The Feminization of Society | Louise Perry and Mary Harrington — Transcript
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- 0:00I'm seeing radical feminists use exactly
- 0:01the same rhetorical strategies to try
- 0:03and avoid facing up to the truth
- 0:05as was used [music] against them. The
- 0:07tension between proponents of feminism
- 0:09and proponents of diversity.
- 0:11Now, this is this has been a thing for
- 0:13some time.
- 0:13>> I mean, my sense is that progressives
- 0:15have panicked in all sorts of ways. But
- 0:17particularly on [music] this. And I feel
- 0:19like when you're playing these language
- 0:20games, it's probably because actually we
- 0:22strayed quite far from reality. The big
- 0:24question is whether modernity survives.
- 0:26Yeah. I'm rooting for modernity in the
- 0:28end. Like for all of for all of the
- 0:30problems with modernity. I I like the
- 0:32internet and I really like my washing
- 0:33machine.
- 0:34>> I know. I really like C-sections and
- 0:35antibiotics, okay? [laughter] So, I'm
- 0:37very much rooting for modernity. But
- 0:39even if modernity doesn't survive
- 0:45Welcome to Socrates Dialogues. I'm Mary
- 0:47Harrington and today I'm joined by
- 0:49Louise Perry, Wall Street Journal
- 0:51columnist, author of The Case Against
- 0:53the Sexual Revolution, and host of the
- 0:56fantastic podcast Maiden, Mother,
- 0:58Matriarch. Welcome, Louise. Hello.
- 1:00>> [snorts]
- 1:01>> Louise,
- 1:02we've known each other for a little
- 1:03while and in the course of our
- 1:05conversations, we've talked a lot about
- 1:07how we came to how we came to form the
- 1:10views that we now have. Now, you've
- 1:13you've talked you've talked previously
- 1:15in public about your education at SOAS,
- 1:17which is a notoriously
- 1:19progressive, I think we might say woke
- 1:22university. In was it cultural
- 1:24anthropology?
- 1:26Or something along those lines? I think
- 1:27social anthropology is what it was
- 1:29called, yeah.
- 1:29>> Um and your and your and how you cut
- 1:32your teeth professionally as a
- 1:34campaigner on violence against women.
- 1:37So, I think my first question to you is
- 1:38what radicalized you?
- 1:40What brought [snorts] you from there to
- 1:42your to your more provocative positions
- 1:45and your your your current stance on
- 1:49on politics, on violence against women,
- 1:50and on on the world as it actually is.
- 1:54Uh Uh, well, SOAS certainly helped a
- 1:56lot.
- 1:57I [laughter] think
- 1:58So, uh, SOAS is actually
- 1:59>> Please say more. a fascinating
- 2:01institution
- 2:02which, um,
- 2:04deserves to be better known. So, it was,
- 2:06uh, it
- 2:06>> Please explain what what what does SOAS
- 2:08stand for?
- 2:08>> I I shall. So, it's Well, nowadays, it
- 2:10doesn't stand for anything. It just
- 2:11stands for SOAS because Okay, so, the
- 2:14original name of the, um, university is
- 2:18the School of Oriental and African
- 2:19Studies. And it's a small college of the
- 2:21University of London. And I think it was
- 2:23founded in about 1905, something like
- 2:26that.
- 2:27And, uh,
- 2:29they it's now just called SOAS because
- 2:31they found the Oriental bit too
- 2:33problematic. And so, they just
- 2:34re-christened the university. It's very
- 2:36small. It exclusively teaches, um,
- 2:41Asian and African culture-related
- 2:43subjects, um, including law and history
- 2:47and whatever.
- 2:48Um, so, I did social anthropology.
- 2:51A really interesting thing about SOAS is
- 2:52it was founded as a finishing school for
- 2:55colonial officers. Hmm. Particularly as
- 2:57a language school for people who are
- 2:59going to go out and
- 3:00and and serve in these parts of the
- 3:02world, which is why, of course, it's
- 3:03focused on Asia and Africa and not, say,
- 3:05South America because it's it's the
- 3:07British Empire that it was concerned
- 3:08with.
- 3:09And, uh,
- 3:10I assume that there was a period where
- 3:13there was a kind of ideological changing
- 3:14of the guards.
- 3:15We had the old blokes who were still
- 3:18teaching there
- 3:20from the colonial days. And then, you
- 3:21had
- 3:22>> of Arabia personally yourself.
- 3:23>> Exactly. And then, you had the new
- 3:24people coming in. And there must have
- 3:25been a period of some decades where
- 3:27there was friction. Thompson squeaks
- 3:30offstage.
- 3:30>> Yes, I would love someone to write about
- 3:32this.
- 3:32>> [laughter]
- 3:33>> Um, when I was there, it was, um,
- 3:38uh, very woke. And actually,
- 3:42I really
- 3:44I'm really pleased that I went to SOAS
- 3:45for multiple reasons. One, I learned all
- 3:47sorts of really interesting things. I
- 3:48did loads of courses that I would never
- 3:50have been able to do anywhere else. I
- 3:52did a whole year on Japan for instance,
- 3:53you know, all these kinds of exposure to
- 3:56uh subjects which I think a more normal
- 3:59anthropology degree would have been more
- 4:01focused on historical anthropology and
- 4:02less focused on contemporary stuff. So,
- 4:04anyway, that was all good.
- 4:05It was also very useful because I had a
- 4:07absolutely intense introduction to like
- 4:12progressive ideology. Not just in terms
- 4:14of the student body, but also in terms
- 4:16of what we were asked to read. And this
- 4:17was at the period for instance when um
- 4:20transgenderism was ascendant, but not
- 4:23yet mainstream. And we were taught it
- 4:26like it was fact.
- 4:28Just straightforward. There there was
- 4:29absolutely no counter narrative offered
- 4:31at all. This is fact. But it was at a
- 4:33time where it was quite cutting edge and
- 4:35quite exciting. And most people I think
- 4:37exposed to it in that context thought
- 4:39that it was cool. Did you
- 4:41>> I thought it was Did you think it was
- 4:42>> [laughter]
- 4:44>> And actually it was very useful
- 4:46experience for me in being I think if I
- 4:48hadn't been exposed to the most extreme
- 4:50manifestation of this ideology, it would
- 4:52have taken me longer to become critical
- 4:55of it. As it was, I thought, "No, this
- 4:57is crazy." And I kept that to myself.
- 5:00And um
- 5:02I actually became friends with Julie
- 5:04Bindel when I was an undergraduate
- 5:06because she was disinvited from um
- 5:10uh speaking I think at SOAS or the
- 5:12University of London.
- 5:14And I thought this was wrong and I
- 5:15emailed her and just said as a student I
- 5:17just want to let you know that I think
- 5:18it was it was bad that you were um
- 5:20turned away. And she very kindly
- 5:22responded saying, "How nice, would you
- 5:23like to get a coffee?" And I did. And
- 5:25this was a long time ago now. So, known
- 5:27Julie ever since. So, I was like a baby
- 5:29TERF
- 5:30at a time where that really was a
- 5:32a a fringe thing to be. It was really
- 5:34the only person who was publicly TERFy
- 5:37at that point was Julie.
- 5:38Um So, this was back in the late aughts.
- 5:42Uh no, not as early as that. This was
- 5:45This would have been like 2013.
- 5:48Yeah.
- 5:48Okay, so just as the great awakening was
- 5:50beginning to Yeah, yeah, yeah. So I was
- 5:52right there in the thick of it.
- 5:54And you know the Napoleon line about
- 5:56what was happening in the world when a
- 5:57man was 20. That's what was happening in
- 5:59the world when I was 20. And I was
- 6:00really in the middle of it. And so I
- 6:01suppose
- 6:03um
- 6:04progressivism loomed large in my life.
- 6:06And honestly, I don't think I'm ever
- 6:07going to quite be able to shake that.
- 6:09Even as I think probably what is
- 6:11happening now is actually progressivism
- 6:13is really waning in its influence.
- 6:16And the big ideological
- 6:20um fissures of our time aren't quite at
- 6:23that
- 6:24aren't necessarily there anymore. There
- 6:25are other fissures which I'm sure we'll
- 6:26get on to. But I don't know if I'm ever
- 6:28going to be able to shake off the
- 6:29feeling that I've got progressives
- 6:30looking over my shoulder waiting to
- 6:31cancel me.
- 6:32>> Waiting to cancel you. Yeah, because
- 6:33that was my experience as a young woman.
- 6:34>> Yeah, for me it was that that atmosphere
- 6:36for me was the end of history, which I'm
- 6:38sure I for similar reasons I'll never
- 6:40shake.
- 6:41But that's a
- 6:42half a generation again in a way.
- 6:43>> It's like fixing your music taste.
- 6:45>> [laughter]
- 6:47>> Did that happen to me? I've terrible
- 6:49taste in music, so I've no idea.
- 6:51>> [laughter]
- 6:51>> So so that you mean you fast forward
- 6:53fast forward another
- 6:55another decade-ish, and you and I
- 6:58converged COVID time. roughly around
- 7:01circle COVID, yeah. Where where this
- 7:03sort of interesting convergence happened
- 7:05where the the sort of under
- 7:07undercurrents of turfism which had been
- 7:09bubbling for for the whole of the 2010s
- 7:12began to crystallize into people
- 7:14thinking and wanting to articulate more
- 7:16clearly
- 7:18that this is this is not this is this
- 7:19doesn't make sense. And actually, you
- 7:21know, wanting to make those make those
- 7:22arguments and make those cases more
- 7:24extensively. And so that was all that
- 7:26was all really quite a kind of ferment.
- 7:29And you your book came out I think about
- 7:31a year ahead of mine and did really
- 7:33well. And there you made the case that
- 7:35the sexual revolution in its entirety
- 7:37had been a net net negative for women.
- 7:39And you brought a whole a whole panoply
- 7:41of evidence to this.
- 7:42And and and the book the book really
- 7:45made an impact and then
- 7:47I
- 7:48you and I you and I got to know each
- 7:49other I think around that point because
- 7:50it turned out we had we had come to you
- 7:53know from really quite different quite
- 7:54different backgrounds and different
- 7:55perspectives and generations to to this
- 7:58this conclusion that no in fact liberal
- 8:00feminism has overreached and this is
- 8:02this is just this is doing nobody any
- 8:04favors and it's not just that it's not
- 8:05just the transgenderism thing there's a
- 8:07whole there's a whole panoply of other
- 8:08things as well. Yeah. Um so you know
- 8:11rather than rather than rehearse
- 8:13re-rehearsing those arguments which I
- 8:15think are sort of fairly well kind of
- 8:16percolated out into the discourse now.
- 8:19I I thought it might be fun now I since
- 8:21I've actually got some time with you so
- 8:22you know that's how it started at least
- 8:24in terms of our mutual acquaintance and
- 8:26collaboration. Um how's it going?
- 8:29What do you think? So we've had we had a
- 8:31good chunk of time for you know
- 8:33what's your sense of how things have
- 8:35developed in the period since? Um has
- 8:38there been where you know where is the
- 8:39where the backlash is coming from? Where
- 8:41have the winds been? Where how how what
- 8:43what's the what's the state of play in
- 8:45whatever whatever you want to call our
- 8:47little wave of feminism?
