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Trading Course Day 12: Decision Making & Trading Psychology — Transcript

by SCI · 10,497 words · 1,556 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:01All right, guys. So, today we're going
  2. 0:03to talk about something that I feel like
  3. 0:05is very important when it comes to
  4. 0:07trading. And, you know, everything I
  5. 0:10pretty much put out is very important to
  6. 0:12trading. But, um, as we continue to go
  7. 0:14further and further into the course, I
  8. 0:17just want to keep telling you that, you
  9. 0:19know, watch the beginning so you can
  10. 0:21understand now, right? Um, we've made it
  11. 0:24this far. I think we're on 12. We made
  12. 0:27it this far and overall I want to
  13. 0:29explain market decision. So basically
  14. 0:33you find a setup and you need to make
  15. 0:36the decision if you're going to take the
  16. 0:37trade or execute the trade. What should
  17. 0:39you be looking for? The mindset
  18. 0:41basically of just finding your trades
  19. 0:43and seeing what you see in the markets
  20. 0:45and being able to determine if the trade
  21. 0:47is valid or not. So today I did a
  22. 0:49breakdown on uh Telegram. So, I recently
  23. 0:54just did a breakdown on Telegram and
  24. 0:56look at price. I want to show you
  25. 0:57something, right? So, price was sitting
  26. 1:00at 195 195 and then it bought up
  27. 1:04recently all the way up to 203, right?
  28. 1:08But that doesn't discourage me or
  29. 1:10anything. So, if we go here on a 1 hour
  30. 1:12time frame, that's why I got this,
  31. 1:13right? So, it was sitting on that level
  32. 1:15of support. Boom. This level of support.
  33. 1:18If we go back to the 4 hour, you can see
  34. 1:20what I'm talking about. So, that same
  35. 1:21level of support here, sitting on that
  36. 1:24level, and then it bought off of that
  37. 1:25level, which is cool. In my head,
  38. 1:29I'm thinking to myself, well, I'm like,
  39. 1:32okay, well, I see that price has a new
  40. 1:34low in the market. Is the correction
  41. 1:36still going? Because initially, we don't
  42. 1:39have any bearish signs yet. We had price
  43. 1:43come up to one um 211 and then have a
  44. 1:46rejection back down to 193, but price
  45. 1:51pushed up, but it didn't break over 211.
  46. 1:54So, it's not bullish. It can be
  47. 1:56considered bullish on the 1 hour time
  48. 1:58frame because price is above those swing
  49. 1:59highs. So, as you can see here, we have
  50. 2:02price above these swing highs. That
  51. 2:04indication above here, price corrected
  52. 2:06back down to these levels. Didn't break
  53. 2:08the level that it bought off of. So as
  54. 2:10you can see here price bought
  55. 2:13price came here it sold this is the
  56. 2:16lowest level it sold and then it bought
  57. 2:18bought off that level right so we have a
  58. 2:21high higher low higher high another
  59. 2:24higher low this could be a potential
  60. 2:27move for a higher high now this is why
  61. 2:30this video is very important because you
  62. 2:33can have things like this
  63. 2:36you can have things like this that
  64. 2:38confuses you on which way the market is
  65. 2:40going to go. So, you'll get into a buy
  66. 2:42trade now, right? You'll get into a buy
  67. 2:44trade now and then later on price will
  68. 2:46end up selling, right? So, what I want
  69. 2:50to advise you on, it's not like like I
  70. 2:53said, it's not always going to work, but
  71. 2:54it's best to be patient. Um, I know it's
  72. 2:57going to be super hard to do that, but
  73. 2:58it's best to be patient and wait for
  74. 3:00extra confirmations. So, for this 1 hour
  75. 3:02time frame, I'm going to show you both
  76. 3:03time frames and what you should be
  77. 3:05looking for. So, with this 1 hour time
  78. 3:07frame, if you're confused if price is
  79. 3:08going to go bearish or bullish,
  80. 3:15excuse me, I feel like I I feel like I
  81. 3:18yawn in every video we make. Um, but
  82. 3:22yeah, uh, I probably just need some blue
  83. 3:24light glasses to be honest, bro. It be
  84. 3:26making me a little tired. Um, but look,
  85. 3:28with the 1 hour time frame, look at it
  86. 3:31already. You would have been stopped out
  87. 3:33most likely. Some of you guys make super
  88. 3:35small stop losses, but with this you
  89. 3:40need to basically see more bullish
  90. 3:43structure, more bullish confirmation. So
  91. 3:45how you're going to do that, right? So
  92. 3:47for example, you see how price bought
  93. 3:49off this level. You see how price bought
  94. 3:52off this level right here. This is a
  95. 3:54signs that bulls are here, right? Price
  96. 3:56can do whatever it wants when whenever
  97. 3:59it's here, right? So this doesn't affect
  98. 4:00us if we're thinking from the 1 hour
  99. 4:02time frame perspective. 4 hour is always
  100. 4:05going to be stronger than the 1 hour. 1
  101. 4:06hour is always going to be stronger than
  102. 4:0830 minute. 30 minute is going to be
  103. 4:09stronger yada yada. So overall I feel
  104. 4:11like the 4 hour is still going to
  105. 4:12overpower the 1 hour. We're just waiting
  106. 4:14for uh the 4 hour to play out. But just
  107. 4:18just for you to overall get a
  108. 4:20perspective. If you ever have a trade
  109. 4:22where it's contradicting itself on the
  110. 4:24higher time frames,
  111. 4:27sometimes the one hour can build into
  112. 4:29that 4 hour. So the 4 hour might look
  113. 4:31bearish right now, but the 1 hour is
  114. 4:33building that up. So what you would want
  115. 4:36to see is price have some rejections to
  116. 4:38the downside and start building higher
  117. 4:40highs and higher lows. So then from the
  118. 4:421 hour, we can go to the 15minut time
  119. 4:45frame,
  120. 4:47right? So from this 15-minut time frame,
  121. 4:50price already had touched there. Wow.
  122. 4:52Price had already touched in that area
  123. 4:54on 109 where sellers were at here.
  124. 4:57That's pretty interesting. Maybe I'll
  125. 4:58take all this back.
  126. 5:00That is pretty interesting. But um let
  127. 5:03me just continue with it. Right. So if
  128. 5:06you think the 1 hour is going to go
  129. 5:07bullish, you need the 15minut time frame
  130. 5:09to remain the same. Now once again, I'm
  131. 5:13big on whichever higher time frame is
  132. 5:15bigger. So if the 4 hour has more
  133. 5:17bearish structure and is clear to see,
  134. 5:19I'll go with that. If the 1 hour has
  135. 5:21better structure than all of these, I
  136. 5:23will go with the 1 hour. But in this
  137. 5:25case, 15-minut time frame, we can see
  138. 5:28that price is building higher highs and
  139. 5:30higher lows, as we have here, as we have
  140. 5:33here, and then as we have here, right?
  141. 5:37And I'm big on marking the body closes
  142. 5:40because I feel like those are closed
  143. 5:41deals. wicks are more of like, hey,
  144. 5:43we've been here, but we didn't
  145. 5:45successfully get up to the level that we
  146. 5:47wanted to. So, we're closing out at this
  147. 5:49level. So, I'm big on body closes
  148. 5:52when it comes to marking things out. But
  149. 5:56with this with the 15-minut time frame
  150. 5:59building up bullish structure and we're
  151. 6:01still above oops, wrong one. And we're
  152. 6:04still above swing highs that we had. So,
  153. 6:07this gray area is where that initial
  154. 6:09breakout came from. breakout came from.
  155. 6:12This would still look to consider go
  156. 6:14bullish above 102 back to 110 111
  157. 6:19because of the 15-minut time frame is
  158. 6:21building bullish structure, right? And
  159. 6:24that's tagging along with the 1 hour
  160. 6:26time frame. So that's how you would see
  161. 6:28it if you was looking for buys on the 1
  162. 6:30hour time frame. Now if you was looking
  163. 6:32for sales, your market decision between
  164. 6:35that will always be under a it would be
  165. 6:38the same thing. You would basically take
  166. 6:40structure where if you're seeing sells,
  167. 6:44you want price to break a level where it
  168. 6:47shows you price can go bearish or
  169. 6:50bullish. In this case, bearish, right?
  170. 6:54So, we do not trade until price breaks
  171. 6:58below a level of where bears can come in
  172. 7:02control. Sorry. So, in order for you to
  173. 7:05sell, let's put it this way. Let's make
  174. 7:07a rule.
  175. 7:09Right in order
  176. 7:13for you to buy
  177. 7:16it has to break above a swing high. I
  178. 7:23feel like we made these rules before.
  179. 7:28In order for you to sell,
  180. 7:33it has to
  181. 7:36break below a swing low. So in this
  182. 7:42case,
  183. 7:43right, in this case, if we're looking at
  184. 7:46only strictly the 4hour time frame, if
  185. 7:49we're only looking at the strictly 4hour
  186. 7:51time frame, price will be considered
  187. 7:52bullish above that level, right? It
  188. 7:54still matches with the 1 hour time
  189. 7:56frame. So even if we go here right here
  190. 7:58where price originally broke out on the
  191. 8:004 hour we have this push up. So this
  192. 8:02bullish momentum above this level a
  193. 8:05correction stayed strong price above
  194. 8:08this level bullish right? If price
  195. 8:11breaks that level of support it will
  196. 8:13match that other confluence with that
  197. 8:15support level that was here where buyers
  198. 8:17were once at. So as you can see buyers
  199. 8:19were once at this level price broke
  200. 8:22under that level which means anything
  201. 8:24under only only this price point.
