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The Savings Expert: “Do Not Buy A House!” Do THIS Instead! - Morgan Housel — Transcript

by The Diary Of A CEO · 26,592 words · 3,541 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:00if you're buying a house because you
  2. 0:02don't do it run for your life Mr Morgan
  3. 0:05H he's the author of the psychology of
  4. 0:08money one of the bestselling business
  5. 0:09books of this decade he can help anyone
  6. 0:12build wealth and change their life the
  7. 0:14world is split between people who don't
  8. 0:16know how to start making money and
  9. 0:17people who don't know when to stop
  10. 0:19making money and if you are stuck in a
  11. 0:21low-income job you feel like you don't
  12. 0:23have the opportunity to generate wealth
  13. 0:25but once you realize that opportunities
  14. 0:26are available for everybody you can
  15. 0:28choose where you want to live what job
  16. 0:30you want when you retire because you can
  17. 0:32be rich prove it people like Ronald Reed
  18. 0:35and he was a janitor what does it take
  19. 0:37to amass Mr Reed's $8 million Fortune
  20. 0:39he's a fascinating story of somebody who
  21. 0:41became Rich despite not having the
  22. 0:43skills that you normally associated with
  23. 0:45wealthy people then there's Warren
  24. 0:46Buffett he's worth $100 billion do but
  25. 0:48the real secret to their success
  26. 0:50investing my parents are a great example
  27. 0:53of this we were very poor no Financial
  28. 0:55background and they have like minimal
  29. 0:56financial interest but now they'd
  30. 0:57probably be in the top 3% of
  31. 0:59professional investors if you want to do
  32. 1:01well with money you don't need to be a
  33. 1:03genius if you have endurance in your
  34. 1:05investing you're going to be filthy rich
  35. 1:07but when most people say I want to be a
  36. 1:09millionaire what they actually mean is I
  37. 1:11want to spend a million dollars I want
  38. 1:13some nice clothes bigger house the nicer
  39. 1:14car ask yourself what is your
  40. 1:16relationship with money if your
  41. 1:18expectations rise faster than your
  42. 1:19income you're never going to be happy
  43. 1:21with your money that's the problem so if
  44. 1:22I have1 what's the first thing that I
  45. 1:25should do I keep it as painfully simple
  46. 1:28as I can so
  47. 1:31ladies and gentlemen you're about to
  48. 1:32meet the man whose book changed my
  49. 1:34entire life as it relates to money and
  50. 1:37finance about four or five years ago my
  51. 1:40brother who's a investment banker said
  52. 1:43Steve there's one book I need you to
  53. 1:45read about wealth investing and money in
  54. 1:47finance and he passed me a book called
  55. 1:49the psychology of money that book
  56. 1:52changed my fortunes it is the reason
  57. 1:55I've been a successful investor and it's
  58. 1:57the reason I've been able to hold on to
  59. 1:59my wealth and build it it's this man and
  60. 2:02that's the reason why you need to stay
  61. 2:04tuned and listen to this
  62. 2:06[Music]
  63. 2:12episode
  64. 2:13Morgan you wrote what I would consider
  65. 2:17to be the greatest book on money and
  66. 2:20finance ever written I say that because
  67. 2:23I remember when I came into money when I
  68. 2:25was 25 20 no 27 27 28 years old and my
  69. 2:29brother turned to me and said there's
  70. 2:31one thing I ask of you he said you have
  71. 2:34to read this book called the psychology
  72. 2:36of money it will stop you losing all of
  73. 2:38the money you've just earned from your
  74. 2:40career and it changed my life I've
  75. 2:42talked about it for years and years ever
  76. 2:44since and that's why I was so Keen to
  77. 2:46have this conversation with you because
  78. 2:47I really believe if people choose to
  79. 2:49listen to this conversation it stands
  80. 2:51the chance of changing those two so
  81. 2:53let's begin why of all the things that
  82. 2:56you could do with your life Morgan why
  83. 2:58are you writing books about the subject
  84. 3:01matter that you explore what is the
  85. 3:02reason well first that's a that's a big
  86. 3:04statement that's a lot to live up to
  87. 3:05it's kind of scary to hear that because
  88. 3:07I've I've often been and this gets to
  89. 3:09the why I I've defined it as selfish
  90. 3:12writing where I write for an audience of
  91. 3:14one and that is me and I like to think
  92. 3:16of myself as a pretty selfless person
  93. 3:18but for writing I don't try to say I'm
  94. 3:21going to write a book for this person or
  95. 3:22that person or that audience I write
  96. 3:25what I'm interested in and I write it in
  97. 3:26a way that I think is interesting and I
  98. 3:28try to solve my own problem problems and
  99. 3:30then I take a leap of faith that if this
  100. 3:32is interesting to me and it's going to
  101. 3:34help me maybe it'll help somebody else
  102. 3:36that's very different from the
  103. 3:37traditional writing style of saying know
  104. 3:39your audience know your audience very
  105. 3:42quickly turns into Pander to your
  106. 3:43audience and I think a lot of people
  107. 3:45maybe they don't even know it but if
  108. 3:46they read a book and they don't
  109. 3:47necessarily like it it's because they
  110. 3:48were being pandered to they were being
  111. 3:50spoken to in a way that a person would
  112. 3:52never speak to them in real life so I
  113. 3:54just this is almost like my diary I
  114. 3:56think in terms of these are the topics
  115. 3:58that I found interesting for myself and
  116. 4:01so I guess that's the why I feel like
  117. 4:03I've really found myself in a career
  118. 4:05where I can just figure out my own
  119. 4:06problems and try to figure out what I
  120. 4:09think and what's interesting to me and
  121. 4:11then kind of put it out to the world and
  122. 4:13then hope that other people will enjoy
  123. 4:14it let's start with the psychology of
  124. 4:16money what is the benefit to my life if
  125. 4:17I understand the things that are written
  126. 4:19in the psychology of money well let me
  127. 4:21start with I think most Finance books
  128. 4:24will their their answer to that question
  129. 4:26would be when you're done with this book
  130. 4:27you will know how to pick stocks better
  131. 4:29you will know how to balance your
  132. 4:30checking account or what credit cards
  133. 4:32that you should use for my book I think
  134. 4:34when you're done with it I hope that you
  135. 4:36will just look in the mirror and say who
  136. 4:39am I which is kind of what I did with
  137. 4:41this trying to figure out who I am and
  138. 4:43what I want and why I was insecure why I
  139. 4:45wanted to show off to other people the
  140. 4:47car that I drove so if you become more
  141. 4:50introspective about who you are and what
  142. 4:52you want out of life and what money can
  143. 4:54do for you and cannot do for you and
  144. 4:56become a little bit more introspective
  145. 4:58about why you think
  146. 5:00about where you are in the social
  147. 5:02hierarchy and greed and fear and why you
  148. 5:04think about these things that you do I I
  149. 5:07honestly think that I I I hope at least
  150. 5:09because it was this way for me that when
  151. 5:11you're done for with the book that's
  152. 5:13kind of when the learning begins because
  153. 5:15maybe this will just spark a bit of
  154. 5:18curiosity for you to then go for a walk
  155. 5:20and think about what you want out of
  156. 5:22life and whatnot so I think most books
  157. 5:24when you're done with the last page the
  158. 5:25learning is done this I hope is just
  159. 5:28sparked something in you that will get
  160. 5:29you to think more clearly about what you
  161. 5:31want with money and what money can and
  162. 5:33cannot do for you part of that journey
  163. 5:34of understanding what you want helps you
  164. 5:37to define the word on the front of this
  165. 5:39book wealth what is your definition of
  166. 5:42wealth well I I I made up these
  167. 5:44definitions in the book so these are
  168. 5:46just my things that I made up but I
  169. 5:47defined rich as you have enough money to
  170. 5:51buy what you want to pay for your
  171. 5:52mortgage to make your car payment to go
  172. 5:54out to dinner with your friends you have
  173. 5:55money in the bank wealth I think is very
  174. 5:58different wealth is money that you did
  175. 6:00not spend and maybe you will not spend
  176. 6:03so wealth is hidden it's the money that
  177. 6:05you didn't spend on a car it's the money
  178. 6:07that you didn't spend on a big house you
  179. 6:09didn't spend on jewelry and that's
  180. 6:11really important because wealth that's
  181. 6:13saved up the unspent money is what gives
  182. 6:16you Independence and autonomy and just
  183. 6:18the ability to wake up every morning and
  184. 6:19do whatever you want with your with your
  185. 6:21life and so I think separating that is
  186. 6:24really important because when most
  187. 6:26people say I want to be a millionaire
  188. 6:28what they actually mean is I want to
  189. 6:30spend a million dollars that's what they
  190. 6:32mean and when I think about being a
  191. 6:35millionaire I think it's you have a
  192. 6:36million dollars that you're not going to
  193. 6:37spend and that because you're not going
  194. 6:39to spend it you have this giant cushion
  195. 6:41that will give you Independence and
  196. 6:43autonomy and so you can wake up tomorrow
  197. 6:45and say I can do whatever the hell I
  198. 6:46want today I can work for who I want I
  199. 6:48can work for as long as I want I can
  200. 6:50retire when I want the World is Yours
  201. 6:52like every bit of savings that you have
  202. 6:55is a piece of your future that you own
  203. 6:58it's a you're just buying your time in
  204. 7:00the future so that it's yours and you
  205. 7:01can do whatever you want with it and
  206. 7:03that to me has always been the goal
  207. 7:05there's a quote from Charlie Munger
  208. 7:07where he says I never wanted to become
  209. 7:08rich I just wanted to become independent
  210. 7:11and that when the first time I read it
  211. 7:12it was like that's me too that's what I
  212. 7:14want I don't want a Lamborghini I don't
  213. 7:16want a mansion and a yacht I want to
  214. 7:18wake up every morning and just say
  215. 7:20whatever I want to do today it's mine
  216. 7:22nobody's going to tell me where to work
  217. 7:23when to work what to do it's all me and
  218. 7:26to me for not just work but for your
  219. 7:29family life for your health for your
  220. 7:31mental sanity there's nothing more
  221. 7:33important than that it sounds like
  222. 7:35you're talking about your
  223. 7:36father my dad it was he has such an
  224. 7:39interesting background my my my mother
  225. 7:40too their background is so crazy and I
  226. 7:43didn't realize how crazy it was until I
  227. 7:44was an adult the early part of my
  228. 7:46childhood when my parents were in school
  229. 7:49we were very poor my parents were
  230. 7:50students living off of student loans and
  231. 7:52grants we had no money and then my dad
  232. 7:54became a doctor when I was 12 or 13 and
  233. 7:57things changed it wasn't we were not
  234. 7:58rich but like things got very
  235. 8:00comfortable and what was really
  236. 8:01important is that the frugality that my
  237. 8:04parents had to have when they were poor
  238. 8:06stuck with them even after they started
  239. 8:08making a little bit of money they didn't
  240. 8:09buy a Lamborghini no no we grew up in a
  241. 8:11very like modest house it was a nice
  242. 8:13house and we took some like decent
  243. 8:14family vacations but my we always live
  244. 8:16well below our means way below our means
  245. 8:18did that confuse you because you must
  246. 8:20have known that your dad had the money
  247. 8:21yes particularly when I was probably
  248. 8:23like 16 17 and I could learn like how
  249. 8:26much does a doctor make you can go look
  250. 8:27it up and figure it out and and then it
  251. 8:29was like I definitely looked down on my
  252. 8:31parents at that age because I was like I
  253. 8:34know you can afford a better car I know
  254. 8:36you can buy me better Christmas presents
  255. 8:38I know we can afford a bigger house and
  256. 8:40you're and you're not doing it because
  257. 8:42you're mean I think that was I think
  258. 8:44that was my view and then it really
  259. 8:46clicked about 10 years ago this is not
  260. 8:48that long ago so my dad is an ER doctor
  261. 8:51which is one of the most stressful jobs
  262. 8:52that you can imagine it's literally
  263. 8:54people dying in your arms every day and
  264. 8:57he did this for 20 years and after after
  265. 8:5920 years of doing this night shifts
  266. 9:01children dying in your arms literally
  267. 9:04every every week he said he he had had
  268. 9:07enough it was it was a lot he put in his
  269. 9:08dues he did it for 20 years and he said
  270. 9:10I'm done I'm I'm going to retire and the
  271. 9:12reason he could do that is because he
  272. 9:14had saved up so much money he was living
  273. 9:16well below his means they had a very
  274. 9:17high savings rate the moment he woke up
  275. 9:19and said I want to be done he was done
  276. 9:21and that was it and if you contrast that
  277. 9:23with so many other people including some
  278. 9:25of his colleagues who were also burnt
  279. 9:27out at age 60 who were also so burnt out
  280. 9:30by having people die in their arms for
  281. 9:3120 years they wanted to retire and they
  282. 9:33couldn't because they had the bigger
  283. 9:35house because they had the nicer car
  284. 9:37that I thought that we should have had
  285. 9:39when we were growing up and when they
  286. 9:42quit and moved on to their next phase of
  287. 9:45Life they got so much happier and so it
  288. 9:48was like so that this was 10 years ago I
  289. 9:50was in you know in my late 20s at this
  290. 9:52point I was like now I get it he was
  291. 9:54Frugal he saved a lot and that made him
  292. 9:56independent and the Independence made
  293. 9:58him Happ than any car would have done
  294. 10:01made them happier than any big house
  295. 10:02would have done so it's like I think
  296. 10:04that is one of the keys to happiness
  297. 10:06happiness is like the most complicated
  298. 10:08topic you can imagine but one of the big
  299. 10:10puzzle pieces is independence and
  300. 10:12there's been a lot of work on this
  301. 10:14studies on this of like one of the
  302. 10:16things that makes people really happy in
  303. 10:18life is having control over what they're
  304. 10:20doing and it's more so the flip of side
  305. 10:22of that it's like what makes people very
  306. 10:24unhappy in life not having control over
  307. 10:27what happens in their future not having
  308. 10:29control over their schedule where
  309. 10:31they're going to work whether they're
  310. 10:32going to get laid off having that
  311. 10:34uncertainty is a massive anchor and
  312. 10:36waight on your life your health
  313. 10:39absolutely I mean that was a big thing
  314. 10:40for my dad too he was working night
  315. 10:42shifts for for 20 years with this it
  316. 10:45it's very bad for your health it's not
  317. 10:46great at all so the ability the
  318. 10:48financial ability to just wake up one
  319. 10:50day and say I'm done done with that is
  320. 10:53huge I I was reading studies about this
  321. 10:55idea of autonomy because I was trying to
  322. 10:56figure out what you have to have
  323. 10:57professionally to love your work and I
  324. 10:59came up with these five different points
  325. 11:01one of them was autonomy and control and
  326. 11:04I I came up with that because I read
  327. 11:06studies where people who work jobs where
  328. 11:08they had a low autonomy and control had
  329. 11:10physiological consequences they were
  330. 11:12more likely to get disease they
  331. 11:14experienced stress significantly more
  332. 11:15more likely to have cardiovascular
  333. 11:17problems and heart disease which is the
  334. 11:18single biggest killer of of people
  335. 11:20generally I thought [ __ ] hell just
  336. 11:21not having control in your life yeah
  337. 11:23makes your body shut down yes you know
  338. 11:26this is something that I think everybody
  339. 11:27has experienced if they have something
  340. 11:28really stress going on at life they get
  341. 11:30into bed they're tired you can feel your
  342. 11:32heart pounding like the physiological
  343. 11:35response of stress is huge it's massive
  344. 11:39and if you have that going on every day
  345. 11:41for 5 years 10 years 20 years 30 years
  346. 11:43forget about it forget about it this's
  347. 11:45this great quote from John D Rockefeller
  348. 11:47he's the richest man in the world and he
  349. 11:49lived till I think he was 99 something
  350. 11:50like that he was 97 and his doctor
  351. 11:53talked about why like his key to
  352. 11:55longevity and the doctor said quote he
  353. 11:58never lets any anything bother him he
  354. 12:01spends plenty of time outside and he
  355. 12:03leaves the table when he's still a
  356. 12:04little bit hungry that was his key to
  357. 12:06longevity it was just and and when you
  358. 12:08read his biography you realize how true
  359. 12:09that was no matter what was going on in
  360. 12:11his life and the most stressful business
  361. 12:14conditions you can imagine none of it
  362. 12:15ever bothered him he just had ice in his
  363. 12:17veins and he could just keep going and
  364. 12:19so I I I do think that's that's
  365. 12:20definitely one of like the keys to
  366. 12:22physical health is lowering that amount
  367. 12:24of stress and there are not many other
  368. 12:26things in life that are going to
  369. 12:28increase the stress that you have have
  370. 12:30than not having control over what you're
  371. 12:32doing in life Freedom chapter seven of
  372. 12:35your book this is the broadest lifestyle
  373. 12:38variable that makes people happy doing
  374. 12:40something you love but on a schedule you
  375. 12:42can't control starts to feel the same as
  376. 12:44doing something you hate psychologists
  377. 12:46call this reactants that's right you
  378. 12:49know I I do think there are a lot of I
  379. 12:51think the best example are CEOs who
  380. 12:53might make $30 million a year $50
  381. 12:55million a year but they have no control
  382. 12:57over their time every single second of
  383. 12:59day is planned and demanded by somebody
  384. 13:02else and they have to do things that
  385. 13:04they don't want to do if they wake up
  386. 13:05and they're tired too bad you got to go
  387. 13:06to your meetings today they wake up and
  388. 13:08they're exhausted too bad you have to
  389. 13:09travel to China to close this deal they
  390. 13:11have no control over their time and
  391. 13:13compare that to someone who makes much
  392. 13:15less but they wake up they can wake up
  393. 13:17and do whatever they want whatever they
  394. 13:18want to do you want to hang out with
  395. 13:19your friends you want to sleep in you
  396. 13:20want to take a nap at 2 o'clock whatever
  397. 13:21you want to do the person who I think
  398. 13:23really sticks out in that in that vein
  399. 13:25is Warren Buffett who is the the CEO who
  400. 13:28makes a zillion a year he's worth
  401. 13:30hundred billion do but if you dig into
  402. 13:32how he structured his day total control
  403. 13:34100% autonomy can do whatever the hell
  404. 13:36he wants all day long what he wants to
  405. 13:38do is get up and go to work but he he
  406. 13:41has delegated things so effectively that
  407. 13:44he can do whatever he wants and that's
  408. 13:45not only the key to his I think business
  409. 13:47success but his health lifestyle success
  410. 13:51why he's 93 and still going as strong as
  411. 13:54ever I I was thinking about my calendar
  412. 13:56when you were talking about the CEO that
  413. 13:57makes $30 million a year but is just
  414. 13:59dragged around by his schedule sounds a
  415. 14:00lot like me to be honest I feel like the
  416. 14:02more successful I've got in my
  417. 14:04professional career the more my calendar
  418. 14:07the minute I wake up in the morning I'm
  419. 14:09just like a puppet master to these
  420. 14:10little boxes on my Google Calendar yeah
  421. 14:13they drag me around the world and
  422. 14:15there's very little I actually said to
  423. 14:17my assistant about a month ago I was
  424. 14:18like um Sophie please can you do me a
  425. 14:20favor could you just put lunch in for 30
  426. 14:22minutes because I'm not eating could you
  427. 14:24just put like could you just put that in
  428. 14:25midday every day at the same time so you
  429. 14:27can breathe so I can have a little bit
  430. 14:28of a moment I do nothing and then also
  431. 14:30the other thing I've put in now I have a
  432. 14:31personal trainer 7 days a week and I've
  433. 14:33just put that in my calendar it was
  434. 14:35before then a residual beneficiary as
  435. 14:37was everything for me well not for me
  436. 14:39because my work is for me but um it it
  437. 14:42got the time that was left over when all
  438. 14:44my priorities were done and I do reflect
  439. 14:46on that and go like how like a when does
  440. 14:48that stop because it's clearly not going
  441. 14:50to stop when I make money because I have
  442. 14:51the money and B how much control do I
  443. 14:56actually have and you know what I do
  444. 14:58sometimes I think I've noticed about
  445. 14:59myself I think sometimes I councel
  446. 15:01things just to prove to myself that I
  447. 15:02still have control that's great see
  448. 15:04that's a good thing there's a quote from
  449. 15:05n talb where he says like you are
  450. 15:07wealthy when the money that you deny
  451. 15:09tastes better than the money you accept
