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Top 10 NFL Player Props Picks for Week 4 | Prop Bets & TD Scorers (2026) — Transcript

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  1. 0:00What's up friends and welcome into
  2. 0:01Betting Pros. This is the week four
  3. 0:03props show. I'm Chris Welsh. I've got
  4. 0:04Andrew Ericson, the Undertaker. And
  5. 0:07that's going to mean something in this
  6. 0:09episode. We are going to be going
  7. 0:11through our top 10 [music] props for
  8. 0:13week four. We've got five each. We're
  9. 0:15going to do some touchdown calls. We've
  10. 0:17got first touchdowns. And we got a whole
  11. 0:19bunch of fun to go through. And that
  12. 0:21fun, Mr. Andrew Ericson actually does
  13. 0:24start with our big board because last
  14. 0:26week uh keeping our accountability
  15. 0:28buddies all happy. We were both three
  16. 0:30and two. So we had another 500 week. The
  17. 0:33only week that's I mean you've been 500
  18. 0:35all three weeks. So shout out to you.
  19. 0:36Would you like to you have a little
  20. 0:37speech? Like all three weeks of over
  21. 0:39500. You're kind of amazing right now.
  22. 0:41Speech. Speech. Speech. Speech.
  23. 0:42>> I mean I would have been four and one if
  24. 0:44Chase Brown hadn't let me down. come a
  25. 0:47couple yards short of hitting his
  26. 0:48rushing yards prop, but hey, in the
  27. 0:51green, giving out good plays. We both
  28. 0:53hit touchdowns last week, which is a big
  29. 0:55hit. Two and 0 or I guess two and two
  30. 0:58because we give two touchdown bets. But
  31. 0:59the fact that both our tight ends end up
  32. 1:01scoring, finding the end zone, that was
  33. 1:03a big W.
  34. 1:05>> Yeah. So, when we look at the big board
  35. 1:07for last week, we were both three and
  36. 1:09two. You said we both hit a touchdown.
  37. 1:11You had a big positive EV because I
  38. 1:13believe it was the Ken Sadik. So you
  39. 1:15were like plus or Eevee um ROI you had
  40. 1:18like you were like plus three units I
  41. 1:20guess on that technically I was a little
  42. 1:22over you know a little over on the
  43. 1:24positive but either way I got my first
  44. 1:25touchdown call you got the cut touchdown
  45. 1:27call both three and two so when we go
  46. 1:29and take a look at the yearly board you
  47. 1:31are now 10 and5 very impressive very hot
  48. 1:35start at least I'm over 500 I am now 8
  49. 1:38and seven after my poorish week one two
  50. 1:40straight weeks though of being over 500
  51. 1:42so you're 10 and five I'm 8 Seven. You
  52. 1:44have two touchdown calls. Correct. I
  53. 1:46have one. You've got a positive return
  54. 1:49uh from a unit perspective on your
  55. 1:51touchdowns. I am still in the negative.
  56. 1:53Got to get there. And we have zero first
  57. 1:56touchdown calls. Correct. But we will
  58. 1:58boy if we hit ours this week. Just wait
  59. 2:01to the setup that we're going to give
  60. 2:02you guys. Uh that's the big setup for
  61. 2:04the big board. But we have a couple
  62. 2:06other well we have one other big board
  63. 2:08or the graphic that we have is the Jir
  64. 2:11Gibbs rollover touchdown continues three
  65. 2:15straight weeks Erikson said you can make
  66. 2:18money off of big juiced up touchdown
  67. 2:22calls and like in years past that one
  68. 2:24whatever it was a Christian McCaffrey
  69. 2:25you know it was like 15 straight weeks
  70. 2:27you could have you could have been a
  71. 2:28billionaire if you would have done it
  72. 2:30that's your game into here so talk to us
  73. 2:33through I don't really remember where
  74. 2:34we're Where are we at from a unit
  75. 2:36perspective going into week four of Jir
  76. 2:38Gibbs betting?
  77. 2:40>> Full disclosure, my unit size is not big
  78. 2:42enough for me to become a billionaire.
  79. 2:43Whether Jir Gibbs scores touchdowns for
  80. 2:4630 consecutive weeks, but I think now
  81. 2:49we're at to a point where it's two and a
  82. 2:51half units, I believe, now that we're
  83. 2:53betting on Jir Gibbs to score the
  84. 2:54anytime touchdown just based on the
  85. 2:57winnings rolling that over every single
  86. 2:59week. And again, good matchup this week
  87. 3:02against the Carolina Panthers. So yeah,
  88. 3:04another week of Jir Gibbs and hey, if
  89. 3:07it's doesn't happen in the first half,
  90. 3:09goes in that Sunday night football game,
  91. 3:11it'll be a sweaty second half, maybe a
  92. 3:12late fourth quarter touchdown, but I'm
  93. 3:14expecting another touchdown performance
  94. 3:16from Jir Gibbs.
  95. 3:18>> And I think it's like I think it's like
  96. 3:20minus 220. So you're probably going to
  97. 3:23be looking at well, I don't remember
  98. 3:24what you just said, two and a half
  99. 3:25units. So you're you'll probably be up
  100. 3:27like maybe close to four if if this
  101. 3:30rolls over and we go into week five. But
  102. 3:31but now we're we're starting to cook a
  103. 3:33little bit. So the Jir Gibbs roll over
  104. 3:36continues. It's very exciting. The other
  105. 3:38one I don't I don't even know if we have
  106. 3:39a graphic for it cuz we didn't need it.
  107. 3:41But the Welsh undefeated unders has
  108. 3:44ended. So now I'm obliged to never bet
  109. 3:47an under again. I was one and one on my
  110. 3:48unders. I put two unders on my card. The
  111. 3:51one blew past it. So I refuse to do an
  112. 3:54under this week out of solidarity for
  113. 3:56unders being lame. you are going to do
  114. 3:59the exact opposite here into the show,
  115. 4:01but we've got 10 bangers for you.
  116. 4:03Hopefully, you guys are going to be
  117. 4:04tracking along with us. Make sure you
  118. 4:06guys download the betting pros app where
  119. 4:08you can track all of your bets. You can
  120. 4:10get all the data. You can see the
  121. 4:11fivestar bets that we talk about. You
  122. 4:13can see what betting pros. You can use
  123. 4:14the analyzer or the cheat sheet to help
  124. 4:16you out. All the tools that we make as a
  125. 4:18part of our whole system here, you can
  126. 4:21do the same. So, download the betting
  127. 4:22pros app. Let's jump into this now that
  128. 4:24we got all that stuff out of the way.
  129. 4:26It's a fresh week. We got to be big and
  130. 4:28positive. We got touchdown calls first.
  131. 4:31I'm actually like super excited to do
  132. 4:32the first touchdown calls, but we also
  133. 4:34have a few returners to the prop bets
  134. 4:37here. I'm going to have one. You have
  135. 4:39got one that actually failed you. And
  136. 4:41there may be a trend of one person going
  137. 4:44heavy overs and one person going heavy
  138. 4:46unders, but uh for you that's not going
  139. 4:49to change, at least in this first one.