  202. 8:26Remember only under the price point.
  203. 8:29It's not bearish in general until it
  204. 8:31breaks or it breaks above or below a
  205. 8:34level. Some of you guys will see an
  206. 8:36indication.
  207. 8:38You'll see an indication and you will
  208. 8:39only think the trend is supposed to be
  209. 8:41that. Just because you have an
  210. 8:43indication in a level doesn't mean the
  211. 8:45whole trend is that yet. It only becomes
  212. 8:48the trend when price is under this
  213. 8:49level. So we only say that price is
  214. 8:52bearish when it's under 190 189. Right?
  215. 8:56We only say price is bearish only under
  216. 8:58that level. So anytime it's above this
  217. 9:00level still price can do whatever. It's
  218. 9:03still can um still bullish above that
  219. 9:06level, right? It's still bullish when
  220. 9:07it's above 194 191. Price is still
  221. 9:11bullish. The moment it breaks 190, it
  222. 9:15broken all the bullish signs. So every
  223. 9:18sign that we got that price is bullish
  224. 9:20above this level, these pushes off this
  225. 9:22level, that will all go out the window
  226. 9:24once price breaks 189. I mean, yeah,
  227. 9:27189, right? So with that being said,
  228. 9:31your market decision has to get better
  229. 9:33when it comes to looking at market
  230. 9:34structure. Market structure is going to
  231. 9:36save you a lot, especially when you're
  232. 9:38looking at different time frames. So I
  233. 9:40don't stick to one time frame. I trade
  234. 9:42on most of the higher time frames. So, 4
  235. 9:44hour, one hour, and I swap through. I go
  236. 9:46look, see what I can find. Okay, the one
  237. 9:48hour looks pretty good to be bullish
  238. 9:50above um 199. Anything above 199 is most
  239. 9:54likely going to go to 209, right? Um the
  240. 9:59chances of that are pretty high because
  241. 10:00we had that same bullish uh momentum
  242. 10:03before. That's all we're doing. we're
  243. 10:05looking for. So, the best way to explain
  244. 10:08it is
  245. 10:10we're finding our swing lows and our
  246. 10:12swing highs.
  247. 10:14We're taking that swing high that we
  248. 10:16had, we're looking for that initial
  249. 10:18breakout and correction. Once we have
  250. 10:21that indication and correction, so once
  251. 10:23we have the breakout and the correction,
  252. 10:26everything else is just waiting for
  253. 10:28price to rebreak back above that level
  254. 10:30again. That's all the market structure
  255. 10:32and price action that we're using is
  256. 10:34we're waiting for price to rebreak above
  257. 10:37that level again. So in this case, price
  258. 10:39could go bullish because we've seen this
  259. 10:41break before and we've seen the causes
  260. 10:44of it. Right?
  261. 10:46We've seen the causes of this break. So
  262. 10:48I'm going to go ahead and put this here.
  263. 10:51Right?
  264. 10:54So we've seen the causes of this. So, we
  265. 10:55know price is going to try to make its
  266. 10:57way back up and try to do the same thing
  267. 10:59because above this level is letting us
  268. 11:01know that sellers have no control. So,
  269. 11:03as you can see, when I say sellers have
  270. 11:05no control,
  271. 11:07this basically means that buyers are
  272. 11:10going to push as much as free will as
  273. 11:13possible up into this level. It's like
  274. 11:16driving down the highway.
  275. 11:19If there's no cars on the road, if
  276. 11:21there's nobody to stop you on the road,
  277. 11:23there's no cars in the way, no traffic,
  278. 11:25you're going to punch the gas as far as
  279. 11:28you can. Literally as far as you can,
  280. 11:31and you're going to speed
  281. 11:34until you get to a point where there's
  282. 11:35cars in the way in traffic. So, it's the
  283. 11:37same way. Price is bullish. The next
  284. 11:41level of sellers is at
  285. 11:45uh 211,
  286. 11:47right? So bulls are going to maximize
  287. 11:50and use all the speed they can until
  288. 11:53they get to that next level of sellers
  289. 11:55and then that's when price starts to
  290. 11:56slow down.
  291. 11:58But if buyers maneuver through the
  292. 12:01traffic once they so if they get up here
  293. 12:04and they maneuver through the traffic,
  294. 12:06they move through the traffic and happen
  295. 12:07to to to get another free opportunity to
  296. 12:10push up higher, that's what buyers are
  297. 12:12going to do and that's what a trend is
  298. 12:15going to do. If price feels like it
  299. 12:17still has some more wiggle room or it
  300. 12:19still has some more gas left in the tank
  301. 12:21to push at maximum speed, it's going to
  302. 12:24do so.
  303. 12:25You cannot stop. Put it this way. You
  304. 12:28could be the guy that's slow Nancy on
  305. 12:31the road, you know, going to speed limit
  306. 12:33average speed limit, but if you see a
  307. 12:35Lamborghini speeding down the highway,
  308. 12:37you got to move out the way. So if
  309. 12:40sellers see that buyers are coming in
  310. 12:42full strong, full strength, they got to
  311. 12:45move out the way and they're going to
  312. 12:47move out the way and let buyers continue
  313. 12:49to keep going until they run out of gas,
  314. 12:53right? So it's pretty much everything is
  315. 12:55the same way when it comes to trends and
  316. 12:58market decisions, making decisions in
  317. 13:00the market and understanding everything.
  318. 13:02All I'm doing is simply taking what the
  319. 13:05market is showing. So, I'm looking at
  320. 13:07levels and I'm saying, "Hey,
  321. 13:10price was buying from this level." So,
  322. 13:14we're going to mark this level first
  323. 13:15because it bought from this level,
  324. 13:20pushed all the way up into this level.
  325. 13:23Why did it stop here? That's what that's
  326. 13:25what I would question myself. Why did it
  327. 13:27stop here?
  328. 13:30And then price sells.
  329. 13:33And then when it keeps going, punching
  330. 13:35the gas, punching the gas, punching the
  331. 13:36gas, and then it stops.
  332. 13:39It's like, no, I don't want to go any
  333. 13:40further. Now,
  334. 13:43why does it stop here? Oh, because
  335. 13:45there's more buyers picking up here.
  336. 13:49And then when I see this, I'll look over
  337. 13:52and I'll try to see if there's anything
  338. 13:54that it broke out of before. Where did
  339. 13:56this come from? So, where did this low
  340. 13:58was coming from? Oh, this low came from
  341. 14:01when price pushed all the way up and got
  342. 14:04to this point. So then that's very
  343. 14:06interesting because then I use this. And
  344. 14:09now I can see above this level, price is
  345. 14:12repeating the same thing. So I'm going
  346. 14:15to drag this over and I'm going to look
  347. 14:16for price to repeat the same thing. Same
  348. 14:18way with that bearish momentum, right?
  349. 14:21I'm showing you what's going on now. And
  350. 14:23maybe by the time you look at this
  351. 14:25video, it might be at uh 210, right? or
  352. 14:29it might be going for that sale.
  353. 14:32Um, I still believe in the higher time
  354. 14:34frame, but that one hour time frame can
  355. 14:36definitely build into the 4 hour time
  356. 14:37frame. So, the 4 hour could be out of
  357. 14:39shift right now. Right.
  358. 14:42Right. The 4 hour could be out of shift.
  359. 14:43What you solely go based off of
  360. 14:47is just the market structure alone. So,
  361. 14:491 hour time frame is above there. 4 hour
  362. 14:51time frame is above there. We have
  363. 14:52higher lows. Cool, right? But we still
  364. 14:54have this new low, which is why you can
  365. 14:56also think price could be bearish. But
  366. 14:58once again, price can be bearish under
  367. 15:01189. That's why there's an alert here.
  368. 15:04There's no trade set, but there's an
  369. 15:06alert here because under this level, it
  370. 15:08is seen that price can go from here to
  371. 15:11here. So, from here to here is what
  372. 15:14we'll be targeting. Same way with this.
  373. 15:16I mean, I didn't see this one. I'm just
  374. 15:18now seeing it because it's making the
  375. 15:19move and pushing up a little bit. So,
  376. 15:23above here, um, when we started the
  377. 15:25video, price was here. Now, it's here.
  378. 15:27Um but yeah, this is this is the same
  379. 15:29thing that I would be looking for just
  380. 15:31on the sell side. So that would be the
  381. 15:33same thing. We have that indication
  382. 15:35price corrected in the market and then
  383. 15:36we're looking for price to sell back
  384. 15:38down to these lows, right? So it'll be
  385. 15:40the same thing no matter what you do. Um
  386. 15:42the price action market structure will
  387. 15:44be the same thing. The the setup will be
  388. 15:46still be the same thing, right? So with
  389. 15:49all that being said, back on the 4 hour,
  390. 15:52what we would want to see
  391. 15:55uh is basically price build lower highs
  392. 15:58and then break that level of support
  393. 16:00when over under 189 back down to 174 or
  394. 16:06price since it did break above this
  395. 16:08level. And we if we scale in we can see
  396. 16:11notice how price here didn't want to go
  397. 16:13anywhere above this level. it was
  398. 16:15rejecting, rejecting, struggling to get
  399. 16:18above um 198 and then it finally broke
  400. 16:21out of 198 went up to 209. Once it got
  401. 16:25to 209, sellers came into the market and
  402. 16:27they said, "Let's go for a correction.
