Weekly Recap - 2 payouts for $4,141 — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00All right, what's up? It's Thrax. We're
- 0:02back for another weekly recap. It is
- 0:04Friday.
- 0:05The market just closed, so we're going
- 0:07to talk about what we were looking at in
- 0:10terms of analysis this week, and then
- 0:12I'll show you what happened with my
- 0:14accounts and what we have coming up for
- 0:15next week. So, in terms of numbers,
- 0:19let's just get them out of the way. This
- 0:21week, it was rough, but it was all
- 0:24right. We pulled after the profit split
- 0:27$4,141
- 0:30in payouts. We are 1 day away on this
- 0:34account from pulling another payout. So,
- 0:38currently right now, stats aren't
- 0:40looking too good, but we are
- 0:431 day away. We're on the fourth day, so
- 0:46we just need Monday or Tuesday. We were
- 0:48green every day this week on this
- 0:49account. Unfortunately, for this
- 0:52account, we did take a massive L this
- 0:55day, so
- 0:57we got $53 in the balance. It's
- 0:59basically cooked. I'm just seeing if I
- 1:02can Hail Mary this one back to life.
- 1:05There was one time where I actually took
- 1:08an account from 60 bucks and pyramided
- 1:10into a winning position with gold to try
- 1:14and and then I got it back to $2,500
- 1:16balance. So,
- 1:18obviously, the odds of that happening
- 1:20are not very high,
- 1:22but you know, we got 53 bucks plus the
- 1:24$100 buffer, we might as well try and
- 1:26make it work. So, that's what we're
- 1:28going to try and do
- 1:29when it comes to it. But, yeah, I
- 1:30totally destroyed this account. The good
- 1:32thing is is that we did pull a payout
- 1:34from this account, so it wasn't a total
- 1:36waste. And then this account, we pulled
- 1:39a payout from it, and then if we can get
- 1:411 day and if we can get 1 day on Monday
- 1:43or Tuesday, we'll take like another
- 1:464,000 or $4,500 payout, putting us up if
- 1:50we pull this payout, it'll put us up to
- 1:53about $10,000 in payouts this month or a
- 1:55little bit over that. And then we'll
- 1:57talk about the month
- 1:59um in the monthly recap. But, let's
- 2:01focus on the week here. So, not a bad
- 2:03week overall on that one funded account,
- 2:06we are up about uh $7,000 in P&L, but at
- 2:10the end of the day, P&L doesn't really
- 2:12matter. What we care about is payouts,
- 2:14and we took about $4,141
- 2:17after profit split in payouts this week.
- 2:20Now, I want to talk about what actually
- 2:22happened in terms of price action, and
- 2:24we're going to go over my daily
- 2:25outlooks, and we're going to go over
- 2:27what it was what was it that I was
- 2:29actually expecting for us to do this
- 2:32week. Now, let's take a quick break to
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- 3:11get back into the video. The week
- 3:13basically started right here, okay? So,
- 3:15this is the start of the week. Now, in
- 3:17the Discord,
- 3:19I gave a weekly outlook. So, let's take
- 3:22a look at it. Basically, what I wanted
- 3:24to see was at the open here, I was
- 3:27anticipating us to actually gap down on
- 3:30the weekly. Now, we did, we gap down to
- 3:33we actually gap down 300 points.
- 3:37Um and there was an area I was watching.
- 3:39So, this area right here,
- 3:41I was expecting us to gap into this and
- 3:44then to come back up. Now, we actually
- 3:47ended up doing that. That level around
- 3:49um it was 23,840 to 23,740,
- 3:53so it was basically right here, 23,000
- 3:57840 to 740,
- 4:02basically.
- 4:03It was basically right here, okay? We
- 4:05were looking for this area to hold. Now,
- 4:07of course, we had that crazy news pump
- 4:10that happened at the beginning of the of
- 4:12the week, where we pumped off of a Trump
- 4:15tweet for like 800 points. Now, the
- 4:17point is is that this area held. Now, as
- 4:20we were coming up, we understand that we
- 4:21are in higher time frame bearish
- 4:23structure. When we actually come up,
- 4:25then I am looking in premium in this
- 4:27area of the most recent range. I was
- 4:30trying to see price dig deeper into this
- 4:32area before we turned around, but what
- 4:34ended up happening is we popped up off
- 4:36this news candle. We kind of chopped
- 4:38around for a bit, and then we eventually
- 4:40rolled over for the week. But, what I
- 4:41was watching for is I was watching this
- 4:44area to try and hold. Now, I did say if
- 4:47we continue past
- 4:50this area, I'm expecting us to drop
- 4:53lower past 23,500.
