The Country Will Change Dramatically If We Don't Get This Right In 2028 | Ep. 1869 — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00Without fail, every couple of years,
- 0:01we're told that we're in the midst of
- 0:03the single most important election cycle
- 0:05in the history of the country. Now, it's
- 0:07good marketing for one thing, you know,
- 0:09a handy way for media outlets to
- 0:11generate some interest in their election
- 0:12coverage.
- 0:13Plus, it plays on our natural human bias
- 0:15to believe that everything that's
- 0:16happening right now is more important
- 0:19than anything that's happened before.
- 0:21After all, no one wants to feel like
- 0:23they're living through a boring period
- 0:24of history, so we're all very familiar
- 0:27with this kind of hyperbole. And as a
- 0:29result,
- 0:30because we hear it so often, we
- 0:31generally tune it out. You know, we're
- 0:33told it's the most important election
- 0:35cycle ever
- 0:37over and over and over again, and we
- 0:38just ignore it.
- 0:40Well, after what happened on Tuesday, we
- 0:42have to get out of that habit effective
- 0:44immediately
- 0:45because there is no doubt that 2028 will
- 0:48indeed be a pivotal election cycle
- 0:51unlike anything else we've ever seen. It
- 0:54will be make or break
- 0:56for the United States as we know it.
- 0:59And we've heard that a million times,
- 1:00but but this time it is actually true.
- 1:03And for the next two years, Donald Trump
- 1:05can use the veto power to shut down the
- 1:07Democrats' worst legislation. After
- 1:09that,
- 1:10our future is entirely in the hands of
- 1:12the next president. Should a socialist
- 1:14Democrat win, there will be nothing
- 1:16stopping Democrats from packing the
- 1:18courts, adding new states, nationalizing
- 1:20critical industries,
- 1:21opening the borders, all of which they
- 1:23have promised to do explicitly the
- 1:25moment they return to power, and they
- 1:26will do.
- 1:27And if you doubt any of that, take a
- 1:29look at this exit poll.
- 1:3033% of voters had a strongly or somewhat
- 1:33favorable view of socialism, and
- 1:35virtually all of them were Democrats.
- 1:3712% of voters had a somewhat unfavorable
- 1:40view of socialism, meaning they
- 1:42saw some value in the ideology.
- 1:4573% of those voters were Democrats.
- 1:48Meanwhile, among the 41% of voters who
- 1:50had a strongly unfavorable view of
- 1:52socialism, 85% of them were Republicans.
- 1:56So it's not an overstatement to say that
- 1:58the Democrat Party is of socialism at
- 2:00this point. It is.
- 2:02And when they take power,
- 2:05they'll do what socialists always do.
- 2:06They will destroy the economy and
- 2:08eliminate their political opponents
- 2:10among other things.
- 2:12The nightmare scenario at the moment is
- 2:14that we go into 2028 with an unpopular
- 2:16president
- 2:17and then we face a similar wipeout to
- 2:19what just happened on Tuesday. I'm
- 2:20talking about a wipeout so substantial
- 2:23the Democrats won't even need to abolish
- 2:24the filibuster to assume complete
- 2:26control over the government.
- 2:28There is precedent for this, of course.
- 2:29Those of us who experienced 06 and then
- 2:3208,
- 2:33we know that.
- 2:35And in this nightmare scenario, the
- 2:36Democrats would win the White House with
- 2:38a super majority in Congress and in that
- 2:40scenario
- 2:41they don't need to nuke the filibuster,
- 2:42you know? They can add DC and Puerto
- 2:45Rico as states
- 2:47which happens with majority votes. It's
- 2:49surprisingly easy to add a new state
- 2:52and they will.
- 2:53And then they become politically
- 2:54invincible for all intents and purposes.
- 2:57It's over. The Republicans will never
- 2:58win again.
- 2:59They'll pursue federal cases against
- 3:01conservative politicians, activists, and
- 3:03public figures. People will go to jail
- 3:06because when they have power
- 3:09they wield it. You know, this is this is
- 3:11a a a new new deal kind of revolution
- 3:13that's brewing. It'll be unlike anything
- 3:15we've seen in American politics in our
- 3:17lifetimes. It would be utterly
- 3:18catastrophic in every conceivable way.
- 3:22So in the meantime
- 3:23over the next two years, we know exactly
- 3:25what's coming. Democrats will get into
- 3:27office and immediately start
- 3:28investigating Trump and his officials
- 3:30and anyone else they can think of. There
- 3:33will be impeachments.
- 3:35At least a few Trump officials are
- 3:37probably going down.
- 3:38Already they're talking about issuing
- 3:40subpoenas to the DHS Secretary and every
- 3:42ICE official who enforced immigration
- 3:44laws.
- 3:45The harassment will be relentless.
- 3:46They'll bankrupt as many Trump officials
- 3:48and advisors as they can. They'll run up
- 3:50the legal fee just like they did after
- 3:51January 6th.
- 3:53It'll be a reminder of just how weak and
- 3:55ineffective Republicans were when they
- 3:56when they had control of both houses of
- 3:58Congress.
- 4:00Republicans had the chance to root out
- 4:01Democrat corruption, but they chose to
- 4:03do nothing.
- 4:04They had the chance to systematically
- 4:06dismantle and destroy left-wing radicals
- 4:08and their networks and funders, and they
- 4:10didn't.
- 4:11Charlie's murder should have led to a
- 4:14ruthless nationwide crackdown on
- 4:15left-wing extremism, but it didn't.
- 4:18So Democrats will turn around and do all
- 4:20the things that Republicans were too
- 4:21scared to do.
- 4:23And if they win the presidency,
- 4:24they're going to finish what Charlie
- 4:26Kirk's assassins started. They're going
- 4:27to imprison, kill, or otherwise
- 4:29neutralize
- 4:31any conservative who would challenge
- 4:33them.
- 4:34And it's really worth harping on this
- 4:36point for just a moment.
- 4:37Charlie was murdered,
- 4:39the most shocking and consequential
- 4:40political assassination since JFK.
- 4:44And uh
- 4:46and this was not far off the heels of of
- 4:49Donald Trump's the the attempted
- 4:51assassination of Donald Trump.
- 4:54And this was even worse in some ways
- 4:55because many Americans spent the
- 4:57following months openly celebrating the
- 4:59murder.
- 5:00Republicans had the opportunity to
- 5:02respond to these events by rooting out
- 5:06the murderous leftists and the networks
- 5:08that fund and support them, but they
- 5:10didn't. If Democrats had been in office
- 5:12when one of their most prominent leaders
- 5:14was assassinated in front of a live
- 5:16audience on camera,
- 5:18the ruthless crackdown on right-wingers
- 5:20that followed
- 5:22would have made their January 6th
- 5:23prosecution seem like a walk in the
- 5:25park.
- 5:26But you know, because that's how they
- 5:27operate.
- 5:28And Republicans don't.
- 5:30They're also going to break every norm
- 5:33that idiot Republicans in Congress
- 5:34decided to honor over the past two
- 5:36years. Um and if you need evidence of
- 5:39that, here's Tallarico, the incoming
- 5:42senator from Texas, making it explicit.
- 5:44Listen.
- 5:45>> He says in the Senate you would vote to
- 5:46abolish the filibuster.
- 5:48>> Yes.
- 5:49I believe that the majority has the
- 5:51right to govern in this country, and the
- 5:53filibuster, which is not in the
- 5:55Constitution, it's a Jim Crow relic. It
- 5:58is uh it is leading to gridlock in our
- 6:01nation's capital. It's why we can't
- 6:03bring down the cost of groceries and gas
- 6:06and utilities and healthcare. It's why
- 6:08we can't get this economy back on track.
- 6:10And so I believe the majority, whether
- 6:11it's a Democratic majority or a
- 6:13Republican majority, should have the
- 6:14right to govern.
