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Six Sigma Full Course in 7 Hours | Six Sigma Green Belt Training | Six Sigma Training | Simplilearn — Transcript

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  1. 0:00[Music]
  2. 0:04hello guys welcome to this six sigma
  3. 0:06full course video by simply learn in
  4. 0:09this video we'll cover everything you'll
  5. 0:11need to know about six sigma and cover
  6. 0:13the major concepts of lean six sigma we
  7. 0:16will start out with an animated video
  8. 0:18covering each of these concepts and go
  9. 0:20into more detail on the dmeic process we
  10. 0:23will also cover the different six sigma
  11. 0:25builds and much more so without further
  12. 0:27ado let's jump right into it before we
  13. 0:30do that don't forget to get subscribed
  14. 0:31to our youtube channel and don't forget
  15. 0:33to hit that bell icon so that you can
  16. 0:35never miss an update from simply learn
  17. 0:37now over to our training experts imagine
  18. 0:40you've been tasked with a really
  19. 0:41important project at work the company
  20. 0:44you're working for produces luxury cars
  21. 0:47the production numbers are going down
  22. 0:49and a lesser number of cars are getting
  23. 0:50manufactured each day there also seems
  24. 0:53to be an issue with the quality of the
  25. 0:54windshield wipers that go on these cars
  26. 0:57the question you are faced with is there
  27. 0:59a way for the company to stop the stall
  28. 1:01in production and increase the
  29. 1:03production per day from 1 000 to 2 000
  30. 1:07also is there a way to find out what's
  31. 1:10causing the drop in the wiper quality
  32. 1:12there is
  33. 1:13six sigma
  34. 1:15six sigma gives you the tools and
  35. 1:17techniques to determine what's making
  36. 1:18the manufacturing process slow down how
  37. 1:21you can eliminate the delays improve the
  38. 1:23process and fix further issues along the
  39. 1:26way the concept was introduced in 1980
  40. 1:29by bill smith while working for motorola
  41. 1:32since then six sigma has seen worldwide
  42. 1:35adoption
  43. 1:36six sigma aims to reduce the time
  44. 1:39defects and variability experienced by
  45. 1:42processes in an organization thanks to
  46. 1:44six sigma you can produce a defect-free
  47. 1:47product
  48. 1:4999.9996 percent of the time allowing
  49. 1:52only 3.4 errors per 1 million
  50. 1:54opportunities
  51. 1:56six sigma also increases customer
  52. 1:58loyalty towards the brand improves
  53. 2:01employee morale leading to higher
  54. 2:03productivity
  55. 2:04six sigma has two major methodologies
  56. 2:07dmaic and dmadv
  57. 2:10let's look at the first methodology
  58. 2:13dmaic is an acronym for define measure
  59. 2:17analyze improve and control
  60. 2:20let's have a look at each of these
  61. 2:22stages individually and how it relates
  62. 2:24to your earlier problem
  63. 2:26in the define phase you determine what
  64. 2:28issues you're facing what your
  65. 2:30opportunities for improvement are and
  66. 2:33what the customer requires of you
  67. 2:35here you look at the process as a whole
  68. 2:37and determine the issues with the
  69. 2:39manufacturing process
  70. 2:41in this case finding out why the cars
  71. 2:43had varying windshield wiper quality and
  72. 2:46how to optimize the current process to
  73. 2:48manufacture more cars in the measure
  74. 2:50phase you determine how the process is
  75. 2:53performing currently in its unaltered
  76. 2:55state you determine the current number
  77. 2:57of cars that are manufactured in a day
  78. 3:00in the current scenario 1000 cars are
  79. 3:02manufactured in a day and each of these
  80. 3:05cars are outfitted with a pair of
  81. 3:06windshield wipers by one of 30 machines
  82. 3:09used some of the metrics measured are
  83. 3:11how many cars are produced in a day time
  84. 3:13taken to assemble a car how many
  85. 3:16windshield wipers were attached in a day
  86. 3:18time that takes them to do so defects
  87. 3:21detected from each machine on assembly
  88. 3:23completion and so on
  89. 3:25following this in the analyze phase you
  90. 3:28determine what caused the defect or
  91. 3:30variation
  92. 3:31on analyzing previous data you find out
  93. 3:34that one of the machines that installed
  94. 3:36the windshield wiper was not performing
  95. 3:38as well as it was supposed to production
  96. 3:41was taking longer since the car chassis
  97. 3:43was being moved across the different
  98. 3:45locations slower as cranes had to
  99. 3:47individually pick and drop the frame
  100. 3:49this was because the wheels were
  101. 3:51attached to the car only in the last
  102. 3:53stage
  103. 3:55next in the improve phase you make
  104. 3:57changes to the manufacturing process and
  105. 3:59ensure the defects are addressed
  106. 4:02you replaced the faulty machines that
  107. 4:04installed the windshield wiper with
  108. 4:05another one you also find a way to save
  109. 4:08time by attaching wheels on the frame in
  110. 4:10the initial stages of the manufacturing
  111. 4:12process unlike how it was done earlier
  112. 4:15now the car can be moved across the
  113. 4:17assembly area faster and finally in the
  114. 4:20control phase you make regular
  115. 4:22adjustments to control new processes and
  116. 4:25future performance based on the changes
  117. 4:27made the company was able to reduce
  118. 4:29production time and manufacture about 2
  119. 4:32000 cars a day with a higher quality of
  120. 4:35output dmaic is one of the most commonly
  121. 4:38used methodologies in the world it
  122. 4:40focuses on improving the existing
  123. 4:42products of the organization
  124. 4:44the second methodology is dmadv which is
  125. 4:48short for define measure analyze design
  126. 4:52and verify
  127. 4:53it is used when the company has to
  128. 4:55create a new product or service from
  129. 4:57scratch it is also called dfss or design
  130. 5:01for six sigma
  131. 5:02let's take the scenario where the
  132. 5:04company decides to build a new model a
  133. 5:07sports car
  134. 5:08in the define phase you define the
  135. 5:10requirements of the customer based on
  136. 5:12inputs from customers historical data
  137. 5:15industry research you determine what you
  138. 5:17need to ensure your car becomes a
  139. 5:19success the data collected indicates
  140. 5:21customers are drawn to cars which can
  141. 5:23achieve more than 150 miles per hour
  142. 5:27customers are also more inclined towards
  143. 5:29cars which have v6 engines and an
  144. 5:31aerodynamic frame
  145. 5:33then in the measure phase you use the
  146. 5:36customer's requirements to create a
  147. 5:37specification
  148. 5:39this specification helps define the
