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The Country Will Change Dramatically If We Don't Get This Right In 2028 | Ep. 1869 — Transcript

by Matt Walsh · 9,578 words · 1,702 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:00Without fail, every couple of years,
  2. 0:01we're told that we're in the midst of
  3. 0:03the single most important election cycle
  4. 0:05in the history of the country. Now, it's
  5. 0:07good marketing for one thing, you know,
  6. 0:09a handy way for media outlets to
  7. 0:11generate some interest in their election
  8. 0:12coverage.
  9. 0:13Plus, it plays on our natural human bias
  10. 0:15to believe that everything that's
  11. 0:16happening right now is more important
  12. 0:19than anything that's happened before.
  13. 0:21After all, no one wants to feel like
  14. 0:23they're living through a boring period
  15. 0:24of history, so we're all very familiar
  16. 0:27with this kind of hyperbole. And as a
  17. 0:29result,
  18. 0:30because we hear it so often, we
  19. 0:31generally tune it out. You know, we're
  20. 0:33told it's the most important election
  21. 0:35cycle ever
  22. 0:37over and over and over again, and we
  23. 0:38just ignore it.
  24. 0:40Well, after what happened on Tuesday, we
  25. 0:42have to get out of that habit effective
  26. 0:44immediately
  27. 0:45because there is no doubt that 2028 will
  28. 0:48indeed be a pivotal election cycle
  29. 0:51unlike anything else we've ever seen. It
  30. 0:54will be make or break
  31. 0:56for the United States as we know it.
  32. 0:59And we've heard that a million times,
  33. 1:00but but this time it is actually true.
  34. 1:03And for the next two years, Donald Trump
  35. 1:05can use the veto power to shut down the
  36. 1:07Democrats' worst legislation. After
  37. 1:09that,
  38. 1:10our future is entirely in the hands of
  39. 1:12the next president. Should a socialist
  40. 1:14Democrat win, there will be nothing
  41. 1:16stopping Democrats from packing the
  42. 1:18courts, adding new states, nationalizing
  43. 1:20critical industries,
  44. 1:21opening the borders, all of which they
  45. 1:23have promised to do explicitly the
  46. 1:25moment they return to power, and they
  47. 1:26will do.
  48. 1:27And if you doubt any of that, take a
  49. 1:29look at this exit poll.
  50. 1:3033% of voters had a strongly or somewhat
  51. 1:33favorable view of socialism, and
  52. 1:35virtually all of them were Democrats.
  53. 1:3712% of voters had a somewhat unfavorable
  54. 1:40view of socialism, meaning they
  55. 1:42saw some value in the ideology.
  56. 1:4573% of those voters were Democrats.
  57. 1:48Meanwhile, among the 41% of voters who
  58. 1:50had a strongly unfavorable view of
  59. 1:52socialism, 85% of them were Republicans.
  60. 1:56So it's not an overstatement to say that
  61. 1:58the Democrat Party is of socialism at
  62. 2:00this point. It is.
  63. 2:02And when they take power,
  64. 2:05they'll do what socialists always do.
  65. 2:06They will destroy the economy and
  66. 2:08eliminate their political opponents
  67. 2:10among other things.
  68. 2:12The nightmare scenario at the moment is
  69. 2:14that we go into 2028 with an unpopular
  70. 2:16president
  71. 2:17and then we face a similar wipeout to
  72. 2:19what just happened on Tuesday. I'm
  73. 2:20talking about a wipeout so substantial
  74. 2:23the Democrats won't even need to abolish
  75. 2:24the filibuster to assume complete
  76. 2:26control over the government.
  77. 2:28There is precedent for this, of course.
  78. 2:29Those of us who experienced 06 and then
  79. 2:3208,
  80. 2:33we know that.
  81. 2:35And in this nightmare scenario, the
  82. 2:36Democrats would win the White House with
  83. 2:38a super majority in Congress and in that
  84. 2:40scenario
  85. 2:41they don't need to nuke the filibuster,
  86. 2:42you know? They can add DC and Puerto
  87. 2:45Rico as states
  88. 2:47which happens with majority votes. It's
  89. 2:49surprisingly easy to add a new state
  90. 2:52and they will.
  91. 2:53And then they become politically
  92. 2:54invincible for all intents and purposes.
  93. 2:57It's over. The Republicans will never
  94. 2:58win again.
  95. 2:59They'll pursue federal cases against
  96. 3:01conservative politicians, activists, and
  97. 3:03public figures. People will go to jail
  98. 3:06because when they have power
  99. 3:09they wield it. You know, this is this is
  100. 3:11a a a new new deal kind of revolution
  101. 3:13that's brewing. It'll be unlike anything
  102. 3:15we've seen in American politics in our
  103. 3:17lifetimes. It would be utterly
  104. 3:18catastrophic in every conceivable way.
  105. 3:22So in the meantime
  106. 3:23over the next two years, we know exactly
  107. 3:25what's coming. Democrats will get into
  108. 3:27office and immediately start
  109. 3:28investigating Trump and his officials
  110. 3:30and anyone else they can think of. There
  111. 3:33will be impeachments.
  112. 3:35At least a few Trump officials are
  113. 3:37probably going down.
  114. 3:38Already they're talking about issuing
  115. 3:40subpoenas to the DHS Secretary and every
  116. 3:42ICE official who enforced immigration
  117. 3:44laws.
  118. 3:45The harassment will be relentless.
  119. 3:46They'll bankrupt as many Trump officials
  120. 3:48and advisors as they can. They'll run up
  121. 3:50the legal fee just like they did after
  122. 3:51January 6th.
  123. 3:53It'll be a reminder of just how weak and
  124. 3:55ineffective Republicans were when they
  125. 3:56when they had control of both houses of
  126. 3:58Congress.
  127. 4:00Republicans had the chance to root out
  128. 4:01Democrat corruption, but they chose to
  129. 4:03do nothing.
  130. 4:04They had the chance to systematically
  131. 4:06dismantle and destroy left-wing radicals
  132. 4:08and their networks and funders, and they
  133. 4:10didn't.
  134. 4:11Charlie's murder should have led to a
  135. 4:14ruthless nationwide crackdown on
  136. 4:15left-wing extremism, but it didn't.
  137. 4:18So Democrats will turn around and do all
  138. 4:20the things that Republicans were too
  139. 4:21scared to do.
  140. 4:23And if they win the presidency,
  141. 4:24they're going to finish what Charlie
  142. 4:26Kirk's assassins started. They're going
  143. 4:27to imprison, kill, or otherwise
  144. 4:29neutralize
  145. 4:31any conservative who would challenge
  146. 4:33them.
  147. 4:34And it's really worth harping on this
  148. 4:36point for just a moment.
  149. 4:37Charlie was murdered,
  150. 4:39the most shocking and consequential
  151. 4:40political assassination since JFK.
  152. 4:44And uh
  153. 4:46and this was not far off the heels of of
  154. 4:49Donald Trump's the the attempted
  155. 4:51assassination of Donald Trump.
  156. 4:54And this was even worse in some ways
  157. 4:55because many Americans spent the
  158. 4:57following months openly celebrating the
  159. 4:59murder.
  160. 5:00Republicans had the opportunity to
  161. 5:02respond to these events by rooting out
  162. 5:06the murderous leftists and the networks
  163. 5:08that fund and support them, but they
  164. 5:10didn't. If Democrats had been in office
  165. 5:12when one of their most prominent leaders
  166. 5:14was assassinated in front of a live
  167. 5:16audience on camera,
  168. 5:18the ruthless crackdown on right-wingers
  169. 5:20that followed
  170. 5:22would have made their January 6th
  171. 5:23prosecution seem like a walk in the
  172. 5:25park.
  173. 5:26But you know, because that's how they
  174. 5:27operate.
  175. 5:28And Republicans don't.
  176. 5:30They're also going to break every norm
  177. 5:33that idiot Republicans in Congress
  178. 5:34decided to honor over the past two
  179. 5:36years. Um and if you need evidence of
  180. 5:39that, here's Tallarico, the incoming
  181. 5:42senator from Texas, making it explicit.
  182. 5:44Listen.
  183. 5:45>> He says in the Senate you would vote to
  184. 5:46abolish the filibuster.
  185. 5:48>> Yes.
  186. 5:49I believe that the majority has the
  187. 5:51right to govern in this country, and the
  188. 5:53filibuster, which is not in the
  189. 5:55Constitution, it's a Jim Crow relic. It
  190. 5:58is uh it is leading to gridlock in our
  191. 6:01nation's capital. It's why we can't
  192. 6:03bring down the cost of groceries and gas
  193. 6:06and utilities and healthcare. It's why
  194. 6:08we can't get this economy back on track.
  195. 6:10And so I believe the majority, whether
  196. 6:11it's a Democratic majority or a
  197. 6:13Republican majority, should have the
  198. 6:14right to govern.
  199. 6:16>> Well, we all knew this was coming.
  200. 6:17Republicans in Congress pretended
  201. 6:19otherwise and
  202. 6:21now Democrats are making it explicit. So
  203. 6:23hearing this,
  204. 6:25you know, give me one reason why John
  205. 6:26Thune and the GOP majority in the Senate
  206. 6:29don't abolish the filibuster and pass
  207. 6:32the SAVE Act right now.
