آموزش کامل استراتژی زمانی | Time Strategy — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00Hello, greetings and respect; this is Poursamadi. I hope you're doing well
- 0:03And I think — just like SP2L seriously leveled up Iran's trading community
- 0:06which I think will once again split your trading into before and after this video, just like SP2L kind of massively leveled up Iran's trading community
- 0:12This one is the same; because this isn't a video you'll
- 0:15find somewhere else, since I took a complete copy of my brain on time analysis and put it into this video
- 0:20and I think after this video, that horizontal axis under the chart that just keeps moving forward through time
- 0:28won't feel the same to you anymore
- 0:29because it has everything; I mean, I built you an indicator so you can use it practically
- 0:33I placed plenty of trades for you so you can get proficient, I prepared the really fine details for you,
- 0:38gave lots of examples, and we also worked through a combination of SP2L, PBTB, and Micro Map together in this video
- 0:44So we keep moving forward — these gears are catching and working together — but
- 0:48before we go watch the video together, let me clear something up with you;
- 0:51Look guys, when demand
- 0:54exists, supply has to happen
- 0:56too. When, say, seven hundred
- 0:58and fifty thousand
- 1:00people watched that SP2L video, their request
- 1:01was for me to teach them a strategy
- 1:03I had two
- 1:04options; either take money
- 1:05from them — and at the absolute minimum I'd have had to charge
- 1:07say a thousand dollars to prepare the strategy videos for them
- 1:09Now if out of those 750,000 people
- 1:11just one percent
- 1:12came and paid, say, a thousand dollars,
- 1:15how much would that be? 7.5 million dollars;
- 1:17Now imagine two or three percent of that crowd
- 1:19came and joined the course
- 1:20Look, that would be 10-20 million dollars; I admit
- 1:2299 percent of people in the world couldn't
- 1:24walk away from that money
- 1:25But I let that money go
- 1:27because
- 1:28I want to look back at this day five years from now
- 1:30and tell myself: well done;
- 1:32Look what you did! Look what you built!
- 1:34And how you leveled up the trading community
- 1:36once again, just like back in
- 1:382019 when the comprehensive trading course, as the guys themselves put it,
- 1:41completely changed the story of trading in Iran
- 1:44This video is doing the same thing;
- 1:46that's its mission
- 1:47But the only thing I ask of you is
- 1:48that you chew through these videos,
- 1:50master them,
- 1:51send them to anyone who needs them
- 1:53because that's how we can stop this destructive
- 1:55trend of wrong education in Iran
- 1:58See, when there's supply for education
- 2:02and there's demand, a mafia forms around it
- 2:04It's the same with, say, university
- 2:05entrance exams; the education business is just like this
- 2:07When you keep wanting to sell
- 2:10education, you have to introduce new topics
- 2:12keep saying the old one is
- 2:13useless,
- 2:14now here's the new one, and
- 2:15this cycle never ends
- 2:17as long as you don't learn that, folks, this is it
- 2:20the topics are just these
- 2:22And this number I'm giving
- 2:24you — 10-20
- 2:24million dollars — don't think it's some fantasy
- 2:26That kind of money is changing hands easily
- 2:29in these trading seminars and
- 2:31the kind of nonsense we keep seeing;
- 2:34they're TV shows
- 2:35You can't help laughing when you see these things in Iran
- 2:38but it's happening;
- 2:39So my mission was to build these,
- 2:41your mission as the viewer is to use these videos
- 2:43wherever possible
- 2:45and recommend them to anyone who needs them
- 2:47Look, I haven't
- 2:48made a single penny off this video; I didn't
- 2:50ask you to subscribe, or like,
- 2:52or anything; I even turned off the mid-video ads
- 2:54so your focus doesn't get broken while watching
- 2:57So all of this is being done
- 2:59so that you sit down with pen and paper
- 3:01in front of the video,
- 3:01and we go see, in every way, how it plays out
- 3:04Guys, imagine there are two people
- 3:06whose strategy is identical
- 3:07their setup is identical
- 3:09even their money management is identical
- 3:11meaning they risk exactly the same
- 3:13amount per trade, say
- 3:14they trade with exactly the same setup
- 3:16and their entry strategy is exactly the same too
- 3:18But their results
- 3:20are different; one of them
- 3:21is losing, the other is profitable
- 3:22Where do you think the problem could be
- 3:24when everything about them is the same?
- 3:26And of course, the answer is on the slide
- 3:27Time analysis
- 3:28and more precisely
- 3:30time
- 3:31The time when that person, with that setup
- 3:33and that strategy
- 3:34and that money management,
- 3:36entered a trade
- 3:38and the time they exited
- 3:39and the time the second person entered
- 3:42whenever that may be
- 3:43and when they exited
- 3:45Everything about them is the same
- 3:46but the point is
- 3:47at what time this one entered
- 3:49and at what time that one entered
- 3:51And by the end of this video
- 3:52you'll have a personalized
- 3:54time of your own
- 3:55that's yours alone
- 3:57It doesn't matter what time it is in the market
- 3:58whether it's
- 3:5915:30, or 16:30,
- 4:00or
- 4:013 o'clock — that time will be yours
- 4:02Okay, before we go further
- 4:03you need to listen to this part
- 4:04very carefully. Look guys; the market
- 4:06doesn't pay for your knowledge.
- 4:07It doesn't pay for your analysis
- 4:09either. The market only pays
- 4:10for synchronicity — for
- 4:12being
- 4:13right in the very place
- 4:15where money is
- 4:17changing hands.
- 4:18Those same two people from the start of the video
- 4:20who I said were identical in everything —
- 4:21their difference is exactly here:
- 4:22one of them is working with the time window of his own life
- 4:25the other works with the market's time windows
- 4:27Meaning even when he's mastered two or three time windows, if
- 4:30he misses one shift
- 4:31he doesn't FOMO his way into
- 4:33an even heavier loss the next day
- 4:35or, say, doing something wrong
- 4:36because he's mastered another time window
- 4:38and can work in that time window
- 4:40And the one who gets paid here
- 4:42is the one who shows up right on his own time window
- 4:44his own working shifts
- 4:46at his own chart
- 4:48But the very first time decision we ever make
- 4:52comes before we even get into price action
- 4:54into analysis
- 4:56it's this: what is our trading horizon anyway?
- 4:59Meaning, do I want to be a day trader
- 5:02meaning my daily trades close by the end of the night
- 5:04by 12:00 broker time
- 5:07and don't carry over to tomorrow
- 5:09Or is my horizon that of a multi-day trader
- 5:12And this alone determines ninety percent of the story
- 5:15because in my
- 5:17experience, ninety percent of margin calls
- 5:19happen when
- 5:21the trader has shifted from day trading
- 5:24over to multi-day trading
- 5:26What does that mean? It means he opened a trade
- 5:28that was supposed to be closed by 12 at night
- 5:32but that trade didn't get closed
- 5:34What happened instead was a margin call; meaning
- 5:36the guy opened a trade
- 5:38say he wanted to buy at one point
- 5:40sell here, and his stop was here
- 5:42Somehow price played around here
- 5:44and hoping it was about to go up
- 5:46or having already entered the loss zone
- 5:48hoping it was about to go up
- 5:50he waited and waited and removed that stop
- 5:53and removing that stop became
- 5:56the exact point where the guy easily got margin called
- 5:59And honestly, if you go look for yourselves
- 6:01most of the places where you probably took heavy losses
- 6:04were the shift between these
- 6:05two, guys
- 6:06Look, multi-day trading itself doesn't cause ninety percent of margin calls
- 6:10but the unplanned shift between the two
- 6:13causes ninety percent of margin calls
- 6:16Meaning even that multi-day trader himself
- 6:18if he comes and overtrades
- 6:19and tries to play scalper
- 6:21his odds of getting margin called are high
- 6:23Look, in all these years I've never seen anyone get margin called over a wrong analysis
- 6:26get margin called over a wrong one
- 6:27get margin called over a wrong one. With a wrong
- 6:29analysis you just get stopped out, and that's the end of it.
- 6:31A margin call starts from the point
- 6:33where you
- 6:34extend the lifetime
- 6:37of a dead trade.
- 6:40Because you hope maybe that dead trade will come back to life
- 6:44And unfortunately, hope is the most expensive thing sold in the market
- 6:48And in this time-based view, we need to understand
- 6:51that we have a character called the investor
- 6:54someone who wants to invest
- 6:56Look, this person should give less weight to his technical analysis
- 6:59more weight to his fundamentals
- 7:01to the news
- 7:02to the fundamentals
- 7:03and, to reach that maturity date he's set in his own mind
- 7:06for that asset,
- 7:07he should
- 7:08wait. Meaning if you're a trader who came in to hold Bitcoin
- 7:12and you go shift yourself into a multi-day trader
- 7:15or even worse, turn yourself into
- 7:18a scalper, you've gone down the wrong road entirely
- 7:20because we have three outlooks
- 7:23the day trading
- 7:24outlook, the multi-day trading outlook
- 7:25Now where's the boundary between them?
- 7:27Once it goes past 24 hours, you've entered the multi-day trading outlook
- 7:31Now let's also set a boundary so we can tell
- 7:34whether I'm an investor after all, or a multi-day trader
- 7:36because I see a lot of confusion between these two as well
- 7:40where the person has no idea where he even stands with himself
- 7:43Is he an investor after all, or is he going to trade and do multi-day trading?
- 7:47And the boundary where that person will come to realize
- 7:50that he's an investor and not a multi-day trader
- 7:53is whether he's using leverage
- 7:55The moment you bring leverage
- 7:58into your investment trades
- 7:59because you've moved the stop from the zero point up to a higher level —
- 8:04meaning if you're an investor who's using leverage
- 8:07you effectively can't call yourself an investor
- 8:09because you haven't invested
- 8:10You're trading with leverage
- 8:12And this becomes a boundary you can set for yourselves
- 8:14to know which of the three characters —
- 8:16investor, multi-day trader, or day trader — you are
- 8:19And this is very important
- 8:20because if you don't know which of these you are right now
- 8:23ninety percent of the troubles and problems start at this stage
- 8:26since capital allocation differs between these too, right?
- 8:29Meaning when it comes to investing
- 8:30you have to commit a bigger portion of that capital
- 8:34but when it comes to day trading
- 8:35you don't need to commit a major portion of your capital
- 8:39like committing, I don't know, say X million dollars to something
- 8:42Now I'm using global numbers as examples
- 8:44say with a ten-thousand or fifty-thousand-dollar account
- 8:47you're good to go in day trading
- 8:49But when it comes to investing
- 8:51by the global standard, with ten or twenty thousand
- 8:54dollars, no real investing has actually happened
- 8:55effectively just a portion of capital allocated to an asset
- 8:59Now that our stance on how we look at the market
- 9:01is settled, and we know that right now
- 9:03we're working together on the intraday side
- 9:06we need to understand
- 9:07that the market's behavior isn't constant throughout a day
- 9:12Now, this is a very basic topic that I'll just review
- 9:14because if I don't cover these, the more amateur guys
- 9:16won't be able to follow the later sections
- 9:18The players who participate across the 24 hours
- 9:20and keep their eyes on the market
- 9:22are constantly changing across
- 9:24the Asia, Europe, and America sessions
- 9:26Meaning not only does their behavior differ
- 9:29their volume differs too
- 9:32Guys, we can't see
- 9:34this volume — keep that in mind
- 9:35Through certain means we can get data
- 9:37from various stock exchanges and throw it on our chart
- 9:39but if, instead of reading this price behavior,
- 9:42you want to throw on a volume indicator
- 9:44and make volume a complement to price, effectively
- 9:47I feel you haven't even understood the behavior itself
- 9:51because that volume is already baked into this behavior
- 9:56You're effectively getting a bias confirmation
- 9:58when you add volume on top of behavior
- 10:01This was just a note I wanted
- 10:02to make, guys — keep it in mind if you want to work with volume; of course you're free
- 10:04you're free to do whatever you want, I'll stress that again
- 10:06but this is my view on volume
- 10:08because it's the reality of the market
- 10:09You can't see the market's real volume
- 10:11and even if you could, it wouldn't do you any good
- 10:14Some volume, some trade got executed here
- 10:16well, there's no guarantee that trade was even valid
- 10:19or that the volume is valid
- 10:20There are some orders sitting here
- 10:22even if you see them,
- 10:23there's no guarantee that by the time price itself gets there
- 10:25those orders won't have been pulled
- 10:27So effectively it's fake data that's
- 10:29good for nothing
- 10:30As long as you're seeing the truth
- 10:32on the chart in the form of candles
- 10:35you don't need anything else
- 10:37And if you can't read this behavior
- 10:39and what's happening to it
- 10:41then effectively the problem lies elsewhere
- 10:43meaning you have a problem in behavior reading —
- 10:45you need to strengthen your price behavior reading
- 10:47Do you know why the more amateur folks
- 10:49are always after new indicators
- 10:51like volume and volume trading and all
- 10:54that talk? It's because they want more and faster confirmation
- 10:57In general, that's the amateur genre:
- 11:00always after one more tool
- 11:02to get more confirmation
- 11:04because they're afraid of ambiguity
- 11:06and they're willing to grab onto tools
- 11:09whose data is even fake
- 11:12because they never learned to work with the market's naked candle
- 11:16And anyone who can't work with this naked candle of the market
- 11:19and the market's reality — which is every single candle of the market —
- 11:21and understand and grasp their language
- 11:23will probably never get results
- 11:25even with 100 or 200 new methods they might go learn
- 11:28And if we understand that this price we have
- 11:31this price we're seeing
- 11:33on the chart — now, in order to identify its cycles
- 11:36within its price behavior
- 11:37work our setup on it
- 11:40and execute that setup of ours
- 11:42we need to understand
- 11:43that we have to work based on our own time window
- 11:47Meaning that salt I have
- 11:49in mind to sprinkle over these setups and strategies
- 11:52I've taught
- 11:54you — if you haven't watched them yet, go watch them —
- 11:55is this topic of time analysis
- 11:57If you take this salt
- 11:58and sprinkle it on these setups and strategies, effectively
- 12:00that cake I've baked for you
- 12:02becomes far more beautiful to enjoy
- 12:05But you need to be careful:
- 12:06this time analysis isn't meant to replace
- 12:10them. All of these are like a set of gears
- 12:12working together
- 12:14meaning they're not substitutes for one another
- 12:16In the end they're forming
- 12:18something very complete
- 12:20and the further we go, step by step together,
- 12:22the more complete this wheel becomes
- 12:23because within this time analysis I'll also be answering many more questions
- 12:27Broadly speaking, time has two uses
- 12:29for us. Its first use is that it gives us
- 12:32today's horizontal price levels out of the past
- 12:34What does that mean?
