Trading WORLD CHAMPION Reveals the Orderflow Strategy That Won the Robbins Cup (Step-by-Step) — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00This is Chris Creamer, one of the
- 0:02youngest World Cup day trading champions
- 0:04ever. At just 26 years old, he traded in
- 0:08the most prestigious trading competition
- 0:10on the planet up against veterans,
- 0:13full-time professionals, people who've
- 0:15done nothing but trade for decades. And
- 0:18he didn't just beat them, he made
- 0:20[music] 100% in a single month. And in
- 0:24this episode, he's breaking down his
- 0:26complete championship winning strategy
- 0:29live in person for the first time ever.
- 0:33>> Yeah, so the easiest way to probably do
- 0:36this is to break it down into four
- 0:38[music] different steps. Basically, it's
- 0:40context, location, then confirmation.
- 0:43But the way that I look at it and we'll
- 0:45kind of mark it out here. The first
- 0:47thing that I look at is environment. And
- 0:49so, I'm looking to
- 0:52not necessarily trade when the market is
- 0:54balanced, but when the market is
- 0:56starting to force participation on
- 0:58either edge. And when it fails, it
- 1:00creates trap participation or trap
- 1:03participants. [music]
- 1:04And that's when they're offsides.
- 1:06>> Chris has built one of the most
- 1:07sophisticated trading processes I've
- 1:09ever seen. He uses market structure to
- 1:12define the environment, gamma exposure
- 1:14to understand volatility, volume profile
- 1:17to isolate where he wants to trade, then
- 1:20order flow to time the exact entry.
- 1:24>> So, this is the strategy you generally
- 1:26and traded the World Championship with?
- 1:28>> Yes, this is the exact thing that I did.
- 1:30Yes.
- 1:31>> But then he said something that changed
- 1:33my mind about trading at a world
- 1:35champion level. This strategy, the one
- 1:38that beat every industry veteran and won
- 1:41the World Cup, is so simple that
- 1:43according to Chris, literally anyone can
- 1:46go out and trade it.
- 1:48>> So, with prop firms, realistically, you
- 1:51do not need to be the greatest trader
- 1:53ever to make money with prop firms. You
- 1:54really don't. And what you need to do
- 1:56[music]
- 1:57is if you want to trade the way that I
- 1:59trade, you can absolutely go do it. The
- 2:01way you go do it is you learn
- 2:02>> What you're about to watch has never
- 2:04existed before. A Robin's World Cup
- 2:06champion breaking down the exact
- 2:08strategy that won him the title. Live,
- 2:11in person, step-by-step. From the very
- 2:14first thing he checks before the market
- 2:17even opens to the exact moment he enters
- 2:20and exits a trade. And then Chris
- 2:23reveals the process he used to eliminate
- 2:26the bad trades that were destroying his
- 2:29results and finally become consistently
- 2:32profitable. Nothing in this video is
- 2:34financial advice. Everything discussed
- 2:36is just the insights of a 26-year-old
- 2:38trader who went from losing trader to
- 2:41building a process and taking that
- 2:43process all the way to becoming a world
- 2:45champion. Let's see what Chris is made
- 2:48of.
- 2:50>> Chris, you just won the Micro Day
- 2:52Trading Championship, Robin's World Cup,
- 2:55for the month of July with a 100% return
- 2:58at 26 years old. Very impressive.
- 3:02But what is the number one thing that
- 3:05clicked
- 3:07that allowed you to not just be a guy
- 3:09trying to figure this out anymore, but
- 3:11actually trade at an elite level like
- 3:13that?
- 3:14>> So, I mean, I've been trading for a
- 3:18while. Uh and in the beginning, I was I
- 3:20had no idea what I was doing, right? So,
- 3:23I'm basically looking for setups,
- 3:25looking for patterns, and it took a
- 3:28while of me just kind of strategy
- 3:31hopping and focusing on like entry
- 3:33models and setups to realize it's not
- 3:35really about that. Because at the end of
- 3:38the day, when it comes to like an entry
- 3:40model or setup, what I didn't realize at
- 3:43the time,
- 3:44I used to put that as the holy grail
- 3:46thinking that if I can just find the
- 3:48right setup or the right candlestick
- 3:51pattern that I can just do over and over
- 3:53that's going to make me successful but
- 3:56what changed was I needed to understand
- 3:59what it is that I was actually doing in
- 4:01terms of what am I participating in who
- 4:04are the other participants what are they
- 4:06trying to do what are their
- 4:09um
- 4:10essentially like limitations and where
- 4:12do they need to start actually
- 4:14participating in terms of being forced
- 4:16to participate and then trying to build
- 4:19context around trade ideas and then what
- 4:22ends up happening is
- 4:23entries setups it comes down to like
- 4:27the final 5 to 10% because at that point
- 4:30all you're doing is you're just
- 4:32confirming or denying whether or not
- 4:34your trade idea is valid in the first
- 4:36place so really shifting that focus over
- 4:39towards really execution because in the
- 4:42beginning
- 4:43all I thought about was money but the
- 4:45money is the byproduct of proper
- 4:46execution and it took me a long time
- 4:49basically to come to terms with uh
- 4:52>> so
- 4:53in the byproduct of the execution now
- 4:56you said you were strategy hopping and
- 4:59you still use some form of a strategy I
- 5:02would imagine but you said forced
- 5:04participation also so this is more on
- 5:07the microstructure side of markets and
- 5:11how they exist mechanically is this what
- 5:13you're looking to exploit
- 5:15>> yeah so basically I'm a day trader I'm
- 5:17an intraday trader and I'm really only
- 5:19trading the first hour and a half of New
- 5:22York open sometimes I trade Asia session
- 5:24but what I mean by forced participation
- 5:26is let's say
- 5:29in the market the market I view it as an
- 5:30auction it is an auction you have buyers
- 5:32and you have sellers
- 5:34you when you have buyers and you have
- 5:35sellers you have positioning and when it
- 5:37comes to positioning let's say we're
- 5:40balanced right you have a very defined
- 5:42range there's position building within
- 5:45the range and buyers and sellers are
- 5:47comfortable in this area. We're building
- 5:48value here. They Cuz the purpose of the
- 5:51market is determined to determine the
- 5:53value of this asset, right? So, there
- 5:56will be times where they're temporarily
- 5:59in agreement, where they're comfortable.
- 6:01You know, no one's getting forced to
- 6:02participate. They're building positions.
- 6:04The moment that one side basically
- 6:06starts to get more aggressive than the
- 6:08other, well, then it starts forcing
- 6:10participation. This is the way I think
- 6:11about it. And what I mean by that is
- 6:15when you are a buyer, you basically and
- 6:17you're in a position, you have two
- 6:19options if the trade is going against
- 6:21you. Either you try and defend that
- 6:22position, or you try and add more into
- 6:24your position, or you're going to have
- 6:26to get out. And when you have to get
- 6:29out, well, what do you do when you buy?
- 6:30You have to sell to get out of your your
- 6:32buy position. And so, I'm looking to
- 6:36not necessarily trade when the market is
- 6:39balanced, but when the market is
- 6:40starting to force participation on
- 6:43either edge,
- 6:44and I'm looking for that participation
- 6:46necessarily, or to fail, in a sense. And
- 6:50when it fails, it creates trapped
- 6:52participation, or trapped participants.
- 6:55And that's when they're offsides, and
- 6:57then you don't need to like catch some
- 7:00type of home run. I'm just looking for
- 7:0250 points, 100 points. I'm just trying
- 7:05to take sometimes mean reversion, but
- 7:07really, it's more about where we
- 7:09building value,
- 7:11how are we moving out of it? They're
- 7:12making effort, whether it's buyers or
- 7:14sellers, are they being successful with
- 7:16that or not? And if they're not, then
- 7:17you can try and take advantage of it.
- 7:19And that's what I do, at least.
- 7:20>> Excellent, Chris. I
- 7:22This sounds highly
- 7:23advanced, or sophisticated, I should
- 7:25say. I want to see it drawn on our
- 7:27whiteboard, step-by-step, so the
- 7:30audience has a good idea of how they
- 7:32could implement a process like this on
- 7:34their own, and and not leave it too
- 7:37abstract. So, if you don't mind, let's
- 7:39jump onto the whiteboard. So, Chris,
- 7:41walk me through step-by-step from the
- 7:44moment you open a chart and
- 7:46get trading, exactly what you're looking
- 7:49at all the way up until you take a trade
- 7:52and then exit that trade.