  452. 15:11so you get someone comes to you with a
  453. 15:13business deal and you say no thanks I
  454. 15:14don't want it when that tastes better to
  455. 15:17you than accepting the deal it feels
  456. 15:19better to you that's like one definition
  457. 15:21of of Rich there's another great quote
  458. 15:23from TYB where he says the world is
  459. 15:25split evenly between people who don't
  460. 15:27know how to start making money and
  461. 15:28people who don't know when to stop
  462. 15:30making money and I think there are a lot
  463. 15:32of people that are watching this that
  464. 15:35are in kind of our field who are easily
  465. 15:37in the ladder they have all the money
  466. 15:39that they could ever want to spend or
  467. 15:40maybe not not that much but they have
  468. 15:42more money than they ever thought they
  469. 15:44would have but for every gold that they
  470. 15:47hit oh when whenever my net worth is X
  471. 15:50all my problems are going to go away
  472. 15:51everything's going to feel great and
  473. 15:52then they hit X and they just keep
  474. 15:53moving the goalpost down and down so I
  475. 15:55read in the book that like the hardest
  476. 15:56Financial skill is getting the goalpost
  477. 15:58to stop moving it's the hardest thing in
  478. 16:00the world it's hard for everybody
  479. 16:02because virtually everybody thinks if my
  480. 16:04net worth or my income was this level
  481. 16:07I'll be fine I'll feel great no more
  482. 16:08problems I'll wake up every morning with
  483. 16:10a smile on my face and then if you're
  484. 16:12lucky enough or you work hard enough to
  485. 16:13get there you realize it's not the case
  486. 16:14at all you're just going to keep pushing
  487. 16:16it keep pushing it keep pushing it
  488. 16:17forever have they done studies to test
  489. 16:20that in terms of analyzing whether
  490. 16:22people's goal posts move off into the
  491. 16:23future even when they're like
  492. 16:24billionaires and whatever I mean here's
  493. 16:26here's the broadest way that I would
  494. 16:28frame this up that as has been studied
  495. 16:29if you look at America today the average
  496. 16:32household adjusted for inflation is
  497. 16:34making twice as much money than they
  498. 16:36were in the 1950s to adjusted for
  499. 16:38inflation the average household double
  500. 16:39the income that they were back then and
  501. 16:41we less happy the statistics that try to
  502. 16:44measure happiness over time it's not an
  503. 16:46easy thing to do but we're less happy
  504. 16:48today than we were back then and this is
  505. 16:50why like look can money buy happiness
  506. 16:52yes and to some extent does it yes like
  507. 16:54people who are in abject poverty are not
  508. 16:56as happy as people who are covering the
  509. 16:58basics and they have food and shelter
  510. 16:59etc etc but over time when you when the
  511. 17:03society is getting richer and you're
  512. 17:05comparing yourself to other people and
  513. 17:07maybe the average American's income
  514. 17:09doubled but so did their neighbors so
  515. 17:10did their co-workers so did their
  516. 17:12siblings so you just automatically
  517. 17:13adjust to that I talked about
  518. 17:15Rockefeller before Johnny Rockefeller
  519. 17:17who died in I think the 1930s he was
  520. 17:19worth adjusted for inflation almost half
  521. 17:21a trillion dollars during his day
  522. 17:23adjusted for inflation but he never had
  523. 17:26during his life penicillin Advil
  524. 17:30sunscreen polio vaccine keep keep going
  525. 17:33down the list of things that virtually
  526. 17:34everyone can take advantage of today
  527. 17:36that he never had but you can't say that
  528. 17:39the average American is living better
  529. 17:41than Rockefeller today because we have
  530. 17:43all of these technologies that he never
  531. 17:45did because we just look at what other
  532. 17:47people have and assume that that is the
  533. 17:49Baseline so you can imagine a world in
  534. 17:51which my kids my grandkids are earning
  535. 17:55twice as much as me adjusted for
  536. 17:56inflation and they're no happier for it
  537. 17:58because the new technologies whatever it
  538. 18:00would be that would seem like magic to
  539. 18:03you and I will just become their
  540. 18:05Baseline and that's always been the case
  541. 18:07if there was if Thomas Jefferson or
  542. 18:10somebody came to the year 2023 he would
  543. 18:12faint at the new technologies and the
  544. 18:15medical discoveries that we have and
  545. 18:17these are technologies that you and I
  546. 18:18don't spend one second being grateful
  547. 18:21for because we've just accepted them as
  548. 18:22a new Baseline it reminds me of
  549. 18:24something in your new book which is out
  550. 18:26in November which is
  551. 18:29you know I've gassed up a lot of books
  552. 18:31on this podcast before but this is one
  553. 18:32of my favorite of all time it's just so
  554. 18:35easy to read and so engaging because you
  555. 18:38you're one of those authors in this book
  556. 18:40that realizes the world that the reader
  557. 18:42living in and they are busy and they
  558. 18:44want the point and they want you to you
  559. 18:46know give them not one word more than
  560. 18:48you need to it is so brilliant it's so
  561. 18:51brilliant um in this book you talk about
  562. 18:53exactly that you say the first rule of
  563. 18:55happiness is low expectations Y and
  564. 18:58that's exactly what you're talking about
  565. 18:59is comparison is the thief of Joy
  566. 19:01because it just raises our own
  567. 19:02expectations right when with that out
  568. 19:04the window goes our happiness yeah and
  569. 19:07it's it it it seems counterintuitive to
  570. 19:08people that if you want to be H for most
  571. 19:10people it's if you want to be happier
  572. 19:11you need to be ambitious you need more
  573. 19:13you need to make more money work harder
  574. 19:15have a more successful startup whatever
  575. 19:16it would be and there's that's true but
  576. 19:18that's half the equation the other half
  577. 19:19the equation is keep your expectations
  578. 19:21low so the gap between those two it's a
  579. 19:24gap between those two that actually
  580. 19:26accru to happiness over time how did you
  581. 19:28learn that I think it's just I think
  582. 19:30there have been a couple little stories
  583. 19:31that really stuck out to me one that I
  584. 19:33love that just knocked me on my ass the
  585. 19:35first time I read it was Stephen Hawking
  586. 19:38the late physicist who was without
  587. 19:40exaggeration one of the smartest people
  588. 19:42to ever walk this planet he was just an
  589. 19:43absolute genius and a quirky of course
  590. 19:46is that he had a motor neuron disease
  591. 19:47and he was paralyzed from head to toe he
  592. 19:49had no control over his body he spoke
  593. 19:51through a computer not a single muscle
  594. 19:53in his body could he actually control by
  595. 19:54himself so he was you know
  596. 19:57physiologically it's one of the worst
  597. 19:58Liv that you can imagine and he did an
  598. 20:00interview with the New York Times a
  599. 20:01couple years before he died and during
  600. 20:03the interview he's talking about how
  601. 20:04happy he was and how amazing his life
  602. 20:07was and the New York Times said they
  603. 20:09asked him they said what is your secret
  604. 20:10to happiness like if there's anyone who
  605. 20:13has the right to complain about life
  606. 20:15it's it's that guy and he's talking
  607. 20:16about how happy he was and he said my
  608. 20:19expectations were reduced to zero when I
  609. 20:21was 21 which is when he got his disease
  610. 20:24and he said everything else since then
  611. 20:26has been a bonus so this is like the who
  612. 20:29whose life is like has ended up in a way
  613. 20:32that most people watching that would say
  614. 20:33like that's among the worst scenarios
  615. 20:35you can imagine and he's probably
  616. 20:37happier than you and I because his
  617. 20:39expectations were so low that just
  618. 20:41waking up in the morning and seeing the
  619. 20:43sunrise and getting to go to work and
  620. 20:45talk to people was this magical gift I
  621. 20:48mean you can imagine not to get too
  622. 20:49morbid about this but imagine you're on
  623. 20:50your deathbed and the doctor is very
  624. 20:53confident that you're going to die
  625. 20:54tomorrow and let's say that you make it
  626. 20:56one more day what is that Sunrise going
  627. 20:59to feel like what's that you know
  628. 21:01holding your your wife's hand for one
  629. 21:03more day going to feel like it' be
  630. 21:06amazing just because your expectations
  631. 21:07were on the floor and so it it's always
  632. 21:10like that and you go through life seeing
  633. 21:11so many people who have everything all
  634. 21:13the money the great family all the
  635. 21:16health the beauty everything you can
  636. 21:17imagine and they're not happy for it and
  637. 21:19it's because with everything that they
  638. 21:20have their expectations rise not only to
  639. 21:23that level they might rise above it so
  640. 21:25if you are some if your expectations
  641. 21:27rise faster than your inome
  642. 21:29you're never going to be happy with your
  643. 21:30money no matter how much money you make
  644. 21:32you can make a billion dollars a year
  645. 21:34but if you needed and wanted 1.1 billion
  646. 21:36you're broke you feel broke and the
  647. 21:39reverse of that is true too there are
  648. 21:40people who make $50,000 a year but if
  649. 21:42they only need 40 to be happy they're
  650. 21:44sto they feel great and so that's I
  651. 21:47think that's one of the reasons it's so
  652. 21:48important is because managing your own
  653. 21:51expectations is more in your control
  654. 21:53than managing your circumstances in
  655. 21:55terms of raising your income raising
  656. 21:57your investing return
  657. 21:59it's not that you can't control raising
  658. 22:01your income you can be ambitious and
  659. 22:02smart and entrepreneurial of but it's
  660. 22:04more in your control to just inside your
  661. 22:06head to say I'm going to try to want
  662. 22:09less that that's just a mental exercise
  663. 22:11that's it's not to say it's easy it's
  664. 22:13not easy at all but you have total
  665. 22:15control over doing it so how in a
  666. 22:17practical sense can one go about keeping
  667. 22:20their expectations below their
  668. 22:23circumstances I guess here's here's one
  669. 22:25that really made an impact on me and
  670. 22:27it's great that we're in La cuz that's
  671. 22:29where this story took place I was a
  672. 22:31valet here in La all throughout college
  673. 22:33at a fstar hotel here in town so a I I
  674. 22:37was young I was you know aged 19 to 24
  675. 22:39or something like that and all day it
  676. 22:41was people driving in in Ferraris and
  677. 22:43Lamborghinis and rolls-royces and one
  678. 22:45day it hit me just I I I remember the
  679. 22:48moment because it was like out of the
  680. 22:49blue it hit me whenever someone would
  681. 22:51drive in in a rollsroyce or something
  682. 22:53never once would I look at the driver
  683. 22:55and say that guy is cool like wow look
  684. 22:58at him he's so cool what I did is I
  685. 23:00imagined myself as the driver and then I
  686. 23:03thought if I was a driver people would
  687. 23:04think I'm cool and I was like wait don't
  688. 23:06you see like the disconnect here nobody
  689. 23:09cares about the driver but they want to
  690. 23:11be the driver because they think people
  691. 23:12will then care about them and once you
  692. 23:14realize that like the takeaway is nobody
  693. 23:18is thinking about you as much as you are
  694. 23:20nobody cares about your stuff as much as
  695. 23:22you do nobody cares about your car or
  696. 23:24your house or your clothes or your
  697. 23:26jewelry as much as you do because to the
  698. 23:28extent that they're even looking at them
  699. 23:30they're looking at your car looking at
  700. 23:31your house really what they're doing is
  701. 23:33imagining themselves with that nice car
  702. 23:36they're not giving you the credit
  703. 23:37they're imagining themselves having it
  704. 23:39so once I realize like that was the game
  705. 23:41that was being played in society once
  706. 23:43you once you recognize that's the game
  707. 23:45your willingness your desire to show off
  708. 23:48plunges and of course I I like nice
  709. 23:51stuff I like nice cars I want some nice
  710. 23:52clothes I live in a decent house but
  711. 23:55once you realize that it plunges and I
  712. 23:57think the most valuable Financial skill
  713. 23:59that anybody can have is not needing to
  714. 24:01impress other people if you don't need
  715. 24:04to impress other people that is an asset
  716. 24:07on your balance sheet that is worth a
  717. 24:09billion dollars because so much of
  718. 24:11society as a whole and individual is
  719. 24:14just geared towards how can I get other
  720. 24:16people's attention how can I show off to
  721. 24:18other people how can how can they like
  722. 24:19me more I both agree and understand but
  723. 24:22agreeing and understanding is different
  724. 24:24from being able to do I think at the
  725. 24:26society level it will never be it'll
  726. 24:27always be like that same as ever it's
  727. 24:29never it's never going to move away from
  728. 24:31that if you can manage it around the
  729. 24:33edges at the individual level it's
  730. 24:35massive for your life one thing that's
  731. 24:36important here is that if you are a
  732. 24:39young person and you're kind of looking
  733. 24:41for a spouse a mate a boyfriend a
  734. 24:43girlfriend a wife a husband whatever it
  735. 24:45would be then your ability to look
  736. 24:47really nice and to signal and to kind of
  737. 24:49put up your peacock feathers is
  738. 24:51important and I get it and I did it back
  739. 24:53in the day once you are more settled
  740. 24:55down in your career in your
  741. 24:56relationships if at that point you are
  742. 24:58still hanging on to the desire to
  743. 25:00impress other people that's when it's
  744. 25:01broken that's when it's just pure net
  745. 25:03loss in your life because you're trying
  746. 25:05to show off to for people who you don't
  747. 25:07even need or want to love you there's a
  748. 25:10great quote from Warren Buffett where he
  749. 25:11says the definition of success is when
  750. 25:14the people who you want to love you do
  751. 25:16love you and so for me it's like five
  752. 25:19people it's like my parents my wife and
  753. 25:21my kids and like that's it that's it
  754. 25:23those are the people who I want to love
  755. 25:24me and if they love me I I probably have
  756. 25:2790% of the happiness that I'm capable of
  757. 25:30and if they don't love me and then I'm
  758. 25:32never going to have more than like 10%
  759. 25:34of the happiness that I'm capable of in
  760. 25:35that chapter about happiness you talk
  761. 25:37about your friend Brent as well in his
  762. 25:38theory on marriage yeah my friend Brent
  763. 25:40B sure has this great theory on marriage
  764. 25:42where he says marriage only works if
  765. 25:45both Partners want to serve the other
  766. 25:48partner and expect nothing in return so
  767. 25:50you wake up every morning and you say I
  768. 25:51want to serve my spouse but I expect
  769. 25:54nothing in return from them and if you
  770. 25:56both do that simultaneously you're both
  771. 25:58pleasantly surprised because what
  772. 26:00happens is I didn't expect you to do
  773. 26:01anything for me but you did and vice
  774. 26:04versa and both of you just wake up every
  775. 26:05morning you're like but you did that for
  776. 26:07me you you helped me out here you you're
  777. 26:09empathetic to me there and it feels
  778. 26:10great you exceeded my expectations
  779. 26:12exceed my expectations and I think what
  780. 26:14breaks down any marriage or career or
  781. 26:16whatever it would be is when you become
  782. 26:19needy like nothing breaks love more than
  783. 26:22being needy and really what needy is is
  784. 26:25just your expectations are so high that
  785. 26:26you wake up and you say I expect to do
  786. 26:28this for me I expect you to help me I
  787. 26:31expect you to serve me that's just like
  788. 26:33massively high expectations that you
  789. 26:35have in that relationship it's it's also
  790. 26:37like expecting an external factor in
  791. 26:39that case your partner to validate you
  792. 26:42in some way or to and that kind of goes
  793. 26:44back to your point about money where in
  794. 26:46order to stop showing off and focusing
  795. 26:48on those five people that we want to
  796. 26:50love
  797. 26:51ourselves we need to understand and
  798. 26:54ideally solve our often toxic
  799. 26:57relationship with like our need for
  800. 26:58validation and that I guess brings me to
  801. 27:01the first chapter in your book where you
  802. 27:02talk about the stories of money that we
  803. 27:04have and where they've come from and
  804. 27:07something that's always baffled me is
  805. 27:08when you go into low-income areas
  806. 27:10there's more gambling shops yeah and I
  807. 27:12can attest to it when I was 18 19 years
  808. 27:15old and I'm shoplifting pizzas to feed
  809. 27:17myself and I'm doing all sorts of stuff
  810. 27:20when I got my student loan in I was in
  811. 27:21university for one day and they gave me
  812. 27:23like the first payment of my student
  813. 27:25loan I don't think I've ever said this
  814. 27:27before I put the entirety of the payment
  815. 27:30on a bet wow and I lost it in the six in
  816. 27:33the an injury time of that football
  817. 27:35match I don't bet and did you need that
  818. 27:37money for tuition like it it was then it
  819. 27:39was then gone I needed it to eat yeah I
  820. 27:41wasn't speaking I had no money I don't
  821. 27:43come I didn't come from money and my
  822. 27:44parents I'd gone to University with 50
  823. 27:46Quid and I got this like, sent to me
  824. 27:48from student loan whatever I was so
  825. 27:50reckless with money when I didn't have
  826. 27:52money the minute I got money it's like
  827. 27:54everything just chilled the [ __ ] out and
  828. 27:55I I became really longterm I made
  829. 27:59responsible decisions I stopped buying
  830. 28:01flashy things I like don't even own a TV
  831. 28:03now I'm very Sim I feel like the more
  832. 28:05money I have the less my material
  833. 28:07desires are for sure for sure when I say
  834. 28:09that out loud I'm like oh absolutely why
  835. 28:11is that that when we have less we are
  836. 28:13Reckless with our money well I think
  837. 28:14there's two sides to this one of my
  838. 28:16theories is
  839. 28:17that what everyone wants in the world is
  840. 28:20respect and admiration from other people
  841. 28:22and there's kind of two ways to get that
  842. 28:24you can get your respect and admiration
  843. 28:25through your wisdom through your love
  844. 28:28through your humor or if you don't have
  845. 28:30that to offer from the to offer to the
  846. 28:32world you're going to get it through
  847. 28:33your material possessions so if you can
  848. 28:36gain respect and admiration through your
  849. 28:37business success your wisdom your love
  850. 28:40your friendship great then you're going
  851. 28:42to get it and you're going to fulfill
  852. 28:43that bucket if you can't get it from
  853. 28:45those things then you're like well might
  854. 28:46as well show off my car it's all I got
  855. 28:47to do that's all I have I think that's
  856. 28:49one side of it so as you become more
  857. 28:51successful your desire to show off
  858. 28:54diminishes because you're gaining
  859. 28:55respect and admiration through other
  860. 28:57things that are not matural
  861. 28:58the other side of this that's so
  862. 29:00important is that you know I saw this
  863. 29:02statistic years ago that the poorest 10%
  864. 29:05of Americans buy like 80% of the lottery
  865. 29:08tickets in America and these are people
  866. 29:10who can like barely feed themselves
  867. 29:13lowest 10% they're literally struggling
  868. 29:15to put a roof over the head and feed
  869. 29:17themselves are going out hand over fist
  870. 29:19buying scratcher tickets and the the
  871. 29:21knee-jerk reaction when you hear that is
  872. 29:24morons what are you doing you idiot and
  873. 29:26maybe that is the right reaction but I
  874. 29:28started thinking about it and it was
  875. 29:29like okay maybe if you try to put
  876. 29:31yourself in those people's shoes maybe
  877. 29:33they would say something like this if
  878. 29:36you are stuck in a low-income job and
  879. 29:38you feel like there's no way out you
  880. 29:39feel like you don't have the opportunity
  881. 29:41to work your way up the ladder become an
  882. 29:43entrepreneur you feel like you're stuck
  883. 29:45in this position buying a lottery ticket
  884. 29:47might be the only thing in life that
  885. 29:49gives you a little bit of hope it might
  886. 29:51it's might be what feels like literally
  887. 29:52your only ticket to get out and that
  888. 29:55might be not something that you and I
  889. 29:57feel like because because we have we we
  890. 29:59we at least feel like we might have
  891. 30:00other opportunities I it's you're so
  892. 30:02right because when I gambled what I then
  893. 30:05did the same day before the result of my
  894. 30:08bet or my lottery ticket came in and I
  895. 30:10said this to my team the other day is I
  896. 30:12would go on right move and like auto
  897. 30:14trader and look at stuff that I would
  898. 30:16buy if I won yeah yeah I think there's a
