Weekly Recap - $2,740 payout (rough week) — Transcript

Full transcript

1. 0:01All right. So, it's the end of the week.
2. 0:04I want to go over a weekly recap.
3. 0:07We'll talk more about analysis and what
4. 0:09I was actually looking at this week, and
5. 0:11then we'll talk about numbers. Now, this
6. 0:13week was whatever. We pulled a payout
7. 0:15this week for $2,700 from from this
8. 0:19account.
9. 0:20So, if you guys can see it, this
10. 0:21account.
11. 0:24So, we basically we're taking trades on
12. 0:28gold this week a lot. Um a lot of the of
13. 0:30some of these trades came from gold.
14. 0:32Now, in terms of NQ though,
15. 0:35um I'm going to talk a little bit about
16. 0:36that, and I'm going to talk about gold
17. 0:38as well, but we were able to take $2,700
18. 0:42in payouts from this account. We are 1
19. 0:44day away from another payout because
20. 0:46this is the consistency account. So, I
21. 0:49just need to make basically like $350 to
22. 0:52$400, and then we'll be able to take
23. 0:54another payout. The current balance is
24. 0:56sitting right around $3,703.
25. 1:00So, if we get another $300 day or $350
26. 1:03day,
27. 1:04we'll be able to take a $2,000 payout
28. 1:06next week as long as we don't mess it
29. 1:08up.
30. 1:09Then on this account,
31. 1:11we are up $4,369.
32. 1:15We are also 1 day away from a payout on
33. 1:17this account. So,
34. 1:20this week was pretty good. We did have a
35. 1:22small loss
36. 1:23on this day.
37. 1:25I'm not going to lie, yesterday
38. 1:27obviously you can tell I tilted.
39. 1:29Basically, I talked about it in
40. 1:32um
41. 1:34in Instagram post that I made, but I got
42. 1:36lucky yesterday. This account
43. 1:38realistically shouldn't be here, but it
44. 1:40is. I got really lucky. What I did today
45. 1:43is because it was quad witching, and it
46. 1:45was the quarterly end basically, is we
47. 1:47traded one account. We bought an eval
48. 1:49with a
49. 1:51with Topstep's code. We hit profit
50. 1:53target on it.
51. 1:54And then we went on this account. We
52. 1:56ended up trading like some of this chop.
53. 1:58I knew we were sitting in here, but I
54. 2:00wanted to just try it anyways. And then
55. 2:02we went up a little bit on the day, and
56. 2:04then I just like full ported five minis,
57. 2:06and then got cooked.
58. 2:07But it's all right. So, those are the
59. 2:10numbers for the week. Technically, we're
60. 2:12up on the two funded accounts. Um
61. 2:15it might have been last I I forgot to do
62. 2:17a uh
63. 2:18I forgot to do a weekly outlook last
64. 2:20week. I was just kind of busy. I forgot
65. 2:23if I blew some Apex PA accounts. I
66. 2:26forgot if it was on Friday of last week
67. 2:28or if it was on Monday of this week. I
68. 2:30think it was Friday of last week. But I
69. 2:32had three PA accounts with Apex,
70. 2:34and I blew them. But, right now we're no
71. 2:38longer copy trading because this month
72. 2:40has been a little rough for me at least.
73. 2:43So, we're just trying to focus on
74. 2:46just these two funded accounts for now,
75. 2:48and then see if we can actually pass
76. 2:49another eval. I mean, we blew this one,
77. 2:52but we're going to buy some more. And
78. 2:54then when we take a payout next week,
79. 2:56then we're going to take some of those
80. 2:57profits, and then full port some more
81. 2:58evals, and see if we can add some to the
82. 3:01army here. But I think I'm really just
83. 3:02going to focus on trading each account
84. 3:05individually, some with Asia, gold, and
85. 3:08some during New York. New York open this
86. 3:11whole entire week
87. 3:13has been a little difficult to read, at
88. 3:15least for me. But, let me go over the
89. 3:18actual weekly outlook that I had. Now,
90. 3:20let's take a quick break to tell you
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111. 3:58get back into the video. So, at the
112. 4:01beginning of this week, and I kind of
113. 4:02talk about it in I kind of talk about it
114. 4:05in my outlook that I posted at the
115. 4:07beginning in the Discord, we open up
116. 4:09somewhere around here. Okay? This is
117. 4:11like opening price for uh the week. The
118. 4:15weekly candle starts right here. Now,
119. 4:17what I wanted to see is I did want to
120. 4:19see us come down and start trying to at
121. 4:22least attack this area.
