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Vanessa Williamson on Taxes and Democracy — Transcript

by Paul Krugman · 8,986 words · 1,457 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:01[music]
  2. 0:04>> Hi everyone.
  3. 0:05Paul Krugman here again. This week I'm
  4. 0:08talking to Vanessa Williamson,
  5. 0:10>> [music]
  6. 0:10>> senior fellow at the Brookings
  7. 0:12Institution and author of
  8. 0:14fantastic short history of taxation
  9. 0:18called The Price of Democracy.
  10. 0:20Uh which is I'm pretty sure an allusion
  11. 0:23to Oliver Wendell Holmes the price of
  12. 0:26civilization but a very different take
  13. 0:28and because I'm so interested in now
  14. 0:30these days in tax policy I thought I
  15. 0:32could talk to Vanessa to get a a sense
  16. 0:35of um
  17. 0:37a lot of these issues where I am very
  18. 0:38much an amateur and she's done the the
  19. 0:40homework. So hi.
  20. 0:42>> Hi, thank you so much for having me.
  21. 0:44>> Yeah. Um so
  22. 0:46you know, let's talk about the about the
  23. 0:49title of the book first because
  24. 0:51obviously the famous Oliver Wendell
  25. 0:53Holmes quote which I've seen in slightly
  26. 0:55different versions but anyway
  27. 0:57um was basically saying you know, if you
  28. 0:58want you want decent roads and um
  29. 1:02and public order that you need to have
  30. 1:03taxes to pay for it but you're making a
  31. 1:05a much broader point there and why don't
  32. 1:07you explain the why you say it's the
  33. 1:10price of democracy?
  34. 1:11>> Yeah, so I love the Oliver Wendell
  35. 1:12Holmes quote, right? That it's the price
  36. 1:14of civilization but
  37. 1:16um as I was writing this book which was
  38. 1:18just going to be a history of taxation
  39. 1:19in America, it struck me that taxation
  40. 1:21is really more than the price of
  41. 1:23civilization. It's the price of
  42. 1:24democracy. Um and that's because
  43. 1:27democracy isn't just being able to vote.
  44. 1:29It's people having the power to actually
  45. 1:31make change through their government and
  46. 1:34if the government doesn't have enough
  47. 1:35money to act then
  48. 1:37you know, even if you can vote, it's
  49. 1:38inconsequential. And you know,
  50. 1:40historically this is a very deep story.
  51. 1:42Taxation and representation really do
  52. 1:44develop together. This goes back all the
  53. 1:46way to 1215 with Magna Carta, right?
  54. 1:48When King John had been taxing at a
  55. 1:50higher level
  56. 1:51um and the barons demanded uh that if
  57. 1:54there were going to be extraordinary
  58. 1:55taxation, there had the king had to get
  59. 1:58the quote general consent of the realm,
  60. 2:00right? And that was a very early
  61. 2:02iteration attempt to create what
  62. 2:04eventually became Parliament, right? So,
  63. 2:06the very origins of representation
  64. 2:09uh in our
  65. 2:10in our historical tradition
  66. 2:12uh are really about taxation because
  67. 2:13what you find is that um
  68. 2:16when
  69. 2:17uh rulers want to tax, they become
  70. 2:20dependent on the taxpayers, right? And
  71. 2:22it builds um a connection between the
  72. 2:25ruler and the ruled, and it gives the
  73. 2:27taxpayers power. And you know, I think
  74. 2:29commonly the story you hear and there's
  75. 2:31so much anti-tax sort of mythology
  76. 2:32around is you'd imagine the taxpayers
  77. 2:35use that power to avoid taxation. The
  78. 2:37opposite is true. When representation
  79. 2:40develops, taxes go up because of course
  80. 2:43the taxpayers can now have a say in what
  81. 2:44the government is doing. So, taxation
  82. 2:46representation developed together
  83. 2:48historically, and they develop together
  84. 2:50cross-nationally. The freest countries
  85. 2:52today are high-tax countries.
  86. 2:54>> That would be I guess above all the sort
  87. 2:57of Nordic countries are a very high-tax
  88. 3:00countries.
  89. 3:00>> Sure, but it's true across the board,
  90. 3:02you know.
  91. 3:03Um
  92. 3:04even highly developed economies that are
  93. 3:06authoritarian have lower taxes than you
  94. 3:08would expect um given their level of
  95. 3:10development. And that's because
  96. 3:11authoritarians are simply not very good
  97. 3:14at raising taxes. They much prefer other
  98. 3:16forms of revenue, you know, whether
  99. 3:17that's a gold mine or um the spoils of
  100. 3:20war, fees and fines that they can apply
  101. 3:22to their political opponents. You know,
  102. 3:23they're just other mechanisms that do
  103. 3:26not make them dependent on the sort of
  104. 3:28rank and file people of their country.
  105. 3:30>> Okay. And I want to come back to the
  106. 3:33high-tax countries in a minute, but the
  107. 3:36uh
  108. 3:36one point that you make uh I think at
  109. 3:38several points during in in the course
  110. 3:40of the book is that uh there's a kind of
  111. 3:43the idea that taxes are okay is very
  112. 3:46much a sort of challenge to the uh
  113. 3:50essentially wealthy people saying,
  114. 3:51"Well, my wealth is mine and uh nobody
  115. 3:55has the right to take some of it. And
  116. 3:57you there's a kind of statement of
  117. 3:58principle that says, well, okay, but you
  118. 4:01too are subject to the laws of the of
  119. 4:03the republic and must pay. Right? That's
  120. 4:05that seems to be a pretty big uh part of
  121. 4:08the story.
  122. 4:08>> Yeah, there's this long-standing
  123. 4:10tension. And it's not all wealthy people
  124. 4:12or all the elites at any time in our
  125. 4:13history, but there are often some uh who
  126. 4:17are very, very wealthy and and
  127. 4:18fundamentally they don't like to see
  128. 4:20themselves as citizens, right? They like
  129. 4:21to see themselves as masters. The first
  130. 4:23group of people who felt this way, of
  131. 4:25course, were the slave owners who were
  132. 4:27desperately opposed to taxation. The
  133. 4:28anti-tax components of our Constitution
  134. 4:31were all put there as part of a
  135. 4:32compromise with slavery, right? They
  136. 4:33were afraid
  137. 4:34>> good point.
  138. 4:35>> Yeah, they were afraid the slaveholder
  139. 4:37class was afraid either of of mass
  140. 4:39democracy even only of property white
  141. 4:41men. So, we get the 3/5 clause. And they
  142. 4:43were specifically afraid that if every
  143. 4:45if every property white man could vote,
  144. 4:48what you would end up with is tax
  145. 4:49abolition by taxation, right? That they
  146. 4:52would tax slavery out of existence. Um
  147. 4:54and so, that's why you see these
  148. 4:55anti-tax measures in the Constitution.
  149. 4:57But it happens again in the Gilded Age.
  150. 4:59Again, you know, you see Rockefeller
  151. 5:01claiming that the um you know, high
  152. 5:03graduate taxation is the most
  153. 5:04fundamental threat posed by democracy.
  154. 5:07You see efforts to roll back suffrage
  155. 5:09rights during that period even in
  156. 5:10northern cities. So, um it's a very
  157. 5:12long-standing fight uh
  158. 5:15between sort of sort of mass public and
  159. 5:17the kind of things democratic
  160. 5:18governments usually want to do, roads
  161. 5:20and schools and things of that sort.
  162. 5:22Uh and a a fraction of the elite who are
  163. 5:25willing to accept democracy as long as
  164. 5:27that democracy is too poor to threaten
  165. 5:29their power.
  166. 5:30>> Wow. Okay. Um
  167. 5:34Come back to the history shortly. Um one
  168. 5:37thing that
  169. 5:38I I probably don't talk about enough
  170. 5:40when writing about these things, but
  171. 5:42it's it's something I certainly always
  172. 5:44taught and and it's a class on on on
  173. 5:47economics of the welfare state and um
  174. 5:49which is that the
  175. 5:51high tax
  176. 5:52um generous welfare state countries
  177. 5:55don't have highly progressive tax
  178. 5:57systems. That the US, you know, the
  179. 6:00state of US debate where everybody's for
  180. 6:02well,
  181. 6:04it it's it's always about should we
  182. 6:05raise taxes on the wealthy, which is a
  183. 6:07which is an important concern, but but
  184. 6:09uh places like Denmark or or Sweden or
  185. 6:13um
  186. 6:14just in general European welfare states,
  187. 6:16they they don't actually they they have
  188. 6:18high taxes sort of like on everybody.
