The Anomaly Mentorship - Advance course - Lesson 9 - Gap Selection — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00Hello everybody. Welcome to the anomaly
- 0:02course, core content lesson two. Here
- 0:04we're going to be going over gap
- 0:05selection. We're going to be talking
- 0:07about how to trade breakaway gaps, how
- 0:09to anticipate breakaway gaps.
- 0:11We're going to be talking about the
- 0:12universal sequence and just high
- 0:14probable gaps in general. Which is an
- 0:17extension to what we have in the course
- 0:19covering gap filtering. So, let's go
- 0:21ahead and start here. So, here is going
- 0:24to be talking about which gaps you want
- 0:25to be using. If we have a
- 0:28expansion leg in price after reversal,
- 0:30we want to see continuation to this high
- 0:32for example. And maybe on the 30-minute
- 0:34you see that we have multiple gaps in
- 0:36this leg of price, in this expansion
- 0:38leg. We want to filter it out into one
- 0:41gap ideally. You're going to jump up one
- 0:42time frame, right? So, what's the
- 0:44highest or what's one time frame above
- 0:4630-minute? It's going to be hourly,
- 0:48right? And here you see one large gap.
- 0:50That's what we want to see. It's ideally
- 0:52one gap in price. So, let's say this is
- 0:54the hourly time frame right here on the
- 0:56left. We have two gaps in the hourly
- 0:58time frame. I'm going to jump up to
- 0:5990-minute.
- 1:00And I'm going to look for a 90-minute
- 1:01gap there. Just one gap, okay? When I
- 1:04jump to the 90-minute, what if there's
- 1:06two gaps? I'm going to jump to the
- 1:084-hour. Right, what if this is the
- 1:094-hour here?
- 1:10I'm going to jump to 6-hour and see one
- 1:12gap. So on and so forth.
- 1:16So, now let's talk about the highest
- 1:18probability gaps.
- 1:19And that is essentially where the high
- 1:21of a higher time frame gap is a relevant
- 1:24low on the lower time frame. So, you
- 1:26guys see right here, this is the high of
- 1:28this gap, which is a relevant low on the
- 1:30lower time frame, these spaced out lows.
- 1:33That is actually the highest probable
- 1:35gap in price.
- 1:40So, when we drop to lower time frame, we
- 1:41can really treat this with the relevant
- 1:44swings logic, right?
- 1:46So, when we drop to lower time frame,
- 1:47this is what it will look like, right?
- 1:50The high of this gap is a relevant swing
- 1:53on lower time frame, which is what
- 1:55you're going to have SMT with, right?
- 1:56Because this is the gap high. You'll
- 1:58have SMT like that. And ideally, you
- 2:00want this to turn into a protected
- 2:01swing.
- 2:02You want that shallow manipulation of
- 2:05this relevant swing, so we're not
- 2:06creating failure swings.
- 2:11Now, here's an example where if we run
- 2:14through and have a deep manipulation
- 2:17in this gap, that is not ideal, right?
- 2:19So, what do we see here? Inside of this
- 2:21gap, what do we have? A relevant swing.
- 2:24That is another thing. Sometimes,
- 2:27when you look at a high or a low of a
- 2:29gap, in this case the high, sometimes
- 2:31it's not a relevant swing. It's like
- 2:33nothing, basically. It's not nothing
- 2:35relevant at all. But inside of that gap,
- 2:38you actually might have a relevant
- 2:39level.
- 2:40So, what price will wait for
- 2:42is
- 2:43it will wait for price to engage with
- 2:45this relevant swing. For example, you
- 2:46might have SMT with that gap high or low
- 2:48that's not a relevant level, but as soon
- 2:50as it takes out the relevant swing that
- 2:52is positioned inside of the highest of
- 2:54gap, is when price reverses, right?
- 2:56You're going to see this quite a bit,
- 2:58right? And it's very important because a
- 3:00lot of times you're going to be waiting
- 3:02for the SMT of the gap,
- 3:04it's not going to do anything because
- 3:05it's not actually a relevant level at
- 3:07all. It's just going to wait for the
- 3:09price to take out the relevant low,
- 3:10okay? And mainly, we only care about
- 3:12this
- 3:13on like the hourly and above for the
- 3:16most part, right? The alignment will be
- 3:18something like this, right? This is a
- 3:194-hour gap, an hourly swing low. If this
- 3:21is an hourly gap, you know, 15-minute,
- 3:2230-minute swing low. That's pretty much
- 3:24how you're going to go with it, right?
- 3:25So, right here you as you see,
- 3:27um this scenario is a bit different,
- 3:28right? Where
- 3:30in this case, it is a relevant low,
- 3:32right? The gap high.
- 3:34And we create SMT with it, but we're
- 3:36creating failure swings, right? So,
- 3:38ideally, you want to wait for price to
- 3:40manipulate this um relevant swing here
- 3:43to create a protected swing, which we'll
- 3:44see in the next slide.
- 3:47So, as you guys can see,
- 3:48this is what we would be waiting for,
- 3:50right? Is this to be taken out? Now
- 3:53there is no
- 3:55relevant swings in this whole leg,
- 3:56right? They're all taken out. There's no
- 3:58reason to go lower. We take them all
- 4:00out, which creates a protective swing in
- 4:02price. There's no reason lower. Then we
- 4:04can expand, right? So it's simply yes,
- 4:06it's an SMT fill,
- 4:08but we're incorporating these relevant
- 4:10swings within it, which is very
- 4:11important.
- 4:13So now let's go ahead and cover
- 4:14breakaway gaps. Here in this slide we're
- 4:16going to be covering how to anticipate
- 4:18them. So that is going to be the first
- 4:21gap at reversal. Ideally low in a range,
- 4:25right? If this is the reversal down
- 4:26here, this is drawing liquidity,
- 4:29the discount end, right? Specifically
- 4:31ideally very deep in discount, right?
