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Why Nobody Talks About the Ozone Hole Anymore — Transcript

by Astrum Earth · 4,497 words · 726 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:00In the late 1980s, there was only one
  2. 0:02thing everyone was talking about. It
  3. 0:04wasn't Madonna's latest single, leg
  4. 0:06warmers, shoulder pads, or even big
  5. 0:09hair. It was ozone.
  6. 0:12Or more precisely, a vast, hulking great
  7. 0:15hole that had opened up in our planet's
  8. 0:18life support system, the ozone layer.
  9. 0:20>> [music]
  10. 0:21>> And the culprit, supervillain gases
  11. 0:23known as chlorofluorocarbons,
  12. 0:26or CFCs, found in everything from
  13. 0:28fridges to deodorants, and they were
  14. 0:30destroying the precious ozone in [music]
  15. 0:32the stratosphere. By the late '80s, the
  16. 0:35hole was reaching sizes of around 22
  17. 0:37million square kilometers. By 2040, the
  18. 0:40hole would have gone global. By 2050,
  19. 0:44the ozone layer could have collapsed
  20. 0:45entirely. Harmful UV radiation would
  21. 0:49come flooding through, causing huge
  22. 0:51increases in skin cancer, cataracts, and
  23. 0:54compromised immune systems. Plants and
  24. 0:56crops would be failing. The word
  25. 0:58"uninhabitable" was being used by
  26. 1:00leading [music] scientists.
  27. 1:03Before climate change, this was the
  28. 1:04greatest environmental apocalypse of our
  29. 1:07age. And yet,
  30. 1:09we don't seem to talk about it anymore.
  31. 1:11Is it because we actually fixed it?
  32. 1:17I'm James Shaw, and you're watching
  33. 1:18Astro Earth. Join me in this video as we
  34. 1:21discover the truth about the hole in the
  35. 1:23ozone layer. We'll get to the bottom of
  36. 1:25what it is, why it's there, and how
  37. 1:27humanity managed to fix it. And I'll
  38. 1:29explain why we might not be out of the
  39. 1:31woods just yet. For those of you that
  40. 1:34might be late to this ozone party, and
  41. 1:37even for those of you that aren't, it's
  42. 1:38worth going back to the basics to start
  43. 1:40things off. What actually is the ozone
  44. 1:43layer? Well, Earth's atmosphere is like
  45. 1:45a jacket, or several jackets for our
  46. 1:47planet. There are five main layers. The
  47. 1:50bit we're most familiar with is the
  48. 1:51troposphere. This is where we live. The
  49. 1:54troposphere starts on Earth's surface
  50. 1:56and extends up to around 20 km. Now,
  51. 1:59this actually varies depending on where
  52. 2:00you're standing. And no, I don't mean
  53. 2:02like on a mountain. It's around 18 to 20
  54. 2:05km at the equator, but only 6 km at the
  55. 2:08poles. The troposphere is a hard-working
  56. 2:11layer. It provides the air we breathe,
  57. 2:14contains 99% of the atmosphere's water,
  58. 2:16and is where you'll find pretty much all
  59. 2:18of our weather. As you climb, the air
  60. 2:20gets thinner and colder.
  61. 2:23Next up is the stratosphere, which
  62. 2:24extends from around 6 to 50 km above the
  63. 2:27Earth's surface. The only clouds that
  64. 2:30usually venture this high are
  65. 2:31cumulonimbus thunderclouds, whose tops
  66. 2:34just scrape the lowest part of the
  67. 2:36stratosphere, which is why they've got
  68. 2:38their distinctive anvil-shaped caps.
  69. 2:40They're sort of squashed against the
  70. 2:42ceiling of the atmospheric boundary.
  71. 2:44Commercial passenger jets fly in the
  72. 2:46lower stratosphere, trying to stay above
  73. 2:48the weather for a smoother ride. In the
  74. 2:51troposphere, temperatures fall as you
  75. 2:54climb, but in the stratosphere, they
  76. 2:55actually increase with altitude. And
  77. 2:58there's a reason for this, and it's
  78. 3:00actually the reason you're watching this
  79. 3:01video. This is where the ozone layer is.
  80. 3:07Beyond that is the mesosphere, the
  81. 3:09thermosphere, and the exosphere. And
  82. 3:11past that, well, that's space. And we've
  83. 3:14actually got a whole other channel for
  84. 3:16space. So, if that's your thing, why not
  85. 3:18check it out after this video?
  86. 3:20Anyway, back to ozone. Every layer of
  87. 3:22the atmosphere has a specific job to do.
