The Collapse of FTX | 24 hours later — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:21Thank you.
- 0:25Bankless Station, another emergency
- 0:27episode for you today. We are 24 hours
- 0:31after learning about the collapse of
- 0:33FTX, and a lot has happened since our
- 0:35last live stream in the last 24 hours.
- 0:38So, we felt the need to call this
- 0:40emergency episode live stream
- 0:43Part two.
- 0:43about it. Here we are again, round two.
- 0:46Are you feeling exhausted, David? Uh
- 0:48yeah, I'm pretty pretty exhausted. Um
- 0:51yesterday it was like exciting.
- 0:53Uh it was maybe dare I say fun, um but
- 0:56then today is a little bit more
- 0:58oh no, this is real. Uh this is bad. Uh
- 1:01this is something that we all have to
- 1:04get over as an industry.
- 1:06Um have to get over this this big ass
- 1:08hurdle. I think that that's the theme is
- 1:11basically what what are the consequences
- 1:13of people's actions. What's what is
- 1:15happening? What is the fallout going
- 1:17going to be? And I think some themes for
- 1:18this episode yesterday was kind of like
- 1:20what happened. Now we're dealing with
- 1:22the fallout, the contagion. Uh we're in
- 1:24damage control mode, and we're still
- 1:26trying to assess this. I mean, there's a
- 1:28lot of big questions people have. Seems
- 1:30to be there is a hole on FTX's balance
- 1:33sheet. Uh there was talk yesterday. The
- 1:35direction seemed to be uh CZ would kind
- 1:38of ride, bring the cavalry in, and and
- 1:40save the day, save depositors. Unsure if
- 1:43that's going to happen.
- 1:45We don't know how large the hole
- 1:46actually is. If CZ is
- 1:48is the question. How big is the hole,
- 1:51and is the hole acceptably small enough
- 1:55for somebody to willingly take on the
- 1:57challenge to plug it?
- 1:59Absolutely. Is it worth it for CZ? Uh
- 2:02yeah, is it even salvageable? That's the
- 2:04question. Um also, another big question
- 2:06which we didn't have an answer to
- 2:08yesterday. Now we have more clues, I
- 2:09think, David. Was FTX playing with
- 2:11depositors' money? Alameda, FTX, seems
- 2:14like these entities were somewhat tied
- 2:16at the hips. Yeah. Uh and um
- 2:18More so than we uh previously thought,
- 2:20yeah.
- 2:21More so than definitely more so than it
- 2:23was appropriate, more so than we
- 2:24previously thought. Some of these
- 2:25details are coming to light, so we felt
- 2:27the need to give you all of those
- 2:28details, and just have a conversation
- 2:31with the community about this, cuz
- 2:33prices are down bad. A lot of people
- 2:35still have funds frozen in FTX. So,
- 2:38guys, uh this is the emergency live
- 2:41stream that you're tuning into right
- 2:43now. David and I are going to get into
- 2:45all of the details, but before we do, we
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- 5:25Guys, we are back uh 24 hours after the
- 5:27collapse of FTX. It certainly looks like
- 5:30things have deteriorated, things have uh
- 5:32collapsed. David, let's give folks a
- 5:35recap for those that didn't catch the
- 5:37episode yesterday. Now, I I will say if
- 5:39you didn't catch the episode yesterday
- 5:41uh on the RSS feed in YouTube, there's a
- 5:44way to go check out David and I give a
- 5:45kind of a timeline of events that gets
- 5:47you all the way from early November up
- 5:49to November 8th. So, you can hear what
- 5:51happened then. We're picking this story
- 5:53up the next 24 hours. And by the way, in
- 5:55that previous episode, uh we've got
- 5:58takes from Erik Voorhees, uh Brian
- 6:00Armstrong dropped in and and uh said
- 6:02hello, gave his takes. We also had Ryan
- 6:05Selkis weigh in on the regulatory front.
- 6:07But David, catch us up with this recap.
- 6:09What has happened? What tweet are we
- 6:11looking at? Uh what's happened, I guess,
- 6:14in this whole course of events to get
- 6:15people up to speed? Yeah, so this is a a
- 6:17tweet thread out of Wassie Lawyer, who I
- 6:19thought did a pretty damn good job of
- 6:21summarizing everything, but it it starts
- 6:23the thread with uh the conclusion that
- 6:26out of all people, all entities that FTX
- 6:30might have chosen to get a buyout from,
- 6:32they chose Binance. Uh and so there's
- 6:34already significance in that choice as
- 6:36well. Uh Wassie uh gives a recap and
- 6:38says, "There were There were many
- 6:39options available to SBF. Seek emergency
- 6:41debt financing, which it was reported
- 6:43that SBF did go and do into Wall to Wall
- 6:46Street. Uh seek new money investment, or
- 6:48liquidate all their assets to buy time.
- 6:50Uh yet they chose to get uh emergency
- 6:53debt financing from Binance.
- 6:55Uh and so the Wassie Lawyer continues
- 6:57and goes, 'If he is seeking bankruptcy
- 6:59to protection to facilitate um Sam has
- 7:01chosen to seek a bailout from Binance,
- 7:03the very party that triggered the bank
- 7:05run in the first place.' This is what we
- 7:06talked about yesterday. What we can
- 7:08gather from this is that FTX was indeed
- 7:11lending out customer funds to other
- 7:12parties, because why else would a bank
- 7:14be a
- 7:14crypto bank be insolvent? Wow. Likely to
- 7:17Alameda.
- 7:18Uh and this means that, as Wassie Lawyer
- 7:20speculated earlier, FTX was working on a
- 7:22fractional reserve model, and it was not
- 7:24prepared to meet with the withdrawals
- 7:25from the run on the bank. Wow.
- 7:28which CZ triggered. Like we we we know
- 7:30this because like this FTX stopped with
- 7:33uh with processing withdrawals. This is
- 7:34This is the facts that we that we
- 7:36concluded with yesterday. Um but again,
- 7:39the speculation that I everyone in
- 7:41crypto Twitter in the world of crypto is
- 7:42is
- 7:43assuming to be true is that Alameda
- 7:46had FTX deposits, had FTX money. And
- 7:50Alameda, this is uh going on to tweet
- 7:51number four here. Alameda itself did not
- 7:53have the liquidity to return the funds
- 7:55to FTX, that thus leading it into the
- 7:58liquidity crisis that caused all of this
- 8:01drama
- 8:02uh uh that we have seen so forth. Um
- 8:05Uh and so Wassie Lawyer continues, "But
- 8:07this was not the the returns of money
- 8:09from Alameda to FTX was not enough,
- 8:12since customer confidence was not
- 8:14returning. This is kind of the run on
- 8:15the bank that CZ triggered. There were
- 8:17no deposits, only withdrawals. Uh some
- 8:19sort of external third-party funding was
- 8:21required to meet the outbound cash flows
- 8:23out of FTX. Uh and so Wassie Lawyer
- 8:26continues and says, 'Instead of seeking
- 8:28finance from any other party, or to buy
- 8:30more time by throttling withdrawals, SBF
- 8:32bent the knee to Binance. Does this mean
- 8:35that FTX was in such a deep hole that
- 8:38they weren't talking about emergency
- 8:40swing line, but full-on rescue
- 8:42financing?' As in, there were other less
- 8:45significant ways to plug this gap that
- 8:47might have FTX might have chosen, but
- 8:49they seemingly went for the most nuclear
- 8:51option, which is
- 8:53expensive option, the worst possible
- 8:55like an option that no one would It's
- 8:57the loan shark option, basically. The
- 8:59option that no one would choose unless
- 9:00they were in completely desperate
- 9:02straits.
- 9:03Uh yeah, right, exactly. And so this is
- 9:05what Wassie Lawyer says concluding that
- 9:07FTX had a massive hole in the balance
- 9:09sheet that could not be plugged by other
- 9:10financiers, uh which forced SBF to kiss
- 9:13the ring. So, this is the recap of where
- 9:15we are thus far. Uh and and no to the
- 9:18comment in the chat, we are not here
- 9:19just on YouTube to uh to read out
- 9:21tweets. Uh this was I thought a
- 9:23particularly good recap uh to to catch
- 9:26us up on the last 48 hours. Uh but that
- 9:28was yesterday, right? That was
- 9:29yesterday. I think the key the key thing
- 9:32here is like what we can gather was that
- 9:34FTX was in was uh lending out customer
- 9:36funds to other parties,
- 9:39likely to Alameda. That's crazy. So,
- 9:42SBF, FTX, and Alameda, looks like they
- 9:44were commingled. Alameda, of course, was
- 9:46a Three Arrows Capital style fund, and
- 9:49that was combined with uh FTX, an
- 9:52exchange. One is essentially a a bank,
- 9:55where you're supposed to inside of a
- 9:57bank, you're supposed to deposit your
- 9:58funds they keep it safe
- 10:00you know
- 10:01not to be traded not to be speculated
- 10:03with and Alameda of course is a
- 10:04completely different business model it
- 10:06is a three arrows capital highly risky
- 10:08and of course we saw what happened to
- 10:10three arrows capital went completely
- 10:12bust back in what was that May of this
- 10:15year?
- 10:15Yeah. And it looks like some of the
- 10:16funds were commingled that's what we can
- 10:19infer from this data a few other
- 10:21implications I think I was thinking
- 10:22about this you know yesterday at the
- 10:24close of yesterday so I was you know
- 10:27thinking reflecting on the day. One SBF
- 10:30has been downgraded from billionaire to
- 10:32millionaire David there's a report that
- 10:34he lost 96%
- 10:37of his net worth and I think continuing
- 10:39to drop right he's one of the richest
- 10:42people in the world I mean
- 10:4320 22 billion dollars was on Forbes list
- 10:47I think he may have made the cover of
- 10:48Forbes.
- 10:48Yeah. He is now downgraded to
- 10:51millionaire I'm sure he's just going to
- 10:53be just fine except I'm also not sure
- 10:56about
- 10:57you know kind of the the legal
- 10:58implications of this if this looks like
- 11:00something a bit more like fraud.
- 11:01Yeah if if it's one thing first off it's
- 11:03a he's a millionaire he's a hundreds of
- 11:06millionaire he's got a net worth of like
- 11:07over 500 million so I don't I don't I'm
- 11:10not like he's doing the whole crying
- 11:12with cash on his eyes thing right now.
- 11:14Well we'll see I mean he might be doing
- 11:16that in jail.
- 11:18Yeah in in the jail.
- 11:21yeah it doesn't matter how much money
- 11:22you have if you have to go to jail but
- 11:24we'll talk about that later. This is a
- 11:25key implication one of the mighty
- 11:28like I mean everyone looked up to this
- 11:30guy Arthur Hayes even as recently as
- 11:32this morning called him a once in a
- 11:33generation trader and he's been kind of
- 11:36gone like reputation ruined
- 11:38second FTX becomes a vassal of Binance
- 11:41seems like that is is happening they've
- 11:43already bent the knee whether Binance
- 11:44purchases FTX or not we'll see. CZ
- 11:48I think he's on track to become the
- 11:49richest person alive
- 11:51certainly. If if this deal well he's
- 11:54he's definitely up there to begin with
- 11:55if this deal goes through
- 11:57I don't think much new wealth goes to CZ
- 12:01but so much more power goes to CZ.
- 12:03Power and then just think about like
- 12:04kind of next cycle once
- 12:06crypto's going to recover once it does
- 12:08CZ will own this market from a banker
- 12:10perspective it's just like CZ and Brian
- 12:12Armstrong kind of standing.
- 12:14Right that's yeah.
- 12:15Speaking of Brian Coinbase gains some
- 12:17major legitimacy here.
- 12:18Big time big time. game doing things
- 12:20right didn't have any assets on FTX like
- 12:24they come out looking squeaky squeaky
- 12:26clean and thank God we have them in the
- 12:28US cuz you know the US regulators are
- 12:30looking at crypto and being like yeah
- 12:32you say you guys aren't the wild west
- 12:34like look what just happened.
- 12:35Right exactly. And this is why I think
- 12:38you know SBF's DCCPA
- 12:41bill is dead completely dead he was
- 12:44giving that a lot of credibility and
- 12:46we've lost a lot of that credibility in
- 12:49DC my conclusion is after we all of the
- 12:52events of this year I felt like over the
- 12:54past 18 months you know two years this
- 12:57this a lot of this bull market cycle
- 13:00it's been kind of the era of like
- 13:02finance bros almost I mean like there's
- 13:04been a whole campaign in crypto that has
- 13:07hasn't been here for the OG crypto
- 13:09values and
- 13:11they've been completely like wiped out
- 13:14three arrows capital Luna you know
- 13:15Celsius taking the shortcuts doing
- 13:18things on margin algo stable coins that
- 13:22like clearly couldn't hold up to you the
- 13:25the true pressure and scrutiny of the
- 13:26market and now FTX it's the end of an
- 13:29era and I think what's going to happen
- 13:31David is almost like a a reformation
- 13:34type movement in crypto where we sort of
- 13:36go back to some of the roots of this
- 13:39industry. Go back to first principles
- 13:41and why like trustless ownership of
- 13:44assets and not your not your keys not
- 13:45your crypto going back to stuff like
- 13:47that not your keys not your crypto like
- 13:50it's crazy Ryan that we have to do this.
- 13:54It's crazy that this happens over and
- 13:56over and over again. It's crazy but one
- 13:59thing is I don't think it happens twice
- 14:01to the same people.
- 14:03Mhm. All right so the people who got
- 14:05Mount Goxed
- 14:06I'm betting did not get FTXed Yeah. just
- 14:09now.
- 14:10Big time. It's so the reason we have to
- 14:12keep repeating this is because we have
- 14:14no new cohorts it's like every class
- 14:17every crypto generation has to learn
- 14:19these lessons and look before 2022 Mount
- 14:22Gox was like an artifact of the past 10
- 14:25years ago before we had smart contract
- 14:28platforms before we were more
- 14:29sophisticated before the professionals
- 14:31like SBF and Su Zhu
- 14:34and Do Kwon were had entered who know
- 14:37finance know how the space works right
- 14:40Mount Gox what does that stand for?
- 14:41Magic the Gathering online exchange.
- 14:44Right?
- 14:44Right exactly. Really different level of
- 14:46sophistication and so what has to happen
- 14:49is is the new cohort the new class has
- 14:51to
- 14:52you know has to learn these lessons but
- 14:54let me ask you David Um I I know I was
- 14:56talking to you this morning and
- 14:59you're pretty down right like what
- 15:01what's your mood been about this?
