Victor Davis Hanson: What the Democratic Midterm Sweep Means for Trump, MAGA, and 2028 — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:01What does a president do when he's lost
- 0:03the House and Senate by wide margins?
- 0:05And the answer is pretty much what he
- 0:08wants to do. A lot of the lame duck
- 0:10presidents feel they're unbound and they
- 0:13have nothing to lose and the imperial
- 0:16presidency operates as they wish. With
- 0:19Democrats sweeping both the House and
- 0:21Senate in the midterms last night, I'm
- 0:24sitting down with classicist and
- 0:25military historian Victor Davis Hansen
- 0:27to get his take on the results. We're
- 0:29going to see a lot of people jump in in
- 0:31the Democratic party and we're going to
- 0:33see whether the Vance Rubio Alliance
- 0:36holds up. He's the author of multiple
- 0:39books including most recently the
- 0:41counterrevolution, the fall and rise of
- 0:43Donald Trump and the MAGA movement.
- 0:45>> There's going to be a lot of fights
- 0:46ahead in the MAGA movement. There is no
- 0:49margin of error now. This is American
- 0:51Thought Leaders and I'm Yana Kellik.
- 0:58Victor Davis Hansen. So good to have you
- 1:00back on American Thought Leaders.
- 1:02>> Thank you for having me.
- 1:04>> So I have to confess I wasn't familiar
- 1:07with the term shellacking until last
- 1:11night and today. So Victor, what
- 1:14happened? That was an Obama term that he
- 1:17used in 2010
- 1:21when he lost 60
- 1:24uh excuse me n yeah 2010 he lost 63
- 1:27seats in the house and I think
- 1:31nine Senate seats. Bill Clinton said
- 1:35they kicked our blank when he in 90 94
- 1:39lost 53 seats and I think six Senate
- 1:43seats. George Bush in 2006
- 1:46used that term shellacking when he lost
- 1:49I think 30 seats. What happened
- 1:53uh as a historian I just kind of go by
- 1:55history. So in the last I had said this
- 1:59before I didn't want to believe it but
- 2:01in the last 126 years of the modern
- 2:04period since 1900 the party that has the
- 2:08white house loses 90% in 90% of the
- 2:11midterms
- 2:13um they lose seats in the house and they
- 2:1775% of the midterms they lose senate
- 2:19seats. So that was predictable that they
- 2:22were going to lose seats. The odds being
- 2:25what they are. The only time that was
- 2:26reduced say in the house was FDR and the
- 2:29exuberance still in 1934
- 2:32of the New Deal and then George Bush in
- 2:352002
- 2:37when he was hadn't gone into Iraq yet
- 2:39and he was really uniting the country
- 2:41after 9/11 and then Bill Clinton picked
- 2:44up um he picked up five seats in 1998
- 2:50and that was because they impeached him
- 2:51the month before the Republican
- 2:55supermajority. I mean, they had a really
- 2:56big majority and they impeached him, but
- 2:59the economy was growing at 4% with 2%
- 3:02inflation and he had balanced the budget
- 3:04for two years. And so that boomerang,
- 3:07but it's very rare uh otherwise for a
- 3:10president to pick up seats. What is
- 3:12unusual is the size of the tsunami. We
- 3:17don't know what we're speaking now the
- 3:18day morning
- 3:20I'm in the morning after here in the
- 3:22west coast and we don't have all the
- 3:23returns from the western states but it
- 3:26looks like somewhere around 45 seats or
- 3:29more and I think the
- 3:33the um Republicans will lose seven to
- 3:36nine seats depending on the ones that
- 3:38are out.
- 3:40So what does that mean and why did it
- 3:44happen?
- 3:45Well, the easiest answer is what does it
- 3:47mean? And that means
- 3:50Donald Trump, if he's going to appoint a
- 3:52district circuit or Supreme Court or
- 3:54fire a justice or fire a cabinet member
- 3:58and replace him, he better do it in the
- 4:00next uh 70 days before there the new
- 4:04Congress is sworn in in January cuz
- 4:06they're not going to approve anything
- 4:08that he puts up that requires a Senate
- 4:11nomination to be, you know, approved by
- 4:15the Democrats. That's number one.
- 4:18Number two, if it's down to 45 seats,
- 4:23he's got to make sure that he rides herd
- 4:25on that Republican 45 Senate because if
- 4:29he gets too many people like Lisa
- 4:31Marcowski or Renegades that join the
- 4:34Republicans, then they will have
- 4:36uncertain votes a veto proof Congress.
- 4:39>> Join the Democrats, you mean, Victor?
- 4:41>> Yes. So if the Democrats end up with 55
- 4:44or 57 seats, there are about three or
- 4:47four people who were not always with
- 4:49Trump. Some of them lost, you know,
- 4:51Cornin and Tillis, but there's still
- 4:53some there. And he's going to have to
- 4:54have party control otherwise they will
- 4:58not have what he has theoretically a
- 5:01veto proof Congress. And then history
- 5:04tells us, recent history, what does a
- 5:08president do when he's lost the House
- 5:10and Senate by wide margins? And the
- 5:12answer is pretty much what he wants to
- 5:14do. Uh Bill Clinton, he worked with
- 5:18Genrich. He got two more balanced
- 5:20budgets. He decided that he wanted to
- 5:24remove Malloich and he said to the
- 5:26Republican Congress, I'm not even going
- 5:28to ask you for the authorization. and he
- 5:30bombed for 77 days to fur from the
- 5:33Republicans and he was successful
- 5:37and he had a a summit. He tried to solve
- 5:39the Israeli Palestinian issue. It didn't
- 5:42work but he was kind of a virtuoso and
- 5:47Obama got emboldened. He was the one
- 5:49that gave us the term phone. I have a
- 5:51phone, a pen and phone and I can do what
- 5:54I want to do. He got heavily involved
- 5:57with the steel dossier and he had his
- 6:00intelligence heads
- 6:02pursuing this unicorn of Russian
- 6:05collusion on the domestic front. And
- 6:08then he he signed on even though he said
- 6:11he was a constitutional lawyer. He said,
- 6:13"Well, I'm going to have the treaty with
- 6:15the Iran deal. I'll have the treaty with
- 6:17the Paris climate accord and I don't
- 6:19even I don't need const I don't need
- 6:21congressional authority. It's not a
- 6:23treaty." So he just did it and he did it
- 6:26with recognizing Cuba. He said, "Well,
- 6:29it's time to make full diplomatic
- 6:32um relations, no more sanctions." So
- 6:35what I'm getting at, a lot of the lame
- 6:36duck presidents
- 6:39uh feel they're unbound and they have
- 6:41nothing to lose. They can no longer hurt
- 6:44their congressional majorities or
- 6:45minorities. uh they're going to be out
- 6:48in two years and they're going to
- 6:49executive order and veto their way
- 6:51domestically and the imperial presidency
- 6:54operates as they wish. So I think as it
- 6:58applies to Donald Trump, he will try to
- 7:00get the Iran war over as quickly as
- 7:02possible and denuclearize it. And part
- 7:05of the reasons he lost tangently here is
- 7:08he bombed for 38 days and it almost
- 7:12eliminate then they said well we have we
- 7:15have eight months we have seven months
- 7:17we have 6 months before the midterms we
- 7:19have five months we have four months we
- 7:20have three and they bomb talk talk talk
- 7:23with people you can't talk to. So he's
- 7:26going to have to denuclearize them hit
- 7:29pickaxe mountain if he wants to
- 7:30eliminate that threat. No ground troops,
- 7:33no nation building, but hit a lot of
- 7:36targets that will set them back eight or
- 7:3910 years and then leave skeleton force,
- 7:41keep the straight open and tighten those
- 7:44sanctions and go home and and gas will
- 7:48go down. And there's nothing the re the
- 7:51Republicans uh the Democrats can do to
- 7:53help or hurt him on that. They can't
- 7:55they don't have the votes to cut off
- 7:56funds and they won't. and he can do what
- 8:00he wants with Chi and Putin. He can do
- 8:03what he wants in the Ukraine sphere. He
- 8:05can do almost anything he wants. And
- 8:07that's just not because he's any
- 8:09different. He's just going to follow the
- 8:10president of presidents. Uh I the other
- 8:14thing that's very ironic is when
- 8:16presidents do this
- 8:18their their favorability doesn't go down
- 8:22it goes up because the these super
- 8:26majorities are not like
- 8:29uh moderate gains. They bring in
- 8:30bombthrowers. We have about 45
- 8:32socialists that are now going to be in
- 8:34Congress in the Democratic House and
- 8:37maybe one or two socialist Islamicist
- 8:41senators
- 8:43and they will do things that were are
- 8:45going to shock the oified leadership.