- 4:56So, if this is 23,500,
- 4:58why was I looking here? Well, I was
- 5:01looking here because right around this
- 5:03area is where we have these lows, right?
- 5:0723,481.
- 5:10Ultimately, my mindset for this week was
- 5:13based around this area right around
- 5:1523,800.
- 5:17If it held, I was expecting us to come
- 5:19up into premium and potentially chop. If
- 5:22we get past it, I'm now looking for us
- 5:24to take out those lows that are over
- 5:26here on the 4-hour, which we actually
- 5:28took today and ended up taking a
- 5:30130-point trade on my live account with
- 5:33only one micro, but we still took it.
- 5:36So, these were the weekly levels I was
- 5:37watching. And as you see here, this was
- 5:40kind of the decision point, 24,550.
- 5:44Now, why is 24,550
- 5:46the decision point for me? So, if the
- 5:49decision point right here, 24,550,
- 5:53this was and I sent this out just so you
- 5:56know, on Sunday before we gap down. Now,
- 5:59I'm watching this area because if we get
- 6:01sustained buying pressure past it, there
- 6:03is a potential that we can start coming
- 6:05back up into this range up here that
- 6:07we're
- 6:08essentially leaving from right now. Now,
- 6:11we actually never we popped up into it,
- 6:13and I was watching this area kind of as
- 6:15the last line of defense
- 6:17um and we never really continued any
- 6:19buying pressure. So, the decision at
- 6:21this point, once I saw we were doing
- 6:22this this week, I was expecting us to
- 6:24roll over and target the lows.
- 6:27When it comes to Monday, I'm noting that
- 6:30we did hold this area that I had down
- 6:32here, and I was looking for us to
- 6:34potentially come up into this area, but
- 6:36instead,
- 6:38we ended up kind of chopping around.
- 6:40Now, the next day for Tuesday, I was
- 6:44essentially watching for us to
- 6:47either [clears throat] make our move
- 6:48down or pop up and then start
- 6:50consolidating sideways. We actually did
- 6:52end up kind of consolidating, but then
- 6:54popping up towards the end of the day
- 6:56here right at market close, and then we
- 6:58consolidated into Asia session. At this
- 7:01point, we're kind of just ranging here
- 7:03after this large move up. So, then
- 7:06we stayed in this range until about
- 7:09until about Thursday. Now, on Thursday,
- 7:12I said we were falling down from the
- 7:13overnights. We're going to see if we end
- 7:15up catching support in the same area or
- 7:17if we're going to end up falling
- 7:18through. So, the profile I was kind of
- 7:20looking at is I was looking at this
- 7:22area, which ended up being right around
- 7:25here, whether we were going to just drop
- 7:26through it or if we were going to pop
- 7:28back up and continue ranging in this
- 7:30area. We ended up falling through it.
- 7:33So, now I'm getting the idea that we are
- 7:35heading lower and we're going to our
- 7:36weekly target, which is below 23,500.
- 7:40So, when we open up here today, I take a
- 7:42look at QQQ. Now, where are we relative
- 7:46to price on QQQ pre-market? Well, we are
- 7:49below the highest net negative gex at
- 7:52570. Now, this is the put support. If
- 7:54we're going to pop back up, I would like
- 7:56to see this basically be held. Now, what
- 8:00did we do though?
- 8:01We're opening below it. We pop up, we
- 8:04drop down, and right when we get to
- 8:07570 on the charts, it was basically
- 8:09right here, we started to turn around. I
- 8:11go short in this area because at this
- 8:13point, we can't have acceptance higher
- 8:15above this area or we're not having it.
- 8:18So, I'm no longer expecting price to
- 8:19actually pop up, and we're also in a
- 8:22negative gamma environment, so I'm
- 8:24expecting a faster move. So, we ended up
- 8:26trying to target those lows that I
- 8:28marked out, which was our weekly target
- 8:30on the 4-hour. So, in terms of of weekly
- 8:34analysis this week, we were
- 8:37we did a pretty good job.
