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This boring trading strategy made me $526,454 — Transcript

by Tori Trades · 6,822 words · 976 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:00Have you ever sat down with a strategy,
  2. 0:01followed it step-by-step, and still
  3. 0:03walked away confused not knowing what
  4. 0:04you were doing? Or have you watched a
  5. 0:06YouTube video promising that you're
  6. 0:07going to have a trading strategy that
  7. 0:09you can walk away with and you were more
  8. 0:10confused afterwards than when you
  9. 0:12[music] started? If you've been jumping
  10. 0:13from strategy to strategy trying to find
  11. 0:15one that resonates with you, one that
  12. 0:16makes sense, one that you can
  13. 0:17understand, that you can repeat again
  14. 0:19and again, you are in the right place.
  15. 0:20Now, there is a reason that none of it
  16. 0:22has stuck yet. Most strategies out there
  17. 0:23are way more complicated than they need
  18. 0:25to be. The more complicated that the
  19. 0:26strategy is, the harder it is to learn,
  20. 0:29the harder it is to actually repeat and
  21. 0:30get started, [music] and longer it's
  22. 0:32going to take you to actually find
  23. 0:33confidence and implement. The strategy
  24. 0:34that I'm going to walk you through today
  25. 0:36is built on one simple tool, trend
  26. 0:38lines. Trend lines are one of the oldest
  27. 0:40and most essential tools in technical
  28. 0:41analysis, and they are the foundation
  29. 0:43that my entire strategy is built on. My
  30. 0:45name is Tori Trades and I've been
  31. 0:46trading for [music] over a decade now. I
  32. 0:48have turned a $5,000 account into over
  33. 0:50half a million dollars in trading. I've
  34. 0:52been using the same exact system for all
  35. 0:5411 years, [music] and I documented the
  36. 0:56entire journey, the highs, the lows, the
  37. 0:59wins, the losses, and everything in
  38. 1:00between. By the end of this video, you
  39. 1:02will have a complete step-by-step system
  40. 1:04on how to analyze any chart and execute
  41. 1:06a trade from start to finish. [music]
  42. 1:07You will not leave this YouTube video
  43. 1:09more confused than when you came.
  44. 1:11Obviously, I'm just really good at what
  45. 1:12I do. So, you just stick around, you're
  46. 1:14going to learn something. But first, I
  47. 1:15want to set the stage. This entire
  48. 1:17strategy is based on one simple concept,
  49. 1:19[music] trend lines. So, let's start at
  50. 1:21the very beginning. What is a trend
  51. 1:22line? A trend line is a line that you
  52. 1:24draw on your chart that shows the
  53. 1:25direction [music] price is moving in.
  54. 1:27Fun fact, trend lines have been used by
  55. 1:29traders for over a hundred freaking
  56. 1:31years. They are one of the original
  57. 1:33tools of technical analysis. I'm talking
  58. 1:35the literal Stone Age basics of
  59. 1:38technical analysis was the trend [music]
  60. 1:40line. And this is dating all the way
  61. 1:41back to Charles Dow, which I'm not sure
  62. 1:44if it sounds a little familiar to you,
  63. 1:45the literal guy himself, the Dow Jones
  64. 1:48is named after. But this is why I love
  65. 1:50trend lines so much. [music] So, it's
  66. 1:51not like some new concept that we're
  67. 1:53trying to reinvent. This is the literal
  68. 1:55foundation [music] of technical
  69. 1:56analysis. So, this trend line based
  70. 1:58strategy allows us to read the markets
  71. 2:00the same way that the best traders way
  72. 2:03back in the day have read it for over a
  73. 2:04century. [music] And I don't know if
  74. 2:05that gives you a peace of mind knowing
  75. 2:07that like we're not reinventing the
  76. 2:08wheel. We're just utilizing the absolute
  77. 2:11foundational [music] essential tool of
  78. 2:13trading. So, now that we know what a
  79. 2:14trend line is, we know it's the basics,
  80. 2:16the essential, the foundation, there are
  81. 2:17two types of trend lines. There's an
  82. 2:19upward trend line and there's a downward
  83. 2:20trend line. The upward trend line is
  84. 2:21what we call bullish. It connects
  85. 2:22[music] higher lows. It means that price
  86. 2:24is pushing up higher. There is a
  87. 2:25downward trend line. This is called a
  88. 2:27bearish trend line. This connects lower
  89. 2:28highs. It means that price is pushing
  90. 2:30lower. The platform that we are going to
  91. 2:32use to draw these trend lines on is
  92. 2:33TradingView. [music]
  93. 2:34This is the most widely used platform
  94. 2:37for all traders ever. It is free to get
  95. 2:39started. It works in your browser and it
  96. 2:41gives you everything that you need to
  97. 2:42analyze your charts and mark [music]
  98. 2:43them up. It's all we need. Now, let's
  99. 2:44talk about the tool. TradingView has a
  100. 2:46bucket of trend line tools. Out of all
  101. 2:48of the trend line tools that TradingView
  102. 2:50has to offer, we're going to use the one
  103. 2:51called the ray tool. The ray tool gives
  104. 2:53us a point A and a point B and then
  105. 2:55extends indefinitely in one direction.
  106. 2:58The point A is the pivot point. The
  107. 3:00point B locks in the degree or the angle
  108. 3:02that we're going to draw it at. And then
  109. 3:03the [music] line will extend
  110. 3:05indefinitely in the other direction to
  111. 3:06help us see what price might potentially
  112. 3:08do in the future. And just because I'm
  113. 3:10kind of artsy-fartsy and I like to color
  114. 3:11code things, I like to make my upward
  115. 3:13trend lines green and my downward trend
  116. 3:14lines red. So, we know what trend lines
  117. 3:16are. We know how important they are when
  118. 3:18it comes to technical analysis. And now
  119. 3:19I'm going to introduce a new concept to
  120. 3:21you guys, which is essentially step one,
  121. 3:23phase one, part one. This is something
  122. 3:26called top-down analysis. So, before we
  123. 3:28hop into the charts and draw any lines,
  124. 3:30we need to talk about top-down analysis.