  88. 3:24And the ozone layer is possibly the most
  89. 3:27important of them all.
  90. 3:29But to understand why that is, we need
  91. 3:30to understand a bit more about what this
  92. 3:32vital layer is actually made of.
  93. 3:35We're all familiar with oxygen, O2. It's
  94. 3:37what we're all breathing in right now.
  95. 3:39Well, ozone is O3. That's three oxygen
  96. 3:42atoms combined to form a pale blue gas.
  97. 3:46You know that sort of sharp, fresh smell
  98. 3:47you often get just after a thunderstorm?
  99. 3:49Well, that, that is ozone.
  100. 3:52Ozone can be both a hero and a villain,
  101. 3:54and whether it's good or bad depends on
  102. 3:57where it is.
  103. 3:59Bad ozone is tropospheric or ground
  104. 4:02level. It's a harmful air pollutant and
  105. 4:04often the main ingredient in smog. But
  106. 4:07good ozone is stratospheric. It hangs
  107. 4:09out around 15 to 35 km above the Earth's
  108. 4:11surface and basically acts like a
  109. 4:13sunscreen for the planet. This is the
  110. 4:16ozone layer we've all heard of and it
  111. 4:18blocks an incredible 98% of all harmful
  112. 4:21UV radiation. Yeah, 98%. It It works
  113. 4:25hard. The vast majority of sunlight is
  114. 4:27what's known as visible light, the light
  115. 4:29we can see, with wavelengths of 400 to
  116. 4:31700 nm. Ultraviolet radiation is
  117. 4:35actually only 8% of all light and it's
  118. 4:37invisible to the human eye, though some
  119. 4:40insects, like bumblebees, can see it.
  120. 4:43Visible light consists of different
  121. 4:45colors that you can see in a rainbow and
  122. 4:47UV is no different. It also has its own
  123. 4:50spectrum, UVA, UVB, and UVC. They're
  124. 4:55classified by wavelengths, so UVA is the
  125. 4:57longest and UVC is the shortest. You may
  126. 5:01have even seen UVA and UVB on sunscreen
  127. 5:03labels. They're what causes sunburn and
  128. 5:06can cause skin cancer.
  129. 5:08UVB and UVC are not only incredibly
  130. 5:11damaging to us, but they mess with all
  131. 5:12sorts of stuff, including photosynthesis
  132. 5:14and the productivity in plants and
  133. 5:16crops. They damage DNA, suppress immune
  134. 5:20systems, and can even reduce survival
  135. 5:22rates. In fact, UVC radiation is used to
  136. 5:25disinfect hospitals. The reason being is
  137. 5:28because it can quite literally kill
  138. 5:30nearly everything.
  139. 5:32And here's where the ozone layer comes
  140. 5:33in because it screens all of the most
  141. 5:36harmful UVC radiation and the vast
  142. 5:39majority of UVB. [music] Quite simply,
  143. 5:42without it, the radiation would
  144. 5:43literally sterilize the Earth's surface.
  145. 5:46But here's the thing. Ozone is what's
  146. 5:48known as a trace gas. That means there's
  147. 5:51not a lot of it, basically. In fact,
  148. 5:53even in the stratosphere, ozone
  149. 5:54concentration is only about 15 parts per
  150. 5:57million.
  151. 5:58If you took all the ozone in the world
  152. 6:01and spread it across the Earth's surface
  153. 6:02like a kind of ozoney jam, it would form
  154. 6:05a layer only 3 mm thick. That's the same
  155. 6:08as two tiny pennies.
  156. 6:11And if you did that same thing with the
  157. 6:13rest of the atmosphere, that atmosphery
  158. 6:15jam would be 8 km high and very sticky.
  159. 6:19So, what happens when you discover some
  160. 6:21of that precious ozone is missing? This
  161. 6:24animation on your screen shows the
  162. 6:25actual hole in our ozone layer tracked
  163. 6:28over two decades.
  164. 6:30The blue and purple mark the area with
  165. 6:32the least ozone. Now, technically, this
  166. 6:34isn't a hole, I know, in shape. It's a
  167. 6:36region of exceptionally depleted ozone.
  168. 6:39But, hole was snappier and more
  169. 6:41importantly, more concerning to the
  170. 6:43general public. Now, in 1979, there was
  171. 6:46no significant hole at all. And then it
  172. 6:49just grew and grew and grew and grew,
  173. 6:51covering not just Antarctica, but
  174. 6:53occasionally stretching as far as South
  175. 6:55America or even New Zealand. By the year
  176. 6:582000, it measured 28.4 million square
  177. 7:02kilometers, almost seven times the size
  178. 7:05of the EU or three times the size of the
  179. 7:09United States.
