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The FED Just Did the UNTHINKABLE (Global Monetary Reset Starts Now) — Transcript

by Felix & Friends (Goat Academy) · 4,687 words · 657 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

Full transcript

  1. 0:00The Federal Reserve just did something
  2. 0:01it has never done before in its 113year
  3. 0:05history. It opened its emergency dollar
  4. 0:08facility, the one built for American
  5. 0:11banks to a foreign government. Japan can
  6. 0:15now walk up to a window at the Federal
  7. 0:18Reserve, hand over a bunch of US
  8. 0:20treasuries, and walk out with fresh
  9. 0:23American cash. No questions, no selling,
  10. 0:26no crashing the precious American bond
  11. 0:29market on the way out. And Treasury
  12. 0:31Secretary Bessant didn't just allow it.
  13. 0:34He said he wants to make it bigger. Now,
  14. 0:37if you watched my last video, and even
  15. 0:38if you didn't, but I made one about the
  16. 0:40yen intervention that more than half a
  17. 0:42million of you have already watched, you
  18. 0:44know the machine, you know the carry
  19. 0:47trade in the trillion dollars that
  20. 0:48vanished in 40 minutes on Friday. And
  21. 0:51this is the next chapter. This is
  22. 0:53America's answer. And when you
  23. 0:55understand what they just built, you
  24. 0:58understand why it changes how your money
  25. 1:00moves from now on and how money moves
  26. 1:03around the world and why it matters for
  27. 1:05two very specific stocks. I'm going to
  28. 1:08buy today and I'm going to tell you what
  29. 1:10those are. Both of them just broke out
  30. 1:12above the exact lines that Wall Street
  31. 1:14watches most closely. And one of them is
  32. 1:17well, the market's literally going to
  33. 1:18pay you to own it. So you stick around
  34. 1:20to the end because the second one is a
  35. 1:23special situation trade. The kind of
  36. 1:25trade that I used to find when I was an
  37. 1:26investment banker and the kind of trade
  38. 1:29that most people on YouTube will never
  39. 1:31ever show you. Now before I go any
  40. 1:32further because this is kind of
  41. 1:34information dense. I get it. This is not
  42. 1:36what we normally talk about, right?
  43. 1:38There'll be charts, there'll be numbers,
  44. 1:39there'll be feds and all sorts of
  45. 1:42things. I've put together a full free
  46. 1:45companion research report for you.
  47. 1:47covers everything in this video and much
  48. 1:49more. And you can download it for free
  49. 1:51at felixfriends.org/fedreset.
  50. 1:53felixfriends.org/fedreset.
  51. 1:55The link is down below. Completely free.
  52. 1:57Zero obligations. If you're wondering
  53. 1:59who the heck I am, my name is Felix. I'm
  54. 2:01an exinvestment banker. Sleepy chap.
  55. 2:03Down here is Winston. And then he
  56. 2:05obviously did all the hard work and
  57. 2:06research around this one. Um, we're also
  58. 2:08the founders of the Goat Academy where
  59. 2:10my retired Wall Street mentors have
  60. 2:12taught tens of thousands of regular
  61. 2:14investors the same institutional
  62. 2:16strategies that are normally only taught
  63. 2:18behind closed doors on those trading
  64. 2:20floors. The very same rules I'm applying
  65. 2:22to those two stocks I'm going to show
  66. 2:23you today. So, what does it mean that
  67. 2:25the Fed just opened the vault door to a
  68. 2:27foreign government? Very unusual. Well,
  69. 2:30before I show you the machine and before
  70. 2:32I show you the two stocks, I I need to
  71. 2:34say something that made me make this
  72. 2:35video because it actually makes me kind
  73. 2:38of angry what's going on. You see what
  74. 2:40happens every time the Fed does
  75. 2:42something like this. Every single time
  76. 2:44the professionals, my friends in the
  77. 2:46hedge funds, institutional desks and so
  78. 2:48on, the people who already know how to
  79. 2:50read the signals, they read the signals,
  80. 2:52they position right, they make money,
  81. 2:55right? That's their job. But the
  82. 2:57beginners, most of you, the regular
  83. 2:59people, well, they call them exit
  84. 3:01liquidity. They're the ones the smart
  85. 3:03money sells into when the trade is done.