- 8:48Chuck Schumer and Elizabeth Warren and
- 8:52all of those kind of calcified people
- 8:54are not young and energetic like like
- 8:57Elsa or Chevala Chevalier or any of
- 9:01those people. They are AOC the squad and
- 9:05they will they will try to singlepayer
- 9:08nationalized healthc care completely
- 9:11flip on foreign policy favoring
- 9:13Palestine as our friend and Israel as
- 9:16our enemy. try to open the border. They
- 9:20will try to mainland mainstream the
- 9:23trans, bring back the Green New Deal,
- 9:25defund ICE, maybe defund the police. And
- 9:28these are all 3070. They've all been
- 9:31they were all been adjudicated in the
- 9:322024 election and that's why Camela
- 9:35Harris lost. She was on the wrong side
- 9:37of all those issues until she tried to
- 9:39change her spot, so to speak. So that's
- 9:44that plays into the hands of the lame
- 9:47duck president. And that happened with
- 9:49Clinton and Obama. The Tea Party got way
- 9:52extreme in their candidates and their
- 9:54ideas and they were leaderless and they
- 9:57kind of petered out with Obama. And the
- 10:00impeachment zealots that wanted to
- 10:02crucify Clinton, he lied under oath. He
- 10:07had sexual relations with a employee who
- 10:10was a young woman. Power imbalance. all
- 10:12the hit all the feminist buttons and yet
- 10:16they did it in such a way they turned
- 10:17off the American people. And then that
- 10:19the final thing very quickly is the
- 10:21election starts. Donald Trump declared
- 10:24his candidacy in November 15th of 2022.
- 10:28That's two weeks from now basically. So,
- 10:31we're going to see a lot of people jump
- 10:33in in the Democratic party and we're
- 10:36going to see a pretty soon we'll see
- 10:39whether the Vance Rubio alliance uh
- 10:44holds up. There'll be a lot of pressure
- 10:46on from people to see Rubio at the top
- 10:49of the ticket. Vance can't be vice
- 10:52president again. That's going to be
- 10:54problematic if that were to happen.
- 10:56Dantis kind of withtood
- 10:59the blue wave. He had a Byron Donald's
- 11:02won. They won the Senate and so he may
- 11:05be revitalized. But what I'm getting at
- 11:08all this conundrum will happen in the
- 11:10next two years and Trump will be above
- 11:12the fray.
- 11:14And that's what happened to Obama and
- 11:16Clinton. Clinton just basically said Al
- 11:18Gore doesn't want me campaigning. That's
- 11:20fine. He fought it out with Bush the
- 11:22last year of his tenure. And Hillary and
- 11:25Trump really went at it in 2015 and 16.
- 11:28and Obama just kind of played golf. And
- 11:30the less we saw or heard of them, the
- 11:32more we liked them. And they, you know,
- 11:34the odd thing was both of them had low
- 11:37ratings at one point at 37 to 38% Obama
- 11:41and Clinton. They left with one of the
- 11:44highest ratings. Uh Clinton left with
- 11:47one of the highest ever. He was about
- 11:4966%.
- 11:51And Obama was about 59% approval rating.
- 11:54And that was because they the attention
- 11:57turned to acrimonious
- 11:59bombthrowers in the opposition. There
- 12:02was an election with contentious issues
- 12:04and personal invective and the president
- 12:08didn't have to worry about coddling his
- 12:11own party. He was unbound and he tried
- 12:14to be statesmanlike above the fray and
- 12:16it worked. And Trump, if he wants to
- 12:18follow that paradigm, it's there for
- 12:20him. You know, the one thing that's
- 12:22different, um, I suppose, is that
- 12:25there's this whole media ecosystem
- 12:28that's committed to his destruction and
- 12:30continues to be that. That certainly
- 12:32wasn't the case for the other two
- 12:33presidents you mentioned.
- 12:34>> No. And that's a very good point because
- 12:37uh, it really does explain in part the
- 12:41affordability issue. If we can go back
- 12:43in time to just four years ago, 2022,
- 12:48a very unpopular Joe Biden after
- 12:539.1% inflation in 2022 and the
- 12:57scadattlele from Afghanistan and the war
- 13:00in Ukraine given he he gave the wrong
- 13:02signals,
- 13:04lost deterrence. So he we were told a
- 13:07red we wave is going to sweep the
- 13:10country and it looked like it would and
- 13:13it didn't. They only picked up
- 13:15[clears throat] nine seats. They got the
- 13:16house back barely. They lost a seat in
- 13:19the senate and the red wave turned out
- 13:21to be a pathetic ripple. And so what was
- 13:25the reason and why did the blue wave
- 13:29turn out to be a tsunami? So, we compare
- 13:31the two situations
- 13:33and there you get to the heart of what
- 13:35you said about the media. In 2022, the
- 13:39inflation rate that year was 9.1.
- 13:43This year, it may go to 3.4.
- 13:46It's almost only a third. If you look at
- 13:49per family income, it's $14,000
- 13:53higher now under Trump than it was under
- 13:55Biden at that time. If you look at GDP,
- 13:58we have a much bigger third quarter GDP.
- 14:02If you look at the stock market, it's
- 14:0520,000 points higher than it was in
- 14:082022.
- 14:09If you look at job creation, it's much
- 14:12better. If you look at the poverty rate,
- 14:14it's almost two points lower. So, the
- 14:17economy actually is doing much better.
- 14:20But when you look when you go back and
- 14:21look at the media coverage, you had
- 14:23Janice Yell and said, "Oh, this this
- 14:24this is not our fault. This was supply
- 14:27chains and uh pent up consumer demands
- 14:32and it's it's only temporary." Well, it
- 14:34was actually 5.1 average for the four
- 14:37years, but the media portrayed that as
- 14:41no big deal, even though Joe Biden was
- 14:44polling at 40% pretty much where Trump
- 14:47is. But this one, it was all of a sudden
- 14:50affordability and gas. And I thought,
- 14:52well, I guess gas did trump in. It's
- 14:55It's now $4.32
- 14:57on election. It's 418 today. And then I
- 15:01went back and looked, it got to $5 in
- 15:03July of 2022. And he tried to drain the
- 15:06petroleum reserve. And on election day,
- 15:09it was about $410.
- 15:12So
- 15:14historically, things were much worse.
- 15:17And Biden was in the same place of being
- 15:20in the the end party when traditionally
- 15:22he loses seats and the economy was worse
- 15:26and his personal approval was as dismal
- 15:29as Trump and yet he survived it and
- 15:31Trump got wiped out.
- 15:34Now you can argue that the media biases
- 15:36a lot. You can also say that Trump
- 15:39inherited a 21%
- 15:42inflation over four years. So when he
- 15:45had a moderate 2.4 and this year a 3.5
- 15:50it came on top of 21%.
