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The Fine-Tuning Argument: Why the Universe Looks “Just Right” for Life — Transcript

by Stephen Meyer · 2,312 words · 344 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:00Well, that neatly segus into our next um
  2. 0:02sort of argument then, which is of
  3. 0:05course the finetuning of the universe
  4. 0:06for life. Um again, if you could in
  5. 0:09layman friendly terms sketch out what
  6. 0:11this particular phenomenon is and and
  7. 0:13again how it's changed our understanding
  8. 0:15of the universe and our place in it in
  9. 0:17the last several decades.
  10. 0:18>> Sure. I mean, there's a little easier to
  11. 0:19st understand than quantum cosmology.
  12. 0:21So, I'll try try to do better than my
  13. 0:22last answer. Sorry. Um so um yeah Hy is
  14. 0:27actually one of the the first maybe the
  15. 0:29first physicist who who stumbles across
  16. 0:33this phenomenon of the finetuning. He's
  17. 0:36thinking about
  18. 0:38the importance of carbon and some of the
  19. 0:40other heavier elements but in particular
  20. 0:42carbon. Carbon has unique properties
  21. 0:44forms longchain like molecules that can
  22. 0:46store information. It's critical to all
  23. 0:48biological life that we know. and he's
  24. 0:51trying to think how could we get the how
  25. 0:53can we explain the abundance of carbon
  26. 0:55and he he for the life of him can't
  27. 0:58really come up with a solution. He knows
  28. 1:01the atomic weight. So he's trying to
  29. 1:02think of how it could be built up from
  30. 1:04smaller elements and he ends up coming
  31. 1:07up with an idea that if he combined
  32. 1:10burillium
  33. 1:11burillium atom with a helium atom that
  34. 1:15that would form a carbon 12. But he
  35. 1:17realized that the the energy level of
  36. 1:19that molecule, the what's called the
  37. 1:21resonance would be higher than what
  38. 1:24normal carbon has. And so he's wondering
  39. 1:26if that resonance level exists. He goes
  40. 1:29out to Caltech. He gets some guys to run
  41. 1:31some experiments there. And lo and
  42. 1:32behold, the resonance level that he
  43. 1:34predicted on purely theoretical
  44. 1:35cosmological grounds turns out to exist.
  45. 1:39And that's that's a kind of fine-tuning
  46. 1:41in itself, but it's actually the tip of
  47. 1:43an iceberg of a whole series of other
  48. 1:45fine-tuning parameters. And what
  49. 1:47fine-tuning is is is if you could think
  50. 1:49of it as a sort of a Goldilocks zone
  51. 1:51that we live in a Goldilocks universe
  52. 1:53where there are all these fundamental
  53. 1:55parameters that are not too heavy where
  54. 1:57you know the atomic weights of things
  55. 1:58are not too heavy, not too light. The
  56. 2:00speed of light not too fast, not too
  57. 2:02slow. The expansion rate of the universe
  58. 2:03same, not too fast, not too slow. Um and
  59. 2:08everything is is just right to allow for
  60. 2:10the possibility of life that with
  61. 2:13multiple different parameters. If things
  62. 2:15fall outside very narrow ranges or
  63. 2:18tolerances then life for various reasons
  64. 2:21would not be possible. In fact even
  65. 2:23stable galaxies, planetary systems and
  66. 2:26in and for many of the finetuning
  67. 2:28parameters even atoms heavier than
  68. 2:30helium would not be possible. And so you
  69. 2:33have this kind of stunning recognition
  70. 2:36and and this hits H oily and other
  71. 2:38physicists at a really fundamental level
  72. 2:40because they understand how fundamental
  73. 2:42these parameters are to the universe we
  74. 2:44live in. And yet in opposition to their
  75. 2:48expectation,
  76. 2:49the the the the conditions that are
  77. 2:52necessary for life to exist are not
  78. 2:54common. They're not easy to to to
  79. 2:56produce. They're extremely improbable
  80. 2:59and they they fall within narrow ranges
  81. 3:01among very much much much much wider
  82. 3:04possible ranges or natural ranges as
  83. 3:06they put it. And so Hy ends up shifting
  84. 3:09his point of view on on the big
  85. 3:11metaphysical questions from his staunch
  86. 3:13atheism to a kind of quasi theism and is
  87. 3:16quoted as saying physics and chemistry
  88. 3:18look as if they've been monkeyed with he
  89. 3:20says and and to make life possible. And
  90. 3:24so he ends up u writing about this and
  91. 3:28and and having a major shift in
  92. 3:30worldview. Many other physicists end up
  93. 3:33adopting the same perspective. Uh the
  94. 3:35great physicist at Cambridge University
  95. 3:37John Pulkinghorn who was um late in life
  96. 3:41also invol took on holy orders and was
  97. 3:45became part of the Anglican church who
  98. 3:46was a spokesman for the science science
  99. 3:49and faith issues. he was a a very a
  100. 3:52capable advocate of this fine-tuning
  101. 3:54argument that fine-tuning suggests a
  102. 3:56fine-tuner. And so that's been that's
  103. 3:58been a big shift. And there have been
  104. 3:59more and more of these fine-tuning
  105. 4:01parameters discovered in in recent
  106. 4:03years. Uh the young physicist Luke
  107. 4:05Barnes who did his PhD at Cambridge uh
  108. 4:08did a a joint book with his PhD
  109. 4:10supervisor called the fortunate
  110. 4:12universe. Supervisor was an atheist.