  140. 4:50So, Erikson, uh this is a squad ride one
  141. 4:52run. I completely agree with you on this
  142. 4:54one. Love this play. your first prop for
  143. 4:56week four. Hit us with it.
  144. 4:59>> Josh DS over 62 a half receiving yards.
  145. 5:02We are headed to London because I like
  146. 5:05starting my Sunday with the big W. So,
  147. 5:07we're going to get some action in on
  148. 5:08this Commanders Colts game in the early
  149. 5:11window. You're going to be up really
  150. 5:12early to watch Josh Downs dominate this
  151. 5:14defense. Welsh 6:30 a.m. Eastern time or
  152. 5:17is it 7:30 Eastern time because of the
  153. 5:20time zone differences with daylight
  154. 5:22savings? What time is it actually going
  155. 5:23to be when the Colts game kicks off in
  156. 5:26London for you?
  157. 5:26>> I What? Well, you give me the Eastern
  158. 5:28time. What is the Easter?
  159. 5:29>> 9:30 Eastern. It's 9:30 Eastern.
  160. 5:31>> That will be Wow. Somehow you got all of
  161. 5:33it wrong. I don't even know how you did
  162. 5:35that. 6:30. It will be 6:30 my time,
  163. 5:37Pacific.
  164. 5:38>> So, yeah.
  165. 5:39>> So, you'll be up sweating the Josh Downs
  166. 5:41prop alongside me.
  167. 5:43>> I won't, but yeah.
  168. 5:44>> Okay, then you're going to wake up to
  169. 5:46>> I'm going to wake up to money. That's
  170. 5:47what I'll do. Wake up. wake up to money
  171. 5:50to Josh Towns because his Commanders
  172. 5:52defense is so horrible at covering
  173. 5:55basically everybody that catches the
  174. 5:57ball.
  175. 5:57>> They have allowed a league high 46.7
  176. 5:59fantasy points per game to receivers.
  177. 6:01The fourth highest pass rating to
  178. 6:03quarterbacks targeting the slot so far
  179. 6:05this season and that's where Josh Down
  180. 6:07does the majority of his damage. 68% of
  181. 6:10his routes are run out of the slot. That
  182. 6:12is the fifth highest mark among
  183. 6:13qualified wide receivers. So, it's a
  184. 6:15good matchup when it just comes to him
  185. 6:17facing up with this commander defense.
  186. 6:19And his role in the Colts offense has
  187. 6:20changed. He is no longer just being
  188. 6:22pigeonholed into, okay, you're only
  189. 6:24playing in 11 personnel. He is a
  190. 6:26full-time player in the Colts offense,
  191. 6:28running the most routes on the team. The
  192. 6:31last two weeks, he's averaged a team
  193. 6:33high 2.4 yards per route run on nearly a
  194. 6:3633% target share. while the team has not
  195. 6:38had Alec Pierce, who's been out with an
  196. 6:40injury, 20 targets over the last two
  197. 6:42weeks, five passes for at least 70 yards
  198. 6:45in each contest. So, the fact that
  199. 6:47you're getting this number below 70
  200. 6:48yards, he's been over this in two
  201. 6:50straight weeks, and the matchup is oh so
  202. 6:53juicy. I think Josh Downs is going to
  203. 6:55have another big statement game here.
  204. 6:58The fact that he's being used more
  205. 6:59downfield, Josh DS is usually a player I
  206. 7:01think in years past, we would have had
  207. 7:03this conversation, Welsh, about, okay,
  208. 7:05are we doing the receptions? Are we
  209. 7:06doing the receiving yards with Josh
  210. 7:07Towns? And more or less, he's always
  211. 7:09been a guy that, okay, we want to attack
  212. 7:11the volume with them because he's using
  213. 7:12used more underneath. But because his
  214. 7:14airy yard share is actually now top 12
  215. 7:16in the NFL, 114 incomplete air yards
  216. 7:20last year, he's actually seeing more
  217. 7:21downfield stuff. So, I actually like and
  218. 7:23feel confident about the yardage,
  219. 7:25especially with his receiving prop or
  220. 7:26the receptions prop like we talked about
  221. 7:28earlier is really juiced towards the
  222. 7:30over, especially at five and a half. So,
  223. 7:32I like the yardage here and he's going
  224. 7:34to go over.
  225. 7:35you actually make a very compelling case
  226. 7:37to play the other side of what my prop
  227. 7:39is going to be and I'll tell you here in
  228. 7:41a second. But what did I say the first
  229. 7:42two weeks? If you give me four and a
  230. 7:44half on Parker Washington, I'm taking
  231. 7:46the over. Then they did give me four and
  232. 7:49a half the next week and I was just
  233. 7:50like, nay sir, because it's too juiced.
  234. 7:53We are now in a spot where I am going to
  235. 7:55open up the market to five and a halfs
  236. 7:57on Parker Washington because we are goat
  237. 8:00status and this is going to be plus
  238. 8:02money. So I am jumping in. I'm jumping
  239. 8:04back. Technically, I'm 2 and 0 on Parker
  240. 8:06Washington bets. We are going to go for
  241. 8:08three and0. I'm back on Parker
  242. 8:09Washington and we are playing it's not
  243. 8:12the alt. It's not necessarily the
  244. 8:13outline. It's the 5.5 over and it's plus
  245. 8:16money and you know a couple different
  246. 8:17spots there's a little bit over or I've
  247. 8:19even seen like plus 119 to 120 on Parker
  248. 8:22Washington. The thing that makes it
  249. 8:23interesting of what you said, Parker
  250. 8:25Washington actually is fourth in the NFL
  251. 8:27in airard share 46%. So that would
  252. 8:31actually be a play. It's pushed up a
  253. 8:33little bit around the 70ish marker. So,
  254. 8:35that actually kind of interests me in
  255. 8:36the evergoing battle of receptions
  256. 8:39versus um uh receiving yards, but in
  257. 8:42this case, like Parker Washington has
  258. 8:44been the guy. And the now the Bengals
  259. 8:46secondary has been solid from an overall
  260. 8:49perspective. But if you look at PFF uh
  261. 8:51ratings out for this week, number two
  262. 8:53overall matchup for Parker Washington,
  263. 8:55graded out obviously because he is so
  264. 8:57high. But one of the things to focus on,
  265. 8:59it's not DJ Turner, it's DJ Ivy and Dax
  266. 9:02Hill, the corners that he might be lined
  267. 9:05up against, especially specifically when
  268. 9:07he gets into the slot. Um, DJ Turner
  269. 9:09will stay on the outsides a bit more. DJ
  270. 9:12Ivy does not even qualify, is unranked,
  271. 9:15and you're looking at Daxill, the other
  272. 9:17corner that's like 90 of 100 overall
  273. 9:19corners. So, they're going to move. We
  274. 9:21know that Parker Washington's going to
  275. 9:22move throughout the offense. They're
  276. 9:23going to get him on the inside and
  277. 9:25they're going to slang him the ball. He
  278. 9:27his target share has been up there. I
  279. 9:29believe it's closed in on around 39% as
  280. 9:32I'm looking here. No, 28.4%
  281. 9:35overall target share for the team with a
  282. 9:3832 uh 8% first read share. So, we just
  283. 9:43go through this. He is the guy. He is
  284. 9:45the top guy. And him playing out of the
  285. 9:47slot more, I know Jacobe Meyers is going
  286. 9:49to force into some of that. I think this
  287. 9:51game is going to be slinging the ball
  288. 9:53and Parker Washington is getting the
  289. 9:55targets per game. We're closing in on
  290. 9:56eight. These are going to be some
  291. 9:58catchable balls. It's a favorable
  292. 9:59matchup. Give me 5.5 on the uh
  293. 10:02receptions over, but I you do have me a
  294. 10:04little bit interested talking about the
  295. 10:06airard share and thinking about that.