- 8:50When we so I think the first time we
- 8:52probably ever spoke was um on Unheard
- 8:55Lockdown TV.
- 8:57Was that it? I think
- 8:58>> so [laughter] and which would have been
- 9:00early COVID.
- 9:02>> Yeah. Yeah yeah. And
- 9:03>> the one where my cat Lincoln came or or
- 9:05the one where my toddler came and
- 9:06climbed into my lap?
- 9:07>> Yes I think so yeah and it was it was
- 9:09all yeah it was all quite um
- 9:12>> We were all very new to it at that
- 9:13point.
- 9:14>> were but and um
- 9:16I think I think that it's
- 9:18important to remember that a lot of our
- 9:22thinking at the time was really
- 9:24converging around post-liberalism That's
- 9:27right.
- 9:27>> as an intellectual movement
- 9:29um and various publications including
- 9:31Unheard which we were both writing for
- 9:32at the time.
- 9:34Um
- 9:34and
- 9:36so in a way I guess the broader question
- 9:39relates to that as well. Like how has
- 9:41how has
- 9:42because
- 9:43reactionary feminism is
- 9:46a facet of
- 9:48a larger ideological
- 9:51question.
- 9:52>> Mhm.
- 9:53And
- 9:57I'm not sure how I feel about
- 9:58post-liberalism now.
- 10:00Honestly. I remember having a
- 10:02conversation with someone at UnHerd
- 10:03about a few months into COVID um
- 10:07who said, "We don't say post-liberalism
- 10:09anymore." Right.
- 10:11>> Um or rather ask or No, I think the
- 10:13phrase was, you know, "Isn't everything
- 10:14post-liberal now?" Yeah.
- 10:16>> And I remember that really stuck in my
- 10:17mind because it was a prescient
- 10:19assessment of something which I realized
- 10:21the moment the moment he said that to
- 10:23me, I realized it was true. Yeah. I
- 10:25think that's true.
- 10:26>> COVID was the post-liberal moment and it
- 10:28turned out that post-liberalism mean
- 10:30doesn't mean what what the the the red
- 10:33Tories and the blue labors thought it
- 10:35meant. In fact, it meant something much
- 10:37much colder, much more technological.
- 10:39Mhm. And not really not really
- 10:42uh congenial to to any of the any any of
- 10:45the sort of social conservatism with a
- 10:48side order of Catholic social teaching
- 10:49Yeah. um kind of sensibilities which
- 10:53>> for. Yeah.
- 10:54>> that we were all hoping for. I remember
- 10:55the phrase that that really kind of
- 10:57resonated most pervasively in my mind
- 10:59during that whole COVID era was this is
- 11:02>> [laughter]
- 11:02>> this is the wrong post-liberalism and I
- 11:04want to see the manager. Yeah.
- 11:06Which is of course true on the left as
- 11:07well. It is. Yeah.
- 11:09The the the the left if anything might
- 11:11have abandoned liberalism much more
- 11:12vehemently. You think of someone like
- 11:14Mamdani or any of these figures who
- 11:16really embody the the new zeitgeist of
- 11:18the left. Um they're not liberals. No.
- 11:21No, no. I mean maybe in the very loosest
- 11:22sense of the term, but their their their
- 11:24deepest commitments are not to a liberal
- 11:26ideas. No, no. Um and that's also true
- 11:28on the right, you know, increasingly. I
- 11:30I mean there is a
- 11:32there are there are still lots of there
- 11:34are still classical liberals flying the
- 11:36flag.
- 11:37Um and I
- 11:39in my heart of hearts, I I I want them
- 11:42to prevail. I really do. I just feel
- 11:44quite skeptical about their capacity to
- 11:46prevail. I'm not sure if
- 11:48I I feel as if liberalism is not the
- 11:50human default by any means and therefore
- 11:52>> No, I think they the the gloomy
- 11:55conclusion which I'm coming to is that
- 11:58it was a byproduct of the printing press
- 12:00era. Yeah. And it only works in a print
- 12:02media environment.
- 12:03>> Interesting.
- 12:04Because that that it it's a there's a
- 12:06sweet spot between the broadcasting of
- 12:09information and the propagation of
- 12:10literacy which creates the the liberal
- 12:13information consuming rational civil
- 12:15discourse subjects.
- 12:16>> Yeah. But then there's the sweet spot
- 12:18where information doesn't proliferate so
- 12:20far in such brain rushing formats as to
- 12:23as to exhaust that and reverse it into
- 12:25this kind of goldfish uh
- 12:28discourse which is what we have now
- 12:30where nobody can remember what what the
- 12:31moral panic was 10 minutes ago. Yeah. Um
- 12:34and these these sort of deranged um mass
- 12:37mass emotional events seem to come sort
- 12:40of once or twice a week. Mhm. Um
- 12:42to the point I mean I've I found myself
- 12:44recently yeah, I I've become more and
- 12:46more actually conscious um
- 12:49in in responding to those sorts of
- 12:51emotional panics about about needing to
- 12:54be intentional in not not allowing them
- 12:56to consume you.
- 12:57>> Mhm.
- 12:57Um because I I mean I mean part partly
- 12:59because I mean if you do it for a living
- 13:01um if you're engaged in that and you're
- 13:03sort of people expect you to have an
- 13:04opinion on whatever the latest moral
- 13:06panic is. It's just it's it's sort of
- 13:08eats your soul after a while, I think.
- 13:10And I mean that in quite a literal way.
- 13:12Yeah. About as literally as it's
- 13:14possible to it it's I feel I feel sort
- 13:16of polluted. Yeah. If if if unless I'm
- 13:18being quite deliberate about uh
- 13:20maintaining some distance from that
- 13:22ecosystem. But that was all and I think
- 13:24perhaps what was so
- 13:26uh
- 13:27reality warping about COVID was that was
- 13:29the point where that in that way of of
- 13:32existing socially went hit critical
- 13:35mass. You know, I mean, being very
- 13:36online had been a thing before then.
- 13:38Mhm. Um but it wasn't but but COVID just
- 13:41forced everybody into it, including
- 13:43people who are not disposed, who are not
- 13:44naturally inclined towards that. Mhm. It
- 13:47was it was sort of the moment the moment
- 13:49of mass literacy but for the internet.
- 13:51Um and and everything everything which
- 13:53has just come to seem weird in politics
- 13:55since then. Mhm. Um has sort of been
- 13:57downstream of that.
- 13:59Um and I and I feel like I feel I I
- 14:01honestly I feel like we haven't really
- 14:02got a grip on what just happened yet at
- 14:04all.
- 14:04>> Yeah. So, when we say liberal, I mean,
- 14:06we could say the fourth wave stuff. Yes.
- 14:08>> where it's sort of woke and radically
- 14:11sort of post embodiment.
- 14:13>> Yes, right.
- 14:14>> So, the thing that we both took aim at
- 14:16in our books,
- 14:17>> Yeah. which is this idea of there being
- 14:20no meaningful physical or psychological
- 14:23differences between the sexes. That
- 14:25women and men are just interchangeable
- 14:26widgets.
- 14:27>> And actually you could you if you could
- 14:30make the case that that emerged in the
- 14:322010s partly as a byproduct of the fact
- 14:35that the left became very online first.
- 14:38Yeah.
- 14:38>> were actually early adopters of all of
- 14:40that entire of that that mode of
- 14:42consciousness and that mode of thinking
- 14:44about what a person is.
- 14:45>> Yeah. Such and I mean, if you if you'd
- 14:48thought if you'd become of age, your
- 14:49formative socio-cultural experience was
- 14:52mediated through Tumblr, I think it's
- 14:54it's sort of legitimate to draw the
- 14:55conclusion that in fact men and women
- 14:57are interchangeable and in fact, you
- 14:58know, we're all just sort of floating
- 15:00consciousness.
- 15:00>> yeah. Yeah, into digital space.
- 15:02>> Yeah. And that therefore it's legitimate
- 15:03to reskin your meat avatar in the same
- 15:05way as you reskin your your digital one.
- 15:08Yes, indeed. So, you know, people are
- 15:09just transposing that that metaphor
- 15:11quite sort of naturally into the real
- 15:13world. And they're then angry and
- 15:15aggrieved and sort of genuinely
- 15:16bewildered when people are like, "No,
- 15:18you actually actually you can't do that.
- 15:19It doesn't work."
- 15:20>> Yeah, there are no that's actually The
- 15:21the laws of the laws of physics and
- 15:23biology and so on just don't really work
- 15:25like that. Yeah. Um so yeah, I mean but
- 15:28but yeah, that's the thing that you and
- 15:29I were both responding to. That sort of
- 15:31very very online early adopter kind of
- 15:34body radicalism. Yeah, and of course
- 15:36that does still persist. I mean it may
- 15:37have become
- 15:40sections of it have become increasingly
- 15:42extreme and deranged.
- 15:43>> And and it's also lower status now,
- 15:45which I think is interesting.
- 15:46>> what I was going to say, which is
- 15:47actually sort of unexpected because um
- 15:49you'd think as we become as everyone
- 15:51becomes more and more online
- 15:53that mode of thinking about men and
- 15:55women would become more common. And
- 15:57actually It's not working like that at
- 15:58all.
- 15:59>> No, in the last few years. I think I
- 16:00mean there are bits now where I look
- 16:02back at my book and think that's a bit
- 16:04out of date.
- 16:06Yep. Yep. No, I being able to spend time
- 16:08offline is actually a flex now. In the
- 16:10same way as being able to have loads of
- 16:11kids is a flex. Yeah. Well, cuz of
- 16:13course we were both writing or maybe you
- 16:15a bit less so cuz you were a year later,
- 16:16but about
- 16:19before kind of the tradwife online
- 16:21phenomenon
- 16:22>> [clears throat]
- 16:22>> had really um built up a head of steam.
- 16:25Which was of course in a way doing I
- 16:27mean I think we both have critiques of
- 16:28the whole tradwife idea, right? But
- 16:31it was it was reacting against the same
- 16:33thing that we were reacting against just
- 16:35in a different medium.
- 16:36Um and yes, I think that actually the
- 16:40reaction against men and women as
- 16:42interchangeable widgets
- 16:44has come
- 16:46very aggressively Mhm. um in the last
- 16:49few years. And so if I were writing the
- 16:51book now, I think it would have to be
- 16:52quite a different book. But this is the
- 16:54nature of online culture, it moves very
- 16:55quickly.
- 16:58That's right. You
- 16:59when when you write a book, you sort of
- 17:01have to do it you have to do it at warp
- 17:02speed.
- 17:03>> Yeah.
- 17:04Um with with with an eye on the middle
- 17:05distance and sort of take a punt on
- 17:07That's one of the challenges of writing
- 17:08books.
- 17:09>> Yeah.
- 17:10>> And one of the reasons why people
- 17:12increasingly do intellectuals do
- 17:14podcasts instead of books.
- 17:16>> [laughter]
- 17:17>> It's true though. I've got I'm going
- 17:19down. I'm going down with the long-form
- 17:20ship.
- 17:21>> [laughter]
- 17:21>> Yeah.
- 17:23But for better or worse, that's I'm I've
- 17:26lashed myself to the mast and I'm going
- 17:27down with the ship.