  86. 3:07And
  87. 3:08that is the design of the system. And
  88. 3:11it's the most expensive version of that
  89. 3:13story that keeps me up at night. It's
  90. 3:15the it's the person and maybe that's you
  91. 3:17or someone you know who spent you know
  92. 3:1920 years being careful saving doing the
  93. 3:22right thing and then one week one event
  94. 3:24they didn't understand it knocks them
  95. 3:26out and they quit the market forever and
  96. 3:29that's the single most expensive mistake
  97. 3:31a person can make with their money. Not
  98. 3:33a bad stock pick, not a rough quarter.
  99. 3:35It's actually quitting. So here is what
  100. 3:38I did about it. For the first time, I'm
  101. 3:41running a free live session built purely
  102. 3:44for beginners. No jargon, you know, I'm
  103. 3:46not going to be showing off anything
  104. 3:48fancy. I'm just going to show you the
  105. 3:50real skills from the ground up. And I'm
  106. 3:53going to show you how to read where the
  107. 3:55big money is actually moving, how to
  108. 3:57spot a stock that's breaking out above
  109. 4:00Wall Street lines, and how you can do
  110. 4:02that on your own so you don't have to
  111. 4:03watch my bloody videos all the time. And
  112. 4:06honestly, if you can do that without
  113. 4:08depending on anybody else, then it's
  114. 4:10very very different to me handing you
  115. 4:13two stocks today. I'm not saying you
  116. 4:14should buy them, but I'm going to walk
  117. 4:16you through it because if you can't read
  118. 4:19the money flow yourself, you would be
  119. 4:21dependent on the next guy with a
  120. 4:23microphone with it for the rest of your
  121. 4:25life. And I don't want that for you. So,
  122. 4:28it's this Saturday. It's at 9:00 a.m.
  123. 4:30Eastern time. I think it's 1:00 a.m.
  124. 4:32formerly Great Britain time. And it's
  125. 4:34completely free. No credit card, no
  126. 4:36catch. Just go to fasttrack
  127. 4:38forbbeginners.com. Link is in the
  128. 4:40description down below. And if you're
  129. 4:42going to be there, write I want to learn
  130. 4:44in the comments right now. So I know
  131. 4:46that you're going to be there. And then
  132. 4:49come straight back to this because what
  133. 4:51I'm about to tell you is really
  134. 4:52important. So let me tell you what just
  135. 4:54happened and I'm going to explain it the
  136. 4:55way I'd explain it to, you know, Winston
  137. 4:58because that's sort of my golden rule,
  138. 4:59the golden retriever rule. If you can't
  139. 5:01explain it simply, it means you don't
  140. 5:03understand it well enough to actually
  141. 5:05have any money in this. So, the Federal
  142. 5:07Reserve has a facility. Think of it as a
  143. 5:09as a window and it's called the Fmer
  144. 5:13repo facility. And here is what it does.
  145. 5:15A foreign central bank, say the Bank of
  146. 5:18Japan, walks up to that window. It hands
  147. 5:20the Fed a stack of US Treasury bonds,
  148. 5:23which is government debt, as collateral.
  149. 5:26And the Fed hands back fresh dollars.
  150. 5:29and a day or two later, they can reverse
  151. 5:31the trade. Japan gets its treasuries
  152. 5:33back. The Feds gets its dollars back,
  153. 5:36plus a little fee. It's basically a porn
  154. 5:38shop for central banks. I think that's
  155. 5:40probably the best analogy I can come up
  156. 5:41with. And there's a reason this matters.
  157. 5:44Japan has been spending tens of billions
  158. 5:47of dollars defending its currency. And
  159. 5:50where has that money been coming from?
