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Week 2 NFL Mega Preview! | Ringer Wise Guys — Transcript

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0:18All right, welcome to Ringer Wise Guys
0:20week 2 preview here on a Friday. A
0:24billion points, a billion and one ways
0:27to win on FanDuel last night with the
0:29Lions and Bills. Various player props
0:32going over. Keep those coming. I'm on
0:33RAW. Let's do it. And let's first say hi
0:35to the Ringer Wise guys. You know him
0:38from Fairway Rolling. And from last
0:40night with Bill Sibs, Joe House, how do
0:43you like those points? Cousin S. I I
0:46love the points, but the only person I
0:48care about winning is you, buddy. You're
0:50coming in here hurt. The people need to
0:52know that cousin S is fighting tooth and
0:55nail for his life against the kidney
0:58stone, but this man is is here to to
1:01power through and give everybody across
1:04America winners. Great job by you,
1:06Cousin S.
1:06>> Is that a hippo violation?
1:08>> Let's see. Yeah, it might be. It's a
1:10hippo violation, I think. Uh if it's if
1:13it's for me. Yeah, you might hear a
1:14scream in Beijing um somewhere through
1:16this podcast and it won't have anything
1:18to do with Cowboys and Commander House.
1:20You and I going headtohead. All right,
1:22Raheem Palmer's here. Yes, he hit his
1:24wise wager last week. He has a top the
1:26standings with the Bundo, ready to
1:28defend his title from last week. Raheem,
1:31welcome. Yeah, I'm trying to go back to
1:33back. I mean, it's about time. You know,
1:35we've been killing it on our best bets.
1:37We hit last night with the Buffalo Bills
1:40minus 4 and a half, five and a half.
1:42Team total over 30 and a half. So, we're
1:45trying to keep this momentum going and
1:47keep it moving. hopefully cash some
1:48tickets for you guys.
1:50>> All right, we also have our man's best
1:52bet category and that's whoever picks
1:54the best underdog each week and the
1:56Bundo Tony Tokens was the only one to
1:58pick an underdog correctly last week.
2:00Kind of I guess you know there were a
2:02million moving parts last week and I
2:04failed to notice guys that the Bundo
2:06took the Jets as his underdog at plus
2:08106. What a disgraceful way to start the
2:11Bundo and you're counting that as a win.
2:12It should be said there weren't a lot of
2:14underdog wins to be had at all. If you
2:16go look through the the list, it was
2:18just the Jets, the Cardinals, and the
2:20Giants that pulled off those big wins.
2:22Two of which we we did have as a
2:24podcast. But
2:25>> but
2:26>> I have a more juicy one this week. And
2:29it's our
2:31juicy plus 106.
2:33>> Brian, that's nonsense, man. We'll send
2:35it's actually plus ringer 107. I like
2:38when they they do the they do the
2:39underdog picks on like CBS and Fox and
2:41it's just like actual favorites that
2:43they're taking like is my upset special.
2:45It's like yeah Terry they're favored by
2:47three and a half. So all right we got
2:48all that. We have 15 games to hit. We're
2:51going to uh recap last night's I I think
2:53it's it's still going. What a what a a
2:56bombfest that was. 312 What was it?
2:593121. No, we're 35. What was the score?
3:02I don't know. 4131.
3:03>> 34 24. Yeah. A million points,
3:06>> right? 4131. We were tracking it. Uh
3:08let's first hear from our presenting
3:10sponsor. Bringinger Wise Guys is
3:12presented by FanDuel. The NFL is here
3:14and it's your most rewarding season ever
3:17on FanDuel. With the allnew FanDuel
3:19Rewards Club, every eligible bet can
3:21earn you points. Win or lose. The more
3:23points, the bigger the rewards you can
3:25unlock. Head to fanduel.com/wiseguys
3:28to start earning with FanDuel Rewards
3:30Club. You have to be 21 or older in
3:32select states, 18 or older in DC,
3:34Kentucky, or Wyoming. And if you have a
3:36gambling problem, call 1 800 gambler.
3:38Call 18887897777
3:42or visit ccpg.org/hat
3:45in Connecticut. All right, there you go.
3:484131. That was the final. I I guess cuz
3:52they're still scoring. I had to check
3:53in. I refresh refresh. Congrats to all
3:55the over players. No sweat. I was hoping
3:58for a cheap back door cover by Detroit.
4:00Did not happen. Super entertaining game
4:02if you like scoring house. And uh that's
4:05what it was.
4:06>> Well, and it just picks up the theme of
4:08the entire week. And there are some
4:10teams now that we can circle. Buffalo is
4:12one of them. The Lions is one of them.
4:14Chicago is another one where you're just
4:17looking at these teams getting out and
4:18and the advantage they have on offense.
4:21The Lions especially, uh, we were having
4:24in in one of our threads a wonderful
4:26time tracking the number of touchdown
4:29drives by their opponent over the last,
4:32you know, what is it, dozen drives or so
4:34that that they've been on defense. I
4:36think they gave up a touchdown on 10 of
4:38them. Just incredible job by the Lions
4:41defense.
4:42>> Yeah, it was something crazy like 12 out
4:44of 13 or something, but yeah, it had hit
4:4510 in a row. Um, you know what we what
4:48hit? Our same game parlay Raheem. We
4:50hit, we gave out on the show. Gibbs
4:52receptions over, Knox reception's over.
4:54Concaid reception's over. Paid almost
4:56six to one. That's a nice way to go.
4:58>> Yeah, that was the same game parlay game
5:01of the year. I mean, just one of those
5:03times to where everybody eats, everybody
5:06scored. So, that was the game to hit the
5:08same game parlay. But what I want to
5:09really talk about is if you look at Josh
5:12Allen, the way he's playing right now,
5:14he's been absolutely dominant. and
5:16looking at this Bill schedule, and I
5:17said this before on one of our shows,
5:20that based on the schedule and the
5:22gauntlet that the Buffalo Bills have, if
5:26the Bills can get off to a hot start, he
5:28might be the front runner for MVP. And
5:31right now they're two and a two and 0
5:33against Houston and Detroit, but then
5:35they take on the Chargers, then they
5:37take on New England, then they take on
5:38the Rams, that five game stretch, I
5:42mean, it's going to be very key for the
5:43MVP. So, look out for FanDuel. Look out
5:46for what Lamar Jackson does this
5:48weekend. But if he doesn't have a big
5:51game, it's pretty clear that Josh
5:53Allen's going to put a strangle hold on
5:54this thing very quickly.
5:56>> Yeah, I checked those odds early this
5:57morning. He's plus 260 already. We're
6:00not even two full weeks in. He's plus
6:02260. Raheem, you're right. It might be
6:05even odds if they go 5-0 after those
6:07five. Nine touchdowns in five days. The
6:11Bundo for Josh Allen.
6:14you know, he he's playing at a level
6:16that I'm not even sure he's previously
6:18played at. You know, there was one
6:19stretch in the season, the famous 13
6:22seconds game, but even the second half
6:23of that season where the Bills offense
6:25was just operating at a level that we
6:27haven't really seen. But I think it is
6:29worth noting that this was not the same
6:31offense last year, and we mentioned this
6:33last night on the show, but they're just
6:36unleashing him in ways they hadn't
6:38previously done. You know, when Joe
6:40Brady came in after they fired Dorsy, it
6:44was at a period when Allen was making a
6:45lot of mistakes and committing a lot of
6:46turnovers and Joe Brady fixed the
6:49offense by taking the reigns away from
6:52Josh out a little bit. They ran the ball
6:54more and that was really their identity
6:56under McDermott with Brady as the OC for
6:58two years. They ran the ball one of the
7:00highest rates in the league. It was a
7:01great O line and a great running game.
7:03this year. Yes, Cook had his moments
7:05last night, but this does feel like
7:07we're going back in time to the 2022
7:09Bills, uh, the Bills teams that relied
7:11so much on Josh Allen just making plays
7:13that almost nobody else can make.
7:17>> Yeah, I want to put him in a hyperbaric
7:19chamber cuz I mean, we we need to see
7:22him all season long. I don't love him
7:25running as much as he is. And especially
7:27once they get inside the 20, he's he's
7:29putting his head down and going to the
7:30to the goal line. And it's it's it's a
7:32little early, Josh. I I I I love it,
7:35man. He's he's he's top dog, but I want
7:38to see him all season long.
7:40>> Yeah. Yeah. Last night though,
7:42especially looked like if you didn't
7:43know the schedule, you would say, "Oh,
7:45only one of these teams is playing on
7:46three days rest, right?" Like that Lions
7:48defense looked It looked like Allen
7:51could take off for 20 yards of daylight
7:54on several plays, especially early on.
7:57>> Oh, yeah. Without a doubt. And you know,
7:58I I I said this last night, it almost
8:00felt like the Bills kind of left some
8:03meat on the bone because the moment that
8:05DJ Moore got hurt, you saw less
8:07explosives. And you know, instead of it
8:10taking them four or five plays to score,
8:11it took him 15. So, you got to give some
8:14credit to what DJ Moore has done for
8:16that offense. He's really stretched the
8:18field and opened things up for other
8:19people. And this is probably the most
8:21explosive Bills offense we've seen in
8:23quite some time. So, um, it's going to
8:25be interesting watching them going
8:26forward because I kind of think that
8:28they're like a wealthy man's version of
8:30like the Bengals, the Cowboys, the
8:33Bears. I don't really trust the defense
8:35that much, but obviously they probably
8:37have a top two quarterback in this
8:40league, whether you want to put him
8:41first or second or you um it's clear
8:44he's first or second, but um you know, I
8:46just think the Bills team is very
8:49similar to those teams where they can
8:51score at will, but I don't know if
8:53they're going to be able to get stops in
8:54key moments.
8:55>> Yeah. So, you brought up the DJ Moore
8:57injury. It's it's it's funny. Well, it's
8:59not funny, but it's interesting, Raheem.
9:00You and I specifically were going back
9:02and forth like, "Wow." So, the top two
9:04trades of the year, there's already an
9:06injury. Miles Garrett, AJ Brown, who's
9:09going to be the third. Remember, we were
9:11going back and forth.
9:11>> Oh, yeah.
9:13>> It's It looks like it's DJ Moore. Is
9:15that a broken collar bone or did I read
9:17that wrong? Is that I mean, he's out for
9:19>> No, I think I thought it was joint
9:21sprain.
9:22>> Oh, joint sprain. Okay, joint.
9:23>> I think he'll be back. I think I
9:25actually think his injury is probably a
9:27little better than you know what Nico
9:29Collins has going on right now with the
9:30hamstring or Z Flowers. So, um you know,
9:34maybe he'll be back in a week or so.
9:36>> Yeah.
9:36>> Yeah. I would bet he plays in week
9:38three. If not, he doesn't miss more than
9:40a week.
9:41>> Okay, that's better. See, my doctor
9:42information is just terrible and you'll
9:44learn when it landed. Like certainly the
9:47the Twitter doctors and the chat
9:50observers and the prognosticators of
9:53>> potential injury thought that it was a
9:55collar bone, but it appears he avoided
9:57that.
9:58>> Uh, one more thing on Josh Allen. I
10:01think I have to read this right. I think
10:02he's going to break Eric Dickerson's
10:05number for rushing touchdowns. I think
10:07next year he has a chance to break like
10:09Barry Sanders and Marshall Fox.
10:12Yes. Yes. You guys are all around 100.
10:15Yeah,
10:15>> Raheem 6's really nuts. It's really
10:17stupid. He hates Josh Allen. He can't
10:19wait to come on in January and say,
10:21>> "We got to make this clear. I like Josh
10:23Allen. I don't like how the media covers
10:26him."
10:26>> When the Bills 37 in January, they're
10:29going to say, "Well, you know, Josh
10:31Allen,
10:32>> but then also defense has problems. We
10:35could talk about that.
10:36>> They're not covering anybody. I look,
10:38he's a one of the best regular season
10:41quarterbacks we've ever seen. He's
10:42pretty good in the playoffs, too.
10:43>> Really deny it?" Yeah, exactly.
10:45>> I'm not going to lie, there is a little
10:47bird and magic type thing.
10:48>> It's Bird and Magic in 88. Lamar is my
10:51guy, so I ride with Lamar. But I just I
10:54I I just I generally just did not like
10:56how he was covered for much of the last
10:58couple of years. It's just like I don't
11:01know. If you see it, you see it. If you
11:02don't, you don't.
11:03>> Now, in the Raheem's right, though, in
11:05the past, there would rarely be a this
11:07is clearly the best QB in the NFL
11:10discussion around somebody who hadn't
11:11won in the playoffs. Now, personally,
11:13>> as a nerd, I don't mind too much when
11:16people don't overindex on singular close
11:19playoff games, but given the standard
11:21we've usually applied, Raheem is right
11:23in the sense that it is unusual that he
11:25gets a pass for playoff miscues.
11:28>> Well, I'll put it this way.
11:30>> Yeah,
11:31>> it's been three straight years where
11:33he's had the ball in his hands with a
11:35chance in a postseason game to take the
11:38lead and just walk it off. Yeah,
11:41>> I know when Mahomes got the ball in his
11:43hands and the game is tied or he's
11:46behind, he's winning that thing. I ain't
11:48see Josh Allen do that. Now, obviously
11:50the 13 seconds, the 13 seconds happened,
11:52but that was five years ago.
11:55>> That's the hierarchy though, right? Cuz
11:56Mahomes beats Allen, so that's why we
11:58always talk and Allen beats Lamar even
12:01though Lamar has like two MVPs. That's
12:03kind of how it's been in the last few.
12:05>> But I mean, you got people saying you
12:06got people saying Josh is over Mahomes
12:09now. Granted, statistically Josh has
12:12been better, you know, over the last
12:13couple of years, but it's like,
12:15>> right, that has been the case the last
12:16two years.
12:17>> Yeah, but it's like, yo, you got when it
12:19matters, like you've had two straight
12:21years against Kansas City. When it
12:23matter,
12:24>> you couldn't get it done.
12:27>> Surgeon versus the battering ram is how
12:29I describe Mahomes as an Allen. you
12:31know, Mahomes is still a surgeon and he
12:33doesn't always need to bring the uh the
12:35a game, but he can be surgical and he's
12:37much more precise and I think a better
12:39decision maker versus, you know, Josh
12:41Allen just runs people over and throws
12:43all and does things other quarterbacks
12:44can't do for 20 games a year.
12:46>> Surgeon and the what? What was it? It
12:48sounds like a battering. Yeah. Okay.
12:50Yeah. Get going.
12:53>> That's not how we're describing your
12:55kidney stone, right?
12:56>> Oh my god. No. Okay.
12:59God, I was worried. That was
13:01>> uh the Vikings.
13:02>> Y'all keep bringing it up and it's going
13:04to make it hurt worse for him.
13:05>> I know. Thank you, Raheem. Yes.
13:07>> Like he's lying over the matter right
13:09now completely ignoring it. Y'all keep
13:11bringing it up.
13:12>> I'm going to present it right here on
13:14screen and then we're going to lose all
13:15our Twitch followers. Uh everybody. Uh
13:17so, all right. So, let's hit at hit the
13:19game of the week. I think Vikings at
13:22Bears Chicago 4 and a half. The total is
13:2547 and a half. When Simmons and I did
13:27it, it was 5 and a half. So, this has
13:28gone down a point. Uh, Joe House, you
13:31have a nice looking SGP for this
13:33particular matchup.
13:38>> No.
13:39>> Did we lose House? What happened?
13:41Hilarious.
13:41>> Come on. Right here. What happened?
13:42>> Lost his kidney. Go ahead.
13:44>> Oh, I'm I feel like I'm here.
13:47>> Yeah. I I've seen a lot of folks weigh
13:48in on the side of of the Vikings. I just
13:51can't do Carson Wentz on the road. Um,
13:54the Bears and the Vikings play each
13:56other tough. Last year they split. Uh
13:58the the Vikings went into Soldier Field
14:00in week one and beat the Bears outright
14:02with JJ McCarthy at quarterback. That
14:04really happened. Uh I like this this uh
14:08commitment by the Bears. It's a great
14:10bit. We're going to try we're going to
14:11score the most points in the history of
14:13the NFL. What a bit. I love it. So I I
14:16like them to hold serve at home in their
14:19their uh home debut. Uh Bears on the
14:22money line. Bears team total over 26 and
14:24a half. I take Ben Johnson at his word.