- 17:28>> It's good for the It's good for you as a
- 17:29writer. It really is. But I find writing
- 17:32books hard. I think you find it easier
- 17:33than I do writing long
- 17:34>> Well, I mean, I'm only I'm only on book
- 17:36I'm only on the second, and I found this
- 17:37one I found it really hard to carve to
- 17:40claw out the chunks of time that you
- 17:41need. And that's actually the thing
- 17:42which I think is definitely the hardest.
- 17:45Um is is just making making the space
- 17:47cuz you if you you if you have a day
- 17:49here and a day there and a day there and
- 17:51a day there with other stuff in between.
- 17:53Um I somebody put it really nicely. They
- 17:54said there are startup costs. Like you
- 17:56need X number of hours to to to recall
- 17:59all of the moving parts that you need to
- 18:00be conjuring with to mind. And once
- 18:02you've got all the moving parts front of
- 18:04mind, then you can work really quite
- 18:05quickly. I mean, I think I I think I I
- 18:08banged out three chapters in three weeks
- 18:10once I had the had all the pieces. But
- 18:12in the previous 3 months, I'd had
- 18:13constant interruptions to point where I
- 18:15it was just well, hadn't been possible
- 18:16to do that. Yeah. Um so yeah, so there's
- 18:18there's a there's a mode of
- 18:19consciousness It's It's not even so much
- 18:21that writing books is difficult is that
- 18:22there's a mode of consciousness which is
- 18:24increasingly inaccessible because life
- 18:26is so full of interruptions. Yeah. Um
- 18:29Yeah. And perhaps perhaps actually this
- 18:30speaks to what we were saying about life
- 18:32online life life offline being a flex.
- 18:35>> Mhm. Because at the point where you
- 18:36realize that long-form thinking is a
- 18:38luxury good um is a little bit like
- 18:40realizing when you get into the airport
- 18:42that silence is a luxury. Mhm. Silence
- 18:44is a luxury good. Um And also, you know,
- 18:47be having having the the
- 18:49the the time and resort the the non- the
- 18:53non-economic resources available to be
- 18:54able to raise joyfully multiple children
- 18:57is a luxury good.
- 18:59Um And yeah, we we've reached this we in
- 19:02a sense you in a sense I think we've
- 19:04passed we've passed peak growth. Um the
- 19:06global financial crash was it with where
- 19:08where we're into degrowth now. I mean,
- 19:09that's a The another doomer conversation
- 19:11we can
- 19:12have get [laughter] on to in a minute.
- 19:13But I but I think I you know in this
- 19:15weird sort of post-economic place we're
- 19:17in where nothing really works the way
- 19:18it's supposed to anymore. You know,
- 19:20actually all of the all of the goods
- 19:22which are really valuable are
- 19:24increasingly obviously positional ones.
- 19:27You know, every everything which is
- 19:28subject to Baumol's cost disease is now
- 19:30is now rocketing in value and every
- 19:32everything else is just cheapening to
- 19:34the point of being meaningless.
- 19:36I also think that the um
- 19:41the ability to resist
- 19:44the online temptations Yes.
- 19:46>> is increasingly the
- 19:49the way of demarcating your own
- 19:52um
- 19:55Well, so put it differently. People who
- 19:57can resist, who have the personality or
- 19:59psychological traits necessary to resist
- 20:01the worst of the online world are in an
- 20:03a uniquely advantageous position. That's
- 20:06right.
- 20:06>> And the traits
- 20:07>> alpha is being able to unplug from the
- 20:08Skinner machine. Yeah. And I mean it and
- 20:11it applies to other things as well.
- 20:13>> brutal scissor. Yeah. Yeah. Cuz you
- 20:15know, in the way in the way that weed is
- 20:17a scissor, but actually it's not that
- 20:18hard to avoid being a stoner. Really,
- 20:20it's not that hard. Yeah. Um and you
- 20:22know, there are but but but avoiding
- 20:24being a an iPhone stoner is so many
- 20:28orders of magnitude harder. Yeah,
- 20:29because typically you do have to use
- 20:31these devices. So you can't go cold
- 20:32turkey. And you and when you pick it up
- 20:34the moment you pick it up, it's like
- 20:35ooh. Yeah.
- 20:36>> half an hour you've just lost. Yeah.
- 20:38>> Yeah. Yeah. And also you've let the
- 20:39vampire in
- 20:40because the you're immediately sucked
- 20:42into whatever whatever this week's
- 20:44emotional panic is. Yeah. Whatever this
- 20:46this 10 minutes is emotional panic is
- 20:47and that's consumed your entire inner
- 20:49life. Yeah. To the point where is it
- 20:52becomes increasingly difficult to think
- 20:55um to think. Yeah. Or you know, to to
- 20:57compose your own thoughts.
- 20:59We used to people It's already the case
- 21:01that
- 21:02one's ability to resist other areas of
- 21:04limbic capitalism has been a a status
- 21:06marker for a while.
- 21:07>> Yes. So, you know, we're filming in this
- 21:09in the city of London and I was walking
- 21:11around at rush hour this morning and uh
- 21:13noticing that everyone is slim.
- 21:15Yep. Everyone is well-groomed. Everyone
- 21:17is clearly going to the gym. Every This
- 21:18is This is a key way in which you can
- 21:20identify the fact that people are rich
- 21:22cuz they work they work out here. And
- 21:23the moment they realized that uh Ozempic
- 21:26and the other the other GLP uh drugs
- 21:29were so effective, they immediately
- 21:30hiked the price so it goes back to being
- 21:31a class signal again.
- 21:32>> Right, but it's still the case that
- 21:34Ozempic can make you skinny fat but it
- 21:35can't make you look buff, which is like
- 21:38every man who works in the city around
- 21:39here is also going to the very many
- 21:41fancy gyms that you walk past. It's part
- 21:42of the culture. And it's table it's
- 21:44table stakes. Yeah, and it's a way of
- 21:46indicating your own um self-control.
- 21:48That I think is increasingly true also
- 21:51of your digital self-control. Yeah. But
- 21:54physically manifesting it is, you know,
- 21:56a way that can display your status is
- 21:58maybe more nascent. I'm not sure how you
- 22:00would indicate that.
- 22:02I I don't I mean, you and I have talked
- 22:03before about digital modesty. Yeah.
- 22:05>> Probably.
- 22:06Um and the I mean, there's a there's a
- 22:08sense in which you sort of if when when
- 22:10you see somebody doing something
- 22:12digitally immodest, you know it you know
- 22:14it when you see it. It's sort of
- 22:15difficult to
- 22:16uh it's difficult to define precisely,
- 22:18but you know it when somebody's
- 22:19oversharing, when somebody's
- 22:21somebody's posting photos of themselves
- 22:24that that you just think, don't do that.
- 22:26Um or you're going to regret that later.
- 22:28You might not regret it now and you're
- 22:29going to and I can see that you see the
- 22:31likes coming in and you see the the
- 22:32dopamine that they're obviously enjoying
- 22:34and then you think, you know, you'll
- 22:35you'll probably going to regret this
- 22:36later. Yeah. Even if you don't realize
- 22:38for a number of years why you're going
- 22:40to regret it. So, two conjectures about
- 22:42why fourth-wave feminism might have
- 22:43peaked a bit.
- 22:45Um one is that
- 22:48uh people just got bored and it was no
- 22:50longer vogish and they moved on to
- 22:51different things. Primarily, they moved
- 22:52on to race.
- 22:54Yep. Cuz really post-2020 that became
- 22:56the thing and Jezebel feminism was just
- 22:58sort of abandoned and and the women now
- 23:01who probably previously would have been
- 23:03going on like slum walks or
- 23:04something 10 years ago and now trailing
- 23:07ice around. Okay, so to some extent it
- 23:10might just be that that group of
- 23:11activists have pivoted their attention.
- 23:13It's also possible that actually the
- 23:15idea of men and women as interchangeable
- 23:18widgets has become less attractive in an
- 23:21era when people are so excessively
- 23:23online to the extent that it makes them
- 23:24sick. Mhm. And I think maybe we I think
- 23:28maybe there's a longing for embodiment,
- 23:31maybe.
- 23:32Among
- 23:33um the
- 23:35sort of people who engage in this kind
- 23:37of political discourse.
- 23:39Those are both just hypotheses. They
- 23:40might both be right as well. So so much
- 23:43for fourth-wave the the the Jezebel
- 23:45girls.
- 23:46>> Yeah. What about the rest of the gender
- 23:48discourse? I'm thinking particularly of
- 23:50the backlash, the noises the noises that
- 23:53are now coming from inside the
- 23:54right-wing house. Mhm.
- 23:55Um which is a whole other, you know,
- 23:58quite sensitive and quite volatile
- 24:00territory. Yeah. I mean, you know, to to
- 24:02put it bluntly, I feel I feel the urge
- 24:04to punch right these days much more than
- 24:06I used to.
- 24:06>> It's cuz we're centrists.
- 24:08>> [laughter]
- 24:08>> We've always We've always said this.
- 24:09We're squishy centrists. We've always
- 24:11insisted to each other that we're
- 24:12centrists. It's true, we actually are.
- 24:13>> We actually are. Yeah. It's just the
- 24:15people on the left tend not to realize
- 24:16that because they don't know how far the
- 24:17right goes. That's right. They They have
- 24:19no idea what what right-wing actually
- 24:20looks like.
- 24:21>> Yes. And they also don't understand
- 24:22There's this outward homogeneity bias
- 24:24where they they don't see that the right
- 24:26is divided. So yes, we're in the middle.
- 24:30Yeah, I mean well
- 24:31I I I suppose I'm thinking about
- 24:34phenomena, you know, such as repeal the
- 24:3619th
- 24:37with the that meme in the United States.
- 24:39And there's a I mean, I'm not going to
- 24:41I'm not going to point or name or but
- 24:44there's a there's a theme that I see
- 24:47sloshing around you know, the the sort
- 24:49of internet anon's where which seem it's
- 24:52a sort of fantasy I suppose that
- 24:54everything would be all right again
- 24:56across every area you care to name if
- 24:59only we could just push women out of
- 25:00public life. Yeah. And and it seems to
- 25:02be sincerely believed. Firstly, that
- 25:04that men have been systematically
- 25:06bullied, excluded, marginalized, and
- 25:09told that they're rubbish in every
- 25:10possible way, which is, you know, at
- 25:12least to a substantial extent true in
- 25:14some ways. Yeah. Um like that's a
- 25:16reality, you know. However,
- 25:18um I I I wonder if I I wonder if the
- 25:21solution I mean I wonder if the solution
- 25:23doesn't rather put the cart before the
- 25:24horse.
- 25:25I don't know what what I mean I mean
- 25:26what do you what do you make of that
- 25:28discourse?
- 25:29>> One of the questions it begs is why men
- 25:30have been allowed that to happen.
- 25:32You you would know you I asked that on
- 25:35the I I asked that on Twitter once and
- 25:37you would not I mean people went
- 25:38bananas. Yeah.