- 15:04It's like like I said yesterday it was
- 15:08there was drama and drama on crypto
- 15:10Twitter like crypto Twitter jokes were
- 15:12like really good
- 15:14and like drama as a content producer is
- 15:17kind of fun but then I wake up this
- 15:18morning and I'm like
- 15:19oh
- 15:20now we have to clean up. Now we have to
- 15:24now we have to now there yeah now we
- 15:26have to grab a mop and like clean up
- 15:27after the mess and this is the problem
- 15:29of people like Do Kwon and people like
- 15:32three arrows capital any anybody who
- 15:35takes on significant responsibility and
- 15:37then burns that responsibility we have
- 15:40to clean up their mess and and now like
- 15:45we have like the third tied for second
- 15:48biggest exchange in crypto going under
- 15:51like after three arrows capital is gone
- 15:54after Terra Luna has blown up like
- 15:55there's less and less people to clean up
- 15:57this mess as the bear market goes on and
- 16:00so like now the responsibility of
- 16:02fixing the the PR branding of crypto
- 16:06is like falling on fewer and fewer
- 16:08people's people's shoulders because
- 16:10people are like fed up people like I
- 16:12have not seen Ryan more people talk
- 16:14about like Kobe today Kobe was like I
- 16:17have thought about leaving this industry
- 16:19many times before but today I came so
- 16:21close to the brink of just leaving and
- 16:24getting out of here. Did you think about
- 16:26that did you think about leaving? No I
- 16:28no I can't I can't leave I don't have
- 16:30anywhere to go.
- 16:32Dude has no home. But like
- 16:34Nowhere to go. This is like
- 16:37what how many times are we going to do
- 16:38this like So okay so that sounds like
- 16:42to me that sounds like frustration.
- 16:44Yeah big frustration. You're you're mad
- 16:46so I tweeted this out just mad or sad do
- 16:49a poll right and it's like I feel like
- 16:51these are the I guess some of the early
- 16:53stages of grief is either you you're
- 16:55you're angry or or you're sad but you
- 16:57just reflected on on something that uh
- 16:59uh is cleaning up after the party. Um
- 17:03yo can someone tell our lawmakers the
- 17:04FTX thing was C F I again not D F I.
- 17:07Right. Okay so
- 17:08It's going to take and like the thing is
- 17:11this is we're going to preach about this
- 17:13is why we D F I this is what C F I is
- 17:14here to do if you were in D F I you were
- 17:16fine we have been yelling that take for
- 17:19the past like 12 months no one cares
- 17:21anymore like no one even cares about D F
- 17:23I. Imagine you're Jake Chervinsky so
- 17:26I said this and Jake Chervinsky is like
- 17:28on it but like imagine thank you Jake
- 17:31imagine you're Jake Chervinsky you're
- 17:32working with lawmakers on to try to get
- 17:35like good D F I language or to try to
- 17:38get that excluded from the DCCPA they
- 17:40barely understand crypto and the egg
- 17:42committee agriculture committee and then
- 17:44this happens this week.
- 17:46What do you think that does to our
- 17:48credibility in DC?
- 17:50People like Jake people like the D F I
- 17:51education fund
- 17:53SBF is no longer going to have a place
- 17:55at the table obviously right completely
- 17:58delegitimized our industry yet again and
- 18:00people are going to have to
- 18:02try to pick up these pieces and try to
- 18:05tell lawmakers like what really happened
- 18:08but I think we're going to get broad
- 18:09brushed here which is so unfortunate
- 18:11that's why it costs us so much these
- 18:13types of things cost us so much
- 18:16the legitimacy of the space reputation
- 18:18of the space
- 18:20I mean people can't differentiate
- 18:21between D F I and C F I to your point
- 18:23okay so you're frustrated. It's
- 18:26I think just like at this point after
- 18:28Terra Luna after three arrows capital
- 18:31now after the third largest the reason
- 18:33why this hits extra hard is cuz like you
- 18:36could be forgiven for not knowing who
- 18:37three arrows capital was if you weren't
- 18:39in crypto but FTX went on huge
- 18:42promotional campaigns they bought an
- 18:44arena in Florida Tom Brady they had
- 18:47commercial Super Bowl commercials and
- 18:49that's what went under so like now
- 18:51there's FTX Arena
- 18:54now which is now FTX is now worth Miami
- 18:57is the old Miami Heat Arena
- 19:00I think that's right maybe it's one
- 19:02sports thing that It's it's not going to
- 19:03be next year I mean someone else is
- 19:05going to have to I guess they give it
- 19:06back to Wells Fargo or whatever.
- 19:07I guess so yeah but like the the problem
- 19:10is it like FTX was so public and then
- 19:13they burned they to a lot of people FTX
- 19:16is crypto and so when they go under like
- 19:19it it's the it the scar on the PR of
- 19:22crypto is so much worse it just kind of
- 19:24reminds me of like the ICO era where
- 19:26like the only reason why the bear the
- 19:28bull market started in 2020
- 19:30was because people finally forgot that
- 19:32the ICO era existed and so I've been
- 19:35bullish on this bear market
- 19:38up till recently just because like oh
- 19:40it's not so bad like three arrows
- 19:41capital like yeah Do Kwon Terra Luna
- 19:44algorithmic stable coins great we
- 19:45learned that lesson we learned the
- 19:47lesson that was new for us we learned
- 19:48the lesson that the algorithmic stable
- 19:50coin is not a good thing. We had learned
- 19:52this lesson and it was what the third
- 19:54second biggest exchange crypto exchange
- 19:56of all time.
- 19:57And so like like now at this point I'm
- 20:00just like capitulating on the ideas like
- 20:02now the only like way to get more people
- 20:04excited about crypto is to get them to
- 20:06forget about 2022.
- 20:08Yeah.
- 20:09I I So I was reading the the chat log as
- 20:12as you were somebody's asking if there's
- 20:14another leg down coming. We'll get to
- 20:16that. I think the answer could very well
- 20:18be yes.
- 20:19Some people are yeah. The fact is that
- 20:21opinions out there. Yeah. But but let me
- 20:23ask you more about your mood cuz what
- 20:25I'm hearing now is
- 20:26this afternoon David is frustrated and
- 20:30angry. But this morning David when I
- 20:32talked to you you were like the first
- 20:34like words out of your mouth were like
- 20:36I'm sad. Yeah. And I think that's the
- 20:39that's the other mood that and and I
- 20:41want to ask the chat too like Bankless
- 20:43community how you guys feeling about
- 20:45this? Like how you doing? You guys you
- 20:47guys okay?
- 20:48Let us know they want us to stop talking
- 20:50about our emotions but I think we should
- 20:52talk about
- 20:55What I I think the entire crypto
- 20:57industry is is saddened by this as well.
- 21:00Can you can you tap into that? For a
- 21:02minute. I mean a lot of people still
- 21:03have their funds on FTX and they don't
- 21:06know if they're going to get their money
- 21:08back. All right? Yeah I actually chat if
- 21:11you have funds on FTX I drop a message
- 21:13in the chat cuz I'd like to know if how
- 21:15many people like what that watch
- 21:17Bankless like you also use FTX and like
- 21:19lost money in FTX.
- 21:21Cuz like now now there are like there
- 21:23are people offering
- 21:25hey I'm selling all of my I'm willing to
- 21:28put an offer of like my $1 that I have
- 21:31in
- 21:32in FTX at like 70 cents on the dollar.
- 21:34Like I we've seen tweets like this where
- 21:36people are selling their FTX accounts
- 21:38for a discount for people that would
- 21:39like to take the gamble that
- 21:42that you somebody might pull through and
- 21:44make them whole. I'm saying like like
- 21:46maybe 20% of the chat is saying yes I
- 21:49have funds on FTX. 80% maybe saying
- 21:52saying no. Okay. So thankfully a lot of
- 21:55Bankless listeners have avoided that.
- 21:58But
- 21:59look if if you were among those who
- 22:01still have funds in FTX okay?
- 22:04Let me just tell you it's not it didn't
- 22:06just happen to the the people who are
- 22:08new in crypto. Yeah. I mean David do you
- 22:10see some of the people who are like look
- 22:12we got completely wrecked. Researchers.
- 22:14Researchers was it
- 22:16Tom from Delphi? I saw No I I think he
- 22:18just was giving his
- 22:20condolences.
- 22:21Larry Cermak from The Block said he
- 22:23would he got his biggest day one loss of
- 22:25all time because he trusted FTX. Guys
- 22:29right? Yeah. Like these are super smart
- 22:32sophisticated individuals that I would
- 22:33not blame that that was a calculated
- 22:35choice and like honestly no one saw this
- 22:37coming. No one saw this coming not at
- 22:39all.
- 22:39No one saw no one Okay so I think look
- 22:42here's the thing we have to protect
- 22:43ourselves against. I think we know the
- 22:45general principle of not your keys not
- 22:47your coin right? Like that should be
- 22:50evident. So like do you remember
- 22:52Andreas? Man I go back to the OG's. You
- 22:55remember Andreas Antonopoulos? He's like
- 22:57he's like an exchange should be like a
- 22:59public bathroom. You get in do your
- 23:01business
- 23:03Right? Like that's how we should treat
- 23:05exchanges and we didn't. Mhm. Not us I'm
- 23:09talking about like many in the industry
- 23:10didn't and had funds in FTX. But it's
- 23:12like so I am I'm also tapping like I
- 23:15feel that
- 23:17a lot of people lost some a lot of money
- 23:19and the other the other piece here that
- 23:21that saddens me is like
- 23:23It didn't it's a it's another David it's
- 23:26another self-inflicted wound. Mhm. Okay?
- 23:29That's going to set us back just like
- 23:31Luna Terra Three Arrows Capital
- 23:33self-inflicted wounds. Like literally
- 23:36the shotgun and we're shooting ourselves
- 23:37in the foot.
- 23:38Mhm. It's just it didn't have to be like
- 23:40this.
- 23:41SBF
- 23:43is a genius. I think he like saying that
- 23:45now sounds really but like I think he is
- 23:47a brilliant once in a generation trader.
- 23:51Like FTX
- 23:52was a great product except for the
- 23:55insolvency thing. But like it worked.
- 23:57They added features very quickly. Like
- 23:58it was in some ways ahead of like
- 24:00Coinbase and some of its contemporaries.
- 24:02I mean
- 24:03execution kind of got them there.
- 24:05And then he made this mistake and it's
- 24:08all self-inflicted and like I'm sad
- 24:10because it's cost a lot of people a lot.
- 24:11It's cost our industry a lot and I think
- 24:13it's set us back. I don't know I can't
- 24:15put a timeline like has it set us back a
- 24:17year? Has it set us back 18 months?
- 24:20Like two years?
- 24:22I mean we we we already had debts to pay
- 24:24with like Three Arrows Capital and and
- 24:26Luna and all that stuff
- 24:27but yeah it's just added more debt to
- 24:29pay for sure. David someone wants to in
- 24:32the chat wants to see if we'll publicly
- 24:34apologize to Bitcoin for being
- 24:36or sorry to BitBoy.
- 24:39Were we wrong about BitBoy? Yeah
- 24:41so I was talking to somebody from from
- 24:43the Bankless side of things about like
- 24:44all right well why is everyone in the
- 24:45chat saying that BitBoy was right?
- 24:46Apparently BitBoy like a while ago was
- 24:48like get your funds out of FTX.
- 24:51So if he said that like yeah good job
- 24:54BitBoy. That's great.
- 24:56The the take that I heard and like I
- 24:57need to go go and find out where he
- 24:59actually said this but like the take
- 25:00that I heard is like
- 25:02BitBoy kind of says a lot of things.
- 25:05But if he said that then that was great
- 25:07and if people listened to him then
- 25:08that's great. Look but generally let's
- 25:10let's apply that to get your funds out
- 25:11of all exchanges like
- 25:13you know no one knows the next exchange
- 25:16to to kind of go bust and this is why we
- 25:19have to go to Bankless.
- 25:21Um
- 25:22Can we talk about the story? Can we
- 25:23continue the story here?
- 25:25All right.
- 25:26now now we're going to that that was the
- 25:27the emotional recap. Now we're going to
- 25:29talk about some of the things that have
- 25:30happened today.
- 25:33Yeah.
- 25:34Let's talk about uh Yeah so this this
- 25:36all started with CZ. And this is where
- 25:38it starts this morning too. What's he
- 25:40tweeting here? Yeah so CZ says in the
- 25:42spirit of transparency might as well
- 25:43share the actual note and actually like
- 25:46a memo sent to the Binance team.
- 25:48So apparently Binance people employees
- 25:50are called Binancians and CZ says given
- 25:53the events that transpired over the last
- 25:54couple days I want to reiterate a few
- 25:55points. One we did not master this or
- 25:58anything related to it. It was less than
- 26:0024 hours ago that SBF called me and
- 26:02before that I had very little knowledge
- 26:03of the internal state of things at FTX.
- 26:05I could do some mental calculations with
- 26:07our revenues to guess theirs but it was
- 26:09would never be accurate.
- 26:10I was surprised when he wanted to talk.
- 26:13My first reaction was he wants to do an
- 26:14OTC deal but here we are. Two as the due
- 26:17diligence for the deal is ongoing I want
- 26:19to remind every everyone do not trade
- 26:21FTT tokens. If you have a bag you have a
- 26:23bag do not sell or buy. As soon as I
- 26:25finished the call with SBF yesterday I
- 26:27asked our team to stop selling as an
- 26:28organization. Yes we have a bag but
- 26:30that's okay. More importantly we need to
- 26:31hold ourselves to a higher standard than
- 26:33even banks. Three obviously do not
- 26:35comment on the deal publicly or
- 26:36internally if you are not directly
- 26:38involved do not ask. We have a good team
- 26:40handling it things will play out. That's
- 26:41about the audit that they are Binance is
- 26:44auditing FTX. Four FTX going down is not
- 26:47good for anyone in the industry. Do not
- 26:49view it as a win for us. User confidence
- 26:51is severely shaken regulators will
- 26:53scrutinize exchanges even more. Licenses
- 26:55around the globe will get harder and
- 26:56people now think that we are the biggest
- 26:59and will attack us more.
- 27:01That that's that's okay we are used to
- 27:02being open and leaning into headwinds.