  899. 30:19sense too that if you are stuck in a
  900. 30:21lower spot in life if you have a feeling
  901. 30:24that the world is unfair and very often
  902. 30:26it is so some maybe that that might be
  903. 30:28the right mindset but if you feel the
  904. 30:29world is unfair then it's very natural
  905. 30:32to think I might as well cheat too if
  906. 30:34the world's unfair why not might as well
  907. 30:35cheat and I think that at least at some
  908. 30:38level has some explanation for the
  909. 30:40relationship between poverty and crime
  910. 30:42that word hope is is so is so true I
  911. 30:44think it's true too just a glimpse of
  912. 30:46Hope because it gives you even if it's a
  913. 30:480.00001% chance if it's the only thing
  914. 30:50in your day that made you smile a little
  915. 30:52bit made you feel like you had a little
  916. 30:53bit of hope then I get why they do it
  917. 30:55the other reason the other thing I think
  918. 30:57a lot about here is that if you are in a
  919. 30:59low-income job and you're working
  920. 31:01graveyard shifts and you're exhausted
  921. 31:03and you're taking three buses to get
  922. 31:04your kids to school if the only thing
  923. 31:07that day that gives you a little bit of
  924. 31:08pleasure is a cigarette and some alcohol
  925. 31:11I get it I totally get it and that's
  926. 31:13also the relationship between health and
  927. 31:15poverty is a lot of that too so it's
  928. 31:16very easy for people who are of higher
  929. 31:19means to look down at those people and
  930. 31:21point out all the bad decisions that
  931. 31:23they're that they're doing in life but I
  932. 31:25think you underestimate how much that
  933. 31:27desire to just have a little bit of Hope
  934. 31:29a little bit of pleasure and if those
  935. 31:30feel like your only avenues for Hope and
  936. 31:32pleasure maybe that's the explanation
  937. 31:33for at least part of it quick one this
  938. 31:36is really really fascinating to me on
  939. 31:37the back end of our YouTube channel it
  940. 31:39says that
  941. 31:4069.9% of you that watch this channel
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  950. 31:57watched the show before and you've
  951. 31:58enjoyed it and you like this episode
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  958. 32:10willing to make you do we have a deal
  959. 32:11let's speak then to 18-year-old Steve
  960. 32:14that was in that little room with the
  961. 32:15stack of these what they call County
  962. 32:17Court judgments and bays and stuff stack
  963. 32:19of letters on his desk what advice based
  964. 32:22on all you know about money and finance
  965. 32:24can you give to somebody who is Maybe
  966. 32:28making a, $1,000 $2,000 a month covers
  967. 32:32their rent just about doesn't have a lot
  968. 32:33of money left over what is the best way
  969. 32:36to go from that position to a position
  970. 32:38of wealth in your
  971. 32:39view I think one of the best ways to
  972. 32:42think about it at the lower levels and I
  973. 32:44explained a little bit this earlier but
  974. 32:45to dig into it is a lot of what's
  975. 32:47probably giving you stress in life is
  976. 32:49that you don't have control over what
  977. 32:50you're doing and if you view every
  978. 32:52dollar of savings that you have as a bit
  979. 32:53of your future that you own and control
  980. 32:56then I think that mind that mindset can
  981. 32:58shift pretty dramatically and it's like
  982. 33:01that's that's the ticket out the ticket
  983. 33:02out is not a nicer car it's not a bigger
  984. 33:05house it's not better closeth the ticket
  985. 33:06out is Independence that's what's going
  986. 33:08to give you the better career that's
  987. 33:09what's going to make you happier it's
  988. 33:10what's going to make you healthier and
  989. 33:11the only thing that's going to give you
  990. 33:12Independence is having enough money
  991. 33:14saved up so that you can choose where
  992. 33:16you want to live maybe even what job you
  993. 33:19want you can choose at at at some point
  994. 33:22down the road when you retire if you get
  995. 33:24sick it's not just going to break you
  996. 33:25immediately having that Independence is
  997. 33:27going to take more weight off your
  998. 33:28shoulders than anything else you can do
  999. 33:30in life save money that's it that's the
  1000. 33:33the title of that chapter in the book is
  1001. 33:34save money because you can't put it any
  1002. 33:36clearer or Starker like that's that's it
  1003. 33:38he says there are three types of people
  1004. 33:40those who
  1005. 33:41save those who don't think they can save
  1006. 33:44and those who don't think they need to
  1007. 33:46save yep three types of people which one
  1008. 33:49are you those who save those who don't
  1009. 33:51think they can save and those who don't
  1010. 33:53think they need to save I tell you what
  1011. 33:55I've been all three in my life that's
  1012. 33:57interesting I've always been a saver no
  1013. 33:59I haven't and see that I think that's
  1014. 34:01actually very rare that you change who
  1015. 34:03you are really on the nature nurture
  1016. 34:05Spectrum I actually think and this is
  1017. 34:07kind of disappointing to talk about it's
  1018. 34:09not fun to talk about but on the nature
  1019. 34:10of nurture Spectrum I think a lot of
  1020. 34:11money is nature Warren Buffett talks
  1021. 34:14about the people who have the money mind
  1022. 34:16which means like either they get it or
  1023. 34:17they don't and if they get it they get
  1024. 34:19it instantly and if they don't they'll
  1025. 34:20get it never at all I I I actually don't
  1026. 34:23believe in it it's that black and white
  1027. 34:24Charlie merer explains it like that he
  1028. 34:26says when explaining financial matters
  1029. 34:29to young people they either get it
  1030. 34:30instantly or never at all and he's
  1031. 34:33putting that too starkly I think I don't
  1032. 34:35think it's that black and white but on
  1033. 34:37the nature nurture spectrum is it 8020
  1034. 34:39is it 7030 I think it's probably
  1035. 34:41something in that range so let me give
  1036. 34:44you a count a counterargument to that
  1037. 34:46then so as I said I've been someone that
  1038. 34:49didn't think he could save because I
  1039. 34:50didn't have money and I just thought oh
  1040. 34:52you know but I could have saved in it
  1041. 34:53looking back now I know I could have
  1042. 34:54saved I could have saved a small amount
  1043. 34:56but I didn't see the value in saving
  1044. 34:57small numbers I didn't understand the
  1045. 34:59laws of compounding returns which we'll
  1046. 35:00definitely talk about I have also been
  1047. 35:03the person that
  1048. 35:04saves and I've also been the person who
  1049. 35:09thought they didn't need to save I've
  1050. 35:10been all three my Counterpoint to this
  1051. 35:12goes back to a story that I read from
  1052. 35:14your early years where two of your
  1053. 35:17friends died on a ski trip yeah and it
  1054. 35:19also links to something youve said in
  1055. 35:21your new book same as ever where you
  1056. 35:23speak about
  1057. 35:24how sometimes in life like hitting rock
  1058. 35:28bottom is the greatest incentive to
  1059. 35:31change our lives yeah so I put those two
  1060. 35:33things together and go that moment when
  1061. 35:35you were two of your friends died on a
  1062. 35:36ski trip that you were on when you were
  1063. 35:38younger it had an impact on your risk
  1064. 35:40appetite and your attitude towards and
  1065. 35:42therefore your attitude towards money
  1066. 35:44yep what what happened what happened so
  1067. 35:46I grew up skiing in in Le Tahoe
  1068. 35:47California and I was a competitive ski
  1069. 35:49racer right uh so all throughout my
  1070. 35:51childhood and teenage years I skied six
  1071. 35:53days a week 10 months a year all over
  1072. 35:55the world and it was great there about
  1073. 35:5712 of us on the squad Valley ski team we
  1074. 35:58had grown up together and we had spent
  1075. 36:00our entire lives together and when I was
  1076. 36:0217 this is in 2001 I was skiing with my
  1077. 36:05two two of my best friends brenon Allen
  1078. 36:07and and and Brian Richmond and we would
  1079. 36:09ski out of bounds which is illegal
  1080. 36:12you're not supposed to do it we would
  1081. 36:13duck under the rope that says do not
  1082. 36:15cross and we'd ski out of bounds because
  1083. 36:16that's where a lot of the good skiing is
  1084. 36:18and when we would do this it would spit
  1085. 36:20us out on this back country road where
  1086. 36:22we'd have to hitchhike back there's no
  1087. 36:24chairlift when you ski out of bounds you
  1088. 36:25have to hitchhike your way back so so we
  1089. 36:27did it one morning in February 2001 the
  1090. 36:29three of us did it and when we did it we
  1091. 36:31triggered a very small Avalanche and I I
  1092. 36:34remembered it so clearly like I can
  1093. 36:36still feel it 21 year 22 years later I
  1094. 36:40can still feel what is like it's the
  1095. 36:41weirdest sensation of that I've had in
  1096. 36:44my life because when you get hit by an
  1097. 36:46avalanche rather than pushing on the
  1098. 36:47snow to gain traction with your skis the
  1099. 36:50ground is pushing you so all of a sudden
  1100. 36:53you're skiing along and you got control
  1101. 36:54and all a sudden boom you have no
  1102. 36:55control everyore the the ground is
  1103. 36:57pushing you around probably similar to
  1104. 36:59what it feels like if you're standing on
  1105. 37:00the ground during an earthquake like the
  1106. 37:01ground's pushing you but it was a pretty
  1107. 37:03small Avalanche maybe came up to our
  1108. 37:05knees ended pretty quickly and we kind
  1109. 37:07of like literally high-fived about it at
  1110. 37:09the bottom and went about our day we get
  1111. 37:11back around to the the base Lodge we hit
  1112. 37:14shik back and Bren and Brian said they
  1113. 37:16wanted to do it again they wanted to ski
  1114. 37:17again and I said hey for whatever reason
  1115. 37:20I I I just didn't want to do it so I
  1116. 37:22said hey rather than hit cheing back why
  1117. 37:23don't you guys go do it again and I'll
  1118. 37:25drive my truck around and pick you up so
  1119. 37:28we said great we made our plans went our
  1120. 37:29separate ways they went skiing I went
  1121. 37:31back around to take my boots off and
  1122. 37:33jump in my truck and go pick them up 20
  1123. 37:3530 minutes later I go to pick them up at
  1124. 37:36the pickup spot and they weren't there
  1125. 37:39and I knew it only took us a minute to
  1126. 37:41ski down the hill so 20 minutes later I
  1127. 37:43knew like they they they weren't coming
  1128. 37:44I I was not worried I figured that they
  1129. 37:46had already hit hike home but so after
  1130. 37:49waiting for another 20 or 30 minutes I
  1131. 37:50just left and I went back to the lodge I
  1132. 37:52expected them to be there and they
  1133. 37:54weren't and I still didn't really worry
  1134. 37:56like we didn't have cell phones back
  1135. 37:57then and people were just comfortable
  1136. 37:58being out of touch if you didn't know
  1137. 38:00where your your buddy was like wasn't
  1138. 38:01that that wasn't that big a deal so we
  1139. 38:04went about the day I I started worrying
  1140. 38:06a little bit I remember I stopped at
  1141. 38:07Brendan's house and expected him to be
  1142. 38:09there and he wasn't there either and I
  1143. 38:11remember calling and leaving a message
  1144. 38:12on his voicemail and I remember ending
  1145. 38:14the voicemail by saying I hope you're
  1146. 38:15okay man those are my last words I
  1147. 38:17remember that very clearly the day went
  1148. 38:19on and I think at about 4 or 5:00
  1149. 38:22Brian's mom called me and she said Brian
  1150. 38:25never showed up for work today do you
  1151. 38:26know where he is
  1152. 38:28and I told her what happened I said we
  1153. 38:30skied the backside of squa where we'd
  1154. 38:32hit Chik back I was going to pick them
  1155. 38:34up but they never showed up and I
  1156. 38:35haven't seen them since and I also
  1157. 38:37remember so clearly Brian's mom saying
  1158. 38:40oh my God and hanging up the phone and
  1159. 38:42that was so like so it's then we started
  1160. 38:44getting worried we called the police the
  1161. 38:45police didn't take it very seriously
  1162. 38:46because they thought ah they're out at a
  1163. 38:48party they ran off with a girl for the
  1164. 38:49night like they weren't worried but we
  1165. 38:51finally got search and rescue involved
  1166. 38:53and Rescuers of probe poles frowned
  1167. 38:56Brenan and Brian buried under 6 ft of
  1168. 38:58snow and they were they had been killed
  1169. 39:00from a massive Avalanche and so look I
  1170. 39:03think virtually everyone listening to
  1171. 39:04this I'm sure you to have lost somebody
  1172. 39:06close to you somebody that you love so I
  1173. 39:08know the experience was not unique in
  1174. 39:10that way but it was the first time that
  1175. 39:12I had experienced loss and it was the
  1176. 39:15first bad thing that had ever happened
  1177. 39:16to me in my life so it had a big impact
  1178. 39:18on me and there were a lot of takeaways
  1179. 39:21I think at the time I didn't have the
  1180. 39:23cognitive tools to piece together what
  1181. 39:25happened or to learn about what happened
  1182. 39:28like have any sort of takeaways but as I
  1183. 39:30got older and thought about it and
  1184. 39:32looking back I put together all these
  1185. 39:35like realizations of what that did to me
  1186. 39:37how it changed me and what were some of
  1187. 39:39the lessons from it too one that I talk
  1188. 39:42about in the book that I think about all
  1189. 39:43the time is my decision to not go with
  1190. 39:47them on a second run was this completely
  1191. 39:50brainless decision I put no thought into
  1192. 39:52that decision it was not a cost benefit
  1193. 39:54analysis I didn't think through it but
  1194. 39:56it's the most important decision I've
  1195. 39:57ever made in my life 100% chance if I
  1196. 40:00was with them I would have died and I
  1197. 40:02had skied literally thousands of runs
  1198. 40:04with Brendan and Brian how many times
  1199. 40:06did I deny a second run with them or say
  1200. 40:09you guys keep going I'm going to go in
  1201. 40:11almost never the one time I did it saved
  1202. 40:13my entire life and so that you really
  1203. 40:16realize that the world hangs by a thread
  1204. 40:18everybody thinks like oh you're going to
  1205. 40:20put a lot of thought into your big
  1206. 40:21decisions to make sure that you're
  1207. 40:22successful in life where you go to
  1208. 40:23college what your career is going to be
  1209. 40:25who you marry that's all great but the
  1210. 40:27world hangs by a thread and there are
  1211. 40:29tiny little no nothing decisions maybe
  1212. 40:31that you made today of maybe it was when
  1213. 40:34to cross the street maybe it was when to
  1214. 40:36leave to get in your car that can
  1215. 40:38utterly change the course of your life
  1216. 40:41and so when once you accept that of how
  1217. 40:44much the world hangs by a thread I think
  1218. 40:45you become much more humble with your
  1219. 40:47willingness to make forecasts about the
  1220. 40:49future what the economy is going to do
  1221. 40:51who's going to win the election what's
  1222. 40:52going to happen in my life my career my
  1223. 40:54family's life we have no clue we have no
  1224. 40:57idea because all we can think about are
  1225. 40:59the big decisions we cannot piece
  1226. 41:02together the chaos theory of I got in my
  1227. 41:05car at the at the wrong time I met the
  1228. 41:08wrong person or I met the right person
  1229. 41:09or you know I I decided not to take a
  1230. 41:11second run we cannot forecast the impact
  1231. 41:13of those things and so that had a big
  1232. 41:16impact on me too of just who are we to
  1233. 41:18fool ourselves that we can predict the
  1234. 41:20next recession that we can predict where
  1235. 41:22our careers are going to be in 10 years
  1236. 41:24that we can predict how long our
  1237. 41:25marriage is going to last that we can
  1238. 41:27predict how long we're going to live we
  1239. 41:28can't nobody can because we can't
  1240. 41:30predict how crazy these tiny events can
  1241. 41:33turn into and this comes right back to
  1242. 41:35investing doesn't it
  1243. 41:37because most people that consider
  1244. 41:40themselves to be investors whether
  1245. 41:41that's just putting a couple of quid
  1246. 41:42into crypto or something else engage in
  1247. 41:46the idea that they can predict the
  1248. 41:47future yeah um and this is where it
  1249. 41:50appears that most money is lost I mean
  1250. 41:52think about the biggest risk to the US
  1251. 41:54economy over the last two generations Co
  1252. 41:57mean that's one of them the others would
  1253. 41:58be Pearl Harbor okay 911 Co and maybe uh
  1254. 42:02Lan Brothers couldn't find a buyer in
  1255. 42:042008 which sparked the financial crisis
  1256. 42:06of 2008 those are the biggest Risk by
  1257. 42:08far and the common denominator of every
  1258. 42:10one of those stories is that nobody saw
  1259. 42:12them coming they were not in any
  1260. 42:14newspaper before they happened they were
  1261. 42:15not in any economic Outlook nobody was
  1262. 42:18going on TV warning you that this was
  1263. 42:20coming the common denominator of those
  1264. 42:22is that they did all of their damage in
  1265. 42:24two seconds and that would be the case
  1266. 42:26going forward you can guarantee that the
  1267. 42:28biggest news story and the biggest risk
  1268. 42:30over the next year or the next 10 years
  1269. 42:33of our life whatever it is is something
  1270. 42:34that nobody's talking about today that
  1271. 42:37you and I have can't even fathom because
  1272. 42:39it's always been like that there's never
  1273. 42:40been a time when the biggest news story
  1274. 42:42was
  1275. 42:43foreseeable and it's all and it'll be
  1276. 42:45like that going forward so that's
  1277. 42:46another just like embracing how fragile
  1278. 42:49the world is there's a great quote from
  1279. 42:50a financial adviser who I really admire
  1280. 42:52Nam Carl Richards and he says risk is
  1281. 42:54what's left over when you think you've
  1282. 42:56thought of everything
  1283. 42:57H you can go out of your way to think
  1284. 42:59about all of the risks that are in your
  1285. 43:00life and like great and like how you're
  1286. 43:02going to prevent them great that's a
  1287. 43:03good thing to do when you're done with
  1288. 43:05that exercise what's left over that
  1289. 43:07you're not thinking about is what risk
  1290. 43:09actually is it's like by definition we
  1291. 43:11can never plan or even imagine what the
  1292. 43:13biggest risks in our lives are going to
  1293. 43:14be you say that in same as ever you say
  1294. 43:17I think the the chapter title is risk is
  1295. 43:19the things you can't see or something
  1296. 43:21risk is what you don't see risk is what
  1297. 43:22you don't see that was a little bit
  1298. 43:24terrifying and it's true and I think I
  1299. 43:27think sometime you can phrase it as
  1300. 43:28terrifying it's also kind of relieving
  1301. 43:32that like why are you going to put so
  1302. 43:34much effort into trying to predict what
  1303. 43:36the stock market's going to do next what
  1304. 43:37the econom is going to do next why are
  1305. 43:39you building a forecasting model to
  1306. 43:41figure out what the econom is going to
  1307. 43:42do over the next 10 years when you look
  1308. 43:44at the last 10 or 20 years how could you
  1309. 43:46ever predict 911 or Co and even look
  1310. 43:50like something like Co there's like a
  1311. 43:512015 Bill Gates Ted Talk where he talks
  1312. 43:54about the biggest risk to society is a
  1313. 43:56viral pandemic so it's not that nobody
  1314. 43:59saw that thing coming but the specifics
  1315. 44:02of when it's going to happen how bad
  1316. 44:04it's going to be is it just going to
  1317. 44:06shut down the economy for a week or two
  1318. 44:08years that is completely impossible but
  1319. 44:10there's also lots of other TED Talks
  1320. 44:11that say everything's going to be great
  1321. 44:13of course of course there's proba
  1322. 44:14there's a lot more so on balance the
  1323. 44:16world had no idea I think on balance the
  1324. 44:19world breaks once per decade not exactly
  1325. 44:22once per de but on average once per
  1326. 44:24decade everything that you thought about
  1327. 44:25risk and uncertainty and stability goes
  1328. 44:29to [ __ ] so how do I prepare if risk if
  1329. 44:32risk is what I don't see how do I
  1330. 44:33prepare there's another great quote from
  1331. 44:35Nasim talad that I like where he says
  1332. 44:37invest in preparedness not in prediction
  1333. 44:40so rather than going out of your way to
  1334. 44:41be like here's what I think is going to
  1335. 44:43happen in crypto here's what I think is
  1336. 44:44going to happen in the stock market just
  1337. 44:45make sure that you have a big enough
  1338. 44:47buffer in your finances cash liquidity
  1339. 44:50being scared of debt so that no matter
  1340. 44:52what happens you're you at least have a
  1341. 44:55Fighting Chance of enduring it and make
  1342. 44:57through one thing I've I've often
  1343. 44:59thought about is that you should have
  1344. 45:01enough cash in your investing portfolio
  1345. 45:03the amount of cash you should have
  1346. 45:05should feel like it's too much it should
  1347. 45:07feel it should make you winse a little
  1348. 45:08bit because if you only have enough cash
  1349. 45:11to put up with the risk that you can