- 25:40>> Yeah. One explanation which is plausible
- 25:42is that men in positions of authority
- 25:45allowed this to happen because they um
- 25:48either wanted to get laid or just wanted
- 25:50to be chivalrous, that they did it to
- 25:51please women, not appreciating that if
- 25:54they let so many women into positions of
- 25:56authority that it would change the
- 25:57culture and so that the men were just
- 25:59sort of
- 26:00not thinking with their brains. Kind of.
- 26:03That's one hypothesis, but also I I feel
- 26:05like one of the counterfactuals which
- 26:07doesn't get which doesn't get
- 26:09reckoned with often enough is that
- 26:11actually a lot of the like the the
- 26:13managerial phenomena Mhm. which which
- 26:16are routinely pointed at as evidence of
- 26:19feminization um began to emerge and to
- 26:22be critiqued. I mean, you know, James
- 26:23Burnham was critiquing managerialism a
- 26:25long time ago, you know, shortly after
- 26:27the Second World War. There were not
- 26:28very many women in public life short
- 26:30just after the Second World War. Yeah. I
- 26:32mean it was with women had only been
- 26:33enfranchised at that point for about two
- 26:35decades in the United Kingdom at least.
- 26:37So, the idea the idea that for example,
- 26:40the culture of academia was already
- 26:41rampantly rampantly sort of overrun by
- 26:44HR ladies is just for the birds. It's
- 26:46just not true. Yeah. And yet here is
- 26:48here is this well-worked-out critique
- 26:50of, you know, technocracy and
- 26:51managerialism and a lot of those sort of
- 26:54social architectures of the kind whose
- 26:57existence is now blamed on the the
- 27:00the conflict styles and cultural
- 27:03preferences of women.
- 27:05Um and I I wonder if I I wonder if
- 27:07blaming it I it I wonder if blaming it
- 27:09on women is isn't sort of putting it
- 27:11putting the cart before the horse
- 27:12somewhat in the sense that you know
- 27:15having having embraced a sort of
- 27:16managerialist mode of mode of existence
- 27:19at least for information workers. Um you
- 27:22know sort of upper echelon
- 27:24um office job people. It wasn't it
- 27:27wasn't at least as much that work just
- 27:29became much more congenial for women and
- 27:31much more a much more sort of
- 27:34livable place. You know and then and
- 27:35then of course you you could you could
- 27:37you could argue that subsequently you
- 27:38know recursive feedback loops exist
- 27:40which bring us out in a place where
- 27:42actually some of the more some of the
- 27:44more direct critiques of quote unquote
- 27:46feminization are true.
- 27:48Um but it but I I'm not sure that it
- 27:49started there.
- 27:51I mean the argument that you've made
- 27:52which I I I think is so
- 27:55beautifully true which is that Twitter
- 27:58in particular but online discourse in
- 27:59general makes everyone behave feminine
- 28:01in a feminine way because it forecloses
- 28:04the possibility of violence. Yeah.
- 28:05>> So it may be is that that modernity
- 28:08feminizes everybody. Yes. Um and that is
- 28:12what gives the appearance of a feminized
- 28:14>> Yeah I you're right actually. I've never
- 28:15really thought about it like that before
- 28:17but the I mean my that the sort of the
- 28:18crude characterization of social media
- 28:20and sort of Twitter in particular but
- 28:22social media in general as incentivizing
- 28:24endless talking and foreclosing the
- 28:25possibility of violence. You know shoves
- 28:27shoves all of all the interactions which
- 28:29are mediated through that environment
- 28:31into a much more much more feminine
- 28:33coded mode. But I mean you you could you
- 28:35could say that you know in incentivizing
- 28:38endless talk and foreclosing physical
- 28:40violence is really just the
- 28:41characteristic of information
- 28:43information type office jobs full stop.
- 28:45And also of the total state.
- 28:48>> Yes, using or in McIntyre's term, but
- 28:50the
- 28:52like
- 28:54police forces have the have the effect
- 28:56of feminizing men,
- 28:58for instance,
- 28:59because they take away one task which is
- 29:01traditionally
- 29:03uh falls on men. So, you think the state
- 29:05monopoly on violence is just feminizing
- 29:07Yeah. as such. Yeah. I'm not saying it's
- 29:09bad. I'm just saying that that's that's
- 29:11how it is. I think that it really it
- 29:12forces people to It certainly forces
- 29:14people to be aggressive to one another
- 29:15in a different way.
- 29:17Um
- 29:18and that's part of what probably I mean
- 29:21also there's these wider changes to
- 29:22economy which have left
- 29:25a portion of men
- 29:27um somewhat obsolete economically,
- 29:30which is just
- 29:32no one designed it that way, but it
- 29:33turns out that it's easier to
- 29:35mechanize
- 29:37uh heating your home and offshoring
- 29:40manufacturing and things like that than
- 29:42it is to mechanize care work. Hm. We
- 29:45don't have care robots. They're not
- 29:47really. That's just never That hasn't
- 29:48worked. So, there's this whole People
- 29:50keep trying, but no, obviously it
- 29:51doesn't work.
- 29:51>> Yeah, so pink-collar work remains as as
- 29:55dominant as it ever was, whereas
- 29:56blue-collar work hasn't, and that's just
- 29:59a quirk of robotics,
- 30:01um which no one designed, but that's
- 30:03that is part of what's contributing to
- 30:04the feeling of male disposability.
- 30:07Um I mean so I don't so so so Helen
- 30:09Andrews' thesis on
- 30:11feminization of public life,
- 30:13>> [clears throat]
- 30:13>> I don't
- 30:15I I don't really disagree with her.
- 30:18I mean her thesis is actually very her
- 30:20argument is is actually very mod-
- 30:22modest. Like by comparison with some of
- 30:25the people who've picked it up and run
- 30:26with it. Yes. You know, cuz there are
- 30:28there I mean they're always
- 30:29>> say the same of our argument.
- 30:30>> [laughter]
- 30:31>> That's absolutely true.
- 30:32Right, exactly. You know, somebody makes
- 30:34a modest and carefully thought through
- 30:35and well-evidenced argument, and then
- 30:36and then the nutters in the comments
- 30:37will do whatever they do. Yeah. Um
- 30:40and and and Helen's Helen's argument is
- 30:42really only that it would we could that
- 30:45it would be better to take the thumb off
- 30:47the scales. Yeah.
- 30:49>> I think that that really is the entirety
- 30:50of her contribution.
- 30:51>> her only policy out output.
- 30:53>> I which I think is the entirety of her
- 30:55contribution. I mean, I think I I
- 30:57support that. I think taking taking the
- 30:59thumb off the scales
- 31:01Um I'm
- 31:02I suppose you can have a secondary
- 31:03argument if you want about whether it's
- 31:04possible to take or whether, you know,
- 31:06it's just a question of whose thumb.
- 31:08Um that that I mean, that's a very
- 31:09post-liberal argument in in itself,
- 31:12isn't it? In the sort of in the
- 31:13expensive sense of post-liberal. That it
- 31:15just invites, you know, that there is no
- 31:17there is no neutral. In fact, it's just
- 31:19a question of whose thumb is on the
- 31:20scales.
- 31:21There are, of course, more ambitious
- 31:22things that one could do to try and
- 31:24return to
- 31:27a previous status quo, like
- 31:29disenfranchising women. I mean, that's
- 31:30the that's the big thing that's always
- 31:31gets muted.
- 31:32>> But you see, I I honestly don't think it
- 31:34would work. And and the reason I don't
- 31:36think it would work is if you go back
- 31:38and you look at the history of the
- 31:39enfranchisement of women.
- 31:41In at least in the United Kingdom, I'm
- 31:42not so familiar with the with the the
- 31:44history of the vote women's vote in
- 31:46other countries. But in in England, the
- 31:49argument against the enfranchisement of
- 31:51women as it was advanced by I mean, they
- 31:52were they were obviously misogynists who
- 31:54were just oh, no, we mustn't let women
- 31:55vote because they're silly creatures.
- 31:57But but the the
- 31:59the the female argument against the
- 32:02enfranchisement of women of women, and
- 32:04there was one. You know, they were there
- 32:05was a it was a large a large and
- 32:07well-organized and well-resourced
- 32:08campaign was that women already have
- 32:11enough power because they run civil
- 32:12society. I mean, that's just that's a
- 32:14reductive paraphrase of it. But they the
- 32:16argument was that one, women are not
- 32:18going to go and join the army and die
- 32:20for the country, so therefore they
- 32:21shouldn't be involved in decisions about
- 32:23military or imperial matters. And two,
- 32:26women already women already have
- 32:28political power because they they run
- 32:30all the civil society organizations, you
- 32:32know, they're basically the they're the
- 32:34they're the circulatory system for the
- 32:35church, for local social groups, and so
- 32:38on. And And a lot of the a lot of the
- 32:40anti-suffragists were very pro women
- 32:43being able to stand in local elections
- 32:44for the same reason. So, it was it was a
- 32:46coherent argument, and it wasn't the one
- 32:48that subsequent history has has said it
- 32:50was. Mhm. But, um the all of their
- 32:54arguments were basically abolished um or
- 32:56rendered obsolete by a political change,
- 32:59which came at the end of the First World
- 33:01War and really of the over the period of
- 33:02the two World Wars in England, where all
- 33:05of those all of those
- 33:07organs of social reform and social
- 33:10disciplining and um all all of the the
- 33:12social infrastructural stuff, which had
- 33:14been the province of the church ladies
- 33:16in the 19th and early 20th century, were
- 33:18nationalized in the form of the welfare
- 33:19state. And at that point, it simply
- 33:21didn't make sense to leave women
- 33:23disenfranchised when they were still
- 33:25needed to run all of those systems that
- 33:27they'd previously run on a voluntary
- 33:29basis. You know, I mean, anti-suffragist
- 33:32women um who'd been prominent, I forget
- 33:34the names, but they they were women who
- 33:36were prominent in the anti-suffrage
- 33:37campaign, who who then when when their
- 33:40social reform organizations were
- 33:41nationalized transitioned seamlessly
- 33:43into local government.
- 33:45Um yeah, and they And so, the reason the
- 33:47reason the argument for against women's
- 33:49suffrage went away was because they
- 33:50nationalized all of the things that
- 33:51women had previously been doing. Mhm. Um
- 33:53and and and and And I suppose if you
- 33:55bring that argument up to the present
- 33:57day and you think, "Well, we still have
- 33:58all of those infrastructures. They're
- 33:59all still nationalized. They're all
- 34:00still basically run by the modern-day
- 34:02equivalent of church ladies."
- 34:04>> Yeah. Um under those under those
- 34:06circumstances, you could remove the vote
- 34:08from women, but what difference do you
- 34:09think that would make to the amount of
- 34:11social and cultural power those women
- 34:13actually have?
- 34:14Um all the all all the enfranchisement
- 34:16of women really did was acknowledge the
- 34:18reality of the the of the political
- 34:20power of a certain subset of influential
- 34:23middle-class women.
- 34:25And there's a tendency, I think, to
- 34:27exaggerate how big uh
- 34:30how
- 34:31how differently men and women actually
- 34:32vote. That's right. Like, if you look at
- 34:35how, um,
- 34:37I mean, the the the thing the online
- 34:39right gets so energized about is the
- 34:42difference between, um,
- 34:44it's really white men and and white
- 34:46women in America and how they vote. And
- 34:48it's like, you look at the actual, you
- 34:49know, it's like this is this tiny little
- 34:51area which is considered to be so
- 34:52vexatious.
