YT YouTube2Text

YouTube2Text → Transcripts → 🔴 They're About To COLLAPSE a KEY Country In Europe (here's who) | Alex Krainer

🔴 They're About To COLLAPSE a KEY Country In Europe (here's who) | Alex Krainer — Transcript

by CapitalCosm · 8,678 words · 1,330 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

Open in transcriber Summarize with AI Download SRT/VTT

Full transcript

0:00If President Navroszki uh falls or then
0:04uh very probably they will attempt to
0:07make the same use of Poland against
0:10Russia as they have done with Ukraine. M
0:13>> so there's there's um when you asked
0:16about dem the Democrats I think that the
0:18Democrats will suddenly [music] fall
0:20into line as great supporters of Poland
0:23and
0:26uh and that's the you know that's that's
0:30the card that they can play against
0:32Russia. I think Ukraine is is too
0:34shredded by now. And also this like, oh,
0:37we're going to train US troops for mass
0:39casualty events to, you know, to bury
0:43their comrades in shallow graves and
0:45then they're going to come back and and
0:46dig them up and and bury [music] them
0:48properly. But, you know, as though they
0:50are anticipating something really really
0:52bad happening.
0:56You're watching Capital Cosm. My name is
0:58Danny. It's November 9th, 2026, and my
1:01guest today is Alex Craner. Alex, good
1:04to see you again.
1:05Good to see you, Danny. How's it been?
1:07>> It's been going well. Uh, the world not
1:09so much. I mean, it looks like
1:11everything's falling apart at the seams,
1:12but uh, you know, this is why we do
1:14podcast. This is why we have people like
1:15yourself on to dissect what's going on
1:17and help people navigate. So, thank you
1:19so much for your time, Alex. And before
1:21we get started, quick reminder, hit that
1:23like and subscribe if you're getting
1:24value out of this content. Also, hype
1:26the video if you're watching on mobile
1:28and tablet. Alex, let's go ahead and
1:31kick things off. I want to get your
1:32thoughts on this most recent development
1:35in the Iran war. Uh, according to
1:38Alhadath, Trump has asked Iraq's prime
1:41minister to relay proposals to Thran
1:43aimed at ending the Iran war. The
1:46proposals come from the came from the
1:48Iraqi leader himself and one Trump's
1:51approval during phone calls between the
1:53two. What do you make of this? Is peace
1:54on the horizon?
1:57>> I wish I were optimistic, Danny, but I'm
2:00not. Uh the Iranians have uh set their
2:03list of conditions which among other
2:05things include dropping sanctions
2:08uh dropping the blockade
2:10and releasing a substantial amount of
2:13funds that are owed to Iran that belong
2:16to Iran that the United States has
2:18frozen and refuses to hand back.
2:21[snorts]
2:22So, uh I I I kind of don't see uh Trump
2:27or anybody in his administration
2:29accepting those conditions, but we'll
2:31see, you know. Um
2:34uh I I I would also be surprised if they
2:37would make these concessions
2:39after losing the elections
2:44because the elections have been lost um
2:48in a very humiliating way. And so now,
2:52uh, conceding at this point,
2:55it's just a strange thing. I don't
2:58expect it. I I expect that they'll try
3:02again to finagle something.
3:07And worst case scenario, it's again
3:11a head fake like, hey, you know, let's
3:14come to the table. We can we can work
3:16this out. uh before they start uh
3:20bombardments, land invasion and so on.
3:22And preparations for that have been
3:24underway.
3:26Um
3:28the uh there was a leak from Iraq, from
3:31the government of Iraq that um
3:36US representatives have been in Iraq
3:38trying to kick off some some sort of a
3:42Iraq Iran war 2.0, Oh, try to get Iraqis
3:45to invade Iran for them, which probably
3:49won't get very far. Nobody's nobody's
3:51too interested in that.
3:54But
3:56to
3:58the idea that they they will now
4:00suddenly come to terms with the
4:02Iranians,
4:04I'll believe it when I see it. and
4:07seeing it meaning uh traffic through the
4:09straight of Hormuz getting back to 100
4:14odd shipments a day. Uh US blockade uh
4:19ending
4:22um the United States releasing
4:26uh Iranian funds back to Iran.
4:30Um [snorts]
4:33I'm I'm very skeptical. I don't I don't
4:35expect that much will come from this.
4:38>> Well, if history's taught us anything,
4:39this is very reminiscent of February
4:4227th, the the day before the
4:44>> exactly the current war operation
4:46happened,
4:47you know, before February 28th, you you
4:50had on you had ongoing peace talks and
4:52they seemed on the surface to be going
4:54well. And then the next day happened and
4:57that's when the war began. And then
4:58before that, the 12-day war, same thing.
5:01they were in the middle of negotiations
5:03and uh the strike happened uh in the
5:06middle of negotiations. So if history is
5:09any lesson, these strikes tend to happen
5:11during peace talks, not when Trump is
5:14really, you know, playing it up about
5:16calls for, you know, the the destruction
5:19of civilization, dropping nuclear bombs,
5:21destroying Pickax Mountain. That's
5:23actually if you if you look at it
5:24through the course of the last two
5:26years, it's actually when he's jawboning
5:29his when his rhetoric gets high, it's
5:31when you know they kind of start
5:33bringing things down. And whenever
5:34they're kind of like becoming a little
5:36silent and they're doing these peace
5:39talks, that's when things really pop
5:40off. I mean, have you noticed the same
5:42thing as well?
5:43>> Yeah. Yeah. Absolutely. That's ex you
5:45you put it perfectly well. I uh I that's
5:48exactly why I'm very very skeptical of
5:51these talks. But you know, who knows? Uh
5:54let's let's see what happens. I mean,
5:56you know, like you can't pull the same
5:58thing twice in the same way as as the
6:02United States and Israel have done.
6:05Also, let's not forget that um Benjamin
6:08Netanyahu in in Israel has fallen. He's
6:11he's not going to be forming the next
6:14government. So, he's busy uh
6:19sending applications for a for a new job
6:22and uh he might be going to prison for
6:26all we know. Uh so, uh the pressure to
6:29go to war from that side might not be
6:32the same either. Benjamin Netanyahu
6:34desperately needed war to carry on in
6:37order for him to stay in power, but he's
6:39now lost that perch.
6:42So I you know I I remain very skeptical
6:45but hopeful that something might change
6:49this time around.