  403. 16:29Let's push price back down for a bit."
  404. 16:31Boom. They pushed price down to 194.
  405. 16:35Uh 193 is the lowest or 191 is the
  406. 16:38lowest. So no breaking of the previous
  407. 16:41one because 190 was the last low and
  408. 16:43then now we have 192 191 as the low
  409. 16:47currently and now price is looking to
  410. 16:50push with that same momentum back to 10
  411. 16:53I mean 209. So
  412. 16:57all in all we're making a market
  413. 16:58decision based off of the reactions that
  414. 17:00we previous previously had before. Now,
  415. 17:04like once again, I'm saying um I'm super
  416. 17:07bearish on crypto because we have the
  417. 17:10new lows. Um anything else I would just
  418. 17:13look as as a correction for me. But if
  419. 17:15price continues to break above this,
  420. 17:18then my bias change.
  421. 17:20And why is that? Why does why does my
  422. 17:23bias change only when price is above
  423. 17:26this level, right? cuz now
  424. 17:30I have consistency
  425. 17:33and higher highs and higher lows. So if
  426. 17:35I'm looking at the higher time frame,
  427. 17:36it's okay to miss out one trade. It's
  428. 17:39okay for me to miss out one trade. I
  429. 17:41feel comfortable trading out missing
  430. 17:43this one and getting extra confirmation
  431. 17:46on the next one cuz the same thing is
  432. 17:48going to happen. Price still needs to
  433. 17:50make a higher high. Price still needs to
  434. 17:52make a higher low. Price still needs to
  435. 17:55make a higher high if it's going to go
  436. 17:57on a trend. Higher low, higher high.
  437. 17:59Still needs to do all that. So, I'mma
  438. 18:01see it regardless. It's okay to miss one
  439. 18:04because you can catch the rest if the
  440. 18:06higher time frame is building that trend
  441. 18:09right over here, right?
  442. 18:14So, that buy
  443. 18:18it was like right above this level,
  444. 18:19right? somewhere somewhere over here on
  445. 18:22the uh daily time frame. It was this. We
  446. 18:25had that indication. Price didn't break
  447. 18:27above it this time. Broke above it the
  448. 18:29second time. Price pushed right
  449. 18:32corrected. All this market happened.
  450. 18:33This is on the daily time frame, but I'm
  451. 18:35looking at it on the 4 hour. You can go
  452. 18:37back and rewatch it. But above this
  453. 18:39level, we we was looking for price to go
  454. 18:42bullish. That was higher high, higher
  455. 18:45low, higher high, higher low, higher
  456. 18:47high. respected that support level and
  457. 18:50still continue to push, right? There's
  458. 18:52multiple signs here that shows price was
  459. 18:54going to go bullish before it got back
  460. 18:56above this level.
  461. 18:59You you could have took advantage of it.
  462. 19:02I'm just giving you an example how price
  463. 19:05can build higher highs or even like
  464. 19:09looking at uh
  465. 19:11not recent gold. Recent gold is so bad.
  466. 19:16give you some better market structure,
  467. 19:19right?
  468. 19:21Uh let's go. Let's just say here, right?
  469. 19:24Price goes on a small correction and
  470. 19:26then we start seeing this being formed,
  471. 19:28right? We see a level of support. Price
  472. 19:31respects that. Obviously, we see price
  473. 19:33is respecting that even over here
  474. 19:36respects all that.
  475. 19:38And then we have I here price broke
  476. 19:42above indication corrected back down to
  477. 19:44here. price came back above that level
  478. 19:46again.
  479. 19:48So now we have highs correction still
  480. 19:52didn't break. So that's also one thing
  481. 19:53too as well. Don't get scared when price
  482. 19:56is correcting. As long as price is not
  483. 19:58breaking overall structure, you're 100%
  484. 20:00okay. I'm going to go ahead and come
  485. 20:02back here. So it's a little bit simple
  486. 20:04for you,
  487. 20:07right? Look at price higher. Oh, we have
  488. 20:10a low, higher high. Higher low, higher
  489. 20:12high. Higher low, equal low. tries to
  490. 20:15make a higher high, fails to do so, but
  491. 20:16makes that higher low to let you give
  492. 20:18that extra like confidence, that
  493. 20:20confirmation. When price get if price
  494. 20:23doesn't give you that higher high, but
  495. 20:24it gives you that higher low, still stay
  496. 20:26in the game. You still your stop loss is
  497. 20:28supposed to be under this level anyways,
  498. 20:30right? Price still maintains. We still
  499. 20:33have multiple opportunities, multiple
  500. 20:34signs before price makes that push. So,
  501. 20:37we have a push, higher high, then it
  502. 20:40needs a higher low back at that same
  503. 20:41level. There's ways to capitalize off of
  504. 20:44everything. Then we get that, you know,
  505. 20:46more momentum. What does price do? Gives
  506. 20:49us a fullblown correction. Once a
  507. 20:51full-blown correct, what can we do from
  508. 20:53there? Continue to do the same thing
  509. 20:55because we're going to have the higher
  510. 20:57high. Price makes the higher low. The
  511. 20:59last level that we pushed off of was
  512. 21:00here. And the reason why I'm saying that
  513. 21:03this is the last level we pushed off of
  514. 21:05is because look at this. Price stepped
  515. 21:07on the gas. Stepped on the gas. Got to a
  516. 21:09level. Got to a level. had a reaction.
  517. 21:13Look at I want you guys to take the time
  518. 21:14today to look at your swing highs and
  519. 21:17swing lows compared to the way that I'm
  520. 21:19marking my swing highs and swing lows,
  521. 21:21right? And not saying that mines are
  522. 21:25better or just like the best, but I want
  523. 21:27you guys to notice how I'm not going in
  524. 21:29the charts and I'm not marking up this.
  525. 21:32I'm not marking up this.
  526. 21:34I'm not marking up small things like
  527. 21:36this. I I all I'm doing is going to the
  528. 21:39chart and it's not me trying to make it
  529. 21:42like picky or anything. I'm just looking
  530. 21:44at the levels. Boom. I see that price
  531. 21:47got to this point. Made a huge change in
  532. 21:50and in in movement. Huge change in
  533. 21:53direction.
  534. 21:55Came to this point, shot up to 3,6
  535. 22:00uh 750. It went from
  536. 22:03uh 719 all the way to 750 in this one
  537. 22:06move. H buyers are strong here. Price
  538. 22:10came here once I um 790 or 749 shot down
  539. 22:16all the way to 730.
  540. 22:19Once it did that shot from 730 all the
  541. 22:21way back up to uh 760. These are
  542. 22:24movements where price is making
  543. 22:26decisions based off how many buyers and
  544. 22:28sellers are in control here. wouldn't be
  545. 22:31you wouldn't be marking this. You
  546. 22:33wouldn't be marking this. You can you
  547. 22:36can just take note that hey price is
  548. 22:38struggling to break above uh
  549. 22:42uh 751. Price is struggling to break
  550. 22:44above 751. Why? Because previous market
  551. 22:47at 751 shot down to 731.
  552. 22:52Right? We can take note of this. Price
  553. 22:55pushes up, gets to 757,
  554. 23:00shoots down a little bit, back down to
  555. 23:02739.
  556. 23:04These are things we could take account
  557. 23:06of,
  558. 23:08but it's all, you know, it's not the
  559. 23:11best because this is the main level that
  560. 23:13we have, which is at 7 uh 760. 760 is
  561. 23:18what we want to see. So, we have 750,
  562. 23:21760. We know that these are both highs
  563. 23:23in the market. We know that 730 732 is a
  564. 23:28support level. So as you can see support
  565. 23:30level on 732.
  566. 23:33So we already have our highs and lows.
  567. 23:34We need price to break above 750 to go
  568. 23:37bullish to 760.
  569. 23:39Right? Price above 750 goes bullish to
  570. 23:43759 the first time retraces a little bit
  571. 23:46to get more mo more momentum
  572. 23:49back above 750. Where does it go? 760
  573. 23:53with another push. Now it goes from that
  574. 23:56760 all the way to 784
  575. 24:01from 783 784 it goes
  576. 24:05back down to 760. So now we know sellers
  577. 24:08are in control of the market or sellers
  578. 24:10are pushing price or trying to push
  579. 24:12price back to those 760 levels. That's
  580. 24:15okay. We have buyers at this level. So
  581. 24:18this will be our indication
  582. 24:21correction and then price once again
  583. 24:24pushes back above this level and gives
  584. 24:26us more high. So all of this is just me
  585. 24:28showing you
  586. 24:31that just looking at market structure
  587. 24:33alone can save you from a lot of market
  588. 24:35decisions and help you make the right
  589. 24:37decisions when it comes to pretty much
  590. 24:39trading anything. Right? We can you can
  591. 24:42literally trade anything at this point,
  592. 24:43right? So look at this.
