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UFC 334 Predictions Gane vs Hokit Full Card Betting Breakdown — Transcript

by THE MMA GURU · 10,372 words · 1,634 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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0:00UFC 334 Gane versus Hocket takes place
0:03this weekend and I'm going to go through
0:04the entire card, starting with the early
0:05prelims, ending with the main event,
0:07giving my prediction and breakdown for
0:09every single fight on this card. It's a
0:12stacked one. There are fights you care
0:14about on this and it's only gotten even
0:17more interesting by the generational
0:20build-up and promotional skill of the
0:24Josh Hocket. I've been watching along.
0:26I'm massively invested in this main
0:28EVENT NOW. WILL JOSH HOCKET BE able to
0:31save us? I'm so looking forward to this
0:34weekend and I'll get to that fight at
0:36the end of this video. We've also got
0:38some other major fights up and down the
0:40card, but I'm going to start straight
0:41away with the early prelim opener of
0:45Evan Elder versus Samuel Sanchez.
0:49This is an interesting one to start with
0:51and this isn't a nothing fight. Evan
0:54Elder is on a three-fight win streak
0:56right now in the UFC. He submitted
0:59Darius Flowers in his second-to-last
1:02fight. Now, they're not the best wins,
1:04don't get me wrong, but in his last
1:06fight he defeated Gage Young by
1:08decision. His last loss that he had was
1:12to Nasim Sadihov and I believe it was by
1:15a cut in a fight that he was doing very
1:17well in as well. So, Evan Elder's no
1:20joke as a debut for Samuel Sanchez.
1:24Samuel Sanchez, on the other hand,
1:29two big KOs in his last two fights.
1:32Before that he hadn't really fought
1:33anyone good whatsoever and he had taken
1:36a couple of them to a decision. So, this
1:38is kind of like a rise to the occasion
1:40type of guy where he does somewhat meet
1:43the level of his opponent because I've
1:45seen fights with him against like 11 and
1:46seven crafty vets on the regional scene
1:50and he hasn't looked the best in those
1:52fights. They were clear-cut wins, don't
1:54get me wrong, but his last two fights
1:56being finishes against um Chason Blair,
2:00I think the guy's was, who was actually
2:02quite a promising prospect himself. Um,
2:04that's very impressive, and he scored a
2:05nasty KO over him. And in his last fight
2:07before that, he got an early KO as well.
2:10So maybe he's entering his prime, or
2:12maybe he's finally becoming a man in the
2:16sport. He's only 23 years old. But this
2:19is a really difficult debut for him.
2:21Evan Elder is a bulldozer of a
2:24lightweight. He's a big dude. He's like
2:26super Cameron Simon in terms of his
2:28look. And the way that he fights, he
2:30throws heavy body kicks. He gets
2:33straight after it, and I'm worried for
2:34Samuel Sanchez in that regard, because
2:37if you're coming into your UFC debut
2:40at MSG in a massive fight and Evan Elder
2:43starts the fight just going crazy on you
2:47with some massive moves. He's got good
2:48grappling as well that he can mix into.
2:51Um,
2:52I'm going to lean towards Evan Elder
2:54here. I think he's used to the
2:55spotlight. It's a very 50/50 fight.
2:58Samuel Sanchez is very impressive,
3:01but I don't see him chinning Evan Elder
3:03early, and I think he's going to have to
3:04do that because if this does go a bit
3:06longer and we do start going back and
3:08forth, Evan Elder has like a really
3:11crafty gas tank over three rounds
3:15when he throws very big moves. Like he's
3:18not much of a power guy.
3:20He's a bit like a Paulo Costa
3:22for the lightweight division. Now, I
3:24know people see Paulo Costa as a power
3:26guy, but
3:27Paulo Costa doesn't have that touch of
3:28death is what I'm saying. He's not
3:30putting guys out with one shot. He
3:32usually has to break them down and beat
3:34them up. And Evan Elder throws heavy
3:36kicks, big low kicks. He moves quite
3:38awkwardly. Little bit of Delishaw
3:40movement mixed in. He's got a bit of a
3:42wrestling background. He's tough. And I
3:45think that's a really big ask for a
3:47debut for a 23-year-old Samuel Sanchez
3:51who's uh only had two fights against
3:54quality competition. So
3:57I 'm going to go with Evan Elder. Maybe
3:59Samuel Sanchez will rise to the
4:00occasion, and if he does, it will be
4:01impressive. He is a slight favorite,
4:03minus 120, but I'm leaning towards the
4:05underdog here in Evan Elder to start off
4:08the card. We move on.
4:11Heili Alateng versus Juan Diaz. This was
4:15supposed to be Adrian Yanez versus Juan
4:18Diaz. I'm going to Diaz, I'm going to
4:20try and let you guys know about all of
4:22the short notice situations that are on
4:24this card.
4:26Adrian Yanez pulls out with an injury.
4:28Heili Alateng is, I mean, 18 and 10.
4:31Heili Alateng, I mean, it's kind of
4:34in his name at this point.
4:38He's kind of the guy that the UFC goes
4:40to because
4:42he shouldn't really be here.
4:45It's one of those yes, I'll take the
4:46fight type of guys that they can put on
4:48the apex, and he's reasonably
4:51entertaining, but not all that really.
4:53He's coming off a very close split
4:56decision to John Castaneda,
4:58who's pretty decent. Some people
5:00disagreed with the
5:01decision, but it was very close.
5:03Juan Diaz, on the other hand, 16 and 1
5:06coming off a win against Malcolm
5:08Wellmaker.
5:10That win
5:13just seems less and less impressive as
5:16time goes on
5:18because Malcolm Wellmaker just got
5:19finished again. However, Malcolm
5:22Wellmaker has got really good scrambles
5:25and really good grappling, and Juan Diaz
5:27took him down and submitted him in round
5:30two with a rear naked choke and made it
5:32look quite easy, you know. He didn't
5:34really have a moment where he was
5:35getting beaten up by Wellmaker. You
5:38know, Ewing took it on very short
5:39notice, I understand, but that was still
5:41a very competitive fight, and even the
5:43guy
5:45the last fought Malcolm Wellmaker had a
5:48moment where he got hurt at the end of
5:49the first round as well, but then put
5:52put down Wellmaker in the second. But
5:54Juan Diaz is a very smothering style.
5:56He's a tough guy. He's got KO power.
5:59Rare Chicanos member with some like real
6:02athleticism on him in bantamweight
6:04division. And uh
6:07I'm going to go with Juan Diaz here over
6:09Heita Alateng. Alateng's a little bit
6:1150/50 in his UFC career. I think he lost
6:14like two or three in a row before his
6:16last win. He needed that one. It was by
6:18split decision. And I think Juan Diaz as
6:20the up and coming contender here is
6:22going to do a better job. You know, he
6:24had a great spinning elbow KO on the
6:26Contender Series. He comes into his UFC
6:28debut. He fights well. Maker submits
6:30him, makes it look relatively easy as
6:32well, mixes in the grappling well. He's
6:34powerful on the feet. He's got good
6:36stand up. He's very tough. And he's got
6:39grappling skills to back it up and some
6:41good submission ability.
6:43I think Alateng is the type of guy where
6:44if you have a hole in your game, he may
6:47be able to craftily eke you out to a
6:49decision by exploiting that hole in your
6:52game. But I think Juan Diaz is very well
6:54rounded and has good cardio.
6:56And I think he's going to rise to the
6:57occasion here. And plus
7:00if this is like a fight that goes past
7:01the first round, Alateng is stepping in
7:04on about a week or two's notice. So I'm
7:06going to go for Juan Diaz for that
7:08reason and he is a big favorite for that
7:09reason as well. We move on.
7:13Macy Chiasson versus Bea Malecki.
7:17Bea Bea Malecki.
7:20Eight and zero.
