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Trading July - December 2021 Recap: $666,000 + 2022 Thoughts — Transcript

by Jack Kellogg · 5,215 words · 941 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:01hey guys how's it going jack kellogg
  2. 0:03here long time no see
  3. 0:06i actually have not made a video since
  4. 0:10my 2021 uh first six month recap 6
  5. 0:14million in six months i'll put a link to
  6. 0:16the description in that
  7. 0:18and be sure to check that out because
  8. 0:19that's probably my best video that i've
  9. 0:21ever made
  10. 0:22i asked for 500 or a thousand likes
  11. 0:25something like that and i told you guys
  12. 0:27that i'd make another video
  13. 0:30i thought
  14. 0:31over the next couple months about kind
  15. 0:33of the the next video that i wanted to
  16. 0:34make i really wanted to wait till
  17. 0:372021
  18. 0:38to finish to make the next six month
  19. 0:41recap
  20. 0:43and to tell you guys the truth
  21. 0:45it was a very different six months i did
  22. 0:48not make six million dollars in six
  23. 0:50months i actually only ended up making
  24. 0:57nine hundred 665
  25. 0:57twenty fourteen cents
  26. 0:59over the next six months which is still
  27. 1:01great money
  28. 1:02but
  29. 1:03it was very inconsistent very choppy
  30. 1:06trading
  31. 1:08and
  32. 1:10i was not performing anywhere near my
  33. 1:13best
  34. 1:14and that's okay because you have to
  35. 1:16ask yourself
  36. 1:18why
  37. 1:19were the next six months of the year so
  38. 1:21much different than the first six months
  39. 1:23and that is because we saw a serious
  40. 1:26market shift
  41. 1:27with
  42. 1:28otcs becoming pretty much extinct
  43. 1:32the last six months especially the last
  44. 1:34three or four months
  45. 1:36per se
  46. 1:37and also
  47. 1:39to make
  48. 1:40the amount of um
  49. 1:42money that i did in the first six months
  50. 1:45you have to think that i got a little
  51. 1:47bit complacent i got a little bit lazy
  52. 1:50i kind of just was like okay i'll just
  53. 1:52wait for what makes sense
  54. 1:54and
  55. 1:55now after these six months have have
  56. 1:57passed and going into 2022
  57. 2:00i realized that i have to
  58. 2:02adapt as a trader and it's been
  59. 2:05a long enough time for me now to realize
  60. 2:08what i have to do i've had a lot of time
  61. 2:10to think
  62. 2:12instead of work as you can see
  63. 2:14all these blank days here where i did
  64. 2:16not trade
  65. 2:18and
  66. 2:19that is actually a first for me i have
  67. 2:22been trading pretty much every single
  68. 2:24day since january of 2018 and even a
  69. 2:26bunch in 2017
  70. 2:29so it's been
  71. 2:31quite the the four to five year journey
  72. 2:34for me of putting in the work every
  73. 2:36single day
  74. 2:37so
  75. 2:38the main thing
  76. 2:40that i was focused on was was taking a
  77. 2:42couple of these summer months off
  78. 2:44so i took
  79. 2:45a lot of time off in july the most i
  80. 2:46could
  81. 2:47i went on a few trips um
  82. 2:50all around and
  83. 2:52august i was in
  84. 2:55italy for three weeks and i think this
  85. 2:58is the longest break i've ever taken
  86. 3:00almost two weeks
  87. 3:02with zero trades
  88. 3:05um as you can see like i can go a few
  89. 3:07days to a week and then i start to get
  90. 3:09itchy and i go for a trade
  91. 3:13but anyway
  92. 3:14um as you can see like
  93. 3:17these months i also i tried to have the
  94. 3:20mindset of okay i have a lot of capital
  95. 3:23so i'm gonna just wait for
  96. 3:25the best opportunities and show up and
  97. 3:27hit those hard and then
  98. 3:29you know peace out but
  99. 3:31that i found was very very hard to do
  100. 3:35you really have to stay
  101. 3:37focused on the tape and always be
  102. 3:39practicing and not be rusty you got to
  103. 3:41be
  104. 3:42in the batting cage every single day
  105. 3:44taking free throws whatever it is
  106. 3:46practicing and practicing staying ready
  107. 3:48because you can't just show up and
  108. 3:50expect to nail the big opportunities as
  109. 3:52you can see like my win percent was
  110. 3:55around
  111. 3:5750 50 with
  112. 3:58these big opportunities like i would
  113. 4:00make big then i'd lose big would make
  114. 4:02big lose big et cetera
  115. 4:05so it was very break even and a lot of
  116. 4:08unnecessary um
  117. 4:10emotional swings i had to go through to
  118. 4:14end up
