Voter TURNOUT [AP Gov Review, Unit 5 Topic 2 (5.2)] — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00Well, hey there and welcome back to
- 0:00Himler's History. Now, we've been going
- 0:02through unit five of the AP government
- 0:03curriculum, and in this video, we're
- 0:04going to talk about voter turnout, why
- 0:06people vote, and what potential barriers
- 0:08they face when voting. So, if you're
- 0:10ready to get them brain cows milked,
- 0:12well, then let's get to it. So, in this
- 0:13video, here's what we're trying to do.
- 0:15Explain the roles that individual choice
- 0:17and state laws play in voter turnout in
- 0:19elections. So, in the last video, we
- 0:20established that over the course of
- 0:21American history, the franchise or the
- 0:24right to vote has been extended to more
- 0:25and more people so that today almost all
- 0:27Americans have access to the voting
- 0:29booth. However, not everyone who can
- 0:31vote does vote. So, we need to figure
- 0:33out why that is. And I've got four
- 0:34reasons for you. Structural barriers,
- 0:36political efficacy, demographics, and
- 0:38type of election. And I reckon we ought
- 0:40to look at each one. So, first,
- 0:41structural barriers can affect who
- 0:43votes. And that just means that a policy
- 0:44or law can prevent people from voting or
- 0:47encourage people to vote. An example of
- 0:48a structural barrier is voter ID laws.
- 0:50Some states have laws that mandate a
- 0:52governmentissued identification in order
- 0:54to get access to the voting booth. Now,
- 0:55it's overwhelmingly in Republican
- 0:57dominated states where you see these
- 0:58laws enacted. And that's because all
- 1:00things being equal, Americans who do not
- 1:02have IDs reliably vote for Democrats.
- 1:04Now, Republicans would argue that voter
- 1:06ID laws decrease the possibility of
- 1:08voter fraud. But Democrats point to a
- 1:10growing body of research that indicates
- 1:11that voter fraud is not a serious threat
- 1:13and almost never happens. and therefore
- 1:15these laws only serve to keep minorities
- 1:17out of the voting booth. So whichever
- 1:19side you agree with is not the point
- 1:20here. The point is that voter ID laws
- 1:22can be a structural barrier to voting.
- 1:24Second, political efficacy can affect
- 1:25who votes. And political efficacy is a
- 1:27citizen's belief about whether their
- 1:29vote matters. For example, if you're a
- 1:31Republican and you live in a state that
- 1:32has always elected Democrats by large
- 1:34margins, then when it comes time to
- 1:36vote, you might not feel that your vote
- 1:37really matters. They're going to elect a
- 1:39Democrat whether I vote or not, so I
- 1:40might as well spend that time doing
- 1:42something productive like shaving my
- 1:43back hair. And if that's the case, it
- 1:45might keep a person from voting. Another
- 1:46factor that influences a person's sense
- 1:48of their political efficacy is the
- 1:49politician's performance in office. So
- 1:51if I voted for a candidate and they were
- 1:53elected and then they turned out to be a
- 1:55real turd in office by breaking promises
- 1:57or involving themselves in scandal, well
- 1:59then maybe I won't vote next time
- 2:00because you know what's the point? And
- 2:01the same is true in the opposite
- 2:02direction. Like if the politicians that
- 2:04I elected have done well and they've
- 2:05kept their promises or there's a growing
- 2:07sense that my state might flip to the
- 2:09opposite party, then it cranks up my
- 2:11sense of political efficacy quick, fast,
- 2:13and in a hurry. Third, demographics can
- 2:14affect who votes. In a previous video, I
- 2:16mentioned that senior citizens
- 2:17consistently vote in the highest
- 2:19numbers, and a lot of factors go into
- 2:20this. It could be that with age, they
- 2:22have a better sense of how the political
- 2:24system works and have developed a better
- 2:25understanding of the issues at stake and
- 2:27their potential implications. Or maybe
- 2:29it could be at that age, they feel that
- 2:31they have more of a stake for their
- 2:32financial investments or their health or
- 2:34whatever. The point is, if you're a
- 2:35member of that demographic, you are more
- 2:37likely to vote than any other group. On
- 2:38the opposite side of the demographic
- 2:40spectrum, 18 to 21 year olds are the
- 2:42least likely to vote. This could be
- 2:43because they don't yet feel like they
- 2:44have a sense of what the issues are.