  180. 7:11Looking back with hindsight, it seems
  181. 7:12pretty obvious that this was a
  182. 7:14planetary-scale emergency. But, how did
  183. 7:17we even realize we had a problem in the
  184. 7:19first place?
  185. 7:21The answer, as with so many things, is
  186. 7:23science.
  187. 7:25We first started measuring ozone to try
  188. 7:27and understand more about how our
  189. 7:29atmosphere worked. By the late 19th and
  190. 7:32early 20th centuries, scientists had
  191. 7:34already established that stratospheric
  192. 7:36ozone acted as a vital shield against
  193. 7:40harmful radiation.
  194. 7:42In the mid-1920s, Gordon Dobson, a
  195. 7:45British scientist, invented a new type
  196. 7:48of spectrophotometer,
  197. 7:50an instrument that monitors UV levels
  198. 7:52from the ground to work out how much
  199. 7:54ozone there is in the stratosphere.
  200. 7:56More than a century later, and the
  201. 7:58Dobson spectrophotometer is still the
  202. 8:01foundation of the global network for
  203. 8:03monitoring atmospheric ozone even today.
  204. 8:07In fact, what are known as Dobson units
  205. 8:10are now the gold standard for monitoring
  206. 8:13the ozone hole. So, 300 Dobson units is
  207. 8:17the ideal amount of ozone. It's what
  208. 8:19gives us that metaphorical 3-mm layer I
  209. 8:22mentioned before. Less than that, and
  210. 8:24you're in trouble.
  211. 8:26And we started spotting signs of exactly
  212. 8:28that kind of trouble in the 1970s and
  213. 8:30the 1980s.
  214. 8:32British Antarctic Survey scientists Joe
  215. 8:34Farman, Brian Gardiner, and Jon Shanklin
  216. 8:37took the world by storm when their
  217. 8:39groundbreaking paper, "Large Losses of
  218. 8:42Total Ozone in Antarctica", published in
  219. 8:44Nature in 1985.
  220. 8:47Working through a backlog of data from
  221. 8:49the Dobson spectrophotometer
  222. 8:51and the Halley base in Antarctica,
  223. 8:54Shanklin discovered a systematic and
  224. 8:56rapid decline in the amount of
  225. 8:58springtime ozone. In 1979, it was
  226. 9:01relatively fine, but by 1984,
  227. 9:05the stratospheric ozone layer over the
  228. 9:07Halley base was only around 2/3 as thick
  229. 9:10as in previous decades.
  230. 9:13Something was happening to our ozone,
  231. 9:15and it was happening fast.
  232. 9:17Between 1986 and 1987, the race was on
  233. 9:21to find out what exactly was causing the
  234. 9:23loss. Scientists from the hunt for
  235. 9:26ozone-depleting substances, or ODS, the
  236. 9:29BAS team had theorized that possible
  237. 9:32chemical causes must be considered, and
  238. 9:35they weren't the first.
  239. 9:36If you've heard of the ozone hole, then
  240. 9:38you already likely know that
  241. 9:39chlorofluorocarbons
  242. 9:40or CFCs were eventually found out to be
  243. 9:43the culprits, but they simply weren't in
  244. 9:46the public consciousness back then. They
  245. 9:48were an invisible part of our daily
  246. 9:49lives using aerosols and fridges, a sort
  247. 9:52of killer lying in darkness waiting.
  248. 9:56But way back in 1974, scientists Mario
  249. 9:59Molina and F. Sherwood Rowland published
  250. 10:02a paper theorizing that
  251. 10:04chlorofluorocarbons could destroy ozone
  252. 10:06in the stratosphere, although their
  253. 10:08paper focused on chlorofluoromethanes
  254. 10:10only. Now, at the time their theories
  255. 10:12were shot down by the industry and they
  256. 10:14were denounced as scaremongers. Their
  257. 10:16work was literally called pure science
  258. 10:19fiction.
  259. 10:20As a side note, and I do quite enjoy
  260. 10:22this, Molina and Rowland were later
  261. 10:23awarded the Nobel Prize in 1995 for
  262. 10:27chemistry, so they did win
  263. 10:28>> [music]
  264. 10:28>> in the end. Anyway, in 1986, Susan
  265. 10:31Solomon, a researcher at NOAA, led a
  266. 10:33team to McMurdo Base to find out exactly
  267. 10:37what was going on. See, Solomon had
  268. 10:39theorized that if CFCs were responsible
  269. 10:41for ozone depletion, then there would be
  270. 10:43high levels of chlorine oxide radicals
  271. 10:46in the stratosphere. And guess what?
