The Only Trading Strategy You Need (Fibonacci) — Transcript

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1. 0:00You don't need a different strategy for
2. 0:02every timeframe. This is one model on
3. 0:05the 4-hour and on the 15-minute. Same
4. 0:07rules, same direction, same target.
5. 0:10Price just tagged the 71 on the 4-hour
6. 0:13chart.
7. 0:14That's our 4-hour entry, and in our
8. 0:16model, it's also the trigger to look
9. 0:17closer because this one 4-hour candle
10. 0:20holds 16 15-minute candles. And down
11. 0:23there, the same model can form again and
12. 0:25give us a second entry with a much
13. 0:27tighter stop.
14. 0:30Down here, price can do one of two
15. 0:32things. It can react to our level, or it
16. 0:34can slice straight through it. On the
17. 0:364-hour, both start the same way with a
18. 0:39candle touching the level. On the
19. 0:4015-minute, they look completely
20. 0:42different.
21. 0:44The 4-hour tells us where. The 15-minute
22. 0:47tells us when.
23. 0:48>> [music]
24. 0:49>> In this video, I'll show you how we find
25. 0:51the trigger on the 4-hour, why we scale
26. 0:53down, and exactly what the 15-minute has
27. 0:55to show before we take that second
28. 0:57entry. Then, we'll follow one real trade
29. 1:00where both entries hit the same 4-hour
30. 1:02target.
31. 1:04Every trading session in our model
32. 1:06starts on the 4-hour chart. Before we
33. 1:08think about entries, we need context.
34. 1:11First, the trend. Higher highs and
35. 1:13higher lows mean bullish. Lower highs
36. 1:16and lower lows mean bearish. We only
37. 1:19trade in the direction of the active
38. 1:214-hour trend. The one exception is a
39. 1:23range break, and that's a separate
40. 1:25model. On this pound-dollar chart, price
41. 1:27sweeps the last low. Then, it breaks the
42. 1:30external high with a body close. That
43. 1:33break turns the 4-hour bullish, and the
44. 1:35low made by the sweep becomes the
45. 1:37protected low.
46. 1:39So, second, we mark the structure. The
47. 1:41last high that price broke and the
48. 1:43protected low behind it. Third, we pull
49. 1:46the Fibonacci from the protected low up
50. 1:48to the high.
51. 1:50That range shows us where we're trading,
52. 1:52where liquidity is likely resting, and
53. 1:54where a reaction is most likely. And
54. 1:57fourth, we focus on one level, the 71.
55. 2:01It's a deep pullback into the range
56. 2:03where price often slows down and reacts.
57. 2:06At this stage, we place our 4-hour entry
58. 2:08at the 71. The stop goes under the
59. 2:11protected low, and the target is the
60. 2:13high.
61. 2:15We also set an alert on the same level,
62. 2:17and we wait for price to come to us. So,
63. 2:20what is the trade trigger? It's price
64. 2:22reaching that 71. Our 4-hour entry
65. 2:25fills, and the alert goes off.
66. 2:28And that alert is our signal to scale
67. 2:30down to the 15-minute.
68. 2:33Our 4-hour trade is running now. So, why
69. 2:35look at the 15-minute at all? Here's
70. 2:38why. The 4-hour tells us that price
71. 2:40arrived at our level. It doesn't tell us
72. 2:43how price is behaving there.
73. 2:45One 4-hour candle takes 4 hours to
74. 2:47close. Inside it, 16 15-minute candles
75. 2:51show what actually happened.
76. 2:54Down there, we can see if price is
77. 2:56really reacting to the zone or simply
78. 2:58passing through it.
79. 2:59If price slices through the level and
80. 3:01keeps making lower lows, there is no
81. 3:03confirmation. So, there is no 15-minute
82. 3:06entry.
83. 3:07If price sweeps liquidity, turns
84. 3:09aggressively, and shifts structure, the
85. 3:11zone is doing its job.
86. 3:14And when it does react, the 15-minute
87. 3:16gives us a second entry with a much
88. 3:18tighter stop and the same 4-hour target.
89. 3:21And notice what doesn't change. The
90. 3:23direction still comes from the 4-hour.