- 15:52And they did not articulate the
- 15:54difference between prices and inflation
- 15:57rate. So they kept saying well we have
- 16:00the Biden inflation rate. But the people
- 16:02were saying yes but prices are 21%
- 16:07higher than when you left office last
- 16:08time. So what are you going to do about
- 16:09it? Well, they couldn't do anything
- 16:11about it if unless you wanted a
- 16:13recession or a deflationary depression
- 16:16because we never go into a deflation and
- 16:18lose that 21%.
- 16:20The answer is what Trump did was to
- 16:23lower the inflation rate and increase
- 16:27the per family median income, which he
- 16:30did spectacularly, but they never
- 16:32communicated that. In in contrast, Biden
- 16:37inherited a 1.9% inflation from Trump
- 16:40and it only had gone up seven over four
- 16:42years. And so when he went up to nine,
- 16:47that was only, if you think about it, it
- 16:50was only about a 16% increase, whereas
- 16:53Trump went up three, it was 24%.
- 16:56And people noticed that. And uh the the
- 17:00administration didn't really explain
- 17:01that when they said we're going to lower
- 17:04the rate inflation. We're going to grow
- 17:05the economy. We're going to increase
- 17:07personal and family income. And that is
- 17:10the way that this affordability crisis
- 17:13will be handled. Prices will continue to
- 17:16go up moderately, one or two or 3% at
- 17:20most, but wages will go up 3% and family
- 17:23income will go up three or four. And
- 17:25finally the that will make prices
- 17:28stabilize at the level when I left
- 17:31office in 200 um
- 17:3421 in January but that was never
- 17:37communicated. [snorts]
- 17:39>> So Victor I've been looking at various
- 17:42takes. One of the sets of takes by
- 17:45people that I think had offered an
- 17:46interesting one, Spencer Pratt being one
- 17:48example, was just that the Republicans
- 17:52are very poor at storytelling, but also
- 17:55I I suppose this whole media complex
- 17:58thing, you know, figures into this
- 18:00dramatically as well. So that's one
- 18:02side, but the other side is actually the
- 18:03vice president. And I'll just comment.
- 18:05You mentioned the war. He said the
- 18:07reason we lost is the war. the president
- 18:09himself said so last night. But he also
- 18:11pointed to kind of to four separate
- 18:13things, right, that were that the
- 18:15pollster he he he g gave validity to the
- 18:18pollster. He said the number one issue
- 18:20was ending the war. Number two, the
- 18:22focus on cost of living. Number third is
- 18:24putting America first. And the four is
- 18:27changing the relationship with Israel.
- 18:29So these are actually quite different
- 18:32viewpoints of what happened. I'm finding
- 18:34where do you land here? Well, when he
- 18:37says the war when the war broke out, he
- 18:39had over 50% approval and they had a
- 18:44spectacular success for the two first 38
- 18:47days. They did the impossible. But they
- 18:49didn't explain it. They didn't say to
- 18:51the American people, seven presidents
- 18:53said you can't let them get a nuclear
- 18:55weapon. They're closer than ever before.
- 18:58They have 93 million people. They have
- 19:00over 200,000 rockets. This is an
- 19:03existential threat. It is a very big
- 19:05danger to Europe and to us. But I'm
- 19:08going to denuclearize them. It's going
- 19:10to be a long hall. It's going to be
- 19:12dangerous. But I have two
- 19:16two guidelines. There will be no ground
- 19:18troops and I will not go in there and
- 19:20try to nation build as we did in
- 19:22Afghanistan. He pretty he that was
- 19:24assumed, but he never was explicit just
- 19:27how difficult it was. So then you go in
- 19:30there and he I mean it was tragic. We
- 19:31lost 23 soldiers, but compared to 7,500
- 19:35in the Afghanistan
- 19:38Iraq or we've spent 45 billion, that's
- 19:41about what we left in infrastructure,
- 19:43weaponry, and embassies and stuff in
- 19:46Afghanistan to the Taliban. But they
- 19:48never really they never really
- 19:50accentuated that. And then once they
- 19:53stopped and 38, they were not quite done
- 19:55yet.
- 19:57They hadn't prepared for the hormuz.
- 19:59They were talking about the denominator
- 20:01of uh missiles they had destroyed and
- 20:04drones but not the u excuse me the
- 20:06numerator but then not the denominator
- 20:08was how many existed. They didn't know.
- 20:11You can destroy 95% of what you think,
- 20:13but if you don't know what you think it
- 20:15is, you don't know. It's it could be 95%
- 20:18of what? So, there were mistakes, but
- 20:21the biggest problem was we had almost
- 20:24won. And if we had continued and done
- 20:26what Bill Clinton did and Barack Obama
- 20:29did, and let's be honest, they hit dual
- 20:32targets in Serbia. Clinton did. He hit
- 20:35the bridges on the approaches into
- 20:37Belgrade. He t knocked out the power
- 20:40grid.
- 20:42Um Obama bombed the ports of Kafi's
- 20:45ports. He hit their t TV and radio
- 20:48communication. They neither one of them
- 20:50got congressional authority. But we said
- 20:53that we're on the side of the Iranian
- 20:54people. They came out. I think they sort
- 20:56of gave the impression to Trump that
- 20:58they were going to overthrow the
- 20:59government and he would do what Maduro
- 21:01did. He would just it would be short
- 21:04what he did with Maduro. And and Iran is
- 21:07not Venezuela. So it was very difficult
- 21:09which we weren't apprised of but we we
- 21:12stopped and then we this is what h it'll
- 21:15be over pretty soon but we still have 8
- 21:19months before the midterm. It'll be
- 21:20over. We're talking we're on the edge of
- 21:22the deal but we have 7 months. We're
- 21:24talking we had to hit a target but
- 21:26otherwise we're talking. We're six
- 21:28months. We're five months. We're four
- 21:29months. We're three months. and they got
- 21:31into a haggling with people who don't
- 21:34tell the truth and have no intention to
- 21:36negotiate.
- 21:38And now they think they're going to
- 21:39negotiate when these people are
- 21:41skyhighing
- 21:42themselves that they stop Trump with the
- 21:45midterms. The Iranians think that and
- 21:48they're not going to negotiate. So
- 21:50you're going to have to hit them very
- 21:51very hard pickaxe mountain for two or
- 21:53three weeks. then you're going to have
- 21:55to just leave and then you're going to
- 21:58have to fund the opposition and arm them
- 22:02and forget what Turkey says and clamp
- 22:05down on these sanctions and keep the
- 22:07straight up open and let Saudi Arabia
- 22:12and the Gulf states finish their
- 22:14pipelines and we've already got as much
- 22:16oil going out as we did before the war
- 22:18and he'll be okay. But not if he
- 22:20continues to negotiate
- 22:22add infant item. So that's the problem.
- 22:25It's not the war per se. If he were
- 22:28successful and they are denuclearized
- 22:30for many years and in a year or two this
- 22:34they're stewing in their own juice
- 22:36because of the sanctions and you have a
- 22:37rebellion and he flips the Middle East
- 22:40like he did the Western Hemisphere where
- 22:42we only have four communist
- 22:45anti-American states left then that
- 22:47would be something like the fall of the
- 22:49Berlin Wall. So it's a lot more um
- 22:52involved in that. I don't know what JD
- 22:54means by America first,
- 22:57but uh
- 22:59I think we've heard that non-stop and
- 23:03that's what Trump is trying to do with
- 23:06the massive 11 trillion foreign
- 23:08investment, the big Audi plant, Audi
- 23:10plant that came in. He's trying to
- 23:12create jobs, jobs. The tariffs are very
- 23:15controversial, but they are part of the
- 23:18America first agenda that anybody who
- 23:23wants to invest in America is
- 23:24tariff-free and anybody who doesn't gets
- 23:27slapped with a tariff that is at least
- 23:29as much as they tariff us and sometimes
- 23:31even more. [snorts] So, I don't quite
- 23:34understand that. I don't know what
- 23:36Israel has to do with it. I saw the SE
- 23:40commercial
- 23:44Israel receives about $3 billion a year,
- 23:48a little over. That's 1% of all foreign
- 23:50aid. It re we have a $7 trillion budget.