  296. 10:07That is maybe a pivot play that you guys
  297. 10:10could take a look at if you want. And by
  298. 10:12the way, you can go and play these out
  299. 10:14with the NFL prop cheat sheet. Find the
  300. 10:17best NFL player props with betting pros
  301. 10:19prop bet cheat sheet. Quickly compare
  302. 10:21lines from leading sports books against
  303. 10:22our daily NFL projections to uncover the
  304. 10:25props offering the most value. Make
  305. 10:27smarter prop betting decisions all
  306. 10:29season long at bettingpros.com/props.
  307. 10:31Go and play through. Get your best bets
  308. 10:34in there and let betting pros help you
  309. 10:36out. All right, let's go to number two
  310. 10:38on the props here. Will we start to get
  311. 10:40the unders, Mr. Undertaker?
  312. 10:43>> So, I'm actually going to the Bengals
  313. 10:45Jaguars game. Chase Brown. He failed me
  314. 10:49last week. So clearly now he's dead to
  315. 10:51me and I'm only betting his unders.
  316. 10:53Under 16 and a half rushing attempts for
  317. 10:55Chase Brown. This number really stood
  318. 10:58out to me when I was perusing through
  319. 11:00the betting pros prop bet cheat sheet
  320. 11:02because this number is ludicrously high
  321. 11:06for a player like Chase Brown. And I'm
  322. 11:08one of the biggest Chase Brown fans.
  323. 11:09We're talking about him as a buy low
  324. 11:11across the board in Fantasy Pros, but
  325. 11:13this number is just way too big for him
  326. 11:16in this particular matchup. The
  327. 11:17projections have Chase Brown at 14.9
  328. 11:20carries. He's only going over this
  329. 11:22number one time in three games played
  330. 11:24this season, and that was against the
  331. 11:25Houston Texans. But dating back to last
  332. 11:28year, he's gone over this number just
  333. 11:30five times in 20 games played. That is a
  334. 11:3320% hit rate towards the over, or as I
  335. 11:36like to look at it, an 80% hit rate
  336. 11:37towards the under, which is why we're
  337. 11:39playing this as one of my best bets this
  338. 11:42week. You look at the running back so
  339. 11:43far this season that have faced the
  340. 11:44Jaguars.
  341. 11:46No running back they have faced has
  342. 11:48surpassed 12 carries. And a little
  343. 11:50trivia for you, Welsh, how many times do
  344. 11:53you think a running back had at least 17
  345. 11:55carries against the Jacksonville Jaguars
  346. 11:57in the entire 2025 season? How many
  347. 12:01running backs? And who do you think they
  348. 12:03were?
  349. 12:05>> Well, I mean, how you're setting me up,
  350. 12:07it's got to be like two. And I don't
  351. 12:11know.
  352. 12:12>> You're right. It is two. Two very, very
  353. 12:15good running backs. Christian McCaffy.
  354. 12:17>> James Cook won.
  355. 12:18>> No, James Cook is not either of them. It
  356. 12:20was Christian McCaffrey. Okay.
  357. 12:21>> And Jonathan Taylor did it twice against
  358. 12:23them. But
  359. 12:25>> those guys are just different offenses.
  360. 12:2890% snapshare players. As much as I love
  361. 12:31Chase Brown, he's not in that category.
  362. 12:34He's not a 90% snap share type of
  363. 12:37player. He does seed some type of work
  364. 12:38to Sama Perine at times. So, even last
  365. 12:43year in this same matchup where to your
  366. 12:45point about Parker Washington, he did
  367. 12:47have a monster game last year against
  368. 12:49the Bengals, even before he had his like
  369. 12:51full-fledged breakout. Last year against
  370. 12:53the Jaguars, Chase Brown topped out at
  371. 12:5616 carries. But the big difference from
  372. 12:59that game versus this game is Joe Burrow
  373. 13:01got hurt in that game. They had Jake
  374. 13:03Browning for the majority of that game,
  375. 13:04which is why they leaned on Chase Brown
  376. 13:06so much. So, I think that's kind of
  377. 13:07playing into why his number here is so
  378. 13:10high. And the fact that he did do it one
  379. 13:12time already against the Houston Texans,
  380. 13:13but that wasn't a game where the Bengals
  381. 13:15could really play ball control and just
  382. 13:17try to play defense because the Texans
  383. 13:18offense could not move the football
  384. 13:20against their defense. So, I just think
  385. 13:22that this number is totally wrong for a
  386. 13:24player like Chase Brown in a game where
  387. 13:26you could see the Bengals have a
  388. 13:27negative game script. Like the Jaguars,
  389. 13:29this is going to be a close game. The
  390. 13:30spread is really tight. It's a
  391. 13:32high-scoring affair. And I think that
  392. 13:33Chase Brown, yeah, he'll see volume and
  393. 13:34see touches, but I think his total
  394. 13:36volume will actually be a combination of
  395. 13:38rushing attempts and targets, receptions
  396. 13:41out of the backfield versus just
  397. 13:42straight up carries. So, this one I
  398. 13:44really like a lot. The prop bed cheat
  399. 13:46sheet agrees under 16 and a half carries
  400. 13:47for Chase Brown in week four. [snorts]
  401. 13:50Okay, I'm down with this one. This one's
  402. 13:52a slick one. Uh I'm going to play the
  403. 13:53rushing yards, but we are going to go to
  404. 13:56the quarterback and we're going to play
  405. 13:57an over and I'm finally going to dip my
  406. 14:00toe in the Malik Willis pool. Uh that is
  407. 14:02somebody that, you know, wanted to try
  408. 14:04to dive into, wanted to see more rushing
  409. 14:07yards last week that started to click.