- 7:55>> Yeah, so the easiest way to probably do
- 7:57this is to break it down into four
- 8:00different steps. Now,
- 8:02basically it's context, location, then
- 8:04confirmation. But, the way that I look
- 8:07at it and we'll kind of mark it out
- 8:08here. The first thing that I look at is
- 8:11environment. So, when it comes to
- 8:13environment, there's a couple different
- 8:14pieces to that. Now, what I want to
- 8:16understand is are we currently in
- 8:19a value up structure, a value down
- 8:21structure, or sideways? Now, what would
- 8:23that actually look like? Let's take a
- 8:24specific scenario so that it's a little
- 8:26bit easier to draw out. Now, let's say
- 8:29that the market has been moving
- 8:31something like this. Now, in a scenario
- 8:34like this, where are we typically
- 8:35creating value? Well, we would probably
- 8:37be creating value here,
- 8:40then here,
- 8:41and then we are currently searching for
- 8:43new value. Now, maybe that would be
- 8:45somewhere over here.
- 8:47Okay? Now, what I'm looking at
- 8:50heading into the session is I want to
- 8:52understand what the higher time frames
- 8:54are doing. And so, this would be viewed
- 8:57on, let's say, like a 1-hour chart,
- 9:00maybe a 4-hour chart. The purpose of
- 9:02this is to understand what has the week
- 9:05been doing, what's the previous week
- 9:07been doing. So, it's very basic market
- 9:10structure, higher highs, higher lows,
- 9:13understanding how value is getting
- 9:14created, is it getting created higher
- 9:16and higher?
- 9:17And the second piece of this is
- 9:19understanding gamma or gex. Now,
- 9:22the gamma or gex that I use, I use
- 9:25something called naive gex. Now, there's
- 9:27different, you know, you can use
- 9:28inferred gex, uh which is basically how
- 9:31they calculate their models to determine
- 9:33the the levels. Um but, I like looking
- 9:36at NQ um
- 9:38levels. So, that would be QQQ, NDX. The
- 9:41CBOE doesn't have the data for that. So,
- 9:45majority of NQ is going to be like naive
- 9:48GEX calculations.
- 9:49>> And what does GEX tell you?
- 9:51>> So, GEX, when it comes to regime or
- 9:54environment, there, let's say we have
- 9:56GEX, okay? It stands for gamma exposure.
- 9:59Now, what this is is Why do we care
- 10:03about GEX? Well, we care about GEX
- 10:05because the options market is one of the
- 10:07largest markets, if not the largest
- 10:09market in kind of the trading world,
- 10:12right? Now, when the options market are
- 10:15doing transactions, you have dealers and
- 10:17market makers. And dealers and market
- 10:19makers are not necessarily in the
- 10:20business of being uh directionally
- 10:23exposed to the market. So, then what do
- 10:24they do? Let's say they need to hedge a
- 10:27position to stay neutral. Well, they
- 10:29will go to one of the underlying, being
- 10:31futures as one of them, and they will
- 10:33then hedge in that.
- 10:35>> When you look at a gamma profile, what
- 10:37you're typically going to see is you're
- 10:38going to see positive gamma,
- 10:41which is oftentimes represented as like
- 10:43green, or you're going to see negative
- 10:46gamma.
- 10:47Just say negative. So, you have positive
- 10:50and you have negative. Now, this is very
- 10:52easy to misunderstand because sometimes
- 10:55when people see positive gamma, they
- 10:57think long because it's green, or they
- 11:00see negative, they may think it is uh
- 11:03short because it's red. Uh it's not
- 11:05actually like that. We need to think
- 11:06about this in terms of volatility. So,
- 11:08when we're in a positive gamma
- 11:10environment, typical dealer behavior is
- 11:12they're going to be
- 11:14selling into the rips and buying
- 11:17basically into the dips. Now, what does
- 11:19that cause? Well, that causes a
- 11:22volatility dampening
- 11:24uh environment, right? It's it's a
- 11:26little bit difficult to slice through
- 11:28like butter. Now, for a negative gamma
- 11:31environment, it's different. They would
- 11:33have to buy into the rips and sell into
- 11:36the dips. Now, when this happens, it
- 11:39ends up causing, you know, more
- 11:41volatility. It's an amplifier of
- 11:42volatility. So, I want to understand
- 11:45where we're at on the chart, if we're in
- 11:48a positive gamma environment and we're
- 11:49or if we're in a negative gamma
- 11:51environment because it lets me know
- 11:53potentially what type of day I'm walking
- 11:54into. We all know that the killer of
- 11:57most accounts for most retail traders is
- 11:59going to be a choppy environment. People
- 12:01love to trade breakouts. People are
- 12:03always going to be looking for a
- 12:04breakout, but in a positive gamma
- 12:06environment, we may see a lot of failed
- 12:08breakouts because every single time we
- 12:10go and try and make a breakout, you have
- 12:11dealer positioning
- 12:13selling into the rips, buying into the
- 12:15dips.
- 12:16>> So, Chris, for someone who wants to look
- 12:18at GEX, how what's the easiest way to
- 12:21get something like this on the chart and
- 12:23be able to analyze it like how you do?
- 12:24>> I use a platform. Um
- 12:27it's a web-based platform. It's called
- 12:29Tanuki Trade. It's one of the platforms.
- 12:32Now, gamma exposure, especially in the
- 12:34futures world, is becoming incredibly
- 12:36popular. So, you have all different
- 12:37types of platforms popping up and some
- 12:40of them are going to be naive GEX
- 12:41calculations, meaning that they're just
- 12:43making a a very broad assumption. Um
- 12:47now, you also have inferred GEX
- 12:49calculations. Inferred GEX calculations
- 12:51are basically where there are models or
- 12:54calculations that this platform is
- 12:56making to try and determine a little bit
- 12:58more granularity in terms of dealer
- 13:00positioning. Now, the thing about that
- 13:02is that CBOE data is expensive. And most
- 13:06platforms that do uh have CBOE data, for
- 13:09one, it's only for SPX. It's only for,
- 13:11you know, ES and and the S&P 500. And
- 13:14then also, they cost like $300 a month.
- 13:16Um so, it it gets a little pricey. So,
- 13:19I'm okay with using naive GEX just by
- 13:20the way that I use it. I'm not
- 13:22necessarily looking for specific uh
- 13:25levels, so to speak, to take a bounce
- 13:27off of a put wall or a call wall, but I
- 13:31do want to understand the environment
- 13:32that we're in. So, here we are in the
- 13:34environment, okay? We're in a value up
- 13:36structure. Let's just say we're in a
- 13:39negative environment. So, I'm walking
- 13:41into the day thinking to myself, "Okay,
- 13:43we're in a value up structure and we are
- 13:46in a negative gamma environment." which
- 13:47means that doesn't mean we're going to
- 13:49go down necessarily, but it means that
- 13:52volatility may be amplified. We may see
- 13:54bigger moves, faster moves. And so, I
- 13:57want to understand that before the
- 13:58market actually opens. So, now we kind
- 14:00of have an idea. One thing as well that
- 14:02I look at is I do want to understand
- 14:04where the call wall is, where the put
- 14:06wall is, as well as the gamma flip zone.
- 14:08Now, the gamma flip zone is basically
- 14:11where you start entering positive or
- 14:12negative territory. It's kind of like
- 14:14that line in the sand.
- 14:16So, the second thing that I want to look
- 14:18at and by the way, this is all done
- 14:21before the market opens. I will never do
- 14:23this while price is moving a million
- 14:25miles an hour. I need to know and build
- 14:27my scenarios before the market actually
- 14:30opens because I'm trying to be prepared,
- 14:31right? Yeah, I need a little bit of
- 14:33structure before I start clicking
- 14:34buttons. So, the second thing that I
- 14:37want to understand is location. Now,
- 14:40when I talk about location, what exactly
- 14:42do I mean? Am I just talking about you
- 14:45know, a box on my chart or
- 14:47No, what I'm what I want to understand
- 14:49is where do I want to do business,
- 14:51right? So, if we're in a value up
- 14:53structure,
- 14:54now, I typically do not want to go
- 14:57against this type of structure. I mean,
- 14:58maybe it's been happening. Maybe these
- 15:00are daily profiles or cash session
- 15:02profiles. So, we have, you know, Monday,
- 15:03Tuesday, Wednesday, and let's just say
- 15:06we're very bullish. Well, where do I
- 15:08want to essentially participate if I'm
- 15:10looking to follow trend? Well, I don't
- 15:12want to do it up here. That's an
- 15:14expensive place to to want to get
- 15:15involved in the market. What I want to
- 15:17do is I want to wait for us to come into
- 15:19discount. So, then where is discount?
