This Orbit is the WORST — Transcript
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- 0:01In my previous video on space navigation, we talked about some apparent paradoxes, like how
- 0:05to catch up with someone in the same orbit, you first have to slow down! Or how you have to speed
- 0:09up (twice) to switch to a higher, slower orbit. Here are three more even weirder paradoxes of
- 0:14space navigation, including the most surprising one I’ve ever come across - which I only found
- 0:18out about recently, and which is truly bonkers. First: There’s a worst orbit to get to. It seems
- 0:24like the further out your destination orbit is, the more fuel would be required to get there. But
- 0:27in fact, after a certain point, going out begins to require less fuel. The worst orbit to aim for
- 0:32is about 15 times farther out than your current orbit, which for us is between Saturn and Uranus.
- 0:37This fact is profoundly bizarre. Ultimately, it has to do with the interplay between how much
- 0:41you slow down on the way out to the new orbit verses how much speed you need to stay there.
- 0:44The simplest method to get to a different circular orbit – which we talked about in the last
- 0:48video – requires two changes of speed: the first burn puts you onto an elliptical transfer orbit,
- 0:53and the more you increase your speed with that burn, the higher the high point of the
- 0:56ellipse. This makes intuitive sense: the more fuel you use, the faster you’ll go
- 0:59and the further out you’ll end up. Except you’re not done - gravity
- 1:03constantly pulls to slow you down as you go out along the transfer orbit,
- 1:06so when you arrive at your target radius, you need to speed up in order to get into a circular orbit
- 1:10there (otherwise you’ll keep falling back to where you started). And this second, re-circularising
- 1:14burn is what makes things downright weird. The amount you need to speed up to circularize
- 1:19your orbit depends, of course, on the difference between your speed upon arriving at the top of the
- 1:23elliptical orbit and the speed you need to be in a circular orbit there. It turns out the arrival
- 1:27speed at the top of the ellipse falls roughly like one over r, while the target speed needed
- 1:31for a circular orbit falls roughly as one over the square root of r, which is bigger - comparing
- 1:35the two, you can see that the difference between the target speed and the arrival speed initially
- 1:39increases for short range transfers, then shrinks once your target radius is more than around
- 1:43six times farther out than your starting point. You might think that the worst orbit is therefore
- 1:47around six times farther out, but this is just the worst point for the second, circularizing,
- 1:51burn – once we remember to add in the first burn (which is the speedup orbit necessary to
- 1:55get onto the transfer orbit in the first place) we find it’s hardest to get into an orbit around
- 1:5915 and a half times larger than your starting orbit. Beyond 15 times, it’s easier to get there!
- 2:04A bizarre consequence of this ‘worst’ orbit is that it takes less fuel to escape
- 2:07the solar system entirely than to go into orbit between Saturn and Uranus. Actually,
- 2:12it’s easier to escape the solar system than to go into a circular orbit anywhere beyond
- 2:15the asteroid belt; between Saturn and Uranus is just the hardest possible place to get to.
- 2:20And the difference is pretty substantial - it takes almost 30% more fuel to transfer to the
- 2:24“worst” circular orbit than it does to go to infinity! This fact applies generally,
- 2:28whether you’re orbiting the sun and trying to go out to Saturn, or orbiting earth and trying to go
- 2:31to the moon. Like, it takes almost the same amount of fuel to get into a geostationary orbit 6 and a
- 2:36half times out from low earth orbit as it does to get to the moon, which is sixty times farther out.
- 2:40The general inefficiency of medium-range orbital transfers leads to - what’s to me – the
- 2:44most surprising paradox of space navigation, and one I didn’t know about until recently:
- 2:48it’s that you can actually save fuel by going out too far, and then coming back.
- 2:52Basically, you do the orbital transfer with an extra step: rather than going directly
- 2:56out to the destination orbit and circularizing, first, you completely overshoot your destination,
- 3:01then come back and circularize. It’s called a bi-elliptic transfer, and it saves fuel
- 3:06because it does its intermediate burn out where gravity is really weak, AND because circularizing
- 3:10an orbit is much easier when you’re arriving from above, rather than arriving from below.