  189. 6:21>> Yeah, that's exactly right. I mean, and
  190. 6:22it's also how we pay for social security
  191. 6:24and Medicare. I mean, big social safety
  192. 6:26net programs are typically funded by
  193. 6:28broad-based taxes, right? Um anyway, I
  194. 6:31think it's really important to remember
  195. 6:32all the things that taxes do. We've
  196. 6:33really focused on the redistribution
  197. 6:35part and it's so important, absolutely,
  198. 6:37especially now with the incredible
  199. 6:38consolidation of wealth in this country.
  200. 6:40We focus on the sort of straightforward
  201. 6:41redistribution part, the top rates, that
  202. 6:43kind of thing, whether we should have a
  203. 6:45wealth tax. And that's important, you're
  204. 6:46exactly right. But at the same time, uh
  205. 6:48we just need a lot of revenue. And um
  206. 6:51traditionally, and I you know, in terms
  207. 6:53of sort of long-term sustainability,
  208. 6:55that's something that we fund by taxing
  209. 6:57everybody. But that's part of
  210. 6:59citizenship. I mean, one of the things
  211. 7:00that is sort of a you know, a part of
  212. 7:03that anti-tax anti-tax myths that you
  213. 7:05hear all the time, you know, people are
  214. 7:07under the impression that Americans hate
  215. 7:08paying taxes. It's just not true. People
  216. 7:10are quite proud to pay taxes and they're
  217. 7:12very willing to pay taxes for things uh
  218. 7:14they think are valuable, things like
  219. 7:15social security and Medicare. So, I
  220. 7:17think the fact that we've shied away
  221. 7:19from asking people to support their
  222. 7:21government by paying taxes
  223. 7:23uh at a federal level um is really
  224. 7:25weakened, you know, the the sort of
  225. 7:28civic rhetoric of this country. And I
  226. 7:30think it's left us in a terrible
  227. 7:31position. If we can't convince people
  228. 7:33that their government's worth paying
  229. 7:34for, you know, how can we convince them
  230. 7:36that democracy is valuable?
  231. 7:38>> Yeah.
  232. 7:39Um
  233. 7:39indeed. Uh one of the things one of the
  234. 7:42episodes there were several you know
  235. 7:44episodes that I actually was
  236. 7:47ill-informed about, at least you know, I
  237. 7:49I kind of knew the numbers but not at
  238. 7:50all the the the political
  239. 7:52uh history, was the uh there was this
  240. 7:55period basically under the New Deal and
  241. 7:57through World War II when the idea of
  242. 8:00broad-based taxes that lots of people
  243. 8:03first of all, you know, as social
  244. 8:04insurance programs and then the but also
  245. 8:07broad-based income tax really became
  246. 8:11uh established and you had so I mean
  247. 8:13they that came as kind of a surprise
  248. 8:15that people were willing to accept it,
  249. 8:16right?
  250. 8:17>> Yeah. Yeah, so um
  251. 8:19before World War II, the income tax was
  252. 8:21like what was called a class tax. It was
  253. 8:23paid only by the very wealthy.
  254. 8:24>> Right.
  255. 8:24>> Um and our the country relied uh far
  256. 8:27more heavily on tariffs.
  257. 8:28>> Right.
  258. 8:28>> By the way, the tariff chapter of my
  259. 8:30book is not what I expected as I was
  260. 8:31writing it to be
  261. 8:32>> Yeah.
  262. 8:32>> as relevant as it ended up being. Um but
  263. 8:35anyway, so we um you know, so most
  264. 8:36people the way they contributed to the
  265. 8:37federal government was through the
  266. 8:38higher prices that resulted from the
  267. 8:39tariffs and the income tax was a tax on
  268. 8:42the on the very wealthy. Well, World War
  269. 8:44II comes along, we've got to pay for
  270. 8:45that. We need a ton of money and they
  271. 8:47decide to go with an income tax. Now,
  272. 8:49we're talking about a time people didn't
  273. 8:51have pocket calculators. A lot of people
  274. 8:53hadn't been to high school um and
  275. 8:55suddenly they're going to have to fill
  276. 8:56out a paper form and and pay their
  277. 8:58taxes, right? And it's not going to be
  278. 8:59withheld in the first years. So, um
  279. 9:01there was a lot of fear in the Treasury
  280. 9:03Department. Could Americans do it? And
  281. 9:06you know, the
  282. 9:07there you know,
  283. 9:08uh these incredible sort of campaigns to
  284. 9:10let people know about the taxes to help
  285. 9:12them pay. There was a song by Irving
  286. 9:13Berlin called I Paid My Income Tax
  287. 9:15Today. There are Donald Duck cartoons
  288. 9:17that played before movies.
  289. 9:18>> Oh my god.
  290. 9:19>> Yes. Yes, so Donald Duck figures out how
  291. 9:21to fill out his taxes um in the cartoon.
  292. 9:23Uh and you know, so it was this huge
  293. 9:25effort and in the end it worked, right?
  294. 9:27Americans paid their taxes. We paid a
  295. 9:30much larger fraction of the bill for
  296. 9:31World War II than we otherwise could
  297. 9:33have. And what's especially amazing is
  298. 9:35how positively people felt about those
  299. 9:37taxes. They were voluntary contributions
  300. 9:39to the treasury made out to Uncle Sam.
  301. 9:41Um
  302. 9:42And you know, polls suggested that you
  303. 9:44know, 90% of Americans thought it was
  304. 9:45fair, right? Because they they saw it as
  305. 9:47a worthwhile thing to support the United
  306. 9:49States.
  307. 9:50>> I guess that the big increases in
  308. 9:52taxation have always come around wars,
  309. 9:54right? World War I is really where the
  310. 9:56income tax comes in and
  311. 9:59even for the wealthy and then World War
  312. 10:00II, but it's still that that's a
  313. 10:02complete change in attitude. I don't
  314. 10:04know uh uh
  315. 10:06I don't know if you were
  316. 10:07you're younger than me. I don't know if
  317. 10:09you remember the um
  318. 10:11after 9/11
  319. 10:13when Tom Delay the
  320. 10:15house when he said that nothing is more
  321. 10:17important in the time of war than
  322. 10:19cutting taxes.
  323. 10:20>> Yeah, extraordinary. It was the first
  324. 10:21time we fought a major war in this
  325. 10:23country without raising taxes and you
  326. 10:25know, I think it speaks to the decline
  327. 10:27of accountability.
  328. 10:28Right? That we stopped having that
  329. 10:30connection between
  330. 10:32the decisions of our policy makers and
  331. 10:34the costs.
  332. 10:36>> We used to say was that America was kind
  333. 10:39of special at least compared with a
  334. 10:41number of other advanced countries in
  335. 10:44the fact that we were in fact so
  336. 10:45successful in getting people to pay
  337. 10:47income tax that there was a lot less
  338. 10:48cheating. Is that um
  339. 10:52Do you is Do you think that's a Is that
  340. 10:53a
  341. 10:54I don't know if you had touched on it in
  342. 10:55the book. I don't remember, but it is Is
  343. 10:57that something that you that that you
  344. 10:59think is explained by the history or by
  345. 11:01the contingency or is it something about
  346. 11:03the American at least what we used to be
  347. 11:05like as a country?
  348. 11:06>> Yeah.
  349. 11:07>> [laughter]
  350. 11:07>> Yeah, that I mean that's an open
  351. 11:08question certainly. The yes, American
  352. 11:10tax morale has always been high. That's
  353. 11:12the jargon term, right? For
  354. 11:14willingness to pay taxes and that's
  355. 11:15partly I think part of our civic
  356. 11:17culture. People see tax paying as
  357. 11:18patriotic. You know, if you ask
  358. 11:21Americans is it every American civic
  359. 11:23duty to pay their fair share of taxes,
  360. 11:25you get over 90% of Americans agreeing
  361. 11:27sometimes as high as 95%. I I looked for
  362. 11:30poll data that was showed equivalent
  363. 11:32levels of consensus and you have to ask,
  364. 11:34you know, is Elvis alive? Did we really
  365. 11:36land on the moon? You know, I mean just
  366. 11:38really out there stuff. This is
  367. 11:40something Americans it's a shared belief
  368. 11:42and it and it you know, I I checked um
  369. 11:44the first time uh President Trump and in
  370. 11:46his campaign against Hillary Clinton
  371. 11:48talked about not paying taxes being
  372. 11:49smart. This was a huge change of
  373. 11:51rhetoric. If you imagine Mitt Romney
  374. 11:53saying he'd always paid 13 or 14% in in
  375. 11:56in income taxes. This was a huge change
  376. 11:57in rhetoric and it didn't shift American
  377. 11:59attitudes. Uh Americans did not come to
  378. 12:01see all of a sudden uh cheating on your
  379. 12:04taxes as acceptable. Uh they see it as
  380. 12:06wrong.