- 4:34Um because if we just reversed, we
- 4:36should just expand, right? A gap is a
- 4:39retracement phase of price where price
- 4:41retraces into a gap. Um that should only
- 4:43occur after we expanded, right? Into EQ
- 4:46or hit maybe
- 4:48a relevant level that's internal to the
- 4:49range, etc., right? So here when we
- 4:51actually start to retrace, candle one,
- 4:53candle two, candle three, right? Three
- 4:55candles of expansion, this gap gets
- 4:56traded into. Um so you're going to see
- 4:59it's the gap
- 5:00that forms between candle one and candle
- 5:02two's range is typically
- 5:04where the breakaway gap forms, right?
- 5:07It's always within it that first swing
- 5:09point that price reverses from is where
- 5:12the breakaway gap occurs. So that gap is
- 5:14actually where we get the most
- 5:15opportunity and the highest probable
- 5:17opportunity for continuations, but it's
- 5:19also where we see the most breakaway
- 5:20gaps. So it's important to actually
- 5:22understand how to trade them. Now this
- 5:24is not something you can get 100% of the
- 5:26time. It's not something you can always
- 5:27anticipate to be left open, but it's
- 5:30something that we will act on.
- 5:33Uh and we have a mechanical process to
- 5:35do so. So let's go ahead and move on.
- 5:37So now the second way we can anticipate
- 5:40um a gap to be left open, a breakaway
- 5:42gap, is the candle three closure that
- 5:45creates the gap, right? So here's the
- 5:47candle that is creating the gap, right?
- 5:49Candle one and candle three's wicks here
- 5:51do not meet.
- 5:52So, as you can see, these two candles
- 5:54are closing differently, right? What's
- 5:56the difference here? This candle here is
- 5:58closing more of an expansion candle,
- 6:00right? Where it closes um above candle
- 6:03two's high, right? Aggressively.
- 6:05And this candle here is not, right? It's
- 6:08like a reversal candle, right? If candle
- 6:10three closes like this, it is much more
- 6:13likely to trade into the gap the very
- 6:15next candle, right? Whereas this one
- 6:17over here is not, right?
- 6:20It's in that expansion phase of price,
- 6:21which we want. That's what breakaway
- 6:23gaps
- 6:24um are basically. It's expansion.
- 6:26They're actually good things to see in
- 6:27price
- 6:29uh early in a reversal because that's
- 6:31indication of violent price action or
- 6:34volatile price action, which is what we
- 6:36want. You know, one-sided expansion um
- 6:38after a reversal. So, it's actually
- 6:39something that's is actually good to
- 6:41see.
- 6:43So, this is going to be
- 6:45important to understand
- 6:47when we understand how to actually trade
- 6:49a breakaway gap, right? Because the
- 6:50candle three closure
- 6:52is something that's very important,
- 6:53which we're going to be covering in the
- 6:55next slide here.
- 6:58So, here is actually how to trade a
- 7:00future higher itself gap. So,
- 7:02essentially you're trading candle three
- 7:04right here, right? And we understand and
- 7:06we know when this candle three opens
- 7:09that it's probably going to create a
- 7:10future gap. Why? Because the wicks here
- 7:14are not meeting. You see they're not
- 7:15meeting? So, we know when this candle
- 7:16closes it's going to form a future gap,
- 7:19right? So, what's going to end up
- 7:20happening is that you're going to get a
- 7:23gap on the lower time frame that forms
- 7:25before this candle closes, right? This
- 7:28candle here and candle two
- 7:30is going to create the gap. Or maybe the
- 7:32first 30-minute candle in this hourly
- 7:35candle creates the gap, right? Doesn't
- 7:36matter.
- 7:37All we know is that there's a gap that's
- 7:39forming before the hourly gap. So, it's
- 7:41like how do we know which one to wait
- 7:44for? Can we trade this 30-minute one? Do
- 7:45we have to wait for the hourly? Right?
- 7:47So, you can do it. We we can trade this
- 7:50gap, but it's important like where are
- 7:52we going to do it though? Right? Early
- 7:54inversions only, right? That's
- 7:56important. So, that's one thing you
- 7:57need. So, assuming we have that, we're
- 7:59putting that initial swing point forming
- 8:01after reversal, we can do this, but it's
- 8:03very important which asset we trade.
- 8:06We're always going to be trading this
- 8:08asset here, which is the leading asset,
- 8:10and you will understand why here.
- 8:12That is because just in case we do
- 8:16actually trade
- 8:17into this gap, right? Which asset is
- 8:21most likely to trade to the gap?
- 8:23The lagging one, the weaker one, right?
- 8:25Because it's weaker, so it's most likely
- 8:27to trade to the gap. So, you have a
- 8:28chance of staying alive with this asset
- 8:32trading to the gap and this asset not
- 8:33creating an SMT fill, um which would
- 8:36save your stop loss, right? So, you're
- 8:37always going to be trading the leading
- 8:39asset. That is super important, guys. Um
- 8:42and this is where the candle closure
- 8:44comes into play. So, assuming we took
- 8:48this future gap here, assuming that we
- 8:49did,
- 8:51this is where we're going to watch to
- 8:52see this close because it's very
- 8:54important. So, here on the next slide,
- 8:56assuming that we took candle three, that
- 8:59is the future breakaway gap, if candle
- 9:01three closes like this, right? Here's
- 9:04the lagging asset close like this, so
- 9:05that we know that the lagging asset is
- 9:07highly likely to trade in this gap,
- 9:10right? And we're hoping that it creates
- 9:12an SMT fill
- 9:14if you're in this trade here. If you're
- 9:16in this trade, remember, you should be
- 9:17trading this
- 9:19uh leading asset because it is more
- 9:21likely to leave this gap open, right?