122. 4:24Now, it's Friday, and we're doing it
123. 4:26today, and we're still unsuccessful. We
124. 4:29haven't taken it yet. But, the idea for
125. 4:32this week is and this
126. 4:34was drawn out at the beginning of the
127. 4:36week. This is the area right here that I
128. 4:39was watching at the beginning of the
129. 4:40week. For us to have a healthy push
130. 4:42lower, I wanted to see us push up into
131. 4:44premium of this range right here. So,
132. 4:47I basically took swing high to swing
133. 4:49low, and we're determining where premium
134. 4:51is in this range, and then I'm looking
135. 4:54in this area
136. 4:56for us to basically drop down, and then
137. 4:58start attacking this. Now, the problem
138. 5:00that was happening this week, and even
139. 5:03up here, is I wanted us to come up here
140. 5:05during New York, so I had an opportunity
141. 5:07to try and react to this.
142. 5:10Unfortunately, it happened during London
143. 5:12session. So, I'm sleeping during London
144. 5:14session. So, when I wake up, we're
145. 5:16already down here.
146. 5:17And
147. 5:19that kind of happened a lot during this
148. 5:21week. So, before as well,
149. 5:23just so you guys know, I had a zone
150. 5:25drawn out
151. 5:27for the hourly. It was right around
152. 5:30here.
153. 5:31So, when we were opening up this week in
154. 5:33this area,
155. 5:35what I was watching for is I was
156. 5:36watching to see if this was going to
157. 5:38hold or not. If this were to hold, then
158. 5:41what I'm expecting is that I'm expecting
159. 5:43us to make that push up into here before
160. 5:45we really start pushing through this.
161. 5:47Now, we open up right here. You can see
162. 5:49this, and we immediately start pushing.
163. 5:52So, that was a sign that
164. 5:54this area is valid on this first use of
165. 5:57it, and we started to make our way back
166. 5:59up. Once we started making our way back
167. 6:01up, now my eyes are set on here because
168. 6:04I'm not necessarily expecting us to come
169. 6:06up here and take these highs because
170. 6:10I'm looking for us to come down here to
171. 6:12take these lows, and start trying to
172. 6:13attack the lows. So, again, price comes
173. 6:16up. We kind of come into the premium
174. 6:18area right on the dot of where I was
175. 6:20looking at. We make a large drop down.
176. 6:21Now, the rest of the days here after
177. 6:24Wednesday's, my bias was towards the
178. 6:27shorts. Because when we have a strong
179. 6:29reaction out of the premium of this
180. 6:30range, well, where are we probably
181. 6:32heading? First area is weekly open.
182. 6:36Second area is monthly low.
183. 6:38So, that was kind of the idea. Now,
184. 6:41later in the day, because it's still
185. 6:428:45 a.m. my time, or it's just about
186. 6:45lunchtime for New York.
187. 6:48We probably we might take this, we might
188. 6:51not. Now,
189. 6:52the idea would have been we'd taken it
190. 6:54with a little bit more speed, but here
191. 6:56we are chopping
192. 6:57basically right in this area now. That
193. 6:59was kind of the idea. Now, on gold, what
194. 7:03did we do? At the beginning of this week
195. 7:06here, is this the beginning of the week?
196. 7:07Yep. At the beginning of this week, what
197. 7:09we did is we were ranging inside of this
198. 7:12area. This area from the entire time
199. 7:15that we basically opened on Sunday until
200. 7:17we started breaking down on Wednesday.
201. 7:20The way that I played this with gold is
202. 7:22I was fading the extremes. I just kept
203. 7:25fading the extremes. Now, every time we
204. 7:28came down into discount, I was trying to
205. 7:29take it the EQ or the middle of this
206. 7:31range. And every time we pushed up into
207. 7:33premium, I was doing the same thing.