  593. 24:48Even though I I feel like price is going
  594. 24:50to be bearish. But even if it doesn't go
  595. 24:51bearish,
  596. 24:53I'll I'll trade the buys if the buys
  597. 24:55look the Salana buys look way better
  598. 24:57than BTC buys. But anyways, I'm going to
  599. 25:00show you price sells under this level.
  600. 25:03Cool. I see price gets to this level.
  601. 25:07I see reaction. Not too much. So, I'm
  602. 25:10going to just use this one since since
  603. 25:12everything's already played out. This
  604. 25:13will be my analysis. Now, for what's
  605. 25:16going on here, I'll just look over here
  606. 25:18to see what's going on. Right? I see
  607. 25:20that price got to this level, pushed up
  608. 25:23from here. So, obviously, we can see
  609. 25:25that there's multiple times where price
  610. 25:27comes here, boom, price comes here,
  611. 25:32price comes here. I see there's multiple
  612. 25:35times where price comes to this uh 400
  613. 25:38or
  614. 25:40uh 110. It comes to this 110 level,
  615. 25:42110.4 for and it kind kind of has some
  616. 25:45buys up. Nothing crazy. No m crazy
  617. 25:48momentum. I see that these levels are
  618. 25:50getting lower and lower. Not a crazy
  619. 25:53sign of anything. I see that price
  620. 25:55really doesn't want to go above uh 1,00
  621. 25:59or um 112,000
  622. 26:02pushes down. Continues to push down.
  623. 26:04Tries the break. It doesn't want to
  624. 26:06break. So now I'm seeing in my head I'm
  625. 26:08thinking like, okay, and once again I'm
  626. 26:10working off the 1 hour time frame,
  627. 26:11right? I'm looking at all this and I'm
  628. 26:13like, okay, price is not willing to
  629. 26:15break yet. This is cool. It's okay.
  630. 26:18All right. Not really seeing much of a
  631. 26:20trend out of here. It looks like price
  632. 26:21is slowing down. The reason why I think
  633. 26:23it's slowing down is because price is
  634. 26:25only stopping in this 110 area to 109,
  635. 26:29right? Only stopping in this area here,
  636. 26:31right? And we have that huge rejection
  637. 26:33back down. So overall, I'm just seeing
  638. 26:35price is not trying to break this 110
  639. 26:37level overall. Then we have a push above
  640. 26:40110. Price tries to make a push, tries
  641. 26:44to make a run for it, but it stop it
  642. 26:46gets stopped for a few hours at what
  643. 26:50number is this? 112 or 111, right?
  644. 26:53Stops. It stalls for a bit and then it
  645. 26:55actually breaks above 111. It goes from
  646. 26:58111 all the way to 115. So this lets me
  647. 27:02know bulls can take control if price
  648. 27:07goes above
  649. 27:09112.
  650. 27:10It has potential to take itself to 116.
  651. 27:16So then I will take this
  652. 27:19and I'll just draw it across. And why
  653. 27:22would I draw it across, right? Why why
  654. 27:24would I do that? Because here we're
  655. 27:26looking for the same momentum with the
  656. 27:27volume. Price got up to a level.
  657. 27:33Price gets up to a level. So, we could
  658. 27:36look for that same momentum because it's
  659. 27:38all just buyers and sellers. So, if I
  660. 27:41know buyers have more control of the
  661. 27:42markets above this level, I might as
  662. 27:45well take the chance to see if it's
  663. 27:46going to repeat itself again. Now,
  664. 27:49there's obviously going to be some
  665. 27:50stipulations with this because you need
  666. 27:53a new high for price to chase. Price is
  667. 27:55normally chasing some type of uh high or
  668. 27:59low. Same way with like anybody in this
  669. 28:03world, we always chase a high. We all
  670. 28:06we're always chasing a high and that
  671. 28:08doesn't mean drugs, guys. Calm down. Um
  672. 28:11it could be anything. You could be
  673. 28:12chasing your dreams. Your highest point
  674. 28:15in life is your dreams. You're always
  675. 28:17chasing something. So it's the same way
  676. 28:18with the market is always chasing some
  677. 28:20type of incentive.
  678. 28:23some type of incentive
  679. 28:25whether it's bullish or bearish. Right?
  680. 28:28So, with all this being said,
  681. 28:31since price is chasing this, why do I
  682. 28:34just feel like price is not recording
  683. 28:36me? I don't know why. Um, with all this
  684. 28:39being said,
  685. 28:42price has no new incentive to chase. So
  686. 28:47the likelihoods
  687. 28:49of this decision could be very less.
  688. 28:54The probability on this is very less
  689. 28:57when you have no new high to chase.
  690. 29:01Not saying it's not going to happen, but
  691. 29:02the probabilities are lower. So now we
  692. 29:07get into more of the market decision.
  693. 29:08I'm just kind of laying out my mindset.
  694. 29:10it. Honestly, this is like I got to put
  695. 29:13this in like four different videos cuz
  696. 29:15the way that you think about the charts
  697. 29:16is I wouldn't say you're wrong if you're
  698. 29:19unprofitable. I would say the way that
  699. 29:21you're thinking is incorrect, of course,
  700. 29:23cuz you're unprofitable. And this is not
  701. 29:25me saying, "Oh, well, I got to be harsh
  702. 29:27on you. I got to be harsh. You got to be
  703. 29:29harsh on yourself. Not too harsh, but
  704. 29:32see your comfort level." Well, no, you
  705. 29:34got to be uncomfortable. You know what?
  706. 29:36Just lock in. Anyways,
  707. 29:41you have to be very precise in the
  708. 29:45things that you're choosing and why do
  709. 29:47you think the market is going to go in
  710. 29:49the way that it's going to go, but there
  711. 29:51also has to be a new incentive. So, if
  712. 29:53you ever seen, so BTC is kind of like
  713. 29:57the uh NASDAQ, right? It's like US30.
  714. 30:03It's kind of like, you know, S&P 500.
  715. 30:06All those three stocks move off of
  716. 30:08pretty much each other. I'm pretty sure
  717. 30:10everything moves off of the S&P 500
  718. 30:14because 500 stocks is way is is more
  719. 30:17stocks than you know NASDAQ 100 100
  720. 30:21stocks or Dow Jones 30 or you know Dow
  721. 30:25Jones 30 stocks compared to 100 stock
  722. 30:28compared to 500 stocks. So, same way
  723. 30:31with BTC, it's the biggest crypto in the
  724. 30:34game. The biggest.
  725. 30:39So, then when you start looking at your
  726. 30:41other trades,
  727. 30:44so this is for the crypto trader right
  728. 30:45now, right? Start looking at the other
  729. 30:48things, you have to, okay, well, BTC
  730. 30:52doesn't have a
  731. 30:54doesn't really have like a new
  732. 30:56incentive.
  733. 30:58We have that drop, a correction.
  734. 31:02Price pushed off this support because it
  735. 31:04didn't want to break anymore. But then
  736. 31:06it it this could still mean price is
  737. 31:08bearish because it's new. There's no new
  738. 31:10high. There's no new incentive. Price
  739. 31:12stalled here. It stopped. It came up,
  740. 31:15came down for a little bit, came back
  741. 31:16up, didn't break. So now it's a no trade
  742. 31:19zone for BTC.
  743. 31:22And now that I'm seeing this, this would
  744. 31:23mean that Salana is going to be at a
  745. 31:26halt too until BTC makes some movements,
  746. 31:29right? Until BTC makes some type of
  747. 31:31movements.
  748. 31:33Now, this this is not the same with
  749. 31:36correlation of pairs. Like, oh, EU is
  750. 31:40the opposite of such and such. That's
  751. 31:42not what I'm saying. And I don't trade
  752. 31:44forex pairs.
  753. 31:45the like the way y'all be trying to
  754. 31:48confluence or I mean correlate different
  755. 31:50pairs is like I don't understand but you
  756. 31:53know it is I mean to each is it all cuz
  757. 31:55like some things will move this some
  758. 31:57charts will look the same some charts
  759. 31:59probably look like BTC some charts
  760. 32:01probably look like gold doesn't mean
  761. 32:03they're doing the exact same thing
  762. 32:05doesn't mean what's driving gold is
  763. 32:07driving whatever you're thinking that's
  764. 32:10not always the case but when it comes to
  765. 32:12market decision you have to take these
  766. 32:14things into accountability. So, taking
  767. 32:17the fact that if you're trading NASDAQ,
  768. 32:20right? So, if we're trading
  769. 32:24NASDAQ
  770. 32:27and we're looking at NASDAQ and we're
  771. 32:28seeing NASDAQ go up, then we got to go
  772. 32:31look at something else. We got to go
  773. 32:32look at S&P 500. So, this will be S&P
  774. 32:36and Forex or CFD,
  775. 32:41right? It'll look the same.
  776. 32:43you'll still see the same, right? But
  777. 32:45there will be moments where price won't
  778. 32:48look the same and you have to make
  779. 32:50decisions based off of, okay, if the
  780. 32:52S&P, let's say if the S&P was going
  781. 32:55down, then we have to think like, hm, I
  782. 32:58should take that with a grain of salt
  783. 32:59when it comes to looking at the NASDAQ.