  208. 6:34They're still in power for a few more
  209. 6:35months.
  210. 6:37They can get a lot done.
  211. 6:39You know, they don't have to stop with
  212. 6:40the SAVE Act. Republicans could pass a
  213. 6:41nationwide ban on funding for child sex
  214. 6:44sex change operations, which we've been
  215. 6:46demanding for years. No reason why they
  216. 6:48can't just do that.
  217. 6:50They could
  218. 6:51codify every single one of Trump's
  219. 6:54executive orders. They could block
  220. 6:56state-level attempts to interfere with
  221. 6:57Elon Musk's companies
  222. 6:59and any other company owned by a
  223. 7:00conservative. They could punish
  224. 7:02sanctuary cities, expand oil and gas
  225. 7:04development,
  226. 7:05cut funding for DEI, pass nationwide
  227. 7:07legislation to protect gun owners from
  228. 7:09arrest as they cross state lines, etc.
  229. 7:11There's a lot they could do.
  230. 7:13The Republican majority in Congress
  231. 7:14until it's gone in January can pass all
  232. 7:16of this by a strict majority vote if
  233. 7:18they abolish the filibuster. So why
  234. 7:19aren't they doing it?
  235. 7:21Why aren't they even attempting to do
  236. 7:22it?
  237. 7:24Why aren't they calling on Alito and
  238. 7:25Thomas to resign immediately so we can
  239. 7:27appoint replacements as soon as
  240. 7:28possible?
  241. 7:30Republicans simply don't have any
  242. 7:31interest in fighting. They have no
  243. 7:32agenda, no purpose.
  244. 7:35And Democrats are, on the other hand,
  245. 7:37very interested in fighting and winning.
  246. 7:39They're ruthless, violent, more
  247. 7:40empowered than they've ever been.
  248. 7:43And they'll tear the country apart piece
  249. 7:44by piece until no Republicans are left
  250. 7:46if they're allowed to do it.
  251. 7:47If we allow 2028
  252. 7:502026 to be a precursor to something
  253. 7:51worse than 2028.
  254. 7:53But we don't have to and that's what
  255. 7:54we're going to talk about.
  256. 7:57They are also, we should say right now,
  257. 7:58the Democrats focused on at least one
  258. 8:01important issue that Republicans are all
  259. 8:03but entirely ignoring. Yesterday on the
  260. 8:04show I said that, you you AI did not
  261. 8:06show up in the exit polls, but by 2028
  262. 8:09it'll be the top issue for a majority of
  263. 8:10voters.
  264. 8:12I was actually wrong.
  265. 8:13I hadn't seen the NBC exit poll which
  266. 8:15found that already even as AI has only
  267. 8:18just started to wipe out jobs, it's a
  268. 8:20major factor for a majority of voters
  269. 8:22now.
  270. 8:2456% of voters said that AI and data
  271. 8:26centers were a crucial or major factor
  272. 8:28in their vote.
  273. 8:3056% already.
  274. 8:32And most of the people who considered it
  275. 8:33a crucial or major factor voted for
  276. 8:35Democrats.
  277. 8:36So I was wrong about the exit polls. It
  278. 8:38It did show up, but even more right
  279. 8:40about the overall point than I realized.
  280. 8:42AI is a central political issue right
  281. 8:44now.
  282. 8:46And this will be even more the case in
  283. 8:47coming years.
  284. 8:49Republicans have been nothing short of
  285. 8:51abysmal
  286. 8:53on this issue.
  287. 8:55You can't You can't punt on this issue.
  288. 8:58To call Trump's handling of it tone deaf
  289. 9:00would be far too generous.
  290. 9:02Voters are extremely worried about the
  291. 9:05mass unemployment that has already
  292. 9:07started due to this technology.
  293. 9:09If your only response is to suggest a
  294. 9:11fun little new nickname for AI, you will
  295. 9:14get obliterated in every election now
  296. 9:16and forever. Pro AI cultism
  297. 9:20is not a viable political position.
  298. 9:23Okay, it just isn't.
  299. 9:25Here's a post from Congresswoman
  300. 9:27Yassamin Ansari of Arizona
  301. 9:31the other day
  302. 9:32just to show you what they're doing on
  303. 9:34the other side when it comes to this.
  304. 9:36And there were a lot of conservative
  305. 9:38influencers responding to this and and
  306. 9:40in a very critical way and kind of
  307. 9:42mocking it. [snorts]
  308. 9:44Well, here's what she said, quote,
  309. 9:45top of the Democratic agenda on day one
  310. 9:47needs to be a pause on advanced AI
  311. 9:49development, regulation of this out of
  312. 9:51control industry, and a ban on
  313. 9:53artificial super intelligence.
  314. 9:56Now, I don't know anything about
  315. 9:57Congresswoman Yassamin Ansari, but I can
  316. 10:00guess with a fair amount of confidence
  317. 10:02that I disagree with almost every
  318. 10:03position she has ever held on any topic.
  319. 10:05And yet on this topic,
  320. 10:07there are two things you need to
  321. 10:08understand you're a Republican, okay?
  322. 10:12First,
  323. 10:13this is a winning political message.
  324. 10:16Okay, what I just read to you, that's
  325. 10:18a winning political message. That's a
  326. 10:19fact. You may not like it, but it's
  327. 10:21true. The inverse of this, don't
  328. 10:23regulate AI at all, don't slow down its
  329. 10:26advancement at all, don't put any
  330. 10:27controls in place, embrace super
  331. 10:29intelligence without hesitation, data
  332. 10:31centers are wonderful and we should
  333. 10:32build a billion more of them,
  334. 10:34is a political message that will get you
  335. 10:36trounced
  336. 10:38in every election from now to Kingdom
  337. 10:39Come.
  338. 10:41That's the political reality.
  339. 10:44And that part of it's not up for debate.
  340. 10:46Okay, that simply is what it is. An AI
  341. 10:48maximalist presidential candidate
  342. 10:51will not win in 2028. Period.
  343. 10:56But the other thing about this post from
  344. 10:57this congresswoman,
  345. 10:59and this is something that we'll have
  346. 11:00plenty of time to expand on in the
  347. 11:01future,
  348. 11:02and this is the part that will be really
  349. 11:04hard for some of you to accept,
  350. 11:06but you need to,
  351. 11:07is that
  352. 11:09the post I just read there is not just a
  353. 11:10political winner, it's also mostly right
  354. 11:13on the merits, okay?
  355. 11:15Now let's go through it
  356. 11:16briefly.
  357. 11:17Should we regulate the industry?
  358. 11:20Okay, she laid out three things. One of
  359. 11:22them was regulate the industry. Should
  360. 11:23we regulate the industry?
  361. 11:26Yes. I mean, obviously.
  362. 11:29Are there Republicans actually
  363. 11:30suggesting it should have no
  364. 11:31regulations? What's the other option? No
  365. 11:33regulations?
  366. 11:35Just let Sam Altman and his billionaire
  367. 11:37friends do literally whatever they want
  368. 11:39with no rules governing them?
  369. 11:41That can't really be anyone's position,
  370. 11:43can it? I mean, that's an insane
  371. 11:45position. We can debate what the
  372. 11:46regulation should be. I'm sure Democrats
  373. 11:48have some terrible ideas for
  374. 11:49regulations. They usually do. Not every
  375. 11:52suggested regulation will be good.
  376. 11:55Okay, but clearly there need to be some
  377. 11:57regulations.
  378. 12:00Okay, a platform that says we need a
  379. 12:02totally unregulated
  380. 12:04trillion dollar AI industry is madness.
  381. 12:08I mean, that's political suicide.
  382. 12:11That's totally crazy.
  383. 12:13So yes, of course there need to be some
  384. 12:15regulations. Republicans need to be the
  385. 12:17ones to come up with the sensible and
  386. 12:19rational regulations.
  387. 12:23Okay, we're going to we're going to I
  388. 12:24know if you're a Republican or you're
  389. 12:25conservative, the word regulation makes
  390. 12:27you really it it it makes your tummy
  391. 12:28hurt. It makes you really upset. You
  392. 12:30don't like to talk about but obviously
  393. 12:32there are regulations.
  394. 12:34There can be too many, there can be bad
  395. 12:36ones. All that is true.
  396. 12:39But
  397. 12:40but
  398. 12:41the idea that there should be zero is is
  399. 12:43childish nonsense.
  400. 12:45Um and so it's up to Republicans to come
  401. 12:47up with a sensible rational sensible and
  402. 12:49rational regulations or else Democrats
  403. 12:51will impose unsensible and irrational
  404. 12:53ones.
  405. 12:54But again, don't regulate them at all is
  406. 12:56the crazy delusional cucked position of
  407. 12:59someone who thinks we should just sit
  408. 13:00back and let trillion dollar tech
  409. 13:02companies have their way with our
  410. 13:04civilization, our country, our lives,
  411. 13:05and our children's futures. Clearly that
  412. 13:07can't be it.
  413. 13:09Okay.
