Vanessa Williamson on Taxes and Democracy — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:01[music]
- 0:04>> Hi everyone.
- 0:05Paul Krugman here again. This week I'm
- 0:08talking to Vanessa Williamson,
- 0:10>> [music]
- 0:10>> senior fellow at the Brookings
- 0:12Institution and author of
- 0:14fantastic short history of taxation
- 0:18called The Price of Democracy.
- 0:20Uh which is I'm pretty sure an allusion
- 0:23to Oliver Wendell Holmes the price of
- 0:26civilization but a very different take
- 0:28and because I'm so interested in now
- 0:30these days in tax policy I thought I
- 0:32could talk to Vanessa to get a a sense
- 0:35of um
- 0:37a lot of these issues where I am very
- 0:38much an amateur and she's done the the
- 0:40homework. So hi.
- 0:42>> Hi, thank you so much for having me.
- 0:44>> Yeah. Um so
- 0:46you know, let's talk about the about the
- 0:49title of the book first because
- 0:51obviously the famous Oliver Wendell
- 0:53Holmes quote which I've seen in slightly
- 0:55different versions but anyway
- 0:57um was basically saying you know, if you
- 0:58want you want decent roads and um
- 1:02and public order that you need to have
- 1:03taxes to pay for it but you're making a
- 1:05a much broader point there and why don't
- 1:07you explain the why you say it's the
- 1:10price of democracy?
- 1:11>> Yeah, so I love the Oliver Wendell
- 1:12Holmes quote, right? That it's the price
- 1:14of civilization but
- 1:16um as I was writing this book which was
- 1:18just going to be a history of taxation
- 1:19in America, it struck me that taxation
- 1:21is really more than the price of
- 1:23civilization. It's the price of
- 1:24democracy. Um and that's because
- 1:27democracy isn't just being able to vote.
- 1:29It's people having the power to actually
- 1:31make change through their government and
- 1:34if the government doesn't have enough
- 1:35money to act then
- 1:37you know, even if you can vote, it's
- 1:38inconsequential. And you know,
- 1:40historically this is a very deep story.
- 1:42Taxation and representation really do
- 1:44develop together. This goes back all the
- 1:46way to 1215 with Magna Carta, right?
- 1:48When King John had been taxing at a
- 1:50higher level
- 1:51um and the barons demanded uh that if
- 1:54there were going to be extraordinary
- 1:55taxation, there had the king had to get
- 1:58the quote general consent of the realm,
- 2:00right? And that was a very early
- 2:02iteration attempt to create what
- 2:04eventually became Parliament, right? So,
- 2:06the very origins of representation
- 2:09uh in our
- 2:10in our historical tradition
- 2:12uh are really about taxation because
- 2:13what you find is that um
- 2:16when
- 2:17uh rulers want to tax, they become
- 2:20dependent on the taxpayers, right? And
- 2:22it builds um a connection between the
- 2:25ruler and the ruled, and it gives the
- 2:27taxpayers power. And you know, I think
- 2:29commonly the story you hear and there's
- 2:31so much anti-tax sort of mythology
- 2:32around is you'd imagine the taxpayers
- 2:35use that power to avoid taxation. The
- 2:37opposite is true. When representation
- 2:40develops, taxes go up because of course
- 2:43the taxpayers can now have a say in what
- 2:44the government is doing. So, taxation
- 2:46representation developed together
- 2:48historically, and they develop together
- 2:50cross-nationally. The freest countries
- 2:52today are high-tax countries.
- 2:54>> That would be I guess above all the sort
- 2:57of Nordic countries are a very high-tax
- 3:00countries.
- 3:00>> Sure, but it's true across the board,
- 3:02you know.
- 3:03Um
- 3:04even highly developed economies that are
- 3:06authoritarian have lower taxes than you
- 3:08would expect um given their level of
- 3:10development. And that's because
- 3:11authoritarians are simply not very good
- 3:14at raising taxes. They much prefer other
- 3:16forms of revenue, you know, whether
- 3:17that's a gold mine or um the spoils of
- 3:20war, fees and fines that they can apply
- 3:22to their political opponents. You know,
- 3:23they're just other mechanisms that do
- 3:26not make them dependent on the sort of
- 3:28rank and file people of their country.
- 3:30>> Okay. And I want to come back to the
- 3:33high-tax countries in a minute, but the
- 3:36uh
- 3:36one point that you make uh I think at
- 3:38several points during in in the course
- 3:40of the book is that uh there's a kind of
- 3:43the idea that taxes are okay is very
- 3:46much a sort of challenge to the uh
- 3:50essentially wealthy people saying,
- 3:51"Well, my wealth is mine and uh nobody
- 3:55has the right to take some of it. And
- 3:57you there's a kind of statement of
- 3:58principle that says, well, okay, but you
- 4:01too are subject to the laws of the of
- 4:03the republic and must pay. Right? That's
- 4:05that seems to be a pretty big uh part of
- 4:08the story.
- 4:08>> Yeah, there's this long-standing
- 4:10tension. And it's not all wealthy people
- 4:12or all the elites at any time in our
- 4:13history, but there are often some uh who
- 4:17are very, very wealthy and and
- 4:18fundamentally they don't like to see
- 4:20themselves as citizens, right? They like
- 4:21to see themselves as masters. The first
- 4:23group of people who felt this way, of
- 4:25course, were the slave owners who were
- 4:27desperately opposed to taxation. The
- 4:28anti-tax components of our Constitution
- 4:31were all put there as part of a
- 4:32compromise with slavery, right? They
- 4:33were afraid
- 4:34>> good point.
- 4:35>> Yeah, they were afraid the slaveholder
- 4:37class was afraid either of of mass
- 4:39democracy even only of property white
- 4:41men. So, we get the 3/5 clause. And they
- 4:43were specifically afraid that if every
- 4:45if every property white man could vote,
- 4:48what you would end up with is tax
- 4:49abolition by taxation, right? That they
- 4:52would tax slavery out of existence. Um
- 4:54and so, that's why you see these
- 4:55anti-tax measures in the Constitution.
- 4:57But it happens again in the Gilded Age.
- 4:59Again, you know, you see Rockefeller
- 5:01claiming that the um you know, high
- 5:03graduate taxation is the most
- 5:04fundamental threat posed by democracy.
- 5:07You see efforts to roll back suffrage
- 5:09rights during that period even in
- 5:10northern cities. So, um it's a very
- 5:12long-standing fight uh
- 5:15between sort of sort of mass public and
- 5:17the kind of things democratic
- 5:18governments usually want to do, roads
- 5:20and schools and things of that sort.
- 5:22Uh and a a fraction of the elite who are
- 5:25willing to accept democracy as long as
- 5:27that democracy is too poor to threaten
- 5:29their power.
- 5:30>> Wow. Okay. Um
- 5:34Come back to the history shortly. Um one
- 5:37thing that
- 5:38I I probably don't talk about enough
- 5:40when writing about these things, but
- 5:42it's it's something I certainly always
- 5:44taught and and it's a class on on on
- 5:47economics of the welfare state and um
- 5:49which is that the
- 5:51high tax
- 5:52um generous welfare state countries
- 5:55don't have highly progressive tax
- 5:57systems. That the US, you know, the
- 6:00state of US debate where everybody's for
- 6:02well,
- 6:04it it's it's always about should we
- 6:05raise taxes on the wealthy, which is a
- 6:07which is an important concern, but but
- 6:09uh places like Denmark or or Sweden or
- 6:13um
- 6:14just in general European welfare states,
- 6:16they they don't actually they they have
- 6:18high taxes sort of like on everybody.
