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The ONLY Mechanical Daily Bias You Need | Daily & 4H Profile — Transcript

by Hudson Trades · 3,014 words · 410 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:00YouTube, how are we doing? We're back
  2. 0:01with a brand new video. This one's going
  3. 0:03to be covering the mechanical daily bias
  4. 0:05that you can trade every single day. In
  5. 0:07this video, we are going to be going
  6. 0:08over the introduction, daily candles,
  7. 0:10and 4-hour profiles. This is something
  8. 0:12that you can align every single day, and
  9. 0:14if it doesn't align, you just walk away
  10. 0:16from the charts.
  11. 0:19>> [bell]
  12. 0:20[music]
  13. 0:21>> With the introduction, we have an easy
  14. 0:23way to form a bias is aligning a daily
  15. 0:25candle with 4-hour profiles. So, if we
  16. 0:28have a daily candle alignment like right
  17. 0:30here to the right, we can see we have a
  18. 0:32large expansion right here to the left
  19. 0:34on these two examples on the daily time
  20. 0:37frame. This candle expands higher,
  21. 0:39closes through the candles to the left,
  22. 0:41so we're going to assume this candle is
  23. 0:43now aligned for continuation. Then, we
  24. 0:46align that with a 4-hour chart. Whenever
  25. 0:48we have a 4-hour reversal, we look for a
  26. 0:51continuation alignment, right? So, these
  27. 0:53are just how you can align these
  28. 0:55together. So, moving on here, we have
  29. 0:58the daily candle reversals. This is
  30. 1:00whenever we take out the previous day
  31. 1:02low. We have a small enough wick to also
  32. 1:05go into an expansion. Now, I know a lot
  33. 1:06of people struggle with trading a daily
  34. 1:09reversal day. They get confused on how
  35. 1:11to align a 4-hour candle with that daily
  36. 1:13reversal. So, let me show you exactly
  37. 1:16how to do that. So, whenever you're
  38. 1:17looking to trade those daily reversal
  39. 1:19candles like right here to the left,
  40. 1:20whenever we take out that previous day
  41. 1:22low, we can align that with a 4-hour
  42. 1:25profile. Whenever we make the move below
  43. 1:27the previous day low, then the 4-hour
  44. 1:30candle takes out the previous candle
  45. 1:32low, has an expansion to the upside
  46. 1:34closing a C2 candle. That's whenever we
  47. 1:37assume that we are now aligned with
  48. 1:39lower time frame continuation within the
  49. 1:42daily reversal candle. So, we expand
  50. 1:45higher closing through this candle and
  51. 1:47within the candle's range to create that
  52. 1:49reversal C2. Then, we look for a 4-hour
  53. 1:52profile that is in a continuation. We We
  54. 1:55for the wick to be created inside of a
  55. 1:57key level going into an expansion. If we
  56. 1:59miss this candle, we look for the next
  57. 2:02candle to continue through. Right? So,
  58. 2:04whenever we're looking for that daily
  59. 2:05reversal, we look for that 4-hour
  60. 2:08reversal profile and confirming the low
  61. 2:10of day. Then we have the easier daily
  62. 2:12candles, which are the continuation
  63. 2:14candles. Whenever you're not focused on
  64. 2:16trading that daily reversal, we look for
  65. 2:18the continuation. So, we create that
  66. 2:20daily reversal right here, have that C2
  67. 2:23candle close. Now we're aligned on the
  68. 2:25daily timeframe to create continuation.
  69. 2:28We want to see this wick be created
  70. 2:30inside of a key level to then go into an
  71. 2:32expansion higher. So, we create that C2.
  72. 2:36Now we just look for C3 to continue
  73. 2:38higher. And we can do that by looking
  74. 2:40for 4-hour reversal profiles and
  75. 2:42continuations away from a key level. So,
  76. 2:45right here we have that reversal away
  77. 2:47from the initial candle's low right
  78. 2:48here, closing that C2 candle. Now we are
  79. 2:51aligned for daily continuation higher.
