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Victor Davis Hanson: What the Democratic Midterm Sweep Means for Trump, MAGA, and 2028 — Transcript

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  1. 0:01What does a president do when he's lost
  2. 0:03the House and Senate by wide margins?
  3. 0:05And the answer is pretty much what he
  4. 0:08wants to do. A lot of the lame duck
  5. 0:10presidents feel they're unbound and they
  6. 0:13have nothing to lose and the imperial
  7. 0:16presidency operates as they wish. With
  8. 0:19Democrats sweeping both the House and
  9. 0:21Senate in the midterms last night, I'm
  10. 0:24sitting down with classicist and
  11. 0:25military historian Victor Davis Hansen
  12. 0:27to get his take on the results. We're
  13. 0:29going to see a lot of people jump in in
  14. 0:31the Democratic party and we're going to
  15. 0:33see whether the Vance Rubio Alliance
  16. 0:36holds up. He's the author of multiple
  17. 0:39books including most recently the
  18. 0:41counterrevolution, the fall and rise of
  19. 0:43Donald Trump and the MAGA movement.
  20. 0:45>> There's going to be a lot of fights
  21. 0:46ahead in the MAGA movement. There is no
  22. 0:49margin of error now. This is American
  23. 0:51Thought Leaders and I'm Yana Kellik.
  24. 0:58Victor Davis Hansen. So good to have you
  25. 1:00back on American Thought Leaders.
  26. 1:02>> Thank you for having me.
  27. 1:04>> So I have to confess I wasn't familiar
  28. 1:07with the term shellacking until last
  29. 1:11night and today. So Victor, what
  30. 1:14happened? That was an Obama term that he
  31. 1:17used in 2010
  32. 1:21when he lost 60
  33. 1:24uh excuse me n yeah 2010 he lost 63
  34. 1:27seats in the house and I think
  35. 1:31nine Senate seats. Bill Clinton said
  36. 1:35they kicked our blank when he in 90 94
  37. 1:39lost 53 seats and I think six Senate
  38. 1:43seats. George Bush in 2006
  39. 1:46used that term shellacking when he lost
  40. 1:49I think 30 seats. What happened
  41. 1:53uh as a historian I just kind of go by
  42. 1:55history. So in the last I had said this
  43. 1:59before I didn't want to believe it but
  44. 2:01in the last 126 years of the modern
  45. 2:04period since 1900 the party that has the
  46. 2:08white house loses 90% in 90% of the
  47. 2:11midterms
  48. 2:13um they lose seats in the house and they
  49. 2:1775% of the midterms they lose senate
  50. 2:19seats. So that was predictable that they
  51. 2:22were going to lose seats. The odds being
  52. 2:25what they are. The only time that was
  53. 2:26reduced say in the house was FDR and the
  54. 2:29exuberance still in 1934
  55. 2:32of the New Deal and then George Bush in
  56. 2:352002
  57. 2:37when he was hadn't gone into Iraq yet
  58. 2:39and he was really uniting the country
  59. 2:41after 9/11 and then Bill Clinton picked
  60. 2:44up um he picked up five seats in 1998
  61. 2:50and that was because they impeached him
  62. 2:51the month before the Republican
  63. 2:55supermajority. I mean, they had a really
  64. 2:56big majority and they impeached him, but
  65. 2:59the economy was growing at 4% with 2%
  66. 3:02inflation and he had balanced the budget
  67. 3:04for two years. And so that boomerang,
  68. 3:07but it's very rare uh otherwise for a
  69. 3:10president to pick up seats. What is
  70. 3:12unusual is the size of the tsunami. We
  71. 3:17don't know what we're speaking now the
  72. 3:18day morning
  73. 3:20I'm in the morning after here in the
  74. 3:22west coast and we don't have all the
  75. 3:23returns from the western states but it
  76. 3:26looks like somewhere around 45 seats or
  77. 3:29more and I think the
  78. 3:33the um Republicans will lose seven to
  79. 3:36nine seats depending on the ones that
  80. 3:38are out.
  81. 3:40So what does that mean and why did it
  82. 3:44happen?
  83. 3:45Well, the easiest answer is what does it
  84. 3:47mean? And that means
  85. 3:50Donald Trump, if he's going to appoint a
  86. 3:52district circuit or Supreme Court or
  87. 3:54fire a justice or fire a cabinet member
  88. 3:58and replace him, he better do it in the
  89. 4:00next uh 70 days before there the new
  90. 4:04Congress is sworn in in January cuz
  91. 4:06they're not going to approve anything
  92. 4:08that he puts up that requires a Senate
  93. 4:11nomination to be, you know, approved by
  94. 4:15the Democrats. That's number one.
  95. 4:18Number two, if it's down to 45 seats,
  96. 4:23he's got to make sure that he rides herd
  97. 4:25on that Republican 45 Senate because if
  98. 4:29he gets too many people like Lisa
  99. 4:31Marcowski or Renegades that join the
  100. 4:34Republicans, then they will have
  101. 4:36uncertain votes a veto proof Congress.
  102. 4:39>> Join the Democrats, you mean, Victor?
  103. 4:41>> Yes. So if the Democrats end up with 55
  104. 4:44or 57 seats, there are about three or
  105. 4:47four people who were not always with
  106. 4:49Trump. Some of them lost, you know,
  107. 4:51Cornin and Tillis, but there's still
  108. 4:53some there. And he's going to have to
  109. 4:54have party control otherwise they will
  110. 4:58not have what he has theoretically a
  111. 5:01veto proof Congress. And then history
  112. 5:04tells us, recent history, what does a
  113. 5:08president do when he's lost the House
  114. 5:10and Senate by wide margins? And the
  115. 5:12answer is pretty much what he wants to
  116. 5:14do. Uh Bill Clinton, he worked with
  117. 5:18Genrich. He got two more balanced
  118. 5:20budgets. He decided that he wanted to
  119. 5:24remove Malloich and he said to the
  120. 5:26Republican Congress, I'm not even going
  121. 5:28to ask you for the authorization. and he
  122. 5:30bombed for 77 days to fur from the
  123. 5:33Republicans and he was successful
  124. 5:37and he had a a summit. He tried to solve
  125. 5:39the Israeli Palestinian issue. It didn't
  126. 5:42work but he was kind of a virtuoso and
  127. 5:47Obama got emboldened. He was the one
  128. 5:49that gave us the term phone. I have a
  129. 5:51phone, a pen and phone and I can do what
  130. 5:54I want to do. He got heavily involved
  131. 5:57with the steel dossier and he had his
  132. 6:00intelligence heads
  133. 6:02pursuing this unicorn of Russian
  134. 6:05collusion on the domestic front. And
  135. 6:08then he he signed on even though he said
  136. 6:11he was a constitutional lawyer. He said,
  137. 6:13"Well, I'm going to have the treaty with
  138. 6:15the Iran deal. I'll have the treaty with
  139. 6:17the Paris climate accord and I don't
  140. 6:19even I don't need const I don't need
  141. 6:21congressional authority. It's not a
  142. 6:23treaty." So he just did it and he did it
  143. 6:26with recognizing Cuba. He said, "Well,
  144. 6:29it's time to make full diplomatic
  145. 6:32um relations, no more sanctions." So
  146. 6:35what I'm getting at, a lot of the lame
  147. 6:36duck presidents
  148. 6:39uh feel they're unbound and they have
  149. 6:41nothing to lose. They can no longer hurt
  150. 6:44their congressional majorities or
  151. 6:45minorities. uh they're going to be out
  152. 6:48in two years and they're going to
  153. 6:49executive order and veto their way
  154. 6:51domestically and the imperial presidency
  155. 6:54operates as they wish. So I think as it
  156. 6:58applies to Donald Trump, he will try to
  157. 7:00get the Iran war over as quickly as
  158. 7:02possible and denuclearize it. And part
  159. 7:05of the reasons he lost tangently here is
  160. 7:08he bombed for 38 days and it almost
  161. 7:12eliminate then they said well we have we
  162. 7:15have eight months we have seven months
  163. 7:17we have 6 months before the midterms we
  164. 7:19have five months we have four months we
  165. 7:20have three and they bomb talk talk talk
  166. 7:23with people you can't talk to. So he's
  167. 7:26going to have to denuclearize them hit
  168. 7:29pickaxe mountain if he wants to
  169. 7:30eliminate that threat. No ground troops,
  170. 7:33no nation building, but hit a lot of
  171. 7:36targets that will set them back eight or
  172. 7:3910 years and then leave skeleton force,
  173. 7:41keep the straight open and tighten those
  174. 7:44sanctions and go home and and gas will
  175. 7:48go down. And there's nothing the re the
  176. 7:51Republicans uh the Democrats can do to
  177. 7:53help or hurt him on that. They can't
  178. 7:55they don't have the votes to cut off
  179. 7:56funds and they won't. and he can do what
  180. 8:00he wants with Chi and Putin. He can do
  181. 8:03what he wants in the Ukraine sphere. He
  182. 8:05can do almost anything he wants. And
  183. 8:07that's just not because he's any
  184. 8:09different. He's just going to follow the
  185. 8:10president of presidents. Uh I the other
  186. 8:14thing that's very ironic is when
  187. 8:16presidents do this
  188. 8:18their their favorability doesn't go down
  189. 8:22it goes up because the these super
  190. 8:26majorities are not like
  191. 8:29uh moderate gains. They bring in
  192. 8:30bombthrowers. We have about 45
  193. 8:32socialists that are now going to be in
  194. 8:34Congress in the Democratic House and
  195. 8:37maybe one or two socialist Islamicist
  196. 8:41senators
  197. 8:43and they will do things that were are
  198. 8:45going to shock the oified leadership.