91. 3:26When the 4-hour is bullish, we only look
92. 3:28for buys on the 15-minute. We only
93. 3:31change the zoom. One strategy, one
94. 3:33direction, two time frames.
95. 3:37So, what exactly do we need to see on
96. 3:39the 15-minute? Our confirmation model
97. 3:42has five [music] steps, and they come in
98. 3:44this order. Here's an example. The
99. 3:464-hour 71 sits at the bottom of the
100. 3:49chart, and price has just reached it.
101. 3:52Step one is the liquidity sweep.
102. 3:54>> [music]
103. 3:54>> Price takes out a recent low. The stop
104. 3:57losses under it get triggered and that
105. 3:59liquidity gets collected. It can be an
106. 4:01internal low or an external one. What
107. 4:04matters is that liquidity was taken.
108. 4:07Step two is the aggressive reaction.
109. 4:09After the sweep, price moves away from
110. 4:12the level with strong displacement. We
111. 4:14want to see clear intent, not a weak
112. 4:16bounce. If that push leaves a volume gap
113. 4:18behind, keep an eye on it. We'll need it
114. 4:21in step [music] five.
115. 4:22Step three is the market structure
116. 4:24shift. Find the last high that created
117. 4:27the last low. When a candle closes above
118. 4:30it, short-term structure has shifted.
119. 4:32That's the confirmation that control has
120. 4:34changed hands. Without this break, there
121. 4:37is no confirmation, no matter how good
122. 4:39the sweep looked.
123. 4:41Step four is the Fibonacci. When the
124. 4:44impulse after the structure shift starts
125. 4:46to pull back, we pull the Fibonacci on
126. 4:48that move. The one goes on the low made
127. 4:50by the sweep. The zero goes on the top
128. 4:53of the impulse.
129. 4:55And step five is confluence at the
130. 4:5715-minute 71. The 71 has to line up with
131. 5:01three things. A valid order block. In
132. 5:03our model, that's the last candle before
133. 5:05the push that created the volume. A
134. 5:07volume gap left behind by that push. And
135. 5:10the original 4-hour direction. A bullish
136. 5:134-hour means we only take bullish
137. 5:15confirmations. When all three line up,
138. 5:18that 71 becomes our entry.
139. 5:21Now the execution. We enter at the
140. 5:2315-minute 71 and the stop goes below the
141. 5:26low at the one. The first target is the
142. 5:29minus 27 level of the same Fibonacci.
143. 5:32That's where we take partial profits.
144. 5:34And the final target comes from the
145. 5:354-hour chart.
146. 5:37Risk stays between half a percent and 1
147. 5:40and 1/2% per trade. A 15-minute stop
148. 5:43with a 4-hour target. That's the power
149. 5:45of trading two time frames with one
150. 5:47strategy.
151. 5:49And if any step is missing, we don't
152. 5:51take the 15-minute trade. No sweep, no
153. 5:53entry. No structure shift, no
154. 5:56confirmation. No confluence, no risk.
155. 6:00And if price moves away from the zone
156. 6:02without a confirmation, we don't chase
157. 6:04it. We can apply the same rules again as
158. 6:06the 4-hour move develops. That's our
159. 6:09continuation model and a topic for
160. 6:11another video.
161. 6:14If the 15-minute part just clicked for
162. 6:16you, hit like and subscribe so you don't
163. 6:18miss the next breakdown. And tell me in
164. 6:20the comments, which part of going from
165. 6:22the 4-hour to the 15-minute used to
166. 6:24confuse you the most?
167. 6:27Now, let's follow it on a real chart.
168. 6:30This is the same pound dollar 4-hour
169. 6:32chart. The trend is bullish and the
170. 6:34Fibonacci runs from the protected low up
171. 6:36to the high. Price pulls back and this
172. 6:38candle tags the 71. Our 4-hour entry is
173. 6:42filled and the alert goes off. That's
174. 6:44our trigger.
175. 6:45So, we scale down.