  119. 4:15not making too much other than october
  120. 4:19october was
  121. 4:21my best month
  122. 4:23september
  123. 4:24i tried to
  124. 4:27after taking those big upswings and
  125. 4:29large down swings i tried september to
  126. 4:32size down and really just focus on
  127. 4:34taking singles and this was actually
  128. 4:36probably my best month
  129. 4:38of taking singles
  130. 4:41and actually it looks like
  131. 4:44my average gain and loss were about the
  132. 4:46same
  133. 4:47um
  134. 4:48looks like i missed to do i missed my
  135. 4:49win percent but
  136. 4:52let's just see here on the monthly
  137. 4:54review
  138. 4:56on my win percent for september
  139. 5:06it was about
  140. 5:0859
  141. 5:09okay
  142. 5:11so
  143. 5:12that's a little confusing but i guess
  144. 5:14that's the data for for this month
  145. 5:17moving on to
  146. 5:20october october was by far my best month
  147. 5:24trading i did good
  148. 5:26for
  149. 5:28um a bunch of weeks here and i was ready
  150. 5:30for the a plus opportunity on dwock and
  151. 5:33phun and instead of having these large
  152. 5:36downswings i was ready i was focused i
  153. 5:38had these few days before i had a couple
  154. 5:40days a few days off before
  155. 5:43i came back and i just absolutely nailed
  156. 5:46and then i nailed again and then it
  157. 5:47started to get choppy and i sized down
  158. 5:49once again and
  159. 5:51this month as well i did have a large
  160. 5:54swing on sheba
  161. 5:56it was a very good crypto trade for me
  162. 6:00so this month was really really good i
  163. 6:02don't have the crypto trade
  164. 6:04added here this is just stocks
  165. 6:06so this was my best month
  166. 6:09um in october this is the kind of month
  167. 6:11i would have the first six months so it
  168. 6:14was nice still to have one really really
  169. 6:16really solid month
  170. 6:18and
  171. 6:21although this kind of set me up for
  172. 6:23failure in november and december and
  173. 6:25this month as well because
  174. 6:29i just started thinking that
  175. 6:33okay
  176. 6:34hold on guys i'm gonna pause this and
  177. 6:36plug in my laptop i'm so sorry
  178. 6:40i will be right back
  179. 6:43all right i plugged in my laptop so we
  180. 6:46don't have to worry about the battery
  181. 6:47dying
  182. 6:48anymore
  183. 6:52so what i was saying was october set me
  184. 6:54up for failure for november and december
  185. 6:56because statistically
  186. 6:58i knew that otcs and small caps
  187. 7:01they tend to get hot towards the end of
  188. 7:02the year in the beginning of the year
  189. 7:04over the past four or five years that
  190. 7:08i've been a trader
  191. 7:10so we've had at least one or two good
  192. 7:12months during that time span every
  193. 7:14single year
  194. 7:16and unfortunately
  195. 7:19i
  196. 7:19didn't think
  197. 7:21what if they didn't
  198. 7:22come back or what if there wasn't a lot
  199. 7:25of momentum
  200. 7:26so
  201. 7:27i came in
  202. 7:29with that wrong mentality especially
  203. 7:31after having that huge win
  204. 7:33on october 22nd
  205. 7:36which really kind of
  206. 7:38didn't even make me question what if
  207. 7:39they don't come back since i nailed so
  208. 7:41big
  209. 7:45and then came november and i lost about
  210. 7:48257
  211. 7:49000
  212. 7:51and unfortunately it's about the lowest
  213. 7:53my win percent has ever been
  214. 7:5537
  215. 7:56average loss bigger than my average win
  216. 7:59and
  217. 8:00it actually happened um
  218. 8:02the 2nd of november it took a huge loss
  219. 8:04on car
  220. 8:06it was a parabolic short it was pretty
  221. 8:08nuts considering that it went straight
  222. 8:11up for
  223. 8:12um probably like 30 minutes to an hour
  224. 8:15before pulling back and i got i got
  225. 8:17trapped in that first wave of
  226. 8:20um that first wave of consolidation i
  227. 8:23think near 400 before it went to like
  228. 8:25five or six hundred but anyway i'm not
  229. 8:27going to go over any charts in this
  230. 8:30recap i'm just gonna stick to the
  231. 8:31numbers and the mindset and the thought
  232. 8:33process behind
  233. 8:34the last six months and coming into 2022
  234. 8:38if you guys want to see charts
  235. 8:40and you guys want to watch another
  236. 8:42really really really really good recap
  237. 8:44go check out mari's recap she's making
  238. 8:47this uh recap on the entire year for
  239. 8:502021 she's including charts it's gonna