  381. 12:07>> One of the points you make along the way
  382. 12:08is that America US the public's
  383. 12:10attitudes about taxes really haven't
  384. 12:12changed that much over the years. That
  385. 12:14that uh um that I think the line you
  386. 12:16used was that since the 1980s
  387. 12:19uh the policy and the politics of taxes
  388. 12:21have changed but Americans' attitudes
  389. 12:22have really not. Want to enlarge on that
  390. 12:24a bit what what you mean by that?
  391. 12:26>> Yeah, so I clearly we live in a in a
  392. 12:29startlingly anti-tax time. One of the
  393. 12:30two major parties of sees taxation as
  394. 12:33fundamentally bad, sees taxes as
  395. 12:35something that should always go down uh
  396. 12:37at least for the wealthy. Um and you
  397. 12:39know, and that is a historical oddity.
  398. 12:42In the mid-20th century uh neither
  399. 12:44political party saw taxation as a
  400. 12:46particularly major issue. I mean it was
  401. 12:47important but it was technical. Uh it
  402. 12:49wasn't a major part of either party's
  403. 12:51platform. Um and that changes in the in
  404. 12:53the period after the civil rights
  405. 12:55movement, right? Uh where again you see
  406. 12:58the the rise of the kind of anti-tax
  407. 13:00rhetoric that is fundamentally a kind of
  408. 13:02anti-democratic rhetoric and that grew
  409. 13:03more and more extreme over the following
  410. 13:05decades and that's you know, sort of
  411. 13:07where we are today. Um
  412. 13:09So so yeah, the the strange thing about
  413. 13:11that, right? Is as our politics have
  414. 13:13become more extreme in so many ways but
  415. 13:15I you know, the sort of politics of
  416. 13:17taxation have become more extreme, the
  417. 13:18underlying views of Americans have been
  418. 13:20markedly stable. Um
  419. 13:22and I think that speaks to the the
  420. 13:23decline of the quality of our democracy,
  421. 13:25right? Because what happened was the
  422. 13:27politics became untethered from from
  423. 13:30public views, right? So, most Americans,
  424. 13:32you know, as I said, say that yeah, you
  425. 13:34have a responsibility to pay your fair
  426. 13:36share of taxes. Most Americans say that
  427. 13:38paying taxes is patriotic. If you ask
  428. 13:40people what their top concerns are about
  429. 13:42the income or about the tax system,
  430. 13:43their top two concerns
  431. 13:45for literally decades have been that
  432. 13:47corporations, one and two, the wealthy
  433. 13:49are not paying their share. The third is
  434. 13:51the complexity of the tax code.
  435. 13:53Somewhere below that falls the amount
  436. 13:54they personally pay. So, um you know,
  437. 13:58there's just uh
  438. 13:59uh uh on this issue and on many others,
  439. 14:01frankly. I mean, you see it on things
  440. 14:02like gun control um or maybe the minimum
  441. 14:05wage, for example. The the The attitudes
  442. 14:07of most people are simply not a good
  443. 14:09predictor of our politics, and I think
  444. 14:10that speaks to a real erosion of our
  445. 14:12democracy.
  446. 14:13>> Uh so, just on this when you say after
  447. 14:16the civil rights movement, um
  448. 14:18now, there's two interpretations, I
  449. 14:20think
  450. 14:21there's some of of both in in in your
  451. 14:23book and in The Price of Democracy. Uh
  452. 14:25one is that
  453. 14:27people feeling, well, my money is going
  454. 14:29to support the bums on welfare because
  455. 14:31there's a huge expansion in in AFDC, uh
  456. 14:35aid families with dependent children,
  457. 14:37which is, you know, the classic welfare,
  458. 14:38although it's never really all that
  459. 14:39money, but it
  460. 14:41much more but big expansion in the
  461. 14:43in the visible support for non-white
  462. 14:46uh
  463. 14:47people. Uh and is it my my tax dollars
  464. 14:50are going to pay for that? Or how much
  465. 14:51of it is just the you know, that that
  466. 14:53the um the uh the
  467. 14:56the empowerment of
  468. 14:59conservative politics, put it mildly, uh
  469. 15:01because of the of the backlash. Is it
  470. 15:04>> Yeah.
  471. 15:05>> I think both are happening at once,
  472. 15:06right? So, at the same time, uh you see
  473. 15:10uh welfare programs that had previously
  474. 15:13been available pr-
  475. 15:14almost exclusively to white Americans
  476. 15:16suddenly are more available to black
  477. 15:17Americans.
  478. 15:19Um and you see obviously growing black
  479. 15:20political power after the Civil Rights
  480. 15:22Act.
  481. 15:23Um and you there's so so there's a a
  482. 15:25racial resentment a backlash to that,
  483. 15:27right? Uh and the sort of, you know,
  484. 15:29origins of the sort of welfare queen
  485. 15:30rhetoric. We've all heard this story.
  486. 15:32So, that's happening. At the same time,
  487. 15:34uh you start to see the uh divide
  488. 15:38between the wealthy and the rest of us,
  489. 15:39right? You see that the the sort of
  490. 15:41compression of incomes, the compression
  491. 15:43of the economic spectrum that had
  492. 15:45typified the mid-20th century, you see
  493. 15:47that start to break down. Um and you see
  494. 15:50the decline of union power, the rise of
  495. 15:51business power, and all of these things
  496. 15:53are pushing in the same direction
  497. 15:55towards an increasingly radical anti-tax
  498. 15:57politics on the right.
  499. 15:59>> So, there's a a moment an episode that
  500. 16:02really looms quite large in The Price of
  501. 16:05Democracy that I was really kind of
  502. 16:07unaware of, which is 1978
  503. 16:10uh change in taxes. This is pre-Reagan,
  504. 16:13although obviously some of the things
  505. 16:15that gave rise to Reaganism are very
  506. 16:16much
  507. 16:17in the air, but this is under Carter.
  508. 16:20There's a big Well, why don't you tell
  509. 16:21tell me tell us about what happened in
  510. 16:22'78 cuz I thought that was a really
  511. 16:24remarkable story.
  512. 16:26>> Yeah, so you I mean, you have to make a
  513. 16:27choice, right? So, where are you going
  514. 16:28to say that sort of turning point was,
  515. 16:30right? You could claim it was Reagan
  516. 16:31era, you could say all these things. And
  517. 16:33I did I settled on 1978 because three
  518. 16:35things happened that year that I think
  519. 16:36were really significant.
  520. 16:38And again, showed
  521. 16:41sort of showed what the conservative
  522. 16:43alliance against taxation would look
  523. 16:45like. A bunch of different forces were
  524. 16:46brought together. First of all, you see
  525. 16:49uh a bill pass that is an enormous uh
  526. 16:52rollback on taxes for the wealthy.
  527. 16:54Something that the New York Times at the
  528. 16:55time described as sort of un- un-
  529. 16:58incomprehensible in in terms of our
  530. 16:59politics, right? Because before that it
  531. 17:00had been assumed that Americans like
  532. 17:02raising taxes on the rich. It would be
  533. 17:03very hard to do a tax cut that just
  534. 17:05helped the rich. Um but they the you
  535. 17:08know, the new corporate interests uh
  536. 17:10found a way to to do that, right? And
  537. 17:12so, you see this big uh rollback on
  538. 17:15taxes uh for corporations and the
  539. 17:16wealthy. At the same time,
  540. 17:19uh there's an attack on the IRS that is
  541. 17:21the first of what would become a
  542. 17:22recurring problem for the IRS. That is
  543. 17:25to say,
  544. 17:26some issue in tax enforcement gets blown
  545. 17:30up in the conservative media and becomes
  546. 17:32sort of a
  547. 17:34it makes the IRS into kind of a
  548. 17:37a whipping boy
  549. 17:38for anti-tax interest. In this case,
  550. 17:41what had happened was the IRS
  551. 17:43was obligated by law
  552. 17:45to
  553. 17:47figure out how to remove the tax-exempt
  554. 17:49status for the segregation academies,
  555. 17:51right? The whites-only schools that
  556. 17:53opened in the South as white families
  557. 17:55fled integrated schooling.