- 6:16>> Well, we all knew this was coming.
- 6:17Republicans in Congress pretended
- 6:19otherwise and
- 6:21now Democrats are making it explicit. So
- 6:23hearing this,
- 6:25you know, give me one reason why John
- 6:26Thune and the GOP majority in the Senate
- 6:29don't abolish the filibuster and pass
- 6:32the SAVE Act right now.
- 6:34They're still in power for a few more
- 6:35months.
- 6:37They can get a lot done.
- 6:39You know, they don't have to stop with
- 6:40the SAVE Act. Republicans could pass a
- 6:41nationwide ban on funding for child sex
- 6:44sex change operations, which we've been
- 6:46demanding for years. No reason why they
- 6:48can't just do that.
- 6:50They could
- 6:51codify every single one of Trump's
- 6:54executive orders. They could block
- 6:56state-level attempts to interfere with
- 6:57Elon Musk's companies
- 6:59and any other company owned by a
- 7:00conservative. They could punish
- 7:02sanctuary cities, expand oil and gas
- 7:04development,
- 7:05cut funding for DEI, pass nationwide
- 7:07legislation to protect gun owners from
- 7:09arrest as they cross state lines, etc.
- 7:11There's a lot they could do.
- 7:13The Republican majority in Congress
- 7:14until it's gone in January can pass all
- 7:16of this by a strict majority vote if
- 7:18they abolish the filibuster. So why
- 7:19aren't they doing it?
- 7:21Why aren't they even attempting to do
- 7:22it?
- 7:24Why aren't they calling on Alito and
- 7:25Thomas to resign immediately so we can
- 7:27appoint replacements as soon as
- 7:28possible?
- 7:30Republicans simply don't have any
- 7:31interest in fighting. They have no
- 7:32agenda, no purpose.
- 7:35And Democrats are, on the other hand,
- 7:37very interested in fighting and winning.
- 7:39They're ruthless, violent, more
- 7:40empowered than they've ever been.
- 7:43And they'll tear the country apart piece
- 7:44by piece until no Republicans are left
- 7:46if they're allowed to do it.
- 7:47If we allow 2028
- 7:502026 to be a precursor to something
- 7:51worse than 2028.
- 7:53But we don't have to and that's what
- 7:54we're going to talk about.
- 7:57They are also, we should say right now,
- 7:58the Democrats focused on at least one
- 8:01important issue that Republicans are all
- 8:03but entirely ignoring. Yesterday on the
- 8:04show I said that, you you AI did not
- 8:06show up in the exit polls, but by 2028
- 8:09it'll be the top issue for a majority of
- 8:10voters.
- 8:12I was actually wrong.
- 8:13I hadn't seen the NBC exit poll which
- 8:15found that already even as AI has only
- 8:18just started to wipe out jobs, it's a
- 8:20major factor for a majority of voters
- 8:22now.
- 8:2456% of voters said that AI and data
- 8:26centers were a crucial or major factor
- 8:28in their vote.
- 8:3056% already.
- 8:32And most of the people who considered it
- 8:33a crucial or major factor voted for
- 8:35Democrats.
- 8:36So I was wrong about the exit polls. It
- 8:38It did show up, but even more right
- 8:40about the overall point than I realized.
- 8:42AI is a central political issue right
- 8:44now.
- 8:46And this will be even more the case in
- 8:47coming years.
- 8:49Republicans have been nothing short of
- 8:51abysmal
- 8:53on this issue.
- 8:55You can't You can't punt on this issue.
- 8:58To call Trump's handling of it tone deaf
- 9:00would be far too generous.
- 9:02Voters are extremely worried about the
- 9:05mass unemployment that has already
- 9:07started due to this technology.
- 9:09If your only response is to suggest a
- 9:11fun little new nickname for AI, you will
- 9:14get obliterated in every election now
- 9:16and forever. Pro AI cultism
- 9:20is not a viable political position.
- 9:23Okay, it just isn't.
- 9:25Here's a post from Congresswoman
- 9:27Yassamin Ansari of Arizona
- 9:31the other day
- 9:32just to show you what they're doing on
- 9:34the other side when it comes to this.
- 9:36And there were a lot of conservative
- 9:38influencers responding to this and and
- 9:40in a very critical way and kind of
- 9:42mocking it. [snorts]
- 9:44Well, here's what she said, quote,
- 9:45top of the Democratic agenda on day one
- 9:47needs to be a pause on advanced AI
- 9:49development, regulation of this out of
- 9:51control industry, and a ban on
- 9:53artificial super intelligence.
- 9:56Now, I don't know anything about
- 9:57Congresswoman Yassamin Ansari, but I can
- 10:00guess with a fair amount of confidence
- 10:02that I disagree with almost every
- 10:03position she has ever held on any topic.
- 10:05And yet on this topic,
- 10:07there are two things you need to
- 10:08understand you're a Republican, okay?
- 10:12First,
- 10:13this is a winning political message.
- 10:16Okay, what I just read to you, that's
- 10:18a winning political message. That's a
- 10:19fact. You may not like it, but it's
- 10:21true. The inverse of this, don't
- 10:23regulate AI at all, don't slow down its
- 10:26advancement at all, don't put any
- 10:27controls in place, embrace super
- 10:29intelligence without hesitation, data
- 10:31centers are wonderful and we should
- 10:32build a billion more of them,
- 10:34is a political message that will get you
- 10:36trounced
- 10:38in every election from now to Kingdom
- 10:39Come.
- 10:41That's the political reality.
- 10:44And that part of it's not up for debate.
- 10:46Okay, that simply is what it is. An AI
- 10:48maximalist presidential candidate
- 10:51will not win in 2028. Period.
- 10:56But the other thing about this post from
- 10:57this congresswoman,
- 10:59and this is something that we'll have
- 11:00plenty of time to expand on in the
- 11:01future,
- 11:02and this is the part that will be really
- 11:04hard for some of you to accept,
- 11:06but you need to,
- 11:07is that
- 11:09the post I just read there is not just a
- 11:10political winner, it's also mostly right
- 11:13on the merits, okay?
- 11:15Now let's go through it
- 11:16briefly.
- 11:17Should we regulate the industry?
- 11:20Okay, she laid out three things. One of
- 11:22them was regulate the industry. Should
- 11:23we regulate the industry?
- 11:26Yes. I mean, obviously.
- 11:29Are there Republicans actually
- 11:30suggesting it should have no
- 11:31regulations? What's the other option? No
- 11:33regulations?
- 11:35Just let Sam Altman and his billionaire
- 11:37friends do literally whatever they want
- 11:39with no rules governing them?
- 11:41That can't really be anyone's position,
- 11:43can it? I mean, that's an insane
- 11:45position. We can debate what the
- 11:46regulation should be. I'm sure Democrats
- 11:48have some terrible ideas for
- 11:49regulations. They usually do. Not every
- 11:52suggested regulation will be good.
- 11:55Okay, but clearly there need to be some
- 11:57regulations.
- 12:00Okay, a platform that says we need a
- 12:02totally unregulated
- 12:04trillion dollar AI industry is madness.
- 12:08I mean, that's political suicide.
- 12:11That's totally crazy.
- 12:13So yes, of course there need to be some
- 12:15regulations. Republicans need to be the
- 12:17ones to come up with the sensible and
- 12:19rational regulations.
- 12:23Okay, we're going to we're going to I
- 12:24know if you're a Republican or you're
- 12:25conservative, the word regulation makes
- 12:27you really it it it makes your tummy
- 12:28hurt. It makes you really upset. You
- 12:30don't like to talk about but obviously
- 12:32there are regulations.
- 12:34There can be too many, there can be bad
- 12:36ones. All that is true.
- 12:39But
- 12:40but
- 12:41the idea that there should be zero is is
- 12:43childish nonsense.
