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Weekly Recap - 2 payouts for $4,141 — Transcript

by Christopher Creamer | Orderflow Trader · 2,433 words · 343 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

Full transcript

  1. 0:00All right, what's up? It's Thrax. We're
  2. 0:02back for another weekly recap. It is
  3. 0:04Friday.
  4. 0:05The market just closed, so we're going
  5. 0:07to talk about what we were looking at in
  6. 0:10terms of analysis this week, and then
  7. 0:12I'll show you what happened with my
  8. 0:14accounts and what we have coming up for
  9. 0:15next week. So, in terms of numbers,
  10. 0:19let's just get them out of the way. This
  11. 0:21week, it was rough, but it was all
  12. 0:24right. We pulled after the profit split
  13. 0:27$4,141
  14. 0:30in payouts. We are 1 day away on this
  15. 0:34account from pulling another payout. So,
  16. 0:38currently right now, stats aren't
  17. 0:40looking too good, but we are
  18. 0:431 day away. We're on the fourth day, so
  19. 0:46we just need Monday or Tuesday. We were
  20. 0:48green every day this week on this
  21. 0:49account. Unfortunately, for this
  22. 0:52account, we did take a massive L this
  23. 0:55day, so
  24. 0:57we got $53 in the balance. It's
  25. 0:59basically cooked. I'm just seeing if I
  26. 1:02can Hail Mary this one back to life.
  27. 1:05There was one time where I actually took
  28. 1:08an account from 60 bucks and pyramided
  29. 1:10into a winning position with gold to try
  30. 1:14and and then I got it back to $2,500
  31. 1:16balance. So,
  32. 1:18obviously, the odds of that happening
  33. 1:20are not very high,
  34. 1:22but you know, we got 53 bucks plus the
  35. 1:24$100 buffer, we might as well try and
  36. 1:26make it work. So, that's what we're
  37. 1:28going to try and do
  38. 1:29when it comes to it. But, yeah, I
  39. 1:30totally destroyed this account. The good
  40. 1:32thing is is that we did pull a payout
  41. 1:34from this account, so it wasn't a total
  42. 1:36waste. And then this account, we pulled
  43. 1:39a payout from it, and then if we can get
  44. 1:411 day and if we can get 1 day on Monday
  45. 1:43or Tuesday, we'll take like another
  46. 1:464,000 or $4,500 payout, putting us up if
  47. 1:50we pull this payout, it'll put us up to
  48. 1:53about $10,000 in payouts this month or a
  49. 1:55little bit over that. And then we'll
  50. 1:57talk about the month
  51. 1:59um in the monthly recap. But, let's
  52. 2:01focus on the week here. So, not a bad
  53. 2:03week overall on that one funded account,
  54. 2:06we are up about uh $7,000 in P&L, but at
  55. 2:10the end of the day, P&L doesn't really
  56. 2:12matter. What we care about is payouts,
  57. 2:14and we took about $4,141
  58. 2:17after profit split in payouts this week.
  59. 2:20Now, I want to talk about what actually
  60. 2:22happened in terms of price action, and
  61. 2:24we're going to go over my daily
  62. 2:25outlooks, and we're going to go over
  63. 2:27what it was what was it that I was
  64. 2:29actually expecting for us to do this
  65. 2:32week. Now, let's take a quick break to
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  86. 3:11get back into the video. The week
  87. 3:13basically started right here, okay? So,
  88. 3:15this is the start of the week. Now, in
  89. 3:17the Discord,
  90. 3:19I gave a weekly outlook. So, let's take
  91. 3:22a look at it. Basically, what I wanted
  92. 3:24to see was at the open here, I was
  93. 3:27anticipating us to actually gap down on
  94. 3:30the weekly. Now, we did, we gap down to
  95. 3:33we actually gap down 300 points.
  96. 3:37Um and there was an area I was watching.