  558. 17:57And so those schools segregated were
  559. 17:59segregated. They discriminated on the
  560. 18:01basis of race and therefore they did not
  561. 18:03qualify for a tax exemption, the courts
  562. 18:04had determined. So now the IRS has to
  563. 18:06figure out what's a segregation academy
  564. 18:09and how do we go about removing their um
  565. 18:12removing their tax exemption.
  566. 18:14Um
  567. 18:15and this was really hard to do because
  568. 18:17not because lots of schools opened in
  569. 18:19that period and lots of schools are
  570. 18:20segregated, right? And so there's this
  571. 18:23there's also sort of a move to church
  572. 18:25schooling, there's a sort of
  573. 18:26evangelicalism in the you know in the
  574. 18:28same period and so there's the IRS is
  575. 18:30trying to sort through this and
  576. 18:32after several efforts to try and remove
  577. 18:35the tax exemption from the most obvious
  578. 18:36segregation academies, they issue a new
  579. 18:38set of rules and it becomes this trigger
  580. 18:40on the far right about how the IRS is
  581. 18:42coming for our tax exemptions and there
  582. 18:44are congressional hearings and there's
  583. 18:46all this sort of folderol about it,
  584. 18:48right?
  585. 18:50And this
  586. 18:52was it is widely agreed a key precursor
  587. 18:56to the development of the moral majority
  588. 18:58because you know conservatives have been
  589. 19:00trying to get evangelicals on board with
  590. 19:03the conservative movement for ages but
  591. 19:04evangelicals didn't want to participate
  592. 19:06in politics.
  593. 19:07But this issue brought them into
  594. 19:09politics in a new way and so there's an
  595. 19:11amazing quote,
  596. 19:13sort of suggesting that it it you know,
  597. 19:15even abortion couldn't get evangelicals
  598. 19:17into politics, but coming for their
  599. 19:18school's tax exemption did, right? So,
  600. 19:20that happens at the same time. And then,
  601. 19:22the third thing that happens in that
  602. 19:23same year is Proposition 13, right? The
  603. 19:26property tax cap in California. Now,
  604. 19:28property tax caps
  605. 19:30have a long and storied history in
  606. 19:31America. They were invented in the
  607. 19:34Redeemer era that followed
  608. 19:36radical reconstruction, right? As white
  609. 19:38supremacists came back to power, one of
  610. 19:40the ways they disenfranchised
  611. 19:42poorer whites and black Americans was by
  612. 19:44putting in place constitutional tax
  613. 19:46caps, so that even if they managed to
  614. 19:48lose an election,
  615. 19:49even if the blacks somehow managed to
  616. 19:51vote, if what poor whites managed to
  617. 19:52vote, they still wouldn't have the power
  618. 19:54to raise taxes on the rich.
  619. 19:55Now, suddenly that same idea, which had
  620. 19:57been prevalent across the South,
  621. 20:00um
  622. 20:00100 years earlier, suddenly that idea
  623. 20:02becomes
  624. 20:04uh
  625. 20:04uh a a force in in California, right?
  626. 20:09Uh and it's very much part, again, part
  627. 20:10of the Civil Rights era backlash.
  628. 20:12And you they put in place a stringent
  629. 20:14property tax cap that of course applies
  630. 20:16largely to this day,
  631. 20:17um and undermined public education
  632. 20:20funding in the state for decades to
  633. 20:21come.
  634. 20:23>> Yeah, I I I lived in California in the
  635. 20:25mid-90s and was always struck by
  636. 20:29because of Prop 13, uh
  637. 20:31uh
  638. 20:32you know, we we had newly purchased a
  639. 20:34house there and we were probably paying
  640. 20:36five times the taxes of some people a
  641. 20:38little ways down the down the road
  642. 20:39because of of the um
  643. 20:42and it it it was a remarkable thing for
  644. 20:44people who stayed in their houses. It
  645. 20:45kind of, you know, basically older white
  646. 20:47people who who already already owned
  647. 20:49their houses got a tremendous tax
  648. 20:51advantage from that. But, yeah, it was
  649. 20:52really something. Um
  650. 20:55The actually, just quite quick question.
  651. 20:57The '78, you said the tax cuts,
  652. 20:59um
  653. 21:00just
  654. 21:01for listeners, and actually, I should
  655. 21:02probably refresh. What was What were the
  656. 21:04actual tax cuts in '78? Just cuz it's
  657. 21:06part of the the story I've been trying
  658. 21:07to to piece together.
  659. 21:09>> Yeah, so there's um there's a really uh
  660. 21:13fascinating sort of movement on the
  661. 21:15right that sort of leads into this
  662. 21:17moment. And it's a series of corporate
  663. 21:18breaks. Um
  664. 21:20uh
  665. 21:21but what leads into it, fascinatingly,
  666. 21:23is um
  667. 21:24in the Kennedy era, they were also
  668. 21:26trying to cut taxes, right? And they was
  669. 21:27there was a you know, the economy was
  670. 21:29booming, they didn't need they were the
  671. 21:30rates went up automatically, right? Uh
  672. 21:32or not rates. Um
  673. 21:33but the
  674. 21:34>> It's bracket creep, yeah.
  675. 21:36>> Right. Bracket creep.
  676. 21:37>> I remember that.
  677. 21:37>> Right. So there was bracket creep, so
  678. 21:38they were they had more money than they
  679. 21:39needed. Um
  680. 21:41and uh when Kennedy wanted to assemble
  681. 21:44business interests to uh cut um
  682. 21:49to cut taxes for, you know, businesses,
  683. 21:51uh he couldn't find any groups to act as
  684. 21:54the sort of grassroots mobilizer of
  685. 21:56this, right? And so um what you what you
  686. 21:59find uh over the coming decades just in
  687. 22:02it and exactly at the time that union
  688. 22:03power is in decline, right? They start
  689. 22:06to actually develop these business
  690. 22:07interests, right? Um and uh the uh
  691. 22:12there's a there are these moves uh to uh
  692. 22:15sort of make uh
  693. 22:17what now sounds completely sort of
  694. 22:20standard rhetoric, but at the time was
  695. 22:22very strange. This sort of uh this new
  696. 22:24rhetoric about uh the possibility that
  697. 22:26these taxes were stifling innovation,
  698. 22:28right? And that we know, like
  699. 22:30entrepreneurship and all of this sort of
  700. 22:32rhetoric. That's really developed in
  701. 22:33this period and that's where they come
  702. 22:36in with these corporate tax breaks uh to
  703. 22:38you know, to basically I mean, massively
  704. 22:41upwardly redistributive tax breaks.
  705. 22:43Uh sort of and they what they did was
  706. 22:45they built again, grassroots
  707. 22:47organizations for business that had
  708. 22:50today seem of course run-of-the-mill,
  709. 22:52but at the time were completely novel.
  710. 22:54So for example, they would bring in um
  711. 22:57uh the sort of the lobbyists in
  712. 22:59Washington uh would bring in the
  713. 23:04local
  714. 23:05business leaders in in all the
  715. 23:07districts, right? They'd have sort of
  716. 23:08fly-ins to have
  717. 23:11you know, to have representatives here
  718. 23:12from their own
  719. 23:14from their own constituents on on these
  720. 23:16business issues. So that was
  721. 23:19a real
  722. 23:20development in terms of sort of lobbying
  723. 23:22prowess. And it so it and it paid off
  724. 23:25paid off tremendously. Yeah.
  725. 23:27>> So and so yeah, I mean
  726. 23:29um
  727. 23:30in '78 and actually until until Newt
  728. 23:33Gingrich comes along, you still have
  729. 23:35Democrats controlling the House of
  730. 23:36Representatives. This is not a this is
  731. 23:39not a
  732. 23:40a Trump era
  733. 23:41Congress and and and it's a Democratic
  734. 23:44president. So how does how do
  735. 23:48uh
  736. 23:49elected officials I mean the public
  737. 23:53didn't support tax breaks for the rich.