- 9:23Because if we're going to continue from
- 9:24a gap,
- 9:25more times than not, it's going to
- 9:26create an SMT fill, right? So, we're
- 9:28just basically assuming and hoping that
- 9:30you know, if this if this candle here
- 9:32closes badly that the hourly gap holds,
- 9:35the gap the hourly gap SMT holds, right?
- 9:37And your stop loss would be at this
- 9:39candle's low,
- 9:40wherever this candle's
- 9:42low is, right?
- 9:43Or I I it would be right here, my bad,
- 9:45right? It was the SMT fill on the
- 9:4630-minute. So, you basically would be
- 9:48saved by the SMT, right? Now, if you're
- 9:52in the leading assets trade here, and it
- 9:55closes like this as well,
- 9:56let's say this candle three did not
- 9:58close above, but it closes like a
- 9:59reversal candle. Get out of the trade.
- 10:01This is why I think it's really
- 10:02important. If you're trading the lagging
- 10:04assets especially if it closes like
- 10:05this, get out of the trade because you
- 10:07know that it's going to run your stop
- 10:08loss, right? You see this gap SMT here,
- 10:11it's going to break.
- 10:12Because this 30-minute gap SMT fill,
- 10:16this low right here,
- 10:18it is the gap high on the hourly. So,
- 10:21it's going to be traded into. Does that
- 10:23going to make sense?
- 10:24So, it's very important to pay attention
- 10:26to these candle closes, right? If they
- 10:27both close bullish expansion candle,
- 10:29you're probably good to go. You don't
- 10:30really have to worry, probably.
- 10:33But again, it's never a guarantee.
- 10:34But these are some things to look out
- 10:35for. We're looking for the candle
- 10:37closures, right? We're always going to
- 10:38be trading that leading assets just in
- 10:41case
- 10:42um of price running into that
- 10:45um future gap and not leaving a break of
- 10:47the gap, right?
- 10:50So, here is an example of that occurring
- 10:53where you might try to trade this future
- 10:56gap, right?
- 10:58We have the SMT fill,
- 11:00as you guys can see.
- 11:02Your stop loss is on the future SMT
- 11:04fill, but how did we close this candle
- 11:05three?
- 11:06It's a reversal candle, right? So, your
- 11:09stop loss that is on this two-stage SMT
- 11:11fill, right here, or one-stage SMT,
- 11:14whatever, it doesn't matter.
- 11:16It's on a future gap, right? And the
- 11:18candle three is closed like that, you're
- 11:19cooked, right? It's going to stop you
- 11:21out.
- 11:22That's no bueno, right? What do you guys
- 11:23also notice about this formation of
- 11:26candles here
- 11:27is that it is not within a swing
- 11:29formation, right? The best breakaway
- 11:31gaps are within a higher time frame
- 11:33information, guys. Where the gap low,
- 11:35for example, is candle three.
- 11:37That is the best type of breakaway gap.
- 11:40Right? Because on that time frame, it's
- 11:42just going to go. Right? It's just going
- 11:44to expand. Because candle two reverse,
- 11:45candle three expands. This is the best
- 11:47type of breakaway gaps. Right? It's not
- 11:49always the case where
- 11:51you know, you can't trade this. If it's
- 11:53really, really low in range, it's cool.
- 11:55But if it's really high in range, this
- 11:57is not It's even less likely that it's
- 11:59going to form breakaway gap, okay?
- 12:04Now, in my opinion, this is the most
- 12:06ideal sequence for a breakaway gap. Is
- 12:09when you are within, again, a swing
- 12:11formation after reversal,
- 12:13but candle two
- 12:15it reverses, expands, and also retraces.
- 12:20Retraces specifically
- 12:22into EQ of the range. Right? So, it's
- 12:24going to look like this, where candle
- 12:25two has like this large wick is usually
- 12:26what it's going to look like. Or candle
- 12:28three has like um
- 12:31a decent wick, right?
- 12:33And what this is, essentially, is price
- 12:36already had the retracement phase of
- 12:37price. Right? Look at this. Expansion,
- 12:39retracements. You need a deep enough
- 12:42retracement to trust, though. If it's
- 12:43into the EQ of the range, why we don't
- 12:46need to retrace anymore. Right? So, what
- 12:48comes after retracement, it should just
- 12:50expand. Right? So, this is especially
- 12:53when breakaway gaps should um
- 12:56be left open right here. This is the
- 12:57most ideal sequence, right? And again,
- 13:00how do we trade a breakaway gap?
- 13:01Is just a um
- 13:04early gap, right? That forms and gets
- 13:07traded into before this gap is even
- 13:09created. Right? So, as you can see, SMT
- 13:11fill.
- 13:12The SMT fill, the low of that is the low
- 13:15of this candle three, which is the high
- 13:16of the future gap.
- 13:18And that's what you'll be um and that's
- 13:20what you're going to be trading.
- 13:24Now, Now, go over the GXT universal
- 13:27sequence.
- 13:28This is just putting it all together.
- 13:30Like, when do we expect gaps to form?
- 13:33The most um high probable gaps and the
- 13:36sequence that is required to anticipate
- 13:38gaps even forming, right? So,
- 13:41what are gaps used for? Continuation.
- 13:44Okay? What are we going to be continuing
- 13:46away from? Key levels, right?
