The Fine-Tuning Argument: Why the Universe Looks “Just Right” for Life — Transcript
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- 0:00Well, that neatly segus into our next um
- 0:02sort of argument then, which is of
- 0:05course the finetuning of the universe
- 0:06for life. Um again, if you could in
- 0:09layman friendly terms sketch out what
- 0:11this particular phenomenon is and and
- 0:13again how it's changed our understanding
- 0:15of the universe and our place in it in
- 0:17the last several decades.
- 0:18>> Sure. I mean, there's a little easier to
- 0:19st understand than quantum cosmology.
- 0:21So, I'll try try to do better than my
- 0:22last answer. Sorry. Um so um yeah Hy is
- 0:27actually one of the the first maybe the
- 0:29first physicist who who stumbles across
- 0:33this phenomenon of the finetuning. He's
- 0:36thinking about
- 0:38the importance of carbon and some of the
- 0:40other heavier elements but in particular
- 0:42carbon. Carbon has unique properties
- 0:44forms longchain like molecules that can
- 0:46store information. It's critical to all
- 0:48biological life that we know. and he's
- 0:51trying to think how could we get the how
- 0:53can we explain the abundance of carbon
- 0:55and he he for the life of him can't
- 0:58really come up with a solution. He knows
- 1:01the atomic weight. So he's trying to
- 1:02think of how it could be built up from
- 1:04smaller elements and he ends up coming
- 1:07up with an idea that if he combined
- 1:10burillium
- 1:11burillium atom with a helium atom that
- 1:15that would form a carbon 12. But he
- 1:17realized that the the energy level of
- 1:19that molecule, the what's called the
- 1:21resonance would be higher than what
- 1:24normal carbon has. And so he's wondering
- 1:26if that resonance level exists. He goes
- 1:29out to Caltech. He gets some guys to run
- 1:31some experiments there. And lo and
- 1:32behold, the resonance level that he
- 1:34predicted on purely theoretical
- 1:35cosmological grounds turns out to exist.
- 1:39And that's that's a kind of fine-tuning
- 1:41in itself, but it's actually the tip of
- 1:43an iceberg of a whole series of other
- 1:45fine-tuning parameters. And what
- 1:47fine-tuning is is is if you could think
- 1:49of it as a sort of a Goldilocks zone
- 1:51that we live in a Goldilocks universe
- 1:53where there are all these fundamental
- 1:55parameters that are not too heavy where
- 1:57you know the atomic weights of things
- 1:58are not too heavy, not too light. The
- 2:00speed of light not too fast, not too
- 2:02slow. The expansion rate of the universe
- 2:03same, not too fast, not too slow. Um and
- 2:08everything is is just right to allow for
- 2:10the possibility of life that with
- 2:13multiple different parameters. If things
- 2:15fall outside very narrow ranges or
- 2:18tolerances then life for various reasons
- 2:21would not be possible. In fact even
- 2:23stable galaxies, planetary systems and
- 2:26in and for many of the finetuning
- 2:28parameters even atoms heavier than
- 2:30helium would not be possible. And so you
- 2:33have this kind of stunning recognition
- 2:36and and this hits H oily and other
- 2:38physicists at a really fundamental level
- 2:40because they understand how fundamental
- 2:42these parameters are to the universe we
- 2:44live in. And yet in opposition to their
- 2:48expectation,
- 2:49the the the the conditions that are
- 2:52necessary for life to exist are not
- 2:54common. They're not easy to to to
- 2:56produce. They're extremely improbable
- 2:59and they they fall within narrow ranges
- 3:01among very much much much much wider
- 3:04possible ranges or natural ranges as
- 3:06they put it. And so Hy ends up shifting
- 3:09his point of view on on the big
- 3:11metaphysical questions from his staunch
- 3:13atheism to a kind of quasi theism and is
- 3:16quoted as saying physics and chemistry
- 3:18look as if they've been monkeyed with he
- 3:20says and and to make life possible. And
- 3:24so he ends up u writing about this and
- 3:28and and having a major shift in
- 3:30worldview. Many other physicists end up
- 3:33adopting the same perspective. Uh the
- 3:35great physicist at Cambridge University
- 3:37John Pulkinghorn who was um late in life
- 3:41also invol took on holy orders and was
- 3:45became part of the Anglican church who
- 3:46was a spokesman for the science science
- 3:49and faith issues. he was a a very a
- 3:52capable advocate of this fine-tuning
- 3:54argument that fine-tuning suggests a
- 3:56fine-tuner. And so that's been that's
- 3:58been a big shift. And there have been
- 3:59more and more of these fine-tuning
- 4:01parameters discovered in in recent
- 4:03years. Uh the young physicist Luke
- 4:05Barnes who did his PhD at Cambridge uh
- 4:08did a a joint book with his PhD
- 4:10supervisor called the fortunate
- 4:12universe. Supervisor was an atheist.