  149. 5:41product in a measurable method so that
  150. 5:43data can be collected and compared with
  151. 5:45specific requirements
  152. 5:47some of the major specifications that
  153. 5:49you focus on are the top speed engine
  154. 5:52type and type of frame
  155. 5:54in the analyze phase you analyze the
  156. 5:57product to determine whether there are
  157. 5:58better ways to achieve the desired
  158. 6:00results areas of improvement are
  159. 6:03determined and tested
  160. 6:05based on the analysis of the prototype
  161. 6:07created in this phase you find that the
  162. 6:09product satisfies just about all of the
  163. 6:11customer requirements except the top
  164. 6:13speed
  165. 6:15so research begins on an aluminum alloy
  166. 6:18that could possibly meet the speed
  167. 6:19requirements of the customer following
  168. 6:22this the design phase based on the
  169. 6:24learnings from the analysis phase the
  170. 6:26new process or product is designed
  171. 6:29revisions are made to the model and the
  172. 6:31car is manufactured with the new
  173. 6:32material the analysis phase is repeated
  174. 6:35based on the new design you also bring a
  175. 6:38focus group and see how they receive it
  176. 6:40based on their feedback further changes
  177. 6:43are made and finally in the verify phase
  178. 6:46you check whether the end result meets
  179. 6:48or exceeds customer requirements
  180. 6:51once you launch your brand new sports
  181. 6:53card you collect customer feedback and
  182. 6:56incorporate it into future designs
  183. 6:58and guess what your customers are loving
  184. 7:02the new design and that is dmadv for you
  185. 7:06six sigma has also found success in a
  186. 7:09number of different industries the
  187. 7:11petrochemical healthcare banking
  188. 7:14government and software are some of the
  189. 7:16industries that have utilized the
  190. 7:18concepts of six sigma to achieve their
  191. 7:21business goals
  192. 7:22another commonly used methodology
  193. 7:24adopted by companies around the world is
  194. 7:26lean lean is a methodology that aims to
  195. 7:29remove any part of the process that does
  196. 7:31not bring value to the customer it means
  197. 7:34doing more with less while doing it
  198. 7:37better the philosophy behind lean comes
  199. 7:39from the japanese manufacturing industry
  200. 7:41by bob hartman who at the time was part
  201. 7:43of toyota
  202. 7:45since then across the world services and
  203. 7:47manufacturing organizations have
  204. 7:49incorporated lean within their
  205. 7:51businesses
  206. 7:52but what if you could have the best of
  207. 7:54both worlds a combination of both six
  208. 7:57sigma and length
  209. 7:59that's lean six sigma before we get into
  210. 8:02lean six sigma we've got a quiz for you
  211. 8:05what methodology is used by companies
  212. 8:08when they want to release a new product
  213. 8:10created from scratch a
  214. 8:12design measure analyze define verify
  215. 8:16b
  216. 8:17define measure analyze design verify
  217. 8:22c
  218. 8:23demand measure analyze improve control
  219. 8:28d
  220. 8:29define measure analyze improve control
  221. 8:33leave your answers in the comments
  222. 8:35section below for a chance to be one of
  223. 8:37three people to win an amazon voucher
  224. 8:40now let's get back to lean six sigma
  225. 8:43lean six sigma is a methodology that
  226. 8:45focuses on eliminating problems removing
  227. 8:48inefficiencies and waste while improving
  228. 8:50the working conditions to ensure the
  229. 8:52customer's needs are better satisfied it
  230. 8:55combines the tools methods and
  231. 8:57principles of lean and six sigma
  232. 8:59we'll have another video detailing the
  233. 9:01process of lean six sigma very soon
  234. 9:04imagine you're the manager of a
  235. 9:06supermarket chain
  236. 9:07you've noticed that two things need your
  237. 9:09immediate attention
  238. 9:11the first issue is how to handle the
  239. 9:13different kinds of waste that you
  240. 9:14encounter at your supermarket
  241. 9:17the next one requires you to address the
  242. 9:19supply chain issues at the supermarket
  243. 9:21which are causing delays to the morning
  244. 9:23delivery of milk
  245. 9:25leading to customer dissatisfaction and
  246. 9:27attrition
  247. 9:28these problems can be solved by
  248. 9:30incorporating two of the most popular
  249. 9:32quality management methodologies in the
  250. 9:34world lean and six sigma
  251. 9:37one famous for its ability to handle
  252. 9:39waste and another known for process
  253. 9:41improvement
  254. 9:42but what if there was a methodology that
  255. 9:45combined the concepts of both six sigma
  256. 9:48and lean
  257. 9:49one that could solve all your issues
  258. 9:52well there is
  259. 9:53lean six sigma
  260. 9:55before we dive into lean six sigma let's
  261. 9:58take a closer look at its parent
  262. 10:00methodologies
  263. 10:01first off lean is a methodology that
  264. 10:04focuses on providing value to the
  265. 10:06customer
  266. 10:07eliminating waste
  267. 10:09continuous improvement
  268. 10:11reducing cycle time lean and six sigma
  269. 10:15both aim to handle waste
  270. 10:17but what is this waste
  271. 10:19waste is any step or action in the
  272. 10:21process that a user does not gain any
  273. 10:24value from in short things that users
  274. 10:27wouldn't want to pay for
  275. 10:29why would a consumer want to pay extra
  276. 10:31for the additional truck that was
  277. 10:32required to deliver milk to the
  278. 10:34supermarket just because the other one
  279. 10:36broke down
  280. 10:38this waste can be divided into eight
  281. 10:40categories let's have a look at each of
  282. 10:42them
  283. 10:42one transportation this waste refers to
  284. 10:46the excess movement of people tools
  285. 10:48inventory equipment and other components
  286. 10:51of a process than it is required
  287. 10:54two inventory
  288. 10:55this waste occurs due to having more
  289. 10:57products and materials than required
  290. 11:00this can cause damage and effects to
  291. 11:02products or materials greater time for
  292. 11:04completion inefficient allocation of
  293. 11:06capital and so on
  294. 11:09three
  295. 11:10motion
  296. 11:11this refers to the time and effort
  297. 11:13wasted due to unnecessary movement of
  298. 11:15people equipment or machinery
  299. 11:18this could be sitting through inventory
  300. 11:20double data entry and so on
  301. 11:234. waiting
  302. 11:25this can be time wasted waiting on
  303. 11:27information instructions materials or
  304. 11:30equipment
  305. 11:315. over-production
  306. 11:34this is the waste created due to
  307. 11:36producing more products than required
  308. 11:396.