14:26I've seen enough. Okay. Yes, they're
14:28going to go score. I know that um
14:30Minnesota and Flores have a a nice game
14:34plan, will have nice game plan, but
14:35Green Bay got a lot of explosives off
14:38against that defense last week. And this
14:40Bears offense is just as explosive as
14:43Green Bay. And then Justin Jefferson
14:45with Carson Wentz at quarterback. Look
14:47at the numbers. They're very good.
14:49There's five or six games. Uh so a
14:51decent enough sample size and all of the
14:53yardage. uh he averages nearly 95 yards
14:56a game and and and a touchdown a game.
14:59So this little SGP plus 251 a nice way
15:02to have a a little action on this game.
15:06>> All right, Raheem the bundle.
15:07>> I like it.
15:08>> You Well, you both have the over. Uh who
15:10the hell's going to get in your way? I
15:12mean, it's so funny. Some coaches we
15:13trust in Ben Johnson when he says he's
15:15going to break the record and then some
15:16like Lane Kein's like, "No, screw you.
15:18We don't believe any of your injury
15:19reports or anything you say." So, but
15:21Raheem, you trust in Ben Johnson. You
15:22trust in the over here?
15:23>> I I I trust in Ben Johnson, but I also
15:26trust in the Chicago Bears defense to be
15:28completely trash. Like, that's half the
15:32battle right here. I mean, you look at
15:33what the Panthers did last week. I don't
15:36think none of us have a ton of respect
15:38for Bryce Young and that Panthers
15:40offense, but they put up 37 points on a
15:4247% success rate. So I think I mean even
15:46if you know the the Vikings just don't
15:49if they just put up 25 I I think you're
15:52there at this point in time. So I think
15:54all Bears totals at this point should
15:57start with a five. Like how do we get to
15:5947 like 47 and a half? So like we
16:03believe Ben Johnson, we believe in this
16:05offense and we also believe in how trash
16:08that Chicago Bears defense is. So I'm
16:10going over 47 and a half. I think you're
16:12getting a complete bargain on this and a
16:15couple of weeks from now we might be
16:16start seeing 55s and 57s.
16:19>> Yeah, the bundle.
16:22>> Look, uh, we made this joke on last
16:24week's show when I said I should just
16:25blindly bet the Bears over every game
16:28like we did the Texans under last year
16:30and wait until the market catches up or
16:32there's some matchup reason that I think
16:35that this is going to change. And
16:36honestly, I don't see one. Green Bay
16:38last week, I think it got lost cuz the
16:40fourth quarter was so weird. Green Bay
16:42put up 250 yards plus of offense on over
16:45eight yards per play in the first half
16:47and a lot of it was Minnesota's corners
16:50getting cooked. I don't think it's a
16:52good secondary. I think Flores is going
16:53to try to scheme it up. I think we're
16:55going to give Flores a lot of credit for
16:57like a lot of the variance plays that go
16:58their way, but the way Minnesota is
17:00playing defense
17:02also helps the over because they might
17:04force a turnover or two. They might get
17:05a strip sack. They might do something
17:08crazy. They throw a look at at Caleb
17:10he's not used to where they get a pick.
17:12No matter what, you're getting so much
17:15seessaw, you know, rubber band action
17:17both ways. If we blindly bet overs in
17:20every NFC North game this year,
17:22>> I would be pretty confident you're
17:24coming out ahead. And and I think alto
17:25overs are worth a look, too,
17:27>> because I think this Minnesota defense
17:28wasn't actually good last week. I think
17:30they're I come away more concerned about
17:32their defense and maybe Flores kind of
17:34gives away the game with how much he's
17:35blitzing because he knows he has to
17:36gimmick up a defense to be successful
17:39and it's going to be harder to do
17:41especially because if they blitz
17:43Williams and Johnson 80% of the time I
17:46think they'll be ready for it because
17:48they just watched it on tape last week.
17:50So I'm going over here. Uh, and and I
17:52agree with House's point about Jefferson
17:55and the fact that Chicago's secondary
17:57has nobody that can match up with him
17:58and they don't get any pass rush. So, it
18:00should be a pretty good W game. Wentz,
18:01we know what we know what dooms went
18:04>> and it's not it's not this pass rush.
18:07Yeah, I was going to say you guys are
18:08putting a lot of pressure on Carson
18:09Wentz here, but
18:10>> one thing one thing I want to add is
18:12that Ben Johnson, we know he was
18:15offensive coordinator for the Lions
18:17before he got this Bears job. And he's
18:19always historically done well against
18:21Flores. Now, obviously last year wasn't
18:23the best, but I think these two know
18:26each other, so I expect Ben Johnson to
18:29cook something up, especially against a
18:30Minnesota Vikings defense, which is
18:32worse than what we've seen in previous
18:34years.
18:35Yeah, listen, I'm I'm taking the same
18:37thread here and I'm taking a player prop
18:39with Caleb Williams, 225 plus passing
18:42yards at minus 120. I think this is
18:44going to be a bet. You guys will bet the
18:45over every week. I think this is going
18:46to be a bet I'll make just about every
18:48week. Uh I'm even going to try to sneak
18:50it in during Chicago's bye-week, but and
18:52I get the Flores blitz package is scary,
18:54but Caleb actually seems to do okay
18:56against it. Actually, almost a 90 passer
18:58rating against this version of the
19:00Vikings defense. um 235 yards a game
19:03career against the Bears. He's averaged
19:05over 254 in his last seven home games.
19:09Several of us house have Caleb to toss
19:11for 4,000 yards to become the first Bear
19:13to ever do it. So that would be 235 a
19:16game. Just need 226 here. I feel good
19:18about the mission Ben Johnson is on
19:20eclipse the points record. That means a
19:22lot of passing early and often. And we
19:24didn't mention the two banged up running
19:25backs for Chicago helps the cause. Maybe
19:28not uh them to win the game, but
19:31certainly for a high-scoring game. Caleb
19:33Williams 225 plus about even odds. We're
19:36taking it minus 120. All right, we
19:38mentioned the Texans. They're home for
19:40the Cincinnati Bengals. 2 and a half
19:42point favorite 45 is the overunder.
19:47Must win here for the Texans house. You
19:51using as your wise wager? Yeah,
19:54>> they did start with three last year.
19:57>> Yep. and and and they're they're very
19:59good. I mean, this I'm just going back
20:00to to my priors with this Houston team.
20:03It might be as we see this play out. I
20:05bet them last week as my wise wager in
20:08one of my 107 plays. There's nothing
20:10that I saw from that game that dissuades
20:12me from um Houston as a team that is
20:16going to be formidable as the season
20:17develops. The defense didn't show up.
20:20That's fine. Uh I feel even better now
20:22having watched Josh Allen and the Bills
20:25decimate Detroit last night. That makes
20:27me feel better about Houston. Last week
20:29they had the ball on the nine yard line
20:31uh with with time left to win the
20:33football game and it was a strip sack on
20:36on CJ. But this Texans team at under a
20:39field goal at home against Cincinnati.
20:41Cincinnati had a luck box game. Good job
20:44by them. They won a football game the
20:46first game of the season. Great job by
20:48the Bengals. Uh
20:50>> and covered
20:51>> and and covered not not only the win but
20:54the cover as well. Well, now Baker
20:56Mayfield did fumble four times. Uh, and
20:59you know, Cincinnati did have the
21:01benefit of a defensive touchdown.
21:03Cincinnati's points last week were
21:05three. They had four field goals,
21:08including two 50 plus yarders and the
21:10defensive touchdown. So, that's 19 of
21:13their 33 did not come by way of what I
21:15would characterize as conventional
21:17offense because they were on the short
21:19side of the field with all the Tampa
21:20turnovers. Really, this is looking at
21:23this Texans defense, and I think they
21:26are ready. They're going to put this
21:28offensive line of the Bengals to a to a
21:31different kind of test. The Buccaneers
21:33could not really get pressure on Burrow.
21:35I c I I saw Will Anderson this week. It
21:37warmed my heart. Let me have the Texans
21:39minus 2 and a half to just go out and
21:41handle their business against this
21:42Bengals team.
21:44>> I'm right there with you, House. I'm not
21:45making it my wise wager. I didn't throw
21:47it in my 107, but um here's my analysis.
21:50Yesterday, Joe Burrow threw left-handed
21:52in practice. I'm taking the Texans minus
21:54two and a half. That's all
21:57>> actually.
21:57>> Yeah, he there there's footage of him
21:59like tossing it left-handed. I mean, I
22:01don't know if it's, you know, but if you
22:03want more, you got the Windless Texans
22:05whose top rated defense now is a chip on
22:07their collective shoulders, right?
22:09They're seven and two straight up in
22:10their last nine against the Bengals. The
22:12Bengals, obviously, we talked about how
22:14they beat Tampa Bay uh under four yards
22:16per carry. So, I think we see the
22:18bruising Texans defense again this week.
22:20And the last time these two met, Houston
22:22won and CJ Strad had 356 yards passing.
22:26I think Zack Taylor remembers he's not
22:28supposed to win two games this early in
22:31the season and the Texans take it 2416.
22:34You okay with that score, Raheem?
22:36Because I know you have the under.
22:38>> Yes, I am okay with that score. I think
22:40the biggest thing here is that House
22:43mentioned that the the Bengals had a
22:45luck box win last week. They scored 33
22:48points and 24 of those points came off
22:50of four fumbles from the Tampa Bay
22:52Buccaneers. And now you got to go up
22:54against a Houston Texans defense which
22:56is one of the best in the league. And I
22:59think they're taking a little bit of a
23:01step down in competition. And then you
23:03have to talk about the injuries.
23:04Obviously there's injuries on both
23:06sides. Joe Burrow's a little banged up
23:08coming into this matchup. But more
23:10importantly, if you look at the Houston
23:11Texans, all of their receivers are in
23:14the hospital. You got Nico Collins, he
23:17has a hamstring injury. They came into
23:19the season with Tank Dell, like he was
23:22on injured reserve from a knee injury.
23:24Jaden Higgins, he's out for the season
23:26with a torn ACL. So, you really don't
23:29have a lot of guys to pass the ball to.
23:31So, I think this is going to be a
23:32lowercing game.
23:35I kind of wanted to take the Texans, but
23:37I just I I can't do it with their
23:39receiving options all injured. So, I
23:41think the best way to play this is the
23:43under 45 and a half. It was 46 and a
23:46half. There's a reason why it came came
23:48down. And also, if you want to get a
23:50little frisky, I think you play that
23:52first half under as well. So, um you
23:54know, a lot of times you have these NFL
23:56games, they take on a life of their own
23:58in the second half. Um but in the first
24:00half, it kind of plays true to form. So,
24:02you can probably split your wager up. Go
24:04first half under, full game under.
24:06>> Should I be offended that Raheem didn't
24:08text me and say, "Hey, uh, I want to
24:10play the Texans under. What do you
24:11think?" You know,
24:12>> I did text it to the group chat. I said
24:14Texans unders are back.
24:16>> Oh, you know what? Well, I think when
24:18did you send Oh, that was when uh
24:20specialized text. He can't It can't be
24:22on the
24:23unless it's I know this is your
24:26trademark. I know it's your trademark,
24:27but
24:28>> and nothing just a pure copyright
24:30infringement on the podcast.
24:31>> It's actually how it got him that seat
24:33right there on this podcast. He got
24:36graduated from uh a day player to uh
24:38>> you come in every every week at the end
24:40of the show and say, "Hey guys, did you
24:41know the Texans defense is really good
24:44>> like kicked off 20 minutes ago." All
24:46right, but you have a player prop to
24:48Bundo for this one.
24:49>> Yeah, I'm actually I guess I'm
24:51technically fading the Texans defense at
24:52least over the middle. I like Mike
24:54Cassiki over 23 and a half receiving
24:56yards. Normally, this offense has been
24:59very, very, very Higgins and Chase
25:01dependent. We saw that be a little bit
25:03less the case last week. And in fact,
25:05that was probably my biggest takeaway
25:07from the opening week. You know, all
25:09this talk about Joe Burrow and how he's
25:10going to be under center and they're
25:11going to do all this play action.
25:12They're going to run the ball more.
25:14There was some of that, but not a lot.
25:15But it was definitely like, hey, we got
25:17these tight ends. We kind of like them.
25:20We think they might be able to exploit
25:22uh a defense over the middle, Tampa Bay
25:24defense, and I don't really think you
25:26can go after Lacer and Stingley, but I
25:28know you can go after these linebackers.
25:30The Houston, if there's a weakness in
25:31the Houston defense that persists, it's
25:33going to be their linebackers in
25:34coverage and over the middle. And I
25:36think that's where Castiki eats. So,
25:38he'll be uh grittying for at least 24
25:40yards or ski daddling for 24 yards
25:42>> on Sunday over 23 and a half. My
25:44favorite prop of the week. FanDal has
25:46scadaddling 13 and a half yards and uh
25:49what did you say? What was the other one
25:51for 12 and a half? I don't know for 12
25:53and a half. Yeah, they had it broken up
25:55there. Okay. All right. Steelers at
25:57Patriots. New England needs a win here.
26:000 and one. They blew it last week
26:02against Seattle. The Steelers held on
26:04against Atlanta. Uh FanDuel puts us
26:06right in the Vegas zone at 4 and a half.
26:08The total is 41 a half. We like overs
26:11almost everywhere else house, but for
26:14this game, I think the crew is leaning
26:16under. What's your pick?
26:17>> Yeah, I like what you're going to hear
26:19from my colleagues in terms of the game
26:22under, but I am honing in on the
26:25Steelers specifically, and this is an
26:28until further notice bet. I am going to
26:30be betting the Steelers team total under
26:34uh until further notice because there is
26:37no proof whatsoever that this Steelers
26:40offense, even with the great Mike
26:42McCarthy, he was supposed to unleash the
26:45AARP quarterback that they have, uh they
26:48can't run the ball. Um DK Metaf is uh
26:53agnostic about catching the ball. Uh
26:55maybe he needs a trip to Antarctica. Uh
26:58there was some pass interferences, but
26:59it looks like the Steelers offense in
27:01terms of trying to get down the field is
27:03to try and generate pass interference
27:05calls. So live by the PI, die by the PI.
27:08They was nothing in terms of their
27:10efficiency or success numbers that
27:12suggest that this is a functional
27:14offense. and they had one touchdown last
27:17week against an Atlanta Falcons defense
27:19that coming into this game was regarded
27:22as one of the league's bottom 10 because
27:25of the personnel losses that it
27:27experienced. Well, they were in the back
27:29field. They were harassing Aaron Rodgers
27:32and one offensive touchdown from the
27:34Steelers last week at home against the
27:36Falcons on the Falcons side of the field
27:39because it came off of an interception.
27:41So, Steelers under team total 17 a half
27:45until further notice.
27:46>> All right. Now, Raheem and Deb Bundo,
27:49you know, you might disagree on picks
27:50from time to time. I think it's rare
27:52where you disagree on a total. And we
27:54don't have that in this instance here.
27:55I'm just u this is two in a row that
27:57you're not only agreeing on, you're
27:59making that your featured bet of the uh
28:01game. Raheem, hit us with your under
28:03pick and your reasoning.
28:05>> Yeah, I mean, we gave this out the other
28:07day at 42 and a half. I think this was
28:09the Tuesday show or early week plays and
28:12I still think there's value on this. I'm
28:14like sitting at about 38 for this game.
28:16So I I think there's like I mean like
28:18you you look at these two teams and
28:22house already broke down the case for
28:23the Steelers under but if you look at
28:26the New England Patriots without AJ
28:28Brown, what is this passcatching group?
28:31Like so it's just like I just don't see
28:33a lot of offense here. I know that the
28:36Patriots, their defense, I actually do
28:37think it's it's pretty sustainable at
28:39this point in time, especially when you
28:40consider that this is an upgraded unit
28:43versus what Aaron Rogers saw last week.
28:45So, I don't see I don't see a lot of
28:47points in this game at all. I think it's
28:49a it's a slow paced game. You go back to
28:51last year, these two teams played 214.
28:54Patriots had four fumbles in that game.