  199. 8:48Chuck Schumer and Elizabeth Warren and
  200. 8:52all of those kind of calcified people
  201. 8:54are not young and energetic like like
  202. 8:57Elsa or Chevala Chevalier or any of
  203. 9:01those people. They are AOC the squad and
  204. 9:05they will they will try to singlepayer
  205. 9:08nationalized healthc care completely
  206. 9:11flip on foreign policy favoring
  207. 9:13Palestine as our friend and Israel as
  208. 9:16our enemy. try to open the border. They
  209. 9:20will try to mainland mainstream the
  210. 9:23trans, bring back the Green New Deal,
  211. 9:25defund ICE, maybe defund the police. And
  212. 9:28these are all 3070. They've all been
  213. 9:31they were all been adjudicated in the
  214. 9:322024 election and that's why Camela
  215. 9:35Harris lost. She was on the wrong side
  216. 9:37of all those issues until she tried to
  217. 9:39change her spot, so to speak. So that's
  218. 9:44that plays into the hands of the lame
  219. 9:47duck president. And that happened with
  220. 9:49Clinton and Obama. The Tea Party got way
  221. 9:52extreme in their candidates and their
  222. 9:54ideas and they were leaderless and they
  223. 9:57kind of petered out with Obama. And the
  224. 10:00impeachment zealots that wanted to
  225. 10:02crucify Clinton, he lied under oath. He
  226. 10:07had sexual relations with a employee who
  227. 10:10was a young woman. Power imbalance. all
  228. 10:12the hit all the feminist buttons and yet
  229. 10:16they did it in such a way they turned
  230. 10:17off the American people. And then that
  231. 10:19the final thing very quickly is the
  232. 10:21election starts. Donald Trump declared
  233. 10:24his candidacy in November 15th of 2022.
  234. 10:28That's two weeks from now basically. So,
  235. 10:31we're going to see a lot of people jump
  236. 10:33in in the Democratic party and we're
  237. 10:36going to see a pretty soon we'll see
  238. 10:39whether the Vance Rubio alliance uh
  239. 10:44holds up. There'll be a lot of pressure
  240. 10:46on from people to see Rubio at the top
  241. 10:49of the ticket. Vance can't be vice
  242. 10:52president again. That's going to be
  243. 10:54problematic if that were to happen.
  244. 10:56Dantis kind of withtood
  245. 10:59the blue wave. He had a Byron Donald's
  246. 11:02won. They won the Senate and so he may
  247. 11:05be revitalized. But what I'm getting at
  248. 11:08all this conundrum will happen in the
  249. 11:10next two years and Trump will be above
  250. 11:12the fray.
  251. 11:14And that's what happened to Obama and
  252. 11:16Clinton. Clinton just basically said Al
  253. 11:18Gore doesn't want me campaigning. That's
  254. 11:20fine. He fought it out with Bush the
  255. 11:22last year of his tenure. And Hillary and
  256. 11:25Trump really went at it in 2015 and 16.
  257. 11:28and Obama just kind of played golf. And
  258. 11:30the less we saw or heard of them, the
  259. 11:32more we liked them. And they, you know,
  260. 11:34the odd thing was both of them had low
  261. 11:37ratings at one point at 37 to 38% Obama
  262. 11:41and Clinton. They left with one of the
  263. 11:44highest ratings. Uh Clinton left with
  264. 11:47one of the highest ever. He was about
  265. 11:4966%.
  266. 11:51And Obama was about 59% approval rating.
  267. 11:54And that was because they the attention
  268. 11:57turned to acrimonious
  269. 11:59bombthrowers in the opposition. There
  270. 12:02was an election with contentious issues
  271. 12:04and personal invective and the president
  272. 12:08didn't have to worry about coddling his
  273. 12:11own party. He was unbound and he tried
  274. 12:14to be statesmanlike above the fray and
  275. 12:16it worked. And Trump, if he wants to
  276. 12:18follow that paradigm, it's there for
  277. 12:20him. You know, the one thing that's
  278. 12:22different, um, I suppose, is that
  279. 12:25there's this whole media ecosystem
  280. 12:28that's committed to his destruction and
  281. 12:30continues to be that. That certainly
  282. 12:32wasn't the case for the other two
  283. 12:33presidents you mentioned.
  284. 12:34>> No. And that's a very good point because
  285. 12:37uh, it really does explain in part the
  286. 12:41affordability issue. If we can go back
  287. 12:43in time to just four years ago, 2022,
  288. 12:48a very unpopular Joe Biden after
  289. 12:539.1% inflation in 2022 and the
  290. 12:57scadattlele from Afghanistan and the war
  291. 13:00in Ukraine given he he gave the wrong
  292. 13:02signals,
  293. 13:04lost deterrence. So he we were told a
  294. 13:07red we wave is going to sweep the
  295. 13:10country and it looked like it would and
  296. 13:13it didn't. They only picked up
  297. 13:15[clears throat] nine seats. They got the
  298. 13:16house back barely. They lost a seat in
  299. 13:19the senate and the red wave turned out
  300. 13:21to be a pathetic ripple. And so what was
  301. 13:25the reason and why did the blue wave
  302. 13:29turn out to be a tsunami? So, we compare
  303. 13:31the two situations
  304. 13:33and there you get to the heart of what
  305. 13:35you said about the media. In 2022, the
  306. 13:39inflation rate that year was 9.1.
  307. 13:43This year, it may go to 3.4.
  308. 13:46It's almost only a third. If you look at
  309. 13:49per family income, it's $14,000
  310. 13:53higher now under Trump than it was under
  311. 13:55Biden at that time. If you look at GDP,
  312. 13:58we have a much bigger third quarter GDP.
  313. 14:02If you look at the stock market, it's
  314. 14:0520,000 points higher than it was in
  315. 14:082022.
  316. 14:09If you look at job creation, it's much
  317. 14:12better. If you look at the poverty rate,
  318. 14:14it's almost two points lower. So, the
  319. 14:17economy actually is doing much better.
  320. 14:20But when you look when you go back and
  321. 14:21look at the media coverage, you had
  322. 14:23Janice Yell and said, "Oh, this this
  323. 14:24this is not our fault. This was supply
  324. 14:27chains and uh pent up consumer demands
  325. 14:32and it's it's only temporary." Well, it
  326. 14:34was actually 5.1 average for the four
  327. 14:37years, but the media portrayed that as
  328. 14:41no big deal, even though Joe Biden was
  329. 14:44polling at 40% pretty much where Trump
  330. 14:47is. But this one, it was all of a sudden
  331. 14:50affordability and gas. And I thought,
  332. 14:52well, I guess gas did trump in. It's
  333. 14:55It's now $4.32
  334. 14:57on election. It's 418 today. And then I
  335. 15:01went back and looked, it got to $5 in
  336. 15:03July of 2022. And he tried to drain the
  337. 15:06petroleum reserve. And on election day,
  338. 15:09it was about $410.
  339. 15:12So
  340. 15:14historically, things were much worse.
  341. 15:17And Biden was in the same place of being
  342. 15:20in the the end party when traditionally
  343. 15:22he loses seats and the economy was worse
  344. 15:26and his personal approval was as dismal
  345. 15:29as Trump and yet he survived it and
  346. 15:31Trump got wiped out.
  347. 15:34Now you can argue that the media biases
  348. 15:36a lot. You can also say that Trump
  349. 15:39inherited a 21%
  350. 15:42inflation over four years. So when he
  351. 15:45had a moderate 2.4 and this year a 3.5
  352. 15:50it came on top of 21%.
  353. 15:52And they did not articulate the
  354. 15:54difference between prices and inflation
  355. 15:57rate. So they kept saying well we have
  356. 16:00the Biden inflation rate. But the people
  357. 16:02were saying yes but prices are 21%
  358. 16:07higher than when you left office last
  359. 16:08time. So what are you going to do about
  360. 16:09it? Well, they couldn't do anything
  361. 16:11about it if unless you wanted a
  362. 16:13recession or a deflationary depression
  363. 16:16because we never go into a deflation and
  364. 16:18lose that 21%.