  125. 3:32Top-down analysis is the process of
  126. 3:35analyzing an asset from a higher time
  127. 3:37frame working your way down. So, it'll
  128. 3:39be a monthly time frame, a weekly time
  129. 3:42frame, [music] a daily time frame, a
  130. 3:434-hour time frame, a 1-hour time frame,
  131. 3:45and then so on and so forth until you
  132. 3:47reach the time frame that you decide to
  133. 3:48execute your trades on. Now, why do we
  134. 3:50use this top-down analysis? Higher time
  135. 3:52frames hold more weight than the lower
  136. 3:54time frames because they contain more
  137. 3:56data, more information. So, they show us
  138. 3:58the major trends, the major key levels,
  139. 4:00and how price has been moving over time.
  140. 4:02The lower time frames show us what's
  141. 4:04happening in the moment, right here,
  142. 4:05right now. The strategy works so well
  143. 4:07because we use both of these time frames
  144. 4:08together. [music] The higher time frame
  145. 4:10gives us context for the lower time
  146. 4:11frames. So, the bigger picture of what
  147. 4:13the markets have done in the past and
  148. 4:15the shifts that they've made, we combine
  149. 4:17that with what the price is doing in the
  150. 4:18lower time frames. Now, I've got a few
  151. 4:19analogies that help us understand why
  152. 4:22higher time frame analysis or top-down
  153. 4:24analysis is so important. So, think
  154. 4:25about it like this. We're going to start
  155. 4:27with the FBI agent analogy, which I know
  156. 4:30there's a lot of women out there that
  157. 4:32feel like they are FBI agents. [music]
  158. 4:33If you know, you know. You investigate,
  159. 4:35you will study the past, every clue,
  160. 4:37every pattern, every piece of history,
  161. 4:40and then you build a case. [music] So,
  162. 4:41by the time that something happens that
  163. 4:42the FBI agent, you know, the one behind
  164. 4:44your computer screen is waiting for you
  165. 4:46to do, they've already anticipated a
  166. 4:47move that you might make because they've
  167. 4:48studied everything you've done in the
  168. 4:49past, [music] your patterns. Another
  169. 4:51analogy would be a fighter. So, let's
  170. 4:53say that you are getting ready to fight
  171. 4:55your opponent. Before a match, you need
  172. 4:57to watch hours of old footage of your
  173. 4:59opponent. Every move that they make,
  174. 5:01their weaknesses, their habits. So,
  175. 5:03[music] by the time you step into the
  176. 5:04ring, you already have an idea of what
  177. 5:05your opponent is likely to do cuz you've
  178. 5:07already studied their habits, their
  179. 5:08moves. Do they usually use their left
  180. 5:09hand? Are they left forward? I mean, I
  181. 5:11don't really know anything about
  182. 5:12fighting, but I'd imagine [music] that's
  183. 5:13the things that you would study. How do
  184. 5:14they block? But, you're prepared when
  185. 5:15you step into the ring because you've
  186. 5:16done your research. And yet again, this
  187. 5:18is exactly what we're doing with higher
  188. 5:20time frames. [music] We are just
  189. 5:21gathering the research. We're doing the
  190. 5:23research on the instrument to help us
  191. 5:25make a more informed [music] decision on
  192. 5:26what it's likely to do in the future.
  193. 5:28So, that is the whole point of top-down
  194. 5:30analysis. This is why it's so important,
  195. 5:32and this is why this is step one when it
  196. 5:34[music] comes to this entire strategy.
  197. 5:35We need to research our instruments. The
  198. 5:37higher time frames give us context, the
  199. 5:39lower time frames give us our entries,
  200. 5:40[music] our trade management, and our
  201. 5:41exits. So, now that we understand why
  202. 5:43we're going to implement top-down
  203. 5:44analysis, let's learn how to do top-down
  204. 5:47analysis. [music] So, now it's time to
  205. 5:48get into the charts, open the screens,
  206. 5:50and draw some lines. Here we go. Now,
  207. 5:52the instrument that we are going to
  208. 5:54practice or learn our top-down analysis
  209. 5:56on is a very popular instrument. One
  210. 5:59that everyone has heard of. I figured
  211. 6:00the most generic and most broad the
  212. 6:02better, so that we can all understand
  213. 6:04and relate. We're going to do our
  214. 6:05top-down analysis on Bitcoin. We are
  215. 6:07looking at Bitcoin on TradingView. Now,
  216. 6:09what you see in front of you is a
  217. 6:11completely naked chart. There are no
  218. 6:13indicators on it. There's no volume.
  219. 6:16There's no [music] session lines. This
  220. 6:18is purely price action. This is the
  221. 6:21movement of Bitcoin. This is all we
  222. 6:24need. Now, when we do our top-down
  223. 6:25analysis, it's a quite literal term or a
  224. 6:28quite literal phrase, we start at the
  225. 6:29top and work our way down. So, that
  226. 6:31means we're going to start with the
  227. 6:32highest time frame. We're going to go to
  228. 6:34the monthly time frame on Bitcoin.
  229. 6:37This right here is everything Bitcoin
  230. 6:39has ever done. This is our full context.
  231. 6:41This is us doing our research on Bitcoin
  232. 6:43before we get married, before we
  233. 6:45actually place a trade. What we're going
  234. 6:46to do is utilize our trend lines. And
  235. 6:48remember, TradingView has the trend line
  236. 6:51toolbox over here. And then the specific
  237. 6:53trend line tool that we're going to use
  238. 6:55is the ray tool. So, you can go ahead
  239. 6:56and star that.
