What If Every Asteroid Hit Earth at Once? (SIMULATION) — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:0666 million years ago, this asteroid
- 0:10crashed into Earth and wiped out most of
- 0:13the life on our planet, including the
- 0:16biggest, baddest things that ever roamed
- 0:19the Earth. Yeah, dinosaurs.
- 0:22If a rock this size hit us today, well,
- 0:26humans would be on the brink of
- 0:28extinction.
- 0:34Today we look at the five deadliest
- 0:37asteroids to hit Earth, either in the
- 0:39past or in the notsodistant future, and
- 0:43we slam them into Earth all at the same
- 0:46time. Spoiler alert, Earth does not win.
- 1:04We'll start with the smallest rock on
- 1:06our list, the Behringer asteroid, and
- 1:09then we'll build up to an asteroid that
- 1:12was much, much more massive than even
- 1:15the Chickixaloo that wiped out the
- 1:17dinosaurs. But before we get there,
- 1:20here's the thing about space rocks. They
- 1:23aren't some rare event. They barge in
- 1:26from space and hit Earth all the time.
- 1:29Most of these rocks are tiny meteoroids,
- 1:31just a few grams in weight, but they
- 1:34come in fast. These small meteorites
- 1:37slam into Earth at tens of kilometers
- 1:39per second. Lucky for you, they burn up
- 1:43almost instantly thanks to our planet's
- 1:45home security system, our atmosphere.
- 1:47But sometimes, Earth gets hit by a way
- 1:50more serious rock. But damage can be
- 1:53catastrophic.
- 1:56Let me take you back 50,000 years into
- 2:00the past. Earth was deep in its last ice
- 2:04age when suddenly a large space rock
- 2:08entered the atmosphere.
- 2:10This is the Behringer asteroid. For
- 2:13millions of years, it was minding its
- 2:15own business in outer space. And then
- 2:18suddenly on a perfectly ordinary day in
- 2:21what we now call northern Arizona in the
- 2:23US, this 50 m wide chunk of iron and
- 2:27nickel, that's 165 ft in diameter. This
- 2:31chunk came tearing into Earth's
- 2:33atmosphere at over 15 km/s, 9 m a
- 2:38second. And just seconds later, it
- 2:40slammed into the ground with a force so
- 2:43powerful, it was like setting off a line
- 2:46of nuclear bombs, the shock wave
- 2:48flattened everything as far as the eye
- 2:50could see. And the asteroid left a
- 2:53massive crater for us to remember it by.
- 2:56Now, what if this asteroid hit us today?
- 3:00Well, it would be just as devastating.
- 3:03If the Behringer asteroid hit Earth near
- 3:06a major city, that would be total
- 3:09destruction. This 300,000 ton bullet
- 3:13from space would explode with the energy
- 3:15of 10 megat tons of TNT. It would
- 3:18flatten skyscrapers in an instant,
- 3:21shattering glass for miles. Even if you
- 3:24weren't at ground zero, that's the exact
- 3:26point of impact, you'd still feel the
- 3:29power of its shockwave. The blast would
- 3:32deafen you and the heat would well fry
- 3:35you. The ground would shake as if a 7
- 3:39and a half magnitude earthquake had just
- 3:41hit. The Behringer wouldn't be a
- 3:44worldending asteroid, but it would
- 3:47change the world for everyone nearby.
- 3:50Now, since we want to keep things
- 3:52exactly as they happened on Earth 50,000
- 3:55years ago, this space rock would hit
- 3:57exactly where it hit then, in the middle
- 4:00of a desert. As long as you're not a
- 4:03tourist or a hiker exploring the aid
- 4:05expanse of Arizona, you'd be fine.
- 4:08Still, this new Behringer asteroid would
- 4:11leave a new crater. A crater that's big
- 4:14enough to fit the Burj Khalifa inside of
- 4:17it. This is what today's impact would
- 4:20look like.
- 4:24If you were watching the impact from the
- 4:26nearest town over, Winslow, Arizona,
- 4:28you'd see the kilometer high cloud of
- 4:31ash and fire rising from the impact
- 4:33site. About a minute after impact, just
- 4:36as you think you're safe, the sonic boom
- 4:39would reach you, knocking you to the
- 4:40ground and shattering all the windows
- 4:43around you. It would be huge, but still
- 4:46not a leveling a city to the ground kind
- 4:49of impact. Okay, while the Behringer
- 4:52asteroid is raising a plume of smoke and
- 4:54ash in Arizona, something bigger and
- 4:58deadlier is about to smash into South
- 5:00America.