  784. 33:01H, okay, let me make a decision based
  785. 33:04off that. And your decision most likely
  786. 33:06might be, you know what, you know, let
  787. 33:09me let me give the market a little bit
  788. 33:11of time,
  789. 33:14right? Let me give the market a little
  790. 33:15bit of time. See what happens. And I
  791. 33:17said this earlier when I was talking
  792. 33:18about Salana. Let me give the market a
  793. 33:20little bit of time to make a decision.
  794. 33:23It's okay if I miss out on one higher
  795. 33:26high, new high if it's a buy or it's
  796. 33:29okay if I miss out on a lower low,
  797. 33:31right? It's okay to miss something so
  798. 33:35you can get more information.
  799. 33:37This is what keeps me here, right? This
  800. 33:40is what keeps me here,
  801. 33:44right? This is what keeps me here. 98
  802. 33:49because I'm picky
  803. 33:51about putting myself in the markets
  804. 33:53because the market is a very risky
  805. 33:55thing. Risky. Super risky.
  806. 34:00So when it comes to
  807. 34:02making decisions in the market, you have
  808. 34:04to be very very careful at the at the
  809. 34:07market setup or the market structure,
  810. 34:09the price action that you're looking at
  811. 34:11and making sure there's new incentives,
  812. 34:14new things to even get into the market.
  813. 34:17If there's nothing new that you can use,
  814. 34:22then then there's if there's no new
  815. 34:24high. So for gold, for example, I'm
  816. 34:26going to give you a prime example. Gold
  817. 34:28has a more higher probability of buying
  818. 34:30up to the new high
  819. 34:32because the gold has been chasing its
  820. 34:34own highs. So it has the potential to go
  821. 34:38to those new highs. Oh, s why are you
  822. 34:41not taking this trade?
  823. 34:45I feel I personally like my thoughts on
  824. 34:47gold for the people that's been asking.
  825. 34:49My thoughts on gold is like there's it's
  826. 34:51been a crazy squeeze. Um,
  827. 34:56economically speaking, gold is not
  828. 34:58supposed to be this high this fast,
  829. 35:01but
  830. 35:04we're here.
  831. 35:06So,
  832. 35:08as a day trader, I would prefer,
  833. 35:13it's kind of hard to explain the
  834. 35:15mindset. I'm going just kind of lay it
  835. 35:16out on you. I prefer not to trade gold
  836. 35:18at these all-time highs, especially with
  837. 35:20the amount of liquid, I mean, um,
  838. 35:23liquidity that's been put into gold in
  839. 35:25the recent weeks. Um, sometimes people
  840. 35:28make a lot of investments because that's
  841. 35:30what we're trading. are trading based
  842. 35:31off of people investing into gold,
  843. 35:33putting money basically liquid cash,
  844. 35:36liquid money is going into gold. And
  845. 35:40sometimes people, you know, they get I
  846. 35:44wouldn't even say FOMO. People get
  847. 35:45scared or people just want to fit in
  848. 35:48with the money. So everybody starts
  849. 35:50liquidating and putting everything into
  850. 35:52this. It could be anything, crypto, it
  851. 35:54could be gold, anything.
  852. 35:57When people start having fear, they
  853. 35:58start buying everything that they feel
  854. 36:01like is valuable. During Corona,
  855. 36:05COVID 19,
  856. 36:07people was at the grocery store stacking
  857. 36:09up on tissues and stacking up on
  858. 36:12supplies because they was very scared
  859. 36:14that the that the items would be gone
  860. 36:17for life. They thought that this was the
  861. 36:20end of the world.
  862. 36:23And then after that there was a whole
  863. 36:26market reset after that. Like just a
  864. 36:29complete market reset. Price was at
  865. 36:32all-time highs. I still remember this.
  866. 36:35Price was reaching all-time highs right
  867. 36:38before COVID came out
  868. 36:41and the whole market just reset itself
  869. 36:45completely dumped. A lot of money lost,
  870. 36:48a lot of money gained. Most
  871. 36:50entrepreneurs were made during that time
  872. 36:53ever. Most entrepreneurs in the world
  873. 36:56was made in that time.
  874. 36:59So when it comes to these things, I
  875. 37:02think in my head I'm like, okay, I see
  876. 37:04gold. It's fun to trade. It's fun. You
  877. 37:07make money no matter what, right? No
  878. 37:08matter what I say, no matter what, you
  879. 37:10know the the politics say, the news say,
  880. 37:13papers say, Twitter say, Instagram, no
  881. 37:17matter what we say,
  882. 37:19trading is fun. You can still make money
  883. 37:21regardless.
  884. 37:24But the way that I trade is more of on a
  885. 37:26like if I was an investor, I would be a
  886. 37:29good investor, right? I classify you're
  887. 37:32classify yourself as a trader because
  888. 37:35you get in and out of the markets.
  889. 37:36you're not in it to hold it. You get
  890. 37:39what I'm saying? So, it's a little bit
  891. 37:40different. As a swing trader, you can
  892. 37:41kind of say I'm an investor, but
  893. 37:45it's a hit and miss. There's like
  894. 37:46debates about that cuz I'm in and out of
  895. 37:49the markets and some people are
  896. 37:50investing into that actual asset. So,
  897. 37:53some people are buying gold bars for
  898. 37:55$4,000 right now, right? So, it's it's
  899. 37:59different, right? Um, well, not gold
  900. 38:02bars because I don't really
  901. 38:05know how the pricing works with that,
  902. 38:07but I'm pretty sure it's about like per
  903. 38:08grams or per ounce or something like
  904. 38:10that. However that works. I'm not an
  905. 38:12expertise in gold, so don't bash me on
  906. 38:15that one. But all in all,
  907. 38:18I would rather stay away from trading
  908. 38:20something at an all-time high because of
  909. 38:22the amount of liquidity that was put
  910. 38:25into the market at a fast rate. It looks
  911. 38:28great. Once again, it looks great to
  912. 38:30trade,
  913. 38:32but for me and my setups, I don't think
  914. 38:34it would be the best for me to put
  915. 38:36myself in a position where it is more
  916. 38:38liable of price having random spikes,
  917. 38:42random pushes out of nowhere due to the
  918. 38:45fact that one day somebody can be like,
  919. 38:48"Okay, like we invested a couple days
  920. 38:50ago and price went up 30% now, so let's
  921. 38:55like liquidate our position." That makes
  922. 38:58sense
  923. 38:59because just these small moves like
  924. 39:01somebody could have invested Friday
  925. 39:05on the 10th. It's the 14th now. Somebody
  926. 39:08could have put $4,000 or um somebody
  927. 39:11could have bought gold for $4,000.
  928. 39:15And in less than 3 days,
  929. 39:19in less than 3 days, depending on how
  930. 39:23many shares, if they're trading um
  931. 39:26futures, or if they're investing into it
  932. 39:28and however many bars they have, ounces,
  933. 39:30however it works, grams, don't don't
  934. 39:34judge me, but um they've made a lot of
  935. 39:38money just based in three days. So then
  936. 39:41they can liquidate their position or
  937. 39:44they can continue to hold,
  938. 39:46right? But you you just don't know.
  939. 39:48That's the problem here. You don't know
  940. 39:50what an investor is going to do when
  941. 39:52price is at its all-time highs,
  942. 39:56right? Same way with BTC. BTC was just
  943. 39:58at its all-time highs
  944. 40:01and look how fast it came down. And I
  945. 40:04know there's going to be a lot of people
  946. 40:06that's going to be like,
  947. 40:08"Oh, because of the Trump tweet."
  948. 40:10Because of the Trump tweet. And this is
  949. 40:12going back into market decision.
  950. 40:16Before Trump even tweeted anything
  951. 40:18before before he tweeted anything, there
  952. 40:20were signs that price was losing
  953. 40:24money. Not even losing money. People
  954. 40:27were closing their trades. Remember it.
  955. 40:29Trading is simply buyers taking their
  956. 40:31trades to the sellers and sellers taking
  957. 40:33their trades to the buyers. So there's a
  958. 40:36bunch of buyers, buyers, buyers, buyers,
  959. 40:38buyers. Alltime highs was at like uh
  960. 40:42124, right? 124. So there's a bunch of
  961. 40:46people looking to sell at this level,
  962. 40:49right? There's a bunch of people looking
  963. 40:51to sell at this level. Bunch of people,
  964. 40:54right? Price gets to this level. First
  965. 40:56time it touches this level. Look, just
  966. 40:59watch the market itself. Look at the
  967. 41:01reactions price give you. This lets you
  968. 41:03know a lot. I need you to rethink how
  969. 41:05you look at things. Price gets up to
  970. 41:08this level, rejects.
  971. 41:11Why is that? Ask yourself why is that?
  972. 41:14Because there are there's some heavy
  973. 41:17amount of sellers here
  974. 41:21that is selling price, selling their
  975. 41:23selling their BTC,
  976. 41:25right? Boom. First sale. Then buyers are
  977. 41:28like, "No, bro. We got to keep pushing.
  978. 41:29Keep pushing."
  979. 41:31Some people are getting in late or some
  980. 41:33people are just now thinking that this
  981. 41:35is a small pullback and they get in for
  982. 41:36the next move. So then it pumps again.