  309. 11:41it refers to more work more components
  310. 11:44or more steps in a product or service
  311. 11:46than required
  312. 11:48seven defects
  313. 11:50this is the waste originating from a
  314. 11:52product or service that fails to meet
  315. 11:54customer expectations
  316. 11:568. skills
  317. 11:58this waste refers to the waste of human
  318. 12:00potential under utilizing capabilities
  319. 12:03and delegating tasks to people with
  320. 12:05inadequate training
  321. 12:07for years now many systems have emerged
  322. 12:09that use the lean methodology to
  323. 12:11identify and handle the different kinds
  324. 12:14of waste
  325. 12:15some of the more popular and effective
  326. 12:16ones are
  327. 12:18jit or just in time
  328. 12:205s and
  329. 12:22kanban the jit methodology focuses on
  330. 12:26reducing the amount of time the
  331. 12:27production system takes to provide an
  332. 12:29output and the response time from
  333. 12:31suppliers to customers
  334. 12:335s is another methodology that focuses
  335. 12:36on cleanliness in organization while
  336. 12:38improving profits and efficiency
  337. 12:41kanban is also another popular
  338. 12:43methodology to achieve lean
  339. 12:46it is a visual method to manage tasks
  340. 12:48and workflows
  341. 12:49kanban enables users visualize the
  342. 12:52workflow to identify issues in the
  343. 12:54process and fix them
  344. 12:56these methodologies help in optimizing
  345. 12:58the waste production and are often used
  346. 13:01together to maximize results
  347. 13:03so that's the first problem solved
  348. 13:06now let's have a look at how you can
  349. 13:08improve the supermarket supply chain
  350. 13:10efficiency
  351. 13:11for that let's have a look at the other
  352. 13:13part of lean six sigma six sigma
  353. 13:16six sigma is a set of tools and
  354. 13:18techniques that are used for process
  355. 13:20improvement and removing defects
  356. 13:22let's see how six sigma makes that
  357. 13:25possible
  358. 13:26six sigma has two major methodologies
  359. 13:29dmaic and dmadv
  360. 13:32you can learn more about these two
  361. 13:34methodologies by checking out our six
  362. 13:36sigma in nine minutes video by clicking
  363. 13:38on the top right corner
  364. 13:40let's have a closer look at dmaic since
  365. 13:43lean six sigma uses the dmaic
  366. 13:46methodology of six sigma dmaic is an
  367. 13:49acronym for define measure analyze
  368. 13:53improve control
  369. 13:55it is used to improve existing products
  370. 13:57and processes so that it can meet the
  371. 13:59customer's requirements
  372. 14:01in the define phase you determine what
  373. 14:03the goals of the project are
  374. 14:05in this case you want to reduce the
  375. 14:07amount of time taken to deliver milk
  376. 14:09from the warehouse to the supermarket so
  377. 14:12that it is stocked on the supermarket
  378. 14:13shelves before 8 30 in the morning
  379. 14:16in the measure phase you measure the
  380. 14:18performance of the current unaltered
  381. 14:20process
  382. 14:21the milk truck leaves at 7 30 a.m in the
  383. 14:23morning and can take one of three routes
  384. 14:26a b and c
  385. 14:29route a is currently the preferred one
  386. 14:31as it takes only 60 minutes to reach the
  387. 14:33supermarket compared to the routes b and
  388. 14:36c which takes 70 and 80 minutes
  389. 14:38respectively
  390. 14:40in the analyze phase you find out why
  391. 14:42the defects exist since routes b and c
  392. 14:45were school bus routes
  393. 14:47by reducing the starting time by one
  394. 14:49hour at 6 30 instead of 7 30 meant
  395. 14:52avoiding the traffic routes b and c now
  396. 14:54take 40 to 45 minutes to reach the
  397. 14:56supermarket route a still takes the milk
  398. 14:59truck one hour to get to the supermarket
  399. 15:01even when the truck leaves at 6 30 a.m
  400. 15:04in the improved phase performance can be
  401. 15:06improved by addressing and eliminating
  402. 15:08the root causes
  403. 15:10now that you've realized that advancing
  404. 15:12the milk pickup by an hour and changing
  405. 15:14the route to route b can save time you
  406. 15:17change the process accordingly
  407. 15:19providing your workers with ample time
  408. 15:21to stock the milk into the shelves
  409. 15:23before the morning rush
  410. 15:24and finally in the control phase you
  411. 15:28make regular adjustments to control new
  412. 15:30processes and future performance
  413. 15:32you continue to monitor the delivery
  414. 15:34times and try out alternate routes to
  415. 15:36continually improve the process and
  416. 15:38ensure even faster delivery
  417. 15:41this process change led to reduced man
  418. 15:44hours and cost enhanced sales and
  419. 15:47customer retention
  420. 15:48the lean six sigma methodology offers
  421. 15:50many such benefits to businesses
  422. 15:53let's take a look at some of them
  423. 15:55one increase in profits
  424. 15:57two standardized and simplified process
  425. 16:01three reduced errors
  426. 16:03four employee development
  427. 16:06five
  428. 16:07value to customers
  429. 16:08and that is lean six sigma for you
  430. 16:11six sigma is a set of tools and
  431. 16:13techniques that have helped several
  432. 16:14companies around the world achieve
  433. 16:16business success hi guys i'm raut from
  434. 16:18simply learn and let's get started with
  435. 16:20our introduction to six sigma now let's
  436. 16:22understand this better with an example
  437. 16:24here let's talk about how things were
  438. 16:26before six sigma was introduced here
  439. 16:28jenny and james are having a
  440. 16:29conversation with each other jenny is
  441. 16:31james's manager and she's not happy at
  442. 16:33all she says james is in a lot of
  443. 16:35trouble this is because she found out
  444. 16:37that the customers weren't happy with
  445. 16:39the organization's service and the
  446. 16:40operational costs were way too high and
  447. 16:43as manager james had to make sure that
  448. 16:45this did not happen now let's have a
  449. 16:47look at the same scenario in present day
  450. 16:48here we have jenny congratulating james
  451. 16:51she's very impressed with his work but
  452. 16:52james says it's all thanks to six sigma
  453. 16:55methodology so jenny asks she wants to
  454. 16:57know more about six sigma so to
  455. 16:59understand six sigma here's what you
  456. 17:01need to know firstly we'll have to
  457. 17:02understand what is six sigma what its
  458. 17:04advantages are some of its methodologies
  459. 17:07what are the different roles in a six
  460. 17:08sigma team what is lean what is a lean
  461. 17:11process and what is lean six sigma so
  462. 17:13now let's get started with understanding
  463. 17:15what exactly is six sigma the six sigma
  464. 17:17methodology makes sure to find as well
  465. 17:20as eliminate any sort of defect or
  466. 17:22variation that could be affecting your
  467. 17:24product service or process now this
  468. 17:26methodology is statistics based is data