7:22Amazing grappler for the women's
7:24bantamweight division. Seems to be able
7:26to get her own way in the grappling,
7:27taking down her opponents, getting
7:30submissions, getting TKO's to ground and
7:31pound. She hasn't done it to great
7:34opposition yet, of course. This is the
7:35sort of
7:37women's bantamweight way where it does
7:39take a, you know, takes a couple wins
7:41before you get to some capable
7:42opponents. But she's not fighting
7:43schmucks at the same time. So she's very
7:45physically strong. She's a big girl for
7:48the division as well. She's got muscle
7:49on her. She's got big legs on her as
7:51well. Very entertaining to watch. And
7:55I'm going to go over there to beat Macy
7:56Chiasson. Chiasson can grapple, but
7:59we've seen her taken down a few times.
8:01Seen her getting into these positions.
8:02I'm going to go with the dominance of
8:04Bea Malecki with that grappling game,
8:06the ground and pound ability,
8:09the arm bar ability as well. I know it's
8:11women's MMA and I believe I've seen
8:12Chason in a few moments where she's been
8:15in an arm bar position and refused to
8:16tap or
8:18been submitted, if I remember correctly.
8:20I'm not paying too much attention too
8:22closely to Macy Chason's career, but
8:25I'm going to go with Bea Malecki. I
8:27think she's a new level of grappler in
8:28the women's bantamweight division. I'm
8:30worried about her fight IQ because she
8:32did um
8:35what was the uh low IQ moment that I was
8:38talking about a while ago in chat?
8:41Oh yeah, I am not sure about her fight
8:42IQ because I sensed some low IQ. She was
8:44on camera,
8:46knew she was on stream with Clavicula
8:49and still engaged in that weird way. So
8:51she's
8:52she doesn't have much foresight for her
8:53future.
8:54Um maybe she doesn't have great
8:56peripheral vision for a streamer
8:59and a camera setup with lighting
9:01pointing directly at her as she gets
9:04cold approached, but uh that was a big
9:05moment that made me think maybe this
9:07one's a little bud for brains in the
9:09head, but she's got some grappling
9:11skills for sure. Um and I'm going to go
9:13with Bea Malecki getting this one done
9:16by submission. I'm going to say she
9:20gets a rear naked choke
9:22over over Macy Chason. She's a big
9:24favorite for a reason as well. She's a
9:26little shorter than Chason, but I think
9:27that works because she's going to be
9:29able to get to the hips
9:30a little easier. Sometimes that's a lot
9:32tougher, you know, when you're fighting
9:33a shorter opponent, you're trying to get
9:35underneath the hips of them. This is why
9:36Joshua Van has such good takedown
9:38defense in the men's flyweight division.
9:40The fact that Malecki doesn't really
9:41have to dip under too much and Chason
9:43does get wild with her punches and start
9:45flinging those noodle arms out there.
9:47I'm going to go with Bea Malecki getting
9:49this one done. We move on.
9:52Jared Gordon versus Melquizael Costa.
9:56Melquizael Costa was talked about as a
9:58big problem,
10:00a big problem in the in the
10:02featherweight division before my boy
10:03Arnold Allen got his hands on him, you
10:05know what I'm saying? And all of a
10:06sudden it's oh the weight cut.
10:09He is a big dude for featherweight
10:10though. He always was. Um, he was always
10:13always a guy that you could kind of see
10:14being a guy that moved up a division. He
10:16fights a bit like Alex Pereira as well,
10:19very hands low on the feet, some dynamic
10:21kicks mixed in there, but mostly just
10:23the low kicks and some good punches to
10:25go along with it. Good finishing
10:27potential. Finished Danny Gay by TKO, um
10:30had a head kick KO over Morgan
10:32Charriere. There was a moment where he
10:34was routinely putting on these great
10:37performances, but then Triple A Arnold
10:39Allen got in there with him, dude.
10:41Arnold Allen, people forget, man. He's
10:43only lost to the best, folks.
10:46And in that way by very close decision
10:48as well, by the way.
10:50So never count out Arnold Allen. But he
10:52he kind of showed Cost of the Ropes a
10:54little bit, you know. He showed him that
10:55sort of dynamic level of striking where
10:57he was checking the kicks and landing
10:59teeps and you know, exposing some like
11:02boxing bad habits from Malik was El
11:04Costa with the one two down the pipe.
11:06Similar to how Pereira sometimes gets
11:08figured out on the feet. The way
11:09Adesanya was landing that shot, that
11:11that left hand or the the one two, you
11:14know, straight down the pipe, catching
11:16him on the side of the head. It kept
11:17happening to Malik was El Costa as well.
11:20Um, but Jared Gordon, I don't know is
11:22going to have that ability. He's been
11:24very slow in his past few fights. Um, I
11:26think he lost to Jim Miller recently as
11:28well by guillotine. Um, there was a time
11:31where Jared Gordon was like moving like
11:33a bit of a crafty vet in the lightweight
11:34division and you know, Pimblett broke
11:36his foot in round one against him and
11:38then Gordon went on to arguably defeat
11:41Paddy Pimblett and in my opinion
11:42defeated Paddy Pimblett first two rounds
11:45to him. Um,
11:47it was a very close fight though. Round
11:49two was very competitive, but Gordon was
11:51routinely finding the chin of Pimblett,
11:54but Pimblett Pimblett Pimblett.
11:57[snorts] Pimblett in that fight was very
11:58all over the place and he wasn't like
12:01set in a stance and I think it was
12:02because of his foot, but
12:04Gordon had a lot of stock raise for that
12:06and he also made Bobby Green miss quite
12:08a bit and was landing good on him and
12:10then got KO'd with a headbutt.
12:12But Jared Gordon is last few fights,
12:15he's got good defensive grappling. Uh,
12:18showed that against Grant Dawson for a
12:19moment before Dawson eventually
12:21submitted him in the later rounds. Uh,
12:23we saw that he had
12:25been TKO'd by half a Garcia in his last
12:28second to last fight as well. So it's
12:30not looking too good recently for him.
12:33And I think that this is a good step up
12:34for Malik Whzelle Costa into a new
12:36division. He's not taking on some killer
12:39who's athletic and powerful for
12:40lightweight that he's got to watch out
12:42for. I'd be worried if he was moving up
12:44and fighting a Manuel Torres coming off
12:46of a win or something like that, you
12:48know. But Jared Gordon, very
12:49approachable fight, very hittable.
12:52They're in front of you, not too much
12:54dynamic movement. Um, and I think Malik
12:56Whzelle Costa is going to be able to get
12:57it done. He beat Christian Quiñónez,
12:59who's a crafty guy at bantamweight
13:01that's well-rounded. Um, I believe he
13:03had a close fight with Julian Erosa
13:05though,
13:07which is kind of worrying in hindsight.
13:09But people forget, man. GCJ just got a
13:11KO in his uh last fight to uh sail off
13:14into the sunset. So maybe
13:16maybe Julian Erosa is not not not too
13:18shabby of a
13:20of a win anyway, you know. Only the
13:21great Artem Lobov could put him down and
13:23Bruce Leroy. So I'm going to go Malik
13:25Whzelle Costa. I think his low kicks
13:27will work in this fight. I think he'll
13:28be able to get his combinations off.
13:30He's very patient. He can go three
13:31rounds. Um, I think Gordon's going to
13:34have to out grapple him to a victory.
13:37And I don't know if he can do that
13:38routinely and consistently enough over
13:40three rounds in order to win this fight.
13:42So I'm going to go with Malik Whzelle
13:43Costa um getting this one done by TKO
13:47over Jared Gordon. I actually think it
13:49will be like a head kick or something
13:50like that, something dynamic and big to
13:52finish off the early prelims. We move
13:54on.
13:56Dante Johnson versus César Almeida. Um,
13:59[clears throat]
14:01this was supposed to be
14:03Dante Johnson versus Baysangur Susuyev.
14:06Susuyev now has another opponent.