- 12:45Um and so it's up to Republicans to come
- 12:47up with a sensible rational sensible and
- 12:49rational regulations or else Democrats
- 12:51will impose unsensible and irrational
- 12:53ones.
- 12:54But again, don't regulate them at all is
- 12:56the crazy delusional cucked position of
- 12:59someone who thinks we should just sit
- 13:00back and let trillion dollar tech
- 13:02companies have their way with our
- 13:04civilization, our country, our lives,
- 13:05and our children's futures. Clearly that
- 13:07can't be it.
- 13:09Okay.
- 13:09What about pausing AI development as she
- 13:12was a
- 13:13one of the things she suggested?
- 13:14Well, an across the board pause on all
- 13:17AI development is a bad idea. That is
- 13:20also childish and silly.
- 13:22Um but slowing down certain types of AI
- 13:24development is probably a good idea.
- 13:26That's a debate we can have, but
- 13:27Republicans need to be in the debate.
- 13:31That's the point.
- 13:32And as for what types should be slowed
- 13:34down, well that brings us to our third
- 13:35point, banning super intelligence.
- 13:38Should we do that? Well,
- 13:40this is where Trump's insistence on
- 13:42rebranding AI as SI is not just
- 13:45superfluous and stupid, it's also
- 13:47harmful in a material and significant
- 13:49way because it confuses the
- 13:51conversation. This is a very important
- 13:53conversation that it and and the terms
- 13:55need to be clear to people. People need
- 13:56to understand what we're talking about.
- 13:59We can't afford for people to be
- 14:00confused.
- 14:02But a lot of conservatives don't know
- 14:03what's meant by super intelligence
- 14:05because Trump insists that all AI is
- 14:07already super intelligence. That's not
- 14:09the case. So when they hear ban super
- 14:12intelligence, they think it means ban
- 14:14ChatGPT.
- 14:16But that's not what that means.
- 14:18Okay, ChatGPT is not super intelligent.
- 14:21Super intelligence is not
- 14:23artificial intelligence itself. Super
- 14:25intelligence is the hypothetical final
- 14:28stage of artificial intelligence
- 14:30development where it becomes cognitively
- 14:32superior to human beings in every
- 14:34conceivable way
- 14:36and is recursive in that it can improve
- 14:39and develop and remake itself without
- 14:41human involvement.
- 14:43Okay, at
- 14:45at the point where super intelligence
- 14:46emerges, that's what super intelligence
- 14:48would be, and at the point where it
- 14:49emerges emerges
- 14:51the technology by definition is outside
- 14:54of human control
- 14:56because it will be smarter than humans
- 14:58and developing without humans, and so
- 15:00there will be no way to put any reliable
- 15:02controls on it.
- 15:05So should we ban big tech companies
- 15:09from creating
- 15:10not AI, but creating specifically a
- 15:13self-perpetuating
- 15:15alien super mind that evolves on its own
- 15:18and would be by definition out of our
- 15:20control, leaving us at its mercy and
- 15:22helpless to program or meaningfully
- 15:24guide it in any way?
- 15:25Should we tell them they can't do that?
- 15:28Yes, clearly we should.
- 15:31Okay, tech companies should not be
- 15:32allowed to fundamentally alter the
- 15:34course of human civilization and create
- 15:36a species of intelligence that could
- 15:37enslave us if it wanted to. Why should
- 15:40they have the right to upend and
- 15:42possibly destroy human society itself?
- 15:45Which by the way, these companies are
- 15:46openly saying that
- 15:48that might be the result.
- 15:51Like who died and appointed these
- 15:53Silicon Valley weirdos to be emperors of
- 15:55the universe?
- 15:57Can we at least have a like can we have
- 15:59a say in that?
- 16:01You've got these AI billionaires who are
- 16:03sitting there just pontificating about
- 16:05all the ways that they are currently
- 16:07going to completely
- 16:09alter your life and your children's
- 16:11lives and and potentially for the worse.
- 16:15And we're supposed to sit back and say,
- 16:16well, okay, do whatever you want.
- 16:20Make the world into whatever you wanted
- 16:21to be. We're a giant video game for you
- 16:24people to play. Is that what we're
- 16:25supposed to say?
- 16:27If Republicans are going to take the
- 16:29opposite position, which I think is
- 16:30political death,
- 16:32and maybe more than just political
- 16:33death,
- 16:34uh, they better have a very, very
- 16:36compelling argument.
- 16:38But so far they don't.
- 16:40Shouting about China is not a compelling
- 16:42argument.
- 16:44Okay? Telling us that this technology
- 16:46might destroy civilization, but it's
- 16:47going to happen anyway, so oh well, also
- 16:49not a compelling argument.
- 16:52So this is an issue we can't escape. And
- 16:53if Democrats are the only ones taking it
- 16:55seriously and trying to come up with
- 16:56solutions, even if you think they're bad
- 16:58solutions, and ultimately their
- 16:59solutions will be bad, we were pretty
- 17:01confident about that,
- 17:03if they're the only ones doing it
- 17:04though, they will win.
- 17:06Okay?
- 17:07And when we talk about Democrats
- 17:08winning, we don't just mean on the
- 17:09national level. To understand the total
- 17:11picture, you need to consider what
- 17:12happened on Tuesday at the state level.
- 17:15But before we get into the bad news,
- 17:16we'll we'll I mean get back to the bad
- 17:18news, I suppose. We'll start with with
- 17:20the one note of optimism
- 17:22that I can find. You know, pretty much
- 17:23the only bright spot is that in various
- 17:25ballot initiatives, and this is
- 17:26significant, voters made some good
- 17:29conservative decisions even in places
- 17:31where you wouldn't expect it.
- 17:32So voters in Washington State, Arizona,
- 17:35Colorado, and Nebraska voted to ban
- 17:37so-called trans athletes, meaning male
- 17:39athletes in women's sports.
- 17:41[snorts] Although Colorado and
- 17:42Washington are still counting votes,
- 17:43that's where it looks like it's headed
- 17:45right now.
- 17:46Uh, 52% of voters in exit polls said
- 17:48that trans rights, quote unquote, have
- 17:49gone too far. Meanwhile, voter ID
- 17:51requirements
- 17:53passed by landslide margins in Nevada by
- 17:5525 points, North Carolina by 20 points,
- 17:57Ohio by 31 points.
- 17:59So even though Republicans lost major
- 18:00statewide races in all three of these
- 18:02states,
- 18:03there was still overwhelming support for
- 18:04the same ballot measures that
- 18:05conservatives have been demanding in
- 18:07some form or another for several years.
- 18:10In fact, Democrats won the Senate race
- 18:12in North Carolina by 20 points, but a
- 18:13constitutional amendment requiring voter
- 18:15ID passed by the same large margin of 20
- 18:18points.
- 18:20And this the amendment specifically
- 18:22requires all voters, not just those
- 18:23presenting uh to vote in person, to
- 18:26present photo identification before
- 18:28voting.
- 18:30It passed overwhelmingly along with
- 18:31amendments to cap property taxes and
- 18:33income taxes. These are all conservative
- 18:35ideas that are passing with strong
- 18:36margins even as voters went for the
- 18:38Democrat candidate, which not to bring
- 18:40us back to the negative part of it, but
- 18:42that also makes it all the more
- 18:43frustrating that the SAVE Act
- 18:45was never passed by Republicans because
- 18:47you see how overwhelmingly popular it
- 18:49is.
- 18:50That is a major piece of of legislation
- 18:53would be a major victory that they could
- 18:54have done and it would have been hugely
- 18:57popular on both sides of the aisle.
- 19:01And they didn't even do that.
- 19:03They didn't even pass a popular
- 19:07piece of legislation with bipartisan
- 19:09support.
- 19:10Maybe not bipartisan support in
- 19:12Congress, but bipartisan support among
- 19:14normal people.
- 19:15They didn't even do that.