  738. 23:55I think
  739. 23:56here I public opinion would have been
  740. 23:59um
  741. 24:00pretty you know, populist in that sense.
  742. 24:02What what moved the votes? Why was
  743. 24:04Congress doing
  744. 24:05doing this? How did that influence work?
  745. 24:08>> Yeah, so I think that one of the things
  746. 24:10that you see is
  747. 24:12um
  748. 24:13I just um
  749. 24:16I mean at the end of the day
  750. 24:17the fact is that mass public opinion
  751. 24:20isn't what causes politics to happen,
  752. 24:22right? Politics is not a public opinion
  753. 24:24poll. It's
  754. 24:26the
  755. 24:27uh
  756. 24:28mobilization of organized interests
  757. 24:31through a party system, right? So it you
  758. 24:35shouldn't expect things that most people
  759. 24:37have believed to sort of automatically
  760. 24:38become law. That's just not how it's
  761. 24:39done, right? You have to have organized
  762. 24:41interests.
  763. 24:42You know, this is a it's a collective
  764. 24:43action problem fundamentally, right? Um
  765. 24:46so that I mean that's sort of underlying
  766. 24:48thing. But what you see is as the
  767. 24:50economy
  768. 24:52sort of divides, right? And as you have
  769. 24:54this sort of
  770. 24:56uh
  771. 24:57concentration of wealth at the top um
  772. 25:00it's self-reinforcing.
  773. 25:02Right? As the rich get richer, they have
  774. 25:04more power because money is power,
  775. 25:06right? And they start to invest very
  776. 25:08heavily in having greater political
  777. 25:10power, right? And you know, there's a
  778. 25:11lot of concern about the sort of Nader
  779. 25:13era and all the sort of regulatory
  780. 25:14things that were happening in the early
  781. 25:16'70s that really helped to bring
  782. 25:17business power
  783. 25:18uh you know, to to bear uh to try and
  784. 25:20stop these kinds of things.
  785. 25:21>> might want to talk about that. What the
  786. 25:23Nader era meaning that that this is when
  787. 25:25corporations had business really started
  788. 25:27to say it needs to stand up and and
  789. 25:29throw its weight around.
  790. 25:31>> Yeah, exactly. So, I mean, you see
  791. 25:33uh you know, what I I would deem a great
  792. 25:35deal of progress on things like
  793. 25:36environmental protection uh on sort of
  794. 25:39regulation of of consumer goods as well,
  795. 25:41right? Uh these are some of the
  796. 25:42successes of the you know, air clean
  797. 25:44air, right? Clean water. Uh these
  798. 25:46successes of the early 1970s. Well, for
  799. 25:49more conservative-leaning business
  800. 25:51leaders, these were seen as
  801. 25:52encroachments on their capacity to
  802. 25:53become profitable, right? And so,
  803. 25:56um
  804. 25:57uh that helps
  805. 25:59convince them to devote themselves to
  806. 26:01politics, right? And as they succeed, of
  807. 26:02course, they become wealthier. And this
  808. 26:04is exactly the same thing that happens
  809. 26:05with the tax code, right? As the top
  810. 26:07rates are rolled back then, you know,
  811. 26:10and as you know, there become more and
  812. 26:11more loopholes for corporations to avoid
  813. 26:14paying the taxes they owe as the IRS
  814. 26:15becomes underfunded so that they aren't
  815. 26:17in a place to actually enforce the tax
  816. 26:19code for wealthy people, all of those
  817. 26:21things are reinforcing, right? because
  818. 26:22it you know, a substantial portion of
  819. 26:25the
  820. 26:26uh
  821. 26:26the inequality that we've seen over the
  822. 26:29recent decades can be attributed to the
  823. 26:30decline of top top rates, right? So, it
  824. 26:33it's a it's a really uh negative uh
  825. 26:35reinforcing cycle.
  826. 26:38>> When I started sort of loosely speaking
  827. 26:40doing the math, I was actually shocked,
  828. 26:41particularly if we're talking about the
  829. 26:42very, very top how much the
  830. 26:45the change is actually driven by the
  831. 26:47changes in tax by cuts in tax rates.
  832. 26:49That it's you know, we would
  833. 26:51economists we're we like to talk about
  834. 26:53technology and and competition and all
  835. 26:56of that, but actually taxes are a very
  836. 26:58large part of the story. And this is
  837. 27:00This really gets going. I mean, the um
  838. 27:03uh
  839. 27:05it really is it really is the '70s where
  840. 27:06this starts to happen.
  841. 27:09>> It is it is in a sense mechanical,
  842. 27:11right? I you know, I just cuz the the
  843. 27:13the money that you you did the money
  844. 27:14that you didn't have to pay in taxes, uh
  845. 27:17now you have that and it will accumulate
  846. 27:18more over time. And it also has
  847. 27:19pre-distribution effects, right? So, if
  848. 27:22you um
  849. 27:24when, for example, uh
  850. 27:26a CEO 90 uh cents out of every
  851. 27:29additional dollar that they were going
  852. 27:30to get paid was going to go to the
  853. 27:31government, right? Which was true in the
  854. 27:32mid-20th century.
  855. 27:34You know, the board of directors had not
  856. 27:36a great incentive to raise their pay
  857. 27:38unless they really had done something to
  858. 27:39deserve it, right? And I mean, there you
  859. 27:41go. There's research on this, as you
  860. 27:42well know. Um but uh but, you know, as
  861. 27:45the tax rates go down, it becomes
  862. 27:46easier. It's cheaper, basically, to
  863. 27:48overpay executives. And and, you know,
  864. 27:50so it really feeds in both afterwards,
  865. 27:52right? That that the you have these
  866. 27:54ballooning paychecks and they get to
  867. 27:55keep more of that money, but also it
  868. 27:57encourages it gives an incentive to
  869. 27:59balloon the paychecks in the first place
  870. 28:00when when those very, very high salaries
  871. 28:02are under-taxed.
  872. 28:03>> Yeah, this is always this is a
  873. 28:04long-standing thing. The um
  874. 28:07you know, the the the committees that
  875. 28:09decide on a CEO's pay have always been
  876. 28:12basically appointed by the been
  877. 28:13appointed by the CEO. But why didn't why
  878. 28:16did that translate into 30 times the
  879. 28:17average worker's salary
  880. 28:19um in in the '60s and 300 times now? And
  881. 28:23part of the answer is well, what you're
  882. 28:24saying, that that uh if it wasn't worth
  883. 28:27pissing off people that much. I'm sorry
  884. 28:29to use the technical terms.
  885. 28:31Um when when the CEO didn't really get
  886. 28:33to keep the money anyway, and now that
  887. 28:36he can, they do it.
  888. 28:38>> Exactly. Exactly.
  889. 28:40>> Um
  890. 28:40you get these first wave of big sort of
  891. 28:44top-end tax cuts uh under Reagan, But,
  892. 28:47fairly quickly we get people agitating
  893. 28:50about the budget deficit. This is also
  894. 28:52when the budget deficit first becomes
  895. 28:53significant for the first time since
  896. 28:55World War II, and a lot of you know, we
  897. 28:58need to cut back and there's beginnings
  898. 29:00of austerity. Why isn't there more of a
  899. 29:04backlash against these these tax cuts?
  900. 29:06Why didn't that happen?
  901. 29:08>> So, I think there are two things going
  902. 29:10on. I mean, first of all, again, there's
  903. 29:12just the
  904. 29:13the very effective lobbying techniques
  905. 29:15that, you know, the business uses,
  906. 29:16right? They're very powerful. Um and you
  907. 29:19know, there's all kinds of political
  908. 29:20science research research to suggest
  909. 29:22that, you know, uh legislators are more
  910. 29:24responsive uh to donors than to
  911. 29:26constituents. They're more responsive,
  912. 29:28you know, to um
  913. 29:29to organized interests as opposed to
  914. 29:31sort of general. And they And they they
  915. 29:32misperceive their own constituents,
  916. 29:34right? Again and again, you see this is
  917. 29:36more true on the right, but it's true on
  918. 29:37the Democratic side as well.