- 5:02Beher asteroid demolishes Arizona.
- 5:05Arizona treated to brightest fireworks
- 5:08since the Cretaceous.
- 5:10If the Behringer asteroid did hit Earth
- 5:12today, well, those are the two fictional
- 5:15headlines you might see in the news. And
- 5:17both give a vastly different
- 5:19understanding of what happened. In
- 5:21today's landscape, finding out the truth
- 5:24of anything can be difficult. Well,
- 5:26that's where Ground News comes in. It's
- 5:28a website and an app that helps you cut
- 5:31through the noise and see how hundreds
- 5:33of news outlets are reporting on the
- 5:35same story, all in one place. One of its
- 5:38most useful features is the interest
- 5:40pages, which let you follow news stories
- 5:42in categories that you care about, like
- 5:45science, technology, or politics. And
- 5:48when you find a story that catches your
- 5:50attention, well, Ground News helps you
- 5:52understand the bigger picture by showing
- 5:54you how coverage differs across the
- 5:57political spectrum, how factual each
- 5:59source is, and what context you might be
- 6:02missing. The bias comparison feature
- 6:04summarizes the bias for left, right, and
- 6:08center publications. Do you remember
- 6:10when scientists found biomarkers for
- 6:12life on K218b? Well, we sure do, and we
- 6:15sent Chase there to find out more.
- 6:17Unfortunately, his results were about as
- 6:20varied as the news publications.
- 6:23More than 400 news stories were
- 6:25published regarding K218b.
- 6:27This article would have you believe that
- 6:29there's a 100% guarantee of life on the
- 6:32planet, while this article highlights
- 6:34that the scientists discovered hints and
- 6:37are still mostly skeptical at this
- 6:39stage. Well, coming across only one of
- 6:42these articles, you might believe it's
- 6:44either a sure thing or sensationalistic
- 6:47journalism, but with ground news, you
- 6:50can filter for bias and quickly glance
- 6:52at a publication's factuality score.
- 6:55Understanding the context of who was
- 6:57reporting on a topic will help you
- 6:59understand the truth of what actually
- 7:01happened. If this sounds like something
- 7:03that would help you sort through the
- 7:04noise and hone in on learning about what
- 7:07really matters to you, well, visit
- 7:09ground.news/wiff.
- 7:12That's ground.news/wiff
- 7:15or scan this QR code. Subscribe now and
- 7:18get a 40% discount on their unlimited
- 7:21usage Vantage Plan.
- 7:24Understanding the history, context, and
- 7:27factuality surrounding news events can
- 7:29be extremely beneficial in today's
- 7:32landscape. But the landscape of the
- 7:35ancient past had entirely different
- 7:38astrological problems to contend with.
- 7:42[Music]
- 7:45Astronomers first spotted asteroid YR4
- 7:48in December of 2024 using the Atlas
- 7:52system in Chile. And let me tell you,
- 7:55this rock almost gave us a heart attack.
- 7:58And by the way, Atlas stands for
- 8:00asteroid terrestrial impact last alert
- 8:03system. So that should give you an idea
- 8:06of why this discovery was so terrifying.
- 8:09At first, it looked like YR4 had a 3.1%
- 8:14chance of hitting Earth on December 22nd
- 8:17of 2032.
- 8:19Now, that may not sound like much, but
- 8:21in asteroid terms, that's alarm bells
- 8:24territory. Scientists worldwide
- 8:27scrambled to refine its orbit, and as
- 8:29more data came in, they were able to
- 8:31bring that number down first to 1% and
- 8:34eventually to even less than that. Now
- 8:38it's something like a 0.001%
- 8:40chance. Yeah, but that's still more of a
- 8:44percent chance than you ever want to
- 8:45hear. Of course, here on What If, we
- 8:48always imagine the worst case scenario.
- 8:49So, fast forward to 2032 and cue the
- 8:53impact.
- 8:57The thing you need to know about YR4,
- 9:00it's big. At a length of about 60 m,
- 9:03that's 200 feet. It's about the size of
- 9:06a jumbo jet. And this intruder from
- 9:09space wouldn't even need to touch the
- 9:11ground to cause serious damage. Yeah.
