This boring trading strategy made me $526,454 — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00Have you ever sat down with a strategy,
- 0:01followed it step-by-step, and still
- 0:03walked away confused not knowing what
- 0:04you were doing? Or have you watched a
- 0:06YouTube video promising that you're
- 0:07going to have a trading strategy that
- 0:09you can walk away with and you were more
- 0:10confused afterwards than when you
- 0:12[music] started? If you've been jumping
- 0:13from strategy to strategy trying to find
- 0:15one that resonates with you, one that
- 0:16makes sense, one that you can
- 0:17understand, that you can repeat again
- 0:19and again, you are in the right place.
- 0:20Now, there is a reason that none of it
- 0:22has stuck yet. Most strategies out there
- 0:23are way more complicated than they need
- 0:25to be. The more complicated that the
- 0:26strategy is, the harder it is to learn,
- 0:29the harder it is to actually repeat and
- 0:30get started, [music] and longer it's
- 0:32going to take you to actually find
- 0:33confidence and implement. The strategy
- 0:34that I'm going to walk you through today
- 0:36is built on one simple tool, trend
- 0:38lines. Trend lines are one of the oldest
- 0:40and most essential tools in technical
- 0:41analysis, and they are the foundation
- 0:43that my entire strategy is built on. My
- 0:45name is Tori Trades and I've been
- 0:46trading for [music] over a decade now. I
- 0:48have turned a $5,000 account into over
- 0:50half a million dollars in trading. I've
- 0:52been using the same exact system for all
- 0:5411 years, [music] and I documented the
- 0:56entire journey, the highs, the lows, the
- 0:59wins, the losses, and everything in
- 1:00between. By the end of this video, you
- 1:02will have a complete step-by-step system
- 1:04on how to analyze any chart and execute
- 1:06a trade from start to finish. [music]
- 1:07You will not leave this YouTube video
- 1:09more confused than when you came.
- 1:11Obviously, I'm just really good at what
- 1:12I do. So, you just stick around, you're
- 1:14going to learn something. But first, I
- 1:15want to set the stage. This entire
- 1:17strategy is based on one simple concept,
- 1:19[music] trend lines. So, let's start at
- 1:21the very beginning. What is a trend
- 1:22line? A trend line is a line that you
- 1:24draw on your chart that shows the
- 1:25direction [music] price is moving in.
- 1:27Fun fact, trend lines have been used by
- 1:29traders for over a hundred freaking
- 1:31years. They are one of the original
- 1:33tools of technical analysis. I'm talking
- 1:35the literal Stone Age basics of
- 1:38technical analysis was the trend [music]
- 1:40line. And this is dating all the way
- 1:41back to Charles Dow, which I'm not sure
- 1:44if it sounds a little familiar to you,
- 1:45the literal guy himself, the Dow Jones
- 1:48is named after. But this is why I love
- 1:50trend lines so much. [music] So, it's
- 1:51not like some new concept that we're
- 1:53trying to reinvent. This is the literal
- 1:55foundation [music] of technical
- 1:56analysis. So, this trend line based
- 1:58strategy allows us to read the markets
- 2:00the same way that the best traders way
- 2:03back in the day have read it for over a
- 2:04century. [music] And I don't know if
- 2:05that gives you a peace of mind knowing
- 2:07that like we're not reinventing the
- 2:08wheel. We're just utilizing the absolute
- 2:11foundational [music] essential tool of
- 2:13trading. So, now that we know what a
- 2:14trend line is, we know it's the basics,
- 2:16the essential, the foundation, there are
- 2:17two types of trend lines. There's an
- 2:19upward trend line and there's a downward
- 2:20trend line. The upward trend line is
- 2:21what we call bullish. It connects
- 2:22[music] higher lows. It means that price
- 2:24is pushing up higher. There is a
- 2:25downward trend line. This is called a
- 2:27bearish trend line. This connects lower
- 2:28highs. It means that price is pushing
- 2:30lower. The platform that we are going to
- 2:32use to draw these trend lines on is
- 2:33TradingView. [music]
- 2:34This is the most widely used platform
- 2:37for all traders ever. It is free to get
- 2:39started. It works in your browser and it
- 2:41gives you everything that you need to
- 2:42analyze your charts and mark [music]
- 2:43them up. It's all we need. Now, let's
- 2:44talk about the tool. TradingView has a
- 2:46bucket of trend line tools. Out of all
- 2:48of the trend line tools that TradingView
- 2:50has to offer, we're going to use the one
- 2:51called the ray tool. The ray tool gives
- 2:53us a point A and a point B and then
- 2:55extends indefinitely in one direction.
- 2:58The point A is the pivot point. The
- 3:00point B locks in the degree or the angle
- 3:02that we're going to draw it at. And then
- 3:03the [music] line will extend
- 3:05indefinitely in the other direction to
- 3:06help us see what price might potentially
- 3:08do in the future. And just because I'm
- 3:10kind of artsy-fartsy and I like to color
- 3:11code things, I like to make my upward
- 3:13trend lines green and my downward trend
- 3:14lines red. So, we know what trend lines
- 3:16are. We know how important they are when
- 3:18it comes to technical analysis. And now
- 3:19I'm going to introduce a new concept to
- 3:21you guys, which is essentially step one,
- 3:23phase one, part one. This is something
- 3:26called top-down analysis. So, before we
- 3:28hop into the charts and draw any lines,
- 3:30we need to talk about top-down analysis.