176. 6:48On the 15-minute, price taps the 4-hour
177. 6:5071 almost exactly and bounces. But, a
178. 6:54bounce on its own is not a confirmation,
179. 6:56so we keep waiting. Price builds a few
180. 6:59lows just above the level. Then, it
181. 7:01drops under them and that liquidity gets
182. 7:03taken. Step one, the sweep.
183. 7:06Price turns back up and the push leaves
184. 7:08a volume gap behind. Step two, the
185. 7:11aggressive reaction.
186. 7:13Next comes the structure shift. This is
187. 7:15the last high that created the last low.
188. 7:18Price works its way up and this candle
189. 7:20closes above it. Step three, structure
190. 7:23has shifted.
191. 7:25For step four, as price starts to pull
192. 7:27back, we pull the Fibonacci from the
193. 7:29sweep low up to the top of the impulse.
194. 7:32And step five, the 71 lands right at the
195. 7:36top of the volume gap with the order
196. 7:38block that started the push just below
197. 7:40it. And the 4-hour bias is bullish, so
198. 7:43all three line up. That's our
199. 7:45confluence.
200. 7:47Price pulls back into the 71 and the
201. 7:49second entry gets filled. The stop sits
202. 7:51under the 15-minute low.
203. 7:54The 4-hour trade risks the whole range
204. 7:56down to the protected low. The 15-minute
205. 7:59trade risks about a third of that for
206. 8:00the same target. From the trigger to the
207. 8:03entry, that took more than a day on the
208. 8:0515-minute. Patience is part of the
209. 8:07model. Now we zoom back out to the
210. 8:104-hour.
211. 8:12Price never comes back to either stop.
212. 8:15It runs through the minus 27 where we
213. 8:17take partials on the 15-minute trade.
214. 8:20And then it goes all the way into the
215. 8:214-hour high. Both trades hit their
216. 8:24target.
217. 8:28So, let's put the whole process
218. 8:29together. On the 4-hour, we read the
219. 8:32trend, mark the structure, pull the
220. 8:34Fibonacci, and put our entry and an
221. 8:36alert at the 71. When price reaches it,
222. 8:40the 4-hour entry fills and that's the
223. 8:42trigger. We scale down.
224. 8:44On the 15-minute, we wait for the sweep,
225. 8:47the aggressive reaction, and the
226. 8:48structure shift. Then we pull the
227. 8:50Fibonacci and look for confluence at the
228. 8:5271.
229. 8:54That's how our model answers the four
230. 8:56questions every trader has to solve.
231. 8:58Where does price matter? At the 4-hour
232. 9:0171.
233. 9:02When do we engage? At the 4-hour 71 and
234. 9:05again after the 15-minute confirmation.
235. 9:08Where are we wrong? Below the low made
236. 9:11by the sweep. And where do we get paid?
237. 9:13At the minus 27 and at the 4-hour
238. 9:16target.
239. 9:18No 4-hour context, no trade. No sweep,
240. 9:21no entry. No structure shift, no
241. 9:24confirmation. No confluence, no risk.
242. 9:28The 4-hour tells us where. The 15-minute
243. 9:32tells us when.
244. 9:35Everything in this video is free. The
245. 9:37full rules are in our free strategy book
246. 9:39inside our free walk. But knowing a
247. 9:41strategy and trading it every day are
248. 9:44two different things. That's what the
249. 9:46Flipping Markets Academy is for.
250. 9:48Remember that 4-hour entry at the 71?
251. 9:50Every morning I share my own 4-hour
252. 9:53limit orders. The same entries, stops,
253. 9:55and targets I use with live updates
254. 9:57while they run. That copy trading is
255. 10:00included in every plan. On top of that,
256. 10:03we analyze eight pairs twice a day with
257. 10:05live webinars twice a week [music] and a
258. 10:07Q&A call every week. Daily recap videos
259. 10:10walk you through the reasoning behind
260. 10:12every result. And weekly back testing,
261. 10:14our trade scoring tool, and our trading
262. 10:16journal help you build the skill
263. 10:18yourself. Plus, a private trading floor
264. 10:20and funded coaches who answer the same
265. 10:22day. The link is in the description.
266. 10:25Subscribe for more breakdowns like this
267. 10:26one, and I'll see you in the next video.