  111. 4:15Barnes is a theist. They they describe
  112. 4:18the fine-tuning parameters that are
  113. 4:19known and list at the end of the book
  114. 4:22all the different physicists who accept
  115. 4:23that finetuning is a real phenomenon
  116. 4:24that needs to be explained and then they
  117. 4:26have a dialogue between them the two of
  118. 4:28them about how best to explain them the
  119. 4:30fine-tuning. Bards argues for theistic
  120. 4:32design and his supervisor uh poses other
  121. 4:38explanations. One of the most popular
  122. 4:39right now is something called a
  123. 4:40multiverse we can which we can talk
  124. 4:41about. Well, well, well, let let's let
  125. 4:43before we get to the multiverse, um, you
  126. 4:46know, let's deal with maybe a few common
  127. 4:48objections to this. Um, sometimes
  128. 4:50philosophical objections of one sort or
  129. 4:52another. Um perhaps u at one level
  130. 4:56you've got the Douglas Adams sort of uh
  131. 4:59objection which is well um life is
  132. 5:02rather like you know claiming that life
  133. 5:04is fine-tuned for the universe is a bit
  134. 5:06like saying that this um puddle is
  135. 5:09fine-tuned for the shape of the water in
  136. 5:12it. Um the point being that if you like
  137. 5:15the the the when the puddle says look
  138. 5:18look how perfectly formed I am to
  139. 5:20contain this water it's obviously just
  140. 5:22happens to be it just the water fills
  141. 5:25the available space and takes the shape
  142. 5:27it does and I think people kind of make
  143. 5:28a similar argument for life look uh you
  144. 5:31know life will find a way there there is
  145. 5:33a sort of sense in which you know um
  146. 5:36it's it's arrogant for us to claim that
  147. 5:38we we were always the intended outcome
  148. 5:41of this universe It could have been
  149. 5:42something different. Some a different
  150. 5:44sort of set of circumstances might have
  151. 5:45produced some completely different life
  152. 5:47form. Who knows? Um what what do you say
  153. 5:49to that kind of an objection?
  154. 5:50>> Right. Well, I've had exactly that an
  155. 5:53argument about exactly that objection
  156. 5:55with Lawrence Krauss in the journal
  157. 5:57Inference. And Krauss's way of putting
  158. 5:59it is very crisp. He says that um uh
  159. 6:03life didn't um life isn't possible
  160. 6:05because there was pre-existing
  161. 6:07fine-tuning. rather life evolved in
  162. 6:09accord with the fine-tuning parameters
  163. 6:11that had been pre-established. And so
  164. 6:14there's nothing special about life. Uh
  165. 6:16the fine-tuning was uh life life simply
  166. 6:20took advantage of and evolved in in in
  167. 6:24accord with the universe that was
  168. 6:26produced by the fine-tuning parameters.