- 4:15Barnes is a theist. They they describe
- 4:18the fine-tuning parameters that are
- 4:19known and list at the end of the book
- 4:22all the different physicists who accept
- 4:23that finetuning is a real phenomenon
- 4:24that needs to be explained and then they
- 4:26have a dialogue between them the two of
- 4:28them about how best to explain them the
- 4:30fine-tuning. Bards argues for theistic
- 4:32design and his supervisor uh poses other
- 4:38explanations. One of the most popular
- 4:39right now is something called a
- 4:40multiverse we can which we can talk
- 4:41about. Well, well, well, let let's let
- 4:43before we get to the multiverse, um, you
- 4:46know, let's deal with maybe a few common
- 4:48objections to this. Um, sometimes
- 4:50philosophical objections of one sort or
- 4:52another. Um perhaps u at one level
- 4:56you've got the Douglas Adams sort of uh
- 4:59objection which is well um life is
- 5:02rather like you know claiming that life
- 5:04is fine-tuned for the universe is a bit
- 5:06like saying that this um puddle is
- 5:09fine-tuned for the shape of the water in
- 5:12it. Um the point being that if you like
- 5:15the the the when the puddle says look
- 5:18look how perfectly formed I am to
- 5:20contain this water it's obviously just
- 5:22happens to be it just the water fills
- 5:25the available space and takes the shape
- 5:27it does and I think people kind of make
- 5:28a similar argument for life look uh you
- 5:31know life will find a way there there is
- 5:33a sort of sense in which you know um
- 5:36it's it's arrogant for us to claim that
- 5:38we we were always the intended outcome
- 5:41of this universe It could have been
- 5:42something different. Some a different
- 5:44sort of set of circumstances might have
- 5:45produced some completely different life
- 5:47form. Who knows? Um what what do you say
- 5:49to that kind of an objection?
- 5:50>> Right. Well, I've had exactly that an
- 5:53argument about exactly that objection
- 5:55with Lawrence Krauss in the journal
- 5:57Inference. And Krauss's way of putting
- 5:59it is very crisp. He says that um uh
- 6:03life didn't um life isn't possible
- 6:05because there was pre-existing
- 6:07fine-tuning. rather life evolved in
- 6:09accord with the fine-tuning parameters
- 6:11that had been pre-established. And so
- 6:14there's nothing special about life. Uh
- 6:16the fine-tuning was uh life life simply
- 6:20took advantage of and evolved in in in
- 6:24accord with the universe that was
- 6:26produced by the fine-tuning parameters.
- 6:28The problem with that is that you don't
- 6:31get with many of the fine-tuning
- 6:32parameters, you can't get stable
- 6:35galaxies, you can't get planetary
- 6:37systems, you can't get even you can't
- 6:41even get atoms heavier than helium. That
- 6:43the finetuning is necessary a necessary
- 6:47condition of there being any subsequent
- 6:49evolution at all. So the in other words,
- 6:52the finetuning is more primary more
- 6:54prior. it's it's prior to any even
- 6:56possible evolutionary process. So you
- 6:58can't say that well of course evolution
- 7:01uh accommodated what was was present.
- 7:05There wouldn't be anything
- 7:07uh present to make evolution possible if
- 7:10it weren't for the finetuning. It's it's
- 7:12that primary and that fundamental. Yeah,
- 7:15you don't you don't have chemistry full
- 7:16stop to be able to mess with if you
- 7:19don't have the finetuning to enable uh
- 7:21atoms and you know
- 7:22>> there are multiple types of finetuning.
- 7:24There's the finetuning of the of the
- 7:25laws and constants of physics, but and
- 7:28there's the fine-tuning of the planetary
- 7:30system, but then even at a very very
- 7:33fundamental level, there's the
- 7:35finetuning of the initial conditions of
- 7:37the universe, sometimes called the
- 7:38initial entropy finetuning, which is the
- 7:41arrangement of mass energy in the
- 7:43initial plasma state of the universe.
- 7:46Turns out that it's exquisitly finely
- 7:48tuned. This is the number that Roger
- 7:49Penrose uh the calculation that he made
- 7:51that is hyper exponentially fine-tuned
- 7:54one part and 10^ the 10 to the 123. So
- 7:57you you've got stuff that's set from the
- 7:59very beginning that's necessary to even
- 8:02getting basic chemistry off the ground.
- 8:03So uh I don't think that objection
- 8:05works. I think it it's fasile in a way.
- 8:08Sounds to me it's like the old Abraham
- 8:09Lincoln thing about isn't it great that
- 8:11the man's legs are just long enough to
- 8:13reach the ground? But no, that that
- 8:15that's not that's funny because the law
- 8:17of gravity is actually what we would say
- 8:19is responsible for that. But the law of
- 8:21gravity is finely tuned to make carbon
- 8:23and and other things are finely tuned
- 8:26even to make more simple molecule or
- 8:28atoms. So I think that's that's the I
- 8:31think there's a decisive response to
- 8:32that objection.
