Using PSP to Confirm Swing Points (TTFM) — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:11How's it going everyone and welcome back
- 0:12to another video. In this video, we are
- 0:14going to talk about PSP. I have received
- 0:17a lot of requests for this video
- 0:18following the update of my indicator, so
- 0:20let's get into the video. As we've
- 0:22talked about before in my SMT video,
- 0:24correlated markets should have the same
- 0:26structure. So you can see here with some
- 0:28higher time frame candles, this candle
- 0:30took out the previous candle's high and
- 0:32closed back inside forming a candle two
- 0:34closure. This candle took out the
- 0:36previous high and closed back inside
- 0:38also forming a candle two closure. We
- 0:40know SMT is when there is a divergence
- 0:42between these assets, so one asset would
- 0:45not take out the high while the other
- 0:46would. So what is a PSP? A PSP is when
- 0:51we still have that same structure, but
- 0:52one candle is closing a different color.
- 0:55Simply put, this is just like a little
- 0:58SMT clue or a little divergence between
- 1:00the closures of these candles. So when
- 1:03you see correlated assets with different
- 1:05candle closures, that is what a PSP is.
- 1:09Now where do I actually look for a PSP?
- 1:11I'm only going to look for a PSP within
- 1:14a valid fractal model. So either with a
- 1:17candle two or a candle three closure, I
- 1:20will be looking for one. I'm simply
- 1:21going to use the PSP as a confirmation
- 1:25adding more confluence to an existing
- 1:27model, not trying to use it to form a
- 1:29model. So there are two types of PSP
- 1:32that I look for, that will be a candle
- 1:34one PSP and a candle two PSP. A candle
- 1:37one PSP is within an existing model. So
- 1:40here you can see we have a candle two
- 1:42closure, candle one closes a different
- 1:45color than its correlated asset. So
- 1:47right here, this is a down close candle,
- 1:49the correlated market or correlated
- 1:51asset has a bullish green candle. Those
- 1:54are different, so that would be a candle
- 1:56one PSP.
- 1:58A candle two PSP is when the correlated
- 2:01market closes a different color on
- 2:03candle two. So, here in candle one, you
- 2:06can see they are both up closed candles,
- 2:08but in candle two here, we have a
- 2:10bearish candle paired with a bullish
- 2:12candle. So, that is what a PSP is.
- 2:16Now, you can also combine this with SMT.
- 2:18So, here you can see we have that same
- 2:20structure of a candle two PSP, and then
- 2:23we have the SMT. Once again, these are
- 2:26all just confluences to be used within
- 2:28an existing model. I'm not trying to use
- 2:30these concepts alone to frame a trade.
- 2:33I'm only using it within an existing
- 2:36fractal model as extra confluence
- 2:38between correlated assets. So, now that
- 2:41you understand what it looks like, let's
- 2:43go hop into TradingView and go over a
- 2:44few examples of this.
- 2:46So, here we are in our first example,
- 2:48and we have ES and NQ here. Now, with
- 2:52correlated assets, I can use for Nasdaq,
- 2:55the S&P or the Dow Jones. I use all
- 2:58three personally, but what do we notice
- 2:59here? Right, we have a candle two
- 3:01closure
- 3:02right, on either asset here, and then we
- 3:04are forming another candle two closure
- 3:06here. Right, so we have in a model
- 3:08forming a valid fractal model. What do
- 3:11we notice about candle one here? This is
- 3:14a green candle, and this is a black
- 3:17candle, right? So, there is a difference
- 3:18in the closures between these. So, this
- 3:21is a candle one PSP cuz within this
- 3:24fractal model this candle two closure,
- 3:26there is a difference in candle closures
- 3:28here. This is bearish, this is bullish.
- 3:31Now, if we check YM here, we can also
- 3:34notice that we have a candle two PSP as
- 3:37this is a bullish candle, this is a
- 3:39bearish candle. So, let's go into NQ
- 3:42here. We'll go ahead and put on my
- 3:44indicator and go down to the aligned
- 3:46time frame. And after we let this print,
- 3:48what do we get? We have a candle two
- 3:50closure, and you can see we have a PSP
- 3:53on candle one and on candle two. So, it
- 3:56gets displayed that way. I can hover
- 3:58over it, see that this with ES and YM
- 4:00here, and just with YM here.