- 6:21>> Yeah, that's exactly right. I mean, and
- 6:22it's also how we pay for social security
- 6:24and Medicare. I mean, big social safety
- 6:26net programs are typically funded by
- 6:28broad-based taxes, right? Um anyway, I
- 6:31think it's really important to remember
- 6:32all the things that taxes do. We've
- 6:33really focused on the redistribution
- 6:35part and it's so important, absolutely,
- 6:37especially now with the incredible
- 6:38consolidation of wealth in this country.
- 6:40We focus on the sort of straightforward
- 6:41redistribution part, the top rates, that
- 6:43kind of thing, whether we should have a
- 6:45wealth tax. And that's important, you're
- 6:46exactly right. But at the same time, uh
- 6:48we just need a lot of revenue. And um
- 6:51traditionally, and I you know, in terms
- 6:53of sort of long-term sustainability,
- 6:55that's something that we fund by taxing
- 6:57everybody. But that's part of
- 6:59citizenship. I mean, one of the things
- 7:00that is sort of a you know, a part of
- 7:03that anti-tax anti-tax myths that you
- 7:05hear all the time, you know, people are
- 7:07under the impression that Americans hate
- 7:08paying taxes. It's just not true. People
- 7:10are quite proud to pay taxes and they're
- 7:12very willing to pay taxes for things uh
- 7:14they think are valuable, things like
- 7:15social security and Medicare. So, I
- 7:17think the fact that we've shied away
- 7:19from asking people to support their
- 7:21government by paying taxes
- 7:23uh at a federal level um is really
- 7:25weakened, you know, the the sort of
- 7:28civic rhetoric of this country. And I
- 7:30think it's left us in a terrible
- 7:31position. If we can't convince people
- 7:33that their government's worth paying
- 7:34for, you know, how can we convince them
- 7:36that democracy is valuable?
- 7:38>> Yeah.
- 7:39Um
- 7:39indeed. Uh one of the things one of the
- 7:42episodes there were several you know
- 7:44episodes that I actually was
- 7:47ill-informed about, at least you know, I
- 7:49I kind of knew the numbers but not at
- 7:50all the the the political
- 7:52uh history, was the uh there was this
- 7:55period basically under the New Deal and
- 7:57through World War II when the idea of
- 8:00broad-based taxes that lots of people
- 8:03first of all, you know, as social
- 8:04insurance programs and then the but also
- 8:07broad-based income tax really became
- 8:11uh established and you had so I mean
- 8:13they that came as kind of a surprise
- 8:15that people were willing to accept it,
- 8:16right?
- 8:17>> Yeah. Yeah, so um
- 8:19before World War II, the income tax was
- 8:21like what was called a class tax. It was
- 8:23paid only by the very wealthy.
- 8:24>> Right.
- 8:24>> Um and our the country relied uh far
- 8:27more heavily on tariffs.
- 8:28>> Right.
- 8:28>> By the way, the tariff chapter of my
- 8:30book is not what I expected as I was
- 8:31writing it to be
- 8:32>> Yeah.
- 8:32>> as relevant as it ended up being. Um but
- 8:35anyway, so we um you know, so most
- 8:36people the way they contributed to the
- 8:37federal government was through the
- 8:38higher prices that resulted from the
- 8:39tariffs and the income tax was a tax on
- 8:42the on the very wealthy. Well, World War
- 8:44II comes along, we've got to pay for
- 8:45that. We need a ton of money and they
- 8:47decide to go with an income tax. Now,
- 8:49we're talking about a time people didn't
- 8:51have pocket calculators. A lot of people
- 8:53hadn't been to high school um and
- 8:55suddenly they're going to have to fill
- 8:56out a paper form and and pay their
- 8:58taxes, right? And it's not going to be
- 8:59withheld in the first years. So, um
- 9:01there was a lot of fear in the Treasury
- 9:03Department. Could Americans do it? And
- 9:06you know, the
- 9:07there you know,
- 9:08uh these incredible sort of campaigns to
- 9:10let people know about the taxes to help
- 9:12them pay. There was a song by Irving
- 9:13Berlin called I Paid My Income Tax
- 9:15Today. There are Donald Duck cartoons
- 9:17that played before movies.
- 9:18>> Oh my god.
- 9:19>> Yes. Yes, so Donald Duck figures out how
- 9:21to fill out his taxes um in the cartoon.
- 9:23Uh and you know, so it was this huge
- 9:25effort and in the end it worked, right?
- 9:27Americans paid their taxes. We paid a
- 9:30much larger fraction of the bill for
- 9:31World War II than we otherwise could
- 9:33have. And what's especially amazing is
- 9:35how positively people felt about those
- 9:37taxes. They were voluntary contributions
- 9:39to the treasury made out to Uncle Sam.
- 9:41Um
- 9:42And you know, polls suggested that you
- 9:44know, 90% of Americans thought it was
- 9:45fair, right? Because they they saw it as
- 9:47a worthwhile thing to support the United
- 9:49States.
- 9:50>> I guess that the big increases in
- 9:52taxation have always come around wars,
- 9:54right? World War I is really where the
- 9:56income tax comes in and
- 9:59even for the wealthy and then World War
- 10:00II, but it's still that that's a
- 10:02complete change in attitude. I don't
- 10:04know uh uh
- 10:06I don't know if you were
- 10:07you're younger than me. I don't know if
- 10:09you remember the um
- 10:11after 9/11
- 10:13when Tom Delay the
- 10:15house when he said that nothing is more
- 10:17important in the time of war than
- 10:19cutting taxes.
- 10:20>> Yeah, extraordinary. It was the first
- 10:21time we fought a major war in this
- 10:23country without raising taxes and you
- 10:25know, I think it speaks to the decline
- 10:27of accountability.
- 10:28Right? That we stopped having that
- 10:30connection between
- 10:32the decisions of our policy makers and
- 10:34the costs.
- 10:36>> We used to say was that America was kind
- 10:39of special at least compared with a
- 10:41number of other advanced countries in
- 10:44the fact that we were in fact so
- 10:45successful in getting people to pay
- 10:47income tax that there was a lot less
- 10:48cheating. Is that um
- 10:52Do you is Do you think that's a Is that
- 10:53a
- 10:54I don't know if you had touched on it in
- 10:55the book. I don't remember, but it is Is
- 10:57that something that you that that you
- 10:59think is explained by the history or by
- 11:01the contingency or is it something about
- 11:03the American at least what we used to be
- 11:05like as a country?
- 11:06>> Yeah.