- 9:14Instead of directly hitting Earth, Y4
- 9:18would explode overhead like the Tungusa
- 9:21event did in 1908 in the remote area of
- 9:23Siberia. This rock would explode like a
- 9:27deadly firework and level the city
- 9:29beneath it. Buildings would collapse and
- 9:32only reinforced bridges would remain
- 9:34standing barely. Predicting exactly
- 9:38where the asteroid would hit is
- 9:40difficult. We have to take into account
- 9:42Earth's orbit, the asteroid's trajectory
- 9:45and speed. Just for starters, it might
- 9:48land somewhere in the ocean. Wouldn't it
- 9:50be more epic if it landed on land, say
- 9:54in northern South America?
- 9:58Yeah. Our deadly space traveler would
- 10:01land in Bogota, Colombia.
- 10:04Bogota, Colombia is a city of over 7
- 10:07million people tucked high in the Andes.
- 10:10But its elevation isn't going to save
- 10:12it. The skies over Bogota would light up
- 10:15as if the sun had suddenly moved in for
- 10:18its closeup. Then about 10 km above the
- 10:21city, that's about 6 milesi, Y4 would
- 10:25detonate in a massive air burst. It
- 10:28would release the energy of about 15
- 10:31megat tons of TNT. That's 1,000 times
- 10:34more than the bomb that was dropped on
- 10:36Hiroshima. The shock wave would rip
- 10:39across the city in seconds, flattening
- 10:41buildings, snapping power lines, and
- 10:43throwing vehicles up into the air like
- 10:45toys. If you were caught outside, first
- 10:48you'd be blinded by the flash and then
- 10:51knocked to the ground by the blast wave.
- 10:54Seconds later, fires would break out
- 10:56across entire neighborhoods and glass
- 10:59and debris would turn into deadly
- 11:01shrapnel. The destruction wouldn't stop
- 11:04at Bogota city limits. The Andes would
- 11:07echo with the sound of the explosion.
- 11:09Dozens of kilometers away, windows would
- 11:12shatter. Nearby towns would feel like
- 11:14they've been hit by a massive
- 11:15earthquake. Power would be out for
- 11:18millions of people. Communications would
- 11:20fail. This is where the chaos kicks in.
- 11:24But since the asteroid didn't actually
- 11:27strike the ground, well, there wouldn't
- 11:29be a crater. Instead, the city would be
- 11:32marked by a burned flattened zone where
- 11:35the blast hit the hardest. It wouldn't
- 11:37be the end of humanity, but for South
- 11:39America, it would be remembered as the
- 11:42day of the scorched Earth. Now, if
- 11:45something like Y4 was on a collision
- 11:47course with us, well, we wouldn't be
- 11:50completely defenseless. NASA has already
- 11:53tested a planetary defense strategy
- 11:55called DART. That's short for double
- 11:58asteroid redirection test. The idea
- 12:00isn't to destroy the asteroid, but just
- 12:03to redirect it while it's still in
- 12:05space. NASA tested it in 2022 by
- 12:09deliberately slamming a spacecraft into
- 12:11an asteroid moon called Demorphos, and
- 12:14it worked. When you're dealing with
- 12:16asteroids, even a tiny course correction
- 12:19years in advance can mean the difference
- 12:21between a harmless flyby and a direct
- 12:24hit. I'd still feel safer if Y4 had a 0%
- 12:29chance of hitting us in the first place.
- 12:32But it looks like it might just hit the
- 12:34moon instead. What a relief. And as if
- 12:37South America didn't have enough to deal
- 12:39with, another big strike is coming its
- 12:42way.
- 12:44Omuam Mua is a special rock on this list
- 12:47because this was the first ever
- 12:50interstellar object that we saw enter
- 12:53from interstellar space. Like it came
- 12:56from outside the solar system. And it
- 12:59was weird. Muam Mua isn't your average
- 13:02round asteroid. It's what scientists and
- 13:05I call cigar- shaped. It's 10 times
- 13:09longer than it is wide. We've never seen
- 13:12anything like it until we saw this in
- 13:152017.
- 13:18At first, it looked like a comet because
- 13:20it accelerated in a strange way, almost
- 13:22like it was being pushed. But scientists
- 13:25would never see a comet-like tail, which
- 13:28made things awkward. Now, it could be a
- 13:30fragment of a larger rock. It might have
- 13:32exotic ices in its composition, like
- 13:35hydrogen ice or nitrogen ice. or it may
- 13:39even be an alienmade object, something
- 13:43they've sent to explore our little
- 13:45planetary cluster. Either way, this
- 13:48elongated rock is about to slam into us.