  365. 16:20The answer is what Trump did was to
  366. 16:23lower the inflation rate and increase
  367. 16:27the per family median income, which he
  368. 16:30did spectacularly, but they never
  369. 16:32communicated that. In in contrast, Biden
  370. 16:37inherited a 1.9% inflation from Trump
  371. 16:40and it only had gone up seven over four
  372. 16:42years. And so when he went up to nine,
  373. 16:47that was only, if you think about it, it
  374. 16:50was only about a 16% increase, whereas
  375. 16:53Trump went up three, it was 24%.
  376. 16:56And people noticed that. And uh the the
  377. 17:00administration didn't really explain
  378. 17:01that when they said we're going to lower
  379. 17:04the rate inflation. We're going to grow
  380. 17:05the economy. We're going to increase
  381. 17:07personal and family income. And that is
  382. 17:10the way that this affordability crisis
  383. 17:13will be handled. Prices will continue to
  384. 17:16go up moderately, one or two or 3% at
  385. 17:20most, but wages will go up 3% and family
  386. 17:23income will go up three or four. And
  387. 17:25finally the that will make prices
  388. 17:28stabilize at the level when I left
  389. 17:31office in 200 um
  390. 17:3421 in January but that was never
  391. 17:37communicated. [snorts]
  392. 17:39>> So Victor I've been looking at various
  393. 17:42takes. One of the sets of takes by
  394. 17:45people that I think had offered an
  395. 17:46interesting one, Spencer Pratt being one
  396. 17:48example, was just that the Republicans
  397. 17:52are very poor at storytelling, but also
  398. 17:55I I suppose this whole media complex
  399. 17:58thing, you know, figures into this
  400. 18:00dramatically as well. So that's one
  401. 18:02side, but the other side is actually the
  402. 18:03vice president. And I'll just comment.
  403. 18:05You mentioned the war. He said the
  404. 18:07reason we lost is the war. the president
  405. 18:09himself said so last night. But he also
  406. 18:11pointed to kind of to four separate
  407. 18:13things, right, that were that the
  408. 18:15pollster he he he g gave validity to the
  409. 18:18pollster. He said the number one issue
  410. 18:20was ending the war. Number two, the
  411. 18:22focus on cost of living. Number third is
  412. 18:24putting America first. And the four is
  413. 18:27changing the relationship with Israel.
  414. 18:29So these are actually quite different
  415. 18:32viewpoints of what happened. I'm finding
  416. 18:34where do you land here? Well, when he
  417. 18:37says the war when the war broke out, he
  418. 18:39had over 50% approval and they had a
  419. 18:44spectacular success for the two first 38
  420. 18:47days. They did the impossible. But they
  421. 18:49didn't explain it. They didn't say to
  422. 18:51the American people, seven presidents
  423. 18:53said you can't let them get a nuclear
  424. 18:55weapon. They're closer than ever before.
  425. 18:58They have 93 million people. They have
  426. 19:00over 200,000 rockets. This is an
  427. 19:03existential threat. It is a very big
  428. 19:05danger to Europe and to us. But I'm
  429. 19:08going to denuclearize them. It's going
  430. 19:10to be a long hall. It's going to be
  431. 19:12dangerous. But I have two
  432. 19:16two guidelines. There will be no ground
  433. 19:18troops and I will not go in there and
  434. 19:20try to nation build as we did in
  435. 19:22Afghanistan. He pretty he that was
  436. 19:24assumed, but he never was explicit just
  437. 19:27how difficult it was. So then you go in
  438. 19:30there and he I mean it was tragic. We
  439. 19:31lost 23 soldiers, but compared to 7,500
  440. 19:35in the Afghanistan
  441. 19:38Iraq or we've spent 45 billion, that's
  442. 19:41about what we left in infrastructure,
  443. 19:43weaponry, and embassies and stuff in
  444. 19:46Afghanistan to the Taliban. But they
  445. 19:48never really they never really
  446. 19:50accentuated that. And then once they
  447. 19:53stopped and 38, they were not quite done
  448. 19:55yet.
  449. 19:57They hadn't prepared for the hormuz.
  450. 19:59They were talking about the denominator
  451. 20:01of uh missiles they had destroyed and
  452. 20:04drones but not the u excuse me the
  453. 20:06numerator but then not the denominator
  454. 20:08was how many existed. They didn't know.
  455. 20:11You can destroy 95% of what you think,
  456. 20:13but if you don't know what you think it
  457. 20:15is, you don't know. It's it could be 95%
  458. 20:18of what? So, there were mistakes, but
  459. 20:21the biggest problem was we had almost
  460. 20:24won. And if we had continued and done
  461. 20:26what Bill Clinton did and Barack Obama
  462. 20:29did, and let's be honest, they hit dual
  463. 20:32targets in Serbia. Clinton did. He hit
  464. 20:35the bridges on the approaches into
  465. 20:37Belgrade. He t knocked out the power
  466. 20:40grid.
  467. 20:42Um Obama bombed the ports of Kafi's
  468. 20:45ports. He hit their t TV and radio
  469. 20:48communication. They neither one of them
  470. 20:50got congressional authority. But we said
  471. 20:53that we're on the side of the Iranian
  472. 20:54people. They came out. I think they sort
  473. 20:56of gave the impression to Trump that
  474. 20:58they were going to overthrow the
  475. 20:59government and he would do what Maduro
  476. 21:01did. He would just it would be short
  477. 21:04what he did with Maduro. And and Iran is
  478. 21:07not Venezuela. So it was very difficult
  479. 21:09which we weren't apprised of but we we
  480. 21:12stopped and then we this is what h it'll
  481. 21:15be over pretty soon but we still have 8
  482. 21:19months before the midterm. It'll be
  483. 21:20over. We're talking we're on the edge of
  484. 21:22the deal but we have 7 months. We're
  485. 21:24talking we had to hit a target but
  486. 21:26otherwise we're talking. We're six
  487. 21:28months. We're five months. We're four
  488. 21:29months. We're three months. and they got
  489. 21:31into a haggling with people who don't
  490. 21:34tell the truth and have no intention to
  491. 21:36negotiate.
  492. 21:38And now they think they're going to
  493. 21:39negotiate when these people are
  494. 21:41skyhighing
  495. 21:42themselves that they stop Trump with the
  496. 21:45midterms. The Iranians think that and
  497. 21:48they're not going to negotiate. So
  498. 21:50you're going to have to hit them very
  499. 21:51very hard pickaxe mountain for two or
  500. 21:53three weeks. then you're going to have
  501. 21:55to just leave and then you're going to
  502. 21:58have to fund the opposition and arm them
  503. 22:02and forget what Turkey says and clamp
  504. 22:05down on these sanctions and keep the
  505. 22:07straight up open and let Saudi Arabia
  506. 22:12and the Gulf states finish their
  507. 22:14pipelines and we've already got as much
  508. 22:16oil going out as we did before the war
  509. 22:18and he'll be okay. But not if he
  510. 22:20continues to negotiate
  511. 22:22add infant item. So that's the problem.
  512. 22:25It's not the war per se. If he were
  513. 22:28successful and they are denuclearized
  514. 22:30for many years and in a year or two this
  515. 22:34they're stewing in their own juice
  516. 22:36because of the sanctions and you have a
  517. 22:37rebellion and he flips the Middle East
  518. 22:40like he did the Western Hemisphere where
  519. 22:42we only have four communist
  520. 22:45anti-American states left then that
  521. 22:47would be something like the fall of the
  522. 22:49Berlin Wall. So it's a lot more um
  523. 22:52involved in that. I don't know what JD
  524. 22:54means by America first,
  525. 22:57but uh
  526. 22:59I think we've heard that non-stop and
  527. 23:03that's what Trump is trying to do with
  528. 23:06the massive 11 trillion foreign
  529. 23:08investment, the big Audi plant, Audi
  530. 23:10plant that came in. He's trying to
  531. 23:12create jobs, jobs. The tariffs are very
  532. 23:15controversial, but they are part of the
  533. 23:18America first agenda that anybody who
  534. 23:23wants to invest in America is
  535. 23:24tariff-free and anybody who doesn't gets
  536. 23:27slapped with a tariff that is at least
  537. 23:29as much as they tariff us and sometimes
  538. 23:31even more. [snorts] So, I don't quite
  539. 23:34understand that. I don't know what
  540. 23:36Israel has to do with it. I saw the SE
  541. 23:40commercial
  542. 23:44Israel receives about $3 billion a year,
  543. 23:48a little over. That's 1% of all foreign
  544. 23:50aid. It re we have a $7 trillion budget.
