They Lied About AI Content (This Proves It) — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00Here's the pattern nobody warned you
- 0:01about. You publish AI content and it
- 0:03works. Traffic climbs for 6 months,
- 0:05maybe 12 months. Rankings hold, you
- 0:07scale it up because why wouldn't you? AI
- 0:09content is easy and it's working. Then
- 0:12somewhere between month 9 and month 18,
- 0:14the whole thing falls out from under
- 0:16you. And this is not a dip. 54% of the
- 0:19sites that followed this pattern lost
- 0:2030% or more of their peak traffic. 39%
- 0:24lost half. 22% lost three quarters of
- 0:29all the traffic they'd spend years
- 0:30building. And a lot of them ended up
- 0:32below where they started before they
- 0:34published a word of AI content. The part
- 0:37that matters is the delay. If AI content
- 0:40just didn't work, you'd know it
- 0:42immediately. You'd publish, nothing
- 0:44would rank, traffic wouldn't go up, so
- 0:46you'd stop. This would be a cheap
- 0:48lesson. But this works long enough for
- 0:50you to believe in it. Long enough to
- 0:52build a strategy around it. Long enough
- 0:54to sell it to a client. And then it
- 0:57doesn't anymore. So what's happening in
- 0:59that gap? These numbers come from Lily
- 1:01Ray. She spent the last several months
- 1:03tracking more than 220 websites and she
- 1:06didn't choose them at random. She pulled
- 1:08them off the customer story pages of
- 1:10more than a dozen AI content platforms.
- 1:13Over a dozen companies publicly bragging
- 1:16about what their tool did for these
- 1:17sites. So this is a highlight reel,
- 1:20right? This is what the industry chose
- 1:22to show you. So she tracked organic
- 1:24traffic and organic page counts in
- 1:26Ahrefs and then checked it against
- 1:28Sistrix to make sure the pattern held
- 1:30across two data sets. Hey, what's wrong?
- 1:33You want to go? Let's get back to it. I
- 1:35want to be straight about what this is.
- 1:38Third-party estimates, this is not
- 1:39search console data. She's not claiming
- 1:41these tools caused anything and she
- 1:43names zero vendors and zero domains on
- 1:45purpose because the pattern is the
- 1:47focus. The pattern is the story and the
- 1:49pattern is remarkably consistent.
- 1:52Organic pages climb fast. 6 to 12 months
- 1:56of AI publishing, traffic peaks 3 to 6
- 1:59months after the content peaks. Then it
- 2:01goes over a cliff. And inside the
- 2:04following year, most of the gain is
- 2:06gone. Glenn Gabe coined a name for this
- 2:09chart shape. He calls it Mount AI.
- 2:12Straight up on one side and straight
- 2:15down the other. Great name. Now, here's
- 2:18the detail that tells you what's really
- 2:19going on. Look at a lot of these case
- 2:21studies today on the vendor platforms
- 2:23and they're still there. They're still
- 2:26alive. The vendor's still running them.
- 2:28The write-up still says what the tool
- 2:30did for the client. But the pages the
- 2:33case study references are gone, removed,
- 2:36redirected, or 410'd by the site owner.
- 2:38The success story outlived the actual
- 2:41pages. Okay, and a lot of these brands
- 2:44cut down their content footprints way
- 2:46down in 2025 and 2026. In some cases,
- 2:49traffic started coming back after they
- 2:51did it, which tells you they weren't
- 2:54guessing. They knew what was wrong. All
- 2:56right, back to the thing I said at the
- 2:58top. Why this delay?
- 3:01Because that gap is the whole trap,
- 3:04right? If this fails immediately, no one
- 3:06would get hurt. It fails slowly. And
- 3:09slow failure is what gets you to commit.
- 3:12You publish 100 pages, they rank, you
- 3:15get more traffic, so you publish 1,000
- 3:17pages. By the time the drop comes,
- 3:20you've built your entire content
- 3:21operation on top of this and you
- 3:23probably told the client that this is
- 3:26the plan. This delay is not Google being
- 3:28slow. Something specific has to happen
- 3:31first and it doesn't happen on your
- 3:33site. This happens on everyone else's.