- 19:18Along the same lines in California of
- 19:19all places, voters overwhelmingly
- 19:20projected a wealth tax on billionaires,
- 19:22which the socialists had been demanding.
- 19:24The vote was something like 55 to 45
- 19:26against the wealth tax. That was
- 19:27Proposition 40.
- 19:29And not only that, by the same margin,
- 19:31voters in California also passed a ban,
- 19:33Proposition 42, on new state personal
- 19:35property taxes and certain retroactive
- 19:37state taxes.
- 19:39Basically, Prop 42 would prevent any
- 19:41wealth taxes in the future, including
- 19:42new state taxes on personal assets,
- 19:44including retirement accounts,
- 19:45investments, and business interests. So
- 19:47this was a total loss for the socialists
- 19:49on a major part of their platform
- 19:51in a very left-wing state.
- 19:54Meanwhile, voters in Wisconsin voted to
- 19:55end DEI, a measure passed 56 to 43 that
- 19:59quote prohibits government entities from
- 20:00discriminating or granting preferential
- 20:02treatment based on race, sex, color,
- 20:03ethnicities, or national origin in
- 20:05public employment, education,
- 20:06contracting, and administration.
- 20:08So this is all very good news on a day
- 20:10that was disastrous overall for
- 20:12Republicans. Even in a massive blue wave
- 20:14election where Democrats completely
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- 20:18and even a seat in Mississippi, voters
- 20:20still made it clear
- 20:22that they don't like taxes. They don't
- 20:24want to cave to
- 20:26the insane demands of transactivists.
- 20:28They don't want DEI. Uh, they don't want
- 20:30voter fraud.
- 20:32We've reached the point where ordinary
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- 22:56So how do we explain why Republicans
- 22:57were demolished
- 23:00even as voters expressed a preference
- 23:01for various conservative principles and
- 23:03agenda items?
- 23:05[snorts]
- 23:06Well, the answer to that might there's
- 23:07is multifaceted, but
- 23:09the primary answer seems pretty obvious.
- 23:11It's because this election was mainly
- 23:13about the fact
- 23:15that a lot of people now hate
- 23:17Donald Trump.
- 23:19He's always been despised
- 23:21by a huge number of Americans, but he
- 23:23used to also have a huge, extremely
- 23:24enthusiastic fan base to counteract it.
- 23:27Well, now that fan base has dwindled to
- 23:29some degree,
- 23:31which it was always going to.
- 23:32You you can't maintain that level of
- 23:34political enthusiasm
- 23:36indefinitely. Nobody can.
- 23:39And so but without that, he's now left
- 23:41being the most despised politician of
- 23:44our lifetime.
- 23:45I mean, he is.
- 23:48Now, on the one hand,
- 23:49that's a pretty demoralizing
- 23:50realization. A lot of people, myself
- 23:52included, supported Trump. We had very
- 23:54high hopes for the second term in
- 23:55office. We took him seriously when he
- 23:57said at the inauguration that we would
- 23:58enter a golden age, one where, quote,
- 24:01our power will stop all wars and bring a
- 24:03new spirit of unity to a world that has
- 24:05been angry, violent, and totally
- 24:06unpredictable.
- 24:08And
- 24:10even if we didn't actually believe that
- 24:11he would literally end all wars
- 24:13and usher in a utopia,
- 24:16the general idea of he's not going to
- 24:18start new wars, things will generally
- 24:19get better, I mean, that 's why you
- 24:21supported him.
- 24:23And we were listening when he said,
- 24:24quote, we will measure our success not
- 24:26only by the battles we win, but also by
- 24:28the wars that we end, and perhaps most
- 24:29importantly,
- 24:30the wars we never get into.
- 24:33Watch.
- 24:34>> Like in 2017, we will again build the
- 24:37strongest military the world has ever
- 24:39seen.
- 24:41We will measure our success not only by
- 24:43the battles we win,
- 24:45but also by the wars that we end, and
- 24:47perhaps most importantly, the wars we
- 24:50never get into.
- 24:52[applause]
- 24:55We will be a nation like no other, full
- 24:57of compassion, courage, and
- 24:58exceptionalism.
- 25:00Our power will stop all wars and bring a
- 25:03new spirit of unity to a world that has
- 25:06been angry, violent, and totally
- 25:08unpredictable.
- 25:10America will be respected again and
- 25:12admired again.
- 25:14>> So that's what we were promised.
- 25:16What we got instead was an extreme
- 25:18degree of unpredictability along with a
- 25:20new war. Uh we got new tariffs every
- 25:22other week, sending the stock market
- 25:24crashing. We were told about
- 25:25new cease fires with Iran every couple
- 25:27of days, even though none of them meant
- 25:28anything.
- 25:30You know, by my count, I think we won
- 25:31the war about 500 times since it
- 25:33started.
- 25:35And here's the important thing.
- 25:36The states by rejecting Trump also
- 25:38empowered Democrats to a degree that
- 25:40most people don't comprehend at the
- 25:41moment.
- 25:42You know, these state-level takeovers
- 25:43are a much bigger deal than people
- 25:45realize, and they could dramatically
- 25:47change the way elections are conducted
- 25:48going forward. It's true that Democrats
- 25:50didn't totally dominate every state.
- 25:51Republicans have kept their majority in
- 25:53uh the state senate in in Texas, for
- 25:55example. So the new Democrat governor
- 25:56won't be able to destroy the state
- 25:58overnight, but
- 25:59their victories in states like Georgia,
- 26:00North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin,
- 26:02Ohio, Michigan, and Nevada in addition
- 26:04to Texas
- 26:05lay the groundwork for a major change in
- 26:06our elections going forward. Pretty much
- 26:08every presidential swing state
- 26:10is now controlled to one degree or
- 26:11another by Democrats.
- 26:13And here's one way to count it, which
- 26:14was posted by Nate Silver.
- 26:18Uh says if the remaining results go as
- 26:19expected, Democrats will hold
- 26:21governorships in states totaling 392
- 26:24electoral votes.
- 26:26So put another way, around 75% of
- 26:28America will have a Democrat governor.
- 26:30That is a staggering takeover.
- 26:32And the implications are massive.
- 26:35For one thing, Democrats are going to
- 26:36gerrymander
- 26:38every congressional district to ensure
- 26:39that they never lose the House majority
- 26:41ever again. They're also going to change
- 26:42how elections are administered since
- 26:43that generally falls within the
- 26:45authority of the states.
- 26:46That means they're going to push the
- 26:47adoption of mail-in ballots and absentee
- 26:49voting everywhere along with the ballot
- 26:50harvesting and late voting.
- 26:52Remember what we saw with Cam Higby and
- 26:53James O'Keefe earlier this week when
- 26:55they walked into a polling place in
- 26:56Minnesota
- 26:57and were allowed to vouch for nine
- 26:59others with no uh nine other voters with
- 27:01no ID.
- 27:03That's going to happen everywhere.
- 27:04They're also going to try to allow as
- 27:05much fraud as possible by getting rid of
- 27:07ID requirements.
- 27:09Although as we just discussed, voters in
- 27:10in in a few states have passed
- 27:11amendments that prevent that.
- 27:14There's another election-related
- 27:15downside to Democrat control over so
- 27:17many states,
- 27:18which is that we could see the end of
- 27:20the Electoral College in the near
- 27:21future.
- 27:22The Electoral College was set up by the
- 27:24founders because they understood that
- 27:25direct democracy and a popular vote
- 27:28wouldn't be consistent with federalism
- 27:29where each state has its own interests
- 27:31that deserve representation.
- 27:33Democrats of course oppose the Electoral
- 27:34College because a large portion of their
- 27:36base,
- 27:37communists and foreigners, live in
- 27:38concentrated areas
- 27:40where the Electoral College, you know,
- 27:42dilutes their vote.