- 2:46Perhaps they simply don't know how to
- 2:48register or where to go to cast their
- 2:49ballot. Regardless, if you're in this
- 2:51demographic, you're much less likely to
- 2:53vote than you will be toward the later
- 2:54years of your life. Fourth, the type of
- 2:56election can affect voter turnout as
- 2:58well. And this is true not only in the
- 2:59United States, but in basically all
- 3:00democracies across the world. For
- 3:02example, national elections see more
- 3:03participation than state and local
- 3:05elections. According to Pew Researchers,
- 3:0766.2% of eligible voters cast a ballot
- 3:10in the 2020 presidential election.
- 3:12Compare that to the 2018 midterm
- 3:13elections, which are congressional
- 3:14elections halfway through a presidential
- 3:16term, and you see only 53.4% of voters
- 3:19casting a ballot. Now, I should mention
- 3:20that those two numbers that I just set
- 3:22before you are roughly one to two metric
- 3:24buttloads more people voting than in
- 3:26previous years. Those numbers are
- 3:27actually historically high compared to
- 3:29the last few decades. But the point that
- 3:31I'm making here is that more people vote
- 3:32in the presidential election than in the
- 3:34congressional midterm elections. And
- 3:35even fewer people vote in state
- 3:37elections and then fewer people vote in
- 3:39local elections. So, the type of
- 3:41election affects who votes. Now, all of
- 3:43those four factors can determine whether
- 3:44people vote. But we also need to go one
- 3:46step further. For those people who do
- 3:48vote, what factors affect their choices?
- 3:50And here, I've just got a junk drawer of
- 3:52options for you. So, depending on the
- 3:53person, some of these factors play more
- 3:55of a role than others. First, a person's
- 3:57party identification or ideological
- 3:59orientation will play a role in how they
- 4:01vote. And look, that should be obvious.
- 4:02Like, if a person is a registered
- 4:03Republican or unregistered and
- 4:05identifies as a Republican, who do you
- 4:06think that person's going to vote for?
- 4:08Uh, Republican. That's right, me from
- 4:10that side of the screen. Well done. Or
- 4:11even if a person doesn't identify with a
- 4:13party and they hold to a liberal
- 4:14ideological orientation, they're likely
- 4:16going to vote Democrat and vice versa
- 4:18for conservatives and Republicans.
- 4:20Second, candidate characteristics can
- 4:21play a role in how people vote as well.
- 4:23Some people just consider the character
- 4:24of the candidates, like does this person
- 4:26seem likable, trustworthy, and honest?
- 4:28Well, you know, in that case, they have
- 4:29my vote. Third, contemporary political
- 4:30issues might affect how a person votes.
- 4:32For example, if you don't like the
- 4:33employer mask mandate being enacted by
- 4:35Democrats right now, it might lead a
- 4:36person to vote against the Democrats in
- 4:38the next election. Or if you don't like
- 4:39the voter ID laws that I mentioned
- 4:41earlier, which are favored by
- 4:42Republicans, you might end up voting
- 4:43against them in the next election. And
- 4:45those are just a couple of examples.
- 4:46Usually, a voter is responding to a
- 4:47whole constellation of similar political
- 4:49issues. Fourth, a person's religious
- 4:51beliefs or gender or race or ethnicity
- 4:53might affect how they vote as well. This
- 4:54is why the candidate Donald Trump spent
- 4:56a great deal of time courting white
- 4:58evangelical Christians. To a pretty
- 4:59significant degree, white evangelicals
- 5:01are a powerful voting block, which means
- 5:03they often vote in the same way. And if
- 5:05you're a member of that group, it could
- 5:06feel almost sacriiggious to vote in a
- 5:08way that counters that group. Or take
- 5:09gender. If you're a woman, you're more
- 5:11likely to vote Democrat, but if you're a
- 5:12man, you're more likely to vote
- 5:14Republican. Again, these are just
- 5:15observed trends, but all of these
- 5:16demographic factors can play a role in
- 5:18how a person votes. Okay, thanks for
- 5:20watching. Click right here to review
- 5:21packet, which is going to help you get
- 5:22an A in your class and a five on your
- 5:23exam in Maine. And if you were helped by
- 5:24this video and you want me to keep
- 5:26making them, then you can cast your vote
- 5:27for me to keep making them by
- 5:28subscribing. And I don't care what
- 5:30demographic you belong to, your vote
- 5:32will be heard. I'll catch you in the
- 5:33next one. I'm out.
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