  80. 2:54Right here's where we create that daily
  81. 2:55reversal and go into an expansion to the
  82. 2:58upside. Now the new day is opening right
  83. 3:00here. We open into a key level, this
  84. 3:034-hour fair value gap. We create a
  85. 3:054-hour reversal profile. You could
  86. 3:08either look to trade it away from this
  87. 3:104-hour gap because this is where we
  88. 3:11should create the low of day. So, you
  89. 3:14can trade this 4-hour reversal candle or
  90. 3:16you can just wait for this candle to
  91. 3:18close as a reversal C2 candle and look
  92. 3:21to align 4-hour profiling continuation
  93. 3:25with that daily continuation as well.
  94. 3:27So, whenever this candle closes, now we
  95. 3:30are aligned for 4-hour continuation as
  96. 3:33well as daily continuation. And this is
  97. 3:35where the extremely high probability
  98. 3:38trades come into play. Whenever the
  99. 3:40daily is aligned for continuation and
  100. 3:42the 4-hour is aligned for continuation
  101. 3:45in one direction. So, here we are on our
  102. 3:47first example and we're on the Nasdaq
  103. 3:49daily chart. We're We're to be starting
  104. 3:50out with the reversal examples first,
  105. 3:52then we'll be covering the
  106. 3:53continuations. And you can see right
  107. 3:55here on NQ, we are taking out the
  108. 3:56previous day high inside of this daily
  109. 3:58fair value gap. And you might be
  110. 4:00thinking, "Well, we closed this C2
  111. 4:01candle, shouldn't we be looking for C3
  112. 4:03to continue higher?" But you guys can
  113. 4:05see that Monday opens and we expand to
  114. 4:07the downside. We have way too large of a
  115. 4:10day weekly wick actually to continue
  116. 4:12this expansion higher. So we're just
  117. 4:14going to look to trade this back down to
  118. 4:16the lows. Right, so looking at this
  119. 4:18candle right here, we have taken this
  120. 4:20high right here. So we want to see is
  121. 4:21this going to be putting in a reversal
  122. 4:23candle, and we are going to do that by
  123. 4:254-hour profiling. So let's head down to
  124. 4:27our 4-hour time frame.
  125. 4:29Heading down here to our 4-hour time
  126. 4:31frame, do we put in a reversal candle
  127. 4:33right here? Right, the answer is no. We
  128. 4:35have a full body close. We have not
  129. 4:37taken out the previous candle high yet,
  130. 4:39so there's nothing here on the 4-hour
  131. 4:40time frame to tell us that we're going
  132. 4:42to be trading lower. Now, if we take a
  133. 4:44look at the Thursday range, we can see
  134. 4:46we go into an expansion higher. Now,
  135. 4:48where can we target within the Thursday
  136. 4:50range? Well, we have this 4-hour fair
  137. 4:52value gap right here. So we're going to
  138. 4:53be basically trading external to
  139. 4:55internal on the 4-hour time frame. Now,
  140. 4:58if we align that with the daily time
  141. 5:00frame, we're trading internal to
  142. 5:01external. So you guys can see how all
  143. 5:04these models overlap with each other.
  144. 5:06But coming back to the example, we have
  145. 5:08a full body close, so we're going to
  146. 5:10need the next candle to take out this
  147. 5:12high before looking to trade this lower.
  148. 5:14So marking out this previous candle
  149. 5:16high, let's play this out.
  150. 5:18You guys can see we do not take out the
  151. 5:20previous candle high. But if we flip
  152. 5:22over to the ES, what does the ES do? It
  153. 5:26takes out this previous candle high,
  154. 5:28closes a 4-hour reversal candle, so now
  155. 5:30we have a valid C2 candle close with an
  156. 5:33SMT, and now ES can also expand to the
  157. 5:36downside to this 4-hour gap. So this is
  158. 5:39where you would look to get involved
  159. 5:41with C3 continuation because we have
  160. 5:43this SMT. So what What we look for
  161. 5:45within the next candle? Well, we would
  162. 5:47want to measure out this candle right
  163. 5:49here, look for the next candle to create
  164. 5:51its wick inside of the 50% and get that
  165. 5:53expansion lower. So, let's play this
  166. 5:55candle out. You can see that the wick
  167. 5:57formation is formed within the lower
  168. 5:59half of the 50% and we get that
  169. 6:01expansion to the downside. Now, if we
  170. 6:04play the next candle out, we actually
  171. 6:05take out the Thursday low, which I would
  172. 6:07not be expecting for a Friday to take
  173. 6:09out this low. I would have just expected
  174. 6:11this 4-hour gap. But, you guys can see
  175. 6:13how we can frame that daily reversal
  176. 6:15candle with a 4-hour profile and get our
  177. 6:18daily bias to get the expansion lower.
