, a few months ago, Google rolled
- 12:18out Ask Maps. So the impact of that is
- 12:21now with Ask Maps, it's getting Gemini
- 12:23to talk to users about local businesses
- 12:26for the first time. In my opinion, and I
- 12:28don't have any evidence for this, but
- 12:30Google very frequently will roll out
- 12:32tests like this. So, in my opinion, this
- 12:35feels like Google is testing how well
- 12:37does Gemini help its users in finding
- 12:39and identifying a local business,
- 12:42potentially signaling a major map
- 12:44algorithm update, where it's going to be
- 12:46more reliant on Gemini and less on its
- 12:49base algorithm. Which raises the obvious
- 12:51question, if everyone's built on rented
- 12:53land, how can anyone survive Google's
- 12:56traffic collapse?
- 12:57Let's check back with HubSpot. HubSpot
- 12:59lost about a reported 80% of its organic
- 13:02traffic. By every old metric, that's a
- 13:04disaster. But over that same stretch,
- 13:06their revenue didn't fall. It grew more
- 13:08than 20% according to their own
- 13:09earnings. The reason is simple. People
- 13:11don't just search best CRM software to
- 13:14find HubSpot. They search HubSpot. The
- 13:16clicks left. Demand stayed. That's what
- 13:18the whole industry is missing. Clicks
- 13:20and demand were never the same thing. We
- 13:23just spent 15 years measuring the one
- 13:25that's now slowly disappearing. And it's
- 13:27not only HubSpot. Across 42,000 sites,
- 13:30the average website just gets 2.4% of
- 13:33its search traffic from its own brand.
- 13:34The top performers get almost 10%.
- 13:36Nearly four times, the winners aren't
- 13:39ranking better. People are searching for
- 13:41their name. So, there's the point.
- 13:43Traffic down 80% but revenue up 20%. His
- 13:45read is that brand demand carried them.
- 13:48And I'm not completely sure that's what
- 13:50happened. HubSpot's revenue growth comes
- 13:52from enterprise sales, seed expansion,
- 13:54pricing changes. The blog was a top
- 13:57offunnel for a premium product years
- 14:00ago. So, the blog losing 80% of its
- 14:02traffic didn't hurt revenue today, but
- 14:04that just means the blog may not have
- 14:06been producing very much short-term
- 14:08revenue in the first place. And I've
- 14:10seen this before on local businesses. We
- 14:13took over a client uh they were a local
- 14:15LASIC eye surgery in Chicago. They were
- 14:18paying over $8,000 a month for SEO. They
- 14:20were getting a 100,000 clicks a month
- 14:23coming in from Google according to their
- 14:25own search console. Beautiful traffic
- 14:27graph, everything up and to the right,
- 14:28the kind you screenshot and put in a
- 14:30case study. But they were barely getting
- 14:32any customers. All the content was
- 14:34pulling in readers from cities that
- 14:36weren't Chicago. Their local rank map in
- 14:39Chicago did not look very good. They
- 14:41were not getting local calls. Now, that
- 14:43could be analogous to what's happened
- 14:44here with HubSpot. Smaller numbers, but
- 14:47the same basic problem. traffic that was
- 14:49never attached to revenue. So when the
- 14:51traffic left, revenue didn't suffer. If
- 14:53you're selling four blog posts a month
- 14:56to a local business owner right now,
- 14:58this is something that you really need
- 14:59to sit with. A blog post that's, you
- 15:01know, top five ways to winterize your
- 15:03water heater. Maybe it might bring some
- 15:06traffic, but it will not bring any local
- 15:08relevance or local calls to your
- 15:10business or to your client.
- 15:12>> There's a clear pattern to who makes it.