28:56So, I think the Patriots might find
28:58themselves in in a situation to where
29:01they're just they're trying to run the
29:02ball and they're just getting nowhere
29:04with it. So, I'm going to go under
29:07>> tokens.
29:07>> The two most underrated defensive
29:09coordinators in the NFL.
29:11>> Oh.
29:12>> Relative to the to the juice and the PR
29:14and all the, you know, all the talk of
29:16who the best DCs are. And I'm not saying
29:18that Pat Graham and Zack Cerr are on the
29:20level of Mike McDonald or Vic Fangio or
29:23Brian Flores, but they are underrated.
29:25And you know, when when I I think about
29:27this matchup, I actually think about
29:28Patriots Raiders, not not Patriots
29:31Steelers last year because we know the
29:33Pittsburgh defense on the back end last
29:36season gave up a ton of big plays. It
29:37was the antiquated system. Terrell
29:39Austin and they were very predictable
29:41back there and it was kind of just like
29:43can the pass rush get home? If they
29:45can't, we're cooked. That was not the
29:46case in week one and that was not the
29:48case for Pat Graham's Raiders last year.
29:50The Raiders with a very limited
29:52personnel were top five in the league in
29:54explosive play rate allowed. They do not
29:56allow big plays. That is where May eats.
29:59May will be forced to go underneath and
30:00I think he'll be a little bit more
30:02willing to do that after the disaster of
30:04week one's fourth quarter. So you have a
30:07lot of Randre Stevenson. Tvon Henderson
30:09is playing. Don't love that for the
30:11under, but you're going to you see this
30:13team be super methodical. Pittsburgh's
30:14not going to blitz. New England doesn't
30:16like to blitz that much either. Uh, and
30:18I don't think that's necessarily even
30:19the best strategy against Rogers because
30:21he's not going to force the ball down
30:23the field either way. So, all of this to
30:25me points to a lowercing game. And sure,
30:28maybe DK Metaf catches a big player,
30:29too, and now I'm in trouble, but I don't
30:32really see a ton of points here. So,
30:34yeah, my favorite and first bet uh that
30:36I placed early in the week, not my wise
30:38wager, but close to it. Probably my
30:40second choice under 41 and a half.
30:42>> Okay, now let's rank the most underrated
30:451 through 32 defensive coordinators in
30:47the league. House, you go first. We'll
30:48we'll
30:49>> Dante Jones.
30:50>> Dante Jones.
30:52>> We all have the same pick. All right.
30:54>> We'll see. Personnel sucks, though. So,
30:56>> I think I'm the only idiot taking an
30:57overplay here. And it's only one play,
31:00but it's M. Holland to have a 20 plus
31:02yard reception at plus 110. I like this
31:04guy a lot. I I picked him up in like
31:07three out of my 64 fantasy leagues this
31:10this week. Uh, I think possession for
31:12possession, Raheem, now that AJ Brown is
31:14out, I think he might be the best the
31:16Pats have right now. He comes up with
31:17some big grabs, especially on third
31:19down, and he goes for distance. Over the
31:20last five games, he's caught long balls,
31:23averaging 24 yards. So, Steelers have
31:27two safeties on IR. Joey Porter Jr.
31:29working through a injury. Even last week
31:32against Cooper Rush, the Steelers
31:33allowed three passes of 19 plus yards.
31:35So, I like this one a lot. M. Collins to
31:38have a 20 plus yard reception at plus
31:41money. All right, let's move on. Jaguars
31:44at the Broncos. Denver on a short week.
31:46They are home again though, laying 2 and
31:49a half only and the total is 45 a half.
31:54This is an interesting one. Joe House,
31:57it happens to be your 107 pick.
31:59>> Yeah, it's one of my 107 picks this
32:02week. And again, I'm going into my prior
32:04bag. I had this um Denver team in the
32:07neighborhood of 10 to 11 wins. I was
32:11enormously disappointed with the way
32:13that the defense especially played
32:15against the Chiefs. Um the the Action
32:18Network guys pointed out, I think it was
32:21248
32:22missed tackle yards. Yeah, that's a
32:25stat. The number of of missed tackles
32:27they had and the yardage gained off of
32:29those missed tackles. That's the most
32:32missed tackle yards in the history of
32:34the National Football League. Uh Shawn
32:37Payeyton Shawn Payeyton and this Denver
32:40team for whatever reason had a certain
32:42approach to the preseason. I was
32:44reminded of this from uh one of our
32:47friends that that's a Bron they the
32:48Broncos come out slow. Well, this this
32:51one better be them showing up in week
32:55two. The Jaguars came into Denver last
32:57year and beat their ass. gave them a
32:59firm beating right there at a mile high.
33:03And I think that that Denver remembers
33:06that. I like Shawn Payeyton in this
33:08situation coming off of a loss. His uh
33:11ATS and straightup record both very good
33:14coming off of a loss. And I think it's
33:16the wakeup call to the Broncos that they
33:18needed. Um I I the Jaguars are on a
33:21heater right now, a regular season
33:23heater. nine and0 both straight up and
33:25against the spread over their last nine
33:27games. I think it comes to an end here.
33:30Broncos winning. I I I could see a nice
33:32tight one. Um but the Jaguars didn't
33:35have anything in the way of a sweat. It
33:37was another preseason game by them
33:39playing against the Browns and Deshawn
33:40Watson last week. This will be
33:42different. Playing at altitude early in
33:44the season. Uh I have the Broncos just
33:46pulling it out um by a field goal is
33:49fine. Broncos minus 2 and a half.
33:51>> I hear an island. I see an island in the
33:53distance.
33:54>> Yeah, we need an island in the distance.
33:56>> We'll get the island update second. The
33:59lone uh lone wolf as we call it. All
34:01right, Raheem and I disagree. Raheem, in
34:03fact, willing to stake his uh man's best
34:05bet pick of the week on it. Okay, so I
34:08got two picks for this. It is my man's
34:10best bet. I'm taking the Jags on the
34:12money line plus 126. I'm also taking the
34:15Jags plus 2 and a half. That's going to
34:18be in my ringer 107.
34:21Let me remind everybody
34:23something happened during those last
34:25nine games. And what happened was they
34:28traded for Jacobe Meyers. So if you look
34:30at the last nine games,
34:33the Jaguars are 9 and0. Trevor Lawrence,
34:36he's fourth in yards, almost 2500 yards.
34:40He's first in touchdown passes, 28
34:43touchdowns, and he's first in passer
34:45rating, 111.5.
34:49and they went into Denver last year and
34:52they stopped on this Denver team 34 to
34:5520. And you look at the quarterbacks in
34:58which the Denver Broncos played last
35:01year,
35:03they really left a lot to be desired. I
35:04mean, you you you struggle against
35:06Justin Fields and the Jets. Like
35:10to me, this Broncos team isn't good. And
35:12I'm going to say it here first. This
35:14Broncos team is missing the postseason.
35:16>> Oh. So he's out.
35:17>> If if you want to go ahead and you want
35:19to make a bet, you want to go on FanDuel
35:21Sportsbook right now,
35:23>> they are minus 108 to miss the
35:24postseason.
35:25>> And they find themselves in this spot
35:29where are you put in Davis Web and have
35:33him calling plays. I don't know if he's
35:35going to be calling plays too much
35:36longer because what we saw on Monday
35:38night, they look confused.
35:40>> And you look at the fact that the
35:42Jacksonville Jaguars, they got so many
35:44different weapons. So Patrick Sertain,
35:47he can only cover one guy. He can't
35:50cover everybody. You got Parker
35:51Washington, you got Jacobe Meyers, you
35:54got Brian Thomas. Trevor Lawrence is
35:57spreading the ball around the field. I
36:00actually think if it wasn't for Denver's
36:03home field advantage,
36:05>> this would probably be a pick them
36:07>> or maybe even Jacksonville being
36:09favored. And I know it's a tough place
36:11to play earlier on in the year. Yeah.
36:13But I think the Broncos are absolutely
36:15cooked. They're gonna lose this game.
36:17Then you got to go play the Rams, the
36:1949ers, the Chargers, and Seattle. This
36:22team could be 0 and six.
36:25>> It's a lot.
36:26>> Uh if you're not tackling, it's a
36:28daunting schedule. If you are tackling,
36:30it's a daunting schedule. If you're not
36:32scoring, I mean, it's all of it. Um I'm
36:34with you, Raheem. I know the Broncos
36:35have to be favored in this spot at home
36:37coming off a loss, but I don't think
36:39they're better. Certainly not now. And
36:41you know, I don't want to read too much
36:42into that crushing of the Browns, but
36:45the regular season version of this team,
36:47as you mentioned, continues their run,
36:48ninegame win streak, right? 37 points a
36:51game over that stretch. And they allow
36:53just 14 over that span. That's the
36:55amazing thing. You might say, "Oh, it
36:57was turnover differential. It's
36:58different." And maybe it is, but Shawn
37:00Peyton, notoriously slow starting squad.
37:03They struggle to score 20. And I may
37:04have been wrong maybe at least right now
37:06about Vance Joseph's defense. It
37:08couldn't figure out how to tackle last
37:09week. And if you look back, not that
37:11great over the last half dozen games.
37:13Denver two and eight against the spread
37:15in games played in weeks one, two,
37:17three, and four the last uh four years.
37:20So, um I don't know. I'm not sure what
37:23we think about Shawn Peyton and this
37:24early start. I don't want to overreact,
37:25but the Jags are the play here, and I
37:27may have them in a foolproof teaser
37:29coming up. I may not. We'll see what
37:30kind of mood I'm in. The Bundle.
37:32>> You know what? I got to add one more
37:33thing. Go ahead. Cuz I know I've made
37:34this reference before, but I'm I'mma
37:36make it again.
37:38Shawn Payeyton and Liam Cohen, they like
37:41that State Farm commercial, the the
37:43Steph Curry and Chris Paul one where you
37:45had Chris Paul going down the escalator,
37:48you had Steph Curry going up the
37:50escalator. I see
37:52>> that seems harsh on Shawn Peyton. I'm
37:53not even a Shawn Peyton guy, but they
37:55were 14 games last year.
37:57>> Steph going up
37:58>> and most of them score games and most
38:01>> sure. I I don't think he has that much
38:03talent on this offense.
38:04>> That's fair. But
38:06>> I think I think his quarterback is ass.
38:09>> But I think the fact that the fact that
38:11he he decided to put Davis Web in charge
38:14of the offense, I think it shows that
38:17>> maybe maybe he's losing his fast. And
38:20then one thing I will add as well,
38:23>> the Jacksonville Jaguars, they closed as
38:25two and a half point favorites against
38:27the Buffalo Bills in the postseason. So
38:31what does that tell you about the
38:33relative strength about these two teams?
38:35So
38:36>> that's the other thing is Denver what
38:38they trailed in 15 games last year. So
38:40it's hard to get to pinpoint what kind
38:42of team this really is. But the bundo
38:44you think there's going to be points in
38:45this one.
38:46>> Yeah. I'm not a Denver guy and I would
38:48be on Jacksonville as well. I was mostly
38:50playing devil's advocate. I think we
38:51will look back and say that there was a
38:53lot of weird [ __ ] that happened in that
38:54Monday night game and that the mistackle
38:57thing ended up being quite a fluke.
38:59However, I do not think we will look
39:01back at what Liam Cohen has done over
39:03the last 3 years and see that as any
39:05kind of fluke. And I think he's Ben
39:06Johnson in a smaller market with worse
39:08PR because what he's done with Tampa
39:11Bay's offense in 2024, what he did last
39:14year in the second half of the season,
39:15they were top five success rate. The
39:17Tampa Bay Bucks were top five in success
39:19rate, which they have not been the last
39:20two years since he departed. And you're
39:23looking at this Jags offense now and
39:24you're seeing even with a pretty meh
39:26running back room, an elite pass offense
39:28that schemes guys open, that takes
39:30advantage of mismatches, that gets guys
39:32over the middle of the field. This
39:33Denver defense still has PS2 Moss is
39:35pretty good. They are vulnerable over
39:37the middle.
39:39And I think that's where Jacksonville
39:40can pick on them and score. And I do
39:41think the Jags defense is overrated. If
39:43you look at who Jacksonville's defense
39:45has played in the recent wins that that
39:48the winning streak that you just
39:50mentioned, it's a lot of bad teams and
39:52bad quarterbacks. And the one team they
39:54played that was pretty good offensively
39:56was the Bills. The Bills put up what 30
39:5930 points in that play 27 points in that
40:01playoff game.
40:02>> Otherwise, they played Tennessee Indie
40:05uh in with Riley Leonard. They played uh
40:09and Phil Rivers. They played the Jets.
40:12They played the Colts when Riley
40:13Leonard. They played Tennessee and they
40:14played the Cardinals and gave up 24 to
40:16them and it should have been more. So, I
40:18think this Jack's defense is overrated.
40:19I think their offense is probably still
40:21under uh underrated. So, I'm going over
40:2445 and a half in this game. I think
40:27it'll be like a three-point game either
40:29way, but the ball last 24 type game.
40:32>> All right. The bundle rooting for more
40:34missed tackles. Okay. Yeah. Some uh
40:37somebody in the chat says, "I guess S
40:39needs some hot water and lemon." I'll
40:41try anything right now just to not get
40:43this stone popping all over.
40:45>> Pour that down your pants. That's the
40:46drink.
40:46>> Yeah, no kidding. That's where it goes.
40:48All right. Hey, we have our uh first
40:51guest pick on tape here. One of the
40:53leading ladies over at the Ringer
40:54Fantasy Gals. We stuck him with no
40:56quarterback in our fantasy draft house,
40:59but he did manage to come up with a pick
41:01for week two. Oh, I don't like this.
41:02It's our Cowboys Commanders game house.
41:05What Danny Hitz?
41:08Ringer wise guys got an offering for the
41:11family. S I'm um honestly surprised you
41:13wanted to have me on this week after the
41:15Giants um destroyed the Cowboys
41:17publicly. So I obviously the Cowboys
41:19defense can't stop anything. So I wanted
41:21to get you guys a little rich. The
41:24Giants proved how bad Dallas is. So I'm
41:27thinking Dallas plays Washington this
41:29week and if you do an anytime touchdown
41:31score if Jaka Crosky Merritt scores and
41:34Rashad White scores and Terry McLuren
41:36scores and Jaden Daniels scores and
41:37Stfan Diggs also scores because Dallas
41:40can't stop anyone that is plus485.
41:46So if I put $1 on that I would win $48.
41:49And kind of feels like a lock, don't you
41:51think, S?
41:54>> What a creep. What a creepy he is. The
41:56Bundes put this
41:58>> I know. I I don't even want to dignify
42:00that with a with a re reaction here. So
42:03terrible. I know he's right though. He's
42:06not right in saying that I wanted him on
42:08this week. I don't even know why he's on
42:09this week. That that was that's a
42:12supposition that I don't know where he
42:13came up with though. But he's right. Our
42:15defense stinks. House. I never wanted
42:18less to make a side bet with a friend
42:20than this game. I'm sure you feel the
42:22same way. Um, the wise guys got me
42:24nauseous. Raheem and Dundo with their
42:27pro Cowboys talk on I think it was
42:28Tuesday. I had the bruises and abrasions
42:31where it was still noticeable. I
42:33couldn't get there and they're going to
42:34have more. They're going to load up on
42:35that in a minute. Uh, I can sign off on
42:38a lot of points because we have a lot of
42:40young players playing a lot of bad
42:42defense and a couple of them seem to
42:43hate the new DC Christian Parker. Dallas
42:46allowed over 400 yards of offense to the
42:48Giants and had zero sacks. This might be
42:51worse. Washington allowed three
42:52touchdown passes to Jay and Herd's house
42:55uh last week. Commies were the worst in
42:57the NFL last year in total defense.
42:59Dallas was third. Look, I'm going over
43:00here. Dak versus the Commanders produces
43:03overs only 80% of the time. That's a
43:06good sample size.
43:07>> 50 15 games. That's a nice sample size.
43:10So over 50 and a half is my pick. Alice,
43:14go ahead. Which way you taking this?
43:15Yeah, I'm sad that this game is
43:17occurring so early in the season cuz the
43:19Washington defense really could um turn
43:22into something. Um but they're they're
43:25they're going to be nothing until uh
43:27Trey Ames comes off of uh injured
43:29reserve cuz Mikey Sandra still got put
43:32into the blender and spun up. It was a
43:34salad blender and he came out as a
43:36Julian carrot. Uh
43:39>> they're calling him now, House.