6:52>> Yes. Well, we're about a week removed
6:55from the aftermath of the US elections
6:58here. You know, you mentioned the
6:59Israeli elections. Let's also talk about
7:01the US elections. The Democrats have
7:03just completely obliterated the
7:04Republicans in the congressional races
7:07as well as the gubernatorial races. And
7:09now you kind of have Trump surrounded um
7:14and the legislator. I mean they've like
7:16260 some odd congress congressmen and um
7:21what is it 55 or 56 in the Senate. Um so
7:24I mean they're a few votes away from
7:26actually impeaching and convicting him
7:27now. They just got to get a few
7:29Republicans on board. So if that does
7:32happen, I mean do will the Democrats
7:36actually reign in the Iran war? I mean,
7:38if you look back at like the the track
7:41record of the Democrats, the Ukraine war
7:44started under the Democrats, uh, the,
7:48you know, the Gaza war started under the
7:51Democrats, and even like the some of the
7:54initial strikes on uh, between Iran and
7:57the United States, not the 12-day war,
7:59but, you know, some of the earlier
8:00stuff, um, you know, that also started
8:02under Biden as well. So, you know,
8:05there's like a sigh of relief being felt
8:07amongst the people that, okay, the
8:10Democrats are in, they're going to check
8:11Trump on the war. But do you also but do
8:13you see that as a sufficient enough
8:15check um to prevent any escalation from
8:19here on out? [snorts]
8:21>> Well, in general, you know, it doesn't
8:23it it's whatever the American people
8:26vote for, uh they get more of the same.
8:29I think that the the the difference is
8:31going to be that the US will flip from
8:34we've always been at war against Iran to
8:36we've always been at war against Russia.
8:40>> Uh you know, it seems to me that the
8:42Democrats
8:44like uh to
8:49to support Ukraine uh Zalinski regime
8:53and so forth. Uh whereas the Republicans
8:56are more on the Zionist side. So they
8:59they're concerned about Israeli security
9:02and going to war against Iran, the
9:04greatest sponsor of terror, blah blah
9:06blah.
9:08Uh so I don't see that that's going to
9:10change very much. And uh I I I think
9:12that the reason is because the political
9:14class really only carries out the
9:18agendas of the actual owner ruling class
9:22who is primarily
9:24uh the banking you know the the what
9:27they what they call the money trust or
9:30the the banking oligarchy. And uh from
9:33the point of view of the banking
9:34oligarchy the the logic is consistent
9:38and the that logic has everything to do
9:42with uh with collateral right. Uh Iran
9:47is the fifth richest country in the
9:49world in terms of collateral uh I mean
9:52natural resource wealth which was
9:55estimated I think in 2024 or so at $35
10:00trillion.
10:02And then the first uh wealthiest nation
10:05in terms of uh natural resource wealth
10:07is Russia estimated between 75 and $90
10:10trillion.
10:12Now that's back in the good old days
10:14when oil was trading at $60 a barrel and
10:17gold was below $2,000 a barrel and
10:20silver was below $20 a barrel, sorry,
10:23per ounce.
10:26So if anything,
10:28the bounty is much more valuable now and
10:33u for for everybody else in society that
10:37wouldn't matter all that much because
10:39you can have all those uh resources by
10:42trading for them. You know, you can buy
10:46uh you can buy gas in Iceland and in
10:48Switzerland and in South Africa.
10:52Uh you can buy coffee and cocoa and
10:55chocolate and tobacco and all kinds of
10:57stuff in any country in the world.
11:00Nobody needs military bases to control
11:03the resources.
11:04It's the bankers who do because bankers
11:07are not interested in buying the stuff.
11:09They're interested in using the stuff as
11:11collateral against which they can issue
11:13loans. And once you they issue loans
11:17then uh that loan instantly becomes an
11:22asset on their balance sheet and it
11:25becomes a profitable asset on their
11:27balance sheet because it has to be
11:28repaid with interest and that doesn't
11:30mean that it's uh for every dollar they
11:33get a dollar five cents back. They
11:35usually get two or three or five or $10
11:37back.
11:38So uh just to give it a little bit of
11:42math mathematical perspective on this,
11:44if you take all the global systemically
11:47important banks
11:49on a bank of international settlement
11:51list and then you remove the Chinese
11:54banks. So you just look at the western
11:57gibs.
11:59If you add all of their assets together,
12:01they come to about $85 trillion.
12:06Russia's natural resources are between
12:0875 and 90 trillion. Iraq's Iran's
12:12natural resources are about 35 trillion.
12:16If you
12:18if you just assume that loan to book
12:22ratio
12:23is one. So for every $1 of uh new new $1
12:28of collateral, you can issue $1 loan.
12:32That could easily double their their
12:35wealth, their
12:38their assets, right?
12:41Uh but normally in banking uh
12:46loan to value is two or three or 10 or
12:5012 and if you get inside the country and
12:53set up your own banking establishments
12:55there, it can be 20 or 30. So, you know,
13:00these are this is the Alibaba's cave as
13:02far as they're concerned. And we know
13:04that they they easily they're they're
13:07powerful enough that they can buy media,
13:09they can buy politicians,
13:11they can buy military generals. I mean,
13:13just a few months ago, you had uh
13:16General Millie
13:18uh at some banking um conference
13:23um buttering up the bankers and telling
13:25them how they are the real heroes.
13:28[laughter]
13:30>> Did Wait, this actually happened?
13:32General Millie? Oh yeah. Oh yeah. You
13:34can find it
13:36>> if you if you I I I'm sure that if you
13:38type general milit bankers are heroes
13:42that something will pop up. It's uh it's
13:44it's too sad to watch. You know, like a
13:47career military man.
13:48>> Oh my god. I see it now.
13:53>> Thank you for your service. Oh my gosh.
13:55I'm trying to find Is there a video on
13:57this? I see. Yeah. Yeah, there is. There
13:59is 100% because I've seen it.
14:01>> Okay.
14:05Okay. Well, yeah. Um, I'll try and find
14:07the video, but go ahead, finish your
14:08thought.
14:09>> Well, yeah, then. So, you know, they
14:11they have influence in the in the
14:12military establishment. You know, they
14:14have their uh uh General Kilogs and
14:17General Petraeuses and so on and General
14:20Millies.