- 15:14Roger Lynch, the CEO of Kai Nas, the
- 15:16company behind Vogue, GQ, and the New
- 15:18Yorker, calls it a barbell. On one end,
- 15:21brands that are large and authoritative
- 15:23in a big category, and on the other end,
- 15:25small brands that completely own a
- 15:27narrow niche with an audience loyal
- 15:29enough to pay. Both ends keep growing,
- 15:31though grows every year. The New Yorker
- 15:33just had its best year ever. The danger
- 15:35is the middle brands that aren't
- 15:37authoritative enough to be the name
- 15:38people trust and aren't focused enough
- 15:40to own a niche. Lynch even told his own
- 15:42teams to plan as if search traffic is
- 15:44going to zero. So the real question
- 15:46stops being who ranks. It becomes which
- 15:48end of that barbell are you going to be
- 15:50on and who would even miss you if you
- 15:52disappear tomorrow. And if the answer is
- 15:53brand demand, the next thing to work out
- 15:55is where you build it because it isn't
- 15:57just Google anymore. Search is
- 15:59everywhere.
- 15:59>> All right, let's talk about this
- 16:00barbell. Big authoritative brands
- 16:02survive. Small brands that completely
- 16:03own a niche also survive. Everything in
- 16:05the middle gets crushed. For local,
- 16:07that's good news on its face. A plumber
- 16:09with a service area, a verified profile,
- 16:11and 400 completed jobs in one city is
- 16:14sitting on the niche end by default.
- 16:16Nobody had to earn that. It came with
- 16:18the business model. And on the other
- 16:20side of it, multilocation large
- 16:22companies, something like Rotorooer for
- 16:24plumbers, uh they have the brand
- 16:26recognition, the brand awareness that
- 16:28they're going to get recommended by Chat
- 16:30GPT, they're going to get recommended by
- 16:32Gemini, uh because they have so much
- 16:35authoritative content. Search used to
- 16:37mean one box on one website. Optimize
- 16:39that box, you win. That world is gone.
- 16:42Now people search on Google, then
- 16:43YouTube, then Tik Tok, Instagram. They
- 16:45ask Reddit what's real. They ask Chad
- 16:47GPT Gemini and Perplexity. They read
- 16:49reviews. They listen to podcasts. They
- 16:51open up newsletters. Chad GPT alone is
- 16:53handling over a billion searches a day.
- 16:55That's not a side tool. That's a search
- 16:57engine. And one in five people now start
- 16:59a search inside a social app, up from
- 17:02about 1% in 2021. Most people here
- 17:05search everywhere and picture being on a
- 17:07dozen platforms at once. That part is
- 17:09just noise. The real goal is to be the
- 17:12brand people already look for when they
- 17:14go to each of those platforms. Stop
- 17:16working to be found and start working to
- 17:18be remembered. Cold recall for customers
- 17:20is the holy grail in marketing. It
- 17:24really doesn't happen outside of a
- 17:26handful examples. And those examples are
- 17:29basically worth a fortune because
- 17:31they're able to create cold recall. This
- 17:34is one of the greatest moes that a
- 17:36company can create against its
- 17:38competitors. The classic example, of
- 17:40course, is Warren Buffett's investment
- 17:43in Coca-Cola because he saw Coca-Cola
- 17:46had spent generations building cold
- 17:49recall. Um, if you are a local business
- 17:52owner, please don't take what Neil is
- 17:54saying here to mean that you need to
- 17:56create cold recall with your customer
- 17:59base. That is exceptionally difficult to
- 18:01do. Not a reasonable goal for a local
- 18:04business. Your name is the one they
- 18:07type, but being the brand people look
- 18:09for is one half of it. The other half is
- 18:11refusing to let a single platform own
- 18:13your revenue. The best example of both
- 18:15is People Inc., the publisher behind
- 18:17People, Better Homes and Gardens, and
- 18:20Investopipedia. Over about 2 years,
- 18:22Google fell from 55% of their traffic
- 18:24down to 25%. A overviews now show up on
- 18:27nearly 70% of their top 10,000 keywords.