43:40>> I I'll call him What are they calling
43:42him?
43:42>> Mikey Stand Real Still.
43:44>> Yeah, I saw it.
43:47He was looking over here. He was looking
43:49over there. He was looking everywhere
43:50except for where the ball was coming
43:51from. It was bad.
43:53>> And Dallas at home especially
43:56uh uh just gets into that stadium and
43:59it's like a track meet. Their offense
44:02was not the problem last week other than
44:04George Pickkins, you know, choosing
44:06which balls he would dain to catch. Uh
44:08they were very efficient um for the
44:11week. They just never had the ball
44:12because the defense wouldn't permit it.
44:15Um, I'm playing Jaden Daniels over one
44:18and a half passing touchdowns. I do
44:20think with the the Washington offense
44:23with David Blau, especially in the
44:24fourth quarter against the Eagles
44:26defense showed a version of what they
44:30imagine themselves to be. And it is um
44:34it's it's getting rid of the ball
44:35quickly. It's Jane Daniels being really
44:38selective about when he runs. Um he
44:40finally got uh a little bit vertical
44:43with the receiver Antonio Williams who
44:45is really the only receiver for
44:46Washington who could get any separation.
44:48Um but I they do have a nice mix uh and
44:51a nice balance and and we saw him um get
44:55those touchdowns last week against the
44:56Eagles. I think Washington's going to
44:59have the ball a whole bunch because
45:00Dallas is going to score and score
45:02quickly. So over one and a half passing
45:04touchdowns at plus money plus 140 for
45:06Jaden Daniels.
45:07>> All right, you got the JD prop. I four
45:10and a half is the spread. 50 and a half.
45:11I'm taking the over the bundo and Raheem
45:14on the same page here. Look. Oh, they
45:16the kids. They have to get hurt. They
45:18have to learn. You know, you want to put
45:19your hand over the stove, Raheem. Go
45:21ahead. Go ahead. You're making this your
45:22107 pick. One of your 107 picks.
45:24>> This is one of my 107 picks. We were
45:26high on the Dallas Cowboys coming into
45:28the year. I'm not going to overreact by
45:30saying that they aren't going to
45:33continue to be a team who can challenge
45:35for the division. I mean, you look at
45:37last week, the Giants were 9 for11 on
45:40third down. That's due for regression.
45:42>> But more importantly, House said it
45:44best. The Cowboys offense wasn't the
45:46problem at all. They are going to score
45:48at will. You look at what the Eagles did
45:50last week and their offensive line is
45:52trash. They they put up 24 points and
45:55has six six yards per play. So, I expect
45:57the Cowboys offense, especially at home
46:00where they've been absolutely dominant
46:02and scoring about 31 points a game, to
46:04continue rolling. So Dak is 13-2 against
46:08Washington throughout his career. I
46:10think the Cowboys are going to go out
46:12there and put the stop on the Washington
46:15Commanders. I'mma lay the four and a
46:17half. So um this is I'm I'm taking a
46:19stand here. It doesn't look pretty. It
46:22doesn't look good. Nobody wants to do
46:23it, but I'm doing it.
46:25>> All right.
46:25>> I have injury report.
46:28I want to hear it.
46:29>> Yeah.
46:29>> Commander injury report. Louvu DNP
46:31Thursday. Dorren Armstrong, edge rusher,
46:35limited Thursday. Chaissson, edge
46:37rusher, limited Thursday. Amenu lineman
46:40limited Thursday. Adafay, edge rusher,
46:43limited Thursday. Don Payne on the
46:45injury report. He did practice Thursday
46:47fully, but like this is the group I kind
46:49of liked. I was like, hey, you know, the
46:51Commander Dline was really competitive
46:53with Philly. Everybody's on the injury
46:55report now. They might all play,
46:57>> but that's not a good sign.
46:58>> Everybody in Lvu is playing. I'll just
47:00say it right now for sure. They're all
47:02so Luv is not going to play.
47:03>> He is not going to play. No.
47:04>> Yeah, he he didn't practice with a groin
47:05injury. He's definitely out.
47:07>> But they're all These guys are not 100%.
47:09>> It's a fair point. It's a fair point.
47:11>> The secondary stinks. And I I think that
47:14pass offense from Philly didn't really
47:15look like they were clicking. They hit a
47:17few big plays, but they were kind of eh
47:19I think Jones did some decent things.
47:21But if your thing is we're going to
47:22blitz, right? We're going to bring
47:23pressure because I'm from the Flores
47:25tree and we're going to muck it up. That
47:27doesn't work. Like Dak is dominant
47:28against the blitz. So, I think Dallas
47:30chooses their number offensively and
47:32then it's just a matter of can they get
47:33enough stops that I'm not that confident
47:35in,
47:36>> but I wish that was a part of the
47:38equation, but it always is.
47:40>> I mean, Dallas's team total is 27 and a
47:43half. So, if you guys want to play that,
47:44you can play it, but I I do think Dallas
47:46gets some stops here. I I I I really do.
47:49I I think Dallas at home is a is a
47:51different team. I also think they're
47:53they were getting used to Christian
47:54Parker's defense. It was game number
47:56one. And then also
47:58>> what did he do all summer?
48:00>> Also, I think was he on the beach?
48:02>> Is he in Gston?
48:04>> I think the Giants have a better
48:05offensive line than the Commanders. I
48:07think the Commanders offensive line,
48:10it's been an issue, and we've spoke
48:11about this all throughout training camp
48:13and all throughout the offseason. I
48:15think it'll be an issue here on their
48:18second straight divisional road game.
48:20Now, one thing I will say, this is a
48:22loser leaves town game because whoever
48:24loses this game, they going to be 0 and2
48:25in the division. No doubt.
48:27>> It's not going to be the Cowboys.
48:28>> No doubt.
48:28>> Yeah, I lay I laid four I laid three and
48:30a half early in the week and uh we have
48:33four and a half for the 107. I'm on it.
48:34Give me the Cowboys.
48:35>> I hope you're right.
48:36>> Yep.
48:36>> I hope uh I hope you know House is
48:39crying in his hands and come Sunday
48:41night, Sunday afternoon. But yeah. Yeah,
48:43Raheem, that defense is unlike any we've
48:46seen before. It has to get better. It
48:47can't be that you can run like four
48:49straight plays, the same plays, and and
48:51uh be successful. So, I expect
48:54>> At least we weren't the Detroit Lions.
48:56That's right. That's right. I I did
48:58>> They have an excuse because their whole
48:59team is injured like three start. What's
49:01the Cowboys excuse?
49:03>> I don't know. Well, I'll come.
49:04>> They had a full They had an in theory
49:05full I know's out now. They had a full
49:07strength team in week one.
49:10>> We had and Tyler like went for like 300
49:13yards and three touchdowns like in the
49:16last nine minutes of the game.
49:18>> Yes. I'm knocking stuff over.
49:20>> Oh, are you okay? Cuz
49:23>> I'm all right. I'm just
49:24>> Yeah, we gota send somebody over there
49:25to do a wellness check.
49:27>> Yeah.
49:28>> All right, Packers and Jets. Speaking of
49:29wellness checks, this is my this is my
49:32uh wise wager, my 107, my everything.
49:35The Packers laying three and a half on
49:36the road. 44 and a half is the total. Uh
49:40they were my week one wise wager. The
49:42Packers, they blew a double- digit lead
49:44to Carson Wentz. And did I learn my
49:46lesson? Not really, cuz they're my week
49:48two wise wager again. Green Bay minus
49:51three and a half against the undefeated
49:52Jets. I dug back in that Vikings Packers
49:55game and the Packers should have won.
49:57They should have. I'm not just saying
49:58that because I picked them. Their
49:59offense had the fifth most yards in the
50:02league after week one. Their defense
50:04allowed the third fewest yards in the
50:06league after week one. I don't know what
50:08the f happened, but this is a nice spot.
50:10There you go. There's the cheese head
50:11for Dundo. The losing Packers. Matt
50:13Laflur 14-7 against the spread after
50:16allowing 30 plus points the week before.
50:19Carson Wentz, Gino Smith. We're going to
50:22learn what Green Bay is made of this
50:23week. And I think they're made of points
50:25courtesy of Jordan Love. 3119. Pack back
50:29on track. My wise wager and my 107 pick.
50:32House, you're going against me here.
50:34>> Yeah, but it's not a strong play for me.
50:36There is weather in the forecast. Um,
50:39and it's supposed to that that could
50:40have an effect in terms of the scoring.
50:43Green Bay w was indeed explosive. I just
50:46worry that the the hangover effect of
50:50the abysmal way that they ended their
50:53season uh against the Chicago Bears in
50:56the postseason last year has just
50:58infected the whole situation. I came in
51:01super skeptical of this Green Bay team
51:03um for this upcoming season because of
51:05the lack of depth and strength on both
51:08their offensive line and their defensive
51:10line. That script held true to form. Uh,
51:14and als
51:18cooking for Minnesota. Uh, and and all
51:21of it came at the expense of Green Bay.
51:24There was a series that that Minnesota
51:26ended up scoring a touchdown on that
51:27really flipped the game. Um, where there
51:30was three different defensive penalties,
51:32any one of which, you know, could could
51:34have and should have gotten Green Bay
51:36out of the predicament they were in. But
51:38I didn't. Laflur took points off the
51:39board and then went for it on fourth and
51:41one and obviously didn't get it. Like I
51:43just don't like where they're at
51:45decision- making wise. I'm not This is
51:47not a a lock or strong play or any of
51:50it. I just can't get behind the Packers
51:52yet.
51:54>> Probably smart. I'm going the other way.
51:56The Bundo you're doing scares me.
51:58>> What do you What do you want to call
52:00this the Bundo? What you're doing?
52:01>> I don't know. We the little the Mad La
52:03Flop.
52:04>> Okay.
52:05>> Pretty good.
52:06>> Pretty good. Not bad.
52:08Look, I agree with you on the last week
52:11with Green Bay. I think that it's clear
52:13to me that they should have won that
52:15game. You know, I people may say I'm
52:17biased because I love the Packers, but
52:19look, I like the Vikings, too. So, you
52:21can't say that I'm I'm uh biased on that
52:24specific contest, but but what do we
52:27know about this game? A lot of rain.
52:29Green Bay can't run the ball. Green Bay
52:32is insistent and Matt Lafleur is
52:34stubborn as hell about the idea that
52:36they're going to run the ball. So, if
52:38they get a lead, which I think they
52:40might, do you trust them to hold that
52:42lead with this pass rush? No. Do you
52:44trust them to kill off a game with their
52:47run game? Also, no. And this has been
52:49really the story of the last month, you
52:52know, one week plus the end of last
52:54season of Green Bay football. This is
52:57this is the exact blueprint that has
52:59hurt them. It's not that they're
53:00chokers, it's just that they don't have
53:02a good recipe to kill off a game. So, if
53:04you want to lean into the narrative,
53:06it's nine to one at FanDuel. Green Bay
53:07to win the first half, Jets to come back
53:09to win.
53:10>> Gino, we've seen Gino orchestrate
53:12comebacks before. Now, I do want to
53:13issue some caution about the Jets
53:15because we have done this before. You
53:16only have to go back to last season.
53:19>> Maybe in hindsight, the overreaction
53:21game of the year was not Patriots
53:22Raiders, but in fact, Steelers Jets
53:24playing a 3432 classic in week one. And
53:28then the Jets took a ton of money all of
53:30week two, including myself. I bet the
53:32Jets and they they closed like plus five
53:34at home against the Bills and everybody
53:36was like, "This is a great bet. Look at
53:37us. We got RCLV and they threw for 40
53:40yards in the game and and really the
53:43offense went down the drain and it ended
53:46up being a bad offense." So, I don't
53:47want to overreact to the Jets. I think
53:48their line is legit. I think their
53:50quarterback has a a decent enough floor
53:52with that line.
53:54I don't trust Green Bay to hold out the
53:55game. No real strong opinion for me on
53:57the side, but I am absolutely betting
53:59that prop because if it happens, I want
54:01to be there for it. Matt Laflop nine to
54:03one.
54:04>> Wow.
54:05>> All right. Listen, Jets, Arizona
54:08Raiders.
54:09Um, two teams won last year their first
54:12game and then went on I I mentioned
54:13yesterday combined for like five five
54:15games wins the rest of the year. Uh, I
54:18don't know. Pick your poison. One of
54:20those teams is going to be bad house.
54:22That's how we'll do it.
54:23>> I'm really struggling with this game.
54:25And the reason why I'm struggling with
54:26it is because the preseason look
54:28aheadline on this game was Green Bay
54:30minus six and a half.
54:32>> It reopens at five and a half and now
54:34we're at Green Bay three and a half. So
54:36at what point does Green Bay have value?
54:38And I'm not really high on Green Bay
54:40this year. But it's just like
54:44>> it it's it's just like at some point
54:46it's just like all right
54:48>> I've looked at I like to look at a lot
54:50of other content creators. I like to see
54:51what other sharps are doing and
54:53everybody is on the jets and it's just
54:56like and I I typically don't like to,
54:58you know, say, "All right, this has
55:00value based on what somebody else is
55:01doing." But when I see every content
55:04creator on the Jets,
55:05>> it could be scary.
55:06>> There's something it's something wrong
55:08here. I just I don't know.
55:10>> All right, listen. I need to remind you.
55:13I shouldn't have to remind you. Ring of
55:14Wise Guys is brought to you by FanDuel.
55:16You know how NFL Sundays go. You start
55:18with the early games, you roll right
55:19into the late slate, and before you know
55:20it, Sunday night football kicking off.
55:22Well, FanDuel has something for you
55:24every step of the way with the Sunday
55:26Spectacular. We're talking rewards
55:28throughout the day from the first games
55:30kicking off all the way through Sunday
55:33night. Catch that Green Bay Jets. What
55:37What is going to happen? Oh my god. Am I
55:38going to go 0 and2 with wise wagers? I
55:40probably will. Wherever the NFL Sunday
55:42takes you, keep an eye on the FanDuel
55:45app to see what's waiting for you. It's
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55:59DC or Wyoming. If you have a gambling
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56:031888789777
56:06or visit ccpg.org/hat
56:10in Connecticut. Let's move to some an
56:13afternoon game. Seattle at Arizona. No
56:17Sam Darnold. We got Drew Lock again.
56:19Arizona catching 4 and a half points at
56:21home. The total is 41 and a half. Oh,
56:24the Bundo, you're making this your man's
56:26best bet. Is Does it hurt a little to
56:28take something over plus 106?
56:30>> It does. But you know what doesn't hurt,
56:32S?
56:33>> Yeah.
56:34>> It's being one of the leaders of the of
56:36the Cardinals Curious Crew, the CCC.
56:40>> Oh, okay.
56:41>> Let it seize. Yeah.
56:42>> Yeah. Yeah. We I actually was thinking
56:44of a different word and I said, you know
56:45what, I'm not going to do that one. Uh
56:46we are the Cardinals curious crew
56:49because
56:50>> okay,
56:50>> in week one, we love the Cardinals. Was
56:53my wise wager team total plus the points
56:56should have taken the money line, too.
56:57I'm kind of mad I didn't knocked
56:59everybody out of their survivor pools.
57:02Great stuff for those of us who had the
57:03Steelers. And now everybody's saying,
57:06well, you know, week two, you know, week
57:08one can be a mirage and and you don't
57:10want to overreact. There's no
57:11overreaction here. We we we've stayed
57:14the same. We feel like this is the most
57:16underrated team in the NFL and I'm going
57:18back to the well again catching four and
57:21a half four in the market right now too
57:24against Drew Lock at home. I mean, how
57:26good do you have to make the Seahawks
57:27defense who especially since I don't
57:29think Iman War and Okata are going to
57:31play again? How good you have to make
57:33this defense to get to this number? I I
57:36think the Jacobe Brassette Cardinals are
57:39certainly better offensively than the
57:40Drew Locks Seahawks.
57:42>> And the EPA numbers for Seattle were
57:45fine. A lot of it was one big play.
57:48>> They didn't really move the ball that
57:49well at any point in the game. They had
57:51procedural issues. It's still a new OC.