- 4:03And what would we then look for, or how
- 4:05do I actually use that? It's just an
- 4:07additional confluence to a model. It can
- 4:09help give me confidence in trading away
- 4:11from these levels. So, what would we
- 4:13look for? Just like in my previous video
- 4:15or the intra candle change in the state
- 4:17delivery, price opens, forms a high,
- 4:20now forms a new protected swing, so that
- 4:22is our intra candle change in the state
- 4:24delivery. That gives us a stop loss, and
- 4:26then we could look to get on side with
- 4:28this move lower for the expansion candle
- 4:30in candle three, right?
- 4:33And as we continue lower, let's let this
- 4:35candle finish.
- 4:37And there we go. We get a nice expansion
- 4:40lower with new protected swings. A PSP
- 4:43is very simple. It is just a difference
- 4:45in closures between assets. So, here on
- 4:48Nasdaq, if this is a bearish candle and
- 4:51it has a PSP, that means YM here closed
- 4:54bullish, right? So, if we take a look at
- 4:56this candle, it is bullish there.
- 4:58And if we go back to NQ, if this is
- 5:00bullish here, it shows PSP, that means
- 5:03that these assets here closed bearish.
- 5:06It's just a difference in the closures
- 5:08between assets. So, here we are in
- 5:11another example of what PSP is. You can
- 5:14see we are on the daily and hourly
- 5:15chart. We have Nasdaq here on the left
- 5:18and the Dow on the right. Now, we're
- 5:20always going to focus on these higher
- 5:21time frame candles, right? We're not
- 5:23trying to really look for PSP just in
- 5:25all these random little candles. We want
- 5:27it to be aligned with a fractal model
- 5:29using these higher time frame candles.
- 5:31So, what do we notice? We have a candle
- 5:32two closure. We have a change in the
- 5:34state of delivery. Everything is valid
- 5:36for a fractal model here. That is when
- 5:39we can then look for a PSP. So, what do
- 5:41I have on this candle two? When you look
- 5:43at the same candle two on this
- 5:45correlated asset, it is closing bullish
- 5:48while this one is closing bearish. So,
- 5:50that is a PSP.
- 5:52Now, you notice I also have a PSP here
- 5:54on candle one. What does that mean? It
- 5:56means here on YM, there will be a
- 5:59bullish closure. You can see on that
- 6:01candle one, that same time frame candle,
- 6:03we have a bullish closure while this one
- 6:06is bearish. So, what could that give us?
- 6:09We don't have SMT up here at the
- 6:11reversal, but that can give us an extra
- 6:13confluence of a reversal using PSP. So,
- 6:16as we let this continue ahead, you can
- 6:17see we form a new protected swing.
- 6:24And you can see YM is now taking out
- 6:26this previous high on candle two. So, we
- 6:29get that continuation SMT that is
- 6:30printing. We have a new protected swing
- 6:33and we trend lower. So, you can see this
- 6:36fractal model, we need everything to be
- 6:38valid, that CISD, everything has to
- 6:41form, then we look for PSP. I'm not
- 6:44going to randomly look for PSP unless it
- 6:46is in an existing model. So, here we are
- 6:49in our final example. I know this is a
- 6:51short video, but there isn't really too
- 6:52much to talk about. It's a fairly simple
- 6:54concept once you learn it, and so we
- 6:56don't need a super long video explaining
- 6:58this. So, it is fractal though. So, here
- 7:01we are on the daily and monthly model,
- 7:03and you can see we have a PSP here on
- 7:06candle two. Why is that? Well, by taking
- 7:09a look at this same time frame candle,
- 7:11what do I mean? The June candle right
- 7:13here closed bearish. If we look at the
- 7:15June candle on YM here, it closed
- 7:18bullish. Right? And you can see that by
- 7:19hovering over it. So, we have a candle
- 7:22two closure, right? It's not very great
- 7:25price action in here. So, this SMT and
- 7:27the PSP really help with the confluence,
- 7:30and then a new protected swing where we
- 7:32get this breakout lower into the
- 7:34previous monthly lows. So, this is a
- 7:36very simple example, but I wanted to
- 7:38show you that it is fractal, and you can
- 7:40use it on any time frames as long as
- 7:42there is a valid existing fractal model.
- 7:45With that, I hope you enjoyed this
- 7:46video. I'll see you guys in the next
- 7:48one. Have a good one.
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