The 93% Win Rate Market Open Strategy (1 Year of Data) — Transcript

Full transcript

1. 0:01So guys, in this video today, I'm going
2. 0:02to be showing you how to take these
3. 0:04market open breakout trades and how I
4. 0:06have a 93% win rate with this. Now, this
5. 0:08is all recorded 2025. It's all been
6. 0:11recorded and posted for people. And so
7. 0:12far in January, a 100% win rate. Um, so
8. 0:17in terms of the daily win rate, so as
9. 0:19we're looking at this, you'll see my
10. 0:20full explanation how I get it done. I'm
11. 0:22going to keep this really quick, really
12. 0:23simple, very detailed. Again, if you
13. 0:25can't explain it to a four-year-old, you
14. 0:26can't explain it at all. Right? So,
15. 0:28let's get into it.
16. 0:31So what you see here is the trades we
17. 0:32took for the day. Um I will be uploading
18. 0:34this live trade recording as well. So
19. 0:36just in case if anyone needs to see
20. 0:38proof of this live call out trade and
21. 0:39the entry the whole nine. Uh but I did
22. 0:41post it on my Instagram. Um but main
23. 0:43thing I was seeing here again I'm going
24. 0:45to go over in the pre-market how was I
25. 0:47identifying how did I know the market
26. 0:49would break out give us 100 160 points
27. 0:51etc. And then later in the day how did I
28. 0:54know the market would reject right at my
29. 0:564hour level. How did I know the market
30. 0:58would reject there for this massive
31. 1:00ended up being roughly 300 something
32. 1:02points profit on the trade? So really
33. 1:04big to see this thing play out.
34. 1:06Beautiful, beautiful executions across
35. 1:08the board. Uh get right into it.
36. 1:11So what I'm focusing on right here that
37. 1:13you're seeing is a volume footprint
38. 1:15chart. Okay, this is the same thing.
39. 1:16We're watching this consolidation zone
40. 1:18right here. So this is what we're
41. 1:19looking at in terms of over here on QQQ.
42. 1:22Um but this shows me volume within the
43. 1:24candle. That way I don't have to try to
44. 1:26guess what volume is doing. I don't have
45. 1:27to rely on a candle close. I there's a
46. 1:30lot of advantages to reading volume that
47. 1:32you won't see online from other traders.
48. 1:33Well, because it's super hard and it's
49. 1:35and it's it's nothing you can really
50. 1:36sell, right? This is great free
51. 1:38information for you, but it's nothing
52. 1:39you can monetize to sell a course. So,
53. 1:41as I'm watching this volume play out,
54. 1:43keep in mind as I explain this to you,
55. 1:44it is somewhat difficult, but once you
56. 1:46get it, it starts to take off. You clean
57. 1:48up those entries really nice. As I'm
58. 1:50watching this play out, all I'm telling
59. 1:52myself is, all right, I can see price,
60. 1:55okay, holding my level down here to the
61. 1:58downside. Okay, so I had put on my watch
62. 2:00list that morning. I'll actually go
63. 2:02ahead and put the watch list up right
64. 2:03now. So, as you can see on my watch
65. 2:05list, I posted it this morning. I post
66. 2:07this 15 minutes prior to market open
67. 2:09every single morning. It's my game plan
68. 2:10for the day. As you can see, I had both
69. 2:12the MU breakout, which we'll go over at
70. 2:14the end, and I had the 25237. So, let's
71. 2:17keep that in mind. 25237 on NQ.
72. 2:21So, as you can see, the 25237 level
73. 2:23right here where it retested
74. 2:24beautifully. That's where we're looking
75. 2:25for that breakout at the open, right?
76. 2:26That's what I'm watching for. That's
77. 2:28what I'm trying to see. We had this big
78. 2:30gap down in the market. And all I'm
79. 2:32telling the students when I see this big
80. 2:33gap down is I'm telling everybody, guys,
81. 2:35as we're starting to sell through here,
82. 2:37I can see very realistically not a
83. 2:39selloff right at the open. That's what
84. 2:40everyone was expecting. Everyone was
85. 2:42expecting a complete dump at the open.
86. 2:44Okay? It is possible. I'm not saying
87. 2:45there was no chance of it happening, but
88. 2:47a healthy continuation selloff would
89. 2:49look a lot like a market gap recovery.