- 11:07>> [laughter]
- 11:07>> Yeah, that I mean that's an open
- 11:08question certainly. The yes, American
- 11:10tax morale has always been high. That's
- 11:12the jargon term, right? For
- 11:14willingness to pay taxes and that's
- 11:15partly I think part of our civic
- 11:17culture. People see tax paying as
- 11:18patriotic. You know, if you ask
- 11:21Americans is it every American civic
- 11:23duty to pay their fair share of taxes,
- 11:25you get over 90% of Americans agreeing
- 11:27sometimes as high as 95%. I I looked for
- 11:30poll data that was showed equivalent
- 11:32levels of consensus and you have to ask,
- 11:34you know, is Elvis alive? Did we really
- 11:36land on the moon? You know, I mean just
- 11:38really out there stuff. This is
- 11:40something Americans it's a shared belief
- 11:42and it and it you know, I I checked um
- 11:44the first time uh President Trump and in
- 11:46his campaign against Hillary Clinton
- 11:48talked about not paying taxes being
- 11:49smart. This was a huge change of
- 11:51rhetoric. If you imagine Mitt Romney
- 11:53saying he'd always paid 13 or 14% in in
- 11:56in income taxes. This was a huge change
- 11:57in rhetoric and it didn't shift American
- 11:59attitudes. Uh Americans did not come to
- 12:01see all of a sudden uh cheating on your
- 12:04taxes as acceptable. Uh they see it as
- 12:06wrong.
- 12:07>> One of the points you make along the way
- 12:08is that America US the public's
- 12:10attitudes about taxes really haven't
- 12:12changed that much over the years. That
- 12:14that uh um that I think the line you
- 12:16used was that since the 1980s
- 12:19uh the policy and the politics of taxes
- 12:21have changed but Americans' attitudes
- 12:22have really not. Want to enlarge on that
- 12:24a bit what what you mean by that?
- 12:26>> Yeah, so I clearly we live in a in a
- 12:29startlingly anti-tax time. One of the
- 12:30two major parties of sees taxation as
- 12:33fundamentally bad, sees taxes as
- 12:35something that should always go down uh
- 12:37at least for the wealthy. Um and you
- 12:39know, and that is a historical oddity.
- 12:42In the mid-20th century uh neither
- 12:44political party saw taxation as a
- 12:46particularly major issue. I mean it was
- 12:47important but it was technical. Uh it
- 12:49wasn't a major part of either party's
- 12:51platform. Um and that changes in the in
- 12:53the period after the civil rights
- 12:55movement, right? Uh where again you see
- 12:58the the rise of the kind of anti-tax
- 13:00rhetoric that is fundamentally a kind of
- 13:02anti-democratic rhetoric and that grew
- 13:03more and more extreme over the following
- 13:05decades and that's you know, sort of
- 13:07where we are today. Um
- 13:09So so yeah, the the strange thing about
- 13:11that, right? Is as our politics have
- 13:13become more extreme in so many ways but
- 13:15I you know, the sort of politics of
- 13:17taxation have become more extreme, the
- 13:18underlying views of Americans have been
- 13:20markedly stable. Um
- 13:22and I think that speaks to the the
- 13:23decline of the quality of our democracy,
- 13:25right? Because what happened was the
- 13:27politics became untethered from from
- 13:30public views, right? So, most Americans,
- 13:32you know, as I said, say that yeah, you
- 13:34have a responsibility to pay your fair
- 13:36share of taxes. Most Americans say that
- 13:38paying taxes is patriotic. If you ask
- 13:40people what their top concerns are about
- 13:42the income or about the tax system,
- 13:43their top two concerns
- 13:45for literally decades have been that
- 13:47corporations, one and two, the wealthy
- 13:49are not paying their share. The third is
- 13:51the complexity of the tax code.
- 13:53Somewhere below that falls the amount
- 13:54they personally pay. So, um you know,
- 13:58there's just uh
- 13:59uh uh on this issue and on many others,
- 14:01frankly. I mean, you see it on things
- 14:02like gun control um or maybe the minimum
- 14:05wage, for example. The the The attitudes
- 14:07of most people are simply not a good
- 14:09predictor of our politics, and I think
- 14:10that speaks to a real erosion of our
- 14:12democracy.
- 14:13>> Uh so, just on this when you say after
- 14:16the civil rights movement, um
- 14:18now, there's two interpretations, I
- 14:20think
- 14:21there's some of of both in in in your
- 14:23book and in The Price of Democracy. Uh
- 14:25one is that
- 14:27people feeling, well, my money is going
- 14:29to support the bums on welfare because
- 14:31there's a huge expansion in in AFDC, uh
- 14:35aid families with dependent children,
- 14:37which is, you know, the classic welfare,
- 14:38although it's never really all that
- 14:39money, but it
- 14:41much more but big expansion in the
- 14:43in the visible support for non-white
- 14:46uh
- 14:47people. Uh and is it my my tax dollars
- 14:50are going to pay for that? Or how much
- 14:51of it is just the you know, that that
- 14:53the um the uh the
- 14:56the empowerment of
- 14:59conservative politics, put it mildly, uh
- 15:01because of the of the backlash. Is it
- 15:04>> Yeah.
- 15:05>> I think both are happening at once,
- 15:06right? So, at the same time, uh you see
- 15:10uh welfare programs that had previously
- 15:13been available pr-
- 15:14almost exclusively to white Americans
- 15:16suddenly are more available to black
- 15:17Americans.
- 15:19Um and you see obviously growing black
- 15:20political power after the Civil Rights
- 15:22Act.
- 15:23Um and you there's so so there's a a
- 15:25racial resentment a backlash to that,
- 15:27right? Uh and the sort of, you know,
- 15:29origins of the sort of welfare queen
- 15:30rhetoric. We've all heard this story.
- 15:32So, that's happening. At the same time,
- 15:34uh you start to see the uh divide
- 15:38between the wealthy and the rest of us,
- 15:39right? You see that the the sort of
- 15:41compression of incomes, the compression
- 15:43of the economic spectrum that had
- 15:45typified the mid-20th century, you see
- 15:47that start to break down. Um and you see
- 15:50the decline of union power, the rise of
- 15:51business power, and all of these things
- 15:53are pushing in the same direction
- 15:55towards an increasingly radical anti-tax
- 15:57politics on the right.
- 15:59>> So, there's a a moment an episode that
- 16:02really looms quite large in The Price of
- 16:05Democracy that I was really kind of
- 16:07unaware of, which is 1978
- 16:10uh change in taxes. This is pre-Reagan,
- 16:13although obviously some of the things
- 16:15that gave rise to Reaganism are very
- 16:16much
- 16:17in the air, but this is under Carter.
- 16:20There's a big Well, why don't you tell
- 16:21tell me tell us about what happened in
- 16:22'78 cuz I thought that was a really
- 16:24remarkable story.
- 16:26>> Yeah, so you I mean, you have to make a
- 16:27choice, right? So, where are you going
- 16:28to say that sort of turning point was,
- 16:30right? You could claim it was Reagan
- 16:31era, you could say all these things. And
- 16:33I did I settled on 1978 because three
- 16:35things happened that year that I think
- 16:36were really significant.
- 16:38And again, showed
- 16:41sort of showed what the conservative
- 16:43alliance against taxation would look
- 16:45like. A bunch of different forces were
- 16:46brought together. First of all, you see
- 16:49uh a bill pass that is an enormous uh
- 16:52rollback on taxes for the wealthy.