- 18:29By the old playbook, that's a death
- 18:31sentence. Instead, their digital revenue
- 18:33grew 8% last quarter to $253
- 18:37million. They grew their off-platform
- 18:40audience on Instagram, Tik Tok, YouTube,
- 18:42and Apple News by more than 60%. They
- 18:45signed licensing deals with OpenAI and
- 18:47Meta to get paid for their content
- 18:49directly. And they built their own app
- 18:51so people come straight to them. They
- 18:53stopped waiting on Google and started
- 18:54showing up everywhere their audience
- 18:56already was. And you don't have to guess
- 18:58whether that's working. You can now
- 19:00watch how AI engines actually talk about
- 19:02you. Whether Chad GPT, Gemini, and Quad,
- 19:05>> okay, uh Instagram and Tik Tok and
- 19:07YouTube and Apple News and licensing
- 19:08deals, none of that exists for a
- 19:10business with one location and three
- 19:13trucks, right? Your local business is
- 19:16not licensing content to Open AI. You're
- 19:19not going to build an app that anyone is
- 19:22going to actually install and use. So,
- 19:24what does search everywhere actually
- 19:26mean for a local business? Because
- 19:28there's a version of it, but it's a
- 19:30shorter list than it sounds. Of course,
- 19:32the Google business profile filled out
- 19:34completely. Every category the business
- 19:36qualifies for, every box maxed out,
- 19:38every service, all of it. Don't keyword
- 19:40stuff, but put them all in there.
- 19:42reviews, specifically the language
- 19:43inside the reviews. Not how many stars,
- 19:45but whether anyone actually names the
- 19:47service you performed and the outcome
- 19:49hugely important in this AI world
- 19:51because AI will read all of those
- 19:53reviews and attribute match what people
- 19:56are asking AI for against what your
- 19:58reviews are talking about. Whether the
- 20:00business gets mentioned anywhere on the
- 20:01internet that isn't on its own website
- 20:03and your own website built so the
- 20:06entity, your business entity is
- 20:07completely unmistakable. a page for
- 20:09every category, a page for every
- 20:10service, the city and the title tag on
- 20:12all of them. Everything pointing back at
- 20:14the exact structure that your Google
- 20:16business profile has. That's what we
- 20:18call the core 30. It's the same
- 20:20architecture that I've been building for
- 20:22local clients for years and it works
- 20:24almost identically. Whether the thing
- 20:26reading it is Google or Gemini or Chat
- 20:29GBT, there's a massive overlap. The
- 20:31difference is review language, branded
- 20:33search, and getting mentioned in
- 20:35highprofile places depending on the
- 20:38competitiveness. If you're a plumber in
- 20:39Eclectic, Alabama, you don't need to
- 20:41worry about it. If you're a plumber in
- 20:43Houston, you might want to focus getting
- 20:45mentioned at the Houston Herald or
- 20:46whatever the local newspaper in Houston
- 20:48is. I made up the Houston Herald. So,
- 20:50this is what he means by search
- 20:52everywhere. You'll want, of course, your
- 20:54Apple Maps listing, your Bing for
- 20:55Business listing, your BBB profile. All
- 20:58of these things will help you uh create
- 21:00your online brand presence. Um and yeah,
- 21:04if you can score a licensing deal with
- 21:06OpenAI for your plumber in Eclectic,
- 21:09Alabama, I mean, go for it. That sounds
- 21:11amazing.
- 21:12>> That one shift changes what the three
- 21:13letters SEO even stand for. Because
- 21:16you're not screwed because Google
- 21:18traffic is down. You're screwed if
- 21:21Google was the only place people could
- 21:23find you. HubSpot proved it. lose the
- 21:25clicks, keep the demand, and the
- 21:27business still grows. That's a line
- 21:28between the companies that disappear
- 21:30this year and the ones that get stronger
- 21:32while everyone else panics. So, those
- 21:34three letters don't stand for search
- 21:36engine optimization anymore. They stand
- 21:38for search everywhere optimization.
- 21:41>> Okay. Okay. I'll I'll I'll take the
- 21:43reframe. It's It's a good line. It's a
- 21:44good line. It's I kind of wish I'd
- 21:47thought of it, but good.
- 21:48>> And for your name, in every place people
- 21:50look, the traffic was always temporary.
- 21:52The brand is the part you actually keep.
- 21:54And if you're already building it, there
- 21:55are early signals that show it's working
- 21:58long before the revenue does.