- 8:39Um our levels were valid, our decision
- 8:42points or the areas of interest where we
- 8:43were looking for reaction, not
- 8:45necessarily trying to anticipate what
- 8:48price was going to do, but more so just
- 8:50understanding that these locations were
- 8:52important, and we were looking to see
- 8:54what the reaction was actually going to
- 8:56be. Now, those areas were solid, and we
- 8:59were able to make decisions based off of
- 9:01that to make it so that we had a green
- 9:04week. Now, also during this week, I did
- 9:07trade a decent amount of gold during
- 9:09Asia session. Let's go take a quick look
- 9:11at that. I do not have any type of
- 9:15analysis that I've posted in the Discord
- 9:18over over this, but just to give you an
- 9:20idea of what I was looking at, we kind
- 9:22of started the week down after we had a
- 9:24large drop during the Sunday open. Now,
- 9:28on Sunday open, I actually shorted a lot
- 9:31of this
- 9:32and was able to make some profits. If
- 9:34we're coming out of an imbalance, I'm
- 9:35expecting us to try and find some
- 9:37balance. We end up balancing out for the
- 9:39first 2 days, and we pop up. I caught
- 9:43some of this move up right when Asia
- 9:45actually opened, and I did make a decent
- 9:47amount of money on this trade. I ended
- 9:50up making about, I don't know, 1,700 or
- 9:52$2,000 from this trade on gold, and and
- 9:55we made some money in NQ New York AM
- 9:57session, but we did catch a nice little
- 9:59chunk of this move. Now, we didn't catch
- 10:00the whole thing, unfortunately,
- 10:03um but that's really not the goal. I
- 10:04mean, it's difficult to catch an entire
- 10:06move. Our goal is just to try and take
- 10:08our piece of the pie out of it. So,
- 10:10that's what we did here.
- 10:12And then we actually shorted it on the
- 10:13way down. I didn't really touch gold
- 10:15like that today or yesterday. We were
- 10:17mainly just focusing on NQ because we
- 10:19were getting the setup that we were
- 10:20looking for. But, the point is this,
- 10:22okay? We are okay for the month. We
- 10:25really only have one funded account.
- 10:28We're net positive on the month after
- 10:30starting down because we blew all those
- 10:32accounts at the beginning of the month.
- 10:35This week really helped us out. Before
- 10:36this week, we were about break even in
- 10:39terms of fees, money in, money out,
- 10:43which really wasn't good. I kind of
- 10:44tilted in the beginning. We're going to
- 10:46talk about that in the monthly recap. We
- 10:48were able to take 4,100 bucks basically
- 10:51in payouts after split this week. Puts
- 10:54us in profit. And
- 10:57hopefully if everything goes well on
- 10:59Sunday's open or Monday in the morning,
- 11:02we can make another $200 on our Topstep
- 11:05account and pull like a $4,500 payout
- 11:08after split. It'll be probably closer to
- 11:104,100 bucks. And then that should put us
- 11:13up about $10,000 in payouts for the
- 11:15month. Just so you guys know, I'm going
- 11:17to show you what I spent in terms of
- 11:21uh fees and stuff in the actual monthly
- 11:23recap. But, overall, not a bad week.
- 11:27The market's finally getting out of this
- 11:29range. We are having moves that are
- 11:32sustaining some pressure, and we are
- 11:35looking at gold for opportunities. And
- 11:37we're going to try and and set ourselves
- 11:39up for a decent month next month. So,
- 11:42just a quick weekly recap. We had our
- 11:45analysis. We we planned out every day.
- 11:48We planned out the week. We had weekly
- 11:49levels. We planned out every day what we
- 11:51were expecting to see. We're using
- 11:53gamma. We're using higher time frame
- 11:56structure and higher time frame swing
- 11:58points as levels of interest. We're
- 12:00using premium and discount. And we're
- 12:02forming these trade ideas heading into
- 12:04the session every day. So, we have a
- 12:05plan. We have a plan of what we know
- 12:07what we want to look for and areas that
- 12:09are of interest to us. And as we watch
- 12:11price enter these locations, then we're
- 12:13making decisions that are going to help
- 12:15us take trades basically off of order
- 12:18flow confirmation.
- 12:20So, it was a decent way to end the week.
- 12:21I didn't really trade my funded accounts
- 12:23or my funded account
- 12:26today. Uh I just traded my live account.
- 12:28But, my live account, started it with
- 12:30500 bucks. We're currently at $1,100.
- 12:33We're going to try and see, and I'm not
- 12:35really like posting videos about it or
- 12:36whatever. I'm just trading it on my own
- 12:38time. But, we're going to see if I can
- 12:40get that up to
- 12:42a bigger balance, and maybe we might
- 12:43start swinging micros
- 12:45um for bigger moves uh that I hold
- 12:47overnight once I have the margin for it.
- 12:49I need like a little bit over $3,000 of
- 12:52margin in that account, and then we can
- 12:53try and swing some micros with much
- 12:56bigger targets, much bigger stop losses.
- 13:00So, we'll see how it goes. But, that's
- 13:02about it. So, I'll catch you guys next
- 13:04time. If you want to watch me trade, I
- 13:05trade in the morning, so be there if you
- 13:07want. 6:30 a.m. Pacific Standard Time,
- 13:109:30 a.m. Eastern Standard Time. Peace.
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