- 16:54Something that the New York Times at the
- 16:55time described as sort of un- un-
- 16:58incomprehensible in in terms of our
- 16:59politics, right? Because before that it
- 17:00had been assumed that Americans like
- 17:02raising taxes on the rich. It would be
- 17:03very hard to do a tax cut that just
- 17:05helped the rich. Um but they the you
- 17:08know, the new corporate interests uh
- 17:10found a way to to do that, right? And
- 17:12so, you see this big uh rollback on
- 17:15taxes uh for corporations and the
- 17:16wealthy. At the same time,
- 17:19uh there's an attack on the IRS that is
- 17:21the first of what would become a
- 17:22recurring problem for the IRS. That is
- 17:25to say,
- 17:26some issue in tax enforcement gets blown
- 17:30up in the conservative media and becomes
- 17:32sort of a
- 17:34it makes the IRS into kind of a
- 17:37a whipping boy
- 17:38for anti-tax interest. In this case,
- 17:41what had happened was the IRS
- 17:43was obligated by law
- 17:45to
- 17:47figure out how to remove the tax-exempt
- 17:49status for the segregation academies,
- 17:51right? The whites-only schools that
- 17:53opened in the South as white families
- 17:55fled integrated schooling.
- 17:57And so those schools segregated were
- 17:59segregated. They discriminated on the
- 18:01basis of race and therefore they did not
- 18:03qualify for a tax exemption, the courts
- 18:04had determined. So now the IRS has to
- 18:06figure out what's a segregation academy
- 18:09and how do we go about removing their um
- 18:12removing their tax exemption.
- 18:14Um
- 18:15and this was really hard to do because
- 18:17not because lots of schools opened in
- 18:19that period and lots of schools are
- 18:20segregated, right? And so there's this
- 18:23there's also sort of a move to church
- 18:25schooling, there's a sort of
- 18:26evangelicalism in the you know in the
- 18:28same period and so there's the IRS is
- 18:30trying to sort through this and
- 18:32after several efforts to try and remove
- 18:35the tax exemption from the most obvious
- 18:36segregation academies, they issue a new
- 18:38set of rules and it becomes this trigger
- 18:40on the far right about how the IRS is
- 18:42coming for our tax exemptions and there
- 18:44are congressional hearings and there's
- 18:46all this sort of folderol about it,
- 18:48right?
- 18:50And this
- 18:52was it is widely agreed a key precursor
- 18:56to the development of the moral majority
- 18:58because you know conservatives have been
- 19:00trying to get evangelicals on board with
- 19:03the conservative movement for ages but
- 19:04evangelicals didn't want to participate
- 19:06in politics.
- 19:07But this issue brought them into
- 19:09politics in a new way and so there's an
- 19:11amazing quote,
- 19:13sort of suggesting that it it you know,
- 19:15even abortion couldn't get evangelicals
- 19:17into politics, but coming for their
- 19:18school's tax exemption did, right? So,
- 19:20that happens at the same time. And then,
- 19:22the third thing that happens in that
- 19:23same year is Proposition 13, right? The
- 19:26property tax cap in California. Now,
- 19:28property tax caps
- 19:30have a long and storied history in
- 19:31America. They were invented in the
- 19:34Redeemer era that followed
- 19:36radical reconstruction, right? As white
- 19:38supremacists came back to power, one of
- 19:40the ways they disenfranchised
- 19:42poorer whites and black Americans was by
- 19:44putting in place constitutional tax
- 19:46caps, so that even if they managed to
- 19:48lose an election,
- 19:49even if the blacks somehow managed to
- 19:51vote, if what poor whites managed to
- 19:52vote, they still wouldn't have the power
- 19:54to raise taxes on the rich.
- 19:55Now, suddenly that same idea, which had
- 19:57been prevalent across the South,
- 20:00um
- 20:00100 years earlier, suddenly that idea
- 20:02becomes
- 20:04uh
- 20:04uh a a force in in California, right?
- 20:09Uh and it's very much part, again, part
- 20:10of the Civil Rights era backlash.
- 20:12And you they put in place a stringent
- 20:14property tax cap that of course applies
- 20:16largely to this day,
- 20:17um and undermined public education
- 20:20funding in the state for decades to
- 20:21come.
- 20:23>> Yeah, I I I lived in California in the
- 20:25mid-90s and was always struck by
- 20:29because of Prop 13, uh
- 20:31uh
- 20:32you know, we we had newly purchased a
- 20:34house there and we were probably paying
- 20:36five times the taxes of some people a
- 20:38little ways down the down the road
- 20:39because of of the um
- 20:42and it it it was a remarkable thing for
- 20:44people who stayed in their houses. It
- 20:45kind of, you know, basically older white
- 20:47people who who already already owned
- 20:49their houses got a tremendous tax
- 20:51advantage from that. But, yeah, it was
- 20:52really something. Um
- 20:55The actually, just quite quick question.
- 20:57The '78, you said the tax cuts,
- 20:59um
- 21:00just
- 21:01for listeners, and actually, I should
- 21:02probably refresh. What was What were the
- 21:04actual tax cuts in '78? Just cuz it's
- 21:06part of the the story I've been trying
- 21:07to to piece together.
- 21:09>> Yeah, so there's um there's a really uh
- 21:13fascinating sort of movement on the
- 21:15right that sort of leads into this
- 21:17moment. And it's a series of corporate
- 21:18breaks. Um
- 21:20uh
- 21:21but what leads into it, fascinatingly,
- 21:23is um
- 21:24in the Kennedy era, they were also
- 21:26trying to cut taxes, right? And they was
- 21:27there was a you know, the economy was
- 21:29booming, they didn't need they were the
- 21:30rates went up automatically, right? Uh
- 21:32or not rates. Um
- 21:33but the
- 21:34>> It's bracket creep, yeah.
- 21:36>> Right. Bracket creep.
- 21:37>> I remember that.
- 21:37>> Right. So there was bracket creep, so
- 21:38they were they had more money than they
- 21:39needed. Um
- 21:41and uh when Kennedy wanted to assemble
- 21:44business interests to uh cut um
- 21:49to cut taxes for, you know, businesses,
- 21:51uh he couldn't find any groups to act as
- 21:54the sort of grassroots mobilizer of
- 21:56this, right? And so um what you what you
- 21:59find uh over the coming decades just in
- 22:02it and exactly at the time that union
- 22:03power is in decline, right? They start
- 22:06to actually develop these business
- 22:07interests, right? Um and uh the uh
- 22:12there's a there are these moves uh to uh
- 22:15sort of make uh
- 22:17what now sounds completely sort of
- 22:20standard rhetoric, but at the time was
- 22:22very strange. This sort of uh this new
- 22:24rhetoric about uh the possibility that
- 22:26these taxes were stifling innovation,
- 22:28right? And that we know, like
- 22:30entrepreneurship and all of this sort of
- 22:32rhetoric. That's really developed in
- 22:33this period and that's where they come
- 22:36in with these corporate tax breaks uh to
- 22:38you know, to basically I mean, massively
- 22:41upwardly redistributive tax breaks.
- 22:43Uh sort of and they what they did was
- 22:45they built again, grassroots
- 22:47organizations for business that had
- 22:50today seem of course run-of-the-mill,
- 22:52but at the time were completely novel.
- 22:54So for example, they would bring in um
- 22:57uh the sort of the lobbyists in
- 22:59Washington uh would bring in the
- 23:04local
- 23:05business leaders in in all the
- 23:07districts, right? They'd have sort of
- 23:08fly-ins to have
- 23:11you know, to have representatives here
- 23:12from their own
- 23:14from their own constituents on on these
- 23:16business issues. So that was
- 23:19a real
- 23:20development in terms of sort of lobbying
- 23:22prowess. And it so it and it paid off
- 23:25paid off tremendously. Yeah.