  410. 14:09He was able to drop 56. Um you know, in
  411. 14:13a in a spot where he didn't really rush
  412. 14:15a whole bunch prior to that. uh 49ers it
  413. 14:18it wasn't a big one but I mean I guess
  414. 14:20against the Raiders he had also passed
  415. 14:22this number but what we're looking at is
  416. 14:23a consensus line of around 28.5
  417. 14:26projections are kind of all over the
  418. 14:27board isn't like in love with that one
  419. 14:30um PFF has Malik Willis is the number
  420. 14:33one rushing yards quarterback so far for
  421. 14:36this week and taking a look at the
  422. 14:39Vikings and what they've done they they
  423. 14:40have given up this number two of the
  424. 14:43three outings they have not but one of
  425. 14:45those was a 5 carry 42 2 uh yard output
  426. 14:48from Caleb Williams. They're averaging
  427. 14:51around almost six and a half yards given
  428. 14:53up per rush to quarterbacks and Malik
  429. 14:56Willis is projected at at the minimum of
  430. 14:59six. So I I think the number establishes
  431. 15:01out well and another thing if you go and
  432. 15:03look at grades here, the Vikings are a
  433. 15:05poor passing matchup for Malik Willis.
  434. 15:09Coverage on the tight ends is one of the
  435. 15:10better ones. Wide receiver coverage is
  436. 15:12pretty solid. It's a slightly above
  437. 15:14average uh I mean defensive line rush
  438. 15:17there. We know they're going to just
  439. 15:18blitz the crap out of him. And they're
  440. 15:21also without Devon Anchan. They're
  441. 15:22without their number one weapon. I'm not
  442. 15:23sure that they're going to be
  443. 15:24comfortable with Jaylen Wright or Ali
  444. 15:26Gordon being in a spot to take over that
  445. 15:28massive checkdown receiving spot. So I
  446. 15:30think this is a situation more where
  447. 15:32Malik Willis is going to be running and
  448. 15:34running a lot. I'm not playing rush
  449. 15:35attempts. I'm playing yards and I think
  450. 15:37he can bust this one out. over six yards
  451. 15:39per carry to quarterback so far to uh
  452. 15:41against the Vikings and Malik Willis
  453. 15:43going over 50. I think we're going to
  454. 15:45have another run of this and to be
  455. 15:46honest with you, I'm not sure we're
  456. 15:48going to see Malik Willis under 35 yards
  457. 15:51rushing moving forward. So, I think this
  458. 15:53is the top dog. This is a low number.
  459. 15:5528.5 over rushing yards for Malik Willis
  460. 15:58with this week. That's my number two.
  461. 16:00And I very, very much like that one. All
  462. 16:02right, let's go to our third. This is
  463. 16:04number five overall. We've both uh
  464. 16:06dropped two. This is going to be our
  465. 16:07third props for this bad boy. Erikson,
  466. 16:10why don't you kick us off? You're going
  467. 16:11to be jumping in. We love our tight
  468. 16:12ends. We love to bet our tight ends for
  469. 16:14touchdowns. We try to get them into the
  470. 16:16props. And you are digging deep, my
  471. 16:19friend. Talk to us about Doctor Strange.
  472. 16:22>> Continuing to attack this Bengals
  473. 16:24Jaguars game. That was my one thing to
  474. 16:27watch on the tailgate this week because
  475. 16:30this game is going to be really, really
  476. 16:31exciting except for Chase Brown and his
  477. 16:33rushing attempts. Other than that, it's
  478. 16:35all overs across the board, including
  479. 16:37Breton Strange, the tight end for the
  480. 16:39Jacksonville Jaguars. Now, he has been
  481. 16:41under this number at 33 and a half
  482. 16:44receiving yards all three games this
  483. 16:45season. But similar to the bet that we
  484. 16:47made a couple weeks back on Rashad
  485. 16:49Baitman, it's just, hey, don't look at
  486. 16:50the box score. We're going to be
  487. 16:52forecasting this future matchup for
  488. 16:54Brettton Strange where better days are
  489. 16:55ahead for him. And when you look at this
  490. 16:58Bengals defense, they continuously bleed
  491. 17:01yardage to tight ends. So far this
  492. 17:03season, they've allowed nearly a hundred
  493. 17:05receiving yards per game to tight ends.
  494. 17:07That's second most in the NFL. Now, a
  495. 17:09lot of it did come in garbage time
  496. 17:10against Daltton Schultz back when they
  497. 17:12played the Houston Texans. But even
  498. 17:14before that late production for Schultz,
  499. 17:18they still had given up a decent amount
  500. 17:20of yardage. And the fact that this
  501. 17:21number is so low for a player like
  502. 17:22Brentton Strange, who over the last two
  503. 17:24weeks has run around on 82% of Trevor
  504. 17:27Lawrence's dropbacks. He's heavily
  505. 17:28involved in this offense. He plays
  506. 17:30almost every single snap offensively.
  507. 17:33The matchup is there and he's actually
  508. 17:34coming off his best game of the season
  509. 17:35where he did have three catches for over
  510. 17:3730 yards and five targets. So, it's
  511. 17:39continuing to trend upwards for Brenton
  512. 17:42Strange and he has been receiving some
  513. 17:44positive coach speak this week talking
  514. 17:45about how yeah, we still want to get
  515. 17:47Brett Strange more involved. Last week,
  516. 17:49they were talking about Jacobe Myers
  517. 17:50getting more involved and what happened.
  518. 17:52Jacobe Myers had his best game of the
  519. 17:53season. So, I'm expecting that same type
  520. 17:55of pattern here with Brettton Strange
  521. 17:57having his best game of the season in a
  522. 17:59very favorable matchup because that's
  523. 18:00how you attack this Bengals defense over
  524. 18:02the middle of the field with guys like
  525. 18:04Parker Washington and guys like Brett
  526. 18:06Strange. So, the fact that the Jaguars
  527. 18:07are going to be pushed for the first
  528. 18:08time all season this week and it's not
  529. 18:11going to be a blowout or a game against
  530. 18:13the Denver Broncos, a tough defense.
  531. 18:14You're going to see fireworks and Bren
  532. 18:16Strange is going to get over this really
  533. 18:18low number.
  534. 18:19>> Okay, I like it. I am going to be
  535. 18:20jumping to one of your guys. I think you
  536. 18:23had made a bet on him last week or maybe
  537. 18:25the second week. Give me some M.
  538. 18:28Collins, man. Uh M. Collins, I love what
  539. 18:31he looks like in this offense right now,
  540. 18:32especially when they decide to throw him
  541. 18:34the ball. Not that I like anything about
  542. 18:36the Patriots offense in general. But I
  543. 18:39am a psychopath and I'm a sicko and I
  544. 18:42still disgustingly believe that there's
  545. 18:44an opportunity for Drake May to bounce
  546. 18:47back. But I also don't have the coonus
  547. 18:50to put a bet in on Drake May this week.