  919. 29:39Uh
  920. 29:40legislators misperceive their
  921. 29:41constituents as more conservative than
  922. 29:43they are, right? And some of that's
  923. 29:45about who they talk to. Um
  924. 29:46But, in some of it's about the media
  925. 29:48environment they live in.
  926. 29:49But, there's this persistent problem in
  927. 29:51the background. But, you know, I mean,
  928. 29:52you know, thinking back to that capital
  929. 29:54gains cut in 1978, you know, there's
  930. 29:56just this um
  931. 29:58this new playbook
  932. 30:00that becomes part of our politics, and I
  933. 30:02think it's hard for us to even imagine
  934. 30:04now
  935. 30:05um
  936. 30:05that this was ever new. But, I think
  937. 30:07that it really it really does speak to
  938. 30:11the moment we live in. Now, you're
  939. 30:12asking about
  940. 30:13um
  941. 30:15why it is that there hasn't been a
  942. 30:16backlash. I think one important aspect
  943. 30:18of that
  944. 30:19uh
  945. 30:20is that for many, many years, and this
  946. 30:22is we are now we are now testing the
  947. 30:24limits of this, right? But, for many,
  948. 30:25many years, these tax cuts were not paid
  949. 30:27for.
  950. 30:28>> Right.
  951. 30:29>> Right? We just we we paid for it nor
  952. 30:31paid for it enormous wars with debt, and
  953. 30:33we paid for enormous tax cuts at the top
  954. 30:35with debt, right? So, that there was not
  955. 30:37a trade-off that the American people
  956. 30:39would see right away, right? And this
  957. 30:42was, you know, I mean, if you look at
  958. 30:43the the uh George W. Bush era, this was
  959. 30:45a very conscious strategy, right?
  960. 30:47Because in principle, you could have
  961. 30:49taken the surpluses of that era and use
  962. 30:51them to shore up Social Security or do
  963. 30:52any of a number of other things, right?
  964. 30:54And you know, if you look at memos
  965. 30:55within the Bush administration, it was
  966. 30:56very clearly stated that
  967. 30:59in going to the voters to cut taxes in
  968. 31:01this very regressive way, they had to
  969. 31:03say there were no trade-offs at all.
  970. 31:05Right. And fiscally, that was
  971. 31:08I mean, borrowing the the cost costs of
  972. 31:10debt and so forth, there were no
  973. 31:12immediate consequences, right? And so, I
  974. 31:14think there's a real decline in the
  975. 31:18the signals that would have informed
  976. 31:21Americans more about the choices that
  977. 31:23were being made in their names, right?
  978. 31:24Now,
  979. 31:25the most recent Trump tax cut is an
  980. 31:28exception to that rule. Right?
  981. 31:30Um where pretty, you know, where the the
  982. 31:32the the big tax cuts going back to to
  983. 31:34Reagan's big tax cuts, right? They were
  984. 31:35not were were were off books.
  985. 31:38Uh this time they've done they've done
  986. 31:40quite a lot of retrenchment of major
  987. 31:42social safety net programs. Now, they
  988. 31:44delayed that. Right? Um but it is coming
  989. 31:47now as it as we speak. Uh and I think
  990. 31:50it's a question of whether that will be
  991. 31:51more
  992. 31:52uh evident to people, but I think one
  993. 31:54reason they were willing to take that
  994. 31:55step in the most recent Trump tax cuts
  995. 31:57to also, you know, to make it the most
  996. 31:59regressive budget legislation in
  997. 32:01history, right? By simultaneously
  998. 32:03cutting taxes at the top and um
  999. 32:06cutting benefits for for poor people. Um
  1000. 32:10one reason they were willing to do that
  1001. 32:11is I think it's another indication that
  1002. 32:14uh
  1003. 32:16popularity is no longer a concern. And
  1004. 32:18frankly, you want popularity to be a
  1005. 32:20concern for politicians in a democracy.
  1006. 32:22>> And I think, you know, the this the
  1007. 32:25budget legislation is a good indication
  1008. 32:26that um
  1009. 32:28doing things that are popular in order
  1010. 32:30to get reelected by a majority of the
  1011. 32:32voters is not the primary political
  1012. 32:35strategy of the Republican Party
  1013. 32:36anymore.
  1014. 32:37>> Just for our listeners, I mean the the
  1015. 32:39trade-offs we're talking about now are
  1016. 32:40that
  1017. 32:41the one big beautiful bill um
  1018. 32:44uh
  1019. 32:45it's big tax cuts very much for people
  1020. 32:48at the top and offset partially, only
  1021. 32:51partially, by really savage cuts, but
  1022. 32:53only to still for to essentially to
  1023. 32:56means-tested poverty-oriented programs,
  1024. 32:58to food stamps and Medicaid. Um and I
  1025. 33:01guess the question is is there's this
  1026. 33:02kind of cynical calculation that that
  1027. 33:04most Americans won't care about that or
  1028. 33:06just a calculation that it doesn't
  1029. 33:07matter what Americans think.
  1030. 33:09>> Right. There's the immediate effects
  1031. 33:11that it'll happen for the for the people
  1032. 33:12who are affected, but this will have
  1033. 33:14huge impact on the economy, right? You
  1034. 33:16know, it that that Medicaid supports uh
  1035. 33:19health access for poor people. It
  1036. 33:21supports hospitals in rural area. You
  1037. 33:23know what I mean? So, like the the the
  1038. 33:24ramifications are are likely to be
  1039. 33:27enormous and likely be widely felt
  1040. 33:28beyond the sort of technical
  1041. 33:30beneficiaries, for sure. Same with food
  1042. 33:31stamps, of course.
  1043. 33:33>> Yeah, I mean the extent to which
  1044. 33:35actually
  1045. 33:36the places that voted most strongly for
  1046. 33:38our current government are exactly the
  1047. 33:40places where um
  1048. 33:42uh
  1049. 33:43you kind of are going to lose critical
  1050. 33:44mass of purchasing power, critical mass
  1051. 33:46of of of patients who can afford to pay
  1052. 33:48their bills at hospitals. And it's
  1053. 33:50really Yeah, New York City is not going
  1054. 33:51to run out of
  1055. 33:53is not going to People are not going to
  1056. 33:54lose hospitals anywhere close to where
  1057. 33:56they live in New York City, but they
  1058. 33:57very much could in West Virginia. So,
  1059. 33:59Yeah. Um
  1060. 34:00yeah, see
  1061. 34:02just come back a bit. The
  1062. 34:03one thing
  1063. 34:05We've been in this tax-cutting mode uh
  1064. 34:08since the late 1970s, but there was
  1065. 34:11so there was one range of uh
  1066. 34:14substantial of large tax increases,
  1067. 34:16which is also during the '80s, which is
  1068. 34:18the increase in FICA, the um increase in
  1069. 34:21payments. So,
  1070. 34:22uh
  1071. 34:23I think this kind of gets at your
  1072. 34:25thesis, right? Um
  1073. 34:27uh but
  1074. 34:28you'd have a extended riff uh I'm sorry,
  1075. 34:31I'm being making it too informal, but
  1076. 34:32you two talk in the book about how how
  1077. 34:34it is that we came to pay for Social
  1078. 34:35Security and then later Medicare with
  1079. 34:37with payroll taxes. And that's that's a
  1080. 34:40story I think that people should know
  1081. 34:42and because it's something that comes up
  1082. 34:43now a lot as we talk about you know,
  1083. 34:45what we can do at this point,
  1084. 34:46particularly
  1085. 34:48um between the the
  1086. 34:50Social Security funding and then the
  1087. 34:52general question of health care reform.
  1088. 34:55>> Right.
  1089. 34:55>> So how how did that happen? Cuz this is
  1090. 34:57a this is a regressive tax. I mean, they
  1091. 35:01yeah, but it's 170,000 or thereabouts is
  1092. 35:04the maximum. It's flat tax up to that
  1093. 35:06level and then none above. So why did
  1094. 35:08FDR do that?
  1095. 35:09>> Yeah. So it's yeah, it's a tax and it's
  1096. 35:11a tax on wages, not wealth, right? So
  1097. 35:13it's on the the income from wealth. So
  1098. 35:15the Social Security tax is a regressive
  1099. 35:17tax. It hits most people pretty hard.
  1100. 35:19It's the biggest tax in fact for most
  1101. 35:21households,
  1102. 35:23federal tax. The
  1103. 35:24So why did why did FDR make this choice?