  240. 8:52be great i can't wait to watch it so
  241. 8:55i'll also put a link to that in the
  242. 8:56description both our videos will be
  243. 8:58dropping at the same time january 23rd
  244. 9:02at 3 p.m so if you watch mine
  245. 9:05please please watch hers as well because
  246. 9:07it's going to be really really good
  247. 9:09and i know she made a powerpoint and
  248. 9:11she's been preparing it's going to be so
  249. 9:12good so go watch that
  250. 9:16anyway
  251. 9:17november was really really bad on car
  252. 9:20and after that happened i realized oh
  253. 9:22crap like i'll just wait for otcs right
  254. 9:25i'll wait for otcs because
  255. 9:27nasdaq's they suck like
  256. 9:29i've traded them the last four months
  257. 9:31five six seven months whatever it's been
  258. 9:34and i i can't manage my risk as well
  259. 9:37um
  260. 9:38and i'm not as
  261. 9:40good at them as i am with otcs
  262. 9:43so i waited and i waited and i took a
  263. 9:44couple small trades here and there
  264. 9:47and anyway
  265. 9:49um
  266. 9:50i just ended up starting to trade really
  267. 9:52emotional and i couldn't really control
  268. 9:53my losses like as you see 15k here 26k
  269. 9:5628k 30k
  270. 9:58now those don't
  271. 10:00look like big losses compared to some of
  272. 10:01these other losses but these are really
  273. 10:03big losses because i was losing on the
  274. 10:05trade so dumb and i think as i got
  275. 10:08towards the end of the month i kind of
  276. 10:09realized that
  277. 10:11i'm gonna have a red month if i don't
  278. 10:12get something together
  279. 10:14and i just started to try to force
  280. 10:16trades and i couldn't accept that i was
  281. 10:19wrong
  282. 10:20so
  283. 10:21that happened and
  284. 10:23i lost a bunch
  285. 10:25[Music]
  286. 10:26now statistically speaking 250k is
  287. 10:30you know not
  288. 10:33not um
  289. 10:34a huge portion of my profits it's very
  290. 10:37small
  291. 10:38and i'll be fine
  292. 10:40but
  293. 10:40it still just sucks this is probably my
  294. 10:42first red month in
  295. 10:44two to three years um and i didn't
  296. 10:46really know how to respond to it so
  297. 10:49in december i was like i'm just going to
  298. 10:50size down and take it easy because i
  299. 10:52don't want to lose a bunch more and i'm
  300. 10:54pretty happy with december's trading
  301. 10:57i size down
  302. 10:59except for
  303. 11:01i guess i lost a bunch on uh
  304. 11:04the third i honestly don't even remember
  305. 11:06what trade that was
  306. 11:08um but as you can see like it was very
  307. 11:10very hard
  308. 11:11for me and like whenever i'd have a gain
  309. 11:13it would just be canceled out
  310. 11:16and
  311. 11:17i had one nice trade on tesla on
  312. 11:21december 30th it was a swing short
  313. 11:24and that was a good way to to close out
  314. 11:26the
  315. 11:26year i'm happy i had that trade or i
  316. 11:29wouldn't have really had any wins all
  317. 11:31month
  318. 11:32that were
  319. 11:33decent
  320. 11:36and the last
  321. 11:38month in december there was really like
  322. 11:40no action at all in small caps or in
  323. 11:44otcs so i was branching off to
  324. 11:47uh trading tesla a lot and mari has
  325. 11:50gotten really good at that she's been
  326. 11:52scalping tesla
  327. 11:54every single day for
  328. 11:57a month or two and she's been uh very
  329. 12:00proficient in that
  330. 12:02and for me it's hard because
  331. 12:05i
  332. 12:06i'm not really too much of a scalper
  333. 12:08type i like to maximize opportunities
  334. 12:12the best that i can
  335. 12:14and wait for the a pluses and go in big
  336. 12:16and trade those the best i can and kind
  337. 12:18of
  338. 12:19that
  339. 12:21side of my trading sometimes interferes
  340. 12:23when i'm trying to take a small scale
  341. 12:25position and i understand that so it's a
  342. 12:27lot harder for me to be consistent like
  343. 12:30she can be whereas if you look at her
  344. 12:32profit chart
  345. 12:33for the first
  346. 12:35her first like 50k she was just making a
  347. 12:37few hundred bucks a day and inching up
  348. 12:38and inching up and then she went
  349. 12:40parabolic
  350. 12:41um into the hot otc market in december
  351. 12:44january february
  352. 12:45um earlier this year and late last year
  353. 12:49but then it took her a few months but i
  354. 12:52finally feel like she's back at
  355. 12:54where she started scalping a couple