  545. 23:56Israel's the amount that we give Israel,
  546. 23:58the only democratic consensual society
  547. 24:01in the Middle East, the only Western
  548. 24:03society,
  549. 24:05the amount we give them is 15th of 1% of
  550. 24:10the budget. And we were told in Michigan
  551. 24:14that the price of bananas and eggs is
  552. 24:17because we give 1 of 1% of our 7
  553. 24:22trillion to this democracy that's
  554. 24:24belleaguered and surrounded by 500
  555. 24:26million enemies in the Middle East. And
  556. 24:29if JD believes that, I'm afraid I'll
  557. 24:30have to disagree with him.
  558. 24:33The other thing is
  559. 24:35um so I don't I don't think that he's
  560. 24:40putting into context the historicity
  561. 24:42that we usually lose. The being the end
  562. 24:45party usually loses and [snorts]
  563. 24:50um they had a congress also that didn't
  564. 24:53do it was a do nothing Congress. He had
  565. 24:56the majority in the house and senate. He
  566. 24:59had a lot of apostates. They did not
  567. 25:00pass the voter ID Save America Act. They
  568. 25:05couldn't really uh repeal Obamacare and
  569. 25:08come up with I don't know anything they
  570. 25:10did in the in the first this first two
  571. 25:13years the Republican Congress and they
  572. 25:16didn't they really didn't do anything
  573. 25:18and yet they had the majorities
  574. 25:20and they made some good nominations but
  575. 25:24even the judicial nominations were
  576. 25:26pretty slow the confirmations. So they
  577. 25:28just and then when they had they won the
  578. 25:30house
  579. 25:32uh even during the Biden administration
  580. 25:36when they won uh the house all they did
  581. 25:38was fight. Remember the speakers it went
  582. 25:41on for months. So the Democrats don't do
  583. 25:44that. They have absolute authoritarian
  584. 25:48control and party line you know as
  585. 25:50socialists do. Once they get the prime
  586. 25:54directive from on high they all step to
  587. 25:56it. We'll see if that goes with the
  588. 25:58Islamicist socialist nexus now. But I
  589. 26:02don't get that. One thing I think I do
  590. 26:04get is that
  591. 26:07there's going to be a
  592. 26:10fight in the Republican and the
  593. 26:12Democratic, but also in the Republican.
  594. 26:14So who is the winner of this disaster?
  595. 26:18Is it the Marco Rubio people? Is it the
  596. 26:21JD Vance people? Is it the Dantis people
  597. 26:24say, "Well, Florida is the exception. We
  598. 26:26we won the Senate and the governorship.
  599. 26:28So that's going to be looming. I will
  600. 26:30say that the prime directive of a vice
  601. 26:33president besides going to funerals and
  602. 26:36rhetorically battling on behalf of the
  603. 26:39president, which which JD proved in the
  604. 26:422024 he was a master at, but it's also
  605. 26:46to protect the president from personal
  606. 26:48invective and attack. So when you have
  607. 26:51people on the right claiming that he's a
  608. 26:55pedophile like Marjorie Taylor Green did
  609. 26:58or that he's satanic and should be
  610. 27:00impeached and he's a crazy nuclear
  611. 27:02bomber like Tucker Carlson did and the
  612. 27:05vice president does not stand up and
  613. 27:08say, "Wait a minute. This is the my
  614. 27:11president. This is the people we
  615. 27:13elected. We in the Republican party.
  616. 27:15He's not Satan. He's not going to be
  617. 27:17impeached. He's not going to bomb
  618. 27:19somebody with a new What are you talking
  619. 27:20about? He didn't do that for reasons
  620. 27:24unknown, especially in the Tucker case,
  621. 27:26but I think he's going to have to at
  622. 27:28some point.
  623. 27:29>> So, I want to talk about your book, The
  624. 27:32Counterrevolution, and the subtitle, The
  625. 27:35Fall and Rise of Donald Trump. So, we'll
  626. 27:36have to kind of expand this a little
  627. 27:38bit. So, it's the fall and rise. Is it
  628. 27:40the fall or is it the imperial
  629. 27:44presidency? And what about how does the
  630. 27:46MAGA movement fit in too? Is it the fall
  631. 27:49and rise and fall or is it a rise again?
  632. 27:52Well, the fall was that those wilderness
  633. 27:55years after January 6 and then the rise
  634. 27:58started during the campaign and his
  635. 28:00election
  636. 28:02and
  637. 28:04I don't think it's yet a fall as I just
  638. 28:06explained at
  639. 28:08probably ad nauseium that presidents
  640. 28:11like Obama or Clinton or Trump can
  641. 28:14really improve their their ratings and
  642. 28:16do a lot of good things or a lot of bad
  643. 28:18things they can do but the point is they
  644. 28:21do things, foreign policy, they get
  645. 28:23above the fray, they get empowered, they
  646. 28:25they renew their attention, they don't
  647. 28:26have to deal with Congress, and he can
  648. 28:29do a lot of things.
  649. 28:30>> Victor, if I may jump in, right, I think
  650. 28:32like the thesis of your book, I I if I
  651. 28:35may, right, I think is that
  652. 28:37>> Trump's approach has been to try to go
  653. 28:40after the sources of this progressive
  654. 28:42power, if you will, this time around.
  655. 28:45>> Right. Right. Exactly. And the question
  656. 28:47is, you know, is he may be able to do
  657. 28:50what he wants, but can he actually do
  658. 28:51that, right? Is that
  659. 28:53>> Well, he can do it. Yes, he's done it,
  660. 28:55but he didn't do it, remember, he didn't
  661. 28:57do it with congressional approval. Uh,
  662. 29:00he went, he defunded PBS and NPR with
  663. 29:03all, you know, it was an executive
  664. 29:05order. He got rid of USAID with
  665. 29:08executive budgetary prerogatives.
  666. 29:11He is suing the universities for
  667. 29:14anti-semitism and racism and racial
  668. 29:18essentialism
  669. 29:19as his prerogative in a budgeting
  670. 29:21matter. They're not going to get federal
  671. 29:23funds if they don't do this. He shut the
  672. 29:25border by executive order. He built the
  673. 29:27wall by executive order. Continued it.
  674. 29:31ICE is operating as part of its normal
  675. 29:33function. They all address the sources.
  676. 29:36So he said the second time I think
  677. 29:38during the wilderness years he said I I
  678. 29:40I had never been to Washington much and
  679. 29:43I had people in my cabinet the first
  680. 29:45time. They were nice people Steve
  681. 29:47Minutuchin,
  682. 29:49Jim Mattis, Rex Tillerson, John Bolton,
  683. 29:52um John Kell, but they weren't MAGA
  684. 29:54people. So they saw their duty as to
  685. 29:57reinterpret my American first agenda and
  686. 30:00that meant often obstructing it with
  687. 30:02bureaucrat's expertise.
  688. 30:05This time loyalty was the prime
  689. 30:07directive. They're all loyal. They're
  690. 30:09all on the same page and they're
  691. 30:11addressing the symptoms. The symptoms,
  692. 30:14as I wrote in the book,
  693. 30:17answer the question, how does the left
  694. 30:19exercise political power and influence
  695. 30:22when they do not have the Supreme Court,
  696. 30:23the Congress or the White House as they
  697. 30:25didn't as they do not as we speak? And
  698. 30:28the answer is kind of a GSKY
  699. 30:32socialist communist directive, a march
  700. 30:34through the institutions. And they
  701. 30:36understood that if you control K through
  702. 30:3812 and the schools of education, the
  703. 30:41universities where half the population
  704. 30:43goes, the media, uh, the public and
  705. 30:47private media, NPR, PBS, CBS, ABC, etc.,
  706. 30:51Hollywood,
  707. 30:53uh, professional sports, the corporate
  708. 30:56boardrooms, the foundations,
  709. 30:58uh, and of course the administrative
  710. 31:00state, then you can exercise enormous
  711. 31:03power without being elected. And so
  712. 31:06that's what he had tried to address for
  713. 31:08all of the controversies of over Doge.
  714. 31:10He cut 270,000 federal employees and
  715. 31:14probably another 100,000 have left
  716. 31:17that nobody thought that would be
  717. 31:19possible. He defunded NPR and PBS.