  469. 17:28driven and focused on continuous
  470. 17:30improvement now this means that there's
  471. 17:32no end goal in the horizon there's
  472. 17:34always another goal to reach there are
  473. 17:36three core ideologies behind six sigma
  474. 17:39the first one states that for any
  475. 17:40business to be successful there's
  476. 17:42continuous efforts that are required so
  477. 17:44that you can achieve stable as well as
  478. 17:46predictable process results the second
  479. 17:48ideology states that in any business or
  480. 17:50manufacturing process there are certain
  481. 17:52characteristics that can be defined
  482. 17:54measured analyzed and controlled the
  483. 17:56final ideology says that along with the
  484. 17:58rest of the organization the top level
  485. 18:00management plays a very important role
  486. 18:02to making sure that there's sustained
  487. 18:04quality now let's talk about the
  488. 18:06advantages of six sigma six sigma can
  489. 18:09help produce a road map or a path
  490. 18:11through which you can easily find and
  491. 18:13reduce any sort of organizational risk
  492. 18:15and reduce the operational costs another
  493. 18:18advantage is that it helps improve the
  494. 18:20efficiency of the process and making
  495. 18:22sure that it works in a timely manner it
  496. 18:24decreases defects improves the overall
  497. 18:26tracking and monitoring process and
  498. 18:28ensures that the products are aligned
  499. 18:30with the company's policies it is also
  500. 18:32reported that it greatly helps improve
  501. 18:34customer as well as vendor satisfaction
  502. 18:36it helps improve the cash flow and
  503. 18:38ensures that the products are complying
  504. 18:40with the regulations of the organization
  505. 18:43now let me tell you about the process of
  506. 18:45six sigma now six sigma projects are of
  507. 18:47basically two methodologies the dma ic
  508. 18:50and the dma dv now let's talk about
  509. 18:52dmaic in detail that's short for define
  510. 18:56measure analyze improve and control this
  511. 18:59is one of the most commonly used
  512. 19:00methodologies in the world this is
  513. 19:02commonly used by companies when they
  514. 19:04have to fix or improve an already
  515. 19:06existing product or process that does
  516. 19:08not meet the company's standards now
  517. 19:10let's have a look at the process first
  518. 19:11phase is the define phase in this phase
  519. 19:14you define the problem that the
  520. 19:15customers are facing you find out where
  521. 19:17you can improve and you clearly
  522. 19:19understand what the customers require of
  523. 19:21you the second phase is the measure
  524. 19:23phase now in this phase you actually
  525. 19:25identify how well the process is doing
  526. 19:28in its current unaltered state in the
  527. 19:31analyze phase you process the data that
  528. 19:33you get from the measure phase and
  529. 19:34determine what exactly is the cause of
  530. 19:36the delay or variation in the improve
  531. 19:39phase you start by making small changes
  532. 19:41to the business process and make sure
  533. 19:43that the problem you identified earlier
  534. 19:45is being taken care of and finally in
  535. 19:47the control phase you control the new
  536. 19:49process so that it doesn't go wrong and
  537. 19:52use the same knowledge for future
  538. 19:53processes now let's have a look at dmadv
  539. 19:57this is short for define measure analyze
  540. 20:00design and verify now this is also
  541. 20:02commonly known as dfss or the design for
  542. 20:04six sigma now this is commonly used by
  543. 20:06companies around the world when they
  544. 20:08have a new product that needs to be
  545. 20:09created all the way from scratch in the
  546. 20:12first phase which is the define phase
  547. 20:14you define what the goal of the project
  548. 20:16is and what the customers require of you
  549. 20:18in the measure phase you measure as well
  550. 20:20as determine what the customer needs and
  551. 20:22how they respond to your products in the
  552. 20:25analyze phase you perform analyses to
  553. 20:27determine how you can improve your
  554. 20:28product or service so they can better
  555. 20:30serve your customers in the design phase
  556. 20:32you set up process details and make
  557. 20:35optimizations to the design to make sure
  558. 20:37your customer is satisfied and finally
  559. 20:39in the verify phase you check how well
  560. 20:41the design is working out and how well
  561. 20:43it meets the customer's needs now before
  562. 20:46we go on let's talk about how six sigma
  563. 20:48was used in reference to the earlier
  564. 20:50example the situation that james was
  565. 20:52facing a survey conducted by the
  566. 20:54organization james was working for
  567. 20:56indicated that the customers weren't
  568. 20:58very happy with the organization so they
  569. 21:00decided to fix that with the help of six
  570. 21:02sigma so they decided that the dmaic
  571. 21:04methodology would be best suited to
  572. 21:06solve their problem so let's have a look
  573. 21:08at what they did firstly in the define
  574. 21:10phase they used a tool called the voice
  575. 21:12of the customer this tool represented
  576. 21:14the needs as well as requirements of the
  577. 21:15customer this showed that the customers
  578. 21:17expected prompt delivery the correct
  579. 21:19product selection and a knowledgeable
  580. 21:21distribution team from the company and
  581. 21:23now on to the measure phase the company
  582. 21:25wanted to know why the customers didn't
  583. 21:27like them so they performed some data
  584. 21:29collection from there they found out
  585. 21:31that they took 56 percent longer than
  586. 21:34other companies to deliver their product
  587. 21:36so they decided to reduce the amount of
  588. 21:38time it takes between order entry and
  589. 21:40the delivery of the product and now in
  590. 21:42the analyze phase here they knew what
  591. 21:44the issue was but they wanted to know
  592. 21:46what exactly made their products
  593. 21:48delivery so slow why were the customers
  594. 21:50receiving the product so late then they
  595. 21:53performed some analysis their analysis
  596. 21:55showed the possible causes it could have
  597. 21:57been inaccurate sales plans issues with
  598. 21:59their safety stock issues with their
  599. 22:01vendors delivery performance and falling
  600. 22:03behind on the manufacturing schedule
  601. 22:05further analysis also indicated that
  602. 22:07most of their sales almost 80 percent
  603. 22:10came from 30 of their products the issue
  604. 22:12was that they didn't have enough safety
  605. 22:14stock to satisfy the customers who
  606. 22:16required that 30 of products and now on
  607. 22:19to the improved phase so now that they
  608. 22:20knew what was causing their problem they
  609. 22:23wanted to solve it they began to have
  610. 22:24monthly reviews and tried to make sure
  611. 22:27that their in-demand products stayed in
  612. 22:29demand another thing that they wanted to