- 12:35It means when I'm watching price live
- 12:38I have a set of levels from last week
- 12:40from yesterday
- 12:42and even from the previous session
- 12:44that I can work on
- 12:46Now I can take my strategies and, based on these horizontal levels
- 12:49that I obtained based on time,
- 12:52put them to use
- 12:53which is the first and most widely used application of time in analysis
- 12:57In fact, if you pay attention
- 12:58the levels that come from the past
- 13:00are, in a way, a derivative of
- 13:03time. Let's go a bit deeper in this section
- 13:05Look, when you're drawing a level
- 13:07what are you actually drawing?
- 13:08You're effectively bringing the market's memory
- 13:11forward from the past
- 13:13the memory of time
- 13:15a place where, at some point in time, price
- 13:17marked that price
- 13:20and real money changed hands there. That's
- 13:22why price levels
- 13:23and maps
- 13:24are a derivative of time
- 13:26Meaning you're effectively pulling
- 13:27the market's future address
- 13:29out of the market's past
- 13:31Now someone who draws a level
- 13:33but doesn't know when that level was built
- 13:35has an address
- 13:37but no map to get there
- 13:38And if I want to name the most consistent ones,
- 13:40the first is that weekly map that
- 13:42I taught you in the comprehensive trading course —
- 13:44what level we work on
- 13:45how we work
- 13:46on the weekly map
- 13:47And the next one is
- 13:49the general levels of that day itself
- 13:51Guys, don't overcomplicate it
- 13:52The high
- 13:53the low
- 13:54the middle
- 13:54and that day's open and close are enough for you
- 13:57and these levels, for you,
- 13:58based on a derivative of price's time
- 14:01carry over into the future
- 14:02Now, these general levels
- 14:03that most people
- 14:04are either familiar with
- 14:05or will become familiar with
- 14:06eventually
- 14:06But what really makes our work special
- 14:08has a name I'll tell you later on
- 14:11Now, even those horizontal levels
- 14:12need to be customized
- 14:14for that specific symbol
- 14:16I mean, in practice
- 14:16for example, for the Dow
- 14:18since we —
- 14:18most of our students
- 14:20either trade the Dow
- 14:20or trade gold
- 14:22they should know this:
- 14:23for the US Dow index,
- 14:24look at its high
- 14:25relative to the previous
- 14:26day's session. Guys, for the Dow session,
- 14:27use 16:30
- 14:29to 23:00
- 14:30broker time
- 14:30— use that
- 14:31Think of it as 9:30 New York
- 14:33to 16:00 New York
- 14:34keep that in mind
- 14:35not, for example,
- 14:3624:00
- 14:37broker time
- 14:38it's 23:00 broker time,
- 14:39not 24:00 — keep this
- 14:40in mind
- 14:42But we're going to take it a step further
- 14:44meaning horizontal analysis
- 14:45was part of what
- 14:47we've been doing up to this point
- 14:48but vertical price analysis
- 14:50which includes time points —
- 14:53and these time points,
- 14:54based on what
- 14:55our backtesting has shown
- 14:57and what we've learned from the market,
- 14:59is how we extracted them
- 15:00Of course,
- 15:01these time points I'm
- 15:02putting up on screen for you
- 15:03are just the basic, everyday ones
- 15:05nothing special, really
- 15:05we'll go through them in detail within the video
- 15:08and these aren't the only times at all
- 15:10From this point of the video on, I think
- 15:11the boundary of your trading gets drawn
- 15:14because they've probably always taught you
- 15:16where to buy
- 15:17where to sell
- 15:18where to place your stop loss
- 15:19where to place your take profit
- 15:20but probably nobody's told you
- 15:22when
- 15:23and it's this timing that's actually giving you
- 15:25better performance
- 15:26and after this video, you'll probably
- 15:28never be able to see the chart
- 15:30in that old amateur way again
- 15:32But what you need to pay attention to
- 15:34— let me clean this up —
- 15:35is that we have to understand
- 15:36these players are
- 15:37changing throughout the day
- 15:40and each of these players
- 15:42has a window
- 15:43a story
- 15:44a narrative
- 15:45and an overlap of narratives
- 15:48and when we understand these narratives correctly
- 15:51we can figure out that
- 15:52when a day is coming in
- 15:54positive, positive, moving up
- 15:56it means all these players
- 15:59had positive overlaps with each other
- 16:02and it's really the overlap
- 16:04of these windows that
- 16:06built this trend for me
- 16:07When I get a ranging day
- 16:10I understand that these time points —
- 16:12each one of them caused
- 16:14price to swing up and down for me
- 16:17because there was no consensus
- 16:20on that day in this chart
- 16:21And beyond the time point
- 16:23our first priority should be the time window
- 16:26The time window is definitely priority one
- 16:28it sits above the time point
- 16:30because the time point is weaker in terms of backtesting
- 16:33I'll explain that later —
- 16:34what it means. Just for the more advanced folks
- 16:36I'm dropping this note in here
- 16:37meaning you're not allowed to come
- 16:39and use your setup minus time
- 16:42meaning an SP2L that you found
- 16:44in the wrong time window
- 16:46has a much higher chance
- 16:47of getting stopped out than the SP2Ls
- 16:49that sit in a time window that
- 16:51you've personally backtested
- 16:53and even if you do get stopped out
- 16:55you can optimize it in the future
- 16:58based on that strategy of yours
- 16:59This time window
- 17:01has its global standard too
- 17:04which I'm going to give you later in the video
- 17:06and you can also build your own personal time windows
- 17:11Guys, this is really important
- 17:12Our setup doesn't change
- 17:14only time changes its meaning.
- 17:16I mean, look — an SP2L
- 17:18in its own time window
- 17:20that you've backtested
- 17:21is a weapon in your hand that you're working with
- 17:24The same SP2L with the same conditions
- 17:26the exact same situation, in
- 17:27a time window you haven't backtested
- 17:29and have no idea what to do in
- 17:30practically becomes your enemy
- 17:33So it's really time that's
- 17:35giving weight to price action
- 17:37and if you take just this one sentence from this whole video
- 17:39you've gone 90% of the way
- 17:40But so far we've learned that
- 17:42price and time are two brothers
- 17:45that you literally cannot separate from each other
- 17:48and when you take a day — regardless of what's happening —
- 17:53and don't see it as a hierarchy like this
- 17:55you're practically missing a big part of the work
- 18:00and that part is time,
- 18:01and you don't see it at all
- 18:02and when, even worse,
- 18:04you trade multi-day
- 18:05I mean you trade across days
- 18:08with a wrong scalping mindset on that day
- 18:11that's where you ruin everything
- 18:13because so many different time windows have piled onto your price
- 18:17that this SP2L you took here, say,
- 18:20just isn't valid anymore, my friend
- 18:23then when it dumps
- 18:24it easily drops down and just hits
- 18:27the stop, and you go "huh, why didn't it go give me my reward?"
- 18:30I'm just saying —
- 18:31that's nothing more than a fantasy
- 18:33because you didn't see that the time point changed here
- 18:36When this time point changes,
- 18:37your scenario can easily get
- 18:40voided — and the techniques to keep the trade from being voided
- 18:44and to get the best profit out of the trade
- 18:47you're going to learn in this very video, guys
- 18:49Look: a new time window will not
- 18:51settle the previous time window's
- 18:53debt for you. Those who took the course,
- 18:56if they remember, I had a famous line
- 18:58that the market owes us nothing
- 19:00the market is not in debt to us
- 19:01I stressed it a lot
- 19:02and "tea money", guys
- 19:03those were the two things I kept saying
- 19:05Where does this debt come from?
- 19:06What I mean is, look
- 19:07when a new time window has opened
- 19:09it has its own players
- 19:10its own volume
- 19:11its own business
- 19:13practically, the people who've come
- 19:14into this market
- 19:15versus the people who
- 19:16were in the previous time window
- 19:18are different people
- 19:19and these people aren't
- 19:21necessarily going to pay off those people's debt
- 19:23If that guy went into a loss
- 19:25the one who's come in here
- 19:26and is working in this new time window
- 19:28doesn't care anymore
- 19:29what that position was
- 19:30a whole new scenario can
- 19:32begin within this same window
- 19:34That's why the market owes us nothing
- 19:36that's why the new time window
- 19:38doesn't settle the previous time window's debt
- 19:40that's why, even in day trading,
- 19:42in its big picture
- 19:44we close our trade at the end of the day
- 19:46See, guys, how much the reasons
- 19:48stick together
- 19:49everything is tightly connected
- 19:52and the information isn't scattered
- 19:54Education should be like
- 19:55this — it should be an extremely solid structure
- 19:58where every single word confirms the word before it
- 20:01To make sure you've understood this
- 20:04I'll emphasize it — keep in mind,
- 20:05as an example,
- 20:06the 16:30 to 18:00 range, broker time
- 20:09meaning that same 9:30
- 20:11New York to 11 a.m.
- 20:13New York — can be a time window for us, say. And this 16:30 itself —
- 20:15but this 16:30
- 20:17itself
- 20:18is a time point — a TP,
- 20:20it's a time point. 16:30 is a time point
- 20:22and as an example
- 20:2310 o'clock sharp is also a time point
- 20:25which can have its own narrative
- 20:28which is separate from
- 20:28the material it carried over
- 20:30from the time window behind it
- 20:32meaning a new scenario and a new narrative
- 20:35that started at 10 o'clock
- 20:37and
- 20:38plenty more that we're going to learn here —
- 20:40the in-between time
- 20:40points, together
- 20:41Now, with four rules I can
- 20:43find the market's important hours
- 20:44Now, this has been my own thing
- 20:46and it formed for me from the narratives
- 20:48I've had in my work
- 20:49The first was backtesting
- 20:51meaning, based on past years —
- 20:52the folks who work with me
- 20:54know this — I print them out
- 20:55and go study
- 20:56these charts
- 20:56like a book written for me
- 20:59these candles are like words to me
- 21:01it's like I'm reading a novel
- 21:02when I'm studying them
- 21:04and I'm reading a novel
- 21:05that over the past year
- 21:06I've actually lived
- 21:07because I was trading
- 21:08with that same chart
- 21:08throughout the past year
- 21:09and that makes
- 21:10my mind, day after day,
- 21:12develop more of a mechanical intuition
- 21:15so it can separate the right opportunities
- 21:18from the wrong ones
- 21:20and trade them properly
- 21:22And the second method I can use
- 21:24is to go and see
- 21:25during the day —
- 21:27this is a really
- 21:28nice point, guys, pay attention —
- 21:29in what time range price came and
- 21:32made its high —
- 21:32sorry, its low
- 21:33and its high
- 21:35well, that time range
- 21:37takes on the role of
- 21:38a time window for me
- 21:40The third method is for me to go
- 21:41see where the market started the trend
- 21:45that acts as a time point for me
- 21:47in my backtest
- 21:48And the fourth method is to
- 21:50forget where the high and low were
- 21:52and go see where the most volatility happened
- 21:56and identify that as a time point
- 21:58or a time window
- 22:00Let me tidy this up a bit
- 22:01So first, I can go backtest
- 22:04and arrive at a set of hours
- 22:05or look at where the day's high and low formed
- 22:08and identify a set of hours there
- 22:10for the specific symbol I'm
- 22:12trading on
- 22:13or look at, in this symbol,
- 22:14at what hours,
- 22:16at what time
- 22:17points the main price move starts
- 22:20not just price's oscillating moves —
- 22:22where does the main price move start from
- 22:25those two are different from
- 22:26each other. Our fourth way is for me to see
- 22:28where the most volatility has been
- 22:30and that becomes
- 22:31my time window and my time point
- 22:33Then comes the question of which
- 22:34time window I want to work on as first priority
- 22:37or which time point I want to work on
- 22:38Now, in my experience
- 22:39on gold
- 22:40we have a set of time windows
- 22:42and these are the most global ones I'm teaching you right now
- 22:45I can go even more detailed than this
- 22:47I mean we have more, and we're going to work on them together
- 22:50there are techniques where,
- 22:51for example, within
- 22:5316:30 to 18:00 itself,
- 22:5517:00 has its own set of trading techniques
- 22:58or, say, 10:00 to 13:00, which is here,
- 23:01itself has 11:00 inside it, for instance
- 23:02These times are GMT+3, guys — watch out, not
- 23:06Iran time, because we've got daylight saving and all that
- 23:09I honestly don't know exactly what's
- 23:10what with Iran's hours, to tell you the truth
- 23:12these times are the standard time of European brokers
- 23:15meaning if you open the chart right now
- 23:16these times are exactly those times, I mean
- 23:18Now if you want to double-check, use Istanbul time
- 23:21Istanbul is roughly the same as the broker chart time
- 23:23actually not roughly — it's 100% the same
- 23:24because with the daylight-saving shifts and such
- 23:27they shift this too
- 23:28but since we drift back and forth
- 23:30it can usually shift by half an hour or an hour, which
- 23:32I can't factor in right now
- 23:34because I want to do something standard here
- 23:35Now for the Dow
- 23:36in my experience, it's not like this
- 23:38we have three important time windows
- 23:4016:30 to 18:00
- 23:42is the start, 18:00 to 21:00 is the middle
- 23:4421:00 to 23:00 is the end
- 23:45and again, within these
- 23:47we have an important 17:00 time window
- 23:50we have 18:30
- 23:52and plenty more that I'd have to show you on the chart
- 23:54I can't unpack them here
- 23:56And on EUR/USD
- 23:58you're better off working these same windows above
- 24:01but keep most of your focus on
- 24:03treating 10 a.m. onward
- 24:05as your time window
- 24:07Now, when I have the alignment of time and level
- 24:11that's when I can come and say
- 24:13this time window matters to me
- 24:16and reaching that price level that mattered to me
- 24:20matters right there
- 24:22and having this level, plus, say, the SP2L that I have here
- 24:26that's how it becomes significant for me
- 24:29and here I understand this is the time point
- 24:32I don't fall into its trap anymore
- 24:34it's the time point that's going to build the key level inside the time window
- 24:38and this is where I can filter things —
- 24:41push the efficiency of my winning trades
- 24:43higher and bring the average of my losing trades lower
- 24:46when I can work cleanly inside one time window
- 24:49That's the miracle that can be added to those setups
- 24:52of yours, your
- 24:53levels, your
- 24:54SP2L and PBTB
- 24:55and you will definitely see the performance boost in your accounts
- 24:58Alright guys, let's go to the chart together
- 24:59and work through what we talked about on the chart
- 25:02because I think teaching on the chart is the best way
- 25:05everyone knows the material is really broad, but the best way is for me to work it out on the chart for you
- 25:10Okay, look — what were we saying? After the market closed in the New York session
- 25:16meaning right here
- 25:17around 22:58 — this here becomes 22:59
- 25:20this drop it made
- 25:21here was after the New York close
- 25:23and it made this strange drop —
- 25:25how far did it reach? To this low
- 25:26Did it take out this low? No
- 25:27So I expect
- 25:29this to be a zone, a range, for me
- 25:31I mean, from here it turned back really nicely like this
- 25:34and from the top as well —
- 25:36I can take it from further back
- 25:38because I have a better zone there;
- 25:40this is the range
- 25:41Now, again, inside of this
- 25:42since we want to take a trade
- 25:44I'm forced to get into the middle of this story
- 25:47Now if I zoom out, look
- 25:48where we are
- 25:49we're here right now, and we're
- 25:50currently in a really weird range
- 25:53that maybe a lot of people wouldn't trade
- 25:54but because of the knowledge we have
- 25:57we know that these hours here
- 25:58have always made really nice moves
- 26:00so we dive into it and
- 26:01we're going to do the work together
- 26:03And of course, confirming exactly what I've been
- 26:06saying so far — let's see what happened from up top
- 26:09the market opened with a positive candle
- 26:11reached exactly back-to-breakeven
- 26:13This candle here
- 26:14Look, this zone here
- 26:16is breakeven — I mean, you see this wick here
- 26:18it came into
- 26:19the middle of this
- 26:20orders got filled
- 26:21Now if you don't want to enter with a limit order
- 26:22which in my opinion, for spots like this
- 26:24a limit order is pure poison
- 26:25what do
- 26:26we do? You see the SP2L giving an entry
- 26:27it's dropping
- 26:29so we caught one good SP2L
- 26:31with a nice R1
- 26:33right here
- 26:34and from right here
- 26:35we had a reversal
- 26:37move
- 26:38Now what did this do again?