- 27:04In fact we embrace the scrutiny. We must
- 27:06significantly increase our transparency
- 27:08proof of reserves insurance funds etc. A
- 27:10lot more to come in this area. We have a
- 27:12lot of tough work ahead of us not to
- 27:13mention prices swinging wildly. Five
- 27:15speaking of prices as I have said many
- 27:17times over the years ignore the prices.
- 27:19Let's keep our heads down and focus on
- 27:20building products people use. It has
- 27:22worked for us for years and today is
- 27:23lastly no obviously no exception. And
- 27:25lastly I want to say that I'm proud of
- 27:27each and every one of you for all of
- 27:28your hard work as a team. Thank you. We
- 27:30have so many challenges ahead. Let's
- 27:31continue to push ahead and help increase
- 27:33the freedom of money all around the
- 27:34world steadily and consistently. Ryan
- 27:36what's your what's your reaction to this
- 27:37memo?
- 27:38Um look I mean people said it's
- 27:40transparent and I totally agree. I think
- 27:42it's extremely transparent. Yeah. But
- 27:43there is a side of like um
- 27:46Yeah true transparency shares everything
- 27:49of course and this is like selective
- 27:51transparency which is which is
- 27:52interesting. So
- 27:54look I I I think uh
- 27:56CZ is too strategy boss
- 27:59to like I'm like he knows he's very he
- 28:01knows exactly what he's doing. He's
- 28:03totally in command. So he
- 28:05while this is a transparent I'm sure
- 28:07this is a real internal memo
- 28:10he also chose to share it very
- 28:11strategically. Very strategic.
- 28:13Everything everything he does is very
- 28:14intentional. Yeah. Yes. So I I will give
- 28:16it that context. So the question is like
- 28:19what is he saying and and why is he why
- 28:22is he saying it? I think
- 28:24you know the point to you due diligence
- 28:26for the deal is still ongoing. Right. So
- 28:28he's just reestablishing that like
- 28:31no
- 28:32Binance has not acquired FTX. There's an
- 28:35LOI
- 28:36and we're still doing due diligence and
- 28:39um
- 28:40you know fourth he's kind of giving a
- 28:42reason that this is this is not good for
- 28:44everyone in the industry. So maybe that
- 28:46is a driving force for why CZ comes in
- 28:49and rescues the thing.
- 28:51I guess the the big question to me is
- 28:52like because
- 28:53maybe we'll get to this but reports
- 28:55after this have been saying that
- 28:58CZ Binance is considering walking away
- 29:00from the deal. Right. Right and
- 29:03hearing that is also kind of to be
- 29:05expected as well as part of like part of
- 29:08the negotiation part of the deal type
- 29:10stuff right? Like you just maybe we'll
- 29:13walk away. Like you know in order to get
- 29:16the best terms. But it it's just I guess
- 29:18it's hard to know what to what to
- 29:21believe at this point or what CZ's true
- 29:23intentions are and maybe he doesn't know
- 29:25until they fully do the due diligence
- 29:27hear the blowback from the community. Um
- 29:30David the government may even be
- 29:32stepping in here in some way. Like
- 29:34there's
- 29:35conversations we're not privy to.
- 29:37Um The chat is being much more skeptical
- 29:41on on CZ than we are.
- 29:43People are saying that he is a
- 29:45mastermind. He
- 29:48coordinated, orchestrated everything.
- 29:51I don't know. I kind of I'm ready to
- 29:53take CZ at face value, to be honest. I
- 29:55don't know. I think both of these things
- 29:56can be true. It's like I I I think he is
- 29:58a mastermind.
- 30:00But I also think that
- 30:02he's played the long-term game in in
- 30:04crypto somewhat, at least much more so
- 30:05than than SBF, or SBF wouldn't be in
- 30:08this place of weakness. Yeah. So this is
- 30:11a tweet out of a ledger who is
- 30:13saying that Sam is deleting tweets. And
- 30:16the tweet being deleted is a tweet that
- 30:17says FTX is fine, assets are fine. And
- 30:19another tweet that says FTX has enough
- 30:22to cover all client holdings. We don't
- 30:24invest client assets even in treasuries.
- 30:26The idea is that these tweets are being
- 30:28deleted because they're wrong at best
- 30:32and perhaps lies at worst. And if
- 30:34they're lies, then that's fraud. Well,
- 30:37let's be clear on two things. One,
- 30:40Sam, you can't delete things from the
- 30:41internet. Yeah. Still got it.
- 30:43The internet remembers. And number two,
- 30:46I'm doubtful this was actually SBF. I'm
- 30:47sure it's his legal team.
- 30:48I think it's been I think it's been
- 30:50legal team and lawyers and PR for the
- 30:53past at least 36 hours, 48 hours, yeah.
- 30:55But David, let's remember what he said
- 30:57November 7th, the context for this. FTX
- 31:00is Monday. Assets are fine. FTX is fine.
- 31:03FTX
- 31:05has enough to cover all client holdings.
- 31:07We don't invest client assets even in
- 31:09treasuries. These are If any of these
- 31:12things are not true,
- 31:15I mean, what is what do you call this
- 31:16tweet? Outright lying? Yeah. Lying,
- 31:19fraud, deception?
- 31:20Lying and fraud are like the same,
- 31:21right? Like it's just like fraud is just
- 31:23like a lie that's in court.
- 31:25I think there's I I don't think you can
- 31:28Yes, I think this like, you know, I
- 31:30don't know what the legal distinction
- 31:32between these things are. But but fraud
- 31:34is fraud is certainly a crime,
- 31:35especially when you're a crypto exchange
- 31:36and a banker.
- 31:37This was a This was a big oof. And so
- 31:39here is a picture of an old Sam tweet
- 31:42that says
- 31:43Biggest things here are making sure no
- 31:45one goes under. It's making sure that
- 31:47one, it's not to unsuspecting retail.
- 31:49Two, that risks are properly disclosed.
- 31:51And three, no contagion.
- 31:54And so this was This was when it was
- 31:56back in June. And so it's just like a
- 31:59big oof because
- 32:01And this was after in the context of
- 32:02after Three Arrows Capital Right.
- 32:04Right.
- 32:05Sam's weighing in on this.
- 32:06Yes, exactly.
- 32:07And he's like, it's not What What is he
- 32:09saying here?
- 32:10If if something goes down, you have to
- 32:12make sure number one, it doesn't affect
- 32:15unsuspecting retail. Number two, the
- 32:17risks were properly disclosed. And
- 32:19number three, it's no contagion. I think
- 32:20we got all those boxes checked.
- 32:23I don't think retail in FTX is feeling
- 32:25particularly good about this. I think
- 32:27they're feeling pretty affected right
- 32:28now. I don't think
- 32:30the risks of depositing funds into FTX
- 32:34were fully disclosed. And by the way, do
- 32:35you know, David, the chat was saying
- 32:37this?
- 32:37Um
- 32:38you can still deposit funds into FTX.
- 32:41deposit money into FTX. If you deposit
- 32:45that down. Right. And because like, you
- 32:46know, people Sometimes people don't
- 32:47check. They are They aren't in crypto
- 32:49Twitter. They aren't following the news.
- 32:50So if you deposit money into FTX, it's
- 32:53just like, and it's gone. You know that
- 32:55meme? That meme the bank of like you
- 32:57give the money to the bank and then they
- 32:58say, and it's gone. It's literally that.
- 33:00I'm sure it's happened. I'm sure
- 33:01there's You can watch it on chain.
- 33:03People are actually sending money to FTX
- 33:05right now.
- 33:06And number three, no contagion. We're
- 33:08definitely Oh, we're definitely talking
- 33:10about
- 33:11Yeah, that's what we're talking about
- 33:12next, yeah. Even Edward Snowden is is
- 33:15tuning
- 33:16giving his takes here. So this is Edward
- 33:18Snowden deleting the tweet about or
- 33:21retweeting the tweet about Sam deleting
- 33:22his tweets saying, and they call me a
- 33:24criminal.
- 33:26I think this is one of the bigger
- 33:27questions is like, is SBF in legal
- 33:30trouble?
- 33:31And I think the answer to that question
- 33:32is going to be a function of how big the
- 33:35hole is on the FTX balance sheet. We do
- 33:37not know.
- 33:38yes?
- 33:40I mean, the fact that he's in legal
- 33:41trouble? We just don't know how much at
- 33:42this point.
- 33:43don't know how much, yeah. I mean, can't
- 33:45we just like let's connect some dots
- 33:46here. Yeah, I mean, we're Yeah, things
- 33:48are going to courts at the very least. I
- 33:50think whether he is personally in legal
- 33:52trouble is perhaps still up in the air.
- 33:54Yeah.
- 33:55This is SBF to you investors. This is a
- 33:58letter that
- 34:00appears to be legitimate from the mouth
- 34:02of SBF. And he says this. This was
- 34:04yesterday to his investors, of course,
- 34:06the investors in FTX. I'm sorry I've
- 34:09been hard to contact the last few days.
- 34:11I wish I could have been more
- 34:12communicative communicative
- 34:15during this process, but unfortunately I
- 34:17wasn't able to be. Things were coming
- 34:19together dynamically. Wow, that's an
- 34:21understatement. We've entered into a
- 34:23non-binding agreement with Binance to
- 34:25buy FTX. What does this mean exactly?
- 34:27That's a good question. Fortunately, I
- 34:28don't have a perfect answer for you
- 34:30because the details are still being
- 34:31hashed out. We'll keep you updated as we
- 34:33learn more over the next days and weeks.
- 34:36This is key.
- 34:37Our first priority, he says, is to
- 34:39protect customers and the industry.
- 34:41That's been guiding what we do.
- 34:43Has it? We're optimistic that we'll
- 34:45accomplish all of these, which means
- 34:47that we'll soon be focusing on our
- 34:49second priority, our shareholders. First
- 34:52depositors, second shareholders. That
- 34:54should be the stacking order. Again, I
- 34:56wish I had more details for you guys
- 34:57right now. I don't yet. I'll give them
- 34:59as they're hashed out, but protecting
- 35:01our shareholders is our highest priority
- 35:02outside of non-negotiable ones.
- 35:04I'm likely to be very swamped for the
- 35:06next few days, so unfortunately, I
- 35:07probably won't have much time for a bit.
- 35:10And then he refers to somebody on the
- 35:12team who might be have some more time.
- 35:14And he says he'll write back soon later
- 35:18when he has more details. That is the
- 35:19message from SBF. What do you make of
- 35:21this? It's
- 35:24uh
- 35:24I think If you scroll down, I think
- 35:27Aubrey's trouble had a really good take.
- 35:28Yeah, there we go. That's my opinion.
- 35:31You're on your own? You're on your own.
- 35:32Pew pew pew. We're out of here.
- 35:36Basically saying, you guys are last to
- 35:38get reimbursed.
- 35:40Now, this is something I think that is
- 35:41that is breaking actually. So this was a
- 35:44a story from this morning from CoinDesk
- 35:46saying Binance is strongly leaning
- 35:47towards scrapping FTX. David, I think
- 35:50while we've started live streaming, we
- 35:52may have a different report An
- 35:54additional report, a developing report,
- 35:56yeah. So So this is what came out this
- 35:57morning is like, Binance took a look at
- 35:59the balance sheet and they got real
- 36:00scared.
- 36:02The most recent report was chat was just
- 36:04blowing up about.
- 36:05$1 Binance FTX deal is off the table
- 36:08unless FTX US is a part of the package,
- 36:12which FTX US and FTX are different
- 36:15entities.
- 36:16Same brand in the same way that Binance
- 36:18US and Binance
- 36:19Binance F So that's that is how much
- 36:22Binance or FTX is worth. So FTX is worth
- 36:26$1.
- 36:27$1? $1.
- 36:29Because they have X number of billion
- 36:32dollar hole on their balance sheet. So
- 36:34they owe money. And so the reason why
- 36:36somebody like Binance would buy FTX is
- 36:39because they have employees, they have a
- 36:41network, they have branding, they have
- 36:43a stadium.
- 36:44a symbol that you're buying.
- 36:46Liabilities not assets.
- 36:48buying liabilities not assets, right? It
- 36:50could be $10. It could be $69. It could
- 36:53be $420, but it's one in this case.
- 36:55Yeah, you you are buying debt. So like
- 36:58it's not it's not cool to go buy this
- 37:00FTX thing. You are buying liabilities.
- 37:03So like I mean, Ryan, do you want to go
- 37:05buy
- 37:06FTX for $1? I do not. I do not.
- 37:09to Do you want to take on the
- 37:09responsibility of repaying billions of
- 37:11dollars of customer deposits? No,
- 37:13thanks.
- 37:14Well, see, neither does CZ
- 37:16unless allegedly
- 37:18FTX US is a part of the package. All
- 37:20right. Well, you know what this headline
- 37:21reads to me? Hm.
- 37:23Negotiation. Yeah.
- 37:25This is CZ negotiation. Yeah. I want
- 37:28FTX, too. What What's Sam going to say?
- 37:31I mean, he's going to say, yes, sir. You
- 37:33can have FTX as well. Like what What
- 37:35What other choices are there?
- 37:36I I don't Again, I don't know. I'm not a
- 37:38lawyer.
- 37:39But if the choice is saying yes or going
- 37:42to jail, that might be the rock in the
- 37:44hard place that Sam finds himself in.
- 37:46And one of those choices is easier than
- 37:48the others.
- 37:50Which one?
- 37:51Saying yes to CZ versus going to jail.
- 37:53Not going to jail. Not going to jail,
- 37:55yeah. Definitely be the preference.
- 37:58What are we looking at here? This is a
- 37:59headline from Bloomberg, whose main main
- 38:01street mainstream media financial news
- 38:04is reporting on this. Yeah, so the
- 38:06headline here
- 38:08Sam Bankman-Fried's FTX empire faces US
- 38:10probe into client funds and lending.
- 38:13And so this is the the
- 38:16This is regulators coming for crypto
- 38:18because we messed up. We didn't
- 38:21self-regulate.
- 38:22Wait, me? We? Yes, us, all of us. We
- 38:25did? We did. We as an industry messed
- 38:28up. I have a hard time with that.
- 38:30I understand that take.
- 38:33I also have a hard time with that.
- 38:36Regulators coming in, it's frustrating.
- 38:38I'll go to the SEC now, and it's
- 38:39frustrating that this is happening after
- 38:41the fact, not before.