  1104. 35:27Well, you have to he's coming into
  1105. 35:28office in obviously the throes of the
  1106. 35:31Great Depression. And they're doing a
  1107. 35:32whole bunch of emergency measures to try
  1108. 35:35and stabilize the economy to you know,
  1109. 35:37sort of rescue measures, right? And what
  1110. 35:40he does not want is his pension plan to
  1111. 35:45to be seen as a temporary measure. He
  1112. 35:48wants it to last forever, right? He
  1113. 35:50wants this to be something that cannot
  1114. 35:53be retrenched and he wants to
  1115. 35:54distinguish it from these other
  1116. 35:57measures, right? And there was a lot of
  1117. 35:58debate within the administration about
  1118. 36:00this. Plenty of people within the FDR's
  1119. 36:01administration were like, "No, this is
  1120. 36:03not the way to fund this. We need to
  1121. 36:04fund it differently." But he was
  1122. 36:06absolutely you know, and FDR was not
  1123. 36:08always a real policy wonk, frankly. But
  1124. 36:10on this point he was extremely adamant.
  1125. 36:12Um
  1126. 36:13both because he wanted to distinguish
  1127. 36:16Social Security from the the emergency
  1128. 36:18anti-poverty measures of the the
  1129. 36:19Depression and because he knew he could
  1130. 36:22tell this story to the American people.
  1131. 36:24And he was always thinking about the how
  1132. 36:25to how the politics of how you were
  1133. 36:26going to tell about policy. And so he
  1134. 36:29knew that he could tell people they were
  1135. 36:31making a contribution and here was what
  1136. 36:33you were going to get someday and here
  1137. 36:34was how it was going to work, right? And
  1138. 36:36he
  1139. 36:37knew that he could tell the American
  1140. 36:38people to contribute to a fund like
  1141. 36:40this. Um and he was right, right? And so
  1142. 36:42he famously said that, you know, the
  1143. 36:44payroll tax contributions that there are
  1144. 36:45that's not economics, that's just
  1145. 36:47politics, right? That is to make sure
  1146. 36:49that no politician can ever eliminate my
  1147. 36:51Social Security program.
  1148. 36:53And I you know it to a substantial
  1149. 36:56degree I think that that political logic
  1150. 36:58was proven correct, right? The program
  1151. 37:02not only
  1152. 37:03survived but grew after
  1153. 37:05the depression. And
  1154. 37:07you know, it's funny the business
  1155. 37:09interests at the time did try and
  1156. 37:10mobilize against so what they were
  1157. 37:11really trying to mobilize against his
  1158. 37:12sort of, you know, tax the rich
  1159. 37:14rhetoric.
  1160. 37:15But they were trying you know, in the in
  1161. 37:16following elections they tried to go
  1162. 37:18after him on Social Security.
  1163. 37:20You know, cuz it was like you know, it
  1164. 37:21was a $1 tax in people's paychecks and
  1165. 37:23so. And there was a there was a famous
  1166. 37:25sort of union organizer who said, you
  1167. 37:28know,
  1168. 37:29there so there so the so the business
  1169. 37:30interests put a little basically
  1170. 37:32propaganda in people's pay stub
  1171. 37:33envelopes
  1172. 37:34you know, talking about how if you
  1173. 37:36reelect Roosevelt
  1174. 37:37you are condemned to this tax increase
  1175. 37:40and you know, who knows whether you'll
  1176. 37:41ever get benefits this kind of a thing.
  1177. 37:43And this union organizer famously said,
  1178. 37:45you know, why didn't they put propaganda
  1179. 37:46in your pay stubs last time? There were
  1180. 37:48no pay stubs, right? And it was FDR who
  1181. 37:51was getting us out of the the the
  1182. 37:52depression, right? So so yeah, that was
  1183. 37:54how that was how FDR saw the fight. I
  1184. 37:56think he he you know, it's a political
  1185. 38:00maneuver of unparalleled perhaps in our
  1186. 38:02history. And you and that was 100% the
  1187. 38:05playbook they used for Medicare. They
  1188. 38:06knew full well what to do
  1189. 38:08to make a program that would survive.
  1190. 38:11>> Now what's interesting that's cuz it's
  1191. 38:13um
  1192. 38:14I don't know if people realize this but
  1193. 38:15it's only the
  1194. 38:16it's only Medicare part A the hospital
  1195. 38:18insurance part that is is payroll and
  1196. 38:20the rest is out of general revenue, but
  1197. 38:22I think in some ways the the aura of
  1198. 38:25of of the of the
  1199. 38:28uh
  1200. 38:29uh
  1201. 38:29separately funded program kind of
  1202. 38:31extends to the whole thing even though
  1203. 38:33a lot of it you know a lot of it now I
  1204. 38:36shouldn't know the numbers but it it's
  1205. 38:38is in fact not not paid for by that bit
  1206. 38:41on your pay stub, but it is
  1207. 38:43um the um
  1208. 38:45uh and it is by the way the downside I
  1209. 38:48guess on in terms of the price of
  1210. 38:50democracy is that people don't
  1211. 38:51necessarily think of these as government
  1212. 38:53programs.
  1213. 38:54>> People do know about their social
  1214. 38:56security taxes and they don't think it's
  1215. 38:57going into a bank account for
  1216. 38:58themselves. Sometimes there's worry
  1217. 38:59about that. People do know that it's
  1218. 39:00going into a general fund it's paying
  1219. 39:01out today.
  1220. 39:02Um so people have that much of a sense
  1221. 39:04about it. They don't always have a full
  1222. 39:05sense of the totals, right? Um although
  1223. 39:07they do get at least a little bit of
  1224. 39:09information on that subject. Um but I I
  1225. 39:12yeah the
  1226. 39:13the flip side of protecting and putting
  1227. 39:15this aura like you as you say uh around
  1228. 39:18these particular programs, right? Is
  1229. 39:20does it perhaps
  1230. 39:22uh implicitly denigrate
  1231. 39:24other programs? And I think there's a
  1232. 39:26case to be made for that, right? That
  1233. 39:28you know here over here are social
  1234. 39:29security and Medicare the
  1235. 39:32uh you know contributor funded you know
  1236. 39:34worthy programs and over there are are
  1237. 39:37are other uh welfare programs, right?
  1238. 39:39And those are somehow not as deserving
  1239. 39:40or not as worthwhile or their
  1240. 39:42beneficiaries do not deserve. Um and I
  1241. 39:44do think that's a that's a real um
  1242. 39:47a real risk of the approach. Yeah.
  1243. 39:49>> Okay.
  1244. 39:50>> I I I've always been a little surprised
  1245. 39:52looking at
  1246. 39:53um at the record of the Obama years to
  1247. 39:56see how much actual at least
  1248. 39:59particularly at particularly at at high
  1249. 40:01income levels how much he did manage to
  1250. 40:02raise taxes. That there was a
  1251. 40:05you know CBO numbers say that the the
  1252. 40:07effective tax rate on the top 1% under
  1253. 40:10Obama rose to to pretty close to where
  1254. 40:13it was pre-Reagan.
  1255. 40:15Um but
  1256. 40:16um
  1257. 40:18we with this is not going to be enough,
  1258. 40:20right? If we really want to have the
  1259. 40:21kind of society that a that a a
  1260. 40:23reasonable, even moderately center-left
  1261. 40:25person wants,
  1262. 40:27uh, we're going to need to have So, what
  1263. 40:29what are the prospects? I mean, are we
  1264. 40:30still living in this era of tax phobia?
  1265. 40:32I think you're I think I'm dreading your
  1266. 40:34answer here.