  356. 12:56thousand a day and it's really adding up
  357. 12:59and
  358. 12:59i'm still trying to figure out like who
  359. 13:02i am and my identity because it's been
  360. 13:06a longer time frame for me four years
  361. 13:09five years
  362. 13:10of doing this
  363. 13:12and to tell you the truth i am down
  364. 13:15uh just over six figures this month as
  365. 13:18well it's january 23rd
  366. 13:21so i've been doing my best to get my
  367. 13:23stuff together
  368. 13:24and
  369. 13:25i've been talking to um
  370. 13:28talking
  371. 13:29out loud a lot of my ideas talking with
  372. 13:31other people kind of like seeing where i
  373. 13:33stand
  374. 13:34and i really feel like
  375. 13:37i'm turning the page in mindset at least
  376. 13:40also
  377. 13:41um november and december and even
  378. 13:44october
  379. 13:46i
  380. 13:47wasn't doing the best mentally so i i
  381. 13:49know that that also had an effect on me
  382. 13:51and now um i'm doing a lot better so
  383. 13:54that's going to help a lot moving
  384. 13:56forward
  385. 13:57and
  386. 13:59when 2022 started i kind of just wanted
  387. 14:01to put 20 20 and 1 20 21 in the past and
  388. 14:04go out and have a few big trades and get
  389. 14:06the year going and that was the wrong
  390. 14:08mentality there
  391. 14:11so i think that the main thing that i
  392. 14:12have to do
  393. 14:14is really
  394. 14:16i have to open an account with much
  395. 14:18smaller size
  396. 14:20whatever it's going to be 50 100k 150k
  397. 14:23200k
  398. 14:24that i can trade
  399. 14:26to just stay active right to stay active
  400. 14:29show up
  401. 14:30try to make
  402. 14:32500 bucks 1000 bucks 2 000 bucks 5 000
  403. 14:34bucks whatever
  404. 14:36and
  405. 14:37stay in the game and practice reading
  406. 14:38the tape
  407. 14:40and uh
  408. 14:41staying sharp
  409. 14:43rather than just trying to show up for a
  410. 14:45big opportunity and try to nail it i
  411. 14:46tried to do that with bbig i didn't
  412. 14:48trade for like a week
  413. 14:51and i showed up for bbig and i was just
  414. 14:53all over the place and i did not trade
  415. 14:55it well even though the pattern played
  416. 14:56out pretty perfectly
  417. 14:58and in any other scenario i would have
  418. 15:01nailed that trade i'm shorting the low
  419. 15:03fives risking the 550 area and covering
  420. 15:06into the mid fours low fours
  421. 15:09that was just a trade earlier this week
  422. 15:11if you guys want to check out the chart
  423. 15:13anyway i have to
  424. 15:15have a small account that i can trade
  425. 15:17with
  426. 15:19and
  427. 15:21other than that i'll have my bigger
  428. 15:23account for the a plus opportunities and
  429. 15:25when the a plus opportunities come
  430. 15:28i'll fire up the bigger account and i'll
  431. 15:30be
  432. 15:31um
  433. 15:32more sharp and not rusty for those
  434. 15:34opportunities and that's when i can
  435. 15:36capitalize
  436. 15:38so that's kind of my thoughts now on how
  437. 15:40i feel like i'm turning the page
  438. 15:43and really
  439. 15:45feel like
  440. 15:47i have gotten through
  441. 15:49the
  442. 15:50the hard time for me even though i
  443. 15:51haven't um profited or anything
  444. 15:54yet i just feel that
  445. 15:57i've taken these
  446. 15:59last few months and
  447. 16:02really i've done a lot of thinking
  448. 16:04especially on all my days off
  449. 16:06um from trading these last three months
  450. 16:09and
  451. 16:11i'm pretty happy with the first
  452. 16:13half of
  453. 16:16the first half of uh these last six
  454. 16:18months july august september
  455. 16:20october
  456. 16:22because i did what i wanted i sized down
  457. 16:25and i i still sized up on the wrong i
  458. 16:28still sized up without being
  459. 16:30sharp and ready
  460. 16:32and that's i had to learn that and i
  461. 16:35also took time to really forget about
  462. 16:37the market
  463. 16:38just relax be on vacation
  464. 16:40spend time with bari family friends
  465. 16:44and really just
  466. 16:47kind of de-stress from the last four
  467. 16:49years of putting so much pressure on
  468. 16:51myself to perform
  469. 16:54and i know that i've been
  470. 16:55really quiet on twitter and instagram
  471. 16:59and profitly and
  472. 17:01[Music]
  473. 17:02a bunch of other
  474. 17:04a bunch of other um rooms and talking
  475. 17:06with friends and people so if you are