- 26:39The market's interwoven structure
- 26:42What did the market's interwoven structure tell us?
- 26:44It said that
- 26:45now that this has reached this hour
- 26:47didn't this very spot give you an SP2L?
- 26:49Yes it did, there it is
- 26:50And this very spot
- 26:52didn't it give a target one?
- 26:53Yes it did; the target that lands here, roughly
- 26:55actually they'd hit exactly two target ones there
- 26:58and price reversed from here
- 26:59Now it's come back to that same zone
- 27:01it had a reaction, look
- 27:02there it is
- 27:03to the SP2L zone
- 27:04and started dropping again
- 27:06At this point I'm getting close to a buyers' edge
- 27:10but on the other hand my mind shouldn't drop anchor thinking
- 27:13"since I'm approaching a buyers' edge now
- 27:16the odds of a reversal are high"
- 27:18It's now 2 o'clock Istanbul time, which roughly — actually exactly — matches
- 27:21the chart;
- 27:23look,
- 27:23two
- 27:24So for the next hour I can
- 27:27say it'll probably be around here
- 27:30We don't know which way we'll
- 27:32head — it might drop down
- 27:33Now however far it drops, I can move with it
- 27:35but
- 27:36these anchors cause trouble
- 27:38I've now seen the sellers' view
- 27:40now I'll go look at the buyers' view
- 27:42what they're thinking about
- 27:43They had an SP2L from here
- 27:45took a target one from it here
- 27:46Again, if I take the SP2L from the top
- 27:48or no, take it from the bottom
- 27:49up to here
- 27:50look at their R1 again; so clean
- 27:53It's insane. SP2L is not the major move
- 27:55please, for God's sake don't
- 27:57confuse it with the major move;
- 27:59THIS is the major move,
- 28:00this becomes one
- 28:01leg — the major move's target
- 28:03is here. The major move is not SP2L
- 28:06Don't mix these up with
- 28:08each other; this is something I
- 28:10personally use
- 28:12I haven't seen an SP2L anywhere else at all
- 28:13nothing like it even exists, or anything similar
- 28:15it came about in a way that
- 28:17I got it through lots of backtesting
- 28:19and I get this target this
- 28:22way — I mean the major move
- 28:23My major move — Poursamadi's — is this
- 28:25Master Al
- 28:27Brooks' major move is that;
- 28:28and you should use that on the Dow market
- 28:30in the 16:30 to
- 28:3323:00 window mostly
- 28:35and preferably use it more
- 28:37for swings
- 28:38But when I say SP2L
- 28:39I mean a situation that allows me
- 28:42within a few minutes, with this
- 28:44candle, at the exact point
- 28:46to take a target at the exact point
- 28:48Well, we don't have this in the courses;
- 28:50go look — there's no such thing in these courses
- 28:52no course has it
- 28:53where they take targets this way
- 28:55where the story is this obvious and this clear
- 28:57Guys, look; anything that hasn't come out of YOUR backtest
- 29:00practically isn't yours;
- 29:01it's a loan I've handed you
- 29:03Look, for example Master Al Brooks, like
- 29:05I said, has his own major move
- 29:07Me, I basically find my major moves with SP2L
- 29:10and I have lots of major moves;
- 29:12because SP2L gives me really good triggers
- 29:14But since I gave this to you,
- 29:17whether you learned the major move
- 29:18or anything else
- 29:20practically, until you backtest it, it's not yours
- 29:22You can say "this SP2L is mine
- 29:24and I can work with it"
- 29:26only when you've backtested it enough to trust it
- 29:28Just watching the training — you've only watched;
- 29:31that's it, you watched.
- 29:32But trust comes from backtesting
- 29:34You have to go see what I said,
- 29:36work on it so much that you come to trust it
- 29:39Then once you trust it,
- 29:41that tool is truly yours
- 29:43Now what do I have further
- 29:44back? Further back I've got this bullish leg
- 29:46meaning it made a bullish leg
- 29:48So it allows me — if buyers want to get in
- 29:51if they lose this spot
- 29:53they'd have this spot for a swing
- 29:55meaning a scalpy swing to the upside
- 29:57to carry along with them
- 29:58Now what do we do?
- 29:59Since I don't see any weird volatility here
- 30:02I see a micro channel giving me a target
- 30:04meaning it's heading
- 30:05to the downside
- 30:06I'll zoom in more on the chart
- 30:08We see — if I'd taken its micro channel trade
- 30:10I mean, just as I was about to say it
- 30:13this
- 30:13would be its micro channel
- 30:15Just as I went to
- 30:16say it, one instantly hit reward 3 and 4 and 5 and 6. No
- 30:18problem;
- 30:19we're not greedy here at all
- 30:20I wanted to take it
- 30:21but the explanation ran long, so I didn't
- 30:23Now we've entered this zone
- 30:26This zone can, for me
- 30:27if I see a reversal signal on it
- 30:30since I'm inside this range zone
- 30:31give me a target;
- 30:34I'll wait
- 30:35for these 30 seconds to close
- 30:36and settle it
- 30:37I'll cut the video
- 30:39and post it edited
- 30:40so your time isn't wasted
- 30:42Let's see what happens with this candle.
- 30:44Okay
- 30:45guys look, the candle just closed
- 30:47and we have a gap here
- 30:49First let me clean up the chart
- 30:51Look, this low
- 30:52just gave a pause reaction
- 30:54If I want to read that pause reaction
- 30:56I can say, hey
- 30:57this is late in the trend
- 30:59I mean, what did this zone do?
- 31:00It created a buy opportunity for us
- 31:03Let me draw it a bit wider
- 31:05It created a buy opportunity
- 31:07I can trade it one-two-three style
- 31:09from here;
- 31:10I'll wait
- 31:12and enter on the second signal
- 31:14But that was the first signal, guys
- 31:15You see here, it made a high
- 31:17that was the first signal
- 31:18If it comes and breaks the next high
- 31:21that becomes my second signal
- 31:23and on that second signal I can take
- 31:24the buy. I can add a scale-in too
- 31:26If no other entry shows up for the trade,
- 31:28I'll add this scale-in
- 31:29The scale-in is here
- 31:31If this comes a bit higher I can take
- 31:34the buy; it didn't go
- 31:35higher — even better that it didn't; we haven't taken it yet
- 31:37What did we say? What happened?
- 31:38First signal
- 31:40I've said it in all my videos — both
- 31:42in the probability one
- 31:43and especially in
- 31:44Micro Map. In Micro Map,
- 31:47Micro Map
- 31:48is insane — Micro Map is really insane
- 31:50I mean
- 31:50it might even be
- 31:52one of the cleanest
- 31:54setups
- 31:55for entries;
- 31:56I wasn't exaggerating
- 31:57but it needs experience
- 31:59Meaning you first need to have traded SP2L
- 32:02before you come trade
- 32:03this
- 32:04For example, what does having traded SP2L look like?
- 32:06Look
- 32:06isn't this drop an SP2L right now?
- 32:08Well
- 32:09if someone takes this as an SP2L
- 32:11the target of that SP2L
- 32:12lands around here
- 32:14So it'll probably want to play around here;
- 32:16that's why
- 32:17it's preferably better
- 32:18to wait for its next signal
- 32:19because it might tag this area
- 32:21and with its reversal signal we can
- 32:23grab a nice profit
- 32:24We hit "add pending
- 32:26line"
- 32:26there, it's placed; the pending
- 32:27line too
- 32:28This becomes my entry zone
- 32:30Now I'll try to move with it
- 32:33Once this closed,
- 32:34I'd come up here
- 32:35and place its order
- 32:37Okay, should I set a pending order? Or not right now?
- 32:39Right, it won't set a pending order because I was too close to price
- 32:41I have to enter manually
- 32:42since I'm entering very close to price here
- 32:44Okay, it went higher — I take the buy
- 32:46My stop is
- 32:48in a slightly bad spot
- 32:49I have to account for the spread
- 32:51If this stop gets hit, I'll enter the second entry position
- 32:54Now what do I do?
- 32:55I drag this up
- 32:56I don't care about the TP
- 32:58at all. The TP —
- 32:59now's not the time to talk about it
- 33:01for now we're working on trade entries together
- 33:03exiting a trade is its own separate matter
- 33:05Now if I were trading gold instead,
- 33:07the spread isn't like this at this hour
- 33:09If we get the chance we'll go work on gold too
- 33:11we'll trade it together
- 33:12Oh right, this is that same thing
- 33:13the $534 from the previous video, where
- 33:16I think we made $2,500 in profit
- 33:18in the Micro Map video, and gave all of it to charity
- 33:20If good profit comes out of this again
- 33:22and that blessing comes through
- 33:23we'll give that to charity again too
- 33:25and I don't keep a single penny of the profits I make in these videos for myself
- 33:28And the target; look, the target works like this
- 33:31so that if we want to be precise
- 33:33practically the reward was this, right — I mean the Micro Map one becomes
- 33:36this becomes the video's reward two-to-three
- 33:38here. But since the spread on this symbol at this hour is showing around 300
- 33:44we're forced to account for that spread
- 33:45meaning practically our target becomes
- 33:47reward plus spread
- 33:49I drop this and place it on the entry point;
- 33:51this becomes it
- 33:52Now on the flip side I can let my profit grow a bit
- 33:56to make up for my stop on this side
- 33:58The SP2L target lands exactly on my stop, and
- 34:01there's a real chance it hits my stop
- 34:04to complete the SP2L target
- 34:06But there's also a chance it doesn't
- 34:09because this might be trend exhaustion
- 34:11and this might be an exhaustion gap
- 34:13So at every
- 34:15moment I'm trading on an edge
- 34:17of probabilities, playing with my trades
- 34:20The most important part is that I'm working relaxed, taking it easy;
- 34:23that's the most important parameter of trading
- 34:25when you want to take a trade
- 34:27Look, if I'm all worked up like
- 34:29"oh, what's happening right now
- 34:31what happened to my profit, what didn't"
- 34:34this profit really shouldn't be that
- 34:36important. How much is it?
- 34:37It's one percent of a $5,000 account;
- 34:39that's fifty dollars
- 34:40Whenever you feel nothing about that trade of yours,
- 34:44it means you're at least thinking with logic
- 34:47Well, it hit their target; meaning
- 34:49I'm about to take the next entry point too
- 34:53Guys, there's a true saying that I think,
- 34:55because of the chaotic social-media world,
- 34:57is getting pushed to the sidelines
- 34:59and looked at as just a slogan
- 35:02It's this: you shouldn't have feelings about your profit and loss
- 35:04Guys, this saying is absolutely true
- 35:06When you're trading,
- 35:08see who the calmest person in the room is
- 35:10If it's you, you're doing things logically
- 35:13But if you're getting worked up
- 35:15with every up and down of your P&L
- 35:17not that you should be numb, guys
- 35:20the feelings exist
- 35:21joy exists, fear
- 35:22exists. But when panic is creeping up on you
- 35:25when greed is creeping up on you
- 35:26know that you're practically trading with your dinner money
- 35:30not with money you want to
- 35:31build a proper track record with
- 35:33Because this becomes the first signal,
- 35:34the second signal,
- 35:35and the next one becomes the third signal
- 35:37which I'll mark right now
- 35:38I'll wait for it to give me
- 35:40permission to enter; meanwhile it's completing this one's target
- 35:43Look
- 35:43this is the SP2L
- 35:45you see its target; exactly
- 35:47it's touching the target right here;
- 35:48I took it because
- 35:49I'm supposed to take it
- 35:51I could've skipped it, waited for it to hit the target
- 35:54and then taken it; that's fine
- 35:56that's one choice,
- 35:57this is the second choice
- 35:59and either one can
- 36:01be counted in my journal's
- 36:03net results;
- 36:04"I did this, this happened,
- 36:05I did that, that happened"
- 36:07So there's no wrong move
- 36:09and no right move either
- 36:11as long as we act within context;
- 36:12I'm not saying
- 36:13do whatever you feel like
- 36:14and it'll be right or wrong,
- 36:15no — if you do it within context
- 36:18knowing what you're doing
- 36:19knowing this might be an exhaustion gap
- 36:21and I might want to enter on its second signal
- 36:23I might want to enter on its third signal
- 36:25Above this becomes my second signal
- 36:27But right now we can say this one's in
- 36:30It's putting in this level
- 36:30it's putting in a higher level
- 36:32I should move it — once I sort it out, move it onto
- 36:35the lower level
- 36:37and figure out the TP
- 36:39too. The next signal
- 36:41becomes up here
- 36:42then up here
- 36:43then up here
- 36:44This position is shaping up really clean
- 36:46I'll try to
- 36:48have this one ready too
- 36:50For now
- 36:51I can do one more
- 36:52entry on it
- 36:54In fact the third signal was issued
- 36:58too — it matched this spot
- 37:00The Dow wasn't a good example for this just now
- 37:03otherwise I'd have taken it. Let me —
- 37:05let's go to gold
- 37:07and I'll give you an example at this hour
- 37:09on gold's one-minute timeframe
- 37:10We had a weird drop yesterday — really good
- 37:12well, not weird,
- 37:13I mean good
- 37:14all SP2L, SP2L along the way,
- 37:16nice profits
- 37:18We come into today
- 37:20up to where we are right now
- 37:22and what are we seeing?