  548. 18:52So I'm finding another direction to kind
  549. 18:54of uh be invested and that's in M
  550. 18:57Collins. And you know Matt Collins last
  551. 18:59week had that big banger. Six catches
  552. 19:02yards were there. Uh projection so far
  553. 19:04on BP. They're they're pseudos
  554. 19:06supportive of where I'm going and that
  555. 19:08is the receptions. I' I've definitely
  556. 19:09kind of honed in on the reception market
  557. 19:11a little bit early on because it's 3.5.
  558. 19:14It's a low number right now and there is
  559. 19:17some juice, but you can find this even
  560. 19:19under minus 120 in some spots and I
  561. 19:22think that's enough to to jump in in
  562. 19:25this spot. When looking at the the last
  563. 19:26previous matchups, they've actually
  564. 19:28gotten hit um the Bills have on some of
  565. 19:32these outside receivers, guys that can
  566. 19:33move around. Nico Collins had I there's
  567. 19:35been at least a receiver in every single
  568. 19:37game versus him that has obviously hit
  569. 19:39over this mark with a couple spots this
  570. 19:41happening twice, but Nico Collins had
  571. 19:43seven catches, Amanra, nine. Trey
  572. 19:45Harris, not Lad McConi was your big
  573. 19:47receiving marker. And if I do believe
  574. 19:50they're going to be competitive and
  575. 19:51Drake May's got a pretty heavy um if
  576. 19:54we're being honest, a pretty heavy re uh
  577. 19:56passing total, passing yards total for
  578. 19:58where he's been at, then I think I want
  579. 20:00to be invested in M. Collins here who
  580. 20:03last week had a 33 33% airyard share was
  581. 20:07running around 65% of routes 11 a dot a
  582. 20:1029% target share which I love and his
  583. 20:16where did I just lose it I wanted to
  584. 20:17give you his first read a 30% first read
  585. 20:20share so if you're going to be attacking
  586. 20:23these guys which by the way here are
  587. 20:24some corner grades Christian Benford 95
  588. 20:28of 100 D Alfred 96 of 100 and Maxwell
  589. 20:32Harrison outside the top 50 of a 100red
  590. 20:35in corners. You're going to be able to
  591. 20:37pass on them. They're probably playing
  592. 20:38from behind. Matt Collins has kind of
  593. 20:41been the number one guy or the
  594. 20:42possession guy and I only need four
  595. 20:44receptions on this. I might even play
  596. 20:46around and put this to five, but that's
  597. 20:48going to be mine. 3.5 cuz I got a record
  598. 20:51to uphold here. 3.5 receptions on the
  599. 20:54over. All right, we've got two more
  600. 20:56coming up across the board here. So,
  601. 20:58strap in because you're going to get
  602. 20:59your unders in. But I want to tell you
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  618. 21:32use code FPP pod when you sign up.
  619. 21:35That's code FP pod to get $25 free after
  620. 21:40your deposit of just 10 bucks. All
  621. 21:43right, props number four. Both of us
  622. 21:47going to get uh in the mud here a little
  623. 21:49bit. So get money with get money with us
  624. 21:51here and not just take a dolphin, which
  625. 21:55I did earlier. Not just take a low
  626. 21:58total, but now drop an under on it,
  627. 22:01Erikson. Do it.
  628. 22:02>> Yeah, something smells fishy with uh
  629. 22:04these Dolphins running backs filling in
  630. 22:06for Devon Aan. So, I'm going to go with
  631. 22:08Jaylen Wright under 29 and a half
  632. 22:11rushing yards. And the Dolphins
  633. 22:14backfield has been a highly discussed
  634. 22:17debate, I think, this week with the
  635. 22:19injury to Han fantasy manager trying to
  636. 22:21figure out, okay, which guy am I going
  637. 22:22to go to? Who's going to get the volume?
  638. 22:24And does it even matter because they're
  639. 22:26facing the Brian Flores Minnesota
  640. 22:27Vikings defense, right? Does it actually
  641. 22:29even matter which one of these guys gets
  642. 22:30the volume? Because Welsh, I looked at
  643. 22:33the markets today with these two running
  644. 22:35backs because I was really interested in
  645. 22:36playing an under on either Olly Gordon
  646. 22:38or Jaylen Wright. And it was actually
  647. 22:41kind of surprising to me that Jaylen
  648. 22:42Wright actually has the higher numbers
  649. 22:44than Ollie Gordon does in the props.
  650. 22:46>> Ollie Gordon,
  651. 22:47>> well, he's first on the depth chart. I
  652. 22:49think that's why.
  653. 22:50>> And that's and that's it. the unofficial
  654. 22:53death chart that the the PR guy puts
  655. 22:56together, not the head coach. [laughter]
  656. 22:58Like like that's like that's
  657. 22:59[clears throat] to me I I think just
  658. 23:01kind of interesting. So the only reason
  659. 23:03I'm only playing Jaylen Wright instead
  660. 23:04of Ollie Gordon is just he has larger
  661. 23:07numbers whereas all the information
  662. 23:09that's been told to us is that it's
  663. 23:10going to be a full-blown committee in
  664. 23:12some way, shape, or form and everybody's
  665. 23:14going to have a different role. So
  666. 23:15that's what Dolphins head coach Jeff
  667. 23:16Hathley said that very adamant that he
  668. 23:18was going to use all of his guys to fill
  669. 23:20the void left by his star running back
  670. 23:22Devon Achan. Now what does that actually
  671. 23:24mean and translate to the field like we
  672. 23:26don't know. So with all this ambiguity
  673. 23:29I'm just pounding the under for these
  674. 23:31Dolphins running backs and right has the
  675. 23:34highest number at 29 and a half. He also
  676. 23:35has the highest carry total at eight and
  677. 23:37a half rushing attempts. So I'm not
  678. 23:39confident that he's necessarily going to
  679. 23:41see that type of volume because it could
  680. 23:42be a committee. Ali Gordon showed up
  681. 23:45last week, played very well and got a
  682. 23:48ton of work. Jaylen Wright's also coming
  683. 23:51off an injury, foot, stinger. How
  684. 23:54effective is he actually going to be and
  685. 23:55how much volume is he actually going to
  686. 23:56get? So, I'm kind of fading the
  687. 23:58confidence that at least the market is
  688. 24:00showing a little bit in Jaylen Wright by
  689. 24:02taking his under. And then going back to
  690. 24:04the matchup, it's absolutely terrifying.
  691. 24:06Vikings allowing the fourth fewest
  692. 24:08rushing yards per game this season.