- 27:44And to that end, there's something
- 27:45called the National Popular Vote
- 27:47Interstate Compact you should know about
- 27:49where states would award their electoral
- 27:52votes to whatever candidate wins the
- 27:53nationwide popular vote
- 27:56regardless of what candidate actually
- 27:57wins the individual state.
- 27:59And states have individually passed this
- 28:01compact into law. Uh the compact
- 28:03activates only when participating states
- 28:05plus DC collectively possess at least
- 28:07270 electoral votes.
- 28:09Already 18 states plus DC have enacted
- 28:11the compact representing 220
- 28:14of the necessary 270 electoral votes.
- 28:17And now after Tuesday, they're going to
- 28:19have enough to hit the 270 threshold.
- 28:23So this is from Axios.
- 28:26Quote, Democrats sweeping state houses
- 28:27uh
- 28:28gains Tuesday have opened a path to
- 28:31effectively replacing the Electoral
- 28:32College with a national popular vote in
- 28:35time for the 2028 presidential election
- 28:37without needing to amend the
- 28:38Constitution. Democrats have won control
- 28:40of the governorship and both legislative
- 28:42chambers in Pennsylvania, Michigan,
- 28:44Arizona, Wisconsin, and Nevada.
- 28:46Enough to push an agreement called the
- 28:48National Popular Vote Interstate Compact
- 28:50um beyond the 270 vote threshold
- 28:52required to take effect. The five states
- 28:54would still need to enact the compact.
- 28:56It's not clear if it will be a priority
- 28:59for the new Democratic states.
- 29:02This is one of the reasons a
- 29:02conservative Supreme Court is important.
- 29:05As Axios points out, various law
- 29:07professors have argued the compact is
- 29:08unconstitutional without congressional
- 29:10approval
- 29:11under the compact clause of the
- 29:13Constitution which prevents states from
- 29:14entering into agreements with each other
- 29:16without the consent of Congress.
- 29:18But if Democrats are able to pack the
- 29:20Supreme Court,
- 29:21none of that matters.
- 29:23And of course, given that John Roberts
- 29:24and Amy Coney Barrett aren't really
- 29:25conservative,
- 29:27there's a chance they'll get it done
- 29:27anyway uh in time for the 2028 election.
- 29:31There's also a chance that Democrats
- 29:32fail to get this done. Michigan, as
- 29:34Axios points out, failed to enact the
- 29:36compact the last time Democrats
- 29:37controlled the state government.
- 29:39Nevada's Democratic governor vetoed the
- 29:41compact in 2019
- 29:42because he said it would reduce Nevada's
- 29:44influence in national elections, which
- 29:45is true.
- 29:47But 2026, as we've said so many times,
- 29:49is is very different from 2019.
- 29:53Democrats are far more unified than
- 29:55they've ever been.
- 29:56They will probably be willing to
- 29:58surrender their state's influence in
- 30:00exchange for the greater good of the
- 30:02party.
- 30:04So we should expect that this is going
- 30:05to happen.
- 30:07There are other major consequences of
- 30:09the Democrats' takeover of the states.
- 30:10The public school system is going to get
- 30:12even worse without a doubt. Even though
- 30:14it may seem physically impossible for it
- 30:15to get worse, it will.
- 30:17This is the new governor of Texas, a
- 30:19woman named Gina Hinojosa.
- 30:23And listen to this.
- 30:25>> And we will work tirelessly to repair
- 30:28the damage of the Texas voucher scam.
- 30:32[cheering]
- 30:35And at end era in which our schools are
- 30:38sold for parts.
- 30:41[cheering]
- 30:42This is a victory for the parents of
- 30:45Texas.
- 30:47We are taking our children's education
- 30:50back from a government that has failed
- 30:52them.
- 30:54[cheering]
- 30:57Schools will not be taken out of our
- 30:59control. They will not be shuttered or
- 31:03sumbicated.
- 31:04[cheering]
- 31:06[applause]
- 31:07Being a parent is hard enough
- 31:11without carrying the burden of a
- 31:13government's failures.
- 31:17To the children of Texas,
- 31:21your schools will not close.
- 31:24[cheering]
- 31:26You will be invested in and you
- 31:30>> So she's describing vouchers as a scam,
- 31:32which makes no sense whatsoever.
- 31:34Vouchers are actually the opposite of a
- 31:35scam. They allow parents to make the
- 31:37choice to send their children to good
- 31:39schools or to homeschool their children
- 31:41instead of sending them to the crappy
- 31:42public schools in Texas, which rank near
- 31:44the bottom of the country.
- 31:46The only reason Democrats oppose
- 31:48vouchers is that they recognize that
- 31:49when parents have a choice, they
- 31:50generally don't prefer to subject their
- 31:52children to the unionized, illiterate
- 31:54school teachers who staff the public
- 31:56schools in Texas.
- 31:58So now the unions are just going to shut
- 31:59the vouchers down and force parents to
- 32:02send their children to those
- 32:03non-competitive, dilapidated, useless
- 32:05schools,
- 32:07where by the way, the children will be
- 32:08encouraged to adopt fake genders in lieu
- 32:09of a of learning to read, you know.
- 32:11And this is going to play out all over
- 32:12the country in in in in the states
- 32:14Democrats have just flipped.
- 32:16For some historical context, the last
- 32:18time the South was solid blue,
- 32:21Democrats held Congress almost
- 32:22continuously
- 32:24from the 1930s until 1994.
- 32:28From 1952 to 1992, they counter they
- 32:30were counterbalanced with an an
- 32:31unusually high number of Republican
- 32:33presidents who checked their power.
- 32:36Though it's worth noting that the
- 32:37parties weren't really ideological back
- 32:39then to the same degree.
- 32:41Um, the exception was in the 1960s
- 32:43obviously, which ended up being
- 32:44transformative
- 32:46and not in a good way.
- 32:48And we're in for another transformative
- 32:49period over the next few years. There's
- 32:51no question.
- 32:53So what could a Republican
- 32:54administration do in 2028 assuming
- 32:56Democrats retain control of Congress and
- 32:58assuming the composition of the Supreme
- 33:00Court stays the same?
- 33:02Well, their main tool would probably
- 33:03have to be executive powers, which is
- 33:05the current administration. You know,
- 33:07that's what they have been doing and
- 33:09using effectively.
- 33:10For example, Trump has capped legal
- 33:12immigration through executive power and
- 33:14implemented successful border policies
- 33:16through executive order.
- 33:1810 years of low immigration will
- 33:20actually have a major impact that could
- 33:22be very significant electorally
- 33:24and we shouldn't discount that.
- 33:27But to win, it's going to take someone
- 33:31really good, okay? To state the obvious.
- 33:33Someone who understands the moment we're
- 33:35in.
- 33:37Okay, someone who has not just the right
- 33:39policy ideas, but the skill to
- 33:40communicate them in a compelling and
- 33:43authentic way. It has never been more
- 33:45necessary for politicians, especially
- 33:47those with national ambitions
- 33:49to be or at least seem
- 33:51authentic
- 33:53and and articulate and persuasive off
- 33:56the cuff.
- 33:58Now this new generation of Democrats
- 34:01does include a number of people who even
- 34:03though they're totally wrong on the
- 34:04issues and also evil
- 34:07are able to speak and engage with the
- 34:08public in a way that to most people
- 34:10feels genuine and unscripted.
- 34:13You know, there's a number of these
- 34:15younger Democrats who are very skilled
- 34:18politicians and communicators.
- 34:21Any Republican who lacks that skill,
- 34:25no matter how right they are on the
- 34:26issues, is not a real contender.
- 34:30You know, you might have been able to
- 34:31get away
- 34:32decades ago with
- 34:34being a successful politician, even a
- 34:36president who can 't communicate that
- 34:37well.
- 34:39You you we we had a Republican
- 34:40president.
- 34:42In the early 2000s that applied to.
- 34:45And then we had another one in the 2000s
- 34:47that it also applied to.