208. 7:36Now, what ended up happening is we did
209. 7:39make an attempt to break lower. This day
210. 7:42I actually caught a little bit of this
211. 7:43move. I I personally thought that this
212. 7:46was going to be the break lower. But we
213. 7:49didn't, and I just ended up trailing my
214. 7:51stop because I knew that once we start
215. 7:53approaching these levels again, we could
216. 7:55just bounce out of it because we're in a
217. 7:57balance rotation here, right? We're
218. 7:59going like this around an equilibrium,
219. 8:01and we're having mean reversion
220. 8:03tendencies. When we bounce back up, I'm
221. 8:06watching this,
222. 8:07and we start to drop.
223. 8:09Now, when we're dropping, this is
224. 8:11happening this is happening pre-market,
225. 8:14and this was happening on Wednesday.
226. 8:16Now, when I woke up and I saw that we
227. 8:17were finally making that push lower,
228. 8:20I just immediately started chasing the
229. 8:21momentum on this trade uh on this
230. 8:24movement lower with gold. If we're
231. 8:26looking at that, and we're watching us
232. 8:28just start melting, then where am I
233. 8:29expecting that we start to go? Well,
234. 8:31we're probably going to target here
235. 8:32first because that's a significant swing
236. 8:34point, and we're going to target down
237. 8:36here because it's another significant
238. 8:38swing point. So, as we're making this
239. 8:40move, I'm watching these two areas to
240. 8:43see where price is likely to take out,
241. 8:45and then whether or not we're going to
242. 8:47find balance or not. Now, we took out
243. 8:49both of those levels,
244. 8:50and now we're over here.
245. 8:52I I know we're coming down right now. We
246. 8:55may actually continue next week to take
247. 8:58this low, but you got to be careful
248. 9:01because we did just make a massive drop
249. 9:03down. So, at some point, what I'm
250. 9:04expecting is for us to maybe find a
251. 9:07little bit of balance before we make
252. 9:08another break lower or even come up a
253. 9:10little bit to retrace some of this move,
254. 9:12which is kind of what we did right here.
255. 9:14Realistically, we we would want it to be
256. 9:16a little deeper into maybe this area.
257. 9:19So, throughout the week with gold, the
258. 9:21plan was pretty simple. When we're in a
259. 9:23balance rotation, I'm fading the
260. 9:26extremes until we break out. I'm not
261. 9:29going to anticipate the breakout. I got
262. 9:31in on a good entry when that one where I
263. 9:34said I thought this was going to be the
264. 9:35breakdown lower. I got in on a good
265. 9:37entry in premium, so I was just holding
266. 9:40it and trailing the stop. It failed to
267. 9:41break lower, but I'm not trying to like
268. 9:45take a breakout down here or breakout up
269. 9:48here because we're bouncing and
270. 9:50ping-ponging off of the highs and off of
271. 9:52the lows. So, it's a dangerous thing to
272. 9:54do. So, what's the better idea? Well, as
273. 9:56long as we're staying in a balanced
274. 9:58rotation, we can just fade the extremes,
275. 10:00right? We can go long down here, long
276. 10:02down here, short up here, short up here,
277. 10:05and even on these smaller ones just
278. 10:07fading it back into the equilibrium of
279. 10:10this range if we're going to be going
280. 10:11like this, right?
281. 10:14And then once we actually break lower,
282. 10:16then we follow that momentum. We don't
283. 10:18try and fade it back. This is a lot of
284. 10:21pressure here, okay? It's pretty
285. 10:23obvious. You don't need to be a genius
286. 10:24to understand that when these candles
287. 10:26start ripping down like this and and
288. 10:29gold starts coming down a thousand a
289. 10:31thousand ticks or a hundred plus points
290. 10:33in the matter of three hours, this is
291. 10:35very aggressive.
292. 10:37Do we want to step in front of this? No.
293. 10:41What's a better idea? When we go from
294. 10:44fading the extremes in a balanced
295. 10:45rotation, we go from balance to
296. 10:47imbalance, well, let's follow that
297. 10:49momentum lower. And so that was kind of
298. 10:51the idea for gold. With gold
299. 10:54this morning, I actually took a short as
300. 10:55well.
301. 10:57Now, the problem is is that I took my
302. 10:58short up here
303. 11:00just to target these lows premarket
304. 11:03and then I got out of it. Or I yeah, I
305. 11:05took it up here to just target right
306. 11:06here and I got out of it. We actually
307. 11:08ended up coming down way more,
308. 11:11you know, so I kind of
309. 11:13this like this morning on uh the account
310. 11:15I made 400 bucks on, it looked something
311. 11:18like this. I think I went short right
312. 11:19here.