- 13:49So, boom, you have a key level being
- 13:50hit, but what do we confirm key levels
- 13:52with? Two-stage SMT, right? So, ideally,
- 13:55you have SMT with your key level
- 13:57followed by a precision swing points
- 14:00or consecutive candle SMT as your
- 14:02two-stage SMT. Now, if it's a
- 14:04consecutive candle two-stage SMT,
- 14:06ideally, it's in the form of a strength
- 14:07switch. Okay? So, in this case
- 14:09So, in this case, we have SMT
- 14:11and a PSP. So, what are we expecting
- 14:13price to do after it's
- 14:16forms this reversal signature, right? Or
- 14:18any reversal, the C2 candle, right? We
- 14:21expect it to expand away. In the
- 14:23expansion away
- 14:24from the hour reversal,
- 14:27it's going to be creating gaps. These
- 14:29are the most high probable gaps in price
- 14:31because what price is doing and showing
- 14:33us is that it is expanding away from the
- 14:35reversal. That's what happens after
- 14:36price reverses. It expands, right? And
- 14:39these gaps are going to be used for
- 14:41continuation. So, here's our first step.
- 14:44SMT with the key level
- 14:45followed by a PSP. This confirms our
- 14:48universal model. We're going to be going
- 14:50from down here to up here, simply,
- 14:52right? We're going to be using gaps
- 14:55and we're going to use gaps for
- 14:56continuation to get to these draws.
- 15:01So, here is the next step and that is
- 15:02the gap creation. As you guys can see,
- 15:04reversal,
- 15:06price creates that swing formation,
- 15:07price expands away from the swing
- 15:09formation or the reversal, creates the
- 15:11gap. This is the gap that we're going to
- 15:13be using for continuation. And again,
- 15:16ideally, it's just one gap, right?
- 15:17That's what we're going to be using. So,
- 15:19the first gap, the The recent gap,
- 15:21ideally, is what we want to be using.
- 15:24So, next is the gap confirmation, which
- 15:27is always going to be an SMT fill in the
- 15:30gap, or maybe both assets trade into the
- 15:32gap and you get a PSP, either or. We
- 15:35confirm the gap for continuation to
- 15:37trade towards our draw on liquidity.
- 15:41Now, we're going to be going over a
- 15:44ideal framework. It's the same thing,
- 15:46but this is
- 15:48just the most ideal and highest quality
- 15:52trades that you will find in price. And
- 15:54that is when
- 15:55we have valid framework, we're within a
- 15:57universal model, we have our two stage
- 15:59SMT confirming reversal, right?
- 16:01And
- 16:02we expand away from that
- 16:05and fall short of a draw on liquidity.
- 16:07In this case, it's an internal draw on
- 16:09liquidity.
- 16:10And then And then we re- retrace into
- 16:12the gap, right? So, why is this so high
- 16:15probability?
- 16:16It's because we have an is an
- 16:18established reversal down here,
- 16:19expansion away.
- 16:21And then we start the retracement phase
- 16:22of price before we even hit anything.
- 16:25So, we know that this higher here
- 16:28is created from nothing. It didn't even
- 16:30hit a key level. It didn't even hit or
- 16:33it didn't create SMT.
- 16:35So, when it does that,
- 16:37there's highly likelihood that this is
- 16:39not a reversal. It adds the probability.
- 16:41Now, you have a line draws right here.
- 16:43You have like failure swings, right? It
- 16:45like adds to the probability of this gap
- 16:47actually holding. Right? Because you
- 16:48have an established reversal here. No
- 16:50established reversal up here. Close
- 16:52draws. It's always great to have a close
- 16:53draw, guys. It's always good to have a
- 16:55close draw. That's the most ideal thing.
- 16:57You want these close draws
- 16:59in in in price. You do not want to be
- 17:00trading
- 17:02um
- 17:03like say consecutive candle
- 17:06uh gap SMT.
- 17:09For example, let's say this gap right
- 17:10here. Let's say there's SMT fill right
- 17:11here.
- 17:12But the draw on liquidity is way up
- 17:13here.
- 17:14You don't want to be trading that. You
- 17:15want a close draw on price. So,
- 17:18consecutive candle SMT, guys, is mainly
- 17:20used
- 17:21uh
- 17:23pretty much early in reversals, right?
- 17:25Or when you're close to draws, just so
- 17:26you know.
- 17:27But, here this is not consecutive candle
- 17:29SMT, but we do have that close draw,
- 17:30which is very ideal, right?
- 17:33And this is an a a case where
- 17:35And when we look over here, it's the
- 17:37same thing, right? We have our reversal
- 17:39at the lows. We expand away, but we fall
- 17:42short of the overall draw on liquidity,
- 17:45right? Price doesn't even hit it. It
- 17:46starts to retrace. What does that
- 17:47create? Failure swings and close
- 17:50proximity draws.
- 17:51And this gap is going to be very high
- 17:53probability to get towards this draw,
- 17:55right? You're going to see this all the
- 17:57time where price it almost like traps
- 17:59people. It gets people to start selling
- 18:02before we reach the overall draw, traps
- 18:04a lot of people, and they buy those
- 18:06positions into the highs. Very, very
- 18:08good framework. Absolutely love this. I
- 18:11mean, you can use this even alone by
- 18:13itself, to be honest. Where
- 18:16we don't even come off of a reversal.
- 18:18We're just close to a draw on liquidity,
- 18:20right? That can be your bias, and you
- 18:21just have like the most recent gap to
- 18:23get to that draw on liquidity. But, I'd
- 18:25only do that when you have very, very
- 18:27close draws on liquidity. But, it's
- 18:28ideal that it's in this sequence, right?
- 18:31Um you're actually coming off of
- 18:32something relevant, right? You can also
- 18:34do this
- 18:36even if we aren't really necessarily
- 18:38within a universal model. You just have
- 18:39a clear and obvious draw on liquidity.
- 18:41It's something you can do, but it's just
- 18:43less probability.
- 18:45So, here we are with the example of gap
- 18:47selection. So, as you guys can see, we
- 18:50have an SMT here.
- 18:53Right? Price expands away.