  613. 22:31focus on was to make sure that they
  614. 22:33could order and provide the customer
  615. 22:34with the products that they wanted and
  616. 22:36finally onto the control phase they
  617. 22:38began to set up plans so that they could
  618. 22:40monitor the sales of that 30 of products
  619. 22:43that were selling the most each year
  620. 22:44they would review how well a product was
  621. 22:46selling and replace it if it had fallen
  622. 22:48out of favor now let me tell you what a
  623. 22:50six sigma team consists of let's talk
  624. 22:53about the roles in a six sigma team
  625. 22:55first up is level seven now these are
  626. 22:57individuals who are at the novice level
  627. 23:00now these individuals don't know in
  628. 23:02great detail about what the project is
  629. 23:04but they have a basic understanding of
  630. 23:06the principles and the methodology
  631. 23:08behind the program now they usually
  632. 23:10support with smaller projects and with
  633. 23:12smaller issues but these individuals
  634. 23:14found the foundation for the people who
  635. 23:16decide where the program is going and
  636. 23:18now we're at level six now these are
  637. 23:21individuals who have a yellow belt
  638. 23:22certification now they are core members
  639. 23:24of the six sigma team who have an
  640. 23:26understanding of how the basic metrics
  641. 23:28work and how they can perform some sort
  642. 23:30of improvement now they have their own
  643. 23:32areas of expertise and they're required
  644. 23:34to determine certain processes that need
  645. 23:36to improve at the same time they're also
  646. 23:39in charge of smaller improvement
  647. 23:40projects now level five these are people
  648. 23:43who have a green belt certification now
  649. 23:45these individuals are usually part-time
  650. 23:47professionals who have a number of
  651. 23:48different duties to fulfill they focus
  652. 23:50on smaller six sigma projects they are
  653. 23:53usually involved with gathering data
  654. 23:54performing some sort of experiment and
  655. 23:56analyzing information they also assist
  656. 23:59with black belt projects and now we're
  657. 24:01at level four these are individuals who
  658. 24:03have a black belt certification they're
  659. 24:05usually team leaders of a six sigma
  660. 24:07project they complete four to six
  661. 24:09projects a year and are experts in the
  662. 24:11principles methodologies and lean
  663. 24:13concepts thanks to their understanding
  664. 24:15of statistical experimental design they
  665. 24:17can also understand the hidden reasons
  666. 24:19behind why a particular product failed
  667. 24:21and now we're at level three these are
  668. 24:24individuals who have a master black belt
  669. 24:26certification now these are individuals
  670. 24:28who are experts when it comes to
  671. 24:29resources the practices and the
  672. 24:31methodologies that are employed in six
  673. 24:33sigma their main emphasis is to coach
  674. 24:35train and certify black belts they also
  675. 24:38are involved with other six sigma
  676. 24:40leaders to ensure a company's goals are
  677. 24:42met now level two these individuals are
  678. 24:45called champions so they work really
  679. 24:47closely with the executives and usually
  680. 24:49have a role like a senior or a middle
  681. 24:52executive level role they also have a
  682. 24:54clear understanding of what exactly is
  683. 24:56the company's vision and mission they
  684. 24:58also understand metrics so that they can
  685. 25:00set up a six sigma project that lines up
  686. 25:02with the company's goals they're
  687. 25:03responsible for removing any sort of
  688. 25:06roadblock that could hamper the success
  689. 25:07of a project and finally we're at level
  690. 25:10one these are the executives now these
  691. 25:13individuals represent the highest level
  692. 25:15when it comes to a six sigma team now
  693. 25:16they have training as well as experience
  694. 25:18through which they can set up six sigma
  695. 25:20projects that clearly line up with the
  696. 25:22company's goals their main emphasis is
  697. 25:25to ensure that the project is able to
  698. 25:27add value to the organization and at the
  699. 25:29end of the day is successful now this is
  700. 25:31when jenny interjects she wants to know
  701. 25:33about lean john tells her that lean just
  702. 25:36like six sigma is another methodology so
  703. 25:38what exactly is lean now lean is a
  704. 25:41methodology that has a very important
  705. 25:44ideology to make sure that there's
  706. 25:46continuous optimization of the processes
  707. 25:48and there's an elimination of waste so
  708. 25:51what's waste so waste is basically any
  709. 25:53part of the process that the customer
  710. 25:56doesn't want to pay for it is a process
  711. 25:58that does not add any value to the
  712. 26:00customer now coming back to lean here
  713. 26:02are some of its characteristics whenever
  714. 26:04decisions are being made in a lean team
  715. 26:06the main emphasis is to understand how
  716. 26:08it exactly adds value to the customer
  717. 26:11every member in a lean team has a clear
  718. 26:13understanding of what exactly are the
  719. 26:15goals of the organization it also
  720. 26:17encourages employees to push for further
  721. 26:19success even if the organization is in a
  722. 26:21good place or is already doing well
  723. 26:23there's also an emphasis on
  724. 26:24cross-functional collaboration and
  725. 26:26communication lean focuses on answering
  726. 26:29the difficult question or the complex
  727. 26:31ones rather than employing short-term
  728. 26:33fixes and with lean you can easily
  729. 26:35prepare for issues that can come up in
  730. 26:38the future or improvise in unexpected
  731. 26:40circumstances so let's talk about how
  732. 26:42lean and six sigma are different from
  733. 26:44one another the lean methodology aims to
  734. 26:47reduce waste it does so by analyzing the
  735. 26:50workflow it also emphasizes on
  736. 26:52minimizing resource usage and improving
  737. 26:55customer value now let's talk about six
  738. 26:57sigma the aim of six sigma is to provide
  739. 27:00near-perfect results it wants to reduce
  740. 27:02costs and improve customer satisfaction
  741. 27:05basically both of them are moving
  742. 27:06towards the same goal to reduce the
  743. 27:08amount of waste and to create efficient
  744. 27:10processes now let's talk about the
  745. 27:12process of lean now there are five
  746. 27:14different steps let's start with the
  747. 27:16first one identifying value you need to
  748. 27:18identify value by determining what
  749. 27:20exactly is the problem you're trying to
  750. 27:22solve for the customer the second step
  751. 27:24is to map your value stream you need to
  752. 27:26map the workflow of your company you
  753. 27:28need to focus on the different actions
  754. 27:30and the people that are involved with
  755. 27:32the process you need to be able to
  756. 27:34identify which parts of the process are