313. 11:20I had a stop right here.
314. 11:23And then I was just targeting this low
315. 11:26right here.
316. 11:27And so it was a it was a two-hour trade,
317. 11:30but
318. 11:31you know, we kind of we kind of sold a
319. 11:33little early, but it's all right, you
320. 11:34know, my goal is not necessarily to
321. 11:36catch these entire moves. I just want to
322. 11:38catch what I think is higher probability
323. 11:41and what I think I can actually just
324. 11:42extract out of the market. So, that was
325. 11:45the idea this morning with gold. I was
326. 11:46bearish this morning with gold, but
327. 11:49when I'm trading premarket, I usually
328. 11:51don't trade gold during New York, but
329. 11:53recently it has been moving a little
330. 11:54bit, so I've been trading um I mean,
331. 11:57obviously, but I've been trading
332. 11:59premarket, and so that's what we did
333. 12:01here today with this. The past couple
334. 12:03weeks have been pretty rough. Now, the
335. 12:05reason why it's been pretty rough is
336. 12:06because we're behaving a little bit
337. 12:09differently on NQ. And what do I mean by
338. 12:12that? Well,
339. 12:13previously, what was usually happening?
340. 12:16Well, we would have like
341. 12:18smaller ranges during um the overnight
342. 12:22session for Asia and London, and then we
343. 12:24would have New York have expansion days
344. 12:27or or just like actually resolve the
345. 12:30true direction of which way we're going
346. 12:31or truly take out lows and highs of the
347. 12:33previous sessions or just make a move.
348. 12:36What's been happening is, for example,
349. 12:39let's go literally day by day.
350. 12:42If you wake up in the morning and you're
351. 12:44trading
352. 12:45NQ,
353. 12:47this is New York open. Now, this one is
354. 12:50pretty clean because we do have defined
355. 12:52extremes on like a defined high and a
356. 12:54defined low, so if you wanted to trade
357. 12:57mean reversion tendencies throughout
358. 12:58this area, you definitely could. This
359. 13:01one's a little bit cleaner. So, it
360. 13:03wasn't as bad, but we were kind of just
361. 13:06bouncing back and forth. This is Monday.
362. 13:09If we go to Tuesday,
363. 13:10what happens on Tuesday? Well, we make a
364. 13:13massive move premarket. This is
365. 13:16premarket. Market opens right here,
366. 13:19and I actually took this trade where I'm
367. 13:21targeting just these highs for a quick
368. 13:24one to one,
369. 13:25but then right after we take the highs
370. 13:27for the rest of the morning, we're on
371. 13:29and you probably have a lot of
372. 13:31traders who are sitting here like trying
373. 13:34to trade this,
374. 13:36trying to trade this area. This is
375. 13:38nasty. This is account killer price
376. 13:41action right here. If you're not careful
377. 13:42about it, especially if you're like a
378. 13:44breakout trader or you're trying to like
379. 13:47trade breakouts, you will get absolutely
380. 13:48smoked right here. And so that's that
381. 13:51wasn't clean price action for Tuesday on
382. 13:53NQ. Then what do we do?
383. 13:56What do we do this day?
384. 13:58The day that we came up into my level
385. 13:59that I was watching.
386. 14:02We have Asia make a massive run.
387. 14:05Opens up and we run for about 150
388. 14:08points. Barely any pullbacks, really no
389. 14:11pullbacks. And we actually continue all
390. 14:13the way up for over 200 points.
391. 14:16Then we have London
392. 14:19put in the top,
393. 14:20and then premarket we start to drop.
394. 14:23Now, premarket is dropping very
395. 14:26aggressively.
396. 14:27This is before market even opens. We're
397. 14:30taking this out before market even
398. 14:32opens.
399. 14:33Even down here, we took this out before
400. 14:35market opens. So, if the idea was
401. 14:39like oh, well, I'm watching this area. I
402. 14:42want to see price price push into it and
403. 14:44then drop lower, and then we're going to
404. 14:46be targeting this area, well, now we
405. 14:48have a problem. And what's the problem?