  476. 17:08watching this and you know me personally
  477. 17:10through trading or whatever it is
  478. 17:13i have just kind of been figuring all
  479. 17:15the stuff out
  480. 17:16and going through a lot
  481. 17:18so i apologize for
  482. 17:21my absence
  483. 17:23and i know you guys will understand
  484. 17:26but anyway
  485. 17:28i
  486. 17:29want to get into
  487. 17:31a few more statistics here
  488. 17:33so
  489. 17:35here's my monthly review we don't really
  490. 17:37need to go over this but we will go over
  491. 17:39the year review
  492. 17:40so this is the year end
  493. 17:43results
  494. 17:44i'm very happy with
  495. 17:46my my winning trades i had a bunch of
  496. 17:49you know 40 50 30
  497. 17:52okay a bunch of six figure trades as
  498. 17:53well
  499. 17:54and if you scroll down
  500. 17:57to
  501. 17:59the bottom
  502. 18:00i just had
  503. 18:01a few big losses here and other than
  504. 18:03that i kept my losses pretty small as
  505. 18:06you can say i was saying like the 20 and
  506. 18:0830k lost days are pretty bad like as you
  507. 18:10can see like i didn't really have that
  508. 18:12many 20 to 30k loss days
  509. 18:15until it got towards the end of the year
  510. 18:18and i had one two three
  511. 18:21four five
  512. 18:23so i really lost
  513. 18:25a lot in
  514. 18:27november
  515. 18:28a lot of uh big losses
  516. 18:32so
  517. 18:34the average price of my winner is 90
  518. 18:36cents and the average price of my loser
  519. 18:38is 40 cents so that's interesting to
  520. 18:40know that i actually do better on
  521. 18:43higher priced
  522. 18:45stocks
  523. 18:46and it's good to see that i have more
  524. 18:49size
  525. 18:50almost triple the amount of size in my
  526. 18:52winning positions of losing positions
  527. 18:54and this is just the share size
  528. 18:57i traded 75 otcs my nasdaq win rate was
  529. 19:0165 and my otc win rate was 64.4 so
  530. 19:05that's very similar and that's cool to
  531. 19:07see that
  532. 19:08i'm proficient um
  533. 19:11win rate about the same exact so it's
  534. 19:13cool to see that they evened out
  535. 19:17nasdaq p l was
  536. 19:202.4 and otc was 4.2
  537. 19:24that's also really cool because i traded
  538. 19:26um
  539. 19:28otc 25 of the time more
  540. 19:31and i had
  541. 19:33about
  542. 19:34almost double the profit so
  543. 19:37i did slightly better on otc even though
  544. 19:39my profit factor on nasdaq was slightly
  545. 19:41higher
  546. 19:43my long wind percent was 62 and my short
  547. 19:45one percent was 73
  548. 19:477
  549. 19:49and i made
  550. 19:50once again about 4.2 long
  551. 19:53and about 2.5 short and i would say that
  552. 19:56most of the long p l was otc but i still
  553. 19:58had
  554. 19:59a few really good otc shorts
  555. 20:02like
  556. 20:03wndw
  557. 20:04right here that was a really good short
  558. 20:07for me
  559. 20:10average profit was about 12k average
  560. 20:12loss was about 6k
  561. 20:14and
  562. 20:16yeah that's that's about it that's what
  563. 20:18i wanted to cover so those are just some
  564. 20:20stats if you guys are curious i i think
  565. 20:23it's really cool how they played out and
  566. 20:25everything
  567. 20:26nothing's really an outlier right
  568. 20:28everything is
  569. 20:31statistically
  570. 20:33appealing and appeasing
  571. 20:36and now i'll get into kind of the
  572. 20:38pattern performance part
  573. 20:40i spent about
  574. 20:4250 grand or 49k in short low case that's
  575. 20:45really good for the amount of money that
  576. 20:47i made but considering that
  577. 20:50a lot of my trading was otcs
  578. 20:54they don't cost
  579. 20:55it was a lot of long trading
  580. 20:57so
  581. 20:58it was about 75 long so i'm sure these
  582. 21:01fees would have been a lot more if i was
  583. 21:02primarily a short seller
  584. 21:04but net on the year ended up making 6.6
  585. 21:07and the gross was 6.7
  586. 21:12otcs
  587. 21:14otc breakouts were my best strategy
  588. 21:17and
  589. 21:18behind that i have the otc swing trades
  590. 21:21and the panic dip buys
  591. 21:23and those really were my main three
  592. 21:24patterns
  593. 21:26for
  594. 21:27a large majority of the year
  595. 21:29and as otcs kind of go ex like
  596. 21:32go a lot more extinct and they have
  597. 21:34lighter volume
  598. 21:36i'm not going to be able to trade these
  599. 21:37four main patterns which
  600. 21:38this is really what i learned 2017 2018