  178. 6:21Now, here we are in our next example for
  179. 6:23reversals. You guys can see that we have
  180. 6:25formed a valid reversal down here at the
  181. 6:27lows. We engage a relevant level. We go
  182. 6:29into an expansion higher. We have
  183. 6:31another expansion day and another
  184. 6:33expansion day. So, after 3 days of
  185. 6:35expansion, what do we look for? Well,
  186. 6:37we're going to look for a retracement
  187. 6:39back into the range after engaging this
  188. 6:42relevant key level as well. So, not only
  189. 6:44have we had three days of expansion, we
  190. 6:46have also engaged a relevant key level.
  191. 6:49So, this day failed to reverse away from
  192. 6:51the previous day high, right? We closed
  193. 6:53very close to the high, so you would
  194. 6:55either wait for the reversal to be
  195. 6:57formed or just wait for this previous
  196. 6:59high to be taken to then trade this
  197. 7:01lower. You guys can see we are taking
  198. 7:03out this high and if we look to the
  199. 7:05left, we have no draws on liquidity
  200. 7:07higher, right? So, what do we do if we
  201. 7:09have no draws on liquidity? Well, we're
  202. 7:11just going to look to trade this back
  203. 7:12into the range. So, to pair that, we
  204. 7:15want to align a 4-hour profile with it.
  205. 7:17So, let's head down to the 4-hour chart.
  206. 7:20You can see right here, this is where we
  207. 7:22take out the previous day high. What do
  208. 7:24we have right here? We have a 4-hour
  209. 7:26gap. So, this can be our target for the
  210. 7:28day, right? So, once again, you guys are
  211. 7:29seeing the models are overlapping. We
  212. 7:31have external to internal on the 4-hour
  213. 7:34time frame. Now, if we want to look at
  214. 7:36the YM, we can see YM is not having any
  215. 7:39SMT with this. So, we would need to wait
  216. 7:42for this candle to close. So, let's play
  217. 7:44this out. You can see that we have that
  218. 7:46candle to close. So, we would be looking
  219. 7:48for this candle to continue to the
  220. 7:50downside. We no longer need SMT. We can
  221. 7:53just look to enter on the continuation
  222. 7:56lower. Where would we want the 10:00
  223. 7:57a.m. wick to be formed? We would want it
  224. 7:59to be formed within the 50% of this
  225. 8:01previous candle to then get the
  226. 8:03expansion lower. So, now we have aligned
  227. 8:06the daily candle as a reversal away from
  228. 8:09the relevant high, which is this high
  229. 8:11right here, and the previous day high
  230. 8:13being taken. Not only did we do that, we
  231. 8:16also aligned a 4-hour profile with it to
  232. 8:19have a high probability daily bias. So,
  233. 8:22now we have this C2 close. Now, we would
  234. 8:24be looking to get involved with C3
  235. 8:26continuation. And if we play this out,
  236. 8:29you can see that we get that expansion
  237. 8:31to the downside. Where is the wick
  238. 8:33created? It is created in the lower half
  239. 8:35of that 50%, and that's how we can get
  240. 8:38aligned with a daily bias for the
  241. 8:40expansion lower. So, here we are in our
  242. 8:42next example, and now we're going to be
  243. 8:44looking at the continuations. You guys
  244. 8:46can see we have a valid C2 close. Did we
  245. 8:48engage a relevant level? Well, we have
  246. 8:50an SMT with this low. If we hop over to
  247. 8:53gold, you can see that we have an SMT
  248. 8:55with that low. So, we have a valid C2
  249. 8:57candle close after putting in an SMT
  250. 9:00with a relevant level, and now we want
  251. 9:01to see this candle have C3 expansion.