  160. 5:52Well, from selling US debt. Now, Japan
  161. 5:55is the largest foreign holder of US
  162. 5:57government debt. And when they sell it
  163. 5:59to raise cash, it pushes interest rates
  164. 6:02up. And bear with me, I know it's a
  165. 6:04little complex, but it makes America's
  166. 6:06$40 trillion of debt pile more expensive
  167. 6:09to maintain. So this new facility, this
  168. 6:14new window at the Fed gives Japan a
  169. 6:16different option. Instead of selling the
  170. 6:19US debt and crashing the debt market,
  171. 6:22you pledge it. You porn shop it, right?
  172. 6:24So you get the dollars, you defend your
  173. 6:26currency, and you get your treasury,
  174. 6:29your your debt back when you're done. So
  175. 6:31there's no selling. There is no rate
  176. 6:32spike. There is no mess in the markets.
  177. 6:35And the US Treasury Secretary, he said
  178. 6:38he wants to upsize it. He wants to make
  179. 6:40this a bigger facility, more capacity,
  180. 6:43more money available. Now the part most
  181. 6:45people will miss is that the Fed built
  182. 6:47this facility in March 2020 during CO.
  183. 6:51It was supposed to be temporary, but
  184. 6:53they made it permanent in 2021. The
  185. 6:56limit's about $60 billion dollars per
  186. 6:58foreign bugger bank. And the US now
  187. 7:02wants to raise that limit for Japan and
  188. 7:04maybe others. And if you look at the
  189. 7:05headlines here, it says Japan's use of
  190. 7:09Fed repo may ease pressure rather on the
  191. 7:12Treasury market. So this is a Bloomberg
  192. 7:15article and it tells you everything.
  193. 7:16They're building a pressure release
  194. 7:18valve so that Japan can defend its
  195. 7:21currency without destroying the US
  196. 7:24markets. Now, I use the word reset in
  197. 7:26the title and I don't use that word
  198. 7:28lightly. Let me tell you why. For
  199. 7:30decades, the global financial system has
  200. 7:32run on a very simple assumption. When a
  201. 7:34foreign country needs dollars, it sells
  202. 7:37US debt. And that selling pushes
  203. 7:39interest rates up. It's messy. It's
  204. 7:41painful. It creates the kind of trillion
  205. 7:44dollar crash we saw on Friday. So what
  206. 7:46the Fed just did is they built a
  207. 7:48different pipe. A pipe where foreign
  208. 7:51governments can get dollars without
  209. 7:53selling, without disrupting the market
  210. 7:55without triggering a chain reaction. And
  211. 7:58it is a fundamental change in how the
  212. 8:00plumbing of the global monetary system
  213. 8:02works. And when you change the plumbing,
  214. 8:05you change where the money flows. Think
  215. 8:06about it from the Fed's perspective.
  216. 8:08They get essentially collateral. Like
  217. 8:11you buy a house, right? The bank has
  218. 8:14your title deeds. It's collateral. In
  219. 8:16this case, they get US debt. It's the
  220. 8:17safest asset on Earth. Allegedly, they
  221. 8:20have zero credit risk. They have zero
  222. 8:21currency risk because they print the
  223. 8:23dollar. And they charge a little bit of
  224. 8:25money to Japan. So, the Fed gets paid.
  225. 8:28It takes no risk. And it prevents a bond
  226. 8:30market crash. Japan gets its dollars
  227. 8:32without a fire cell. Everybody wins.
  228. 8:34Except not everybody wins. The people
  229. 8:37making bets against the yen, well, they
  230. 8:39lose because this facility takes away
  231. 8:41the chaos they profit from. And that's a
  232. 8:44reset. The Fed is quietly building a
  233. 8:47system where central banks cooperate
  234. 8:49instead of crash. And the people who
  235. 8:52don't understand this, they're going to
  236. 8:53keep trading the old playbook in a very,
  237. 8:56very different, very new world. And this
  238. 8:58has actually already happened. And I
  239. 9:01thought about this this morning and I
  240. 9:02double checked it and it's true. In
  241. 9:04March 2023,
  242. 9:06one of the largest banks in the world
  243. 9:08called Credit Swiss, it was collapsing.
  244. 9:11The Swiss government was scrambling to
  245. 9:13save it and the Federal Reserve along
  246. 9:17with the Bank of Canada and the Bank of
  247. 9:20England and the Bank of Japan and the
  248. 9:22European Central Bank and the Swiss
  249. 9:24National Bank issued a joint statement.