- 37:24A range formed from this
- 37:28pattern;
- 37:30an SP2L
- 37:32broke this pattern;
- 37:34these are now running at reward two
- 37:36The next SP2L
- 37:38formed here
- 37:40What reward are those at?
- 37:42Those are at reward
- 37:44three, and right now it's also giving a continuation SP2L
- 37:46So what do I do?
- 37:48My last SP2L ends up here
- 37:50where they've also entered on the SP2L
- 37:54Unfortunately those are at reward
- 37:56one. Why do I say unfortunately? Because they're hitting their targets
- 37:58I got to this one a bit late
- 38:00we were busy with the Dow
- 38:02we missed this
- 38:04This side is moving more sweetly than that side
- 38:06that side's pretty sluggish for now
- 38:08it doesn't move in a straight line during these hours
- 38:10we shouldn't expect any crazy moves either
- 38:12from the Dow during these hours
- 38:14so do I go hunting? I come in with this same SP2L
- 38:16and lay out my outlook
- 38:18what's my outlook?
- 38:20the one where I had several good consecutive SP2Ls
- 38:22the main entry point was here
- 38:24and these are in profit right now
- 38:26if these lock in their profits
- 38:28it might correct upward a bit
- 38:30because I have a good SP2L here
- 38:32which has paid out its R1 once
- 38:34once — twice, it's paid out its R1
- 38:36and it's making its way toward these zones
- 38:38I mean toward these zones
- 38:40at least its first target,
- 38:44I mean its first point is that
- 38:46let's go see what's
- 38:48happening over there — it's still just churning around
- 38:50that one's really sloppy for now
- 38:52we'll stick to about a target 1, target 2
- 38:54here it's way too sloppy for me
- 38:56I mean even for teaching it doesn't
- 38:58come out that appealing or logical; better
- 39:00to watch it over here where
- 39:02the sweet stuff is
- 39:04guys, I can place an order here
- 39:06and with this
- 39:08try to
- 39:10put in a sell
- 39:12because it came and gave this a nice BTB
- 39:14up to this target
- 39:16and I'll take it off on this side too
- 39:18before it goes, let me watch the price action
- 39:20and see what it's doing
- 39:22and add my scale-in too
- 39:24gold's moves are just sweeter overall
- 39:26during these hours until
- 39:28the market open
- 39:30New York — gold is just sweeter in its moves overall
- 39:32if you want to grab back-to-back swings off it like this
- 39:34across the full 24 hours of the day
- 39:36it gives you good targets
- 39:38and just now, within
- 39:40one minute, we hit our next target;
- 39:42that one is
- 39:44playing in its own zone
- 39:46but it covered that one's loss too
- 39:48this one went into profit as well — a hundred
- 39:50dollars; that's the 1-2-3 down
- 39:52you can see it here;
- 39:54three pushes down;
- 39:56one, two, three
- 39:58and it formed it from here
- 40:00and if it hits this, I'm done with it;
- 40:02I mean I'm literally giving it the silent treatment for now
- 40:04because I don't understand it
- 40:06if it won't at least give me target 1
- 40:08let it at least give target 1 so I know you pulled back to back-to-breakeven and hit my stop
- 40:12so I can see some logic behind it
- 40:14if I don't see the logic
- 40:16behind it, that means
- 40:18not that it has no logic
- 40:20it's that I don't currently get what its logic is
- 40:22if I don't see that logic
- 40:24okay look, now if this drops
- 40:26I'll go close that one
- 40:28why close it? because right now there's a
- 40:30war situation and war news keeps coming out
- 40:32gold has become sensitive to the war right now
- 40:34and it dumps on negative war news
- 40:36let's see how it plays out then
- 40:38I'm seeing some nice shadows over there;
- 40:40one pokes up
- 40:42the other pokes down
- 40:44I mean gold pokes down, this pokes up
- 40:46the best exit opportunity is this, at reward 1
- 40:48and making this trade risk-free
- 40:50half of it, and the drop continuing with
- 40:52gold hitting target 1
- 40:56at least this one's getting to breakeven
- 40:58it's giving bearish reactions
- 41:00there's a chance of a reversal from here now
- 41:02so I'd rather stay on the previous
- 41:04sell signal
- 41:06what do I do? I close half
- 41:08of this — why? because I'm seeing a BTB right here, actually
- 41:10let's look at the whole picture
- 41:12let's go to gold; gold is moving really
- 41:14attractively overall
- 41:16I can grab you more moves in a tighter window of time
- 41:18we took one loss, two
- 41:20wins
- 41:22and we'll check
- 41:24this spot together
- 41:26it went and hit its R1; this one's riding along with it
- 41:28we could even go add volume on its Micro Map right now
- 41:32meaning I could fire another 2% sell right here
- 41:35and since, as you can see, it came in
- 41:37hit an SP2L, gave target 1
- 41:39and right behind it I'm seeing a bearish trend
- 41:42I saw a shadow, then another shadow
- 41:45and we have exactly that Micro Map signal, plus a first entry signal
- 41:49the second signal...
- 41:51the first signal is below this candle
- 41:53the second signal is below the next candle
- 41:55that's where I made the next entry
- 41:57this is how you can ride it sweetly
- 41:59this one's risk-free now too; let it play out its run on its own
- 42:01we're done with it; risk-free
- 42:03we set this on it and leave it alone
- 42:05okay guys, we're getting close to 2:30
- 42:072:30 on the dot is when some pressure is due to hit the market
- 42:11if that pressure turns out bearish now
- 42:13I can choose
- 42:15whether to close at this edge now — the trades are in profit, it's optional;
- 42:19or no, not close it
- 42:21let it ride, and if the bearish pressure is on my side
- 42:23take a nicer profit with it; and what does that mean?
- 42:25it means time edges have been added to the price edges
- 42:31and that's how I see the chart in my head — like a flow of squares, square after square. You don't need to clutter your chart; I'm not saying draw the flow on the chart all the time
- 42:37but it exists in my head
- 42:41I know that in literally one more minute — these next 52 seconds — some pressure might come into it
- 42:47now that pressure could be bullish and hit both of them, cause losses — I mean stop out both
- 42:51and honestly the logical play is, if we want to make a move, you can close half of it here
- 42:57so that if the pressure is bullish you don't get
- 42:59hurt; I mean set a risk-free so if it drops we don't get hurt
- 43:03okay, we've reached its R2; look, this is me working clean;
- 43:07I close this because in the next five seconds it might come hit my
- 43:18stop — sure, it might go down beautifully, but I try to bank my
- 43:21profit, because it gives me confidence — this profit; when that number keeps ticking up slowly, it gives me confidence
- 43:26why torture myself over a loss it might hand me
- 43:30there's still a bit of road left to that lower target we had here
- 43:33now watch what you can do here; what a beautiful thing you can do
- 43:36at reward 3, you can close half your trade; watch:
- 43:39half-close. What just happened? With one of those three rewards, that trade is now insured
- 43:44look, let me pull up the statement too — look
- 43:48here I took $162 in profit
- 43:51a third — now look at my downside; look at this — if I take
- 43:55the loss, it's $48, meaning I banked three times that in profit
- 43:59forty-eight of loss; if it loses, my loss is one-third of my last profit
- 44:04that's the advantage of the half-close, without making the trade risk-free
- 44:08because that risk-free might sit at this one's back-to-breakeven
- 44:10it might come back to the SP2L's own back-to-breakeven
- 44:14this is where I can relax — I stay in with half, having taken good profit from it
- 44:19and I move with the chart very logically
- 44:22I don't act on emotion
- 44:24because this isn't going down forever, and it isn't going up forever
- 44:27and these swings keep touching different profits and losses
- 44:31each time — guys look, it's reached that zone; I'm full-closing this
- 44:34it's giving me a reversal,
- 44:36look, it reached that zone — I hit the full close
- 44:39I start looking for buys off this zone,
- 44:41because it's giving me a good opportunity
- 44:44I mean I wait for a buy;
- 44:47we've now entered that 2:30-to-3:00 half hour
- 44:51where we want to see which way the trend goes
- 44:54its first signal has just barely come in here
- 44:56I'll wait for the second signal
- 44:58so I can enter better
- 45:00this itself is an SP2L
- 45:02an SP2L that entered late
- 45:04came late to the party
- 45:05I've also got an SP2L sitting in the way here
- 45:07but these spots are a zone for me
- 45:10where I could think of it as a rising wedge
- 45:13or maybe I'd be wrong and
- 45:15think falling
- 45:16wedge — so I move with it to the downside
- 45:20I try to corner the price somewhere
- 45:22for this half hour
- 45:24not for the whole day
- 45:26there's no need for that here
- 45:28imagine that here, in my head, I closed at reward 3
- 45:30everyone for themselves
- 45:32we also gave up two rewards
- 45:34two rewards... you've seen plenty of people on social media saying
- 45:36I made 2R, 3R, 4R — guys, we made so much profit
- 45:38signal channels and whatnot; throw
- 45:40that talk
- 45:41in the trash — we just took reward 5 here
- 45:43we took that reward 1
- 45:44actually, whatever happened to that other one?
- 45:45look — from our close, it bounced right back to the point
- 45:48why? because this itself is a back-to-breakeven
- 45:50it carries the chance of a reversal on its own
- 45:53so my exit point here was a clean exit point too
- 45:56now I wait for a reversal here
- 45:58I wait for buyers
- 45:59so these sellers I've got here fall into the trap
- 46:01and in this half hour we kind of corner them
- 46:04the only key is to do the work calmly
- 46:06don't act on
- 46:09emotion; nothing emotional — the second signal; that's formed now too,
- 46:11I mean the second signal would be
- 46:12if we take this as the first signal...
- 46:13it's really hard for me to take this spot as the first signal
- 46:16because it dumped instantly;
- 46:17I could take this as the first signal
- 46:18take this very spot as the first signal
- 46:20but since the three pushes down haven't come, in my view,
- 46:23look, let me zoom the chart in a bit
- 46:26so you get what I mean — look,
- 46:28one push down, two pushes down;
- 46:30if it gives three pushes down, that's a good signal there;
- 46:33or here, if it stops pushing down and comes
- 46:36up, or this candle closes
- 46:38that's a good entry point in itself
- 46:40that setup I pretty much want is taking shape
- 46:44I'll fire my buy
- 46:46this is how I execute the setup
- 46:48properly; then if it triggers, whether I take it
- 46:50here makes no difference
- 46:52I'll bring this one in and place it too; this one here
- 46:54is just sitting there for nothing
- 46:56I'll cancel this one
- 46:58did you see that? What a shame that
- 47:00this trade failed the 2x
- 47:02with a 2x you'd have taken reward 7
- 47:04within these few seconds; but
- 47:06that becomes kind of
- 47:08arbitrage-like, which you can't really do
- 47:10this shadow made it a bit dangerous for a drop
- 47:12that shadow,
- 47:14it's a bad shadow for a drop;
- 47:16if it doesn't
- 47:18fade, I'll get
- 47:20stopped out
- 47:22stopped out; because the candle... it was a beautiful candle
- 47:24but I'm still on my buy signal
- 47:26and it's not like I've changed my outlook
- 47:28if anything I'm even more firmly on my buy outlook
- 47:32because this zone is still a beautiful zone
- 47:34this zone still has an SP2L behind it
- 47:36this is a buy zone
- 47:38and me, in this zone, at this hour
- 47:40I don't expect a drop in this zone
- 47:42I don't expect it at all
- 47:44unless some other event comes along and does something here
- 47:46until then, my expectation is still bullish
- 47:48so what do I do? I wait for this candle
- 47:50to close. Okay, done
- 47:52I make this 2%
- 47:54and fire my buy
- 47:56with it; my stop
- 47:58behind it, and my TP for now... I
- 48:00remove the TP for now — the TP, for now,
- 48:02I remove. The 3 o'clock volatility is
- 48:04gradually entering the market
- 48:06since there's a bit of pressure too
- 48:08pressure-wise now
- 48:10the market's excitement is gradually
- 48:12picking up in terms of volatility
- 48:14and this is our situation so far
- 48:16we had one stop-out here
- 48:18then we did this one;
- 48:20the situation
- 48:22is okay. And
- 48:24by the way, the Dow was about to get stopped out too
- 48:26if we hadn't closed it here, its stop-loss would have been hit
- 48:28and those two profits we took
- 48:30would have withered away
- 48:32we're at its reward... its R1
- 48:34its second target... I'll half-close
- 48:36at its second target
- 48:38if it gives it to me
- 48:40This mindset —
- 48:42don't forget it
- 48:44there was a spot here,
- 48:46a 1-2-3 down
- 48:48which, because of a certain point, I entered a bit higher up, here
- 48:50that's exactly why I didn't close it at its reward 1
- 48:52because I wanted its R2
- 48:54roughly — and its stop
- 48:56got hit, because we'd entered the 1-2-3 down
- 48:58a bit high; no harm done
- 49:00guys; that's one stop-out, and I log it in the journal too
- 49:02I entered on the second signal
- 49:04meaning I entered on just push two
- 49:06this lets me know whether, ultimately, entering on push two
- 49:10is good, or staying out is better, at this time
- 49:12this becomes the journal that... look, later you can't tell from here
- 49:16this stop got hit here
- 49:18you can't tell from here that this was a mistake
- 49:20and conclude "so I shouldn't enter on push two";
- 49:22no — you need to have entered, say, sixty times
- 49:24on push two
- 49:26to understand how those stop-outs really went
- 49:28like, "I shouldn't have entered"
- 49:30but once you've taken sixty push entries and see you're catching a good signal, then —
- 49:32put the emotion aside, do your job
- 49:34write your journal,
- 49:36watch what you're doing with
- 49:38your workflow
- 49:40sorry — this one's taken its reward 2, say, and I wasn't even paying attention
- 49:42it's 2:35 in the morning
- 49:44say I wasn't paying attention — sorry, really, this one
- 49:48it took its reward
- 49:502 — it took its reward
- 49:522, and I've earned it; I'm not
- 49:54touching it at all
- 49:56really, it is what it is — I wasn't even paying attention to fix
- 49:58this reward; my penalty
- 50:00is exactly that I didn't take that half-close
- 50:02because this one is also giving this one's BTB;
- 50:04look how clean,
- 50:06how clean
- 50:08that one's R2 landed right on this one's BTB;
- 50:10what can I say
- 50:12I'm mesmerized; lost in this beauty
- 50:14when your job is content creation, this is how it goes
- 50:16when you're creating content
- 50:18half your attention is on whether the audience understood
- 50:22what just happened; when you're doing the work yourself
- 50:24you don't have these issues;
- 50:26I mean not all of them — you're focused, doing your work carefully
- 50:30there's no need to be
- 50:32this hard on yourself
- 50:34but hey, no big deal — this is your account
- 50:36even if this $5,000 goes, so be it — it's for all of you
- 50:38but a person, in any state — you see
- 50:40even me, after...