  757. 27:36able to add value and the ones that
  758. 27:38don't the third step is to create a flow
  759. 27:40you need to break up your work into
  760. 27:42smaller silos and visualize the workflow
  761. 27:44so that you can easily identify problems
  762. 27:47that might show up later the next step
  763. 27:49is to establish pull you need to set up
  764. 27:51a system through which products are
  765. 27:53created only when there is a demand or a
  766. 27:55requirement for it through this you can
  767. 27:57optimize resource capacity and finally
  768. 27:59we're at the fifth step which is
  769. 28:00continuous improvement you need to
  770. 28:02ensure all your employees at all levels
  771. 28:05are involved in the continuous
  772. 28:07improvement of the process so what
  773. 28:09exactly is lean six sigma what if you
  774. 28:11could combine the best of both worlds
  775. 28:14the combination of six sigma and lean
  776. 28:16methodology led to the creation of lean
  777. 28:19six sigma lean six sigma is a
  778. 28:21methodology that aims to solve problems
  779. 28:23removes any form of waste or
  780. 28:25inefficiency and improving the working
  781. 28:27conditions of employees to make sure
  782. 28:29that they can serve the customers better
  783. 28:31now this is a combination of the tools
  784. 28:34methods and principles that are employed
  785. 28:36in lean and six sigma let's talk about
  786. 28:38some of its advantages it aims to
  787. 28:40provide customers with a better
  788. 28:41experience by streamlining the process
  789. 28:43with efficient power flows it aims to
  790. 28:46drive higher results it can reduce cost
  791. 28:48remove waste and prevent effects it can
  792. 28:50help the organization handle day-to-day
  793. 28:52problems the decreased lead times help
  794. 28:55increase capacity and profitability and
  795. 28:58finally it helps with people development
  796. 29:00and improving the morale of the
  797. 29:02organization
  798. 29:03this lesson provides an overview of the
  799. 29:05certified six sigma greenbelt or cssgb
  800. 29:09course
  801. 29:10a process is a series of steps designed
  802. 29:13to produce a product and or service
  803. 29:16according to the requirement of the
  804. 29:17customer
  805. 29:18a process mainly consists of four parts
  806. 29:21input process steps output and feedback
  807. 29:26input is something put into a process or
  808. 29:28expended in its operation to achieve an
  809. 29:31output or a result
  810. 29:33for example man material machine and
  811. 29:36management
  812. 29:37output is the final product delivered to
  813. 29:40an internal or external customer
  814. 29:42for example product or services
  815. 29:45it is important to understand that if
  816. 29:47the output of a process is an input for
  817. 29:49another process the latter process is
  818. 29:52the internal customer
  819. 29:54each input can be classified as
  820. 29:56controllable represented as c
  821. 29:59non-controllable represented as nc
  822. 30:03noise represented as n
  823. 30:06and critical represented as x
  824. 30:09the most important aspect of the process
  825. 30:11is the feedback
  826. 30:13as can be inferred from the image any
  827. 30:16change in the inputs causes change in
  828. 30:18the output
  829. 30:19therefore y equals f of x
  830. 30:22feedback helps in process control
  831. 30:25because it suggests changes to the
  832. 30:27inputs
  833. 30:28let us learn about the process of six
  834. 30:30sigma in the next screen
  835. 30:34let us understand how six sigma works in
  836. 30:37this screen
  837. 30:38six sigma is successful because of the
  838. 30:40following reasons
  839. 30:42six sigma is a management strategy it
  840. 30:45creates an environment where the
  841. 30:47management supports six sigma as a
  842. 30:49business strategy and not as a
  843. 30:51standalone approach or a program to
  844. 30:54satisfy some public relations need
  845. 30:56six sigma mainly emphasizes the dmacc
  846. 30:59method of problem solving
  847. 31:01focused teams are assigned well-defined
  848. 31:03projects that directly influence the
  849. 31:06organization's bottom line with customer
  850. 31:08satisfaction and increased quality being
  851. 31:11byproducts
  852. 31:13six sigma also requires extensive use of
  853. 31:15statistical methods
  854. 31:17the next screen will focus on some key
  855. 31:19terms used in six sigma
  856. 31:23let us look at the sigma level chart in
  857. 31:26this screen
  858. 31:27as discussed earlier the six sigma
  859. 31:29quality means 3.4 defects in 1 million
  860. 31:32opportunities or process with a
  861. 31:3699.99966 percent yield
  862. 31:38the sigma level chart given on the
  863. 31:40screen shows the values for other sigma
  864. 31:43levels
  865. 31:44please take a look at the values
  866. 31:45carefully
  867. 31:46let us understand the benefits of six
  868. 31:48sigma in the next screen
  869. 31:51the organizational benefits of six sigma
  870. 31:53are as follows
  871. 31:55a six sigma process eliminates the root
  872. 31:58cause of problems and defects in a
  873. 32:00process
  874. 32:01sometimes the solution is creating
  875. 32:03robust products and services that
  876. 32:05mitigate the impact of a variable input
  877. 32:08or output on a customer's experience for
  878. 32:10example many electrical utility systems
  879. 32:13have voltage variability up to and
  880. 32:16sometimes exceeding a 10 percent
  881. 32:18deviation from nominal value
  882. 32:20thus most electrical products are built
  883. 32:23to tolerate the variability
  884. 32:25drawing more amperage without damage to
  885. 32:28any components or the unit itself
  886. 32:31using six sigma reduces variation in a
  887. 32:34process and thereby reduces waste in a
  888. 32:37process
  889. 32:38it ensures customer satisfaction and
  890. 32:40provides process standardization
  891. 32:43rework is substantially reduced because
  892. 32:46one gets it right the very first time
  893. 32:49further six sigma addresses the key
  894. 32:51business requirement
  895. 32:53six sigma can also be used by
  896. 32:55organizations to gain advantage and
  897. 32:57become world leaders in their respective
  898. 32:59fields
  899. 33:00ultimately the whole six sigma process
  900. 33:03is to satisfy customers and achieve
  901. 33:05organizational goals
  902. 33:07in the next screen let us understand six
  903. 33:09sigma and quality
  904. 33:14taking a process to six sigma level
  905. 33:16ensures that the quality of the product
  906. 33:18is maintained
  907. 33:19the primary goal of improved quality is
  908. 33:22increased profits for the organization
  909. 33:25in very simple terms quality is defined
  910. 33:27as the degree of excellence of a product
  911. 33:29or a service provided to the customer
  912. 33:32it is conformance to customer
  913. 33:34requirement
  914. 33:35if the customer is satisfied with the
  915. 33:37product or service then the product or
  916. 33:39service is of the required quality
  917. 33:41let us look at the history of quality in
  918. 33:44the next screen in the mid 1930s