  272. 10:49There were. Molina and Rowland had been
  273. 10:51right all along. So yes, there was a
  274. 10:54hole, and yes, it was caused by humans.
  275. 10:57Shock.
  276. 10:59But one question still remained, how
  277. 11:01exactly did CFCs do all of this? Before
  278. 11:04we get into the chemistry, if like me,
  279. 11:06you're quite enjoying a rather more
  280. 11:08positive climate news story for once and
  281. 11:10you fancy some more like this, well then
  282. 11:13I've got more good news. I've been a
  283. 11:14member of Planet Wild now for quite some
  284. 11:16time. I think of them like crowdfunding
  285. 11:18but for nature. So every single month
  286. 11:21their community of over 25,000 members,
  287. 11:24including me, fund a mission to restore
  288. 11:26nature around the world. They are making
  289. 11:29good news like this happen every single
  290. 11:32day. They also document their amazing
  291. 11:34work on YouTube, so we can see the
  292. 11:35impact of our contributions in real
  293. 11:37time. In a world of bad news, it really
  294. 11:40does give me some hope cuz we can
  295. 11:42actually see the impact on the ground.
  296. 11:45Recently, they funded a breakthrough
  297. 11:46that could stop plastic before it ends
  298. 11:49up in our oceans. Just a great example
  299. 11:51of some of the work they do. It's
  300. 11:52incredible. And actually, I'm such a big
  301. 11:55fan of their work that I also kind of
  302. 11:57wanted to share it with you. So, in this
  303. 11:59video, I've got a treat for you. The
  304. 12:01first 100 people to sign up using my
  305. 12:04code Astrum 8 will get their first month
  306. 12:07paid for by me. Yeah. All you have to do
  307. 12:11is scan the QR code on screen right now
  308. 12:13or click the link in the [music] video
  309. 12:15description. You'll get to see the
  310. 12:16result of your contribution in less than
  311. 12:1830 days. And if you want to see them in
  312. 12:20action right now, check out that mission
  313. 12:22fighting ocean plastic with the link in
  314. 12:24the video description. So, why don't we
  315. 12:26keep the good news going a little bit
  316. 12:27longer and head back to Ozone?
  317. 12:30Let's do some chemistry, shall we? So,
  318. 12:31ozone is produced when oxygen molecules
  319. 12:33absorb UV light from the sun and split
  320. 12:36[music] into two single atoms. One then
  321. 12:40reacts with an oxygen molecule to become
  322. 12:41O3. Now, ozone is pretty unstable. If
  323. 12:45you add a bit more sunshine, it can
  324. 12:46split back into O2 with one lonely
  325. 12:49oxygen atom left sort of spare, allowing
  326. 12:52the cycle to begin all over again. It's
  327. 12:54like a self-replicating planetary
  328. 12:56sunscreen whenever you need [music] it.
  329. 12:57Until you throw some chlorofluorocarbons
  330. 13:01into the mix. Then things get messy.
  331. 13:04CFCs are one of those things us humans
  332. 13:06thought we were inventing to make life
  333. 13:08better, easier, and cheaper. They first
  334. 13:11popped up in the 1890s and came into
  335. 13:14widespread use in the 1930s.
  336. 13:17Primarily used as coolants in
  337. 13:18refrigerators and air conditioners to
  338. 13:21replace toxic gases like ammonia and
  339. 13:23methyl chloride. They were also pretty
  340. 13:26effective in aerosols like deodorant and
  341. 13:28hairspray, making perfect propellants in
  342. 13:31the pressurized cans. It's important to
  343. 13:33remember when we look back at these
  344. 13:34things and obviously hindsight's a
  345. 13:35beautiful thing that at the time CFCs
  346. 13:38were considered perfectly safe. They
  347. 13:39were wonder chemicals to some,
  348. 13:41non-toxic, non-flammable and stable.
  349. 13:45CFCs are halogenoalkanes,
  350. 13:47which are molecules consisting of
  351. 13:49carbon, fluorine and chlorine atoms. The
  352. 13:52carbon-chlorine bond is long and
  353. 13:54relatively weak. Now, these molecules
  354. 13:57can float up into the stratosphere where
  355. 13:59the UV rays from the sun provide enough
  356. 14:01energy to break that carbon-chlorine
  357. 14:04bond.