- 15:22Well, if we have value area, then the
- 15:24basic idea of it is anything below value
- 15:27area is discount, anything above it is
- 15:28premium. Now, in a situation like this,
- 15:32we're already looking for a potential
- 15:34opportunity to continue this type of
- 15:36move, but I wouldn't necessarily want
- 15:38again to sell in premium. It just
- 15:40wouldn't make sense. We're going in this
- 15:42value up structure, we could potentially
- 15:44squeeze it further to the upside, have
- 15:45you know, continued expansion, and then
- 15:47you're going to get run over, you know?
- 15:49It's not a good idea
- 15:50with the way that I trade at least to
- 15:52try and call the top or call the bottom.
- 15:54Bottom, I'd rather just wait for a
- 15:55pullback, right? So, let's say in this
- 15:57area, we have basically discount, okay?
- 16:01Now, as let's say this is the day. You
- 16:04have Asia session here, you have London
- 16:06session creating its range up here, and
- 16:09we're looking higher up.
- 16:11If this move was relatively quick, let's
- 16:14say Asia session pushed it up, you know,
- 16:16recently we've been seeing Asia session
- 16:18move around a lot. This may be a very
- 16:20inefficient part of the move. What do I
- 16:22mean inefficient part of the move? It
- 16:23means that we've moved through this area
- 16:25very quickly. We didn't spend a lot of
- 16:27time there. We didn't have enough time
- 16:28to actually conduct a lot of business
- 16:30here. Now, in the event where this is
- 16:33also, let's say it's a low volume node,
- 16:35meaning that, you know, not a lot of
- 16:36volume was here, not a lot of business
- 16:38was actually transacted here, and at the
- 16:40open, what does what does the open do?
- 16:44Let's say that we're watching this
- 16:45happen and the open opens up and starts
- 16:47dropping, okay? We're starting to break
- 16:49out of value area low. This is value
- 16:52area low. We're starting to break out of
- 16:53value area low and we're heading into
- 16:55discount. Do I want to sell it here? No,
- 16:59I don't want to sell right here because
- 17:00you're selling it actually probably the
- 17:02most optimal area to try and buy it.
- 17:04So, what am I doing? I have location.
- 17:07Here we go. We start moving into it.
- 17:10Now, what am I looking at? Well, at this
- 17:13point, what I'm paying attention to
- 17:15after location is realistically
- 17:18confirmation. So, what is confirmation?
- 17:21Let's say I have a level.
- 17:24Here it is. It's a box. It's on our
- 17:25chart.
- 17:27How do I know
- 17:29that this area here is a valid level?
- 17:33Just because I draw a box on the chart
- 17:36doesn't mean that price is going to
- 17:37respect my drawing.
- 17:39So, I have to pay attention. What's
- 17:40happening in here? What are the buyers
- 17:43doing in here? Are the seller What are
- 17:44the sellers doing in here? Who's
- 17:46winning? Is there going to be result for
- 17:49that effort? So, then what do we start
- 17:51looking at? Well, now we start going
- 17:52down into the granular side of things.
- 17:54So, let's make a different drawing
- 17:56that's a little bit more zoomed in. So,
- 17:58let's say we're like this.
- 18:01Okay, we come up. Maybe we sweep. We
- 18:04start dropping down at New York open,
- 18:06and here is discount.
- 18:09When we're in here, I start paying
- 18:11attention to order flow. Now, on my
- 18:14order flow chart, let's imagine this is
- 18:16a candle. I'm typic- I'm typically
- 18:18looking at two different types of
- 18:19candles.
- 18:21One of them is going to have a volume
- 18:23profile inside of it, and the other one
- 18:25is going to have a delta profile inside
- 18:28of it. Now, why do I care about that? I
- 18:31care about that because on a normal
- 18:33candlestick, you have open, high, low,
- 18:35and close. It's the result. It's like
- 18:36the scoreboard of what the auction
- 18:38actually did. But, it's important to see
- 18:40how these are actually forming. Now,
- 18:43what is something that would be
- 18:44important? Let's say in this scenario
- 18:46here,
- 18:48the candle has a very large wick to the
- 18:50downside.
- 18:51But, in this case, all the volume is
- 18:53down here. All of it. Got the POC here,
- 18:56the point of control, where the most
- 18:58amount of contracts are actually
- 18:59concentrated. I'm watching this. Now,
- 19:02let's say here's the same candle. It's a
- 19:04Let's just say a 5-minute candle. And
- 19:07down here we have all this delta,
- 19:09negative delta.
- 19:11And it's sellers. This is sellers here.
- 19:14Now, you see all the participation from
- 19:16sellers happening in discount in
- 19:19location and they're not getting
- 19:20rewarded for that behavior or that that
- 19:23that effort. So, then what am I looking
- 19:25for? Okay, now let's say we're we're
- 19:28identifying absorption happening in
- 19:30discount. Well, now what I want to see
- 19:32is I want to see the shift of dominance,
- 19:34the shift of dominance back to the
- 19:35upside with the buyers. So, what would
- 19:37that typically look like? Now, let's say
- 19:39in this case in this case that this
- 19:41candle closed bullish.
- 19:43Okay, we closed bullish. Now, what is
- 19:46that telling us? This is telling us that
- 19:48price pushed down, it was pushing down
- 19:50aggressively and now they're in location
- 19:53discount in a value up structure where
- 19:56all of this participation of sellers is
- 19:57building at the very extreme of this
- 19:59candle and they're not getting any type
- 20:01of result for that aggression. Now, the
- 20:04candle flips back bullish. What I want
- 20:06to see at this point if we're using
- 20:07candlesticks is I'm looking for the next
- 20:10candle to open up
- 20:12to immediately pull back. Next candle
- 20:16opens up, immediately pull back.
- 20:19And I want to see that aggression happen
- 20:21from the sellers again, but this time I
- 20:23want it to fail higher up.
- 20:26So, you have failure of sellers here.
- 20:29Let's say here's our volume profile,
- 20:31failure of sellers here.
- 20:34And we flip bullish. I'm going long.
- 20:37I'm going long. I'm I'm entering the
- 20:38trade here and I'm putting my stop loss
- 20:41where?
- 20:42On the other side of the failed sellers.
- 20:44Because in this case, where would my
- 20:46trade idea become invalidated? It'd
- 20:48become invalidated the moment that
- 20:50sellers are able to push past the area
- 20:52they weren't able to push past the first
- 20:53time.
- 20:54So, if I'm looking at this and I have
- 20:56this candle, I'm identifying absorption
- 20:58happening in discount and we start
- 21:00flipping back bullish. Now, they fail
- 21:02higher. I don't want them to get back
- 21:04down here. Now, where would I be
- 21:06targeting? Okay, let's say, you know, we
- 21:08enter in entries the moment we flip
- 21:11bullish on this. Maybe we see the ask
- 21:13light up with imbalances from buyers.
- 21:17They're trying to lift the offer. And we
- 21:19see them getting really aggressive back
- 21:21to the upside. Okay, well, this goes
- 21:23back to what we said in the beginning.
- 21:25Think about the people who are entering
- 21:27in here. Okay, well, now their hand is
- 21:30beginning to get forced. Participation
- 21:32is about to get forced because
- 21:35if you're down here and you entered in
- 21:36shorts, well, you're going to be forced
- 21:39to make a decision. And if you get out
- 21:41of that sell and you're off sides, well,
- 21:43you're going to speed this up. And if
- 21:45we're in a negative gamma environment,
- 21:47not only do you have positioning causing
- 21:50a potential squeeze higher, but you also
- 21:51have dealers who are going to be buying
- 21:54into that rip, and it can be very fast.
- 21:56So, let's say this is all happening
- 21:58right here in discount. Now, we start
- 22:00popping up. Okay, we do a little bit of
- 22:02this.