  601. 21:422019 and it set me up for the hot otc
  602. 21:44market
  603. 21:45but now i realize i'm gonna have to
  604. 21:47adapt and move into
  605. 21:50different sectors
  606. 21:52so small caps is definitely the main
  607. 21:54thing that i want to focus on
  608. 21:57and
  609. 21:58once i feel like i'm more comfortable
  610. 22:00with small caps i want to
  611. 22:02get into larger cap swings mid caps
  612. 22:05and
  613. 22:07have those
  614. 22:09kind of transfer into those especially
  615. 22:11with
  616. 22:12the capital that i have
  617. 22:14um
  618. 22:15otcs i'll always know how to trade and
  619. 22:17i'm sure if they ever come back i'd be
  620. 22:19ready to nail but for right now i have
  621. 22:21to accept that they're probably going to
  622. 22:23go
  623. 22:24away for a long time especially
  624. 22:28as
  625. 22:29the market
  626. 22:30the overall markets are really
  627. 22:34turning uh are really selling off
  628. 22:38quite largely in the beginning of the
  629. 22:40year who knows what it's going to lead
  630. 22:43to
  631. 22:44uh for the rest of the year but for
  632. 22:46right now
  633. 22:47i have to accept that they've been gone
  634. 22:50uh for pretty much a year and it's it's
  635. 22:52time to move on i will be
  636. 22:55starting to kind of follow
  637. 22:58newer traders and see different kinds of
  638. 23:00of strategies
  639. 23:02and keep myself more open now rather
  640. 23:05than um waiting
  641. 23:07i want to kind of move on
  642. 23:09and
  643. 23:11and yeah
  644. 23:12so otc shorts
  645. 23:14i i still did really good for the amount
  646. 23:16of trades that i took on these
  647. 23:18i wait for the best setups and i went in
  648. 23:20same with my listed shorts i did not
  649. 23:22take that many short trades as you guys
  650. 23:23can see it was like 250 short trades
  651. 23:27and i profited really nicely
  652. 23:30i was really scared to short
  653. 23:33uh
  654. 23:34a lot of stocks this year because of how
  655. 23:36bullish everything was and i felt like
  656. 23:37whenever i shorted i would always lose
  657. 23:41so
  658. 23:42i waited for the best opportunities and
  659. 23:44if i started shorting more aggressively
  660. 23:45towards the end of the year
  661. 23:47i probably would have
  662. 23:48made a lot more but
  663. 23:51i was still kind of reserved and i still
  664. 23:54was very open and i liked going along a
  665. 23:56lot more
  666. 23:58but now as the markets are selling off i
  667. 23:59realize i have to
  668. 24:01get better at
  669. 24:03at shorting
  670. 24:06as you can see february was by january
  671. 24:08and february were just absolutely nuts
  672. 24:10for otc longs otc shorts as well the
  673. 24:12whole entire otc sector was just nuts
  674. 24:15and i was still making decent profits
  675. 24:17everywhere else as well
  676. 24:20march was uh really good as well
  677. 24:23really consistent month
  678. 24:26april was my first slower month but i
  679. 24:28still ended up
  680. 24:30locking in a few good swing trades that
  681. 24:32i had left over
  682. 24:34and but this is when the momentum really
  683. 24:36started to shift
  684. 24:37and it got a little bit more difficult
  685. 24:39and then in may
  686. 24:41this was a
  687. 24:43gme it was a good trade
  688. 24:45i think i made like 200k that day
  689. 24:48and that was most of my month but i
  690. 24:50still had a few good otc trades
  691. 24:52and then in june i was actually read on
  692. 24:54otcs and that was my best nasdaq month
  693. 24:58with amc did really really good on that
  694. 25:01that was my best nasdaq trade of the
  695. 25:03year was amc
  696. 25:05and then july
  697. 25:06was read on otc's again still was doing
  698. 25:09good did pretty good on
  699. 25:11nasdaq
  700. 25:13and then in august
  701. 25:15i had a couple like
  702. 25:18a couple otc trades and then i was break
  703. 25:20even on nasdaq's
  704. 25:23september did really well on taking it
  705. 25:26slow
  706. 25:27and otcs are still tradable but you have
  707. 25:29to trade them like perfect to make like
  708. 25:31a 5k trade 10k trade
  709. 25:33um
  710. 25:34and the liquidity is just not good and
  711. 25:36if you're wrong you're gonna lose more
  712. 25:38than you
  713. 25:39expect because it's hard to get out
  714. 25:41and my nasdaq game start
  715. 25:43wasn't very good that month october like
  716. 25:44i said d walking fun
  717. 25:48nailed it
  718. 25:49those trades were