- 50:42fifteen and a half years
- 50:44into my trading,
- 50:46yet suddenly
- 50:48you yell: come on,
- 50:50don't do that — right,
- 50:52pull it down, take reward
- 50:542 already — what are you doing,
- 50:56you of all people? Don't
- 50:58these "you, of all people, don't do that!" moments are always in your life
- 51:00the further you go, you see that
- 51:02this "you, of all people"... these "you, of all people,
- 51:04don't do that!"s actually get more frequent
- 51:06after sixteen years of doing this work
- 51:08I'm telling myself: don't — you, of all people, don't do that;
- 51:10"why would you, of all people?"
- 51:12until it goes quiet
- 51:13that's exactly the boundary where
- 51:14you see you've kept your
- 51:16cool
- 51:18but you might still make a mistake; that's fine
- 51:19because humans are fallible
- 51:21but a professional
- 51:22trader is a disciplined fallible human
- 51:26who, through that discipline and writing down their mistakes
- 51:29squeezes that mistake into a tighter corner every time
- 51:32we've now reached our R2 zone
- 51:34and here we can take the half-close we hadn't taken — take it right here
- 51:38if this thing behaves and goes that far
- 51:40it went; which means seven minutes left until the 3 o'clock time window
- 51:43I'm obligated to take my actions faster within these seven minutes
- 51:47well, there's its R2 too — one more minute and it went
- 51:49I'll just accept my penalty on that one
- 51:51Okay, I half-close again
- 51:53another seventy-six dollars
- 51:55banked
- 51:57now if it comes and this stop gets hit, look
- 52:01I lose fifty
- 52:03but I've banked a hundred;
- 52:05and this way I didn't even risk-free it by putting my stop
- 52:09here; it could come tag this and reverse;
- 52:11that's the beautiful play.
- 52:13at reward
- 52:153 I half-close again
- 52:17okay, I half-close again
- 52:19another seventy-six banked
- 52:21now if I get stopped out
- 52:23I lose twenty-four — look
- 52:25when you half-close at reward 3
- 52:27you've actually banked three times the stop that's currently in place
- 52:31as profit; look
- 52:33seventy-six versus twenty-four
- 52:35a hundred at reward 2,
- 52:37one stop comes to fifty
- 52:39— get the formula laid out in your head
- 52:41guys, this point was seriously priceless and important
- 52:43closing half the trade
- 52:45at the TP2 level, or
- 52:47TP3, is effectively an insurance policy you're
- 52:49issuing for yourself; so that you can potentially
- 52:51earn two-to-three times this insurance premium
- 52:53that you're paying
- 52:55in extra profit
- 52:57now how much is your premium? when you close at TP
- 52:592, your premium is half of that TP
- 53:012; when you close at TP3,
- 53:03it's one-third of that TP3
- 53:05and there's no better formula than this in money management
- 53:07One disastrous thing I see happening
- 53:09is that some folks take their
- 53:11stop loss
- 53:13and move it to their TP1 and TP2
- 53:15once the trade goes into profit
- 53:17which means you... I give my analysis
- 53:19zero credit
- 53:21Because folks, even moving a trade
- 53:23to breakeven is flawed in many ways
- 53:25because your entry point might be
- 53:27the back-to-breakeven of that strategy
- 53:29of that analysis
- 53:31And when you take
- 53:33your stop loss
- 53:35and put it on TP2,
- 53:37what are you actually doing? You're basically saying, look,
- 53:39I don't value my trade at all
- 53:41because I probably entered it by pure chance
- 53:43and going into profit was luck too
- 53:45That's why, out of fear,
- 53:47I move my stop to my TP2
- 53:49Because I didn't enter based on facts
- 53:51I took a shot off the cuff and I'm trying
- 53:53to somehow just keep this
- 53:55in profit. Otherwise, if you want
- 53:57to close your trade, you should half-close or full-close it
- 53:59Moving your stop loss onto your take profit
- 54:01means you're running away from a flawed analysis that never existed
- 54:05and was practically no different from flipping a coin on your trades
- 54:07That's what you're escaping
- 54:09Set the formula up in your head
- 54:11If the reward is 4, it becomes a quarter of it, meaning
- 54:13your stop's size becomes one quarter of that amount
- 54:15This 24 becomes one third of the profit you've banked
- 54:19Now we get to the sweet topic
- 54:21of timing. Even at the start of the video
- 54:23I begin with the crappiest hours
- 54:25so you can see this stuff works even in the crappiest hours. Now
- 54:29Tokyo time and
- 54:31London — well, excuse me — London time and
- 54:33New York are in a league of their own;
- 54:35I'm not even going to discuss those
- 54:37I always come and trade this filthiest spot
- 54:39for you first
- 54:41so you can see that what I'm telling you
- 54:43works and plays out in the dirtiest places
- 54:45Now, was this
- 54:47some exotic science?
- 54:49No, it was exactly what I taught you;
- 54:51an SP2L formed here
- 54:53and I expected price to reverse from this SP2L
- 54:55and I came in
- 54:57and took the third signal here;
- 54:59it hit my stop; no big deal;
- 55:01I take the third signal based on this same
- 55:03falling wedge
- 55:05and I collect my reward right here. And all of this — look, folks, if I
- 55:09zoom out, it's not
- 55:11strange at all; look, this is the 1-minute timeframe
- 55:13and I'm doing this right here
- 55:17If you've worked a bit, you know
- 55:19what we're doing here
- 55:21in terms of the level of the work
- 55:23Alright, let's also look at
- 55:25that 3 o'clock now. Notice I always take my examples
- 55:27to the deadest, crappiest hour of the market;
- 55:29I try to trade the Oceanic and Asian hours for you
- 55:31because whatever works in such a dead time
- 55:35will surely hold its own in London and New York
- 55:37Meaning, if you want to test whether your systems
- 55:41are solid or not,
- 55:43go test your systems in these times
- 55:45Take a slice and backtest it
- 55:47See what's happening there
- 55:49whether your system works or not
- 55:51Because a system that only works in one time window
- 55:55isn't a system
- 55:57It's a fluke being done off the cuff
- 55:59That's where you find out whether you have a system
- 56:01or you're just building yourself
- 56:03a few memories with the chart in one time window
- 56:05with no system behind your work
- 56:07Four more minutes until we reach 3 o'clock
- 56:09and it might hit that before 3 arrives
- 56:12That's why that safety margin before and after these windows becomes our security boundary for decision-making;
- 56:19and I've made that decision now
- 56:21What was my decision?
- 56:23Half the trade at reward 2
- 56:25half the trade at reward 3
- 56:27and if I want to leave a trade open,
- 56:29it has a $24 stop
- 56:31to see whether, right at 3 o'clock, the time window opening up
- 56:36moves in my direction or not
- 56:38I go experience new behavior with the new time window
- 56:42I already know what the story is
- 56:45but I want you to see it — until you see it, you won't get what I'm saying
- 56:48What's about to happen is that
- 56:52when 3 o'clock opens,
- 56:54very, very likely,
- 56:57it's going to put in a high now
- 56:59and I'll experience more profit
- 57:01My only fact is the SP2L — it's come
- 57:03from the peak of my SP2L
- 57:05and wants to go hit my SP2L's target 1
- 57:07right here
- 57:08Meaning the target
- 57:10is this point — give me the reward 5 here
- 57:15Done and dusted;
- 57:17that's my view for 3 o'clock sharp;
- 57:19that's my prediction of the price
- 57:21Now, could it not happen?
- 57:23Nothing can... even if it doesn't happen,
- 57:25because I
- 57:26took my action beforehand;
- 57:28I came and closed half... I closed at this one, half
- 57:30and closed that one too
- 57:31Now I stay and watch: did it deliver that SP2L?
- 57:33If it did,
- 57:34good for me;
- 57:35I took that profit too
- 57:36Meaning I put this
- 57:37on
- 57:38here — its reward 5
- 57:40is here; it lands exactly here
- 57:42If it didn't,
- 57:44I still took my action
- 57:45meaning I took my profit;
- 57:46Right now
- 57:4710 percent
- 57:48of the account is in, all together; the rest
- 57:50is just bonus
- 57:5110 percent
- 57:52is a really big number too — like, that's
- 57:54a month's profit;
- 57:5510 percent;
- 57:56If I wanted to make 10 percent a month
- 57:58say, I'd become a trader
- 57:59on a five-thousand-dollar
- 58:00account and go do other businesses;
- 58:0210 percent
- 58:03monthly
- 58:04is
- 58:05the number that's
- 58:06my mental
- 58:07ceiling
- 58:08maximum
- 58:09Beyond that I can't
- 58:11push the size
- 58:12of this profit any higher, say
- 58:14because I know
- 58:15five million dollars
- 58:16six million dollars in this
- 58:17account is enough for them;
- 58:19say, five hundred thousand dollars profit a month;
- 58:21yes
- 58:22Now this differs for everyone, of course
- 58:23and I hope
- 58:25you've caught my meaning
- 58:27This is a scientific fact; yes,
- 58:28but on an investment account; not
- 58:30on the five-thousand-dollar account I set up for teaching
- 58:33where I can push it with multiple risks, win from it, win from it;
- 58:36and a hundred-thousand-dollar account, I don't think,
- 58:38is anything
- 58:39far-fetched either
- 58:40So 3 o'clock came;
- 58:413 o'clock came and I'm waiting for that target;
- 58:42Stop gets hit? You should love it
- 58:44TP gets hit? You should love it
- 58:46You have to love what you do
- 58:48You love it when
- 58:50you've done the work right;
- 58:52Do the work right and you
- 58:54won't even flinch. Look here, there
- 58:56the first fifty where I got stopped out
- 58:58and here I got stopped out one more time
- 59:00You shouldn't even flinch;
- 59:02You have to do
- 59:04your job — take the trade
- 59:06When I say you should love getting stopped out,
- 59:08it's genuinely not a slogan
- 59:10When you get
- 59:12stopped out, you've paid a cost
- 59:14to acquire data
- 59:16And what is that data? In this trade
- 59:18I traded in this style,
- 59:20my trade went wrong
- 59:22and over a hundred trades this becomes
- 59:24an extremely valuable journal for you
- 59:26that's absolutely priceless
- 59:28That's why you should love both your profit and your loss
- 59:30and that's really not a slogan
- 59:32Love your work
- 59:34because in practice this stop-out is the cost of data
- 59:36you're paying so I can figure out whether this
- 59:38trading style was okay or not
- 59:40You shouldn't
- 59:42flinch — you have to
- 59:44do your job
- 59:46Then it's 3:01;
- 59:48there it is
- 59:50and it's clear there too
- 59:52the 3:01 candle
- 59:54I hope the point has sunk in for you;
- 59:56I'm not trading the 3 o'clock time window anymore;
- 59:58Because
- 1:00:00it hit 12 percent;
- 1:00:02roughly 12 percent I think
- 1:00:04or a bit more; it's ten percent — which we discussed
- 1:00:06Ah, it's ten percent; that's the plan; enough
- 1:00:08I wasn't going to trade anymore
- 1:00:10If I was supposed to make 10 percent, let's
- 1:00:12also set our exit point here
- 1:00:14Watch its reaction
- 1:00:16Within a fraction of a second, one minute
- 1:00:18we lost two rewards
- 1:00:20if our exit point hadn't been there
- 1:00:22Where was the exit
- 1:00:24point? The exit point was the SP2L
- 1:00:26I said this SP2L is here
- 1:00:28its target lands there
- 1:00:30So at 3 o'clock
- 1:00:32if it's going to hit it, it hits that
- 1:00:34and then it dumps
- 1:00:36All of this comes from
- 1:00:38you having this structure
- 1:00:40in your mind
- 1:00:42If I hadn't closed here, and the target
- 1:00:44wasn't here either
- 1:00:46how much was I going to burn?
- 1:00:48Financially, and
- 1:00:50mentally; that same self-torment again
- 1:00:52It's from not respecting
- 1:00:54the structure. If you
- 1:00:56respect it, you work like this —
- 1:00:58millimeter-precise, clean, elegant
- 1:01:00If you don't respect it,
- 1:01:02the market couldn't care less
- 1:01:04what you're doing over there
- 1:01:06The market doesn't even see me
- 1:01:08Look at the global price
- 1:01:10of gold; the global price of gold
- 1:01:12eight billion people
- 1:01:14Who on earth cares where I
- 1:01:16had or hadn't placed a trade?
- 1:01:18Folks, I don't think at the level of Iran —
- 1:01:20where this stuff isn't even discussed
- 1:01:22in the Iranian scene —
- 1:01:24or even at the global level, will you see this detail;
- 1:01:26Why?
- 1:01:28I don't think anyone at the global level either would come
- 1:01:30with this kind of meticulous care;
- 1:01:32No strings attached, but really do use it
- 1:01:34I swear, when I was starting out,
- 1:01:36if someone had taught me like this
- 1:01:40I don't even know where I'd be
- 1:01:42But for me,
- 1:01:44my time was spent before I could work like this
- 1:01:46and I went through a lot of hardship
- 1:01:48And because of
- 1:01:50that, I don't want my fellow countrymen
- 1:01:52to somehow repeat the hardships I went through
- 1:01:54We're suffering enough in Iran as it is;
- 1:01:56I mean, you are
- 1:01:58Now, unfortunately and fortunately, they forced us to emigrate
- 1:02:00in the sense that, for basic things like
- 1:02:02proper internet and such,
- 1:02:04so I could be somewhere where I can work in peace
- 1:02:06where my internet doesn't cut out at 3 o'clock, my power doesn't go out, that stuff
- 1:02:08I left; but we should help
- 1:02:10so everyone can use this information
- 1:02:12And if you think someone needs to learn,
- 1:02:14please send this material
- 1:02:16to them
- 1:02:18Me, who with an open heart, with both hands,
- 1:02:21am offering you my heart along with this information —
- 1:02:24don't you be stingy about introducing this information to others
- 1:02:27So try to tell anyone who needs these lessons
- 1:02:31Send it to them so they can use it; it's really beautiful,
- 1:02:33really beautiful
- 1:02:34Off to bed;
- 1:02:36this was the state of our work today
- 1:02:38and that's it; love you all, my respects
- 1:02:40On with the rest of the video
- 1:02:42The point I want you to pay attention to is that
- 1:02:46when we see a pattern at some level
- 1:02:48see it at some time
- 1:02:50see it on some symbol
- 1:02:52it really matters that on that symbol
- 1:02:54for example, when it breaks out
- 1:02:56puts in highs and lows, builds a pullback
- 1:02:58reacts to its moving average
- 1:03:00whatever is happening to it
- 1:03:02our core question here has to be:
- 1:03:04this symbol, right now —
- 1:03:06at what time did this happen?