- 13:52First, AmuA Mua would hit the top of the
- 13:54atmosphere, speeding at about 20 to 26
- 13:57km/ second. For a moment, it would look
- 14:01like there was a second sun over the
- 14:03Amazon. Hey, somebody give this guy a
- 14:05speeding ticket. But in just a moment,
- 14:08it'll crash into the rainforest with
- 14:10about 1 gigaton of energy. A new crater
- 14:14will be torn into the basin. A crater
- 14:17from this monster would be no joke.
- 14:19About 4 kilometers or 2 and 1/2 m across
- 14:23and 600 m or 2,000 ft deep. Everything
- 14:29inside that bowl would vaporize. The
- 14:32shock wave would race outward, snapping
- 14:34trees like matchsticks. and lighting the
- 14:37canopy on fire. From above, the world's
- 14:40green lung would turn into a ring of
- 14:43brown and black. Towns far beyond the
- 14:47horizon would feel the shock wave as a
- 14:50hard shove in a long roll. Ash would be
- 14:53falling from the sky. For days, it would
- 14:56be snowing charcoal. Oh, Mua Mua
- 14:58launching itself into Earth wouldn't
- 15:01cause an extinction level event, but it
- 15:04would definitely be a blast that the
- 15:06planet would remember. The Amazon River
- 15:08would run hot, cloudy with ash. Air
- 15:11travel would be diverted for weeks, and
- 15:14across the northern part of South
- 15:16America, crops would get less light
- 15:18under an ashy sky. We're not quite at
- 15:22the level of dinosaur extinction yet,
- 15:24but we're getting there. Over
- 15:30in Mexico, the big celebrity herself is
- 15:33about to destroy everything. This is the
- 15:37most famous asteroid out there. The
- 15:39boulder with the smolder, the
- 15:40worldending Chickixaloo.
- 15:4566 million years ago, this rock, or more
- 15:48like this mountain, smashed into Earth
- 15:51on the coast of the Yucatan Peninsula in
- 15:53Mexico. And I'm not exaggerating when I
- 15:56say it was a mountain. Chickixaloo
- 15:58measured at least 10 km wide. That's 6 m
- 16:03in diameter. That's bigger, much bigger
- 16:06than Mount Everest. After Chickixaloo
- 16:08hit, Earth was never the same. First
- 16:12came the fireball that ignited the
- 16:14forests. Then the shock wave that
- 16:17circled the globe. A lot of dinosaurs
- 16:20were killed immediately, but not all of
- 16:22them. After the great fireball came the
- 16:25great blackout. The Chickixaloo impact
- 16:29spewed dust and ash into the sky,
- 16:31blocking sunlight. For years after the
- 16:34impact, our planet was plunged into
- 16:36darkness. Many plant species died. And
- 16:39when the plants went, everything that
- 16:41fed on them went, too. This was the most
- 16:44recent extinction event in Earth's
- 16:47history. The dinosaurs never stood a
- 16:50chance. But now this monstrosity is
- 16:53coming to end you. Yeah. If this
- 16:56devastating rock were to hit the Yucatan
- 16:58Peninsula today, it wouldn't be the
- 17:00dinosaurs going extinct.
- 17:03It'll be you. At first, a bright star
- 17:06appears in the sky over the Gulf of
- 17:07Mexico. But it's it's too bright and
- 17:10it's moving too fast. In less than a
- 17:13minute, it would grow to the size of a
- 17:15blazing sun. Then the impact. The blast
- 17:19would vaporize everything in the
- 17:21vicinity. The ground would shake for
- 17:24hundreds of kilometers with the energy
- 17:26of a magnitude 10 earthquake. Coastal
- 17:30towns would turn to white hot ash and
- 17:33the skyscrapers of Cancun would collapse
- 17:36from the shock wave. Cue the massive
- 17:38tsunami. Within hours of the impact, not
- 17:41one but multiple tsunamis would be
- 17:44roaring across the Gulf of Mexico. Walls
- 17:47of water 100 m high would slam into
- 17:51Florida, Cuba, and Central America. Less
- 17:54than 48 hours later, these huge waves
- 17:57would reach Australia.
- 17:59Back in Mexico, fires would rampage.
- 18:02There'd be a thick choking cloud of dust
- 18:05and ash, sulfur everywhere.