- 38:44But yet, here we are. But now FTX is
- 38:46getting a probe, so I think we can
- 38:48expect if not willing clarity, then
- 38:51forced clarity because of It's SEC and
- 38:54CFTC probes.
- 38:55So
- 38:56the the three four-letter institutions
- 38:58are now getting involved.
- 39:00I think the big question which we're
- 39:01still going to get to you a little bit
- 39:03later in all of this, the acquisition,
- 39:05all of this, and even kind of the
- 39:07investigation by the authorities, is how
- 39:09big is the hole? How big is the hole?
- 39:11That's what we need to to get to
- 39:13eventually. But so What happened this
- 39:15morning? Yeah, so this is another quote
- 39:17out of DB.
- 39:19I don't know the source, but they're
- 39:20saying the legal and compliance teams
- 39:22all just quit.
- 39:24Um
- 39:25Oof. I mean, you you
- 39:27What What other message can you take
- 39:29away from how big the hole is when you
- 39:32see the legal and compliance team just
- 39:34like completely They're just abandoning
- 39:35ship. Yeah. They're like, hey hey guys,
- 39:37do you want to help us like plug the
- 39:39holes in this ship? And they're like,
- 39:40no, we're bailing out of this ship."
- 39:43We're out of here.
- 39:44Nope. Yeah, we don't want to take on too
- 39:45much water. Yeah. We don't want to end
- 39:47up in orange jumpsuit, either.
- 39:48Um this is crazy, though. Just to kind
- 39:50of zoom out and if all
- 39:52this the chat, Ryan, is uh Binance is
- 39:55officially walking away from the chat. I
- 39:57think that's supposed to be
- 39:58from the what?
- 39:59Excuse me, the chat. The deal. Uh I
- 40:01think that's supposed to be regardless
- 40:02of uh whether or not uh
- 40:06uh FTX US is involved or not. Oh my god.
- 40:09Uh you want to pull up the Bitcoin
- 40:10chart, the ether chart? Let's see what
- 40:12that that's done to the markets.
- 40:14do. Do I have to? Uh yeah, let's do it.
- 40:16Let's That's what the uh
- 40:19Okay. Well, I mean, we're at the lows,
- 40:21but
- 40:22uh we haven't broken down any further.
- 40:24Okay, but so where's this uh sourced
- 40:25here? Uh Wall Street Journal. It's the
- 40:27Wall Street Journal, yeah. Mhm. Wow.
- 40:29Yeah.
- 40:31The headline here,
- 40:32if you're listening to this, Binance
- 40:34walks away from FTX deal, according to
- 40:36company
- 40:37That was 5 minutes ago. According to
- 40:39uh according to uh
- 40:41Well, so maybe it's more than
- 40:43negotiation posturing here, David. Mhm.
- 40:46Um can we can we linger on that for for
- 40:48just a second? What would it mean
- 40:51if Binance walks away
- 40:54from this deal?
- 40:55Uh I we I think we are assuming that
- 40:59Binance is the most willing purchaser of
- 41:02FTX US, as in
- 41:05the deepest pockets, the most relevant
- 41:06company,
- 41:08uh and if they are saying that they are
- 41:10walking away from the deal, that means
- 41:12FTX is such a toxic balance sheet that
- 41:16no one will touch it, and whatever few
- 41:19remaining assets will be liquidated, and
- 41:21the courts are going to determine who
- 41:23gets what. Oh my god. If you have money
- 41:26in FTX, you are going to, after years of
- 41:29courts court battles, you are going to
- 41:32be returned probably pennies on the
- 41:33dollar, depending on how big the hole is
- 41:36in FTX, which again, we do not know.
- 41:39The
- 41:40So, I think what this is implying is if
- 41:44if CZ if Binance walks away, then all
- 41:46FTX depositors have just been
- 41:48Mashinsky'd.
- 41:49You've been Alex Mashinsky'd.
- 41:51Yeah. Which of course is uh where where
- 41:53Celsius has gone. I'm going to shoot
- 41:55from the hip here and say less than 15
- 41:57cents on the dollar.
- 41:59Uh so, this is what's uh crazy about
- 42:01some of these crypto bank lending
- 42:04institution failings, right? Is um you
- 42:06had Celsius, Alex Mashinsky, that's
- 42:08going to bankruptcy court. Um people
- 42:11aren't getting their money back anytime
- 42:12soon. If they do, it'll be pennies cents
- 42:15on the dollars
- 42:16um after, you know, years of
- 42:18proceedings. Um you know, another
- 42:20comparison is is Mount Gox. You've been
- 42:22Mashinsky'd, you've been Mount Gox'd.
- 42:24With some of the the crypto bank
- 42:25failures like BlockFi, for instance, um
- 42:28there was a bailout for depositors. But
- 42:31David, guess who bailed them out?
- 42:33Uh tell me.
- 42:35Who bailed out BlockFi? You remember
- 42:36this.
- 42:37it was FTX.
- 42:40What do we do?
- 42:42Oh my god. Chat, can you can you link
- 42:45the uh the the uh
- 45:05like that the evidence is um coming out
- 45:07that this this theory could be more
- 45:08correct than not. So, uh yeah. What
- 45:10What's the theory of how all of this
- 45:11happened and how
- 45:13yeah, the whole got so big? So, this is
- 45:16uh
- 45:17when we started the live stream
- 45:18yesterday,
- 45:19uh I I kind of proposed this question as
- 45:22to like, "Why didn't Alameda Research
- 45:25blow up like everyone else after the
- 45:28Three Arrows Capital contagion?" Like,
- 45:30why were they different? Uh because that
- 45:33that did kind of stick out. Why was
- 45:34Three Why was FTX able to buy up
- 45:37everyone
- 45:38uh while everyone else was bleeding? We
- 45:40didn't You mean back in back in May,
- 45:42when all like when we thought we flushed
- 45:44all the crap down the toilet, and all
- 45:46the leverage and all the degen was kind
- 45:49of flushed out of the system, and
- 45:50Bitcoin dropped to what? Definitely
- 45:52under 20k. ETH dropped to like triple
- 45:54digits. 800. Yeah, right. Mhm. Uh
- 45:58you would have thought Alameda would
- 45:59have gotten flushed out in that whole
- 46:02process, right?
- 46:04Another degen hedge fund, like Three
- 46:06Arrows
- 46:06Everyone got addicted to leverage in in
- 46:082021, and so everyone that was on
- 46:11leverage, Alameda,
- 46:13was supposed to get flushed out, yet
- 46:14Alameda didn't. Why didn't Why didn't
- 46:17Alameda get flushed out? So, again, this
- 46:19is just speculation, but this Lucas
- 46:21Nuzzi guy throws in a very good thread
- 46:23of some on-chain snooping that we'll go
- 46:25ahead and read out here.
- 46:26And he begins and says, "I found
- 46:28evidence that FTX might have
- 46:30provided a massive bailout for Alameda
- 46:32in Q2, which came which now came back to
- 46:35haunt them. Uh 40 days ago, 100 173
- 46:38million FTT tokens worth over 4 billion
- 46:41USD became active on chain, and a rabbit
- 46:43hole appeared." And so, this is the
- 46:44rabbit hole that Lucas goes down. "That
- 46:46day, September 8th, over 8.6 billion
- 46:48dollars of FTT was moved on chain. That
- 46:51was by far the largest daily move of FTT
- 46:53in the token's existence, and one of the
- 46:54largest ERC-20 daily moves we've ever
- 46:56recorded at CoinMetrics." Oh, if this
- 46:58guy works at CoinMetrics, he's Yeah, oh,
- 46:59he does. Yeah, he's He's a great great
- 47:01snoop. Um
- 47:03Uh tweet three, "I went through all the
- 47:04transfers that happened that day using
- 47:06CoinMetrics Atlas and ranked them. I
- 47:08found a partic a peculiar transaction
- 47:10that interacted with a contract from the
- 47:11FTT ICO. This 2019 contract
- 47:14automatically released 173 million FTT
- 47:17tokens from the token's ICO address. Uh
- 47:19the recipient of the 4.2 billion dollars
- 47:22worth of FTT tokens was no one but
- 47:24Alameda Research. So, what? Question
- 47:26mark. Alameda and FTX were intrinsically
- 47:28connected from day one, and Alameda
- 47:29obviously participated in the FTX ICO,
- 47:32but what happened next was interesting.
- 47:34Alameda then sent the entire balance to
- 47:36the address of the deployer of the FTT
- 47:39ERC-20, which was controlled by someone
- 47:41at FTX. In other words, Alameda
- 47:43auto-vested 4.2 billion dollars of FTT
- 47:45just to immediately send it back to FTX.
- 47:49Here's what I think happened.
- 47:50Alameda, as a conclusion of this,
- 47:52Alameda blew up in Q2 along with Three
- 47:54Arrows Capital and others. It only
- 47:56survived because it was able to secure
- 47:57funding from FTX using the collateral of
- 48:01the 172 million FTT tokens that was
- 48:03guaranteed to vest 4 months later. Once
- 48:06vested, all tokens were sent back as
- 48:07repayment. Remember, the FTT ICO
- 48:10contract vests automatically. Had FTX
- 48:12let Alameda implode in May, their
- 48:14collapse would have ensured the
- 48:15subsequent liquidation of all FTT tokens
- 48:17vested in September. It would have been
- 48:19terrible for FTX, so they found a way to
- 48:21avoid the scenario. Before you go on,
- 48:23David, so what he's saying is the theory
- 48:26of how Alameda survived Mhm. uh past
- 48:30Three Arrows Capital and the big blowup
- 48:31of all of the the leveraged margin uh
- 48:33funds that were taking undue risk, which
- 48:35Alameda is probably part of that cohort,
- 48:37um was they got funding from FTX using
- 48:44FTT tokens. And remember, that is the
- 48:46loyalty token pseudo equity asset of
- 48:49FTX.
- 48:51Um which which I I believe entitles FTT
- 48:54owners to some portion of of trading
- 48:56fees, something like this. So, it's like
- 48:57this weird pseudo equity thing that's
- 48:59supposed to
- 49:00go up in proxy with uh the value of FTX.
- 49:03That's the only reason they survived.
- 49:05So, they would have been blown out of
- 49:07the water like all of the rest if it
- 49:09wasn't for Daddy FTX that um lent them
- 49:13some funds based on the value of FTT
- 49:17tokens. It's like a huge self-dealing
- 49:20uh kind of
- 49:22I don't know.
- 49:23Um
- 49:24I
- 49:25shady shady practice here.
- 49:27Mhm. Right. And I'm I'm assuming this
- 49:30this might be speculation on my part,
- 49:31but just to understand this,
- 49:33uh Alameda
- 49:35uh had FTT tokens vesting, 4.2 billion
- 49:38dollars FTT vesting. So, they had that,
- 49:40but they didn't have that available. So,
- 49:42and they needed money to not blow up.
- 49:44And so, I'm assuming
- 49:47FTX sent Alameda like dollars
- 49:51under the contract I might be
- 49:53speculating here under the contract that
- 49:54they that FTX will get FTT tokens that
- 49:57Alameda will vest in the future. And
- 49:59then when Alameda did vest the FTT
- 50:02tokens in the future, they immediately
- 50:03sent them to FTX.
- 50:05And so, I'm assuming that those were the
- 50:06customer deposits that people need to
- 50:08fact-check me on this. The the customer
- 50:10deposits that that created the hole in
- 50:13FTX that we see today were the was the
- 50:15money that was sent to Alameda so
- 50:18Alameda wouldn't blow up. And Alameda
- 50:21signed an agreement with FTX to give
- 50:23them their FTT tokens once they vested.
- 50:26I think that is what's going on. Does
- 50:27that make sense?
- 50:29Yeah, it does. Uh let's continue. Mhm.
- 50:32Uh okay. Uh I'll go on to uh tweets.
- 50:35Let's see. Uh yeah, tweet number seven.
- 50:37The timing makes sense. Alameda and FTX
- 50:39essentially put all the chips on the
- 50:40table in Q2 and use that cash to bail
- 50:43others out. This solidified FTX's image
- 50:45as a solvent and responsible
- 50:47institution, which helped FTT's price.
- 50:49And that honestly, that's what we were
- 50:51saying on Bankless Front. That's like,
- 50:53"Yo, like
- 50:53Yesterday our speculation No, like for
- 50:55the past like 6 months. Like FTX bought
- 50:58BlockFi. They bought like
- 51:00Sam Bankman-Fried won the bear market
- 51:02because FTX was so solvent and so
- 51:05profitable that it was able to buy up
- 51:07all the blood. This is what everyone was
- 51:09saying. Yeah, they looked like the
- 51:10responsible player. The responsible
- 51:12players left were like, you know, of
- 51:13course like you know, Gemini they're
- 51:15doing fine. Kraken's doing fine. But the
- 51:16big the responsibles with deep pockets
- 51:18were like uh
- 51:20Coinbase, Brian Armstrong.
- 51:22Uh but they weren't in acquisition mode.
- 51:24And Binance and and SBF. Mhm. And
- 51:27Binance and SBF were kind of the bailout
- 51:29kings consolidating all of these things.
- 51:31And they they looked pretty clean.
- 51:33Alameda looked like
- 51:35looked like the fund that didn't blow
- 51:36up. Right. Right?
- 51:38Exactly. You know, even even in these
- 51:40chaotic market conditions, but it looks
- 51:42like maybe they did. Right. And that was
- 51:44the start of
- 51:46SBF using depositor funds, trading some
- 51:49FTT type tokens.
- 51:52The commingling kind of like continued
- 51:54there cuz he didn't want
- 51:57Alameda to go under Right. at that point
- 51:59in time.
- 51:59Right.
- 52:00Yeah, so this is this is why the price
- 52:01of FTT was so important to Alameda
- 52:03research. They were like, "We'll buy it
- 52:04all at $22." Guess what it's at right
- 52:06now, Ryan.
- 52:08Uh I'm going to look. Are we talking
- 52:10about FTT tokens?
- 52:11FTT tokens.
- 52:13Okay, last time I looked it was
- 52:14five. Yeah.
- 52:17Yeah, three it's 310 on your chart. It's
- 52:19220 $2.25
- 52:22on FTX. Look at this. Look at this
- 52:24chart. This is This is post um Is this
- 52:27the market this most recent candle here?
- 52:29Is this the market figuring out about um
- 52:32what I Yeah, that no one's coming to
- 52:33save FTT. Yeah.