- 3:32Top-down analysis is the process of
- 3:35analyzing an asset from a higher time
- 3:37frame working your way down. So, it'll
- 3:39be a monthly time frame, a weekly time
- 3:42frame, [music] a daily time frame, a
- 3:434-hour time frame, a 1-hour time frame,
- 3:45and then so on and so forth until you
- 3:47reach the time frame that you decide to
- 3:48execute your trades on. Now, why do we
- 3:50use this top-down analysis? Higher time
- 3:52frames hold more weight than the lower
- 3:54time frames because they contain more
- 3:56data, more information. So, they show us
- 3:58the major trends, the major key levels,
- 4:00and how price has been moving over time.
- 4:02The lower time frames show us what's
- 4:04happening in the moment, right here,
- 4:05right now. The strategy works so well
- 4:07because we use both of these time frames
- 4:08together. [music] The higher time frame
- 4:10gives us context for the lower time
- 4:11frames. So, the bigger picture of what
- 4:13the markets have done in the past and
- 4:15the shifts that they've made, we combine
- 4:17that with what the price is doing in the
- 4:18lower time frames. Now, I've got a few
- 4:19analogies that help us understand why
- 4:22higher time frame analysis or top-down
- 4:24analysis is so important. So, think
- 4:25about it like this. We're going to start
- 4:27with the FBI agent analogy, which I know
- 4:30there's a lot of women out there that
- 4:32feel like they are FBI agents. [music]
- 4:33If you know, you know. You investigate,
- 4:35you will study the past, every clue,
- 4:37every pattern, every piece of history,
- 4:40and then you build a case. [music] So,
- 4:41by the time that something happens that
- 4:42the FBI agent, you know, the one behind
- 4:44your computer screen is waiting for you
- 4:46to do, they've already anticipated a
- 4:47move that you might make because they've
- 4:48studied everything you've done in the
- 4:49past, [music] your patterns. Another
- 4:51analogy would be a fighter. So, let's
- 4:53say that you are getting ready to fight
- 4:55your opponent. Before a match, you need
- 4:57to watch hours of old footage of your
- 4:59opponent. Every move that they make,
- 5:01their weaknesses, their habits. So,
- 5:03[music] by the time you step into the
- 5:04ring, you already have an idea of what
- 5:05your opponent is likely to do cuz you've
- 5:07already studied their habits, their
- 5:08moves. Do they usually use their left
- 5:09hand? Are they left forward? I mean, I
- 5:11don't really know anything about
- 5:12fighting, but I'd imagine [music] that's
- 5:13the things that you would study. How do
- 5:14they block? But, you're prepared when
- 5:15you step into the ring because you've
- 5:16done your research. And yet again, this
- 5:18is exactly what we're doing with higher
- 5:20time frames. [music] We are just
- 5:21gathering the research. We're doing the
- 5:23research on the instrument to help us
- 5:25make a more informed [music] decision on
- 5:26what it's likely to do in the future.
- 5:28So, that is the whole point of top-down
- 5:30analysis. This is why it's so important,
- 5:32and this is why this is step one when it
- 5:34[music] comes to this entire strategy.
- 5:35We need to research our instruments. The
- 5:37higher time frames give us context, the
- 5:39lower time frames give us our entries,
- 5:40[music] our trade management, and our
- 5:41exits. So, now that we understand why
- 5:43we're going to implement top-down
- 5:44analysis, let's learn how to do top-down
- 5:47analysis. [music] So, now it's time to
- 5:48get into the charts, open the screens,
- 5:50and draw some lines. Here we go. Now,
- 5:52the instrument that we are going to
- 5:54practice or learn our top-down analysis
- 5:56on is a very popular instrument. One
- 5:59that everyone has heard of. I figured
- 6:00the most generic and most broad the
- 6:02better, so that we can all understand
- 6:04and relate. We're going to do our
- 6:05top-down analysis on Bitcoin. We are
- 6:07looking at Bitcoin on TradingView. Now,
- 6:09what you see in front of you is a
- 6:11completely naked chart. There are no
- 6:13indicators on it. There's no volume.
- 6:16There's no [music] session lines. This
- 6:18is purely price action. This is the
- 6:21movement of Bitcoin. This is all we
- 6:24need. Now, when we do our top-down
- 6:25analysis, it's a quite literal term or a
- 6:28quite literal phrase, we start at the
- 6:29top and work our way down. So, that
- 6:31means we're going to start with the
- 6:32highest time frame. We're going to go to
- 6:34the monthly time frame on Bitcoin.
- 6:37This right here is everything Bitcoin
- 6:39has ever done. This is our full context.
- 6:41This is us doing our research on Bitcoin
- 6:43before we get married, before we
- 6:45actually place a trade. What we're going
- 6:46to do is utilize our trend lines. And
- 6:48remember, TradingView has the trend line
- 6:51toolbox over here. And then the specific
- 6:53trend line tool that we're going to use
- 6:55is the ray tool. So, you can go ahead
- 6:56and star that.