  693. 24:09They've allowed the lowest EPA per rush
  694. 24:12this season. Also, Dolphins AllPro
  695. 24:14center Aaron Brewer popping up the
  696. 24:16injury report on Thursday with a hand
  697. 24:17injury. So, if he can't go or he's not
  698. 24:20100%. There's going to be no push up
  699. 24:22front for the Miami Dolphins playing on
  700. 24:23the road in Minnesota against this Brian
  701. 24:25Flores defense, I'm taking the under. I
  702. 24:28think this is a good process play and if
  703. 24:30it beats me, so be it. But one of these
  704. 24:32Dolphins running backs is going to
  705. 24:33underwhelm dramatically and just given
  706. 24:35the fact that the right number is a
  707. 24:36little bit bigger, that's where I'm
  708. 24:38going to go. And you know what, it's
  709. 24:40kind of a correlative play to my Malik
  710. 24:41Willis over rushing yards as well. That
  711. 24:43if you wanted to, you know, put some We
  712. 24:45have the same game, we have the parlay
  713. 24:46wizard, same game parlay wizard where
  714. 24:48that would be a correlative play to the
  715. 24:50over on Malik Willis and the under on
  716. 24:52Jaylen Wright that you could put
  717. 24:54together. So I like where you're going.
  718. 24:56Um I am going to be taking a low number,
  719. 24:58but I told you I'm off. I'm off of uh
  720. 25:01unders for this week even because lost
  721. 25:03one and it broke my heart. Three and
  722. 25:05one. Um, so we're going overs, but this
  723. 25:07is a low total for a stinky player so
  724. 25:11far this year, but this is a get-right
  725. 25:13spot, and it's Coulson Lovelin. Coulson
  726. 25:15Lovelin has a very low, rightfully so,
  727. 25:18receiving yard total of 33.5 this week.
  728. 25:23Every projection market likes the over.
  729. 25:25Uh BP likes the over at around 38.
  730. 25:28Fantasy pros, if you want to look on the
  731. 25:30fantasy side of the different algorithm,
  732. 25:31around 41. Um, one of the biggest ones,
  733. 25:34you know, I obviously I say PFF, I
  734. 25:36appreciate what they do. Uh, 55 is their
  735. 25:39marker and, you know, hopefully that is
  736. 25:42barred out to like where he's been. But
  737. 25:45one of the things like Lovelin last week
  738. 25:46doesn't jump out from like a target
  739. 25:48percent. He was actually only target 11%
  740. 25:50of the time. First read percentage
  741. 25:51wasn't up there. I think if Beg's in
  742. 25:53Beijing's going to help this situation,
  743. 25:55but here's a marker that helped push me
  744. 25:57in it. besides every projection like in
  745. 25:59it, besides BP giving this a positive
  746. 26:02grade, a positive EV market, projection
  747. 26:04EV is around uh 9% total on it. But when
  748. 26:08you go and look at cornerback grades on
  749. 26:10the wide receivers, because I actually
  750. 26:11started this off with a Luther Burton,
  751. 26:13but check these out. You've got three
  752. 26:17corners
  753. 26:18graded in the top 35 in the NFL, and
  754. 26:21you've got one who's a top 10 in Travis
  755. 26:23Brownley. Thomas and Stevens both inside
  756. 26:26the top 35. So there's a shutdown on
  757. 26:28Adun and on Burton and this is a
  758. 26:31favorable matchup bottom third against
  759. 26:34tight ends. Uh two of the three games
  760. 26:37that they've played. Yeah, the Tucker
  761. 26:39Craft stuff just went out, but against
  762. 26:40the Lions and the Titans, tight ends
  763. 26:42have each cotten five passes. Uh they're
  764. 26:44averaging four catches to tight ends
  765. 26:46overall and the yardage total is going
  766. 26:49over this with last week having 51 plus
  767. 26:52yards to tight ends. So all of that to
  768. 26:54be said, Beijing a little bit more
  769. 26:55efficient. They get the ball in the air.
  770. 26:57They're trying to get Lovelin more
  771. 26:58involved. Super low total, 33.5. Give me
  772. 27:02the over on Coulson Lovelin. It's dirty.
  773. 27:05It's nasty, but we're going to get back
  774. 27:07there. And we are going to end this bad
  775. 27:08boy off with some quarterback props.
  776. 27:10These are our final for the week here.
  777. 27:12We both got a quarterback that we're
  778. 27:13going to be playing. So, Erikson, will
  779. 27:16you go over 50% on unders? You got two
  780. 27:19overs, two unders. Where are we going?
  781. 27:23>> We're going back to the unders here. And
  782. 27:26this one kind of pains me because it
  783. 27:27involves the Detroit Lions, which I
  784. 27:29usually never will bet an under. But
  785. 27:32this game, the Lions and Panthers, is
  786. 27:34not being played at Fordfield, the
  787. 27:36chorus field of the NFL. It's being
  788. 27:37played in Carolina where forecast is
  789. 27:40actually calling for some potential
  790. 27:41rain, which I really hope doesn't
  791. 27:44actually happen because that would just
  792. 27:46ruin a lot because we know this Lions
  793. 27:49team just acts totally different. Jared
  794. 27:51Goff's indoor cat. That being said, I
  795. 27:53still think even in pristine conditions,
  796. 27:55there's a chance he goes under this
  797. 27:57passing attempt number, which is listed
  798. 27:58at 34 and a half passing attempts.
  799. 28:00Five-star bet on the prop bet cheat
  800. 28:02sheet this week. Jared Goff has gone
  801. 28:04under this number three games as a road
  802. 28:07favorite. He's been under this number in
  803. 28:08five of his last 10 road games. Carolina
  804. 28:11has faced the sixth lowest pass rate
  805. 28:12this season. To me, this is a matchup
  806. 28:15where you don't put Jared Goff out there
  807. 28:17in the elements and you just feed Jamir
  808. 28:18Gibbs. like that seems like it would be
  809. 28:20the perfect game plan against this
  810. 28:21terrible Panthers run defense. That's
  811. 28:23how teams have attacked Carolina so far
  812. 28:25this year. Three quarterbacks they have
  813. 28:27faced, nobody has attempted more than 30
  814. 28:29pass attempts against them. So, the
  815. 28:30projection is leaning hard into the
  816. 28:32under. And if there is a chance where
  817. 28:34the rain is legit, then there's no way
  818. 28:37that the Lions are going to feel
  819. 28:38comfortable dropping back to throw with
  820. 28:39Jared Goff 34 and a half times because
  821. 28:41that's just not his strength, especially
  822. 28:43in outdoor conditions. So, I'm taking
  823. 28:45the under here and I think this is
  824. 28:46probably one of my favorite plays as
  825. 28:48well. I like it. Uh, this one I kind of
  826. 28:50dove into too. I don't think I've done a
  827. 28:52passing touchdown marker this week, but
  828. 28:54uh, or this year so far, but this one I
  829. 28:56love. And I am going to Jordan. Love the
  830. 29:00team that has no running game
  831. 29:01whatsoever. Going up against a
  832. 29:02Buccaneers team that is messy. It's a
  833. 29:04messy defense. It's a messy offense with
  834. 29:06Jaylen Daniels out there. And there's
  835. 29:09one thing that Jordan Love does this
  836. 29:10year, or at least the Packers do. Throw
  837. 29:13touchdowns. He's had two touchdowns in
  838. 29:15every single game he's played so far
  839. 29:17this year. And that is the marker. And
  840. 29:19by the way, I believe, unless I just
  841. 29:21fooled myself out of it, uh, it's plus
  842. 29:23money right around even, but I I'm
  843. 29:25seeing some plus money on 1.5 over on
  844. 29:28the touchdowns. And that's where I'm
  845. 29:30going to be rocking Buccaneers. They
  846. 29:32only have one game where they've given
  847. 29:33up over two touchdowns, but I think you
  848. 29:35have an extra messy situation that's
  849. 29:37going on so far. They don't cover tight
  850. 29:38ends well. They're not covering running
  851. 29:40backs well. Wide receivers is a little
  852. 29:42better play, but there isn't much of a
  853. 29:43pass rush that's happening whatsoever.