- 23:56Israel's the amount that we give Israel,
- 23:58the only democratic consensual society
- 24:01in the Middle East, the only Western
- 24:03society,
- 24:05the amount we give them is 15th of 1% of
- 24:10the budget. And we were told in Michigan
- 24:14that the price of bananas and eggs is
- 24:17because we give 1 of 1% of our 7
- 24:22trillion to this democracy that's
- 24:24belleaguered and surrounded by 500
- 24:26million enemies in the Middle East. And
- 24:29if JD believes that, I'm afraid I'll
- 24:30have to disagree with him.
- 24:33The other thing is
- 24:35um so I don't I don't think that he's
- 24:40putting into context the historicity
- 24:42that we usually lose. The being the end
- 24:45party usually loses and [snorts]
- 24:50um they had a congress also that didn't
- 24:53do it was a do nothing Congress. He had
- 24:56the majority in the house and senate. He
- 24:59had a lot of apostates. They did not
- 25:00pass the voter ID Save America Act. They
- 25:05couldn't really uh repeal Obamacare and
- 25:08come up with I don't know anything they
- 25:10did in the in the first this first two
- 25:13years the Republican Congress and they
- 25:16didn't they really didn't do anything
- 25:18and yet they had the majorities
- 25:20and they made some good nominations but
- 25:24even the judicial nominations were
- 25:26pretty slow the confirmations. So they
- 25:28just and then when they had they won the
- 25:30house
- 25:32uh even during the Biden administration
- 25:36when they won uh the house all they did
- 25:38was fight. Remember the speakers it went
- 25:41on for months. So the Democrats don't do
- 25:44that. They have absolute authoritarian
- 25:48control and party line you know as
- 25:50socialists do. Once they get the prime
- 25:54directive from on high they all step to
- 25:56it. We'll see if that goes with the
- 25:58Islamicist socialist nexus now. But I
- 26:02don't get that. One thing I think I do
- 26:04get is that
- 26:07there's going to be a
- 26:10fight in the Republican and the
- 26:12Democratic, but also in the Republican.
- 26:14So who is the winner of this disaster?
- 26:18Is it the Marco Rubio people? Is it the
- 26:21JD Vance people? Is it the Dantis people
- 26:24say, "Well, Florida is the exception. We
- 26:26we won the Senate and the governorship.
- 26:28So that's going to be looming. I will
- 26:30say that the prime directive of a vice
- 26:33president besides going to funerals and
- 26:36rhetorically battling on behalf of the
- 26:39president, which which JD proved in the
- 26:422024 he was a master at, but it's also
- 26:46to protect the president from personal
- 26:48invective and attack. So when you have
- 26:51people on the right claiming that he's a
- 26:55pedophile like Marjorie Taylor Green did
- 26:58or that he's satanic and should be
- 27:00impeached and he's a crazy nuclear
- 27:02bomber like Tucker Carlson did and the
- 27:05vice president does not stand up and
- 27:08say, "Wait a minute. This is the my
- 27:11president. This is the people we
- 27:13elected. We in the Republican party.
- 27:15He's not Satan. He's not going to be
- 27:17impeached. He's not going to bomb
- 27:19somebody with a new What are you talking
- 27:20about? He didn't do that for reasons
- 27:24unknown, especially in the Tucker case,
- 27:26but I think he's going to have to at
- 27:28some point.
- 27:29>> So, I want to talk about your book, The
- 27:32Counterrevolution, and the subtitle, The
- 27:35Fall and Rise of Donald Trump. So, we'll
- 27:36have to kind of expand this a little
- 27:38bit. So, it's the fall and rise. Is it
- 27:40the fall or is it the imperial
- 27:44presidency? And what about how does the
- 27:46MAGA movement fit in too? Is it the fall
- 27:49and rise and fall or is it a rise again?
- 27:52Well, the fall was that those wilderness
- 27:55years after January 6 and then the rise
- 27:58started during the campaign and his
- 28:00election
- 28:02and
- 28:04I don't think it's yet a fall as I just
- 28:06explained at
- 28:08probably ad nauseium that presidents
- 28:11like Obama or Clinton or Trump can
- 28:14really improve their their ratings and
- 28:16do a lot of good things or a lot of bad
- 28:18things they can do but the point is they
- 28:21do things, foreign policy, they get
- 28:23above the fray, they get empowered, they
- 28:25they renew their attention, they don't
- 28:26have to deal with Congress, and he can
- 28:29do a lot of things.
- 28:30>> Victor, if I may jump in, right, I think
- 28:32like the thesis of your book, I I if I
- 28:35may, right, I think is that
- 28:37>> Trump's approach has been to try to go
- 28:40after the sources of this progressive
- 28:42power, if you will, this time around.
- 28:45>> Right. Right. Exactly. And the question
- 28:47is, you know, is he may be able to do
- 28:50what he wants, but can he actually do
- 28:51that, right? Is that
- 28:53>> Well, he can do it. Yes, he's done it,
- 28:55but he didn't do it, remember, he didn't
- 28:57do it with congressional approval. Uh,
- 29:00he went, he defunded PBS and NPR with
- 29:03all, you know, it was an executive
- 29:05order. He got rid of USAID with
- 29:08executive budgetary prerogatives.
- 29:11He is suing the universities for
- 29:14anti-semitism and racism and racial
- 29:18essentialism
- 29:19as his prerogative in a budgeting
- 29:21matter. They're not going to get federal
- 29:23funds if they don't do this. He shut the
- 29:25border by executive order. He built the
- 29:27wall by executive order. Continued it.
- 29:31ICE is operating as part of its normal
- 29:33function. They all address the sources.
- 29:36So he said the second time I think
- 29:38during the wilderness years he said I I
- 29:40I had never been to Washington much and
- 29:43I had people in my cabinet the first
- 29:45time. They were nice people Steve
- 29:47Minutuchin,
- 29:49Jim Mattis, Rex Tillerson, John Bolton,
- 29:52um John Kell, but they weren't MAGA
- 29:54people. So they saw their duty as to
- 29:57reinterpret my American first agenda and
- 30:00that meant often obstructing it with
- 30:02bureaucrat's expertise.
- 30:05This time loyalty was the prime
- 30:07directive. They're all loyal. They're
- 30:09all on the same page and they're
- 30:11addressing the symptoms. The symptoms,
- 30:14as I wrote in the book,
- 30:17answer the question, how does the left
- 30:19exercise political power and influence
- 30:22when they do not have the Supreme Court,
- 30:23the Congress or the White House as they
- 30:25didn't as they do not as we speak? And
- 30:28the answer is kind of a GSKY
- 30:32socialist communist directive, a march
- 30:34through the institutions. And they
- 30:36understood that if you control K through
- 30:3812 and the schools of education, the
- 30:41universities where half the population
- 30:43goes, the media, uh, the public and
- 30:47private media, NPR, PBS, CBS, ABC, etc.,
- 30:51Hollywood,
- 30:53uh, professional sports, the corporate
- 30:56boardrooms, the foundations,
- 30:58uh, and of course the administrative
- 31:00state, then you can exercise enormous
- 31:03power without being elected. And so
- 31:06that's what he had tried to address for
- 31:08all of the controversies of over Doge.