14:09Um, I can't remember who it is, but it's
14:11like a maybe a Damian Penas or
14:13a a name like that, someone who's got
14:15some hype right now coming up at
14:16middleweight. Um,
14:18but we're looking at Dante Johnson
14:19versus Cesar Almeida here. Cesar Almeida
14:22got chinned in his last fight by Damian
14:24Pinasse. That's what it is, sorry. Um,
14:27Cesar Almeida got put away badly with a
14:29one two down the pipe, I believe it was.
14:31A straight right hand. Um, and that's
14:33very impressive for Pinasse to do
14:34because
14:35Cesar
14:36trying to
14:37restrain from Pinasse jokes.
14:40But Cesar Almeida didn't see that coming
14:42and Pinasse just landed that shot right
14:44on his chin and that was it for Cesar
14:47Almeida, who's a guy
14:48who hasn't really been KO'd, you know.
14:50He's a good kickboxer. Um, he fought
14:52Alex Pereira, I believe. He's fought
14:55Israel Adesanya in glory as well. Very
14:58crafty kickboxer, a little bit of a
14:59cheat as we saw against Dricus du
15:01Plessis, but he's very hard to put away.
15:03Um, coming off that KO loss, taking this
15:07on short notice.
15:10I'm going to go with Dante Johnson.
15:12I'm worried for Dante Johnson, though.
15:15He does have a good grappling game mixed
15:17in.
15:18He's dynamic on the feet-ish.
15:20He KO'd Eric Anders in his last fight
15:22with a nasty shot
15:24and put him asleep really badly.
15:27He had a bad one against Cody Brundage,
15:29but Brundage at times can be incredibly
15:32crafty.
15:34This is the problem with judging guys by
15:35how they look against Cody Brundage.
15:38Um,
15:40is Dante Johnson at this point in his
15:42career like a better Abdul Razak
15:44Alhassan
15:45who had Cesar Almeida in some big
15:47trouble on the feet and then got
15:48overzealous and chinned himself because
15:50he's a little chinny
15:52um, low key.
15:55I'm going to lean towards Dante Johnson.
15:57Good wrestling,
15:59building experience, fighting a guy
16:01that's coming off of a first round KO
16:03loss, fighting a guy who's stepping up
16:05to fight him on
16:06not really short notice, but not a full
16:08camp that he's been prepared for that he
16:09knows he's going to be fighting in MSG.
16:11Um,
16:13so I'm going to go with Dante Johnson
16:14here.
16:15I'm worried about it, though.
16:18I kind of want to go Caesar Almeida. I'm
16:21leaning towards Dante Johnson in this
16:22fight.
16:24Very close, though.
16:25Very close. I actually feel that this
16:27fight should be Evens, and they have
16:29Caesar Almeida as an underdog. Almeida
16:31can get back up.
16:33Um,
16:35but I'm worried for Almeida cuz he does
16:37a lot of like leaning back, chin up in
16:38the air. Dante Johnson closes distance
16:41very well.
16:42I do think Dante Johnson is a bit
16:45but then again, I do this a lot with
16:46these prospects is where I say this
16:48guy's actually secretly terrible, but
16:50they're a middleweight. So they are all
16:52kind of
16:54You have to look for like a real
16:59well-rounded, sophisticated fighter at
17:01middleweight that's going to make it
17:02far. We've seen this with a
17:05Um,
17:06just getting finishes
17:09in the lower end of this division
17:10doesn't mean much to me,
17:12but it definitely helps when you're
17:13coming riding high off that first round
17:15KO, and Almeida's coming off coming in
17:18off of his first, I believe, MMA KO
17:20loss.
17:22[sighs] I'm going to go Dante Johnson.
17:23Mixes up the levels a little bit, gets
17:25Caesar Almeida thinking about the
17:26takedown, cracks him with a good shot,
17:29finishes him off.
17:30We'll go Dante Johnson getting this one
17:32done. Dante actually fought a
17:33heavyweight
17:34in his
17:35debut on the Contender Series, I
17:37believe, whilst a middleweight. So he's
17:39used to fighting taller opponents. Maybe
17:41that'll give him advantage here against
17:42Caesar Almeida. He's only 5'8 Dante
17:44Johnson.
17:45We move on up the card to another fight.
17:47Jim Miller
17:49versus Terence McKinney. My boy Terence
17:51McKinney, you know the deal. Whenever I
17:53pick him to win, he loses. Whenever I
17:55pick his opponent to win,
17:57he
17:58he wins.
17:59This is the case with Terence McKinney.
18:01I have a really tumultuous relationship
18:04with picking him to win fights. It's
18:06entirely the opposite of whatever I say.
18:08I actually craftily I didn't get credit
18:10for this. I picked Kyle Nelson to beat
18:13Terence McKinney because I knew that by
18:15doing so, McKinney would finish him in
18:16the first round, and sure enough,
18:18McKinney finished him with basically
18:19nothing punches.
18:21Um,
18:23McKinney looked really sharp against
18:25Bobby Green.
18:27He gassed,
18:29he lost,
18:30he got finished at the end of the first
18:32round. Would I have liked to have seen a
18:33start of the second round where he would
18:36go out there and try and do that again?
18:38Maybe. Do I understand why Bobby Green
18:40was eating all of those shots fine
18:42against McKinney, but can't eat any
18:44shots against Ribovics and
18:46you know, gets chinned here, there and
18:48everywhere else? It is confusing to me
18:50the way KOs work in MMA. Sometimes they
18:52happen, sometimes they don't.
18:54Jim Miller's old as man.
18:58This is a horrible matchup the UFC has
19:00put together. I get it because what else
19:03are you going to do with Jim Miller? You
19:05can't do an unk
19:07separate league within the UFC,
19:10like a G League, but it's an unk league
19:13and it's just uh Jim Miller versus Clay
19:15Clay Guida five. Look out, folks. You
19:18know what I mean? You have to put him
19:19against someone.
19:23[sighs]
19:24But I'm going to go with McKinney.
19:26He might shoot He might have a
19:28moment and shoot early and get
19:30guillotined.
19:31That's a worry that I have.
19:33But I think if he keeps this standing,
19:36Miller is there to be hit early on the
19:38feet.
19:39And I don't think at this point in Jim
19:40Miller's career he's going to be
19:42surviving some
19:43Terence McKinney out blows
19:46on his chin. McKinney's a big dude for
19:49the division as well. I've met him. I
19:51think he's closer to about 6 ft.
19:53Um, he's a big dude, tall guy for the
19:56division, solid for the division as
19:57well. He's athletic, but I feel like the
20:00reason why his cardio suffers so much is
20:02that he kind of has a bit of a strong
20:04man build in a weird way. Like he's He
20:07lifted me up, guys. I'm big. You know
20:09what I mean? He's a strong He's actually
20:11quite solid for the division. I think he
20:13would fit in at welterweight if he moved
20:15up to be honest with you, but here he's
20:17fast, here he's powerful, and here I
20:19think he's going to be able to beat
20:2150-year-old Jim Miller by KO, so
20:25I think this will be McKinney returning
20:27to a bit of a prime here. Maybe Miller
20:29has some success and then boom, it's
20:31over. Miller hits the canvas, nasty KO
20:34win for McKinney. We move on.
20:37Drew Dober versus Chris Duncan. His
20:39powers.
20:41DREW DOBER'S POWERS, DUDE.
20:45[sighs] They're fading, okay?
20:48He hated seeing this one.
20:51The Braveheart guys.
20:53He's facing a Scottish person. The only
20:55way Drew Dober's powers could be weaker
20:57is if you had him fighting a guy from
20:58Iceland. You know what I mean?
21:01He would have laid down and
21:02tapped the canvas and walked out
21:04the cage and just handed the win to his
21:06opponent then. You giving him The only
21:08thing that might be saving Dober here
21:11is Chris Duncan's tattoos.
21:14Hold on a second.
21:17I'm going to go with Drew Dober.