  718. 31:22He stopped all immigration. And he went
  719. 31:25a step further and he said, "No more
  720. 31:27catch and release and I'm going to
  721. 31:29deport people and I'm going to round up
  722. 31:31500 criminal." And and I thought to
  723. 31:32myself, how are you going to deport
  724. 31:35people when they were let in at 10,000 a
  725. 31:37day and they scattered through 50 states
  726. 31:40among 600 sanctuary jurisdictions? So
  727. 31:43that was an existential challenge. But
  728. 31:46again, he was addressing the symptoms I
  729. 31:48don't want in me. I'm going to tax 1% on
  730. 31:50remittances sent to Mexico. I'm going to
  731. 31:53tax in some cases 1% of the endowment of
  732. 31:56universities. So he's trying to tell
  733. 31:59tell these countries
  734. 32:03uh abroad and interest at home that
  735. 32:05there had been existential to use that
  736. 32:08word again
  737. 32:10uh problems that he had only addressed
  738. 32:12the manifestations or the symptoms but
  739. 32:15not the causes. And now he's he's going
  740. 32:18right after the causes. And so how do
  741. 32:21you why is NATO the way it is? Well,
  742. 32:25they don't meet their 2%. Why don't they
  743. 32:27meet their 2%? Because they've adopted a
  744. 32:30green agenda, shut down their fossil
  745. 32:32fuels, low fertility, open borders,
  746. 32:35illegal immigration, censorship, and
  747. 32:38they discourage entrepreneurialism. So
  748. 32:40let's scream and yell at them and shake
  749. 32:43them up and see if we can get
  750. 32:45conservative movements all over Europe
  751. 32:48so that they can be a partner rather
  752. 32:50than a [clears throat] subordinate and
  753. 32:51they can rearm themselves kind of like
  754. 32:54Eastern Europe or the Baltic states or
  755. 32:56Norway or some Sweden and Denmark,
  756. 32:58Finland especially.
  757. 33:00And he's trying to do that across the
  758. 33:02board. And I think that explains a level
  759. 33:04of fur because the left has said to
  760. 33:07themselves, this is not George W. Bush.
  761. 33:11It's not George HW Bush. It's not Bob
  762. 33:13Dole. It's not John McCain. It's not
  763. 33:16Mitt Romney. This is a
  764. 33:17counterrevolutionary and he wants to
  765. 33:19undo our sources of power.
  766. 33:23>> So we have a situation I think from what
  767. 33:26I'm seeing that there's like a split in
  768. 33:28terms of trying to impeach. I'm talking
  769. 33:29about this furer, right? Um, in a sense,
  770. 33:33if I heard you correctly earlier, the
  771. 33:35smartest thing you think the Democrats
  772. 33:37could do is actually just have restraint
  773. 33:39and govern without the giving strength
  774. 33:42to the bombthrowers, so to speak, and so
  775. 33:44forth. And but what does governance look
  776. 33:48like with uh this from the perspective
  777. 33:52of Congress? Like there's, you know,
  778. 33:53I've signed notes about subpoenas. Get
  779. 33:56ready for the subpoenas. Apparently,
  780. 33:58there's going to be uh tech bros called
  781. 34:00in in significant numbers. I mean, this
  782. 34:02is of course I'm just reading what's on
  783. 34:05mostly,
  784. 34:05>> right? Right.
  785. 34:06>> So all if they would read the first half
  786. 34:09of the counterrevolution they would see
  787. 34:11that each time they entered upon a civil
  788. 34:16or criminal suit five of them Eene
  789. 34:19Carol's diabol diabol diabolical effort
  790. 34:24Alvin Bragg Leticia Leticia James Fanny
  791. 34:27Willis Jack Smith his Trump's polls went
  792. 34:30up and they all collapsed. Even Alvin
  793. 34:33Braggs will eventually collapse. And
  794. 34:36then when they tried to get him off the
  795. 34:37ballot 25, that was a collapse. When
  796. 34:40they raided Marlago, they found I I
  797. 34:42guess
  798. 34:44101 classified documents. They said
  799. 34:46there was a whole trove out of 11,000.
  800. 34:49That was a mess. Uh when they impeached
  801. 34:51him twice and tried to uh convict him as
  802. 34:54a private citizen, it only helped him.
  803. 34:58When Joe Biden said he was garbage, he
  804. 35:00got in a garbage truck and that
  805. 35:02backfired. So they should, they should
  806. 35:04go back and say, "Did the Russian
  807. 35:06collusion get Donald Trump elected?"
  808. 35:08Maybe it did. Did the laptop lies that
  809. 35:11it was Russian collusion? We got Biden
  810. 35:13maybe elected by it, but did that hurt
  811. 35:15us? Yes. And so if they want to continue
  812. 35:19to do that, they will have Trump's mugsh
  813. 35:23shot everywhere and he will rebound from
  814. 35:26it. It's counterproductive if they go
  815. 35:28back to the 3070 issues that put them in
  816. 35:32the wilderness and put Camela Harris,
  817. 35:36you know, made her inert. And that we
  818. 35:39know what they are. They're the trans
  819. 35:40issue. They're the open border issue.
  820. 35:42They're the 10,000 a day illegal
  821. 35:44immigrants. They're the defund the
  822. 35:46police, defund ICE, new green deal, stop
  823. 35:49fossil fuels,
  824. 35:51uh neutral uh in the world, uh
  825. 35:54globalism. it's not going to work. But
  826. 35:57what I meant if they were sober, they
  827. 36:00would get together and say, "What
  828. 36:03what is our problem right now? Can we
  829. 36:06have a nonpartisan
  830. 36:08effort with
  831. 36:11congressmen and senators from both sides
  832. 36:12to address the
  833. 36:15um $3 billion a day interest on the
  834. 36:19national debt? The national debt is
  835. 36:22unsustainable. Can we both work at this
  836. 36:24the way Clinton and Genrich did? It
  837. 36:27helped both of them. That was that would
  838. 36:30be something they can do. Can they get
  839. 36:32together and say the world is changing
  840. 36:35and Ukraine is producing a million
  841. 36:38drones a a year? Tiny little Ukraine.
  842. 36:42We're only doing 300. We're doing
  843. 36:44something wrong with these $180 million
  844. 36:47airplanes and 14 billion carriers. Can
  845. 36:50we have decentralized suppliers that can
  846. 36:54do things in mass like we did in World
  847. 36:56War II? There's a lot of things they
  848. 36:57could do together. Are they going to do
  849. 36:59it? I don't think so because they're
  850. 37:01ideologues and they're socialist and
  851. 37:05they have an agenda that they feel
  852. 37:08they're morally superior and their ends
  853. 37:11justify any means necessary to get
  854. 37:13there. And anybody, the way that
  855. 37:15socialist revolutions work is that
  856. 37:17anybody who objects becomes a
  857. 37:21counterrevolutionary or a traitor. So
  858. 37:23they always get further and further to
  859. 37:24the left. Whether in 1848 or the French
  860. 37:27Revolution or the Boleviks, they devour
  861. 37:29their own. They create a system and then
  862. 37:31it implodes because it doesn't work. But
  863. 37:33it does a lot of damage, a lot of damage
  864. 37:37until it implodes.
  865. 37:39and they're capable of doing a lot of
  866. 37:41damage if
  867. 37:43it's they're not going to the
  868. 37:44Republicans are not going to get back
  869. 37:46the House and Senate in the next
  870. 37:48election with these huge leads. It's
  871. 37:50going to take them two or three
  872. 37:51elections. They did last time
  873. 37:54and the next president will be I think
  874. 37:57from the left of the Democratic party
  875. 37:59their nominee. If that president should
  876. 38:02win with this Congress
  877. 38:05and you can see what 2029 is going to be
  878. 38:07like. It's going to be packed the court,
  879. 38:10let in new two new states. The
  880. 38:14filibuster will be gone in January, I
  881. 38:16imagine, 200 years old. They'll get rid
  882. 38:18of that. They'll pack the court with 15
  883. 38:21liberal judges. They'll probably defund
  884. 38:24ICE. They'll restore US aid on steroids
  885. 38:28and make sure it's bulletproof this time
  886. 38:31around and giving left-wing governments
  887. 38:34abroad help. It'll be it'll be pretty
  888. 38:37bad. and they'll have the power to do it
  889. 38:39unless the Republicans can get their act
  890. 38:42together and Trump can really have a
  891. 38:45some big foreign policy successes and
  892. 38:48use his executive orders and veto to to
  893. 38:51styy them and work with them on
  894. 38:53bipartisan issues that Americans care
  895. 38:55about.
  896. 38:57That's the way to to handle it. But I
  897. 39:00mean they hadn't even the the
  898. 39:02[clears throat] polls weren't even
  899. 39:03closed and Robert Garcia was saying
  900. 39:06subpoenas and Jeremy Rascin was saying
  901. 39:10Lawfair and they're already talking
  902. 39:13about bringing CEOs in. [sighs]
  903. 39:16And Slotkin was saying they're going to
  904. 39:18go after young any young person that
  905. 39:20works for Trump and uh if they do that
  906. 39:24they're going to divide the country like
  907. 39:25you've never seen it. And the country
  908. 39:28for all of these back and forth midterms
  909. 39:30is still 55% conservative.
  910. 39:34And you you can see that even in these
  911. 39:38states that voted for to not allow
  912. 39:40biological males to go compete in
  913. 39:43women's sports. Some of them were
  914. 39:44left-wing states. So
  915. 39:48um
  916. 39:50that's what we're looking at. And I
  917. 39:52think history is a pretty good guide to
  918. 39:54what we can expect.