  240. 6:57This will keep the tool right here
  241. 6:59easily accessible to the left. So, we
  242. 7:01are going to start using our trend
  243. 7:02lines. But, the top-down analysis is
  244. 7:04what gives them structure. It gives the
  245. 7:07entire strategy or the entire system
  246. 7:09repeatability and a process. A
  247. 7:11step-by-step process that you can
  248. 7:13implement [music] across any instrument.
  249. 7:15So, after today's video, we'll have done
  250. 7:17it together with Bitcoin, but you can do
  251. 7:18it your own on crude oil, on gold, on
  252. 7:21the Nasdaq, on the Dow, on Tesla. You
  253. 7:24can do this same top-down analysis on
  254. 7:26any instrument, which is the coolest
  255. 7:27part. Now, what we're doing with these
  256. 7:29trend lines, this top-down analysis, is
  257. 7:31taking all of the context of everything
  258. 7:33it's ever done, leading all the way up
  259. 7:35to real-time price action to help us
  260. 7:37with a decision real-time. The price of
  261. 7:40Bitcoin right now is at 78,015.
  262. 7:42We to do our top-down analysis and draw
  263. 7:44our trend lines tracking all the way up
  264. 7:46as close to real-time price action as we
  265. 7:48can. Now, what does that look like? That
  266. 7:50means we're going to identify trends in
  267. 7:53every single one of these time frames
  268. 7:54leading all the way up to the one-hour
  269. 7:56time frame. When we're drawing our very
  270. 7:58first ever trend line, we are going to
  271. 8:00look for the lowest point we see on the
  272. 8:01screen.
  273. 8:02Now, there's going to be a few rules and
  274. 8:04guidelines that we have to these trend
  275. 8:05lines specifically. One rule will be
  276. 8:07specific to the very first trend line we
  277. 8:09draw. The very first trend line we draw
  278. 8:11needs to start with the lowest point we
  279. 8:13see on the screen.
  280. 8:15This is going to be the first rule for
  281. 8:16our very first upward trend line. Just a
  282. 8:19preface. We'll have upward trend lines
  283. 8:20and downward. Remember, bullish and
  284. 8:21bearish trend lines. So, the rule for
  285. 8:23drawing our very first upward trend
  286. 8:25line, we're looking for the lowest point
  287. 8:26we see on the screen. [music] We also
  288. 8:28need to have this line angled in some
  289. 8:30degree upwards. This cannot be a
  290. 8:33horizontal line. So, I'll show you what
  291. 8:35would be incorrect and what would be
  292. 8:36correct.
  293. 8:39This right here, using the actual lowest
  294. 8:41points of Bitcoin, this line would be
  295. 8:43incorrect. This is a horizontal line.
  296. 8:46When drawing our very first upward trend
  297. 8:47line, it has to angle upwards. So, we're
  298. 8:49going to use the lowest point we see on
  299. 8:51the screen while also angling our trend
  300. 8:53line upward. Now, what are some other
  301. 8:55rules for our trend line? When
  302. 8:56continuing to draw trend lines, we're
  303. 8:58going to have these set of guidelines to
  304. 8:59abide by. One, [music] every trend line
  305. 9:01has to connect to one another. Two, we
  306. 9:02try to capture as many touch points as
  307. 9:04possible. Three, price cannot have
  308. 9:06intersected or poked through the trend
  309. 9:08line. As long as we follow these three
  310. 9:10rules, you'll be able to correctly move
  311. 9:11through your top-down analysis. So,
  312. 9:13anytime you're unsure, just go back to
  313. 9:14those same rules. Make sure, okay, did
  314. 9:15my trend line connect to the last one?
  315. 9:17Am I trying to capture as many touch
  316. 9:18points as possible? And have I made sure
  317. 9:20that price hasn't crossed through or
  318. 9:22intersected my trend line? So, on our
  319. 9:23very first upward trend line, we were
  320. 9:25able to capture one, two, three touch
  321. 9:27points. Great. We captured as many touch
  322. 9:28points as possible. It's angled upward.
  323. 9:31Price hasn't poked through or
  324. 9:32intersected.
  325. 9:33>> [music]
  326. 9:34>> Now, when drawing our next trend line, a
  327. 9:35good rule of thumb here to figure out or
  328. 9:38to remember how to connect each one of
  329. 9:40our trendlines is Remember I said we
  330. 9:42have these two points here, a point A
  331. 9:45and a point B. We've got a pivot point,
  332. 9:48which is our initial starting touch
  333. 9:50point, and then we've got our point B,
  334. 9:51which locks in the angle or the degree
  335. 9:53of where we're drawing our trendline.
  336. 9:56I like to call this one point A, this
  337. 9:57one point B.
  338. 9:59When connecting trendlines, the previous
  339. 10:01point B will always be the new point A.
  340. 10:05So, drawing a new trendline here, we've
  341. 10:06got a new point A. It's going to start
  342. 10:09at the previous trendline's point B.
  343. 10:11Boom.
  344. 10:12Now, we're going to follow these same
  345. 10:13exact rules that we just
  346. 10:15followed in the last trendline. Try to
  347. 10:17capture as many touchpoints as possible.
  348. 10:20Make sure that the line connects to one
  349. 10:21another, and price cannot have poked
  350. 10:23through or intersected. Now, I want to
  351. 10:25give you an example of what it looks
  352. 10:26like to have had price intersect or poke
  353. 10:28through, and what's incorrect.
  354. 10:30>> [music]
  355. 10:30>> If this line was to go up any steeper
  356. 10:32like this,
  357. 10:33this line would be incorrect. Price has
  358. 10:35broken through the trendline already.
  359. 10:37So, you want to think of these
  360. 10:38trendlines as truly holding the price
  361. 10:40up. So, this would be the correct
  362. 10:42placement of our next trendline. So,
  363. 10:44we're working towards getting as close
  364. 10:45to real-time price action as possible.