- 34:54White women and white men vote very
- 34:55similarly. Like, race has a much bigger
- 34:57impact on voting than does sex. But,
- 34:59also on all sorts of issues like,
- 35:02uh, [gasps] I mean, immigration would be
- 35:04a very vexing one. So, the idea the the
- 35:06idea you'll commonly hear is that women
- 35:09just absolutely love open borders. Women
- 35:10do not love open borders. You look at
- 35:12polling on what normal women think and
- 35:13they are roughly in line with men in
- 35:15that they hate open borders. Again, it's
- 35:17like you never like Depends very much on
- 35:19But, depends very much on which women
- 35:20you ask in
- 35:21>> Well, exactly. I think it probably is
- 35:22the case that at the sort of far tail,
- 35:25the far left tail politically, you get
- 35:27more women who are really agitating on
- 35:30some of these including on open borders.
- 35:32That you have more prominent activists
- 35:33who skew female and on the right
- 35:36prominent activists probably skew male.
- 35:38Um, I think that's true. But, those
- 35:39people aren't going to go away if you
- 35:40disenfranchise them. No.
- 35:43No. Exactly. What difference is it going
- 35:44to make? Yeah.
- 35:45>> [laughter]
- 35:46>> Oh, while we're while we're on the
- 35:47subject of women and feminism, uh, this
- 35:50actually segues me beautifully to the
- 35:53next the next topic I wanted to look at
- 35:55in our review of, uh, RX Fem.
- 35:58>> [laughter]
- 36:00>> What's doing this? Which is the really
- 36:02interesting and challenging tension
- 36:05which, really feels more urgent and
- 36:08present by the day, between, uh,
- 36:12at campaigners for women's rights and
- 36:14against violence violence perpetrated
- 36:17against women. Uh, or or the the tension
- 36:19between between proponents of feminism
- 36:21and proponents of diversity. Mhm. Now,
- 36:24this is this has been a thing for some
- 36:25time. I mean, it's I remember there were
- 36:27enormous bun fights on Mumsnet back in
- 36:29the early 2010s. You I forget exactly
- 36:31which year it was when the
- 36:34the the Cologne New Year's Eve sex
- 36:36attacks happened. Where a group a group
- 36:38of It was a long time ago. It was It was
- 36:40either It was either the late '00s or
- 36:42the early '10s. And it was It was a very
- 36:44shocking incident. At least it was very
- 36:45shocking at the time. It's sort of
- 36:46weirdly routine in Britain today, it
- 36:48feels.
- 36:49But at that time there had there had
- 36:51recently been a very large influx of of
- 36:54people [snorts] from from Syria and the
- 36:56Middle East into the country.
- 36:58And on on one New Year's Eve a group of
- 37:01women a number of women had experienced
- 37:02this very shocking
- 37:04uh
- 37:05moment of being surrounded surrounded by
- 37:07men who groped and harassed them and you
- 37:10know, left them very frightened and and
- 37:11feeling as though
- 37:13you know, so something something really
- 37:14grave was about to happen to them. It
- 37:16was It was sort of group-based sex
- 37:17attack of a kind which had was hitherto,
- 37:19I think, been pretty much completely
- 37:20unknown in in Western Europe. And I I
- 37:23believe it has a name in I believe it
- 37:25has a name too in Arabic.
- 37:27>> I think. I don't know how to I don't
- 37:28know how to pronounce it.
- 37:30Yeah, it's a mode of yeah. Well, it's a
- 37:32sort of a sort of a sort of a swarm
- 37:33swarming upon and sexually attacking a
- 37:37lone isolated woman who can't defend
- 37:38herself.
- 37:39>> Yeah.
- 37:39>> thing. It's a It's a famously happened
- 37:41to that American journalist in Cologne.
- 37:43That's right. And this is there's
- 37:44actually a name for it in some in some
- 37:46of these cultures.
- 37:47And but it was very shocking. And I
- 37:48remember the bun fight on Mumsnet about
- 37:51how how women should respond to that.
- 37:53You know, this is obviously a community
- 37:55of women who who who take seriously I
- 37:57mean, the the the feminism boards of
- 37:58Mumsnet are famously you know, the the
- 38:01incubator the the the pipeline into
- 38:03gender critical feminism and have been
- 38:05for
- 38:06have been for a long time.
- 38:07>> Those ladies are really scary, too.
- 38:09Yeah, I mean, these are these are I
- 38:11don't participate in these message
- 38:12boards.
- 38:13>> you know, don't don't mess with the moms
- 38:14of Middle England. Absolutely. And they
- 38:16are rightly so. And also but also what's
- 38:18what's interesting about the about
- 38:19Mumsnet and the moms of Middle England
- 38:21is at the very centrist. Um they're
- 38:22genuinely not ideological.
- 38:25Yeah, their concerns are you know, can I
- 38:27raise my children safely? You know, cost
- 38:29of living.
- 38:30Um you know,
- 38:31it's sort of no no normal normal person
- 38:33stuff. You know, and and rightly so.
- 38:35This is the
- 38:36This is the sort of thing you sort of
- 38:37you feel like it we ought to be free to
- 38:40be concerned about. Yeah, they're not
- 38:41they're not party political really.
- 38:44And but there was this enormous quarrel
- 38:45fight about about the the the New Year's
- 38:48Eve sex attacks in Cologne.
- 38:50Um and and since then that that theme
- 38:53has recurred on an
- 38:55ever more insistent basis. You know, can
- 38:57we
- 38:58how do we pass the question of women's
- 39:00safety in relation to the very different
- 39:03norms concerning
- 39:06you know, sexual behavior around women
- 39:07which are common in other countries and
- 39:09as as these collide with the greater
- 39:11mobility of people and the you know, the
- 39:13influx into into Western countries of
- 39:15people from these very different
- 39:16cultures.
- 39:17Um [snorts] and I mean, you know, that's
- 39:18that's a it's something that I mean, you
- 39:21you've you've taken you've posted and
- 39:23written about the about the grooming
- 39:25gangs on a few occasions recently and
- 39:27it's something which I found myself
- 39:28especially as my daughter gets older
- 39:30increasingly um thinking about. Yeah.
- 39:33And as we increase with mounting horror.
- 39:35I I I I mean, how how do you how do we
- 39:38how do we move forward
- 39:40with with these questions? You You
- 39:42notice it's a it's an increasingly
- 39:44pertinent division among TERFs. It is.
- 39:46Uh it has been for a little while, but I
- 39:48think it's that's becoming more and more
- 39:49insistent because um
- 39:53And in many ways actually where we're at
- 39:55right now with the arguments among women
- 39:59on this
- 40:00it reminds me so much of about 2013 in
- 40:04in terms of the gender the
- 40:05transgenderism. Say more.
- 40:07In that there are
- 40:09there are you will you still have to
- 40:12tread very carefully. You could get in a
- 40:14lot of trouble for saying the wrong
- 40:15thing. There are certain figures who get
- 40:18hung out to dry as you know that who get
- 40:20Julie Bindel's but Posie Parker would be
- 40:23the person really who's been Julie
- 40:24Bindel's on this question within
- 40:25feminist circles.
- 40:26>> care.
- 40:27No. They really doesn't care. They are
- 40:28yeah, it's admirably unconcerned.
- 40:30Um
- 40:32and it also I think depends on some
- 40:34claims about human nature which are just
- 40:35false, which is obviously false.
- 40:38Yeah. And and and demands all sorts of
- 40:41like I think that the I'm I'm I'm I'm
- 40:43straying into controver- controversial
- 40:44waters here. But this is a this is a
- 40:46debate that is constantly being had and
- 40:47I think it's important.
- 40:49The the debate that you have over civic
- 40:51nationalism often rests on the versus I
- 40:54think nationalism often rests on the
- 40:56same premises as the debate over what
- 40:59defines a woman.
- 41:01Mhm. So that people will say so talking
- 41:03about an ethnic group, okay, which is
- 41:05more slippery than a a sex a sex class,
- 41:08right? The distinctions between men and
- 41:10women are you would think very clear and
- 41:12yet we did have a there was a whole
- 41:13thing there where people didn't accept
- 41:15this, but you'd have the same arguments
- 41:16around um oh, but what about this edge
- 41:18case? Oh, but what about someone who's
- 41:20had surgery? Oh, but what about someone
- 41:22you know? Like what even is a woman? Is
- 41:23it someone who has ovaries? Is it
- 41:24someone but I don't have ovaries cuz I
- 41:26had them removed. You have this like
- 41:27insane level of
- 41:29popular philosophizing about what
- 41:31exactly defines a woman. You get exactly
- 41:33the same thing over ethnicity. Now, you
- 41:35say oh, but you know, isn't
- 41:37isn't everyone
- 41:38related to everyone? Oh, but what about
- 41:40the the Danes? Oh, but what about the
- 41:42the cal- whatever like yes, there are
- 41:45fuzzy edges. Of course there are fuzzy
- 41:46edges, but these things exist. I mean
- 41:48the answer I tend to give to people is
- 41:50like okay, sure, but if you put me and
- 41:53my daughter on if you plonk us down on a
- 41:56beach in say southern Italy and you
- 41:57asked any five-year-old Italian kid on
- 42:00that beach to point out the two English,
- 42:02you know, the English mother and her
- 42:03daughter, all of them would point at us.
- 42:05And it wouldn't be because you were
- 42:05sipping tea. No, and it wouldn't be it
- 42:07[laughter] wouldn't be although you
- 42:08probably would be it wouldn't be because
- 42:09you were sipping tea and playing
- 42:10croquet. Yes.
- 42:12Yeah. Yeah, I mean it's it is the exact
- 42:14the same mode of like insane
- 42:18biological denialism.
- 42:20And look, you don't have to say, you can
- 42:22still hold like a certainly a soft civic
- 42:24nationalist position, absolutely, and
- 42:26say, "Well, British is a legal category
- 42:28and people can be incorporated into it
- 42:29in various ways." But that doesn't mean
- 42:31that the ethnic group doesn't exist. And
- 42:33that's what you're constantly hearing.
- 42:35Like to the point where you're not there
- 42:36isn't actually a word that you're
- 42:37allowed to use to describe
- 42:40people indigenous to a particular
- 42:41European country.
- 42:43In exactly the same way that for so long
- 42:45you weren't allowed to like what what
- 42:47you're allowed to say cis women and
- 42:48trans men.
- 42:50Or maybe you're allowed to say people
- 42:51assigned female at birth. But you the
- 42:53only things you were allowed to say were
- 42:55cis people.
- 42:55>> to describe yourself as cis English? I
- 42:57have I did write some while ago that
- 42:59maybe that's the term that we should
- 43:00use, cis English or cis British or
- 43:01whatever. Because
- 43:04that that's what that's to me what
- 43:06recalls so much that particular period
- 43:08of
- 43:09political conflict is this is this
- 43:11funniness over language.
