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The Fibonacci 0.618 Scalping Strategy Explained — Transcript

by The Moving Average · 915 words · 130 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

Full transcript

  1. 0:00Fibonacci trading is basically trading
  2. 0:03the psychology of the markets. If this
  3. 0:06iPhone cost $1,000
  4. 0:09and then went on sale 60% off and you
  5. 0:13could buy it for 400, you would jump on
  6. 0:15that opportunity. The same thing happens
  7. 0:18when price is making market structure,
  8. 0:21bullish market structure, every single
  9. 0:24higher low is a discounted price where
  10. 0:26buyers are more interested in getting in
  11. 0:29and continuing that trend. So, let's
  12. 0:32jump into the charts and I'm going to
  13. 0:33show you how to trend trade like a
  14. 0:35master. Now, in yesterday's video, I
  15. 0:37showed you how to identify RSI
  16. 0:40divergences to find the tops and bottoms
  17. 0:43of these trends. But how do you actually
  18. 0:45trade these trends and get multiple
  19. 0:48positions and multiple successful trades
  20. 0:51during a trending market? Now, the
  21. 0:52easiest way to identify market structure
  22. 0:55is by using the brush tool. Mark up
  23. 0:58higher highs and higher lows. And then
  24. 1:01stop looking at your candles. You can
  25. 1:04actually hide them if you want. Now,
  26. 1:06bearish market structure is lower lows
  27. 1:09and lower highs. Every time a lower low
  28. 1:12gets broken and creates a continuation
  29. 1:15lower low, these are the ones that you
  30. 1:17want to identify as your main higher
  31. 1:19highs and higher lows, not all the noise
  32. 1:22in the middle. We're only focusing on
  33. 1:24lows, not even focusing on
  34. 1:28the higher lows. All we want to see is
  35. 1:31breaks of structure. Every single one of
  36. 1:34these pink lines is a break of the
  37. 1:36previous lower low. Now, because we know
  38. 1:40that price is making lower lows, price
  39. 1:42is continuing to break structure, we
  40. 1:45know that we can Fibonacci retracement
  41. 1:47trade successfully during this entire
  42. 1:50trend. Now, the Fibonacci retracement
  43. 1:52tool is the third icon down on your left
  44. 1:55toolbar. When you draw on your charts,
  45. 1:57it's going to look different if you've
  46. 1:58never changed the settings. I like these
  47. 2:01settings the best. Here they are, you
  48. 2:02can take a screenshot if you want to
  49. 2:04make yours look exactly like mine. Now,
  50. 2:06zooming in.
  51. 2:07When price breaks previous structure and
  52. 2:10starts retracing, you can draw your
  53. 2:13Fibonacci retracement tool from the top
  54. 2:16to the bottom of the move that broke
  55. 2:19structure. This is known as an impulse
  56. 2:22move. An impulse move breaks previous
  57. 2:25structure. And what I want you to do
  58. 2:28when you are trading this way, and you
  59. 2:29know that market structure is bearish,
  60. 2:31to get the highest risk to reward, I
  61. 2:34want you to create pending orders. Your
  62. 2:36pending orders are going to be in the
  63. 2:39Fibonacci gold zone. Keep in mind, the
  64. 2:41earlier entry, the worse your risk to
  65. 2:44reward. If you enter at a .5 Fibonacci
  66. 2:47retracement, and your take profit is at
  67. 2:49the end of the impulse move, and your
  68. 2:51stop loss is at the beginning of the
  69. 2:53impulse move, you will have a one to one
  70. 2:55risk to reward ratio. If your entry is
  71. 2:58at the .618, you will have a one to 1.6
  72. 3:01risk to reward ratio, which is much
  73. 3:03better. Sometimes your pending orders
  74. 3:06might not get tagged in, but that's
  75. 3:07okay, because this is the best way to do
  76. 3:09it, because this is the highest risk to
  77. 3:12reward. The reason why we target the
  78. 3:14bottom of the impulse move is because we
  79. 3:16do not know for sure if price will make
  80. 3:18a new lower low, but we can almost
  81. 3:20assume that price will make a double
  82. 3:22bottom if the trend is dying. So, a nice
  83. 3:25safe take profit is the bottom of that
  84. 3:28impulse move. And you will do this on
  85. 3:30every impulse move that broke the
  86. 3:33previous structure, and you will have
  87. 3:34your pending orders ready at the .618
  88. 3:37retracement. And you can see in this
  89. 3:39trend, we did not get tagged in many
  90. 3:42times along these retracements. But
  91. 3:44because we're smart and we want the best
  92. 3:46risk to reward, we were able to capture
  93. 3:48two wins and one loss out of here. So,
  94. 3:51if your risk to reward is one to 1.6,
  95. 3:53you got 3.2% for the winners and minus
  96. 3:561% for the one loser. That gives you a
  97. 3:58net profit of 2.2%. So, with or without
  98. 4:02the candles, if you draw your zigzags to
  99. 4:04the exact highs and lows of the wicks,
  100. 4:07you'll be able to see more clearly
  101. 4:08without the anxiety of every single
  102. 4:11pullback candle that you can now trade
  103. 4:14with the trend successfully, but the
  104. 4:16most important thing is being able to
  105. 4:18trade with the trend on the pullbacks to
  106. 4:21get the highest risk to reward. And if
  107. 4:23you really want to go crazy, you can
  108. 4:25actually hold these take profits until
  109. 4:28you can clearly see that the market
  110. 4:30trend is over and we are no longer
  111. 4:32making higher highs and higher lows.
  112. 4:34That's a huge, incredible risk to reward
  113. 4:37ratio. So, hopefully this video gave you
  114. 4:40a cleaner look without all the noise of
  115. 4:43how to trade with the trend with the
  116. 4:45highest probability for success, the
  117. 4:47best entry points, and the best risk to
  118. 4:50reward. Now, in tomorrow's video,
  119. 4:52because this is an entire series, I'm
  120. 4:55going to be putting all three of these
  121. 4:57trading strategies together in a single
  122. 5:00day on a low timeframe, so we can scalp
  123. 5:02the markets many times per day with the
  124. 5:05highest risk to reward ratio and the
  125. 5:08highest probability for success. We'll
  126. 5:10be putting together RSI divergences,
  127. 5:13Fibonacci retracements, as well as
  128. 5:15breakout trading strategies. Thank you
  129. 5:17so much for watching and I can't wait to
  130. 5:19see you in tomorrow's video.

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