  719. 25:51really good
  720. 25:53and going into november was pretty much
  721. 25:56red on everything except uh
  722. 25:59otc shorts not even sure what i shorted
  723. 26:01oh this was htz
  724. 26:04uh that was actually a good opportunity
  725. 26:05i wish i only traded that this month but
  726. 26:07i started getting clapped on
  727. 26:11in november
  728. 26:13and then i have more a more breakdown of
  729. 26:15the stats here i've always had three to
  730. 26:17one exactly on otc breakouts
  731. 26:2161 win percent when i chase the breakout
  732. 26:24my
  733. 26:25stats are a lot more break even
  734. 26:28the dip buys high win percent 86 percent
  735. 26:31on the year
  736. 26:32but
  737. 26:33um i ended up taking that loss on mm-hmm
  738. 26:36and dpls so that's like the majority of
  739. 26:38my loss
  740. 26:40uh otc trend change is just a different
  741. 26:42dip buy term um where i kind of wait for
  742. 26:45there to be a lower high
  743. 26:47or yeah
  744. 26:49no a higher low sorry
  745. 26:51and
  746. 26:52that was good
  747. 26:54first green days was pretty solid as
  748. 26:56well
  749. 26:58lower wind percent but good risk to
  750. 27:00reward good profit factor on the year
  751. 27:04swing trades my average percent gain was
  752. 27:06100 average percent loss was 25
  753. 27:11really really nuts
  754. 27:12uh some of the stocks that i was in just
  755. 27:15went nuts but i didn't know how to
  756. 27:19cut some losses and i ended up probably
  757. 27:21taking more losses than i should have as
  758. 27:23my win percent was less than 50. uh the
  759. 27:26win percent was probably like 80 90 at
  760. 27:29the beginning of the year if i just had
  761. 27:30cut everything these stats would have
  762. 27:32been actually insane but
  763. 27:34as you can say you know human nature
  764. 27:36doesn't want good things to end so i
  765. 27:38held on to a few and ended up
  766. 27:42losing buying news
  767. 27:44you know maybe 10k this year whatever
  768. 27:47uh scouts 15k
  769. 27:49and then getting into the shorts this
  770. 27:51was very interesting for me to look at
  771. 27:54i i thought i would do better on
  772. 27:56overextended gap ups this year
  773. 27:58but i actually my win percent was only
  774. 28:0060 and it was about 80 on the gap downs
  775. 28:04so moving forward
  776. 28:06otc gap downs are
  777. 28:10and i always like to risk 10k on these
  778. 28:12so it's nice to see that my losses my
  779. 28:14average loss is right around where i
  780. 28:16like to risk
  781. 28:19so my you know my profit factor was just
  782. 28:21a lot better so moving forward
  783. 28:23i think that the gap downs are i could
  784. 28:26size up more on them this year and you
  785. 28:28know if they ever come back and size
  786. 28:30down less on the gap ups
  787. 28:34not much here otc parabolics 96 win
  788. 28:38percent on a 25 count which is pretty
  789. 28:40good
  790. 28:41um
  791. 28:42you just you can't go too big and and
  792. 28:44squeeze yourself but they do make for
  793. 28:46very consistent money
  794. 28:48uh michael good and kyle williams also
  795. 28:51trade them and
  796. 28:55we yeah
  797. 28:56it's a very uh consistent strategy but
  798. 28:59you just can't
  799. 29:01size up too much like i lost like three
  800. 29:03grand so i think i lost like one trade
  801. 29:05and i was actually right on that trade i
  802. 29:06remember two i just messed it up
  803. 29:09it was btcs when it was at like three
  804. 29:11bucks
  805. 29:14uh otc that's a bounce short and this is
  806. 29:17a breakdown
  807. 29:19solid
  808. 29:20solid stats
  809. 29:23and then getting into
  810. 29:25listed breakouts
  811. 29:27um i mean i had one main trade on amc
  812. 29:29for 150k and the rest was probably just
  813. 29:31blah but that one trade was worth it
  814. 29:35listed dip buys
  815. 29:37also high wind percent but the average
  816. 29:40loss is is large
  817. 29:44and you just have to understand that's
  818. 29:45the type of strategy dip buying is
  819. 29:47listed first green day i'm going to cut
  820. 29:48this out
  821. 29:50this year
  822. 29:51i you know 35 win rate um
  823. 29:54on a 25 count 23 count so i'm gonna cut
  824. 29:57that out
  825. 29:58listed swing trades
  826. 30:00pretty good listed scalp
  827. 30:03and then moving into listed shorts
  828. 30:08as you can see i also did better on the
  829. 30:10gap downs than the gap ups
  830. 30:12uh