- 43:14And that people will be jumped on for
- 43:17for slipping up slightly. And I feel
- 43:18like when you're playing these language
- 43:20games, it's probably because actually we
- 43:21strayed quite far from reality. But it
- 43:23also strikes me that it it's possible to
- 43:25have it's possible to have some of these
- 43:27conversations about women's safety and
- 43:30um
- 43:31uh
- 43:31border management without with without
- 43:34needing to litigate in any great detail
- 43:37the ontology of a female.
- 43:39>> Yes. You would hope so. Yeah, I mean you
- 43:41would think so. And yes, it evolves
- 43:42constantly.
- 43:42>> Yeah. Which is interesting in itself.
- 43:45The And it it I mean
- 43:49I mean my sense is that progressives
- 43:50have panicked
- 43:52in all sorts of ways.
- 43:54But particularly on this. Like the
- 43:56Rotherham is
- 43:58like
- 43:59it's I'm not the first to say this is
- 44:01it's it's the Chernobyl, right? It's
- 44:03this catastrophic
- 44:05disaster which highlights all of the
- 44:08problems with the regime, and it just
- 44:12it you can't make it go away. It just
- 44:15rumbles on and on.
- 44:16>> the
- 44:17The theme on that that I found
- 44:19particularly interesting that's been
- 44:21emerging more recently as people are
- 44:24just relentlessly insistently pursuing
- 44:28um
- 44:30a more a more granular assessment of the
- 44:32truth
- 44:33is is this this emergent theme that that
- 44:36no, in fact, the parallels with the
- 44:38Epstein story are
- 44:40much richer than we thought in the sense
- 44:42that this is just the this is the tip of
- 44:44the iceberg. And in fact, what we're
- 44:46looking at is a network of criminality
- 44:48roughly analogous to the Sicilian Mafia.
- 44:50Um and in fact, yeah, what we're looking
- 44:53at is organized crime in which the girls
- 44:55were in a sense, you know, they were
- 44:56they were the Ferrero Rocher. Right, you
- 44:58mean you're thinking of Epstein, right?
- 44:59And and I'm also thinking of the
- 45:00grooming gangs. Yes. Um that that that
- 45:02pattern is present in both cases. Yes.
- 45:04Um and this is
- 45:05And in this context, um I think I think
- 45:08this is a particular this is an
- 45:09incredibly challenging moment for
- 45:10left-wing feminists. Yeah. Yeah, because
- 45:12it in a sense, the two halves of your
- 45:14truth are coming inexorably apart in a
- 45:17way which is genuinely painful, I think.
- 45:19>> Yeah. Yeah, yeah, yeah. Um and and it's
- 45:21you know, I'm I'm I'm watching I'm
- 45:23watching the the the the bloodshed
- 45:25there.
- 45:26Um and I'm watching radical feminists
- 45:27break in both directions in a way which
- 45:29is really interesting. And I'm seeing I
- 45:31mean this is why I recalled transing I
- 45:33I'm seeing radical feminists use exactly
- 45:35the same rhetorical strategies to try
- 45:36and avoid facing up to the truth Hm. as
- 45:39was used against them. Hm. You know, 10
- 45:41years ago.
- 45:43That's really extraordinary.
- 45:44Fascinating. Really extraordinary. Yeah,
- 45:45just quibbling about statistics,
- 45:47quibbling about definitions, like yeah,
- 45:48just playing games rather than being
- 45:49like, come on.
- 45:51>> [laughter]
- 45:51>> Like I mean, it seems yeah, for a
- 45:54Yeah.
- 45:55So, I mean, what if you were if you were
- 45:57to speculate, what what how do you think
- 45:59how do you think this will cash out? I
- 46:00mean, may is there anything we can learn
- 46:02from the way turfism cashed out Hm. Um
- 46:05or has cashed so so far about turf?
- 46:08There was there was eventually a
- 46:09respectability cascade. Yeah. With
- 46:12turfism.
- 46:13Um and the people who had previously
- 46:17condemned Julie Bindel stopped
- 46:18condemning Julie Bindel and never
- 46:20apologized. [laughter]
- 46:23>> [gasps]
- 46:24>> That was pretty much what happened.
- 46:25>> were sorry. Yeah, exactly. So I I guess
- 46:27we can expect roughly the same thing to
- 46:28happen. Except I think actually this is
- 46:30going to be more
- 46:32This is much more serious and much
- 46:33worse. Hm. As a conflict.
- 46:35>> How do you think that's going to affect
- 46:38the equally
- 46:40ambivalent relationship between
- 46:42Christianity and feminism?
- 46:45Um I mean, this is this I mean, this is
- 46:47an argument which has been going on for
- 46:48for centuries. So, you know, I doubt
- 46:50we'll I doubt we're going to solve it
- 46:51today. But but I mean, you you made the
- 46:54argument very powerfully, I thought. You
- 46:56wrote a you wrote a superb piece a while
- 46:57back on on on repaganization where you
- 47:01explored how the enabling the enabling
- 47:04cultural and moral foundations upon
- 47:06which feminism was even thinkable were
- 47:09could not could not have come into being
- 47:10without the prior existence of
- 47:12Christianity. And even if feminism even
- 47:14if sub some strands of later feminism
- 47:17later broke away and sort of rebelled
- 47:18against their their their ans- their
- 47:21sort of ans- moral ancestors in the in
- 47:23the form of, you know, the Christian
- 47:24insistence on human dignity and on the
- 47:26the equality on on the equality of men
- 47:28and women in human dignity and on
- 47:30chastity as an obligation for both sexes
- 47:32rather than just just for one etc. and
- 47:34so on.
- 47:35Um
- 47:38How And yet, um we find ourselves in a
- 47:41in a position now where the the liberal
- 47:43feminists on one side reject reject
- 47:45Christian social teaching as being too
- 47:47reactionary. Yeah. Um and and Christian
- 47:51and and there's there's a there's a
- 47:52there's a subset of right-wing
- 47:53Christians on the other side who reject
- 47:55the women's movement as being So so in a
- 47:57sense it in a it feels as though the
- 47:59breakup has been
- 48:02irreparable
- 48:04and it did and left these two sides
- 48:06radically polarized. And and yet it
- 48:08seems to me that in fact there's
- 48:11with the exception of you and perhaps me
- 48:14and under small a small group of
- 48:16indomitable Catholic feminists who
- 48:18insist that you know no in fact these
- 48:20two things really have something in
- 48:21common with one another. You know
- 48:22everybody else is sort of yelling at
- 48:23each other from the same kind of binary
- 48:26uh
- 48:27and you know like like the two like the
- 48:29boys and the girls at a disco nobody
- 48:30wants to talk to each other. Yeah.
- 48:32Well, I think it's certainly true that
- 48:34the the fully blank slate view of
- 48:37feminism
- 48:39the widgets view
- 48:42I don't think you can really
- 48:44I mean that's difficult to
- 48:46that's difficult to sustain full stop
- 48:48because it so often encounters
- 48:51reality in a way that's destabilizing.
- 48:53But I think that's also very difficult
- 48:55to square with
- 48:57um Christianity
- 49:00not least because
- 49:02Genesis has a fair bit to say about men
- 49:04and women being different from one
- 49:05another. I mean that that the just the
- 49:06foundational ideas are
- 49:08incompatible.
- 49:08>> difficult to do Christianity without any
- 49:10account of teleology as well which is
- 49:12really what's going on in that blank
- 49:13slate is. Yeah. You know so so we we can
- 49:16be we can be people without teleology
- 49:18which seems
- 49:19I mean it seems odd to me but Yeah. it's
- 49:21it's genuinely held. Yeah. I think that
- 49:24the
- 49:26I mean something that we haven't even
- 49:27talked about yet is
- 49:28the the effect of fertility on how
- 49:31that's
- 49:32how society is changing is likely to
- 49:34change based on differential fertility
- 49:36rates.
- 49:37>> but no no let's let's dig into that now
- 49:38cuz this is the subject of your next
- 49:40book isn't it?
- 49:40>> It is. So I was
- 49:42So on this question of the conflict
- 49:44between
- 49:46Christians who are anti-feminist and
- 49:48like there's a very big difference
- 49:50between religious and non-religious
- 49:51people in terms of fertility. A very big
- 49:53difference. And the And increasingly
- 49:55there's a partisan fertility gap as
- 49:56well, which didn't exist 50 years ago.
- 49:59But now Republicans have um
- 50:02like a whole extra child, I want to say.
- 50:04I can't remember the exact numbers, but
- 50:05they have a lot more children than
- 50:07Democrats.
- 50:07>> mirrored in the UK as well?
- 50:09>> No one as far as I know has really
- 50:10broken it down by
- 50:12>> Maybe the sample size isn't big enough
- 50:13for that. Well, you could you could do
- 50:15it. It's just that the the availability
- 50:17of the granular data is quite difficult.
- 50:18I mean, I can tell you that like
- 50:19Brighton has the lowest fertility rates
- 50:21in the country. Like make of that what
- 50:23you will, but um I would not be at all
- 50:25surprised if that also is true in other
- 50:28parts of the world. I think the
- 50:30Financial Times actually did looked into
- 50:32the numbers and found this was
- 50:33consistent across the West, the the
- 50:34partisan fertility gap. And the
- 50:36religious fertility gap. I'm not
- 50:38entirely sure to what extent those are
- 50:40the same thing.
- 50:42But the point is that um
- 50:45the people who hold to the most radical
- 50:48progressive views and atheist views are
- 50:50not reproducing themselves.
- 50:52>> deleting themselves from the gene pool.
- 50:53>> Yeah, and it may that doesn't
- 50:55necessarily
- 50:57spell the end of the ideology because
- 51:00they might succeed in converting other
- 51:01people's children.
- 51:03But
- 51:04uh
- 51:05religiosity and to some extent cuz one's
- 51:08political attitudes are based in large
- 51:12part on personality. And person other
- 51:14things like conscientiousness, openness
- 51:16to experience, etc. And those things are
- 51:18heritable. So we should expect the
- 51:22people who are having children right now
- 51:24to produce people who are more
- 51:27ideologically like themselves in the
- 51:28next generation and the generation after
- 51:30that. And actually the numbers that can
- 51:31be quite stunning. Like the difference
- 51:33between having a TFR, a total fertility
- 51:35rate of like 0.7, which I would I would
- 51:39guess is probably what we're looking at
- 51:40in terms of like uh
- 51:42secular progressives in the West, and
- 51:45having a TFR of two is enormous Yeah. in
- 51:48terms of two generations hence. Yeah,
- 51:51exactly. These are exponential effects.
- 51:53Um
- 51:54And so
- 51:55I feel like the I I I almost feel like
- 52:01progressive ideas are not really even
- 52:05though as we discussed at the very
- 52:06beginning I'll always feel like they're
- 52:07looking over my shoulder.
- 52:09They're on the way out probably and
- 52:12actually the big contest is going to be
- 52:14within conservative religious spaces.
- 52:17And questions like questions that
- 52:20Catholic feminists
- 52:22Is it possible Is it possible to be a
- 52:23Christian and also a feminist for
- 52:25example?
- 52:25>> Yeah, that's going to be actually the
- 52:26really big question I'd say of the next
- 52:28century.