  97. 3:39So, this area right here,
  98. 3:41I was expecting us to gap into this and
  99. 3:44then to come back up. Now, we actually
  100. 3:47ended up doing that. That level around
  101. 3:49um it was 23,840 to 23,740,
  102. 3:53so it was basically right here, 23,000
  103. 3:57840 to 740,
  104. 4:02basically.
  105. 4:03It was basically right here, okay? We
  106. 4:05were looking for this area to hold. Now,
  107. 4:07of course, we had that crazy news pump
  108. 4:10that happened at the beginning of the of
  109. 4:12the week, where we pumped off of a Trump
  110. 4:15tweet for like 800 points. Now, the
  111. 4:17point is is that this area held. Now, as
  112. 4:20we were coming up, we understand that we
  113. 4:21are in higher time frame bearish
  114. 4:23structure. When we actually come up,
  115. 4:25then I am looking in premium in this
  116. 4:27area of the most recent range. I was
  117. 4:30trying to see price dig deeper into this
  118. 4:32area before we turned around, but what
  119. 4:34ended up happening is we popped up off
  120. 4:36this news candle. We kind of chopped
  121. 4:38around for a bit, and then we eventually
  122. 4:40rolled over for the week. But, what I
  123. 4:41was watching for is I was watching this
  124. 4:44area to try and hold. Now, I did say if
  125. 4:47we continue past
  126. 4:50this area, I'm expecting us to drop
  127. 4:53lower past 23,500.
  128. 4:56So, if this is 23,500,
  129. 4:58why was I looking here? Well, I was
  130. 5:01looking here because right around this
  131. 5:03area is where we have these lows, right?
  132. 5:0723,481.
  133. 5:10Ultimately, my mindset for this week was
  134. 5:13based around this area right around
  135. 5:1523,800.
  136. 5:17If it held, I was expecting us to come
  137. 5:19up into premium and potentially chop. If
  138. 5:22we get past it, I'm now looking for us
  139. 5:24to take out those lows that are over
  140. 5:26here on the 4-hour, which we actually
  141. 5:28took today and ended up taking a
  142. 5:30130-point trade on my live account with
  143. 5:33only one micro, but we still took it.
  144. 5:36So, these were the weekly levels I was
  145. 5:37watching. And as you see here, this was
  146. 5:40kind of the decision point, 24,550.
  147. 5:44Now, why is 24,550
  148. 5:46the decision point for me? So, if the
  149. 5:49decision point right here, 24,550,
  150. 5:53this was and I sent this out just so you
  151. 5:56know, on Sunday before we gap down. Now,
  152. 5:59I'm watching this area because if we get
  153. 6:01sustained buying pressure past it, there
  154. 6:03is a potential that we can start coming
  155. 6:05back up into this range up here that
  156. 6:07we're
  157. 6:08essentially leaving from right now. Now,
  158. 6:11we actually never we popped up into it,
  159. 6:13and I was watching this area kind of as
  160. 6:15the last line of defense
  161. 6:17um and we never really continued any
  162. 6:19buying pressure. So, the decision at
  163. 6:21this point, once I saw we were doing
  164. 6:22this this week, I was expecting us to
  165. 6:24roll over and target the lows.
  166. 6:27When it comes to Monday, I'm noting that
  167. 6:30we did hold this area that I had down
  168. 6:32here, and I was looking for us to
  169. 6:34potentially come up into this area, but
  170. 6:36instead,
  171. 6:38we ended up kind of chopping around.