57:53The Cardinals looked way further along
57:54in their install than Seattle did with
57:56the new offense. So, uh, give me Arizona
57:58at home
58:01>> to win the game up. You know what? And I
58:03love Look, I it pains me to bet against
58:05Mike McDonald because I really do think
58:07he's on the cutting edge and that I
58:09don't know if this helps or not, but my
58:10I don't know if you could hear in the
58:11background, my dog barked. My dog has
58:13never barked. It's barely a dog. And now
58:15it's barking during the Bundle's
58:17underdog pick, which is just uh now I'm
58:19going to I may have to change my mind
58:21here. Arizona could be the pick, but
58:24Raheem has other thoughts. It's one of
58:26his 107 picks.
58:27>> Raheem, don't do it to me.
58:28>> I am doing it to you.
58:30>> It's a disgrace. I I'm doing it to you.
58:33Um I'm taking Seattle minus 3 and 12
58:36minus 118 on FanDuel Sportsbook. Here's
58:39the thing.
58:41The preseason look aheadline on this
58:43game was 10.
58:44>> Yeah, but that was wrong.
58:48>> I can't say if it was right or wrong.
58:49>> The preseason look aheadline on the
58:51Cardinals was they were like the worst
58:52team ever and like they should say it
58:54was right or wrong. They're going to win
58:55two games. I I I'm not saying it's right
58:58or wrong, but oddsmakers before this
59:00year, they open this line at 10.
59:04So, are you telling me that the
59:08difference between Sam Darnold and Drew
59:11Lock is 6 and 12 points?
59:15No,
59:15>> five and a half points. Six and a half
59:17points. If you're looking at it from
59:18three and a half to to four and a half,
59:20that's a lot of points. And I still
59:23think the best unit on this field is the
59:26Seattle defense. And you saw what
59:28Seattle did to Jacobe Brazette and this
59:32Arizona Cardinals offense last year.
59:35They won 44 to 22.
59:37>> Well, that's one of the games. Hold on a
59:38second.
59:39>> That's one of the games Jacob didn't
59:40play the first game.
59:42>> He didn't play He didn't play the first
59:43game.
59:44>> Sure.
59:44>> He did not play the first game.
59:46>> Yeah, it was also in Seattle.
59:48I'm just saying I just don't think I
59:51think this adjustment is way too high.
59:54And then I think what Arizona did last
59:57week was more indicative of
1:00:01the state of the Chargers at this point
1:00:03cuz I think the Chargers are bad. Like
1:00:05legitimately bad this year and they have
1:00:07some offensive line issues and they
1:00:10could not move the ball. I think Drew
1:00:13Lock and Seattle Seahawks, they're
1:00:15coming off of a long week, so they had
1:00:18plenty of time to prepare. You know, I
1:00:20think you give teams an extra bump for
1:00:23playing on Thursday Night Football.
1:00:25>> Mhm.
1:00:25>> Going into the following week. I like
1:00:28Seattle here with the three and a half.
1:00:29I think I'm I'm buying low on a Super
1:00:32Bowl team, a Super Bowl champion
1:00:34>> tonight, right? Yeah. Yeah.
1:00:35>> Yeah. Actually, they play Wednesday
1:00:36night, so they got even more time. So,
1:00:38I'm buying low on the Super Bowl
1:00:40champions. And if you guys read, I
1:00:42always mention this all the time. If you
1:00:43if you read Billy Walter's book, he said
1:00:46Super Bowl champions,
1:00:48first four weeks of the season, they get
1:00:50a little bump. It might be like a half a
1:00:52point or so. So, you got the fact that
1:00:56>> they're eliminating about six and a half
1:00:58points, six points from this spread with
1:01:01Drew Lock
1:01:03coming in for Sam Darnold, who a lot of
1:01:06us don't respect that much anyway. Like,
1:01:08when you really sit down and think about
1:01:09it, who won the Super Bowl? Kenneth
1:01:10Walker won the Super Bowl for them.
1:01:11Kenneth Walker on the defense. So why
1:01:14can't they come up with a game plan with
1:01:16a week and a half against this Arizona
1:01:18Cardinal team? I'm buying low.
1:01:20>> All right, full transparency cuz for if
1:01:22anyone cares out there. So the updated
1:01:24line is 4 and a half, right? That's this
1:01:27Friday morning thing that we're doing.
1:01:28Uh Raheem says three and a half cuz
1:01:30that's the 107 line we got. We the
1:01:32Thursday morning we lock in or Thursday
1:01:34uh four and a half is the 107 line.
1:01:38>> Oh, okay. The three and a half is
1:01:39available right now.
1:01:41>> Yeah. So, so what? Yeah, it's
1:01:44>> I told you about it, right?
1:01:45>> So, so FanDuel is interesting and you
1:01:48guys got to really look at the site
1:01:50because if you go if you go on the site,
1:01:54>> they don't have standard 110 lines.
1:01:57>> It's just every way.
1:01:58>> So, if you look at the Arizona Cardinals
1:02:00at plus 4 and a half, it's at minus 120
1:02:04with Seattle at minus 102. But you can
1:02:08go down and and toggle the spread list
1:02:11and you'll see Seattle minus three and a
1:02:14half minus 118.
1:02:16>> There you go.
1:02:17>> And then you'll see me. So that's
1:02:20typically what I like.
1:02:21>> The line's basically four in the market.
1:02:23>> Yeah, it's four
1:02:24>> if you look across books.
1:02:25>> Yeah.
1:02:25>> Yeah.
1:02:26>> House you're not worried about.
1:02:27>> The 107 live since we are going to be
1:02:29judged against this arbitrary contest
1:02:31with no prize.
1:02:32>> Uh is four and a half.
1:02:34>> It is four and a half. All right. I miss
1:02:36>> either way. I like it. This it's it's
1:02:37going to be one of my 107 picks. I I
1:02:39like Seattle. Seattle be a great result.
1:02:43>> House, you're like three and a half,
1:02:44four and a half. I don't care. I like
1:02:46Trey McBride. 60.
1:02:48>> I I I may end up uh with this one in my
1:02:51107. I I my lean is in the direction of
1:02:54Seattle just because my respect for
1:02:55McDonald. It's the McDonald thing. It's
1:02:57I mean, the Florida rookie coming.
1:02:59>> Respect respect Mike. I I I I
1:03:04>> I respect 50% of the little floor
1:03:06brothers for sure. Uh yeah, I'm playing
1:03:08Trey McBride. Trey McBride cooks against
1:03:09the Seattle um defense and it's by
1:03:12design. Seattle with the uh split safety
1:03:15cover six looks just the inside of the
1:03:17field is available and Jacobe Brassette
1:03:20loves throwing the football to Trey
1:03:22McBride. the last four games against
1:03:25Seattle with this the coverage that they
1:03:27play 12 catches for 133 yards, 7 for 70,
1:03:317 for 52, nine for 127. That averages
1:03:35out to 95 and a half yards per game. The
1:03:37line is 60 and a half at FanDuel right
1:03:40now. Trey McBride had 10 targets last
1:03:42week. Uh that that is he is the
1:03:45Brassette safety blanket and I think
1:03:47Arizona will be looking for for for
1:03:49safety against this uh Seattle defense.
1:03:52So over 60 and a half receiving yards,
1:03:55minus 114 in the FanDuel sports book.
1:03:57>> All right, I got the same thing here,
1:03:59House. I'm expecting big things out of
1:04:00McBride, but I'm playing it this way.
1:04:02Jacobe Brassette more passing yards than
1:04:04Drew Lock. It's minus 138. Little juicy,
1:04:06but I'm going to read some numbers to
1:04:08you and then we're going to speak
1:04:08Italian and that's going to be that. Uh
1:04:10Drew Lockach had fewer than 200 yards
1:04:13passing in week one versus the Patriots.
1:04:15He's gone under 230 passing in five of
1:04:18his last six. Jacobe Brassette, on the
1:04:20other hand, is a mad man. He was 27 of
1:04:2237 277 against the Chargers and more
1:04:25importantly 240 plus in 10 of his last
1:04:2912 games. I think this one's easy. Win
1:04:31or lose, blowout or no blowout, I think
1:04:33Brassette has more passing yards than
1:04:35Drew Lock. You have to pay minus 138.
1:04:39All right, Colts at Chiefs Kansas City 6
1:04:42and 12 point favorite. The total is 46
1:04:45and a half. This is a Sunday night game
1:04:47which is not good news. I don't know if
1:04:49anyone told Daniel Jones because he is
1:04:51the worst prime time quarterback in the
1:04:54history of football. He's 1 and5.
1:04:58>> He's worse than Kurt Cousins.
1:05:00>> That's cuz they never gave us any prime
1:05:01time. We were good last year cuz they
1:05:03didn't think we're going to be any good.
1:05:04>> One and 15.
1:05:06>> Yeah. Yes. I don't I think Cousins I
1:05:08don't think he's worse than that. I
1:05:08think Cousins maybe has two wins only
1:05:10because he's been around longer. I don't
1:05:12know what it is, but one and 15. the
1:05:14bundo. You're making this. You're trying
1:05:16to go two in a row with your wise wagers
1:05:18and you're taking a total here.
1:05:20>> I am taking a total this week under 46
1:05:22and a half
1:05:23>> wise wager. I I was really tempted to
1:05:26play Indie again and I I know that I
1:05:28made a fool of myself on last week's
1:05:29podcast when I came on here and I said,
1:05:31you know, Colts three and a half
1:05:33probably the worst bet I'll make for a
1:05:34few weeks until uh one later coming up
1:05:36in the show. But uh I love this under
1:05:40and I I think when I watched the Colts
1:05:42Ravens back, I only did it with one eye
1:05:44open and I was like half asleep and I
1:05:46put it on like 3x speed cuz I didn't
1:05:47really want to watch the game. But what
1:05:49I noticed is that almost all of the
1:05:51mistakes that happened on the Indie
1:05:53defense were communication and over the
1:05:55middle. And it was like Holly not
1:05:57picking up a route, Wall-E and Holly
1:06:00having a miscommunication that led to a
1:06:03significant mishap that led to a big Z
1:06:05Flowers play or just Lamar Jackson doing
1:06:07some crazy [ __ ] like ducking under two
1:06:09defenders on third and 17 and scrambling
1:06:11for a first down or dodging one defender
1:06:13and then beating two guys down the field
1:06:15for another third down conversion with
1:06:16his legs. A lot of that [ __ ] is probably
1:06:19not going to happen again in week two.
1:06:22Famous last words, probably not. And
1:06:24they're they're playing an offense
1:06:25that's just not explosive. I mean, the
1:06:28underrated part of this, everybody is
1:06:29gushing over Ken Walker. And I get it.
1:06:31He broke a thousand tackles and had a
1:06:33bunch of explosive runs. Their offensive
1:06:35run game down to down was worse with Ken
1:06:38Walker last week. Their success rate on
1:06:40runs was worse. They were more boomer
1:06:43bust. But what happens to this offense
1:06:45if they're not as consistent on the run
1:06:47game and they're not able to get those
1:06:49chunks because they play a team that
1:06:50actually tackles for this week? I think
1:06:52it could take a step back and I don't
1:06:54think the Chiefs are the team that can
1:06:55be explosive right now. Mahomes is going
1:06:57to run a bunch. I'm sure he'll be
1:06:58successful there. They have nobody that
1:07:00can beat man coverage and I don't think
1:07:02this is nearly as bad of a matchup for
1:07:04the Colts as last week was. On the other
1:07:06side of the ball, we got Danny Dimes who
1:07:09didn't throw down the field and didn't
1:07:10run. And if you're not doing those two
1:07:12things, you got a problem with this
1:07:13offense. Alec Pierce is DNP on Thursday.
1:07:16He didn't look healthy to me uh 100% at
1:07:19least in week one. So, you're taking
1:07:21away explosiveness from Indie. We know
1:07:23the Chiefs are probably not getting that
1:07:24kind of offensive performance. Again, we
1:07:26know the Chiefs are a home under
1:07:28machine. It's like 79% or something in
1:07:30the last few years. I think this all to
1:07:33me points to like a 24 23-20 game. Uh,
1:07:36so give me the under 46 and a half wise
1:07:39wager.
1:07:40>> It's bag in his bag.
1:07:44>> Wow. All right, Joe House, you have a
1:07:45nice little SGP you put together for us.
1:07:47>> I love the underplay here. And the Bundo
1:07:51um got to the most salient point, which
1:07:53is all that Kansas City does at home is
1:07:55play unders. Uh, I don't I don't I like
1:07:58about 10% of the rest of your analysis
1:08:01because I don't see a bounce back out of
1:08:04this Colts defense in any way, shape, or
1:08:06form. Um, I I I
1:08:09do respect Stiken. Um, they gave it to
1:08:12Kansas City last year and the the Colts
1:08:14sort of in general played Kansas City
1:08:16tough um when they're headtohead, but
1:08:19Danny Dimes can't move. This is the the
1:08:22the guys coming off of big serious
1:08:24injuries. We have a head-to-head. It's a
1:08:27referendum. It's Momes whose average
1:08:29depth of of, you know, a tenth last week
1:08:32was 2.5 yards, whatever the crazy number
1:08:35was. He he didn't complete a single pass
1:08:37of 10 yards uh air yards. And uh Danny
1:08:41Dimes, who can't load up on the
1:08:44Achilles, uh or or run. So, I I'm not
1:08:47getting in involved. Um I want to play
1:08:50just simply Kenneth Walker anytime
1:08:51touchdown, but that's minus 220. If you
1:08:54pair that with the Chiefs to win
1:08:55outright at home, which is what I think
1:08:58is going to happen, it's minus 124. It's
1:09:00a It's just a little two-leg parlay,
1:09:02mini same game parlay, minus 124 for the
1:09:04Chiefs to hold serve at home. And you
1:09:08know, the the Colts have a lot to sort
1:09:10out still.
1:09:12>> The Bundo, I'm taking your team as a 107
1:09:15pick.
1:09:15>> I love it.
1:09:17>> The Colts,
1:09:18>> it's a classic.
1:09:19>> I just told you I am. Yeah, that's
1:09:21that's
1:09:22>> Well, it might just be you. I mean, it's
1:09:23like Chiefs are back. Chiefs amazing,
1:09:27Colts stink.
1:09:29>> Well, D's ass on the road at D's ass in
1:09:33prime time.
1:09:35>> I think there's a lot more people
1:09:36betting the Colts than you realize.
1:09:38>> Not the average.
1:09:39>> I mean, it is has not gone to seven yet,
1:09:41right? So, are getting at six and a
1:09:42half, but here's my reasoning. Chiefs
1:09:44have not won consecutive games by seven
1:09:46points or more in 12 straight games.
1:09:48These This is the Kansas City Chiefs
1:09:50that everybody knows and loves, right?
1:09:52Mahomes, three straight games under 200
1:09:54yards passing. We talked about how uh
1:09:57maybe inefficient that efficient offense
1:09:59was last week. And the Colts have not
1:10:00lost their first road games of the
1:10:02season to Bundo, you probably know this,
1:10:05by more than six points in four years.
1:10:07They won their first road game last year
1:10:09by 21. Stiken 12-6 against the spread as
1:10:12a road dog. Showed a little life in the
1:10:14second half. Tokens, I'm back to not
1:10:16writing your team off here. They'll lose
1:10:18a more typical Chiefs game Sunday night
1:10:202219.
1:10:22>> I mean, just think about the price, too.
1:10:23Like the Denver closed one and a half
1:10:25point dogs.
1:10:26>> How much you upgrading KC? I mean,
1:10:29Denver and Indie for me were not rated
1:10:30that different before the season. I had
1:10:31Denver about a point better.
1:10:33>> Mhm.
1:10:33>> You bumped both teams a point. You get
1:10:35to like four and a half, five here.
1:10:39>> I didn't I did not see an explosive
1:10:41offense, but convince the others, not
1:10:43me. Let's go to uh let's ride, baby.
1:10:45>> Let's go to LA. My backyard Raiders at
1:10:48Chargers. Chargers another six and a
1:10:49half point favorite here. Chargers 43
1:10:51and a half is the overunder. Chargers
1:10:54fans will get overwhelmed and
1:10:56demolished. The fans at least lots of
1:10:58fights I'm guessing right there in the
1:11:00stands. Ed Soofi Raheem, you're playing
1:11:03a total in this one. I'm going under.