  1350. 45:13Envision and the risk that you can
  1351. 45:14foresee you're going to miss a surprise
  1352. 45:16every single time every single surprise
  1353. 45:18is going to be a surprise to you but if
  1354. 45:20you feel like you have too much cash
  1355. 45:22then at least you have a Fighting Chance
  1356. 45:24of putting up with the 911 the co the
  1357. 45:27Harbor whatever it might be so when
  1358. 45:29people look at my asset allocation my
  1359. 45:32investments a lot of people look at it
  1360. 45:34and say you seem really conservative why
  1361. 45:36do you have this much cash what are you
  1362. 45:38saving for and my answer is always I
  1363. 45:40don't know I have no idea what I'm
  1364. 45:42saving for who are we to assume that we
  1365. 45:45can predict the risks that are going to
  1366. 45:47be in our own personal lives and
  1367. 45:49throughout the broader World nobody can
  1368. 45:51do it the only way to prepare for it is
  1369. 45:52to have what feels like too much safety
  1370. 45:55what is your capital strategy how do you
  1371. 45:57invest your money um this is you know
  1372. 46:00this is the thing people want to know
  1373. 46:01most about you I keep it as painfully
  1374. 46:04simple as I possibly can so literally my
  1375. 46:06entire net worth is cash a house and
  1376. 46:09index funds and some shares of Marquel
  1377. 46:11where I'm on the board of directors and
  1378. 46:13that's it there's nothing else my entire
  1379. 46:15I can summarize everything so easily and
  1380. 46:18so cleanly and truly that's it and it's
  1381. 46:20not even like I have 20 bank accounts I
  1382. 46:22I have one bank account one brokerage
  1383. 46:23account like in a house and that's it so
  1384. 46:25simple why why index funds you're the
  1385. 46:28reason I your Capital allocation
  1386. 46:31strategy is almost identical to mine I
  1387. 46:32want to talk about the house thing as
  1388. 46:33well but um after reading your book I
  1389. 46:36stopped trying to pick stocks yeah and I
  1390. 46:39invested all of my available Capital
  1391. 46:41into index funds outside of investing it
  1392. 46:45in starting companies so I'm a
  1393. 46:46shareholder in I don't know 50 60 70
  1394. 46:48companies I all my other available
  1395. 46:51capital is invested in index funds and
  1396. 46:53then I have a very long-standing
  1397. 46:57position in ethereum which I've held for
  1398. 46:58like six years or something which has
  1399. 47:00done me very well yeah that is it and
  1400. 47:02the ethereum investment is also based on
  1401. 47:05the fact that I run a software business
  1402. 47:07that is in blockchain and I could see
  1403. 47:09that developers are building on top of
  1404. 47:10ethereum more than any other blockchain
  1405. 47:12so that Insight was really beneficial to
  1406. 47:15me and six years so even with the big
  1407. 47:18fall of the last two years you're still
  1408. 47:20up a lot yeah I I think your book taught
  1409. 47:23me that successful investing is when you
  1410. 47:26lose the pass to your investment account
  1411. 47:28yes that's exactly it I don't actually
  1412. 47:30think you said that in there but that's
  1413. 47:31like when I lose the password to my
  1414. 47:33investment account I'm so proud of
  1415. 47:34myself yeah because it means I haven't
  1416. 47:36checked it in
  1417. 47:37forever and so it was funny because you
  1418. 47:39were coming today I thought oh yeah well
  1419. 47:41I have all this money in these index
  1420. 47:42funds I'll check it and I thought [ __ ] I
  1421. 47:44don't know the password good that's why
  1422. 47:46you're going to do okay the reason I do
  1423. 47:48this what's important is that I am not
  1424. 47:49one of the people who says nobody can
  1425. 47:51beat the market so therefore use index
  1426. 47:52funds that's not what I believe I think
  1427. 47:54there I think it's extremely hard to
  1428. 47:56beat the market and very few people will
  1429. 47:58do it but I think there are really smart
  1430. 48:00people who can do it and people who I
  1431. 48:02know who I could invest with the reason
  1432. 48:04I don't is not because I don't believe
  1433. 48:06it can be done it's because the variable
  1434. 48:07that I want to maximize for in my
  1435. 48:09investments is endurance if I can just
  1436. 48:12earn average returns for an above
  1437. 48:13average period of time it's going to
  1438. 48:15lead to amount of success that will
  1439. 48:17literally put you in the top 5% of
  1440. 48:19investors my parents are a great example
  1441. 48:22of this my parents are smart people but
  1442. 48:24they really they have no Financial
  1443. 48:25background and they like minimal
  1444. 48:27financial interest I would say and but
  1445. 48:29they have dollar cost average into index
  1446. 48:31funds for going on 40 years now and
  1447. 48:34literally if you look at the returns
  1448. 48:35they've never sold anything ever and
  1449. 48:37literally if you look at the returns
  1450. 48:38they'd probably be in the top 3% of
  1451. 48:40professional investors what is for
  1452. 48:42anyone that doesn't know what is dollar
  1453. 48:43cost averaging and what is an index fund
  1454. 48:45dollar cost averaging means you buy the
  1455. 48:48same dollar amount of Investments every
  1456. 48:50single month come hell or high water
  1457. 48:51doesn't matter what the stock market's
  1458. 48:52doing recession boom bust you say I'm
  1459. 48:55going to put $100 or whatever it is in
  1460. 48:57the stock mark on the first of every
  1461. 48:59month now most people who like have a
  1462. 49:00401k at work are doing this whether they
  1463. 49:03know it or not they have $100 or
  1464. 49:05whatever removed from every paycheck and
  1465. 49:07it goes into the funds that they own and
  1466. 49:09they don't have to do anything whether
  1467. 49:10you know it or not you're actually doing
  1468. 49:11it the contrast to that would say I'm G
  1469. 49:14to buy and sell based off of how I feel
  1470. 49:16in the stock market I wake up I watch
  1471. 49:18CNBC I decided to sell and I'm going to
  1472. 49:20put it back in when I feel better about
  1473. 49:21the market it's the contrast to that an
  1474. 49:23index fund is just a single fund that
  1475. 49:25owns hundreds or or thousands of stocks
  1476. 49:28within it and if it's diverse enough if
  1477. 49:30it's big enough really what you're doing
  1478. 49:31is you're owning a slice of the global
  1479. 49:33economy which is how I think about it
  1480. 49:35it's thousands of individual stocks in
  1481. 49:37there Tesla Apple whatever it would be
  1482. 49:39but really what you're doing is you're
  1483. 49:40owning a slice of capitalism if I was
  1484. 49:42your son and I said Dad prove to me that
  1485. 49:44that's a better long-term wealth
  1486. 49:46creation strategy than buying crypto or
  1487. 49:49buying companies that I use or like how
  1488. 49:51would you explain that to your to your
  1489. 49:54kid your ability to do well over the
  1490. 49:56next one year or 5 years is going to
  1491. 49:58have no role whatsoever on your lifetime
  1492. 50:00ability to generate wealth all that's
  1493. 50:02going to matter is not what are the best
  1494. 50:05returns you can earn all that matters
  1495. 50:07are is what are the returns that you can
  1496. 50:08sustain for the longest period of time
  1497. 50:10all that matters is your endurance it
  1498. 50:12doesn't matter if you can double your
  1499. 50:13money this year or even double your
  1500. 50:15money again the next year all that
  1501. 50:16matters is can you stick and keep it
  1502. 50:19going for 50 years that's where
  1503. 50:21compounding comes from prove it all
  1504. 50:23because the formula for compounding is
  1505. 50:25returns to the power of time
  1506. 50:27that's not quite it but like more or
  1507. 50:28less that's it so in that equation if
  1508. 50:30you understand the math all of the heavy
  1509. 50:32lifting comes from the exponent prove it
  1510. 50:34because that's how exponential growth
  1511. 50:36works that's how it works it's literally
  1512. 50:38exponential give me a case study where
  1513. 50:39someone has followed that strategy and
  1514. 50:41done well okay here's one way to explain
  1515. 50:42it that I use in the book 99% of Warren
  1516. 50:46Buffett's net worth was accumulated
  1517. 50:48after his 60th
  1518. 50:49birthday after he turned 60 years old
  1519. 50:5299% of his wealth Jesus has been
  1520. 50:54accumulated after that period because
  1521. 50:56the longer do you hold that for the
  1522. 50:58crazier the numbers get when he was 60 I
  1523. 51:00think he was worth about $3 billion lot
  1524. 51:02of money he's a multi-billionaire but
  1525. 51:04now that he's 90 he's worth over hundred
  1526. 51:06billion and he's given like a 100
  1527. 51:07billion away to charity so if he didn't
  1528. 51:09do that he'd be worth he'd go from three
  1529. 51:10billion to 200 billion since he's been
  1530. 51:1260 because the numbers just get crazier
  1531. 51:15at that point he's worth a hundred
  1532. 51:16billion dollar so if his if his Market
  1533. 51:18if his net worth goes up 10% in one year
  1534. 51:20he makes $1 billion which is three times
  1535. 51:22that he was worth when he was 60 so
  1536. 51:25that's when you look at somebody like
  1537. 51:26Buffett is he a great investor is he a
  1538. 51:28great stock picker of course but the
  1539. 51:30real secret to his success is that he's
  1540. 51:33been a good investor for 80 years and if
  1541. 51:36he had retired at age 60 or at age 50
  1542. 51:38nobody would have ever heard of him he
  1543. 51:40would have been like one of the other
  1544. 51:42multi-billionaires who lives in Florida
  1545. 51:44and plays golf and like you've never
  1546. 51:45heard of him the reason he use a
  1547. 51:47household name is because he's been
  1548. 51:49doing this non-stop since he's since
  1549. 51:51he's been 11 years old and he's never
  1550. 51:52stopped it's just the endurance that's
  1551. 51:54made him so wealthy not necessarily the
  1552. 51:56annual returns patience it's a difficult
  1553. 51:59thing it also reminds me of the story
  1554. 52:00that you talk about in the introduction
  1555. 52:01of your book about the janitor Ronald
  1556. 52:03James Reed yeah who when he died in 2014
  1557. 52:08age 92 had a net worth of over 8
  1558. 52:11million and he was a janitor how did he
  1559. 52:14do that he took what very little money
  1560. 52:16he could save from his job as a janitor
  1561. 52:18mopping floors at the gas station he put
  1562. 52:21it in stocks and he left it alone for 70
  1563. 52:23years and that's it that's all you need
  1564. 52:25that's all you need to do if you have
  1565. 52:27endurance in your investing and you can
  1566. 52:29keep it going for years or decades you
  1567. 52:31don't need to be a genius stock picker
  1568. 52:34and not only you do not need to do it if
  1569. 52:35you have endurance you're going to beat
  1570. 52:37literally 97 or 99% of the genius stock
  1571. 52:41Pickers and what's so interesting about
  1572. 52:43it is like picking the right stocks is
  1573. 52:45hard it's supposed to be hard like
  1574. 52:47there's no world in which everybody who
  1575. 52:48tries to beat the market is going to do
  1576. 52:50it of course it's hard just like being
  1577. 52:51an NBA player is hard and but having
  1578. 52:54endurance is like largely in your
  1579. 52:55control
  1580. 52:56it's so much easier to just be patient
  1581. 52:59than it is to pick the right stocks
  1582. 53:01every single day now I think some people
  1583. 53:03nature nurture some people like probably
  1584. 53:04Ronald Reed and my parents Ju Just
  1585. 53:07understand it naturally it's not hard
  1586. 53:08for them to be patient but do like there
  1587. 53:11are professional investors who work 80
  1588. 53:13hours a week for 30 years to try to beat
  1589. 53:16the market and they can't do it not only
  1590. 53:18some that that explains like most of
  1591. 53:20them and even the ones who can do it are
  1592. 53:21maybe going to beat the market by half a
  1593. 53:23percent per year 1% per year but if you
  1594. 53:25can have Endor
  1595. 53:27that is that's a bigger benefit than you
  1596. 53:29can have by even being like a very
  1597. 53:31successful stock picker like somebody
  1598. 53:32who outperforms the market by one
  1599. 53:34percentage Point per year and they can
  1600. 53:36do that for 10 years that's amazing
  1601. 53:39that's like Mount Rushmore investor but
  1602. 53:41somebody who earns average returns and
  1603. 53:43does it for 20 years is going to have
  1604. 53:45way more money you do it for 30 years
  1605. 53:47you're going to be Filthy Rich you be
  1606. 53:49like Ronald Reed you can be a janitor
  1607. 53:50who leaves 8 million to charity when you
  1608. 53:52die but so in the case of Ronald Reed do
  1609. 53:54you not look at him a little bit and go
  1610. 53:56listen bro if you had eight or9 million
  1611. 53:59in the bank you should have been living
  1612. 54:00it up see this is one I I do kind of
  1613. 54:03regret that in the book that I'm I kind
  1614. 54:05of I didn't say it explicitly but I kind
  1615. 54:07of make him out to be a role model and I
  1616. 54:09don't think that's the case he he's not
  1617. 54:10my role model I think he's a fascinating
  1618. 54:13story of somebody who became Rich
  1619. 54:15despite not having any of the pedigree
  1620. 54:18or any of the skills that you are
  1621. 54:20normally associated with wealthy people
  1622. 54:22but you're right that he lived in a a a
  1623. 54:26s wed housing and he worked as a janitor
  1624. 54:28that's not my goal so I I I want to live
  1625. 54:30a nice life I want to be independent but
  1626. 54:32he's the most extreme example that you
  1627. 54:34can come up with and I I I wish I had
  1628. 54:36stated that more clearly in the book A
  1629. 54:37lot of people have this conversation
  1630. 54:39around pensions and in the UK we we can
  1631. 54:41pay money from our salary into our
  1632. 54:43pension but I think a lot of people
  1633. 54:45think gosh when I'm 60 when I'm 65 I
  1634. 54:48want to be rich I want to be rich when
  1635. 54:49I'm 25 yeah and I can go to Vegas and
  1636. 54:53you know ball out and buy nice things
  1637. 54:56and have great experiences not when I'm
  1638. 54:5865 yeah no I think that's true I think
  1639. 55:00there are a lot of people a lot of
  1640. 55:01financial advisers will say that one of
  1641. 55:03the hardest things they do as an adviser
  1642. 55:05is getting their clients to spend money
  1643. 55:07because they've been so conditioned to
  1644. 55:08save save save save save that when they
  1645. 55:11finally retire at 65 they don't know how
  1646. 55:12to spend they have no clue how to spend
  1647. 55:14money there's a great uh author I think
  1648. 55:16you've had him on your show RIT Siti who
  1649. 55:18talks about this a lot like how you like
  1650. 55:19you need to learn how to live a a rich
  1651. 55:22life and figure out what that is for you
  1652. 55:24for some people like for me it's just
  1653. 55:25like my my happy state is like sitting
  1654. 55:28on the couch in sweatpants reading a
  1655. 55:30book going for a walk with my wife
  1656. 55:31that's that's that's my rich life that I
  1657. 55:33love doing and to do that I need to be
  1658. 55:35independent and autonomous so I can do
  1659. 55:37that all day long I can do that on a
  1660. 55:38Wednesday afternoon rid talks a lot
  1661. 55:40about like maybe your rich life I think
  1662. 55:42for him it's flying first class and
  1663. 55:44wearing nice clothes and he talks about
  1664. 55:46like he drives I think like a beat up
  1665. 55:48Honda but he flies first class and he
  1666. 55:50dresses very nicely so you just have to
  1667. 55:52figure out what is the little thing
  1668. 55:53that's going to make you happy and I
  1669. 55:55think a lot of people's problem is that
  1670. 55:57Society tells you what you're supposed
  1671. 56:00to do to be happy you're supposed to
  1672. 56:02have a nice car you're supposed to have
  1673. 56:03a big house supposed to wear nice
  1674. 56:04clothes that's what Society tells you to
  1675. 56:06do and for some people that might be the
  1676. 56:08case for other people like me I think it
  1677. 56:10it's not that's that that would not ever
  1678. 56:13make me happy what does make me happy is
  1679. 56:15Independence so I can just do these
  1680. 56:16little quirky things that I like to do
  1681. 56:18so I think you just have to figure out
  1682. 56:20the little things that make you happy
  1683. 56:22rather than just being forced by Society
  1684. 56:24into what they want you to do
  1685. 56:26knowing when enough is enough this was
  1686. 56:28one of
  1687. 56:29the most interesting things that I think
  1688. 56:31really rang true to me was how do I know
  1689. 56:34in my life when enough is enough I've
  1690. 56:35definitely been a victim to that
  1691. 56:36external narrative that I need to have
  1692. 56:38these things in my life to be a happy
  1693. 56:40person but how does one go about knowing
  1694. 56:43when enough is enough I think back to
  1695. 56:46the story of my father he just woke up
  1696. 56:47one day and it was obvious that he would
  1697. 56:50he had been doing what he did for long
  1698. 56:53enough and it was he had felt like he
  1699. 56:54had enough and whatnot and he and he
  1700. 56:56broke away from it I
  1701. 56:58think for for a lot of people it's just
  1702. 57:00I one thing that's important about the
  1703. 57:01concept of having enough in Independence
  1704. 57:03is that when most people even if they
  1705. 57:05are independent they wake up every
  1706. 57:07morning what they want to do is go to
  1707. 57:08work one of one of the big problems with
  1708. 57:10the fire movement the financial
  1709. 57:11Independence retire early movement where
  1710. 57:13people are like they're going to be a
  1711. 57:14Super Saver and then retire at age 31
  1712. 57:16whatever it' be so many of those people
  1713. 57:18who actually did that and retired at age
  1714. 57:2131 they once they retired after about
  1715. 57:23two weeks they were bored out of their
  1716. 57:24mind and if they did it for six months
  1717. 57:26they were clinically depressed cuz for
  1718. 57:28most people you want to be productive
  1719. 57:30you want to keep doing it so having
  1720. 57:33enough doesn't necessarily mean that
  1721. 57:34you're going to stop working it just
  1722. 57:36means you're going to keep doing only
  1723. 57:37the work that you want to do there's a
  1724. 57:39really interesting question that Patrick
  1725. 57:40oesi asked a lot of people uh in in his
  1726. 57:44office he says if you won a billion
  1727. 57:46dollars in the lottery but you had to
  1728. 57:48stay at this job you're a billionaire
  1729. 57:50but you can't quit what did this company
  1730. 57:52would you want to do and what would you
  1731. 57:54get rid of and virtually everyone has an
  1732. 57:56answer for that question they say oh if
  1733. 57:58I didn't need the money but I have to
  1734. 57:59stay I would love to work on this
  1735. 58:01project I love working on this thing
  1736. 58:03this that and the other is all [ __ ]
  1737. 58:05to me so like in any job there's going
  1738. 58:08to be something that you want to do
  1739. 58:09there's going to be some project there's
  1740. 58:10going to be some position or or or maybe
  1741. 58:12it's like being an artist whatever it
  1742. 58:13would be it's not that you stop working
  1743. 58:15it's that when you have enough you get
  1744. 58:16to pick and choose which of those things
  1745. 58:18you're going to end up doing it's often
  1746. 58:20too late in our lives when we realize
  1747. 58:21the cost that we've paid for enough
  1748. 58:24never being enough you know it could
  1749. 58:26could be family it could be Health
  1750. 58:27whatever um I always reflect on the with
  1751. 58:30Brony we wasn't it who interviewed
  1752. 58:31people on their deathbeds and found out
  1753. 58:33that the biggest regret of the dying was
  1754. 58:34not living a life true to themselves
  1755. 58:36working too much Etc but that's on your
  1756. 58:38deathbed there's nothing you can do at
  1757. 58:39that point right and I think a lot about
  1758. 58:41this like what am I going to regret yes
  1759. 58:43I think about that too I think this is
  1760. 58:45this is pretty morbid to think about but
  1761. 58:46I think about if I were on my deathbed
  1762. 58:48tomorrow would I regret working hard and
  1763. 58:51saving a lot of money and my answer is
  1764. 58:52absolutely not it would give me so much
  1765. 58:54pleasure to know that my wife and my
  1766. 58:56young kids are going to be fine and the
  1767. 58:58opposite of that I cannot fathom being
  1768. 59:00on my deathbed and looking at my wife
  1769. 59:02and my 8-year-old son and my
  1770. 59:03four-year-old daughter and thinking you
  1771. 59:05guys are screwed that would that that
  1772. 59:07would that would be the biggest regret I
  1773. 59:08can fathom so I think a lot of people
  1774. 59:10would look at someone with a high
  1775. 59:11savings rate like me and would assume
  1776. 59:13that I'm going to regret it on my
  1777. 59:15deathbed and who knows but I I I have to
  1778. 59:17think it would actually be the opposite
  1779. 59:19what makes me gives me so much happiness
  1780. 59:21and pleasure is taking care of my family
  1781. 59:23and if I were to go tomorrow I wouldn't
  1782. 59:25regret for one second the car that I
  1783. 59:27didn't buy the big house I didn't buy
  1784. 59:30the nice clothes I didn't buy not for a
  1785. 59:31second would I regret not doing those
  1786. 59:33it's a really good frame to think there
  1787. 59:34isn't it about our financial decision-