  250. 9:26Got it on the screen here for you.
  251. 9:28Coordinated central bank action to
  252. 9:30enhance the provision of US dollar
  253. 9:32liquidity. Sounds kind of boring, right?
  254. 9:35But they moved. Now, what does that
  255. 9:37actually mean? Well, that same weekend,
  256. 9:39the Swiss government forced Credit Swiss
  257. 9:42into a shortgun marriage with UBS. The
  258. 9:45US had sent a couple of billion dollars
  259. 9:47in that direction to prevent the
  260. 9:48collapse. So, the pattern I want you to
  261. 9:51see when something breaks, when a
  262. 9:53foreign financial system is under stress
  263. 9:56and the Fed opens up the dollar taps. In
  264. 10:002023, it was a slightly different
  265. 10:02instrument. They called it swap lines.
  266. 10:04Sort of similar thing. Essentially, you
  267. 10:06get money in 2026. It's the FMA repo.
  268. 10:10Slightly different tool, but same
  269. 10:11outcome. When the Fed starts pumping
  270. 10:14dollars to a foreign government on an
  271. 10:16emergency timeline, something is
  272. 10:18cracking and they're trying to keep it
  273. 10:20from spreading. The question is, do you
  274. 10:23know how to position yourself when the
  275. 10:25cracks appear? Because
  276. 10:27the pros do, the guys on Wall Street do,
  277. 10:29the guys in Chicago do, right? They've
  278. 10:31seen this movie before. So, fascinating
  279. 10:33history lesson, all that, but what do
  280. 10:35you actually do about this, right? Well,
  281. 10:36here's the single most important thing I
  282. 10:38can tell you. Do not sit in cash and
  283. 10:40wait. Every time the Fed opens a new
  284. 10:43pipe, every time they invent a new
  285. 10:45facility to pump money into the system,
  286. 10:47what happens? Asset prices go up. Not
  287. 10:50because the companies are suddenly worth
  288. 10:52more, because there are more dollars
  289. 10:54chasing them. Cash is the thing that
  290. 10:56gets quietly diluted. It's the ice cube
  291. 10:59on the wool counter in the summer and it
  292. 11:02looks safe. It feels safe, but it just
  293. 11:04disappears. It melts. So, what do you do
  294. 11:07instead? Well, you follow the money. You
  295. 11:10look for where institutional money is
  296. 11:12actually going. I'm going to teach you
  297. 11:13that on Saturday if you join me. Link is
  298. 11:16down below in the description. And it's
  299. 11:18very simple. There are a couple of lines
  300. 11:19literally we watch. It's bizarrely
  301. 11:21simple. And this brings me to two stocks
  302. 11:23I'm going to buy today for real. Doesn't
  303. 11:26mean you should. In fact, I'm not a
  304. 11:28financial adviser. I'm not registered
  305. 11:29for anything. I'm not giving you advice.
  306. 11:31I'm also probably not going to tell you
  307. 11:33when I'm going to sell it because I
  308. 11:34don't make a video every single day and
  309. 11:36it'd be tedious and I might forget. So,
  310. 11:38if you ever buy something, a, it's your
  311. 11:40responsibility and b, before you buy it,
  312. 11:42you need to know where you're going to
  313. 11:43sell it. That's the basic rule on Wall
  314. 11:45Street. So, you got to think that
  315. 11:46through. Don't know what that rule
  316. 11:48should be? Again, join me on Saturday.
  317. 11:49I'll teach you for free for two hours.
  318. 11:51Now, my first name is Google. And you're
  319. 11:54thinking, "Boring, Felix, everybody
  320. 11:56knows Google." And yes, you're right.
  321. 11:57Everybody knows Google. Almost nobody
  322. 12:00knows this though about it right now.