- 6:57This will keep the tool right here
- 6:59easily accessible to the left. So, we
- 7:01are going to start using our trend
- 7:02lines. But, the top-down analysis is
- 7:04what gives them structure. It gives the
- 7:07entire strategy or the entire system
- 7:09repeatability and a process. A
- 7:11step-by-step process that you can
- 7:13implement [music] across any instrument.
- 7:15So, after today's video, we'll have done
- 7:17it together with Bitcoin, but you can do
- 7:18it your own on crude oil, on gold, on
- 7:21the Nasdaq, on the Dow, on Tesla. You
- 7:24can do this same top-down analysis on
- 7:26any instrument, which is the coolest
- 7:27part. Now, what we're doing with these
- 7:29trend lines, this top-down analysis, is
- 7:31taking all of the context of everything
- 7:33it's ever done, leading all the way up
- 7:35to real-time price action to help us
- 7:37with a decision real-time. The price of
- 7:40Bitcoin right now is at 78,015.
- 7:42We to do our top-down analysis and draw
- 7:44our trend lines tracking all the way up
- 7:46as close to real-time price action as we
- 7:48can. Now, what does that look like? That
- 7:50means we're going to identify trends in
- 7:53every single one of these time frames
- 7:54leading all the way up to the one-hour
- 7:56time frame. When we're drawing our very
- 7:58first ever trend line, we are going to
- 8:00look for the lowest point we see on the
- 8:01screen.
- 8:02Now, there's going to be a few rules and
- 8:04guidelines that we have to these trend
- 8:05lines specifically. One rule will be
- 8:07specific to the very first trend line we
- 8:09draw. The very first trend line we draw
- 8:11needs to start with the lowest point we
- 8:13see on the screen.
- 8:15This is going to be the first rule for
- 8:16our very first upward trend line. Just a
- 8:19preface. We'll have upward trend lines
- 8:20and downward. Remember, bullish and
- 8:21bearish trend lines. So, the rule for
- 8:23drawing our very first upward trend
- 8:25line, we're looking for the lowest point
- 8:26we see on the screen. [music] We also
- 8:28need to have this line angled in some
- 8:30degree upwards. This cannot be a
- 8:33horizontal line. So, I'll show you what
- 8:35would be incorrect and what would be
- 8:36correct.
- 8:39This right here, using the actual lowest
- 8:41points of Bitcoin, this line would be
- 8:43incorrect. This is a horizontal line.
- 8:46When drawing our very first upward trend
- 8:47line, it has to angle upwards. So, we're
- 8:49going to use the lowest point we see on
- 8:51the screen while also angling our trend
- 8:53line upward. Now, what are some other
- 8:55rules for our trend line? When
- 8:56continuing to draw trend lines, we're
- 8:58going to have these set of guidelines to
- 8:59abide by. One, [music] every trend line
- 9:01has to connect to one another. Two, we
- 9:02try to capture as many touch points as
- 9:04possible. Three, price cannot have
- 9:06intersected or poked through the trend
- 9:08line. As long as we follow these three
- 9:10rules, you'll be able to correctly move
- 9:11through your top-down analysis. So,
- 9:13anytime you're unsure, just go back to
- 9:14those same rules. Make sure, okay, did
- 9:15my trend line connect to the last one?
- 9:17Am I trying to capture as many touch
- 9:18points as possible? And have I made sure
- 9:20that price hasn't crossed through or
- 9:22intersected my trend line? So, on our
- 9:23very first upward trend line, we were
- 9:25able to capture one, two, three touch
- 9:27points. Great. We captured as many touch
- 9:28points as possible. It's angled upward.
- 9:31Price hasn't poked through or
- 9:32intersected.
- 9:33>> [music]
- 9:34>> Now, when drawing our next trend line, a
- 9:35good rule of thumb here to figure out or
- 9:38to remember how to connect each one of
- 9:40our trendlines is Remember I said we
- 9:42have these two points here, a point A
- 9:45and a point B. We've got a pivot point,
- 9:48which is our initial starting touch
- 9:50point, and then we've got our point B,
- 9:51which locks in the angle or the degree
- 9:53of where we're drawing our trendline.
- 9:56I like to call this one point A, this
- 9:57one point B.
- 9:59When connecting trendlines, the previous
- 10:01point B will always be the new point A.
- 10:05So, drawing a new trendline here, we've
- 10:06got a new point A. It's going to start
- 10:09at the previous trendline's point B.
- 10:11Boom.
- 10:12Now, we're going to follow these same
- 10:13exact rules that we just
- 10:15followed in the last trendline. Try to
- 10:17capture as many touchpoints as possible.
- 10:20Make sure that the line connects to one
- 10:21another, and price cannot have poked
- 10:23through or intersected. Now, I want to
- 10:25give you an example of what it looks
- 10:26like to have had price intersect or poke
- 10:28through, and what's incorrect.
- 10:30>> [music]
- 10:30>> If this line was to go up any steeper
- 10:32like this,
- 10:33this line would be incorrect. Price has
- 10:35broken through the trendline already.
- 10:37So, you want to think of these
- 10:38trendlines as truly holding the price
- 10:40up. So, this would be the correct
- 10:42placement of our next trendline. So,
- 10:44we're working towards getting as close
- 10:45to real-time price action as possible.