- 31:10He cut 270,000 federal employees and
- 31:14probably another 100,000 have left
- 31:17that nobody thought that would be
- 31:19possible. He defunded NPR and PBS.
- 31:22He stopped all immigration. And he went
- 31:25a step further and he said, "No more
- 31:27catch and release and I'm going to
- 31:29deport people and I'm going to round up
- 31:31500 criminal." And and I thought to
- 31:32myself, how are you going to deport
- 31:35people when they were let in at 10,000 a
- 31:37day and they scattered through 50 states
- 31:40among 600 sanctuary jurisdictions? So
- 31:43that was an existential challenge. But
- 31:46again, he was addressing the symptoms I
- 31:48don't want in me. I'm going to tax 1% on
- 31:50remittances sent to Mexico. I'm going to
- 31:53tax in some cases 1% of the endowment of
- 31:56universities. So he's trying to tell
- 31:59tell these countries
- 32:03uh abroad and interest at home that
- 32:05there had been existential to use that
- 32:08word again
- 32:10uh problems that he had only addressed
- 32:12the manifestations or the symptoms but
- 32:15not the causes. And now he's he's going
- 32:18right after the causes. And so how do
- 32:21you why is NATO the way it is? Well,
- 32:25they don't meet their 2%. Why don't they
- 32:27meet their 2%? Because they've adopted a
- 32:30green agenda, shut down their fossil
- 32:32fuels, low fertility, open borders,
- 32:35illegal immigration, censorship, and
- 32:38they discourage entrepreneurialism. So
- 32:40let's scream and yell at them and shake
- 32:43them up and see if we can get
- 32:45conservative movements all over Europe
- 32:48so that they can be a partner rather
- 32:50than a [clears throat] subordinate and
- 32:51they can rearm themselves kind of like
- 32:54Eastern Europe or the Baltic states or
- 32:56Norway or some Sweden and Denmark,
- 32:58Finland especially.
- 33:00And he's trying to do that across the
- 33:02board. And I think that explains a level
- 33:04of fur because the left has said to
- 33:07themselves, this is not George W. Bush.
- 33:11It's not George HW Bush. It's not Bob
- 33:13Dole. It's not John McCain. It's not
- 33:16Mitt Romney. This is a
- 33:17counterrevolutionary and he wants to
- 33:19undo our sources of power.
- 33:23>> So we have a situation I think from what
- 33:26I'm seeing that there's like a split in
- 33:28terms of trying to impeach. I'm talking
- 33:29about this furer, right? Um, in a sense,
- 33:33if I heard you correctly earlier, the
- 33:35smartest thing you think the Democrats
- 33:37could do is actually just have restraint
- 33:39and govern without the giving strength
- 33:42to the bombthrowers, so to speak, and so
- 33:44forth. And but what does governance look
- 33:48like with uh this from the perspective
- 33:52of Congress? Like there's, you know,
- 33:53I've signed notes about subpoenas. Get
- 33:56ready for the subpoenas. Apparently,
- 33:58there's going to be uh tech bros called
- 34:00in in significant numbers. I mean, this
- 34:02is of course I'm just reading what's on
- 34:05mostly,
- 34:05>> right? Right.
- 34:06>> So all if they would read the first half
- 34:09of the counterrevolution they would see
- 34:11that each time they entered upon a civil
- 34:16or criminal suit five of them Eene
- 34:19Carol's diabol diabol diabolical effort
- 34:24Alvin Bragg Leticia Leticia James Fanny
- 34:27Willis Jack Smith his Trump's polls went
- 34:30up and they all collapsed. Even Alvin
- 34:33Braggs will eventually collapse. And
- 34:36then when they tried to get him off the
- 34:37ballot 25, that was a collapse. When
- 34:40they raided Marlago, they found I I
- 34:42guess
- 34:44101 classified documents. They said
- 34:46there was a whole trove out of 11,000.
- 34:49That was a mess. Uh when they impeached
- 34:51him twice and tried to uh convict him as
- 34:54a private citizen, it only helped him.
- 34:58When Joe Biden said he was garbage, he
- 35:00got in a garbage truck and that
- 35:02backfired. So they should, they should
- 35:04go back and say, "Did the Russian
- 35:06collusion get Donald Trump elected?"
- 35:08Maybe it did. Did the laptop lies that
- 35:11it was Russian collusion? We got Biden
- 35:13maybe elected by it, but did that hurt
- 35:15us? Yes. And so if they want to continue
- 35:19to do that, they will have Trump's mugsh
- 35:23shot everywhere and he will rebound from
- 35:26it. It's counterproductive if they go
- 35:28back to the 3070 issues that put them in
- 35:32the wilderness and put Camela Harris,
- 35:36you know, made her inert. And that we
- 35:39know what they are. They're the trans
- 35:40issue. They're the open border issue.
- 35:42They're the 10,000 a day illegal
- 35:44immigrants. They're the defund the
- 35:46police, defund ICE, new green deal, stop
- 35:49fossil fuels,
- 35:51uh neutral uh in the world, uh
- 35:54globalism. it's not going to work. But
- 35:57what I meant if they were sober, they
- 36:00would get together and say, "What
- 36:03what is our problem right now? Can we
- 36:06have a nonpartisan
- 36:08effort with
- 36:11congressmen and senators from both sides
- 36:12to address the
- 36:15um $3 billion a day interest on the
- 36:19national debt? The national debt is
- 36:22unsustainable. Can we both work at this
- 36:24the way Clinton and Genrich did? It
- 36:27helped both of them. That was that would
- 36:30be something they can do. Can they get
- 36:32together and say the world is changing
- 36:35and Ukraine is producing a million
- 36:38drones a a year? Tiny little Ukraine.
- 36:42We're only doing 300. We're doing
- 36:44something wrong with these $180 million
- 36:47airplanes and 14 billion carriers. Can
- 36:50we have decentralized suppliers that can
- 36:54do things in mass like we did in World
- 36:56War II? There's a lot of things they
- 36:57could do together. Are they going to do
- 36:59it? I don't think so because they're
- 37:01ideologues and they're socialist and
- 37:05they have an agenda that they feel
- 37:08they're morally superior and their ends
- 37:11justify any means necessary to get
- 37:13there. And anybody, the way that
- 37:15socialist revolutions work is that
- 37:17anybody who objects becomes a
- 37:21counterrevolutionary or a traitor. So
- 37:23they always get further and further to
- 37:24the left. Whether in 1848 or the French
- 37:27Revolution or the Boleviks, they devour
- 37:29their own. They create a system and then
- 37:31it implodes because it doesn't work. But
- 37:33it does a lot of damage, a lot of damage
- 37:37until it implodes.
- 37:39and they're capable of doing a lot of
- 37:41damage if
- 37:43it's they're not going to the
- 37:44Republicans are not going to get back
- 37:46the House and Senate in the next
- 37:48election with these huge leads. It's
- 37:50going to take them two or three
- 37:51elections. They did last time
- 37:54and the next president will be I think
- 37:57from the left of the Democratic party
- 37:59their nominee. If that president should
- 38:02win with this Congress
- 38:05and you can see what 2029 is going to be
- 38:07like. It's going to be packed the court,
- 38:10let in new two new states. The
- 38:14filibuster will be gone in January, I
- 38:16imagine, 200 years old. They'll get rid
- 38:18of that. They'll pack the court with 15
- 38:21liberal judges. They'll probably defund
- 38:24ICE. They'll restore US aid on steroids
- 38:28and make sure it's bulletproof this time
- 38:31around and giving left-wing governments
- 38:34abroad help. It'll be it'll be pretty
- 38:37bad. and they'll have the power to do it
- 38:39unless the Republicans can get their act
- 38:42together and Trump can really have a
- 38:45some big foreign policy successes and
- 38:48use his executive orders and veto to to
- 38:51styy them and work with them on
- 38:53bipartisan issues that Americans care
- 38:55about.