- 22:03Where am I watching? Well, I'm watching
- 22:05back into this area of value, where the
- 22:08value area is. The first thing I want to
- 22:10see is I want to see buyers reclaim into
- 22:14value area. Get back in there. In the
- 22:17event that they fail, okay, let's say we
- 22:20entered here, we're coming back into
- 22:21value area. If buyers are stepping in
- 22:24here aggressively on this move and
- 22:26they're unable to actually get back into
- 22:28value area, well, then chances are I'm
- 22:30probably going to move break even or I'm
- 22:31going to cut the trade. But, if they're
- 22:34successful and they get back into value
- 22:36area, you can either target sometimes I
- 22:39target the POC, sometimes I go for a
- 22:41swing high. Let's say orders are
- 22:43clustering up here. It's a psychological
- 22:45level. You see it on level two. You see
- 22:47it on the book. A lot of the times on
- 22:48the book orders get pulled. Yes, but
- 22:51when they cluster around psychological
- 22:53levels, sometimes swing highs or swing
- 22:55lows,
- 22:56oftentimes they're there to actually get
- 22:57filled. So, it becomes a target. It It a
- 23:00target. We're We're searching for
- 23:02potentially new value and what are we
- 23:04doing here? We have to remember the
- 23:06bigger picture. We're continuing this
- 23:08value up structure. So, chances are this
- 23:11might be a pretty good target. So, the
- 23:13the setup may look like this. Here is
- 23:16our stop loss, right right below seller
- 23:18failure. And now we're looking for
- 23:20something like this. Maybe we ended up
- 23:23getting out right here for like a 1.5R,
- 23:25maybe it went to full TP, maybe it's a
- 23:276R. I mean, I don't know. I'm I'm
- 23:30watching that aggression. Now, when I'm
- 23:32in the trade, I'm paying attention to
- 23:34this. Now, what I want to see is I want
- 23:36to see the aggression from buyers
- 23:38continuing. I do not want to see buyers
- 23:42moving back into here having all this
- 23:44aggression and it's the inverse of this.
- 23:47Because now oh, red flag,
- 23:49we have buyers struggling to to push.
- 23:51They're putting all this effort and
- 23:53we're staying below value area. Well,
- 23:55then I'm going to be a little concerned
- 23:57about my trade. Maybe move it break
- 23:58even. So, I use these candles during
- 24:02trade management to then in their
- 24:04footprint candles, you know, it's the
- 24:05bid by ask. I have them set up with bid
- 24:07by ask
- 24:09volume and delta.
- 24:10And I want to make sure that the
- 24:13aggression from the buyers are resulting
- 24:16in actual price progression. And every
- 24:18single time they continue putting in the
- 24:21effort, getting that result, I begin to
- 24:24trail behind that aggression because
- 24:26sometimes, if you know, we see that
- 24:28aggression and then the aggression
- 24:30fails, well, we may start pulling back.
- 24:32So, this is kind of the idea. It's a
- 24:34very basic idea of how I'm looking at
- 24:37the market. I want to understand what
- 24:39we're doing in the higher time frame. I
- 24:41want to understand the regime of
- 24:42volatility that we may be in. Now, keep
- 24:45in mind, Greeks goes way more into
- 24:46detail, but I don't really think it's
- 24:48the time and place for that right now
- 24:49because it's options and you if you
- 24:52start talking about Greeks, you got to
- 24:54start talking about
- 24:54>> We'll save the Black-Scholes model for
- 24:56another time.
- 24:57>> It's
- 24:58>> You know, Chris, I did have a couple
- 24:59questions first.
- 25:00>> Go ahead.
- 25:01>> Excellent. But
- 25:03this is our discount zone, correct?
- 25:05>> Correct.
- 25:05>> How do we identify specifically that
- 25:08this was the discount zone?
- 25:10>> That's a great question. I actually use
- 25:12Fibonacci retracement for that. Uh so,
- 25:15what I'm looking at is I'm usually going
- 25:17from swing low to swing high. In this
- 25:19case, it would probably be from here to
- 25:21here.
- 25:22And I'm marking out fib levels. Now, the
- 25:24fib levels specifically are
- 25:27uh the 705, the 788, and the 886, okay?
- 25:33And it basically creates a zone. This is
- 25:35basically like golden pocket idea,
- 25:37right? And so, I'm watching for us to
- 25:40get in here. Now, this is actually a
- 25:41very good thing you bring up because
- 25:44I need to make sure that this is outside
- 25:47of value area. If I draw a fib and we
- 25:50have the fib level sitting inside value
- 25:52area, I don't really want it. And I also
- 25:55want to see internal structure before we
- 25:58enter into discount. So, potentially a
- 26:00sweep, right?
- 26:01>> So, what by internal structure, and I
- 26:04know we're drawing it out, so it's a
- 26:05little, you know, but how can
- 26:08>> [clears throat]
- 26:08>> we verify that we have this good
- 26:12internal structure going into this move?
- 26:15What's going on here is very clear.
- 26:17We're moving between value areas,
- 26:19basically, finding new value, moving up
- 26:22and up and up. And then we're looking at
- 26:24this discount zone here, right? When you
- 26:26mention internal structure, what
- 26:28specifically is happening in that area
- 26:30that you want to see?
- 26:31>> Well, I just want to see a swing point.
- 26:34That's real it's really not as as
- 26:36complex as that. It really just should
- 26:39be a swing point, you know, we push up.
- 26:41I mean, it's very rare with the market,
- 26:43you know, this is not how the market
- 26:44looks, right? The market doesn't do
- 26:45this. It it has pullbacks. It breathes a
- 26:48little bit. And so, I draw these fibs.
- 26:51Now, the thing about these fibs is this
- 26:53886 is incredibly important. Why?
- 26:56Because this is the final area where if
- 26:59we're going to actually come back up,
- 27:01we're going to do it in the way that I
- 27:03trade before we get past the 886. The
- 27:05moment that, let's say, we see a selling
- 27:09into this, okay? And buyers, maybe
- 27:11they're there, maybe they're not, but if
- 27:13they cannot shift the dominance back
- 27:15towards the upside to continue this
- 27:17value up structure, and we end up going
- 27:21below the 886,
- 27:23I'm I'm not taking the trade.
- 27:24>> That invalidates
- 27:25>> It's in invalidates it. Because if the
- 27:28pullback's going to happen, it should
- 27:29happen after we get out of failed
- 27:31auction lower, out of value area here.
- 27:35So, that's how I determine it, but
- 27:38it's fibs outside of value area,
- 27:41discount or premium determine based on
- 27:44what we're doing.
- 27:44>> And for our order flow candles that we
- 27:47see here,
- 27:49we're looking for value area, POC, all
- 27:53on either a bid ask or
- 27:56volume profile candle, delta candle to
- 27:58be on the lower wick itself.
- 28:00>> I I want to see it at the extremes.
- 28:03I want to see it at the extremes and a
- 28:06failure of that. Now, there's a very big
- 28:08difference, and I trade on 5-minute
- 28:10charts, by the way. Now, I look at the
- 28:12hourly, the 15-minute, and I use the
- 28:145-minute. Sometimes I'm using the
- 28:151-minute, but I'm looking at 5-minute
- 28:18candles, and what I want to see is,
- 28:20let's say there's a candle that comes
- 28:22down, and this is a bearish close, okay?
- 28:25And there's a wick, like this. And all
- 28:27the participation's building down here,
- 28:29let's say.
- 28:30And you can say, "Well, Chris said that
- 28:32if participation is building down here,
- 28:35that's a bad sign for sellers." But
- 28:36let's understand what's happening here
- 28:38at this candle. It's a bearish close.
- 28:40Let's say it's a strong stronger close.
- 28:42Yes, absorption can be can be happening,
- 28:44but absorption doesn't mean automatic
- 28:47reversal. That's not how it works.
- 28:49Absorption happens constantly throughout
- 28:50the chart. So, what I need to see is I
- 28:53need to see the dominant shifting back
- 28:55the other direction. So, what ends up
- 28:57happening is you'll see it kind of in
- 28:59the extremes of the candle, in the wicks
- 29:00of it.
- 29:01And then price coming afterwards would
- 29:04sort of be a confirmation that
- 29:07there was absorption in this area and
- 29:09now dominance is shifting. Well, the the
- 29:12indication of there being absorption in
- 29:14this area is you're seeing aggressive
- 29:16participation of sellers. I mean, you
- 29:18can watch the book, but a lot of the
- 29:20times it's like iceberg orders and it's
- 29:23algorithmic orders on the book and it's
- 29:25loading so quickly.
- 29:26The easiest way for me to see it, some
- 29:28people use CBD, uh but the easiest way
- 29:30for me to see it is in these two candles
- 29:32as a combination. So, I like to view it
- 29:34that way. Is it the right way to do it?