- 10:47So, we're going to continue connecting
- 10:48and drawing these trendlines until we
- 10:50can get as close to here as we can. So,
- 10:51that means we have more trendlines to
- 10:52draw. So, let's keep going. Next
- 10:54trendline, same rules. Previous point B
- 10:56is new point A. Capture as many
- 10:57touchpoints as possible without price
- 11:00intersecting. Okay? We have followed all
- 11:02of our guidelines, and we are ready to
- 11:03draw yet one more upward trendline.
- 11:06Previous point B, new point A.
- 11:09And this is as far as we can go for this
- 11:11one. This is all of the upward
- 11:13trendlines that we can draw for the
- 11:14monthly timeframe on Bitcoin. We do need
- 11:17[music] a downward trendline. So, we
- 11:19want to track upward and downward
- 11:21trends, bullish and bearish trends.
- 11:22There's going to be some instances where
- 11:24on higher timeframes, there isn't a
- 11:27downward trendline to draw, but in this
- 11:28instance, we can here in Bitcoin. So,
- 11:30we're going to draw our very first
- 11:31downward trendline. So, remember we had
- 11:33some rules for our very first upward
- 11:34trend line. We're going to implement
- 11:35those same rules, same same but
- 11:37different, for the downward trend line.
- 11:38So, for our very first downward trend
- 11:40line that we're drawing on the monthly
- 11:41time frame, we're looking for the
- 11:42highest point that we see on the screen,
- 11:44and then we just continue to implement
- 11:45the same exact guidelines or the same
- 11:46exact rules as before.
- 11:48Try to capture as many touch points as
- 11:49possible without having price
- 11:51intersected or poked through. And I'm
- 11:53going to change the color of the
- 11:54downward trend lines just to
- 11:56differentiate the two. Now, we've got
- 11:57red downward and green upward. So, this
- 12:00is all we can do on the monthly time
- 12:02frame. We've gotten as close to
- 12:04real-time price action as we can. This
- 12:05is now our indication that we can
- 12:07continue this top-down process. So, we
- 12:09did everything that we need to do in the
- 12:11monthly. Now, we're going to do the same
- 12:12exact process in the weekly time frame.
- 12:14Weekly time [music] frame here. Quick
- 12:15tip here. So, when we go from the higher
- 12:17time frames to the lower time frames,
- 12:18think of it like we are looking at price
- 12:20with a magnifying glass or under a
- 12:22stronger and stronger lens. So, that
- 12:23means we're getting a little bit more
- 12:25precise and we're seeing more price
- 12:27action or more movement. So, when we go
- 12:29from the higher time frames to the lower
- 12:30time frames, you'll notice that things
- 12:31are just a little bit off or a little
- 12:33bit wonky. All we'll do is just simply
- 12:34make some adjustments to make sure we're
- 12:36still following those rules. So, price
- 12:38poked through just a little bit here.
- 12:39We'll take this line and adjust it.
- 12:41Price was a little bit off on this line
- 12:42here. We're going to take the line,
- 12:44simply adjust it, get it a little bit
- 12:45more accurate. There we go. And then
- 12:47same for the downward trend line. It's a
- 12:48little bit off, so we're just going to
- 12:49simply adjust it here and adjust this
- 12:51one here. There we go. So, this is just
- 12:53a tip to keep in mind when you're going
- 12:54to the lower time frames. You'll just
- 12:56need to make some slight adjustments
- 12:57every time. Okay, now we're in the
- 12:58weekly time frame. For the weekly time
- 13:00frame, there are no additional downward
- 13:01trend lines we can draw. We've gotten as
- 13:03close to real-time price action as
- 13:05possible in this time frame. But, there
- 13:07is some additional upward trend lines
- 13:08that we can draw to help get us closer.
- 13:10So, we're going to follow the same
- 13:11[music] steps, the same guidelines. When
- 13:14drawing another trend line, make sure it
- 13:15connects to one another. Previous point
- 13:17B is new point A. Capture as many touch
- 13:19points as possible without price
- 13:20intersecting. Now, I'm going to make
- 13:22this green again. There we go. And that
- 13:24is as far as we can go in the weekly
- 13:25time frame. So, not as many trend lines
- 13:27that we needed to draw on the weekly and
- 13:29that'll happen with different
- 13:30instruments that you do a top-down
- 13:31analysis on. But, for this one
- 13:33specifically, not too much we needed to
- 13:35do on the weekly. So, now it's our
- 13:36indication, we can continue to move
- 13:38down. We did monthly, we did weekly, now
- 13:40let's work our way down to the daily
- 13:42timeframe. And you'll see some
- 13:43adjustments need to be made, price poked
- 13:45through a little bit over here, we just
- 13:46need to make some adjustments.
- 13:49There we go.
- 13:51Adjust this one here, perfect.
- 13:54And adjust this [music] one
- 13:56here. Now, we can see a steeper upward
- 13:58trend line that we can draw. Previous
- 13:59point B is new point A.
- 14:01Try to capture as many touch points as
- 14:03possible without price intersecting.
- 14:05There are [music] still no additional
- 14:07downward trend lines we can draw. So,
- 14:09this is our indication, we can continue
- 14:11moving down. Now, let's go to the 4-hour
- 14:12timeframe. 4-hour timeframe, we need to
- 14:14make some slight adjustments here,
- 14:16slight adjustment here, and now we can
- 14:18finally come in with one more steeper
- 14:20downward trend line.