- 1:03:08Is this event on this symbol
- 1:03:10inside the range of this symbol's
- 1:03:12high-quality time window
- 1:03:14or is it in this symbol's low-quality time window?
- 1:03:16Because as you saw yourselves
- 1:03:18when we work on the Dow in the 2–3 range, say,
- 1:03:20it's really low quality
- 1:03:22but the same thing, when we work it at 17:30, 16:30, 18:00,
- 1:03:26has high quality
- 1:03:28Just like the behavior we had on gold
- 1:03:30in those time ranges I introduced to you
- 1:03:32Gold is very global; gold is active 24 hours
- 1:03:34So pay close attention to
- 1:03:36which pattern you're going to see where
- 1:03:38and at what time you should see it
- 1:03:40How does time give weight to price behavior?
- 1:03:42What does that mean? It means when in the morning
- 1:03:44at broker time 7:30 AM
- 1:03:467 AM, or say 8:30 AM
- 1:03:48you see, say, a pin bar or an engulfing
- 1:03:50on the US Dow, copy it
- 1:03:52pixel by pixel
- 1:03:54and place it at, say, broker time
- 1:03:5618:30, which is, say,
- 1:03:5811:30 New York's own time
- 1:04:00New York itself — this pixel-by-pixel copying
- 1:04:02means what? It means I have two patterns
- 1:04:04with two different meanings
- 1:04:06Meaning it's time that gives us the weight
- 1:04:08of whether this setup and this trigger works at this hour or not
- 1:04:12And you learn its probability of working through your backtesting —
- 1:04:14how much a setup
- 1:04:16can be valuable at one time
- 1:04:18and worthless at another
- 1:04:20Behind the first pattern, formed in the morning,
- 1:04:22there's a bunch of sleepy algorithms
- 1:04:24but behind the second one,
- 1:04:26all of New York is standing
- 1:04:28with their money. The pros' question isn't "what happened"
- 1:04:30Their question is "when did what happen"
- 1:04:32Now, based on the principles and time-based prioritization,
- 1:04:34if we want to have a scoring system
- 1:04:36for which setup to work with, the core of it
- 1:04:38is whether that setup satisfies time,
- 1:04:40whether it satisfies
- 1:04:42the level,
- 1:04:44and more importantly than that,
- 1:04:46whether it has a price action pattern or a backtestable trigger or not —
- 1:04:52or whether you're trading off the cuff. This is really important
- 1:04:54because we have that price action trigger in all of these weighting levels
- 1:04:59Meaning you can work based on time and price action without a level
- 1:05:03or you can work based on level and price action without time — but that's the third priority
- 1:05:09its score is lower than the ideal case above
- 1:05:12Or you can work on price action alone — but that's, say, priority one, this is two, this is three, this is four
- 1:05:19But time and level alone combined — since you've removed price action from it, you've practically made it un-backtestable
- 1:05:27and the thing that gives weight to all of these is the price trigger
- 1:05:31so that you know what trigger you're going to trade with, because you can backtest it
- 1:05:35Now, the higher this signal's priority, the higher the probability that in the next time window price moves in its direction
- 1:05:45Meaning when you work with a combination of these in this time window, the probability that the next time window follows you is higher
- 1:05:53and you take higher rewards, a higher RR
- 1:05:56But if you work with price action alone, say, the odds of taking profit here are good
- 1:06:01but the odds of the next one following you are lower, because you haven't considered the whole set
- 1:06:07That was a really killer point I wanted you to pay attention to in this slide
- 1:06:11Meaning it's the combination of these that lets you, over a trading day, take a trade
- 1:06:18where the price is likely to move in your direction with a higher probability
- 1:06:23The takeaway I want you to have from this is that our trading signals
- 1:06:27don't get deleted — they get prioritized, from bottom to top
- 1:06:31Folks, personally, half of my life's losses weren't from wrong analysis
- 1:06:35They were from FOMO
- 1:06:37Meaning jumping into a trade too early
- 1:06:39Why? Because I thought if I jumped in early, I wouldn't miss that trigger
- 1:06:44And in some spots I still do it
- 1:06:46but I try to control it
- 1:06:48And once we understand that time gives weight to price action
- 1:06:50and there's no such thing as a last signal,
- 1:06:54there's no last train anymore either
- 1:06:56There's a series of trains arriving one after another, on schedule
- 1:06:59and you can get on or not
- 1:07:01And that way FOMO just dies completely
- 1:07:03There's no FOMO left for them
- 1:07:05Now, in the stages of designing the trading system you'll have for yourself,
- 1:07:08personally, you need to come learn the important hours of that symbol
- 1:07:12which by now I've pretty much signaled to you how the story goes
- 1:07:16And then come with the levels you're comfortable with —
- 1:07:18whether it's the weekly map, horizontal levels, the previous high and low, whatever it is —
- 1:07:22be comfortable with it, be able to work with it — that's really important
- 1:07:25And if you want, use a personal level of your own too
- 1:07:29Meaning in the backtest we did on, say, pound
- 1:07:32against dollar, the previous day's 75 percent level matters to me
- 1:07:36Well, come do your work on that 75 percent
- 1:07:38There's no absolute gospel in this market
- 1:07:41because the market is built on probabilities
- 1:07:43Now, the point to note here is that
- 1:07:45a lot of people go through these three stages
- 1:07:47meaning they work on a good hour, derive levels,
- 1:07:50derive personal levels too, but
- 1:07:52this is where they fail
- 1:07:54meaning they don't follow the proper price action trigger
- 1:07:57at execution time, they're literally trading off the cuff
- 1:08:01and that practically takes you out of trading and into gaming
- 1:08:05you're playing a game
- 1:08:07the moment things slip out of your control somewhere in this market, you're out
- 1:08:11practically speaking, you're not
- 1:08:13trading when your trading actions can't be measured or backtested
- 1:08:18because when you work off the cuff
- 1:08:20one day you take a trade and your entry point lands here
- 1:08:23another day you take a trade and your entry lands there
- 1:08:25there's no proper standard for your entry point
- 1:08:28you're practically working off the cuff, and working on pure luck
- 1:08:32makes no difference from what you're doing
- 1:08:34and scientifically, whatever can't be measured
- 1:08:38can't be optimized
- 1:08:40and whatever can't be optimized
- 1:08:42can't be repeated
- 1:08:44and what does this have to do with trading?
- 1:08:46the connection is that when a trader trades off the cuff
- 1:08:49the market... the market opens at 16:30,
- 1:08:51you take a trade off the cuff
- 1:08:52say night comes, you want to take another off-the-cuff trade
- 1:08:55you're practically doing something unmeasurable
- 1:08:59and even if you journal
- 1:09:01it, since it's unmeasurable, since it was done off the cuff
- 1:09:04even the profit you make is of no use to you
- 1:09:06because your profit was also unmeasurable and impossible to improve
- 1:09:10and you're practically gambling;
- 1:09:12you're not trading; you're placing bets
- 1:09:14because when it's measurable, trading becomes
- 1:09:18a form that can be optimized and improved
- 1:09:21but in that off-the-cuff trading mode
- 1:09:23it's a state where you're just doing things at random
- 1:09:25nothing stops you
- 1:09:27but at the end, it's nothing
- 1:09:29now if we want to lay out the mental model of trading within the framework of time together
- 1:09:33it's that once you first understand time, you've passed the first stage
- 1:09:37and after that you worked on the right levels
- 1:09:39and after that you came and
- 1:09:41applied price action on those levels
- 1:09:45meaning you watched the price behavior on them
- 1:09:47you see, you should go this way down the path
- 1:09:49going the other way is what drags your performance down
- 1:09:52now if I want to describe a trader's path from amateur to professional level, what does it look like
- 1:09:57it's that in the first stage, you work a single daily window in your day trading
- 1:10:02meaning you come and say, okay, the market opened today
- 1:10:05I can take some trades starting from, say, the Tokyo time
- 1:10:08and set a target, and if it hits, it hits; if not, nothing — but they get stopped out there
- 1:10:13or you may not look at the time windows at all
- 1:10:16but in the second stage, when someone gets a bit more professional
- 1:10:19they know that sessions exist — not just that a session exists
- 1:10:22we call that person more professional because we know that when they take a trade here
- 1:10:27they close it here, or if they take a trade here, they close it at breakeven here
- 1:10:31or they perform the management actions on that trade
- 1:10:35and they know these have different time windows — knowing this alone doesn't give you any special edge until you go write strategies for each session
- 1:10:44now the next layer of being professional looks like this: they work a single session, they say, look, I completely ignore that session
- 1:10:49I come and work on this single-session single window
- 1:10:52meaning I pick one session's window and focus on it
- 1:10:56this is where becoming a professional trader begins — more and more
- 1:11:01but after a while, the returns this gives you aren't returns that bring you a very high income
- 1:11:07that's usually the single-window case, because you miss days — look, human life isn't such that you can do something here every single day
- 1:11:17you're human; over the 24 hours of the day, because your mental and emotional state gets worn down, you shouldn't force yourself to work within one fixed time range
- 1:11:26you should become professional enough to have the ability to work multiple windows within one session
- 1:11:32meaning you know: I have a window here, a window there, and I've worked on them so much
- 1:11:40backtested them so much, that I know how each one behaves — so if one
- 1:11:44day my mental state is bad and I can't do this one, I can do that one
- 1:11:49I can do this one, because the behavior in all of them is roughly the same on that symbol
- 1:11:54but what makes them different is their energy in these windows
- 1:12:00guys, the market really isn't your biggest enemy
- 1:12:02your biggest enemy, in my view, time-wise, is those forced time windows
- 1:12:06that you've probably built for yourselves
- 1:12:08like, let me go work the edge between, say, New York and London
- 1:12:12no; let me work right at 16:30
- 1:12:14because it's practically something unmeasurable and unimprovable — it's practically not trading
- 1:12:21it's a method where you can, say, right at 16:30, or by flipping a coin, grab a tiny profit
- 1:12:27but you can't improve that profit, you can't grow it big enough to make a good profit from it
- 1:12:34because you can't take on high risk on that first swing of the market
- 1:12:39since you have no trust in this unmeasurable system
- 1:12:43so you're forced to trade with a very
- 1:12:46small size — a hundred dollars, two hundred dollars a day — no; even making a hundred dollars a day is fine
- 1:12:50but what matters is that this system is consistent
- 1:12:53with a week or two of making mistakes and forcing yourself to sit at the chart in a bad state
- 1:12:58you've built a prison where I have to be inside this prison at a fixed hour
- 1:13:03so that in a market based on probabilities I can gamble with it and call it trading
- 1:13:08when you force yourself to be there at one specific hour, on one specific time window
- 1:13:13you've practically built a prison, where even on the days you feel bad, you force yourself to work in that time
- 1:13:19when you feel bad and you sit down at the chart, from that very moment
- 1:13:24meaning being single-window becomes a prison; knowing multiple windows and working them properly
- 1:13:30becomes a trader's true freedom
- 1:13:32now if we want to go one level deeper, the level I'd love you to reach
- 1:13:36is that you can work multiple windows across multiple sessions
- 1:13:39the same thing I do for you in all the videos
- 1:13:42I mean look — for me right now it's, say, the Oceania session; if you've noticed, I take trades here for you
- 1:13:47even the Asia session hasn't opened yet
- 1:13:49the reason I even go work these times is — look, when someone comes and works in this lousy time window
- 1:13:55then those main time windows become practically doable for them, and that's practically the good layer
- 1:14:01now there's one layer below this too, which is the exact time marks between these — and honestly, I don't expect you to reach that level for now
- 1:14:09for at least the first ten years of your trading, you shouldn't even think about working in more detail than this
- 1:14:14just having your view shift to this view is itself a sign you've taken the right path, even if you don't go work on it
- 1:14:21just knowing that such a thing exists, and that your view of the market should look like this in day trading
- 1:14:28because you gain full control over time — meaning it no longer matters to you what time it is
- 1:14:34whether it's 2 a.m., 5, or 7 in the morning — once you have this perspective
- 1:14:40you can trade in all the time windows, as long as you have the backtest for them
- 1:14:44because you're armed with the weapon of time analysis knowledge, price action knowledge in the form of triggers, and
- 1:14:55knowledge of horizontal levels — like this, with these three kinds of knowledge and the combination of these three trading principles, you can increase your performance, okay;
- 1:15:04to help you understand the material better, I've built you an indicator called Session Windows Pro
- 1:15:08which I'll put on my website for you to download
- 1:15:10I've included different modes for you to help you grasp the material better