- 23:27>> So and so yeah, I mean
- 23:29um
- 23:30in '78 and actually until until Newt
- 23:33Gingrich comes along, you still have
- 23:35Democrats controlling the House of
- 23:36Representatives. This is not a this is
- 23:39not a
- 23:40a Trump era
- 23:41Congress and and and it's a Democratic
- 23:44president. So how does how do
- 23:48uh
- 23:49elected officials I mean the public
- 23:53didn't support tax breaks for the rich.
- 23:55I think
- 23:56here I public opinion would have been
- 23:59um
- 24:00pretty you know, populist in that sense.
- 24:02What what moved the votes? Why was
- 24:04Congress doing
- 24:05doing this? How did that influence work?
- 24:08>> Yeah, so I think that one of the things
- 24:10that you see is
- 24:12um
- 24:13I just um
- 24:16I mean at the end of the day
- 24:17the fact is that mass public opinion
- 24:20isn't what causes politics to happen,
- 24:22right? Politics is not a public opinion
- 24:24poll. It's
- 24:26the
- 24:27uh
- 24:28mobilization of organized interests
- 24:31through a party system, right? So it you
- 24:35shouldn't expect things that most people
- 24:37have believed to sort of automatically
- 24:38become law. That's just not how it's
- 24:39done, right? You have to have organized
- 24:41interests.
- 24:42You know, this is a it's a collective
- 24:43action problem fundamentally, right? Um
- 24:46so that I mean that's sort of underlying
- 24:48thing. But what you see is as the
- 24:50economy
- 24:52sort of divides, right? And as you have
- 24:54this sort of
- 24:56uh
- 24:57concentration of wealth at the top um
- 25:00it's self-reinforcing.
- 25:02Right? As the rich get richer, they have
- 25:04more power because money is power,
- 25:06right? And they start to invest very
- 25:08heavily in having greater political
- 25:10power, right? And you know, there's a
- 25:11lot of concern about the sort of Nader
- 25:13era and all the sort of regulatory
- 25:14things that were happening in the early
- 25:16'70s that really helped to bring
- 25:17business power
- 25:18uh you know, to to bear uh to try and
- 25:20stop these kinds of things.
- 25:21>> might want to talk about that. What the
- 25:23Nader era meaning that that this is when
- 25:25corporations had business really started
- 25:27to say it needs to stand up and and
- 25:29throw its weight around.
- 25:31>> Yeah, exactly. So, I mean, you see
- 25:33uh you know, what I I would deem a great
- 25:35deal of progress on things like
- 25:36environmental protection uh on sort of
- 25:39regulation of of consumer goods as well,
- 25:41right? Uh these are some of the
- 25:42successes of the you know, air clean
- 25:44air, right? Clean water. Uh these
- 25:46successes of the early 1970s. Well, for
- 25:49more conservative-leaning business
- 25:51leaders, these were seen as
- 25:52encroachments on their capacity to
- 25:53become profitable, right? And so,
- 25:56um
- 25:57uh that helps
- 25:59convince them to devote themselves to
- 26:01politics, right? And as they succeed, of
- 26:02course, they become wealthier. And this
- 26:04is exactly the same thing that happens
- 26:05with the tax code, right? As the top
- 26:07rates are rolled back then, you know,
- 26:10and as you know, there become more and
- 26:11more loopholes for corporations to avoid
- 26:14paying the taxes they owe as the IRS
- 26:15becomes underfunded so that they aren't
- 26:17in a place to actually enforce the tax
- 26:19code for wealthy people, all of those
- 26:21things are reinforcing, right? because
- 26:22it you know, a substantial portion of
- 26:25the
- 26:26uh
- 26:26the inequality that we've seen over the
- 26:29recent decades can be attributed to the
- 26:30decline of top top rates, right? So, it
- 26:33it's a it's a really uh negative uh
- 26:35reinforcing cycle.
- 26:38>> When I started sort of loosely speaking
- 26:40doing the math, I was actually shocked,
- 26:41particularly if we're talking about the
- 26:42very, very top how much the
- 26:45the change is actually driven by the
- 26:47changes in tax by cuts in tax rates.
- 26:49That it's you know, we would
- 26:51economists we're we like to talk about
- 26:53technology and and competition and all
- 26:56of that, but actually taxes are a very
- 26:58large part of the story. And this is
- 27:00This really gets going. I mean, the um
- 27:03uh
- 27:05it really is it really is the '70s where
- 27:06this starts to happen.
- 27:09>> It is it is in a sense mechanical,
- 27:11right? I you know, I just cuz the the
- 27:13the money that you you did the money
- 27:14that you didn't have to pay in taxes, uh
- 27:17now you have that and it will accumulate
- 27:18more over time. And it also has
- 27:19pre-distribution effects, right? So, if
- 27:22you um
- 27:24when, for example, uh
- 27:26a CEO 90 uh cents out of every
- 27:29additional dollar that they were going
- 27:30to get paid was going to go to the
- 27:31government, right? Which was true in the
- 27:32mid-20th century.
- 27:34You know, the board of directors had not
- 27:36a great incentive to raise their pay
- 27:38unless they really had done something to
- 27:39deserve it, right? And I mean, there you
- 27:41go. There's research on this, as you
- 27:42well know. Um but uh but, you know, as
- 27:45the tax rates go down, it becomes
- 27:46easier. It's cheaper, basically, to
- 27:48overpay executives. And and, you know,
- 27:50so it really feeds in both afterwards,
- 27:52right? That that the you have these
- 27:54ballooning paychecks and they get to
- 27:55keep more of that money, but also it
- 27:57encourages it gives an incentive to
- 27:59balloon the paychecks in the first place
- 28:00when when those very, very high salaries
- 28:02are under-taxed.
- 28:03>> Yeah, this is always this is a
- 28:04long-standing thing. The um
- 28:07you know, the the the committees that
- 28:09decide on a CEO's pay have always been
- 28:12basically appointed by the been
- 28:13appointed by the CEO. But why didn't why
- 28:16did that translate into 30 times the
- 28:17average worker's salary
- 28:19um in in the '60s and 300 times now? And
- 28:23part of the answer is well, what you're
- 28:24saying, that that uh if it wasn't worth
- 28:27pissing off people that much. I'm sorry
- 28:29to use the technical terms.
- 28:31Um when when the CEO didn't really get
- 28:33to keep the money anyway, and now that
- 28:36he can, they do it.
- 28:38>> Exactly. Exactly.
- 28:40>> Um
- 28:40you get these first wave of big sort of
- 28:44top-end tax cuts uh under Reagan, But,
- 28:47fairly quickly we get people agitating
- 28:50about the budget deficit. This is also
- 28:52when the budget deficit first becomes
- 28:53significant for the first time since
- 28:55World War II, and a lot of you know, we
- 28:58need to cut back and there's beginnings
- 29:00of austerity. Why isn't there more of a
- 29:04backlash against these these tax cuts?
- 29:06Why didn't that happen?