  983. 41:40Now there's a new all-time high and
  984. 41:41price gets to that new all-time high. It
  985. 41:43has rejections. Sellers are here. People
  986. 41:46are selling now. People are starting to
  987. 41:48sell. Sellers push in. Boom.
  988. 41:52No, bro. Keep buying. Keep buying. Keep
  989. 41:53buying. Boom.
  990. 41:56comes up again, but this is the same
  991. 41:58level of sellers. Boom. Sellers are
  992. 42:01like, "No, bro." Boom. Then we get this
  993. 42:04break because now this time price sold.
  994. 42:06It sold more than it sold the last time,
  995. 42:11which should be a red flag if you're a
  996. 42:12buyer.
  997. 42:14This time it sold more than it sold the
  998. 42:16last time. It's the same way with like
  999. 42:21um let me give you an example. It's the
  1000. 42:23same way with like I don't know just
  1001. 42:25like a grocery store right if a product
  1002. 42:28comes out let's say a pair of glasses
  1003. 42:32right pair of glasses comes out on the
  1004. 42:34market everybody every prime example
  1005. 42:38matter of fact prime example right
  1006. 42:41chrome hearts or clothing
  1007. 42:44a piece of clothing comes out depending
  1008. 42:46on the brand too as well piece of
  1009. 42:48clothing comes out it's only like 10
  1010. 42:52pairs Right.
  1011. 42:54It's only 10 pairs.
  1012. 42:5610 pairs sells out.
  1013. 42:59Right. All the 10 pairs sells out. Now
  1014. 43:03there's no more on the market, right? So
  1015. 43:05now people are making fake ones. People
  1016. 43:07are trying to make one. People are
  1017. 43:08trying to get them. People are trying to
  1018. 43:09buy them. They're in demand. Now it's in
  1019. 43:12demand. So the value goes up, right? So
  1020. 43:15let's say the jeans
  1021. 43:18were they released here, went up in
  1022. 43:20value. people are buying them, right?
  1023. 43:24Then you start seeing fakes and you
  1024. 43:26start seeing, you know, people trying to
  1025. 43:28copy it and this and that. So, the value
  1026. 43:30kind of goes, you know, it tanks a
  1027. 43:33little bit due to the fact that people
  1028. 43:35are
  1029. 43:37um diluting the the the uh market. But
  1030. 43:40that's okay because any anything you do
  1031. 43:43in life, somebody's going to copy it,
  1032. 43:46right? anything you do in life, there's
  1033. 43:48always going to be a real side and fake
  1034. 43:50side of it.
  1035. 43:52So then the market becomes um it's
  1036. 43:55basically gaining value. There's a
  1037. 43:57market pullback on those jeans or those
  1038. 44:00piece of piece of clothing. Market
  1039. 44:02pullback, right? But that pullback is
  1040. 44:05healthy,
  1041. 44:07right? And then you have another surge,
  1042. 44:09another 10 pair of pants drop, another
  1043. 44:13surge, more people this time at a higher
  1044. 44:15price. people find more value in it
  1045. 44:17because now there's another there's
  1046. 44:19another stock out. So people are more
  1047. 44:22driven to try to get it this time, but
  1048. 44:24they're they're going to get it at
  1049. 44:25whatever cost. They don't care. They're
  1050. 44:27going to get it at whatever cost they
  1051. 44:28can get it. So then the market value
  1052. 44:32drives up. Crazy insane,
  1053. 44:35right? All gone. So now it's all gone.
  1054. 44:39No more no more in stock. No more in
  1055. 44:41supply. So then there's more of a demand
  1056. 44:44for it. But then that's when more and
  1057. 44:46more fakes and more and more people are
  1058. 44:49trying to, you know, get a hold of
  1059. 44:51these. The market kind of slows down.
  1060. 44:54Doesn't mean it's bad. It just slows
  1061. 44:56down. The market slows down. People are
  1062. 44:58still in demand for it, but the market
  1063. 45:00slows down on it. Another drop comes
  1064. 45:04out. Boom. More prices, higher money,
  1065. 45:08higher returns. This is even how you run
  1066. 45:11a business, bro.
  1067. 45:13There's going to be points where you
  1068. 45:15make a plan. You have to make
  1069. 45:17productions and make ads for it and
  1070. 45:19stuff like there's going to be slow
  1071. 45:21times and then after that you do another
  1072. 45:23drop, another release or something and
  1073. 45:25it booms. That booms sometimes some
  1074. 45:28maybe maybe not or whatever, right? So
  1075. 45:31to put this all into perspective, price
  1076. 45:34gets to a certain level where there's so
  1077. 45:36many pairs of these pants now or a pair
  1078. 45:38of clothing
  1079. 45:40where then some people lose the value of
  1080. 45:43it because there's so many now, right?
  1081. 45:47And essentially what the market is going
  1082. 45:50to do
  1083. 45:51is that is going to be diluted. It's
  1084. 45:54going to be diluted. There's going to be
  1085. 45:56so many pairs of pants that it lost its
  1086. 45:58value. So to reflect this all back into
  1087. 46:01trading
  1088. 46:03price on gold or price on BTC crypto, it
  1089. 46:07has a lot of value because there's a lot
  1090. 46:09of
  1091. 46:10momentum behind it, a lot of news behind
  1092. 46:13it, a lot of hype behind it.
  1093. 46:18And all this
  1094. 46:20can then die out sometime. But there are
  1095. 46:23signs back to market decision.
  1096. 46:27you start to see these signs.
  1097. 46:30So, we know price is losing hype
  1098. 46:34when it goes under the previous lower
  1099. 46:36level than it was. So, if price when it
  1100. 46:39slowed down the first time, it only got
  1101. 46:42to 122. So, here
  1102. 46:47price came down to this level
  1103. 46:51122
  1104. 46:53bought up from 122 and made a new height
  1105. 46:55for itself. gain more popular
  1106. 46:57popularity.
  1107. 46:59It got to 125
  1108. 47:01and when it got to 125
  1109. 47:04kind of died for a little bit. Slowed
  1110. 47:06down. I wouldn't even say died. Slowed
  1111. 47:08down for a little bit. You know,
  1112. 47:10everybody already has a pair. Everybody
  1113. 47:12has it already or most people have it
  1114. 47:15already. You know, whatever. Whatever.
  1115. 47:18Not attainable. It's not obtainable
  1116. 47:20anymore.
  1117. 47:22Then the market starts to die for it.
  1118. 47:25And then we have a break, but this time
  1119. 47:29it breaks below than the previous low
  1120. 47:31that it had. So this is a sign that
  1121. 47:33price could be actually losing its value
  1122. 47:36on it. And now I'm going back to actual
  1123. 47:38BTC right below this level of support.
  1124. 47:44We know anything under 122
  1125. 47:47is going to give us that same momentum.
  1126. 47:49There's there's pieces in here where you
  1127. 47:51can see price tries to go under 122, but
  1128. 47:53it fails to do so.
  1129. 47:56Right? That's cool. We still have these
  1130. 47:58lower highs. These are still signs.
  1131. 48:01This is signs if if you ever feel like
  1132. 48:04price is not going down.
  1133. 48:07Look at it. If it's going up, because
  1134. 48:09this is also a good sign, too. If you're
  1135. 48:12thinking sells under this gray area,
  1136. 48:14which is what you're supposed to think,
  1137. 48:16but price, let's say, let's say you got
  1138. 48:19quote unquote faked out here, even
  1139. 48:20though you're supposed to wait for that
  1140. 48:21lower high. Let's say you got faked out
  1141. 48:23here. Boom. That's okay because the
  1142. 48:26previous high we had, the previous low
  1143. 48:28level we sold from was here or even
  1144. 48:31here. Let's just say here,
  1145. 48:34right? You had a level here of where it
  1146. 48:37was holding support. came here,
  1147. 48:41came up high, high low. And I don't
  1148. 48:45remember what I said earlier. I don't
  1149. 48:46want to mark this because doesn't really
  1150. 48:49show a significant change in direction,
  1151. 48:51but I'm pretty sure on the 1 hour it
  1152. 48:52probably looks a lot different. But
  1153. 48:55anyways, let's say we have this high low
  1154. 48:59tries to come up, wicks out, closes
  1155. 49:01here, closes lower than the previous
  1156. 49:04one.
  1157. 49:05Since it closes pre lower than the
  1158. 49:07previous one, we have a break. This is
  1159. 49:09when it really comes into play, though,
  1160. 49:11because this is the level that we made
  1161. 49:13this high off of. One thing I need you
  1162. 49:15to also remember is you want to go based
  1163. 49:18off of, please write this down.
  1164. 49:22Go based off
  1165. 49:26of
  1166. 49:28previous push.
  1167. 49:33So basically what this means is
  1168. 49:36if you mark a swing high,
  1169. 49:39please just go back and see where that
  1170. 49:41swing high was built from. Where did it
  1171. 49:44push from? Because this is very
  1172. 49:46important. Once you find this,
  1173. 49:50you can make a decision under this
  1174. 49:52level. Now this is price where it pushed
  1175. 49:55from. So this is where all this bullish
  1176. 49:58momentum came from. So the moment price
  1177. 50:00is under this level there's that means
  1178. 50:03market has no potential to be bullish.