  919. 39:55One thing that I noticed looking at
  920. 39:59how people voted, right, and looking at
  921. 40:01the age differentials was that young
  922. 40:04people basically overwhelmingly voted
  923. 40:08blue. I mean, it's I forget the number
  924. 40:10right now, but a very significant
  925. 40:11number. You were mentioning, you know,
  926. 40:13how powerful it is when you have so much
  927. 40:16influence on the educational system, for
  928. 40:18example, and how people are taught. And
  929. 40:20so, that's not something that's going to
  930. 40:23change election to election. I at least
  931. 40:25that's what I'm thinking when I see that
  932. 40:28>> it's not and this is the first
  933. 40:32administration that realize the problem
  934. 40:34that half the country is going to
  935. 40:38college and there's a matrix operating
  936. 40:41that insurers are leftwing not just
  937. 40:43leftwing but downwardly mobile and angry
  938. 40:47and that is a $1.7 trillion
  939. 40:52student loan 33% of it is in their ears
  940. 40:56coupled with therapeutic education where
  941. 40:59these kids are not I mean we have a
  942. 41:01whole generation now for four years that
  943. 41:03went it was admitted without a SAT score
  944. 41:07these students are not wellprepared
  945. 41:09they're not well trained they're
  946. 41:11indoctrinated
  947. 41:12and they leave with debt and they leave
  948. 41:15with non-marketable
  949. 41:17in many cases majors a sociology degree
  950. 41:20a psych degree a studies degree ethnic
  951. 41:22studies black studies environmental
  952. 41:24studies, peace studies,
  953. 41:27and then they move and gravitate as they
  954. 41:30from these universities into urban
  955. 41:32left-wing enclaves, you know, Boulder,
  956. 41:35Austin, Washington, New York, Boston,
  957. 41:40uh, San Francisco, LA, Seattle,
  958. 41:43Portland, and they're very expensive
  959. 41:45blue cities, blue places. They don't
  960. 41:47work.
  961. 41:48and they rub shoulders with wealthy
  962. 41:50people, you know, Wall Street doctors,
  963. 41:52and they say, "You know what? I've got a
  964. 41:54BA from Williams. Oh, I I've got a a BA
  965. 41:58from Grenell, and I owe $200,000, and
  966. 42:01I'm working for an NGO or I'm a uh an um
  967. 42:06a beginning editor at Alfred Canop in
  968. 42:08New York, and I'm making $60,000 and
  969. 42:10rents $60,000."
  970. 42:12So, the whole system is rotten. Nobody
  971. 42:14appreciates my genius, my effort, my
  972. 42:17degree. And that's the 85% of white
  973. 42:20college degree socialists, the official
  974. 42:22membership of the DSA.
  975. 42:25And so I think people on the right
  976. 42:28understood that and they said,
  977. 42:31um, you universities are not going to
  978. 42:34segregate by what you call adjacent
  979. 42:37graduations or what you call theme
  980. 42:39houses. You're not going to overcharge
  981. 42:43us 40% on federal grants. It's going to
  982. 42:46go back to 15. We're looking very
  983. 42:49seriously at taxing your endowments or
  984. 42:51making your endowments guarantee the
  985. 42:53student loans so you have moral hazard.
  986. 42:56We're thinking of getting out of the
  987. 42:58student loan business. But more
  988. 43:00importantly, we're telling people that
  989. 43:03the college degree is no longer
  990. 43:05prestigious if it doesn't produce the
  991. 43:08results that it had once ensured was
  992. 43:10worth the effort and expense and time.
  993. 43:12So half the country we need electricians
  994. 43:16and sheetrockers and carpenters and
  995. 43:19plumbers and carpent all these people
  996. 43:23and they're noble professions and the
  997. 43:25result of that it's been quite
  998. 43:26spectacular in its infancy even that you
  999. 43:28look at the polls 65% 5 years ago said
  1000. 43:32they had a high reputation they had a
  1001. 43:34high regard for the reputation of higher
  1002. 43:37education that's down to 33%
  1003. 43:41people said, "Do you think that a
  1004. 43:43college degree is essential for upward
  1005. 43:46mobility?" That's down to about 45%.
  1006. 43:49So, the public is starting to get the
  1007. 43:51message that these universities turn out
  1008. 43:53people who are not analytical. They're
  1009. 43:56not uh equipped orally or in writing to
  1010. 44:01express themselves clearly. They have no
  1011. 44:03mathematical skills. And these brands
  1012. 44:06don't mean anything. I have a BA from
  1013. 44:09Cal State Northridge. I have a a degree
  1014. 44:12in psychology from Stanford. 80% of the
  1015. 44:15grades at Stanford are A. There hasn't
  1016. 44:17been an SAT for four years until last
  1017. 44:20year. 8% of 9% of the incoming class
  1018. 44:23were white males. 9% of a demographic
  1019. 44:26that's 33 to 40% 35% of the population.
  1020. 44:31And then Victor, on the other side of
  1021. 44:34that, you have what you describe to be
  1022. 44:36one of the big dangers from what I can
  1023. 44:39tell in the counter revolution, which is
  1024. 44:41this lost generation, the disillusioned
  1025. 44:44young white males, so to speak. And
  1026. 44:47you're describing this scenario where
  1027. 44:49you could even have further
  1028. 44:51polarization. And I've been arguing that
  1029. 44:53the technology, the social media juiced
  1030. 44:56up by AI lends itself to that anyway.
  1031. 44:59But now you have these political forces
  1032. 45:02at play that are creating that. It just
  1033. 45:04creates a
  1034. 45:06something very volatile that looks to me
  1035. 45:09very forboding.
  1036. 45:11>> It does. The
  1037. 45:14when globalization came upon us at the
  1038. 45:17millennium,
  1039. 45:19there was a $6 billion
  1040. 45:22uh 6 billion person clientele for the
  1041. 45:25first time and there was six billion
  1042. 45:29uh consumer class and the people who
  1043. 45:32could take advantage of that were
  1044. 45:35largely on the west and east coast.
  1045. 45:37That's where the banks were. That's
  1046. 45:38where the big corporate CEOs were.
  1047. 45:41That's where for the most part the
  1048. 45:43universities were
  1049. 45:45and certain people that were in the
  1050. 45:47media, in sports, entertainment,
  1051. 45:51law, but especially in investment
  1052. 45:54stocks, they made a killing.
  1053. 45:57And I, you know, I tech espe I I had
  1054. 46:00people that I knew very well at Stanford
  1055. 46:03as students five years ago and they're
  1056. 46:04making four or $500,000 in Silicon
  1057. 46:07Valley.
  1058. 46:09And the people in the middle, the
  1059. 46:11so-called irredeemables, deplorables,
  1060. 46:14chumps, drags, um hobbits, crazies,
  1061. 46:17garbage, these are all terms that um
  1062. 46:20Obama, Clinton, clingers, um for Obama
  1063. 46:25and Biden used. They were outsourced or
  1064. 46:28offshored. So they they missed out on
  1065. 46:30that. That was what the MAGA movement
  1066. 46:32grew up out of that that anger and it
  1067. 46:36was very successful in addressing it for
  1068. 46:38four years and for the first two years.
  1069. 46:41But and I think that's what JD means
  1070. 46:44when he says we didn't put America
  1071. 46:46first. what he's talking about is the
  1072. 46:48lost generation that you mentioned in
  1073. 46:50the middle of the country or in you know
  1074. 46:52upstate or New York or the Sanwalkian
  1075. 46:55Valley of California or eastern
  1076. 46:57Washington and Oregon
  1077. 46:59and uh
  1078. 47:02it's they've been lost out. They they
  1079. 47:05grew up in an era where they were 60 50
  1080. 47:11years from the civil rights movement.
  1081. 47:13All they knew was affirmative action and
  1082. 47:16racial set aides. They had no role in
  1083. 47:19Jim Crow, much less six generations of
  1084. 47:21slavery. They didn't really understand
  1085. 47:25uh the civil rights movement because it
  1086. 47:27was so ancient. All they knew is that
  1087. 47:29when they applied to school or they went
  1088. 47:32to college or they were out in the
  1089. 47:34public space, they were told they had
  1090. 47:36toxic masculinity
  1091. 47:39um by feminist, that they were racist,
  1092. 47:41sexist, xenophobes, etc., etc.
  1093. 47:45And um the irony was if you look at
  1094. 47:49where they ended up as per capita income
  1095. 47:52and opportunities, they would be
  1096. 47:55classified as
  1097. 47:57as um underprivileged. And
  1098. 48:01there was no such thing in this leftist
  1099. 48:04collective as a as whites. These people
  1100. 48:07had less common commonality with white
  1101. 48:09elites on the coast than they did with a
  1102. 48:13Mexican truck driver or a black
  1103. 48:15electrician that worked alongside them.