- 29:36Well, there's different ways to view
- 29:38information. I like it this way. So, I'm
- 29:41looking for aggressive participation of
- 29:42sellers. We can tell by the delta in
- 29:45this candle. It's basically like a
- 29:46ladder of delta at each price level you
- 29:48could see what was happening. So, we
- 29:50want to be negative delta. Why? Because
- 29:52it means that there's more aggressive
- 29:53sellers than aggressive buyers. This
- 29:55will cause it to be negative. So, we
- 29:57needed to see it there. Now, in these
- 29:59candles that I haven't drawn out, it's a
- 30:01bid by ask. In these candles, you'll see
- 30:03like X's, you know, they'll be like this
- 30:06and then you'll have like numbers on the
- 30:08side and it'll be this ladder of
- 30:11numbers. And I have an indicator that
- 30:14lights up these numbers in bold when
- 30:16there is an imbalance of 400% or more.
- 30:19Meaning that just so you know, on the
- 30:21ask, we have sellers, right? But when it
- 30:24when we are filling those orders, it's
- 30:26buyers. Because the only way to, you
- 30:28know, let's say you're putting an order,
- 30:29passive limit order on the sell on the
- 30:31ask, you are only going to get filled by
- 30:32an aggressive buyer. So, basically, the
- 30:35way I'm looking at this is the right
- 30:36side is aggressive buyers. Left side is
- 30:38aggressive sellers. And when we start
- 30:41shifting in the other direction, and we
- 30:42start lighting up in bold numbers,
- 30:44that's how my chart's set up. It's
- 30:46showing me that there's a real
- 30:47aggression coming back the other way
- 30:49from the buyers, and I wait. Doesn't
- 30:51mean I go long because we can be
- 30:53whiplashing around. I want to see us try
- 30:56again.
- 30:57And when we try again and we fail for
- 30:59the second time
- 31:01and flip again, I'm going long. No,
- 31:03Chris, it's clear where your stop loss
- 31:05goes.
- 31:07At this specific location with your
- 31:10basically your confirmation or where you
- 31:13start looking for a trigger, the final
- 31:15piece of the puzzle here.
- 31:18Our stop loss generally goes under it.
- 31:19Now, with the targets, you had mentioned
- 31:22it could be at the POC, could be at a
- 31:24previous swing high. Is there any
- 31:27systematic way that you handle this or
- 31:29choose which target to use or would it
- 31:32be more discretionary? So,
- 31:34>> Ever thought about getting into prop
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- 31:51dollar. Links in the description. And
- 31:53now, back to the video.
- 31:55>> Typically, I'm I'm aiming for swing
- 31:57points, okay? I'm usually aiming for the
- 31:59swing points because if the market never
- 32:01takes a swing point, what are we going
- 32:03to be doing? We're going to be doing
- 32:04this until we flatline. That's not what
- 32:06the market does. We go and we take swing
- 32:07points. So, I'm usually looking to
- 32:09target highs or lows a lot of the times.
- 32:12But, as we enter into areas, let's say
- 32:14the POC, let's say the call wall is
- 32:16sitting here, you know? Once we approach
- 32:19it, even though my target's all the way
- 32:21up here, well, I may start trailing the
- 32:23stop, trailing the stop.
- 32:25>> Okay.
- 32:25>> And so, it's usually swing points being
- 32:28the target and typically why also
- 32:30there's
- 32:31uh orders clustering in this area, but I
- 32:34usually will have a full target and I'll
- 32:36trail my stop on the way up and it more
- 32:38more often than not will result in kind
- 32:40of like anywhere from a 1.5 to 2 R. So,
- 32:43it's really not crazy risk to reward
- 32:47um but that's really all I need um to be
- 32:49completely honest.
- 32:50>> So, with that RR what what win rate do
- 32:52you generally see?
- 32:53>> It usually floats around 60 to 65%
- 32:57um and then the profit factor will float
- 32:59around like 1.8. It fluctuates a little
- 33:02bit. And it it also, you know, it's
- 33:05important to note that a lot of the
- 33:06times I'm trading prop firms and 1.5 R
- 33:10is more than enough for uh prop firms
- 33:14because prop firms, right? They you are
- 33:18required to be pretty aggressive when it
- 33:20comes to risk management. Why? Because
- 33:22you got $2,000 of drawdown. What are you
- 33:24going to on a 50k account? What are you
- 33:26going to do? Risk 1% of that? 20 bucks?
- 33:29You can't. So, you have to risk more,
- 33:32right? And to risk more
- 33:35it it's slightly dangerous, but you
- 33:37know, 1.5 R makes sense. Why? Because if
- 33:40the drawdown is 2,000, let's say the
- 33:42drawdown is 2,000. That's what you got.
- 33:45But the profit target is 3,000.
- 33:49That's literally a 1.5 R.
- 33:51So, if you just constantly take 1.5 R
- 33:54trades, then you'll be fine.
- 33:56>> Well, I'll tell you what, 1.5 R at a 65%
- 33:59win rate, it's really good. So, yeah,
- 34:02this would definitely be something
- 34:03>> It it the the issue that a lot of people
- 34:06run into is they're so overly focused
- 34:09with
- 34:10with like high big R, you know, like
- 34:12they're like, "Oh, I want to hit a 10 R
- 34:14or a 20 R." And then they send a
- 34:15screenshot and they're proud of their
- 34:17like small stop loss and it's like the
- 34:19guys who are like, "Oh, bottom tick top
- 34:21tick." I don't care. I want to be right.
- 34:25I don't want to look cool. I want to be
- 34:26right. And if that requires that I need
- 34:29some extra confirmation that's going to
- 34:30ruin my bottom tick, I do not care. It's
- 34:33going to make it so it's a worse R, but
- 34:35more often than not I'll probably be
- 34:36more I'll be right more times than I'm
- 34:38wrong. And it helps also psychologically
- 34:41because if you keep going for a 10 R and
- 34:44you're profitable trader, you know,
- 34:46you're probably going to be
- 34:48losing a decent amount of trades, but
- 34:51the wins are obviously much larger than
- 34:53the losers. So then it kind of works
- 34:54out. But for a beginner trader, that's
- 34:55tough mentally because you're losing,
- 34:58you're losing, you're losing. Then what
- 34:59do you do? You just start doing random
- 35:01stuff because you're frustrated and now
- 35:02your account's gone. I mean, that's
- 35:03basically like majority of prop firm
- 35:06traders that never pull payouts.
- 35:08>> So just to be clear, you use this in
- 35:09prop environment, challenge and funded?
- 35:12>> Yes, but I'm I'm extremely aggressive in
- 35:14evaluations.
- 35:16>> And you also use this on your personal?
- 35:18>> Yes. So this is the strategy you
- 35:20generally end traded the world
- 35:21championship with.
- 35:22>> Yes, this is the exact thing that I did.
- 35:24Yes. I mean, there's obviously like it's
- 35:27not so cookie-cutter like, you know,
- 35:29this is this is a basic, you know,
- 35:31overview of what I'm looking at, but
- 35:33there are scenarios, there are edge
- 35:35cases, there are things that happen and
- 35:38my goal at the end of the day with all
- 35:41of this stuff, okay? My goal at the end
- 35:43of the day is to just watch
- 35:46effort versus result. Who is being
- 35:48successful in that effort in causing
- 35:51price progression and who is not? And
- 35:53I'm trying to understand where are we
- 35:55likely headed to and where is the best
- 35:58place to do business? Now, there are
- 36:00sometimes where we can sit here and talk
- 36:02about all different types of scenarios
- 36:03all day, but my my job is to try and
- 36:07read what's happening in the auction,
- 36:09but the battle between the buyers and
- 36:11sellers and try and make the most
- 36:13informed decisions I can. And more often
- 36:15than not, what's the best informed
- 36:17decision that I can make is to not
- 36:19participate.
- 36:20Because as a trader, the most important
- 36:23thing that you can do, your biggest
- 36:25advantage is that you have selective
- 36:26participation.
- 36:28And most traders don't take advantage of
- 36:29that. They think like if if you're not
- 36:31trading um, you know, that you're you're
- 36:33you're doing something wrong, okay? When
- 36:35I started using order flow,
- 36:38two things will happen. Either you start
- 36:39taking more trades because there's more
- 36:41data and you start thinking you see more
- 36:43things or you do the opposite, which is
- 36:45what I did and I use it mainly to filter
- 36:47trades out. Some days I might not take a
- 36:49trade. Some days I take one trade. Some
- 36:51days I take two trades, but I'm not
- 36:53sitting there all morning like scalping
- 36:55back and forth. Um, not saying it's the
- 36:57wrong thing to do, but I just I don't
- 36:59like making like back-to-back-to-back
- 37:01decisions because it starts to wear down
- 37:04on my focus as well as my mental
- 37:07capacity to make calculated decisions. I
- 37:09want to only have to do it couple times
- 37:11a day. Keeps me from making unnecessary
- 37:14decisions.