14:21uh they uh obviously dominate the media
14:25and they they own all the politicians
14:28and so they can you know uh
14:32the final point is what what the
14:35American people vote for just simply
14:38isn't going to make to to get any
14:41changes. You know, if democracy actually
14:43worked,
14:45uh, you would get more prosperity,
14:47better jobs, better education, better
14:50health care, more affordable health
14:52healthcare and so on. And you would get
14:55less wars and less misery and less
14:58uncontrolled immigration and so on.
15:00That's what the American people vote
15:01for. That's what they would prefer to
15:03have. But what they have instead is less
15:07affordable health care, uh worse
15:09education,
15:11uh more uncontrolled immigration, less
15:14secure streets, and always always more
15:17war. So democracy
15:21just doesn't seem to work. It seems to
15:26Uhhuh. Is that the clip?
15:29>> That's the clip. Uh, do you want to
15:30finish your thought and I can play it or
15:32do do you want to
15:32>> I Yeah, I finished my thought. I don't
15:34need to beat be beat that horse any
15:36longer.
15:37>> Okay. All right. So, here's the clip.
15:38>> People in the crowd are controlling uh
15:41basically 24 25 trillion dollars of a$
15:4430 trillion economy. So, uh, good on you
15:46for doing that. And, uh, you may or may
15:49not quite realize it. I know people
15:51thank all of us in uniform uh for our
15:54service, but I want to thank you and
15:55your service because the two key
15:57components of national security and
15:59international scene uh is a strong
16:01military and a strong economy and and I
16:04and I'm here to tell you that the
16:05banking community of the United States
16:07is strong. Uh 4,500 banks across the
16:10country. Uh we've got an incredible
16:11economy as you just saw with the
16:13economists and the envy of the world and
16:15a lot of that has to do with you guys.
16:16So thanks so much for your
16:18>> So here he is speaking at the American
16:20Bankers Association. Wow.
16:23>> Yeah.
16:23>> Okay.
16:24>> I did I did hear him at some point say
16:27you are the true heroes you know
16:29honestly. [clears throat]
16:31>> So yeah you know it's the the whole
16:34establishment is rigged in this way
16:36which is why the United States is always
16:38at war even though the American people
16:39always vote against war but that choice
16:42is simply not given them. that is they
16:44get a fake choice. They vote in
16:47candidates who say like, "Oh, enough
16:48foreign wars. We're going to close
16:50Guantanamo. We're going to withdraw our
16:52troops from the Middle East. We're going
16:55to close our bases. We're going to bring
16:56the boys home. We're going to, you know,
16:59Trump was talking about halfing the
17:02military budget when it was about 1
17:03trillion. Now it's one and a half
17:05trillion and so on."
17:06>> Well, they brought it down to 1.1
17:07trillion in the late.
17:09>> Oh, is that right?
17:10>> Yeah. I think that's some serious
17:12savings. Yeah, I think it also had to do
17:14with the high interest rates, the high
17:16yields. So, they may have uh had to, you
17:19know, cut it down a bit.
17:22>> That's that's a part of it. But, you
17:24know, there the the the military budget
17:27has only ever gone up for as long as I
17:30can remember. It went down a little bit
17:31under Clinton.
17:33Uh and then, you know, the military
17:36industrial complex was up in arms. But
17:39guess who owns and controls the
17:40military-industrial complex? it's going
17:42to turn out again to be JP Morgans and
17:44City Groups and Goldman Sachs of this
17:47world and so forth. So it's always the
17:49same suspects and you know like it's
17:51very important to recognize that because
17:54the um you know in this with this
17:56collateral math uh the no
18:00business corporations don't don't have
18:02the same incentives as the bankers do
18:04because as far as uh let's say Exon
18:08Mobile or or or Chevron are concerned
18:11they could simply buy crude oil from
18:13Russia or they can buy [clears throat]
18:15crude oil from Iran or it doesn't
18:17matter.
18:18uh
18:20bring it to the United States, bring it
18:22to the markets where where they're
18:23present, uh put on their margin and have
18:26a nice business out of that. They also
18:29wouldn't care at all if they went to
18:31some country to develop their uh natural
18:35resources, you know, like put up rigs
18:37and platforms and distribution networks
18:40and pipelines and what have you. They
18:44wouldn't care at all if you know like if
18:46they needed a billion dollars whether
18:49that billion dollars comes from a
18:51Chinese bank or from JP Morgan or
18:53whether it comes from a Russian bank or
18:55from a Brazilian bank it doesn't matter
18:57it's a billion dollars right
18:59but it does matter to JP Morgan and
19:02Goldman Sachs and and Croup and and the
19:04Bank of America to them it matters
19:06everything to them it's exactly zero sum
19:08game you know either it's mine or it's
19:11somebody else's And if it's somebody
19:14else's, then I get zero out of it. So,
19:17you know, to
19:20to be able to get control of all of all
19:23those resources,
19:25they need to uh take political control
19:29of those regions and those countries
19:31like Venezuela for example.
19:34If you have uh
19:37Nicolas Maduro or Hugo Chavez running
19:40Venezuela, then you you you don't you
19:43don't get control of those resources. If
19:46you uh I don't know, maybe kidnap the
19:49president and uh put in a puppet that's
19:52going to be cooperative uh with you.
19:54He's going to play ball. Then you do get
19:57control of those those assets. And once
19:59you have control of those resources,
20:01then you can issue loans against it. I
20:03don't know. Chevron and other oil
20:05companies were saying that to to develop
20:07Venezuelan um
20:10uh energy sector that it would take a
20:12hundred billion dollars.
20:15Well, that's a lot of money, but the
20:17bankers conjure it out of thin air. It's
20:19not like they have to, you know, uh look
20:22through all their couches to find to
20:25find the spare change. They just write
20:27it into existence,
20:31but they can't against nothing. So they
20:36have to have control of the resource.
20:39And so once they have cooperative
20:41governments in place, then that hundred
20:44billion dollars becomes possible. And
20:46the the day they issue those loans, they
20:49are $100 billion richer. And those
20:53hundred billion dollars are going to get
20:54repaid with interest over 20, 30, 50
20:57years, however much. And they're going
20:59to be repaid double or triple. And
21:02they're going to pile in fees and
21:04commissions and all kinds of stuff.
21:06Usually it ends up being a lot more than
21:09hundred billion dollars. So that's that,
21:12you know, that's like a that's like a a
21:14wealth extraction conveyor belt.