  854. 29:46So, this team isn't going to run. We
  855. 29:48just know they're going to pass. Get
  856. 29:49Tucker Craft involved. I desperately was
  857. 29:53thinking about doing my Christian Watson
  858. 29:54first touchdown play. Golden has stepped
  859. 29:56up. This is just a phenomenal situation
  860. 29:59and the Buccaneers might be turning the
  861. 30:00ball over multiple times. This might hit
  862. 30:02in the first half. 1.5 over touchdowns
  863. 30:05for Jordan Love. That is my final prop.
  864. 30:08Those are 10 props that we have locked
  865. 30:10into, but we ain't done. We are going to
  866. 30:13get to some touchdowns here. We both hit
  867. 30:14a touchdown last week. If you guys want
  868. 30:16to get in on the action, go to
  869. 30:17bettingpros.com/touchdown.
  870. 30:20You can touch uh check out the touchdown
  871. 30:22score report. Looking for an edge in
  872. 30:24touchdown bets. Our touchdown score
  873. 30:25report compares anytime touchdown stats
  874. 30:27to prop bet odds and projections to help
  875. 30:29identify the best anytime bets? Head to
  876. 30:31bettingpros.com/touchdown
  877. 30:34for the latest touchdown prop analysis.
  878. 30:36Today, Mr. Andrew Ericson, let's talk
  879. 30:39some touchdowns here. You are in the
  880. 30:41green. you have hit uh I think two of
  881. 30:44three weeks at least. You've got a
  882. 30:45couple touchdown calls here. So, where
  883. 30:48are you going uh this week?
  884. 30:50>> Wherever the Lions are going is where
  885. 30:52I'm going to attack because that has
  886. 30:54worked for my process. Joan Johnson,
  887. 30:56week one, who did he play? Detroit Lions
  888. 30:58scored a touchdown. Week three, Kenyan
  889. 31:00Sadique scored a touchdown. Who did he
  890. 31:02play? Welsh. Oh, yeah. The Detroit
  891. 31:04Lions. So, that's the process, man.
  892. 31:06That's how you hit on touchdown bets is
  893. 31:08you pick the players that are facing the
  894. 31:10Detroit Lions. So I have a twofur here
  895. 31:13today. I have two Carolina Panthers in
  896. 31:15my anytime touchdown bet calls. Tetto
  897. 31:18McMillan is going to score a touchdown
  898. 31:20this week against the Carolina Panthers
  899. 31:23or excuse me against the Detroit Lions.
  900. 31:25He plays for the Carolina Panthers.
  901. 31:27T-Mac has seen the most red zone targets
  902. 31:29and endzone targets this season among
  903. 31:32wide receivers without a touchdown yet.
  904. 31:34So he got shut down last week against
  905. 31:36the Cleveland Browns, but that will not
  906. 31:38be the case, especially with Jaylen
  907. 31:39Coker banged up. He's going to be the
  908. 31:41focal point of this passing attack
  909. 31:42against a really bad line secondary. So
  910. 31:44I think he finds the end zone or have
  911. 31:45opportunities to find the end zone. And
  912. 31:47then the same kind of spiel with Darren
  913. 31:49Waller, just specifically how bad the
  914. 31:51lines have been against tight ends.
  915. 31:52They've allowed six receiving touchdowns
  916. 31:55to tight ends in three games. Six
  917. 31:57different tight ends have caught a
  918. 31:58touchdown against the Detroit Lions and
  919. 32:01Darren Waller will be the seventh. So,
  920. 32:02those are my anytime touchdown bets.
  921. 32:04Attack these Lions.
  922. 32:06>> I love it. All right. Um, what does five
  923. 32:09touchdowns do for you? Uh, well, that
  924. 32:11number is the amount of touchdowns that
  925. 32:13the Commanders have given up to tight
  926. 32:15ends this season. Five touchdowns is a
  927. 32:19ridiculous marker. Two touchdowns
  928. 32:21against the Eagles to tight ends, two
  929. 32:23down the Cowboys, and last week um, one.
  930. 32:26So, obviously that would that would be
  931. 32:27the math. I was thinking it was AJ
  932. 32:28Barner, but it was Sherbet. Five
  933. 32:30touchdowns given up. Every single week
  934. 32:32there's been a touchdown given up. So,
  935. 32:35how about Tyler Warren with a plus 160
  936. 32:38this week for an anytime touchdown.
  937. 32:39They're not afraid to even use him on a
  938. 32:40little handoff and short yardage, but uh
  939. 32:44this is a massive massive advantage.
  940. 32:46We've also talked about Josh Downs. I
  941. 32:47mean, I think that's also a play that
  942. 32:48you can jump into, but tight ends are a
  943. 32:51huge crutch. Really, anything on the
  944. 32:53inside, it seems Josh Downs is going to
  945. 32:54be beneficial, but I think this is going
  946. 32:56to be a really good spot for Tyler
  947. 32:57Warren. So, plus 160 is mine. And then
  948. 33:00I've got the biggest anytime play here.
  949. 33:02I'm gonna go to our boy Drake May. Told
  950. 33:04you I think he's going to get right. I
  951. 33:06guess I did find my way to be invested
  952. 33:07in him. Uh he actually had two rushing
  953. 33:10touchdowns last year versus the Bills.
  954. 33:12Like we've seen this play from Drake May
  955. 33:15before where he starts to run. He
  956. 33:16doesn't have a rushing touchdown so far
  957. 33:17on the season. I do think they can pass
  958. 33:19some, but when they get into short
  959. 33:21yardage, they're desperate. He's
  960. 33:23desperate. He's talking about the
  961. 33:24shoulder. It's not the shoulder. Well,
  962. 33:25guess what? Put your shoulder down.
  963. 33:27Bring it into the end zone. 5 to one
  964. 33:29plus 500 for Drake May on something that
  965. 33:32he has done against this Bills team
  966. 33:34before and I believe this would be the
  967. 33:36first uh rushing touchdown to buy a
  968. 33:38quarterback against for the Bills as
  969. 33:40well. So plus 500 is my play for that.