- 3:37Okay, so think about what an AI content
- 3:39tool actually is. It's a template and
- 3:42it's a prompt. That's the product. And
- 3:45when it works, the company sells it to
- 3:47as many people as possible because I
- 3:50mean, that's what companies do. That's
- 3:52what they're supposed to do. So now, you
- 3:55have a thousand websites running the
- 3:56same template through the same prompt,
- 3:5910,000, and every single one of them is
- 4:02pumping pages into the index that are
- 4:04structured in the same way, ordered the
- 4:07same way, answering the same question
- 4:10with the same shape. When you're the
- 4:12first one doing this, there's nothing to
- 4:15detect. You look like a site that
- 4:17publishes a lot. Maybe you hired some
- 4:20new editors. When 10,000 sites are doing
- 4:23this with the same tool and the same
- 4:25prompt, you're not a site anymore,
- 4:28you're signature, a footprint, and
- 4:30that's the delay. Google isn't sitting
- 4:32there for 9 months trying to decide
- 4:34whether your page is good, right?
- 4:36Google's a machine, it makes these
- 4:37decisions much faster than that, but
- 4:39Google is waiting for enough of the same
- 4:41pattern to show up that it becomes
- 4:44obvious. And once it's obvious, it
- 4:46becomes cheap to act on. And everybody
- 4:48running that template, the same template
- 4:50with the same prompt, they all get
- 4:51caught at the same time, including you,
- 4:53even if your version was better than
- 4:55their version, which I'm sure it was.
- 4:56This is what Google means when it talks
- 4:58about content made for search engines
- 5:00instead of content made for people. This
- 5:02isn't a comment on how it reads, it's a
- 5:04comment on why this content exists. Now,
- 5:07Ray went through the top traffic URLs on
- 5:09the declining sites and found eight
- 5:11templates that kept showing up. Most of
- 5:13the sites in trouble were running three
- 5:15or four of them. The ones most impacted
- 5:17were running all eight templates.
- 5:20Comparison pages at scale, product A
- 5:22versus product B, every match up in a
- 5:24category. What is X? Glossary pages, one
- 5:27term each, built to get quoted by an AI
- 5:30engine somewhere. Sometimes
- 5:32grammatically translated into a dozen
- 5:34languages off of one template. Best X
- 5:38for Y listicles, straight out of the
- 5:40affiliate era. If you have been in the
- 5:43space long enough, you know what I'm
- 5:44talking about. We also have
- 5:45self-promotional listicles, the same
- 5:47thing except the company writing it is
- 5:49in the category and puts itself at
- 5:51number one with no evidence they ever
- 5:53even tested a competitor. Competitor
- 5:56alternative pages, one for every single
- 5:58named rival in the market. We also have
- 6:00programmatic location and language
- 6:02pages, one template times every city or
- 6:05country that Google will index around a
- 6:07business. FAQ farms, one question per
- 6:10URL, answer in the first paragraph,
- 6:13bullets in the body, schema at the
- 6:15bottom, and off-topic content at scale.
- 6:19B2B software companies publishing jokes
- 6:21and baby names because the keywords have
- 6:23volume. And I want to say something
- 6:25about that list because this is the part
- 6:27that people get wrong when they repeat
- 6:29it. Not one of those is on there because
- 6:31it doesn't work. Every single one of
- 6:33those works. That's the entire reason
- 6:3510,000 sites are running those
- 6:38templates. Ray says this outright and
- 6:40people skip right past it. These pages
- 6:43rank. They get cited by AI and that's
- 6:46exactly why enough people created them
- 6:49that it became a signature. Okay. Now,
- 6:51six of the eight have almost nothing to
- 6:53do with a local business, have nothing
- 6:54to do with local SEO. You're not
- 6:56building competitor alternative pages
- 6:58for a local plumber, but two of them are
- 7:01being sold to local operators right now.
- 7:03And one is the fastest way I know to get
- 7:06a local site in real trouble. Let's talk
- 7:09about the FAQ farm first. Local has been
- 7:12hit hard with this pitch because it
- 7:14sounds so reasonable. Customers ask
- 7:16questions, AI engines answer questions,
- 7:19so build a page per question and get
- 7:21quoted. The most common tactic is to use
- 7:24the people also ask questions that
- 7:26Google itself provides. There are two
- 7:27problems with this. It's the same
- 7:29footprint issue since every local site
- 7:31running the same playbook is going to
- 7:33generate the same questions with the
- 7:35same answer structure coming straight
- 7:37from Google's people also ask. And
- 7:39Google deprecated FAQ rich results
- 7:42earlier this year. So, the thing that
- 7:44made these pages visually attractive in
- 7:46the search results is now gone. What's
- 7:48left is a few hundred thin URLs on a
- 7:51site that should have 40.