21:18And the same the same mechanism works
21:20with Venezuelan oil, Nigerian oil,
21:23Algerian oil, Saudi oil,
21:27Iraqi, uh Kurdish,
21:30and the same for Iranian oil. So that's
21:34what that's what the forever wars are
21:36about.
21:38And that's why uh you know this ruling
21:43establishment cannot let the
21:47democratic will of the American people
21:50to stand in the way of that plunder and
21:52looting.
21:56>> Well the with the Democrats now back in
21:58charge though um they seem to have a
22:01bigger appetite for the war in Ukraine
22:03like you alluded to with the war with
22:04Russia. Do you expect that to ramp up
22:07here? There is a meeting between a
22:09trilateral meeting between Trump um
22:12Zalinski and Putin I believe um in Abu
22:15Dhabi coming up. Does this kind of does
22:19this recent developments with the
22:20Democrats winning all these seats in
22:22Congress does that give added leverage
22:24for Zillinsky that he can just kind of
22:25wait it out the next two years and hope
22:27a Democrat comes into power in 2029 and
22:30you know restart the war?
22:33>> Hey guys, quick pause. The US debt has
22:35surged to over $40 trillion. And I'm old
22:38enough to remember back when it was 20
22:40trillion back in 2017. And in less than
22:43a decade, it's more than doubled. We've
22:46hit an inflection point. And it looks
22:47like this thing is ready to go
22:49parabolic.
22:50And as a result, investors are beginning
22:53to dump bonds. This is TLT, the 20-year
22:55Treasury Bond ETF. You can see here from
22:572020 up until today, bonds have lost
23:01over half their value. And the reason I
23:03bring this up, guys, is because if
23:05you're in an IRA, a traditional IRA, on
23:07average, if you're 20 to 30 years old,
23:09you've got about 0 to 20% allocation in
23:12bonds and cash. If you're 40 to 50 years
23:14old, you've got about 20 to 40%
23:16allocation of bonds and cash. If you're
23:1860 plus, you've got about 40 to 60%
23:20allocation in bonds and cash. Do you
23:23really want to be this overweight in
23:25bonds and cash that's inflating away?
23:28This is where noble gold comes in. And
23:30if you feel like your IRA is overly
23:33allocated in the US debt market, then
23:36check out Noble Gold where you can
23:38allocate some of that into gold and
23:40silver. Just fill out this little form
23:42here and you'll get a free gold guide
23:45kit. Super helpful. I've really taken
23:47the time the last couple of months to
23:49meet and understand the guys over at
23:51Noble Gold and I hope you will as well.
23:53We have a special link in the
23:54description box for you guys to check
23:56out if diversifying your IRA into gold
23:58and silver sounds right to you. Then
24:00check them out. Link is in the
24:02description box down below as well as
24:03the pin comment. And now let's get back
24:05to the video.
24:06>> I very much doubt it because I think
24:08that Ukraine is broken. They, you know,
24:12Ukraine was militarized as a budgeon uh
24:15against Russia.
24:18Uh but it's broken now. And and you know
24:22what can Democrats do? They can they can
24:24maybe they're already talking about
24:26extra I don't know 15 161 17 billion
24:30dollars of aid to Ukraine. Well, what's
24:33that going to do? It's it's going to do
24:35nothing at all.
24:36So, uh, they're not going to resuscitate
24:39Ukraine into being, um, a viable
24:42military force that could that could,
24:46you know, push Russia out of out of the
24:48donas, out of Crimea and defeat the
24:50Russians on the battlefield.
24:52So, that's not going anywhere. And I
24:55think that
24:57that's now
24:59clear enough. I think that it's not I
25:03think you know like I I always estim
25:06overestimate people. I sometimes say
25:08like this is too stupid. Nobody's that
25:10stupid. But I don't know. But I would
25:13expect that people will not push for
25:17this uh very strongly anymore. On the
25:21other hand,
25:23uh the recent developments in Poland
25:25suggest that they they wish to
25:29um make the same use of Poland as they
25:32have done uh of Russia. So now you had
25:36uh I think about two weeks ago you had
25:38this uh attempted coup against um or
25:43maybe maybe maybe a week ago a constitu
25:46a coup uh to take control by force of
25:49the constitutional court of Poland.
25:54And so that would that would allow the
25:57the government of Donald Tusk to
25:59basically completely marginalize
26:02President Navarodski
26:04and uh it would enable the process of
26:07militarizing
26:09uh Poland. Well, you know, the process
26:11of militarizing Poland has been underway
26:13for some times, but you know, there
26:15there are some there are some safeguards
26:18in the system against uh an uncontrolled
26:22march to war. So, uh taking the court
26:27was a very important step in that
26:30direction.
26:31Uh it failed for now, but the you know
26:34the dust hasn't settled yet. you know,
26:36the fight is still on and the European
26:39Union is is in in in the European Union
26:43is in the lead on this and they're
26:45definitely they they've thrown their
26:48full support to the to the
26:52Donald Tusk and his uh his
26:56his coup.
26:58So, you know, we now have a battle for
27:02for Poland
27:04and if President Navroski uh falls or if
27:08we uh wake up one day and learn that
27:11he's been assassinated,
27:13then very probably they will attempt to
27:17make the same use of Poland against
27:19Russia as they have done with Ukraine.
27:23So there's there's um when you asked
27:25about dem the Democrats, I think that
27:27the Democrats will suddenly fall into
27:30line as great supporters of Poland and
27:35uh and that's the you know that's that's
27:39the card that they can play against
27:41Russia. I think Ukraine is is too
27:43shredded by now.
27:46>> Wow. So Poland could become a
27:48battlefield much like Ukraine.
27:50>> Oh yeah, very much. Very much so. And uh
27:52not only but concurrent with this with
27:54these with these events with the with a
27:57with a coup against the constitutional
27:59court in Poland
28:01is uh that they they uh
28:05they organized military exercises. And
28:08so there's been French and German and um
28:13British troops moving into Poland with a
28:16lot of heavy uh equipment, very a lot of
28:18heavy weaponry, ostensibly for military
28:22exercises. But these military exercises
28:24can very easily
28:26uh be used to incite some some kind of
28:29an incident uh you know um or false flag
28:33you know somebody somebody shot at the
28:36NATO troops and then they all invoke
28:41they all they all invoke uh article five
28:44and they try to unite the NATO and they
28:46they they beat the drums for war. They
28:49try to, you know, induce like mass
28:53formation psychosis in the European
28:55populations because they've been telling
28:56us that, you know, the Russians are
28:59coming. The Russians are coming. You're
29:00going to have to to sacrifice your
29:02children to defend our ways of life.