  323. 12:03Google is trading at a price to earnings
  324. 12:07ratio. So price to how many profits
  325. 12:10they're making of 19. It's its cheapest
  326. 12:12valuation in seven years. And what does
  327. 12:15that mean? Well, what's happened over
  328. 12:16the last seven years to Google? Google
  329. 12:18Cloud has gone from a money losing side
  330. 12:20project to doing 12 billion a quarter. I
  331. 12:23don't really care about revenue growth
  332. 12:24all that much, but you can see very
  333. 12:26clearly here on the Winston chart. It's
  334. 12:28increasing every single quarter, 80%
  335. 12:31year-over-year.
  336. 12:32Cloud backlog is 500 billion dollars if
  337. 12:35you believe that or not. Um anyway,
  338. 12:37that's a few hundred billions between
  339. 12:38friends. They just signed a 15 billion
  340. 12:40deal to build the data center, a data
  341. 12:43center in Texas for Anthropic, one of
  342. 12:46the most important AI companies in the
  343. 12:47world. And that deal, it reframes every
  344. 12:51dollar Google spends on AI because it's
  345. 12:53no longer speculative spending. It's
  346. 12:55sort of it's pre-sold demand like they
  347. 12:57already got a customer. They even paid
  348. 12:58dividends. They have more cash than they
  349. 13:00know what to do with. Cash flow is
  350. 13:02tremendous except for the stuff that
  351. 13:04they're burning on AI, but that's a
  352. 13:06different story. But let me show you the
  353. 13:08chart here. And I I uh took a screenshot
  354. 13:10of a trade vision chart in here. And
  355. 13:13what has it just done? Well, there are
  356. 13:15three lines on this chart here. this
  357. 13:16one, that one, and the yellow one. And
  358. 13:19it's just taken out all three of them.
  359. 13:21Bounced off the one at the bottom here,
  360. 13:22which is important. Again, we go into
  361. 13:23more detail on that on Saturday. And
  362. 13:25it's taken out the resistance zones
  363. 13:26here. That's exactly what I was waiting
  364. 13:28for, right? Yes, we all heard Buffett
  365. 13:30bought it and so on, but I don't buy
  366. 13:32something because Buffett buys it
  367. 13:33because the man's got a slightly
  368. 13:35different risk profile to me. He's got
  369. 13:36350 billion. And by the way, he doesn't
  370. 13:38hold any cash. He holds T- bills. Very
  371. 13:41different. They pay him about 5%
  372. 13:43interest. So, um, that man is not
  373. 13:45sitting in cash. She's not a Uh
  374. 13:48but yes, 14% bounce here and I'm liking
  375. 13:50that bounce. It takes a lot of my risk
  376. 13:52away the way I see it. And yes, there is
  377. 13:54going to be one more here at the top and
  378. 13:56that's going to be one to watch and we
  379. 13:57might well hit our head again, sort of
  380. 13:59go a little bit sideways and eventually
  381. 14:00break through it. Why do I say
  382. 14:01eventually break through it? I haven't
  383. 14:02got a crystal ball, but I'm looking at a
  384. 14:05company that even if they get and waste
  385. 14:07a lot of the AI spend is generating so
  386. 14:10much cash and in my humble opinion, it's
  387. 14:13just winning the AI race. It isn't
  388. 14:17getting killed by it. Why? Because I can
  389. 14:19type into Google who is Winston and
  390. 14:22Felix and there it goes. So why on earth
  391. 14:26would somebody pay for chat GPT or
  392. 14:29Anthropic or something if you just get
  393. 14:31AI faster than any of the other AIs
  394. 14:34already in the browser you're already
  395. 14:36using, right? So therefore, someone's
  396. 14:38literally called Winston Felix and he's
  397. 14:39a former financial adviser. That's
  398. 14:41funny. Um, all right. A tough SEO game
  399. 14:45for this guy. So that's stock number
  400. 14:47one. And I'm not telling you to buy it.
  401. 14:50You have to come to your own conclusion
  402. 14:51on that one. I just want to be
  403. 14:52transparent with you and share something
  404. 14:54with you because a lot of people are
  405. 14:54like, "Well, what the heck do we do?"