- 7:53Okay, the second one is the real one.
- 7:56Programmatic location pages. Now, here's
- 7:58the version being sold. Take your
- 8:00service pages, spin them across every
- 8:02city in a 50-mi radius,
- 8:05use AI to write these hundreds of new
- 8:07pages, and now you rank everywhere.
- 8:09Plumber Houston and plumber Katy,
- 8:10plumber Sugarland, plumber Pearland, on
- 8:13and on and on. One template, swap the
- 8:15city name, have AI crank them out,
- 8:17publish 200 pages. I've watched sites
- 8:20get taken out for this for years now.
- 8:23This is not new, and it's not just an AI
- 8:26tactic. AI just makes it fast, and AI
- 8:29means you don't need to find replace
- 8:30city names. But, the reason this fails
- 8:32isn't volume. It's that the pages claim
- 8:34something untrue. A page that says
- 8:36plumber in Sugarland is telling Google
- 8:38and telling a customer that there's a
- 8:40plumbing business in Sugarland. No
- 8:42address there, no coverage there, no
- 8:44jobs completed there, and the page is a
- 8:46claim with nothing behind it. Google has
- 8:48an enormous amount of local data. It
- 8:51knows where you are. You told Google
- 8:53where you are when you created your
- 8:54Google Business Profile. Now, I teach a
- 8:57system that generates a lot of pages for
- 8:59local SEO using AI, and someone is going
- 9:02to point at this and say it's the same
- 9:04thing. But, let me talk about the
- 9:05difference that's worth understanding.
- 9:08The structure that I focus on is bounded
- 9:10by the Google Business Profile. Your
- 9:12categories become category pages. Your
- 9:14services, they become service pages. If
- 9:17it's not on the Google Business Profile,
- 9:19it doesn't get a page. You end up with
- 9:21around 30 URLs, and every single one of
- 9:24them targets the city that your GBP is
- 9:27addressed in. Not the city that you wish
- 9:30you ranked in, the one that's on your
- 9:32profile. So, the page count comes from
- 9:34what the business actually does in the
- 9:36place it's actually located. This the
- 9:39programmatic version comes from what a
- 9:41spreadsheet can multiply and 199 of
- 9:44those pages describe a business that
- 9:46doesn't exist at all in that city. Count
- 9:49URLs and those look similar, but they're
- 9:51opposites. Okay, so that covers what not
- 9:54to build, but knowing what to avoid
- 9:56doesn't get you ranked. So, we don't
- 9:58want to just stop there. Okay? We don't
- 10:00want to just be someone with 30 pages in
- 10:03Houston. The test that separates a page
- 10:05that Google wants from a page that
- 10:07Google tolerates and it has nothing to
- 10:10do with whether AI wrote it. Ray puts
- 10:13this as a question you ask before
- 10:15publishing anything and
- 10:17it's very simple. Could a competitor
- 10:20publish a near identical version of this
- 10:22page tomorrow using the same prompt, the
- 10:25same methodology? That's the test. And
- 10:27if the answer to that is yes, then the
- 10:29page has no reason to exist. It might
- 10:31read beautifully. It might read like
- 10:33Hemingway wrote it. It might be more
- 10:35accurate than anything else ranking.
- 10:36Maybe it deserves a Pulitzer Prize, but
- 10:39if anything reproducible by anybody with
- 10:42the same software and the same input
- 10:45it's a copy and it just happens to be
- 10:47the first one to be produced and that's
- 10:50the dividing line in this whole study,
- 10:52which is why I want to be precise about
- 10:53it. The sites that got destroyed weren't
- 10:56destroyed by using AI. The sites that
- 10:58got destroyed weren't destroyed because
- 11:00they used AI. Google's own documentation
- 11:03says the production method isn't the
- 11:05issue. When they rolled out the scaled
- 11:08content abuse policy alongside the March
- 11:102024 core update, they named the
- 11:13practice specifically as generating
- 11:15pages to manipulate rankings regardless
- 11:18of authorship. Human AI, it doesn't
- 11:20matter. What killed them is that the
- 11:22pages carried nothing that wasn't
- 11:24already on the internet. We call this
- 11:25information gain. Does this page add
- 11:28something above and beyond what's
- 11:30already ranking? And we compare this
- 11:32with the second question, does this page
- 11:34exist because a real customer needs it
- 11:37or because a search engine or an LLM
- 11:39might cite it? Okay, you know the answer
- 11:41to this. You always know. And here's the
- 11:43part that I want the local SEO people to
- 11:46hear because you have an enormous
- 11:48advantage over every B2B SaaS software
- 11:52company, okay? Those companies were
- 11:55writing about software. Everything true
- 11:58about their product is already published
- 12:01on their own website, on G2, on 100
- 12:04review sites and comparison posts. They
- 12:06were trying to manufacture information
- 12:07gain in a category where there's almost
- 12:09no information left to gain. This is how
- 12:12you end up writing about baby names,
- 12:15okay? But in local SEO, that's not the
- 12:19position you're in. A local service
- 12:21business generates brand new information
- 12:23almost every day and almost none of it
- 12:25goes on the internet. Every job is a
- 12:27data point that other people don't have.