  252. 9:04Where can we look to target? Well, we
  253. 9:05have these two failure swings up here.
  254. 9:08So, we could look to target both of
  255. 9:09these highs as a draw on liquidity on
  256. 9:12the daily time frame. So, now that we
  257. 9:14have a daily bias, we want to measure
  258. 9:16out this candle's EQ, and we want to see
  259. 9:18the wick be formed in the upper portion
  260. 9:21of the 50%. So, let's go down to the
  261. 9:234-hour time frame. Here on the 4-hour
  262. 9:25time frame, do we have a relevant key
  263. 9:26level to create the wick inside of?
  264. 9:28Well, we have the daily open right here,
  265. 9:30and we do have a 4-hour fair value gap
  266. 9:32below. But you guys can see we never
  267. 9:34tagged that 4-hour gap, and we have no
  268. 9:36SMT within that gap. So, the overnight
  269. 9:39session actually creates a key level for
  270. 9:41us to get a New York reversal to go
  271. 9:43higher from. So, we can see right here
  272. 9:46at 6:00 a.m. we tag this gap. We have a
  273. 9:48valid C2 candle close, and now the
  274. 9:504-hour is aligned for a continuation at
  275. 9:5310:00 a.m. with the daily time frame.
  276. 9:56So, now we have the 4-hour aligned for a
  277. 9:58continuation with a daily time frame
  278. 10:01aligned for a continuation, and this is
  279. 10:03where high probability expansion
  280. 10:05expansions come into play. So, let's
  281. 10:07play this candle out.
  282. 10:08And you can see that we take out this
  283. 10:10low, go into an expansion higher, and
  284. 10:13now we're going to look for 10:00 a.m.
  285. 10:14to continue. What do we want to see it
  286. 10:16continue from? The EQ of the previous
  287. 10:18candle. So, let's play this out, and you
  288. 10:21guys can see that 10:00 a.m. candle
  289. 10:22creates its wick in the upper portion of
  290. 10:25that 6:00 a.m. candle, and goes into an
  291. 10:28expansion higher. Could you look for
  292. 10:302:00 p.m. to continue higher? You could,
  293. 10:32but we've had two candles of expansion
  294. 10:34higher. So, let's play this next candle
  295. 10:36out. You can see that it just goes into
  296. 10:38a consolidation after having these two
  297. 10:40candles of expansion, but you guys can
  298. 10:43see how we aligned both of these time
  299. 10:45frames for a high probability
  300. 10:47continuation in one direction. We have
  301. 10:49the 6:00 a.m. candle creating its low
  302. 10:51inside of a key level, and we have the
  303. 10:54daily time frame creating that valid C2
  304. 10:56candle close after hitting that relevant
  305. 10:59level with SMT, and then both time
  306. 11:02frames were aligned for continuation to
  307. 11:04the upside for a high probability daily
  308. 11:07bias. So, here we are in our final
  309. 11:09example, and we're going to be looking
  310. 11:11at oil. You guys can see we have this
  311. 11:13valid C2 candle close, and if we take a
  312. 11:15look at the initial reversal, we have a
  313. 11:17valid C2 candle close after hitting a
  314. 11:19relevant key level, and then we finally
  315. 11:21start to get the move away from the
  316. 11:23lows. Right here on this day we take out
  317. 11:25the previous day low, and go into an
  318. 11:27expansion higher. So, now we're going to
  319. 11:29be looking for this candle to create its
  320. 11:31wick in the 50% to then continue to
  321. 11:34these failure swing highs, this high in
  322. 11:36this high right here. We also have
  323. 11:38failure swings above which lie right
  324. 11:40here. Would I expect the candle to get
  325. 11:42all the way up here on this day? Well,
  326. 11:43the likelihood is probably not, but it
  327. 11:45also could get up there. But this is the
  328. 11:48high likelihood of a draw on liquidity.