  358. 14:05Bonds like the one between carbon and
  359. 14:07chlorine are called covalent bonds and
  360. 14:10they consist of two electrons.
  361. 14:13When it breaks, one of those electrons
  362. 14:15goes to the carbon and one to the
  363. 14:17chlorine, giving them an unpaired
  364. 14:19electron each. Species like these are
  365. 14:22called free radicals and they are very
  366. 14:24reactive.
  367. 14:26chlorine radicals collides with an ozone
  368. 14:29molecule, it breaks one of its
  369. 14:30oxygen-oxygen bonds, creating oxygen and
  370. 14:34a chlorine monoxide radical, ClO. This
  371. 14:37can react with another ozone molecule,
  372. 14:40producing oxygen and another chlorine
  373. 14:42radical, which goes on to react with
  374. 14:44more and more and more and more. In
  375. 14:47fact, just one chlorine radical can
  376. 14:49break down more than 100,000 ozone
  377. 14:51molecules into oxygen.
  378. 14:54Now, given that it's necessary for life
  379. 14:56on our planet, you could be forgiven for
  380. 14:57thinking that more oxygen would be a
  381. 14:59good thing, right? Well, it's good if
  382. 15:01you're on Earth's surface and you need
  383. 15:03to breathe, but it's not so good in the
  384. 15:05stratosphere, where you'd rather have
  385. 15:07the ozone keeping those UV rays at bay.
  386. 15:10The ozone-munching part of this story is
  387. 15:13one most people already know, but what
  388. 15:15most people don't realize is that while
  389. 15:17chlorine radicals do ultimately destroy
  390. 15:20ozone, they don't necessarily do it
  391. 15:23immediately.
  392. 15:24They require a very special set of
  393. 15:27conditions, and this Well, this is where
  394. 15:29Antarctica comes in. You may have
  395. 15:31noticed that the hole in all of these
  396. 15:33satellite images is always mostly over
  397. 15:35Antarctica, and there's a very good
  398. 15:36reason for that. Antarctica is the
  399. 15:39highest, driest, windiest, and coldest
  400. 15:41place on Earth. It's a continent with no
  401. 15:44countries and no permanent population to
  402. 15:46speak of, unless you count the penguins,
  403. 15:48which I do.
  404. 15:50So, this can't be CFC ground zero. How
  405. 15:52many penguins are using fridges and air
  406. 15:54conditioners and hairsprays? Well,
  407. 15:56here's what's happening. The Earth's
  408. 15:57atmosphere is continuously being stirred
  409. 15:59by winds. So, ozone-depleting gases
  410. 16:02could end up anywhere.
  411. 16:0490% of CFCs and halons, their bromine
  412. 16:07equivalents, have been released in the
  413. 16:09northern hemisphere, Europe, Russia,
  414. 16:11Japan, and North America. But, they rise
  415. 16:14up to the stratosphere in the tropics,
  416. 16:16and they are then blown polewards. And,
  417. 16:19as we mentioned, Antarctica is cold,
  418. 16:21very cold. In the long months of winter
  419. 16:23darkness, a whirlpool of winds called
  420. 16:26the polar vortex traps super cold air
  421. 16:29over this region, allowing the formation
  422. 16:31of polar stratospheric clouds. Now,
  423. 16:34these clouds are perfect for CFCs to
  424. 16:37start breaking down into those chlorine
  425. 16:39radicals.
  426. 16:41When the sunlight returns in the
  427. 16:42Antarctic spring, that chlorine that's
  428. 16:45been building up all winter starts to
  429. 16:47kick into gear, shredding through the
  430. 16:49ozone at an incredible rate.
  431. 16:52The hole just keeps growing bigger and
  432. 16:54bigger and bigger until it stabilizes
  433. 16:56with the weakening of the polar vortex
  434. 16:58as summer arrives. And then, next year,
  435. 17:00the cycle begins again.
  436. 17:03This is why the hole is seasonal, and
  437. 17:05that is why it's nearly always over
  438. 17:08Antarctica.
  439. 17:09But, just because it's all the way over
  440. 17:10there in Antarctica on a largely
  441. 17:12uninhabited continent doesn't make the
  442. 17:14ozone hole any less dangerous. It just
  443. 17:16means it's further away.
  444. 17:18Plus, what are called finger extensions
  445. 17:20can shift and expand the hole over
  446. 17:22cities in New Zealand and South America.