21:20I'm going to lean towards Drew Dober
21:21here.
21:22I think Drew Dober is going to be able
21:24to catch Chris Duncan. It's going to be
21:25a war. It's going to be a scrap. They're
21:27both going to be landing good shots.
21:29[sighs]
21:30But Dober's chin's still there. He's got
21:32two KOs in a row right now where he's
21:34looked really good. He beat Frevola, he
21:35had a tough time.
21:37[cough]
21:39He beat Michael Johnson by KO in the
21:41fight after that actually broke Michael
21:43Johnson's face and then KOed him. And I
21:47want to I don't want to really get into
21:48this as the prediction, but
21:50you know, Chris Duncan coming off the
21:52loss to Renato Moicano, he went for a
21:53surprise elbow and got submitted. Very
21:55bad move. He'll regret that, I'm sure.
21:58Um he's quite well-rounded, but I don't
22:00think he's going to be able to implement
22:02grappling on Dober. This is going to be
22:04a fight where both guys are standing and
22:05trading on the feet.
22:07It feels like it could go a Frevola type
22:10of way for Dober.
22:12But Duncan gets hit and wobbled here and
22:13there as well, you know?
22:16He's had his moments where he's been
22:17stung and badly hurt. Charlie Campbell
22:19was putting that mustard on him earlier
22:20on and then got carried away and Duncan
22:23was able to chin him. I am going to go
22:24with Dober because
22:26and this is a separate line
22:28outside of the technical analysis here
22:30and outside of the uh the things we know
22:33about these two fighters.
22:36I think the UFC community and the UFC
22:38non
22:40the UFC white community
22:42in the UFC roster
22:44they know Dober's up against it this
22:46weekend, so they've been channeling the
22:47N word.
22:49Okay?
22:51And I think they've been doing that to
22:52try and summon Dober
22:54and summon his powers.
22:58And I think with that word flying around
23:01on Fight Week and that being in the air
23:04in America right now where that word is
23:07being said at a rate 10% higher than it
23:10was a couple of weeks ago
23:12um
23:14Dober's going to be powered up.
23:16Dober's going to be powered up and the
23:17thing is about Chris Duncan is yes, he
23:19might be Dober's least uh favorite guy
23:21to KO, but he does keep decent defense
23:24and he puts his gloves by his chin. What
23:27what color are the gloves?
23:30It's going to give Dober a nice new
23:31target, so I'm going to go with uh Drew
23:33Dober getting this one done by KO. We
23:35move on.
23:39Steven Thompson versus Charles Radtke.
23:41I'm going to go with Charles Radtke.
23:45Say it again, Radtke.
23:48What you going to say this time? Yeah,
23:49I'm saying
23:50the floor is yours right after a Dober
23:52victory.
23:54Who knows what's going to happen on that
23:55microphone?
23:56Steven Thompson though
23:59he did nearly beat Gabriel Bonfim in his
24:02last fight. UFC is so weird. Gabriel
24:05Bonfim loses to Nicolas Dalby, looks
24:08like he's not going to be anything in
24:09the welterweight division, wins a split
24:11decision against Steven Thompson, looks
24:13like he's not really going to be
24:14anything in the division at this point
24:16fighting an older Thompson. This was a
24:17while ago now, over a year ago. Um
24:21but it makes you wonder, you know, like
24:23Steven Thompson, does he still have it?
24:24I'm worried that Radtke will be able to
24:28get takedowns on him.
24:29Radke has shown in his last two fights a
24:31good ability to grapple.
24:34Um, Frundsa, I believe one of the guys
24:36names was, and then he fought Prado, who
24:38just came off a victory recently in the
24:40lightweight division as well by TKO over
24:42Bonfim, another Bonfim.
24:45Um, Ishmael Bonfim.
24:48But Radke is a good grappler.
24:51He's quite composed on the feet. He
24:53doesn't overreach for things. You kind
24:56of have to be in the pocket to finish
24:57him. And at this point in Wonderboy's
24:59career,
25:00am I going to trust him to get a KO win
25:03over Charles Radke?
25:04Do I think he's going to be able to
25:05finish Charles Radke in this fight if
25:08there is grappling mixed in and it is a
25:09bit of a lower pace?
25:11He's going to have to outpoint Radke to
25:13a 29-28 style decision. And I worry that
25:17over that 15 minutes, there's just going
25:19to be too many opportunities for Radke
25:21to score a takedown, for Radke to end up
25:24on top. Um, because out of the last few
25:26opponents of Wonderboy, not a lot of
25:28them have been trying to take him down.
25:30The Holland fight, as good as Wonderboy
25:32looked, Holland had a few moments where
25:34he could have ended up on top and did
25:35some big work,
25:37but just stood it back up because they
25:38had this weird agreement to
25:41give us all a show and have a stand up
25:42match against each other.
25:44Um,
25:46I'm worried that over this past year and
25:47a half,
25:50Wonderboy has not been keeping up to
25:51date with his heavy wrestling on the
25:53mat. Whereas Radke has been training
25:55with very sound opponents. He's training
25:57with Bilal Muhammad at welterweight and
25:59some other good guys at welterweight as
26:00well.
26:02He fight he trained I think by law, if
26:05you train with Bilal Muhammad,
26:09do you train with Ignacio Bahamondes as
26:11well?
26:12Rangy, dangerous striker, throws wheel
26:15kicks, throws funny kicks at different
26:16angles.
26:20You can't emulate Wonderboy, I get it,
26:22but you can have some good
26:23preparation for a rangy striker here.
26:28I'm going to go with Radke getting this
26:29one done. I going go Radtke, 29-28.
26:33Maybe people complain about the
26:34decision, but I just think it's getting
26:36a bit away from Wonderboy at this point.
26:39Buckley was taking him down here and
26:40there. Buckley KO'd him in the third
26:42round of their fight as well.
26:44It's dangerous for an old man this game,
26:47especially the welterweight division
26:48where they're so powerful and athletic.
26:51I'm going to lean towards Charles Radtke
26:52getting this one done, um and I think he
26:55gets it done by decision over Wonderboy,
26:58unfortunately. I do want Wonderboy to
27:00win though, you know, legend of the
27:01game. Last time we're going to see him,
27:03so we got to be there to show support.
27:05But uh
27:07I think there'll be too many
27:08opportunities for Radtke to steal those
27:09rounds. And Wonderboy is not knocking
27:11people down, he's not KOing people. I
27:13hope he has one of those types of
27:15performances, but he just seems to be
27:17like a couple of strikes ahead. And when
27:19you are that, that takedown at the end
27:21of the round can change things.
27:24So I'm going to go Radtke. I think he'll
27:25throw low kicks, be patient, stay behind
27:28his guard,
27:29wait for Wonderboy to try and get
27:31something back and then shoot in, chain
27:33wrestle a little bit.
27:34So I'm going to go Charles Radtke
27:36getting this one done. We move on to the
27:38main card.
27:41Belal Muhammad versus Vicente Luque.
27:44This is a good fight. This is a good
27:46fight. It's not a compelling matchup
27:49because I think Belal Muhammad is going
27:50to do some nasty stuff to Vicente Luque
27:53in my opinion.
27:54Based on what I've seen in Vicente
27:56Luque's career, I'm talking one and four
27:59in his last five, if I'm not mistaken.
28:02Um he beat Daniel Rodriguez,
28:05which was a win over I think Daniel
28:06Rodriguez is a Spanish mix them up
28:09grappler that doesn't really have any
28:10power, also doesn't really have any good
28:13grappling even though he's a grappler.
28:15And Vicente Luque is a capable grappler
28:16here and there. Ode Osbourne put him
28:19down and put him away.
28:21Um Ode Osbourne can be tricky though,
28:22but he's a dynamic rangy striker with
28:25finishing potential. I think Belal
28:26Muhammad is a better version of that, a
28:29more refined version of that. He's
28:30gotten over his UFC debut.