- 34:48But things are changing now. And and
- 34:50timing matters also. Timing is
- 34:52everything in politics, as they say.
- 34:54Uh, some of the Republicans who might
- 34:56rush in to claim the mantle
- 34:58are just simply too late.
- 35:00You know, they had their chance and
- 35:01missed it.
- 35:03And that list includes, but certainly is
- 35:05not limited to.
- 35:07And we just have to be honest about this
- 35:09as we as we are cuz the the the the task
- 35:11right now is to find who are the who's
- 35:13going to carry the mantle, who the
- 35:14leader is going to be.
- 35:16And we got to be very clear about this.
- 35:18So
- 35:19John Thune.
- 35:21No, he's a worthless leader in the
- 35:23Senate. It's not going to be him.
- 35:25It's not going to be Ted Cruz, who I
- 35:27like, but also was an architect of the
- 35:29Iran war, is closely tied to the Trump
- 35:30brand, had his chance in 2016.
- 35:34It's not going to be him. It's not going
- 35:35to be Thomas Massie, who was rejected by
- 35:36his own primary voters.
- 35:39And and also it's not going to be Donald
- 35:40Trump Jr., who has about as much chance
- 35:42of winning the presidency as as Jeb Bush
- 35:44did.
- 35:45The public isn't moving on from the
- 35:47Trump brand.
- 35:48And that would be true even if we hadn't
- 35:50just gotten blown out.
- 35:51The Trump name has dominated the
- 35:53political discussion and steered the
- 35:54Republican ship for the past decade.
- 35:56It's not going to steer it for the next
- 35:57decade, and it shouldn't.
- 36:00Okay, cuz this is America. We don't do
- 36:01dynasties, you know, we don't do
- 36:03monarchies. So we're we're we're moving
- 36:05on now.
- 36:07The problem is that
- 36:10at this stage, there aren't a lot of
- 36:11obvious contenders. Uh, maybe more will
- 36:14materialize. And if that's going to
- 36:16happen,
- 36:17it better happen soon. The battle for
- 36:192028 starts officially right now.
- 36:22JD Vance is clearly a contender,
- 36:24although he faces the extraordinarily
- 36:25difficult task of presenting himself as
- 36:27a new leader with a new vision,
- 36:29distancing himself from Trump's failures
- 36:31while not alienating Trump supporters.
- 36:34Not going to be an easy tightrope. It's
- 36:36not impossible.
- 36:37Vance is a talented politician, so he
- 36:39could he could pull it off.
- 36:41Um, even as his task is complicated even
- 36:43further by the that Trump will happily
- 36:45throw him under the bus
- 36:47if if Vance goes too far in trying to
- 36:49draw distinctions between himself and
- 36:50Trump.
- 36:51So the high wire act for Vance is even
- 36:53higher and the rope even thinner than it
- 36:56first appears and and yet again
- 36:59I certainly wouldn't count him out.
- 37:00Another contender is Ron De Santis.
- 37:03Now in the case of De Santis you could
- 37:04make the argument
- 37:06from a political perspective that he
- 37:08missed his window too. You know timing
- 37:09is everything and
- 37:11he had a shot and and
- 37:13didn't do it and
- 37:15now it's not your time, you know?
- 37:17And maybe that will ultimately turn out
- 37:18to be the case but it's also true
- 37:20that he was the best Republican governor
- 37:22in the country and is perhaps the only
- 37:24legitimate Republican success story in
- 37:27the entire country right now.
- 37:29Whether he's able to seize the moment or
- 37:31not remains to be seen but
- 37:34he clearly understands the moment
- 37:37um and we're going to play two clips
- 37:39here to show that but watch.
- 37:40>> Let's just be clear about what happened
- 37:43last night.
- 37:45This is close to an extinction level
- 37:47event for Republicans in many parts of
- 37:50the country as we have seen probably in
- 37:52the last 100 years. In January
- 37:56when everyone in office leaves who are
- 37:59either term limited or got voted out of
- 38:02the 10 largest states in this union
- 38:05only one state
- 38:07will have Republican control of their
- 38:09state,
- 38:10the state of Florida.
- 38:12>> Well you know here's the problem that
- 38:14that when people would say that and if
- 38:16you're going to do huge conservative
- 38:19things that are going to reorient the
- 38:20country for a generation fine but I saw
- 38:23no indication that the current group of
- 38:26Republican senators were interested in
- 38:29doing that type of bold conservative
- 38:31change. I mean why haven't we done
- 38:33immigration, shut off H1B visas? Why
- 38:37haven't we codified Trump's immigration
- 38:39executive orders? They're so why haven't
- 38:42we stripped jurisdiction from the
- 38:44federal courts over deportation cases?
- 38:47There's so many things that could have
- 38:48been done. They didn't even attempt it,
- 38:50Laura. They would say, oh, if only we
- 38:52needed 50 votes, we would have done it.
- 38:54You don't have 50 votes for doing
- 38:56conservative things. You've never shown
- 38:58that you'll do conservative things even
- 39:00with 50 votes. So I hear you. I'd love
- 39:02to see all this great stuff being done.
- 39:04I just never saw an indication that they
- 39:06did it. And look, this midterm, no
- 39:09question was a rebuke of the president
- 39:12and the Congress by Democrats,
- 39:15independents, and some some Republicans
- 39:16across the board. But a lot of our
- 39:18voters who stayed home, they stayed home
- 39:21because they were frustrated with the
- 39:23lack of productivity from Republicans in
- 39:26the House and Senate. That's just the
- 39:28fact. They were promised big things and
- 39:31they didn't deliver it. So it's really
- 39:33both sides of Pennsylvania Avenue. It's
- 39:35not just one.
- 39:37>> So Ron De Santis, a real contender.
- 39:40This is the approach we need to adopt if
- 39:42we're going to have any chance of
- 39:43bringing this country back from the
- 39:44brink. Republicans have to actually
- 39:45demonstrate
- 39:47the same level of commitment as
- 39:48Democrats.
- 39:51You know, we don't really need anymore
- 39:55trolling. We We don't We don't need
- 39:57anymore
- 39:58Like we we don't need a a president. We
- 40:01don't need leaders in the in the on the
- 40:03political scene who who we think are
- 40:05like funny and entertaining.
- 40:10These people are not here to entertain
- 40:11us.
- 40:12There's there's enough entertainment out
- 40:13there. We We don't really need that from
- 40:14our politicians. I don't need you to be
- 40:16funny. I don't need you to entertain me.
- 40:19I don't need you to be relatable.
- 40:21I mean, you do need to come off as
- 40:22authentic as we talked about,
- 40:24but I I don't need to feel like you're
- 40:26my friend.
- 40:29I don't need you to be a a troll, you
- 40:30know.
- 40:31We need a candidate who understands the
- 40:33stakes and takes them seriously.
- 40:36And for his part, JD Vance put out a
- 40:37surprisingly honest and comprehensive
- 40:39assessment of the election.
- 40:41Here's part of it.
- 40:43It's worth going. He posted this on X.
- 40:44It's worth going and and reading the
- 40:46whole thing. But he said, the real
- 40:47reason we lost is obvious to almost
- 40:48everyone. Another pollster, one of the
- 40:50smartest people I know in politics, told
- 40:51me yesterday,
- 40:52we lose the generic ballot by 13 points.
- 40:55I felt negative going into Tuesday, but
- 40:56even I was shocked by this. In his
- 40:58polling, he saw that a lot of Trump 2024
- 41:00for voters were angry and planning to
- 41:02vote for Democrats. He asked those
- 41:03voters who had abandoned us,
- 41:05what would cause them to come back on
- 41:06our team?
- 41:08The top four answers accounting for
- 41:09nearly all the responses were
- 41:12one, end the war. Two, focus on cost of
- 41:14living
- 41:15uh slash inflation. Three, put America
- 41:17first. Four, change our relationship to
- 41:19Israel.