  447. 17:25I mean, back in 2000, residents of Punta
  448. 17:28Arenas in Chile were warned to stay at
  449. 17:30home during one of the largest seasonal
  450. 17:33ozone holes on record. UV levels had
  451. 17:36skyrocketed into the danger zone.
  452. 17:39Quite simply, without action, this hole
  453. 17:40would have kept growing, not just over
  454. 17:42Antarctica, but everywhere. The warnings
  455. 17:45were stark. By 2040, the hole would have
  456. 17:48gone global. By 2065, the UV index in
  457. 17:51the US would be 30. Usually, it's just
  458. 17:54nine. Strong enough to cause sunburn in
  459. 17:56cities like Washington, D.C. in just
  460. 17:59five minutes. DNA-mutating UV radiation
  461. 18:03would be up 500%.
  462. 18:05There would be more cancers, more
  463. 18:06cataracts, more compromised immune
  464. 18:08systems. Plants, animals, and crops
  465. 18:10would struggle. Entire ecosystems would
  466. 18:13collapse.
  467. 18:15And it wasn't just harmful UV radiation
  468. 18:17that was the problem. By the late 1980s,
  469. 18:20scientists were already seeing
  470. 18:21wide-ranging climate impacts.
  471. 18:24Jet streams were changing. Australia got
  472. 18:26drier, while parts of Uruguay, Brazil,
  473. 18:28Paraguay, and Argentina got more rain.
  474. 18:31The nature of the chain reactions meant
  475. 18:32that our atmosphere was already loaded
  476. 18:34with decades of CFCs yet to even make
  477. 18:37their impact. CFCs have a long
  478. 18:40atmospheric lifespan. They can hang
  479. 18:42around in the stratosphere causing
  480. 18:44trouble way after they were used down on
  481. 18:46the surface. CFC-11s can last 55 years,
  482. 18:50and CFC-12s,
  483. 18:52140 years.
  484. 18:54Something needed to be done, and
  485. 18:56quickly. And surprisingly, well, it was.
  486. 19:00For once, the entire world quite
  487. 19:02literally came together to act.
  488. 19:05And it worked.
  489. 19:06In 1987, 197 UN member states adopted
  490. 19:11the Montreal Protocol, or to give it its
  491. 19:13full title, the Montreal Protocol on
  492. 19:16Substances that Deplete the Ozone Layer.
  493. 19:19How grand. It was the only UN treaty
  494. 19:22ever to be ratified by every single
  495. 19:24country on the planet.
  496. 19:26This landmark global agreement
  497. 19:27introduced a plan for phasing out and
  498. 19:29eventually banning CFCs, with other
  499. 19:32ozone-depleting substances like HFCs or
  500. 19:35hydrofluorocarbons
  501. 19:36being added as they were discovered.
  502. 19:39Montreal was a real turning point, a
  503. 19:41plan to save the ozone layer.
  504. 19:44And guess what? All these decades later,
  505. 19:46it's still working. CFC emissions have
  506. 19:48fallen by an incredible 99%
  507. 19:51since the Montreal Protocol was
  508. 19:53implemented, and ozone-depleting
  509. 19:56substances in the stratosphere, well,
  510. 19:57they're falling too. Since peaking
  511. 19:59around the year 2000, levels have
  512. 20:01declined by about a third relative to
  513. 20:04pre-ozone hole levels.
  514. 20:06Yeah, as you probably already guessed by
  515. 20:08now, things had to get worse before they
  516. 20:10got better. All of those chemical
  517. 20:12reactions were baked into the system,
  518. 20:14but it could have been a whole lot
  519. 20:16worse. And this is where it becomes a
  520. 20:18proper good news story, because the
  521. 20:20ozone layer hasn't just stopped growing,
  522. 20:22it's actually started healing.
  523. 20:25The Antarctic ozone hole has been slowly
  524. 20:27improving in area and depth, if you
  525. 20:30remember those Dobson units, since the
  526. 20:31turn of the millennium. Now, full
  527. 20:34recovery is still decades away, but it's
  528. 20:36tantalizingly within reach. It's
  529. 20:38predicted we'll see a return to 1980
  530. 20:41values by 2040 for the global average.
  531. 20:44That stretches to 2045 for the Arctic
  532. 20:47and 2066
  533. 20:49in the Antarctic, because, yeah, those
  534. 20:51polar stratospheric clouds, well, they
  535. 20:53really make a difference.