29:06They're not asking us whether we like
29:08our ways of life, but they they they do
29:10want us to sacrifice our children in
29:12order in order to defend it.
29:14>> The British have said to prepare for war
29:15in a thousand days.
29:17>> Well, yeah. The French have been saying
29:19the same thing. The the the Germans have
29:21been saying the same thing.
29:23>> And and and look where it coincides. A
29:25thousand days from now is precisely when
29:28a new president will take office.
29:31>> There you go. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah.
29:33There you go. That Yeah. So, you know,
29:35uh if if you get a Democratic president,
29:39depending who,
29:41uh that whole thing might be um might be
29:46um playing out and uh you know um they
29:52might be uh
29:55planning
29:57the next great war on the European
30:00continent, which would be the third one.
30:02That would be World War II.
30:05And in that in that case, we're all
30:07cooked,
30:08>> as the young ones would say. Why doesn't
30:10President Trump just take us out of NATO
30:12already, us being the United States?
30:17>> I think that Trump doesn't have the
30:20political uh capital to do that.
30:24>> He did early on.
30:25>> That's a no. Uh he didn't even then. I I
30:28mean, you know, like he had the support
30:30of the people of the of the voting
30:32public,
30:33>> but he didn't have the twothirds
30:35majority in Congress because this is,
30:38you know, NATO is an international
30:39treaty, and you can't just overturn it
30:41with an executive order. It would have
30:43to be a a congressional resolution of
30:46some some sort. And I think that it
30:48would need a twothirds majority or
30:50something like that. It would be it
30:52would be a very very major thing. and uh
30:57you know if he didn't squander his
30:59political capital uh by going to war
31:01against Iraq
31:04uh he might be able to do that now but
31:07he can't because I I I I don't know if
31:10you remember but during the first year
31:13of his presidency the Democrats became
31:15invisible. They were nowhere.
31:17>> Oh yeah.
31:18>> They were so thoroughly unelectable,
31:21despised. You know, when you had LGBT
31:25people in the Pentagon and you had
31:28transgenders running around in the
31:30administration, the
31:32>> they went silent. Yeah.
31:34>> They just went completely silent. They
31:36were they were gone. And now thanks to
31:39Trump's uh really really reckless gamble
31:44with with Iran,
31:46suddenly you have again uh Barack Obama
31:50speaking at
31:52election campaign events and people are
31:54you know
31:55>> packed house
31:57>> packed house people are clapping. Uh you
32:00know he's talking about change.
32:03I mean, he did he didn't use exactly the
32:05same slogan and a audacity of hope and
32:10all this, but it was very close. It was
32:12very close. And I thought, you can't
32:16possibly think that these same people
32:20will actually deliver change. Of course,
32:23they won't. But, okay, I have to say
32:25this also.
32:28some number over a hundred
32:31congressmen that are going to um
32:35come into office in January are going to
32:38be freshmen. They're going to be new
32:40people. Uh people who are not on Epstein
32:44list. So,
32:48who knows? Who knows? Uh there might be
32:52some changes, although I I don't really
32:55>> Well, we don't we don't know what the
32:56latest Epstein list is. I mean Epstein
32:58would un unbeknownst to the public for
33:0030 25 years. I mean surely he
33:03>> and Epson is the guy we know about. Who
33:07knows how many other Epstein there are.
33:09>> Yeah.
33:09>> With their own lists.
33:13Well, it's interesting with the
33:14Democrats because now like their their
33:16appeal now is that they're trying to act
33:18normal again and they're trying to kind
33:20of walk back a lot of the craziness that
33:22they that we saw, you know, before, you
33:24know, during the Biden years and
33:27around that time. But every now and then
33:29it just kind of like creeps back up like
33:32they're trying to hide
33:34what they want to push and they're
33:36trying to present themselves as normal.
33:37They're doing the podcasts now. They're,
33:40you know, they're talking about like,
33:41oh, we want to unify. we don't want to
33:43impeach Trump. And you know, you don't
33:45hear you don't hear as much about the
33:47woke stuff anymore as you do, but it
33:50does creep up every now and then. It
33:52kind of feels like they're hiding their
33:54true intent because it's not they know
33:55it's not palatable with the larger
33:56public. That's I think one of the big
33:58learnings that they took um from their
34:01defeat in 2024.
34:03Uh yeah, I think that they will they
34:05will maybe be a bit more scrupulous not
34:07to antagonize the American public and
34:09not to not to push uh gratuitous
34:12nonsense that just uh turn people away
34:16when there are important items on the
34:17agenda. And what those important items
34:19on the agenda are, I I I don't know
34:22exactly, but I'm sure that it's going to
34:26converge again on quest for collateral.
34:29And uh you know I I I we just talked
34:31about this a few minutes ago
34:34uh and and the corporates are the is the
34:37is the money trust, the banking
34:38oligarchy. And uh as far as the banking
34:41oligarchy goes, the headquarters is
34:44still the city of London.
34:47And the thing that I've been noticing
34:49throughout the Trump administration's
34:52last two years almost is that
34:56every so often like once every few weeks
35:01uh Barack Obama turns up in London.
35:05>> Oh yeah. And then I also I also uh put
35:09myself through listening to
35:12uh some British u news sources and
35:16podcasts.
35:18Uh you have you have a number of these
35:20former
35:22foreign office and MI6 officials who do
35:25podcasts and do interviews with uh
35:28places like GB News and Times Radio and
35:30so forth. and they've been all over
35:34these midterm elections.
35:36Um,
35:38one of the one of the guys uh who has
35:42been
35:44in in the US a lot is his name is Rory
35:48Stewart and Rory Stewart used to be uh I
35:52think he used to be an MP
35:54uh but he also somehow is connected with
35:58the military establishment, intelligence
36:00and the foreign office. the like an
36:03important player.
36:05Uh it's not exactly clear how uh but I I
36:08think he has an important role. And so
36:11he's been talking about these podcasts
36:13about going to the United States and uh
36:16spending time with the Democratic
36:18candidates and supporting them. And he
36:20was very very disappointed that one or
36:23two of them lost. But and then he's a
36:26little bit disappointed that that
36:28they're not exactly on the same
36:29wavelength as the British establishment.