  831. 30:14i lost a bit more on the gap downs
  832. 30:16because
  833. 30:17usually the risk is a lot wider than the
  834. 30:19gap ups
  835. 30:21but the win percent is higher
  836. 30:24and if this was 2020 my stats with the
  837. 30:26gap up would be a lot better but now the
  838. 30:28gap down's better i think because the
  839. 30:30market was so strong that when stuff
  840. 30:31gapped up it was very hard for it to
  841. 30:33sell off
  842. 30:34so maybe the gap ups will be better this
  843. 30:36year
  844. 30:37but
  845. 30:38um definitely keeping these stats in
  846. 30:40mind
  847. 30:41and then there's a few more nothing
  848. 30:43really uh listed parabolic i didn't
  849. 30:46really cover on on this i usually went
  850. 30:48pretty big on this as you can see
  851. 30:50average dollar gains 48k average lost
  852. 30:5224k
  853. 30:54i went big on these i'm not sure why so
  854. 30:56i'm gonna be cautious moving forward
  855. 30:58on on those
  856. 31:02and yeah now i will show you guys
  857. 31:05my profit chart as you can see
  858. 31:09this was in june so i i really went
  859. 31:12sideways as you can see like i didn't
  860. 31:14nothing really happened except for d
  861. 31:16walk and fun like that was
  862. 31:18everything right
  863. 31:19that trade was that back-to-back day of
  864. 31:22making almost like 800k
  865. 31:25um and now
  866. 31:27as you can see i've been losing for
  867. 31:28three months but in the retrospect of
  868. 31:31everything i am down 400k but if you
  869. 31:34look from the beginning
  870. 31:35it's not that bad if i never had that
  871. 31:37big trade on dewok and fun and i started
  872. 31:39to fade off i feel like it would be a
  873. 31:40lot harder mentally
  874. 31:42but i'm still above these highs here and
  875. 31:45now i feel like i know what i'm doing
  876. 31:48um and i'm feeling a lot better
  877. 31:51so
  878. 31:52hopefully we can we can put a bottom in
  879. 31:53here hold this uh form a resistance make
  880. 31:57into support and we can start up
  881. 31:58trending towards that that nine million
  882. 32:00dollar mark and hopefully this year we
  883. 32:02can get over
  884. 32:04um 10 million at some point not really
  885. 32:06sure not really sure when or if it will
  886. 32:09happen but i'm gonna try my hardest
  887. 32:11and finally feeling back on track guys
  888. 32:14so
  889. 32:15i hope you guys enjoyed this video
  890. 32:17like i said make sure to watch
  891. 32:19mari's video it's gonna be amazing i
  892. 32:22can't wait to watch it make sure to
  893. 32:24watch my previous
  894. 32:26how i made six million in six months
  895. 32:28this video lesson
  896. 32:29uh was a lot different
  897. 32:31it went over kind of what happens after
  898. 32:34you come off a hot a really hot market
  899. 32:36and when euphoria is to the max this is
  900. 32:39just straight euphoria guys
  901. 32:41um
  902. 32:42you know it's not realistic to go
  903. 32:44straight up like this
  904. 32:46and i am happy at the end of the day
  905. 32:48that i didn't lose
  906. 32:5050 of my profits and i am happy that i'm
  907. 32:53above
  908. 32:54where i was
  909. 32:55six months ago
  910. 32:57so everything's okay
  911. 32:59and i found out what i needed to do to
  912. 33:03you know be more consistent be in the
  913. 33:05game and
  914. 33:07also
  915. 33:08be ready for those a plus opportunities
  916. 33:10because that's the type of trader i am
  917. 33:12uh anyway guys
  918. 33:14please hit the like and please subscribe
  919. 33:18uh it was great talking i hope uh this
  920. 33:21video still
  921. 33:22gets
  922. 33:23the views that
  923. 33:25it deserves because i feel like there's
  924. 33:27a lot of information in here and i'm
  925. 33:29just sorry that it took so long i have
  926. 33:31been busy but i am turning the page
  927. 33:34so i'm super excited to move forward
  928. 33:38and get get back on track with the with
  929. 33:41everything
  930. 33:42all right guys
  931. 33:44have a good rest of your weekend
  932. 33:45football sunday to today i'll be rooting
  933. 33:48for the buccaneers and tom brady to see
  934. 33:50if he can do it again
  935. 33:52i love uh rooting for the goats and
  936. 33:55seeing how far they can take it
  937. 33:57but all right i'll see you guys later
  938. 33:59i'll stop talking now
  939. 34:01i'll probably see you in june for a six
  940. 34:03month recap
  941. 34:04later

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