  414. 13:09What about pausing AI development as she
  415. 13:12was a
  416. 13:13one of the things she suggested?
  417. 13:14Well, an across the board pause on all
  418. 13:17AI development is a bad idea. That is
  419. 13:20also childish and silly.
  420. 13:22Um but slowing down certain types of AI
  421. 13:24development is probably a good idea.
  422. 13:26That's a debate we can have, but
  423. 13:27Republicans need to be in the debate.
  424. 13:31That's the point.
  425. 13:32And as for what types should be slowed
  426. 13:34down, well that brings us to our third
  427. 13:35point, banning super intelligence.
  428. 13:38Should we do that? Well,
  429. 13:40this is where Trump's insistence on
  430. 13:42rebranding AI as SI is not just
  431. 13:45superfluous and stupid, it's also
  432. 13:47harmful in a material and significant
  433. 13:49way because it confuses the
  434. 13:51conversation. This is a very important
  435. 13:53conversation that it and and the terms
  436. 13:55need to be clear to people. People need
  437. 13:56to understand what we're talking about.
  438. 13:59We can't afford for people to be
  439. 14:00confused.
  440. 14:02But a lot of conservatives don't know
  441. 14:03what's meant by super intelligence
  442. 14:05because Trump insists that all AI is
  443. 14:07already super intelligence. That's not
  444. 14:09the case. So when they hear ban super
  445. 14:12intelligence, they think it means ban
  446. 14:14ChatGPT.
  447. 14:16But that's not what that means.
  448. 14:18Okay, ChatGPT is not super intelligent.
  449. 14:21Super intelligence is not
  450. 14:23artificial intelligence itself. Super
  451. 14:25intelligence is the hypothetical final
  452. 14:28stage of artificial intelligence
  453. 14:30development where it becomes cognitively
  454. 14:32superior to human beings in every
  455. 14:34conceivable way
  456. 14:36and is recursive in that it can improve
  457. 14:39and develop and remake itself without
  458. 14:41human involvement.
  459. 14:43Okay, at
  460. 14:45at the point where super intelligence
  461. 14:46emerges, that's what super intelligence
  462. 14:48would be, and at the point where it
  463. 14:49emerges emerges
  464. 14:51the technology by definition is outside
  465. 14:54of human control
  466. 14:56because it will be smarter than humans
  467. 14:58and developing without humans, and so
  468. 15:00there will be no way to put any reliable
  469. 15:02controls on it.
  470. 15:05So should we ban big tech companies
  471. 15:09from creating
  472. 15:10not AI, but creating specifically a
  473. 15:13self-perpetuating
  474. 15:15alien super mind that evolves on its own
  475. 15:18and would be by definition out of our
  476. 15:20control, leaving us at its mercy and
  477. 15:22helpless to program or meaningfully
  478. 15:24guide it in any way?
  479. 15:25Should we tell them they can't do that?
  480. 15:28Yes, clearly we should.
  481. 15:31Okay, tech companies should not be
  482. 15:32allowed to fundamentally alter the
  483. 15:34course of human civilization and create
  484. 15:36a species of intelligence that could
  485. 15:37enslave us if it wanted to. Why should
  486. 15:40they have the right to upend and
  487. 15:42possibly destroy human society itself?
  488. 15:45Which by the way, these companies are
  489. 15:46openly saying that
  490. 15:48that might be the result.
  491. 15:51Like who died and appointed these
  492. 15:53Silicon Valley weirdos to be emperors of
  493. 15:55the universe?
  494. 15:57Can we at least have a like can we have
  495. 15:59a say in that?
  496. 16:01You've got these AI billionaires who are
  497. 16:03sitting there just pontificating about
  498. 16:05all the ways that they are currently
  499. 16:07going to completely
  500. 16:09alter your life and your children's
  501. 16:11lives and and potentially for the worse.
  502. 16:15And we're supposed to sit back and say,
  503. 16:16well, okay, do whatever you want.
  504. 16:20Make the world into whatever you wanted
  505. 16:21to be. We're a giant video game for you
  506. 16:24people to play. Is that what we're
  507. 16:25supposed to say?
  508. 16:27If Republicans are going to take the
  509. 16:29opposite position, which I think is
  510. 16:30political death,
  511. 16:32and maybe more than just political
  512. 16:33death,
  513. 16:34uh, they better have a very, very
  514. 16:36compelling argument.
  515. 16:38But so far they don't.
  516. 16:40Shouting about China is not a compelling
  517. 16:42argument.
  518. 16:44Okay? Telling us that this technology
  519. 16:46might destroy civilization, but it's
  520. 16:47going to happen anyway, so oh well, also
  521. 16:49not a compelling argument.
  522. 16:52So this is an issue we can't escape. And
  523. 16:53if Democrats are the only ones taking it
  524. 16:55seriously and trying to come up with
  525. 16:56solutions, even if you think they're bad
  526. 16:58solutions, and ultimately their
  527. 16:59solutions will be bad, we were pretty
  528. 17:01confident about that,
  529. 17:03if they're the only ones doing it
  530. 17:04though, they will win.
  531. 17:06Okay?
  532. 17:07And when we talk about Democrats
  533. 17:08winning, we don't just mean on the
  534. 17:09national level. To understand the total
  535. 17:11picture, you need to consider what
  536. 17:12happened on Tuesday at the state level.
  537. 17:15But before we get into the bad news,
  538. 17:16we'll we'll I mean get back to the bad
  539. 17:18news, I suppose. We'll start with with
  540. 17:20the one note of optimism
  541. 17:22that I can find. You know, pretty much
  542. 17:23the only bright spot is that in various
  543. 17:25ballot initiatives, and this is
  544. 17:26significant, voters made some good
  545. 17:29conservative decisions even in places
  546. 17:31where you wouldn't expect it.
  547. 17:32So voters in Washington State, Arizona,
  548. 17:35Colorado, and Nebraska voted to ban
  549. 17:37so-called trans athletes, meaning male
  550. 17:39athletes in women's sports.
  551. 17:41[snorts] Although Colorado and
  552. 17:42Washington are still counting votes,
  553. 17:43that's where it looks like it's headed
  554. 17:45right now.
  555. 17:46Uh, 52% of voters in exit polls said
  556. 17:48that trans rights, quote unquote, have
  557. 17:49gone too far. Meanwhile, voter ID
  558. 17:51requirements
  559. 17:53passed by landslide margins in Nevada by
  560. 17:5525 points, North Carolina by 20 points,
  561. 17:57Ohio by 31 points.
  562. 17:59So even though Republicans lost major
  563. 18:00statewide races in all three of these
  564. 18:02states,
  565. 18:03there was still overwhelming support for
  566. 18:04the same ballot measures that
  567. 18:05conservatives have been demanding in
  568. 18:07some form or another for several years.
  569. 18:10In fact, Democrats won the Senate race
  570. 18:12in North Carolina by 20 points, but a
  571. 18:13constitutional amendment requiring voter
  572. 18:15ID passed by the same large margin of 20
  573. 18:18points.
  574. 18:20And this the amendment specifically
  575. 18:22requires all voters, not just those
  576. 18:23presenting uh to vote in person, to
  577. 18:26present photo identification before
  578. 18:28voting.
  579. 18:30It passed overwhelmingly along with
  580. 18:31amendments to cap property taxes and
  581. 18:33income taxes. These are all conservative
  582. 18:35ideas that are passing with strong
  583. 18:36margins even as voters went for the
  584. 18:38Democrat candidate, which not to bring
  585. 18:40us back to the negative part of it, but
  586. 18:42that also makes it all the more
  587. 18:43frustrating that the SAVE Act
  588. 18:45was never passed by Republicans because
  589. 18:47you see how overwhelmingly popular it
  590. 18:49is.
  591. 18:50That is a major piece of of legislation
  592. 18:53would be a major victory that they could
  593. 18:54have done and it would have been hugely
  594. 18:57popular on both sides of the aisle.
  595. 19:01And they didn't even do that.
  596. 19:03They didn't even pass a popular
  597. 19:07piece of legislation with bipartisan
  598. 19:09support.
  599. 19:10Maybe not bipartisan support in
  600. 19:12Congress, but bipartisan support among
  601. 19:14normal people.
  602. 19:15They didn't even do that.
  603. 19:18Along the same lines in California of
  604. 19:19all places, voters overwhelmingly
  605. 19:20projected a wealth tax on billionaires,
  606. 19:22which the socialists had been demanding.
  607. 19:24The vote was something like 55 to 45
  608. 19:26against the wealth tax. That was
  609. 19:27Proposition 40.
  610. 19:29And not only that, by the same margin,
  611. 19:31voters in California also passed a ban,
  612. 19:33Proposition 42, on new state personal
  613. 19:35property taxes and certain retroactive
  614. 19:37state taxes.
  615. 19:39Basically, Prop 42 would prevent any
  616. 19:41wealth taxes in the future, including
  617. 19:42new state taxes on personal assets,
  618. 19:44including retirement accounts,
  619. 19:45investments, and business interests. So
  620. 19:47this was a total loss for the socialists
  621. 19:49on a major part of their platform
  622. 19:51in a very left-wing state.