1:11:06And the big reason why is when you look
1:11:08at the Chargers, you're missing Lab
1:11:10Maki.
1:11:12You're already missing one of your
1:11:14starters on the offensive line. And now
1:11:16Trey Pippens is is hurt as well. So you
1:11:20couldn't really score against Arizona. I
1:11:22know the Raiders defense is worse, but
1:11:24without Lab Makanki, you don't really
1:11:27have any explosiveness at all. So I
1:11:30think this could be one of those lower
1:11:32scoring divisional matchups, I think
1:11:35this line should be closer to 40 than
1:11:37closer to 44. So I'm going under here.
1:11:41All right, Joe House, you have a you
1:11:43have a side pick,
1:11:45>> just a a lean again based on on prior.
1:11:49Uh is Harbaugh really going to start the
1:11:51season 0 and2 losing to the Cardinals
1:11:54and the Raiders? I don't think so. He
1:11:57did come on uh you know, one of the
1:12:00press conferences and say they probably
1:12:02should have uh played more starters in
1:12:04the preseason. Um you think so, coach?
1:12:06You think that might have helped a
1:12:08little bit? They were clearly not ready
1:12:11in any way, shape, or form. Um, this
1:12:14Raiders defense throughout the preeason
1:12:17left a ton to be desired, and they
1:12:20really didn't impress against the
1:12:22Dolphins last week. So, I think this is
1:12:24a get-right spot for the Chargers. I
1:12:27don't have a huge play on it right now.
1:12:29I'm I may find myself into um them on my
1:12:33107 card come Sunday. I'm not there yet,
1:12:35but I like the Chargers to get right and
1:12:37win by margin. Uh, potentially.
1:12:40>> All right, the Bundo, you did the Jets,
1:12:43Packers. You did Packers first half,
1:12:45Jets to win. I love these bets. FanDuel
1:12:48offers them. I'm doing Raiders first
1:12:50half, Chargers win the game plus 650.
1:12:53So, Mike Tomlin left the Steelers for
1:12:54NBC. And with him, he took my South
1:12:57Steelers special, which was the Steelers
1:12:59to lose the first half coupled with the
1:13:01Steelers to win the game. It was a
1:13:02miraculous gift for him. It hit like
1:13:04five times a year for three years. Six
1:13:07to eight to 10 to one odds. Sometimes I
1:13:09won all sorts of awards, the Billy
1:13:11Walters Medal of Honor or something. I
1:13:13think I still have it in the back there.
1:13:14But now it's over cuz Tomlin's gone. So
1:13:16I'm auditioning other specials with the
1:13:19same setup. And I'm giving the Chargers
1:13:21a chance here. Plus 650 that they blow
1:13:23the first half only to win the game.
1:13:25I'll be cursing Mike McDaniel and
1:13:27Harbaugh and Herbert and the Raiders
1:13:29fans at Sofi for an hour and a half
1:13:32before the Bolts get back on track. The
1:13:34Sal South South Bay special for now. I
1:13:38don't know. Chargers lose the first
1:13:39half, win the game plus 650. De Bundo, I
1:13:43skipped you, but you're leaning towards
1:13:44Raheem's pick of the under, right? Yeah,
1:13:47I think they're going to try to run the
1:13:48ball early. I think if you have Manki,
1:13:50you come out, you try to run all over
1:13:52this Raiders defense. Let's see what
1:13:53they look like against a more competent
1:13:55offense. Let's see if Mikey Mack can
1:13:56cook up a good run game cuz it didn't
1:13:58really look that way in the first game
1:14:00against the Cardinals, but also they
1:14:01were up against the script most of that
1:14:03game
1:14:04>> because their defense put them in a hole
1:14:05early and because Arizona controlled so
1:14:07much of the game. They barely had the
1:14:09ball in the first half and by the time
1:14:10they finally got possessions, they were
1:14:11down, you know, 10, seven points. So, I
1:14:15think this this is just a good
1:14:16opportunity for the Chargers to try to
1:14:18come out and and hit the reset button
1:14:20and do what they actually wanted to do
1:14:21before the season started, and that's be
1:14:23a more controlled run team and and build
1:14:26off of that.
1:14:27>> All right, there you go. All right,
1:14:28we're moving on to Panthers at Falcons.
1:14:32>> Catching two and a half, we don't have
1:14:34to spend a lot of time on it. I mean,
1:14:36House, you're making this one of your
1:14:38best bets, your man's best bet for God's
1:14:40sakes. 43 and a half is the total. What
1:14:42you going with, House? Yeah, I'm taking
1:14:44the Atlanta Falcons at home getting
1:14:46points from the the Carolina Panthers.
1:14:50Um, does anybody know who's playing
1:14:52quarterback for the Atlanta Falcons?
1:14:55>> Rush, I think.
1:14:56>> Well, they haven't they haven't made an
1:14:58official announcement.
1:14:59>> Doesn't matter the house. No one's
1:15:01volunteering. They ask every like three
1:15:03hours and say, "Raise your hand,
1:15:04please."
1:15:05>> Who's the Georgia quarterback? Could he
1:15:06do double duty? I
1:15:07>> I mean, Right. Right. If you're if you
1:15:09have
1:15:10>> a bell to install steady quarterbacks
1:15:12like or alltime quarterback whatever you
1:15:14call Joe it's just Joe Flacco that would
1:15:17be perfect
1:15:19with all the teams he shows up for one
1:15:21game 60-year-old uncle does on
1:15:23Thanksgiving right he's not going to run
1:15:25routes the Thanksgiving game so yeah
1:15:27he's a quarterback all time
1:15:29>> if was the quarterback for Atlanta this
1:15:31line would be Atlanta minus you know six
1:15:33or something
1:15:34>> yeah uh I'm just not prepared to um live
1:15:38in a world where Carolina as a favorite
1:15:40is going to go on the road and and win a
1:15:42football game. Uh they are 0 and9
1:15:45against the spread last nine times they
1:15:48were favored. On on the other hand, they
1:15:50are 9 and0 coming off of a loss in their
1:15:52last nine games. None of that matters um
1:15:55to this handicap. I thought Atlanta
1:15:58against Pittsburgh was super duper live
1:16:03even with the short armed uh weak armed
1:16:07Cooper Rush playing quarterback. Um they
1:16:11got Bejon in a whole bunch of different
1:16:14kind of schemes. I was so impressed. I
1:16:17had Pittsburgh as my survivor pick. Home
1:16:20team against Atlanta. Atlanta's defense
1:16:22was weak. Uh Atlanta gave the Steelers
1:16:26everything they could handle. They
1:16:27missed two field go field field goals.
1:16:29Atlanta did. Um I I I had to rerate um
1:16:34Atlanta based on what I saw out of that
1:16:36game. I think Atlanta uh this is a a
1:16:39divisional home dog in week two. Atlanta
1:16:42goes ahead and hold serve against
1:16:44Carolina um this week.
1:16:47>> All right. I mean, I'll say something
1:16:48nice about Atlanta. I really don't want
1:16:49to take teams in these NF South MC South
1:16:52slopfest matchups, but I'll go with a
1:16:54player prop. As Atlanta's offense and
1:16:56pass game in particular gets murkier and
1:16:59murkier, one thing seems to be certain,
1:17:01Bejan Robinson is going to be the focal
1:17:03point of the offense. I'm going six plus
1:17:06receptions at plus 122. He had 10
1:17:09targets from Cooper Rush last week,
1:17:10eight receptions. It's quick, it's easy.
1:17:13He had a bunch of games last year where
1:17:15he had 10 or more targets and a half
1:17:17dozen games with six plus grabs. So,
1:17:18they need him now more than ever, plus
1:17:20money for six or more receptions out of
1:17:23Bejon. Uh, Raheem, you're going against
1:17:25Atlanta entirely, laying a a a juicy
1:17:28number on the money line here.
1:17:29>> So, you you got certain matchups in
1:17:31sports where one guy just has the other
1:17:35team's number. You got Dak versus the
1:17:37NFC East.
1:17:39>> You got Luca Donicage whenever he sees
1:17:43the Phoenix Suns.
1:17:45You got Michael Jordan versus the
1:17:47Knicks. Well, I hate to say this, but
1:17:49you got Bryce Young versus the Atlanta
1:17:52Falcons. Like, I know it sounds crazy,
1:17:55but Bryce Young has 14 wins in his
1:17:58career. Almost 30% of his wins have come
1:18:01against the Atlanta Falcons, including
1:18:03three straight.
1:18:064438 the last three games. 4438.
1:18:1030 to nothing. 30-27. So, he puts up
1:18:13points on this Atlanta Falcons defense
1:18:15for whatever reason. And now he gets to
1:18:18play them without James Pierce, without
1:18:21Jaylen Walker. I gave this out earlier
1:18:23in the week. It was one and a half. It's
1:18:25now up to two and a half. I wouldn't I
1:18:27don't really like to play that number,
1:18:29but I think the I think Carolina's going
1:18:31to win this game. I I I really do. They
1:18:33are nine and0 against the spread off of
1:18:36a loss the last two seasons. We know
1:18:39they played that high power Bears
1:18:42offense. Well, I don't know where the
1:18:44offense is coming from for
1:18:45>> the no power Falcons offense
1:18:47>> because who's the quarterback? I mean,
1:18:50>> four completed passes last week.
1:18:52>> Yeah. So,
1:18:53>> four completed passes.
1:18:54>> If Bryce Young continues to hate the
1:18:56Atlanta Falcons, I think he could play
1:18:58the money line. Let's lay the 142.
1:19:00>> All right, Debundo, you have a nice
1:19:02little teaser special for us later in
1:19:04the show, but you want to
1:19:07Yeah. Yeah, anytime you can get a short
1:19:10home divisional dog up over seven in a
1:19:12game with a total this low, I know it's
1:19:14Cooper Rush. I know it might be Jack
1:19:16Strand. It might be Michael Penn.
1:19:18>> It might be Tua Back from the dead.
1:19:20Probably not. But uh I think they're the
1:19:22best teaser leg of the week. So, I'm
1:19:24teasing the Falcons.
1:19:25>> Jack Strand, Minnesota State. I don't
1:19:27even know their mascot. I know all the
1:19:29mascots. I couldn't tell you what
1:19:30Minnesota State is. Put it in the chat
1:19:31if you uh if you know. I dare you. So,
1:19:34all right. Let's move on. Saints at
1:19:36Ravens. Baltimore laying 8 and a half.
1:19:39The total is 46
1:19:42and a half. Ravens 1 and 0. Saints also
1:19:45should be 1 and 0, but they're not.
1:19:47They're on the road. And Raheem Palmer,
1:19:49Aari's wager champ, has a wise wager bet
1:19:53on this particular matchup.
1:19:55>> All right, so this full game line
1:19:57doesn't make any sense to me. You got
1:20:00the Ravens laying eight and a half to
1:20:03the New Orleans Saints.
1:20:05I think this line should be closer to
1:20:0710.
1:20:08>> And if I look at my model, I actually
1:20:11have it like 12.
1:20:13So last week, I want to remind everybody
1:20:17the Lions were laying seven to the same
1:20:20New Orleans Saints team.
1:20:23So you telling me that the the Ravens
1:20:24are only a point and a half better than
1:20:26the Lions? We just saw the Lions last
1:20:28night. They get they got trashed.
1:20:31>> You saw last week against New Orleans.
1:20:34Tyler Shuck look like Joe Montana in the
1:20:36second half. So you telling me this line
1:20:38is only eight and a half? It's not
1:20:39making sense.
1:20:41>> So a lot of people are picking the
1:20:43Saints. They're coming into this matchup
1:20:44and saying, "All right, Z Flowers, he's
1:20:47out for this matchup.
1:20:49Jacobe Lane, he's out for this matchup."
1:20:53Well, that doesn't matter because when
1:20:56you really sit down and look at it, how
1:20:58did the Lions win last week? They ran
1:21:01all over this New Orleans Saints team
1:21:04like like they ran everywhere up down
1:21:09like like I just if if you look at
1:21:15this Ravens offense even without Z
1:21:17Flowers even without
1:21:19>> I got good news Raheem I'm going to cut
1:21:20you off here. Z Flowers is practicing
1:21:21today just broke
1:21:24>> might be playing.
1:21:25>> He might be playing. Honestly, I don't
1:21:27care who plays because you got Derk
1:21:30Henry and Dererick Henry is going to run
1:21:32all over this team. So, I just look at
1:21:35it like this line is way too short. And
1:21:38then more importantly, we know Lamar
1:21:41Jackson in the first half, and this is
1:21:43my bet. I'm going with the Ravens first
1:21:44half. I gave this out last week against
1:21:46the Colts. We going back to the well.
1:21:49Ravens first half minus 5 and a half.
1:21:52And this is a Saints team who last year
1:21:56they were 4-12 against the first half.
1:21:58So you have two trends which line up
1:22:01perfectly and you have a Ravens team
1:22:03which I believe is a Super Bowl
1:22:05contender. They had the highest win
1:22:06total on the board. Just lay it with the
1:22:09Ravens first half.
1:22:11>> All right.
1:22:12>> House is taking your first half bet and
1:22:15making half of that bet. Right. I'm I'm
1:22:18lost with the math. house is like it's
1:22:20the first quarter.
1:22:21>> Yeah, I I really love um Dreams Ravens
1:22:25first half play and I think that's also
1:22:28an until further notice. Just play it
1:22:31every week until they they they they
1:22:33drop one. But uh I heard something on
1:22:36one of the preview shows this week that
1:22:38caught my attention. I had to look this
1:22:39up. The New Orleans Saints are one of
1:22:42the worst teams in the first quarter
1:22:45maybe in the history of of of football.
1:22:48Last season they scored on only 14% of
1:22:51their first quarter drives. The NFL
1:22:54average is 33%. They had 19 three and
1:22:57outs in their first quarter. Uh the
1:22:59worst in the entire NFL last season.
1:23:01They opened against the Detroit Lions
1:23:03with a scoreless for first quarter last
1:23:06week. Uh with with an opening three and
1:23:09out. This is the the the handicap
1:23:12though. Um Ravens laying two and a half.
1:23:16This is by far, by a long shot, the most
1:23:20uh uh complete defense that Tyler Shuck
1:23:23will have faced in his entire NFL
1:23:25career. He's never seen a defense like
1:23:27this before. And it's Jesse Menter in
1:23:30his bag, having the benefit of watching
1:23:32how the Saints had success against
1:23:34Detroit. I love Baltimore coming out
1:23:37fast, putting a strangle hold at least
1:23:39early in this game on on the Saints. And
1:23:42they only have to cover two and a half,
1:23:44the Ravens. This is my 1B wise wager of
1:23:47I know we're only allowed one wise wager
1:23:49and mine's on Houston but this is 1B for
1:23:51me. I really love this play. The Ravens
1:23:54minus one and a half first quarter.
1:23:55Minus two and a half first quarterly
1:23:56less wise wager.
1:23:58>> Yes. Yes. Still very smart but not as
1:24:00wise.
1:24:01>> Intelligent but not wise. Big
1:24:02difference. We have another We have
1:24:04another deer on the
1:24:06>> Yeah, I like a lot of totals this week.
1:24:07Tony totals.
1:24:09>> I'm actually was looking I'm 5 and0 on
1:24:10totals this year. 3 last week and uh
1:24:13>> nice little uh second half under a
1:24:15little over last night, but
1:24:18I like the under here. Now, I don't love
1:24:20that Zay Flowers just got announced to
1:24:22be practicing and probably gonna play
1:24:23because that that was I was kind of
1:24:24banking on them not being quite as
1:24:26explosive. But this is Jesse Mentor
1:24:27against Brandon Staley. Two defensive
1:24:30coordinators who are designed to take
1:24:32away explosive plays and two if
1:24:36Baltimore wants to come out and run
1:24:37Henry a bunch and we know like and I
1:24:40agree with House's point about about
1:24:42Shuck not playing any defense near the
1:24:44caliber of this Ravens team, I think
1:24:46that just portends to an under in this
1:24:47game. Now, I don't love One thing that
1:24:49would scare me a little bit. They talked
1:24:50to Menter at halftime and it kind of
1:24:52stuck with me and even after the game,
1:24:54he talked about keeping his foot down,
1:24:56pedal to the metal, and not wanting to
1:24:57relent. That has been a problem for
1:24:59Ravens teams in the past. So, are the
1:25:00Ravens going to be more aggressive in
1:25:02fourth quarters than they've been in the
1:25:03past. Don't love that if you're betting
1:25:05the under certainly, but I do think,
1:25:07again, this is kind of correlated to my
1:25:09Colts handicap. I think a lot of what
1:25:11happened last week in the Baltimore game
1:25:13was brand new offense got a lot of young
1:25:16middle linebackers and safeties in
1:25:18conflict and nickel corners and caused a
1:25:20lot of confusion and disruption that led
1:25:22to a lot more explosiveness. Yes,
1:25:24Baltimore's going to be explosive, but
1:25:26maybe not as explosive this week. I like
1:25:28under 46 and a half. Uh I think the
1:25:31Saints offense is in some trouble here.