  970. 33:42>> I I love that call and this is something
  971. 33:44that I've kind of been tracking where
  972. 33:47every week you see guys get touchdowns
  973. 33:50but then they call back on penalty. So
  974. 33:52Drake May had a rushing touchdown last
  975. 33:54week but it got called got back on a
  976. 33:56penalty. And there have been times this
  977. 33:58season where guys one week Darren Waller
  978. 34:01in week two or excuse me in week one had
  979. 34:03a touchdown was called back on a
  980. 34:04penalty. What did he do the next week?
  981. 34:06Scored a touchdown. Cooper Cup in week
  982. 34:08one against the Patriots had a touchdown
  983. 34:10was called back. Cooper Cup last week
  984. 34:12scored a touchdown. Like the coaches
  985. 34:14remember when these plays work and then
  986. 34:17they go back to it the following week.
  987. 34:19So I think that this is a really sharp
  988. 34:20play especially at five to one. I'm
  989. 34:22gonna be watching that game very closely
  990. 34:24and I think uh I think I'm gonna be
  991. 34:25tailing this one.
  992. 34:27>> I know. I know you will. Of course you
  993. 34:28will be. You'll be locked in. All right,
  994. 34:30our final one. We've been having a ton
  995. 34:31of fun. Oh, we ain't been cashing it,
  996. 34:33but there's big there's big odds for a
  997. 34:35reason here. Uh our first touchdown bets
  998. 34:38this week. No joke. Not accidental, by
  999. 34:41the way. We have both gone 65 to1. This
  1000. 34:46this sets you up for the year. I gotta
  1001. 34:48tell you, there were two I was looking
  1002. 34:50at was looking at Christian Watson again
  1003. 34:53because all he does is catch first
  1004. 34:54touchdowns. It's seven and a half to one
  1005. 34:56for him to do that right now though.
  1006. 34:58>> Trey McBride is another one that I
  1007. 35:00thought was really interesting. I almost
  1008. 35:01did anytime touchdown, but I was too
  1009. 35:04tempted as you were. So, we are complete
  1010. 35:06psychopath mode. 65 to1 are both of our
  1011. 35:10first touchdown plays. So, please talk
  1012. 35:13to us about your player and give us the
  1013. 35:15pronunciation.
  1014. 35:17I'm going with Nate Boracher for the
  1015. 35:20Jacksonville Jaguars tight end, rookie
  1016. 35:23tight end at 65 to1 to catch the first
  1017. 35:26touchdown.
  1018. 35:27>> In the past, when I've been able to hit
  1019. 35:29on some of these bigger long shot bets,
  1020. 35:31it's always been I find a game that's
  1021. 35:33high scoring and you pick a random tight
  1022. 35:35end on one of the teams and then you
  1023. 35:37just go
  1024. 35:38>> a guy that has five syllables in the
  1025. 35:40name. Gotcha.
  1026. 35:41>> Preferably, the longer the better is is
  1027. 35:44actually what we're the approach here.
  1028. 35:45So, I will say positive coach beat for
  1029. 35:49Boracher and last week he had one target
  1030. 35:54and it was inside the 10 yard line.
  1031. 35:56[clears throat]
  1032. 35:56>> Oh,
  1033. 35:56>> so okay.
  1034. 35:57>> It was close. He did not catch the ball,
  1035. 36:00but he was out there in goal line
  1036. 36:02opportunities. So, if the Jaguars strike
  1037. 36:04first against Cincinnati Bengals, I
  1038. 36:06assume that they're going to try to come
  1039. 36:07out aggressive because they know the
  1040. 36:09firepower that's on the other side with
  1041. 36:11Joe Burrow and company. I think that if
  1042. 36:13it's not Brettton Strange scoring the
  1043. 36:15first touchdown, it could be Borcer. So
  1044. 36:17at 65 to1 again, Patriots, Bills,
  1045. 36:21Jaguars, Bengals, those are my two games
  1046. 36:24I'm going to be locked and loaded in the
  1047. 36:25one:00 slate. So uh and I know Welsh,
  1048. 36:28you're going back to the 49ers after. I
  1049. 36:29mean, Kyle, the Kyle play should have
  1050. 36:32hit in some way, shape, or I couldn't I
  1051. 36:34couldn't believe it didn't hit, but
  1052. 36:36you're not you're you're not going to be
  1053. 36:37swayed to go away from your N.
  1054. 36:40No, I gota be honest with you, I almost
  1055. 36:41went back to use. This feels like the
  1056. 36:43week they go back to it. I almost did
  1057. 36:45it, but uh I decided to go. I thought
  1058. 36:47this one was nice and dirty and it's
  1059. 36:48great. If Mike Evans plays awesome, is
  1060. 36:52it likely that he doesn't andor is super
  1061. 36:54limited? Yes. There are no live bodies.
  1062. 36:57They were picking up Brandon Cooks and
  1063. 36:58Dante Pettis. But you know who they do
  1064. 37:00like to put out there? They like to put
  1065. 37:01out Jordan Watkins. Jordan Watkins they
  1066. 37:03like to play as a three. And if Evans is
  1067. 37:05out, he can kind of play that role. you
  1068. 37:08astutely talked about on I don't
  1069. 37:10remember if it was tailgate but how we
  1070. 37:13might see Certan start to lock down on
  1071. 37:16the middle for a George KD and they
  1072. 37:18might go play action Christian McCaffrey
  1073. 37:20and bam Mr. I mean, Debo doesn't catch
  1074. 37:23passes. He just gets yards. He doesn't
  1075. 37:24get receptions. Jordan Watkins does. 65
  1076. 37:27to1 Jordan Watkins first touchdown. Lock
  1077. 37:30it up. But, you know, it'll be Kyle use
  1078. 37:32check. Maybe play a little bit on both
  1079. 37:34of those. All right, there you go. Uh,
  1080. 37:35those are our plays, but what are yours?
  1081. 37:37Your favorite props? Drop them below.
  1082. 37:39You got a first touchdown? Oh, baby.
  1083. 37:41Let's see what those look like. Jump in
  1084. 37:43the comments, interact with the show.
  1085. 37:45Hopefully, you guys are enjoying it,
  1086. 37:46having fun, and download the Betting
  1087. 37:47Pros app as well. So, not only can you
  1088. 37:50track all of your bets, track your
  1089. 37:51success throughout, track your favorite
  1090. 37:53markets, betting pros app will also be
  1091. 37:56able to curate ba based on some of your
  1092. 37:58betting tendency tendencies. It's going
  1093. 38:00to throw you out some suggestions, but
  1094. 38:01there's lots of data to research. It is
  1095. 38:03an amazing tool. We got lots of
  1096. 38:05different systems as well, tracking how
  1097. 38:08there's positive ROI. Go and check it
  1098. 38:10out for yourself. Download the betting
  1099. 38:11pros app. That is going to do it for us
  1100. 38:13though for Andrew Ericson. I'm Chris
  1101. 38:15Welsh. Good luck on all your bets for
  1102. 38:17week four. We'll talk to you next time
  1103. 38:19right here on Betting Pros.

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