  406. 14:56Don't do what I'm doing because I'm
  407. 14:57doing it. But think about there is this
  408. 15:00opportunity right now. Stop number two
  409. 15:02is one I'm really excited about. And I
  410. 15:05have to be honest, it's the kind of
  411. 15:06stuff that I used to do for a living
  412. 15:08when I was a banker. Uh we looked at
  413. 15:11merger up which is a very fancy term for
  414. 15:15you look at companies that are
  415. 15:17essentially trading below the amount of
  416. 15:19cash they have and the physical value
  417. 15:23and then someone's going to come along
  418. 15:24and buy it usually because it's just
  419. 15:26silly that it's that cheap. Um and the
  420. 15:29company is called Zim Zim.
  421. 15:32Now I told you about Zim back in May
  422. 15:352025.
  423. 15:37It was trading at 1791 at the time or
  424. 15:42actually a little bit below that. I
  425. 15:43think that's actually probably the price
  426. 15:45I bought it at. Um, and you can check
  427. 15:48out the video and go back and and see
  428. 15:50that it's true. Now, it went up 45%
  429. 15:53since, which is nice. And then on top of
  430. 15:57that, it's paid a 30% dividend to
  431. 16:00holders. So, the whole thing is up
  432. 16:02something like 74% in 14 months. And
  433. 16:05it's a shipping stock most people have
  434. 16:07never ever heard of. But here's the
  435. 16:09thing. I think the story is actually
  436. 16:11better now than it was back then. And
  437. 16:13let me explain why this is a special
  438. 16:16situation. Now, first of all, you
  439. 16:18might be wondering why the heck are you
  440. 16:20looking at Zim. All right, let me show
  441. 16:21you that. So, in the Winston app, and I
  442. 16:23just built this in I built it for myself
  443. 16:25and then I release these things to you
  444. 16:26guys once I know it works. If you go
  445. 16:27into the Winston app and into stocks,
  446. 16:30you can click on deep value. And deep
  447. 16:32value is exactly what it says on the
  448. 16:34tin. These are companies whose cash and
  449. 16:37investments are worth 90% of the entire
  450. 16:41market value. So the market is saying
  451. 16:4790% of you is cash essentially and we
  452. 16:51are only saying that your business is
  453. 16:53worth an extra 10%. Which is an
  454. 16:54extraordinarily low number and of course
  455. 16:57you can filter that to sectors and
  456. 16:58countries and so on. In this case, it
  457. 17:00gives you 263 uh of those deep value
  458. 17:03stocks. Um, now you can filter some
  459. 17:07more. And what I actually did is I
  460. 17:08looked at those with cash flow. So,
  461. 17:10companies that are actually generating
  462. 17:12some cash and now we've got 15. And
  463. 17:14there she goes. ZIM is at the very top
  464. 17:16of our list. I'll put a entire 30-day
  465. 17:20free trial for you guys. So, the Winston
  466. 17:21app down below in the description as
  467. 17:22well, so you can play around with it uh
  468. 17:24risk-f free and if you don't like it,
  469. 17:26just cancel it on day 29. uh and that
  470. 17:28way you know it it is a free experience
  471. 17:31and yeah essentially we look for
  472. 17:32negative enterprise value uh and it kind
  473. 17:34of means you get paid to own it. Now
  474. 17:37there is a bit more to this. Haglloyd
  475. 17:40one of the largest shipping companies in
  476. 17:42the world which is from my hometown of
  477. 17:43Hamburg they made an offer for ZIM at
  478. 17:48$35 cash. So remember that number $35
  479. 17:52cash trading at 26 right now. Now that
  480. 17:57therefore means 35% upside, right? So if
  481. 18:01the deal goes through, you just get
  482. 18:03cash. But the deal as as of right now is
  483. 18:07considered kind of dead. The Israeli
  484. 18:10government, this is an Israeli company.
  485. 18:12They hold a golden share in Zim and
  486. 18:15there is political opposition to a
  487. 18:18foreign German takeover. So the market
  488. 18:21is pricing ZIM as if the deal is dead.