1:25:33>> All right, I have an under two. And this
1:25:35goes against everything I I believe in
1:25:37the Ravens because I like them a lot. I
1:25:38actually bet a a good chunk of change on
1:25:41them to win the AFC North this week. On
1:25:43Tuesday, we talked about how they were
1:25:44even odds. Now they're up to minus 130.
1:25:46Um, and I recommend you do the same.
1:25:48It's more about Joe Burrow setting us up
1:25:50for the next injury and Aaron Rogers
1:25:52setting us up for more um unspectacular
1:25:54quarterbacking from a 43y old. This that
1:25:57said, I'm taking the Ravens under 27 and
1:25:59a half. I think everything comes back
1:26:01down to earth a little bit, including
1:26:03the Ravens offense who might be down to
1:26:05receivers. within Flowers plays won't be
1:26:08100%. Still a chance. So before last
1:26:11week, they had gone over 27 and a half
1:26:13points just one time in their last nine
1:26:16games, which surprised me even when I
1:26:17looked it up and I was looking for this.
1:26:19The last four times Henry had three
1:26:20rushing touchdowns. Three of them they
1:26:22scored under 27 and a half points the
1:26:24week after. The last two times the
1:26:26Ravens played New Orleans, Saints held
1:26:28them to under 28. So I liked what I saw
1:26:30out of Brandon Staley's defense, the
1:26:32Saints in the second half of that Lions
1:26:34game. Ravens win, but score in the low
1:26:36to mid 20s. Let's go under 26 and a
1:26:40half. All right, Eagles Titans. Now
1:26:43we're getting serious here, guys. Seven
1:26:46is a line. Philly on the road. 39 a2 is
1:26:50the total.
1:26:52I don't know what to make of this house.
1:26:54I know you have a strong feeling on
1:26:55this. What is that strong feeling? My
1:26:58strong feeling is to tease this thing
1:27:00because I don't trust Philadelphia in
1:27:02any way, shape, or form. But I certainly
1:27:05trust them more than I trust the Titans.
1:27:07That was an absolute debacle. Now, we
1:27:09came into week one um pretty heavily uh
1:27:13in in invested in the Jets because we
1:27:16thought on both sides of the ball the
1:27:17Jets had superior talent to uh the
1:27:21Titans and the Jets went in there and
1:27:23really it was very tidy the way that the
1:27:25Jets handled Tennessee. Tennessee looked
1:27:27unprepared on both sides of the ball.
1:27:29The real handicap to me for the Titans
1:27:31is their quarterback. I don't know.
1:27:34There's no evidence yet that Cam Ward
1:27:35can play quarterback in the NFL. Um, and
1:27:39the advanced metrics when you go sort of
1:27:40below first tier. The second tier
1:27:42numbers are not kind to him in terms of
1:27:44hitting open receivers and being
1:27:46accurate with the football. So, I'm
1:27:49playing this, you know, kind of kind of
1:27:51a cowardly way. Eagles minus one. I
1:27:54don't like the Eagles by margin under
1:27:55any circumstances after I watched that
1:27:57offense uh against Washington last week,
1:28:00but I'm gonna go ahead and tease the
1:28:02total, which is all the way down to 39 a
1:28:04half. We go up to 45 a half and I'm
1:28:06playing under 45 a half with the Eagles
1:28:09to basically win outright on the notion
1:28:12that Tennessee still not ready for prime
1:28:14time and Eagles with a bad taste in
1:28:16their mouth with the way that they um
1:28:19you know challenged Washington
1:28:21challenged them at home. So that that's
1:28:23what I'm doing that teaser.
1:28:25>> All right, let me get this out of the
1:28:26way because I don't feel great about it.
1:28:28I feel so bad about that. I'm making my
1:28:30feel great about it.
1:28:31>> My 107 pick and my man's best bet,
1:28:34Titans on the money line plus 280. Wow.
1:28:39>> Look, this is how you do an underdog
1:28:41pick here. Uh the Bundo and obviously
1:28:44they didn't show us more much last week
1:28:45and now they have an Eagles offense that
1:28:48really, come on, still doesn't have an
1:28:49identity, right? Jaylen Herz though 0
1:28:51and2 verse Robert Salah defenses hasn't
1:28:54broken 20 points and I expect Jeffrey
1:28:56Simmons to exploit that offensive line
1:28:59enough times to make this close small
1:29:01sample size I know but I have a hunch
1:29:03Tennessee plays tough Brian Dable knows
1:29:06this Eagles team as well offensive
1:29:08coordinator lowscoring game he does know
1:29:11worth it in my opinion yes to take the
1:29:13underdog with the points and in this
1:29:16case to win outright do it Titans come
1:29:18on plus 280
1:29:20Raheem, come on. Let's gain a game in
1:29:22these three.
1:29:22>> I'm going I'm going under under 39 and a
1:29:25half. If you look at the Titans last
1:29:26week, they had 195 yards of offense, 4
1:29:30yards per 4.0 yards per play. Only one
1:29:34red zone possession. And I don't think
1:29:36that any better against this Eagles
1:29:37defense. But then if you look at the
1:29:39Eagles, they have some issues on the
1:29:40offensive line. Land Landon Dickerson is
1:29:42out. Like you like you said before,
1:29:44Robert Salah has this Philadelphia
1:29:47Eagles and Jaylen Hurst number. It's so
1:29:49crazy because the the the 49ers, they
1:29:52had like a makeshift defensive like unit
1:29:55last year and they still held the
1:29:57Philadelphia Eagles to 19 points at
1:29:59home. So, I don't see this being a
1:30:01highscoring game. This might be, you
1:30:03know, 20 to 10 or something like that.
1:30:05So, I'm going under.
1:30:07>> We'll take 20 to 10 as long as the
1:30:09Titans are on top. The Bundo the hottest
1:30:12take is that the Jets offense might be
1:30:14better down to down than the Eagles,
1:30:17>> right? It's like not that crazy of a
1:30:19take. Now, obviously, Eagles have more
1:30:20explosiveness, more downfield threat,
1:30:23more home run potential, but you know,
1:30:26Dickerson was awful last week. Him
1:30:28getting out might be an upgrade for the
1:30:29offensive line, but the entire offensive
1:30:31line had real issues in run blocking,
1:30:34and they weren't able to consistently
1:30:35get Barkley going. And they had 10 first
1:30:38downs at home against a defense that is
1:30:41pretty bad in the secondary. So, I just
1:30:42don't really think Philly should be
1:30:44priced laying the full seven here. And
1:30:46this is the worst bet I'll make probably
1:30:48in a while, but every who who's who
1:30:50besides us is on the Titans. It's like
1:30:51everybody's like, "Yeah, Eagles Eagles
1:30:53good. Titans suck again." It's the
1:30:55classic narrative. I don't really want
1:30:59to lay margin with Philly. Philly won by
1:31:01more than seven three times last year.
1:31:03It was the Josh Johnson Giants, Josh
1:31:06Johnson Commanders. It was the first
1:31:08overall pick, Raiders. And it was their
1:31:10home game against the Giants when they
1:31:11ran all over a bad run defense. I don't
1:31:13think Tennessee's run defense is going
1:31:15to be that bad forever. And I don't
1:31:16think the Eagles run offense is
1:31:17consistent enough. So, it's ugly. I
1:31:20don't want to have to have discourse
1:31:22about Jaylen Herz anymore, but Titans
1:31:24plus seven is is a ringer 107 for me.
1:31:26>> Yeah, no more discourse. It's
1:31:27disgusting. Um, I'm with you.
1:31:30>> Disgusting discourse.
1:31:32>> I'm with you. All right.
1:31:33>> I'm surprised Bill hasn't hopped in the
1:31:35chat
1:31:36>> and gave us a three team 10point teaser
1:31:40because this would be the game. Jags,
1:31:42Bucks, Ravens done. Did we hit? Did we
1:31:46win with them yesterday? Did Did those
1:31:48first two legs all Bills and over? Yeah.
1:31:50Every teaser. Yeah. I mean, even if you
1:31:51had the Lions,
1:31:52>> sports betting were always this easy.
1:31:54>> I know. I know. It really was kind of
1:31:56perfect.
1:31:56>> Offense good. Detroit basically running
1:31:58an XFL defense out there. Uh
1:32:02>> so,
1:32:02>> um speaking of XFL, the Bucks are home
1:32:06for the Browns. It's eight and a half
1:32:08point favorite. Wow. The Bucks are an
1:32:10eight and a half point favorite. The
1:32:11total is 41 and a half. Uh Raheem, you
1:32:17like that total. It's staring at you
1:32:19saying nice things to
1:32:20>> Yeah, I just think this is a good buy
1:32:21low spot. And if you look at like really
1:32:25look at what Tampa did last week, they
1:32:27had four turnovers and they still like
1:32:30they still scored at will. So, um they
1:32:33put up 27 points with four fumbles. And
1:32:36I don't think this Browns defense is
1:32:38nearly as good as they were in previous
1:32:41years. Obviously, you you trade Miles
1:32:43Garrett for Jared Verse. And it just
1:32:45appears that there's a step back and I
1:32:48think Tampa could probably go out there
1:32:50and put out, you know, 30 points. I just
1:32:53need Deshaawn Watson to do something.
1:32:56And that something doesn't necessarily
1:32:58have to be scoring touchdowns. Throw
1:33:01some interceptions, fumble the ball. I
1:33:04think anything that he does in this game
1:33:06is going to help the over. So, I think
1:33:07it's a good buy by low spot for the
1:33:09over. I think I gave this out earlier
1:33:11this this week. It was like 40 and a
1:33:12half. Now, we're at 41 and a half. And I
1:33:14got to remind everybody 41 is key. Uh
1:33:18it's a key number on um NFL totals. Um
1:33:21it actually it's probably like the most
1:33:22common total at this point in time.
1:33:24>> 17. Sure.
1:33:25>> Yeah. So I I think if you can get a 41,
1:33:29that's the best thing that you can do
1:33:30because I mean what 41 comes out three
1:33:34and a half% of the time. Doesn't seem
1:33:36like a lot, but you know that that extra
1:33:38hook could kill you, but I like the
1:33:39over.
1:33:40>> The extra hook will kill you. All right.
1:33:42I I like some points in here, too. I'm
1:33:44going to put together a little same game
1:33:45parlay here. Tampa money line. Baker
1:33:48over one and a half touchdown passes.
1:33:50Eggbuka 60 plus receiving yards. I don't
1:33:52want to f with the spread cuz Tampa
1:33:54doesn't show any interest in covering
1:33:55ever. What is that number, Raheem? How
1:33:58many games in a row?
1:33:59>> 10 in a row.
1:34:00>> 10 in a row. It feels like 25. But
1:34:03>> it's been like almost like almost a
1:34:05year.
1:34:06>> Yeah, it's a long time. And by the way,
1:34:08Baker really should be the Browns
1:34:10quarterback right now. If that
1:34:11organization was smart, uh, on the other
1:34:13hand, he should really never stop
1:34:15thanking them for letting him go. So, he
1:34:17will thank them this week by securing a
1:34:19victory number one. He will throw for
1:34:21multiple touchdowns and connect with
1:34:22Ibuka number three for 60 plus yards. He
1:34:25uh Ibuka had 60 plus last week. He did
1:34:27it a bunch in 2025. Baker's going to
1:34:30show off and the Browns will show their
1:34:31true colors. The Miles Garrettless
1:34:33defense is unimpressive. Bucks Baker two
1:34:37plus TDs and Ibuka 60 plus yards. It's
1:34:40an SGP that pays plus 267. Get in, get
1:34:43out. The Bundo and House, you like
1:34:46Tampa, but only really on a teaser like
1:34:48that. You're going to tease. You're
1:34:50going to tease the teaser right now. I'm
1:34:53also using them in Survivor. Oh, God
1:34:56bless you.
1:34:57>> It's a perfectly sound play. This is the
1:34:59last Deshun Watson game. I don't know
1:35:00what you're supposed to pour out to
1:35:02celebrate it or or to memorialize it.
1:35:05>> Not throw it at Denzel Boston late in
1:35:07the game.
1:35:07>> Maybe maybe celebrate's the wrong word,
1:35:09but uh you have to have some kind of
1:35:12action on this game. I'm only
1:35:14comfortable with a teaser leg. There are
1:35:16some great teaser leg options out there
1:35:18up in around Robin Tampa probably with
1:35:21like the Jaguars um up to eight and a
1:35:24half points. Probably with the Falcons
1:35:26up to eight and a half points and then
1:35:29maybe um tease the Rams down from seven
1:35:31and a half to one and a half. But Tampa
1:35:32is going to be a teaser leg for sure. I
1:35:34have to have action against Deshun
1:35:36Watson this week.
1:35:38>> All right, you have to and you will.
1:35:40>> Let's move on. San Francisco hosting the
1:35:43Dolphins. I mean, there's the least
1:35:44amount to be said about this game. The
1:35:46Dolph the Ners have not gotten the two
1:35:48touchdowns yet. It's 13 and a half and
1:35:5145
1:35:52and a half. Listen, a lot of these NFL
1:35:55rosters are are pretty even. And then,
1:35:57you know, whatever. If a team wins by
1:35:59seven, loses by seven, maybe they lose
1:36:00by 14. It was a fluky thing. These
1:36:02rosters are not even. The only case you
1:36:04can make for the Dolphins is that
1:36:07they're not rested, this 49ers team.
1:36:10They're coming back if you believe in
1:36:11it. But and I do believe in it. I'm
1:36:14taking the Dolphins plus 13 and a half.
1:36:16How absolutely stupid am I to take them
1:36:18as one of my 107 picks? I'll wait for a
1:36:21reaction. No, look, my basic reasoning
1:36:23is that Kyle Shanahan played for the win
1:36:25last week versus the Rams as much as any
1:36:28other head coach could want a victory.
1:36:30And I can't see the 49ers keeping that
1:36:32kind of motion against the Hless
1:36:34Dolphins. History shows they don't get
1:36:36up for games after most wins. They're
1:36:39five and 14 against the spread following
1:36:41a win under Shanahan. And this line
1:36:43moved three points from the look ahead.
1:36:46I know the talent disparity is
1:36:47laughable, but I also think Malik Willis
1:36:49can keep this one close. He wasn't that
1:36:51bad last week. It really wasn't. 49ers
1:36:54get in and out. They try not to, for
1:36:56God's sakes, load up on injur in uh
1:36:58injuries. Is that the word? They seem to
1:37:00lose like three players a game. 2414
1:37:03would be a fine win for the 49ers this
1:37:06week. Give me a 13 and a half point
1:37:08cushion. I'll hold my breath for three
1:37:09hours. House, you got I'm looking at
1:37:11your 107 picks and they're all set to
1:37:14ear.
1:37:14>> This is beautiful.
1:37:16>> You're on Tennessee, Miami, Indie,
1:37:19>> and the team the favorite that nobody
1:37:21wants to bet, which is Green Bay. This
1:37:22is a great card from
1:37:24the cousin. Yeah,
1:37:26>> he's either, you know, three and two
1:37:28three and two week for S. But one of the
1:37:30two will be the dumbest bet he's ever
1:37:32made.
1:37:32>> It could be like one of Tennessee or
1:37:34Miami is losing by 50. I'm worried that
1:37:37that that it's a kidney stone fever
1:37:39dream that car. Oh my god.