  172. 6:40Now, the next day for Tuesday, I was
  173. 6:44essentially watching for us to
  174. 6:47either [clears throat] make our move
  175. 6:48down or pop up and then start
  176. 6:50consolidating sideways. We actually did
  177. 6:52end up kind of consolidating, but then
  178. 6:54popping up towards the end of the day
  179. 6:56here right at market close, and then we
  180. 6:58consolidated into Asia session. At this
  181. 7:01point, we're kind of just ranging here
  182. 7:03after this large move up. So, then
  183. 7:06we stayed in this range until about
  184. 7:09until about Thursday. Now, on Thursday,
  185. 7:12I said we were falling down from the
  186. 7:13overnights. We're going to see if we end
  187. 7:15up catching support in the same area or
  188. 7:17if we're going to end up falling
  189. 7:18through. So, the profile I was kind of
  190. 7:20looking at is I was looking at this
  191. 7:22area, which ended up being right around
  192. 7:25here, whether we were going to just drop
  193. 7:26through it or if we were going to pop
  194. 7:28back up and continue ranging in this
  195. 7:30area. We ended up falling through it.
  196. 7:33So, now I'm getting the idea that we are
  197. 7:35heading lower and we're going to our
  198. 7:36weekly target, which is below 23,500.
  199. 7:40So, when we open up here today, I take a
  200. 7:42look at QQQ. Now, where are we relative
  201. 7:46to price on QQQ pre-market? Well, we are
  202. 7:49below the highest net negative gex at
  203. 7:52570. Now, this is the put support. If
  204. 7:54we're going to pop back up, I would like
  205. 7:56to see this basically be held. Now, what
  206. 8:00did we do though?
  207. 8:01We're opening below it. We pop up, we
  208. 8:04drop down, and right when we get to
  209. 8:07570 on the charts, it was basically
  210. 8:09right here, we started to turn around. I
  211. 8:11go short in this area because at this
  212. 8:13point, we can't have acceptance higher
  213. 8:15above this area or we're not having it.
  214. 8:18So, I'm no longer expecting price to
  215. 8:19actually pop up, and we're also in a
  216. 8:22negative gamma environment, so I'm
  217. 8:24expecting a faster move. So, we ended up
  218. 8:26trying to target those lows that I
  219. 8:28marked out, which was our weekly target
  220. 8:30on the 4-hour. So, in terms of of weekly
  221. 8:34analysis this week, we were
  222. 8:37we did a pretty good job.
  223. 8:39Um our levels were valid, our decision
  224. 8:42points or the areas of interest where we
  225. 8:43were looking for reaction, not
  226. 8:45necessarily trying to anticipate what
  227. 8:48price was going to do, but more so just
  228. 8:50understanding that these locations were
  229. 8:52important, and we were looking to see
  230. 8:54what the reaction was actually going to
  231. 8:56be. Now, those areas were solid, and we
  232. 8:59were able to make decisions based off of
  233. 9:01that to make it so that we had a green
  234. 9:04week. Now, also during this week, I did
  235. 9:07trade a decent amount of gold during
  236. 9:09Asia session. Let's go take a quick look
  237. 9:11at that. I do not have any type of
  238. 9:15analysis that I've posted in the Discord
  239. 9:18over over this, but just to give you an
  240. 9:20idea of what I was looking at, we kind
  241. 9:22of started the week down after we had a
  242. 9:24large drop during the Sunday open. Now,
  243. 9:28on Sunday open, I actually shorted a lot
  244. 9:31of this
  245. 9:32and was able to make some profits. If
  246. 9:34we're coming out of an imbalance, I'm
  247. 9:35expecting us to try and find some
  248. 9:37balance. We end up balancing out for the
  249. 9:39first 2 days, and we pop up. I caught
  250. 9:43some of this move up right when Asia
  251. 9:45actually opened, and I did make a decent
  252. 9:47amount of money on this trade. I ended
  253. 9:50up making about, I don't know, 1,700 or
  254. 9:52$2,000 from this trade on gold, and and
  255. 9:55we made some money in NQ New York AM
  256. 9:57session, but we did catch a nice little
  257. 9:59chunk of this move. Now, we didn't catch
  258. 10:00the whole thing, unfortunately,
  259. 10:03um but that's really not the goal. I
  260. 10:04mean, it's difficult to catch an entire
  261. 10:06move. Our goal is just to try and take
  262. 10:08our piece of the pie out of it. So,
  263. 10:10that's what we did here.