  489. 18:25And that is exactly the kind of setup
  490. 18:27that I used to hunt for because let me
  491. 18:30show you what ZIM looks like without the
  492. 18:33ZIM's market cap is $3 billion. So all
  493. 18:35the shares on the stock market are worth
  494. 18:37$3 billion together. They have $2.6
  495. 18:40billion in cash, right? In cash. Plus
  496. 18:44they have about 600 billion
  497. 18:47this year from the business already.
  498. 18:50generated this year. So when you
  499. 18:55subtract the cash from the market cap,
  500. 18:58which is how professionals value a
  501. 19:00business, you come to a number that we
  502. 19:03call enterprise value. So 3 billion
  503. 19:06minus 2.6 - 600, we have a negative
  504. 19:10enterprise value. So Zim's entire
  505. 19:14operating business, the ships, the
  506. 19:17routes, the customers, the contracts is
  507. 19:19valued at minus $200. So you're
  508. 19:23basically being paid to own the fleet.
  509. 19:26Now think about the asymmetry of that.
  510. 19:28If the hapagloid deal comes back to life
  511. 19:33because the Germans are back, you get
  512. 19:35$35, which is a 35% upside for me. If
  513. 19:38the deal stays dead, you're in a company
  514. 19:41that is trading below its value and it
  515. 19:45has the youngest and the most efficient
  516. 19:48container fleet in the industry. The
  517. 19:50highest sensitivity to freight rates
  518. 19:53changing. And guess what? Yes, your
  519. 19:56downside is protected by the cash and
  520. 19:58the earnings. The upside is either you
  521. 20:00get bought out or you don't. And if you
  522. 20:02look at the ZIM stock chart here, Yeah.
  523. 20:05So our first buy point was somewhere
  524. 20:08here and then it went down. Why did they
  525. 20:10go down? Well, a lot of that gap was a
  526. 20:1230% dividend, right? So you have to
  527. 20:15understand these stocks a little bit
  528. 20:16more complex than buying the Google or
  529. 20:19index fund. And what are we seeing right
  530. 20:21now? Well, we're actually consolidating
  531. 20:24here. I know it's a little bit small.
  532. 20:25And we've just broken out of this little
  533. 20:28sideways pattern here that I like like
  534. 20:30to look at. And it's to me one of those
  535. 20:33follow the money sentments. doesn't mean
  536. 20:34you should buy it. I'm not telling you
  537. 20:36to buy it. I'm not going to tell you
  538. 20:37probably when I sell it. I probably will
  539. 20:38sell it at some point. But the macro
  540. 20:41tailwind is something that also I
  541. 20:43wouldn't ignore. And let me show you the
  542. 20:45macro because one, ships are being
  543. 20:48rerooed away from the Red Sea. Why?
  544. 20:51Because well there is a little bit of um
  545. 20:54a little bit of trouble happening in
  546. 20:55that part of the world. And that removes
  547. 20:57about 8 to 10% of global container
  548. 21:00capacity just because they have to go
  549. 21:03all the way around Africa. Right? So if
  550. 21:04you if you look on a map there is sort
  551. 21:06of the Arabian Peninsula. Then here is
  552. 21:10you know sort of Africa. Glorious
  553. 21:12drawing I know. And then here you have
  554. 21:16you know Europe kind of thing right? You
  555. 21:19know that kind of thing. Britain is up
  556. 21:20there. So normally what happens is that
  557. 21:23ships will go from you know Asia or from
  558. 21:27the Gulf or somewhere or even from you
  559. 21:30know South Africa they will go this way
  560. 21:32everybody goes that way and they go
  561. 21:34through the sewers canal and then they
  562. 21:36go to the southern European ports or
  563. 21:38they go to Rotterdam or they go to
  564. 21:39Hamburg or they go to the UK or wherever
  565. 21:42and that's the the route the world goes.
  566. 21:45Now, that isn't working anymore because
  567. 21:48you might get blown out of the water and
  568. 21:49that isn't an insurable thing. So,
  569. 21:51therefore, what are they doing? Well,
  570. 21:53they are all going all the way around
  571. 21:56and that's obviously much longer and
  572. 21:58therefore you need more ships, right?