- 52:28>> Yeah. Yeah. That's interesting. Cuz I
- 52:30mean this has been Yeah,
- 52:32this has been
- 52:33increasing in salience as as a struggle
- 52:36sort of internally to the right. This
- 52:37might already be why we're seeing rises
- 52:39in homophobia in Western societies. It
- 52:41could be although although others have
- 52:42conjectured that that's that's also
- 52:44related to Yeah. To to to both rates and
- 52:47also also to migration. Yes. Yes. Sorry,
- 52:49that's what I meant by demographics. in
- 52:50demographics in in with migration from
- 52:53Yes, it's I'm sure it's both.
- 52:54>> thesis about uh but but
- 52:56before before we get on to
- 52:58but perhaps we shouldn't just get my my
- 53:00really radioactive thesis. Um
- 53:03But I but I want to talk about your much
- 53:05less radioactive but also incredibly
- 53:07unpopular thesis on why this [laughter]
- 53:09is
- 53:11Oh, my most anti-aliens.
- 53:13>> yes. I want I want to
- 53:15All right. And I'll I'll I'll Okay, I'll
- 53:16tell the story of the
- 53:17>> Everybody Everybody hates Everybody
- 53:18hates it.
- 53:19>> gets so mad. Everyone
- 53:21>> [laughter]
- 53:21>> Everyone in the comments will be saying
- 53:23no, actually it's because of my own
- 53:24personal political hobby [laughter]
- 53:26horse. That's actually definitely the
- 53:27explanation.
- 53:28>> is the only is the sole cause. So, when
- 53:30I first started writing this book about
- 53:31So, I'm writing this book about birth
- 53:32rate. I I
- 53:34the
- 53:35the title originally was the case for
- 53:37having kids. The working title now in my
- 53:39mind
- 53:41is
- 53:42the future belongs to those who show up.
- 53:43I'm I'm more interested actually in how
- 53:46I think this is going to change the
- 53:47world. How what predictions we might be
- 53:49able to plausibly make about how the
- 53:50world is going to change in the coming
- 53:51decades and century-ish.
- 53:54Um
- 53:55than in necessarily trying to persuade I
- 54:00I don't know I
- 54:01Panda's are notoriously difficult to
- 54:03persuade to get it on. Yeah. I mean
- 54:05having said that I always I often get
- 54:07and I'm so gratified always to get them.
- 54:09I get emails from women saying and I
- 54:10know you do as well saying I decided to
- 54:12have a baby partly because I read you or
- 54:14I listened to you and I was on the fence
- 54:15and then I thought no actually
- 54:16motherhood is a good thing. So
- 54:18that we we have these small ripples,
- 54:21these small beautiful ripples. But um in
- 54:23general I think trying to just tell
- 54:25people to have more children is not
- 54:28really a goer.
- 54:28>> Showing them showing people charts and
- 54:30graphs doesn't do anything.
- 54:31>> No. Indeed. Indeed. Um imagine deciding
- 54:34to get it on just because because you
- 54:36you looked at the graph the line was
- 54:38going in the wrong direction. I mean
- 54:39certainly doing it for like the sake of
- 54:41the nation. I think the people ought to
- 54:42realize that there is no welfare state
- 54:44waiting for them when they're old.
- 54:45>> Although actually in the 19th century at
- 54:48the height of maternalism which was the
- 54:51the the social cultural movement which
- 54:53which spawned the anti-suffragist but
- 54:55also spawned the church ladies who then
- 54:56became the welfare state.
- 54:57>> Yeah. Angel of the house kind of era. It
- 54:59was explicitly
- 55:01um
- 55:02frequent it was a it was a familiar
- 55:04trope that having children for the sake
- 55:06of the race was a good what what was a
- 55:09noble honorable and proper thing for for
- 55:11all women to do. Should we try putting
- 55:13that on a post to Mary Stopes and
- 55:14[laughter] see how it goes? But this is
- 55:15you know you know this is to to be clear
- 55:17I'm not this is this is not an argument
- 55:18which I I I am making. This was This
- 55:21This was a completely normal thing to
- 55:23say. For a for a 19th century church
- 55:25lady.
- 55:25>> In Australia during the population
- 55:26parish period. And they would have used
- 55:28that phrase. This is not my phrase. This
- 55:30is a phrase that you you see repeatedly
- 55:31for the good of the race. Yes. Yes. And
- 55:33it's And it's astonishing actually when
- 55:35you think about how how radically the
- 55:37the the discourse has come has come full
- 55:40180 from from the way the way it was
- 55:42completely normal to talk in the 19th
- 55:44century. And you know, for for better or
- 55:45for worse, and you
- 55:47you know, there are there there are pros
- 55:48and cons of yeah. Sure, but our era is
- 55:50the outlier in general. Um, the line in
- 55:53Australia is
- 55:55was uh have one for mom, one for dad,
- 55:57one for Australia to encourage people to
- 55:59have three children. When did when did
- 56:01people abandon that?
- 56:03I would guess the 1970s. I don't know
- 56:04when exactly that slogan was in in
- 56:07train, but probably about the same time
- 56:08that the While Australia policy was
- 56:10abandoned, but anyway, that's another
- 56:12conversation. Um,
- 56:14so the my thesis for the book, I started
- 56:16off thinking my political hobby horse
- 56:19surely is what explains why people
- 56:21aren't having children. And surely you
- 56:23know, you know, that
- 56:24it must be to do with, you know, lacking
- 56:27people not valuing motherhood enough and
- 56:31all the various economic trends that
- 56:33we've discussed, you know, being not
- 56:35being conducive to child bearing and so
- 56:37on. Um,
- 56:39the problem with trying to explain why
- 56:40fertility is falling everywhere is it is
- 56:42happening everywhere.
- 56:44And it's even happening in places like
- 56:45sub-Saharan Africa. They still have high
- 56:47birth rates, but they're falling fast.
- 56:49And they're probably actually lower than
- 56:50a lot of countries make out. There are
- 56:52there are there incentives to inflate
- 56:54births in some of these countries.
- 56:56Um,
- 56:57but any explanation for why this is
- 56:59happening has to be able to account for
- 57:02everywhere from Japan to Iran
- 57:07to Chile to you know, and
- 57:10trying to blame any particular thing
- 57:12like trying to blame liberalism or
- 57:14feminism or anything. That that that
- 57:15just doesn't work. Um, you might be able
- 57:17to blame So like it's possible that like
- 57:20smartphones or something like sometimes
- 57:21people say the internet is too
- 57:23distracting or or gives um
- 57:26scrambles people's status signals in a
- 57:28way that discourages fertility. The
- 57:31problem with that is that uh Britain and
- 57:33America and other really rich countries
- 57:35fell below the replacement threshold in
- 57:37the '70s, so long before the internet
- 57:39came along. You might say that it's an
- 57:41accelerant,
- 57:42you know, it's possible.
- 57:44Um
- 57:45So, I I have been
- 57:48reading as much as I can around this
- 57:50topic and trying trying to work out like
- 57:52what the puzzle is. The book primarily
- 57:53isn't about what the puzzle is, but it
- 57:55is still the big question that everyone
- 57:56wants to know like what is causing this.
- 57:58And if you don't know what's causing it,
- 57:59you certainly can't rectify it. Um which
- 58:01is why discovering the truth is
- 58:02important.
- 58:04Um I think that it's um So, for most of
- 58:09human history, child mortality rates are
- 58:12very high.
- 58:13Our species norm for child mortality
- 58:15seems to be somewhere in the 30% to 40%
- 58:17kind of range. It goes up in certain
- 58:20periods, including in um
- 58:22immediately post-industrial urban
- 58:24settings, but um it is just high. It's
- 58:28high among hunter-gatherers as well.
- 58:30And um this is one of these sort of
- 58:32horrifying things that no one ever wants
- 58:33to really think about too carefully
- 58:34because it's just so upsetting that
- 58:35you'd rather not think about it. And I
- 58:37think people People are vaguely aware
- 58:38that this is true, but they sort of push
- 58:39it out of out of their minds. Um
- 58:42The Industrial Revolution led to a
- 58:45plummeting in child mortality rates
- 58:47down from a third ish to less than 1%
- 58:51even in poor very poor parts of the
- 58:52world have remarkably low child
- 58:55mortality rates by historical standards
- 58:57because they have access to western
- 59:00medical tech and sanitation and and so
- 59:03on.
- 59:04Which were all innovations that came out
- 59:06of
- 59:07um Industrial Revolution that began in
- 59:09Britain. So, really Britain, you know,
- 59:10gave the world this this phenomenon
- 59:12for good now.
- 59:13Um
- 59:14But child mortality is like the great
- 59:16good that's come out, you know, the fact
- 59:18that people can expect their children to
- 59:19survive to adulthood is like the it's
- 59:22the one thing about modernity which no
- 59:24one wants to lose. It's the most
- 59:25valuable thing about modernity. We can
- 59:27hate the internet, we can hate air
- 59:28travel, all these things, but this is
- 59:30like no one wants to let go of this.
- 59:32>> I like the internet.
- 59:33>> [laughter]
- 59:34>> I like air travel as well, anyway. I
- 59:35actually love modernity. Anyway, um I
- 59:38hate airports, though. I
- 59:39>> Anyway. I fear that
- 59:42um we know that what happened when um
- 59:45child mortality initially fell from
- 59:47about 1800
- 59:49was it the countries in which it fell
- 59:51initially saw massive booms in
- 59:53population because their fertility rates
- 59:55remained high. So, in Britain, for
- 59:58instance there was this enormous
- 1:00:00population explosion in the 19th century
- 1:00:02and a lot of people went overseas. And
- 1:00:04that's why the uh Anglo diaspora remains
- 1:00:07one of the largest ethnic groups in the
- 1:00:09world because these people went to
- 1:00:10populate America and Canada and
- 1:00:12Australia and everywhere else.
- 1:00:13Um and it's because they had very high
- 1:00:16fertility rates and very low child
- 1:00:17mortality rates and they were able to to
- 1:00:19just explode, okay? But after a while,
- 1:00:22fertility rates drop.
- 1:00:25After mortality rates have dropped it
- 1:00:27takes maybe a couple of generations.
- 1:00:29It's fairly gradual. It's also somewhat
- 1:00:32mimetic. So, people respond to what
- 1:00:34other people are doing around them. So,
- 1:00:35if other people having lots of kids,
- 1:00:36you're more likely to. If other people
- 1:00:38having fewer kids, you're more likely
- 1:00:39to. Cuz obviously no one is looking
- 1:00:40almost no one is looking at the charts
- 1:00:42on child mortality and being like, "Hmm,
- 1:00:44what are the chances that my children
- 1:00:45are going to survive childhood?" People
- 1:00:47make these decisions based on um
- 1:00:50social settings.
- 1:00:52And um
- 1:00:53it seems that people cottoned on to the
- 1:00:55fact that um
- 1:00:58well, it seems that in the ancestral
- 1:01:00environment, when we have very high
- 1:01:01child mortality, people have a natural
- 1:01:03instinct towards wanting to have more
- 1:01:06children
- 1:01:07with the expectation that quite a large
- 1:01:09number of them are going to die.
- 1:01:11And the standard hunter-gatherer woman
- 1:01:12is to have four children and two of them
- 1:01:14survive to adulthood, and that's just
- 1:01:15been true for all of all of human
- 1:01:17history up until 5 minutes ago, really.