  919. 33:46statistical process control spc was
  920. 33:50developed by walter shoehart and used
  921. 33:52extensively during world war ii to
  922. 33:54quickly expand the us's industrial
  923. 33:57capabilities
  924. 33:58spc is the application of statistical
  925. 34:01techniques to control any process
  926. 34:04walter shoehart's work on the common
  927. 34:06cause of variation and special cause of
  928. 34:08variation assignable has been used
  929. 34:11proactively in all six sigma projects
  930. 34:14the approach to quality has varied from
  931. 34:17time to time
  932. 34:18in the 1960s there were quality circles
  933. 34:21which originated in japan
  934. 34:23it was started by kaoru ishikawa
  935. 34:26quality circles were self-improvement
  936. 34:28groups composed of small number of
  937. 34:30employees belonging to a single
  938. 34:32department
  939. 34:33quality circles brought in improvements
  940. 34:35with little or no help from the top
  941. 34:37management
  942. 34:38in 1987 iso 9000 was introduced
  943. 34:43iso stands for international
  944. 34:45organization for standardization
  945. 34:47iso 9000 is a set of international
  946. 34:50standards on quality management and
  947. 34:52quality assurance to help organizations
  948. 34:55implement quality management systems
  949. 34:57iso 9000 is still in effect
  950. 35:01baldrige award now known as the malcolm
  951. 35:04baldrige national quality award was
  952. 35:06developed by the u s congress in 1987 to
  953. 35:10raise awareness of quality management
  954. 35:12systems as well as recognize and award u
  955. 35:15s companies that have successfully
  956. 35:17implemented quality management systems
  957. 35:20in 1988 another quality approach was
  958. 35:23developed known as benchmarking
  959. 35:26in this approach an organization
  960. 35:28measures its performance against the
  961. 35:30best organizations in its field
  962. 35:32determines how such performance levels
  963. 35:34were achieved and the information is
  964. 35:37used by the organization to improve
  965. 35:39itself
  966. 35:40then in the 1990s there was the balanced
  967. 35:43scorecard approach
  968. 35:45it is a management tool that helps
  969. 35:46managers of all levels to monitor their
  970. 35:49results in their key areas so that one
  971. 35:52metric is not optimized while another is
  972. 35:54ignored
  973. 35:56during the year 1996 through 1997 an
  974. 36:00approach known as re-engineering was
  975. 36:02developed
  976. 36:03this approach involved the restructuring
  977. 36:05of an entire organization and its
  978. 36:08processes
  979. 36:09integrating various functional tasks
  980. 36:11into cross-functional processes is one
  981. 36:14of the examples of re-engineering
  982. 36:17in the next screen let us find out about
  983. 36:19the quality gurus and their contribution
  984. 36:22to the field of quality
  985. 36:25let us focus on six sigma and the
  986. 36:27business system in this screen
  987. 36:30business systems are designed to
  988. 36:32implement a process or a set of
  989. 36:34processes
  990. 36:35a business system ensures that process
  991. 36:38inputs are at the right place and at the
  992. 36:40right time so that each step of the
  993. 36:42process has the resource it needs
  994. 36:46a business system design should be
  995. 36:48responsible for collecting and analyzing
  996. 36:50data so that continual improvement of
  997. 36:53its processes products and services is
  998. 36:56ensured
  999. 36:57a business system has processes sub
  1000. 37:00processes and steps as its subsets
  1001. 37:04human resources manufacturing and
  1002. 37:06marketing are some examples of processes
  1003. 37:09in a business system
  1004. 37:12six sigma improves a business system by
  1005. 37:15continuously removing the defects in its
  1006. 37:18processes and also by sustaining the
  1007. 37:20changes
  1008. 37:21a defective item is any product or
  1009. 37:23service that a customer would reject
  1010. 37:26a customer can be the user of the
  1011. 37:28ultimate product or service or can be
  1012. 37:31the next process downstream in the
  1013. 37:33business system
  1014. 37:35let us learn about six sigma projects
  1015. 37:37and organizational goals in the
  1016. 37:39following screen
  1017. 37:43let us understand the structure of the
  1018. 37:45six sigma team in this screen
  1019. 37:47there are totally five levels in the six
  1020. 37:50sigma screen
  1021. 37:51the first level consists of the top
  1022. 37:53executives of the organization
  1023. 37:55these people lead change and provide
  1024. 37:57direction as they own the vision of the
  1025. 37:59organization
  1026. 38:00for any improvement initiative to work
  1027. 38:03it is important that top management of
  1028. 38:05the organization be actively involved in
  1029. 38:08its propagation
  1030. 38:09the top executives own the six sigma
  1031. 38:12initiatives
  1032. 38:13next in the level are six sigma
  1033. 38:15champions
  1034. 38:16they identify and scope projects develop
  1035. 38:19deployment and strategy and support
  1036. 38:22cultural change
  1037. 38:23they also identify and coach master
  1038. 38:26black belts
  1039. 38:27three to four master black belts work
  1040. 38:29under every champion
  1041. 38:31six sigma master black belts train and
  1042. 38:34coach black belts green belts and
  1043. 38:36various functional leaders of the
  1044. 38:38organization
  1045. 38:40they usually have at least three to four
  1046. 38:41black belts under them
  1047. 38:44the fourth level in six sigma structure
  1048. 38:46is six sigma black belts
  1049. 38:48they apply strategies to specific
  1050. 38:50projects and lead and direct teams to
  1051. 38:53execute projects
  1052. 38:55finally there are six sigma green belts
  1053. 38:58they support the black belt employees by
  1054. 39:01participating in project teams
  1055. 39:03green belts play a dual role
  1056. 39:06they work on the project and perform
  1057. 39:08day-to-day jobs related to their work
  1058. 39:10area
  1059. 39:11in the next screen we will understand
  1060. 39:13the drivers and metrics of
  1061. 39:15organizational strategy
  1062. 39:18while financial accounting is useful to
  1063. 39:21track physical assets the balanced
  1064. 39:23scorecard or bsc
  1065. 39:25offers a more holistic approach to
  1066. 39:27strategy implementation and performance
  1067. 39:30measurement by taking into account
  1068. 39:32perspectives other than the financial
  1069. 39:34one
  1070. 39:35for an organization traditional
  1071. 39:37strategic activities that concentrate
  1072. 39:39only on financial metrics are not
  1073. 39:41sufficient to predict future performance
  1074. 39:44they are not sufficient to implement and
  1075. 39:46control the strategic plan either
  1076. 39:49bsc translates the organizational
  1077. 39:51strategy into actionable objectives that
  1078. 39:54can be met on an everyday basis and
  1079. 39:57provides a framework for performance
  1080. 39:59measurement