- 14:21>> [music]
- 14:21>> Capture as many touch points as
- 14:22possible, we're going to make it red,
- 14:24make sure price hasn't intersected, and
- 14:25we're going to reach our final
- 14:27destination. Now, we're going to move
- 14:28down to our final timeframe here, the
- 14:301-hour timeframe. So, we're going to
- 14:32stop in the 1-hour timeframe for this
- 14:33video's example. It does not mean that
- 14:35you have to stop at the 1-hour
- 14:36timeframe. If you decide to trade a
- 14:38lower timeframe, you'll just continue
- 14:40these same steps with the same process
- 14:41working your way down to the lower. For
- 14:43example, if you trade a 5-minute
- 14:44timeframe, you will go from the 1-hour
- 14:46to the 30-minute to the 15 to the 10
- 14:48then to the five. That's where you'll
- 14:49stop. But, for today, we're going to
- 14:51stop at the 1-hour timeframe. Now, we
- 14:52have made it to the 1-hour timeframe and
- 14:54there are no additional lines that need
- 14:56to be drawn. We have completed our very
- 14:58first top-down analysis.
- 15:00Congratulations. Okay, now that you know
- 15:02how to do your top-down analysis, here's
- 15:04where we are. We have a chart, we have a
- 15:05bunch of trend lines, some are bullish,
- 15:07some are bearish, some are going up,
- 15:08some are going down, some are green,
- 15:09some are red. So, right now, they're
- 15:11just lines. It's just showing us what
- 15:12price has done in the past and [music]
- 15:14how it's gotten to where it's at now,
- 15:16how it's gotten to real-time price
- 15:17action. But, that brings me to my
- 15:18absolute favorite [music] part of this
- 15:20entire strategy. We don't ever have to
- 15:22guess where price is going next. It is
- 15:24one of the coolest parts and the most
- 15:26exciting part of the strategy and it
- 15:28gets me so excited and I don't know if
- 15:29you've ever heard of girlfriend brain,
- 15:30but this is like this strategy is
- 15:33girlfriend brain. We don't have to
- 15:34figure out what we're going to eat for
- 15:35dinner tonight, where we're going, what
- 15:37we want to wear. This is where it all
- 15:40comes together. The price [music] is the
- 15:41one in control. The price will tell us
- 15:43when to get in. The price will tell us
- 15:44what direction to take and the price
- 15:45will tell us when to get out. Our entire
- 15:47job in this whole system in this whole
- 15:49strategy is to simply follow the price.
- 15:52That is the strategy. Now, I'm going to
- 15:54introduce you to two terms that makes
- 15:56all of this come together, that makes
- 15:57all of this work. The two terms you need
- 15:59to know is action line and safety
- 16:01[music] line. So, let's start with the
- 16:02action line. The action line is yet
- 16:04another very literal term. [music] I
- 16:06love the literal, easy to understand
- 16:08terms of the strategy. Action line means
- 16:10it is time to take action, time to place
- 16:13a trade. This is when we enter a
- 16:14position. So, here's the logic and this
- 16:16part is super important. If [music]
- 16:17price breaks an upward trend line, that
- 16:19means the uptrend is being violated.
- 16:21Buyers aren't in control anymore, so we
- 16:23are taking a short position. We're
- 16:25betting the price continues down. If
- 16:27price breaks a downward trend line, that
- 16:29means that the downtrend is being
- 16:30violated. [music] Sellers are not in
- 16:32control anymore, so we take a long
- 16:34position. We are betting the price
- 16:35continues up. The line that price broke
- 16:37is our action line and the direction
- 16:39that price broke will tell us which
- 16:41direction to trade. That right there.
- 16:42Price breaks a line, we take a trade in
- 16:44the direction [music] of the break. That
- 16:46is your entry criteria, that is your
- 16:47foundation. Quick note, there are ways
- 16:49to get more picky about your There are
- 16:51things that you can layer on to help you
- 16:54get pickier about your setups. There's
- 16:55different playbooks that you can take,
- 16:56but in today's video we're going to go
- 16:58over the foundation of the entry model
- 16:59here. Now, the second term, the [music]
- 17:01safety line. The safety line is exactly
- 17:03what it sounds like. It is the line
- 17:04that's going to keep us safe in our
- 17:05trade. The safety line will always be
- 17:07the opposing trend line to the action
- 17:09[music] line. It is the line moving in
- 17:10the opposite direction of the action
- 17:12line. So, if we took a short position
- 17:13because price broke an upward trend
- 17:15line, our safety line is the downward
- 17:16trend line above price. If we took a
- 17:18long position because price broke a
- 17:19downward trendline, our safety line is
- 17:21the upward trendline below price. Now,
- 17:23here's how it works. As long as price
- 17:24[music] keeps moving in our direction
- 17:26and respects the safety line, we stay in
- 17:28the trade. The safety line is literally
- 17:30the line just keeping us safe in our
- 17:31trade. And it's always keeping us in
- 17:33profit. As soon as price violates the
- 17:35safety line, we are no longer safe in
- 17:37our trade, it is time to close our
- 17:39position. And that is our exit. So, just
- 17:40like our entry criteria, this is our
- 17:42exit criteria. We don't have to guess
- 17:43when to close our trade. Price will tell
- 17:45us exactly when to do that. Are there
- 17:46more layers? Yes. There is criteria,
- 17:48there are things that we can do to help
- 17:49us get more precise. There are filters
- 17:51that can help us look for the best
- 17:52setups, and there are a ton of different
- 17:54playbooks that you can use with this.