  1788. 59:36making and you know a lot of people like
  1789. 59:38saving up to buy a lot of nonsense
  1790. 59:40that's going to depreciate and would you
  1791. 59:42rather have a little Nest Egg left over
  1792. 59:44for the ones you love or buy that
  1793. 59:46Lamborghini there's another great book
  1794. 59:48called die with zero which basically the
  1795. 59:51title is self-explanatory and one of the
  1796. 59:54concepts is even if you want to give
  1797. 59:55money away way to your family don't wait
  1798. 59:57until you die don't make your kids wait
  1799. 59:59or like hope you're going to die so they
  1800. 1:00:00can get their inheritance give it to
  1801. 1:00:02them when it really matters which for
  1802. 1:00:03most people is in their 30s and 40s if
  1803. 1:00:05you wait until you die at age 90 and
  1804. 1:00:08your kids are 60 and then they get your
  1805. 1:00:10money like what's the purpose of that
  1806. 1:00:12give it to them when they need it when
  1807. 1:00:13they're raising kids and whatnot that's
  1808. 1:00:15when they need your money I I I really
  1809. 1:00:17like that concept I think about that
  1810. 1:00:19with my own kids the counter point to
  1811. 1:00:20that is though if I just give my kids
  1812. 1:00:22money then like the chth quote
  1813. 1:00:26they might lose it quick think about
  1814. 1:00:28that especially as you know someone that
  1815. 1:00:30has a lot of cash they could give I
  1816. 1:00:32think about this because at some point
  1817. 1:00:33I'm G to have kids and they're going to
  1818. 1:00:34Daddy I want to do a driving lesson or
  1819. 1:00:36they're going to be 18 and go off to
  1820. 1:00:38University or whatever God I hope they
  1821. 1:00:39don't go to university um and they're
  1822. 1:00:41going to say like I've got nowhere to
  1823. 1:00:43live or I found this nice apartment dad
  1824. 1:00:46and in those moments do I make the
  1825. 1:00:47decision to pay for it because I can or
  1826. 1:00:50withhold it because they need to learn
  1827. 1:00:51the hard way I have this yeah I'd call
  1828. 1:00:54it an argument with my girlfriend
  1829. 1:00:56where I say babe listen when we have
  1830. 1:00:57kids they're going to sit an economy and
  1831. 1:01:00she's like absolutely not yeah and I'm
  1832. 1:01:03like no babe when they get okay we made
  1833. 1:01:05a deal I think we got to about when
  1834. 1:01:06they're 12 years old I'm going to put
  1835. 1:01:07them in economy so they can learn for
  1836. 1:01:09themselves the value of things see we we
  1837. 1:01:13made this mistake I don't think I've
  1838. 1:01:14ever talked about this but it was about
  1839. 1:01:15a year ago we flew my son who was me I
  1840. 1:01:18guess he was seven at the time we flew
  1841. 1:01:19first class and we explained to him that
  1842. 1:01:22this was not normal this was not going
  1843. 1:01:24to be the way it is as soon as as he did
  1844. 1:01:26it he went home he told all of our
  1845. 1:01:27neighbors told all of his friends told
  1846. 1:01:29everybody at school and that was when my
  1847. 1:01:32I like can't can't do this never again
  1848. 1:01:35you see how quickly somebody can be
  1849. 1:01:36spoiled or use that to try to show other
  1850. 1:01:39people that they are superior to them
  1851. 1:01:41that's when it was like no no we can't
  1852. 1:01:42ever do this ever again and you moved
  1853. 1:01:44his expectations in a way absolutely I
  1854. 1:01:46didn't fly first class till I was 35 and
  1855. 1:01:48he did it at 7 and so that my when I
  1856. 1:01:50first did it at 35 I remember feeling a
  1857. 1:01:53I earned this I worked for this and Al
  1858. 1:01:56felt so special to me because I'd flown
  1859. 1:01:57coach 9,000 times before that so it felt
  1860. 1:02:00amazing and so that's I I I think about
  1861. 1:02:02that a lot there's a great quote from
  1862. 1:02:03Charlie Munger where one of his rich
  1863. 1:02:05friends says Charlie if I give my kids
  1864. 1:02:08all of my money is that going to ruin
  1865. 1:02:10their ambition and Charlie says of
  1866. 1:02:12course it will but you have to do it
  1867. 1:02:14anyways and the guy says why and Charlie
  1868. 1:02:16says because if you don't your kids will
  1869. 1:02:17hate you and I think that's that too is
  1870. 1:02:20like lots of Charlie Monger quotes are
  1871. 1:02:22are framed as black and white they're
  1872. 1:02:24extreme but I think that's probably like
  1873. 1:02:2580% true really that it's it's maybe 70%
  1874. 1:02:29true that if you are a wealthy person
  1875. 1:02:31and I'm not talking billionaires if you
  1876. 1:02:32just have a moderate amount of wealth
  1877. 1:02:34that you might pass along to your kids
  1878. 1:02:35someday that your two options are kind
  1879. 1:02:37of at least to some extent hurt their
  1880. 1:02:39ambition or risk some level of strife
  1881. 1:02:42and it's always child dependent like I
  1882. 1:02:44always make the example that if
  1883. 1:02:4618-year-old Bill Gates or Mark
  1884. 1:02:47Zuckerberg or Elon Musk inherited a
  1885. 1:02:49billion dollars would have made any
  1886. 1:02:51difference to their ambition they would
  1887. 1:02:52have they would not have slowed them
  1888. 1:02:54down by one second but most people
  1889. 1:02:56including myself it would have like I
  1890. 1:02:59was driven by fear of not making it
  1891. 1:03:01which is what most people are I was I
  1892. 1:03:03was scared shitless that I was not going
  1893. 1:03:05to find the right career that I wasn't
  1894. 1:03:07going to make it and that's what drove
  1895. 1:03:08me some people don't need that but I
  1896. 1:03:12think it's very rare I think the huge
  1897. 1:03:14majority of people if you give them an
  1898. 1:03:16easy life they will take it and embrace
  1899. 1:03:18it with both hands making money and
  1900. 1:03:20keeping money require two different
  1901. 1:03:22skills you you've spoken about a few of
  1902. 1:03:24the skills that are required for making
  1903. 1:03:26money the one that really stuck out to
  1904. 1:03:28me that you've discussed so far is this
  1905. 1:03:29idea of endurance patience regardless of
  1906. 1:03:32what's happening in the markets
  1907. 1:03:33regardless of the volatility lose your
  1908. 1:03:35password and sit on your hands just on
  1909. 1:03:38that point as well I remember reading
  1910. 1:03:39somewhere it might have even been your
  1911. 1:03:40book you know it's so crazy because the
  1912. 1:03:43things that I know about money I can't
  1913. 1:03:44remember where I've got them from but
  1914. 1:03:46most of them came from this book like
  1915. 1:03:48most of the principles came from this
  1916. 1:03:49book and one of the things that I read
  1917. 1:03:51was that Warren Buffett would go like
  1918. 1:03:53five years without allocating capital
  1919. 1:03:55and this where he said the hardest thing
  1920. 1:03:58to be a great investor is to be able to
  1921. 1:04:00sit on your hands and do nothing sit on
  1922. 1:04:01your ass and do nothing that's it that's
  1923. 1:04:03that's AER quote and that's what they're
  1924. 1:04:05doing right now right now Berkshire
  1925. 1:04:06hathway which is Warren Buffett's
  1926. 1:04:07company has like $150 billion dollar of
  1927. 1:04:09cash right now and that's their entire
  1928. 1:04:12uh 60-year history of Warren Buffett and
  1929. 1:04:14Brookshire hathway is build up a
  1930. 1:04:16shitload of cash wait 10 years for an
  1931. 1:04:18opportunity deploy it all and then go
  1932. 1:04:21back to waiting and building up cash
  1933. 1:04:23crazy and that's that's that's how they
  1934. 1:04:24done it good opportunities are rare of
  1935. 1:04:26course they are they should be rare it
  1936. 1:04:27shouldn't be that anybody can just open
  1937. 1:04:29up their stock account and find the
  1938. 1:04:30opportunity of a lifetime what are the
  1939. 1:04:32gonna come once a decade what are the
  1940. 1:04:33other skills then endurance patience to
  1941. 1:04:35create to get money for the for the
  1942. 1:04:38ordinary person endurance and patience
  1943. 1:04:40is 99% of what you need as an investor
  1944. 1:04:42because the opportunities there to
  1945. 1:04:44invest in a lowcost Index Fund are
  1946. 1:04:46available for everybody and you can do
  1947. 1:04:47that from your phone like you do it from
  1948. 1:04:48your phone open up a Robinhood account
  1949. 1:04:50buy some index funds anybody can do that
  1950. 1:04:52and so that and but that was not always
  1951. 1:04:54the case it used to be 20 years ago that
  1952. 1:04:57the only people who could invest were
  1953. 1:04:58people who had a lot of money and could
  1954. 1:05:00afford a broker and had connection to a
  1955. 1:05:01broker and you yet to like make a phone
  1956. 1:05:02call make a phone call you had to know a
  1957. 1:05:04guy and even then you were going to pay
  1958. 1:05:05a ridiculous fee to that person for do
  1959. 1:05:08pieces of paper and all kinds it was a
  1960. 1:05:09joke and that's 20 years ago it's not
  1961. 1:05:11that long ago so I think like people
  1962. 1:05:13aren't grateful enough or appreciative
  1963. 1:05:16enough of how much things have changed
  1964. 1:05:18that open up those opportunities for
  1965. 1:05:19everybody you talk about the skill of
  1966. 1:05:21keeping money which is different from
  1967. 1:05:22the skill of getting money is predicated
  1968. 1:05:26on Survival Financial survival and just
  1969. 1:05:28putting up with all the unpredictable
  1970. 1:05:31nonsense that's going to happen between
  1971. 1:05:33now and the end of your life and we
  1972. 1:05:35talked earlier about the surprises Pearl
  1973. 1:05:37Harbor 9911 all these big surprises just
  1974. 1:05:40it's just your ability to endure things
  1975. 1:05:42like that that's going to be literally
  1976. 1:05:4490% of your financial success and your
  1977. 1:05:46investing success so gaining money is
  1978. 1:05:48like being an optimist and taking a risk
  1979. 1:05:50like being optimistic about yourself
  1980. 1:05:52swinging for the fences you need that to
  1981. 1:05:54get rich staying rich is is like the
  1982. 1:05:56exact opposite you need a level of being
  1983. 1:05:58conservative you need to be scared you
  1984. 1:06:01need to be like acknowledge of all the
  1985. 1:06:03unknown risks that are in front of us
  1986. 1:06:05and have a financial allocation and a
  1987. 1:06:07mindset that's going to allow you to
  1988. 1:06:09endure them and survive them financially
  1989. 1:06:11you need both of those skills at the
  1990. 1:06:12same time so well your kid is 20 years
  1991. 1:06:15old he's broke do you tell him to go and
  1992. 1:06:19take huge outsized risks he's not got a
  1993. 1:06:21family he's not got a mortgage he's not
  1994. 1:06:22got a dog what advice do you give him at
  1995. 1:06:25that age to create wealth I would
  1996. 1:06:27actually say I think this is a little
  1997. 1:06:28counterintuitive that when somebody is
  1998. 1:06:29Young you you think you would say you
  1999. 1:06:31got 50 years in front of you swing for
  2000. 1:06:33the fences go for it it's also when your
  2001. 1:06:35life is the most fragile it's when
  2002. 1:06:37you're most likely to be laid off most
  2003. 1:06:39likely to change your career most likely
  2004. 1:06:40to break up or get divorced whatever it
  2005. 1:06:42would be and so for that you need quite
  2006. 1:06:45a bit of financial flexibility just cash
  2007. 1:06:47and liquidity so once you had some level
  2008. 1:06:49built up whatever the level might be for
  2009. 1:06:51a different person then like do
  2010. 1:06:53something crazy I also think for careers
  2011. 1:06:56some of the best career advice that's
  2012. 1:06:58maybe not Universal but when you
  2013. 1:07:00graduate college and you're looking at
  2014. 1:07:02your career don't take the safe job
  2015. 1:07:04which is usually like the big company
  2016. 1:07:06the blue chick company go for the weird
  2017. 1:07:08company why go for something crazy
  2018. 1:07:10because when you're older when you're 40
  2019. 1:07:12and you have two kids and a mortgage
  2020. 1:07:14you're not going to want to take the
  2021. 1:07:15weird job that's when you want the
  2022. 1:07:17stability that's when you're probably
  2023. 1:07:18going to want the job that's has good
  2024. 1:07:20benefits and a stable paycheck cuz you
  2025. 1:07:22need that when you're 22 and you're not
  2026. 1:07:24tied down by anything
  2027. 1:07:26don't go work for Goldman Sachs or apple
  2028. 1:07:28or deoe or something like that go for
  2029. 1:07:29the weird startup where you like you're
  2030. 1:07:31you're going to learn something
  2031. 1:07:32completely different linked to that
  2032. 1:07:35point is in the weird startup you're
  2033. 1:07:37going to be so close to the failure and
  2034. 1:07:38failure is the knowledge you're going to
  2035. 1:07:40learn so much much and there's so many
  2036. 1:07:42people who take the blue chip the safe
  2037. 1:07:44job out of college and it puts them on a
  2038. 1:07:46very predictable track you're going to
  2039. 1:07:48be an analyst for two years and then if
  2040. 1:07:49you're good you'll get promoted to
  2041. 1:07:51senior analyst and then you'll get
  2042. 1:07:53promoted to associate it's like very
  2043. 1:07:54stable and linear and that's the like
  2044. 1:07:57it's you're capping all of your upside
  2045. 1:07:59where if you go for the weird company
  2046. 1:08:00you're either going to do one of two
  2047. 1:08:01things it's either going to fail and
  2048. 1:08:03you're going to learn a lot from that or
  2049. 1:08:05it's going to take off and you're going
  2050. 1:08:06to learn a lot from that and then maybe
  2051. 1:08:07when you're 40 after going through all
  2052. 1:08:09that then you want the stable job at the
  2053. 1:08:11big company it's interesting I was
  2054. 1:08:13thinking as you're speaking that the
  2055. 1:08:14proximity from your desk and the
  2056. 1:08:17CEOs probably needs to widen over time
  2057. 1:08:20yes I think I think that's that's true
  2058. 1:08:22yeah absolutely and mo most people I
  2059. 1:08:24think if they if you do it the other way
  2060. 1:08:26around or most people would never do it
  2061. 1:08:27the other around if you start your
  2062. 1:08:29career in the stable company you're
  2063. 1:08:31probably never going to leave you're
  2064. 1:08:32going to get addicted to the nice
  2065. 1:08:34paycheck the stable benefits whatnot and
  2066. 1:08:36you're never going to take a risk and do
  2067. 1:08:37anything else maybe that's okay maybe
  2068. 1:08:39for some people's personalities that's
  2069. 1:08:40exactly what they want but I think there
  2070. 1:08:42is a higher level of regret for people
  2071. 1:08:44that start in a safe company and then
  2072. 1:08:46they get the golden handcuffs they can't
  2073. 1:08:47leave and by the time they're 40 and
  2074. 1:08:50they realize that they wanted to work at
  2075. 1:08:51the crazy company they can't because
  2076. 1:08:52they got a mortgage and two kids and
  2077. 1:08:54they're saving for retirement and they
  2078. 1:08:55can't take the risk at that level of
  2079. 1:08:57their life you introduced this concept
  2080. 1:08:59of
  2081. 1:09:00tales long tales and this also changed
  2082. 1:09:04my life changed my investment strategy I
  2083. 1:09:05should probably say you talk about the
  2084. 1:09:07example of venture capital where for
  2085. 1:09:09every 50 Investments That Venture
  2086. 1:09:11capitalists make statistically half of
  2087. 1:09:14them will completely fail 10 will do
  2088. 1:09:16okay and one or two will make huge
  2089. 1:09:19profits that drive 100% of the funds
  2090. 1:09:21returns yeah this is a lesson about
  2091. 1:09:23investing in finance but it's also me a
  2092. 1:09:25lesson about life it's always life yeah
  2093. 1:09:27it applies to everything Tales where
  2094. 1:09:30just a couple of things that happen
  2095. 1:09:32explain 90 or 99% of what matters it's
  2096. 1:09:36always the case you see it in business
  2097. 1:09:38where you take in the United States
  2098. 1:09:40there are you know thousands of public
  2099. 1:09:42companies that you can buy stock in but
  2100. 1:09:44the huge majority of the value in the US
  2101. 1:09:47Stock Market is in like 10 companies
  2102. 1:09:48Apple Tesa Microsoft so even though you
  2103. 1:09:51have thousands of companies 10 of them
  2104. 1:09:52are the ones that really matter and are
  2105. 1:09:54going to drive all of the r turns over
  2106. 1:09:55time so why you just buy those 10
  2107. 1:09:57because nobody knows what they're going
  2108. 1:09:58to be at least in hindsight that that
  2109. 1:10:00that's the argument for owning a
  2110. 1:10:01thousand of them is that you know that
  2111. 1:10:03the 10 that are going to be the next big
  2112. 1:10:04ones are going to be in there all of
  2113. 1:10:06this is a case for humility this is
  2114. 1:10:08honestly what I took away from your book
  2115. 1:10:10you're expecting to walk away with tips
  2116. 1:10:14all these tips these tricks these
  2117. 1:10:15special ways to make more money than
  2118. 1:10:17everybody what I came away with is this
  2119. 1:10:20one important lesson that I've never
  2120. 1:10:23been able to unsee which is I don't know
  2121. 1:10:26I I think that's great and that back to
  2122. 1:10:28I wrote this book for myself that's been
  2123. 1:10:30the biggest lesson for me is not only do
  2124. 1:10:33I know but nobody else knows either
  2125. 1:10:35everyone everyone else is bullshitting
  2126. 1:10:36their way through the investing Market
  2127. 1:10:37too they don't know either I'm in this
  2128. 1:10:39crypto chat where one of my friends I
  2129. 1:10:41won't disparage him one of my friends
  2130. 1:10:43he's the guy in the chat that's always
  2131. 1:10:44posting the forecast graphs you know
  2132. 1:10:46those ones where they kind of like the
  2133. 1:10:47little logger graphs where they forecast
  2134. 1:10:49where the stock or the crypto where they
  2135. 1:10:50think it's going to go right and it's
  2136. 1:10:52always it's always up and to the right
  2137. 1:10:56um and it's kind of like male horoscopes
  2138. 1:10:58I heard someone say that that that's
  2139. 1:11:00such a great yeah no I think that's I
  2140. 1:11:02think what's closest to investing is
  2141. 1:11:03something like the horoscope or even if
  2142. 1:11:05you know it's [ __ ] you want to read
  2143. 1:11:06it why because it's comforting what a
  2144. 1:11:09lot of people want out of their
  2145. 1:11:10investing forecasts or whatever it is is
  2146. 1:11:12they want to reduce the uncertainty
  2147. 1:11:14that's giving them stress because
  2148. 1:11:16everyone I think intuitively knows that
  2149. 1:11:17the future in front of us is unknown and
  2150. 1:11:19it's unknowable but that hurts and so if
  2151. 1:11:22it hurts you try to reduce that stress
  2152. 1:11:24by finding someone who says I do know
  2153. 1:11:26what's going to happen you know what
  2154. 1:11:27this applies as well is I read Amazon's
  2155. 1:11:29Jeff Bezos who's the CEO and founder of
  2156. 1:11:30Amazon his shareholder letter where he
  2157. 1:11:33says we have to be the best place in the
  2158. 1:11:35world to fail um we swing for the fences
  2159. 1:11:3810 times and for every 10 swings nine of
  2160. 1:11:41them are in the Amazon graveyard he's
  2161. 1:11:43talking there about a9.com which nobody
  2162. 1:11:45knows cuz failed the fir phone which
  2163. 1:11:47nobody knows but the one in 10 pay for
  2164. 1:11:50the entirety of the graveyard the one in
  2165. 1:11:51one 10 is going to be AWS which make 70
  2166. 1:11:54billion this year right he talked about
  2167. 1:11:55that when the fir phone from Amazon
  2168. 1:11:57which if you don't know Amazon built a
  2169. 1:11:59cell phone it's called the fir phone and
  2170. 1:12:00it was a joke it was a disaster it was a
  2171. 1:12:02massive flop and he was doing like an
  2172. 1:12:04analyst call and this analyst talked
  2173. 1:12:07about like hey the Fire Phone flopped
  2174. 1:12:09like what happened there and bezo said
  2175. 1:12:10if you think that was a big failure just
  2176. 1:12:12wait you've seen nothing yet and like
  2177. 1:12:14that's why Amazon's successful they're
  2178. 1:12:16willing to try a thousand things with
  2179. 1:12:18the idea that they know 990 of them are
  2180. 1:12:21going to fail but the 10 that work are
  2181. 1:12:23going to be massive and you can fail
  2182. 1:12:25well and have the mentality to fail and
  2183. 1:12:28the financial backing to be able to fail
  2184. 1:12:30like make sure your bets are not that
  2185. 1:12:32big and you can just keep taking little
  2186. 1:12:33risks all the time the optionality that
  2187. 1:12:36you get from that like the odds that one
  2188. 1:12:38or two of those are going to explode are
  2189. 1:12:40huge it's massive I mean it's no
  2190. 1:12:42different than how do you win the
  2191. 1:12:44lottery you have to buy thousands and
  2192. 1:12:46thousands or millions of tickets if you
  2193. 1:12:48buy billions of tickets you'll probably
  2194. 1:12:49win the lottery it's probably not going
  2195. 1:12:50to pay off because it doesn't work like
  2196. 1:12:52that but it's the same concept like if
  2197. 1:12:54you if you if you take enough swings at
  2198. 1:12:56bat one of them is going to hit
  2199. 1:12:58eventually and this is also
  2200. 1:13:01a reason why some companies look
  2201. 1:13:04Innovative they look like their Geniuses
  2202. 1:13:05but in fact their failure rate is
  2203. 1:13:08massive massive there's a story at at at
  2204. 1:13:10Netflix several years ago where there
  2205. 1:13:12was uh a report to the CEO and the and
  2206. 1:13:15the report was all of the new movies
  2207. 1:13:18that we've come out that that we've that
  2208. 1:13:19we've produced have been successful and
  2209. 1:13:22whoever presented that probably thought