  169. 6:28The problem with that is that you don't
  170. 6:31get with many of the fine-tuning
  171. 6:32parameters, you can't get stable
  172. 6:35galaxies, you can't get planetary
  173. 6:37systems, you can't get even you can't
  174. 6:41even get atoms heavier than helium. That
  175. 6:43the finetuning is necessary a necessary
  176. 6:47condition of there being any subsequent
  177. 6:49evolution at all. So the in other words,
  178. 6:52the finetuning is more primary more
  179. 6:54prior. it's it's prior to any even
  180. 6:56possible evolutionary process. So you
  181. 6:58can't say that well of course evolution
  182. 7:01uh accommodated what was was present.
  183. 7:05There wouldn't be anything
  184. 7:07uh present to make evolution possible if
  185. 7:10it weren't for the finetuning. It's it's
  186. 7:12that primary and that fundamental. Yeah,
  187. 7:15you don't you don't have chemistry full
  188. 7:16stop to be able to mess with if you
  189. 7:19don't have the finetuning to enable uh
  190. 7:21atoms and you know
  191. 7:22>> there are multiple types of finetuning.
  192. 7:24There's the finetuning of the of the
  193. 7:25laws and constants of physics, but and
  194. 7:28there's the fine-tuning of the planetary
  195. 7:30system, but then even at a very very
  196. 7:33fundamental level, there's the
  197. 7:35finetuning of the initial conditions of
  198. 7:37the universe, sometimes called the
  199. 7:38initial entropy finetuning, which is the
  200. 7:41arrangement of mass energy in the
  201. 7:43initial plasma state of the universe.
  202. 7:46Turns out that it's exquisitly finely
  203. 7:48tuned. This is the number that Roger
  204. 7:49Penrose uh the calculation that he made
  205. 7:51that is hyper exponentially fine-tuned
  206. 7:54one part and 10^ the 10 to the 123. So
  207. 7:57you you've got stuff that's set from the
  208. 7:59very beginning that's necessary to even
  209. 8:02getting basic chemistry off the ground.
  210. 8:03So uh I don't think that objection
  211. 8:05works. I think it it's fasile in a way.
  212. 8:08Sounds to me it's like the old Abraham
  213. 8:09Lincoln thing about isn't it great that
  214. 8:11the man's legs are just long enough to
  215. 8:13reach the ground? But no, that that
  216. 8:15that's not that's funny because the law
  217. 8:17of gravity is actually what we would say
  218. 8:19is responsible for that. But the law of
  219. 8:21gravity is finely tuned to make carbon
  220. 8:23and and other things are finely tuned
  221. 8:26even to make more simple molecule or
  222. 8:28atoms. So I think that's that's the I
  223. 8:31think there's a decisive response to
  224. 8:32that objection.
  225. 8:34>> Yeah. I mean that that number from
  226. 8:35Penrose one one in whatever it was 10 to
  227. 8:38the 10 to the 1 2 3 but the um I heard
  228. 8:42it said that if you I mean if you put a
  229. 8:45zero on every single particle in the
  230. 8:47universe you still wouldn't have a
  231. 8:49number big enough. I mean it's it's a
  232. 8:51extraordinarily
  233. 8:53I mean it even even to call it fine
  234. 8:56tuning doesn't do it justice really. But
  235. 8:57anyway um okay let's talk about um
  236. 9:00>> just one one more riff on that.
  237. 9:02cosmological constant you know which is
  238. 9:04the the degree of finetuning of the
  239. 9:06force that's causing the expansion of
  240. 9:07the universe that's accepted at about
  241. 9:10one part 10 to the 90 I think is an
  242. 9:12accepted u you know uh and so that would
  243. 9:15be and that if that's off then you get a
  244. 9:19recolapse of the universe and no no
  245. 9:22evolution is possible at that point if
  246. 9:24or you get a heat death okay if it's off
  247. 9:26in either direction and just to put that
  248. 9:28in perspective there's 10 to the 80th
  249. 9:31elementary particles in the universe by
  250. 9:33many estimates. So getting that the the
  251. 9:36the cosmological constant fine-tuning
  252. 9:39right would be equivalent to the odds of
  253. 9:43a blindfolded person floating in free
  254. 9:46space trying to find one marked
  255. 9:48elementary particle but having to search
  256. 9:50not just one universe not just our
  257. 9:52universe but 10 billion our size. So it
  258. 9:56the the degree of fine-tuning with some
  259. 9:58of these parameters is beyond exquisite.