- 29:08>> So, I think there are two things going
- 29:10on. I mean, first of all, again, there's
- 29:12just the
- 29:13the very effective lobbying techniques
- 29:15that, you know, the business uses,
- 29:16right? They're very powerful. Um and you
- 29:19know, there's all kinds of political
- 29:20science research research to suggest
- 29:22that, you know, uh legislators are more
- 29:24responsive uh to donors than to
- 29:26constituents. They're more responsive,
- 29:28you know, to um
- 29:29to organized interests as opposed to
- 29:31sort of general. And they And they they
- 29:32misperceive their own constituents,
- 29:34right? Again and again, you see this is
- 29:36more true on the right, but it's true on
- 29:37the Democratic side as well.
- 29:39Uh
- 29:40legislators misperceive their
- 29:41constituents as more conservative than
- 29:43they are, right? And some of that's
- 29:45about who they talk to. Um
- 29:46But, in some of it's about the media
- 29:48environment they live in.
- 29:49But, there's this persistent problem in
- 29:51the background. But, you know, I mean,
- 29:52you know, thinking back to that capital
- 29:54gains cut in 1978, you know, there's
- 29:56just this um
- 29:58this new playbook
- 30:00that becomes part of our politics, and I
- 30:02think it's hard for us to even imagine
- 30:04now
- 30:05um
- 30:05that this was ever new. But, I think
- 30:07that it really it really does speak to
- 30:11the moment we live in. Now, you're
- 30:12asking about
- 30:13um
- 30:15why it is that there hasn't been a
- 30:16backlash. I think one important aspect
- 30:18of that
- 30:19uh
- 30:20is that for many, many years, and this
- 30:22is we are now we are now testing the
- 30:24limits of this, right? But, for many,
- 30:25many years, these tax cuts were not paid
- 30:27for.
- 30:28>> Right.
- 30:29>> Right? We just we we paid for it nor
- 30:31paid for it enormous wars with debt, and
- 30:33we paid for enormous tax cuts at the top
- 30:35with debt, right? So, that there was not
- 30:37a trade-off that the American people
- 30:39would see right away, right? And this
- 30:42was, you know, I mean, if you look at
- 30:43the the uh George W. Bush era, this was
- 30:45a very conscious strategy, right?
- 30:47Because in principle, you could have
- 30:49taken the surpluses of that era and use
- 30:51them to shore up Social Security or do
- 30:52any of a number of other things, right?
- 30:54And you know, if you look at memos
- 30:55within the Bush administration, it was
- 30:56very clearly stated that
- 30:59in going to the voters to cut taxes in
- 31:01this very regressive way, they had to
- 31:03say there were no trade-offs at all.
- 31:05Right. And fiscally, that was
- 31:08I mean, borrowing the the cost costs of
- 31:10debt and so forth, there were no
- 31:12immediate consequences, right? And so, I
- 31:14think there's a real decline in the
- 31:18the signals that would have informed
- 31:21Americans more about the choices that
- 31:23were being made in their names, right?
- 31:24Now,
- 31:25the most recent Trump tax cut is an
- 31:28exception to that rule. Right?
- 31:30Um where pretty, you know, where the the
- 31:32the the big tax cuts going back to to
- 31:34Reagan's big tax cuts, right? They were
- 31:35not were were were off books.
- 31:38Uh this time they've done they've done
- 31:40quite a lot of retrenchment of major
- 31:42social safety net programs. Now, they
- 31:44delayed that. Right? Um but it is coming
- 31:47now as it as we speak. Uh and I think
- 31:50it's a question of whether that will be
- 31:51more
- 31:52uh evident to people, but I think one
- 31:54reason they were willing to take that
- 31:55step in the most recent Trump tax cuts
- 31:57to also, you know, to make it the most
- 31:59regressive budget legislation in
- 32:01history, right? By simultaneously
- 32:03cutting taxes at the top and um
- 32:06cutting benefits for for poor people. Um
- 32:10one reason they were willing to do that
- 32:11is I think it's another indication that
- 32:14uh
- 32:16popularity is no longer a concern. And
- 32:18frankly, you want popularity to be a
- 32:20concern for politicians in a democracy.
- 32:22>> And I think, you know, the this the
- 32:25budget legislation is a good indication
- 32:26that um
- 32:28doing things that are popular in order
- 32:30to get reelected by a majority of the
- 32:32voters is not the primary political
- 32:35strategy of the Republican Party
- 32:36anymore.
- 32:37>> Just for our listeners, I mean the the
- 32:39trade-offs we're talking about now are
- 32:40that
- 32:41the one big beautiful bill um
- 32:44uh
- 32:45it's big tax cuts very much for people
- 32:48at the top and offset partially, only
- 32:51partially, by really savage cuts, but
- 32:53only to still for to essentially to
- 32:56means-tested poverty-oriented programs,
- 32:58to food stamps and Medicaid. Um and I
- 33:01guess the question is is there's this
- 33:02kind of cynical calculation that that
- 33:04most Americans won't care about that or
- 33:06just a calculation that it doesn't
- 33:07matter what Americans think.
- 33:09>> Right. There's the immediate effects
- 33:11that it'll happen for the for the people
- 33:12who are affected, but this will have
- 33:14huge impact on the economy, right? You
- 33:16know, it that that Medicaid supports uh
- 33:19health access for poor people. It
- 33:21supports hospitals in rural area. You
- 33:23know what I mean? So, like the the the
- 33:24ramifications are are likely to be
- 33:27enormous and likely be widely felt
- 33:28beyond the sort of technical
- 33:30beneficiaries, for sure. Same with food
- 33:31stamps, of course.
- 33:33>> Yeah, I mean the extent to which
- 33:35actually
- 33:36the places that voted most strongly for
- 33:38our current government are exactly the
- 33:40places where um
- 33:42uh
- 33:43you kind of are going to lose critical
- 33:44mass of purchasing power, critical mass
- 33:46of of of patients who can afford to pay
- 33:48their bills at hospitals. And it's
- 33:50really Yeah, New York City is not going
- 33:51to run out of
- 33:53is not going to People are not going to
- 33:54lose hospitals anywhere close to where
- 33:56they live in New York City, but they
- 33:57very much could in West Virginia. So,
- 33:59Yeah. Um
- 34:00yeah, see
- 34:02just come back a bit. The
- 34:03one thing
- 34:05We've been in this tax-cutting mode uh
- 34:08since the late 1970s, but there was
- 34:11so there was one range of uh
- 34:14substantial of large tax increases,
- 34:16which is also during the '80s, which is
- 34:18the increase in FICA, the um increase in
- 34:21payments. So,
- 34:22uh
- 34:23I think this kind of gets at your
- 34:25thesis, right? Um
- 34:27uh but
- 34:28you'd have a extended riff uh I'm sorry,
- 34:31I'm being making it too informal, but
- 34:32you two talk in the book about how how
- 34:34it is that we came to pay for Social
- 34:35Security and then later Medicare with
- 34:37with payroll taxes. And that's that's a
- 34:40story I think that people should know
- 34:42and because it's something that comes up
- 34:43now a lot as we talk about you know,
- 34:45what we can do at this point,
- 34:46particularly
- 34:48um between the the
- 34:50Social Security funding and then the
- 34:52general question of health care reform.
- 34:55>> Right.