- 37:15>> So, Chris, and just to be clear, there
- 37:18is going to be pieces of discretion in
- 37:20here that can't be perfectly mapped out
- 37:23across the process. This is generally
- 37:25how the process works from start to
- 37:27finish
- 37:27>> Right.
- 37:28>> in a theoretically perfect environment,
- 37:30right? Now, is there anything
- 37:33objectively other than 886 here that
- 37:36makes this entire thing fail, fall
- 37:38apart, or you don't touch it?
- 37:40>> Yes, when
- 37:42when participation is low. Let's say
- 37:45we're in an environment where
- 37:48every 5 minutes. So, typically I'm
- 37:49trading MNQ and I look at MNQ order
- 37:52flow, which most people, you know, they
- 37:54disagree with that. They say you should
- 37:55look at NQ, but it is what it is. I pay
- 37:58attention to MNQ. It works for me. I do
- 37:59it. So, I'm looking at MNQ 5-minute
- 38:02candles. I have a threshold I have a
- 38:04threshold of 20,000 contracts per
- 38:075-minute candle because the moment we
- 38:09begin to drop below 20,000 contracts per
- 38:125-minute candle,
- 38:14participation is dying out. It's getting
- 38:15lower. Chances are we're probably
- 38:17heading into the lunch hour. And for me
- 38:19to catch something like this, well, I
- 38:22need a bunch of participation. I need
- 38:24there to be volume. I need there to be
- 38:26people transacting and and doing
- 38:28business. The times where we start doing
- 38:31slow grinds, volume tapers off, and
- 38:33we're kind of just like doing whatever,
- 38:35I don't I don't touch it. I don't touch
- 38:37it. That's part of the reason why I only
- 38:39trade like an hour and 30 minutes of the
- 38:40day. It doesn't mean I'm not looking at
- 38:42the charts. I mean, dude, I'm looking at
- 38:44the charts constantly, but you know, I
- 38:46really only want to participate when
- 38:47there's a lot of volume happening.
- 38:50>> Chris, thank you so much. I mean,
- 38:51extremely detailed,
- 38:53well thought out, something that traders
- 38:57can come to at any time, years in the
- 38:59future,
- 39:00and come into a process that you've
- 39:02found a lot of success with, and it's
- 39:05demonstrable as well in the World
- 39:07Championship. So,
- 39:08let's jump off the whiteboard. I'll ask
- 39:11you a couple more questions, and
- 39:13we'll see what we got.
- 39:15>> Cool.
- 39:15>> So, Chris,
- 39:17from your entire process, what is the
- 39:19best way for a trader who might want to
- 39:22try it to deliberately copy and practice
- 39:25it until they're able to execute it
- 39:28efficiently?
- 39:29>> So, with prop firms, realistically, you
- 39:32do not need to be the greatest trader
- 39:34ever to make money with prop firms. You
- 39:35really don't. Um, and what you need to
- 39:38do is if you want to trade the way that
- 39:40I trade, you can absolutely go do it.
- 39:42The way you go do it is you learn
- 39:43auction market theory, you download a
- 39:45order flow platform. There's tons of
- 39:48information out on the internet. You can
- 39:49understand how what you're looking at
- 39:51and how to read it, and they have great
- 39:53platforms out there. You got ATAS, you
- 39:55got deep charts, you have all these
- 39:57things available to you to go on replay
- 40:00mode to test things out, to kind of get
- 40:02the reps in. Um, but really, being a
- 40:05profitable trader uh doesn't really come
- 40:07down to that. What it comes down to more
- 40:10so is
- 40:12the way that I think about it is you
- 40:14have A game sessions, B game sessions,
- 40:16and C game sessions. They have nothing
- 40:17to do with the P&L. They have to do with
- 40:20how did you actually execute? And
- 40:22consistency in terms of profitability
- 40:24doesn't come from more A-game sessions.
- 40:27It comes from eliminating the back end
- 40:29and
- 40:30focusing on the back end. It's back end
- 40:32optimization, not front end
- 40:34optimization. You do not have control
- 40:36over how many A+ setups you get. You
- 40:39just don't. You have control over the
- 40:41dumb losses, the losses that weren't a
- 40:44cost of doing business. They were
- 40:46unnecessary. And where most unprofitable
- 40:49traders lie is they have those C-game
- 40:51sessions. The C-game sessions that
- 40:53destroy a week worth of A-game sessions,
- 40:56a month worth of A-game sessions, and
- 40:58that's what causes in the prop firm
- 41:00industry this like loop of like boom and
- 41:03bust. You know, you pass an eval, get
- 41:05into funded, fourth day blow the
- 41:07account. And it's just that C-game
- 41:10session. And it's
- 41:11it's this
- 41:12misnomer or like this misconception from
- 41:15a lot of traders where it's about more
- 41:17knowledge, more information, more data,
- 41:19more strategies, more setups. It's not
- 41:21about that. Yeah, you need to know what
- 41:23you're doing. You need to know what
- 41:24you're looking at and what we're
- 41:25actually participating in because this
- 41:27is a beast of a of a thing that we're
- 41:30kind of doing here.
- 41:32It should be respected. It shouldn't be
- 41:34taken lightly. But you have to focus on
- 41:38making the bad losses cuz there's a good
- 41:40loss and a bad loss.
- 41:41Making the bad losses less frequent.
- 41:44That's where consistency comes from. It
- 41:45doesn't come from strategies
- 41:47necessarily.
- 41:48>> What's the difference between a bad loss
- 41:50and a good loss?
- 41:51>> Let's say what I drew drew out on the
- 41:53board. I take that trade. Now, I'll take
- 41:55that trade. Let's just say nine times
- 41:57out of 10 unless something's happening.
- 41:58Maybe there's news coming out right
- 42:00before we're in the area. There's Let's
- 42:02just say I take it nine times out of 10.
- 42:04That's something that I trade
- 42:06constantly. I know that I trade it in
- 42:08the way that I trade it, it'll do fine.
- 42:11So, I trade it. As long as I properly
- 42:13executed on it, meaning I didn't
- 42:15hesitate, I didn't chase, I didn't get
- 42:18FOMO, I didn't get in early, right?
- 42:21As long as I did exactly what I needed
- 42:23to do and it loses, well, that's just
- 42:26what happens when you operate in a
- 42:28probabilistic environment. You're You
- 42:30know, there's such thing as variance.
- 42:31You're not going to win every single
- 42:32trade and if someone out there knows how
- 42:34to win every trade, please let me know.
- 42:36I would love to be a billionaire, you
- 42:38know what I mean? But, you have to
- 42:39understand losses happen, but there's a
- 42:41difference between a good loss and a bad
- 42:43loss. Now, what is a bad loss? A bad
- 42:45loss is
- 42:47when you Let's say
- 42:49you know, the market opens, some massive
- 42:51move happens and you're sitting there
- 42:53slightly frustrated as a trader. You're
- 42:55like, "Ah." You know, maybe you're in a
- 42:57community, you see everyone posting
- 42:58profits, you're frustrated. So, what do
- 42:59you begin to do? Well, the way that most
- 43:02traders think is in order to get
- 43:04results, they have to participate. To a
- 43:06certain extent, that's true, right? But,
- 43:09they force that participation by doing
- 43:11what? Bending their rules, bending what
- 43:13they should be looking for. Maybe they
- 43:14didn't In my case, let's say a bad loss
- 43:16would be we come into discount in that
- 43:19scenario. But, I don't see sellers, you
- 43:22know, getting absorbed and dominant
- 43:24shifting back the other side. I just see
- 43:27we're in discount and I go, "We're in
- 43:29discount. I think I think we're going to
- 43:31go up." And so, I try and anticipate
- 43:33that, I try and guess and I don't let
- 43:35the let it confirm itself first. I just
- 43:38try and anticipate it. Well, if that
- 43:40trade loses or that trade wins, that was
- 43:42a bad trade because over time, if it
- 43:45wins, it's not going to it's not going
- 43:48to be good. So, it's it's it's basically
- 43:51reinforcing bad behavior and that bad
- 43:54behavior is what causes C-game sessions
- 43:55cuz if you lose that, now you're
- 43:57frustrated. Oh, I didn't follow my
- 43:58rules, whatever your rules are, right? I
- 44:01didn't follow my rules and then now
- 44:02you're trying to, you know, make your
- 44:03money back because you're uncomfortable
- 44:05looking at a red P&L and it just
- 44:08spirals out of control. Now you're
- 44:09tilting, and the account's gone.