28:33You know, he's a young fighter. He's
28:34only going to be getting better. Um,
28:36I'll talk about that UFC debut in a
28:38second as well, but Luis Geroul in his
28:40last few,
28:41I mean, Jesus Aguilar was able to get
28:44one over on him and make it look quite
28:46cool.
28:47Um, there was another Mexican unranked
28:49guy that he thought that was able to get
28:50one over him on him as well and
28:53he can't be one and four in his last
28:55five because he only has three losses,
28:57so he must be one and three in his last
28:59four.
29:00Um,
29:02but I'm going against Luis Geroul. Ah,
29:04he got submitted by Asian.
29:09Not Tatsuro Taira.
29:11Ray Tsuria.
29:15That sounds right. Ray Tsuria was able
29:17to make quick work of Luis Geroul,
29:18taking him down, out grappling him.
29:20So he's going in here going for broke.
29:22And Belal Hassan is a nasty finisher in
29:24the round one. Let's talk about Belal
29:25Hassan. He watches the channel.
29:28He watches the Shuguru show.
29:30Um, he's part of Gurusalam. I haven't
29:32done an interview yet, but uh you know,
29:34time will come.
29:36We've got to be beating better than Luis
29:37Geroul if you want to get on the Guru
29:38channel.
29:39You know what I'm saying?
29:41But I like Belal Hassan. I did see some
29:43problems in his debut, but then I also
29:45consider in his debut
29:47when he fought Rojas.
29:50I consider that.
29:52He went on He's a big flyweight. He's
29:54got long arms, long limbs. He's a tall
29:55dude for the division. I don't know what
29:56the height difference is going to be
29:58here. 5'7 on 5'5, 6 in reach advantage.
30:01You know what I'm saying? Even half an
30:02inch leg reach advantage. Maybe he's got
30:04longer toes. I don't know how that is if
30:07it's heel to hip. I'm not sure. But um,
30:11he cut weight back to back twice in two
30:14weeks or some like that.
30:16Twice in a week and a half to flyweight.
30:19So he did look like he had some moments
30:21of slowing down against Rojas, but he
30:22picked it back up and got a KO anyway. I
30:25think he needs to trust his punches a
30:26lot more. He kicks a lot. Um, I think in
30:30this fight against Luis Geroul, knowing
30:33that Geroul is going to maybe be wanting
30:34to take him down and get the clinch. He
30:37may have to stick to his punches a bit
30:38more. I like that for him. Lewis Gurule
30:40is very open. He's got short arms. He
30:43swings hooks. He leaves his chin up in
30:45the air. I think this is going to be a
30:47fight where Belal Muhammad goes out
30:48there and gets a spectacular first round
30:51KO win. Moonwalks across the octagon in
30:54MSG and moves on. I think it's going to
30:57take a Charles Johnson. You know what
30:59I'm saying?
31:00Don't give him that matchup.
31:02Let's just keep it rolling.
31:04Keep the momentum going. Give him a step
31:06up after this. Keep him active.
31:09But I do think this is a KO for Belal
31:11Hassan.
31:12I don't see Lewis Gurule having the
31:14ability to finish him on the feet. I
31:15don't see Lewis Gurule having the dog in
31:17him or the speed and the ferocity that
31:19Rohes had. Rohes the guy that Belal
31:22Hassan last fought. He was a scrappy
31:24guy. Chin down, taken massive kicks,
31:27doesn't give a
31:28Kept charging forward, kept swinging
31:30like mad, catching Belal Hassan here and
31:32there as well after two weight cuts
31:34back-to-back. And Hassan ate those shots
31:36pretty well. So I don't see Gurule
31:37getting a KO. I don't see Gurule out
31:40grappling him over three rounds.
31:44I think this is set in stone. It's a
31:47Belal Hassan spectacular first round KO
31:51to kick off the main card at MSG.
31:54And I think it'll be a punch-based KO.
31:57Maybe even a head kick if he's getting
31:59comfy out. I think it depends how long
32:01this fight goes. And I think if the
32:02finish happens in the first two minutes,
32:05it'll be something like a slip out the
32:07way counter shot
32:08on Lewis Gurule after Gurule whiffs on a
32:10hook.
32:11If it goes later, I could see Hassan
32:14mixing it up, throwing a punch with a
32:16kick behind it, catching him with that
32:18instead.
32:19So I think if it's first two minutes,
32:21it'll be a punch. I think if it 's late
32:22first round, it'll be a head kick or
32:24something like that. So I'm going Belal
32:26Hassan getting this one done. We move
32:28on.
32:30Uros Medic versus Kevin Holland.
32:34This is a dangerous matchup.
32:36This is a very interesting matchup to
32:38me.
32:41Um,
32:44I'm going with Uros Medic. I'm worried
32:46about going with Uros Medic.
32:50Kevin Holland is incredibly hard to
32:52finish.
32:54Incredibly hard to finish. And he's
32:56fought some big powerful guys and
32:59they've not been able to KO him, you
33:01know? And he can make it very tricky and
33:04make it a real fight.
33:06And Uros Medic,
33:09I like Uros Medic. I've been a fan of
33:11Uros Medic
33:13since his win on the Contender Series.
33:15Then he kind of went into a bit of
33:17obscurity where he would win one, lose
33:19one and now he's back on momentum again.
33:21He's clearly in his prime. This is his
33:23moment.
33:26The only thing I'm liking about this for
33:28Uros is that Kevin Holland
33:32is so open on the feet sometimes
33:35and
33:36that like takes a while to get serious
33:39in a fight.
33:40And Uros could sting him early. Listen,
33:42no one's really putting away Daniel
33:44Rodriguez in the first minute of a
33:46fight.
33:47You know, there's a lot of guys that
33:48aren't really finishable so early that
33:52Uros Medic has been able to put away.
33:54Jeff Neal is a very tough guy. I know he
33:57got put away by Carlos Prates's spinning
33:59elbow, but I've seen throughout Jeff
34:02Neal's career him be hit with some mean
34:04shots and walk through them and eat them
34:07and get a scrap out of opponents. And
34:09Uros Medic was able to clip him on that
34:11chin. And maybe Holland's height is
34:13going to be a problem.
34:16But I'm thinking this could happen where
34:17Holland throws like a low kick
34:20and leans and Uros just stings him and
34:22lunges into it and cracks him and then
34:25puts him away and maybe we get a finish
34:27where Kevin Holland is complaining about
34:29a stoppage or something along those
34:32lines. I'm also concerned about
34:33Holland's commitment to the game. That
34:35makes me feel a little bit better for
34:36this fight with Uros Medic because you
34:38get to a point where you are a win one,
34:40lose one guy you do start taking your
34:43foot off the pedal in terms of right
34:45back into training the next day,
34:47you know? Uros Medich knows this is his
34:49time. He's going to be the best he's
34:51ever been. And he's riding all of that
34:53momentum. He knocked out Daniel
34:55Rodriguez, and D-Rod nearly knocked out
34:58Kevin Holland, and I believe beat him.
35:00Right? He beat Kevin Holland by
35:02decision, and there was a moment where
35:03he nearly chinned Kevin Holland. And
35:05that's not normal. And it was a very
35:08sloppy looking near chinning
35:10that I was really worried about. Makhmud
35:12Muradov put down Kevin Holland, and
35:14Holland put him in an armbar, and
35:16Makhmud Muradov never tapped, his arm
35:18never broken, they just stopped the
35:19fight.
35:20Um I always thought that stoppage was
35:21weird, but
35:24Holland could drag this late, and that
35:26does make me worry for Uros a bit. The
35:28only one that he's won,
35:31the only W, the only O N E that he's W O
35:34N
35:36is when he fought Matthew Semelsberger,
35:39and he hurt Semelsberger early but
35:41didn't finish him. And then it kind of
35:43got a bit tricky in round two, and then
35:44he finished Semelsberger in the third
35:46round with a spinning backfist. So he
35:49has had more experience going late.