- 52:35I mean, this is what what what the chat
- 52:37is saying right now. Mhm. Um By the way,
- 52:39should I be using something other than
- 52:41CoinGecko for for like time
- 52:43you should. But it's it's it's I think
- 52:45it's I find it endearing, Ryan, that
- 52:46you're not a charter.
- 52:49Yeah. Um
- 52:51Okay, so back back into the back into
- 52:53the Lucas thread just to finish this
- 52:54thing off. The Alameda bailout likely
- 52:56put a dent on FTX's balance sheet to the
- 52:58point where it was no longer solvent.
- 53:00This would be fine if the price of FTT
- 53:02didn't collapse and a bank run would
- 53:04ensue. This is why Alameda tried to
- 53:05their best to protect FTT's price. Uh
- 53:08and then it does continue. And then
- 53:11here's where things get crazier. There's
- 53:12a chance the folks from Binance knew
- 53:14about this arrangement between FTX and
- 53:16Alameda. An opportunity emerged. This is
- 53:18where we're kind of like getting into
- 53:19the idea that CZ was a mastermind
- 53:22playing 4D chess, which he when he made
- 53:25his memo was like, "No, we I'm not a 4D
- 53:28chess mastermind. I'm just a guy making
- 53:30deals."
- 53:31But if you believe that CZ is a 4D chess
- 53:33playing mastermind, you might be into
- 53:35this. Uh so, there's a chance the folks
- 53:36from Binance knew about this arrangement
- 53:38between FTX and Alameda. An opportunity
- 53:39emerged. As large holders of FTT, they
- 53:42could start deliberately tanking the
- 53:44market to force FTX to face a liquidity
- 53:46crunch, which is ultimately what
- 53:47happened in the last 48 hours. Lo and
- 53:49behold, Binance comes to FTX's rescue.
- 53:52Did CZ just walk out with one of his
- 53:54largest competitors at the expense of a
- 53:55relatively large FTT bag, which he was
- 53:57going to unwind anyways? Huge if true.
- 54:00And so then
- 54:01the all of the this right is basically
- 54:0324 hours later, 21 hours. Uh 4 hours ago
- 54:06Lucas adds to the thread saying,
- 54:08"Evidence that supports this hypothesis
- 54:10keeps coming out. FTX US president Brett
- 54:12Harrison steps down a day before the
- 54:15September 20th transfer of FTT tokens."
- 54:18And speculates that maybe he wasn't on
- 54:19board with a transaction that might look
- 54:21like outright fraud.
- 54:23Wow. Okay, so I think the the base of
- 54:25this theory checks out. The The last
- 54:27part I'm not sure that checks out is
- 54:28this all part of uh CZ's 4D chess move
- 54:32to take out FTX. I mean, I think part of
- 54:34that could be true, but um
- 54:37I mean, this doesn't serve the interests
- 54:38of Binance or CZ if they walk away from
- 54:41this deal.
- 54:43Crypto prices are down real bad. This
- 54:45sets the industry back by 18 to 24
- 54:47months. We take a major black eye with
- 54:50regulators. Like that's not in CZ's and
- 54:52Binance's interest. No. Am I wrong about
- 54:54that? Yeah, I think that's right. None
- 54:57of us want that to happen. Right. Yeah.
- 54:59I mean, even even kind of like
- 55:01shark business motivated CZ, if that if
- 55:04that's your model of him,
- 55:06he wouldn't want that to happen either.
- 55:07Right. And and just to tie this thread
- 55:09off, we'll go we'll skip to tweet number
- 55:1114, the very last one, and then click
- 55:13the tweet that that is retweeting.
- 55:15It's because that that tweet is
- 55:17retweeting SBF saying SBF
- 55:20"Rotating a few FTX wallets today,
- 55:22mostly non-circulating. We do this
- 55:24periodically. Might be a few more
- 55:25coming. Won't have any effect." So, he's
- 55:27just saying, "Hey, we're doing some
- 55:28wallet stuff. The FTX exchange is doing
- 55:30some wallet stuff."
- 55:32And this was the transfer of FTT tokens
- 55:35to Alameda.
- 55:36And so, this is this is what that was.
- 55:38And so, he was on Twitter saying, "Hey,
- 55:39we're going to send some FTT tokens
- 55:40around. Normal operations. Nothing to
- 55:43look Don't look beyond the curtain." Uh
- 55:45so, how long ago was that? That was in
- 55:47September 28th.
- 55:48Um
- 55:49Yeah.
- 55:50Crazy. Guys, uh there's more to talk
- 55:52about. We got to talk about some more of
- 55:53the contagion. I I think we want to talk
- 55:55about like the emotions in the market.
- 55:57Like the the market reaction
- 55:58the the contagion is so crazy. Ryan, 10%
- 56:02of Multicoin Capital had their their
- 56:04fund on FTX. And so, that's a fund that
- 56:08is related to all of their investments.
- 56:09And that's not just like the contagion
- 56:11conversation is huge.
- 56:12All right. Well, uh don't jump too far
- 56:13ahead of us cuz David we got to it's a
- 56:15bear market. We have to pay for the
- 56:17show.
- 56:19I Guys, we'll be right back. We'll talk
- 56:21about all this. Talk about Solana a
- 56:22little bit more. Maybe talk about some
- 56:23of the the regulation as well. But
- 56:25before we do, we want to thank the
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- 59:00Okay, guys, we're back. We got to talk
- 59:02about some of the contagion. Talk about
- 59:04some of the response from around the
- 59:05space. There's also been some breaking
- 59:07news coming out of Binance that we we
- 59:10want to cover. It's just a tweet. New
- 59:12tweet just dropped. Maybe nothing
- 59:13breaking from this.
- 59:14just dropped.
- 59:15Yeah, um I think before we get to that
- 59:17Binance tweet, another thing I was
- 59:18reading in the chat chat logs during
- 59:21during the break here,
- 59:22and people were upset about the Nexo
- 59:24commercial that we just put on. Um
- 59:27Let me let me just comment on that,
- 59:28guys. So, um
- 59:31I have used
- 59:32crypto bank this a confession time? I
- 59:34have used crypto banks and exchanges in
- 59:36the past, including centralized lending
- 59:37companies.
- 59:38Um not very much, mostly just to test.
- 59:42Um Nexo has been among those. So is
- 59:44Celsius. So is BlockFi.
- 59:47I had my funds
- 59:49um
- 59:50Like I'm never getting my funds out of
- 59:51Celsius. Um
- 59:54just to test, right? Um Nexo is a
- 59:57company that came out of the you know
- 1:00:01three
- 1:00:01Capital contagion. Three Arrows Capital
- 1:00:03contagion. Uh they seemed strong.
- 1:00:06Okay? They seemed like they were in a
- 1:00:07place to be able to weather the storm.
- 1:00:11But I just want to emphasize that
- 1:00:13we have no idea if it's a centralized
- 1:00:16exchange, if it's a crypto bank, if it's
- 1:00:19a lending and borrowing facility.
- 1:00:21Neither David nor myself know for sure
- 1:00:24whether it's solvent.
- 1:00:27I don't know if Wells Fargo is solvent.
- 1:00:29I don't know if Chase is solvent. I
- 1:00:31don't know if the banks I use in my
- 1:00:32everyday life are solvent. So this is a
- 1:00:34risk anytime you give up your private
- 1:00:38keys and custody it with a third party.
- 1:00:41It's a risk if you have funds in
- 1:00:42Coinbase right now. There is a risk.
- 1:00:45I trust Coinbase. I trust Gemini. But I
- 1:00:48don't I do the um
- 1:00:51public bathroom thing. I don't keep my
- 1:00:53funds in there. I go in I'm in and out,
- 1:00:55okay? And so uh I just want to make it
- 1:00:57clear that
- 1:00:59we
- 1:01:00are not sure
- 1:01:02where the next contagion to happen is.
- 1:01:05Um we sign these sponsors kind of like 3
- 1:01:08months in advance. And so we have to
- 1:01:10finish our commitment with Nexo. We'll
- 1:01:12definitely be reevaluating what we do
- 1:01:15with centralized companies in the
- 1:01:17future. Um
- 1:01:18and um
- 1:01:19as far as we know, everything's fine
- 1:01:21with Nexo, but like we don't know for
- 1:01:23sure. And this is the beauty of DeFi.
- 1:01:25Whenever possible, guys, we're going to
- 1:01:27put sponsors in front of you that are
- 1:01:29100%
- 1:01:31DeFi aligned and 100% bankless tools.
- 1:01:34But sometimes they won't be, you know?
- 1:01:35And so Nexo is an example of like you
- 1:01:38can use it, choose cautiously. Um I
- 1:01:41would recommend not keeping a lot of
- 1:01:43your funds on exchanges at this point in
- 1:01:45time uh in general. And so just if you
- 1:01:48ever choose to do that, just enter it
- 1:01:49with caution. Small part of your
- 1:01:51portfolio. Right. And we all we all have
- 1:01:52to remind ourselves that like
- 1:01:53banklessness is a spectrum. Uh some
- 1:01:56people are not ready to take on private
- 1:01:58keys. Uh that is also a risk that I
- 1:02:00think if you're watching this live
- 1:02:02stream, you're probably ready to take on
- 1:02:03that risk, but many other people are not
- 1:02:05ready to take on that risk. Um so
- 1:02:07they're all tools. Uh and we consider
- 1:02:10them all. I mean my dad, David, he's
- 1:02:12like I think it it's a greater risk for
- 1:02:14like
- 1:02:15some people, like my dad,
- 1:02:17Yeah. to custody his own private keys
- 1:02:19Yeah. and like risk losing it.
- 1:02:21Uh versus holding on somewhere like
- 1:02:22Coinbase, for example. So uh we have to
- 1:02:25take that into account. Okay, what is
- 1:02:27this tweet from Binance that just
- 1:02:28dropped?
- 1:02:30Uh okay, sorry. Um we'll we'll get to
- 1:02:32the charts later.
- 1:02:34If you need to learn how to use
- 1:02:35TradingView, dude.
- 1:02:38Okay, he's fine. It's never failed me.
- 1:02:39Yeah, okay. All right. Uh back back to
- 1:02:41Binance. Binance just tweet tweeted this
- 1:02:43out. Uh
- 1:02:44new Binance just dropped. Uh as a result
- 1:02:46of corporate due diligence as well as
- 1:02:48the latest news reports regarding
- 1:02:49mishandled customer funds and alleged US
- 1:02:52agency investigations, we have decided
- 1:02:54that we will not pursue the potential
- 1:02:55acquisition of ftx.com. That dropped 7
- 1:02:58minutes ago, almost already has 10,000
- 1:03:00likes.
- 1:03:01Uh well, that's that.
- 1:03:03No one's coming to save us. That's
- 1:03:07So in crypto when when banks fail,
- 1:03:09there's no bailout for us. We don't get
- 1:03:11bailouts, yeah.
- 1:03:12We don't get bailouts, and that's what
- 1:03:13we signed up for, isn't it?
- 1:03:16No bailouts.
- 1:03:17Yeah.
- 1:03:18Uh that's that's what we signed up for.
- 1:03:19Yeah, we don't get bailouts. That's the
- 1:03:21rules. It sounded like you were
- 1:03:23contemplating that. You're like
- 1:03:25I was just I was just like, well it is
- 1:03:28if you're a centralized thing
- 1:03:30you get bailout sooner than a DeFi
- 1:03:32thing. No one ever is ever going to bail
- 1:03:35out MakerDAO or Uniswap or Aave. Uh
- 1:03:39What I'm saying is when I say bailouts,
- 1:03:41it's not like a a private company
- 1:03:42bailout. Like that makes sense to me.
- 1:03:44That's a business decision. I think when
- 1:03:46people think of of bailouts in the way I
- 1:03:48just used it, it's like a 2008 financial
- 1:03:51crisis bailout where you socialize your
- 1:03:53losses
- 1:03:54So okay, uh socialize your losses like
- 1:03:56printing money, right? We printed money
- 1:03:57to save the banks in 2008. You know what
- 1:04:00Remember Ryan like 2 weeks ago we were
- 1:04:01talking about how FTX was uh teasing
- 1:04:04dabbling with a new stablecoin? Yeah.
- 1:04:07They were going to mint their own
- 1:04:08stablecoin and bail themselves out cuz
- 1:04:09they knew they had a hole in the balance
- 1:04:11sheet.
- 1:04:11that. Don't tell me that.
- 1:04:12going to do. They had insolvency. They
- 1:04:15were going to mint their own stablecoin
- 1:04:17and print their stablecoin.
- 1:04:19David, all this is coming out. Doesn't
- 1:04:20Okay, so did it seem weird when we were
- 1:04:22doing that live stream with SBF and and
- 1:04:25for he's like 2 weeks here now that you
- 1:04:26think about Now you look back on it,
- 1:04:28right? Did I we talked to SBF before.
- 1:04:31Did he seem like
- 1:04:32off his game? Yes. Nervous to you? Did
- 1:04:35he seem like And everyone saw it.
- 1:04:37Everyone saw it that like Sam felt
- 1:04:40cornered. And like on we you and I were
- 1:04:42both like, you know, props to Sam for
- 1:04:44like being public and engaging these
- 1:04:45conversations publicly. Uh but like I
- 1:04:49think he was like running out of tools
- 1:04:52in the tool belt. Like he was running
- 1:04:53out of ammo.
- 1:04:54Well, imagine if you like imagine the
- 1:04:56stress that he'd be under Yeah. at that
- 1:04:58point in time. Just like the pure right
- 1:05:00and like um he just seemed very
- 1:05:02distracted. Uh there was like
- 1:05:05a decent amount of kind of like
- 1:05:07movement, jittering, that sort of thing.
- 1:05:08Mhm. And now that I look back on that
- 1:05:10conversation um which by the way, some
- 1:05:13people have said kind of kicked this
- 1:05:15whole thing off. I don't know if that's
- 1:05:16true or not, but um
- 1:05:18it was a different Sam than the Sam we
- 1:05:20talked to.