  365. 10:47So, we're going to continue connecting
  366. 10:48and drawing these trendlines until we
  367. 10:50can get as close to here as we can. So,
  368. 10:51that means we have more trendlines to
  369. 10:52draw. So, let's keep going. Next
  370. 10:54trendline, same rules. Previous point B
  371. 10:56is new point A. Capture as many
  372. 10:57touchpoints as possible without price
  373. 11:00intersecting. Okay? We have followed all
  374. 11:02of our guidelines, and we are ready to
  375. 11:03draw yet one more upward trendline.
  376. 11:06Previous point B, new point A.
  377. 11:09And this is as far as we can go for this
  378. 11:11one. This is all of the upward
  379. 11:13trendlines that we can draw for the
  380. 11:14monthly timeframe on Bitcoin. We do need
  381. 11:17[music] a downward trendline. So, we
  382. 11:19want to track upward and downward
  383. 11:21trends, bullish and bearish trends.
  384. 11:22There's going to be some instances where
  385. 11:24on higher timeframes, there isn't a
  386. 11:27downward trendline to draw, but in this
  387. 11:28instance, we can here in Bitcoin. So,
  388. 11:30we're going to draw our very first
  389. 11:31downward trendline. So, remember we had
  390. 11:33some rules for our very first upward
  391. 11:34trend line. We're going to implement
  392. 11:35those same rules, same same but
  393. 11:37different, for the downward trend line.
  394. 11:38So, for our very first downward trend
  395. 11:40line that we're drawing on the monthly
  396. 11:41time frame, we're looking for the
  397. 11:42highest point that we see on the screen,
  398. 11:44and then we just continue to implement
  399. 11:45the same exact guidelines or the same
  400. 11:46exact rules as before.
  401. 11:48Try to capture as many touch points as
  402. 11:49possible without having price
  403. 11:51intersected or poked through. And I'm
  404. 11:53going to change the color of the
  405. 11:54downward trend lines just to
  406. 11:56differentiate the two. Now, we've got
  407. 11:57red downward and green upward. So, this
  408. 12:00is all we can do on the monthly time
  409. 12:02frame. We've gotten as close to
  410. 12:04real-time price action as we can. This
  411. 12:05is now our indication that we can
  412. 12:07continue this top-down process. So, we
  413. 12:09did everything that we need to do in the
  414. 12:11monthly. Now, we're going to do the same
  415. 12:12exact process in the weekly time frame.
  416. 12:14Weekly time [music] frame here. Quick
  417. 12:15tip here. So, when we go from the higher
  418. 12:17time frames to the lower time frames,
  419. 12:18think of it like we are looking at price
  420. 12:20with a magnifying glass or under a
  421. 12:22stronger and stronger lens. So, that
  422. 12:23means we're getting a little bit more
  423. 12:25precise and we're seeing more price
  424. 12:27action or more movement. So, when we go
  425. 12:29from the higher time frames to the lower
  426. 12:30time frames, you'll notice that things
  427. 12:31are just a little bit off or a little
  428. 12:33bit wonky. All we'll do is just simply
  429. 12:34make some adjustments to make sure we're
  430. 12:36still following those rules. So, price
  431. 12:38poked through just a little bit here.
  432. 12:39We'll take this line and adjust it.
  433. 12:41Price was a little bit off on this line
  434. 12:42here. We're going to take the line,
  435. 12:44simply adjust it, get it a little bit
  436. 12:45more accurate. There we go. And then
  437. 12:47same for the downward trend line. It's a
  438. 12:48little bit off, so we're just going to
  439. 12:49simply adjust it here and adjust this
  440. 12:51one here. There we go. So, this is just
  441. 12:53a tip to keep in mind when you're going
  442. 12:54to the lower time frames. You'll just
  443. 12:56need to make some slight adjustments
  444. 12:57every time. Okay, now we're in the
  445. 12:58weekly time frame. For the weekly time
  446. 13:00frame, there are no additional downward
  447. 13:01trend lines we can draw. We've gotten as
  448. 13:03close to real-time price action as
  449. 13:05possible in this time frame. But, there
  450. 13:07is some additional upward trend lines
  451. 13:08that we can draw to help get us closer.
  452. 13:10So, we're going to follow the same
  453. 13:11[music] steps, the same guidelines. When
  454. 13:14drawing another trend line, make sure it
  455. 13:15connects to one another. Previous point
  456. 13:17B is new point A. Capture as many touch
  457. 13:19points as possible without price
  458. 13:20intersecting. Now, I'm going to make
  459. 13:22this green again. There we go. And that
  460. 13:24is as far as we can go in the weekly
  461. 13:25time frame. So, not as many trend lines
  462. 13:27that we needed to draw on the weekly and
  463. 13:29that'll happen with different
  464. 13:30instruments that you do a top-down
  465. 13:31analysis on. But, for this one
  466. 13:33specifically, not too much we needed to
  467. 13:35do on the weekly. So, now it's our
  468. 13:36indication, we can continue to move
  469. 13:38down. We did monthly, we did weekly, now
  470. 13:40let's work our way down to the daily
  471. 13:42timeframe. And you'll see some
  472. 13:43adjustments need to be made, price poked
  473. 13:45through a little bit over here, we just
  474. 13:46need to make some adjustments.
  475. 13:49There we go.
  476. 13:51Adjust this one here, perfect.
  477. 13:54And adjust this [music] one
  478. 13:56here. Now, we can see a steeper upward
  479. 13:58trend line that we can draw. Previous
  480. 13:59point B is new point A.
  481. 14:01Try to capture as many touch points as
  482. 14:03possible without price intersecting.
  483. 14:05There are [music] still no additional
  484. 14:07downward trend lines we can draw. So,
  485. 14:09this is our indication, we can continue
  486. 14:11moving down. Now, let's go to the 4-hour
  487. 14:12timeframe. 4-hour timeframe, we need to
  488. 14:14make some slight adjustments here,
  489. 14:16slight adjustment here, and now we can
  490. 14:18finally come in with one more steeper
  491. 14:20downward trend line.