90. 2:52So, a nice push to the upside followed
91. 2:54by a key rejection at a key level, then
92. 2:57you can see a healthy selloff for that
93. 2:58continuation. Right? So, that was my
94. 3:00whole overall bias going into the market
95. 3:02open. Now, as we're looking at this
96. 3:04entry play out, all I'm keeping in mind
97. 3:06here is on the volume footprint is
98. 3:08called point of control. So, the white
99. 3:10area you see is point of control. If
100. 3:12point of control is below us and it's on
101. 3:14each individual candle. So each candle
102. 3:15here represents five minutes. Every
103. 3:17single candle you see point of control
104. 3:19is more forming on the downside right
105. 3:21around this ends up lining up with my
106. 3:22level here at 25210. 25210 is holding a
107. 3:25support. It keeps bouncing off this
108. 3:27range. And again seeing this
109. 3:29consolidation is a good thing because
110. 3:30it's respecting both of my levels
111. 3:31beautifully. As you can see here, if you
112. 3:33need help on finding key levels, I'll
113. 3:36I'll try to put the video like right
114. 3:37here or something or you can just look
115. 3:38at it on the rest of my YouTube. But I
116. 3:39have a video on how to find key levels.
117. 3:41So you can see how I find these. But as
118. 3:43I see it hold this in the pre-market,
119. 3:44I'm telling myself, guys, I am loving
120. 3:46this range. I'm looking for that
121. 3:48breakout to the upside simply because
122. 3:49point of control, i.e. volume, support,
123. 3:52is holding below us here at 25210. I
124. 3:55want you to think of volume as a wall.
125. 3:58It's a wall. Price does not want to
126. 4:00break through that. That's why you're
127. 4:01seeing that price action in the
128. 4:03pre-market. So this is giving me that
129. 4:05much more confidence to take this entry
130. 4:07off the open. Yes, risky. However, this
131. 4:10is what I've done for years. So, it's
132. 4:12not that risky to me. All right. So, now
133. 4:14as we move to the upside here, market's
134. 4:16about to open. What am I seeing? Right?
135. 4:18We're right here. What am I seeing
136. 4:19that's giving me confidence to take this
137. 4:21entry? Two things I want to see. We've
138. 4:23already confirmed one, which is a bounce
139. 4:24of my 4hour level right here in the
140. 4:26pre-market. We see the bounce of that
141. 4:284hour level and a hold of this level,
142. 4:30which is my bias for the upside 25210.
143. 4:33It's also backed by volume. So, I'm
144. 4:36confident in the hold of that level. Now
145. 4:38I have another level I want to keep in
146. 4:40mind. My 25237. What do we notice here
147. 4:42on these wicks at 237 right before the
148. 4:44open point of control point of control
149. 4:47has shifted over here to my next level.
150. 4:49So ding ding ding ding ding volume
151. 4:52volume. Now I just have to watch this
152. 4:53and go okay if price can just pull back
153. 4:56a little bit. If it can pull back and
154. 4:58tap my 237 level, then we can see a nice
155. 5:01push to the upside. Or if it just starts
156. 5:02to take off off the open, showing price
157. 5:04doesn't even want to retrace back into
158. 5:06237. Either way, that's going to be my
159. 5:08criteria for my entry. One of those two
160. 5:10will be my criteria for my entry setup.
161. 5:12It's all I got to see happen. And sure
162. 5:13enough, you see that nice, beautiful
163. 5:16move to the upside. Uh, this ended up
164. 5:18hitting a peak of around 165 points
165. 5:20profit on NQ. And as you can see, if
166. 5:24even if you had a stop loss in place,
167. 5:26never would have hit your stop. Never.
168. 5:28Right when I enter these trades, and
169. 5:29this is what I call out in my community,
170. 5:30had a 15% 15 point stop-loss. So, me
171. 5:34personally though, never saw any red on
172. 5:36this trade. It just went straight to
173. 5:37profit. Absolutely beautiful trade.