- 12:30What the pipe looked like when you open
- 12:32the wall? What the repair cost in that
- 12:34neighborhood last month? What which
- 12:37failure keeps showing up in houses built
- 12:39in the '90s? The failure mechanism that
- 12:42keeps showing up in houses built in the
- 12:44'20s? What permit is the city slow to
- 12:47give you right now, okay? That's
- 12:49information gain. It exists. It's free.
- 12:52It's sitting in your job history and in
- 12:53your text heads where no one's ever
- 12:56bothered to put it on a page. So, the
- 12:57question stops being whether to use AI
- 13:00and it becomes something more useful.
- 13:02What is the AI actually for? These tools
- 13:06work when an experienced person is
- 13:07holding them and they fail when someone
- 13:10sets them and forgets it. Raise words,
- 13:12true but vague. So, let me make this a
- 13:15little bit more concrete for a local
- 13:17business. AI does the parts that don't
- 13:19require you to have been there. It can
- 13:21build the structure. It can map your
- 13:23categories. It can map your services and
- 13:24do site architecture. It can write the
- 13:26brief. It can handle title tags, H1s,
- 13:28the internal linking plan, the schema.
- 13:30>> [gasps]
- 13:31>> It can take your notes and turn them
- 13:32into clean copy. It can research what's
- 13:35already ranking, so you know what's
- 13:36already been said, so you don't repeat
- 13:38it. This is real work, and without AI,
- 13:40it can take days. And there's nothing
- 13:42dangerous about any of this, because
- 13:43none of this is the part that makes a
- 13:45page worth indexing. Okay, but
- 13:46formatting isn't the ceiling, and this
- 13:48is where a lot of people stop. Okay,
- 13:50this is where those 220 sites also
- 13:53stopped. One prompt in and one page out.
- 13:58That's the architecture of the tools in
- 14:00that study, and that's why every page
- 14:02they produced was reproducible by the
- 14:04next guy with the same subscription,
- 14:07with the same prompt. The other way to
- 14:09build this is to stop treating the model
- 14:11like a writer and start treating it as
- 14:13something that goes and collects. Okay?
- 14:16That's what I built the Core 30 Agent to
- 14:17do. It's software focused on local SEO.
- 14:21Before it writes a single page, it pulls
- 14:23Census Bureau data for the actual
- 14:24market. It pulls Reddit threads where
- 14:26real people are asking about this exact
- 14:28service in this exact kind of house with
- 14:30this exact problem. It's pulling Search
- 14:32Console data, so the page is built
- 14:35around what people are already asking
- 14:38that business specifically. It's pulling
- 14:40in questions that come off of local
- 14:41forms, and it's pulling what's unique
- 14:44about that client and what makes that
- 14:46business different from the three other
- 14:48companies in town. Then, it comes up
- 14:50with a story. What story can it tell
- 14:53based on all of this information and
- 14:55data? And it creates an outline for that
- 14:57story. Each story is unique, and beyond
- 15:00that, it tracks that story. So, the next
- 15:03time you write an article, the next time
- 15:05you write a page, it never reproduces
- 15:07the same story again. And finally, it
- 15:10writes. And the page that comes out is
- 15:12not reproducible, because no one else
- 15:14has this combination of inputs. A
- 15:16competitor can copy the prompt, but they
- 15:18can't copy your Search Console, your
- 15:20form submissions, or your position in
- 15:22the market. Now, there's still a ceiling
- 15:24on this, right? AI can't know what
- 15:26happened on Tuesday on the house that
- 15:28Elm Street, at least it's not Friday,
- 15:29right? But, on a water heater
- 15:31installation page, the AI-written
- 15:33version says that water heaters
- 15:35typically last 8 to 12 years. Signs of
- 15:37failure include rust-colored water and
- 15:40popping sounds. Man, you should hire a
- 15:42licensed professional. All of that's
- 15:44true, but all of that's on the first 10
- 15:46results already. Zero information gain
- 15:49and reproducible tomorrow by anyone. The
- 15:52version that survives says what a
- 15:5450-gallon gas replacement actually runs
- 15:57in your city this year, what it pushes
- 15:59to the high end, it says the permit
- 16:01takes about a week, maybe two. It says
- 16:04the permit takes about this long with
- 16:06your city, and here's the inspection
- 16:08they always flag. It says in the older
- 16:10neighborhoods with the original
- 16:11galvanized, the install takes longer for
- 16:13this specific reason. It has photos of
- 16:16your truck in a driveway that somebody
- 16:17recognizes and names the tech who does
- 16:19them. Now, run the test on this. Could a
- 16:22competitor publish a nearly identical
- 16:23version tomorrow with the same prompt?