  623. 19:54Meanwhile, voters in Wisconsin voted to
  624. 19:55end DEI, a measure passed 56 to 43 that
  625. 19:59quote prohibits government entities from
  626. 20:00discriminating or granting preferential
  627. 20:02treatment based on race, sex, color,
  628. 20:03ethnicities, or national origin in
  629. 20:05public employment, education,
  630. 20:06contracting, and administration.
  631. 20:08So this is all very good news on a day
  632. 20:10that was disastrous overall for
  633. 20:12Republicans. Even in a massive blue wave
  634. 20:14election where Democrats completely
  635. 20:16dominated Republicans and flipped Texas
  636. 20:18and even a seat in Mississippi, voters
  637. 20:20still made it clear
  638. 20:22that they don't like taxes. They don't
  639. 20:24want to cave to
  640. 20:26the insane demands of transactivists.
  641. 20:28They don't want DEI. Uh, they don't want
  642. 20:30voter fraud.
  643. 20:32We've reached the point where ordinary
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  718. 22:56So how do we explain why Republicans
  719. 22:57were demolished
  720. 23:00even as voters expressed a preference
  721. 23:01for various conservative principles and
  722. 23:03agenda items?
  723. 23:05[snorts]
  724. 23:06Well, the answer to that might there's
  725. 23:07is multifaceted, but
  726. 23:09the primary answer seems pretty obvious.
  727. 23:11It's because this election was mainly
  728. 23:13about the fact
  729. 23:15that a lot of people now hate
  730. 23:17Donald Trump.
  731. 23:19He's always been despised
  732. 23:21by a huge number of Americans, but he
  733. 23:23used to also have a huge, extremely
  734. 23:24enthusiastic fan base to counteract it.
  735. 23:27Well, now that fan base has dwindled to
  736. 23:29some degree,
  737. 23:31which it was always going to.
  738. 23:32You you can't maintain that level of
  739. 23:34political enthusiasm
  740. 23:36indefinitely. Nobody can.
  741. 23:39And so but without that, he's now left
  742. 23:41being the most despised politician of
  743. 23:44our lifetime.
  744. 23:45I mean, he is.
  745. 23:48Now, on the one hand,
  746. 23:49that's a pretty demoralizing
  747. 23:50realization. A lot of people, myself
  748. 23:52included, supported Trump. We had very
  749. 23:54high hopes for the second term in
  750. 23:55office. We took him seriously when he
  751. 23:57said at the inauguration that we would
  752. 23:58enter a golden age, one where, quote,
  753. 24:01our power will stop all wars and bring a
  754. 24:03new spirit of unity to a world that has
  755. 24:05been angry, violent, and totally
  756. 24:06unpredictable.
  757. 24:08And
  758. 24:10even if we didn't actually believe that
  759. 24:11he would literally end all wars
  760. 24:13and usher in a utopia,
  761. 24:16the general idea of he's not going to
  762. 24:18start new wars, things will generally
  763. 24:19get better, I mean, that 's why you
  764. 24:21supported him.
  765. 24:23And we were listening when he said,
  766. 24:24quote, we will measure our success not
  767. 24:26only by the battles we win, but also by
  768. 24:28the wars that we end, and perhaps most
  769. 24:29importantly,
  770. 24:30the wars we never get into.
  771. 24:33Watch.
  772. 24:34>> Like in 2017, we will again build the
  773. 24:37strongest military the world has ever
  774. 24:39seen.
  775. 24:41We will measure our success not only by
  776. 24:43the battles we win,
  777. 24:45but also by the wars that we end, and
  778. 24:47perhaps most importantly, the wars we
  779. 24:50never get into.
  780. 24:52[applause]
  781. 24:55We will be a nation like no other, full
  782. 24:57of compassion, courage, and
  783. 24:58exceptionalism.
  784. 25:00Our power will stop all wars and bring a
  785. 25:03new spirit of unity to a world that has
  786. 25:06been angry, violent, and totally
  787. 25:08unpredictable.
  788. 25:10America will be respected again and
  789. 25:12admired again.
  790. 25:14>> So that's what we were promised.
  791. 25:16What we got instead was an extreme
  792. 25:18degree of unpredictability along with a
  793. 25:20new war. Uh we got new tariffs every
  794. 25:22other week, sending the stock market
  795. 25:24crashing. We were told about
  796. 25:25new cease fires with Iran every couple
  797. 25:27of days, even though none of them meant
  798. 25:28anything.
  799. 25:30You know, by my count, I think we won
  800. 25:31the war about 500 times since it
  801. 25:33started.
  802. 25:35And here's the important thing.
  803. 25:36The states by rejecting Trump also
  804. 25:38empowered Democrats to a degree that
  805. 25:40most people don't comprehend at the
  806. 25:41moment.
  807. 25:42You know, these state-level takeovers
  808. 25:43are a much bigger deal than people
  809. 25:45realize, and they could dramatically
  810. 25:47change the way elections are conducted
  811. 25:48going forward. It's true that Democrats
  812. 25:50didn't totally dominate every state.
  813. 25:51Republicans have kept their majority in
  814. 25:53uh the state senate in in Texas, for
  815. 25:55example. So the new Democrat governor
  816. 25:56won't be able to destroy the state
  817. 25:58overnight, but
  818. 25:59their victories in states like Georgia,
  819. 26:00North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin,
  820. 26:02Ohio, Michigan, and Nevada in addition
  821. 26:04to Texas
  822. 26:05lay the groundwork for a major change in
  823. 26:06our elections going forward. Pretty much
  824. 26:08every presidential swing state
  825. 26:10is now controlled to one degree or
  826. 26:11another by Democrats.
  827. 26:13And here's one way to count it, which
  828. 26:14was posted by Nate Silver.
  829. 26:18Uh says if the remaining results go as
  830. 26:19expected, Democrats will hold
  831. 26:21governorships in states totaling 392
  832. 26:24electoral votes.
  833. 26:26So put another way, around 75% of
  834. 26:28America will have a Democrat governor.
  835. 26:30That is a staggering takeover.
  836. 26:32And the implications are massive.
  837. 26:35For one thing, Democrats are going to
  838. 26:36gerrymander
  839. 26:38every congressional district to ensure
  840. 26:39that they never lose the House majority
  841. 26:41ever again. They're also going to change
  842. 26:42how elections are administered since
  843. 26:43that generally falls within the
  844. 26:45authority of the states.
  845. 26:46That means they're going to push the
  846. 26:47adoption of mail-in ballots and absentee
  847. 26:49voting everywhere along with the ballot
  848. 26:50harvesting and late voting.
  849. 26:52Remember what we saw with Cam Higby and
  850. 26:53James O'Keefe earlier this week when
  851. 26:55they walked into a polling place in
  852. 26:56Minnesota
  853. 26:57and were allowed to vouch for nine
  854. 26:59others with no uh nine other voters with
  855. 27:01no ID.
  856. 27:03That's going to happen everywhere.
  857. 27:04They're also going to try to allow as
  858. 27:05much fraud as possible by getting rid of
  859. 27:07ID requirements.
  860. 27:09Although as we just discussed, voters in
  861. 27:10in in a few states have passed
  862. 27:11amendments that prevent that.
  863. 27:14There's another election-related
  864. 27:15downside to Democrat control over so
  865. 27:17many states,
  866. 27:18which is that we could see the end of
  867. 27:20the Electoral College in the near
  868. 27:21future.
  869. 27:22The Electoral College was set up by the
  870. 27:24founders because they understood that
  871. 27:25direct democracy and a popular vote
  872. 27:28wouldn't be consistent with federalism
  873. 27:29where each state has its own interests
  874. 27:31that deserve representation.
  875. 27:33Democrats of course oppose the Electoral
  876. 27:34College because a large portion of their
  877. 27:36base,
  878. 27:37communists and foreigners, live in
  879. 27:38concentrated areas
  880. 27:40where the Electoral College, you know,
  881. 27:42dilutes their vote.
  882. 27:44And to that end, there's something
  883. 27:45called the National Popular Vote
  884. 27:47Interstate Compact you should know about
  885. 27:49where states would award their electoral
  886. 27:52votes to whatever candidate wins the
  887. 27:53nationwide popular vote
  888. 27:56regardless of what candidate actually
  889. 27:57wins the individual state.
  890. 27:59And states have individually passed this
  891. 28:01compact into law. Uh the compact
  892. 28:03activates only when participating states
  893. 28:05plus DC collectively possess at least
  894. 28:07270 electoral votes.
  895. 28:09Already 18 states plus DC have enacted
  896. 28:11the compact representing 220
  897. 28:14of the necessary 270 electoral votes.
  898. 28:17And now after Tuesday, they're going to
  899. 28:19have enough to hit the 270 threshold.
  900. 28:23So this is from Axios.
  901. 28:26Quote, Democrats sweeping state houses
  902. 28:27uh
  903. 28:28gains Tuesday have opened a path to
  904. 28:31effectively replacing the Electoral
  905. 28:32College with a national popular vote in
  906. 28:35time for the 2028 presidential election
  907. 28:37without needing to amend the
  908. 28:38Constitution. Democrats have won control
  909. 28:40of the governorship and both legislative
  910. 28:42chambers in Pennsylvania, Michigan,
  911. 28:44Arizona, Wisconsin, and Nevada.