- 44:10>> You know, Chris, it's an excellent
- 44:12point. Now, specifically when it comes
- 44:15to your rules or a plan, how did you
- 44:18figure out that your rules or your
- 44:20discretionary system, how did you figure
- 44:22out that this is something that works?
- 44:25>> So, first of all, when it comes to
- 44:27rules,
- 44:28any type of rule where you're like,
- 44:31"Don't overtrade. Uh don't oversize."
- 44:34Those are not rules, okay? Rules require
- 44:37uh an action attached to it, and they
- 44:39have to be specific, and it has to be
- 44:41specific to you. Now, every trader,
- 44:45to my belief, right, has some sort of
- 44:49line in the sand for them. Now, that
- 44:51line in the sand is where they go from
- 44:53making calculated decisions to not
- 44:54making calculated decisions, to making
- 44:56emotional decisions.
- 44:58For everybody, it's different. For one
- 44:59trader, it might be a certain dollar
- 45:01amount PNL. For another trader, it may
- 45:03be a certain amount of break evens or a
- 45:05certain amount of losses or even to the
- 45:08point where overconfidence, maybe
- 45:10they're winning so much, now they're not
- 45:12making calculated decisions anymore,
- 45:13they're making emotional ones,
- 45:14overconfidence.
- 45:16You have to identify where those are for
- 45:18you. It's a difficult thing to do
- 45:20because a lot of the times when it comes
- 45:23to trading and these these things where
- 45:26you're trying to self-diagnose them,
- 45:29a lot of the times they're invisible to
- 45:30the person it's happening to. And so,
- 45:32what you have to do is you have to be
- 45:34very self-aware, incredibly self-aware.
- 45:38A lot of the times, if a trader tilts,
- 45:40and you ask them, "Where did this start
- 45:42breaking down? Like, where during the
- 45:44session did you start making those bad
- 45:47decisions?"
- 45:49They'll probably point at the big trade
- 45:51that lost. That's not where the That's
- 45:53not where things broke. Otherwise, you
- 45:55know, let's say it was a
- 45:57you sized up, and then you have removed
- 45:59your stop-loss, and and then you say,
- 46:01"Now you're tilting." No, something
- 46:03caused you to do that. Some sequence of
- 46:06events occurred, and you have to find
- 46:08out where it is. Now, once you diagnose
- 46:10that, and you find out where it is,
- 46:12well, now you build solutions around it.
- 46:14So, let me give you an example for me.
- 46:16When I collect data on my trades, I
- 46:18notice a pattern where by the time we're
- 46:22an hour and a half into the open, my
- 46:24trades just get dramatically worse. They
- 46:27just get dramatically worse. I don't
- 46:28know why. Maybe it's because uh I'm not
- 46:31as focused as I am. Maybe, you know, at
- 46:34that point I probably missed out the
- 46:35move of the morning, and now we're
- 46:36trying to force something. Whatever it
- 46:38is. I know that's not good. So, then
- 46:40what do I do? Well, I have a hard
- 46:42shutoff time. Now, I know if I lose
- 46:45three trades in a row,
- 46:47I'm going to be frustrated. I'm going to
- 46:49be pretty frustrated.
- 46:50And chances are, I should never be
- 46:52taking three trades in a row cuz most
- 46:54days I'm taking one or two trades or
- 46:56none. So, if I'm taking three trades in
- 46:57a row for a set of
- 47:01What are the chances I'm getting three
- 47:03solid setups in an hour?
- 47:05With the way that I trade.
- 47:06Probably not very good. So, what do I
- 47:08do? Well, if I know that if I take three
- 47:10losses in a row, there's like a 50/50
- 47:12chance I start making bad decisions.
- 47:14Okay, well, then stop after two losses
- 47:16in a row. Same goes for everything else.
- 47:18You have to identify where those like
- 47:20breaking points are, and it took me an
- 47:22incredibly long time to do it, and it
- 47:24was honestly a pretty painful journey of
- 47:26losing a lot of money before I kind of
- 47:29understood this is that, this is the
- 47:32where this begins to break, this is
- 47:34where this begins to break, and you stop
- 47:36yourself before you get there. Now,
- 47:37here's the thing about that.
- 47:39You have to stop yourself. If you don't
- 47:42have any self-control,
- 47:44trading's not for you. You need
- 47:45self-control. You can't go through life
- 47:47without self-control. Where you going to
- 47:48end up? Jail or dead, right? So, trading
- 47:53is no different. You need self-control,
- 47:54and it's it brings out this like gambler
- 47:57behavior in a lot of people where they
- 47:58have no self-control because money and
- 48:00emotions are a terrible mix.
- 48:02>> How do you deal with them?
- 48:03>> Well, at this point I've been doing this
- 48:05for a while, so kind of like
- 48:07you know, when I lose,
- 48:09the only time I'll get really frustrated
- 48:11is when I do something that I know I
- 48:13wasn't supposed to do. Now, I'm not
- 48:15perfect. I'm human. There's days where I
- 48:17make mistakes. And the moment I start
- 48:21the moment I make a mistake, let's say
- 48:23it's a bad mistake where I entered
- 48:25prematurely or I chased or I just tried
- 48:28to assume something was going to happen
- 48:29rather than watching it.
- 48:31I have to shut it down. Because the way
- 48:34that I think about it is I went through
- 48:36that stage of waking up every single
- 48:38day. I'm on the West Coast. I wake up
- 48:40every day at like 4:00, 4:30 in the
- 48:42morning. And there was a long period of
- 48:44my life where I woke up every day, I
- 48:46lost money, felt frustrated all day,
- 48:49woke up and did it again. It was a
- 48:50constant like losing streak. And it was
- 48:55honestly a really tough time mentally
- 48:57because what do people do? Well, they
- 48:58you tell people, "Oh, I'm trading." And
- 49:00then they ask you, "How's your trading
- 49:01going?" And then you're just like
- 49:04Sometimes it's so embarrassing with how
- 49:05much money you lose, you don't even want
- 49:07to tell people. So, you kind of shut
- 49:08down the conversation. So, it was just
- 49:10this terrible time in my life. And so,
- 49:13anytime now, right, where I get
- 49:16frustrated
- 49:17and I'm and I'm
- 49:19maybe clicking on the size, making more
- 49:21contracts, right? I'm getting ready to
- 49:24add more contracts. I have to remind
- 49:26myself of that phase of my journey that
- 49:29I I never want to be in ever again.
- 49:31That's my motivation. And so, for some
- 49:34people they may not have that because
- 49:35they they can't look back at a time
- 49:37where, you know, they were maybe
- 49:39struggling. Maybe they got into trading
- 49:40and they just hit a nice little variance
- 49:42run and they've been all sunshine and
- 49:44rainbows. And so, they've never felt
- 49:45that. But for me, I felt it. And I felt
- 49:47it for a long time. So, I think back to
- 49:49that and I remind myself as I sit there
- 49:52and I say,
- 49:53"I don't like that version of myself. I
- 49:54never want to go back to that version of
- 49:56myself because that version of myself
- 49:58was miserable.
- 50:00I'm not anymore."
- 50:01>> What was the definitive turning point
- 50:04between that version of yourself and
- 50:05this version now?
- 50:08>> Well, that version of myself was focused
- 50:10on money.
- 50:11I was trading and I This is I would
- 50:14never recommend anybody to do this. I
- 50:16quit my job. I went to go travel. I
- 50:20traveled and I said, "I don't want to
- 50:21get another job."
- 50:23Scrolling through Instagram,
- 50:25oh, this guy just made 40 grand in 15
- 50:27minutes. He says he day trades. I'm
- 50:29going to try and learn that. I had all
- 50:31these savings. I had I had money. I lost
- 50:33it all. I lost it all. I went through
- 50:35this like hell loop of a cycle of like
- 50:38doing the same thing over and over and
- 50:39over like I'm sure many traders know.
- 50:41Um the wrong things.