- 41:20In the next few months, there's going to
- 41:21be a lot of gaslighting. Expect to hear
- 41:23any number of establishment politicians
- 41:25say the solution to our woes is amnesty.
- 41:28I'm open to the idea that we should
- 41:29change enforcement by focusing more on
- 41:31business than uh businesses that hire
- 41:33illegal labor, for instance. But anyone
- 41:35pushing amnesty is lying to you. The
- 41:37reason we lost is the war. The president
- 41:39himself said so last night. If you like
- 41:41to argue it was worth it, that losing
- 41:42the Senate for the next six years was
- 41:44worth it, then do so. Argue it was a
- 41:46worthwhile cost to pay, agree or
- 41:47disagree, that's at least honest.
- 41:50But everyone knows why we lost.
- 41:53Now this is maybe the most thorough and
- 41:55honest diagnosis of an election defeat
- 41:57that we've ever seen from a politician
- 41:58at Vance's level.
- 42:01And he's right.
- 42:02Now you can quibble with some factors
- 42:03Vance left out, the terrorists for
- 42:05example, but
- 42:06it's a diagnosis that even Trump himself
- 42:08seemed to agree with.
- 42:10Now at the same time, we can't
- 42:11underestimate the extent to which
- 42:12Democrats will undermine themselves
- 42:15in the interim.
- 42:16Uh the president usually gets the blame
- 42:18when things go wrong, but given the
- 42:19scale of the Democrat takeover,
- 42:22they're going to be in the spotlight to
- 42:23an unusual degree, and they've taken on
- 42:25some jobs that they clearly can't
- 42:26handle.
- 42:27Does anyone seriously think Keisha Lance
- 42:29Bottoms is going to be a competent
- 42:31governor in Georgia?
- 42:33Yes, exit polls and referendum outcomes
- 42:35show that
- 42:36this wasn't ideological confirmation of
- 42:38Democrats, so uh so much as was just a
- 42:40total rejection of Trump.
- 42:42But
- 42:44Democrats aren't going to see it that
- 42:45way.
- 42:46Okay, they're going to think it was a a
- 42:48validation of their agenda and they're
- 42:50going to enact it ruthlessly as as they
- 42:52do, as we've established.
- 42:54And and there's a high chance they
- 42:56overplay their hand. Will Texas try to
- 42:58ban AR-15s?
- 43:00Maybe they will.
- 43:02But it's important to point out that in
- 43:03the past,
- 43:05Democrat self-immolation was largely the
- 43:07result
- 43:09uh at least on the national scale of
- 43:11frivolous and baseless investigations
- 43:13and impeachments
- 43:15targeted mainly at Trump.
- 43:18The investigations and impeachments will
- 43:20happen again.
- 43:22Will they all be frivolous and baseless
- 43:24this time?
- 43:25I guess we're going to find out.
- 43:28You know, one way or another, if
- 43:29Democrats are able to coax Republicans
- 43:31into spending the next two years
- 43:33circling the wagons around the Trump
- 43:35administration and defending whatever
- 43:37they dig up,
- 43:39we're going to lose.
- 43:41We have to look forward.
- 43:43Meanwhile, the administration can deal
- 43:45with its own messes.
- 43:48That's not really our job,
- 43:51and we shouldn't be focused on that.
- 43:53You know, it is weird, for example, that
- 43:55the Trump family has made hundreds of
- 43:57millions of dollars on a crypto scheme
- 44:00while Trump is in office.
- 44:02Democrats are going to have a field day.
- 44:04They've already made this clear. They've
- 44:05already announced this. They're going to
- 44:06have a field day ripping that to shreds.
- 44:09That's going to be one of the first
- 44:10things they do is look into this crypto
- 44:12stuff.
- 44:14Looking for any laws that may have been
- 44:15violated.
- 44:17I have no idea if they'll find any
- 44:19laws violated or not. I'm not a lawyer.
- 44:23But it's not my job to defend the
- 44:24president's crypto scheme.
- 44:26And I won't, and neither should you.
- 44:27This is another thing that could go
- 44:28wrong for Republicans over the next two
- 44:30years.
- 44:32Because there's a lot of conservatives
- 44:33saying, oh yeah, they're going to go
- 44:34they're going to go way too far. They're
- 44:34going to investigate and, you know,
- 44:36they're going to turn people against
- 44:37them.
- 44:38Maybe.
- 44:40But what we have to be careful about is
- 44:41that as they start doing that,
- 44:43conservatives get distracted by feeling
- 44:45like they have to defend
- 44:47but no, it is okay for the president to
- 44:48have a crypto scheme.
- 44:51Mm.
- 44:53Now, that's we we don't have to defend
- 44:54that.
- 44:55He can deal with that on his own. That
- 44:56was his choice. Profiting to the tune of
- 44:58hundreds of millions on a secretive and
- 45:00volatile industry that your own
- 45:02administration regulates is really
- 45:03weird.
- 45:05It doesn't look good. Even if it's
- 45:06legal, it might be an issue for Trump.
- 45:09It's not our issue.
- 45:11We have to focus on the future.
- 45:13That you know, he's got his own lawyers.
- 45:15They'll figure that out.
- 45:18But we're not going to spend our time
- 45:19defending that kind of thing.
- 45:20We don't have time for that.
- 45:23Hosting for the holidays is largely an
- 45:24exercise in pretending you were made to
- 45:27command an army. There are meals to
- 45:29prepare, rooms to clean, schedules to
- 45:31coordinate, and relatives [snorts] who
- 45:33will immediately ask, you know, where
- 45:34you keep something that they are
- 45:36standing right next to. All of this is
- 45:38easier to manage when you're actually
- 45:39sleeping well. In that sense, switching
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- 46:08else. Go to helixsleep.com/walsh for up
- 46:10to 30% off. That's helixsleep.com/walsh
- 46:13for up to 30% off.
- 46:17And we also have to concede that there
- 46:18will be some luck involved and there
- 46:20might be a a need to try some of our own
- 46:22electoral shenanigans without breaking
- 46:24the law, of course,
- 46:26which is what Democrats just did in
- 46:27Alaska.
- 46:29For example, Republicans should
- 46:30seriously consider voting in Democrat
- 46:31primaries to get them to nominate Kamala
- 46:34Harris again.
- 46:36We should import as many conservative
- 46:37voters from foreign countries as
- 46:39possible and settle them in blue states,
- 46:41which is fully within the power of the
- 46:42federal government.
- 46:44Congress can't interfere.
- 46:47It's what the Democrats have been doing
- 46:48for decades.
- 46:51And most importantly, on a related note,
- 46:52we need to find a way to get Texas back
- 46:54in the Republican column. For many
- 46:55years, Democrats would openly talk about
- 46:57their plans to flip Texas. Here's Julian
- 46:59Castro in 2013, for example. Watch.
- 47:02>> In a couple of presidential cycles,
- 47:04you'll be on election night, you'll be
- 47:06announcing that we're calling the 38
- 47:08electoral votes of Texas for the
- 47:09Democratic nominee for president. It's
- 47:12changing. It's going to become a purple
- 47:13state and then a blue state because of
- 47:15the demographics, because of the
- 47:17population growth of folks from outside
- 47:19of Texas.
- 47:20>> Well, he was right. The party had a goal
- 47:22and for more than a decade, really for
- 47:24several decades, they pursued it.
- 47:26And they won.
- 47:28And I'm firmly in the camp that the GOP
- 47:29has no future as a national party
- 47:31without Texas.
- 47:33You know, I'm aware of the fact that in
- 47:342024 Trump would have won the
- 47:36presidential presidential election
- 47:37without Texas,
- 47:39but that's only because Democrats ran
- 47:41the weakest candidate in a century, an
- 47:42alcoholic who could barely speak
- 47:44English, who spent half of her campaign
- 47:45talking about coconut trees and
- 47:47the urgent need for taxpayer-funded sex
- 47:49changes for illegal aliens in prison.
