What’s the best way to lift people out of poverty? — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:07In 2018, a non-profit gave every adult
- 0:11in western Kenya’s Ahenyo village $500.
- 0:15Most of their families had lived in extreme poverty for generations,
- 0:19and this sum was roughly equivalent to most recipients’ annual salaries.
- 0:24Despite all this, the money came with no strings attached
- 0:28outside a commitment to speak with researchers after two years.
- 0:32They hoped this influx of cash would lift the villagers out of poverty.
- 0:37But they also knew this could easily be the latest
- 0:40in a long line of failed philanthropic interventions.
- 0:44In the 1960s, charitable organizations began ramping up
- 0:49their philanthropic efforts,
- 0:50spending billions funding education, job training, agricultural development,
- 0:56infrastructure projects, and health care programs
- 0:59in attempts to help poor countries.
- 1:02These programs hoped to create a springboard of knowledge and capital
- 1:06that would foster financial independence and bolster struggling economies.
- 1:11But when economists started studying this kind of aid
- 1:15in the late 90s and early 2000s,
- 1:18they made some surprising discoveries.
- 1:21After running various randomized control trials,
- 1:25where one group received education or job training and another group did not,
- 1:30the researchers found this kind of aid often had minimal impact.
- 1:35School supplies failed to improve education.
- 1:38Job training didn’t always raise incomes.
- 1:41And the benefits of nutrition education varied dramatically from group to group.
- 1:47These disappointing results even extended to newer philanthropic models.
- 1:52At this time, many theorists advocated heavily for microfinance,
- 1:57a model that offered small loans to aspiring entrepreneurs in weak economies.
- 2:03But while microfinance recipients
- 2:06consistently repaid their loans with interest,
- 2:09the programs failed to meaningfully raise their incomes.
- 2:13All these failures led researchers to consider a strategy
- 2:17many considered ridiculous:
- 2:19direct cash giving.
- 2:21Most philanthropists saw this approach
- 2:24as the worst kind of shortsighted philanthropy.
- 2:27They assumed recipients would quickly spend the cash
- 2:30and then end up back where they started.
- 2:33But when researchers returned to Ahenyo two years later,
- 2:36the results were astonishing.
- 2:38Business revenues were up 65%.
- 2:43Families saved more and ate more.
- 2:46Kids were doing better in school.
- 2:48There was less alcoholism, depression, domestic violence,
- 2:52and inequality between families.
- 2:55And these impacts weren’t unique to Ahenyo.
- 2:58Since this study,
- 2:59direct cash giving has become one of the most researched poverty interventions,
- 3:05and it's consistently shown impacts that often exceed traditional aid programs.
- 3:11In fact, a subsequent study spanning hundreds of Kenyan villages
- 3:15found the surrounding economy grew by more than twice
- 3:19what was given out just a year after the cash transfers.
- 3:24However, direct cash giving isn’t a silver bullet.
- 3:28Poverty is a generational issue that requires long-term changes to solve;
- 3:33and since this intervention is relatively new,
- 3:36we still don’t fully understand the effects of cash giving
- 3:40on extended timelines.
- 3:43For example, a Ugandan study beginning in 2008
- 3:47found that while a cash transfer improved some families’ earnings
- 3:51over the first four years,
- 3:52the positive effect disappeared after the next five years.
- 3:56Then it returned again under the pressure of the COVID-19 pandemic.
- 4:02Clearly, we still have a lot to learn about how cash giving unfolds over time.
- 4:08But regardless of what we learn in the future,
- 4:11the theory for why direct cash giving works
- 4:14can help change how we think about poverty today.
- 4:17Where traditional aid programs assume that philanthropists
- 4:21have the best knowledge of a community's needs,
- 4:24cash giving programs believe the people experiencing poverty
- 4:28best understand what they need to escape it.
- 4:32For example, perhaps for one person,
- 4:34repairing their home is more important to long-term success
- 4:38than starting a new business.
- 4:40And for another, ensuring their child can finish school
- 4:44might allow them to bring in more money in the future.
- 4:47Fortunately, we can afford this kind of help.
- 4:50Today, wealthy countries spend $200 billion a year in international aid,
- 4:56and philanthropists have a trillion and a half more
- 5:00sitting in private foundations.
- 5:02We already have the means to eliminate extreme poverty.
- 5:07But doing so will require these institutions to trust the expertise
- 5:11of the people actually living in these conditions.
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