  264. 10:12And then we actually shorted it on the
  265. 10:13way down. I didn't really touch gold
  266. 10:15like that today or yesterday. We were
  267. 10:17mainly just focusing on NQ because we
  268. 10:19were getting the setup that we were
  269. 10:20looking for. But, the point is this,
  270. 10:22okay? We are okay for the month. We
  271. 10:25really only have one funded account.
  272. 10:28We're net positive on the month after
  273. 10:30starting down because we blew all those
  274. 10:32accounts at the beginning of the month.
  275. 10:35This week really helped us out. Before
  276. 10:36this week, we were about break even in
  277. 10:39terms of fees, money in, money out,
  278. 10:43which really wasn't good. I kind of
  279. 10:44tilted in the beginning. We're going to
  280. 10:46talk about that in the monthly recap. We
  281. 10:48were able to take 4,100 bucks basically
  282. 10:51in payouts after split this week. Puts
  283. 10:54us in profit. And
  284. 10:57hopefully if everything goes well on
  285. 10:59Sunday's open or Monday in the morning,
  286. 11:02we can make another $200 on our Topstep
  287. 11:05account and pull like a $4,500 payout
  288. 11:08after split. It'll be probably closer to
  289. 11:104,100 bucks. And then that should put us
  290. 11:13up about $10,000 in payouts for the
  291. 11:15month. Just so you guys know, I'm going
  292. 11:17to show you what I spent in terms of
  293. 11:21uh fees and stuff in the actual monthly
  294. 11:23recap. But, overall, not a bad week.
  295. 11:27The market's finally getting out of this
  296. 11:29range. We are having moves that are
  297. 11:32sustaining some pressure, and we are
  298. 11:35looking at gold for opportunities. And
  299. 11:37we're going to try and and set ourselves
  300. 11:39up for a decent month next month. So,
  301. 11:42just a quick weekly recap. We had our
  302. 11:45analysis. We we planned out every day.
  303. 11:48We planned out the week. We had weekly
  304. 11:49levels. We planned out every day what we
  305. 11:51were expecting to see. We're using
  306. 11:53gamma. We're using higher time frame
  307. 11:56structure and higher time frame swing
  308. 11:58points as levels of interest. We're
  309. 12:00using premium and discount. And we're
  310. 12:02forming these trade ideas heading into
  311. 12:04the session every day. So, we have a
  312. 12:05plan. We have a plan of what we know
  313. 12:07what we want to look for and areas that
  314. 12:09are of interest to us. And as we watch
  315. 12:11price enter these locations, then we're
  316. 12:13making decisions that are going to help
  317. 12:15us take trades basically off of order
  318. 12:18flow confirmation.
  319. 12:20So, it was a decent way to end the week.
  320. 12:21I didn't really trade my funded accounts
  321. 12:23or my funded account
  322. 12:26today. Uh I just traded my live account.
  323. 12:28But, my live account, started it with
  324. 12:30500 bucks. We're currently at $1,100.
  325. 12:33We're going to try and see, and I'm not
  326. 12:35really like posting videos about it or
  327. 12:36whatever. I'm just trading it on my own
  328. 12:38time. But, we're going to see if I can
  329. 12:40get that up to
  330. 12:42a bigger balance, and maybe we might
  331. 12:43start swinging micros
  332. 12:45um for bigger moves uh that I hold
  333. 12:47overnight once I have the margin for it.
  334. 12:49I need like a little bit over $3,000 of
  335. 12:52margin in that account, and then we can
  336. 12:53try and swing some micros with much
  337. 12:56bigger targets, much bigger stop losses.
  338. 13:00So, we'll see how it goes. But, that's
  339. 13:02about it. So, I'll catch you guys next
  340. 13:04time. If you want to watch me trade, I
  341. 13:05trade in the morning, so be there if you
  342. 13:07want. 6:30 a.m. Pacific Standard Time,
  343. 13:109:30 a.m. Eastern Standard Time. Peace.

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