- 34:55>> So how how did that happen? Cuz this is
- 34:57a this is a regressive tax. I mean, they
- 35:01yeah, but it's 170,000 or thereabouts is
- 35:04the maximum. It's flat tax up to that
- 35:06level and then none above. So why did
- 35:08FDR do that?
- 35:09>> Yeah. So it's yeah, it's a tax and it's
- 35:11a tax on wages, not wealth, right? So
- 35:13it's on the the income from wealth. So
- 35:15the Social Security tax is a regressive
- 35:17tax. It hits most people pretty hard.
- 35:19It's the biggest tax in fact for most
- 35:21households,
- 35:23federal tax. The
- 35:24So why did why did FDR make this choice?
- 35:27Well, you have to he's coming into
- 35:28office in obviously the throes of the
- 35:31Great Depression. And they're doing a
- 35:32whole bunch of emergency measures to try
- 35:35and stabilize the economy to you know,
- 35:37sort of rescue measures, right? And what
- 35:40he does not want is his pension plan to
- 35:45to be seen as a temporary measure. He
- 35:48wants it to last forever, right? He
- 35:50wants this to be something that cannot
- 35:53be retrenched and he wants to
- 35:54distinguish it from these other
- 35:57measures, right? And there was a lot of
- 35:58debate within the administration about
- 36:00this. Plenty of people within the FDR's
- 36:01administration were like, "No, this is
- 36:03not the way to fund this. We need to
- 36:04fund it differently." But he was
- 36:06absolutely you know, and FDR was not
- 36:08always a real policy wonk, frankly. But
- 36:10on this point he was extremely adamant.
- 36:12Um
- 36:13both because he wanted to distinguish
- 36:16Social Security from the the emergency
- 36:18anti-poverty measures of the the
- 36:19Depression and because he knew he could
- 36:22tell this story to the American people.
- 36:24And he was always thinking about the how
- 36:25to how the politics of how you were
- 36:26going to tell about policy. And so he
- 36:29knew that he could tell people they were
- 36:31making a contribution and here was what
- 36:33you were going to get someday and here
- 36:34was how it was going to work, right? And
- 36:36he
- 36:37knew that he could tell the American
- 36:38people to contribute to a fund like
- 36:40this. Um and he was right, right? And so
- 36:42he famously said that, you know, the
- 36:44payroll tax contributions that there are
- 36:45that's not economics, that's just
- 36:47politics, right? That is to make sure
- 36:49that no politician can ever eliminate my
- 36:51Social Security program.
- 36:53And I you know it to a substantial
- 36:56degree I think that that political logic
- 36:58was proven correct, right? The program
- 37:02not only
- 37:03survived but grew after
- 37:05the depression. And
- 37:07you know, it's funny the business
- 37:09interests at the time did try and
- 37:10mobilize against so what they were
- 37:11really trying to mobilize against his
- 37:12sort of, you know, tax the rich
- 37:14rhetoric.
- 37:15But they were trying you know, in the in
- 37:16following elections they tried to go
- 37:18after him on Social Security.
- 37:20You know, cuz it was like you know, it
- 37:21was a $1 tax in people's paychecks and
- 37:23so. And there was a there was a famous
- 37:25sort of union organizer who said, you
- 37:28know,
- 37:29there so there so the so the business
- 37:30interests put a little basically
- 37:32propaganda in people's pay stub
- 37:33envelopes
- 37:34you know, talking about how if you
- 37:36reelect Roosevelt
- 37:37you are condemned to this tax increase
- 37:40and you know, who knows whether you'll
- 37:41ever get benefits this kind of a thing.
- 37:43And this union organizer famously said,
- 37:45you know, why didn't they put propaganda
- 37:46in your pay stubs last time? There were
- 37:48no pay stubs, right? And it was FDR who
- 37:51was getting us out of the the the
- 37:52depression, right? So so yeah, that was
- 37:54how that was how FDR saw the fight. I
- 37:56think he he you know, it's a political
- 38:00maneuver of unparalleled perhaps in our
- 38:02history. And you and that was 100% the
- 38:05playbook they used for Medicare. They
- 38:06knew full well what to do
- 38:08to make a program that would survive.
- 38:11>> Now what's interesting that's cuz it's
- 38:13um
- 38:14I don't know if people realize this but
- 38:15it's only the
- 38:16it's only Medicare part A the hospital
- 38:18insurance part that is is payroll and
- 38:20the rest is out of general revenue, but
- 38:22I think in some ways the the aura of
- 38:25of of the of the
- 38:28uh
- 38:29uh
- 38:29separately funded program kind of
- 38:31extends to the whole thing even though
- 38:33a lot of it you know a lot of it now I
- 38:36shouldn't know the numbers but it it's
- 38:38is in fact not not paid for by that bit
- 38:41on your pay stub, but it is
- 38:43um the um
- 38:45uh and it is by the way the downside I
- 38:48guess on in terms of the price of
- 38:50democracy is that people don't
- 38:51necessarily think of these as government
- 38:53programs.
- 38:54>> People do know about their social
- 38:56security taxes and they don't think it's
- 38:57going into a bank account for
- 38:58themselves. Sometimes there's worry
- 38:59about that. People do know that it's
- 39:00going into a general fund it's paying
- 39:01out today.
- 39:02Um so people have that much of a sense
- 39:04about it. They don't always have a full
- 39:05sense of the totals, right? Um although
- 39:07they do get at least a little bit of
- 39:09information on that subject. Um but I I
- 39:12yeah the
- 39:13the flip side of protecting and putting
- 39:15this aura like you as you say uh around
- 39:18these particular programs, right? Is
- 39:20does it perhaps
- 39:22uh implicitly denigrate
- 39:24other programs? And I think there's a
- 39:26case to be made for that, right? That
- 39:28you know here over here are social
- 39:29security and Medicare the
- 39:32uh you know contributor funded you know
- 39:34worthy programs and over there are are
- 39:37are other uh welfare programs, right?
- 39:39And those are somehow not as deserving
- 39:40or not as worthwhile or their
- 39:42beneficiaries do not deserve. Um and I
- 39:44do think that's a that's a real um
- 39:47a real risk of the approach. Yeah.
- 39:49>> Okay.
- 39:50>> I I I've always been a little surprised
- 39:52looking at
- 39:53um at the record of the Obama years to
- 39:56see how much actual at least
- 39:59particularly at particularly at at high
- 40:01income levels how much he did manage to
- 40:02raise taxes. That there was a
- 40:05you know CBO numbers say that the the
- 40:07effective tax rate on the top 1% under
- 40:10Obama rose to to pretty close to where
- 40:13it was pre-Reagan.
- 40:15Um but
- 40:16um
- 40:18we with this is not going to be enough,
- 40:20right? If we really want to have the
- 40:21kind of society that a that a a
- 40:23reasonable, even moderately center-left
- 40:25person wants,
- 40:27uh, we're going to need to have So, what
- 40:29what are the prospects? I mean, are we
- 40:30still living in this era of tax phobia?
- 40:32I think you're I think I'm dreading your
- 40:34answer here.