406. 14:50Well, that entire move literally
407. 14:52happened before market even opens. So,
408. 14:55then what happens actually during market
409. 14:57open? Well,
410. 14:59where is it? Right here. We open up, and
411. 15:01you know what we do? We literally start
412. 15:03barcoding. You have people who are
413. 15:05trying to
414. 15:07you have people who are trying to
415. 15:08basically trade the breakout
416. 15:10and the breakdown, and in this area, all
417. 15:13the way up until this candle,
418. 15:15they're getting absolutely smoked, and
419. 15:17then we finally actually break down,
420. 15:20but it's just been a bit weird because
421. 15:23we're having these moves like these
422. 15:25large moves happen before market even
423. 15:27opens. I mean, here we are again for
424. 15:30Thursday. What did we do on Thursday?
425. 15:33Well,
426. 15:35market opens, we make a push down, we
427. 15:38snap back up, and then we just start
428. 15:39ranging.
429. 15:41People who are trying to trade
430. 15:42breakdowns here are getting smoked.
431. 15:44Trying to trade the breakout here is
432. 15:45getting smoked until this one.
433. 15:47But how many times for most people did
434. 15:50they have to attempt a breakout higher
435. 15:52to finally be able to catch this one?
436. 15:55Some of them probably didn't even have
437. 15:56an account left by the time like this
438. 15:59actually happened.
439. 16:01And then
440. 16:03today it's damn near the same
441. 16:05Today was a little bit cleaner, and the
442. 16:06reason why is because we actually made a
443. 16:09directional move off the open, but once
444. 16:12we take these lows,
445. 16:13what do we start doing? Well,
446. 16:16we start doing the same thing. I mean,
447. 16:18look at this. People are trying to trade
448. 16:20this. I know I traded it, but I traded
449. 16:22it on an eval. I didn't trade it on um I
450. 16:25was trying to fade the range a little
451. 16:26bit. I did try and
452. 16:27take a breakout right here. Top step
453. 16:29didn't fill me, which is kind of
454. 16:31but whatever. It's the eval.
455. 16:33But like,
456. 16:34why are you trading this, right? Like,
457. 16:36if you're if you're on a funded account
458. 16:38or an account that actually matters, why
459. 16:40are you trying to trade this?
460. 16:43We're literally
461. 16:44this is this is terrible. This is not
462. 16:47like a clean balanced rotation like we
463. 16:48saw when I was showing you Monday. This
464. 16:51is nasty. These are large wicks. There's
465. 16:54a very weak defined low and a weak
466. 16:57defined high.
467. 16:59And we're just snapping back and forth
468. 17:01in between them.
469. 17:03And so this week has been a little rough
470. 17:04for me in terms of reading where we're
471. 17:07going during New York because a lot of
472. 17:10my a lot of my framing or context when
473. 17:14it comes to
474. 17:16trying to understand like my bias for
475. 17:19New York is I'm essentially watching
476. 17:22what the two sessions have done before
477. 17:24it and it's and it's setting up the
478. 17:26profile that I'm expecting for New York.
479. 17:28Now, when those sessions like Asia and
480. 17:31London are just they're the ones that
481. 17:33are actually taking out targets and
482. 17:34hitting key areas that I've marked out
483. 17:37at the beginning of the week, it makes
484. 17:38it really difficult for me. And so
485. 17:41I've been a bit more passive in terms of
486. 17:44trading New York open recently, and I'm
487. 17:48trying to just pull payouts
488. 17:51so that this month isn't a waste of
489. 17:53time.
490. 17:54But we do need to adapt to the new
491. 17:57market conditions that we're currently
492. 17:59seeing the past two weeks. There's a lot
493. 18:01of indecisiveness off the open, and also
494. 18:04volume is dropping. If you notice off
495. 18:06the open, if you're paying attention to
496. 18:08volume, we're not getting the same
497. 18:10amount of opening print volume that we
498. 18:11usually do, and that to me is a red flag
499. 18:15when it comes to trying trying to trade
500. 18:17the open. So, because of that, and I
501. 18:20noticed that this is happening last
502. 18:22week, it really me up, but this
503. 18:24week, I kind of understood what was
504. 18:26going on. Now, when I notice this is
505. 18:29happening, then what am I going to do?