174. 5:38Great execution. All right. Um, and
175. 5:40again, this is just based on volume
176. 5:42footprint, right? You can clearly see
177. 5:43there's a lot more buying pressure than
178. 5:45selling pressure. So, the right is the
179. 5:46green, that's buying side. The red is
180. 5:48the sell side. Now, this isn't the only
181. 5:50volume you want to use. This is a tool
182. 5:51that I use, but I use this in
183. 5:52conjunction with order book level two
184. 5:55and time and sales. That's what gives me
185. 5:56a good overall picture of volume. I will
186. 5:59be making a video on that later
187. 6:00explaining how to use order book level
188. 6:02two, what does it mean, etc. Live
189. 6:04examples, the whole nine. So, um, the
190. 6:07main thing here though, what a lot of
191. 6:08you are probably concerned about as well
192. 6:10is, all right, James, how would this
193. 6:11have helped you take this rejection
194. 6:13play? All right, this was a separate
195. 6:15trade that I had mentioned on the live
196. 6:16that someone could possibly take later
197. 6:18in the day. But what would you have
198. 6:20looked for? That 4-hour reject level.
199. 6:21So, I was going over this over and over
200. 6:22and over again on the live session that
201. 6:24day, telling everybody the only spot I'm
202. 6:26super concerned about is that 4hour
203. 6:28level to the upside 25415 for a
204. 6:30rejection. That was it. That was the
205. 6:32only thing I was concerned about. Um,
206. 6:33and sure enough, we got up there. But
207. 6:35how would you take this entry? Boom. Let
208. 6:36me give you a shot right here at it.
209. 6:38Taking it there at the peak.
210. 6:40Unrealistic. Very unrealistic. That
211. 6:42would have been very difficult. I'm not
212. 6:44saying it's not possible. If you follow
213. 6:46some guru that said they did that,
214. 6:48great. Um, but that's why I like trading
215. 6:50on a live so people can't refute my
216. 6:52claims, right? But this would be very
217. 6:54difficult for me to see. Why? Because
218. 6:56point of control closed above UQQ
219. 6:59pre-market high above my 4hour level. We
220. 7:02had a strong candle close. Point of
221. 7:03control is below me. I would expect
222. 7:05point of control to form as support. So
223. 7:07I would never be taking shorts up there.
224. 7:08Clearly though, the market dumped,
225. 7:10right? Market dumps from there. Now,
226. 7:12what are we looking for? I have gotten
227. 7:13confirmation that we've rejected my
228. 7:154hour level. So, I've gotten
229. 7:16confirmation. We've rejected it multiple
230. 7:18times now. Right? One, two, three times
231. 7:22we've rejected my 4hour level. So, now
232. 7:24I'm just going to tell myself, all
233. 7:25right, if I can see uh volume like a
234. 7:27liquidity grab, so pull back to the
235. 7:29upside, right? So, if price can retrace,
236. 7:31come from here, bounce off my 333 level,
237. 7:34move back up here to this 4hour level,
238. 7:36get some a loss of momentum, a loss of
239. 7:38volume, that can signal to me with a
240. 7:40candle close below this level that we
241. 7:42can look for a short entry. And as you
242. 7:44can see here, what do you see form?
243. 7:46Point of control forms to the upside.
244. 7:48Candle close below it. Point of control
245. 7:50forms right at pre-market high. Candle
246. 7:52control uh point of control forms right
247. 7:54below pre-market high. So with all these
248. 7:56point of controls moving a descending
249. 7:58order slowly selling more and more and
250. 8:00more that's giving me confidence that
251. 8:02hey you can take this setup now do you
252. 8:04have to wait for this third candle?
253. 8:05Absolutely not. I think that's a little
254. 8:06bit too late right that would be waiting
255. 8:08to down here. Would the trade have
256. 8:09worked? Yeah but I don't think that's
257. 8:10ideal. What's ideal is watching for a
258. 8:13rejection of that key level. When you
259. 8:15see that rejection occur followed by
260. 8:17high volume. The high volume would have
261. 8:19been on the close of that green candle.
262. 8:21That would have been the high volume
263. 8:22because now you see point of control is
264. 8:24closed. More selling pressure. 81,000
265. 8:27versus 76,000. More selling pressure,
266. 8:29rejection of the key level. Boom. You
267. 8:31take the entry right there on the spot.
268. 8:33You take the entry. Stops above the key
269. 8:35level. If you're trying to give a really
270. 8:36big stop, you can do that. I never
271. 8:38would. That that's like a 30 point stop
272. 8:40loss. To me, that's pretty damn big. Um
273. 8:42I'd rather just keep it around 15 to 20
274. 8:44points. Leave your stop loss right
275. 8:45there, right above a 4-hour level. Let
276. 8:47that trade rock and boom. Now, when you
277. 8:49hit a 15-point stop loss, you have this
278. 8:51massive 298 basically 300 point trade
279. 8:54down here before the market closed. But
280. 8:57absolutely nuclear trade. Um, and the
281. 9:00risk-toreward on this thing is massive,
282. 9:01right? Obviously, you're not going to
283. 9:02have a 16.5. This is just like a little
284. 9:05chart drawing. It's not real numbers.