- 17:55But, the foundation is this. Action line
- 17:57gets us in, safety line gets [music] us
- 17:59out. You know when to enter because
- 18:00price told you, and you know when to
- 18:02exit because price told you. If I had to
- 18:03take everything that I have learned in
- 18:05the past 11 years of trading and boil it
- 18:07down into three words, it would be that:
- 18:10follow the price. [music] Now, let's get
- 18:11into a few advanced tips here. Let's get
- 18:13into position sizing, stop losses, and
- 18:15trade management. We now know when to
- 18:17enter and what direction to take [music]
- 18:19the trade in. But, that is only half the
- 18:20trade. The other half is how much to put
- 18:22into the trade. And this means how many
- 18:24shares, how many contracts, [music] how
- 18:25many lots, how big of a position size
- 18:28are we getting into this trade? And how
- 18:30much money are you willing to lose if
- 18:31this trade doesn't work out? That
- 18:33decision is on you. Unfortunately, there
- 18:35is some part of the strategy that does
- 18:37require your own discretion or your own
- 18:39decision. And that is [music] position
- 18:40sizing. But, it comes down to two
- 18:41things: position sizing and stop loss.
- 18:44Now, what is a stop loss? Stop loss is
- 18:46also exactly what it sounds like. It is
- 18:47a tool that stops your loss. Now, you
- 18:49will set this before you even get into
- 18:50your trade. So, this is what you decide.
- 18:52If you get into this position because of
- 18:53our action line, price moves against me
- 18:55and violates [music] my safety line, how
- 18:57much am I willing to lose? The stop loss
- 18:59closes the trade for you automatically.
- 19:01It is how you protect yourself from
- 19:02losing more than you planned. Now,
- 19:03[music] for us, we know our entry model,
- 19:05we know our exit model, and we know that
- 19:06our exit model is the safety line. So,
- 19:08the stop loss will always go on the
- 19:10other side of the safety line. So, if
- 19:11price hits that level, violates the
- 19:13safety line, that is where a [music]
- 19:14stop loss will be initiated. And that's
- 19:16how we know the trade is no longer
- 19:17working. That's how we know we're no
- 19:19longer safe in our position, close our
- 19:20trade. Now, position sizing. What is
- 19:22position sizing? Position sizing is how
- 19:24big your trade is. How many shares of a
- 19:26stock, how many contracts [music] of a
- 19:28future, how many lots of a forex pair,
- 19:30how many is the position sizing. Now,
- 19:32the bigger position sizing, the more
- 19:33money that you'll make if it moves in
- 19:35your favor or if the trade works out,
- 19:36but also the more money that you'll lose
- 19:38if it doesn't work out. So, how do you
- 19:40decide how big to go? You base it on how
- 19:42much you're willing to lose. That is
- 19:43essentially it. Now, we do have a rule
- 19:44of thumb for beginners. Never risk more
- 19:46than 1 to 2% of your capital on a single
- 19:48trade. Capital just means the amount of
- 19:50money that you have deposited in your
- 19:51account, the amount of money that you
- 19:53have to trade with. So, if you have
- 19:54$10,000 in your account and you're
- 19:57willing to [music] risk 1 to 2%, that
- 19:59means you're willing to lose 100 to $200
- 20:01per trade. So, that is the most that
- 20:03you're willing to risk on any [music]
- 20:04single trade. If you risk too much per
- 20:06trade, one bad trade could entirely wipe
- 20:08you out or take a huge hit to your
- 20:10account. So, [music] when it comes to
- 20:11trading, we're working with
- 20:12probabilities, so we want to keep that
- 20:14range of 1 to 2% so that you could take
- 20:16like 10 losses in a row,
- 20:18back-to-back-to-back, [music]
- 20:18and you still haven't made a huge dent
- 20:20on your account. And that allows
- 20:21probabilities to work in our favor.
- 20:23Small risk per trade [music] keeps you
- 20:24in the game, and that's why this is a
- 20:25great rule of thumb for beginners. It
- 20:27allows the beginners to stay in long
- 20:29enough to actually see it through. Now,
- 20:30quick side note before we keep going,
- 20:31you may be thinking, "I don't have
- 20:33$10,000 to trade with, so these numbers
- 20:35aren't even really clicking to me." But
- 20:36don't worry, that's not an issue. There
- 20:37is a solution. We'll get into it later
- 20:39in the video. But just keep that in the
- 20:40back of your mind, but for now, let's
- 20:41keep going. Now, here's one last concept
- 20:43to add to all of this, trailing your
- 20:45stop. The safety line isn't just where
- 20:46you place your initial stop loss. As
- 20:48price moves in your favor and respects
- 20:50your safety line, your stop will trail
- 20:52along that safety line. This allows you
- 20:54to maximize on profits when you're up
- 20:56instead of allowing price to come all
- 20:57the way back down to the original stop
- 20:59loss. So, you move it, it's dynamic. It
- 21:01moves along with the safety line. This
- 21:03is called your trailing stop. [music]
- 21:04Think of it this way, the safety line is
- 21:06a dynamic concept. Price will continue
- 21:08to ebb and flow and move along your
- 21:10safety line. The stop loss we will keep
- 21:12adjusting. [music]
- 21:13Your stop loss follows that same line.