  1179. 50:06If price is under 1,00 or 122,000
  1180. 50:11where that bullish momentum came from
  1181. 50:13that means if it's under here it lost
  1182. 50:15that momentum it had right here.
  1183. 50:18It lost that momentum.
  1184. 50:21The moment it breaks it lost that
  1185. 50:23momentum every time price is only under
  1186. 50:25here. So like I said in the beginning,
  1187. 50:28if price is above that level, do not
  1188. 50:31think price is going to be bearish.
  1189. 50:34Wait for price to be under that level.
  1190. 50:37And you have more higher probability
  1191. 50:40under the level than you do above the
  1192. 50:42level. So if price is up here in this
  1193. 50:44area, do not say it's going to sell yet
  1194. 50:48or do not take a sell yet. You can say
  1195. 50:50it could sell, but don't go for a sell.
  1196. 50:53Don't try to get into a sell.
  1197. 50:56Right? But don't also try to not get
  1198. 50:59into a buy. Why not get into a buy high?
  1199. 51:02Because price just made a new low. This
  1200. 51:04buy is just reactions from price hitting
  1201. 51:08that new low. So whenever price makes a
  1202. 51:11new low, it's going to have some type of
  1203. 51:13bullish reaction to show you that bulls
  1204. 51:15are in control at this level.
  1205. 51:18Bulls can take it up as high as they
  1206. 51:20want, but they cannot break where the
  1207. 51:22previous sellers are were. Right? So,
  1208. 51:24we're going to delete this. We're going
  1209. 51:25to delete this. I'm going to delete
  1210. 51:27this, right? I'm gonna delete this, too.
  1211. 51:31And we're going to go back to this tool.
  1212. 51:33So, this is the highest point. I'm going
  1213. 51:35make this big for you.
  1214. 51:39Right. This is our highest point. Price
  1215. 51:43sells down. This is our support,
  1216. 51:46our low. Price has reactions,
  1217. 51:50comes up to this.
  1218. 51:52Honestly, you can look at it this way
  1219. 51:54because of the 1 hour time frame. So, if
  1220. 51:55we go to the 1 hour, it will look it'll
  1221. 51:57look a little bit better for you guys.
  1222. 52:00So, that's what it'll look like. You see
  1223. 52:03price came up to a certain level,
  1224. 52:05dropped down, lower high, lower low,
  1225. 52:08right? But let's just make it simple for
  1226. 52:10you guys. Let me make it simple for you
  1227. 52:11guys. Let me remove this. If we're
  1228. 52:14looking at the 4our time frame,
  1229. 52:17pay attention.
  1230. 52:22Higher high. Higher low. Higher high.
  1231. 52:26Higher low. Higher high. Higher low.
  1232. 52:29Higher high.
  1233. 52:32Broken.
  1234. 52:34This is signs of a change.
  1235. 52:38In order for us to say that price is
  1236. 52:40going to go back bullish, it has to make
  1237. 52:43a new higher high. Once again, I am okay
  1238. 52:46with missing out
  1239. 52:48on this higher high
  1240. 52:52because then I have confirmation. Or the
  1241. 52:54second scenario, price could come above
  1242. 52:57here,
  1243. 52:59stay above here.
  1244. 53:01So stay above this level. So you see
  1245. 53:04this higher high.
  1246. 53:06Even if price made this indication,
  1247. 53:10if price stays above that level where it
  1248. 53:12made the previous bullish momentum here,
  1249. 53:14if price stays above that level and
  1250. 53:16builds a higher high, it could build
  1251. 53:18again, right? That's okay. There's
  1252. 53:21sometimes where the market will actually
  1253. 53:23liquidate more than what's possible or
  1254. 53:25more than what we think. That's okay.
  1255. 53:27There will be times like that. But
  1256. 53:28there's no reason you should get faked
  1257. 53:30out because look at here. This is the
  1258. 53:33time you're supposed to sell. If price
  1259. 53:34doesn't give you that,
  1260. 53:37if price doesn't go under that level and
  1261. 53:39give you that,
  1262. 53:41then you should you shouldn't be in that
  1263. 53:44trade. This shouldn't be a sale. If you
  1264. 53:47see price makes a high, rejects, goes to
  1265. 53:49the low side,
  1266. 53:51rejects, doesn't give you that uh lower
  1267. 53:55high, doesn't give you any other bearish
  1268. 53:57confirmation, rejects this level
  1269. 54:01and pushes, you should be looking for
  1270. 54:03those buys instead. But anyways,
  1271. 54:06going based off previous push, previous
  1272. 54:09push was here. It ended up being broken.
  1273. 54:12This is signs that price is getting
  1274. 54:13bearish. So then as we see here, price
  1275. 54:18builds up but only comes to this level.
  1276. 54:21So once again, look at how price gets to
  1277. 54:23this level and it's having all types of
  1278. 54:25crazy reactions even before it got
  1279. 54:27there.
  1280. 54:29Even before
  1281. 54:31having all types of different signs. Let
  1282. 54:33me turn this up for you guys.
  1283. 54:36Right? And even though we don't
  1284. 54:40go crazy crazy on the wicks,
  1285. 54:43look at how all this rejection was here.
  1286. 54:47Rejection, rejection, rejection. Super
  1287. 54:50strong movement down with a red candle
  1288. 54:53back under this level.
  1289. 54:57So now we know sellers are in control at
  1290. 54:59this point. Pushing price down. Price
  1291. 55:02comes under this level. Has some small
  1292. 55:04pushes down to this level, which is
  1293. 55:05good. It was going good. Price came down
  1294. 55:08even more. It came to that same level.
  1295. 55:10So, if we was using the body closes, it
  1296. 55:12touched the target.
  1297. 55:14Once it touched the target, buyers came
  1298. 55:16into the market.
  1299. 55:19Boom. Look, buyers come into the market.
  1300. 55:21They try to push price up. I'm not sure
  1301. 55:23in which way this went up at first.
  1302. 55:26Let's go and look at this.
  1303. 55:30Oh, yeah. So, look. Price sold first.
  1304. 55:33came to that level that it was looking
  1305. 55:35for. So the same level where the buyers
  1306. 55:37were sitting, it came down to that level
  1307. 55:40just like how you want. Price showed
  1308. 55:43some signs of bulls taking control,
  1309. 55:47right? That's cool. That's okay. Price
  1310. 55:49didn't break above the the highest
  1311. 55:51point. So this was our highest point. We
  1312. 55:54had a selloff.
  1313. 55:56Price change structures, tried to
  1314. 55:58correct. Once again, the higher time
  1315. 56:00frame will always end up aligning
  1316. 56:03overall. So what you seen on this time
  1317. 56:05frame, on the one hour time frame,
  1318. 56:10what you seen on here, you probably
  1319. 56:13would have been scared.
  1320. 56:15You probably been like, "Oh, bro, price
  1321. 56:17is going to go back bullish."
  1322. 56:20But there was multiple signs on the
  1323. 56:22higher time frame, 4 hour. So 1 hour,
  1324. 56:24the higher time frame, 4 hour is
  1325. 56:26stronger than the 1 hour. So once again,
  1326. 56:28it goes back to what we're looking at
  1327. 56:30overall on our other side, right? Um
  1328. 56:33what I was talking about earlier. Make
  1329. 56:35sure this is not dying.
  1330. 56:38The 4 hour time frame is stronger than
  1331. 56:39the 1 hour time frame. 1 hour is
  1332. 56:41stronger than 30, 15, five, all that.
  1333. 56:43Right? So if you're looking at the daily
  1334. 56:45is stronger than the four. If you're
  1335. 56:47looking at the four, um it's stronger
  1336. 56:49than the one. Right?
  1337. 56:53So with all this being said, the 1 hour
  1338. 56:55was showing
  1339. 56:58price could be bullish above this level.
  1340. 57:00This is what you probably would have
  1341. 57:01seen. Something like this. Oh, made an
  1342. 57:04indication corrected continuation back
  1343. 57:06up here. Yeah, I see how you could see
  1344. 57:09that.
  1345. 57:11But if we're looking at overall what's
  1346. 57:14going on, the market conditions, that's
  1347. 57:16why I don't like telling people that,
  1348. 57:18oh, just only trade the 1 hour. Flick
  1349. 57:19through your time frames, see what's
  1350. 57:20going on. Mainly stay on the higher time
  1351. 57:23frames. I will always influence you guys
  1352. 57:24to stay on the 4 hour, one hour time
  1353. 57:27frame. If you need entries, go to 30,
  1354. 57:2915. 15 is really good when it comes to
  1355. 57:32um trading with gold for sure when it
  1356. 57:35comes to trading BTC cryptos, stuff like
  1357. 57:38this. And the reason why I like trading
  1358. 57:41these things, I don't trade forex pairs
  1359. 57:43because forex pairs um currencies is
  1360. 57:46like a it's more of a stable thing. I
  1361. 57:49feel like currencies is more like stable
  1362. 57:51than anything.
  1363. 57:54So there could be little fluctuations,
  1364. 57:56sometimes a lot, sometimes a you know
  1365. 57:59not too much. But the basic ones that
  1366. 58:01most people trade like EuroUSD,
  1367. 58:06EuroUSD,
  1368. 58:08GD G BP, JPY,
  1369. 58:13USD CAD,
  1370. 58:16USD,
  1371. 58:18um what's the other one? JPY,
  1372. 58:22GBP, USD. These things people trade a
  1373. 58:25lot.