- 38:57That's the way to to handle it. But I
- 39:00mean they hadn't even the the
- 39:02[clears throat] polls weren't even
- 39:03closed and Robert Garcia was saying
- 39:06subpoenas and Jeremy Rascin was saying
- 39:10Lawfair and they're already talking
- 39:13about bringing CEOs in. [sighs]
- 39:16And Slotkin was saying they're going to
- 39:18go after young any young person that
- 39:20works for Trump and uh if they do that
- 39:24they're going to divide the country like
- 39:25you've never seen it. And the country
- 39:28for all of these back and forth midterms
- 39:30is still 55% conservative.
- 39:34And you you can see that even in these
- 39:38states that voted for to not allow
- 39:40biological males to go compete in
- 39:43women's sports. Some of them were
- 39:44left-wing states. So
- 39:48um
- 39:50that's what we're looking at. And I
- 39:52think history is a pretty good guide to
- 39:54what we can expect.
- 39:55One thing that I noticed looking at
- 39:59how people voted, right, and looking at
- 40:01the age differentials was that young
- 40:04people basically overwhelmingly voted
- 40:08blue. I mean, it's I forget the number
- 40:10right now, but a very significant
- 40:11number. You were mentioning, you know,
- 40:13how powerful it is when you have so much
- 40:16influence on the educational system, for
- 40:18example, and how people are taught. And
- 40:20so, that's not something that's going to
- 40:23change election to election. I at least
- 40:25that's what I'm thinking when I see that
- 40:28>> it's not and this is the first
- 40:32administration that realize the problem
- 40:34that half the country is going to
- 40:38college and there's a matrix operating
- 40:41that insurers are leftwing not just
- 40:43leftwing but downwardly mobile and angry
- 40:47and that is a $1.7 trillion
- 40:52student loan 33% of it is in their ears
- 40:56coupled with therapeutic education where
- 40:59these kids are not I mean we have a
- 41:01whole generation now for four years that
- 41:03went it was admitted without a SAT score
- 41:07these students are not wellprepared
- 41:09they're not well trained they're
- 41:11indoctrinated
- 41:12and they leave with debt and they leave
- 41:15with non-marketable
- 41:17in many cases majors a sociology degree
- 41:20a psych degree a studies degree ethnic
- 41:22studies black studies environmental
- 41:24studies, peace studies,
- 41:27and then they move and gravitate as they
- 41:30from these universities into urban
- 41:32left-wing enclaves, you know, Boulder,
- 41:35Austin, Washington, New York, Boston,
- 41:40uh, San Francisco, LA, Seattle,
- 41:43Portland, and they're very expensive
- 41:45blue cities, blue places. They don't
- 41:47work.
- 41:48and they rub shoulders with wealthy
- 41:50people, you know, Wall Street doctors,
- 41:52and they say, "You know what? I've got a
- 41:54BA from Williams. Oh, I I've got a a BA
- 41:58from Grenell, and I owe $200,000, and
- 42:01I'm working for an NGO or I'm a uh an um
- 42:06a beginning editor at Alfred Canop in
- 42:08New York, and I'm making $60,000 and
- 42:10rents $60,000."
- 42:12So, the whole system is rotten. Nobody
- 42:14appreciates my genius, my effort, my
- 42:17degree. And that's the 85% of white
- 42:20college degree socialists, the official
- 42:22membership of the DSA.
- 42:25And so I think people on the right
- 42:28understood that and they said,
- 42:31um, you universities are not going to
- 42:34segregate by what you call adjacent
- 42:37graduations or what you call theme
- 42:39houses. You're not going to overcharge
- 42:43us 40% on federal grants. It's going to
- 42:46go back to 15. We're looking very
- 42:49seriously at taxing your endowments or
- 42:51making your endowments guarantee the
- 42:53student loans so you have moral hazard.
- 42:56We're thinking of getting out of the
- 42:58student loan business. But more
- 43:00importantly, we're telling people that
- 43:03the college degree is no longer
- 43:05prestigious if it doesn't produce the
- 43:08results that it had once ensured was
- 43:10worth the effort and expense and time.
- 43:12So half the country we need electricians
- 43:16and sheetrockers and carpenters and
- 43:19plumbers and carpent all these people
- 43:23and they're noble professions and the
- 43:25result of that it's been quite
- 43:26spectacular in its infancy even that you
- 43:28look at the polls 65% 5 years ago said
- 43:32they had a high reputation they had a
- 43:34high regard for the reputation of higher
- 43:37education that's down to 33%
- 43:41people said, "Do you think that a
- 43:43college degree is essential for upward
- 43:46mobility?" That's down to about 45%.
- 43:49So, the public is starting to get the
- 43:51message that these universities turn out
- 43:53people who are not analytical. They're
- 43:56not uh equipped orally or in writing to
- 44:01express themselves clearly. They have no
- 44:03mathematical skills. And these brands
- 44:06don't mean anything. I have a BA from
- 44:09Cal State Northridge. I have a a degree
- 44:12in psychology from Stanford. 80% of the
- 44:15grades at Stanford are A. There hasn't
- 44:17been an SAT for four years until last
- 44:20year. 8% of 9% of the incoming class
- 44:23were white males. 9% of a demographic
- 44:26that's 33 to 40% 35% of the population.
- 44:31And then Victor, on the other side of
- 44:34that, you have what you describe to be
- 44:36one of the big dangers from what I can
- 44:39tell in the counter revolution, which is
- 44:41this lost generation, the disillusioned
- 44:44young white males, so to speak. And
- 44:47you're describing this scenario where
- 44:49you could even have further
- 44:51polarization. And I've been arguing that
- 44:53the technology, the social media juiced
- 44:56up by AI lends itself to that anyway.
- 44:59But now you have these political forces
- 45:02at play that are creating that. It just
- 45:04creates a
- 45:06something very volatile that looks to me
- 45:09very forboding.
- 45:11>> It does. The
- 45:14when globalization came upon us at the
- 45:17millennium,
- 45:19there was a $6 billion
- 45:22uh 6 billion person clientele for the
- 45:25first time and there was six billion
- 45:29uh consumer class and the people who
- 45:32could take advantage of that were
- 45:35largely on the west and east coast.
- 45:37That's where the banks were. That's
- 45:38where the big corporate CEOs were.
- 45:41That's where for the most part the
- 45:43universities were
- 45:45and certain people that were in the
- 45:47media, in sports, entertainment,
- 45:51law, but especially in investment
- 45:54stocks, they made a killing.
- 45:57And I, you know, I tech espe I I had
- 46:00people that I knew very well at Stanford
- 46:03as students five years ago and they're
- 46:04making four or $500,000 in Silicon
- 46:07Valley.
- 46:09And the people in the middle, the
- 46:11so-called irredeemables, deplorables,
- 46:14chumps, drags, um hobbits, crazies,
- 46:17garbage, these are all terms that um
- 46:20Obama, Clinton, clingers, um for Obama
- 46:25and Biden used. They were outsourced or
- 46:28offshored. So they they missed out on
- 46:30that. That was what the MAGA movement
- 46:32grew up out of that that anger and it
- 46:36was very successful in addressing it for
- 46:38four years and for the first two years.
- 46:41But and I think that's what JD means
- 46:44when he says we didn't put America
- 46:46first. what he's talking about is the
- 46:48lost generation that you mentioned in
- 46:50the middle of the country or in you know
- 46:52upstate or New York or the Sanwalkian
- 46:55Valley of California or eastern
- 46:57Washington and Oregon
- 46:59and uh
- 47:02it's they've been lost out. They they
- 47:05grew up in an era where they were 60 50
- 47:11years from the civil rights movement.