- 21:59>> But when we talk about that barbell,
- 22:01that's exactly where it stops working
- 22:03for local. Right? If you're a publisher,
- 22:04the two ends on the barbell can't
- 22:06overlap. Vogue can't be a niche
- 22:09newsletter. It has to choose one. In
- 22:11local, they do in fact overlap. You can
- 22:14be both. One of my clients uh has like
- 22:1645 different locations, and that client
- 22:18comes up in chat GPT constantly. It
- 22:21beats every single local mom and pop
- 22:23shop in basically every local market it
- 22:25operates in. Nobody ran a campaign for
- 22:28that. It happened because when you get
- 22:2945 locations you get written about. Uh
- 22:32you also have the budget to source these
- 22:34uh local papers, business journals,
- 22:36association directories, uh 45 chamber
- 22:39of commerce listings, case studies,
- 22:41hiring announcements. All of this
- 22:42happens with that many locations.
- 22:44Authority just accumulates as a side
- 22:46effect of being that large. A on one
- 22:48location business in the same town is
- 22:50not nearly as newsworthy. So the chain
- 22:53is the authoritative end of the barbell
- 22:55and the niche end of the barbell at the
- 22:57same time in 45 cities at once. And the
- 23:00only reason it doesn't already own every
- 23:02single map pack it touches is proximity.
- 23:05Google hands the small business uh a
- 23:07handicap. Right? Distance from the
- 23:09searcher does a huge amount of the
- 23:11rankings work. which is why a mediocre
- 23:13shop, a small mom and pop business four
- 23:16blocks away can outrank a 45 location
- 23:19business uh that that's 3 miles away.
- 23:21Everything we focus on in local SEO is
- 23:24trying to stretch that radius, building
- 23:26geographic and topical relevance to rank
- 23:28farther and farther away from the GBP.
- 23:29That's the whole game. Now, I mentioned
- 23:32that in March, Google shipped Ask Maps,
- 23:34Gemini sitting inside Google Maps. Type
- 23:36a full question somewhere good for a
- 23:38group with outdoor seating that isn't
- 23:40overhyped and it just chooses it
- 23:42recommends places for you. Personalize
- 23:44against your own Google search history.
- 23:47Now, you don't have to panic about this
- 23:49today. It's a separate tab under the
- 23:51search bar that almost no one ever uses.
- 23:54It's minuscule in comparison to the
- 23:56traffic that your Google business
- 23:57profile is generating from map pack
- 24:00results. Okay, so not something to panic
- 24:04about. But like I mentioned, um when or
- 24:07if Google introduces Gemini into map
- 24:11pack rankings, when the map pack ranking
- 24:13starts to match attributes instead of
- 24:15measure distance, proximity goes from
- 24:17deciding the order to deciding who's
- 24:21eligible. Distance will likely still
- 24:23matter. Nobody wants a taco place, you
- 24:25know, 100 miles away, but it stops
- 24:27carrying you. And when distance when
- 24:29proximity stops carrying you, whoever
- 24:31actually built the online presence, can
- 24:34take the whole radius, can take the
- 24:35whole city instead of just their
- 24:37neighborhood. This cuts both ways. And
- 24:40that's why I don't want to sell panic
- 24:42here. Chain authority is generic. It's
- 24:45press about the brand, not about the
- 24:47Tuesday emergency surgery at the Boise
- 24:49location. Review language that names the
- 24:52specific service and what happened. a
- 24:54real page for every category and service
- 24:56on the profile instead of one service
- 24:58page with the list and real local press.
- 25:00Almost no one does the local press part,
- 25:03including videos on YouTube about your
- 25:06local business. A massive way to help
- 25:08train Gemini. These are the levers that
- 25:10are available today. And every business
- 25:12currently coasting on proximity is not
- 25:14doing any of it. And when Gemini starts
- 25:17recommending local businesses in more
- 25:18volume, they're going to feel the pain.
- 25:22Neil says most businesses won't survive.
- 25:24For publishers, he's describing
- 25:25something that's already finished
- 25:26happening. For local, it hasn't gotten
- 25:29started just yet. So now is the time to
- 25:32make sure your local presence is strong
- 25:35enough that you can survive not getting
- 25:38the proximity boost anymore.
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