- 1:05:20Yes. I don't know, back in
- 1:05:22different Sam. last year, whatever. Um
- 1:05:25all right. So let's talk about
- 1:05:26contagion. Oh, yeah. What's What's
- 1:05:28What's that? Cryp- Crypto Condom. Who
- 1:05:30This is actually a Twitter account that
- 1:05:31we've actually used before. So despite
- 1:05:32the uh the uh less than professional
- 1:05:35name, uh we don't really care about
- 1:05:36professionalism. He's a good good
- 1:05:37Twitter account. And he goes, "Calling
- 1:05:39all researchers, thread incoming, but
- 1:05:41this contagion This is the contagion we
- 1:05:42know of so far. Please provide info in
- 1:05:44the replies if you know of any other so
- 1:05:45I can compile and share. Um a lot more
- 1:05:47contagion will come out. Entities with
- 1:05:48FTX and Alameda exposure will be short
- 1:05:51targets. Uh and so he goes through a
- 1:05:53list of all uh entities or things that
- 1:05:56are should be considered when we talk
- 1:05:57about contagion. Uh Ku- KuCoin has some
- 1:06:00exposure. Galaxy Digital for 76 million.
- 1:06:04Uh Solana is $6 billion market cap right
- 1:06:06now. I'm pretty sure that's less. Uh
- 1:06:08FTT, the token, is is now less than $4.
- 1:06:10It's a little bit above two. Uh Stargate
- 1:06:13uh allegedly bought a bunch of FTT
- 1:06:15tokens. Voyager. Ooh, Voyager again. Uh
- 1:06:18FTX Series C investors, Jump Capital,
- 1:06:20Multicoin Wait, what's Multicoin?
- 1:06:23What happened to Multicoin? Uh they just
- 1:06:25had a ton of FTX exposure. And in
- 1:06:28addition to that, we'll talk about this
- 1:06:29next. They had a lot of assets on FTX
- 1:06:31itself.
- 1:06:31Like 10%, right?
- 1:06:32Yeah, 10% of their funds. So their fund
- 1:06:34is down 10%.
- 1:06:35Okay. Aptos had investment from FTX in
- 1:06:38their Series A. Sui had FTX investment
- 1:06:40from their Series A. Um Tezos like So
- 1:06:43all these people what he what this uh
- 1:06:45Crypto Condom is doing is saying, "Hey,
- 1:06:46calling all researchers, go investigate
- 1:06:49these things. Go snoop. Uh go see how
- 1:06:51bad the contagion is. Um hopefully the
- 1:06:53cancer isn't that bad, but FTX was at
- 1:06:56the very epicenter of a lot of just
- 1:06:58crypto CeFi." Uh
- 1:07:00Did Did Did you see that that the
- 1:07:01headline was like uh Tom Brady was like
- 1:07:03a headline 650 million or something of
- 1:07:06their their their net worth tied up in
- 1:07:08FTX? Yeah. And uh related investments.
- 1:07:11Yeah. Like Tom
- 1:07:12down on FTX over and over and over
- 1:07:14again, yeah.
- 1:07:15FTX Arena or is that going
- 1:07:17quick comment in the chat. Guys, what's
- 1:07:18going to happen to FTX US? Uh
- 1:07:21Uh probably nothing, I think. Two
- 1:07:23separate entities. And honestly, you
- 1:07:25have to capitulate. And this is what the
- 1:07:27other frustrating thing, Ryan, is is
- 1:07:29about is like FTX US is probably fine
- 1:07:32because it's a regulated onshore
- 1:07:34exchange that is not connected to FTX.
- 1:07:37are separate, right?
- 1:07:37They are separate, right. And so FTX US
- 1:07:40is is largely solvent as far as we know
- 1:07:42in the same way that Coinbase is
- 1:07:44because of regulations. David David,
- 1:07:47they're going to need a rebrand after
- 1:07:48this. Yeah, that's that's for sure.
- 1:07:50Yeah.
- 1:07:51I think.
- 1:07:52Uh this But But when you look at this
- 1:07:54list, right? It's interesting is we got
- 1:07:56um
- 1:07:57nothing really affecting Bitcoin. And
- 1:07:59then kind of fallout price fallout, like
- 1:08:01the liquidity slippage.
- 1:08:03Bitcoin is being liquidated to pay for
- 1:08:05insolvency, yeah. Nothing really like
- 1:08:06affecting like the Coinbase of the
- 1:08:08world. Right. Not too much in the
- 1:08:10Ethereum community. Which kind of this
- 1:08:12is a question of like after the dust
- 1:08:15settles how do we rebuild and what
- 1:08:17communities come back stronger and
- 1:08:18faster? Yeah. Like I know we're going to
- 1:08:20get to this, but um
- 1:08:22I mean it's been a rough times for
- 1:08:24Solana. We'll we'll pull up some Solana
- 1:08:26charts later, but this is what you're
- 1:08:28talking about. Multicoin Capital hit by
- 1:08:30FTX collapse. They had 10% of their
- 1:08:31funds AUM stuck on the exchanges.
- 1:08:35Wow.
- 1:08:35Right.
- 1:08:37What's that mean?
- 1:08:38The token still exist.
- 1:08:41No, no, no. Their their funds, their AUM
- 1:08:44Right. Okay. Samani's What What's
- 1:08:47Multicoin worth? Billions?
- 1:08:49yeah. Now I'm at a what? Not Not today,
- 1:08:51maybe.
- 1:08:5110% less.
- 1:08:5210% of that investor funds was locked
- 1:08:56inside of FTX. We're not talking about
- 1:08:58like down from all-time high. We're
- 1:09:00talking about money that's not
- 1:09:02recoverable. Money that's lost. Right.
- 1:09:05Just with like the other people
- 1:09:06This is what I'm I'm confused about.
- 1:09:07Like Alameda was like this hedge fund
- 1:09:10that was like playing trading games and
- 1:09:12and like liquidating people left and
- 1:09:14right and making a ton of money. And
- 1:09:16then But like okay, then
- 1:09:18where's their money? Like where did it
- 1:09:20go? David, like
- 1:09:22Who's got all the money? The money went
- 1:09:23somewhere. Who liquidated Alameda? Kyle
- 1:09:26Samani didn't know about this.
- 1:09:28All right. Like he Did you see the tweet
- 1:09:30that he tweeted out I think is
- 1:09:32like on a Sunday or Monday.
- 1:09:34Uh he was like
- 1:09:36I'm paraphrasing. Ignore the fud. And it
- 1:09:37just like Also an investor in FTX.
- 1:09:40Uh so if he doesn't know
- 1:09:43he's got his his multi-coin funds on
- 1:09:46FTX, right? And he's part of that kind
- 1:09:49of inner investor circle of like FTX.
- 1:09:53I'm not going to lump Solana in this,
- 1:09:55but FTX and like he should be in the
- 1:09:57know here. And he's got exposure. Yeah.
- 1:10:00Uh Galaxy Digital uh reveals $77 million
- 1:10:04of exposure to FTX in Q3. So these are
- 1:10:06not only people being hit by contagion,
- 1:10:08but also creating contagion as well. Uh
- 1:10:11so when somebody's hit by contagion,
- 1:10:12they pass along that contagion. What a
- 1:10:15year for our friend Novo? Yeah, sorry
- 1:10:17Novo. That's rough. Uh Mike Novogratz.
- 1:10:20Uh so Frank Chaparro out of the block uh
- 1:10:22just lists out all the FTX investors who
- 1:10:24you know spent money on something that
- 1:10:26is worth significantly less now.
- 1:10:28BlackRock, Sequoia, Paradigm, Tiger
- 1:10:30Global, SoftBank, Circle, Multicoin,
- 1:10:33VanEck.
- 1:10:34Ontario Pension Fund. This is pension
- 1:10:36years money in this thing.
- 1:10:38That's bad.
- 1:10:40That's That's what triggers the
- 1:10:41regulators. We don't like that.
- 1:10:44Jeez, how long is it going to be until
- 1:10:45pension Do you remember the meme of like
- 1:10:47the pension funds are coming? That's
- 1:10:49what's 2000 Oh god. Yeah, so so this is
- 1:10:51what Vitalik was saying was like, "Hey,
- 1:10:53uh let's not like try to go for the ETF
- 1:10:56thing because of stuff like this. Like
- 1:10:59let's not integrate ourselves with
- 1:11:01TradFi too soon because
- 1:11:04uh yeah. Um The C5 regulations are
- 1:11:06coming, my friend.
- 1:11:07Right. Big time. Big time. The drums are
- 1:11:09beating. So here's the tweet. Not only
- 1:11:11does FTX have the Solana exposure that
- 1:11:13they have to offload, but they also have
- 1:11:14led the series A round for both Aptos
- 1:11:16and Sui. So Aptos and Sui are going to
- 1:11:18have a hard time keeping their token
- 1:11:20valuations propped up when they have a
- 1:11:22persistent seller.
- 1:11:23Um so there's that. The audacity of
- 1:11:25leading these seed rounds when you have
- 1:11:27like if what really happened is
- 1:11:29Alameda's like went broke Right. And
- 1:11:32like and you're still doing this?
- 1:11:35Yeah. Wow. Yeah.
- 1:11:38This is uh FTX US saying it's not
- 1:11:40impacted by the liquidity crisis. Yeah,
- 1:11:41separate entities. Separate entities.
- 1:11:43but it has got to be impacted, right?
- 1:11:45Everyone's got to be withdrawing from
- 1:11:46FTX US as well. I mean, like I wouldn't
- 1:11:48keep my funds in there. Yeah.
- 1:11:51This is back to like the sad versus mad
- 1:11:53kind of thing.
- 1:11:53here are the crypto Twitter takes. Yeah.
- 1:11:55Mhm. What's this one from Fubar? This is
- 1:11:58uh 0xfoobar. Real talk, the And this
- 1:12:00these are the sort of the takes that I
- 1:12:01like woke up to this morning, Ryan. And
- 1:12:03so I was like, "Oh we have to
- 1:12:05clean this up." Uh so Fubar says, "Real
- 1:12:08talk, the FTX news is the saddest I've
- 1:12:10felt about the industry since joining.
- 1:12:12Previous blow-ups were either obviously
- 1:12:13failed mechanisms or prop shops with a
- 1:12:15series of bad bets. That's Terra Luna
- 1:12:17and then Three Arrows Capital. Even
- 1:12:19Celsius gave sufficient warning with
- 1:12:20their fake yield products."
- 1:12:22Uh saying like well the writing was all
- 1:12:23the wall on the wall for Celsius. Uh
- 1:12:26uh where And he continues, "Whereas SBF
- 1:12:28and company had a clear ride to the top,
- 1:12:29one of the best products around, doing
- 1:12:31incredible revenue on honest business
- 1:12:33alone. Everyone knew about the Alameda
- 1:12:35commingling, but it was assumed it was a
- 1:12:36small blot on otherwise successful
- 1:12:38business. And that, Ryan, is the part
- 1:12:40where I realized that like this isn't
- 1:12:43just like uh popcorn time where you
- 1:12:45watch billionaire war games happen. Uh
- 1:12:48FTX, one of the best products around,
- 1:12:50created a ton of value, made useful
- 1:12:53services and useful products for many
- 1:12:55many people. And then because they
- 1:12:58leveraged their customers' deposits and
- 1:13:00they took risky bets, those products and
- 1:13:03services will be destroyed. This is a
- 1:13:05capital destruction event. You know you
- 1:13:07know the metaphor of like uh the broken
- 1:13:09window of capitalism where like if you
- 1:13:10go and broke break a window, do you
- 1:13:12create economic activity because you go
- 1:13:14and and spend money at the repair shop
- 1:13:15and you spend money for the contractor?
- 1:13:17This is that fallacy. Like if you break
- 1:13:19the biggest one of the biggest
- 1:13:20exchanges, this is a capital destruction
- 1:13:23event. The world is off in a worse off
- 1:13:25place because we do not have access to
- 1:13:27the good products and services that FTX
- 1:13:30produced
- 1:13:31as a result of this. Um and then Fubar
- 1:13:33continues and goes, "Then the lying, the
- 1:13:35cheating, the stealing comes out. That
- 1:13:36level of losses doesn't happen on
- 1:13:38accident. Why the need for such greed?
- 1:13:41Yes. Why? Why the need for such greed?
- 1:13:43Why? He's saying like SBF won.
- 1:13:45He won. He made one of the biggest
- 1:13:47exchanges in the shortest amount of
- 1:13:48time, but he kept on rolling the dice
- 1:13:51and he kept on
- 1:13:52Billionaire status like confirmed.
- 1:13:54Right. Um uh But that wasn't enough.
- 1:13:57Yeah. And I think he follow he finishes
- 1:13:58that and says, "I got tricked." And I
- 1:14:01think that is what a lot of people in
- 1:14:02this industry uh feels like. You want to
- 1:14:05read this one?
- 1:14:06Yeah, this is from Kobe. Um speaking of
- 1:14:09uh getting tricked. By the way, we're
- 1:14:10doing a uh a Bankless plus up only live
- 1:14:14stream. All right.
- 1:14:15Never thought possible. Therapy session
- 1:14:17live stream. Therapy session, yeah. Cope
- 1:14:19cope room. Definitely We're coming
- 1:14:20together at uh 10:00 p.m. Eastern
- 1:14:23tonight. So come back for that. It's
- 1:14:25going to be a different flavor. I mean,
- 1:14:26in this episode we're going through the
- 1:14:27day's events. In that episode, I don't
- 1:14:29know what we're going to be talking
- 1:14:30about. It's uh up only, so it could be
- 1:14:32anything. But Kobe's saying Arthur uh
- 1:14:35can't do a show today. I guess he's
- 1:14:36talking about Arthur Hayes. I'm going
- 1:14:37back to bed. My decade of crypto, this
- 1:14:39exchange rug is by far the worst ever.
- 1:14:42Almost no time to react and lots of
- 1:14:44long-term and smart crypto people
- 1:14:46impacted by it. Almost no time to react.
- 1:14:50This is exchange rug is by far the worst
- 1:14:53ever. All right, so he's saying this is
- 1:14:54worse than Three Arrows Capital. It's
- 1:14:56worse than Luna Terra. It's worse than
- 1:14:59Mount Gox. It's worse than all of them.
- 1:15:02What do you think about this take? Do
- 1:15:03you feel feel like this is worse? When
- 1:15:05Kobe says that this is the worst rug of
- 1:15:09all time, that is something to sit and
- 1:15:11reflect upon. I don't think he's just
- 1:15:13shooting from the hip with this take. I
- 1:15:15don't think Kobe does that. When Kobe
- 1:15:16says that this is the worst of all time,
- 1:15:19and he's been in crypto longer than you
- 1:15:20and I have, Ryan. He's seen it all. He's
- 1:15:22been since before Mount Gox. And he's
- 1:15:24saying that this is the worst of all
- 1:15:26time.