- 47:13All they knew was affirmative action and
- 47:16racial set aides. They had no role in
- 47:19Jim Crow, much less six generations of
- 47:21slavery. They didn't really understand
- 47:25uh the civil rights movement because it
- 47:27was so ancient. All they knew is that
- 47:29when they applied to school or they went
- 47:32to college or they were out in the
- 47:34public space, they were told they had
- 47:36toxic masculinity
- 47:39um by feminist, that they were racist,
- 47:41sexist, xenophobes, etc., etc.
- 47:45And um the irony was if you look at
- 47:49where they ended up as per capita income
- 47:52and opportunities, they would be
- 47:55classified as
- 47:57as um underprivileged. And
- 48:01there was no such thing in this leftist
- 48:04collective as a as whites. These people
- 48:07had less common commonality with white
- 48:09elites on the coast than they did with a
- 48:13Mexican truck driver or a black
- 48:15electrician that worked alongside them.
- 48:18And that's what Trump tried to do. I
- 48:19don't know if it's going to succeed or
- 48:20not. He tried to create a class
- 48:24solidarity rather than a racial
- 48:26solidarity. And it worked in 2024. It
- 48:28apparently fell apart in this latest
- 48:31election.
- 48:32But um this class was also despised. If
- 48:38you want to get a left-wing DEI person
- 48:41or liberal person infuriated,
- 48:44then mention the lower white working
- 48:46class. They are despised by those
- 48:48people. They lack the romance of the
- 48:50poor and the culture of the aristocracy.
- 48:53So,
- 48:55um, that's what the left, that's really
- 48:57the enemy. When we had that toxic flume
- 49:01in East Palestine, you could see that no
- 49:03one from the administration wanted to
- 49:05set foot there. Finally, Pete Budd
- 49:07looked like he was in outer space alien
- 49:09when he came there. He was so out of
- 49:11place and so was all of them. But the
- 49:14these were people they had written off.
- 49:15If that had been any other community, it
- 49:17would have been on the front page of the
- 49:19New York Times as a as a environmental
- 49:23catastrophe aimed at a poor
- 49:25underprivileged community.
- 49:28And I'm kind of afraid of the midterms
- 49:29because I thought we were over that DEI,
- 49:33racial essentialism. And all I all I
- 49:35heard on every station last night was
- 49:40first Indian uh Native American, first
- 49:42gay person, first woman governor, first
- 49:45this, first this. Not what their ideas
- 49:47were or anything. They were all part of
- 49:49a collective, not an individual with
- 49:51unique characteristics.
- 49:54So
- 49:55winter has come or as [laughter] they
- 49:57said winter is coming and it's going to
- 49:59be a rough two years but it's survivable
- 50:02if the Republicans can stick together
- 50:05and prevent a veto I mean a veto proof
- 50:08Congress and Trump can keep his eye on
- 50:12the ball and foreign policy and follow
- 50:14the model of the earlier presidents that
- 50:16were very successful after losing the
- 50:19Congress
- 50:21and but there is no margin of error Wow.
- 50:24You know, you can't
- 50:26you can't get in a spat with Bill Maher.
- 50:29It's not worth it. You can't do things
- 50:30like that. It's just too too many people
- 50:34depend on you.
- 50:37And we're going to there's going to be a
- 50:38lot of fights ahead in the MAGA
- 50:40movement. I think the one thing that
- 50:42people a agree on, we're not going to go
- 50:44back to we've got to cut the privatize
- 50:48social security or cut the capital
- 50:50gains. the Bush, you know, do McCain
- 50:54Romney uh agenda. I don't think we're
- 50:57going to go back to that. It's just that
- 51:00the mega movement is going to have to
- 51:01refine some of its positions, but I
- 51:04think it still represents the majority
- 51:06of middle class conservatives.
- 51:10And so, Victor, as we finish up, right,
- 51:13this is the thing that I don't know the
- 51:16answer to at all or I don't have a sense
- 51:18and I want to just start that
- 51:20conversation maybe in a final moment
- 51:22here, but but this the the the
- 51:25polarization seems to be a feature of
- 51:28how this political system functions
- 51:30increasingly
- 51:32and the outcome logical outcome of that
- 51:36is something really bad I think. So
- 51:41where is there a way out?
- 51:43>> There is, but it has to be kind of a
- 51:45moral way out. So
- 51:48because the country is really in danger.
- 51:51Everybody according to a station has to
- 51:54step up. I know I do four podcasts a
- 51:57week
- 51:59and from the very outset I said there's
- 52:01not going to be any guest or any host
- 52:03that says the f word or the shiit word
- 52:06or go after somebody. That's all I hear
- 52:08on podcasts now. And we're not going to
- 52:11do that. And we're going to treat people
- 52:14that we interview and disagree with with
- 52:17dignity. And we're not going to, you
- 52:19know, we're going to be tough and
- 52:20critical as I have been right now. But
- 52:23I'm not going to
- 52:25say that Tucker Carlson is insane and
- 52:28he's a crazy race white national. I
- 52:30don't know that. I think he's said and
- 52:32done things that are very disturbing,
- 52:34but I'm not going to go after him
- 52:36personally. I will say though that when
- 52:40I look at the most egregious examples,
- 52:43who are the people out on the street
- 52:46attacking
- 52:48officers,
- 52:50who are wearing Charlie Kirk t-shirts
- 52:53with blood on it, who was giving a talk
- 52:55about we're going to celebrate the
- 52:57Kirkversary.
- 52:59um who
- 53:02is engaging in violence on campus
- 53:04against Jews.
- 53:06It's coming from the left. And
- 53:10um I don't see people on the left
- 53:14encouraging them to stop. I don't.
- 53:18And I think a lot of people on the right
- 53:21have said that
- 53:26um a Candace Owens or someone like that
- 53:28or
- 53:30a Nick Fuentes is over has gone out of
- 53:33bound and they have been criticized and
- 53:35they said that's not that's not helpful
- 53:37what you're doing and that's not that's
- 53:40not part of the mega movement. But I
- 53:42don't see that self-correction on the
- 53:44left. And it you can't fight it by go
- 53:46using their methods. You have to elevate
- 53:49it. Elevate it and not be like them to
- 53:51appeal to the better angels of the
- 53:53American people's natures. But it
- 53:56doesn't do any good either to say we've
- 53:58got to tone it down. We've got to tone
- 54:00it down. Are there people on the right
- 54:02that are too loud and too vulgar? Yes.
- 54:05But is the hate, the real hate,
- 54:09the idolizing a murder like Manioni
- 54:14or glorifying in the wound of Charlie K?
- 54:17Is that have a comp a comparable side?
- 54:19Are there has there been four
- 54:21assassination attempts against the
- 54:23majority the Hikim Jeff or
- 54:28Camela Harris as there had by Trump? I
- 54:31don't think it's symmetric. I really
- 54:32don't. It doesn't serve any purpose to
- 54:34pretend that it is. And the only way
- 54:37that that's going to be refle reflected
- 54:39is you have to defeat them at the polls.
- 54:42And you have to have better ideas and
- 54:44galvanize and get your the traditional
- 54:48make the argument that America was good
- 54:50at its founding. It got better in its
- 54:52maturity and it's got a great future and
- 54:55it's far better than the alternative.
- 54:58Doesn't have to be perfect to be good.
- 55:00and then say, "We on this side have
- 55:02certain rules of decorum
- 55:05and tradition that we're not going to
- 55:07violate for expedient purposes." And
- 55:11then win that argument and vote them
- 55:12out. And it can happen, but we're seeing
- 55:17something that is historical. We have
- 55:20never seen this before, this radicalism.