285. 9:07Um, but your risk-reward on this trade
286. 9:10is probably going to be in the around
287. 9:11the 300 points whenever we've caught
288. 9:12these trades before. You're looking at
289. 9:13like a six to an 8 R trade, right? as
290. 9:15you scale out of the trade on the way
291. 9:17down, you're looking at a really big
292. 9:18risk-to-reward ratio trade. So, that's
293. 9:20the beauty in identifying these setups.
294. 9:22All right, so hopefully this was able to
295. 9:24give you guys some uh some real value
296. 9:26here. Let me go to show you MU really
297. 9:27fast.
298. 9:29So, MU, as you can see, exact same
299. 9:31concept I had here. I was really
300. 9:33watching for that pre-market high range
301. 9:35to see if it could bust out of this
302. 9:36range. MU, what I also noticed on MU was
303. 9:39this was diverging from the markets. So,
304. 9:41I look for divergence plays quite often.
305. 9:43Uh the beauty of being an options
306. 9:45trader, you have the ability obviously
307. 9:46to trade multiple tickers, right? And MU
308. 9:49recently has gotten extremely extremely
309. 9:51strong. So MU, I was a big fan of this
310. 9:53at the open. I was looking for that
311. 9:55entry. Uh 36250 was the entry I was
312. 9:57wanting to take. However, obviously, you
313. 9:59can see it broke it in the pre-market.
314. 10:01All I told students, same thing. I said,
315. 10:03"Guys, I'm looking for a pre-market high
316. 10:05break." So, wherever the high forms in
317. 10:07the pre-market, which was right there,
318. 10:08roughly at 36,560, which was another
319. 10:11level of mine, I said, I'm just looking
320. 10:13to take a breakout to the upside. All I
321. 10:14need to see is that confirmation on the
322. 10:16order book level two, which just means
323. 10:17more orders coming in at the ask on
324. 10:19level two. Once I see that confirmation
325. 10:22flow through, it's quick. Don't get me
326. 10:23wrong, it's quick. Your first time doing
327. 10:25it, you're just going to think you're
328. 10:26looking at random numbers. It's not
329. 10:27going to make sense. But the more you
330. 10:29see it play out, practical application,
331. 10:31downsize, let things work out, or don't
332. 10:33even trade, just watch it happen. But
333. 10:35you'll start to see these orders start
334. 10:36to work in real time. That was all I
335. 10:38needed to see for that execution to the
336. 10:39upside there. And you can see beautiful
337. 10:41move to the upside. Uh again, forming
338. 10:43new all-time highs. I had the 380 calls
339. 10:45in this. So, I literally targeted 380
340. 10:47because I have no more real data to go
341. 10:49off of. Once we got above 36989, I had
342. 10:51nothing else. And I just told everyone,
343. 10:53I was like, "Look, I'm just going to
344. 10:54trim uh roughly up there at 3 380
345. 10:58because my contracts will flip in the
346. 10:59money. They'll gain a premium increase.
347. 11:01It's just going to bode well for me,
348. 11:02right? We'll probably be up a lot more."
349. 11:04and that's where I'll take a majority
350. 11:05exit. And sure enough, that's exactly
351. 11:07where price rejected. So, that was more
352. 11:09so just getting lucky there because uh
353. 11:11obviously I can't read into the future.
354. 11:12I don't know what's going to reject at
355. 11:14380. Um but just because of the strike
356. 11:16price I picked, I was trying to let
357. 11:17those contracts play out. Um but again,
358. 11:20this was based I only found this this
359. 11:22trade because of the market divergence,
360. 11:25the strength this had uh in relevance to
361. 11:27the rest of the market and how strong MU
362. 11:30has been the last few days. MU has been
363. 11:32extremely strong. This has been a key
364. 11:34player in the space. Uh it's almost like
365. 11:37all the buyers have shifted from Nvidia
366. 11:38over to MU. We were doing the same thing
367. 11:40on Nvidia a lot before last year. So
368. 11:42I've kind of just correlated over
369. 11:44saying, "Hey, where's the volume going?