  492. 14:21>> [music]
  493. 14:21>> Capture as many touch points as
  494. 14:22possible, we're going to make it red,
  495. 14:24make sure price hasn't intersected, and
  496. 14:25we're going to reach our final
  497. 14:27destination. Now, we're going to move
  498. 14:28down to our final timeframe here, the
  499. 14:301-hour timeframe. So, we're going to
  500. 14:32stop in the 1-hour timeframe for this
  501. 14:33video's example. It does not mean that
  502. 14:35you have to stop at the 1-hour
  503. 14:36timeframe. If you decide to trade a
  504. 14:38lower timeframe, you'll just continue
  505. 14:40these same steps with the same process
  506. 14:41working your way down to the lower. For
  507. 14:43example, if you trade a 5-minute
  508. 14:44timeframe, you will go from the 1-hour
  509. 14:46to the 30-minute to the 15 to the 10
  510. 14:48then to the five. That's where you'll
  511. 14:49stop. But, for today, we're going to
  512. 14:51stop at the 1-hour timeframe. Now, we
  513. 14:52have made it to the 1-hour timeframe and
  514. 14:54there are no additional lines that need
  515. 14:56to be drawn. We have completed our very
  516. 14:58first top-down analysis.
  517. 15:00Congratulations. Okay, now that you know
  518. 15:02how to do your top-down analysis, here's
  519. 15:04where we are. We have a chart, we have a
  520. 15:05bunch of trend lines, some are bullish,
  521. 15:07some are bearish, some are going up,
  522. 15:08some are going down, some are green,
  523. 15:09some are red. So, right now, they're
  524. 15:11just lines. It's just showing us what
  525. 15:12price has done in the past and [music]
  526. 15:14how it's gotten to where it's at now,
  527. 15:16how it's gotten to real-time price
  528. 15:17action. But, that brings me to my
  529. 15:18absolute favorite [music] part of this
  530. 15:20entire strategy. We don't ever have to
  531. 15:22guess where price is going next. It is
  532. 15:24one of the coolest parts and the most
  533. 15:26exciting part of the strategy and it
  534. 15:28gets me so excited and I don't know if
  535. 15:29you've ever heard of girlfriend brain,
  536. 15:30but this is like this strategy is
  537. 15:33girlfriend brain. We don't have to
  538. 15:34figure out what we're going to eat for
  539. 15:35dinner tonight, where we're going, what
  540. 15:37we want to wear. This is where it all
  541. 15:40comes together. The price [music] is the
  542. 15:41one in control. The price will tell us
  543. 15:43when to get in. The price will tell us
  544. 15:44what direction to take and the price
  545. 15:45will tell us when to get out. Our entire
  546. 15:47job in this whole system in this whole
  547. 15:49strategy is to simply follow the price.
  548. 15:52That is the strategy. Now, I'm going to
  549. 15:54introduce you to two terms that makes
  550. 15:56all of this come together, that makes
  551. 15:57all of this work. The two terms you need
  552. 15:59to know is action line and safety
  553. 16:01[music] line. So, let's start with the
  554. 16:02action line. The action line is yet
  555. 16:04another very literal term. [music] I
  556. 16:06love the literal, easy to understand
  557. 16:08terms of the strategy. Action line means
  558. 16:10it is time to take action, time to place
  559. 16:13a trade. This is when we enter a
  560. 16:14position. So, here's the logic and this
  561. 16:16part is super important. If [music]
  562. 16:17price breaks an upward trend line, that
  563. 16:19means the uptrend is being violated.
  564. 16:21Buyers aren't in control anymore, so we
  565. 16:23are taking a short position. We're
  566. 16:25betting the price continues down. If
  567. 16:27price breaks a downward trend line, that
  568. 16:29means that the downtrend is being
  569. 16:30violated. [music] Sellers are not in
  570. 16:32control anymore, so we take a long
  571. 16:34position. We are betting the price
  572. 16:35continues up. The line that price broke
  573. 16:37is our action line and the direction
  574. 16:39that price broke will tell us which
  575. 16:41direction to trade. That right there.
  576. 16:42Price breaks a line, we take a trade in
  577. 16:44the direction [music] of the break. That
  578. 16:46is your entry criteria, that is your
  579. 16:47foundation. Quick note, there are ways
  580. 16:49to get more picky about your There are
  581. 16:51things that you can layer on to help you
  582. 16:54get pickier about your setups. There's
  583. 16:55different playbooks that you can take,
  584. 16:56but in today's video we're going to go
  585. 16:58over the foundation of the entry model
  586. 16:59here. Now, the second term, the [music]
  587. 17:01safety line. The safety line is exactly
  588. 17:03what it sounds like. It is the line
  589. 17:04that's going to keep us safe in our
  590. 17:05trade. The safety line will always be
  591. 17:07the opposing trend line to the action
  592. 17:09[music] line. It is the line moving in
  593. 17:10the opposite direction of the action
  594. 17:12line. So, if we took a short position
  595. 17:13because price broke an upward trend
  596. 17:15line, our safety line is the downward
  597. 17:16trend line above price. If we took a
  598. 17:18long position because price broke a
  599. 17:19downward trendline, our safety line is
  600. 17:21the upward trendline below price. Now,
  601. 17:23here's how it works. As long as price
  602. 17:24[music] keeps moving in our direction
  603. 17:26and respects the safety line, we stay in
  604. 17:28the trade. The safety line is literally
  605. 17:30the line just keeping us safe in our
  606. 17:31trade. And it's always keeping us in
  607. 17:33profit. As soon as price violates the
  608. 17:35safety line, we are no longer safe in
  609. 17:37our trade, it is time to close our
  610. 17:39position. And that is our exit. So, just
  611. 17:40like our entry criteria, this is our
  612. 17:42exit criteria. We don't have to guess
  613. 17:43when to close our trade. Price will tell
  614. 17:45us exactly when to do that. Are there
  615. 17:46more layers? Yes. There is criteria,
  616. 17:48there are things that we can do to help
  617. 17:49us get more precise. There are filters
  618. 17:51that can help us look for the best
  619. 17:52setups, and there are a ton of different
  620. 17:54playbooks that you can use with this.