- 55:23And I think part of it is we have 55
- 55:27million people who were not born in the
- 55:28United States which can be very good
- 55:31talent diversity. I am all for it and
- 55:3417% of the population. But if you have a
- 55:38salad bowl environment or you say the
- 55:40melting pot is p or you don't really
- 55:44think that everybody should be
- 55:46essentially their ethnic tribe and not
- 55:48American which the left says and you're
- 55:51going to be dei di and you're going to
- 55:54bring back a pre-ivilizational tribalism
- 55:58and fragment this then it's not going to
- 56:00work. It's not going to work. you're
- 56:03going to have too many people who are
- 56:05not on the same page and you know
- 56:09they're going when you have people at
- 56:10Colombia and they're waving Hezbollah
- 56:12flags and they're saying to Jewish
- 56:14student go back to Poland which they
- 56:17mean Trebinka the German camps that were
- 56:20stationed in Poland during World War II
- 56:22then and nobody's speaking about it and
- 56:25the college president is terrified of
- 56:26her own students
- 56:29as we see in Colombia and Harvard
- 56:33then it's not symmetrical, but it
- 56:36doesn't mean that you have to adopt
- 56:38those tactics. You have to be better
- 56:39than they are in your discourse and your
- 56:41analysis. And I understand sometimes
- 56:44Trump can be crude. And I in the book I
- 56:48I said things like
- 56:50not saying speaking ill of Rob Reiner's
- 56:53death, who was kind of obnoxious at
- 56:55times and personally unfair to Trump and
- 56:58called him names. But nevertheless, you
- 57:00don't you don't attack somebody who's
- 57:02just dead, just died tragically by his
- 57:05own son's hand. So
- 57:09I I uh I think everybody's got it. I
- 57:12think people on the right are are seeing
- 57:14that much more and they're they are
- 57:16policing the people who are conspiracy
- 57:19theorists and really out there much
- 57:21better than um than the left is. The
- 57:25left is being carried along by those
- 57:27people.
- 57:29And um and we saw that in the campaign
- 57:33when Mandami says, "I'm going to go
- 57:34after richer, whiter neighborhoods."
- 57:36What did that mean? Was that empirical?
- 57:39The most affluent ethnic minority in the
- 57:42United States are Indian-American
- 57:44immigrants. He's an Indian-American
- 57:46immigrant. Did he say, "I'm going to go
- 57:47after Indian-American immigrant
- 57:49communities because they're the
- 57:50wealthiest?" No. He said, "I'm going to
- 57:52go after richer and whiter." Does that
- 57:54mean some plumber that works in the
- 57:56Bronx? I don't know. it. And when you
- 58:00have a synagogue attacked by a brother,
- 58:04a terrorist whose two brothers were in
- 58:06Hezbollah, a designated terrorist
- 58:08organization in Michigan, and you have
- 58:10the next senator saying, "Hurt people,
- 58:13hurt people,
- 58:15justifying that.
- 58:18Who hurt that man? He came from Lebanon.
- 58:20We gave him the most magnanimous
- 58:22reception. He became a US citizen with
- 58:25all the the bounty and privileges of
- 58:29being American and he pays back us the
- 58:31host by driving a car and trying to kill
- 58:33innocent Jews. And then the next US
- 58:36senator says, "Hurt people. Hurt
- 58:38people." Hurt people meaning he had two
- 58:41brothers that were working for Hezbollah
- 58:43on a high level organizing rocket
- 58:45attacks at civilians and the Israelis
- 58:48retaliated and killed them. Therefore,
- 58:50he has legitimate hurts cuz his brothers
- 58:52were in a war were warriors in a war and
- 58:55lost. And therefore, he has a right to
- 58:58go in there and kill Jews. That's what
- 59:00it boils down to. Nobody said a word
- 59:03about it much.
- 59:05So, I think it's coming from the left. I
- 59:08agree. People have to be more
- 59:10considerate. And it won't do any good to
- 59:12tell the left to be more considerate
- 59:14because they won't. You have to be
- 59:16considerate on our side and temperant in
- 59:20what we say and do. And then you have to
- 59:23win a a decisive vote to show the
- 59:26country that that model is not
- 59:28acceptable. That's how our system works.
- 59:32>> I mean, essentially, you're doubling
- 59:34down on America. That's what I'm
- 59:36hearing.
- 59:36>> I am. I uh Ronald Reagan was written off
- 59:41when I was in California as a young man
- 59:43here at this house as a complete nut.
- 59:46They made fun of him at Woodstock and
- 59:47everything.
- 59:49And when he ran for president, they said
- 59:51he was an extremist, but he was smiling.
- 59:53He was kind to people. He reached out to
- 59:55Tip O'Neal and he basically stopped the
- 59:5960s7s cultural revolution himself for 15
- 1:00:0420 years. He did that and
- 1:00:08Donald Trump had a very different
- 1:00:10approach. It was much more
- 1:00:11confrontational. But this he did stop
- 1:00:16what would have been uh I think eight
- 1:00:19more years of that and that I don't know
- 1:00:21what we would have done. And uh I'm very
- 1:00:25optimistic because I'll just finish by
- 1:00:28saying
- 1:00:30when I look at I don't listen to people.
- 1:00:32I just ask myself what is the inflation
- 1:00:35rate? What is the GDP? What is the
- 1:00:37foreign investment? What's the poverty
- 1:00:39rate? What is the median income? What's
- 1:00:42the stock market? What's the job growth?
- 1:00:46Unemployment, labor. It's all good. It's
- 1:00:49getting really good.
- 1:00:52Gas is the only real that's the tessera
- 1:00:54that's missing out of this mosaic. And I
- 1:00:56think there's a really good chance with
- 1:00:58this record foreign investment and the
- 1:01:00new technologies like AI and stuff,
- 1:01:02you're going to have a real boom in the
- 1:01:05first and second quarter next year. And
- 1:01:07it's I think we're almost on the verge
- 1:01:08of it now. And that's going to really
- 1:01:11change things. I think it'll give people
- 1:01:13a lot more economic opportunity. And if
- 1:01:16the president can work with the Congress
- 1:01:17about affordability of housing, maybe
- 1:01:20gets rid of some of the regulations and
- 1:01:22zoning restrictions and let people build
- 1:01:24homes for that are affordable. I think
- 1:01:27it it could really work out well.
- 1:01:30So, I'm I'm optimistic, but I'm I'm also
- 1:01:33worried that this is not Bill Clinton's
- 1:01:35Democratic party. This is not Mark Penn
- 1:01:39and um Doug Shoen, you know,
- 1:01:42[clears throat] writing the Democratic
- 1:01:43convention agenda for 1992 and 96. I
- 1:01:48went and read it the other day. It
- 1:01:49sounded [gasps]
- 1:01:51like a fossil. You know, we're going to
- 1:01:53balance the budget. We're going to try
- 1:01:54violent offenders who are 17 as adults.
- 1:01:57We're going to close the border. We're
- 1:01:58going to deport people that are here
- 1:02:00illegally and taking advantage of our
- 1:02:02system. We're going to put 100,000 cops
- 1:02:04on the beat. That's what it was.
- 1:02:08And the the right thought that was
- 1:02:10leftwing.
- 1:02:12Today the left wing would say that was
- 1:02:14rightwing.
- 1:02:16Don't you think?
- 1:02:17>> Yeah.
- 1:02:19Well, Victor Davis Hansen, it's such a
- 1:02:22pleasure to have had you on.
- 1:02:24>> Well, thank you for having me. I
- 1:02:25appreciate it.
- 1:02:27>> Thank you all for joining Victor Davis
- 1:02:28Hansen and me on this episode of
- 1:02:30American Thought Leaders. I'm your host,
- 1:02:31Ya Kellik.
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