- 1:15:26So I don't know if it'll have quite the
- 1:15:28impact in terms of total supply or like
- 1:15:31total market cap like I mean, percentage
- 1:15:34of market cap destroyed. But I think in
- 1:15:36you know
- 1:15:38I guess there's one element of um
- 1:15:40I think people thought that they could
- 1:15:41trust FTX.
- 1:15:42Right. That was like He was putting his
- 1:15:45ads all over San Francisco, bro.
- 1:15:47Yeah. He drove he saw sports arena.
- 1:15:49Yeah, he bought a goddamn arena. That's
- 1:15:51the That's the problem here. Yeah, I
- 1:15:53mean if you were doing the algo
- 1:15:54stablecoin thing, right? That's one
- 1:15:55thing. You kind of like you're doing
- 1:15:57some
- 1:15:58back in 2013, Mount Gox, I mean, what do
- 1:16:00you expect? We're like three years into
- 1:16:02this crypto experiment. It's a magic to
- 1:16:04get Like what do you expect? Right. Uh
- 1:16:06this is different. I mean, this was
- 1:16:08again the professionals who are supposed
- 1:16:10to be doing the right thing here.
- 1:16:11the guy that was in DC.
- 1:16:14This is uh FTX
- 1:16:15level capital of irresponsibility and he
- 1:16:17was also lobbying. He was our interface
- 1:16:20to the regulators.
- 1:16:21Yeah.
- 1:16:22He knew that. Today was the most
- 1:16:23depressing day I've seen. This is Tom
- 1:16:26Shaughnessy of Delphi Digital, so take
- 1:16:28that into account where like Delphi Labs
- 1:16:30had a significant exposure to Terra
- 1:16:32Luna.
- 1:16:33And so that's what Tom's like
- 1:16:35Bad day. Talk about a bad day. And he is
- 1:16:37saying that this day is the most
- 1:16:39depressing day he's seen in his three
- 1:16:40crypto bear markets. Uh oh wait, no.
- 1:16:42That's Tom That's I mixed up Toms. I
- 1:16:44mixed up Toms. That's not right.
- 1:16:45Wrong Tom? Wrong Tom. No, no. This is
- 1:16:47Are you sure?
- 1:16:47that's Tom from Delphi. Oh, that is That
- 1:16:49is Tom. That is Tom. Okay, never mind.
- 1:16:50Yeah, you did You got the right Tom.
- 1:16:52Uh he said it's the most depressing day.
- 1:16:54If affected, you will recover. Um
- 1:16:56outside of the toxicity, remember that
- 1:16:58there are smart high-integrity people
- 1:17:00building the space forward. David, um
- 1:17:03we will recover from this.
- 1:17:04Yeah, we always will. I'm not worried
- 1:17:06about crypto like in the long run. But
- 1:17:09um
- 1:17:10yeah, I think a lot of people got hurt
- 1:17:11today. Uh the most depressing day. I
- 1:17:14guess
- 1:17:15I don't know. I understand why a lot of
- 1:17:16people feel that way. Um particularly
- 1:17:18those affected. Um this is uh Larry
- 1:17:20Cermak from The Block who's uh also
- 1:17:22replying to uh a crypto anon account. Uh
- 1:17:26the a cat-themed crypto anon account. If
- 1:17:28you want to scroll up, Ryan.
- 1:17:29Uh assuming FTX funds are gone, this is
- 1:17:31the biggest one-day loss in cat's life.
- 1:17:34You need to do it in cat voice, David. I
- 1:17:35don't know what a cat voice is, Ryan.
- 1:17:37Uh the maybe the saddest part is cat may
- 1:17:40long no longer sponsor streamers, art
- 1:17:42software, open source projects cuz cat
- 1:17:45lost a million dollars uh in year. Money
- 1:17:47was always number. Cat will still live
- 1:17:49in nice hotels. It's okay. Uh and Larry
- 1:17:51Cermak from The Block says, "Biggest
- 1:17:53one-day loss for me as well. Funny since
- 1:17:56I actively said people should would
- 1:17:57withdraw even if sub 1% chance that FTX
- 1:18:00would be insolvent, but I was too lazy
- 1:18:02to do it myself and act when act and
- 1:18:04actually naively trusted Sam and
- 1:18:06multiple employees who all said
- 1:18:07everything was above board. We'll back
- 1:18:10bounce back back We'll bounce back,
- 1:18:12cat." So the These are our people. These
- 1:18:14are the the crypto Twitter tribes. These
- 1:18:15are the people that got duped by Sam's
- 1:18:18like air of trustworthiness. People that
- 1:18:21knew better and will admit that they
- 1:18:23knew better, but they were still
- 1:18:25um smashed by this. Right. And this is
- 1:18:28where I have to say it's like um
- 1:18:30uh
- 1:18:31there again, we said this about kind of
- 1:18:33Luna Terra. There should be no grave
- 1:18:34dancing about this.
- 1:18:36Uh I mean
- 1:18:38it you are just fortunate that something
- 1:18:40like this didn't happen to you. You may
- 1:18:41think it's cuz you're smarter. You may
- 1:18:43think it's because uh you listened to
- 1:18:44the right advice. You went Bankless
- 1:18:46sooner. All of those things can be
- 1:18:47partially true, but also I mean like we
- 1:18:50really mean it when we say
- 1:18:52crypto is risky. It's not for everyone,
- 1:18:55right? You could lose what you put in.
- 1:18:57That can happen to you on this crypto
- 1:19:00journey. And um we can try to minimize
- 1:19:02our risk in lots of ways, but I think
- 1:19:05it's important that uh
- 1:19:07we
- 1:19:08just remain compassionate to those on
- 1:19:10the journey that just got wrecked today.
- 1:19:13Uh as we take some learning lessons from
- 1:19:15this.
- 1:19:15own. Yeah, so here here's Sensei
- 1:19:17Capital. He's saying, "Looking to sell
- 1:19:19my FTX balance. DM me if interested.
- 1:19:21Serious offers only." cuz his balance is
- 1:19:23a million dollars plus. So this guy had
- 1:19:24a million dollars on the exchange and
- 1:19:26he's taking offers for somebody to
- 1:19:28you know, give himself pennies on the
- 1:19:30dollar.
- 1:19:31Here's Eric Eric Connor retweeting a an
- 1:19:34article that's talking about FTX's
- 1:19:36excuse me, Sam Bankman-Fried's loss in
- 1:19:38net worth. So Sam Bankman-Fried's 53%
- 1:19:41stake in FTX was worth about 6.2 billion
- 1:19:43dollars before Tuesday's takeover, which
- 1:19:45is now happening. So that actually might
- 1:19:47be worth zero according to Bloomberg's
- 1:19:49Billionaires Index based on that funding
- 1:19:51round and subsequent performance of
- 1:19:53publicly traded crypto companies. FTX
- 1:19:55wasn't Sam Bankman-Fried's most valuable
- 1:19:56asset though. His trading crypto trading
- 1:19:58firm Alameda Research, which I believe
- 1:20:00he owned to 90% of Ryan,
- 1:20:02contributed 7.4 billion dollars to his
- 1:20:04personal for fortune, which might also
- 1:20:06be at zero now.
- 1:20:08The Bloomberg Wealth Index assumes
- 1:20:10existing FTX investors including SBF
- 1:20:12will be completely wiped out by
- 1:20:13Binance's bailout and the root of the
- 1:20:15exchange's problem stem from Alameda. As
- 1:20:17a result, both FTX and Alameda are given
- 1:20:19a $1 value. Might as well call it zero.
- 1:20:22That leaves SBF's net worth to be about
- 1:20:251 billion dollars down from 15.6 billion
- 1:20:27dollars heading into Tuesday. The 94%
- 1:20:30loss is the biggest one-day collapse
- 1:20:31ever among billionaires tracked by
- 1:20:33Bloomberg.
- 1:20:35Great vote of confidence for crypto.
- 1:20:37Still still got a billion dollars
- 1:20:38though.
- 1:20:39Uh for now. For now. I mean, we'll see.
- 1:20:42There could be lots of legal fallout
- 1:20:43from this of course. Um
- 1:20:45This is
- 1:20:46This is tweet. What are we looking at
- 1:20:48here?
- 1:20:48Yeah, so there's
- 1:20:50this section of tweets that we have next
- 1:20:51is all about the Solana ecosystem
- 1:20:53because Solana is caught up in the
- 1:20:54crossfire.
- 1:20:55at the chart real quick for Solana?
- 1:20:57up in the chart you can do okay.
- 1:20:58there. Yeah.
- 1:21:00CoinGecko.
- 1:21:01Ooh. Eat a chart. I'm using CoinGecko.
- 1:21:03Yeah. All right guys, sorry I suck.
- 1:21:06He just told the chat to eat it.
- 1:21:08I'm sorry. It's me I suck. All right.
- 1:21:11What are we looking at here? Should I do
- 1:21:127-day? Uh yeah, might as well do 7-days.
- 1:21:14Scroll down a little bit so we can see
- 1:21:15the
- 1:21:16the down badness in the percentage. Um
- 1:21:20Scroll down and it'll show you how how
- 1:21:21bad it's down over 7 days. Oof, 60 down
- 1:21:2360% in 7 days. This is just like
- 1:21:26association. SBF was a big Solana
- 1:21:28investor. Remember SBF's uh I beg. Sell
- 1:21:30me sell me all your SOL at $3 and then F
- 1:21:33off tweet.
- 1:21:34And so you know, By the way, if anyone
- 1:21:36ever says that to you just for the for
- 1:21:38future bear markets when you get you
- 1:21:39know, all drunk on kind of the upward
- 1:21:41price movements. If anyone ever says
- 1:21:43something like that, just run. Head to
- 1:21:45the exit.
- 1:21:46That is he does it $3. So he's still up
- 1:21:495x on all of that SOL that he
- 1:21:52Yeah. Well, he's he's he's liquidating
- 1:21:54it.
- 1:21:55It's
- 1:21:57Do you know in this in this Solana
- 1:21:58community too, there's some massive
- 1:22:00unlocks that are happening like
- 1:22:01concurrently with this?
- 1:22:03Like massive investor unlocks.
- 1:22:05Yeah. Hang on. The chat's saying SBF has
- 1:22:08filed for bankruptcy. I'm going to
- 1:22:09Google search that. What?
- 1:22:12Guys, give us a
- 1:22:13give us a link if you can. Uh no, I
- 1:22:15don't think that's right. I don't think
- 1:22:16that's right.
- 1:22:17Okay. Well, I mean
- 1:22:19we'll see. I don't think that's right.
- 1:22:20All right. So back to SOL community.
- 1:22:24Solana is just like caught in the
- 1:22:25crossfire, right? Because like
- 1:22:26Multicoin's down bad has a bunch of SOL
- 1:22:28on the balance sheet. FTX is down bad
- 1:22:30has a bunch of SOL on the balance sheet.
- 1:22:31Sam himself personally probably owns
- 1:22:33SOL.
- 1:22:34So there's a bunch of just like sell
- 1:22:35pressure for Solana. And so
- 1:22:39that's unfortunate for Solana. However,
- 1:22:41Ryan,
- 1:22:43the I think there's a big question right
- 1:22:44now is is Solana mutually sufficiently
- 1:22:46independent from all of the people that
- 1:22:49own SOL
- 1:22:51and will the Solana ecosystem survive?
- 1:22:53Yeah. I I think yes. Yes, I think it
- 1:22:56will survive. Yeah, I think I think
- 1:22:57Solana will It will take a long time to
- 1:22:59repair and the price may never like
- 1:23:02it may take years if ever for it to
- 1:23:04reach all-time highs. Mhm. Um this is a
- 1:23:06this is a massive event. I mean, I know
- 1:23:08a lot of people who are in Solana just
- 1:23:10because
- 1:23:11SBF supported them Solana so much. It
- 1:23:13was kind of like SBF's pet
- 1:23:17you know, layer one. Right. Um what's
- 1:23:19this?
- 1:23:20Uh so this is the data nerd saying 47
- 1:23:22million SOL tokens, which is almost a
- 1:23:24billion dollars
- 1:23:26at the previous price. So it's less now.
- 1:23:28Will be unstaked by the end of epoch 370
- 1:23:32up from 18 million reported earlier. I
- 1:23:34think this might have already happened
- 1:23:35by now. But basically like SOL is being
- 1:23:38unstaked now
- 1:23:40as the price is going down. A billion
- 1:23:42dollars unstaked by the end of epoch
- 1:23:45730. That's like today, right?
- 1:23:47Uh yes, that's that's today. Can you
- 1:23:49Ryan 13% of the supply. Yeah.
- 1:23:52Yeah. Can you open up TradingView
- 1:23:55and we'll guide you through some charts
- 1:23:57cuz Ether is about to break through
- 1:23:59$1,100.
- 1:24:01Yeah, okay, there's your ETHBTC. Just
- 1:24:03yeah, type in ETH.
- 1:24:05Uh ETH and do the Coinbase fourth down.
- 1:24:08Oh, that's the market cap of ETH.
- 1:24:11And
- 1:24:12and then you zoomed in. Okay. So go go
- 1:24:15back up to the ticker in the top left.
- 1:24:16We don't want this one.
- 1:24:18Yeah, type in ETH coin fourth one down
- 1:24:20ETHUSD Coinbase.
- 1:24:23Uh One more. One more. There we go.
- 1:24:25Ooh, yeah, here we go. Okay, so this is
- 1:24:28new lows for Ether. We'll pull up
- 1:24:30Bitcoin in a second. So Ether about to
- 1:24:32break through $1,100. Let's pull up
- 1:24:35Bitcoin.
- 1:24:36It's it's new lows. It's not lows lows.
- 1:24:39Uh Can we just scroll out? Like what is
- 1:24:41lows lows?
- 1:24:41go go up to and hit the one hour thing.
- 1:24:45You guys do you see do you see what I
- 1:24:47have to deal with when Ryan has to chart
- 1:24:49it?
- 1:24:49David is David is giving me real time.
- 1:24:50You want one day? Give me yeah, give me
- 1:24:52one day. Yeah, so here we are.
- 1:24:54And then we can zoom in a little bit to
- 1:24:55like 2022 just just waiting 2020. Yeah.
- 1:24:58So yeah, this is this is
- 1:25:00This is getting down. It's And then
- 1:25:02okay, so go go back up and see the vol
- 1:25:04the volume below in the top left corner.