35:54I'm going to go over Uros. I think there
35:55comes a time when guys like Kevin
35:57Holland stop being around,
36:00and I think this is going to be that
36:01time. I think Holland's going to get hit
36:02by a 45-70.
36:04And I'm going to go over Uros. I like
36:06his body kick here as well, by the way.
36:08Uros Medich has a really nasty body
36:09kick, and Holland's defense is very like
36:12Philly shell, motivated. He keeps his
36:15hand up very high on this side, high
36:17elbow on the other side. He'll shrimp
36:19away from things, and I'm thinking that
36:21maybe Uros could faint and bang, big
36:23body kick, and maybe that could get a
36:25reaction out of Holland. So
36:28maybe he targets Holland's legs.
36:31Holland did target Randy Brown's legs in
36:33his last fight, but Randy Brown is a bit
36:37Randy Brown's a bit at this
36:39point, isn't he? It's not really a great
36:40win.
36:42Mm. I'm going to go Uros Medich. I'm
36:44going to Uros Medich by KO in the early
36:46rounds, but I am worried that maybe
36:48Holland could make this a bit more of a
36:49scrap and
36:51the Uros that is known for his first
36:53round is not the same Uros as is known
36:55for over a duration of a fight, so and
36:58there's a 10-inch reach advantage for
36:59Holland, so.
37:02That's dangerous. I'm going to go with
37:04Uros though
37:06and I'm going to say he gets a KO.
37:07Malott is very rudimentary with his
37:09striking ability.
37:11He's found good finishes and he got it
37:13on Gilbert Burns and Buckley's a bit
37:15at this point as well and he got
37:16caught with the knee by Mike Malott,
37:19but he's quite rudimentary. Uros is a
37:21dynamic like
37:24glimpses of like a prime McGregor type
37:26of shot selection fighter, you know?
37:28It's
37:29it's a very good ability that he has for
37:31first round KOs.
37:33So yeah, Malott couldn't really do it,
37:35but Malott's very simple and Holland
37:37still couldn't win that, right?
37:40He couldn't win that. He couldn't KO
37:42Mike Malott and catch him out, so and I
37:45see Malott and Uros quite similar in
37:46terms of a long duration fight.
37:49I'm going to go Uros Medich KO over
37:52Kevin Holland riding the momentum. We
37:54move on.
37:57Khaos Williams versus Yusup Belharouia.
38:01This is a risky fight. I 'm going to go
38:03with Yusup Belharouia over Khaos
38:05Williams.
38:06Belharouia looked like piss
38:08against Reinier de Ridder in his last
38:10fight and I know that Yusup Belharouia
38:12has not fought a guy like Reinier de
38:13Ridder
38:14um and Yusup Belharouia has fought
38:17fought guys like Abdul Razak Alhassan.
38:19He fought
38:20um
38:22the guy that lost to Tre'Sean Gore that
38:24didn't end up really being all that
38:26good, Azamat Murzakanov
38:28that he ended up really handily
38:29outclassing and finishing and Belharouia
38:31is going to be a taller opponent for
38:33him, something he's not as used to
38:35recently.
38:36Um
38:38but I am going to go Yusup Belharouia,
38:40man. He looked good in his last fight,
38:41got a KO easily. It was Jordan Santos
38:44though and
38:45Jordan Santos is a bit but
38:47I remember a time when Caio Borralho was
38:49coming up outside of the middleweight
38:51rankings and he was making a lot of bad
38:53fighters look quite good against him. He
38:55was taking some of them to 29-28
38:57decisions and eking out every round
39:00against them and I've always thought
39:02that out of the fighting nerds he was
39:04kind of very lucky to be involved
39:07because Haffy looked sick on the come up
39:09and then you had Jean Silva who looked
39:10amazing on the come up and Prates is
39:13still looking amazing now and
39:15then there was Borralho.
39:17You know?
39:18And he didn't quite fit with the oh you
39:20got to win over Paul Craig. That was
39:22your big KO win and dynamic finish that
39:25you had and
39:27you know he did beat Reinier de Ridder.
39:30He was open to low kicks against Reinier
39:32de Ridder. I think Belgaroui has a much
39:35better setup for those low kicks. I'm
39:37worried that Borralho is going to be
39:38able to take him down and do things with
39:39him there though.
39:40That is the X factor in this fight.
39:43Borralho does have an ability to land
39:45some good shots on the feet. He's not
39:47got the most KO power
39:49but he did look pretty good against
39:50Kopylov.
39:51You know? He did look pretty good but
39:53Belgaroui is a very sophisticated
39:55striker.
39:57You'll be two and a half minutes into
39:58round one and before you know it there
40:01have been 12 calf kicks that he's
40:03landed.
40:04You know? And that will change a fight
40:06over three rounds.
40:08Um and he's good at those investment
40:10shots and he's good at jabbing and
40:12things like that and Borralho does a lot
40:14of lead hand work where he leans back
40:17and kind of just leaves his chin there
40:18and Magomedov took advantage of this in
40:20some moments because Magomedov's very
40:22good down the pipe
40:23with one-twos. Um Borralho does a lot of
40:26lead hook spamming and
40:28he likes his lead hand a lot more than
40:30and only once that lands consistently
40:32enough does he start uncorking a
40:34straight right hand down the pipe and I
40:35just think Belgaroui can jab and low
40:38kick at range and move pretty safely
40:41here. It's the takedown I'm worried
40:43about but Belgaroui has shown in his
40:45last few fights that when guys try and
40:46take him down he does he does get back
40:49up a lot better than he used to. When he
40:51fought Marco Tozzi on the Contender
40:52Series, that takedown was a bit of a
40:54problem for him. When he fought the
40:55other guy that he fought on the
40:57Contender Series, the Asian dude, that
40:59grappling pressure and that clinch was a
41:02bit of a problem for him as well, but he
41:03has improved there.
41:05And they do have a good system with
41:07Glover. And it has shown improvements
41:09where Pereira is not being taken down by
41:11Ankalaev and I know he lost that first
41:13fight, but that's still very impressive
41:15for a Glory kickboxer to pick up those
41:17skills.
41:19I'm going to go with Yussup Bakhruyev
41:21here. I think he'll land a lot of low
41:22kicks. It'll start to impact Bakhruyev.
41:25We're looking at a decision. I don't
41:27think he finishes Bakhruyev here, but I
41:29think he's going to be able to find
41:30himself a decision win. Maybe there's a
41:33round where Bakhruyev gets him down at
41:35the end of it, maybe gets the back,
41:36doesn't get the finish.
41:40Maybe drags Bakhruyev down,
41:44has the body lock against the cage,
41:45punches away as Bakhruyev gets back up.
41:48It's a close round. It could go
41:49Bakhruyev's way.
41:51I just think consistently throughout the
41:53fight on the feet,
41:54Bakhruyev is going to be able to find
41:56his shots. And I think he's going to
41:57like that Bakhruyev's a little taller.
42:01You know, 6'1". He used to be listed at
42:035'10", biggest lie
42:05of height in the UFC. I remember that
42:08when that was first happening and people
42:09were like, what the This guy's
42:10actually massive for middleweight.
42:12Um,
42:136'6", 4-in reach advantage.
42:17I think Bakhruyev's going to like that.
42:18He's fought Bakoev
42:20and Mansur Abdulmalik, who although is
42:22quite short, is quite tall, has a very
42:25wide stance cuz he's very inexperienced
42:28and he's not as loose on the feet, so
42:29he's very planted and that opens up that
42:31low kick.
42:33Um, so it makes him a little shorter.
42:34These guys are quite hard for Bakhruyev
42:36to catch,
42:38you know?