506. 18:30Am I going to try and force in
507. 18:32here?
508. 18:33No, not really. I'm going to start
509. 18:35shifting my focus. I'm shifting my focus
510. 18:37over to gold for now because gold is
511. 18:40moving a lot cleaner.
512. 18:42And back in October or November when
513. 18:47when NQ was doing something similar, NQ
514. 18:49was like chopping off the open, and it
515. 18:52was just on some [snorts]
516. 18:54well, I actually stopped trading NQ
517. 18:57entirely for like two months straight,
518. 19:00and I was only trading gold. And
519. 19:03NQ started moving a little nicer, so we
520. 19:05went back to NQ, but now it's kind of
521. 19:07like giving me a little bit of deja vu.
522. 19:09So, am I going to try and force trades
523. 19:12on an asset during New York that's just
524. 19:14not really cooperating well, and it's
525. 19:15not having clean moves, and we're kind
526. 19:17of just chopping back and forth? No.
527. 19:20I'm just going to start taking my
528. 19:21attention towards gold during Asia. Now,
529. 19:23that doesn't mean I'm not going to trade
530. 19:25NQ during New York, but it's just
531. 19:27something to know. It's something to
532. 19:28think about because these types of
533. 19:30conditions for me and the way that I
534. 19:31trade, they're dangerous.
535. 19:34They are dangerous. They cause blown
536. 19:35accounts for me. And so I need to be
537. 19:37careful about that, obviously.
538. 19:40And we need we need to do a little bit
539. 19:42of risk control, little bit of damage
540. 19:43control. And the way that we're going to
541. 19:45do that
542. 19:47is just by being cautious about it. We
543. 19:50or conscious about it. Like we
544. 19:51understand what's happening and so we
545. 19:54wait. I'm more passive right now
546. 19:57when I'm trading NQ than normal.
547. 20:01Now, if you watch some of my streams,
548. 20:03especially the past 2 weeks, sometimes
549. 20:06I'm just like sitting there doing
550. 20:08nothing, right? And if you've been
551. 20:09around for a little while, I used to be
552. 20:12more aggressive when we would just like
553. 20:14open and make a run, right? I would just
554. 20:15like hop in or I'd wait for a quick
555. 20:17pullback and I'd get in because it was
556. 20:19directional and that was a pattern that
557. 20:21was happening during, you know, February
558. 20:24and January. Now, it's different now.
559. 20:28And so, I'm like more passive. I'm off
560. 20:30the gas. I'm I'm thinking more about
561. 20:32capital preservation, especially after I
562. 20:34blew my accounts like at the beginning
563. 20:36of this month and fumbled a 8-grand
564. 20:38payout. So, that kind of pissed me off,
565. 20:40right? So, I need to be careful. So, at
566. 20:43the end of the day, just to summarize
567. 20:45everything, so far, I mean, for this
568. 20:47week, our analysis was pretty decent. We
569. 20:50did have these areas that we were
570. 20:51watching. It played out how we wanted it
571. 20:53to play out. We just weren't able to
572. 20:56catch the larger side of these moves
573. 20:59because it was happening overnight while
574. 21:01I was sleeping or pre-market as I was
575. 21:03just waking up.
576. 21:05And we got left with some New York chop.
577. 21:08Even with those with that being said,
578. 21:10it's still not a bad week for me in
579. 21:13terms of these two funded accounts,
580. 21:15right? So, we're going to try and pull
581. 21:17payouts on them next week. We're going
582. 21:20to try and build up the funded army
583. 21:22again and we're going to take a chill
584. 21:24pill on the copy trading for now. I
585. 21:26don't think that this is proper
586. 21:27conditions for me to try and be copy
587. 21:29trading.
588. 21:30Um I think that these types of
589. 21:31conditions I am going to blow some
590. 21:33accounts. So, if that's going to be the
591. 21:34case, then I need to limit that, right?
592. 21:37We don't want to blow all of them at the
593. 21:38same time. Hopefully next week we get a
594. 21:40little bit of better price action, but
595. 21:42if not, we'll just continue doing what
596. 21:43we're doing and we'll we'll focus on
597. 21:45just try not to blow accounts and and
598. 21:47staying alive. And then I will catch you
599. 21:49guys next week. Peace.