- 40:35>> Well,
- 40:36so I think one thing that's happened is
- 40:38that the, you know, the the mask really
- 40:40came off on this, right? I think for
- 40:43many decades, uh,
- 40:45being anti-tax was a kind of polite
- 40:47fiction, a rhetoric you could use to
- 40:49basically attack the idea that a
- 40:52democratically elected government could
- 40:53do good for people, right? But it was
- 40:55all, you know, so but rather than
- 40:57directly attack democracy, you what you
- 40:59would find is conservatives attacking
- 41:00taxation. And I should say, this is a,
- 41:02um,
- 41:03uh, a replication of precisely the
- 41:06rhetoric that followed the
- 41:07Reconstruction period, right? The
- 41:08redeemers, the white supremacists who
- 41:10come back to power, you know, through
- 41:12violence and intimidation at the end of
- 41:13the Reconstruction period, they
- 41:15organized themselves as taxpayers, using
- 41:18rhetoric that would look very familiar
- 41:19to anyone who knew about Reagan's
- 41:20welfare queen, right? That these
- 41:22Reconstruction governments were full of
- 41:23corrupt, untrustworthy, uh, you know,
- 41:27uh, chiselers of the state, right? And
- 41:29the poor, burdened, implicitly white
- 41:31taxpayers were rising up against that,
- 41:33right? So, it's a very similar rhetoric
- 41:35to the, uh,
- 41:36the rhetoric you see in the, uh, in the
- 41:38aftermath of the second reconstruction
- 41:40or of the civil rights movement in our
- 41:41own lifetime. Um,
- 41:44and so,
- 41:46I think that to some degree the, um,
- 41:50the dog whistle aspect of ta- anti-tax
- 41:53rhetoric has fallen by the wayside as
- 41:56the the Republican Party has moved to a
- 41:57very explicitly anti-democratic stance,
- 42:00right? You know, neglecting, uh, fam-
- 42:01you know, failing to accept election
- 42:02results, things of that sort. Um,
- 42:05And so, uh,
- 42:07to some degree, I think the tax rhetoric
- 42:09is actually falling by the wayside, and
- 42:12the stakes are a lot clearer now. But,
- 42:15the the problem um
- 42:19to to my mind is that what we have not
- 42:21seen You've seen some real movement on
- 42:24the sort of center-to-left side on all
- 42:26kinds of things. Uh
- 42:27you know, sort of rhetorical progress.
- 42:29Um but a thing that I think is remains
- 42:32missing is a willingness on the part of
- 42:35center-to-left wing politicians at a
- 42:36national level. At a state level, they
- 42:38have to do this, but at a national
- 42:39level, to tell people that their
- 42:40government's worth paying for.
- 42:42Right? And I think that the sort of
- 42:45unanswered disparagement of government,
- 42:48which has, you know, uh been a
- 42:50consistent part of our politics
- 42:51throughout my entire lifetime.
- 42:53Uh that the unanswered disparagement is
- 42:56the you know, is what paved the way for
- 42:57things like DOJ, right? Paved the way
- 42:59for the massive destruction uh that
- 43:02we've seen in the last 2 years. Um and I
- 43:04to some degree, I think that destruction
- 43:05has made the value of government more
- 43:07evident, right? I think it has made
- 43:09things like the role of the CDC, the
- 43:11role of, you know, uh
- 43:12the fact that we had people, you know,
- 43:14watching our nuclear silos, all sorts of
- 43:15things like this become more uh you
- 43:17know, you know, brought to the forefront
- 43:19of our minds uh by the DOJ period. But,
- 43:22um
- 43:23what I have not seen is
- 43:26politicians on the sort of
- 43:27center-to-left side talk seriously about
- 43:30the idea that the United States
- 43:32government is worth paying for. It's
- 43:33worth paying being paid for by all of
- 43:35us, right? Um and you know, you could
- 43:37see that with the plans by, for example,
- 43:39Senator Booker uh and Holland
- 43:42what you're proposing very, very large
- 43:43tax cuts for middle-class people and
- 43:46upper-middle-class people uh to the tune
- 43:48of hundreds of billions of dollars uh
- 43:51that we will therefore not have, were
- 43:53those measures in place, to do the
- 43:54rebuilding that I think is so absolutely
- 43:56essential.
- 43:57>> Yeah, I mean, even uh even something
- 44:00like uh Mayor Mondani in New York City,
- 44:03he's saying, "Well, we're going to tax
- 44:05the
- 44:06uh
- 44:07lavish pied-à-terres
- 44:09held by, you know, non-residents who
- 44:10have hundred million dollar apartments,
- 44:12which is fine, but it is saying that
- 44:15he's still really kind of afraid to go
- 44:16forward
- 44:17you know, afraid to do a Willie Sutton
- 44:19and go where the money is.
- 44:21>> Yeah. Yeah. I mean, and that's
- 44:23you know, to me it really it it's hard
- 44:25because people want you to say it has to
- 44:27be one or the other, right? They want
- 44:28you to say either you want the
- 44:30progressive rates at the very top and I
- 44:31think we there's no way around that as
- 44:34an approach to reducing income
- 44:35inequality, wealth inequality in this
- 44:37country because the level I'll tell you
- 44:39I'll tell you a story.
- 44:40Um
- 44:41the
- 44:42Tom Tom Paine, I talked about this in
- 44:44the book.
- 44:45The guy who wrote Common Sense.
- 44:47You know, who who said famously that
- 44:50the United States did not need to have a
- 44:51king.
- 44:54He wrote a few years later The Rights of
- 44:56Man, which is a defense of the French
- 44:57Revolution and in it he includes a tax
- 44:59plan.
- 45:00Because he was worried about the
- 45:01possibility of extreme wealth corrupting
- 45:03elections.
- 45:04And this is a
- 45:06tax plan where he is applying it to the
- 45:07income from wealth and the top rate of
- 45:09that tax plan proposed by Thomas Paine
- 45:11in 1791 is 100%
- 45:14>> Okay.
- 45:15>> He imagined that there should be a limit
- 45:17to wealth.
- 45:18You know, far above any level that any
- 45:21as he explicitly says any level that you
- 45:22could possibly need to support a family,
- 45:24any amount that you could conceivably
- 45:25earn through your own effort, but he
- 45:27thought that there was a level of
- 45:29consolidation and here he's thinking
- 45:30about the wealth of the lords in early
- 45:33England. There's a level of wealth that
- 45:34can endanger the republic. Right? And so
- 45:37there's actually a very long tradition
- 45:39in American politics of very, very
- 45:41progressive tax plans.
- 45:43But then and I think that is an
- 45:45important part of looking at how we need
- 45:46to think about the future. But at the
- 45:47same time we need to think about revenue
- 45:49and we need to think about money that
- 45:50will be available in perpetuity and we
- 45:52need to
- 45:53you know, come back to that old idea
- 45:55that this is our government and that's
- 45:57why we pay for it.
- 45:59>> Okay. And
- 46:01so how long till we get a value added
- 46:02tax in America?
- 46:03>> Well, I'm right there with you.
- 46:06>> Yeah.
- 46:06>> [laughter]
- 46:08>> I think it's about seven economists
- 46:09behind the banner.
- 46:11>> Yeah. Okay, well,
- 46:14this is great. The historical
- 46:16perspective I find is is more and more
- 46:18important to you and [music] you can't
- 46:19understand where we are
- 46:21without looking back and
- 46:23look forward with a little bit of
- 46:24trepidation but maybe a bit of hope.
- 46:27Well,
- 46:27thanks for talking to me.
- 46:29>> Well, thank you so much. This was a lot
- 46:30of fun.
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