- 47:52Uh if Democrats had run an actual
- 47:54candidate,
- 47:55Trump would have needed Texas to win.
- 47:58It's an essential part of the of the
- 47:59political map for the GOP.
- 48:01Now, I'm not prepared to say that Texas
- 48:03is now permanently blue or necessarily
- 48:05will be blue in the presidential
- 48:07election. Uh
- 48:08if it is permanently blue, then
- 48:12the Republican Party is done.
- 48:14We just can't accept that reality
- 48:15because if it's permanently blue, then
- 48:17the Republican Party is done.
- 48:18It really is over at that point.
- 48:21You cannot be a legitimate national
- 48:22political party if your only path to
- 48:24victory
- 48:25is hoping that the other team runs the
- 48:28worst candidate in the history of the
- 48:29universe
- 48:30and then hoping the map works out
- 48:31exactly correctly and you can squeak out
- 48:34a win with a razor-thin margin, which
- 48:36again is the only way Republicans can
- 48:39win without Texas. This is not a viable
- 48:41long-term strategy.
- 48:43We need then a comprehensive plan as
- 48:45quickly as possible for how to win Texas
- 48:47back.
- 48:48And based on the fact that Hispanics
- 48:49went overwhelmingly for Trump in 2024
- 48:51and broke sharply against them on
- 48:52Tuesday,
- 48:53it's fair to conclude that the showy
- 48:55public ice enforcement theater
- 48:58wasn't a good political strategy.
- 49:01You know, sending Christy Noem out
- 49:03face caked in makeup, dressed like the
- 49:06Tomb Raider, to call as much attention
- 49:08as possible to your deportation efforts
- 49:10was a very stupid political move.
- 49:14So as Vance said, it's probably a good
- 49:15idea to try some alternative approaches,
- 49:17starting with going after businesses
- 49:18that hire illegals, which is something
- 49:19we've been talking about for months on
- 49:21this show.
- 49:22Doesn't mean amnesty.
- 49:24Um and it doesn't mean we stop deporting
- 49:26illegal aliens.
- 49:28After all, Trump won the Hispanic vote
- 49:29in Texas in 2024 and his entire platform
- 49:31was deporting illegals.
- 49:34Tom Homan stood up at the RNC and told
- 49:35illegals to pack their bags, and it
- 49:37didn't hurt Trump in Texas at all.
- 49:40But there are smarter and more strategic
- 49:41ways to go about it.
- 49:43Continue the deportations, don't call
- 49:45attention to them on purpose.
- 49:47Um
- 49:48that's one change that should happen
- 49:49immediately. And And while we're at it,
- 49:51we need to lift any tariffs that are
- 49:52currently affecting Texas in any way,
- 49:54including tariffs on automobiles,
- 49:56copper, steel, aluminum, Canadian
- 49:58imports, lumber, etc.
- 50:01We should obviously end the war in Iran,
- 50:03cut off Ukraine unless they stop bombing
- 50:05Russian fuel infrastructure, which is
- 50:07raising the price of fuel for everybody.
- 50:10These are all steps that might help get
- 50:11some voters in Texas back on board.
- 50:14It's clear that Greg Abbott in the White
- 50:15House took Texas for granted,
- 50:18and that simply can't happen anymore.
- 50:21The Trump the Trump era ended
- 50:24in disaster
- 50:25because of apathy.
- 50:27And Trump gave up, and he's not even
- 50:29hiding it anymore, which is why he's
- 50:30still talking about his ballroom.
- 50:31Yesterday, hours after the worst
- 50:32Republican midterm defeat of all time,
- 50:35Trump was busy giving reporters a tour
- 50:37of his White House renovations.
- 50:42It's baffling
- 50:44until you realize that Trump isn't at
- 50:46all concerned about securing the future
- 50:47of the Republican Party or the
- 50:48conservative movement. So what's needed
- 50:50now
- 50:51is a Republican candidate who is not 80
- 50:53years old,
- 50:54who has some connection to everyday
- 50:56Americans who are suffering in this
- 50:57economy,
- 50:59who actually has something
- 51:01relevant to say when he starts talking.
- 51:04You know, there was some charm to
- 51:05Trump's kind of rambling discursive
- 51:07communication strategies in in the early
- 51:09years.
- 51:10But nowadays, when Americans hear the
- 51:11president on stage talking about some
- 51:13guy's ass,
- 51:15they're tired of it.
- 51:16They're not amused.
- 51:18And they want a leader who takes the job
- 51:20seriously and communicates like an
- 51:22adult.
- 51:23And believe it or not, these are not
- 51:25unattainable wish list items. They're
- 51:26actually very achievable goals.
- 51:29But we're on the clock.
- 51:31We have less than two years to find the
- 51:32polar opposite of John Thune.
- 51:35We have two years to find an America
- 51:36First candidate who actually understands
- 51:38what America First means.
- 51:40We need someone new to come down the
- 51:42escalator and and and put an end to the
- 51:44Democrat-led plunder of our country,
- 51:46which is going to continue unabated for
- 51:47the next two years.
- 51:48What what we have,
- 51:50which Democrats don't, is a coherent
- 51:52understanding of what America is
- 51:54and who Americans are.
- 51:57And to win, we need to do what Donald
- 51:58Trump promised to do all the way back in
- 52:002016.
- 52:01We need to oust the establishment
- 52:03politicians without becoming them. We
- 52:05need to protect our job and housing
- 52:06markets from the foreign flood.
- 52:10And ultimately, and most importantly,
- 52:12we have to be able to look every
- 52:13American in the eye, particularly all
- 52:14the white guys that have been demonized
- 52:16for the better part of the past century,
- 52:19and explain to them how we can help them
- 52:21get a job and afford a house.
- 52:24And if we can do that, we'll win.
- 52:27If we can't, we won't.
- 52:29And we won't deserve to.
- 52:32Uh before we wrap up, I also want to
- 52:33mention that next week, Confession, the
- 52:35movie Confession comes out on Daily
- 52:37Wire. It's um
- 52:39it's a legitimately good movie. It's
- 52:40exactly
- 52:42what we need to be making uh especially
- 52:44in a time like this. And if you're a a
- 52:45member and
- 52:47want to see it with an audience, you can
- 52:49go to Daily Wire and claim your free
- 52:50ticket to watch it in theaters. It'll be
- 52:52available in theaters I think for just
- 52:53one day. So make sure you go
- 52:55and claim those tickets.
- 52:57And we will talk to you on uh Monday.
- 53:00Have a great weekend. Godspeed.
- 53:06>> [music]
- 53:09>> Father, I used to feel Christ.
- 53:14I cannot feel anything here.
- 53:26>> They take me out of my bed
- 53:29and they brought me here and they tell
- 53:30me nothing.
- 53:31>> What have I done?
- 53:32>> Article 58
- 53:33counter revolutionary activity.
- 53:36>> That is all I know.
- 53:37>> They have to deal with so many enemies
- 53:40of the state, all of whom claim their
- 53:42innocence, who protest, who cry.
- 53:48>> [panting]
- 53:52>> There are no answers here.
- 53:56Other than the ones they put in your
- 53:57mouth.
- 53:58>> You'll break.
- 54:01Today is your opportunity to demonstrate
- 54:04your loyalty to the people.
- 54:08>> I'd like to know why I'm here.
- 54:10>> Of course.
- 54:13But you already know, don't you?
- 54:15>> Must believe in something greater than
- 54:18the party.
- 54:20>> You will remember your duty.
- 54:21>> I've told you I know nothing.
- 54:23>> Play ground like a feral animal.
- 54:27>> You stink of failure.
- 54:28>> You want me to lie.
- 54:30>> STILL A DRUNK. DAMN YOU!
- 54:34>> They all break.
- 54:38>> Maybe.
- 54:42>> [music]
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