- 3:14For bi-elliptic magic, you first boost yourself onto an elliptical orbit that overshoots 100 or
- 3:201000 times further out than you need to go - it doesn’t cost much extra fuel vs going
- 3:24directly to your final destination because a gravitational well requires less and less
- 3:27additional speed to go further and further out. Then when you’re at the furthest away point,
- 3:31you’re going so slowly and gravity is so weak it takes almost no effort to change orbits,
- 3:35so you can speed up just a miniscule amount to get onto a new transfer
- 3:38ellipse back down to your destination orbit. Then, since you’re coming from above you’ll
- 3:42be going too fast and need to slow down to circularize your orbit - but it turns out it’s
- 3:46much easier to circularize an orbit arriving from above than below. We already mentioned
- 3:50that the target speed for a circular orbit is proportional to one over the square root of r,
- 3:53while coming from below your arrival speed is proportional to one over r, which is much smaller,
- 3:58you might only have 1% or 5% of the target speed, so you need to speed up a lot to circularize from
- 4:02below. Coming from above, though, your arrival speed is proportional to one over the square root
- 4:06of r, just like your target speed - and in fact, it’s just roughly 1.4 times your target speed,
- 4:11meaning you need to slow down only ~30% to get onto a circular orbit from above.
- 4:14The takeaway is that when you come from above and then circularize your orbit,
- 4:17you don’t have to work nearly as hard as if you come from below and circularize.
- 4:21So, the genius of the bi-elliptic transfer is this: you do a little bit more work to go
- 4:25out farther than you need, and from where it’s very easy to come back, in order to
- 4:29save effort on circularizing the final orbit. All-in-all, overshooting is more efficient when
- 4:33your destination is more than around 12 times farther out, but it’s not particularly big
- 4:37savings. If your destination is 20 times out and you overshoot to 40 times out before coming back,
- 4:41then you save 1.7% compared with a direct transfer. If your destination is 100 times
- 4:46further out and you overshoot all the way to 1 million times out before coming back,
- 4:50then you save 7.6% over a direct transfer. Not very much… and there’s a big cost: time.
- 4:57Overshooting so far takes a long time since you slow down more and more the further out
- 5:01you go (so you’d be traveling farther AND doing it more slowly); going 10, 100, or 1000 times further
- 5:06out than your target takes around 600, 20,000, or 700,000 times longer than a direct transfer. So:
- 5:12what’s more valuable, your fuel or your time? Well, if you have a limited amount of fuel,
- 5:16but all the time in the world, then you may want to hear about this last paradox:
- 5:20when doing a bi-elliptic transfer, the more you overshoot, the more fuel you save.
- 5:24Here’s the total fuel needed for a bi-elliptic transfer vs how far out you overshoot,
- 5:28and you can see clearly that the more you overshoot, the less fuel you need.
- 5:31This fact seems ridiculous, because the further out you go, the more fuel is needed during the
- 5:35initial burn to get out all that way, and then, because you’re falling back down
- 5:38from further away, you’ll arrive at your destination going faster and also require
- 5:42more fuel to slow down and recircularise. The reason overshooting farther actually does
- 5:46save you fuel is that you get a bigger saving from the middle transfer burn being really,
- 5:50really far out, than the extra fuel required to get there and return.
- 5:54Specifically, compared to the fuel savings for the middle burn, the extra fuel cost
- 5:57for the final burn is roughly half as much, and the extra fuel cost for the first burn
- 6:00is roughly half times one over the square root of r as much. Since a half plus a half divided
- 6:05by the square root of r is less than one, that means you save more fuel the more you overshoot!
- 6:10The natural conclusion is that, to be as fuel-efficient as possible,
- 6:12your best course of action is to overshoot all the way to infinity!
- 6:15An infinite bi-elliptic transfer is the most efficient simple way to transfer
- 6:19to any destination more than twelve times further away then you’re currently orbiting,
- 6:22saving up to 8% of your fuel. The only problem, other than the savings are not that great,
- 6:27is that it takes an infinite amount of time… Here’s a paradox about AI: people who are more
- 6:34concerned about the risks of AI are less likely to work at AI companies,
- 6:38so then AI products are less likely to take AI safety into account, making the risks even worse!
- 6:43Luckily, some people and organizations are working to push AI in the right direction,
- 6:46like BlueDot Impact, the sponsor of this video. BlueDot Impact is a nonprofit helping people
- 6:51become informed about AI and involved in shaping its future. They're specifically looking for
- 6:55people who feel like they're missing something about AI and want to meaningfully contribute. If
- 6:59that’s you, BlueDot Impact has created a number of completely free courses on AI and AI safety.
- 7:03The decisions being made now about how this technology should be developed
- 7:06are still being made by a relatively small number of people, and these decisions will
- 7:10set the direction for a long time to come. So it is more important than ever to get a
- 7:13wide range of voices educated and involved in AI development from an AI safety and security
- 7:18perspective to make sure it goes well for all of humanity, not just the super-rich. To help
- 7:22you understand AI and find your own place in shaping it, check out the free courses available
- 7:26over at bluedot.org/minutephysics, no technical background required.
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