  329. 11:50So, we want to see this candle to
  330. 11:52continue from the previous candle's
  331. 11:53equilibrium, and we can measure that out
  332. 11:55right here. So, now we have a daily
  333. 11:58continuation candle alignment, right? We
  334. 12:01have taken this candle's low, went into
  335. 12:02an expansion higher, and now we want to
  336. 12:04see C3 continuation. But now we want to
  337. 12:07align the 4-hour candle with it. So,
  338. 12:09let's go down to the lower time frame.
  339. 12:11Here we are on the 4-hour chart, and
  340. 12:13what do we want to see on the 4-hour
  341. 12:14time frame? We want to see a key level
  342. 12:16for the candle to create its wick inside
  343. 12:19of. So, we have the new candle opening
  344. 12:21right here, and we make this move lower.
  345. 12:23What do we make a move lower into? A
  346. 12:254-hour fair value gap. This is exactly
  347. 12:28where we want to see the candle continue
  348. 12:30from. Doesn't matter that we went a
  349. 12:31little bit below the previous day's
  350. 12:33equilibrium? The answer is no. We still
  351. 12:35can look to target the previous day
  352. 12:37high. And what do we have right above
  353. 12:39that? We have that draw on liquidity,
  354. 12:41which was that failure swing. What do we
  355. 12:43have down here at the lows? We have a
  356. 12:45reversal candle being printed, right? We
  357. 12:47have taken out the previous candle low.
  358. 12:49We have a C2 candle close, and now we
  359. 12:52want to see C3 continuation. So, let's
  360. 12:54play the rest of this candle out.
  361. 12:56Playing the rest of that candle out, you
  362. 12:58can see that we get a high expansion to
  363. 13:00the upside closing well above these
  364. 13:02candles highs, and now we have a high
  365. 13:04likelihood for C3 continuation, right?
  366. 13:07Why did this candle go into an
  367. 13:08expansion? Well, take a look at the wick
  368. 13:10size, right? We have a very small wick,
  369. 13:12and if you guys have watched my past
  370. 13:13videos, you know that a small wick means
  371. 13:16that we can go into an expansion higher.
  372. 13:18Do we have an SMT with the previous
  373. 13:20candle low? Well, let's head over to RB.
  374. 13:23We do not have an SMT with this candle's
  375. 13:25low, so let's head over to HL.
  376. 13:27We have an SMT with this candle's low,
  377. 13:29so this means that this candle is
  378. 13:31tradeable. And this is actually where I
  379. 13:33took an entry within CL, right? We had
  380. 13:35an SMT with this previous candle low, so
  381. 13:38you could look to get aligned with it
  382. 13:39within this candle right here, so you
  383. 13:42don't miss the expansion to the upside.
  384. 13:44So now we have a 4-hour profile
  385. 13:46alignment, we have a 6:00 a.m. reversal,
  386. 13:49so now we look for 10:00 a.m. C3
  387. 13:51continuation higher, and that is also
  388. 13:53aligned with the daily continuation with
  389. 13:56this C2 candle close and C3
  390. 13:59continuation. So let's play the 10:00
  391. 14:01a.m. candle out, and you can see that we
  392. 14:03get that expansion higher from the 50%
  393. 14:07of the previous candle, right? So we put
  394. 14:09in that C2 reversal, expansion higher.
  395. 14:1210:00 a.m. has a small wick, but it goes
  396. 14:15into an expansion to the upside away
  397. 14:17from the 50%, and that's how you can
  398. 14:19align all these profiles and daily
  399. 14:22candles together for a high probability
  400. 14:25daily bias, right? So if you guys have
  401. 14:27any questions, leave them in the
  402. 14:28comments below. Also, if you guys want
  403. 14:30to go to my website to get free PDFs and
  404. 14:32the trades that I take every month, you
  405. 14:34guys can head over, it's in the link
  406. 14:36down below. Also, if you guys want to
  407. 14:37join the enrollment for class one, it is
  408. 14:40also in the description below. So I hope
  409. 14:42you guys enjoyed this video. I'm going
  410. 14:43to head out. Peace.

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