- 16:25No.
- 16:26They couldn't. They'd have to go and do
- 16:28the work. And that's the whole thing.
- 16:30That line is whether there's something
- 16:33on the page that could only have come
- 16:35from you. And every local business on
- 16:37Earth has that, but almost none of them
- 16:40are putting it on the site. Hopefully,
- 16:42this makes sense. What What we're
- 16:43talking about here is writing content
- 16:46that makes it sound like you actually
- 16:49live and work and do this service in
- 16:52this neighborhood. Okay, this isn't
- 16:54mind-breaking. This is kind of obvious
- 16:58in retrospect. If we want Google, if we
- 17:00want the AI systems to trust that you
- 17:02are a local business that services this
- 17:06neighborhood with water heater
- 17:07replacements, then write content that
- 17:10makes it sound like you service water
- 17:12heater replacements in this
- 17:13neighborhood. That's all I'm saying.
- 17:16Here's why I'm confident that this is
- 17:17the direction and not just my opinion.
- 17:20The industry already ran this exact
- 17:21experiment once. September 2023, Google
- 17:24shipped the helpful content update. This
- 17:26is maybe a year after GPT-3.5,
- 17:29the most aggressive move that they had
- 17:31made in years against content that, in
- 17:33their words, feels like it was created
- 17:35for search engines instead of for
- 17:37people." Six months later, March 2024,
- 17:39the longest core update in Google's
- 17:42history, and Google stated the goal
- 17:44outright, "Reduce unhelpful, unoriginal
- 17:46content in search results by 45%." This
- 17:49is Google desperately fighting against
- 17:52AI slop starting less than a year after
- 17:54ChatGPT-3.5 comes out. Two updates
- 17:57back-to-back, the same target both
- 17:59times, content [snorts] produced at
- 18:01scale to rank. And alongside the second
- 18:04one, they wrote the scaled content abuse
- 18:06policy, which named the practice and
- 18:09went out of its way to say authorship is
- 18:11irrelevant. Human, AI, some mix of the
- 18:15two. This was two years before most of
- 18:17these AI content tools existed. A lot of
- 18:20the sites hit in that round never came
- 18:22back. Ray spent 2024 working with owners
- 18:25trying to dig them out, and plenty of
- 18:26them were publishing original,
- 18:28human-written content. Their crime was
- 18:32running it through so much SEO structure
- 18:34that it stopped reading like a person
- 18:36had a reason to ever write it, much less
- 18:39read it. When she says that the content
- 18:41coming out of these AI tools looks and
- 18:43feels like the exact stuff that got
- 18:45wiped off the map in '23 and '24, she's
- 18:47not predicting. She sat in that wreckage
- 18:50for a year. The packaging changed, but
- 18:52the pattern didn't. And the sites that
- 18:55came through that cycle in the best
- 18:57shape were the ones that went narrow
- 18:59instead of wide. Fewer pages, tighter
- 19:02topics, real experience on the page.
- 19:04Same answer this cycle, same answer next
- 19:08cycle when people panic about AI-written
- 19:11content yet again. So, this brings up
- 19:14something that's about to make all of
- 19:15this a lot more visible. Anthropic
- 19:18announced in mid-August that it's going
- 19:21to start watermarking Claude's output.
- 19:23Now, I did a full breakdown on that one,
- 19:26how that watermark affects SEO, and what
- 19:28it does to AI-generated content on your
- 19:31website. It's linked right here. Go
- 19:33check it out.
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