- 18:56We have multi- We have so many gaps on
- 18:58the hourly, right? Gap here. Gap here.
- 19:02Gap here.
- 19:04So on and so forth. Gap right here.
- 19:05Like, which one do you pick?
- 19:07Too many gaps. So, what do you do? You
- 19:08jump up a time frame. Go to the
- 19:0990-minute.
- 19:11I want to see one gap. Nope, same thing.
- 19:12I see like three gaps right here. Okay?
- 19:15What about um the 4-hour? Okay, boom.
- 19:18You see one gap. This is the gap
- 19:21that you're going to be using. It's as
- 19:22simple as that.
- 19:24Now, moving on to relevant swings and
- 19:26gaps, let's first go over the narrative
- 19:28here. You have gold on the left. You
- 19:30have gold um pound to the right. We're
- 19:33also going to be looking at silver as
- 19:35well to the right side of the screen in
- 19:36a bit.
- 19:37But, as you guys can see, you have SMT
- 19:39with this daily low
- 19:41followed by a PSP, which is a strength
- 19:43switch PSP. So, there's your two-stage
- 19:46confirmation. Now, let's drop to lower
- 19:48time frame. We're going to be going to
- 19:49the 4-hour time frame.
- 19:50So, here we are on the 4-hour time
- 19:51frame.
- 19:53What do we see here, guys? The universal
- 19:54sequence. Why? Because we have SMT with
- 19:57our key level.
- 19:59We have two-stage SMT, and then price
- 20:01expands away. The first gap that's
- 20:03created
- 20:04we're going to be using for
- 20:06continuation, right?
- 20:08So, here we are on the 4-hour time
- 20:10frame.
- 20:11What do you notice specifically about
- 20:12this, though?
- 20:13What do you notice specifically about
- 20:16this, though?
- 20:17Is that the asset on the right of screen
- 20:18has already traded into the current high
- 20:20of week,
- 20:22which is this high right here,
- 20:24and then it trades into the gap with
- 20:26this asset doesn't. So, what is this?
- 20:28It is a strength switch, right? To catch
- 20:30up with this is asset synchronization,
- 20:31guys.
- 20:33So, what do you catch up and
- 20:36SMT break this high.
- 20:40Right? So, there's the GXT universal
- 20:42sequence,
- 20:43but any form of a strength switch. So,
- 20:45very high probability. But, what makes
- 20:47this gap even higher probability
- 20:50is what this gap high is on the lower
- 20:53time frame. So, let's go ahead and drop
- 20:54down to the lower time frame to see
- 20:56this. So, here we are on the hourly time
- 20:58frame, guys.
- 20:59And what do we see here?
- 21:01This low
- 21:03on the hourly is the gap high on the
- 21:054-hour. And what is it on the hourly? It
- 21:08is a relevant swing. Look at the space
- 21:09between this low and this low slash this
- 21:11low. It's very very spaced out, right?
- 21:14The gap high is not just some little,
- 21:18you know, nothing. Like it's basically
- 21:19it's actually something basically,
- 21:20right? Sometimes you're going to see the
- 21:22gaps are really nothing. Like they're
- 21:24just the the lowest point of the highest
- 21:27super candle and then that's it. Like
- 21:29it's just a sometimes a little little
- 21:31retracement that doesn't actually mean
- 21:32much. When it's actually a relevant
- 21:34swing, this is the highest probable gap
- 21:37that you will find, right? So, that's
- 21:38what we have here. It is a filter two
- 21:40gaps. So, sometimes if if gaps are just
- 21:42nothing, they're not really a anything.
- 21:44Like for example, like
- 21:46this gap right here
- 21:48is probably nothing to be honest.
- 21:50Probably nothing relevance um on the
- 21:52lower time frame. I can show you what it
- 21:54is not.
- 21:55Yeah, it's just nothing. Um so, that's
- 21:57not going to be the highest probable
- 21:58gap. Of course, they're going to hold,
- 21:59right?
- 22:00In case they're going to hold, but um
- 22:02these are going to be the the best gaps.
- 22:04Like if you just want to trade gaps like
- 22:05this, you don't mechanically filter them
- 22:07out,
- 22:08then you can absolutely do that and
- 22:09they're way better. Like I can promise
- 22:11you they are way better than just using
- 22:13any and every gap, right? There's tons
- 22:14of gaps, right? They can't all work.
- 22:16These are way better, okay? So, that's
- 22:18what we have here in a very high
- 22:19probable sequence. I actually traded
- 22:21this day as well. Um it was super super
- 22:23nice. You're going to see within this
- 22:25swing formation,
- 22:27you guys are going to see
- 22:28we have
- 22:32the first gap right here.
- 22:33What is it being left open as, right? A
- 22:36gap. Go to lower time frame.
- 22:38You're going to see that we have a
- 22:41lower time frame SMT fill
- 22:43right here.
- 22:45Right? And which asset do you think I
- 22:47traded?
- 22:48I traded gold.
- 22:50Right? Even though
- 22:51none of the assets trade into it.
- 22:53Why? Because look at the closure. Look
- 22:55at the candle closure, guys. Candle
- 22:57three that creates the gap. It closes an
- 22:59expansion candle. So, I'm safe. I know
- 23:01that it's probably going to be left
- 23:02open. Right? But I can only do this,
- 23:05right? Because of the sequence, right?
- 23:08If I mark out
- 23:10the drawing liquidity
- 23:11to the slowest is technically 4-hour I
- 23:13roll E roll. Of course, we're not just
- 23:15going to target here. We're going to
- 23:16look for this target, but
- 23:18where is it positioned? Very low in the
- 23:20range in C3. You guys see that? You see
- 23:23how mechanical this is? Like, it's
- 23:24crazy, bro. Um and you can go look at my
- 23:27trade.