  536. 20:54A recent MIT-led study published in the
  537. 20:57journal Nature added the cherry on top
  538. 20:59of the cake. Ozone layer recovery has
  539. 21:01been observed in the past, but this,
  540. 21:04well, this is the first study to confirm
  541. 21:05healing as a direct result of global
  542. 21:08actions rather than natural influences
  543. 21:11like weather.
  544. 21:12The team borrowed what are known as
  545. 21:14fingerprinting techniques from climate
  546. 21:16science, matching the specific pattern
  547. 21:18of ozone changes across different months
  548. 21:20and altitudes against what models
  549. 21:22predict. It helped researchers confirm
  550. 21:25and quantify the role of us fridge
  551. 21:27buying hairspray using pesky humans.
  552. 21:30Basically, we broke it
  553. 21:33and then we fixed it. And this is all
  554. 21:35obviously great news, but what's more is
  555. 21:37fixing the hole in the ozone layer is
  556. 21:39even helping us with things like climate
  557. 21:41change.
  558. 21:42Another study published in Nature found
  559. 21:43that if CFCs hadn't been banned in the
  560. 21:461980s, they could have raised average
  561. 21:48global temperatures by another 2.5° C,
  562. 21:52which if you've seen this channel, you
  563. 21:53know we really can't be doing.
  564. 21:55We can't get complacent though. In 2025,
  565. 21:59the ozone hole was only the fifth
  566. 22:01smallest since 1992
  567. 22:03and it was still on average 18.71
  568. 22:07million square kilometers. That's still
  569. 22:10twice the size of the contiguous United
  570. 22:13States. In a cruel twist of irony,
  571. 22:15climate change isn't helping.
  572. 22:17Temperature, weather, shifts in the
  573. 22:19polar vortex, they can all cause ozone
  574. 22:21depletion. Extreme wildfires can be
  575. 22:24doubly devastating, producing
  576. 22:26pyrocumulonimbus clouds funneling a
  577. 22:28cocktail of chemical components into the
  578. 22:31upper atmosphere.
  579. 22:32Those compounds contain, yep, you've
  580. 22:34guessed it, chlorine, which reacts with
  581. 22:36the ozone to break it down again.
  582. 22:39It's also hard to account for rogue
  583. 22:41actors who might be ignoring the ban by
  584. 22:43still using CFCs illegally. In 2017, a
  585. 22:47crack squad of scientists at Bristol
  586. 22:49University noticed rising emissions of
  587. 22:52CFC-11, banned since 2010, and turned
  588. 22:55detective to trace it back to China. The
  589. 22:59factories were eventually shut down and
  590. 23:00the emissions did drop, not just in
  591. 23:02China, but globally. Someone else had
  592. 23:05been breaking the rules, but exactly who
  593. 23:08still remains a mystery.
  594. 23:10It's tricky because we all still want to
  595. 23:11have fridges and aerosols and foam
  596. 23:13insulation, but they all need some sort
  597. 23:16of chemical cocktail to make them work.
  598. 23:19Replacements for CFCs can have their own
  599. 23:22consequences. For a while,
  600. 23:24hydrochlorofluorocarbons,
  601. 23:26or HCFCs, looked like they might do the
  602. 23:30trick, but they were also found to
  603. 23:31destroy ozone, so they too had to be
  604. 23:33phased out. Then HFCs came along, but
  605. 23:37they were a potent greenhouse gas, so
  606. 23:40they're out, too. Hydrofluoroolefins,
  607. 23:43aka HFOs, were mooted as an alternative,
  608. 23:47but they have another side effect in the
  609. 23:49formation of a forever chemical,
  610. 23:51trifluoroacetic
  611. 23:52acid. You might have heard of it as
  612. 23:54PFAS, a poly- or perfluorinated
  613. 23:57substance that will never, ever, ever
  614. 23:59break down, and is ringing alarm bells
  615. 24:01all around the world for human and
  616. 24:02environmental health, and quite rightly
  617. 24:04so.
  618. 24:05Now, looming over all of this is the
  619. 24:07meteoric rise of nitrous oxide, commonly
  620. 24:10known as laughing gas, but predominantly
  621. 24:12used in agriculture. In the last four
  622. 24:15decades, human-caused nitrous oxide
  623. 24:17emissions have soared by 40%.
  624. 24:20It's now the most significant ODS, or
  625. 24:24ozone-depleting substance, that we have,
  626. 24:27and it's not covered by the Montreal
  627. 24:29Protocol. In fact, the Montreal
  628. 24:31Assessment Panel says it's a serious
  629. 24:33threat for stratospheric ozone.
  630. 24:36Good, another one.