  260. 10:00we just we simply don't have um
  261. 10:02modifiers and adjectives to to capture
  262. 10:05this. So,
  263. 10:06>> one one other quick objection before we
  264. 10:08get to the big one, the the multiverse.
  265. 10:10Um
  266. 10:11>> multiverse. Yeah,
  267. 10:13>> this is again a sort of a philosophical
  268. 10:14objection. Um which just says, well,
  269. 10:16look, of course it's unsurprising that
  270. 10:19we live in a fine-tuned universe because
  271. 10:20we're here to observe it. We wouldn't be
  272. 10:22observing a fine-tuned universe if it
  273. 10:24wasn't fine-tuned for us to be able to
  274. 10:26be here. Um what what do you make of
  275. 10:28that particular objection? two different
  276. 10:30versions of that. There's one thing, one
  277. 10:32called the weak anthropic principle and
  278. 10:33the strong anthropic principle. I deal
  279. 10:35with both in the book. The strong
  280. 10:37anthrop anthropic principle trades on
  281. 10:39the old uh kind of sophomore
  282. 10:42philosophical uh saw. If a tree falls in
  283. 10:45the forest and there's no one there to
  284. 10:47hear it, did it make a sound? And the
  285. 10:48idea is that that there you really
  286. 10:50couldn't have a universe unless there
  287. 10:52was someone there to observe it. And
  288. 10:54since um and there therefore the
  289. 10:56universe had to be finally tuned at the
  290. 10:58beginning. So it would evolve to produce
  291. 11:01um uh observers long after the fact. And
  292. 11:04that's the strong anthropic principle.
  293. 11:06The obvious problem with that is that if
  294. 11:08the observers are the ultimate cause of
  295. 11:10the universe and the observers are are
  296. 11:12evolving after the universe has evolved
  297. 11:14to produce them. So you've got the cause
  298. 11:16after the alleged effect that the cause
  299. 11:18explains which is I think simply
  300. 11:21irrational because cause and effect
  301. 11:23don't work that way. It's cause precedes
  302. 11:25the effect. U the weakanthanthropic
  303. 11:27principles a little more subtle. Um you
  304. 11:30may remember also that Martin Gardner
  305. 11:32the former editor of uh I think
  306. 11:34Scientific American you he talked about
  307. 11:36the all the different anthropic
  308. 11:38principles and when he got to the strong
  309. 11:40anthropic principle he he said that he
  310. 11:42he called that not the SAP for strong
  311. 11:44anthropic principle he called it the the
  312. 11:47completely ridiculous anthropic
  313. 11:48principle and uh gave it the name crap.
  314. 11:52So um the weak anthropic principle is a
  315. 11:55little more subtle. It says that that um
  316. 11:59uh yeah, we shouldn't be surprised
  317. 12:01because uh of course we live in a
  318. 12:04universe that is consistent with prior
  319. 12:07conditions that are consistent with our
  320. 12:09existence. If we didn't, we wouldn't be
  321. 12:12here. Doesn't make the observers the
  322. 12:13cause. It just says we shouldn't be
  323. 12:15surprised. Uh problem with that though
  324. 12:18is that it it still doesn't explain the
  325. 12:21origin of the fine-tuning. It explains
  326. 12:24um it it cites a necessary condition of
  327. 12:28our existence that is the fine-tuning
  328. 12:29parameters are necessary for us to exist
  329. 12:33without explaining what caused the
  330. 12:35fine-tuning parameters themselves. So
  331. 12:37there's a logical dis confusion between
  332. 12:40necessary condition and cause. Those
  333. 12:42aren't the same thing. And it also
  334. 12:44explains the wrong thing. We're not
  335. 12:45trying to explain our surprise or lack
  336. 12:48thereof of being here or even why we are
  337. 12:52here given that there is fine-tuning.
  338. 12:54Rather, we're trying to explain how the
  339. 12:56fine-tuning came to be. And there the
  340. 12:58design hypothesis provides a causal
  341. 13:00explanation. We're simply saying, "Hey,
  342. 13:03we're not surp we shouldn't be
  343. 13:04surprised." provides no such causal
  344. 13:06explanation.

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