  2210. 1:13:23this is great this is what you want hear
  2211. 1:13:25and the CEO said that's terrible that
  2212. 1:13:27means we're not taking enough risks if
  2213. 1:13:29every movie that we release is a hit
  2214. 1:13:32we're not taking risks like you want
  2215. 1:13:34your failure rate to be at least some
  2216. 1:13:36that that's when you know you're at
  2217. 1:13:37least trying something new it's the same
  2218. 1:13:39like if you're managing uh a hotel you
  2219. 1:13:42don't want every room to be sold out
  2220. 1:13:44because that means you're not pricing
  2221. 1:13:45high enough you know you're doing a good
  2222. 1:13:46job when you have 10 empty rooms that's
  2223. 1:13:49when you know you're pricing the other
  2224. 1:13:50rooms at a high enough rate so there's
  2225. 1:13:53always going to be like some level of
  2226. 1:13:55what looks like failure that you need
  2227. 1:13:57and if you don't have it you're not
  2228. 1:13:58taking a big enough risk Daniel X sat
  2229. 1:14:00here and he said the same thing he goes
  2230. 1:14:02one of the most important metrics that I
  2231. 1:14:03think about at Spotify is our mistake
  2232. 1:14:06rate yeah and people will think okay so
  2233. 1:14:08he wants to limit mistakes very much the
  2234. 1:14:10opposite he wants to make sure that the
  2235. 1:14:12company maintains that sort of startup
  2236. 1:14:15mentality and they increase their rate
  2237. 1:14:17of mistakes and this brings me to
  2238. 1:14:19something which I kind of hit me like a
  2239. 1:14:21truck um in your new book same as ever
  2240. 1:14:23which was this idea that we need to keep
  2241. 1:14:25running now there were areas in my
  2242. 1:14:27professional life where I've been
  2243. 1:14:28successful poas is doing well I think
  2244. 1:14:31doing pretty well and I had a I had a
  2245. 1:14:33car Journey with Jima who's through the
  2246. 1:14:35wall who you met and we last time we
  2247. 1:14:37came to well I'm in the front seat of
  2248. 1:14:38the car and I go Jima do you know what
  2249. 1:14:39our biggest um our biggest threat is now
  2250. 1:14:43complacency when people get successful
  2251. 1:14:46they play defense to their detriment um
  2252. 1:14:50they don't play offense as much as they
  2253. 1:14:52need to to keep up with the rate of
  2254. 1:14:54change in the world and then a young
  2255. 1:14:57Scrappy agile incumbent who has a high
  2256. 1:15:00risk appetite will take their cheese
  2257. 1:15:03right and your chapter on keep running
  2258. 1:15:05there's two quotes that I really pulled
  2259. 1:15:06out chapter is called keep running and
  2260. 1:15:09the quot two quotes that I pulled out
  2261. 1:15:11were competitive advantages tend to be
  2262. 1:15:14shortlived often because their success
  2263. 1:15:17plants the seeds of their own decline
  2264. 1:15:21one more quote it's easy to overlook how
  2265. 1:15:24many forces pull you away from your
  2266. 1:15:26competitive Advantage once you have one
  2267. 1:15:29specifically because you have one
  2268. 1:15:31success has its own gravity that's right
  2269. 1:15:34and the the the the biggest source of
  2270. 1:15:36gravity there is laziness the reason
  2271. 1:15:38you're successful is because you work so
  2272. 1:15:40hard to get to where you were and now
  2273. 1:15:42that you feel like you've made it now
  2274. 1:15:43that you feel like you're on the top of
  2275. 1:15:44the mountain top you get lazy and that's
  2276. 1:15:46so many companies fall for that so many
  2277. 1:15:47careers fall for that there's a great
  2278. 1:15:49story from Jerry Seinfeld where he said
  2279. 1:15:51that one of the reasons that he quit the
  2280. 1:15:53show when it was still going gang
  2281. 1:15:55Busters is because he could start to
  2282. 1:15:56sense that what made the show successful
  2283. 1:15:59was starting to be was starting to go
  2284. 1:16:01away he said and part of the reason is
  2285. 1:16:03was because he got so famous when he was
  2286. 1:16:06not that famous he could go sit in a
  2287. 1:16:08coffee shop and watch how people ordered
  2288. 1:16:10their coffee and make a joke out of it
  2289. 1:16:12he was observing how Society worked once
  2290. 1:16:14he got very famous he couldn't do that
  2291. 1:16:16anymore he was too famous to go sit in a
  2292. 1:16:17deli and watch how people order their
  2293. 1:16:19sandwiches he couldn't do it so
  2294. 1:16:20therefore he didn't have a lot of the
  2295. 1:16:22source material that he had before and
  2296. 1:16:24so he was like look what made me so
  2297. 1:16:26funny and the show so successful I can't
  2298. 1:16:28do anymore so like red alert let's pull
  2299. 1:16:31the plug before it gets really bad here
  2300. 1:16:33so that's like a very specific example
  2301. 1:16:35but what he realized that what made him
  2302. 1:16:37successful was gone and a lot of a lot
  2303. 1:16:39of CEOs will will have this problem too
  2304. 1:16:42where what made them successful was that
  2305. 1:16:44they were a scrappy startup founder and
  2306. 1:16:46they were very good at building a
  2307. 1:16:47product but now that the company is big
  2308. 1:16:49and successful they also need to be an
  2309. 1:16:50HR Manager they need to be a finance
  2310. 1:16:52specialist they need to be a marketer
  2311. 1:16:54they need to be all these other things
  2312. 1:16:56and therefore their time is pulled away
  2313. 1:16:58from what they're actually good at which
  2314. 1:16:59was building a product a good example of
  2315. 1:17:01this if I can say it was Travis kenck of
  2316. 1:17:04uber the founder of uber probably nobody
  2317. 1:17:07in the world was better at scaling a
  2318. 1:17:09company like uber than he than he was
  2319. 1:17:11and there were a few people who were
  2320. 1:17:13worse at managing a big company than he
  2321. 1:17:16was so it's like what made Uber
  2322. 1:17:18successful is what pulled him away from
  2323. 1:17:21being a successful manager at that he
  2324. 1:17:22was very good at one thing he was the
  2325. 1:17:24best in the world at that one thing but
  2326. 1:17:27you shouldn't think that like it's going
  2327. 1:17:28to last during when another phase of the
  2328. 1:17:30company's life my person I consider a
  2329. 1:17:33mentor and a friend of mine been a
  2330. 1:17:35long-term friend of mine a guy called
  2331. 1:17:36Shaquille Khan he was one of the very
  2332. 1:17:37first investors in shop in Spotify um
  2333. 1:17:39new Daniel the founder from the very
  2334. 1:17:41Beginnings he said to me um a piece of
  2335. 1:17:44advice that stayed with me and I've also
  2336. 1:17:47imparted on other people at a time when
  2337. 1:17:49I'd left my company I was now
  2338. 1:17:51financially successful um financially
  2339. 1:17:53free by all regards and and I called him
  2340. 1:17:55after leaving my company and I said D I
  2341. 1:17:57said Shaq what should I do now with my
  2342. 1:18:00life he said to me Stephen the reason
  2343. 1:18:02you were successful was because you were
  2344. 1:18:04hungry you need to realize that you're
  2345. 1:18:06no longer hungry for the same reasons
  2346. 1:18:09and what he told me to do was the
  2347. 1:18:10hardest [ __ ] thing I've ever done in
  2348. 1:18:11my life which was nothing he said spend
  2349. 1:18:14a year don't rush back into starting the
  2350. 1:18:16same business again because he said to
  2351. 1:18:17me the reason why you were so
  2352. 1:18:20unbelievably disciplined and would go to
  2353. 1:18:21the office seven days a week was because
  2354. 1:18:23you were like an insecure kid that was
  2355. 1:18:24like fighting to survive that's gone now
  2356. 1:18:26so sit on your hands for a year do
  2357. 1:18:28absolutely nothing and get inspired
  2358. 1:18:30again get get hungry again about
  2359. 1:18:31something new um because my Temptation
  2360. 1:18:33was just to run back in and start a big
  2361. 1:18:35marketing business again or whatever
  2362. 1:18:36yeah I that's kind of what you're you're
  2363. 1:18:38speaking of as well is that like the
  2364. 1:18:40need to understand that our motivations
  2365. 1:18:41evolve and change over time and the
  2366. 1:18:43thing that made us successful might not
  2367. 1:18:44be the thing that makes us successful
  2368. 1:18:46again in a new Venture I think there are
  2369. 1:18:47some people who really can keep it going
  2370. 1:18:49some people who do keep running like
  2371. 1:18:50Elon [ __ ] perfect example guy worth a
  2372. 1:18:52quarter of a trillion dollars still
  2373. 1:18:54works 100 hours a week so there are
  2374. 1:18:55those people who exist but I think for a
  2375. 1:18:57lot of people this should not be a scary
  2376. 1:18:59thing the fact that after you've made it
  2377. 1:19:01and have some success and some some
  2378. 1:19:02wealth that you're not as hungry as you
  2379. 1:19:04used to be that's fine just you just
  2380. 1:19:06have to accept it it gets dangerous when
  2381. 1:19:09people don't realize it and they they
  2382. 1:19:11are less hungry they're not as motivated
  2383. 1:19:13but they're still going to try to go
  2384. 1:19:15start a new business even though they
  2385. 1:19:16don't need it anymore and then they're
  2386. 1:19:17shocked when that business doesn't work
  2387. 1:19:19he said to me you need to take on a
  2388. 1:19:22moonshot and cuz he know he goes you you
  2389. 1:19:24did the first business you did well
  2390. 1:19:26whatever Etc he goes the thing that will
  2391. 1:19:27make you hungry and sufficiently
  2392. 1:19:29terrified is you now need to find a big
  2393. 1:19:32scary terrifying goal that's what Elon
  2394. 1:19:34did with Twitter yeah he'd already
  2395. 1:19:36become the richest man in the world and
  2396. 1:19:37he probably got bored a little bit and
  2397. 1:19:38he said I need to do something that's
  2398. 1:19:40crazy and that even for someone like me
  2399. 1:19:42is going to be an absolute stretch to
  2400. 1:19:43pull off crazy which is buying Twitter
  2401. 1:19:45and running into the ground I mean
  2402. 1:19:46there's no surprise that billionaires
  2403. 1:19:48will seem to start rocket companies yeah
  2404. 1:19:50I mean the reason that they are
  2405. 1:19:52successful is because they have that
  2406. 1:19:53complete swing for def fenses I mean
  2407. 1:19:55most people would quit full stop when
  2408. 1:19:57their net worth hit 10 million or less 3
  2409. 1:20:00million and so for someone to have a net
  2410. 1:20:02worth of 10 billion and to wake up and
  2411. 1:20:04say I'm going to keep going as hard as I
  2412. 1:20:06possibly can that's why they have that
  2413. 1:20:08level of success it's complete
  2414. 1:20:09insatiable Hunger for More I sat with a
  2415. 1:20:12billionaire when I was
  2416. 1:20:1320 going to say 24 years old and I sat
  2417. 1:20:16in his office and I thought okay this
  2418. 1:20:17could be really interesting I get to
  2419. 1:20:18meet this very successful person in
  2420. 1:20:20Manchester and I looked into his eyes
  2421. 1:20:22and said why are you doing this like you
  2422. 1:20:24have all this money and it became
  2423. 1:20:26completely apparent to me that it was
  2424. 1:20:27not about the money it was all about
  2425. 1:20:29competition I then went and met another
  2426. 1:20:31billionaire who was in Manchester runs
  2427. 1:20:32another big company Manchester everybody
  2428. 1:20:33knows the company and it was the same
  2429. 1:20:35thing with him it was the thing that had
  2430. 1:20:37got him to a billion was the thing that
  2431. 1:20:40was going to keep him going after a
  2432. 1:20:41billion yeah I mean there's there's a
  2433. 1:20:44chapter in my book about natural Maniacs
  2434. 1:20:46like people like wild Minds people the
  2435. 1:20:47kind of person like Elon Musk who has
  2436. 1:20:49that mindset to say you know when he was
  2437. 1:20:5230 years old or whatever he took on GM
  2438. 1:20:55Ford Chrysler and NASA when he was like
  2439. 1:20:5730 the kind of person who thinks that is
  2440. 1:21:00not the kind of person who's going to
  2441. 1:21:01say I have enough I'm going to put it
  2442. 1:21:03all in Muni bonds and go live on the
  2443. 1:21:04farm like it's not the person who thinks
  2444. 1:21:07they can do that and can pull that off
  2445. 1:21:09is the kind of person who's never going
  2446. 1:21:10to stop if Elon Must List till he's 97
  2447. 1:21:12he's going to be starting new rocket
  2448. 1:21:13companies for sure do you think he's
  2449. 1:21:15happy no absolutely none I think most
  2450. 1:21:17people in that situation the word that I
  2451. 1:21:19would use is tortured I think they wake
  2452. 1:21:21up every morning tortured at the
  2453. 1:21:23problems that they are aspiring to solve
  2454. 1:21:25that they haven't solved yet there's
  2455. 1:21:27almost no biography of a very successful
  2456. 1:21:30person like that of that level of
  2457. 1:21:32success that you would read their
  2458. 1:21:33biography and say that life sounds great
  2459. 1:21:35it's one of the things that hit me like
  2460. 1:21:36a train truck was those two billionaires
  2461. 1:21:38I met were just the most miserable
  2462. 1:21:40people absolutely and I met their their
  2463. 1:21:42one of their sons and they go dad is so
  2464. 1:21:44unhappy I remember him saying that to me
  2465. 1:21:46and just go [ __ ] he's going to that
  2466. 1:21:48office every single day has a billion
  2467. 1:21:49dollars and his kids think he's like sad
  2468. 1:21:52there's this amazing story do you
  2469. 1:21:54remember uh
  2470. 1:21:55Myspace back in the day before before
  2471. 1:21:57Facebook and the guy who ran it his name
  2472. 1:21:58was Tom I forget his last name but when
  2473. 1:22:00you signed up for Myspace Tom was your
  2474. 1:22:02first follow he was the founder of
  2475. 1:22:04Myspace and every he followed everybody
  2476. 1:22:07and he sold Myspace I think to Qualicom
  2477. 1:22:10maybe no I'm sorry he sold he sold
  2478. 1:22:13Myspace to Viacom and uh did pretty well
  2479. 1:22:16let's say I'm guessing let's say he made
  2480. 1:22:18$50 million it's probably something in
  2481. 1:22:20in in in that range it's it's probably
  2482. 1:22:21nothing that's dramatic 500 was it he
  2483. 1:22:24sold the company for that much actually
  2484. 1:22:26don't but it was it was it was it was a
  2485. 1:22:28good but not extraordinary sum of money
  2486. 1:22:30and you can see his life on Instagram
  2487. 1:22:32it's not exaggeration he's like travels
  2488. 1:22:34around the world with his girlfriend
  2489. 1:22:36hiking in Bali it looks like at least
  2490. 1:22:38from Instagram he lives this amazing
  2491. 1:22:39life and then think about Mark
  2492. 1:22:41Zuckerberg who is like every year hauled
  2493. 1:22:43before Congress where he's like screamed
  2494. 1:22:46at for causing all of society's ills and
  2495. 1:22:48he has so much on his shoulders and
  2496. 1:22:50Facebook stock fell 70% last year
  2497. 1:22:53because everyone thinks it's going to
  2498. 1:22:54and like it looks like a very stressful
  2499. 1:22:56incredible amount of pressure on his
  2500. 1:22:58shoulders if you were to ask me which
  2501. 1:23:01one of those lives would I take would I
  2502. 1:23:02rather be someone with $50 million who
  2503. 1:23:04was traveling around the world hiking in
  2504. 1:23:07Bali with my wife or would I be wor a
  2505. 1:23:09hundred billion do and wake up every
  2506. 1:23:11morning scared shitless with so much
  2507. 1:23:13pressure on my shoulders for me it's
  2508. 1:23:15obvious I'd much rather be Tom than Mark
  2509. 1:23:17but that pressure is a drug in the sense
  2510. 1:23:21that when I say the pressure is a drug I
  2511. 1:23:22mean we know from motivation psychology
  2512. 1:23:25and I mean I think I saw on the back of
  2513. 1:23:27your your book yeah Daniel H pink y
  2514. 1:23:30Daniel pink told me that when people
  2515. 1:23:32aren't sufficiently challenged they lose
  2516. 1:23:33motivation and their level of challenge
  2517. 1:23:35kind of increases so to be engaged with
  2518. 1:23:37a task you need to um and you think of
  2519. 1:23:40this like game psychology the levels
  2520. 1:23:42need to get harder and harder for you to
  2521. 1:23:43be engaged that's why every game we play
  2522. 1:23:45it's not on level one over and over and
  2523. 1:23:47over again we need it to go to level two
  2524. 1:23:48crosswords get more difficult we stay
  2525. 1:23:50engaged do you not think that's the case
  2526. 1:23:52with like a big famous CEO know that
  2527. 1:23:54their engagement appetite their
  2528. 1:23:56challenge appetite just grows and that's
  2529. 1:23:59the only way they can stay engaged solve
  2530. 1:24:01bigger problems I think if you look at
  2531. 1:24:02someone like Bill Gates I think he had
  2532. 1:24:04figured out business and in 2000 he he
  2533. 1:24:09effectively quit Microsoft but he
  2534. 1:24:10immediately moved on to what I think was
  2535. 1:24:12in his mind a bigger problem which was
  2536. 1:24:14like how do I give this money away
  2537. 1:24:15effectively and how do I eradicate
  2538. 1:24:17malaria those kind of problems and so
  2539. 1:24:19even for someone like him who was able
  2540. 1:24:20to extract himself from the business
  2541. 1:24:22they' immediately move on to something
  2542. 1:24:24that I think in his mind was more
  2543. 1:24:26problematic and a bigger challenge so
  2544. 1:24:28there's never going to be a period where
  2545. 1:24:29someone like that were to say I've had
  2546. 1:24:30enough I'm just going to retire to read
  2547. 1:24:32books like that will never be the case
  2548. 1:24:34it's always going to be I think they're
  2549. 1:24:35addicted to the challenge is what it is
  2550. 1:24:38yeah and I think I I think I am I think
  2551. 1:24:40I think everybody is to some extent and
  2552. 1:24:42the mus and the gates those people are
  2553. 1:24:44extreme examples of it but every I think
  2554. 1:24:46everybody needs a minimum level of
  2555. 1:24:49stress in their life and the irony is
  2556. 1:24:51that we all kind of dream about like
  2557. 1:24:53what can I do to at the stress so I just
  2558. 1:24:55wake up in Nirvana every day and you
  2559. 1:24:57can't everyone needs to have some sort
  2560. 1:25:00of conflict Strife challenge stress in
  2561. 1:25:03their life and for I think for a lot of
  2562. 1:25:04people if they don't get it from real
  2563. 1:25:06places they just make up fake problems
  2564. 1:25:08in their life that's that's a big
  2565. 1:25:09problem with people for people who
  2566. 1:25:11richer people who have a lot of things
  2567. 1:25:12they will start worrying and stressing
  2568. 1:25:14about the most minute things because
  2569. 1:25:16they need that stress in their life on
  2570. 1:25:19that point as well just popping back to
  2571. 1:25:20we were talking about the complacency
  2572. 1:25:22the other thing that I think successful
  2573. 1:25:24people become a victim of is their own
  2574. 1:25:27correctness I think about that with me
  2575. 1:25:29like I've been right about several
  2576. 1:25:30decisions in a row so surely that
  2577. 1:25:32creates evidence that I'm probably right
  2578. 1:25:34again and that can be your downfall as
  2579. 1:25:36well or what a lot of it is is you were
  2580. 1:25:38right on this topic and then therefore
  2581. 1:25:40you assume that you're going to be right
  2582. 1:25:41on another topic and you didn't know the
  2583. 1:25:42role luck might have played you didn't
  2584. 1:25:44know what luck would play but let's say
  2585. 1:25:45you're a very successful investor and
  2586. 1:25:48then and they'll say you're like
  2587. 1:25:49massively successful a lot of those
  2588. 1:25:50people will think therefore I can also
  2589. 1:25:53be an effective politician
  2590. 1:25:54therefore I can also be an expert on Co
  2591. 1:25:57whatever it would be because they think
  2592. 1:25:58they're so smart in this area that they
  2593. 1:26:00must be smart in other areas a lot of
  2594. 1:26:02doctors have this problem with investing
  2595. 1:26:04where they think I'm a doctor I'm very
  2596. 1:26:06successful I got a PhD from a great
  2597. 1:26:08school therefore I can pick the stocks
  2598. 1:26:10because I'm a smart person and that
  2599. 1:26:12level of overconfidence is their undoing
  2600. 1:26:14can success I think your book the one of
  2601. 1:26:16the key things that stayed with me and I
  2602. 1:26:18didn't need to recap myself on was the
  2603. 1:26:19stories you told about people
  2604. 1:26:22that accurately predicted what was going
  2605. 1:26:25to happen in the stock market against
  2606. 1:26:26all conventional wisdom they all from
  2607. 1:26:29what I recall they went on to lose their
  2608. 1:26:30money eventually anyway a lot of them
  2609. 1:26:32yeah yeah what is that story you told in
  2610. 1:26:33your book there's a story about a guy
  2611. 1:26:34named Jesse Livermore who was back in
  2612. 1:26:36the 1920s he was the most successful
  2613. 1:26:38investor in the world and what's so
  2614. 1:26:40amazing about Jesse Livermore is that I
  2615. 1:26:42think four different occasions in his
  2616. 1:26:43life he became the equivalent of a
  2617. 1:26:45billionaire adjusted for inflation and
  2618. 1:26:47then went bankrupt four separate times
  2619. 1:26:49in his life so he was the person who was
  2620. 1:26:51like better at anyone in the world at
  2621. 1:26:54making money and had no skill whatsoever
  2622. 1:26:56at keeping money and that's someone who
  2623. 1:26:59like even when he became at one point he
  2624. 1:27:01was the richest man in the world and
  2625. 1:27:03rather than saying I have enough it's
  2626. 1:27:05enough he have said let's cap te bigger
  2627. 1:27:07bets let's swing even harder next time
  2628. 1:27:09it goes never enough and he eventually
  2629. 1:27:12the last time he went broke he