  573. 22:00So, it's tying up vessels and we have
  574. 22:02port congestions, right? Ports are
  575. 22:04overwhelmed everywhere. That again costs
  576. 22:06more money. You need more ships and
  577. 22:08global trade volume is growing at 5% a
  578. 22:11year. So, more stuff, fewer ships,
  579. 22:14longer routes. I would call it the
  580. 22:15supply squeeze and ZIM has a very young
  581. 22:18very efficient fleet. I think one of the
  582. 22:21best to actually capture this. So this
  583. 22:24is merger up for you deep value play as
  584. 22:28Winston calls it and it's the kind of
  585. 22:30trade that I enjoy. Doesn't mean you
  586. 22:32should go into it. It's definitely not a
  587. 22:34put all your money into it type
  588. 22:35situation but it's kind of an
  589. 22:37interesting one. So, you want to learn a
  590. 22:41simpler thing than this, but still see
  591. 22:44why I used it. Like, I will literally
  592. 22:45teach you on Saturday why I found these
  593. 22:47two stocks and how precisely in a lot
  594. 22:49more depth. So, you can do it on your
  595. 22:50own and that's going to take about an
  596. 22:53hour or two. So, join me. Go to the link
  597. 22:55down below. Sign up because we have a
  598. 22:58bunch of things. We have the Fed just
  599. 23:00changed the story. They just built a
  600. 23:02different pipe for the Japanese. Uh you
  601. 23:05can get dollars now without crashing the
  602. 23:07market. But they tell you there's going
  603. 23:08to be a crack somewhere else and it's
  604. 23:11going to pump more money into the
  605. 23:13market. And when more money gets pumped
  606. 23:15into the system, assets go up. Not
  607. 23:18because the world is perfect, not
  608. 23:19because there are um better companies.
  609. 23:23It's just it's a framework. So I would
  610. 23:25say to you, don't sit in cash. Cash gets
  611. 23:28diluted for sure when the money taps get
  612. 23:31opened. Again, learn to follow the
  613. 23:32money. I'll teach you that on the
  614. 23:34weekend. Free link down below. But you
  615. 23:36got to show up. It's you got to be live.
  616. 23:38It's not going to be recorded. And I
  617. 23:40then like to own asymmetric things. So
  618. 23:43where I can see substantial upside
  619. 23:46because I like those kind of things. Now
  620. 23:47I don't put a 100% of my money into
  621. 23:49these absymetric bets, but I like
  622. 23:51putting some of my money into that
  623. 23:53because it can be very profitable at
  624. 23:54times. It's not a prediction. It's a
  625. 23:56framework. Predictions are guesses.
  626. 23:58Frameworks are repeatable. I don't know
  627. 24:01what's going to happen in the future,
  628. 24:02but I've got a riskmanagement system
  629. 24:04that deals with that. But if you're
  630. 24:06sitting there and you're going, "Yeah, I
  631. 24:07don't fully understand how to read a
  632. 24:08chat. I'm not sure I could find that
  633. 24:10breakout. I'm not sure why Google, why
  634. 24:13Zim or or any of that." Well, that's
  635. 24:16what the free beginner seminar is for.
  636. 24:18FastTrack forbeginners.com. Our entire
  637. 24:20mission here is to make a million people
  638. 24:22financially free. So, we've got our work
  639. 24:24cut out and we enjoy every minute of
  640. 24:26that. So, I'm going to teach you live
  641. 24:28how to read where the big money is
  642. 24:31moving. So you never have to depend on
  643. 24:33the next guy who happens to have a
  644. 24:34microphone again. Right? I want to learn
  645. 24:36in the comments if you're going to join
  646. 24:38me. And if this video helped you, share
  647. 24:40it with one person. He needs to see it.
  648. 24:42And I wish you a tremendously successful
  649. 24:44year. Winston, where did you go?
  650. 24:47Winston, did you leave?
  651. 24:50Yeah, I think he heard some cooking
  652. 24:51going on, so he went there. All the
  653. 24:53best. United States and Japan just did
  654. 24:55something that they have not done
  655. 24:57together in almost 30 years. They fired
  656. 25:00the biggest currency intervention in
  657. 25:03history.

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