- 23:28Um I took this exact trade. This is on
- 23:304th of August.
- 23:32And then look uh
- 23:34go ahead and check this out as well.
- 23:37Let's look at this gap. Look, why is
- 23:38this a a good gap to use right here?
- 23:41Well, for one, what did we just do?
- 23:46What did we just do on this asset here?
- 23:49We fell short of a drawing liquidity.
- 23:50So, whenever you see like close
- 23:52proximity SMT as well, that's also a
- 23:54good thing. Remember what I told you
- 23:55guys about when price expands way fall
- 23:57short of draw?
- 23:58Even if a
- 24:00like a there's SMT here, that's fine,
- 24:02right? Because we know
- 24:03if you watched my
- 24:05um course on asset synchronization,
- 24:08even when we create SMT like this, it's
- 24:09low probability when it comes from a
- 24:12specific sequence, right?
- 24:14When the opposing side is actually
- 24:17relevant reversal, right?
- 24:19Because what that means is that both
- 24:20assets expanded, right? Away from it.
- 24:23Um it just so happened that the leading
- 24:25asset got here first, right? And if you
- 24:27actually mark out this high,
- 24:30what did it this asset do? It failed to
- 24:31manipulate it very clearly. So, we know
- 24:34this SMT is fake. It's not real.
- 24:36It's it's just using it as a
- 24:38retracement, right? So, this to me is
- 24:40close proximity
- 24:42SMT.
- 24:45Now, I opted to trade this asset here
- 24:48because it had draws here.
- 24:50And you're going to see that it um
- 24:53this asset here, when I took this I
- 24:54think I took like a break even like
- 24:56maybe a half loss.
- 24:57Um but this asset did end up going up
- 24:59here, so it's kind of weird how that
- 25:00ended up happening, but it's not really
- 25:02the point. The point is that this gap
- 25:04right here is high probability. So, why
- 25:06is that? Why would we assume that's high
- 25:07probability?
- 25:09It's because the low of this gap on the
- 25:1015-minute is an actual relevant swing.
- 25:14You guys see this relevant swing here?
- 25:16So, you create this SMT here,
- 25:19ends up holding very nicely.
- 25:21And I think I just missed the strength
- 25:22switch. I probably should have just took
- 25:24gold, to be honest, man.
- 25:26Um but that's all good. So, you guys see
- 25:27the strength switch here as well.
- 25:29Very, very nice trade, bro.
- 25:31Very nice sequence here.
- 25:34So, yeah, I'm just showing you guys that
- 25:35this high probability gap cuz it's a
- 25:36relevant swing. Look at the space
- 25:38between this low and this low. And you
- 25:40get this beautiful SMT sequence with
- 25:42these relative equal highs.
- 25:44And it's really just nice and uh Sunday
- 25:47was the high of the week at 1,800, so
- 25:49even the weekly profile supported this
- 25:51super nice. This is A+ price action
- 25:53here, honestly. I did capitalize very
- 25:55nicely down here, but yeah, beautiful
- 25:58example of how to trade this breakaway
- 26:00gap as well.
- 26:02This would be the inverse sequence as
- 26:03well, guys. Right? Again,
- 26:05what do we have here? SMT
- 26:07followed by what? A gap.
- 26:10The first gap, right?
- 26:12We don't have to wait for the 30-minute
- 26:13gap because of where it's positioned.
- 26:15And that's very important because you
- 26:16might miss this trade thinking that you
- 26:18got to wait for this to close, which is
- 26:19not the case. Okay?
- 26:21Um so, let's go ahead and move on to the
- 26:23next example. So, here is another
- 26:26example of gaps and relevant swings, how
- 26:29they are combined. So,
- 26:31as you guys can see, this is a perfect
- 26:33example
- 26:34of how not every gap is relevant, right?
- 26:36This is a gap, of course, that we can
- 26:38use for continuation,
- 26:39but the low of this gap is not relevant.
- 26:42Look on the hourly time frame.
- 26:44This is not a relevant level.
- 26:46This gap, right? It's just the opening
- 26:49price of 1,400, right? The 1,400 4-hour
- 26:51candle
- 26:52is what created this gap, but it's just
- 26:54a high of the 1400 candle. That's it.
- 26:56When you look inside of that, you have a
- 26:58relevant high. Within that gap,
- 27:01this is really all I care about, to be
- 27:02honest. Take it like this. I only care
- 27:04about this area in price right here. So,
- 27:06as soon as we trade into this high, is
- 27:09when I would expect price to reverse,
- 27:10right? Cuz otherwise,
- 27:12you might get an SMT filler you might
- 27:14get an SMT fill here, for example. Let's
- 27:16say like right here or something.
- 27:18You're going to take an L, bro,
- 27:20probably.
- 27:21Right? Because you're just in
- 27:22consolidation right now.
- 27:24You guys get the point of this lecture
- 27:25or this topic here?
- 27:27It's very This is pretty important,
- 27:28right?
- 27:31So, yeah. Just understand that. Pretty
- 27:33important. Here's a good example of it.
- 27:36All righty, here is another example of
- 27:37breakaway gaps. Just couple examples
- 27:40here. So, check this out here, guys. We
- 27:42see multiple 4-hour gaps in price.
- 27:45Go up to the 6-hour time frame.
- 27:48You're going to see here.
- 27:50We have one gap in price, if it loads.
- 27:53Here we go. We have one gap, right?
- 27:56And
- 27:59we have an SMT fill there. Perfect.
- 28:02Right?
- 28:03So, we have our key level. We have our
- 28:04potential universal model. It's going to
- 28:06be IRL, ERL. Here at the ERL up here.