- 1:15:14add it to the chart — this first menu is its most important part
- 1:15:17in the first mode, what does it
- 1:15:19do — it plots those three main sessions,
- 1:15:22that global view everyone knows, for you — let me
- 1:15:24pull it over a bit — this point here is midnight
- 1:15:26on Thursday, and here is midnight on
- 1:15:28Friday
- 1:15:29that means one trading day
- 1:15:31and it's put the hours here for you: the Asia, London, and New York sessions
- 1:15:34this global mode is for those who — for now, the guys who are more amateur — to get a feel for what a session looks like
- 1:15:39its next mode is the New York mode, which plots 16:30 for you
- 1:15:43it plots that first New York session for you, for those who want to work on it
- 1:15:45its next mode is the 18-to-21 mode, the mode after that is 21 to 23
- 1:15:49and then the next opens the first window of the market — say, London — for you
- 1:15:53and the main mode is that last one, where all of today's material is included
- 1:15:57in that last full mode, it plots all eleven windows for you
- 1:16:01and the points I have in mind, right on it
- 1:16:04look; as a practice exercise, the market opens in one more minute
- 1:16:07I timed it exactly for when the market opens, so we can go through the open together
- 1:16:11and those various time points: 1, 2:30, 3, 4, 8, 9, and 10 to 13
- 1:16:15the 13-to-15:30 time window, then to 16:30, then to 18
- 1:16:1918 to 21
- 1:16:21and the points — the points — there's also an 18:30 here that I'll work with you on later
- 1:16:24for now, just keep these in mind
- 1:16:26alright; before you go download the indicator
- 1:16:28let me tell you: this indicator is not going to give you buy and sell signals
- 1:16:30this indicator only tells you
- 1:16:32those important hours you need to pay attention to
- 1:16:34where the time windows and time points coming into the market are
- 1:16:37and once you've mastered it, try to delete it;
- 1:16:40or keep only the time points on the chart — I've
- 1:16:42set its settings up for you; on mode seven
- 1:16:44it plots only the time points for you
- 1:16:46because a good indicator, a good tool,
- 1:16:48is a tool you eventually don't need anymore
- 1:16:50the last point I want you to pay
- 1:16:52attention to: the news, and well, the fundamentals too,
- 1:16:54are factored into this system
- 1:16:56automatically — I mean, the market
- 1:16:58opened, a move
- 1:17:00came — look guys, this itself is the 15:30 time point
- 1:17:02meaning you don't even need to think
- 1:17:04ahead of time — in a way, Forex Factory is also covered
- 1:17:06in this expert — in this indicator; sorry
- 1:17:08guys, first let's work through this state once together without these
- 1:17:10look, what you're seeing right now is this
- 1:17:12without the time perspective, without this view
- 1:17:14up until now you'd been looking at the market li... up until now you'd been looking at the
- 1:17:16market like this — your greatest masterpiece was going into the sessions, and the best of it was, say, that overlap between the London and New York sessions, which is a very global thing that exists
- 1:17:23but now you're armed with a weapon that, when you throw it on the chart — of course this is for practice, it's not meant to stay on your chart forever cluttering
- 1:17:30it up — it's just meant to get your eye familiar with the story
- 1:17:33now I'll tell you what the practice looks like
- 1:17:35look, I now have the Oceania time window from 0 to 2:30 — see, here it's formed a flag for me, and right at 3 it starts breaking out for me
- 1:17:45now what do I see here — I see an SP2L here
- 1:17:47I have a gap here, and here's its SP2L
- 1:17:49which activated it here and gave me its target one
- 1:17:52see, when target one hits, its box is practically ticked
- 1:17:55once again, to open up your mind, I'll plot things one more
- 1:17:59round — I'll plot all the SP2Ls now — to save your time, I'll cut the video
- 1:18:03I'll plot all these SP2Ls
- 1:18:05how did we identify the SP2Ls? the gap that existed
- 1:18:07we'd come to the first pullback after it and could have our entry trigger
- 1:18:11stop loss behind here, and target one through two — with
- 1:18:13one, we practically gauge its probability of success; with
- 1:18:16two, we take our reward
- 1:18:18up to — mashallah — say this SP2L even ran to its target nine, all the way here
- 1:18:21okay, these ones I've drawn for you — see, all these SP2Ls within this trend
- 1:18:25came and delivered their targets
- 1:18:27see, like this — and where we would have been stopped out was this last SP2L
- 1:18:36which got stopped out from here
- 1:18:37we know our view of the story has to be price-action-based
- 1:18:40meaning I now want to consolidate everything we've discussed together
- 1:18:43that's its SP2Ls; just so you have a picture of what the trend looked like and how we can take profit on SP2Ls
- 1:18:48take it — apart from the pro BTBs that existed, apart from the micro-maps that were here, a lot of reward could have been taken
- 1:18:53now I want to go into combining price action, the time window, and SP2L
- 1:18:56okay, the price action view I want to share with you
- 1:18:58is this: see, the time win... the time window that formed for me from 3 o'clock started building a downtrend
- 1:19:03which broke with an SP2L from down here — at what time did it break? right at 4 o'clock
- 1:19:08at what time did it break down here? after the window-three time window opened
- 1:19:12so when I know there's a 4 o'clock time window, a 4 o'clock time point
- 1:19:16a 2:30-to-3 where a trend reversal and scoring points is possible
- 1:19:20then here I know: this is where I have to manage my trade
- 1:19:23how — I either close it, or reduce its size, or set it to risk-free, or accept that if it got stopped out, it was because
- 1:19:30a new time window and time point was entering the market
- 1:19:33like this: if I come and draw a trendline from this point — and you know why from this point, price action folks
- 1:19:38why we have to draw our trendline from this one, which is truly the most basic thing — we shouldn't draw the trendline from this low; you should draw it from this to this
- 1:19:46and if I extend it to the end of the day, I have a very simple ruler on the chart, meaning
- 1:19:50just so you see how much of a terrifyingly powerful thing you can build by combining these topics
- 1:19:55and if I bring its upper level — its upper channel — and place it on that upper channel, I can practically obtain my overbought points
- 1:20:05meaning when I come and reach this point, I know I'm practically entering a buying zone where, if it breaks here, my channel can still have trend continuation
- 1:20:15now what do I have here — I've entered the 8-to-9 time window, so practically, when an SP2L forms after this, it matters to me
- 1:20:23and I have to treat this strategy separately — meaning I practically say: the SP2L that formed in the 8-to-9 time window, which I entered on and even waited through the 9 time point for
- 1:20:34now it reaches a point where it sees: I've reached the 10 time point, and here I've practically also reached this channel's overbought level
- 1:20:40as long as this hasn't broken through this high and hasn't given me its uptrend, what does it count as for me?
- 1:20:44it counts as a correction within this channel
- 1:20:46as long as it doesn't want to build a range inside this channel or turn bearish
- 1:20:50now, a really interesting point I want to teach you: that state when I was in the market
- 1:20:55meaning it was 10 in the morning — had this formed yet? no
- 1:20:58so what was I seeing here? from this point to this point, I was seeing this
- 1:21:03I was seeing this
- 1:21:04practically, I was seeing a rising wedge approaching its overbought points
- 1:21:10now what do I see? when I extend this
- 1:21:12I can practically have the reversal time points too, with very high precision
- 1:21:17so what do I practically have? I have price action
- 1:21:19which, with these two correctly drawn trendlines
- 1:21:21it's enough for me to have this good time point of mine
- 1:21:24when NFP is
- 1:21:26coming — NFP, guys; if you've been at this a couple of days
- 1:21:30but I know the confluence of this price with this time
- 1:21:33mattered to me in advance, from back when I was here
- 1:21:37and look, the market comes here and touches this like so
- 1:21:39this zone
- 1:21:40and builds a pin bar from here and goes up
- 1:21:42and again, I don't expect you to come work this right now
- 1:21:46again, I want to dig into it
- 1:21:47up to here we were in London
- 1:21:48now we want to go see
- 1:21:50what we had after this news
- 1:21:51where does the time window serve me
- 1:21:53and this time window — when I have the news time point
- 1:21:56when this comes, I shouldn't treat this
- 1:21:58as an SP2L that has come
- 1:21:59and wants to have its next trend —
- 1:22:01it can have one
- 1:22:02not that it can't
- 1:22:03but it doesn't matter to me at all to come
- 1:22:05take an entry point here
- 1:22:07what use is it to me at all
- 1:22:08to put an entry point here
- 1:22:10fine, or pick it up and put it there
- 1:22:12I should work the opposite of it
- 1:22:13when I see that price
- 1:22:14has had its whole trend since the morning
- 1:22:17and has come up to a high level and gapped
- 1:22:20this counts as an exhaustion gap for me
- 1:22:22and throughout the whole day, up until right now when the market opened
- 1:22:26we've been moving inside this same exhaustion gap
- 1:22:28and me, the trader working the 16:30 level
- 1:22:30I come in with a concept like this
- 1:22:32I saw this
- 1:22:33this time window serves me here, when
- 1:22:34I'm working 16:30
- 1:22:36I'm seeing that in the 15:30-to-16:30
- 1:22:39time window I had a spike that was probably an exhaustion gap
- 1:22:42and I had a negative SP2L pattern
- 1:22:44which by itself gives me its R1 by the end of the day
- 1:22:48look
- 1:22:49how beautifully it's
- 1:22:51working — let me erase this
- 1:22:52from that point it comes straight for me
- 1:22:54and builds a BTB point
- 1:22:56like this
- 1:22:57because I know this is an exhaustion gap
- 1:22:58and the odds of it going up are much harder
- 1:23:00than of it dumping
- 1:23:01I come and turn seller at this point
- 1:23:03meaning the person who came and placed a sell limit at this point
- 1:23:07got their R2 within these very next few candles
- 1:23:09and if they were waiting for confirmation
- 1:23:12it comes down here
- 1:23:13and activates their trade
- 1:23:15meaning this becomes their confirmation
- 1:23:16the way it works is that
- 1:23:18practically their entry point becomes this
- 1:23:19instead of it being this
- 1:23:20it becomes this
- 1:23:21so we had two entry models, right
- 1:23:23in both cases
- 1:23:24it does its job
- 1:23:25now, isn't this its leg one, leg two
- 1:23:27if I know price action
- 1:23:29this high has been broken
- 1:23:30and this extends
- 1:23:31forward; look
- 1:23:32these are all interwoven structures
- 1:23:34and this isn't just analyzing
- 1:23:36the past — I know that in the future
- 1:23:37we can do our work
- 1:23:38and right now our profit is sixty-seventy; let's let it ride
- 1:23:40now this is the case where we let it grow
- 1:23:41and set it aside for charity
- 1:23:42now I've come
- 1:23:43and I want to work the 18-to-twenty — to
- 1:23:4521 time window
- 1:23:46what do I do?
- 1:23:48I come and see that a leg one, leg two has formed
- 1:23:50and this trend is still a downtrend
- 1:23:51why? because it's printed lower highs here
- 1:23:53when it was printing lower highs
- 1:23:55it means my uptrend
- 1:23:56has practically weakened
- 1:23:58so I come back into this zone
- 1:23:59if this is a BTB
- 1:24:01I look for a BTB in this zone
- 1:24:03which, mind you, did get close
- 1:24:05but if they wanted to enter with a limit
- 1:24:06they couldn't have
- 1:24:07but if they wanted to enter with
- 1:24:09confirmation
- 1:24:10this is its confirmation
- 1:24:11which in fact this itself
- 1:24:13is an SP2L, guys
- 1:24:14see how insane the structure is if
- 1:24:17you just, with a relaxed mind,
- 1:24:19with an open view,
- 1:24:20through the lens of
- 1:24:22price action, SP2L,
- 1:24:23the time window,
- 1:24:24combine them all together
- 1:24:26you'll see it becomes something powerful
- 1:24:27really something where
- 1:24:29at any moment you can
- 1:24:30do work in it
- 1:24:31and that's exactly why
- 1:24:32for example, I do nothing here
- 1:24:33I mean, working here
- 1:24:34is so
- 1:24:35easy that I can promise you
- 1:24:37that I'll come, say, right here and
- 1:24:38live trade for you — I'll come
- 1:24:39take an action, say,
- 1:24:40somewhere that's really beat up
- 1:24:42where nobody trades anymore
- 1:24:43at least not enough to be
- 1:24:43chasing decent profit
- 1:24:44and again we move forward
- 1:24:45to the next time window
- 1:24:47look; exactly inside this same
- 1:24:4818-to-21 time
- 1:24:49window
- 1:24:50it comes and
- 1:24:50builds this trend
- 1:24:51reaches this low
- 1:24:52meaning, if these time windows
- 1:24:53were wrong
- 1:24:54this trend
- 1:24:55wouldn't have started from this point
- 1:24:56only to end right here
- 1:24:57look
- 1:24:57this was practically the end of this move
- 1:25:00and again from 8
- 1:25:01a trend formed
- 1:25:02which was also supported in the
- 1:25:039-to-10 time window
- 1:25:05look
- 1:25:05this and this
- 1:25:07and if the one who wasn't managing
- 1:25:08their trade here
- 1:25:09in the live market
- 1:25:10they'd probably have gotten a bit
- 1:25:11scared by this
- 1:25:12and exited with less profit
- 1:25:14but the one who has understood
- 1:25:15what a time window is
- 1:25:16knows that the 10 o'clock
- 1:25:17time window has entered the market
- 1:25:18it can come
- 1:25:19form this pattern
- 1:25:20and they see this pattern
- 1:25:21and when they see an SP2L
- 1:25:22in its direction
- 1:25:23they can enter with peace of mind
- 1:25:25and its R1...