36:32But still, you know, they have these uh
36:34they are very very invested in the
36:36Democratic party and and you know,
36:39you'll remember also that uh in the in
36:42the very last innings of the
36:44presidential elections in 2024, Cir
36:47Kirst
36:49sent 100
36:51uh Labor Party activists from the UK to
36:56the United States to campaign on behalf
36:58of Kamala Harris
37:00because they they just desperately
37:02wanted her to become the next president.
37:05And so now they've been behind this uh
37:07behind this uh blue wave. I I'm not
37:10saying that they caused the blue wave to
37:12happen, but they've definitely been very
37:14supportive and they are they definitely
37:17are uh busily cultivating uh their
37:21relations with the Democratic Party
37:25uh for investments that might start to
37:28start start to deliver a thousand days
37:30from now.
37:32Mhm.
37:34>> Well,
37:36speaking of the thousand-day warning,
37:38there's there were also all these
37:39warnings a couple of weeks ago, right
37:41before the midterms, interestingly
37:42enough, telling from various
37:45governments, 33 governments, significant
37:47number, but 33 governments telling their
37:50citizens to prepare for, you know, 72
37:53hours, 3 days, 10 days. Um in the case
37:56of South Korea, even 30 days um of
38:00emergency supplies here in the United
38:02States, we got notification that there's
38:05this oper this is there there's this
38:07fortress operation, this fortress
38:09initiative where the military is kind of
38:12reverting back to its cold war
38:15uh modus operandi of having you know at
38:18least 90 days of food and supplies and
38:20portable nuclear reactors to be
38:23decentralized from the civilian grid.
38:26So, what do you think that's all about?
38:29I mean, that's
38:31it's all coming out in coordinated
38:32fashion. What's the what's the deal
38:35there?
38:37>> I'm I'm try I I I think that they're
38:39trying to kick off a big war because,
38:43you know, the the the the financial
38:46infrastructure is disintegrating.
38:50Uh the bond markets might might uh
38:53collapse.
38:55uh interest rates might go through the
38:57roof. Interest uh inflation might ex
38:59accelerate again. And so there's going
39:02to be uh very um there's going to be a
39:07social and economic crisis that's going
39:10to be worsening considerably.
39:13And so when that happens, you know,
39:15people are usually very unhappy with
39:17their government and they protest
39:19against the government and they they
39:22demand uh they demand some kind of a
39:26remedy, some kind of um uh crisis
39:31management uh agenda, plans, whatever.
39:35And uh there is no you know if if the
39:37current monetary system and the current
39:40the current uh
39:44uh banking
39:47establishment remains intact. There is
39:50no solution. The the okay let let's just
39:54again to to bring it down to math. If
39:57you if you take all of the the the total
40:00credit market debt in the United States
40:02uh and you add it all up, you you arrive
40:04at $119 trillion. So that's government
40:07debt and and corporate debt and
40:09financial debt and and household debt.
40:12>> 1901
40:141911
40:15>> $119 trillion.
40:18Uh if you look at the monetary base,
40:21that's $5.4 trillion.
40:25Well, that that's the monetary base are
40:28all the dollars in circulation available
40:32to service all the debts. So you have 22
40:37times as much debt in the system as you
40:40have money available to service those
40:43debts.
40:43>> Is that M1?
40:45>> Uh no no that that's monetary based.
40:47That's broader. That's broader.
40:50Isn't M2 isn't M2 30 trillion
40:53>> or something like that or 20 trillion?
40:57>> I I don't know exactly what M2 is at the
40:59moment. U but
41:01>> yeah, but go ahead. Go ahead.
41:03>> So anyway, you have 22 times as much
41:06debt in the system as you have as as you
41:08have dollars available to service the
41:10debt.
41:12And so the the the system is completely
41:15unsustainable. and and then you know
41:17like when Scott Besson comes out and
41:18says that we're going to grow our way
41:20out of this debt, it's it's not possible
41:23because the only way a single dollar
41:25enter circulation is by somebody taking
41:28on debt.
41:30And so the the the debt curve
41:36uh grows at a much steeper slope than
41:39the money curve and that's been going on
41:42for more than 50 years. So what does it
41:44say? 5.4 trillion just like you said.
41:48>> Yeah, there you go.
41:49>> It's the monetary base.
41:51>> Yeah,
41:51>> it's um the monetary base equals
41:54currency in circulation plus reserve
41:56balances.
41:57>> So, I wonder what the difference is
41:59between this and M1 and M2.
42:03Here's M1.
42:05It's at 20 trillion. And that is
42:10uh
42:12M1 is constructed by summing currency,
42:14demand deposits, OCDs or other liquid
42:17deposits and each seasonally. Okay. So
42:19M1 and M2 are broader but uh Okay. Yeah.
42:22Got it. So 5.4 trillion monetary base.
42:25This is Yeah. Didn't mean to cut you
42:27off.
42:29>> No, no, that's fine. I'm trying to
42:31remember what I was uh Yeah. Well, yeah,
42:34basically. Okay. So the the situation is
42:37growing from bad to worse. And it's not
42:40growing from bad to worse because people
42:42in charge are incompetent. It's because
42:44the system is set up that way. It's been
42:46going from bad to worse forever. Since
42:491971,
42:52even before that, but basically, you
42:54know, since 1971, since Nick Nixon
42:57severed the the gold convertibility,
43:00it's been just going um off the charts.
43:04And so at some point, you know,
43:06something something breaks and then, you
43:09know, in order to
43:11in order to uh stave off a revolution,
43:16you divert the public's uh grievances at
43:21an external enemy. And that's that's
43:23been that's been the modus operandi of
43:25the banking oligarchies for since the
43:27Roman days. You know, when when debts
43:31started to completely suffocate the
43:33economy, uh they would invent barbarians
43:36at the gate. You know, they would yell
43:38barbarians at the gate and then they'd
43:40make sure to get all the male military
43:44age population
43:46uh to some war against somebody. If and
43:48if they had no enemies, they would
43:50invent an enemy.