1:37:42>> My goal is to not have to watch in the
1:37:44fourth quarter. Do something else.
1:37:47>> I have the 49ers. I'm playing them in
1:37:49the 107. I think that as the season
1:37:52continues to progress, we are going to
1:37:53see this Dolphins team as like a
1:37:5617-point dog to to good teams. And
1:37:58anything less than two touchdowns to me.
1:38:01The 49ers don't have to lift a finger.
1:38:03They can run the exact same game plan.
1:38:04they just get they don't have to install
1:38:06a a unique offense to to go up against
1:38:09this Miami defense. Um, and I do think
1:38:12the the return the amount of time I've
1:38:15heard it's worse coming back and and
1:38:18getting readjusted, but they're playing,
1:38:20you know, the Sunday after the the
1:38:22whatever near 10 days. So, uh, I have
1:38:25them just handling their business.
1:38:27They've been decent um, as a double-
1:38:29digit favorite over the years, you know,
1:38:31slightly to the positive. Uh, I just
1:38:34can't have the Dolphins at less than two
1:38:36touchdowns and and not step in.
1:38:39>> Okay, that's fine. No one's going to
1:38:41really chastise you for that pick. Um,
1:38:44Giants Rams. We'll go over this on the
1:38:46Monday show, but let's hit it a little
1:38:48here because it's a Monday night game.
1:38:49The Rams are laying seven and a half at
1:38:51home. The 0 and1 Rams, the 1 and0 Giants
1:38:54come to town. Raheem, in a couple
1:38:56minutes, you're going to make this part
1:38:57of your teaser. What are your thoughts
1:38:58on this game?
1:38:59>> Yeah, I I got the Rams on the on the
1:39:01teaser. I think the biggest thing is,
1:39:02you should know Shawn McVey off of a
1:39:04loss is one of the best coaches in NFL
1:39:06history. Um, obviously I'm teasing this
1:39:09with the Bucks just like everybody else
1:39:10in the Ringer 107. Um,
1:39:13>> so yeah, I think you got two good legs.
1:39:15So hopefully I hit my teaser this week
1:39:17cuz last week I split. Kind of pissed me
1:39:19off. So it's time to get back.
1:39:22>> Well, yeah, I'm going to uh look I'll
1:39:24put it on a teaser, too. You're right.
1:39:26Um, but I also for this game I like Rams
1:39:28minus 9 and a half adjusted. Um, playing
1:39:31it both ways. Playing it high and low.
1:39:32Going high on the adjusted, going low on
1:39:34the teaser. And I'm discounting almost
1:39:36everything I saw out of these two teams
1:39:39first games in week one. Probably
1:39:41because I'm biased and I hate the
1:39:42Giants. And I picked the Rams to win the
1:39:44Super Bowl. The Rams stupidly planned to
1:39:46get to Melbourne 3 minutes before
1:39:48kickoff and it showed. Now they have a
1:39:50legit 10 days to rest to shake off the
1:39:53jet lag. And uh, Giants played an
1:39:55absolutely atrocious team who I'm
1:39:56ashamed to call mine. couldn't stop the
1:39:59same play four times in a row. The boys
1:40:01had eight new guys on defense. They're
1:40:02not going to see that in the Rams.
1:40:04Offensively, we should see a big game,
1:40:06big comeback from Stafford, who wasn't
1:40:08pressured much and wasn't sacked. And
1:40:09the Giants, by the way, didn't pressure
1:40:11Dak much last week either. So, Puka,
1:40:13Karen Williams, Devonte, the triple
1:40:15tight end set. The offense kicks in.
1:40:18Sean McVeyy's team starts the track
1:40:19meet. I'll say 30 to6 lay the 9 and a
1:40:22half and take the adjusted price at plus
1:40:25120. Uh, House, what's your thought?
1:40:27Yeah, 30 to6 is fine. I don't have a
1:40:29strong play on this right now, but my
1:40:31inclination is under 47 and a half. The
1:40:34pace at which the Giants played against
1:40:37Dallas is one sort of factor in this.
1:40:40And even if the Rams are able to untract
1:40:43on the outside and and get, you know,
1:40:45the ball down the field to receivers,
1:40:47um, I don't think the Giants can match
1:40:49them. So, my lean right now is under 47
1:40:52and a half.
1:40:53>> There you go. All right, guys. It's
1:40:54time. We try to kill time because this
1:40:56family meal is killing us. I mean, uh,
1:40:59of all the foods that have recalled, I
1:41:01think our family meal should be right
1:41:02there at the top. RFK Jr. gets a whiff
1:41:05of our family meals and there's going to
1:41:06be trouble. Let's run the animation
1:41:09right now. Look at this. We put it
1:41:10together a nice little graphic for our
1:41:12family meal. We each pick a touchdown
1:41:16scorer and we put them together and we
1:41:18make a parlay and it doesn't win. Except
1:41:20this week it's going to win. Last week I
1:41:23came through with Lamar Jackson plus
1:41:25260. I'll take
1:41:26>> Was it?
1:41:27>> Yes. Positive vibes only. De Bundo. This
1:41:30week it's Omaran Hampton and I'm going
1:41:33to call this the Continental Breakfast.
1:41:35Therefore, brought to you by the Hampton
1:41:36in Hampton. One of the few Chargers who
1:41:38didn't embarrass himself last week. He
1:41:40scored against the Cardinals. That makes
1:41:42three regular season games in a row that
1:41:45he's found the end zone. Really a
1:41:47must-win versus the Raiders. I'm telling
1:41:48you right now, if you look at that
1:41:50Chargers schedule. So, give me a nice
1:41:51cherry Danish and a hard-boiled egg,
1:41:54right? That's like a Hampton in classic,
1:41:56right house for a for a continental
1:41:58breakfast. Anyway, a Marian Hampton to
1:42:00score at a modest minus 165. The Bundo,
1:42:03good for you. Good on you, George
1:42:06Pickkins. You lose with the same guy in
1:42:08week one. Probably had his opportunities
1:42:10to score if he could catch the ball.
1:42:11Hopefully, he catches the ball this week
1:42:13because he's going to be open downfield
1:42:15against a bad secondary. Give me George
1:42:16Pickkins plus 135. All right, Ryan
1:42:19Palmer, what do we got?
1:42:20>> Yeah, so we're going with Dalton Shaws
1:42:22plus 250. I already mentioned the Nico
1:42:24Collins injury, but if you look at
1:42:26Cincinnati in 2025 against tight ends,
1:42:29116 catches, almost 1,500 yards, 16
1:42:33receiving touchdowns. So Cincinnati,
1:42:35they really do not like to defend tight
1:42:38ends. I think D Schultz, he catch
1:42:41catches a touchdown this week.
1:42:43All right, Joe House.
1:42:45>> I'm nervous about double dipping in this
1:42:47Houston Cincy game, but I do like
1:42:49Houston. Um, what we saw out of them,
1:42:51they got to the red zone quite often and
1:42:53were successful in the red zone. And
1:42:55David McGomery was the beneficiary of
1:42:57it. Two rushing touchdowns and a
1:42:59receiving touchdown. Love the way that
1:43:01they're using him already. Minus 145,
1:43:04but in the parlay, a wonderful leg for
1:43:06everybody. All right, Montgomery,
1:43:09Schultz, Pickicket, Hampton. Put them
1:43:11all together. Plus 2417. Hey, that'll
1:43:15erase the losses for a year. I think a
1:43:17little more, right? Let's do it. Let's
1:43:19get that going. Family meal 2417 if you
1:43:23put those together. I mentioned 247 as
1:43:26the 41 there a minute ago, Raheem, and
1:43:28now we're at 2417 again. All right,
1:43:31Ringer 107. We've been talking about it
1:43:33all show. It's time for our teaser. 107
1:43:36is brought to you by FanDuel. Make this
1:43:38your most rewarding season. Download the
1:43:40FanDuel app to check out all our 107
1:43:43picks and boosted teasers every week
1:43:45this season. FanDuel is taking off some
1:43:47big for these these teasers. Ours
1:43:50specifically, my god, we were looking at
1:43:52like seven and0 I think to Bundo. If
1:43:54Denver had come through,
1:43:55>> Denver got eight and a half. We would
1:43:57have been seven and0
1:43:59cooked.
1:44:00>> Yeah, it would have been done. We
1:44:01probably wouldn't have even had a show
1:44:02today. So, um it's good. It's good that
1:44:04that happened. Thank you, Chiefs. All
1:44:06right, the Bundo, what's your teaser?
1:44:08>> NFC South Classic Bucksus two and a
1:44:11half, Falcons plus eight and a half.
1:44:12>> Oh my god, just got sick. I just passed
1:44:16six kidneys. The NFC South teaser. All
1:44:18right. All right. Good for you, Rahee.
1:44:20You're only taking one NFC South team on
1:44:22yours.
1:44:22>> Yeah, I'm going Bucks minus two and a
1:44:24half, Rams minus one and a half. I just
1:44:27need two big favorites at home to do
1:44:30their job. Please do your job.
1:44:32>> Do your job.
1:44:34Bucks Rams is exactly what uh the Ringer
1:44:36NFL show did as well.
1:44:38>> Is it really? That's how I got through
1:44:40college. Basically bidding teasers from
1:44:42like eight and a half to one and a half
1:44:43to two and a half right in there. Um I
1:44:46didn't really get through college, but
1:44:48uh that's that's how I tried to at
1:44:49least. All right, House. What's yours?
1:44:51>> Yeah, they let's focus on this Eagles
1:44:53Titans game. Eagles winning by a point
1:44:56and under 45 and a half as the total
1:44:58there. Eagles get themselves right at
1:45:00least on defense. All right, I'm going
1:45:03crazy
1:45:04house because the Ringer fantasy guys
1:45:06have the same one.
1:45:08>> What?
1:45:09>> Same exact teaser.
1:45:10>> Same.
1:45:11>> They need to get out of my text thread.
1:45:12>> Yeah. You know what? There there might
1:45:14be some collusion going on or maybe some
1:45:16pick stealing. I don't know.
1:45:18>> It's pick stealing. That's exactly
1:45:19right.
1:45:20>> Are you stealing from them or you they
1:45:22stealing from you? Cuz they are defend.
1:45:24>> How dare you?
1:45:24>> They're the thieves. If anything,
1:45:26>> you think I watch one second of what
1:45:28they they do or talk about? They're
1:45:30lowquality human beings. I like them,
1:45:32but
1:45:32>> Oh, I love I mean, I love the guys. Uh,
1:45:35all right. No, I'm going Rams minus one
1:45:37and a half, Jags plus eight and a half.
1:45:39I put together a masterful teaser with
1:45:41the Lions, who really should have lost
1:45:43last week, and the Bucks, who had to
1:45:44fight to get within one score uh last
1:45:46week. But that's chef's kiss on a
1:45:48teaser, right? When neither team covers,
1:45:50right, outright, and you still win this
1:45:52week. I talked about the Rams buying
1:45:54low, selling real high against the
1:45:55Giants. This is from action, though.
1:45:57Over the last 48 years, teams plus 500
1:46:00to win the Super Bowl or better that
1:46:01lost in week one and are 7 and a half
1:46:03point favorites are 113 and 21. I'm out
1:46:07of breath because there's so many layers
1:46:08to that trend, but 84% good enough for
1:46:11me for the Rams. And then I'm taking the
1:46:13Jags up to eight and a half. I think
1:46:14they win outright versus Denver's coming
1:46:16off a short week. It's become impossible
1:46:18to keep uh Trevor Lawrence offense under
1:46:2023 points. That's going to be plenty.
1:46:22Getting eight and a half. Rams minus one
1:46:23half, Jags plus eight and a half. I'm
1:46:25going to try to go 170 on teasers, guys.
1:46:27Wish me luck. Wish me a lot of luck uh
1:46:29going in. Today's Ringer 107 was brought
1:46:32to you by FanDuel. Download the app now
1:46:34to find all our 107 picks and make this
1:46:37your most rewarding season. FanDuel.
1:46:39Play your game. Odds are subject to
1:46:42change. I think we're going to have a
1:46:43nice graphic up with our Ringer 107
1:46:46picks. There it is. Wow. Isn't it
1:46:48beautiful? What do you think, Dundo? Can
1:46:51you want to make a change?
1:46:52>> Looks good to me. I think it looks fine.
1:46:54All right, look at the place
1:46:57in the Ringer NFL show three and two.
1:47:00Simmons House, Cousin S, Raheem Palmer,
1:47:02Ringer Fantasy, two and three. At least
1:47:04we didn't embarrass ourselves. I feel
1:47:06like four teams were like 0 and five or
1:47:08one and four last year and then we we
1:47:09all just lost interest by
1:47:11>> I told I tried to tell everybody we were
1:47:13all actively making each other worse.
1:47:16>> You got to be really careful about how
1:47:18much you blame last year on the
1:47:19circumstances. Who cares? Be careful.
1:47:23Who cares? I mean, I'm just being honest
1:47:24with you. I mean, like,
1:47:25>> yeah,
1:47:26>> I just think because if you just look at
1:47:28the collective records,
1:47:30>> I just think nobody could get hot.
1:47:32>> So, let's just say S, you go on a hot
1:47:34street,
1:47:35>> right?
1:47:36>> And you go on a hot street and your
1:47:40partner is cold, you don't even get the
1:47:42benefit from that.
1:47:43>> So, it's like,
1:47:44>> and that that's what that's all I was
1:47:45trying to say.
1:47:46>> What happened that's exactly what
1:47:47happened with me and the Bund.
1:47:48>> No, but I'm just saying that's going to
1:47:49like somebody like
1:47:50>> he's not wrong. Somebody's always going
1:47:52to have a streak to where it's like,
1:47:53"All right, I'mma go I'mma go 12 and
1:47:57>> I'mma go 12 and three over 15 games."
1:47:59>> Yeah. Yeah.
1:48:00>> But it's just like if you splitting it
1:48:01with a with a teammate, you're just
1:48:03never going to have those runs.
1:48:05>> Yeah. And I'll tell you this, uh no
1:48:07offense to Bundo, I don't miss our, you
1:48:09know, 45 minute Wednesday night chat on
1:48:11the phone where uh we we we really
1:48:15strategize to go one and four every
1:48:16week. So that's
1:48:17>> I was yesterday. No wonder you have a
1:48:20kidney stone. just calling you just to
1:48:22say hi and say, "Hey, who you like this
1:48:23week?"
1:48:25>> Just for old times.
1:48:26>> Listen, I'm I'm I always have the phone
1:48:28with me. I probably won't pick up, but I
1:48:30always have a
1:48:32>> lot. I don't expect to win this week.
1:48:35>> What are you talking about?
1:48:36>> Just I'm just like week two is just
1:48:40always a rough year for me.
1:48:43>> That's fair. You can say that
1:48:46five winners, Dream. Come on.
1:48:48>> I mean, I know I'm the wiseer champion.
1:48:50I'm I'm very confident normally, but
1:48:52when I tell you five NFL games in week
1:48:55two,
1:48:55>> I'm just trying to survive.
1:48:57>> I'm trying to survive in a
1:48:58>> fair enough
1:49:00every week is my goal.
1:49:02>> There you go. We're trying to survive.
1:49:04We're trying to go three and two. We're
1:49:05trying all different things. We're the
1:49:07Ringer Wise Guys. That does it for an
1:49:08episode. Another episode of the Wise
1:49:10Guys. Hope you enjoyed week two preview
1:49:12for Raheem Palmer, Joe House, and
1:49:13Anthony Dundo aka Tony Tokens. I'm Sal
1:49:16saying so long and happy handicapping.
1:49:20You must be 21 or older and present in
1:49:23select states for Kansas in affiliation
1:49:25with Kansas Star Casino or 18 or older
1:49:28and present in DC, Kentucky or Wyoming.
1:49:30If you have a gambling problem, call
1:49:321800gambler or 1800 my reset. Call
1:49:361888789777
1:49:39or visit ccpg.org/hat
1:49:43in Connecticut or visit
1:49:45mdgamblinghelp.org
1:49:47org in Maryland. Hope is here. Visit
1:49:50gamblinghellinemma.org
1:49:52or call 80032750
1:49:57for 247 support in Massachusetts or call
1:50:0018778
1:50:02hopey
1:50:04or text hope in New York. For Louisiana,
1:50:08call 1877707867.

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