- 1:01:19It seems that that instinct to have
- 1:01:22children um is subdued
- 1:01:25in conditions of very low child
- 1:01:27mortality.
- 1:01:28And you see this happening really
- 1:01:30consistently everywhere. You have child
- 1:01:32mortality prompt plummet, there's a lag.
- 1:01:34Lag gap does vary a bit, but there's a
- 1:01:36lag and then fertility goes down as
- 1:01:39well. The fertility doesn't just go down
- 1:01:41to 2.1. Fertility keeps going down. And
- 1:01:44now it goes down to places like South
- 1:01:46Korea, it's down at 0.7, those kind of
- 1:01:47numbers. Like really low.
- 1:01:49And um
- 1:01:52there's other pieces of evidence to
- 1:01:53indicate this in this this um link as
- 1:01:56well. Like if people if if couples have
- 1:01:58a child who dies, they
- 1:02:01have a very strong urge to have another
- 1:02:02child, try to have another child soon
- 1:02:03afterwards. If people know children who
- 1:02:06there's been some interesting studies on
- 1:02:08like going to funerals and how many
- 1:02:10funerals you go to, does that affect how
- 1:02:12much you want to have a child? Um this
- 1:02:15this is flimsier but interesting. There
- 1:02:17is also some research showing that um if
- 1:02:19you remind people of death in a research
- 1:02:22setting um they uh say they want to have
- 1:02:25more children and words relating to
- 1:02:26children spring more easily to mind than
- 1:02:28they if they haven't been primed with
- 1:02:30mortality salience.
- 1:02:32There's lots of experimental data which
- 1:02:33I I I lay out in the book. Um
- 1:02:36the unfortunate fact though is basically
- 1:02:38this, in conditions of very low child
- 1:02:39mortality
- 1:02:41um
- 1:02:42a lot of people seem to lose the desire
- 1:02:43to reproduce. And when they also have
- 1:02:45access to contraception
- 1:02:48which makes it very easy for them to
- 1:02:49still have sex but not to reproduce
- 1:02:51uh that's what happens.
- 1:02:53And I'm guessing that what is going to I
- 1:02:55mean this is where we get speculative.
- 1:02:57Um I'm guessing that what what could
- 1:03:00happen
- 1:03:02>> [sighs]
- 1:03:03>> was I think there are two models that we
- 1:03:05might see emerge from this. One is the
- 1:03:07cyclical model, the the Spengler model.
- 1:03:10Mhm. So civilization contracts, there's
- 1:03:13population decline Chaos emerges and
- 1:03:16mortality
- 1:03:17>> of Rome, exactly. And then we have a
- 1:03:19dark age, child mortality rises again,
- 1:03:21and people revert to the human norm.
- 1:03:24Another possibility is more like a J
- 1:03:26curve
- 1:03:28where the people right now who for some
- 1:03:31reason are resistant to this
- 1:03:33and who for some reason still want to
- 1:03:34have We both know people who have big
- 1:03:36families despite the fact that they're
- 1:03:37living in conditions where that's very
- 1:03:39unusual. Um the people who are still
- 1:03:41having four, five, six, seven children
- 1:03:44um
- 1:03:45that they there's something about them
- 1:03:48something genetic, something cultural,
- 1:03:50both
- 1:03:51which preserves the desire to have
- 1:03:54children in a time when no one nobody
- 1:03:56else is really doing so. So, the open
- 1:03:57question for those of us who like
- 1:03:59airports and the internet is whether
- 1:04:01whether that's going to be enough people
- 1:04:03>> whether that's going to be enough people
- 1:04:04to keep all of that ticking over or
- 1:04:05whether that's more is a sufficiently
- 1:04:08systemic uh
- 1:04:10exercise
- 1:04:11uh but requires
- 1:04:13uh enough of us to be involved
- 1:04:15>> and capable, but
- 1:04:16>> Yeah.
- 1:04:16that it that is not in fact workable.
- 1:04:18Yeah. I mean Elon's working very hard,
- 1:04:20you know, all on his lonesome to try and
- 1:04:23uh have his own progeny reproduce
- 1:04:24modernity indefinitely. I I but But he's
- 1:04:27not the norm, obviously, among people
- 1:04:29who are highly fertile at the moment.
- 1:04:33Given all of this and the possible you
- 1:04:35know several possible apocalypses that
- 1:04:37that we've just arrived at. People get
- 1:04:39mad about this. Yes. No, no, no. I'm I'm
- 1:04:41not I mean that it feels it feels very
- 1:04:43it feels very plausible to me. I mean
- 1:04:45I'm generally I'm generally sort of you
- 1:04:47know astride the bomb with my hat in one
- 1:04:48hand like the guy at the end of a Dr.
- 1:04:50Strangelove. I should say as well I I
- 1:04:52haven't originated this idea. Actually,
- 1:04:54if you go back and look at the
- 1:04:55demographic literature from the latter
- 1:04:58half of the 20th century, people
- 1:04:59completely knew this already. They knew
- 1:05:01that there was already a verse just that
- 1:05:02nobody wants to know because everyone's
- 1:05:03got their hobbyhorse. Yes, and also that
- 1:05:05that that this was at the period of the
- 1:05:07population bombing a source of anxiety.
- 1:05:09So, So you read demographers saying is
- 1:05:12actually don't worry, it's safe for us
- 1:05:15to reduce child mortality in third world
- 1:05:17countries because actually it will
- 1:05:19inspire them to have fewer children. So
- 1:05:21we can inoculate these babies without
- 1:05:23having to worry about population
- 1:05:25explosion. That's what academics were
- 1:05:26concerned with at the time. But of
- 1:05:28course you can read that now from a
- 1:05:30completely different vantage point and
- 1:05:31and and yeah, and reach different
- 1:05:33conclusions. But the but the link
- 1:05:35between the two phenomena I think is is
- 1:05:37is quite well established.
- 1:05:38>> So given all of these apocalypses,
- 1:05:40what's your source of hope?
- 1:05:43Um what what when when you when you
- 1:05:44think about the future and you think
- 1:05:46about
- 1:05:47um about your own kids and you think
- 1:05:48about our prospects for and then the the
- 1:05:51the likely futures that that you and I
- 1:05:54will be spending the rest of our lives
- 1:05:55living through. What what what gives you
- 1:05:57hope? What what what's your source of
- 1:05:58optimism?
- 1:06:00Uh humanity has seen far far worse than
- 1:06:01this.
- 1:06:02I mean genuinely though that like
- 1:06:04>> qualified note of optimism.
- 1:06:06>> I mean it's true though. I mean
- 1:06:08certainly in terms of this is the only
- 1:06:10period
- 1:06:11I ever as far as I'm aware where the
- 1:06:13reason we've seen massive population
- 1:06:15contraction is because of people just
- 1:06:16failing to reproduce rather than war,
- 1:06:18famine, pestilence, etc. Like if you're
- 1:06:20going to live through a period of
- 1:06:21population contraction, this is a very
- 1:06:23easy ride.
- 1:06:24>> [laughter]
- 1:06:24>> You know, really it is.
- 1:06:26Um and I So far. Yeah, and I So So I
- 1:06:29mean the big question
- 1:06:31The big question is whether modernity
- 1:06:33survives. Yeah. I'm rooting for
- 1:06:35modernity in the end. Like for all of
- 1:06:37for all of the problems with it.
- 1:06:39>> And I I like the internet and I really
- 1:06:40like my washing machine.
- 1:06:41>> I know you really like C-sections and
- 1:06:43antibiotics. Okay. So I'm very much
- 1:06:45rooting for modernity.
- 1:06:48But even if modernity doesn't survive,
- 1:06:52everyone that we're descended from
- 1:06:55lived good lives without modernity.
- 1:06:58Like lived lives which were much harder
- 1:06:59than ours and which were that contain
- 1:07:02contained a lot more grief
- 1:07:05and pain than ours.
- 1:07:08But you can't say that those lives
- 1:07:11aren't worth living just because I mean
- 1:07:13if you if you were to say that then you
- 1:07:14would have to just obliterate all of
- 1:07:15human history up until 5 minutes ago.
- 1:07:17>> So so your source of hope is in fact the
- 1:07:19human spirit and the human capacity to
- 1:07:21to for for nobility but more or less
- 1:07:23regardless of circumstances.
- 1:07:26Yeah.
- 1:07:27And I don't I mean it's if the Spengler
- 1:07:28model is true, the cyclical model, we
- 1:07:30just you know return to dark ages and
- 1:07:31back and back again like well
- 1:07:34it wouldn't be the first time, okay? So
- 1:07:35[laughter]
- 1:07:36um if the J I mean the J curve is maybe
- 1:07:38more frightening in a way because the
- 1:07:40thing that frightens me is the
- 1:07:41possibility of us obliterating
- 1:07:43ourselves.
- 1:07:44And that's where modernity becomes a
- 1:07:46very difficult
- 1:07:47uh bet because of course if we are going
- 1:07:49to obliterate ourselves, it will be
- 1:07:51through tech.
- 1:07:54I'm I'm cautiously I'm cautiously
- 1:07:56optimistic on that front but I Yeah.
- 1:07:58I I mean it comes down to Christian
- 1:08:00faith in the end. I asked Ross Douthat
- 1:08:01this question we were talking about AI
- 1:08:03and I said do you I asked Ross do you do
- 1:08:05you think
- 1:08:07in the end that
- 1:08:09the super intelligence wiping us all out
- 1:08:11like God wouldn't let God wouldn't let
- 1:08:13that happen. Like it's just not that's
- 1:08:15not going to be how and and he said yeah
- 1:08:17basically in the end like
- 1:08:18I can't really think that that's going
- 1:08:20to happen because I don't think that's
- 1:08:21how God would end the story.
- 1:08:23And I think
- 1:08:25I think I agree with him. That's a
- 1:08:27perfect note to wrap up on. [laughter]
- 1:08:30I think I agree with him, too. Yeah.
- 1:08:32>> I I would like I would like to think
- 1:08:34that that's not how God would end the
- 1:08:35story.
- 1:08:35>> Yeah. And and that's a that's a
- 1:08:37beautiful place to pause.
- 1:08:39>> [laughter]
- 1:08:40>> Thank you so much, Louise, for joining
- 1:08:42me. It's been wonderful. And thank you
- 1:08:44so much you all for listening. And this
- 1:08:46has been Socrates in the City, Socrates
- 1:08:48Dialogues.
- 1:08:49Um I hope you'll join us again next
- 1:08:51time.
- 1:08:53You might be thinking that's not Eric
- 1:08:55Metaxas.
- 1:08:57My name's Mary Harrington. I'm a writer
- 1:09:00and a past contributor to Socrates in
- 1:09:02the City. I'm thrilled to be joining
- 1:09:04Socrates in the City as the first
- 1:09:06inaugural Socrates contributor.
- 1:09:09Throughout 2026, I'll be hosting many
- 1:09:11fascinating conversations on life, God,
- 1:09:14and other small topics.
- 1:09:17Be sure to subscribe to get
- 1:09:18notifications whenever a new episode
- 1:09:20from Eric or myself drops. And thank you
- 1:09:23for tuning in.
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