- 1:25:26see guys, these
- 1:25:27are really not coincidences
- 1:25:28I'm not saying at all
- 1:25:29that you should act on my words
- 1:25:30you have to go
- 1:25:31test it
- 1:25:32see what this guy even said
- 1:25:32did he say it right
- 1:25:33was he telling the truth
- 1:25:33did he get it wrong
- 1:25:34what did he say
- 1:25:35then go do
- 1:25:35forward testing
- 1:25:36see
- 1:25:37whether you can work
- 1:25:38with it or not
- 1:25:38that's where you can
- 1:25:39see the miracles, little by little, and
- 1:25:41the very reason you see —
- 1:25:42guys, the time window
- 1:25:4313:00 to 15:30 —
- 1:25:44and look how strange it gets here
- 1:25:46that's because
- 1:25:46we know
- 1:25:47that the 15:30 time point
- 1:25:48is probably very important for us
- 1:25:49and honestly the entry
- 1:25:51and exit point here makes no difference
- 1:25:52I mean, whoever entered here
- 1:25:53wasted two hours of their life
- 1:25:55but whoever entered here
- 1:25:57in this time window
- 1:25:57or in that other time window —
- 1:25:58whoever entered here
- 1:25:59had their strategy
- 1:26:01ready beforehand and could work comfortably
- 1:26:02in this time window
- 1:26:03and again
- 1:26:04look
- 1:26:05when the 20:00 time point
- 1:26:06confluence comes along
- 1:26:07it overlaps
- 1:26:08with price reaching the bottom
- 1:26:10of this trading range that's formed
- 1:26:12which practically
- 1:26:12can be a good entry point
- 1:26:14for
- 1:26:15a scalp; for scalpers
- 1:26:16who want to enter here
- 1:26:17with an SP2L
- 1:26:17entry
- 1:26:19those who entered here with SP2L
- 1:26:20have already taken profit by now
- 1:26:21guys
- 1:26:21just now while I
- 1:26:22was talking
- 1:26:23those who wanted to
- 1:26:24enter here with SP2L
- 1:26:25using this limit order
- 1:26:27by now
- 1:26:27they've taken R1 once
- 1:26:29taken R1 twice
- 1:26:29and just now
- 1:26:30while I was speaking
- 1:26:31they took their third
- 1:26:33R1 too — those who wanted to enter
- 1:26:35on this SP2L
- 1:26:35saw its wicks
- 1:26:36saw the context
- 1:26:37know the time points
- 1:26:39they know that most likely
- 1:26:40when during New York time
- 1:26:42an SP2L has formed here for me
- 1:26:44it can be significant
- 1:26:45enough that I can at least take R1
- 1:26:47or even if I don't want to trade
- 1:26:49I know this is probably the time that
- 1:26:52carries the probability of a reversal for me
- 1:26:53so they don't sell here either
- 1:26:55meaning even if they don't take a buy
- 1:26:56they don't sell here either
- 1:26:57with these wicks
- 1:26:58they preferably either take a buy
- 1:26:59or do nothing at all
- 1:27:00practically, from the previous time window
- 1:27:02we carry them into the next time window
- 1:27:04and these time windows
- 1:27:06combined with SP2L
- 1:27:07and combined with the price action
- 1:27:09we worked on together
- 1:27:10in the comprehensive trading course
- 1:27:11look, it builds something powerful
- 1:27:12and honestly, if you need anything beyond this
- 1:27:15to go learn
- 1:27:16it makes no difference to me whether you
- 1:27:17get more training or not — we have thousands of technical topics
- 1:27:22but go wander around in circles
- 1:27:24and come back
- 1:27:25you'll arrive at this same point where
- 1:27:26you'll look at the chart exactly like this
- 1:27:28if you want to become a technician
- 1:27:30in
- 1:27:31day trading — multi-day trading is a slightly different story
- 1:27:33it still uses these same things
- 1:27:34but its time window models are different
- 1:27:36investing is a different story too
- 1:27:37you shouldn't work this way at all
- 1:27:39when it comes to investing
- 1:27:40I hope the material is complete for you now
- 1:27:41because the video is getting really long
- 1:27:43I have to wrap it up somewhere
- 1:27:45and go summarize the material for you on the video
- 1:27:47I'll send this $613, following our usual routine,
- 1:27:50to either
- 1:27:51the EB patients
- 1:27:53or freeing imprisoned debtors
- 1:27:55and I'll put the receipt for you later in the video
- 1:27:57well, as I was packing up
- 1:27:58to go to sleep, I saw $613
- 1:28:00is too little for the charity
- 1:28:02I said let's wait for this upcoming
- 1:28:04time point — the 2:30 time point
- 1:28:06at this time point I'll round this number
- 1:28:07up by another thousand; let's put a thousand more toward charity
- 1:28:10$600
- 1:28:10feels too little for this video right now
- 1:28:13in roughly a few more minutes
- 1:28:14it'll be 2:20
- 1:28:15we'll wait two more 5-minute candles
- 1:28:17and together we'll go trade on the time point and all that
- 1:28:20I'm going to make a very quick trade
- 1:28:22and I don't want to drag it out
- 1:28:24I'll also raise my position size
- 1:28:25I just want to round up this $600
- 1:28:27I just want to do something at that time point moment
- 1:28:30now what am I going to
- 1:28:31do — let me explain it too
- 1:28:32let's dive into the price
- 1:28:33let's go; for example, my point is that
- 1:28:35when this time point looks like this
- 1:28:37you could've squeezed this much out of it since morning
- 1:28:39so when I come into the heart of this messy
- 1:28:43awful range that exists, can you trade it?
- 1:28:45of course you can — in places where it forms
- 1:28:47BTBs this cleanly, you can also
- 1:28:49do some beautiful things
- 1:28:51the width of the move — the candle is this big over there
- 1:28:54but every candle here is this messy and awful
- 1:28:56now, what happened early in the morning
- 1:28:58what did it do? this was the first, you could say
- 1:29:01clean SP2L that
- 1:29:03it gave us
- 1:29:03and if I go look at it on the 1-minute timeframe
- 1:29:06its target one lands here
- 1:29:10and a bit further along
- 1:29:12let me think for a moment about what trade would be the best option here
- 1:29:15now, in about
- 1:29:17five minutes, one more 5-minute candle
- 1:29:19until it closes
- 1:29:21it's this very candle that's growing
- 1:29:22three more minutes
- 1:29:23well, I prefer to analyze what I'm actually seeing
- 1:29:25look, we have a range here
- 1:29:26one — this level is in our path
- 1:29:29and this level is in our path too
- 1:29:32in terms of
- 1:29:33the upside, and in terms of the downside I have below
- 1:29:35and one is this bottom which is
- 1:29:37the bottom of the range
- 1:29:38I can see this range is really heading toward the upside
- 1:29:41so it's deciding to go from the middle
- 1:29:43up toward the top, and from there it wants to drop
- 1:29:46meaning dump down
- 1:29:47or this BTB wants to do something with it
- 1:29:50or this BTB wants to do something with it
- 1:29:53or that BTB — well
- 1:29:53we zoom in on the price
- 1:29:55and we want to work that 2:30 time point
- 1:29:57which lands exactly here, together
- 1:30:00what do we see
- 1:30:01several SP2Ls back to back
- 1:30:03the first one was this
- 1:30:04the second one was this
- 1:30:05three —
- 1:30:06was this; and there are no stopped-out ones
- 1:30:07meaning we don't have a single stop-out among them so far
- 1:30:10the next one was this
- 1:30:12and just now it's built one right here
- 1:30:14whose R1 would be — this becomes this
- 1:30:16right here
- 1:30:17let me clear the extras — the top of
- 1:30:18this trading
- 1:30:19range — we're right at
- 1:30:20the top of that range too; it hasn't hit it yet — here it
- 1:30:22reached the top of this range
- 1:30:23meaning its R1 lands way up there
- 1:30:25but right now we're also getting close to the BTB
- 1:30:27look; meaning another range top
- 1:30:29so the best option is for me to look
- 1:30:32for a sell opportunity around here
- 1:30:33and not chase that target
- 1:30:35trying to grab that
- 1:30:36what do I do
- 1:30:37I say this one took its R1
- 1:30:38this one took its R1
- 1:30:39this one is taking its R1 too
- 1:30:41but here I'll try
- 1:30:42below these
- 1:30:44to get a confirmation signal
- 1:30:46and take a sell
- 1:30:47if the confirmation signal... no — yes
- 1:30:49the confirmation signal came right then
- 1:30:50Add Line
- 1:30:51I'll set this to
- 1:30:52roughly five percent
- 1:30:53because I just want
- 1:30:55to place a trade that makes this a thousand
- 1:30:57dollars — let's see where it hits a thousand dollars
- 1:30:59but
- 1:31:00let's see
- 1:31:02if it doesn't work out, I'll place another trade
- 1:31:03meaning I'll enter on its second signal too
- 1:31:05let me hit Add Line
- 1:31:07since it's become ten percent
- 1:31:08I'll make it four
- 1:31:10let me place another sell right here
- 1:31:11because I want
- 1:31:12a quick trade; get it done
- 1:31:13meaning reach a thousand dollars
- 1:31:14meaning I'm raising the size — even if
- 1:31:16the whole thing is lost, so be it
- 1:31:19meaning I just want
- 1:31:20it to reach a meaningful number for the charity
- 1:31:22which most likely
- 1:31:23with this trade —
- 1:31:24because it had all those advantages
- 1:31:27it had all those parameters
- 1:31:28meaning we had reached the range-top zone
- 1:31:31we had three pushes up here
- 1:31:33we had a confirmation signal
- 1:31:34well, what more do I need to see to take a sell?
- 1:31:36I see exactly this, take my sell, and wait for it to play out
- 1:31:40to reach a nice R2
- 1:31:42let me say goodbye; let's go summarize the video
- 1:31:45well, it reached $1,000 in profit; this account's profit hit a thousand dollars
- 1:31:48guys, did you see how important it is to know where to wait for a target
- 1:31:53and where not to — good grief; it hit a thousand dollars just now
- 1:31:55it's become $1,500; let me close half of it
- 1:31:58and half-close half of this one too
- 1:32:00we took their Rs
- 1:32:01look — time said "WHEN",
- 1:32:04the levels said WHERE
- 1:32:06price action said HOW
- 1:32:08and the combination of these three
- 1:32:10together produced one successful trade
- 1:32:13plenty of people know each of these individually, mind you
- 1:32:15but it's how you use these three together
- 1:32:18that unlocks the market's interwoven structure for you
- 1:32:21and that's how trading is not the art of predicting
- 1:32:24it's the art of listening to these three witnesses
- 1:32:26all three testifying to the same thing
- 1:32:29let me half-close
- 1:32:30we took their Rs
- 1:32:32it became $1,500
- 1:32:33—; thank God again
- 1:32:34see, when it's for charity
- 1:32:35this is how blessing pours down
- 1:32:37now if it had been my own trade
- 1:32:39it would've tortured me over there, but
- 1:32:41since it was for charity, it paid out fast
- 1:32:44this is what I wanted
- 1:32:45look — when you bring the time
- 1:32:47window
- 1:32:48into your work
- 1:32:51within this time window you know it's Oceania
- 1:32:53you know exactly that 2:30 is what I'm targeting
- 1:32:55at 2:30 this story started
- 1:32:57then I mix price action into it
- 1:32:59I see I have three pushes up
- 1:33:01I see it's the top of my trading range
- 1:33:03from that trading range top
- 1:33:05I get a nice drop
- 1:33:06this is my confirmation
- 1:33:08signal — I see my confirmation
- 1:33:09all of these together become
- 1:33:12your whole strategy
- 1:33:14I close all of this so that
- 1:33:15nothing happens to it
- 1:33:16and it doesn't go to waste
- 1:33:17I want to wrap up the whole video
- 1:33:19I'm closing this entire position
- 1:33:20let me not misquote it to you
- 1:33:22$1,456
- 1:33:23which is the exact figure
- 1:33:26this, continuing the story of our own trades
- 1:33:28we placed this one
- 1:33:28too, so you'd see how important the time point is
- 1:33:31let this dump too
- 1:33:33but for me to summarize the video
- 1:33:35I have to close it so I can
- 1:33:37deposit that amount to the charity
- 1:33:39that's it
- 1:33:40again, sorry — I love you all
- 1:33:42guys, have a good morning
- 1:33:43let me make this one point too and then close out the video
- 1:33:45I promise it's the last point of the video
- 1:33:46and see — when you start working from the time apex
- 1:33:49and with the price action perspective you have
- 1:33:51even if you miss an opportunity
- 1:33:53it comes back — this is our trade from last night, remember
- 1:33:55it builds its SP2L
- 1:33:56leg one, leg two
- 1:33:57it builds its SP2L
- 1:33:58where does it turn back from, again?
- 1:34:00from the bottom of the range
- 1:34:01well
- 1:34:01now if you want to enter again
- 1:34:03it comes back to your entry point
- 1:34:04look how it gave you a BTB
- 1:34:06right on this point
- 1:34:07well, none of this happens by accident
- 1:34:09it's based on what I've taught you
- 1:34:10and when we work this cleanly
- 1:34:12you'll see how beautiful your chart becomes
- 1:34:14that same trade from last night we did together
- 1:34:17we could take a maximum reward of 13
- 1:34:19roughly 13 to 14
- 1:34:21and of course, at the very most we
- 1:34:23stay with it up to this edge
- 1:34:25remember I said why up to this edge
- 1:34:27because at this edge
- 1:34:28who was supposed to come into the market?
- 1:34:30the buyers were supposed to enter from here
- 1:34:32from where were they supposed to enter the market?
- 1:34:34from this price bottom that this low created
- 1:34:37right now, here
- 1:34:38like this
- 1:34:38that's why these buyers came in
- 1:34:40right now these buyers
- 1:34:41have taken their R1
- 1:34:43and I would exit there
- 1:34:44and scale in here — meaning
- 1:34:46look at my second trade's
- 1:34:47setup — no, I want to finish the video
- 1:34:50I just can't finish this video
- 1:34:51look how precisely it comes to its 2X
- 1:34:53it gives back half of this zone
- 1:34:55and how beautifully it moves to its R1 from there
- 1:34:58and along
- 1:34:59the way, even if you don't want to catch a swing that big
- 1:35:02along the path of reaching that point
- 1:35:04counting from the 2X
- 1:35:06look at its SP2Ls
- 1:35:08meaning within this very zone it starts giving
- 1:35:10the triggers; one, two, three, four, five
- 1:35:12six, seven
- 1:35:14now on this seventh one you get stopped out here
- 1:35:15because, well, you reached the top of the range
- 1:35:17and we should have waited for it
- 1:35:19even if we say you take that one too
- 1:35:20you had six positive triggers before it
- 1:35:23if there isn't a single stop-out in the market
- 1:35:25or two stop-outs
- 1:35:26you should be suspicious of that system of yours
- 1:35:28I mean, your system is wrong if you don't take these two hits
- 1:35:30and you count this one as a negative too
- 1:35:32but in return, six to two
- 1:35:33positive triggers —
- 1:35:35you had, and again you had plenty of triggers, and
- 1:35:36your good final trigger
- 1:35:38becomes this last trigger
- 1:35:39which you saw at this scale
- 1:35:42where I knew we were going to turn back from here
- 1:35:45I can take either this trigger
- 1:35:46or this lower trigger
- 1:35:47as the main trigger
- 1:35:49and ride it nicely to its R1
- 1:35:51and that one's R1 lands on
- 1:35:53the R2 of the earlier trigger
- 1:35:55meaning you exit before it does
- 1:35:56this is the beautiful perspective I expect from you
- 1:36:00go down this path
- 1:36:01and stepping off this path
- 1:36:03is nothing but wasting time and hurting
- 1:36:06yourself — let's go summarize the video
- 1:36:07okay, seriously now, let's go summarize the video
- 1:36:09I think we're at a hundred minutes of video by now
- 1:36:11guys, just as I promised you
- 1:36:12I split this video's profit in two;
- 1:36:14half to the EB patients — which is at this point in the video
- 1:36:17and half to freeing imprisoned debtors in need
- 1:36:20which has been our long-standing tradition over these years
- 1:36:22because I believe
- 1:36:23that when you set aside part of the profit for good deeds
- 1:36:27that account receives blessing
- 1:36:29now some people may not believe that,
- 1:36:31but I do believe in it
- 1:36:33and we've reached the end of this video
- 1:36:35definitely watch the video several times — don't think
- 1:36:37you've learned the material after one viewing
- 1:36:39honestly, you can't
- 1:36:41if it were my own first time
- 1:36:43encountering this material, Micro Map
- 1:36:45and this video would need multiple viewings to master
- 1:36:49because each time you'll catch a sentence I said somewhere
- 1:36:51that you hadn't paid attention to at all
- 1:36:53and that very sentence becomes a game changer for you
- 1:36:55I love you all so much; my respects; take care of yourselves
About this transcript
This page contains the full transcript of آموزش کامل استراتژی زمانی | Time Strategy by Poursamadi, generated from the public captions YouTube serves with the video. The transcript has 19,228 words across 2,733 segments, with the original timestamps preserved so you can click any line to jump to that moment in the embedded player.
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