  1104. 48:18And that's what Trump tried to do. I
  1105. 48:19don't know if it's going to succeed or
  1106. 48:20not. He tried to create a class
  1107. 48:24solidarity rather than a racial
  1108. 48:26solidarity. And it worked in 2024. It
  1109. 48:28apparently fell apart in this latest
  1110. 48:31election.
  1111. 48:32But um this class was also despised. If
  1112. 48:38you want to get a left-wing DEI person
  1113. 48:41or liberal person infuriated,
  1114. 48:44then mention the lower white working
  1115. 48:46class. They are despised by those
  1116. 48:48people. They lack the romance of the
  1117. 48:50poor and the culture of the aristocracy.
  1118. 48:53So,
  1119. 48:55um, that's what the left, that's really
  1120. 48:57the enemy. When we had that toxic flume
  1121. 49:01in East Palestine, you could see that no
  1122. 49:03one from the administration wanted to
  1123. 49:05set foot there. Finally, Pete Budd
  1124. 49:07looked like he was in outer space alien
  1125. 49:09when he came there. He was so out of
  1126. 49:11place and so was all of them. But the
  1127. 49:14these were people they had written off.
  1128. 49:15If that had been any other community, it
  1129. 49:17would have been on the front page of the
  1130. 49:19New York Times as a as a environmental
  1131. 49:23catastrophe aimed at a poor
  1132. 49:25underprivileged community.
  1133. 49:28And I'm kind of afraid of the midterms
  1134. 49:29because I thought we were over that DEI,
  1135. 49:33racial essentialism. And all I all I
  1136. 49:35heard on every station last night was
  1137. 49:40first Indian uh Native American, first
  1138. 49:42gay person, first woman governor, first
  1139. 49:45this, first this. Not what their ideas
  1140. 49:47were or anything. They were all part of
  1141. 49:49a collective, not an individual with
  1142. 49:51unique characteristics.
  1143. 49:54So
  1144. 49:55winter has come or as [laughter] they
  1145. 49:57said winter is coming and it's going to
  1146. 49:59be a rough two years but it's survivable
  1147. 50:02if the Republicans can stick together
  1148. 50:05and prevent a veto I mean a veto proof
  1149. 50:08Congress and Trump can keep his eye on
  1150. 50:12the ball and foreign policy and follow
  1151. 50:14the model of the earlier presidents that
  1152. 50:16were very successful after losing the
  1153. 50:19Congress
  1154. 50:21and but there is no margin of error Wow.
  1155. 50:24You know, you can't
  1156. 50:26you can't get in a spat with Bill Maher.
  1157. 50:29It's not worth it. You can't do things
  1158. 50:30like that. It's just too too many people
  1159. 50:34depend on you.
  1160. 50:37And we're going to there's going to be a
  1161. 50:38lot of fights ahead in the MAGA
  1162. 50:40movement. I think the one thing that
  1163. 50:42people a agree on, we're not going to go
  1164. 50:44back to we've got to cut the privatize
  1165. 50:48social security or cut the capital
  1166. 50:50gains. the Bush, you know, do McCain
  1167. 50:54Romney uh agenda. I don't think we're
  1168. 50:57going to go back to that. It's just that
  1169. 51:00the mega movement is going to have to
  1170. 51:01refine some of its positions, but I
  1171. 51:04think it still represents the majority
  1172. 51:06of middle class conservatives.
  1173. 51:10And so, Victor, as we finish up, right,
  1174. 51:13this is the thing that I don't know the
  1175. 51:16answer to at all or I don't have a sense
  1176. 51:18and I want to just start that
  1177. 51:20conversation maybe in a final moment
  1178. 51:22here, but but this the the the
  1179. 51:25polarization seems to be a feature of
  1180. 51:28how this political system functions
  1181. 51:30increasingly
  1182. 51:32and the outcome logical outcome of that
  1183. 51:36is something really bad I think. So
  1184. 51:41where is there a way out?
  1185. 51:43>> There is, but it has to be kind of a
  1186. 51:45moral way out. So
  1187. 51:48because the country is really in danger.
  1188. 51:51Everybody according to a station has to
  1189. 51:54step up. I know I do four podcasts a
  1190. 51:57week
  1191. 51:59and from the very outset I said there's
  1192. 52:01not going to be any guest or any host
  1193. 52:03that says the f word or the shiit word
  1194. 52:06or go after somebody. That's all I hear
  1195. 52:08on podcasts now. And we're not going to
  1196. 52:11do that. And we're going to treat people
  1197. 52:14that we interview and disagree with with
  1198. 52:17dignity. And we're not going to, you
  1199. 52:19know, we're going to be tough and
  1200. 52:20critical as I have been right now. But
  1201. 52:23I'm not going to
  1202. 52:25say that Tucker Carlson is insane and
  1203. 52:28he's a crazy race white national. I
  1204. 52:30don't know that. I think he's said and
  1205. 52:32done things that are very disturbing,
  1206. 52:34but I'm not going to go after him
  1207. 52:36personally. I will say though that when
  1208. 52:40I look at the most egregious examples,
  1209. 52:43who are the people out on the street
  1210. 52:46attacking
  1211. 52:48officers,
  1212. 52:50who are wearing Charlie Kirk t-shirts
  1213. 52:53with blood on it, who was giving a talk
  1214. 52:55about we're going to celebrate the
  1215. 52:57Kirkversary.
  1216. 52:59um who
  1217. 53:02is engaging in violence on campus
  1218. 53:04against Jews.
  1219. 53:06It's coming from the left. And
  1220. 53:10um I don't see people on the left
  1221. 53:14encouraging them to stop. I don't.
  1222. 53:18And I think a lot of people on the right
  1223. 53:21have said that
  1224. 53:26um a Candace Owens or someone like that
  1225. 53:28or
  1226. 53:30a Nick Fuentes is over has gone out of
  1227. 53:33bound and they have been criticized and
  1228. 53:35they said that's not that's not helpful
  1229. 53:37what you're doing and that's not that's
  1230. 53:40not part of the mega movement. But I
  1231. 53:42don't see that self-correction on the
  1232. 53:44left. And it you can't fight it by go
  1233. 53:46using their methods. You have to elevate
  1234. 53:49it. Elevate it and not be like them to
  1235. 53:51appeal to the better angels of the
  1236. 53:53American people's natures. But it
  1237. 53:56doesn't do any good either to say we've
  1238. 53:58got to tone it down. We've got to tone
  1239. 54:00it down. Are there people on the right
  1240. 54:02that are too loud and too vulgar? Yes.
  1241. 54:05But is the hate, the real hate,
  1242. 54:09the idolizing a murder like Manioni
  1243. 54:14or glorifying in the wound of Charlie K?
  1244. 54:17Is that have a comp a comparable side?
  1245. 54:19Are there has there been four
  1246. 54:21assassination attempts against the
  1247. 54:23majority the Hikim Jeff or
  1248. 54:28Camela Harris as there had by Trump? I
  1249. 54:31don't think it's symmetric. I really
  1250. 54:32don't. It doesn't serve any purpose to
  1251. 54:34pretend that it is. And the only way
  1252. 54:37that that's going to be refle reflected
  1253. 54:39is you have to defeat them at the polls.
  1254. 54:42And you have to have better ideas and
  1255. 54:44galvanize and get your the traditional
  1256. 54:48make the argument that America was good
  1257. 54:50at its founding. It got better in its
  1258. 54:52maturity and it's got a great future and
  1259. 54:55it's far better than the alternative.
  1260. 54:58Doesn't have to be perfect to be good.
  1261. 55:00and then say, "We on this side have
  1262. 55:02certain rules of decorum
  1263. 55:05and tradition that we're not going to
  1264. 55:07violate for expedient purposes." And
  1265. 55:11then win that argument and vote them
  1266. 55:12out. And it can happen, but we're seeing
  1267. 55:17something that is historical. We have
  1268. 55:20never seen this before, this radicalism.