43:52And uh and then you you get to to to
43:55sacrifice a large a large proportion of
43:57the fighting age males because that's
44:00you know that's the cohort that's uh the
44:03greatest risk to your system. And you
44:06get them to hate on the Russians or on
44:07the Chinese or somebody else. And you
44:10get them, you know, on ships, ship them
44:13uh across the ocean to go fight and die
44:16somewhere else. And then you're, you
44:19know, you can blame everything on the
44:22Russians or on the Chinese. You know,
44:24you can't get, you can't get a doctor's
44:26appointment. Well, you know, we're at
44:27war. Your pension's not coming. It's a
44:31shared sacrifice. And on and on, you
44:33know, um the the the the a big war would
44:39completely overwhelm every other
44:41consideration.
44:43So, you know, companies going bankrupt,
44:45it's the war. Uh,
44:47>> right.
44:47>> There's no gas uh in in gas stations.
44:50It's the war. Uh, gas is $10 a bar a
44:53gallon. Well, is the Chinese,
44:56you know, and then that allows you to
44:59basically pump up
45:03the hatred against an external enemy.
45:07uh to turn readiness to fight and die
45:10for your country into the into the uh
45:13you know the the the highest
45:15uh expression of of patriotism
45:19and then all the young men go go off uh
45:21to fight a war and you're left with you
45:24know with uh vulnerable women and
45:28orphans which you know if you belong to
45:30the Epstein class you kind of see a
45:32bonus in that too
45:34and so I think that that's part of the
45:38that's part of the preparations what you
45:41mentioned and also this like oh we're
45:44going to train US troops for mass
45:45casualty events to you know to bury
45:49their comrades in shallow graves and
45:52then they're going to come back and and
45:53dig them up and and bury them properly.
45:55But you know as though they are
45:57anticipating something really really bad
45:59happening.
46:02uh they want to orchestrate something
46:04really really bad happening. Whether
46:06they will succeed or not, we're going to
46:07see. But I'm sure that uh you know
46:12people uh in the in the depth of the
46:15deep state swamp are actually busily
46:19planning to try to get the ball rolling
46:23uh and and finally get the pressure off
46:26of themselves. Yeah, the mass graves you
46:29mentioned there that they're training
46:30for, I think they're training for it to
46:32to bury at least 2400 people within the
46:35span of 24 hours. Um, and whether the qu
46:38the big question is is whether that's
46:40abroad or if the grid goes down, then
46:44maybe at home because a grid down event
46:46would surely lead to many many
46:49casualties, especially if it lasts, you
46:50know, longer than a week or so. That's
46:53when things start falling apart and
46:54that's a very terrifying thing to think
46:57about.
46:58>> But it could be useful because you know
47:00anytime you create an emergency you take
47:02advantage of it for you know whatever.
47:05Uh remember COVID
47:08uh you know you can you can introduce
47:10curfews, lockdowns. Uh you could you
47:15could deal with uh any opposition to
47:19your uh plans and agendas in a in a
47:22quick and efficient way. You can you can
47:24imprison people willy-nilly.
47:27Um
47:31large-scale emergencies like that are
47:33very very useful to the to the ruling
47:35establishment and they will you know as
47:38who was it that said like you never you
47:40never let a big crisis uh go to waste.
47:44>> Yeah. Ram Emanuel. Yeah. Yeah.
47:47>> Classic the classic line.
47:49>> Yes. Yes.
47:51>> Well, Alex, I see we're coming up on
47:53time here. Anything else you want to
47:54touch on before we wrap up?
47:57Well, I you know, I would just close by
47:59saying that people have to be very very
48:01discerning what's coming out of the out
48:03of the political class and what's being
48:07uh sold by the media because
48:12I wouldn't say 100% but there's a very
48:14very high chance that it's a it's a
48:16manipulation.
48:18Uh so you have to
48:21basically doubt everything you hear. And
48:24when they tell you Russia bad, Iran bad,
48:26uh China bad, um that's not that's not
48:31who the enemy is. The enemy is at home
48:33always. And they're paying hundreds of
48:38billions of dollars every year, to think
48:41tanks, to public relations companies,
48:45and to media organizations to craft
48:48messages. Exactly. To mislead us, to
48:51confuse us.
48:53and to uh perpetuate whatever plans it
48:57is that they have. So um you mentioned
49:01you mentioned cyber attacks. We've been
49:03seeing cyber attacks in places like
49:07Paraguay, in Japan, in Europe. Uh for
49:11months now there's been cyber attacks
49:13either on individual banks or on
49:15multiple banks. Uh many many people have
49:18lost their savings. they had their
49:20accounts blocked or frozen.
49:24These are these are very very desperate
49:26measures. But you also see that they're
49:28trying to blame uh Iran linked hackers,
49:33Russia linked hackers,
49:36uh North Korean hackers. you know, it's
49:38always the same uh culprits that we're
49:41supposed to uh they they never say that
49:45it might be um I don't know uh CIA
49:50linked hackers or Israeli hackers or MI6
49:55linked hackers, you know, they never
49:58mention that even as a possibility as
50:00though they wouldn't.
50:01>> And it's so easy to false flag. It's one
50:04of the like it's the easiest thing to
50:05false flag. I don't even
50:07Yeah, because it's almost impossible to
50:09establish the the actual source of the
50:11hex. But you know, just a few weeks ago,
50:14we had uh Scott Bessent, it was a few
50:18months ago in I think it was in March
50:20this year, Scott Bessant, there was
50:22gloating about how we u we grabbed the
50:27Iranians Bitcoin wallets. They he was
50:30saying like we took a billion dollars
50:33worth of their Bitcoin from straight
50:35from their wallets.
50:37Hello. If they can do it to the Iranians
50:41uh and and hack their Bitcoin wallets,
50:44>> right?
50:44>> What can they do to yours and my your
50:46and my bank account? How easy would that
50:48be? And our and our Bitcoin wallets.
50:52>> So, you know, this idea that oh no, no,
50:56no, they would never do that. that it
50:57would be only the Russians, the
50:58Iranians, North Koreans, or somebody
51:00nasty like that. Never. Never. Our guys.
51:03>> Yeah. I I personally think the age of
51:06like kinetic false flags is probably
51:08over. Like I don't People will talk
51:10like, "Oh, they're going to nuke a city
51:11and then going to blame it on Iran."
51:12It's like, "Yeah, but that's just way
51:14too messy." And like the internet will
51:16just like completely debunk it in real
51:18time like within 24 to 48 hours. But
51:21like a hack that takes down the internet
51:25that creates I mean and there's no
51:27there's no way to debunk it. I mean in
51:29honest fashion unless through
51:31speculative means.