  1267. 40:35>> Well,
  1268. 40:36so I think one thing that's happened is
  1269. 40:38that the, you know, the the mask really
  1270. 40:40came off on this, right? I think for
  1271. 40:43many decades, uh,
  1272. 40:45being anti-tax was a kind of polite
  1273. 40:47fiction, a rhetoric you could use to
  1274. 40:49basically attack the idea that a
  1275. 40:52democratically elected government could
  1276. 40:53do good for people, right? But it was
  1277. 40:55all, you know, so but rather than
  1278. 40:57directly attack democracy, you what you
  1279. 40:59would find is conservatives attacking
  1280. 41:00taxation. And I should say, this is a,
  1281. 41:02um,
  1282. 41:03uh, a replication of precisely the
  1283. 41:06rhetoric that followed the
  1284. 41:07Reconstruction period, right? The
  1285. 41:08redeemers, the white supremacists who
  1286. 41:10come back to power, you know, through
  1287. 41:12violence and intimidation at the end of
  1288. 41:13the Reconstruction period, they
  1289. 41:15organized themselves as taxpayers, using
  1290. 41:18rhetoric that would look very familiar
  1291. 41:19to anyone who knew about Reagan's
  1292. 41:20welfare queen, right? That these
  1293. 41:22Reconstruction governments were full of
  1294. 41:23corrupt, untrustworthy, uh, you know,
  1295. 41:27uh, chiselers of the state, right? And
  1296. 41:29the poor, burdened, implicitly white
  1297. 41:31taxpayers were rising up against that,
  1298. 41:33right? So, it's a very similar rhetoric
  1299. 41:35to the, uh,
  1300. 41:36the rhetoric you see in the, uh, in the
  1301. 41:38aftermath of the second reconstruction
  1302. 41:40or of the civil rights movement in our
  1303. 41:41own lifetime. Um,
  1304. 41:44and so,
  1305. 41:46I think that to some degree the, um,
  1306. 41:50the dog whistle aspect of ta- anti-tax
  1307. 41:53rhetoric has fallen by the wayside as
  1308. 41:56the the Republican Party has moved to a
  1309. 41:57very explicitly anti-democratic stance,
  1310. 42:00right? You know, neglecting, uh, fam-
  1311. 42:01you know, failing to accept election
  1312. 42:02results, things of that sort. Um,
  1313. 42:05And so, uh,
  1314. 42:07to some degree, I think the tax rhetoric
  1315. 42:09is actually falling by the wayside, and
  1316. 42:12the stakes are a lot clearer now. But,
  1317. 42:15the the problem um
  1318. 42:19to to my mind is that what we have not
  1319. 42:21seen You've seen some real movement on
  1320. 42:24the sort of center-to-left side on all
  1321. 42:26kinds of things. Uh
  1322. 42:27you know, sort of rhetorical progress.
  1323. 42:29Um but a thing that I think is remains
  1324. 42:32missing is a willingness on the part of
  1325. 42:35center-to-left wing politicians at a
  1326. 42:36national level. At a state level, they
  1327. 42:38have to do this, but at a national
  1328. 42:39level, to tell people that their
  1329. 42:40government's worth paying for.
  1330. 42:42Right? And I think that the sort of
  1331. 42:45unanswered disparagement of government,
  1332. 42:48which has, you know, uh been a
  1333. 42:50consistent part of our politics
  1334. 42:51throughout my entire lifetime.
  1335. 42:53Uh that the unanswered disparagement is
  1336. 42:56the you know, is what paved the way for
  1337. 42:57things like DOJ, right? Paved the way
  1338. 42:59for the massive destruction uh that
  1339. 43:02we've seen in the last 2 years. Um and I
  1340. 43:04to some degree, I think that destruction
  1341. 43:05has made the value of government more
  1342. 43:07evident, right? I think it has made
  1343. 43:09things like the role of the CDC, the
  1344. 43:11role of, you know, uh
  1345. 43:12the fact that we had people, you know,
  1346. 43:14watching our nuclear silos, all sorts of
  1347. 43:15things like this become more uh you
  1348. 43:17know, you know, brought to the forefront
  1349. 43:19of our minds uh by the DOJ period. But,
  1350. 43:22um
  1351. 43:23what I have not seen is
  1352. 43:26politicians on the sort of
  1353. 43:27center-to-left side talk seriously about
  1354. 43:30the idea that the United States
  1355. 43:32government is worth paying for. It's
  1356. 43:33worth paying being paid for by all of
  1357. 43:35us, right? Um and you know, you could
  1358. 43:37see that with the plans by, for example,
  1359. 43:39Senator Booker uh and Holland
  1360. 43:42what you're proposing very, very large
  1361. 43:43tax cuts for middle-class people and
  1362. 43:46upper-middle-class people uh to the tune
  1363. 43:48of hundreds of billions of dollars uh
  1364. 43:51that we will therefore not have, were
  1365. 43:53those measures in place, to do the
  1366. 43:54rebuilding that I think is so absolutely
  1367. 43:56essential.
  1368. 43:57>> Yeah, I mean, even uh even something
  1369. 44:00like uh Mayor Mondani in New York City,
  1370. 44:03he's saying, "Well, we're going to tax
  1371. 44:05the
  1372. 44:06uh
  1373. 44:07lavish pied-à-terres
  1374. 44:09held by, you know, non-residents who
  1375. 44:10have hundred million dollar apartments,
  1376. 44:12which is fine, but it is saying that
  1377. 44:15he's still really kind of afraid to go
  1378. 44:16forward
  1379. 44:17you know, afraid to do a Willie Sutton
  1380. 44:19and go where the money is.
  1381. 44:21>> Yeah. Yeah. I mean, and that's
  1382. 44:23you know, to me it really it it's hard
  1383. 44:25because people want you to say it has to
  1384. 44:27be one or the other, right? They want
  1385. 44:28you to say either you want the
  1386. 44:30progressive rates at the very top and I
  1387. 44:31think we there's no way around that as
  1388. 44:34an approach to reducing income
  1389. 44:35inequality, wealth inequality in this
  1390. 44:37country because the level I'll tell you
  1391. 44:39I'll tell you a story.
  1392. 44:40Um
  1393. 44:41the
  1394. 44:42Tom Tom Paine, I talked about this in
  1395. 44:44the book.
  1396. 44:45The guy who wrote Common Sense.
  1397. 44:47You know, who who said famously that
  1398. 44:50the United States did not need to have a
  1399. 44:51king.
  1400. 44:54He wrote a few years later The Rights of
  1401. 44:56Man, which is a defense of the French
  1402. 44:57Revolution and in it he includes a tax
  1403. 44:59plan.
  1404. 45:00Because he was worried about the
  1405. 45:01possibility of extreme wealth corrupting
  1406. 45:03elections.
  1407. 45:04And this is a
  1408. 45:06tax plan where he is applying it to the
  1409. 45:07income from wealth and the top rate of
  1410. 45:09that tax plan proposed by Thomas Paine
  1411. 45:11in 1791 is 100%
  1412. 45:14>> Okay.
  1413. 45:15>> He imagined that there should be a limit
  1414. 45:17to wealth.
  1415. 45:18You know, far above any level that any
  1416. 45:21as he explicitly says any level that you
  1417. 45:22could possibly need to support a family,
  1418. 45:24any amount that you could conceivably
  1419. 45:25earn through your own effort, but he
  1420. 45:27thought that there was a level of
  1421. 45:29consolidation and here he's thinking
  1422. 45:30about the wealth of the lords in early
  1423. 45:33England. There's a level of wealth that
  1424. 45:34can endanger the republic. Right? And so
  1425. 45:37there's actually a very long tradition
  1426. 45:39in American politics of very, very
  1427. 45:41progressive tax plans.
  1428. 45:43But then and I think that is an
  1429. 45:45important part of looking at how we need
  1430. 45:46to think about the future. But at the
  1431. 45:47same time we need to think about revenue
  1432. 45:49and we need to think about money that
  1433. 45:50will be available in perpetuity and we
  1434. 45:52need to
  1435. 45:53you know, come back to that old idea
  1436. 45:55that this is our government and that's
  1437. 45:57why we pay for it.
  1438. 45:59>> Okay. And
  1439. 46:01so how long till we get a value added
  1440. 46:02tax in America?
  1441. 46:03>> Well, I'm right there with you.
  1442. 46:06>> Yeah.
  1443. 46:06>> [laughter]
  1444. 46:08>> I think it's about seven economists
  1445. 46:09behind the banner.
  1446. 46:11>> Yeah. Okay, well,
  1447. 46:14this is great. The historical
  1448. 46:16perspective I find is is more and more
  1449. 46:18important to you and [music] you can't
  1450. 46:19understand where we are
  1451. 46:21without looking back and
  1452. 46:23look forward with a little bit of
  1453. 46:24trepidation but maybe a bit of hope.
  1454. 46:27Well,
  1455. 46:27thanks for talking to me.
  1456. 46:29>> Well, thank you so much. This was a lot
  1457. 46:30of fun.

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