  621. 17:55But, the foundation is this. Action line
  622. 17:57gets us in, safety line gets [music] us
  623. 17:59out. You know when to enter because
  624. 18:00price told you, and you know when to
  625. 18:02exit because price told you. If I had to
  626. 18:03take everything that I have learned in
  627. 18:05the past 11 years of trading and boil it
  628. 18:07down into three words, it would be that:
  629. 18:10follow the price. [music] Now, let's get
  630. 18:11into a few advanced tips here. Let's get
  631. 18:13into position sizing, stop losses, and
  632. 18:15trade management. We now know when to
  633. 18:17enter and what direction to take [music]
  634. 18:19the trade in. But, that is only half the
  635. 18:20trade. The other half is how much to put
  636. 18:22into the trade. And this means how many
  637. 18:24shares, how many contracts, [music] how
  638. 18:25many lots, how big of a position size
  639. 18:28are we getting into this trade? And how
  640. 18:30much money are you willing to lose if
  641. 18:31this trade doesn't work out? That
  642. 18:33decision is on you. Unfortunately, there
  643. 18:35is some part of the strategy that does
  644. 18:37require your own discretion or your own
  645. 18:39decision. And that is [music] position
  646. 18:40sizing. But, it comes down to two
  647. 18:41things: position sizing and stop loss.
  648. 18:44Now, what is a stop loss? Stop loss is
  649. 18:46also exactly what it sounds like. It is
  650. 18:47a tool that stops your loss. Now, you
  651. 18:49will set this before you even get into
  652. 18:50your trade. So, this is what you decide.
  653. 18:52If you get into this position because of
  654. 18:53our action line, price moves against me
  655. 18:55and violates [music] my safety line, how
  656. 18:57much am I willing to lose? The stop loss
  657. 18:59closes the trade for you automatically.
  658. 19:01It is how you protect yourself from
  659. 19:02losing more than you planned. Now,
  660. 19:03[music] for us, we know our entry model,
  661. 19:05we know our exit model, and we know that
  662. 19:06our exit model is the safety line. So,
  663. 19:08the stop loss will always go on the
  664. 19:10other side of the safety line. So, if
  665. 19:11price hits that level, violates the
  666. 19:13safety line, that is where a [music]
  667. 19:14stop loss will be initiated. And that's
  668. 19:16how we know the trade is no longer
  669. 19:17working. That's how we know we're no
  670. 19:19longer safe in our position, close our
  671. 19:20trade. Now, position sizing. What is
  672. 19:22position sizing? Position sizing is how
  673. 19:24big your trade is. How many shares of a
  674. 19:26stock, how many contracts [music] of a
  675. 19:28future, how many lots of a forex pair,
  676. 19:30how many is the position sizing. Now,
  677. 19:32the bigger position sizing, the more
  678. 19:33money that you'll make if it moves in
  679. 19:35your favor or if the trade works out,
  680. 19:36but also the more money that you'll lose
  681. 19:38if it doesn't work out. So, how do you
  682. 19:40decide how big to go? You base it on how
  683. 19:42much you're willing to lose. That is
  684. 19:43essentially it. Now, we do have a rule
  685. 19:44of thumb for beginners. Never risk more
  686. 19:46than 1 to 2% of your capital on a single
  687. 19:48trade. Capital just means the amount of
  688. 19:50money that you have deposited in your
  689. 19:51account, the amount of money that you
  690. 19:53have to trade with. So, if you have
  691. 19:54$10,000 in your account and you're
  692. 19:57willing to [music] risk 1 to 2%, that
  693. 19:59means you're willing to lose 100 to $200
  694. 20:01per trade. So, that is the most that
  695. 20:03you're willing to risk on any [music]
  696. 20:04single trade. If you risk too much per
  697. 20:06trade, one bad trade could entirely wipe
  698. 20:08you out or take a huge hit to your
  699. 20:10account. So, [music] when it comes to
  700. 20:11trading, we're working with
  701. 20:12probabilities, so we want to keep that
  702. 20:14range of 1 to 2% so that you could take
  703. 20:16like 10 losses in a row,
  704. 20:18back-to-back-to-back, [music]
  705. 20:18and you still haven't made a huge dent
  706. 20:20on your account. And that allows
  707. 20:21probabilities to work in our favor.
  708. 20:23Small risk per trade [music] keeps you
  709. 20:24in the game, and that's why this is a
  710. 20:25great rule of thumb for beginners. It
  711. 20:27allows the beginners to stay in long
  712. 20:29enough to actually see it through. Now,
  713. 20:30quick side note before we keep going,
  714. 20:31you may be thinking, "I don't have
  715. 20:33$10,000 to trade with, so these numbers
  716. 20:35aren't even really clicking to me." But
  717. 20:36don't worry, that's not an issue. There
  718. 20:37is a solution. We'll get into it later
  719. 20:39in the video. But just keep that in the
  720. 20:40back of your mind, but for now, let's
  721. 20:41keep going. Now, here's one last concept
  722. 20:43to add to all of this, trailing your
  723. 20:45stop. The safety line isn't just where
  724. 20:46you place your initial stop loss. As
  725. 20:48price moves in your favor and respects
  726. 20:50your safety line, your stop will trail
  727. 20:52along that safety line. This allows you
  728. 20:54to maximize on profits when you're up
  729. 20:56instead of allowing price to come all
  730. 20:57the way back down to the original stop
  731. 20:59loss. So, you move it, it's dynamic. It
  732. 21:01moves along with the safety line. This
  733. 21:03is called your trailing stop. [music]
  734. 21:04Think of it this way, the safety line is
  735. 21:06a dynamic concept. Price will continue
  736. 21:08to ebb and flow and move along your
  737. 21:10safety line. The stop loss we will keep
  738. 21:12adjusting. [music]
  739. 21:13Your stop loss follows that same line.