- 21:15So, the longer that the trade is working
- 21:16out, the more [music] profits that
- 21:17you'll lock in along the way. Now, this
- 21:19part is hands-on. You will be manually
- 21:20moving your stop along the safety line
- 21:23as price [music] progresses. As price
- 21:25shifts and moves along with your safety
- 21:27line, you will take that stop loss and
- 21:29continue [music] to move it as price
- 21:30ebbs and flows along your safety line.
- 21:32So, that is essentially the stop loss
- 21:34placement [music] and safety line in
- 21:36one. Your safety line is your trailing
- 21:38stop. They are one in the same. And for
- 21:40some traders who have already been doing
- 21:42this for a while, the acronym SL, safety
- 21:44[music] line, same as stop loss, SL.
- 21:47But, it tells you exactly where your
- 21:48stop should be and how you should trail
- 21:49them and how you should move them.
- 21:50Everything is dictated by what price
- 21:52does. [music] If the price moves along
- 21:54and respects your safety line, so does
- 21:56your stop loss. If price moves along
- 21:58your safety line, [music] you're staying
- 21:59in your trade. As soon as price
- 22:01violates, you're closing your trade. All
- 22:03of our decision-making is done based on
- 22:04what the price is doing. Follow the
- 22:06price. Always come back to that phrase.
- 22:08Here's what every single trade looks
- 22:09like for us. One, top-down analysis.
- 22:11Make sure you mark up your charts.
- 22:13You've done your research on what price
- 22:14has done overall leading all the way up
- 22:16to real-time price action. Two, action
- 22:17line. Wait for price to break your trend
- 22:19line and then you get into a trade in
- 22:20the direction of the break. Three,
- 22:21pre-planned position sizing and stop
- 22:24loss [music] placement. This is our
- 22:25initial risk. How much are we willing to
- 22:26lose if we get into this position?
- 22:28Remember, 1 to 2% of your capital for
- 22:30beginners. Four, trail your safety line.
- 22:32And then five, price tells you when to
- 22:34exit. [music] as price violates the
- 22:35safety line, it's time to close the
- 22:36trade. That is the entire framework,
- 22:38step by step. And if you want to see the
- 22:40strategy be implemented on a live
- 22:41account, I've done plenty of trade
- 22:43breakdowns where I go over this exact
- 22:45strategy using my own personal live
- 22:46account. Click any of the videos over
- 22:47here. Later in this video, I'm going to
- 22:49show you exactly how we utilize these
- 22:50trend lines to place our trades. And I'm
- 22:52going to show you this process in real
- 22:54time, step by step, what the market is
- 22:56doing right now, today. Here's what to
- 22:58do next. Go on to TradingView and
- 22:59activate their paper trading account.
- 23:01You want to enter a number that is
- 23:03closer to the realistic amount that
- 23:04you're actually going to be trading
- 23:05with. This is how you get the reps in
- 23:07and this is where you start. You can
- 23:08enter $10,000, you can enter 20, 25, 50,
- 23:11100k, 200k, whatever you think would be
- 23:13more realistic to what you'd actually
- 23:15like to trade with. Paper trading is
- 23:16using fake money, but you've got real
- 23:18market conditions and real price action.
- 23:20So, you follow the same exact rules or
- 23:22the same exact system that we just went
- 23:23over. Same setups, same risk, same stop
- 23:26losses. This is where you're going to
- 23:27get the reps in, build the consistency,
- 23:29master the strategy. Once you've done
- 23:31that, once you have actually proven
- 23:32consistency to yourself that this
- 23:34strategy works, that's when you get to
- 23:36look into something called a prop firm.
- 23:38Prop firm is short for proprietary
- 23:39trading firm. This is a company that
- 23:41will give you access to trading capital.
- 23:43So, instead of risking your own $10,000,
- 23:45remember we talked earlier about if you
- 23:46don't have $10,000 to invest into a
- 23:48trading account, this is the
- 23:49alternative. They will give you access
- 23:51to trading 10,000, 25,000, 50,000, 100
- 23:54to even $200,000 worth of trading
- 23:56capital. Here's how it works. You pay a
- 23:58small fee to take an evaluation. The
- 24:00evaluation is a test, so come to the
- 24:01test prepared. They will give you a
- 24:03simulated account at the size that
- 24:04you're trying to get funded for, so
- 24:06you'll take an evaluation for a 10k
- 24:08account, you'll take an evaluation for a
- 24:1050k account, or a 100k account. So, you
- 24:11have to prove that you can trade
- 24:13profitably and consistently using their
- 24:15rules. Things like a daily loss limit,
- 24:17profit targets, etc. If you pass the
- 24:19evaluation, you get access to the funded
- 24:21account. Capital from the firm to trade
- 24:23with. And when you make money on that
- 24:24account, you and the prop firm split the
- 24:26profits. Most firms pay out between 70
- 24:29and 90% of profits to the trader. The
- 24:31reason that I love prop firms so much is
- 24:32that it is the lowest barrier to entry
- 24:34to get into trading. These evaluations
- 24:36cost anywhere between 50 to $100. So,
- 24:39think about this. If you want to trade a
- 24:40$100,000 in a futures account, you've
- 24:42got to deposit $100,000 in a futures
- 24:44account. Most people don't have that.