- 8:34>> Yeah. I mean that that number from
- 8:35Penrose one one in whatever it was 10 to
- 8:38the 10 to the 1 2 3 but the um I heard
- 8:42it said that if you I mean if you put a
- 8:45zero on every single particle in the
- 8:47universe you still wouldn't have a
- 8:49number big enough. I mean it's it's a
- 8:51extraordinarily
- 8:53I mean it even even to call it fine
- 8:56tuning doesn't do it justice really. But
- 8:57anyway um okay let's talk about um
- 9:00>> just one one more riff on that.
- 9:02cosmological constant you know which is
- 9:04the the degree of finetuning of the
- 9:06force that's causing the expansion of
- 9:07the universe that's accepted at about
- 9:10one part 10 to the 90 I think is an
- 9:12accepted u you know uh and so that would
- 9:15be and that if that's off then you get a
- 9:19recolapse of the universe and no no
- 9:22evolution is possible at that point if
- 9:24or you get a heat death okay if it's off
- 9:26in either direction and just to put that
- 9:28in perspective there's 10 to the 80th
- 9:31elementary particles in the universe by
- 9:33many estimates. So getting that the the
- 9:36the cosmological constant fine-tuning
- 9:39right would be equivalent to the odds of
- 9:43a blindfolded person floating in free
- 9:46space trying to find one marked
- 9:48elementary particle but having to search
- 9:50not just one universe not just our
- 9:52universe but 10 billion our size. So it
- 9:56the the degree of fine-tuning with some
- 9:58of these parameters is beyond exquisite.
- 10:00we just we simply don't have um
- 10:02modifiers and adjectives to to capture
- 10:05this. So,
- 10:06>> one one other quick objection before we
- 10:08get to the big one, the the multiverse.
- 10:10Um
- 10:11>> multiverse. Yeah,
- 10:13>> this is again a sort of a philosophical
- 10:14objection. Um which just says, well,
- 10:16look, of course it's unsurprising that
- 10:19we live in a fine-tuned universe because
- 10:20we're here to observe it. We wouldn't be
- 10:22observing a fine-tuned universe if it
- 10:24wasn't fine-tuned for us to be able to
- 10:26be here. Um what what do you make of
- 10:28that particular objection? two different
- 10:30versions of that. There's one thing, one
- 10:32called the weak anthropic principle and
- 10:33the strong anthropic principle. I deal
- 10:35with both in the book. The strong
- 10:37anthrop anthropic principle trades on
- 10:39the old uh kind of sophomore
- 10:42philosophical uh saw. If a tree falls in
- 10:45the forest and there's no one there to
- 10:47hear it, did it make a sound? And the
- 10:48idea is that that there you really
- 10:50couldn't have a universe unless there
- 10:52was someone there to observe it. And
- 10:54since um and there therefore the
- 10:56universe had to be finally tuned at the
- 10:58beginning. So it would evolve to produce
- 11:01um uh observers long after the fact. And
- 11:04that's the strong anthropic principle.
- 11:06The obvious problem with that is that if
- 11:08the observers are the ultimate cause of
- 11:10the universe and the observers are are
- 11:12evolving after the universe has evolved
- 11:14to produce them. So you've got the cause
- 11:16after the alleged effect that the cause
- 11:18explains which is I think simply
- 11:21irrational because cause and effect
- 11:23don't work that way. It's cause precedes
- 11:25the effect. U the weakanthanthropic
- 11:27principles a little more subtle. Um you
- 11:30may remember also that Martin Gardner
- 11:32the former editor of uh I think
- 11:34Scientific American you he talked about
- 11:36the all the different anthropic
- 11:38principles and when he got to the strong
- 11:40anthropic principle he he said that he
- 11:42he called that not the SAP for strong
- 11:44anthropic principle he called it the the
- 11:47completely ridiculous anthropic
- 11:48principle and uh gave it the name crap.
- 11:52So um the weak anthropic principle is a
- 11:55little more subtle. It says that that um
- 11:59uh yeah, we shouldn't be surprised
- 12:01because uh of course we live in a
- 12:04universe that is consistent with prior
- 12:07conditions that are consistent with our
- 12:09existence. If we didn't, we wouldn't be
- 12:12here. Doesn't make the observers the
- 12:13cause. It just says we shouldn't be
- 12:15surprised. Uh problem with that though
- 12:18is that it it still doesn't explain the
- 12:21origin of the fine-tuning. It explains
- 12:24um it it cites a necessary condition of
- 12:28our existence that is the fine-tuning
- 12:29parameters are necessary for us to exist
- 12:33without explaining what caused the
- 12:35fine-tuning parameters themselves. So
- 12:37there's a logical dis confusion between
- 12:40necessary condition and cause. Those
- 12:42aren't the same thing. And it also
- 12:44explains the wrong thing. We're not
- 12:45trying to explain our surprise or lack
- 12:48thereof of being here or even why we are
- 12:52here given that there is fine-tuning.
- 12:54Rather, we're trying to explain how the
- 12:56fine-tuning came to be. And there the
- 12:58design hypothesis provides a causal
- 13:00explanation. We're simply saying, "Hey,
- 13:03we're not surp we shouldn't be
- 13:04surprised." provides no such causal
- 13:06explanation.
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