  740. 21:15So, the longer that the trade is working
  741. 21:16out, the more [music] profits that
  742. 21:17you'll lock in along the way. Now, this
  743. 21:19part is hands-on. You will be manually
  744. 21:20moving your stop along the safety line
  745. 21:23as price [music] progresses. As price
  746. 21:25shifts and moves along with your safety
  747. 21:27line, you will take that stop loss and
  748. 21:29continue [music] to move it as price
  749. 21:30ebbs and flows along your safety line.
  750. 21:32So, that is essentially the stop loss
  751. 21:34placement [music] and safety line in
  752. 21:36one. Your safety line is your trailing
  753. 21:38stop. They are one in the same. And for
  754. 21:40some traders who have already been doing
  755. 21:42this for a while, the acronym SL, safety
  756. 21:44[music] line, same as stop loss, SL.
  757. 21:47But, it tells you exactly where your
  758. 21:48stop should be and how you should trail
  759. 21:49them and how you should move them.
  760. 21:50Everything is dictated by what price
  761. 21:52does. [music] If the price moves along
  762. 21:54and respects your safety line, so does
  763. 21:56your stop loss. If price moves along
  764. 21:58your safety line, [music] you're staying
  765. 21:59in your trade. As soon as price
  766. 22:01violates, you're closing your trade. All
  767. 22:03of our decision-making is done based on
  768. 22:04what the price is doing. Follow the
  769. 22:06price. Always come back to that phrase.
  770. 22:08Here's what every single trade looks
  771. 22:09like for us. One, top-down analysis.
  772. 22:11Make sure you mark up your charts.
  773. 22:13You've done your research on what price
  774. 22:14has done overall leading all the way up
  775. 22:16to real-time price action. Two, action
  776. 22:17line. Wait for price to break your trend
  777. 22:19line and then you get into a trade in
  778. 22:20the direction of the break. Three,
  779. 22:21pre-planned position sizing and stop
  780. 22:24loss [music] placement. This is our
  781. 22:25initial risk. How much are we willing to
  782. 22:26lose if we get into this position?
  783. 22:28Remember, 1 to 2% of your capital for
  784. 22:30beginners. Four, trail your safety line.
  785. 22:32And then five, price tells you when to
  786. 22:34exit. [music] as price violates the
  787. 22:35safety line, it's time to close the
  788. 22:36trade. That is the entire framework,
  789. 22:38step by step. And if you want to see the
  790. 22:40strategy be implemented on a live
  791. 22:41account, I've done plenty of trade
  792. 22:43breakdowns where I go over this exact
  793. 22:45strategy using my own personal live
  794. 22:46account. Click any of the videos over
  795. 22:47here. Later in this video, I'm going to
  796. 22:49show you exactly how we utilize these
  797. 22:50trend lines to place our trades. And I'm
  798. 22:52going to show you this process in real
  799. 22:54time, step by step, what the market is
  800. 22:56doing right now, today. Here's what to
  801. 22:58do next. Go on to TradingView and
  802. 22:59activate their paper trading account.
  803. 23:01You want to enter a number that is
  804. 23:03closer to the realistic amount that
  805. 23:04you're actually going to be trading
  806. 23:05with. This is how you get the reps in
  807. 23:07and this is where you start. You can
  808. 23:08enter $10,000, you can enter 20, 25, 50,
  809. 23:11100k, 200k, whatever you think would be
  810. 23:13more realistic to what you'd actually
  811. 23:15like to trade with. Paper trading is
  812. 23:16using fake money, but you've got real
  813. 23:18market conditions and real price action.
  814. 23:20So, you follow the same exact rules or
  815. 23:22the same exact system that we just went
  816. 23:23over. Same setups, same risk, same stop
  817. 23:26losses. This is where you're going to
  818. 23:27get the reps in, build the consistency,
  819. 23:29master the strategy. Once you've done
  820. 23:31that, once you have actually proven
  821. 23:32consistency to yourself that this
  822. 23:34strategy works, that's when you get to
  823. 23:36look into something called a prop firm.
  824. 23:38Prop firm is short for proprietary
  825. 23:39trading firm. This is a company that
  826. 23:41will give you access to trading capital.
  827. 23:43So, instead of risking your own $10,000,
  828. 23:45remember we talked earlier about if you
  829. 23:46don't have $10,000 to invest into a
  830. 23:48trading account, this is the
  831. 23:49alternative. They will give you access
  832. 23:51to trading 10,000, 25,000, 50,000, 100
  833. 23:54to even $200,000 worth of trading
  834. 23:56capital. Here's how it works. You pay a
  835. 23:58small fee to take an evaluation. The
  836. 24:00evaluation is a test, so come to the
  837. 24:01test prepared. They will give you a
  838. 24:03simulated account at the size that
  839. 24:04you're trying to get funded for, so
  840. 24:06you'll take an evaluation for a 10k
  841. 24:08account, you'll take an evaluation for a
  842. 24:1050k account, or a 100k account. So, you
  843. 24:11have to prove that you can trade
  844. 24:13profitably and consistently using their
  845. 24:15rules. Things like a daily loss limit,
  846. 24:17profit targets, etc. If you pass the
  847. 24:19evaluation, you get access to the funded
  848. 24:21account. Capital from the firm to trade
  849. 24:23with. And when you make money on that
  850. 24:24account, you and the prop firm split the
  851. 24:26profits. Most firms pay out between 70
  852. 24:29and 90% of profits to the trader. The
  853. 24:31reason that I love prop firms so much is
  854. 24:32that it is the lowest barrier to entry
  855. 24:34to get into trading. These evaluations
  856. 24:36cost anywhere between 50 to $100. So,
  857. 24:39think about this. If you want to trade a
  858. 24:40$100,000 in a futures account, you've
  859. 24:42got to deposit $100,000 in a futures
  860. 24:44account. Most people don't have that.