  912. 28:46Enough to push an agreement called the
  913. 28:48National Popular Vote Interstate Compact
  914. 28:50um beyond the 270 vote threshold
  915. 28:52required to take effect. The five states
  916. 28:54would still need to enact the compact.
  917. 28:56It's not clear if it will be a priority
  918. 28:59for the new Democratic states.
  919. 29:02This is one of the reasons a
  920. 29:02conservative Supreme Court is important.
  921. 29:05As Axios points out, various law
  922. 29:07professors have argued the compact is
  923. 29:08unconstitutional without congressional
  924. 29:10approval
  925. 29:11under the compact clause of the
  926. 29:13Constitution which prevents states from
  927. 29:14entering into agreements with each other
  928. 29:16without the consent of Congress.
  929. 29:18But if Democrats are able to pack the
  930. 29:20Supreme Court,
  931. 29:21none of that matters.
  932. 29:23And of course, given that John Roberts
  933. 29:24and Amy Coney Barrett aren't really
  934. 29:25conservative,
  935. 29:27there's a chance they'll get it done
  936. 29:27anyway uh in time for the 2028 election.
  937. 29:31There's also a chance that Democrats
  938. 29:32fail to get this done. Michigan, as
  939. 29:34Axios points out, failed to enact the
  940. 29:36compact the last time Democrats
  941. 29:37controlled the state government.
  942. 29:39Nevada's Democratic governor vetoed the
  943. 29:41compact in 2019
  944. 29:42because he said it would reduce Nevada's
  945. 29:44influence in national elections, which
  946. 29:45is true.
  947. 29:47But 2026, as we've said so many times,
  948. 29:49is is very different from 2019.
  949. 29:53Democrats are far more unified than
  950. 29:55they've ever been.
  951. 29:56They will probably be willing to
  952. 29:58surrender their state's influence in
  953. 30:00exchange for the greater good of the
  954. 30:02party.
  955. 30:04So we should expect that this is going
  956. 30:05to happen.
  957. 30:07There are other major consequences of
  958. 30:09the Democrats' takeover of the states.
  959. 30:10The public school system is going to get
  960. 30:12even worse without a doubt. Even though
  961. 30:14it may seem physically impossible for it
  962. 30:15to get worse, it will.
  963. 30:17This is the new governor of Texas, a
  964. 30:19woman named Gina Hinojosa.
  965. 30:23And listen to this.
  966. 30:25>> And we will work tirelessly to repair
  967. 30:28the damage of the Texas voucher scam.
  968. 30:32[cheering]
  969. 30:35And at end era in which our schools are
  970. 30:38sold for parts.
  971. 30:41[cheering]
  972. 30:42This is a victory for the parents of
  973. 30:45Texas.
  974. 30:47We are taking our children's education
  975. 30:50back from a government that has failed
  976. 30:52them.
  977. 30:54[cheering]
  978. 30:57Schools will not be taken out of our
  979. 30:59control. They will not be shuttered or
  980. 31:03sumbicated.
  981. 31:04[cheering]
  982. 31:06[applause]
  983. 31:07Being a parent is hard enough
  984. 31:11without carrying the burden of a
  985. 31:13government's failures.
  986. 31:17To the children of Texas,
  987. 31:21your schools will not close.
  988. 31:24[cheering]
  989. 31:26You will be invested in and you
  990. 31:30>> So she's describing vouchers as a scam,
  991. 31:32which makes no sense whatsoever.
  992. 31:34Vouchers are actually the opposite of a
  993. 31:35scam. They allow parents to make the
  994. 31:37choice to send their children to good
  995. 31:39schools or to homeschool their children
  996. 31:41instead of sending them to the crappy
  997. 31:42public schools in Texas, which rank near
  998. 31:44the bottom of the country.
  999. 31:46The only reason Democrats oppose
  1000. 31:48vouchers is that they recognize that
  1001. 31:49when parents have a choice, they
  1002. 31:50generally don't prefer to subject their
  1003. 31:52children to the unionized, illiterate
  1004. 31:54school teachers who staff the public
  1005. 31:56schools in Texas.
  1006. 31:58So now the unions are just going to shut
  1007. 31:59the vouchers down and force parents to
  1008. 32:02send their children to those
  1009. 32:03non-competitive, dilapidated, useless
  1010. 32:05schools,
  1011. 32:07where by the way, the children will be
  1012. 32:08encouraged to adopt fake genders in lieu
  1013. 32:09of a of learning to read, you know.
  1014. 32:11And this is going to play out all over
  1015. 32:12the country in in in in the states
  1016. 32:14Democrats have just flipped.
  1017. 32:16For some historical context, the last
  1018. 32:18time the South was solid blue,
  1019. 32:21Democrats held Congress almost
  1020. 32:22continuously
  1021. 32:24from the 1930s until 1994.
  1022. 32:28From 1952 to 1992, they counter they
  1023. 32:30were counterbalanced with an an
  1024. 32:31unusually high number of Republican
  1025. 32:33presidents who checked their power.
  1026. 32:36Though it's worth noting that the
  1027. 32:37parties weren't really ideological back
  1028. 32:39then to the same degree.
  1029. 32:41Um, the exception was in the 1960s
  1030. 32:43obviously, which ended up being
  1031. 32:44transformative
  1032. 32:46and not in a good way.
  1033. 32:48And we're in for another transformative
  1034. 32:49period over the next few years. There's
  1035. 32:51no question.
  1036. 32:53So what could a Republican
  1037. 32:54administration do in 2028 assuming
  1038. 32:56Democrats retain control of Congress and
  1039. 32:58assuming the composition of the Supreme
  1040. 33:00Court stays the same?
  1041. 33:02Well, their main tool would probably
  1042. 33:03have to be executive powers, which is
  1043. 33:05the current administration. You know,
  1044. 33:07that's what they have been doing and
  1045. 33:09using effectively.
  1046. 33:10For example, Trump has capped legal
  1047. 33:12immigration through executive power and
  1048. 33:14implemented successful border policies
  1049. 33:16through executive order.
  1050. 33:1810 years of low immigration will
  1051. 33:20actually have a major impact that could
  1052. 33:22be very significant electorally
  1053. 33:24and we shouldn't discount that.
  1054. 33:27But to win, it's going to take someone
  1055. 33:31really good, okay? To state the obvious.
  1056. 33:33Someone who understands the moment we're
  1057. 33:35in.
  1058. 33:37Okay, someone who has not just the right
  1059. 33:39policy ideas, but the skill to
  1060. 33:40communicate them in a compelling and
  1061. 33:43authentic way. It has never been more
  1062. 33:45necessary for politicians, especially
  1063. 33:47those with national ambitions
  1064. 33:49to be or at least seem
  1065. 33:51authentic
  1066. 33:53and and articulate and persuasive off
  1067. 33:56the cuff.
  1068. 33:58Now this new generation of Democrats
  1069. 34:01does include a number of people who even
  1070. 34:03though they're totally wrong on the
  1071. 34:04issues and also evil
  1072. 34:07are able to speak and engage with the
  1073. 34:08public in a way that to most people
  1074. 34:10feels genuine and unscripted.
  1075. 34:13You know, there's a number of these
  1076. 34:15younger Democrats who are very skilled
  1077. 34:18politicians and communicators.
  1078. 34:21Any Republican who lacks that skill,
  1079. 34:25no matter how right they are on the
  1080. 34:26issues, is not a real contender.
  1081. 34:30You know, you might have been able to
  1082. 34:31get away
  1083. 34:32decades ago with
  1084. 34:34being a successful politician, even a
  1085. 34:36president who can 't communicate that
  1086. 34:37well.
  1087. 34:39You you we we had a Republican
  1088. 34:40president.
  1089. 34:42In the early 2000s that applied to.
  1090. 34:45And then we had another one in the 2000s
  1091. 34:47that it also applied to.
  1092. 34:48But things are changing now. And and
  1093. 34:50timing matters also. Timing is
  1094. 34:52everything in politics, as they say.
  1095. 34:54Uh, some of the Republicans who might
  1096. 34:56rush in to claim the mantle
  1097. 34:58are just simply too late.
  1098. 35:00You know, they had their chance and
  1099. 35:01missed it.
  1100. 35:03And that list includes, but certainly is
  1101. 35:05not limited to.
  1102. 35:07And we just have to be honest about this
  1103. 35:09as we as we are cuz the the the the task
  1104. 35:11right now is to find who are the who's
  1105. 35:13going to carry the mantle, who the
  1106. 35:14leader is going to be.
  1107. 35:16And we got to be very clear about this.
  1108. 35:18So
  1109. 35:19John Thune.
  1110. 35:21No, he's a worthless leader in the
  1111. 35:23Senate. It's not going to be him.
  1112. 35:25It's not going to be Ted Cruz, who I
  1113. 35:27like, but also was an architect of the
  1114. 35:29Iran war, is closely tied to the Trump
  1115. 35:30brand, had his chance in 2016.