- 18:10If somehow you survived the impact, you
- 18:13wouldn't be able to breathe. Look, the
- 18:15dinosaurs didn't survive this story 66
- 18:18million years ago. And if Chickixaloo
- 18:20were to strike again today, humanity
- 18:23wouldn't either. Not because of the
- 18:25first flash of fire, though that alone
- 18:28would cause a lot of casualties, but
- 18:30because of the long cold night that
- 18:32follows. In the weeks after
- 18:35Chickixaloop, the world would fall
- 18:37silent. Smoke and dust would block out
- 18:40the sun. Earth would be plunged into a
- 18:43cold twilight. Soon, the food chain
- 18:46would begin to collapse. Famine would
- 18:48spread faster than relief could keep up
- 18:50with it. In just a few months, humanity
- 18:53would be living in chaos, struggling to
- 18:56survive. Years later, if you were still
- 18:59around in some sort of Last of Us
- 19:01scenario, you'd be walking through an
- 19:03unrecognizable world. Forests would be
- 19:07gone, coastlines redrawn, and entire
- 19:10species would have vanished forever.
- 19:14Okay, that was devastating. The smaller
- 19:17asteroids on this list we could recover
- 19:19from. But this one, yeah, that's not
- 19:22looking good for humanity or any,
- 19:25animality, plant anity. But wait, that
- 19:28wasn't even the biggest impact.
- 19:31It gets worse.
- 19:34What's worse than that?
- 19:36[Music]
- 19:38Okay, this one is from a really, really
- 19:42distant past when Earth was young and
- 19:45very different from the Earth you know
- 19:46now. Let's go back 3.3 billion years
- 19:51ago. This is the Paleoarchian era of
- 19:55early Earth. This is when our planet was
- 19:58mostly a water world with some early
- 20:01continent-like land masses scattered
- 20:02around. There was barely any oxygen in
- 20:05the atmosphere. And with no ozone layer,
- 20:07the sun bathed Earth in lethal
- 20:10radiation. But that's okay because there
- 20:13was basically no complex life here. Only
- 20:16some single cellled organisms like
- 20:18cyanobacteria drifting in the ocean.
- 20:21Then came S2.
- 20:23[Music]
- 20:25This space rock was absolutely
- 20:28devastatingly massive. Yeah. about 200
- 20:32times more massive than Chickixaloo. So,
- 20:35if you can imagine, the impact was
- 20:38enormous.
- 20:40S2 plunged into the shallow seas near
- 20:43what's now called South Africa and it
- 20:46changed the world forever, but was
- 20:49actually kind of good for Earth. Sure,
- 20:52there were humongous tsunamis ripping
- 20:54apart coastlines across the planet and
- 20:57stripping debris from the ocean floor,
- 20:59tossing it into the atmosphere. The
- 21:01surface layers of the oceans boiled away
- 21:04and heated up the atmosphere. Molten
- 21:06rock rained down from the sky. But this
- 21:10was the kind of shakeup Earth needed.
- 21:12You see, this impact stirred up iron
- 21:15from the depths of the ocean. And this
- 21:18was a good thing because now the seas
- 21:21suddenly became full of nutrients. All
- 21:24kinds of bacteria and microorganisms
- 21:26went through a baby boom. After the
- 21:28impact, early life really started to
- 21:31flourish. But that doesn't mean this
- 21:33massive impact would be good for us
- 21:36today. If S2 hit near South Africa,
- 21:39it'll be game over for all of us. Now, I
- 21:43could stop right there, but let me give
- 21:45you some details. A fireball the size of
- 21:48a continent would rise into the sky as
- 21:51S2 violently smashed into Earth. It
- 21:54wouldn't just vaporize water and rock,
- 21:57it would tear the seafloor apart. Yeah.
- 22:01The impact crater would stretch for
- 22:03hundreds of kilometers. Earthquakes 100
- 22:06times stronger than anything recorded in
- 22:09human history would rip across the
- 22:11globe. After that, well, you know the
- 22:14drill. tsunamis, a barrage of flying
- 22:17molten rock, blocked sunlight, the
- 22:19collapse of ecosystems,
- 22:22followed by extinction of us, all of us.
- 22:27Following this, Earth would change again
- 22:30in ways we can't even predict. A total
- 22:34reset. You for sure are not surviving
- 22:37this one. Now, if only one or two of
- 22:40these asteroids hit Earth at the same
- 22:42time, we could still make it. But add
- 22:46Chickixaloo and S2 into the mix and it
- 22:49doesn't matter how many relatively small
- 22:51impacts you survive. No one survives
- 22:54meteorite S2.
- 22:56So, lucky for you that you're living
- 22:58today and not in prehistoric times where
- 23:01you'd be constantly hiding, running,
- 23:04being hunted down by the terrifying
- 23:06creatures of the past. Unless,
- 23:10well, that's a story for another. What
- 23:14if
- 23:22[Music]
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