  861. 24:45With a prop firm, the only amount of
  862. 24:47money that you're risking is the amount
  863. 24:49that you paid for the evaluation, which
  864. 24:50is usually around $100. And that's it.
  865. 24:52Get funded and start trading. It is
  866. 24:54hands down the best path forward for
  867. 24:56anyone who's serious about trading that
  868. 24:58doesn't have that larger amount of
  869. 24:59capital to start with. Now, here's my
  870. 25:01recommendation, Alpha Futures. Alpha
  871. 25:02Futures has a 50K premium account that
  872. 25:05costs around $79 for the evaluation.
  873. 25:07That gets you access to $50,000 worth of
  874. 25:10futures capital. And if you enter code
  875. 25:11Tory at the checkout, you'll get a
  876. 25:13discount. And if you're not a futures
  877. 25:14trader, there's also Alpha Capital, and
  878. 25:16you can use code Tory for a discount
  879. 25:18there as well. So, if you want to take
  880. 25:19the next step, the link will be in the
  881. 25:20description below. Now, there's one more
  882. 25:22thing. If you have made it this far, it
  883. 25:24is the ongoing maintenance of our trend
  884. 25:26lines. What does that look like? If you
  885. 25:28do your top-down analysis, you wait for
  886. 25:30price to cross one of your lines, you
  887. 25:31close your screens, maybe a day goes by,
  888. 25:33you come back. How do you readjust your
  889. 25:35lines? How do you maintain the lines?
  890. 25:37So, I want to go over that example
  891. 25:38before we finish today's video. How do
  892. 25:40you continue to do this again and again
  893. 25:41after today? So, your chart is not a
  894. 25:43static picture. The price is not going
  895. 25:45to just stay where you left it when you
  896. 25:46do your top-down analysis. Price will
  897. 25:48continue to ebb and flow and move. So,
  898. 25:50as price moves through your old trend
  899. 25:51lines, you need to update your lines.
  900. 25:53You need to update to new touch points,
  901. 25:55new highs and new [music] lows. Markets
  902. 25:56are always changing directions, always
  903. 25:58creating new trends, so your trend lines
  904. 25:59need to adapt with them. Now, this is
  905. 26:01what you do regularly. This is not on a
  906. 26:03weekly basis or a monthly basis.
  907. 26:05Adjusting your lines is on a daily
  908. 26:06basis. So, you'll sit down, you'll go to
  909. 26:08your designated time frame, and see what
  910. 26:10lines need to be adjusted. Your daily
  911. 26:12routine is what separates you from
  912. 26:14traders who guess versus traders who
  913. 26:15have an actual system and an actual
  914. 26:17process. Now, let me show you what this
  915. 26:18looks like on the charts. Now, let's say
  916. 26:20that you go back to Bitcoin. You've done
  917. 26:23your top-down analysis already, but the
  918. 26:25price has since then crossed through. It
  919. 26:27has broken through and violated one of
  920. 26:29the trend lines. Now, you weren't able
  921. 26:31to get into a position when it crossed,
  922. 26:33so you need to modify or adjust your
  923. 26:35trend lines to prepare for the next
  924. 26:37move. This is what the ongoing
  925. 26:39maintenance looks like.
  926. 26:40If you open up your charts and price has
  927. 26:42already crossed through some of your
  928. 26:43trend lines, you're going to go back and
  929. 26:45abide by those same rules that we went
  930. 26:46over. Make sure price is not
  931. 26:48intersected. Make sure lines will always
  932. 26:50connect to one another, and try to
  933. 26:52capture as many touch points as
  934. 26:53possible.
  935. 26:54So, if I want to adjust this line
  936. 26:56>> [music]
  937. 26:56>> to the correct area based on what price
  938. 26:58has done now,
  939. 27:00I will take this point B and move it
  940. 27:02here. Now, price has not intersected and
  941. 27:04I've still followed all of my rules.
  942. 27:06This is what the ongoing maintenance
  943. 27:07looks like. Now, once price breaks one
  944. 27:09of these two lines, we understand that
  945. 27:11we've got an entry, we've got trade
  946. 27:12management, and we've got an exit. But,
  947. 27:13as you maintain your lines and as you
  948. 27:15continue to watch price day after day,
  949. 27:17you will need to adjust these lines. And
  950. 27:19this is what the ongoing maintenance
  951. 27:20looks like. So, now you have a clear
  952. 27:22idea of how to get in, how to manage a
  953. 27:24trade, how to get out, and what the
  954. 27:26ongoing maintenance looks like for trend
  955. 27:28lines. How do we adjust them when price
  956. 27:29breaks them and we didn't get in on the
  957. 27:31opportunity or we didn't get in on the
  958. 27:32trade. That's everything. So, there it
  959. 27:34is, the complete trend line system. No
  960. 27:36indicators, no noise, no confusion, a
  961. 27:39very clear step-by-step system and
  962. 27:41strategy. You start from the top,
  963. 27:43monthly, weekly, [music] daily, 4-hour,
  964. 27:441-hour, or continue down to some lower
  965. 27:46time frames. You know exactly when to
  966. 27:47enter your trades, how to manage your
  967. 27:49trades, and when to exit. And you even
  968. 27:51know how to maintain your trend lines
  969. 27:52after price has already broken through.
  970. 27:53So, that is the whole system. It is
  971. 27:55simple, it is repeatable, it works on
  972. 27:58any market, [music] any instrument, and
  973. 28:00any time frame. This is purely a price
  974. 28:02action-based trend line system. [music]
  975. 28:04Thanks for watching, everybody. Hope
  976. 28:05this is helpful.

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