  1116. 35:34It's not going to be him. It's not going
  1117. 35:35to be Thomas Massie, who was rejected by
  1118. 35:36his own primary voters.
  1119. 35:39And and also it's not going to be Donald
  1120. 35:40Trump Jr., who has about as much chance
  1121. 35:42of winning the presidency as as Jeb Bush
  1122. 35:44did.
  1123. 35:45The public isn't moving on from the
  1124. 35:47Trump brand.
  1125. 35:48And that would be true even if we hadn't
  1126. 35:50just gotten blown out.
  1127. 35:51The Trump name has dominated the
  1128. 35:53political discussion and steered the
  1129. 35:54Republican ship for the past decade.
  1130. 35:56It's not going to steer it for the next
  1131. 35:57decade, and it shouldn't.
  1132. 36:00Okay, cuz this is America. We don't do
  1133. 36:01dynasties, you know, we don't do
  1134. 36:03monarchies. So we're we're we're moving
  1135. 36:05on now.
  1136. 36:07The problem is that
  1137. 36:10at this stage, there aren't a lot of
  1138. 36:11obvious contenders. Uh, maybe more will
  1139. 36:14materialize. And if that's going to
  1140. 36:16happen,
  1141. 36:17it better happen soon. The battle for
  1142. 36:192028 starts officially right now.
  1143. 36:22JD Vance is clearly a contender,
  1144. 36:24although he faces the extraordinarily
  1145. 36:25difficult task of presenting himself as
  1146. 36:27a new leader with a new vision,
  1147. 36:29distancing himself from Trump's failures
  1148. 36:31while not alienating Trump supporters.
  1149. 36:34Not going to be an easy tightrope. It's
  1150. 36:36not impossible.
  1151. 36:37Vance is a talented politician, so he
  1152. 36:39could he could pull it off.
  1153. 36:41Um, even as his task is complicated even
  1154. 36:43further by the that Trump will happily
  1155. 36:45throw him under the bus
  1156. 36:47if if Vance goes too far in trying to
  1157. 36:49draw distinctions between himself and
  1158. 36:50Trump.
  1159. 36:51So the high wire act for Vance is even
  1160. 36:53higher and the rope even thinner than it
  1161. 36:56first appears and and yet again
  1162. 36:59I certainly wouldn't count him out.
  1163. 37:00Another contender is Ron De Santis.
  1164. 37:03Now in the case of De Santis you could
  1165. 37:04make the argument
  1166. 37:06from a political perspective that he
  1167. 37:08missed his window too. You know timing
  1168. 37:09is everything and
  1169. 37:11he had a shot and and
  1170. 37:13didn't do it and
  1171. 37:15now it's not your time, you know?
  1172. 37:17And maybe that will ultimately turn out
  1173. 37:18to be the case but it's also true
  1174. 37:20that he was the best Republican governor
  1175. 37:22in the country and is perhaps the only
  1176. 37:24legitimate Republican success story in
  1177. 37:27the entire country right now.
  1178. 37:29Whether he's able to seize the moment or
  1179. 37:31not remains to be seen but
  1180. 37:34he clearly understands the moment
  1181. 37:37um and we're going to play two clips
  1182. 37:39here to show that but watch.
  1183. 37:40>> Let's just be clear about what happened
  1184. 37:43last night.
  1185. 37:45This is close to an extinction level
  1186. 37:47event for Republicans in many parts of
  1187. 37:50the country as we have seen probably in
  1188. 37:52the last 100 years. In January
  1189. 37:56when everyone in office leaves who are
  1190. 37:59either term limited or got voted out of
  1191. 38:02the 10 largest states in this union
  1192. 38:05only one state
  1193. 38:07will have Republican control of their
  1194. 38:09state,
  1195. 38:10the state of Florida.
  1196. 38:12>> Well you know here's the problem that
  1197. 38:14that when people would say that and if
  1198. 38:16you're going to do huge conservative
  1199. 38:19things that are going to reorient the
  1200. 38:20country for a generation fine but I saw
  1201. 38:23no indication that the current group of
  1202. 38:26Republican senators were interested in
  1203. 38:29doing that type of bold conservative
  1204. 38:31change. I mean why haven't we done
  1205. 38:33immigration, shut off H1B visas? Why
  1206. 38:37haven't we codified Trump's immigration
  1207. 38:39executive orders? They're so why haven't
  1208. 38:42we stripped jurisdiction from the
  1209. 38:44federal courts over deportation cases?
  1210. 38:47There's so many things that could have
  1211. 38:48been done. They didn't even attempt it,
  1212. 38:50Laura. They would say, oh, if only we
  1213. 38:52needed 50 votes, we would have done it.
  1214. 38:54You don't have 50 votes for doing
  1215. 38:56conservative things. You've never shown
  1216. 38:58that you'll do conservative things even
  1217. 39:00with 50 votes. So I hear you. I'd love
  1218. 39:02to see all this great stuff being done.
  1219. 39:04I just never saw an indication that they
  1220. 39:06did it. And look, this midterm, no
  1221. 39:09question was a rebuke of the president
  1222. 39:12and the Congress by Democrats,
  1223. 39:15independents, and some some Republicans
  1224. 39:16across the board. But a lot of our
  1225. 39:18voters who stayed home, they stayed home
  1226. 39:21because they were frustrated with the
  1227. 39:23lack of productivity from Republicans in
  1228. 39:26the House and Senate. That's just the
  1229. 39:28fact. They were promised big things and
  1230. 39:31they didn't deliver it. So it's really
  1231. 39:33both sides of Pennsylvania Avenue. It's
  1232. 39:35not just one.
  1233. 39:37>> So Ron De Santis, a real contender.
  1234. 39:40This is the approach we need to adopt if
  1235. 39:42we're going to have any chance of
  1236. 39:43bringing this country back from the
  1237. 39:44brink. Republicans have to actually
  1238. 39:45demonstrate
  1239. 39:47the same level of commitment as
  1240. 39:48Democrats.
  1241. 39:51You know, we don't really need anymore
  1242. 39:55trolling. We We don't We don't need
  1243. 39:57anymore
  1244. 39:58Like we we don't need a a president. We
  1245. 40:01don't need leaders in the in the on the
  1246. 40:03political scene who who we think are
  1247. 40:05like funny and entertaining.
  1248. 40:10These people are not here to entertain
  1249. 40:11us.
  1250. 40:12There's there's enough entertainment out
  1251. 40:13there. We We don't really need that from
  1252. 40:14our politicians. I don't need you to be
  1253. 40:16funny. I don't need you to entertain me.
  1254. 40:19I don't need you to be relatable.
  1255. 40:21I mean, you do need to come off as
  1256. 40:22authentic as we talked about,
  1257. 40:24but I I don't need to feel like you're
  1258. 40:26my friend.
  1259. 40:29I don't need you to be a a troll, you
  1260. 40:30know.
  1261. 40:31We need a candidate who understands the
  1262. 40:33stakes and takes them seriously.
  1263. 40:36And for his part, JD Vance put out a
  1264. 40:37surprisingly honest and comprehensive
  1265. 40:39assessment of the election.
  1266. 40:41Here's part of it.
  1267. 40:43It's worth going. He posted this on X.
  1268. 40:44It's worth going and and reading the
  1269. 40:46whole thing. But he said, the real
  1270. 40:47reason we lost is obvious to almost
  1271. 40:48everyone. Another pollster, one of the
  1272. 40:50smartest people I know in politics, told
  1273. 40:51me yesterday,
  1274. 40:52we lose the generic ballot by 13 points.
  1275. 40:55I felt negative going into Tuesday, but
  1276. 40:56even I was shocked by this. In his
  1277. 40:58polling, he saw that a lot of Trump 2024
  1278. 41:00for voters were angry and planning to
  1279. 41:02vote for Democrats. He asked those
  1280. 41:03voters who had abandoned us,
  1281. 41:05what would cause them to come back on
  1282. 41:06our team?
  1283. 41:08The top four answers accounting for
  1284. 41:09nearly all the responses were
  1285. 41:12one, end the war. Two, focus on cost of
  1286. 41:14living
  1287. 41:15uh slash inflation. Three, put America
  1288. 41:17first. Four, change our relationship to
  1289. 41:19Israel.
  1290. 41:20In the next few months, there's going to
  1291. 41:21be a lot of gaslighting. Expect to hear
  1292. 41:23any number of establishment politicians
  1293. 41:25say the solution to our woes is amnesty.
  1294. 41:28I'm open to the idea that we should
  1295. 41:29change enforcement by focusing more on
  1296. 41:31business than uh businesses that hire
  1297. 41:33illegal labor, for instance. But anyone
  1298. 41:35pushing amnesty is lying to you. The
  1299. 41:37reason we lost is the war. The president
  1300. 41:39himself said so last night. If you like
  1301. 41:41to argue it was worth it, that losing
  1302. 41:42the Senate for the next six years was
  1303. 41:44worth it, then do so. Argue it was a
  1304. 41:46worthwhile cost to pay, agree or
  1305. 41:47disagree, that's at least honest.