370. 11:45I want to follow the flow. I want to
371. 11:47follow the flow." That's kind of how I
372. 11:48think about volume. You follow the flow,
373. 11:50your trades will be much, much easier.
374. 11:54So hopefully this provided some value
375. 11:56for everybody here. Again, I go over all
376. 11:58of my trades live on my YouTube. Well,
377. 12:00not live on YouTube, but I post the live
378. 12:02trade on YouTube. And then from there, I
379. 12:05also like to provide as much value as I
380. 12:07can. Everything I'm doing recently, this
381. 12:09entire year, I'm posting all of my live
382. 12:11trades, all of my education. It's all
383. 12:13going to be completely for free on my
384. 12:14YouTube because I'm trying to get
385. 12:16traders to see that is completely real,
386. 12:18that you can have a high win rate, you
387. 12:20can have a high riskreward ratio, and
388. 12:21you can be done within an hour. You do
389. 12:23not have to sit at the computer for an
390. 12:26hour and a half, two hours. I think
391. 12:27that's absolutely absurd. at an hour,
392. 12:29you should be cutting it no matter what.
393. 12:31All right? There's too many traders that
394. 12:32teach a just completely wrong education,
395. 12:35terrible trading habits. They just tell
396. 12:37you to, you know, blow your money on
397. 12:38prop firms left and right, and they
398. 12:39don't give any real education or value
399. 12:41on their live streams. They might enter
400. 12:42a trade here or there, but there's no
401. 12:44real value being given. And that's my
402. 12:46goal going into the rest of 2026 and
403. 12:49forward. I plan to do this for a very
404. 12:50long time is to provide as much
405. 12:52education as possible. Constantly do my
406. 12:55live trading, constantly explain the
407. 12:57trades I'm taking on the live before
408. 12:59taking it, why I'm taking it, why I'm
409. 13:01trimming out of it, why I'm exiting the
410. 13:02trade. If I get stopped out, I'm going
411. 13:04to call my stops, the whole nine. I say
412. 13:06everything verbatim, my fill,
413. 13:08everything. It cannot be more clear-cut.
414. 13:10All right? The reason I do this again is
415. 13:12to provide maximum value and education
416. 13:14to the trading community so that people
417. 13:16can see how this works out. And again,
418. 13:18you don't have to pay a dime. You can
419. 13:19just watch all this stuff on YouTube,
420. 13:21okay? Doesn't matter. That's the best
421. 13:23way to learn is seeing real life
422. 13:25application of an actual strategy work
423. 13:27in real time. All right? So, um, feel
424. 13:29free to check out the rest, guys.
425. 13:31Subscribe if you feel the need to. I
426. 13:33would really appreciate it. It's going
427. 13:34to help me keep making these videos and
428. 13:35keep going forward. People that have
429. 13:37already subscribed absolutely love it.
430. 13:38Um, I didn't personally, I didn't think
431. 13:40any anyone would care about this stuff.
432. 13:42So, it's cool to see people actually
433. 13:43care. and leave some comments below if
434. 13:45you want me to go over any certain types
435. 13:47of strategies or if you yourself, hey,
436. 13:49James, look, I trade the 50-minute orb.
437. 13:51Can you go over that, what's your take
438. 13:52on it, how would you teach it, etc. I'd
439. 13:54be happy to go over these things for you
440. 13:55guys. All right? Um, so just let me
441. 13:57know. All right, guys. Uh, but don't
442. 13:59give up. Don't give up on day trading,
443. 14:01man. This is one of the best skills out
444. 14:02there. It's changed my life. It's
445. 14:03changed my family's life. Uh, my
446. 14:05extended family, right? Because, you
447. 14:07know, I'm doing as much as I can for the
448. 14:08people around me, my loved ones, the
449. 14:10whole nine. So, it's it's a wonderful
450. 14:12wonderful wonderful uh pursuit to be
451. 14:15shooting for, but just remember it is
452. 14:16difficult. So, if you show up to this
453. 14:18thinking to make quick money, uh the
454. 14:20market will chew you up and spit you
455. 14:21out. So, don't don't come in here for
456. 14:23that. All right. All right, everybody.
457. 14:25All about getting 1% better every single
458. 14:27day. Boom. Y'all have a good one. I'll
459. 14:30see you guys in the next video. All
460. 14:31right. Peace out.