42:39Um, whereas Bakhruyev's very upright,
42:41but he does have a wide stance. So it
42:44opens up the low kick and it also makes
42:46that jab from the shoulder of Bakhruyev,
42:49just a little peppering shot that he can
42:52sort of go to throughout this fight. So,
42:54I'm going to go with a Belbroui, very
42:57close decision, 29-28, maybe a split.
43:00Who knows? I'm predicting split
43:02decisions, dude, crafty. I'm going to go
43:04with Belbroui getting a decision win. We
43:06move on.
43:09Kayla Harrison versus Amanda Nunes. This
43:11one's dragging out a little bit.
43:13Um,
43:14I'm going with
43:17Amanda Nunes by KO.
43:23[sighs]
43:23I'm going with Amanda Nunes by KO.
43:25There's many reasons why.
43:28Um,
43:29first reason from a lack of a breakdown
43:32of what they do as fighters
43:35is that Kayla this the reason this fight
43:37has taken so long to make is because of
43:39Kayla Harrison.
43:41Lot of people wouldn't suspect that
43:43because they would think if they weren't
43:45in the know.
43:46They would think, well, Nunes is the one
43:48coming out of retirement, so they must
43:49be waiting until she feels good enough
43:51to go again and and now they're doing
43:53it. But Nunes has kind of been ready for
43:55this
43:56for a while and she looks in great
43:58shape.
43:59Um, Kayla always looks in great shape,
44:02but she's had a really bad neck injury
44:06in her recent build-ups to attempts at
44:08training camps with Nunes. This was
44:10supposed to happen earlier this year.
44:11It's been a while since Kayla Harrison
44:14last fought.
44:15Um, and Kayla is good. She's got good
44:18grappling.
44:19But I looked at the Ketlen Vieira fight
44:22and I always bring this up with Kayla
44:24Harrison. I look to that Ketlen Vieira
44:26fight and I think to myself,
44:28there's a Brazilian butch woman who has
44:30a decent understanding of grappling and
44:32takedown defense,
44:34isn't all that on the feet, nowhere near
44:36the danger that Amanda Nunes is, and she
44:38was able to stop the takedowns of Kayla
44:40Harrison and deal with her quite okay on
44:43the feet.
44:44Harrison got a takedown early, eked out
44:47another round of that fight based on a
44:49few moments and ended up winning. And I
44:51look at Priscilla
44:53Cachoeira or
44:55Pacheco or whoever that Brazilian butch
44:58borderline man woman was on
45:01in Kayla Harrison's PFL fights that she
45:03had.
45:05And it's the same sort of like dynamic,
45:07Brazilian butch woman, decent
45:09understanding of takedown defense,
45:10pretty dangerous on the feet, nowhere
45:12near as dangerous as Amanda Nunes, but
45:14more dangerous than Ketlen Vieira. And
45:16Harrison beat that woman earlier in her
45:18career, but then the last fight they had
45:24whatever her name is defeated Kayla
45:26Harrison and made her look a little bit
45:28lost out there in moments.
45:30I think we could be looking at a
45:31situation where Nunes smokes Harrison in
45:34round one.
45:37Massive weight cut for Harrison.
45:39Nowhere near the level of Nunes on the
45:42feet. Nunes has nothing to lose. It
45:44would be the worst thing to happen to
45:45the women's bantamweight division, by
45:47the way. It would be great for Nunes,
45:49but she ain't sticking around.
45:51We need Harrison to win so we can move
45:52on and have some order in the women's
45:54bantamweight division.
45:57But I don't think Harrison's just going
45:58to manhandle Nunes here.
46:01Nunes lost to Juliana Peña. That's
46:02embarrassing. I understand it, but
46:05she's a mean puncher. And Harrison cuts
46:08a lot of weight.
46:10You know? And she's strong out there,
46:12but she's very rigid in her movement and
46:15robust with what she There's no fluidity
46:17there on the feet really. She throws
46:19kicks, her chins up in the air. I can so
46:22see Nunes clipping her on the chin
46:24early, so
46:25I think I'm going to go with Amanda
46:27Nunes getting a KO win.
46:29Coming out there, no pressure, Kayla
46:31Harrison defending the belt, fighting
46:33someone that's been retired for a while.
46:35I'm going to go with Amanda Nunes. I
46:37think she's going to have some real
46:38steam in her hands early, and I 'm going
46:40to go with Nunes getting the upset, I
46:42believe, if I'm not mistaken. What are
46:43the odds here that we're looking at?
46:44Slight underdog
46:46for Amanda Nunes, 3-in reach advantage.
46:48They're the same height. Harrison, of
46:50course, is a lot denser, a lot more
46:52weight in the shoulders.
46:54Nunes has been five rounds how many
46:56times? She's been in these fights. She's
46:57fought crafty strikers like Valentina
46:59Shevchenko. I know she's been out for a
47:01while, but she's been ready for this for
47:03a while now. She's back in the routine.
47:05It's not like she's out of her prime. Um
47:08she's been in dog fights. She's fought
47:11Chris Cyborg, huge, powerful, dangerous,
47:14just cleaned her up with some nasty man
47:16punches and
47:18I'm going to lean towards Amanda Nunes
47:19here.
47:21I don't see Harrison finishing her.
47:24What was Harrison's last win
47:27anyway? Was it against Juliana Peña? Was
47:30that what it was?
47:32Um
47:33I 'm going to check real quick.
47:39Jeez, every time I check my phone it
47:40stresses hell.
47:42Sorry guys.
47:43Um but Kayla Harrison
47:46Juliana Peña got the Kimura in round
47:48two. That's actually quite impressive to
47:49do.
47:50Ketlen Vieira decision. She's only
47:52fought twice since October the 5th
47:542024
47:56decision with Aspinall at PFL over three
47:59rounds. Lost to Pacheco, Larissa
48:01Pacheco.
48:03Yeah, man.
48:05I'm going to go over Amanda Nunes to be
48:07honest with you. I don't think she gets
48:08subbed.
48:09I don't think she gets handled on the
48:11ground
48:12and I think that she's going to land
48:13some big shots on Kayla Harrison's chin.
48:15We move on.
48:17Ciryl Gane versus Josh Haukett. Holy
48:20cinema.
48:22We are rooting for Josh Haukett beyond
48:24belief.
48:25I don't know how Jorge Masvidal got five
48:27to one odds on Josh Haukett and put down
48:29$200,000 and he's getting back a million
48:32because the odds of Haukett are plus
48:33165. I have no idea how he managed to do
48:37that, but you know
48:38Masvidal works in mysterious ways.
48:42I'm rooting for Josh Haukett big time.
48:44I'm worried for Josh Haukett big time
48:45against Ciryl Gane, dude.
48:47Ciryl Gane's only had six more fights
48:50than him.
48:51That's interesting.
48:53But when I look at those six fights
48:56John Jones
48:58um
49:00Tom Aspinall
49:02Volkov, you know, like big name fights
49:05in the division that he's had. Alex
49:07Pereira.
49:10I'm worried for Josh Hocket here.
49:13He needs to finish Ciryl Gane in the
49:15first minute or two with strikes
49:18on the feet,
49:19which is a very big ask,
49:21very hard to do,
49:23but maybe the shortness of Hocket and
49:25the speediness of him and his aggression
49:27could
49:28work out against Ciryl Gane. Gane moves
49:31on the back foot like nobody else at
49:33heavyweight.
49:34Very hard to track down. They're in the
49:37big cage. Um,
49:39he's got a very good defense. He He does
49:42things that Blades doesn't do
49:43defensively.
49:44Blades steps back and plods and he's
49:47back setting his stance again, ready to
49:49be hit again in a way, whereas Gane will
49:51slip and take an outside and L step this
49:54way and then he rolls with his shoulder
49:56and keeps his arm out when he fades
49:58away. Like he's very slick
50:01to track down and land on. And Hocket's
50:04going to be punching up at him a little
50:05bit. He's not too much shorter than
50:07Ciryl Gane, I understand, but there is
50:08something there.