  1306. 41:50But everyone knows why we lost.
  1307. 41:53Now this is maybe the most thorough and
  1308. 41:55honest diagnosis of an election defeat
  1309. 41:57that we've ever seen from a politician
  1310. 41:58at Vance's level.
  1311. 42:01And he's right.
  1312. 42:02Now you can quibble with some factors
  1313. 42:03Vance left out, the terrorists for
  1314. 42:05example, but
  1315. 42:06it's a diagnosis that even Trump himself
  1316. 42:08seemed to agree with.
  1317. 42:10Now at the same time, we can't
  1318. 42:11underestimate the extent to which
  1319. 42:12Democrats will undermine themselves
  1320. 42:15in the interim.
  1321. 42:16Uh the president usually gets the blame
  1322. 42:18when things go wrong, but given the
  1323. 42:19scale of the Democrat takeover,
  1324. 42:22they're going to be in the spotlight to
  1325. 42:23an unusual degree, and they've taken on
  1326. 42:25some jobs that they clearly can't
  1327. 42:26handle.
  1328. 42:27Does anyone seriously think Keisha Lance
  1329. 42:29Bottoms is going to be a competent
  1330. 42:31governor in Georgia?
  1331. 42:33Yes, exit polls and referendum outcomes
  1332. 42:35show that
  1333. 42:36this wasn't ideological confirmation of
  1334. 42:38Democrats, so uh so much as was just a
  1335. 42:40total rejection of Trump.
  1336. 42:42But
  1337. 42:44Democrats aren't going to see it that
  1338. 42:45way.
  1339. 42:46Okay, they're going to think it was a a
  1340. 42:48validation of their agenda and they're
  1341. 42:50going to enact it ruthlessly as as they
  1342. 42:52do, as we've established.
  1343. 42:54And and there's a high chance they
  1344. 42:56overplay their hand. Will Texas try to
  1345. 42:58ban AR-15s?
  1346. 43:00Maybe they will.
  1347. 43:02But it's important to point out that in
  1348. 43:03the past,
  1349. 43:05Democrat self-immolation was largely the
  1350. 43:07result
  1351. 43:09uh at least on the national scale of
  1352. 43:11frivolous and baseless investigations
  1353. 43:13and impeachments
  1354. 43:15targeted mainly at Trump.
  1355. 43:18The investigations and impeachments will
  1356. 43:20happen again.
  1357. 43:22Will they all be frivolous and baseless
  1358. 43:24this time?
  1359. 43:25I guess we're going to find out.
  1360. 43:28You know, one way or another, if
  1361. 43:29Democrats are able to coax Republicans
  1362. 43:31into spending the next two years
  1363. 43:33circling the wagons around the Trump
  1364. 43:35administration and defending whatever
  1365. 43:37they dig up,
  1366. 43:39we're going to lose.
  1367. 43:41We have to look forward.
  1368. 43:43Meanwhile, the administration can deal
  1369. 43:45with its own messes.
  1370. 43:48That's not really our job,
  1371. 43:51and we shouldn't be focused on that.
  1372. 43:53You know, it is weird, for example, that
  1373. 43:55the Trump family has made hundreds of
  1374. 43:57millions of dollars on a crypto scheme
  1375. 44:00while Trump is in office.
  1376. 44:02Democrats are going to have a field day.
  1377. 44:04They've already made this clear. They've
  1378. 44:05already announced this. They're going to
  1379. 44:06have a field day ripping that to shreds.
  1380. 44:09That's going to be one of the first
  1381. 44:10things they do is look into this crypto
  1382. 44:12stuff.
  1383. 44:14Looking for any laws that may have been
  1384. 44:15violated.
  1385. 44:17I have no idea if they'll find any
  1386. 44:19laws violated or not. I'm not a lawyer.
  1387. 44:23But it's not my job to defend the
  1388. 44:24president's crypto scheme.
  1389. 44:26And I won't, and neither should you.
  1390. 44:27This is another thing that could go
  1391. 44:28wrong for Republicans over the next two
  1392. 44:30years.
  1393. 44:32Because there's a lot of conservatives
  1394. 44:33saying, oh yeah, they're going to go
  1395. 44:34they're going to go way too far. They're
  1396. 44:34going to investigate and, you know,
  1397. 44:36they're going to turn people against
  1398. 44:37them.
  1399. 44:38Maybe.
  1400. 44:40But what we have to be careful about is
  1401. 44:41that as they start doing that,
  1402. 44:43conservatives get distracted by feeling
  1403. 44:45like they have to defend
  1404. 44:47but no, it is okay for the president to
  1405. 44:48have a crypto scheme.
  1406. 44:51Mm.
  1407. 44:53Now, that's we we don't have to defend
  1408. 44:54that.
  1409. 44:55He can deal with that on his own. That
  1410. 44:56was his choice. Profiting to the tune of
  1411. 44:58hundreds of millions on a secretive and
  1412. 45:00volatile industry that your own
  1413. 45:02administration regulates is really
  1414. 45:03weird.
  1415. 45:05It doesn't look good. Even if it's
  1416. 45:06legal, it might be an issue for Trump.
  1417. 45:09It's not our issue.
  1418. 45:11We have to focus on the future.
  1419. 45:13That you know, he's got his own lawyers.
  1420. 45:15They'll figure that out.
  1421. 45:18But we're not going to spend our time
  1422. 45:19defending that kind of thing.
  1423. 45:20We don't have time for that.
  1424. 45:23Hosting for the holidays is largely an
  1425. 45:24exercise in pretending you were made to
  1426. 45:27command an army. There are meals to
  1427. 45:29prepare, rooms to clean, schedules to
  1428. 45:31coordinate, and relatives [snorts] who
  1429. 45:33will immediately ask, you know, where
  1430. 45:34you keep something that they are
  1431. 45:36standing right next to. All of this is
  1432. 45:38easier to manage when you're actually
  1433. 45:39sleeping well. In that sense, switching
  1434. 45:41to Helix, I'm sleeping much better and
  1435. 45:43no longer starting the day feeling like
  1436. 45:45I'm already several hours behind. Helix
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  1438. 45:49their two minute sleep quiz matches you
  1439. 45:51with the right one based on how you
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  1443. 45:59night sleep trial. That's an entire year
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  1445. 46:03you. Before [snorts] you prepare the
  1446. 46:04house for everyone else, improve the
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  1448. 46:08else. Go to helixsleep.com/walsh for up
  1449. 46:10to 30% off. That's helixsleep.com/walsh
  1450. 46:13for up to 30% off.
  1451. 46:17And we also have to concede that there
  1452. 46:18will be some luck involved and there
  1453. 46:20might be a a need to try some of our own
  1454. 46:22electoral shenanigans without breaking
  1455. 46:24the law, of course,
  1456. 46:26which is what Democrats just did in
  1457. 46:27Alaska.
  1458. 46:29For example, Republicans should
  1459. 46:30seriously consider voting in Democrat
  1460. 46:31primaries to get them to nominate Kamala
  1461. 46:34Harris again.
  1462. 46:36We should import as many conservative
  1463. 46:37voters from foreign countries as
  1464. 46:39possible and settle them in blue states,
  1465. 46:41which is fully within the power of the
  1466. 46:42federal government.
  1467. 46:44Congress can't interfere.
  1468. 46:47It's what the Democrats have been doing
  1469. 46:48for decades.
  1470. 46:51And most importantly, on a related note,
  1471. 46:52we need to find a way to get Texas back
  1472. 46:54in the Republican column. For many
  1473. 46:55years, Democrats would openly talk about
  1474. 46:57their plans to flip Texas. Here's Julian
  1475. 46:59Castro in 2013, for example. Watch.
  1476. 47:02>> In a couple of presidential cycles,
  1477. 47:04you'll be on election night, you'll be
  1478. 47:06announcing that we're calling the 38
  1479. 47:08electoral votes of Texas for the
  1480. 47:09Democratic nominee for president. It's
  1481. 47:12changing. It's going to become a purple
  1482. 47:13state and then a blue state because of
  1483. 47:15the demographics, because of the
  1484. 47:17population growth of folks from outside
  1485. 47:19of Texas.
  1486. 47:20>> Well, he was right. The party had a goal
  1487. 47:22and for more than a decade, really for
  1488. 47:24several decades, they pursued it.
  1489. 47:26And they won.
  1490. 47:28And I'm firmly in the camp that the GOP
  1491. 47:29has no future as a national party
  1492. 47:31without Texas.
  1493. 47:33You know, I'm aware of the fact that in
  1494. 47:342024 Trump would have won the
  1495. 47:36presidential presidential election
  1496. 47:37without Texas,
  1497. 47:39but that's only because Democrats ran
  1498. 47:41the weakest candidate in a century, an
  1499. 47:42alcoholic who could barely speak
  1500. 47:44English, who spent half of her campaign
  1501. 47:45talking about coconut trees and
  1502. 47:47the urgent need for taxpayer-funded sex
  1503. 47:49changes for illegal aliens in prison.
  1504. 47:52Uh if Democrats had run an actual
  1505. 47:54candidate,
  1506. 47:55Trump would have needed Texas to win.