- 1:25:07You can hit the eyeball of that if you
- 1:25:09hover a little bit lower a little bit
- 1:25:10lower.
- 1:25:11A little bit lower. Uh vol vol right
- 1:25:14there. Hit the eyeball right there. Bam.
- 1:25:15Make that go away. Okay, cool. Much
- 1:25:16prettier. Uh
- 1:25:18So yeah, so we are getting down to the
- 1:25:20near the basically the lows of Ether.
- 1:25:24You want to you want to pick out
- 1:25:25Bitcoin? Yeah. Someone's also saying uh
- 1:25:28check Bitcoin check Binance Twitter. I
- 1:25:30wonder if Hey Dave Dave in the chat. Can
- 1:25:33you
- 1:25:34see if CZ or Binance has tweeted
- 1:25:36anything? Yeah, Binance or Bitcoin
- 1:25:39below 1,600.
- 1:25:40That that that is a low. That is a that
- 1:25:42is a low. That is a low since it crossed
- 1:25:45that.
- 1:25:45all-time lows for uh
- 1:25:48No, right bull market lows. Bull market
- 1:25:50lows.
- 1:25:51lows for for Bitcoin for ETH and then we
- 1:25:53are we've we've exceeded
- 1:25:56lows. Last last low was I guess around
- 1:25:58the 1,700s. Mhm. Mhm. And now we're at
- 1:26:011,600s. Wow. Could you imagine David
- 1:26:04seeing 10k Bitcoin again?
- 1:26:05Yeah, that's How low do we go?
- 1:26:0710k God, strike fear into my heart.
- 1:26:09close. 50% off. I mean, that's real
- 1:26:11close. Yeah.
- 1:26:13You want to Okay, do you want to Can you
- 1:26:15pull up I'm sorry to do this. Can you
- 1:26:17pull up ultrasound.money?
- 1:26:19Oh god. I don't know. Should I? Why?
- 1:26:22I mean, this is not
- 1:26:24You should qualify you should qualify
- 1:26:25this.
- 1:26:26Uh so we're just burning a ton. Yeah. So
- 1:26:29there Oh, we know that. I'm just People
- 1:26:32I put a I put a tweet out I was like oh
- 1:26:34like ETH is finally ultra sound and Udi
- 1:26:35Wertheimer was like not now, David. I'm
- 1:26:37sorry.
- 1:26:38way, David. I feel that way.
- 1:26:40nice shining light on the week of week
- 1:26:44of
- 1:26:45Yeah, it depends who you are. think this
- 1:26:47is is is it's okay.
- 1:26:49pain chart.
- 1:26:50All right. David David thinks it's okay.
- 1:26:52I say
- 1:26:54give it some space. Yeah. Um all right.
- 1:26:57So what about I guess other crypto
- 1:26:59prices? Anything else we should we
- 1:27:01should look at?
- 1:27:01I think we we can go back to the FTT
- 1:27:03token, but that's about it.
- 1:27:04Can I just look at market cap? We are
- 1:27:06873 billion. So down from a trillion.
- 1:27:09Big time. I I don't remember seeing it
- 1:27:11below 900 billion before.
- 1:27:12I think this might be lows on the market
- 1:27:16cap crypto market cap.
- 1:27:17be market cap lows. Yeah. My goodness.
- 1:27:20Okay. What about regulatory, David?
- 1:27:22Maybe that's one of the things we should
- 1:27:24hit.
- 1:27:24really know too much right now because
- 1:27:26regulators are like they're like the
- 1:27:28Fed. They're lagging indicator, not a
- 1:27:30leading indicator.
- 1:27:32And so it's like oh sweet, the Feds have
- 1:27:34finally showed up. Great.
- 1:27:37I just think the big meta question is is
- 1:27:41SBF in legal trouble,
- 1:27:44which we do not know.
- 1:27:46Okay. So sum this up for us, David.
- 1:27:49Um
- 1:27:51I think cuz um
- 1:27:52I think we're going to close this out on
- 1:27:53your screen.
- 1:27:54Yeah.
- 1:27:56So what happened over the last 24 hours
- 1:27:59for people late to this or just to to
- 1:28:01summarize? What what what's happened
- 1:28:03now? I mean, and by the way, at the
- 1:28:05beginning of this live stream, we're in
- 1:28:06a different place than we are now. It
- 1:28:08does look like Binance has definitively
- 1:28:11walked away from the deal. So I guess
- 1:28:14what are the implications? Where are we
- 1:28:16now?
- 1:28:17And what what can we look for in the
- 1:28:19next 24 hours? Um I'm sure Sam and FTX
- 1:28:23are going to go and solicit other
- 1:28:25investment.
- 1:28:27Um
- 1:28:28I'm not optimistic about anyone else
- 1:28:31coming to the rescue because like I said
- 1:28:33earlier, if Binance isn't doing it, then
- 1:28:35who else is going to? They are the most
- 1:28:37relevant Tell me what that means for
- 1:28:38depositors.
- 1:28:39Even Brian Armstrong was like it doesn't
- 1:28:41even make sense for us to do it.
- 1:28:43Depositors
- 1:28:45maybe there's some fumes left in the
- 1:28:47tank, but I think there's going to be a
- 1:28:49moment where SEC CFTC steps in and says
- 1:28:53all right, we're taking over. Freeze
- 1:28:55everything. We're going to the courts.
- 1:28:57And there will be a liquidation event
- 1:29:00of FTX's remaining assets to to pay off
- 1:29:03creditors. There's going to be a squeeze
- 1:29:07to get into the door to get money back.
- 1:29:10Whether you are an FTX investor trying
- 1:29:11to get your money back. If you are a
- 1:29:13depositor into FTX, Um
- 1:29:16are line to get your money back.
- 1:29:17Everyone is it's like 2008 Ryan.
- 1:29:20Everyone is lining up to get whatever
- 1:29:22remaining funds are available and it's
- 1:29:24going to go to the court because people
- 1:29:26are want to get in the front of the line
- 1:29:28to get paid back first and it's going to
- 1:29:30be the courts that decide that.
- 1:29:32And so this is this is the story that
- 1:29:34when markets break down we end up back
- 1:29:36in courts. And so that is what's going
- 1:29:39to happen. I think the most the first
- 1:29:41thing Ryan that people need to pay
- 1:29:42attention to is lawyers are going to
- 1:29:44step in and they're going to start
- 1:29:45giving their opinions as to whether if
- 1:29:47you are a customer depositor into
- 1:29:51FTX, where do you stand in line? Are you
- 1:29:54first or are you after investors? I
- 1:29:57think that's the most important
- 1:29:58information that I could see kind of
- 1:29:59coming out
- 1:30:01in the near term. I think that's the
- 1:30:02thing to pay attention to next. Guys, I
- 1:30:05um
- 1:30:06I think that's all right and I don't
- 1:30:08want to sugarcoat this neither David nor
- 1:30:10I do. This is this is a pretty big deal.
- 1:30:13Um
- 1:30:13This is um
- 1:30:15This is more than a flesh wound. This is
- 1:30:17a cannonball to the chest.
- 1:30:19Yeah. Uh it's going to take a while to
- 1:30:20recover from this. Yeah. Um So I'll say
- 1:30:23that. Um on the bright side because you
- 1:30:26know like don't don't look for for weeks
- 1:30:29for this these charts to recover. Uh
- 1:30:31maybe not even
- 1:30:32months. Uh it could take a a very long
- 1:30:35time. On the bright side um I think
- 1:30:37David this could be the final
- 1:30:39capitulation uh we need out of this out
- 1:30:43of this bear market. If the I had a
- 1:30:46feeling I had a feeling there was still
- 1:30:48some nastiness left. I like nothing
- 1:30:51quantifiable but like intuition telling
- 1:30:53tell me it's like whether it's macro or
- 1:30:54something. I had a feeling we would
- 1:30:56visit uh triple digit ETH again and like
- 1:30:59we're on the precipice we're we're we're
- 1:31:00probably visit that.
- 1:31:02away. We're going there, okay? You
- 1:31:04buying? Um double a triple digit?
- 1:31:07Absolute freakingly.
- 1:31:08900 or you going to wait for 800? Um
- 1:31:11I'll probably start 900.
- 1:31:14Here's the thing. Um
- 1:31:17A lot of you guys will be tempted to
- 1:31:18leave right now. Mhm. Right? Throw up
- 1:31:20your hands in frustration. Even Kobe was
- 1:31:22like, "Hey, I've been here for a while
- 1:31:23and like I'm I'm kind of done." All
- 1:31:25right?
- 1:31:26If you're still here
- 1:31:28you're doing it right.
- 1:31:30Bear markets are the time you make the
- 1:31:32money. Yeah. Not the bull markets. Those
- 1:31:35that's the feel good. That's kind of the
- 1:31:37carbs and sugar, right? Uh bear markets
- 1:31:40are when you're actually making money.
- 1:31:42These are when your buys at these low
- 1:31:45low prices when it's super painful they
- 1:31:47will turn green Yeah. when the bear when
- 1:31:49the bull market uh cycle starts.
- 1:31:51most green. Does this end like when the
- 1:31:54words sound hollow and when it sounds
- 1:31:55cliche and at some level when you don't
- 1:31:58want to hear it because you're like,
- 1:31:59"Ryan, shut up. This is too painful."
- 1:32:01Right. That's when you should be looking
- 1:32:04to buy. And I'm not saying right now.
- 1:32:07I'm not saying all lump sum. You could
- 1:32:08dollar cost average. You can do
- 1:32:10different things. But this is how you
- 1:32:13play the crypto market. Right. And the
- 1:32:15bear market. It's right? As you buy when
- 1:32:17there is what does Buffett say? Blood in
- 1:32:19the streets.
- 1:32:20the streets. There is there's lots of
- 1:32:22blood. There's blood and it might flow
- 1:32:25Yeah. for a while longer. We don't know
- 1:32:27we don't know when the bleeding's going
- 1:32:28to stop. You got to stay here. If you're
- 1:32:30not staying here, you're not playing the
- 1:32:32game right.
- 1:32:34You know so I guess that's that's what I
- 1:32:36would say. And and David I know we've
- 1:32:37got kind of a moment of Zen something to
- 1:32:40leave folks with as we exit. But
- 1:32:42remind remind us to
- 1:32:44uh what else is happening in Bankless
- 1:32:47cuz we're doing a live stream tonight.
- 1:32:48There's another another time we're going
- 1:32:49to talk about this.
- 1:32:50first the chat wants to remind you that
- 1:32:52that wasn't financial advice. Um
- 1:32:54So but I would like to ask the chat, all
- 1:32:57right, you chat you give me financial
- 1:32:59advice. What I want to I want to know
- 1:33:01what price that you're you're yeah,
- 1:33:02where are you buying so I can I can
- 1:33:04layer in my bids perhaps perhaps just
- 1:33:05before. Yeah, can we crowdsource some
- 1:33:07some Bitcoin and ether prices?
- 1:33:09Um but okay, so tonight we're doing our
- 1:33:12live stream with UpOnly.
- 1:33:14Um I think uh we probably won't be
- 1:33:16sharing tweets. I don't think we're
- 1:33:17going to be uh screen sharing. But yeah,
- 1:33:18Kobe and Ledger we're going to we're
- 1:33:19going to
- 1:33:20stream with them at 10:00 p.m. Eastern
- 1:33:22time. Uh and so stay tuned for that.
- 1:33:24That is in 5 and 1/2 hours. Yeah.
- 1:33:27Uh and so yeah, well, okay. People are
- 1:33:29talking about $600 ETH. Oh god. Ow. Ow.
- 1:33:32Ow. I don't I don't want that number.
- 1:33:34It's too low.
- 1:33:35That's too low. That's too low.
- 1:33:36I didn't want to delete the chat. Where
- 1:33:38can people catch that live stream,
- 1:33:39David?
- 1:33:40here. Right back here. So we will see
- 1:33:41you guys in 5 and 1/2 hours. We're going
- 1:33:42to talk to Kobe and Ledger. We're going
- 1:33:44to get Kobe's perspective as to why he
- 1:33:46thinks this is was the worst worst
- 1:33:47exchange rug pull in his time being
- 1:33:50here. Maybe we'll throw in try and get
- 1:33:52some other people here.
- 1:33:54We offered the invitation to CZ. He
- 1:33:56didn't respond. But if CZ wants to show
- 1:33:57up, that is an open invitation Bankless
- 1:34:00after dark. I am going to be drinking a
- 1:34:03drink. I will have
- 1:34:05a drink with me. I don't know about you
- 1:34:06Ryan, but I'll be drinking some whiskey.
- 1:34:07I I could say I will no longer be
- 1:34:08drinking coffee at that time. Will you
- 1:34:10be drinking something? Even that is too
- 1:34:11late for me. We'll see. We'll see what I
- 1:34:13show up with. Maybe a VB special
- 1:34:15something like that. A VB special. Wow.
- 1:34:17Bankless after dark. We haven't done it
- 1:34:19before. You know what? We appreciate you
- 1:34:21you sticking with us in Bankless like
- 1:34:24we're not leaving. We're going to be
- 1:34:25here in the bear market with you. This
- 1:34:27is the time we do the best. We build the
- 1:34:29best things. I'm going to leave risk and
- 1:34:31disclaimers and then I thank guys. Stick
- 1:34:33around.
- 1:34:34like and subscribe. Like and subscribe.
- 1:34:36Yes, first like and subscribe and we
- 1:34:37have a moment of Zen after these risk
- 1:34:39and disclaimers.
- 1:34:40have a moment
- 1:34:40None of this has been financial advice.
- 1:34:42It never freaking is on Bankless. Never
- 1:34:43ever. Never has been never will be. ETH
- 1:34:46is risky. Bitcoin is risky. You could
- 1:34:48lose what you put in but we are headed
- 1:34:50west. This is the frontier. It's not for
- 1:34:52everyone but we're glad you're with us
- 1:34:54on the Bankless journey. David, let me
- 1:34:56tee up this moment of Zen and I hope
- 1:34:59Did you share screen with sound? Here we
- 1:35:01go. Like I was saying, it's FTX. It's a
- 1:35:03safe and easy way to get into crypto.
- 1:35:06Yeah, I don't think so.
- 1:35:09And I'm never wrong about this stuff.
- 1:35:11Never.
- 1:35:13If you don't laugh, you'll cry. Take
- 1:35:15care guys. We'll see you in the stream
- 1:35:17tonight. Goodbye everyone.
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