51:32>> Yep. Yep. There you go. Exactly. So
51:35yeah. So my, you know, my closing
51:36message would be for people to be super
51:39vigilant about that.
51:42And as somebody who has volunt
51:44volunteered for military service to, you
51:49know, defend my country in the early
51:5190s, I I grew up in former Yugoslavia,
51:54so I joined the Croatian military. Uh,
51:57and, you know, in my 20s, I thought I
51:59was doing the right thing.
52:01Never ever ever
52:04uh fall for that until until you see
52:08foreign troops in your country. Never
52:12ever allow your children to go to war.
52:14It's always a life health wasted.
52:21So uh you know people are patriotic but
52:25this would not be patriotism. This would
52:27be sacrificing your children for the
52:30ultimate benefit of the bankers.
52:33>> Alex, I mean, you're a fairly mobile
52:35guy. I mean, you don't have to stay in
52:37one place. Are do you have like a plan B
52:39in place? Like, do you have like any
52:41like do you have any plans to like
52:43>> because you're in Monaco right now?
52:45>> Yeah, I would presume. I don't know. Are
52:47you okay? So, do you have any plans to,
52:49you know, leave the country?
52:53>> I don't. Yeah. Yeah, I don't. Uh and
52:55I've given it a lot of thought. Truly,
52:58I've given it a lot of thought. I've
53:00even been um you know I've I've even
53:03participated in weekly Zoom calls with
53:07with a with let's say a group of
53:11individuals who have all kind of you
53:14know they took off from the UK or the
53:16United States and they went to live in
53:19whatever Costa Rica uh Dubai um uh
53:24Europe didn't well
53:26>> sorry
53:26>> the last one didn't pan out well Dubai
53:28>> well it seemed it seemed like a good
53:30idea at the time, but [laughter] you
53:32know, Uruguay and so forth, um,
53:35basically all these options, uh, if you
53:37find good options, they might look nice
53:39on paper,
53:41>> but if you, uh, expatriate, you're going
53:45to go with your money, with some of your
53:48assets. Uh, maybe you're going to be
53:51paying lower taxes. Maybe you're going
53:52to be able to live in a nice home at
53:54affordable prices and all this stuff,
53:57but you're going to be uh dependent on
54:00um on lawyers, accountants, uh notary
54:05publiclix and people like that who
54:08perceive you as a sheep for shearing.
54:11And the rule of law may be one thing on
54:13paper in those jurisdictions, a very
54:15diff and a very different thing on u in
54:19in actual reality. And I've I've known
54:22more than one case where the people
54:26moved
54:27and uh lost everything.
54:31One of them lost his life.
54:34Uh one family of millionaires ended up
54:38homeless in Cayman Islands.
54:41Um, so I think that your best bet is to
54:48stay put where your roots are
54:51and get to know your neighbors because a
54:54local support network
54:56will give you um
55:00much much better resilience
55:03than buying into these expat uh stories
55:07which you know they may go well, but
55:11they might not. And if they don't go
55:13well, you don't have a support network.
55:16You have nobody to complain to. Nobody
55:18cares about you. You're a you're a
55:19foreign body there.
55:22So, uh it's um I think it's a fairly
55:26fairly
55:28significant risk to take and uh and
55:32there is no undo on those things. You
55:34know, you're you know, when you when you
55:36go there, you're committed. Mhm.
55:39No, very insightful. Um, Alex, thank you
55:42so much for your time, my friend. Where
55:43can people find you if they want to see
55:44more of your work?
55:45>> Uh, they can find me on X. My handle is
55:48naked hedgy. I have a daily trend
55:52following newsletter called System
55:54Trendfollowing where I uh provide daily
55:57trading signals for 19 uh global uh
56:01markets including things like gold and
56:03bitcoin.
56:05Uh so that's I system trend compass and
56:07then I have a personal substack called
56:10Alex Craner Substack
56:13and I also uh restarted my YouTube
56:15channel this year. It's just called Alex
56:18Craner. But I I post about one video a
56:21month because as as as you know video is
56:23a is a is a hell of a lot of work. It
56:25takes a lot of time and I unfortunately
56:28time is the one thing that I'm
56:30desperately short on
56:33>> as we all are. And yeah, I've seen your
56:34videos. They're super high production
56:36value. Um, so
56:38>> thank you.
56:39>> I highly highly encourage my audience to
56:41subscribe to your YouTube channel. We'll
56:43have a link down below as well and to
56:44your Substack and the rest of your
56:46socials. We'll have those linked to
56:47asum, Alex. So again, thank you for your
56:50time, guys. Thank you so much for
56:51watching. If you enjoyed this podcast,
56:53let me know. Like the video, subscribe
56:55to the channel, and hype the video if
56:57you're watching on mobile and tablet. A
56:59little bit does go a long way in helping
57:01push this video and this message out
57:03into the algorithm so new people can
57:06receive it. And also if you want to
57:08support me with more than just a like
57:10and a subscribe, check out my Substack
57:12as well, capitalcosm.substack.com.
57:14Get access to all of my stuff early and
57:16ad free before the YouTube audience
57:18does. And check out our whole host of
57:20affiliates, including my partners at
57:22Noble Gold. If you want to diversify
57:24your IRA into gold and silver, check
57:26them out. link is in the description box
57:28down below. See if it's right for you
57:29and I will catch you all next time. Bye.

About this transcript

This page contains the full transcript of 🔴 They're About To COLLAPSE a KEY Country In Europe (here's who) | Alex Krainer by CapitalCosm, generated from the public captions YouTube serves with the video. The transcript has 8,678 words across 1,330 segments, with the original timestamps preserved so you can click any line to jump to that moment in the embedded player.

What you can do with it

Use the transcript to take notes, quote the speaker, build a study guide, generate a summary with ChatGPT or Claude via the YouTube Summary tool, or export it as a timed subtitle file with YouTube to SRT. You can also re-open it in the transcriber to choose a caption track available on the video.

Free YouTube transcript tool

YouTube2Text is a free YouTube transcript generator — no signup, no daily limit. Paste any YouTube link and get the full transcript instantly, with timestamps, click-to-jump, caption language selection, AI prompts for ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini, and exports to TXT, SRT, VTT, or Markdown.