  1269. 55:23And I think part of it is we have 55
  1270. 55:27million people who were not born in the
  1271. 55:28United States which can be very good
  1272. 55:31talent diversity. I am all for it and
  1273. 55:3417% of the population. But if you have a
  1274. 55:38salad bowl environment or you say the
  1275. 55:40melting pot is p or you don't really
  1276. 55:44think that everybody should be
  1277. 55:46essentially their ethnic tribe and not
  1278. 55:48American which the left says and you're
  1279. 55:51going to be dei di and you're going to
  1280. 55:54bring back a pre-ivilizational tribalism
  1281. 55:58and fragment this then it's not going to
  1282. 56:00work. It's not going to work. you're
  1283. 56:03going to have too many people who are
  1284. 56:05not on the same page and you know
  1285. 56:09they're going when you have people at
  1286. 56:10Colombia and they're waving Hezbollah
  1287. 56:12flags and they're saying to Jewish
  1288. 56:14student go back to Poland which they
  1289. 56:17mean Trebinka the German camps that were
  1290. 56:20stationed in Poland during World War II
  1291. 56:22then and nobody's speaking about it and
  1292. 56:25the college president is terrified of
  1293. 56:26her own students
  1294. 56:29as we see in Colombia and Harvard
  1295. 56:33then it's not symmetrical, but it
  1296. 56:36doesn't mean that you have to adopt
  1297. 56:38those tactics. You have to be better
  1298. 56:39than they are in your discourse and your
  1299. 56:41analysis. And I understand sometimes
  1300. 56:44Trump can be crude. And I in the book I
  1301. 56:48I said things like
  1302. 56:50not saying speaking ill of Rob Reiner's
  1303. 56:53death, who was kind of obnoxious at
  1304. 56:55times and personally unfair to Trump and
  1305. 56:58called him names. But nevertheless, you
  1306. 57:00don't you don't attack somebody who's
  1307. 57:02just dead, just died tragically by his
  1308. 57:05own son's hand. So
  1309. 57:09I I uh I think everybody's got it. I
  1310. 57:12think people on the right are are seeing
  1311. 57:14that much more and they're they are
  1312. 57:16policing the people who are conspiracy
  1313. 57:19theorists and really out there much
  1314. 57:21better than um than the left is. The
  1315. 57:25left is being carried along by those
  1316. 57:27people.
  1317. 57:29And um and we saw that in the campaign
  1318. 57:33when Mandami says, "I'm going to go
  1319. 57:34after richer, whiter neighborhoods."
  1320. 57:36What did that mean? Was that empirical?
  1321. 57:39The most affluent ethnic minority in the
  1322. 57:42United States are Indian-American
  1323. 57:44immigrants. He's an Indian-American
  1324. 57:46immigrant. Did he say, "I'm going to go
  1325. 57:47after Indian-American immigrant
  1326. 57:49communities because they're the
  1327. 57:50wealthiest?" No. He said, "I'm going to
  1328. 57:52go after richer and whiter." Does that
  1329. 57:54mean some plumber that works in the
  1330. 57:56Bronx? I don't know. it. And when you
  1331. 58:00have a synagogue attacked by a brother,
  1332. 58:04a terrorist whose two brothers were in
  1333. 58:06Hezbollah, a designated terrorist
  1334. 58:08organization in Michigan, and you have
  1335. 58:10the next senator saying, "Hurt people,
  1336. 58:13hurt people,
  1337. 58:15justifying that.
  1338. 58:18Who hurt that man? He came from Lebanon.
  1339. 58:20We gave him the most magnanimous
  1340. 58:22reception. He became a US citizen with
  1341. 58:25all the the bounty and privileges of
  1342. 58:29being American and he pays back us the
  1343. 58:31host by driving a car and trying to kill
  1344. 58:33innocent Jews. And then the next US
  1345. 58:36senator says, "Hurt people. Hurt
  1346. 58:38people." Hurt people meaning he had two
  1347. 58:41brothers that were working for Hezbollah
  1348. 58:43on a high level organizing rocket
  1349. 58:45attacks at civilians and the Israelis
  1350. 58:48retaliated and killed them. Therefore,
  1351. 58:50he has legitimate hurts cuz his brothers
  1352. 58:52were in a war were warriors in a war and
  1353. 58:55lost. And therefore, he has a right to
  1354. 58:58go in there and kill Jews. That's what
  1355. 59:00it boils down to. Nobody said a word
  1356. 59:03about it much.
  1357. 59:05So, I think it's coming from the left. I
  1358. 59:08agree. People have to be more
  1359. 59:10considerate. And it won't do any good to
  1360. 59:12tell the left to be more considerate
  1361. 59:14because they won't. You have to be
  1362. 59:16considerate on our side and temperant in
  1363. 59:20what we say and do. And then you have to
  1364. 59:23win a a decisive vote to show the
  1365. 59:26country that that model is not
  1366. 59:28acceptable. That's how our system works.
  1367. 59:32>> I mean, essentially, you're doubling
  1368. 59:34down on America. That's what I'm
  1369. 59:36hearing.
  1370. 59:36>> I am. I uh Ronald Reagan was written off
  1371. 59:41when I was in California as a young man
  1372. 59:43here at this house as a complete nut.
  1373. 59:46They made fun of him at Woodstock and
  1374. 59:47everything.
  1375. 59:49And when he ran for president, they said
  1376. 59:51he was an extremist, but he was smiling.
  1377. 59:53He was kind to people. He reached out to
  1378. 59:55Tip O'Neal and he basically stopped the
  1379. 59:5960s7s cultural revolution himself for 15
  1380. 1:00:0420 years. He did that and
  1381. 1:00:08Donald Trump had a very different
  1382. 1:00:10approach. It was much more
  1383. 1:00:11confrontational. But this he did stop
  1384. 1:00:16what would have been uh I think eight
  1385. 1:00:19more years of that and that I don't know
  1386. 1:00:21what we would have done. And uh I'm very
  1387. 1:00:25optimistic because I'll just finish by
  1388. 1:00:28saying
  1389. 1:00:30when I look at I don't listen to people.
  1390. 1:00:32I just ask myself what is the inflation
  1391. 1:00:35rate? What is the GDP? What is the
  1392. 1:00:37foreign investment? What's the poverty
  1393. 1:00:39rate? What is the median income? What's
  1394. 1:00:42the stock market? What's the job growth?
  1395. 1:00:46Unemployment, labor. It's all good. It's
  1396. 1:00:49getting really good.
  1397. 1:00:52Gas is the only real that's the tessera
  1398. 1:00:54that's missing out of this mosaic. And I
  1399. 1:00:56think there's a really good chance with
  1400. 1:00:58this record foreign investment and the
  1401. 1:01:00new technologies like AI and stuff,
  1402. 1:01:02you're going to have a real boom in the
  1403. 1:01:05first and second quarter next year. And
  1404. 1:01:07it's I think we're almost on the verge
  1405. 1:01:08of it now. And that's going to really
  1406. 1:01:11change things. I think it'll give people
  1407. 1:01:13a lot more economic opportunity. And if
  1408. 1:01:16the president can work with the Congress
  1409. 1:01:17about affordability of housing, maybe
  1410. 1:01:20gets rid of some of the regulations and
  1411. 1:01:22zoning restrictions and let people build
  1412. 1:01:24homes for that are affordable. I think
  1413. 1:01:27it it could really work out well.
  1414. 1:01:30So, I'm I'm optimistic, but I'm I'm also
  1415. 1:01:33worried that this is not Bill Clinton's
  1416. 1:01:35Democratic party. This is not Mark Penn
  1417. 1:01:39and um Doug Shoen, you know,
  1418. 1:01:42[clears throat] writing the Democratic
  1419. 1:01:43convention agenda for 1992 and 96. I
  1420. 1:01:48went and read it the other day. It
  1421. 1:01:49sounded [gasps]
  1422. 1:01:51like a fossil. You know, we're going to
  1423. 1:01:53balance the budget. We're going to try
  1424. 1:01:54violent offenders who are 17 as adults.
  1425. 1:01:57We're going to close the border. We're
  1426. 1:01:58going to deport people that are here
  1427. 1:02:00illegally and taking advantage of our
  1428. 1:02:02system. We're going to put 100,000 cops
  1429. 1:02:04on the beat. That's what it was.
  1430. 1:02:08And the the right thought that was
  1431. 1:02:10leftwing.
  1432. 1:02:12Today the left wing would say that was
  1433. 1:02:14rightwing.
  1434. 1:02:16Don't you think?
  1435. 1:02:17>> Yeah.
  1436. 1:02:19Well, Victor Davis Hansen, it's such a
  1437. 1:02:22pleasure to have had you on.
  1438. 1:02:24>> Well, thank you for having me. I
  1439. 1:02:25appreciate it.
  1440. 1:02:27>> Thank you all for joining Victor Davis
  1441. 1:02:28Hansen and me on this episode of
  1442. 1:02:30American Thought Leaders. I'm your host,
  1443. 1:02:31Ya Kellik.

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Use the transcript to take notes, quote the speaker, build a study guide, generate a summary with ChatGPT or Claude via the YouTube Summary tool, or export it as a timed subtitle file with YouTube to SRT. You can also re-open it in the transcriber to choose a caption track available on the video.

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YouTube2Text is a free YouTube transcript generator — no signup, no daily limit. Paste any YouTube link and get the full transcript instantly, with timestamps, click-to-jump, caption language selection, AI prompts for ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini, and exports to TXT, SRT, VTT, or Markdown.