- 24:45With a prop firm, the only amount of
- 24:47money that you're risking is the amount
- 24:49that you paid for the evaluation, which
- 24:50is usually around $100. And that's it.
- 24:52Get funded and start trading. It is
- 24:54hands down the best path forward for
- 24:56anyone who's serious about trading that
- 24:58doesn't have that larger amount of
- 24:59capital to start with. Now, here's my
- 25:01recommendation, Alpha Futures. Alpha
- 25:02Futures has a 50K premium account that
- 25:05costs around $79 for the evaluation.
- 25:07That gets you access to $50,000 worth of
- 25:10futures capital. And if you enter code
- 25:11Tory at the checkout, you'll get a
- 25:13discount. And if you're not a futures
- 25:14trader, there's also Alpha Capital, and
- 25:16you can use code Tory for a discount
- 25:18there as well. So, if you want to take
- 25:19the next step, the link will be in the
- 25:20description below. Now, there's one more
- 25:22thing. If you have made it this far, it
- 25:24is the ongoing maintenance of our trend
- 25:26lines. What does that look like? If you
- 25:28do your top-down analysis, you wait for
- 25:30price to cross one of your lines, you
- 25:31close your screens, maybe a day goes by,
- 25:33you come back. How do you readjust your
- 25:35lines? How do you maintain the lines?
- 25:37So, I want to go over that example
- 25:38before we finish today's video. How do
- 25:40you continue to do this again and again
- 25:41after today? So, your chart is not a
- 25:43static picture. The price is not going
- 25:45to just stay where you left it when you
- 25:46do your top-down analysis. Price will
- 25:48continue to ebb and flow and move. So,
- 25:50as price moves through your old trend
- 25:51lines, you need to update your lines.
- 25:53You need to update to new touch points,
- 25:55new highs and new [music] lows. Markets
- 25:56are always changing directions, always
- 25:58creating new trends, so your trend lines
- 25:59need to adapt with them. Now, this is
- 26:01what you do regularly. This is not on a
- 26:03weekly basis or a monthly basis.
- 26:05Adjusting your lines is on a daily
- 26:06basis. So, you'll sit down, you'll go to
- 26:08your designated time frame, and see what
- 26:10lines need to be adjusted. Your daily
- 26:12routine is what separates you from
- 26:14traders who guess versus traders who
- 26:15have an actual system and an actual
- 26:17process. Now, let me show you what this
- 26:18looks like on the charts. Now, let's say
- 26:20that you go back to Bitcoin. You've done
- 26:23your top-down analysis already, but the
- 26:25price has since then crossed through. It
- 26:27has broken through and violated one of
- 26:29the trend lines. Now, you weren't able
- 26:31to get into a position when it crossed,
- 26:33so you need to modify or adjust your
- 26:35trend lines to prepare for the next
- 26:37move. This is what the ongoing
- 26:39maintenance looks like.
- 26:40If you open up your charts and price has
- 26:42already crossed through some of your
- 26:43trend lines, you're going to go back and
- 26:45abide by those same rules that we went
- 26:46over. Make sure price is not
- 26:48intersected. Make sure lines will always
- 26:50connect to one another, and try to
- 26:52capture as many touch points as
- 26:53possible.
- 26:54So, if I want to adjust this line
- 26:56>> [music]
- 26:56>> to the correct area based on what price
- 26:58has done now,
- 27:00I will take this point B and move it
- 27:02here. Now, price has not intersected and
- 27:04I've still followed all of my rules.
- 27:06This is what the ongoing maintenance
- 27:07looks like. Now, once price breaks one
- 27:09of these two lines, we understand that
- 27:11we've got an entry, we've got trade
- 27:12management, and we've got an exit. But,
- 27:13as you maintain your lines and as you
- 27:15continue to watch price day after day,
- 27:17you will need to adjust these lines. And
- 27:19this is what the ongoing maintenance
- 27:20looks like. So, now you have a clear
- 27:22idea of how to get in, how to manage a
- 27:24trade, how to get out, and what the
- 27:26ongoing maintenance looks like for trend
- 27:28lines. How do we adjust them when price
- 27:29breaks them and we didn't get in on the
- 27:31opportunity or we didn't get in on the
- 27:32trade. That's everything. So, there it
- 27:34is, the complete trend line system. No
- 27:36indicators, no noise, no confusion, a
- 27:39very clear step-by-step system and
- 27:41strategy. You start from the top,
- 27:43monthly, weekly, [music] daily, 4-hour,
- 27:441-hour, or continue down to some lower
- 27:46time frames. You know exactly when to
- 27:47enter your trades, how to manage your
- 27:49trades, and when to exit. And you even
- 27:51know how to maintain your trend lines
- 27:52after price has already broken through.
- 27:53So, that is the whole system. It is
- 27:55simple, it is repeatable, it works on
- 27:58any market, [music] any instrument, and
- 28:00any time frame. This is purely a price
- 28:02action-based trend line system. [music]
- 28:04Thanks for watching, everybody. Hope
- 28:05this is helpful.
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