- 28:09And what are we in with our What are we
- 28:11in right now? C3. So, in this candle,
- 28:15you're going to see this is where
- 28:16breakaway gaps
- 28:18occur the most, right? We're also low in
- 28:20the range. So, this is what we want to
- 28:22be trading, right? So, we're going to be
- 28:23trading this C3. Now, if we go to
- 28:2530-minute, all right, we're also within
- 28:27a C3, right? We're in C3 on multiple
- 28:29time frames here.
- 28:31But, here you can see there's a gap,
- 28:33right? So, if you want to fade this, you
- 28:35can,
- 28:36right? If we have a lower time frame
- 28:38gap. So, we do.
- 28:39Do we have an SMT fill there? Let's
- 28:41check.
- 28:44Yes, we do.
- 28:46All right, we do indeed have
- 28:48that SMT fill.
- 28:51Um but which asset do you want to trade,
- 28:53guys?
- 28:54Ideally, this one.
- 28:57Right? Now, mechanically, I can't trade
- 28:59this though
- 29:00because if I look at the wick size,
- 29:05right, very, very large, right? So, when
- 29:06you want to fade a reversal candle, this
- 29:07is also in the course,
- 29:09we want to be positioning ourselves down
- 29:10here. So, we can't trade this, right?
- 29:13Just because we have our gap, whatever,
- 29:17um fading gaps, you know, sequence and
- 29:19all that. You know, other things need to
- 29:20align, so we can't trade that. But, it
- 29:23does end up holding.
- 29:24But just again, just cuz it holds
- 29:25doesn't mean we missed the trade
- 29:27necessarily.
- 29:28But this is a good example of that,
- 29:29right?
- 29:30Um
- 29:32this is a good example of if you're
- 29:33trading C3 and it closes like this,
- 29:35you're cooked.
- 29:36Right? Look at this gap here. Look at
- 29:38the way it closes, candle three, when it
- 29:39creates the gap.
- 29:41Like a reversal candle.
- 29:43Uh if you traded this
- 29:45asset over here and it closes like this,
- 29:47you're probably going to get an SMT fill
- 29:49like this.
- 29:50Right? Because it closes strongly. Um
- 29:53and as you can see, it just rips. Well,
- 29:54this asset over here
- 29:56trades into that gap.
- 29:59Right? So, it's important you wouldn't
- 30:01want to be trading this asset is what
- 30:02I'm trying trying to tell you.
- 30:04Right? When you get this SMT fill here,
- 30:06it's arbitrage play.
- 30:08You know, when it sweeps out this
- 30:09candle's low and creates the SMT,
- 30:11this is a 15-minute model, so you can go
- 30:12to the 1-minute.
- 30:15You don't want to take this trade
- 30:18because it's the weaker assets. It's the
- 30:20one that is creating or trading into the
- 30:22gap, right?
- 30:23You have a much higher likelihood
- 30:26of being left open, this gap being left
- 30:29open on silver because it's stronger. It
- 30:31is the leading asset. This is the lag
- 30:32asset. So, hopefully that makes sense
- 30:34there.
- 30:35Now, when this candle closes, guys,
- 30:38we're essentially going to get the same
- 30:39thing.
- 30:40Right? You can kind of anticipate a
- 30:41potential
- 30:43gap
- 30:44being left open. Why is that? Because as
- 30:47you can see candle three here
- 30:49only or sorry, the candle four open
- 30:53is kind of far away from candle two's
- 30:55high as you guys can see. So also
- 30:57breakaway gaps just going to be created
- 30:59within the first swing formation, right?
- 31:01Between candle three and four typically.
- 31:03You want to be within a higher time
- 31:04frame of three or four. Ideally candle
- 31:06three.
- 31:07But as you can see we haven't really
- 31:08candle three didn't really expand too
- 31:10much so candle four can definitely
- 31:11expand. We don't really hit anything
- 31:12either. We're still in discount. This
- 31:14gap would be still low in the range like
- 31:16very very low in the range. So still
- 31:18fine. Um and as you can see
- 31:20this is what ended up happening.
- 31:23What do you see? A future gap. But it's
- 31:25the first one.
- 31:26Right? Um
- 31:28it's just on a higher time frame. So of
- 31:30course down here you're going to get
- 31:32higher ones but or or um lower time
- 31:34frame ones that are pretty much within
- 31:36this swing formation. Um but as you can
- 31:38see here we're getting hourly one.
- 31:40So that's pretty much really where
- 31:41you're going to get them on is the
- 31:42hourly is the highest time frame one.
- 31:44Um we don't care about by the way we
- 31:46don't really care about 90 minute future
- 31:48gaps and four hour future gaps. We can
- 31:50fade those all the time. Those are those
- 31:52just take way too long to close. Um the
- 31:54only thing you need to be concerned with
- 31:56is the end of those candles. So like if
- 31:59you're trying to take a trade for
- 32:00example
- 32:01and the candle those heights of the
- 32:03candles is about to close for example
- 32:05going to be create a future gap you
- 32:06should just wait till they close. Like
- 32:08see how they close. Do they close a
- 32:10reversal candle? If they do you're
- 32:11probably going to trade into the gap. If
- 32:13they don't it's probably not going to
- 32:14trade into the gap. It's as simple as
- 32:15that guys.
- 32:16Um but anyways
- 32:18what do we need to trade this future
- 32:20gap? What do we need What would we need,
- 32:21right? A lower time frame gap. You go on
- 32:23a 15 minute
- 32:26is what we have here.
- 32:27Is what I ended up taking or alerted
- 32:29live. Right? It's because of this.
- 32:33This sequence.
- 32:34Um and as you can see this is the assets
- 32:37that is creating the failure swing. This
- 32:41asset traded into the gap, right? Which
- 32:42is actually strength switch.
- 32:44This asset takes the high,
- 32:47trades the gap.