  1374. 58:27But most of these, like unless there's a
  1375. 58:29crazy market shift or like there's a
  1376. 58:32crazy economical thing, these are really
  1377. 58:35honestly going to stay around the same
  1378. 58:37prices sometimes unless there's like a
  1379. 58:39crazy
  1380. 58:45crazy shift
  1381. 58:47in economics.
  1382. 58:52I can't spell. Echo e economics, bro. I
  1383. 58:57can't spell.
  1384. 59:00Unless there's a crazy shift in
  1385. 59:01economics,
  1386. 59:03these are not really going to make too
  1387. 59:04much of a shift.
  1388. 59:06It's not like you're investing into
  1389. 59:08these things.
  1390. 59:10But when it comes to trading something
  1391. 59:12like
  1392. 59:15NASDAQ,
  1393. 59:17people are investing. This is an
  1394. 59:19investment,
  1395. 59:21right? People are constantly investing
  1396. 59:23into the NASDAQ market every single day.
  1397. 59:25Same with SPY. Same with Dow Jones.
  1398. 59:29These are things people are investing to
  1399. 59:30gold. People are investing into these
  1400. 59:32things. Cryptos.
  1401. 59:35So these things are constantly having
  1402. 59:37liquidity put into them which means
  1403. 59:41more liquidity,
  1404. 59:45more movements,
  1405. 59:47more volatility,
  1406. 59:51right? All this is more volatility. Why
  1407. 59:54do I trade NASDAQ? Why do I trade gold?
  1408. 59:56Why do I trade cryptos? I just started
  1409. 59:58trading cryptos cuz the go hasn't really
  1410. 1:00:01been like we've already been over this.
  1411. 1:00:05So I don't trade forex pairs because
  1412. 1:00:09these these are investments. Investments
  1413. 1:00:11constantly have liquidity put into
  1414. 1:00:12poured into them. And this will all
  1415. 1:00:16driven off the
  1416. 1:00:19hype and economy,
  1417. 1:00:25right? All this is driven off of the
  1418. 1:00:27economy and hype,
  1419. 1:00:30right? Economy comes down to and I'm
  1420. 1:00:33talking about prompt two and stuff like
  1421. 1:00:35that, right? So, we're talking about
  1422. 1:00:36that too. All this has moved off of
  1423. 1:00:39that. This brings volume
  1424. 1:00:43big
  1425. 1:00:45part
  1426. 1:00:47in price action
  1427. 1:00:49trading,
  1428. 1:00:51right? You got the market structure. You
  1429. 1:00:54understand higher highs. You understand
  1430. 1:00:55higher lows, lower highs, lower lows,
  1431. 1:00:57uptrends, downtrends. You understand
  1432. 1:00:59that.
  1433. 1:01:00But price action,
  1434. 1:01:06price action, action. You need action.
  1435. 1:01:10Price needs action. What is going to
  1436. 1:01:13drive price?
  1437. 1:01:17So, what's going to put the gas on
  1438. 1:01:20price? What's going to what is the pedal
  1439. 1:01:22for price? It are these hypes,
  1440. 1:01:27news releases, news,
  1441. 1:01:30tweets from Trump. All these things are
  1442. 1:01:33volume,
  1443. 1:01:34volume always going to push price volume
  1444. 1:01:38always. That's why it's always good to
  1445. 1:01:40trade all these NASDAQ, SPY, Dow Jones,
  1446. 1:01:44gold. Trade these during New York
  1447. 1:01:46session USD.
  1448. 1:01:49These are USD things.
  1449. 1:01:52New York Stock Exchange is going to
  1450. 1:01:55drive all of this money poured in
  1451. 1:01:58because that is when the New York Stock
  1452. 1:02:00Exchange is opening. That's where people
  1453. 1:02:02go to invest their money or just the
  1454. 1:02:05bank of trading,
  1455. 1:02:08right? Pouring their money into banks.
  1456. 1:02:11Banks open New York session
  1457. 1:02:169:30
  1458. 1:02:209:30 a.m. EST. Chat GBT for your time
  1459. 1:02:24for your time zone, right? We all got
  1460. 1:02:27different time zones. Right now it's
  1461. 1:02:298:00 at night, but you're
  1462. 1:02:31probably watching this video in the
  1463. 1:02:33afternoon. I'm in Europe right now,
  1464. 1:02:35right? These things
  1465. 1:02:38need volume.
  1466. 1:02:41So, I'mma close this first segment out
  1467. 1:02:44because I feel like I yapped long
  1468. 1:02:46enough. I'mma close this first segment
  1469. 1:02:47out
  1470. 1:02:49at the fact that you need for any of all
  1471. 1:02:51of this to work. You need volume at the
  1472. 1:02:53end of the day. Trading things where it
  1473. 1:02:56has more mo more movements will normally
  1474. 1:02:58come down to investments. Are people
  1475. 1:03:00investing their money into this?
  1476. 1:03:04With Forex pairs, like I said, I feel
  1477. 1:03:06like it's stable and that's my take on
  1478. 1:03:08it. I feel like it's a stable thing.
  1479. 1:03:10There can be price movements um based
  1480. 1:03:13off of, you know, circle certain
  1481. 1:03:15economical events, but it really just
  1482. 1:03:18comes down like to just the economical
  1483. 1:03:20events and leading up to them. The news
  1484. 1:03:23really draws Forex pairs a lot because
  1485. 1:03:26that that's where most of the volume
  1486. 1:03:27comes from. But when it comes to things
  1487. 1:03:29like NASDAQ, SPY, Dow Jones, gold,
  1488. 1:03:32crypto, people are constantly putting
  1489. 1:03:34their money into this every single day.
  1490. 1:03:36every single day. People are also
  1491. 1:03:39exchanging money every single day.
  1492. 1:03:42But the the likelihoods of, you know,
  1493. 1:03:47USD coming out of nowhere and being 10
  1494. 1:03:51times more than another currency or 10
  1495. 1:03:54times more than euro or let me put it
  1496. 1:03:57this way, the United States dollar, the
  1497. 1:04:01chances of it being 10 times more
  1498. 1:04:04um in a few days more than the euro is
  1499. 1:04:09very unlikely.
  1500. 1:04:11But the chances of crypto going from
  1501. 1:04:14like look at look at the other day
  1502. 1:04:16crypto went from $125,000
  1503. 1:04:21all the way to $110,000 in less than a
  1504. 1:04:24few hours or less than two days, three
  1505. 1:04:26days.
  1506. 1:04:28You see how fast that went? Just like
  1507. 1:04:31that. So much money liquidated in the
  1508. 1:04:34market.
  1509. 1:04:36So much selling pressure.
  1510. 1:04:38Same way with gold.
  1511. 1:04:42That's why, you know, gold is a little
  1512. 1:04:45bit on my bad side right now because
  1513. 1:04:47once again, I feel like price is being
  1514. 1:04:49driven too fast at a fast rate.
  1515. 1:04:53Gold is something where people, you
  1516. 1:04:55know, slowly invest their money into and
  1517. 1:04:58get into it. And it's kind of like real
  1518. 1:05:00estate. You don't just right off the
  1519. 1:05:01gate buy 10 properties
  1520. 1:05:04right off the gate. Not Not right off
  1521. 1:05:06the gate. If you're a smart investor, if
  1522. 1:05:09you're a smart person, you're not buying
  1523. 1:05:11anything you see, everything you see
  1524. 1:05:13just because it's there, just because
  1525. 1:05:14you can. You don't buy things just
  1526. 1:05:16because you can buy it. You buy things
  1527. 1:05:18because it serves value.
  1528. 1:05:21So, the fact that people are driving
  1529. 1:05:23gold price cuz realistically when price
  1530. 1:05:26is going up, that means people are
  1531. 1:05:28buying into it. Once again, it goes back
  1532. 1:05:30to the clothing brands. The more demand
  1533. 1:05:34it has, the more people hype it or the
  1534. 1:05:37more people
  1535. 1:05:39think it is very valuable, the more
  1536. 1:05:41value it can be given. BTC, for example,
  1537. 1:05:44is not even a real physical asset, but
  1538. 1:05:49people bring a value to it because it's
  1539. 1:05:51only so much of it,
  1540. 1:05:54right?
  1541. 1:05:56So, people are still driving gold price
  1542. 1:05:58up.
  1543. 1:06:01Sooner or later there's going to be
  1544. 1:06:03people are going to be like, "Dang, bro.
  1545. 1:06:05Like I got all this gold,
  1546. 1:06:09right? And there's going to lose its
  1547. 1:06:10value." So, it's very risky trading
  1548. 1:06:14price at a time where you don't know if
  1549. 1:06:17people are going to buy more or buy
  1550. 1:06:19less. Sell, sell more, sell less. You
  1551. 1:06:22don't you never know. But as traders, we
  1552. 1:06:25can make money both ways. So, everything
  1553. 1:06:27comes back down to market decision. I
  1554. 1:06:29hope you guys enjoyed the video and once
  1555. 1:06:31again I hope you learned something from
  1556. 1:06:33this.

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