  2630. 1:27:13eventually ended up killing himself it's
  2631. 1:27:15the most amazing like just fascinating
  2632. 1:27:17life that you can imagine of someone who
  2633. 1:27:19is so good at making money but never
  2634. 1:27:23knew when to stop and it is actually the
  2635. 1:27:25more money he made the more risk he
  2636. 1:27:26wanted to take so it was always like his
  2637. 1:27:29I I think his outcome was always
  2638. 1:27:32predestined because there was never
  2639. 1:27:34going to be a moment like the Richer he
  2640. 1:27:35be the more successful he became the
  2641. 1:27:37higher the odds that he was going to
  2642. 1:27:40fail and I think there's some version of
  2643. 1:27:43that for a lot of people because it
  2644. 1:27:44because their success increases their
  2645. 1:27:47confidence more than their ability and
  2646. 1:27:49they don't even know that that's a
  2647. 1:27:50problem that you can't self diagnose
  2648. 1:27:52like if you're confident you think it's
  2649. 1:27:53earned and you think it's real and and
  2650. 1:27:56then because you're successful a lot of
  2651. 1:27:58people who when you were poorer or less
  2652. 1:28:00successful they would tell you you're
  2653. 1:28:02being an idiot you're wrong you're not
  2654. 1:28:04right about this but when you're rich
  2655. 1:28:06maybe because you employ them or because
  2656. 1:28:08they think that you're so smart even
  2657. 1:28:10when you say something stupid they might
  2658. 1:28:12go yeah maybe it's right go for it and
  2659. 1:28:15therefore you don't have people who are
  2660. 1:28:16telling you how overconfident you are
  2661. 1:28:18that again it comes down to humility
  2662. 1:28:20doesn't it a lot of it yeah and like I
  2663. 1:28:22think that's that's that's so much of it
  2664. 1:28:24and like and I think you have to go out
  2665. 1:28:25of your way sometimes for that humility
  2666. 1:28:27that when you have some level of success
  2667. 1:28:29in your life whatever that level is just
  2668. 1:28:31always remind yourself I think I
  2669. 1:28:33remember there was a quote that I think
  2670. 1:28:34it was um Roman Warriors that when they
  2671. 1:28:37would come home from a battle that they
  2672. 1:28:38won and they were in like the Parade of
  2673. 1:28:42you know like we won the battle and
  2674. 1:28:43we're going to go in the parade that
  2675. 1:28:45like we're we're the victors were so
  2676. 1:28:46great that they would have someone by
  2677. 1:28:48their side whispering in their ear
  2678. 1:28:51something something along the lines of
  2679. 1:28:53you're not that great
  2680. 1:28:54because they're in this parade where
  2681. 1:28:55they're glorious and like Victorious but
  2682. 1:28:58they need to someone to bring them back
  2683. 1:28:59down to earth and be like hey you're
  2684. 1:29:01just a you're just a dude you're just a
  2685. 1:29:03guy you're not that special you're very
  2686. 1:29:05fallible like make the like tame it down
  2687. 1:29:08they would actually hire people to do
  2688. 1:29:09that for them and I think if you look at
  2689. 1:29:11a lot of like the great entrepreneurs a
  2690. 1:29:13lot of the great investors they will
  2691. 1:29:15have some sort of partner with that
  2692. 1:29:18Charlie Munger is that to Warren Buffett
  2693. 1:29:20like when Warren Buffett comes up with
  2694. 1:29:22an idea a big part of Charlie munger's
  2695. 1:29:23job is to tell him when he's being an
  2696. 1:29:24idiot and to have someone like Warren
  2697. 1:29:26Buffett who will trust a person like
  2698. 1:29:28that and to have someone like Munger who
  2699. 1:29:29is willing to do something like that is
  2700. 1:29:32so critical just a quick Interruption
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  2745. 1:31:04we would include in health and fitness I
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  2764. 1:31:46how you get on confidence which comes
  2765. 1:31:50from success often really does create
  2766. 1:31:52blind spots and that's something I think
  2767. 1:31:53about so much like how do I stay aware
  2768. 1:31:57of those blind spots in my life that you
  2769. 1:32:00know the success I've had in various
  2770. 1:32:01areas has undeniably created and
  2771. 1:32:04honestly a lot of I just go just save
  2772. 1:32:05loads of money Steve because the day
  2773. 1:32:07you're wrong you don't want to go broke
  2774. 1:32:09I also think about that like whenever
  2775. 1:32:11the curtain comes down on my career I
  2776. 1:32:12want to make sure that I can say like
  2777. 1:32:14hey thank you for for for letting me
  2778. 1:32:18have this I'm so grateful for it but I
  2779. 1:32:20I've saved enough that like I'm ready to
  2780. 1:32:21pass a baton to someone else and that's
  2781. 1:32:24a form of humility too there's a quote
  2782. 1:32:26from Denzel Washington where he's
  2783. 1:32:27talking to Will Smith After Will Smith
  2784. 1:32:29slapped Chris Rock remember that whole
  2785. 1:32:31debacle after that show Denzel
  2786. 1:32:33Washington comes up to Will Smith and he
  2787. 1:32:34says will when you're at your highest
  2788. 1:32:36moment in your career that's when the
  2789. 1:32:38devil's going to get you and it's like
  2790. 1:32:41when when when you when your career is
  2791. 1:32:42so high and you're so famous you think
  2792. 1:32:44so highly of yourself that you can do
  2793. 1:32:45anything that's when you're going to get
  2794. 1:32:47yourself into
  2795. 1:32:48trouble what a powerful quote and I
  2796. 1:32:51think just paying attention to that
  2797. 1:32:52that's the natural humility that goes
  2798. 1:32:54into it and it's not false humility it's
  2799. 1:32:56not like oh I you know false humility is
  2800. 1:32:58like I I didn't do any of this I just
  2801. 1:33:00got lucky that's all false humility I
  2802. 1:33:02think real humility is like I built this
  2803. 1:33:04through hard work and I made some good
  2804. 1:33:06decisions but I'm just I'm just a guy
  2805. 1:33:08I'm as fallible as anybody else I think
  2806. 1:33:11that's it's that's not just important I
  2807. 1:33:12think that's critical to any amount of
  2808. 1:33:14sustainable success you taught me that
  2809. 1:33:16the price you pay to be wealthy is the
  2810. 1:33:20volatility you have to incur along the
  2811. 1:33:23way kind of how I think about it in my
  2812. 1:33:24head that's the cost of admission to
  2813. 1:33:26being to being wealthy and to to be to
  2814. 1:33:28any level of success is putting up with
  2815. 1:33:30an enduring unknowns and volatility and
  2816. 1:33:34Booms and busts and then other [ __ ]
  2817. 1:33:36that you put up with in the investing
  2818. 1:33:37market and in your career and in your
  2819. 1:33:39relationships there's always a cost for
  2820. 1:33:42anything good in life there's a cost
  2821. 1:33:44that you have to pay like of course like
  2822. 1:33:46nothing's free like that but most of the
  2823. 1:33:48costs that you pay are not they don't
  2824. 1:33:50have a price tag that you can just
  2825. 1:33:51measure very cleanly like the cost of
  2826. 1:33:54doing well at investing is putting up
  2827. 1:33:55with volatility the cost of a successful
  2828. 1:33:57career might be long hours where you
  2829. 1:33:59were pulled away from your family the
  2830. 1:34:01cost of a relationship is like always
  2831. 1:34:03needing to sacrifice and compromise for
  2832. 1:34:06the other person nothing is ever free
  2833. 1:34:08and so much of the success in life is
  2834. 1:34:10just identifying what the cost is and
  2835. 1:34:12being willing to pay it because for all
  2836. 1:34:14of those things I just laid out
  2837. 1:34:15investing career relationships the cost
  2838. 1:34:18of admission is worth it putting up with
  2839. 1:34:20the volatility is worth it over time
  2840. 1:34:23because if you can put put up with the
  2841. 1:34:24stock market falling 30% if you could
  2842. 1:34:26just say ah it's not that big a deal I'm
  2843. 1:34:27just going to hold tight 10 years from
  2844. 1:34:29now the cost is well worth doing that be
  2845. 1:34:31rich if you can put up with the
  2846. 1:34:33compromise that takes to have a
  2847. 1:34:34successful relationship by and large
  2848. 1:34:36that's going to be a cost that's worth
  2849. 1:34:38paying because you know like so much of
  2850. 1:34:40what matters in life is just the
  2851. 1:34:42relationships that you have and once you
  2852. 1:34:44identify the cost of that relationship
  2853. 1:34:46you're like oh I'll pay that cost all
  2854. 1:34:47day long so worth it this requires you
  2855. 1:34:49to be cognizant of time Horizons and
  2856. 1:34:51your own time Horizons which is
  2857. 1:34:52something you talk a lot about in
  2858. 1:34:54chapter 16 of the psychology of money
  2859. 1:34:56why is it important for us to know our
  2860. 1:34:58time Horizons and what do you mean by
  2861. 1:35:00time Horizon it's the the amount of time
  2862. 1:35:02between now and whatever your goal is
  2863. 1:35:05which is very different for everybody
  2864. 1:35:06not just by your age but like if you
  2865. 1:35:08want to retire early or whatever would
  2866. 1:35:09be like everyone's going to have a
  2867. 1:35:10slightly different time Horizon what's
  2868. 1:35:12yours mine I mean I you would break it
  2869. 1:35:14up into different chunks like I want to
  2870. 1:35:16get to a point or maybe I'm nearing a
  2871. 1:35:18point in my career where I'm just doing
  2872. 1:35:21things because I enjoy them there's
  2873. 1:35:24really no Financial incentive to what
  2874. 1:35:25I'm doing that's one time Horizon
  2875. 1:35:28another is like okay once my kids start
  2876. 1:35:31getting older I I want to make sure that
  2877. 1:35:32like I'm always there for them when they
  2878. 1:35:34need me teenage years are so difficult
  2879. 1:35:36for people like I'm always 24/7 I'll be
  2880. 1:35:39there for you which means I'm going to
  2881. 1:35:40have to pull back there's going to be a
  2882. 1:35:41point where I just say look I've
  2883. 1:35:43accomplished what I want to with writing
  2884. 1:35:45and I want to be able to move on to
  2885. 1:35:47something else and there's going to be a
  2886. 1:35:48point where I say I really don't want to
  2887. 1:35:49work that much anymore I just want to
  2888. 1:35:50move on and maybe I need to take care of
  2889. 1:35:52my parents would it be so like there's
  2890. 1:35:53multip multile different time Horizons
  2891. 1:35:54at different goals of your life is
  2892. 1:35:56buying a house a good or bad financial
  2893. 1:35:58decision I'll tell you my own experience
  2894. 1:36:00which was in my 20s and early 30s my
  2895. 1:36:03wife and I lived in like seven different
  2896. 1:36:05cities and there was nothing better for
  2897. 1:36:07us some of those were just like let's
  2898. 1:36:09try this new city for fun some of it was
  2899. 1:36:11moving for work we moved for her school
  2900. 1:36:14and our ability to just get up and go
  2901. 1:36:15hand the keys back to the landlord
  2902. 1:36:17nothing was more valuable than that once
  2903. 1:36:19we had our son our first kid then very
  2904. 1:36:22quickly nothing became more valuable to
  2905. 1:36:24me than having an established secure
  2906. 1:36:27home base that nobody could take away
  2907. 1:36:29from me that was The Cure and also like
  2908. 1:36:32kids are loud and they scream and I
  2909. 1:36:33didn't want Neighbors in an apartment
  2910. 1:36:35building that I was going to have to
  2911. 1:36:36like try to keep my kid quiet from so I
  2912. 1:36:38was I want my own house that's mine and
  2913. 1:36:40it's just a standalone house my kid can
  2914. 1:36:42scream as loud as he wants not bothering
  2915. 1:36:44anybody else that became important to me
  2916. 1:36:46like instantly so it's Le I think people
  2917. 1:36:48get caught up when they're like well the
  2918. 1:36:50housing market returns 4 and a half% per
  2919. 1:36:52year that's it's like with the
  2920. 1:36:54spreadsheets like just do what's going
  2921. 1:36:56to work for you I know I know RIT Siti
  2922. 1:36:59has a lot of thoughts about this on
  2923. 1:37:01renting versus buying and I think one
  2924. 1:37:03one of like the differences between
  2925. 1:37:05remit and myself is I have two young
  2926. 1:37:08kids and so like that that if I didn't
  2927. 1:37:10have kids I think I would be like rent
  2928. 1:37:12rent forever really and try and try
  2929. 1:37:14different cities move all move all
  2930. 1:37:15around what could be better than that
  2931. 1:37:17but when you have kids what's more
  2932. 1:37:19important to me is stability I want my
  2933. 1:37:21kids to go to a stable School know their
  2934. 1:37:23neighbors have friends that they can be
  2935. 1:37:24friends with for years that's important
  2936. 1:37:26if we just think about investing then in
  2937. 1:37:28terms of is buying a house a good
  2938. 1:37:30Financial investment my brother who
  2939. 1:37:31works in my company and he's the one
  2940. 1:37:33that introduced me to your book many
  2941. 1:37:34many years ago said to me something
  2942. 1:37:36along the lines of Steve don't buy
  2943. 1:37:40houses to make money because you have
  2944. 1:37:42the ability to play a different set of
  2945. 1:37:44games that very few people can play yeah
  2946. 1:37:47and what I mean by that is he kind of
  2947. 1:37:48explained it to me goes listen everyone
  2948. 1:37:50can buy a house so the returns there
  2949. 1:37:52aren't going to be huge go find a game
  2950. 1:37:54that like only you can play you'll get
  2951. 1:37:56bigger returns if you're buying a house
  2952. 1:37:58because you think it's going to be a
  2953. 1:37:58good Financial investment stop like even
  2954. 1:38:01if it turns out in hindsight that it was
  2955. 1:38:03it doesn't matter I think these are just
  2956. 1:38:05purely lifestyle decisions and I think
  2957. 1:38:07so many people get screwed up when
  2958. 1:38:09they're in a spot in their life where
  2959. 1:38:10they should be renting because they need
  2960. 1:38:12to be mobile they need to move around to
  2961. 1:38:13a new job new career new school whatever
  2962. 1:38:15it is but they end up buying because
  2963. 1:38:17they think they're going to make money
  2964. 1:38:18doing it and that's like that's the
  2965. 1:38:20problem so I own a house and if I ended
  2966. 1:38:22up losing money on it I I I I don't
  2967. 1:38:24think I'd care that that's not why I'm
  2968. 1:38:26owning it I'm owning it just cuz I want
  2969. 1:38:27the stability for my family I've just
  2970. 1:38:29made an offer on my first ever house and
  2971. 1:38:30I cuz I played I played other money
  2972. 1:38:32games for the last decade of My Life um
  2973. 1:38:35and now I have a partner and we've been
  2974. 1:38:36together many years and we're both like
  2975. 1:38:3831 years old and we're getting into that
  2976. 1:38:40position now you know Y and my brother
  2977. 1:38:42explained to me he goes listen this is a
  2978. 1:38:45bad financial decision but it's a good
  2979. 1:38:49emotional social life decision and you
  2980. 1:38:51need to know how to separate the two
  2981. 1:38:53don't mark this down as a way that
  2982. 1:38:54you're trying to make money like you
  2983. 1:38:56might make money in 20 years time if you
  2984. 1:38:58just like if you're still living there
  2985. 1:38:59look at it as you know you need
  2986. 1:39:01somewhere to live and he must have got
  2987. 1:39:02that from you when I when I when we
  2988. 1:39:04bought our last house which was after I
  2989. 1:39:05wrote this book so this is a different
  2990. 1:39:07experience um I thought at the time and
  2991. 1:39:10still think today I I probably paid a
  2992. 1:39:11little bit too much I mean I paid the
  2993. 1:39:12market rate but if you said like oh did
  2994. 1:39:14you get a good deal I say no no not
  2995. 1:39:16didn't bother me in the slightest that's
  2996. 1:39:17not what I was doing it for it would I
  2997. 1:39:19mean it would be like if you ask like if
  2998. 1:39:22someone is deciding whether or not to
  2999. 1:39:24have kids and they think about the cost
  3000. 1:39:26of kids like forget of course you're
  3001. 1:39:28going to dump hundreds of thousands or
  3002. 1:39:31millions of dollars into your kids and
  3003. 1:39:32it's G it's like if if money is coming
  3004. 1:39:35into the equation like stop right there
  3005. 1:39:37this is it should not do it you're doing
  3006. 1:39:38it for very different reasons this is
  3007. 1:39:40not an investment people people buy
  3008. 1:39:42houses because they think that they're
  3009. 1:39:43making loads of money from because there
  3010. 1:39:44have been periods in time in which
  3011. 1:39:45people have made loads of money
  3012. 1:39:46historically like that's the anomaly
  3013. 1:39:48historically in the US and the UK
  3014. 1:39:50housing prices adjust over inflation go
  3015. 1:39:52nowhere it's just been the last 20 or 30
  3016. 1:39:55years that there's this very brief
  3017. 1:39:56window of time that owning a house was a
  3018. 1:39:59great investment Robert Schiller won the
  3019. 1:40:01Nobel Prize about a decade ago for his
  3020. 1:40:03work in showing that over the last 150
  3021. 1:40:06years in the United States adjusted for
  3022. 1:40:08inflation most home prices have been
  3023. 1:40:10flat as a pancake it's just the last 20
  3024. 1:40:12years that have inflated people's
  3025. 1:40:14expectations of what a house can
  3026. 1:40:16do statistically there's going to be at
  3027. 1:40:18least one person listening to this that
  3028. 1:40:21has made an offer as we speak for a
  3029. 1:40:23house under the assumption that it's
  3030. 1:40:25going to help them stack
  3031. 1:40:29wealth if they were purely doing it for
  3032. 1:40:31those reasons what would you tell them
  3033. 1:40:33to do instead if that's purely the
  3034. 1:40:35reason run for run for your life don't
  3035. 1:40:37do it particularly I mean it it used to
  3036. 1:40:40be and maybe it still is like this in
  3037. 1:40:41many cities in America in the UK but it
  3038. 1:40:44used to be that rentals were almost
  3039. 1:40:46without exception shitty houses there
  3040. 1:40:49were no good rentals a big change at
  3041. 1:40:51least in America in the last 20 years is
  3042. 1:40:52that most cities have tons and tons of
  3043. 1:40:55luxury apartments to live in and that
  3044. 1:40:56are great places to live and they're in
  3045. 1:40:59the city centers and they got beautiful
  3046. 1:41:00granite countertops and they're great
  3047. 1:41:02places to live don't fall for the idea
  3048. 1:41:04that you can't live well if you're
  3049. 1:41:06renting I think that's that's that's the
  3050. 1:41:08problem and realize that if you're doing
  3051. 1:41:10it for financial reasons you're probably
  3052. 1:41:12about to borrow a shitload of money for
  3053. 1:41:15an investment that historically has been
  3054. 1:41:17a very bad investment like if you put it
  3055. 1:41:20in those terms like what are we doing
  3056. 1:41:22here man going to borrow hundreds of
  3057. 1:41:24thousands of dollars for an investment
  3058. 1:41:27that historically has been a loss that's
  3059. 1:41:29what you're doing here does you feel
  3060. 1:41:31good about that that's what I'd say to
  3061. 1:41:33that person God
  3062. 1:41:35speed I I would love to be in the room
  3063. 1:41:37somewhere where that person has just
  3064. 1:41:39looked at their partner after persuading
  3065. 1:41:42them to make that offer because it was
  3066. 1:41:43going to make them Rich sorry guys the
  3067. 1:41:45um this new
  3068. 1:41:48book same as ever essentially it's 23
  3069. 1:41:52short stories about things that never
  3070. 1:41:53change in the world y well there's a
  3071. 1:41:55couple of really interesting things that
  3072. 1:41:56I pulled out one of them again which
  3073. 1:41:58really hit me in the face was this idea
  3074. 1:42:00that the best story wins I know this I
  3075. 1:42:03know this intuitively I talk about it on
  3076. 1:42:04stage but I don't think people
  3077. 1:42:06understand the power of the best story
  3078. 1:42:09wins because when you think about
  3079. 1:42:10entrepreneurship or investing or
  3080. 1:42:11pitching or sales what most people do is
  3081. 1:42:14they lead out with facts stats and
  3082. 1:42:17figures yeah and even one of the things
  3083. 1:42:19I've noticed about you from our
  3084. 1:42:20conversation now is you have a
  3085. 1:42:21remarkable ability to tell stor thank
  3086. 1:42:23you and there's a huge power in that
  3087. 1:42:26prove to me that the best story wins I
  3088. 1:42:30mean it's it's always the case that it's
  3089. 1:42:31not the right answer or the best answer
  3090. 1:42:34or the mathematically accurate answer
  3091. 1:42:36it's just whoever gets people to nod
  3092. 1:42:37their heads in the right direction
  3093. 1:42:38that's who's going to win over time some
  3094. 1:42:40of the examples of this that I Love Ken
  3095. 1:42:42Burns one of the most famous uh
  3096. 1:42:44documentary filmmakers of all time most
  3097. 1:42:47of what is are in his
  3098. 1:42:49documentaries is is information that
  3099. 1:42:51people already know he'll make a
  3100. 1:42:52documentary about Civil War World War II
  3101. 1:42:54Vietnam whatever it would be there's not
  3102. 1:42:56you're not learn necessarily learning
  3103. 1:42:58something new in there but he is
  3104. 1:43:00massively successful massively popular
  3105. 1:43:04because he's probably the greatest
  3106. 1:43:05Storyteller of our time so even when
  3107. 1:43:07you're taking information that people
  3108. 1:43:08already know if you can spin a good
  3109. 1:43:10story about it you get people lining up
  3110. 1:43:13and they will knock your door down to
  3111. 1:43:15listen to you one other example of this
  3112. 1:43:17are people who tell comedy if you're a