- 50:44And I kind of got to the point where I
- 50:46was actually in debt. I was in debt. I
- 50:48had no money, no income. I depleted most
- 50:50of my savings. And all I had left was
- 50:53like my crypto investments that I'm like
- 50:55taking money out in a bear market. I'm
- 50:57like this is terrible. So, I kind of got
- 51:00to this breaking point where
- 51:02I just honestly felt like a loser. Like
- 51:05I felt I was so disgusted in myself. But
- 51:08I was to the point where
- 51:10I was so far in at this point. I had
- 51:12sunk so much money, so much time. I made
- 51:15the decision, albeit it was a reckless
- 51:17decision, that I was either going to
- 51:19figure it out or I was going to lose
- 51:22everything in the process. It's a
- 51:23terrible way to go about it, but that's
- 51:25just kind of how my mind works. But that
- 51:26doesn't mean that I go and I go try and
- 51:28get more aggressive and fight the
- 51:29market.
- 51:30I changed the perspective. I said,
- 51:32"What's the What's the problem here?"
- 51:33Well, the problem is is I'm focused on
- 51:35money. That's not where the the focus
- 51:36should be pointed towards. It should be
- 51:38up towards the execution. So, I
- 51:41completely sized down to one micro on a
- 51:43prop firm where you're basically not
- 51:45passing accounts, you're not getting
- 51:46payouts, but you're getting reps in. And
- 51:48I slowly tried to remove the the concept
- 51:51of money from it as much as I could. You
- 51:53can't You can't do it completely, but I
- 51:55try to do as much as I could.
- 51:57And I just only focus on the execution.
- 51:59Well, then guess what happens? When you
- 52:01focus on proper execution, money becomes
- 52:04the byproduct of that if you're doing
- 52:05the right thing. And then it becomes
- 52:07easier, and then it's just repetition,
- 52:09and then it What What it comes down to
- 52:11at that point is just paying attention
- 52:13to regime changes, paying attention to
- 52:14changes in the market in terms of
- 52:16volatility or whatever, and then
- 52:17adjusting. So, that was
- 52:21there was just a point where I was just
- 52:22like, "This is it. Like, this is where
- 52:24people would quit."
- 52:25>> So, you had to remove money basically
- 52:27from the equation here, and this would
- 52:29kind of help improve your trading
- 52:31psychology then as well, right? Where
- 52:33you're not as emotionally attached to a
- 52:36position. Would you say that being able
- 52:38to separate those two
- 52:39is what was the definitive turning point
- 52:41for you?
- 52:42>> Well, it's not that I can separate it. I
- 52:44understand the money is obviously still
- 52:46an element. It's like, "Why do we
- 52:48trade?" Well, we trade to make money.
- 52:49It's It would be It would be a lie for
- 52:52me to say that I never think about
- 52:54money. Of course, I do, but that was the
- 52:56main focus. The main focus now has
- 52:58shifted toward execution, and I still
- 53:01understand money's being thrown around.
- 53:02I'm winning, I'm losing money, right?
- 53:04But
- 53:05I'm I care more about how I performed in
- 53:08terms of execution than I do in terms of
- 53:11P&L. I care way more about how I traded
- 53:14rather than what those trades cost in
- 53:16terms of dollar amounts.
- 53:17>> So, if you were if you had to start over
- 53:19then,
- 53:20how would you
- 53:21make this process go quicker to get from
- 53:24starter Chris to now Chris?
- 53:27>> I tell this to traders when they when
- 53:29they're in the beginning of their
- 53:30journey. They need to understand what it
- 53:32is that we're participating in, okay?
- 53:34Like, this is a very You're You're in a
- 53:37market. You're trying to trade a market
- 53:39with whatever you're trying to trade,
- 53:41and we're going up against not only
- 53:43yourself, right? But also other
- 53:46participants in the market. It's this
- 53:48kind of like uh PVP arena almost, and
- 53:52you have all these different people who
- 53:55will have all these different ideas and
- 53:57all these different goals, and it's this
- 53:59entire auction of just trying to
- 54:02determine the price of an asset. And
- 54:04some of those participants are retail
- 54:06traders like yourself, and some of them
- 54:09are large institutions or people who
- 54:10need to fill large size. And so, it's
- 54:13important to understand the mechanics of
- 54:15the market. Like
- 54:18like to just hop in and then start
- 54:20drawing lines and then like getting
- 54:21frustrated when your lines don't work
- 54:23out. Well,
- 54:24you know, you should understand what
- 54:26drives price. It's just basic market
- 54:28mechanics. Now, once you do that, you
- 54:30should go and you should find a
- 54:32strategy. Now, it's important on the
- 54:33strategy that you pick,
- 54:35because some people have a personality
- 54:38where a strategy that presents a bunch
- 54:40of setups every single day is not going
- 54:41to be good for them.
- 54:43Let's say someone can handle that. They
- 54:45can handle split-second decision-making.
- 54:47It's not They're not going to carry it
- 54:48over in other trades. So, you have to
- 54:50find the strategy that complements your
- 54:51weaknesses kind of well, and your
- 54:53strengths.
- 54:54And then, don't hop around. Just focus
- 54:57on that one.
- 54:59And focus on that one, and focus on the
- 55:01actual the actual execution of that
- 55:05strategy.
- 55:06And if it turns out to be a BS strategy
- 55:08and it doesn't work, well, then
- 55:10you know, if you execute on it properly,
- 55:12you're going to find out, you know,
- 55:14hopefully. But
- 55:16you just it's not
- 55:18you should never, as a new trader, go on
- 55:21YouTube, look at a strategy, some guy
- 55:24goes,
- 55:25"This one setup changed my life." Now,
- 55:28you're like trading this guy's setup,
- 55:29and you're like, "It's not working for
- 55:30me." Next guy, next guy, next guy. And
- 55:32then you just Now you know all this
- 55:34stuff, all these different Now you're
- 55:35looking at the chart, and you're like,
- 55:37"But this strategy says this and this
- 55:38one says this." And now, you're just
- 55:40screwed.
- 55:41So, just focus on one thing.
- 55:43>> Chris,
- 55:44is there any final piece of advice you'd
- 55:47want to leave for struggling traders who
- 55:49might be inspired by your story or your
- 55:51process?
- 55:53>> If you're struggling with trading, you
- 55:54have to
- 55:56you have to really be honest with
- 55:58yourself on why you're struggling.
- 56:00If it If you most are going to believe
- 56:03it's an information problem. A lot of
- 56:05times, it's not going to be an
- 56:06information problem. Um it has to do
- 56:08with their behaviors. And a lot of
- 56:10people, some people, unfortunately, are
- 56:13just not going to be good at trading.
- 56:15They're not. The way that they behave is
- 56:17just not going to complement trading.
- 56:20Now, if you're struggling, just
- 56:22understand that most people struggle.
- 56:24You're not alone. I know you guys go and
- 56:26you may look on the internet, and all
- 56:28you see are people winning. How am I the
- 56:30only person that loses?
- 56:32Okay? I would recommend to stop looking
- 56:35at that stuff and just focus on
- 56:36yourself. Focus on,
- 56:39you know,
- 56:40executing properly, having the proper uh
- 56:44system to protect yourself from
- 56:46yourself, and just keep doing it. And
- 56:50you'll eventually get to a point where
- 56:54you're either going to start making
- 56:55money or you're not. You know what I
- 56:56mean? And
- 56:58the thing about
- 56:59beginning struggling traders, I
- 57:01guarantee you majority of them are just
- 57:03super focused on the money. I mean,
- 57:04that's why they trade. Okay? But, let's
- 57:06let's How about if you're struggling,
- 57:08let's take a month, size all the way
- 57:10down. Size all the way down to the point
- 57:12where this size is almost insulting to
- 57:15you. It's like nothing's happening.
- 57:16Perfect. Because now, you can focus on
- 57:19actually executing properly. It's not
- 57:21going to result in, you know, huge P&Ls
- 57:24that you can screenshot and put on your
- 57:25Instagram, but it's going to start
- 57:27building the right habits. And that's if
- 57:29you're struggling, you need to change
- 57:31your mindset to that.
- 57:33Otherwise, I don't know what to tell
- 57:34you.
- 57:35>> Chris,
- 57:36thank you so much for coming in.
- 57:38>> Of course.
- 57:38>> First live interview I've ever done. And
- 57:41I have to say it was quite remarkable.
- 57:43>> Well, thanks for having me. I'm really
- 57:44excited to be here.
- 57:45>> 100% return on that July
- 57:49micro competition Robin's World Cup.
- 57:51>> Yeah.
- 57:52>> 26. It's really impressive, man.
- 57:54Seriously.
- 57:55>> Thank you.
- 57:56>> IQ Capital, built by traders for
- 57:59traders.
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