  1507. 47:58It's an essential part of the of the
  1508. 47:59political map for the GOP.
  1509. 48:01Now, I'm not prepared to say that Texas
  1510. 48:03is now permanently blue or necessarily
  1511. 48:05will be blue in the presidential
  1512. 48:07election. Uh
  1513. 48:08if it is permanently blue, then
  1514. 48:12the Republican Party is done.
  1515. 48:14We just can't accept that reality
  1516. 48:15because if it's permanently blue, then
  1517. 48:17the Republican Party is done.
  1518. 48:18It really is over at that point.
  1519. 48:21You cannot be a legitimate national
  1520. 48:22political party if your only path to
  1521. 48:24victory
  1522. 48:25is hoping that the other team runs the
  1523. 48:28worst candidate in the history of the
  1524. 48:29universe
  1525. 48:30and then hoping the map works out
  1526. 48:31exactly correctly and you can squeak out
  1527. 48:34a win with a razor-thin margin, which
  1528. 48:36again is the only way Republicans can
  1529. 48:39win without Texas. This is not a viable
  1530. 48:41long-term strategy.
  1531. 48:43We need then a comprehensive plan as
  1532. 48:45quickly as possible for how to win Texas
  1533. 48:47back.
  1534. 48:48And based on the fact that Hispanics
  1535. 48:49went overwhelmingly for Trump in 2024
  1536. 48:51and broke sharply against them on
  1537. 48:52Tuesday,
  1538. 48:53it's fair to conclude that the showy
  1539. 48:55public ice enforcement theater
  1540. 48:58wasn't a good political strategy.
  1541. 49:01You know, sending Christy Noem out
  1542. 49:03face caked in makeup, dressed like the
  1543. 49:06Tomb Raider, to call as much attention
  1544. 49:08as possible to your deportation efforts
  1545. 49:10was a very stupid political move.
  1546. 49:14So as Vance said, it's probably a good
  1547. 49:15idea to try some alternative approaches,
  1548. 49:17starting with going after businesses
  1549. 49:18that hire illegals, which is something
  1550. 49:19we've been talking about for months on
  1551. 49:21this show.
  1552. 49:22Doesn't mean amnesty.
  1553. 49:24Um and it doesn't mean we stop deporting
  1554. 49:26illegal aliens.
  1555. 49:28After all, Trump won the Hispanic vote
  1556. 49:29in Texas in 2024 and his entire platform
  1557. 49:31was deporting illegals.
  1558. 49:34Tom Homan stood up at the RNC and told
  1559. 49:35illegals to pack their bags, and it
  1560. 49:37didn't hurt Trump in Texas at all.
  1561. 49:40But there are smarter and more strategic
  1562. 49:41ways to go about it.
  1563. 49:43Continue the deportations, don't call
  1564. 49:45attention to them on purpose.
  1565. 49:47Um
  1566. 49:48that's one change that should happen
  1567. 49:49immediately. And And while we're at it,
  1568. 49:51we need to lift any tariffs that are
  1569. 49:52currently affecting Texas in any way,
  1570. 49:54including tariffs on automobiles,
  1571. 49:56copper, steel, aluminum, Canadian
  1572. 49:58imports, lumber, etc.
  1573. 50:01We should obviously end the war in Iran,
  1574. 50:03cut off Ukraine unless they stop bombing
  1575. 50:05Russian fuel infrastructure, which is
  1576. 50:07raising the price of fuel for everybody.
  1577. 50:10These are all steps that might help get
  1578. 50:11some voters in Texas back on board.
  1579. 50:14It's clear that Greg Abbott in the White
  1580. 50:15House took Texas for granted,
  1581. 50:18and that simply can't happen anymore.
  1582. 50:21The Trump the Trump era ended
  1583. 50:24in disaster
  1584. 50:25because of apathy.
  1585. 50:27And Trump gave up, and he's not even
  1586. 50:29hiding it anymore, which is why he's
  1587. 50:30still talking about his ballroom.
  1588. 50:31Yesterday, hours after the worst
  1589. 50:32Republican midterm defeat of all time,
  1590. 50:35Trump was busy giving reporters a tour
  1591. 50:37of his White House renovations.
  1592. 50:42It's baffling
  1593. 50:44until you realize that Trump isn't at
  1594. 50:46all concerned about securing the future
  1595. 50:47of the Republican Party or the
  1596. 50:48conservative movement. So what's needed
  1597. 50:50now
  1598. 50:51is a Republican candidate who is not 80
  1599. 50:53years old,
  1600. 50:54who has some connection to everyday
  1601. 50:56Americans who are suffering in this
  1602. 50:57economy,
  1603. 50:59who actually has something
  1604. 51:01relevant to say when he starts talking.
  1605. 51:04You know, there was some charm to
  1606. 51:05Trump's kind of rambling discursive
  1607. 51:07communication strategies in in the early
  1608. 51:09years.
  1609. 51:10But nowadays, when Americans hear the
  1610. 51:11president on stage talking about some
  1611. 51:13guy's ass,
  1612. 51:15they're tired of it.
  1613. 51:16They're not amused.
  1614. 51:18And they want a leader who takes the job
  1615. 51:20seriously and communicates like an
  1616. 51:22adult.
  1617. 51:23And believe it or not, these are not
  1618. 51:25unattainable wish list items. They're
  1619. 51:26actually very achievable goals.
  1620. 51:29But we're on the clock.
  1621. 51:31We have less than two years to find the
  1622. 51:32polar opposite of John Thune.
  1623. 51:35We have two years to find an America
  1624. 51:36First candidate who actually understands
  1625. 51:38what America First means.
  1626. 51:40We need someone new to come down the
  1627. 51:42escalator and and and put an end to the
  1628. 51:44Democrat-led plunder of our country,
  1629. 51:46which is going to continue unabated for
  1630. 51:47the next two years.
  1631. 51:48What what we have,
  1632. 51:50which Democrats don't, is a coherent
  1633. 51:52understanding of what America is
  1634. 51:54and who Americans are.
  1635. 51:57And to win, we need to do what Donald
  1636. 51:58Trump promised to do all the way back in
  1637. 52:002016.
  1638. 52:01We need to oust the establishment
  1639. 52:03politicians without becoming them. We
  1640. 52:05need to protect our job and housing
  1641. 52:06markets from the foreign flood.
  1642. 52:10And ultimately, and most importantly,
  1643. 52:12we have to be able to look every
  1644. 52:13American in the eye, particularly all
  1645. 52:14the white guys that have been demonized
  1646. 52:16for the better part of the past century,
  1647. 52:19and explain to them how we can help them
  1648. 52:21get a job and afford a house.
  1649. 52:24And if we can do that, we'll win.
  1650. 52:27If we can't, we won't.
  1651. 52:29And we won't deserve to.
  1652. 52:32Uh before we wrap up, I also want to
  1653. 52:33mention that next week, Confession, the
  1654. 52:35movie Confession comes out on Daily
  1655. 52:37Wire. It's um
  1656. 52:39it's a legitimately good movie. It's
  1657. 52:40exactly
  1658. 52:42what we need to be making uh especially
  1659. 52:44in a time like this. And if you're a a
  1660. 52:45member and
  1661. 52:47want to see it with an audience, you can
  1662. 52:49go to Daily Wire and claim your free
  1663. 52:50ticket to watch it in theaters. It'll be
  1664. 52:52available in theaters I think for just
  1665. 52:53one day. So make sure you go
  1666. 52:55and claim those tickets.
  1667. 52:57And we will talk to you on uh Monday.
  1668. 53:00Have a great weekend. Godspeed.
  1669. 53:06>> [music]
  1670. 53:09>> Father, I used to feel Christ.
  1671. 53:14I cannot feel anything here.
  1672. 53:26>> They take me out of my bed
  1673. 53:29and they brought me here and they tell
  1674. 53:30me nothing.
  1675. 53:31>> What have I done?
  1676. 53:32>> Article 58
  1677. 53:33counter revolutionary activity.
  1678. 53:36>> That is all I know.
  1679. 53:37>> They have to deal with so many enemies
  1680. 53:40of the state, all of whom claim their
  1681. 53:42innocence, who protest, who cry.
  1682. 53:48>> [panting]
  1683. 53:52>> There are no answers here.
  1684. 53:56Other than the ones they put in your
  1685. 53:57mouth.
  1686. 53:58>> You'll break.
  1687. 54:01Today is your opportunity to demonstrate
  1688. 54:04your loyalty to the people.
  1689. 54:08>> I'd like to know why I'm here.
  1690. 54:10>> Of course.
  1691. 54:13But you already know, don't you?
  1692. 54:15>> Must believe in something greater than
  1693. 54:18the party.
  1694. 54:20>> You will remember your duty.
  1695. 54:21>> I've told you I know nothing.
  1696. 54:23>> Play ground like a feral animal.
  1697. 54:27>> You stink of failure.
  1698. 54:28>> You want me to lie.
  1699. 54:30>> STILL A DRUNK. DAMN YOU!
  1700. 54:34>> They all break.
  1701. 54:38>> Maybe.
  1702. 54:42>> [music]

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