  631. 24:38But this alphabet soup of chemicals
  632. 24:40isn't the only potential ozone killer
  633. 24:42out there. To paraphrase Sir Isaac
  634. 24:45Newton, what goes up must come down. In
  635. 24:501985, the year the ozone hole was
  636. 24:52actually discovered, there were around
  637. 24:54120 successful rocket launches, that's
  638. 24:57satellites, payloads, and a record nine
  639. 25:00space shuttle missions. It was a busy
  640. 25:02old year for space. Now, in 2025, an
  641. 25:05incredible 4,510
  642. 25:07objects were also launched into space,
  643. 25:10overtaking the previous record in 2023
  644. 25:13of 2,903.
  645. 25:16There's currently around 15,000
  646. 25:19satellites orbiting the Earth with
  647. 25:21another 50,000
  648. 25:22set to join them by 2030.
  649. 25:25And once they're finished studying the
  650. 25:26planet or guiding your car GPS system,
  651. 25:29often satellites are allowed to fall
  652. 25:31into the atmosphere, and that's a
  653. 25:33problem.
  654. 25:34See, what happens when they do that is
  655. 25:35they burn up on reentry, and as they do,
  656. 25:39they release teeny tiny particles of
  657. 25:41aluminum dioxide. And yep, you guessed
  658. 25:43it, what does aluminum dioxide do?
  659. 25:45Depletes the ozone layer.
  660. 25:47The problem is that the new generation
  661. 25:49of satellites are extremely short-lived,
  662. 25:51maybe 5 years. So, dozens of satellites
  663. 25:53could be hurtling back to Earth quite
  664. 25:55literally every day, each one
  665. 25:57potentially destroying the ozone layer
  666. 25:58we've worked so hard to rebuild back up
  667. 26:01again.
  668. 26:02For now though, the ozone layer is still
  669. 26:04healing, and I think we have to take
  670. 26:06that as a win, while making sure that
  671. 26:07these new threats don't undo all of that
  672. 26:10hard work. The truth is life is
  673. 26:12complicated, and us humans like to
  674. 26:15complicate it even further. The bottom
  675. 26:17line is that when you mess with nature,
  676. 26:19you're always going to pay the price.
  677. 26:21But, on the whole, as climate change
  678. 26:23burns all around us, I'd like to think
  679. 26:25the healing of the ozone hole is still
  680. 26:28basically a good news story, and
  681. 26:30sometimes we just need a bit of good
  682. 26:31news, especially in climate science.
  683. 26:35So, yes, we fixed the hole in the ozone.
  684. 26:38That's why we don't really hear about it
  685. 26:40anymore, but that doesn't mean we should
  686. 26:42just forget about it.
  687. 26:44This cautionary tale is a reminder that
  688. 26:46each one of our actions has an impact. I
  689. 26:49mean, who'd have thought a deodorant
  690. 26:51used in Detroit could end up destroying
  691. 26:53a vital part of Earth's life support
  692. 26:55system over Antarctica.
  693. 26:58We could have ignored the warnings, but
  694. 27:00we didn't. Collective action on a global
  695. 27:03scale turned the ozone hole into an
  696. 27:06environmental success story rather than
  697. 27:09a planetary emergency.
  698. 27:11This to me is unequivocal proof that
  699. 27:13science plus public awareness plus
  700. 27:15crucially political action can equal
  701. 27:18results. The only sobering thought is it
  702. 27:21happened once and it doesn't feel like
  703. 27:23it's going to happen again. If this same
  704. 27:25situation was happening now in 2026,
  705. 27:28would we all rally together in the same
  706. 27:30way?
  707. 27:31I'm not convinced. The success of the
  708. 27:33ozone hole shows what humanity is
  709. 27:35capable of doing when we all come
  710. 27:36together for one unified cause. My worry
  711. 27:38is that we don't do that enough. Let me
  712. 27:41know what you think in the comments
  713. 27:42about this ozone situation and whether
  714. 27:44this is the only time that you can think
  715. 27:46of as well that humanity's come together
  716. 27:48for a wider, greater climate good cuz
  717. 27:51I struggle to think of too many
  718. 27:52examples. Thanks for watching and we'll
  719. 27:54see you in the next one.
  720. 27:55Don't forget before you go we have that
  721. 27:57great offer for you with Planet Wild.
  722. 27:58The first 100 people to sign up using my
  723. 28:00code get their first month paid for by
  724. 28:02me. So if this video inspired you, if
  725. 28:05you want to do something right now to
  726. 28:06help the planet, please do get involved.

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