  3113. 1:43:20good comedian like that's all just
  3114. 1:43:22storytelling and a lot of what a good
  3115. 1:43:23comedian does is takes something that's
  3116. 1:43:25very obvious and simple but you can make
  3117. 1:43:29you can tell a good story about it you
  3118. 1:43:30can make people laugh and all of a
  3119. 1:43:31sudden you get their attention and
  3120. 1:43:32they'll remember it you said in the book
  3121. 1:43:34not the best idea or the right idea or
  3122. 1:43:35the most rational idea just whoever
  3123. 1:43:37tells a story that catches people's
  3124. 1:43:39attention I think there are dangerous
  3125. 1:43:41stories which is when people want to is
  3126. 1:43:43when people tell you what you want to
  3127. 1:43:44hear oh I got a dangerous story The
  3128. 1:43:46vaccine gives you autism I think I think
  3129. 1:43:49it's a story that people wanted to hear
  3130. 1:43:50some people wanted to hear that and if
  3131. 1:43:52you tell people what they want to hear
  3132. 1:43:53you can be wrong forever and people
  3133. 1:43:56won't care because you tell them what
  3134. 1:43:57they want to hear T shrot who's a
  3135. 1:43:59neuroscientist sat here and she told me
  3136. 1:44:00a story of Donald Trump stood on the
  3137. 1:44:02debate stage and they panned over to Dr
  3138. 1:44:05Tucker Carson I believe he's called and
  3139. 1:44:06asked him about the vaccine and he
  3140. 1:44:08basically gave stats facts and figures
  3141. 1:44:10He said That vaccine doesn't give kids
  3142. 1:44:11autism and then they like pan over to
  3143. 1:44:13Donald Trump and Donald Trump tells this
  3144. 1:44:16elaborate story about a friend of his
  3145. 1:44:18one person one friend of his clearly
  3146. 1:44:21doesn't exist one friend of his and he
  3147. 1:44:23describes the needle like this he goes
  3148. 1:44:26this huge needle yeah and he so vivid
  3149. 1:44:29Vivid personal and emotional yep and you
  3150. 1:44:32get people nodding their heads to that
  3151. 1:44:33and and and capturing their attention
  3152. 1:44:35tally said I'm a neuroscientist I knew
  3153. 1:44:36it was wrong however there was something
  3154. 1:44:39about hearing it that even as a
  3155. 1:44:40neuroscientist I look to my daughter and
  3156. 1:44:42go [ __ ] I think we've always been
  3157. 1:44:44storytellers and that's what's really
  3158. 1:44:46set humans apart that's the whole idea
  3159. 1:44:48from youval no Harari is that like what
  3160. 1:44:49sets humans apart is our ability to tell
  3161. 1:44:51and remember stories and it's made it so
  3162. 1:44:54it's just a tool to simplify facts in
  3163. 1:44:57the world like most people the other
  3164. 1:44:58thing is powerful about stories is that
  3165. 1:45:00you remember them you think about in
  3166. 1:45:02school when you had a math test and the
  3167. 1:45:04teacher just said memorize this formula
  3168. 1:45:07to regurgitate it on the test literally
  3169. 1:45:095 minutes after the test is done you
  3170. 1:45:10forget it you have no idea what it was
  3171. 1:45:12but if you remembered a good story even
  3172. 1:45:14that you were told when you were two
  3173. 1:45:15years old you remember it for the rest
  3174. 1:45:17of your life so it's just a tool for
  3175. 1:45:20getting people to remember how the world
  3176. 1:45:21works and they be so persuasive and so
  3177. 1:45:25good at eliminating the uncertainty that
  3178. 1:45:28grates on all of us that people will
  3179. 1:45:30listen to and believe things even when
  3180. 1:45:32they're just obviously flagrantly not
  3181. 1:45:34true if it's what they want to hear
  3182. 1:45:36people talk about um when we're talking
  3183. 1:45:39about investing but generally life
  3184. 1:45:40people talk about compounding interest
  3185. 1:45:42and we all know the I think a lot of
  3186. 1:45:43people should know the power of
  3187. 1:45:44compounding interest now but we rarely
  3188. 1:45:47think about how compounding interest can
  3189. 1:45:49negatively slowly impact our lives and
  3190. 1:45:52in your chapter about tiny and
  3191. 1:45:54magnificent you explore that and again
  3192. 1:45:56this hit me like a truck in the face
  3193. 1:45:58because I I think I spend my time now
  3194. 1:46:00thinking about how getting things to
  3195. 1:46:02compound in my fa favor will change my
  3196. 1:46:04life but I don't spend a huge amount of
  3197. 1:46:05time thinking about how things are
  3198. 1:46:06compounding against me right now yeah
  3199. 1:46:08what what's really true is that most
  3200. 1:46:10good news happens slowly and most bad
  3201. 1:46:12news happens very fast so bad news is
  3202. 1:46:15like Co literally happens overnight boom
  3203. 1:46:17you got a you got a virus it's going to
  3204. 1:46:18kill millions of people shut down the
  3205. 1:46:20economy happens literally overnight 911
  3206. 1:46:22Happ happens start to finish it's like
  3207. 1:46:2430 minutes like boom just happens
  3208. 1:46:25immediately good news is usually slow
  3209. 1:46:28compounding over time so I use the
  3210. 1:46:30example of the book of like the
  3211. 1:46:31Improvement in heart disease mortality
  3212. 1:46:34over the last 70 years is Bonkers we've
  3213. 1:46:36made so much progress and saved
  3214. 1:46:39literally tens of millions of lives in
  3215. 1:46:41the fact that we've gotten better at
  3216. 1:46:43treating heart disease and but nobody
  3217. 1:46:45talks about it it's like it most people
  3218. 1:46:48are aren't even aware that it's happened
  3219. 1:46:49because if you look at what happened it
  3220. 1:46:51was the mortality improved it got better
  3221. 1:46:53by about 2% per year now if you compound
  3222. 1:46:552% per year for 70 years it's off the
  3223. 1:46:58charts we're like living in such a
  3224. 1:47:00better world now than we were 70 years
  3225. 1:47:01ago but in any given year you didn't
  3226. 1:47:03even notice it you're never going to see
  3227. 1:47:05a news headline like breaking news heart
  3228. 1:47:07disease mortality improves by 1.4%
  3229. 1:47:09that's not a headline like all the
  3230. 1:47:11headlines are bad news because bad news
  3231. 1:47:13happens fast so once you realize that
  3232. 1:47:15then it's like most of the news is going
  3233. 1:47:18to skew negative not because there's
  3234. 1:47:20some producer who's trying to toy with
  3235. 1:47:21your brain it's just because what is
  3236. 1:47:24obviously happening today tends to be
  3237. 1:47:26the bad news where the good news is just
  3238. 1:47:28very slowly compounding over
  3239. 1:47:31time that can go in the other direction
  3240. 1:47:33of like bad news that compounds over
  3241. 1:47:35time I think about our health smoking
  3242. 1:47:37Health like that's like in like one
  3243. 1:47:39cigarette is not going to do anything
  3244. 1:47:41bad for you but one cigarette per day
  3245. 1:47:43for 30 years is catastrophic and so
  3246. 1:47:46that's that's really what it is like
  3247. 1:47:47same with like getting one bad night
  3248. 1:47:48sleep not that big a deal but if you're
  3249. 1:47:50sleeping 6 hours a night every night for
  3250. 1:47:53years on end you're going to reduce your
  3251. 1:47:54life expectancy by a tremendous amount
  3252. 1:47:56this idea of compounding interest and
  3253. 1:47:58compounding returns and how important it
  3254. 1:48:00is I've spent so long trying to explain
  3255. 1:48:02to people that compounding interest and
  3256. 1:48:04compounding returns this very hard thing
  3257. 1:48:06to think about is so important I imagine
  3258. 1:48:09you have two what is your go-to way of
  3259. 1:48:11explaining to like your eight-year-old
  3260. 1:48:13kid or someone else the power of
  3261. 1:48:15compounding we were actually going to
  3262. 1:48:16get like a bowl of rice here and I was
  3263. 1:48:17going to do some experiments the rice is
  3264. 1:48:19the best the the rice board experiment
  3265. 1:48:20if you if people aren't familiar with it
  3266. 1:48:22it's this story that's probably not true
  3267. 1:48:24that back 500 years ago someone uh you
  3268. 1:48:27know told the king they said hey here's
  3269. 1:48:29a here's a chess board I'm going to put
  3270. 1:48:31one grain of rice on the
  3271. 1:48:33first Square two on the second Square
  3272. 1:48:36four on the third and then let's do that
  3273. 1:48:38and by the end of the chessboard that's
  3274. 1:48:41like it's like more rice than exists in
  3275. 1:48:43the entire world because like if you
  3276. 1:48:44double something again and again and
  3277. 1:48:46again it's just completely
  3278. 1:48:47counterintuitive how big it can grow the
  3279. 1:48:49one way that I I I had a friend of mine
  3280. 1:48:51Michael batnick explained this to me
  3281. 1:48:52years ago I think he wrote this in a
  3282. 1:48:54blog post he said if I ask you what is 8
  3283. 1:48:57plus 8 plus 8 plus 8 you can do that in
  3284. 1:48:59your head like it's it's not it's not
  3285. 1:49:01that hard but if I say what is 8 time 8
  3286. 1:49:03time 8 time 8 like forget about it even
  3287. 1:49:05if you are really mathematically
  3288. 1:49:07inclined there's no way you can like
  3289. 1:49:09very few people could figure that out in
  3290. 1:49:10their head so our minds are just not
  3291. 1:49:13good at exponential thinking that's just
  3292. 1:49:15not it's it's just not something that
  3293. 1:49:16we're really geared towards doing like 8
  3294. 1:49:18plus 8 plus 8 it's like so simple linear
  3295. 1:49:20thinking so simple exponential thinking
  3296. 1:49:22not intuitive in the slightest and
  3297. 1:49:24because it's not intuitive it's so
  3298. 1:49:25common to underestimate what smoking is
  3299. 1:49:28going to do to you that compounds over
  3300. 1:49:30time what investing is capable of doing
  3301. 1:49:32to your wealth because it's so
  3302. 1:49:34counterintuitive that 99% of Warren
  3303. 1:49:36Buffett's net worth came after he was 60
  3304. 1:49:38years old not intuitive at all and so
  3305. 1:49:41since exponential thinking is not
  3306. 1:49:43intuitive both on the positive and the
  3307. 1:49:44negative side we go through life
  3308. 1:49:47underestimating what's going to happen
  3309. 1:49:49to us in good things and bad things it's
  3310. 1:49:50like a religion we have to adopt I think
  3311. 1:49:52I think that's a great way it's it's
  3312. 1:49:53like a mathematical religion because
  3313. 1:49:56just like a lot of religion it's like
  3314. 1:49:57it's not intuitive and it almost takes
  3315. 1:49:58like a leap of faith to be like I know
  3316. 1:50:00it's seems crazy but this is this is
  3317. 1:50:02what I believe I think there's a sense
  3318. 1:50:04of that to compounding where like it's
  3319. 1:50:06just math you can just put the numbers
  3320. 1:50:07in a spreadsheet and they'll tell you
  3321. 1:50:08what it is but since it's not intuitive
  3322. 1:50:11there's almost like a religious aspect
  3323. 1:50:12that you need to believe how powerful it
  3324. 1:50:14can be over time two of the chapters in
  3325. 1:50:16your book same is ever speak to the
  3326. 1:50:17importance of discomfort one of the
  3327. 1:50:20chapters is called when the magic
  3328. 1:50:21happens and you say in that chapter
  3329. 1:50:22stress pain discomfort shock and disgust
  3330. 1:50:24for all its tragic
  3331. 1:50:26downsides it's also when the magic
  3332. 1:50:29happens and then the other chapter where
  3333. 1:50:31you kind of speak to this is It's
  3334. 1:50:32supposed to be hard most things worth
  3335. 1:50:34pursuing charge their fee in the form of
  3336. 1:50:36stress uncertainty dealing with quirky
  3337. 1:50:39people bureaucracy other people's
  3338. 1:50:41conflicting incentives hassle nonsense
  3339. 1:50:43long hours and constant doubt that's the
  3340. 1:50:45overhead cost of getting ahead what's
  3341. 1:50:47interesting is I never tied those two
  3342. 1:50:48chapters together but you're right
  3343. 1:50:49they're they're almost the exact same
  3344. 1:50:51idea that for the the whole economy for
  3345. 1:50:53the whole world when the biggest
  3346. 1:50:54improvements in society takes place is
  3347. 1:50:56when there's some sort of disaster like
  3348. 1:50:58for all of its obvious downside and
  3349. 1:51:01death and destruction nothing has been
  3350. 1:51:03more technologically Progressive for the
  3351. 1:51:05world than World War II the number of
  3352. 1:51:07inventions that came out of World War II
  3353. 1:51:09from atomic energy to Jets and like go
  3354. 1:51:12on down the list penicillin all of these
  3355. 1:51:14lists for things that you and I are
  3356. 1:51:16taking advantage of today happened not
  3357. 1:51:18in spite of but because of World War II
  3358. 1:51:20because there was this period where
  3359. 1:51:21everyone in the world came together and
  3360. 1:51:23they're like holy [ __ ] we got a big
  3361. 1:51:24problem to figure out let's put our
  3362. 1:51:26heads together and figure this out right
  3363. 1:51:27now but that's also on a personal level
  3364. 1:51:29on a personal level it happens as well
  3365. 1:51:30too like there there's there's there's a
  3366. 1:51:32book written many years ago called the
  3367. 1:51:34upside of down that's I thought that
  3368. 1:51:36just a brilliant title like the like the
  3369. 1:51:37upside of being down and it happens a
  3370. 1:51:40lot that when you have maybe it's a job
  3371. 1:51:41layoff or a breakup or a medical
  3372. 1:51:43emergency whatever it can be that it
  3373. 1:51:45changes you for the good and it's hard
  3374. 1:51:48it's always impossible to see that
  3375. 1:51:49silver lining in the moment you don't
  3376. 1:51:51ever imagine there's going be a silver
  3377. 1:51:53lining in that moment but when you look
  3378. 1:51:55back in hindsight it will be I saw this
  3379. 1:51:57recent example of this that really
  3380. 1:51:58knocked me on my ass it was Steven coar
  3381. 1:52:01who I might be getting these details
  3382. 1:52:02wrong but I think when he was uh a young
  3383. 1:52:05child his father and brother died
  3384. 1:52:08tragically and he said at one point that
  3385. 1:52:12uh I don't want to put words in his
  3386. 1:52:13mouth but he said something along the
  3387. 1:52:14lines of like he is grateful for that
  3388. 1:52:17and he was asked like what do you mean
  3389. 1:52:18you're grateful for that and he said
  3390. 1:52:19look of course I wish it never happened
  3391. 1:52:22but it allowed him to understand the
  3392. 1:52:26emotions of other people and get closer
  3393. 1:52:27to other people who had also experience
  3394. 1:52:29something like that and so even in like
  3395. 1:52:31the deepest darkest moment of his life
  3396. 1:52:34that he says he of course he wishes it
  3397. 1:52:35didn't happen it taught him something
  3398. 1:52:36about Humanity that he's Greatful for
  3399. 1:52:38today that's an extreme example but I
  3400. 1:52:41think for a lot of people being laid off
  3401. 1:52:43from a job in the moment is going to be
  3402. 1:52:45the hardest thing they've ever dealt
  3403. 1:52:46with and in hindsight it's going to be
  3404. 1:52:48one of the best things that ever
  3405. 1:52:49happened to their career a breakup might
  3406. 1:52:51be the hardest thing you've ever been
  3407. 1:52:52through and in hindsight it might be the
  3408. 1:52:54best thing that's ever happened to you
  3409. 1:52:56so I that's always like that's when the
  3410. 1:52:58magic happens is when things get really
  3411. 1:52:59tough It's just always impossible to see
  3412. 1:53:01that when you're going through it a lot
  3413. 1:53:03of people would have clicked on to this
  3414. 1:53:04conversation and if they've gotten to
  3415. 1:53:05the end of the conversation well done to
  3416. 1:53:07them what conclusion can we offer them
  3417. 1:53:10based on everything we've talked about
  3418. 1:53:11as it specifically relates to wealth
  3419. 1:53:14creation and money first I think for
  3420. 1:53:16both of these books we're almost ending
  3421. 1:53:18exactly where we started which is like I
  3422. 1:53:20hope they get you to think about your
  3423. 1:53:22life in different way both of these
  3424. 1:53:24books and the Publishers hated this
  3425. 1:53:26there's no advice in the books never do
  3426. 1:53:28I say and therefore you should do this
  3427. 1:53:31and the publisher wants you to do that
  3428. 1:53:32and I said no no no because I don't know
  3429. 1:53:34you I don't know the person reading this
  3430. 1:53:35book who am I to say what you should do
  3431. 1:53:37with your own life I don't even know to
  3432. 1:53:38do with my own life but I hope it gets
  3433. 1:53:40you thinking about what you want and who
  3434. 1:53:43you are and what you are capable of what
  3435. 1:53:46you're not capable of if it gets you
  3436. 1:53:48thinking about your life then I think
  3437. 1:53:50I've been successful doing this rather
  3438. 1:53:52other than trying to assume that I can
  3439. 1:53:53give you specific advice about what to
  3440. 1:53:55do Morgan we have a closing tradition on
  3441. 1:53:58this podcast where the last guest leaves
  3442. 1:53:59a question for the next guest not
  3443. 1:54:00knowing who they're going to be leaving
  3444. 1:54:01it for and the question that's been left
  3445. 1:54:03for you
  3446. 1:54:05is what is your biggest regret in life
  3447. 1:54:08and how has that experience changed
  3448. 1:54:12you I think I've uh always been prone to
  3449. 1:54:17mild depression not not significant but
  3450. 1:54:20mild depression and anxiety and I wish I
  3451. 1:54:23could go back to different periods of my
  3452. 1:54:25life in a time machine and just say it's
  3453. 1:54:28going to be okay it's not going to be
  3454. 1:54:30easy it's not going to be perfect but
  3455. 1:54:32it's gonna it's it's going to be fine
  3456. 1:54:34and I I I look back not with regret but
  3457. 1:54:38how much time have I wasted worrying
  3458. 1:54:39about things that never happened and
  3459. 1:54:42were almost certainly never going to
  3460. 1:54:43happen a tremendous amount and even if I
  3461. 1:54:47recognize that today I know I'm going to
  3462. 1:54:49worry about something tonight and
  3463. 1:54:51tomorrow and next week about something I
  3464. 1:54:52really shouldn't be worrying about I
  3465. 1:54:54don't know if I regret it because I
  3466. 1:54:55think having a sense of worry has kept
  3467. 1:54:57me safe A lot of times it's kept me out
  3468. 1:54:59of trouble in in a lot of things but I
  3469. 1:55:01do look back at the course of my life
  3470. 1:55:03and think man like I could have been
  3471. 1:55:05happier than I was if I had accepted a
  3472. 1:55:09certain level of just telling myself
  3473. 1:55:10it's going to be
  3474. 1:55:12okay well you're not going to have to
  3475. 1:55:13worry about your book because it's
  3476. 1:55:15superb thank you genuinely I I you know
  3477. 1:55:18hope my audience trust me um but I I
  3478. 1:55:20would really implore them to get both
  3479. 1:55:22books I mean the psychology of money I
  3480. 1:55:23think is the best book on money ever
  3481. 1:55:24written it's pretty much also the only
  3482. 1:55:26book I've ever read on money and then
  3483. 1:55:28same as ever is
  3484. 1:55:30just it's everything it's advice on
  3485. 1:55:33money life relationships everything that
  3486. 1:55:35matters because there are a set of
  3487. 1:55:36enduring principles that speak to the
  3488. 1:55:39fundamentals of life in a way that is
  3489. 1:55:41completely enduring you have a wonderful
  3490. 1:55:42ability to write enduring things and you
  3491. 1:55:44tell wonderful stories like you say I
  3492. 1:55:46actually didn't even notice that you
  3493. 1:55:47didn't give me advice when you said that
  3494. 1:55:48You' not given me advice any and I never
  3495. 1:55:50will to anybody bullshitting but you
  3496. 1:55:51know think about it you didn't I I
  3497. 1:55:53garnered my advice from the stories you
  3498. 1:55:55told and the evidence you provided
  3499. 1:55:57Morgan thank you so much I'm so glad we'
  3500. 1:55:58managed to have this conversation and
  3501. 1:55:59it's been a huge honor and pleasure um
  3502. 1:56:02to meet you thank you as well because I
  3503. 1:56:04can't imagine how many millions of
  3504. 1:56:05pounds you've Saved Me by writing this
  3505. 1:56:06book genuinely it's such an honor to do
  3506. 1:56:09this with you Stephen this been a lot of
  3507. 1:56:10fun thank
  3508. 1:56:13you as you'll know this podcast is
  3509. 1:56:15sponsored by hu and we're going into
  3510. 1:56:17that last quarter of the year it's
  3511. 1:56:18getting a little bit colder back into
  3512. 1:56:20our routines back into our work rhythms
  3513. 1:56:22and it's in those moments that I need to
  3514. 1:56:25focus most on my diet as I get back into
  3515. 1:56:27the swing of work I need to get back
  3516. 1:56:28into a routine as it relates to my diet
  3517. 1:56:30and that's really where hu's RTD they're
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  3521. 1:56:39this is a real Lifesaver in terms of my
  3522. 1:56:40health it is my Ally and my friend and
  3523. 1:56:44my companion on my busiest days and it
  3524. 1:56:46means that even when I'm pursuing all of
  3525. 1:56:47my professional goals my health goals
  3526. 1:56:49can be pursued at the same time there's
  3527. 1:56:51a link in the description below if
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  3533. 1:57:00healthy throughout this busy period do
  3534. 1:57:03you need a podcast to listen to next
  3535. 1:57:05we've discovered that people who liked
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  3537. 1:57:09love another recent episode we've done
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  3539. 1:57:13description below I know you'll enjoy it
  3540. 1:57:19[Music]
  3541. 1:57:22a

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