50:11I'm going to go with
50:13I'm rooting for Josh Hocket beyond
50:14belief.
50:16I'm a Josh Hocket fan.
50:18I really hope he wins. I want to see
50:20nothing more than Ciryl Gane slept out.
50:22I want Josh Hocket to go out there,
50:24groin shot Ciryl Gane in the first 10
50:25seconds. Gane recovers from a
50:27devastating groin shot, starts the fight
50:29again. Josh Hocket eye pokes him. Gane
50:31recovers from a devastating eye poke,
50:34goes out there again. Josh Hocket pokes
50:35the other eye. A point gets taken away
50:37from Josh Hocket. He says it, gives
50:39a middle finger to the ref. Ciryl Gane
50:41goes back in there again. Uh, Josh
50:43Hocket gets a takedown by grabbing the
50:45cage and using it to twist himself and
50:47end up on top. Ciryl Gane I don't know
50:49what else could possibly happen. He fish
50:51hooks Ciryl Gane on the ground. Gane
50:53tries to get wrist control and Hocket
50:55digs his fingers in the gloves and
50:57wrenches his fingers back and then
50:58finishes Gane with a heel kick,
51:01a stomp to the back of the head,
51:03illegally, while Gane on one knee.
51:05That's what I hope happens.
51:08I don't know if Horiguchi is going to be
51:09able to get a grappling pace off on
51:11Ciryl Gane. He's massive, he's athletic.
51:14If you don't shoot to get a body lock
51:16and drag from there, he can be very hard
51:18to take down on a single leg and a
51:20double leg. He's got a very good sprawl.
51:22He's got a very good ability to get
51:24underhooks. He used to make a lot of
51:26dumb decisions. He's fought Ngannou over
51:28five rounds, you know what I mean? He
51:30used to make a lot of dumb decisions in
51:32fights, like when he was against the
51:33cage, he would try and rip a kimura and
51:36end up on bottom position from it. He
51:38would attack legs in positions that he
51:40shouldn't attack legs from.
51:43I'm worried that Horiguchi is going to
51:45be whiffing punches coming forward and
51:47getting caught with counters.
51:50I also worried that Horiguchi is going
51:51to get low kicked quite a bit at range
51:53here and there as well with inside low
51:55kicks. I think they're in open stance
51:57against each other here.
51:59Horiguchi in orthodox, Ciryl Gane in
52:00southpaw, he's very tricky to deal with.
52:04[sighs]
52:05It's going to open up those inside low
52:06kicks for Ciryl Gane. Some of them are
52:08probably going to be groin shots with
52:10Horiguchi moving forward.
52:12Um, I can see Ciryl Gane moving out the
52:14way of the right hand of Horiguchi and
52:16landing something back. I'm so rooting
52:18for Josh Horiguchi, but because I'm
52:19rooting for someone, I can't pick them
52:21if I don't think it.
52:23I'm going to lean towards Ciryl Gane.
52:26I going to go towards Ciryl Gane here.
52:28Even stuff like
52:30just a lead teep
52:31on Josh Horiguchi. If he's standing
52:33there in front of Ciryl, if he gets as
52:35tired
52:37in this fight with Ciryl Gane as he was
52:39in moments against Blades where he's
52:41standing there and waiting for a second
52:43wind and getting a middle finger off, I
52:45think Gane might start to flow,
52:48you know? In, out, low kick, teep, move,
52:51left hook, right hand.
52:53I'm worried that Horiguchi's size might
52:55be a problem for him here
52:57and his reach might be a bit of a
52:59problem for him here.
53:0373 and 1/2 in reach for heavyweight. You
53:05know how on the inside you have to be to
53:07get consistent shots off like that?
53:10I think this is going to be a really
53:11good fight for Cyril Gane.
53:14I'm rooting for Josh Hockett big time,
53:16but I think Gane's going to be able to
53:17prod at his stomach, land shots at
53:19range, move out the out the way a lot
53:22when Hockett comes forward trying to
53:23land shots.
53:25If I Does Hockett out grapple Gane
53:27really easily here?
53:29That's what you're going to have to kind
53:31of hope for. I don't think he Gane has
53:33such a good chin, man.
53:35He's eaten big punches off Ngannou and
53:37not been KO'd. He's eaten shots off Tom
53:39and not got KO'd. Not too many shots,
53:41but big shots and
53:43he's been hit by a flush spinning back
53:45fist by Volkov, who's not a big
53:47finisher, but it's still a heavyweight
53:49hitting you
53:50with their full power and and Gane
53:52doesn't get hurt by those shots. I don't
53:53think I've ever seen him wobbled. He's
53:55been dropped by Tybura, but it was his
53:57feet getting tangled up and then he pops
53:59back up and gets right back to work and
54:02it's just a really big ask for Josh
54:04Hockett to go out there and get this one
54:05done.
54:11So I'm going to go Cyril Gane as much as
54:13it pains me in my heart to say so. I'm
54:15rooting for Josh Hockett.
54:17Could he get in Cyril Gane's head? Could
54:19he surprise him with something early?
54:21I just don't see him putting that crazy
54:23wrestling pace on Gane.
54:26You know?
54:28Maybe there's a cardio diff
54:31where he does get this out the first
54:32round and get back to his grappling in
54:34round two and set another round of pace
54:37on Gane and Gane's starting to slow down
54:40now and really get tired and now things
54:42are different. I just don't see that
54:44Jones latch up a submission ability from
54:46Hockett yet. He's going to have to prove
54:49this wrong.
54:50He's up against the odds.
54:54Gane moves so well and the Blades fight
54:57was so close and Hockett got stung a lot
55:01and Blades doesn't go into a flow. He's
55:03very rigid. He throws a one two. He gets
55:06stuck throwing just punch, punch, punch.
55:09Gane's very step through, left hook,
55:11step out, right hand, left hand, slip,
55:14left hand. You know, it's very flowing.
55:16It shots that can KO you despite his
55:18lack of one touch power.
55:23So for that reason,
55:36I could see Gane slipping out the way of
55:38a right hand and landing back with a a
55:40rear uppercut or a left hand counter.
55:42Then they clinch. Gane separates, looks
55:44for an elbow
55:46or a knee or something devastating off
55:48the break there. Hockett's not been
55:49doing this for He's not been in the UFC
55:51for long.
55:53Gane's been doing this a lot longer. And
55:55as much as we all want to see it happen
55:56and I'm going to be praying and hoping
55:59that Hockett goes out there and puts him
56:00away,
56:03I don't see it.
56:07And I'm shocked by the odds. Maybe
56:09Masvidal's odds were correct because I'm
56:11uh
56:12minus 200 for Gane.
56:14You would think based on what we've seen
56:16that he would be a bigger favorite, but
56:18[sighs]
56:19Hockett could get it done. He's been
56:21doing dis tracks. He's getting in Gane's
56:23head a little bit. He's talking at
56:24the face off. Who knows what he's going
56:26to bring up at the press conference.
56:27Maybe he gets Gane angry.
56:30But I don't see it.
56:32I think Ciryl Gane wins this fight
56:36over Josh Hockett.
56:39It pains me to let down a Jerusalem
56:41affiliate like Josh Hockett, but I've
56:42got to be honest. You know, I am rooting
56:44for him, but I've got to be honest in
56:46what I think's going to happen and
56:48I think we're going to see a Ciryl Gane
56:49second round TKO
56:52over Josh Hockett here.
56:54Gane's picked apart guys at range that
56:56can't really touch him
56:58when they have a 78 inch reach, when
57:00they have a 79 inch reach or a 80 inch
57:02reach like Volkov.
57:05This is a lot to play with,
57:07you know? And I don't know about the
57:09grappling.
57:10I'm not convinced yet.
57:12We'll see. Like and subscribe. Thank you
57:14for watching.
57:16Toodle pip. I'll see you later.
57:18Good bye.
57:21Great card overall though. Really
57:22looking forward to it.

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