- 32:49Well, this asset is very low in the
- 32:50range,
- 32:51does not trade into the gap,
- 32:53right? But, we can trade this future
- 32:55hourly gap because we haven't even
- 32:57really expanded on this on this
- 32:59timeframe. You see, on this timeframe,
- 33:01the hourly, we haven't really expanded.
- 33:03So,
- 33:03there's really no reason to just um,
- 33:07wait like wait around and then trade to
- 33:08the gap, like we need to expand first.
- 33:11You know what I'm saying?
- 33:12Um, so as you can see, when we hit
- 33:13objectives, and we actually expand, this
- 33:15is when we trade into gaps,
- 33:17right? That's when we typically trade
- 33:19into gaps. So, that's a good example
- 33:20there.
- 33:21So, now let's go over an example of the
- 33:23ideal sequence for trading a break of a
- 33:25gap. So, firstly, let's break down the
- 33:28narrative for this trade. So, here we
- 33:29are on the daily chart. You can see
- 33:31clear consolidation. We have an SMT with
- 33:34this high.
- 33:35We drop down to the correlated assets
- 33:38here on the daily timeframe. You can see
- 33:39that we have this space down SMT.
- 33:44This high, look at Friday's high. Look
- 33:46how far away it is from this level here,
- 33:50right? We can note this
- 33:52advanced premium discount here. Just
- 33:54space down SMT, simply.
- 33:56We have fair swing to the opposing side.
- 33:58So, essentially, it looks like this,
- 33:59guys.
- 34:01Looks like this, where silver
- 34:03looks like this.
- 34:06So,
- 34:07let me also just drop another gem for
- 34:09you.
- 34:10If you guys ever see SMT like this, you
- 34:12see this SMT got created a very long
- 34:13time ago.
- 34:17It got created essentially at 2:01 2:00
- 34:19in the morning, right? We're not
- 34:20reversing until 10:00, so why is that?
- 34:22Right, we're holding the SMT, but we're
- 34:24waiting for a specific time to actually
- 34:26expand away. And that's going to be
- 34:27news. So, whenever you see SMT like
- 34:29this, right? We don't typically trust
- 34:31this type of SMT, cuz there's no
- 34:32reversal signature, right? Um you're
- 34:35going to only trust this essentially and
- 34:37when we have a specific time, right?
- 34:40Price can wait for time to reverse. So,
- 34:42that's going to be news events, right?
- 34:44So, sometimes this happens.
- 34:46Um you can still trust it as long as the
- 34:47driver expands away from the SMT. So,
- 34:49here we have 10:00 news, red folder
- 34:51news. We expand away from it. So, what
- 34:54do we have? We have SMT
- 34:57with our key level. Price expands away.
- 35:00Creates a gap. So, what is that, guys?
- 35:01The inverse sequence.
- 35:03You Basically every example that I've
- 35:05shown you is the inverse sequence, guys.
- 35:07Um It's always the first gap after
- 35:09reversal, right? There needs to be
- 35:11framework [snorts] to your trade.
- 35:13Framework two stages SMT is confirmation
- 35:17or some type of confirmation. The dis-
- 35:18dis- The displacement really is the
- 35:20confirmation away from the SMT, which
- 35:21makes it so good. And we're trading
- 35:23continuation. So, really what are we
- 35:24trading a lot of times with the GXZ
- 35:26inverse sequence is continuation. And
- 35:29continuations always the easier than
- 35:31reversal, of course, right?
- 35:34So, what do we see here on the 30-minute
- 35:35time frame? Let's go to 15-minute time
- 35:37frame to really show you. We expand away
- 35:40and retrace
- 35:42in the same hourly candle. You guys see
- 35:44that? And then C3 opens,
- 35:46right?
- 35:49What is C3 high formed from? A 30-minute
- 35:52SMT fill. So, you see how we do not
- 35:53trade into that? If we go to gold, we
- 35:55do.
- 35:58And what is this? This is asset
- 35:59correlation.
- 36:01This asset here already took out this
- 36:03low.
- 36:04Or this asset had not. It still has lows
- 36:07available. It still has intraweek lows
- 36:08available. So, what is this? A strength
- 36:10switch to catch up. Yeah, so this is why
- 36:13we can expect this to be left open and I
- 36:15took this trade as well. Um and you have
- 36:18our nice perfect V-shape signature here
- 36:23to confirm that. This is the opposing
- 36:25candles
- 36:27uh into the
- 36:28gap, essentially.
- 36:30And it is V-shape expansion expansion
- 36:32that is a reversal nature.
- 36:34Go ahead and enter here, put your stop
- 36:35loss here.
- 36:37TP here, right?
- 36:38Look at these fair swings. And again,
- 36:40this is an ideal sequence, right? Why is
- 36:42it ideal sequence? Because
- 36:44look at these close proximity lows,
- 36:46guys.
- 36:48Again, doesn't matter if there's SMT
- 36:50here, because both assets are expanding
- 36:52away. And you know when both assets
- 36:53expand away and create close proximity
- 36:55SMT,
- 36:56it's not relevant. It's only used to
- 36:58retrace price typically into what? A
- 37:00gap. The gap is then used to continue
- 37:04the expansion to break the SMT.
- 37:07And what do we confirm a gap with, guys?
- 37:09SMT sequences. SMT fill, like we have
- 37:12here, or a PSP,
- 37:15right?
- 37:16That is exactly how it forms. Right? The
- 37:19mechanical process of GXT,
- 37:21um
- 37:23and yeah, that's it, guys. So, hopefully
- 37:25you guys
- 37:26understand how to
- 37:28better trade and anticipate breakaway
- 37:30gaps, how to filter gaps,
- 37:33and the overall framework for gaps,
- 37:36which is the universal sequence. So,
- 37:39catch you guys next time. Hopefully you
- 37:41learned something.
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