  1081. 40:00the balanced scorecard helps clarify the
  1082. 40:03organizational vision and mission to
  1083. 40:05workable action items to be carried out
  1084. 40:07and measured it also provides feedback
  1085. 40:10on both internal business processes and
  1086. 40:13external outcomes
  1087. 40:14by doing so it enables continuous
  1088. 40:17improvement in strategic performance
  1089. 40:19toward achieving organizational goals
  1090. 40:22the balanced scorecard achieves all this
  1091. 40:25by integrating the organizational
  1092. 40:26strategy with a limited number of key
  1093. 40:29metrics from four major areas of
  1094. 40:31performance
  1095. 40:32finance customer relations internal
  1096. 40:35processes and learning and growth
  1097. 40:38many organizations in the world use
  1098. 40:41balanced scorecard approaches and the
  1099. 40:43number is increasing every day
  1100. 40:46in the next screen we will describe the
  1101. 40:48balanced scorecard framework
  1102. 40:50we will learn about developing a
  1103. 40:52balanced scorecard in this screen
  1104. 40:55while applying the balanced scorecard in
  1105. 40:57an organization care must be taken to
  1106. 40:59account for interactions between
  1107. 41:01different perspectives or strategic
  1108. 41:03business units and avoid optimizing the
  1109. 41:06results of one at the expense of another
  1110. 41:09to outline the strategy a top-down
  1111. 41:12approach is followed by determining the
  1112. 41:14strategic objectives measures targets
  1113. 41:16and initiatives for each perspective the
  1114. 41:20strategic objectives refer to the
  1115. 41:22strategy to be achieved in that
  1116. 41:24perspective
  1117. 41:25three or four leading objectives are
  1118. 41:27agreed upon the progress towards
  1119. 41:30strategic objectives is assessed using
  1120. 41:32specific measures these measures should
  1121. 41:35be closely related to the actual
  1122. 41:37performance drivers
  1123. 41:38this enables effectively evaluating
  1124. 41:40progress
  1125. 41:42high level metrics are linked to lower
  1126. 41:44level operational measures
  1127. 41:46the target values for each measure are
  1128. 41:48set the initiatives required to achieve
  1129. 41:50the target value are identified
  1130. 41:53as already mentioned this exercise is
  1131. 41:56carried out for all the perspectives
  1132. 41:59finally the scorecard is integrated into
  1133. 42:01the management system
  1134. 42:03in the next screen let us understand the
  1135. 42:05change in the approach to the balance
  1136. 42:07score card from the four box model of
  1137. 42:09bsc to strategy maps
  1138. 42:14in earlier approaches to the balanced
  1139. 42:16scorecard the perspectives were
  1140. 42:18presented in a four box model
  1141. 42:21this kind of scorecard was more a
  1142. 42:23comprehensive glance at the key
  1143. 42:25performance indicators or metrics in
  1144. 42:27different perspectives
  1145. 42:29however the key performance indicators
  1146. 42:31or metrics of different perspectives
  1147. 42:33were viewed independent of each other
  1148. 42:36which led to a silo based approach and
  1149. 42:38lack of integration
  1150. 42:40however modern scorecards place the
  1151. 42:43focus on the interrelations between the
  1152. 42:45objectives and metrics of different
  1153. 42:47perspectives and how they support each
  1154. 42:49other
  1155. 42:50a well-designed balanced scorecard
  1156. 42:53recognizes the influence of one
  1157. 42:55perspective on another and the effect of
  1158. 42:57these interactions on organizational
  1159. 43:00strategy
  1160. 43:01to achieve the objectives in one
  1161. 43:03perspective it is necessary to achieve
  1162. 43:06the objectives in another perspective
  1163. 43:08in short the four perspectives form a
  1164. 43:11chain of cause and effect relationships
  1165. 43:14a map of interlinked objectives from
  1166. 43:16each perspective is created
  1167. 43:19these objectives represents the
  1168. 43:21performance drivers which determine the
  1169. 43:23effectiveness of strategy implementation
  1170. 43:26this is called a strategy map
  1171. 43:29the function of a strategy map is to
  1172. 43:31outline what the organization wants to
  1173. 43:33accomplish and how it plans to
  1174. 43:35accomplish it
  1175. 43:36the strategy map is one page view of how
  1176. 43:39the organization can create value
  1177. 43:42for example financial success is
  1178. 43:44dependent on giving customers what they
  1179. 43:47want which in turn depends on the
  1180. 43:49internal processes and learning and
  1181. 43:51growth at an individual level
  1182. 43:54in the next screen we will look at the
  1183. 43:56impact of the balanced scorecard on the
  1184. 43:58organization
  1185. 44:01the balance scorecard and strategy map
  1186. 44:03force managers to consider cause and
  1187. 44:05effect relationships which leads to
  1188. 44:08better identification of key drivers and
  1189. 44:10a more rounded approach to strategic
  1190. 44:12planning the bsc enables the
  1191. 44:15organization to improve in the following
  1192. 44:17ways
  1193. 44:18being a one-page document a strategy map
  1194. 44:21can easily be communicated and
  1195. 44:23facilitates understanding at all levels
  1196. 44:25of the organization
  1197. 44:27an organization is successful in meeting
  1198. 44:29its objectives only when everyone
  1199. 44:32understands the strategy
  1200. 44:34the balance scorecard also forces an
  1201. 44:36organization to measure what really
  1202. 44:38matters and manage information better so
  1203. 44:41that quality of decision making is
  1204. 44:43higher
  1205. 44:44creating performance reports against a
  1206. 44:46balanced scorecard allows for a
  1207. 44:48structured approach to reporting
  1208. 44:50progress
  1209. 44:51it also enables organizations to create
  1210. 44:53reports and dashboards to communicate
  1211. 44:56performance transparently and
  1212. 44:58meaningfully
  1213. 44:59as expected a balanced scorecard helps
  1214. 45:01an organization to better align itself
  1215. 45:04and its processes to the strategic goals
  1216. 45:06outlined in the bsc
  1217. 45:09the overall objectives of the bsc can be
  1218. 45:11cascaded into each business unit to
  1219. 45:14enable that unit to work toward the
  1220. 45:16common organizational goal
  1221. 45:19all the activities of the organization
  1222. 45:21such as budgeting or risk management are
  1223. 45:23automatically aligned to the strategic
  1224. 45:25objectives
  1225. 45:27to conclude the balance scorecard is a
  1226. 45:29simple and powerful tool that when
  1227. 45:32implemented correctly equips an
  1228. 45:34organization to perform better
  1229. 45:37let us proceed to the next topic of this
  1230. 45:39lesson in the following screen
  1231. 45:41in this topic we will look at what lean
  1232. 45:44is and how lean is applied to a process
  1233. 45:48let us start with the lean concepts in
  1234. 45:50the next screen
  1235. 45:51let us look at the process issues in
  1236. 45:54this screen
  1237. 45:55lean focuses on three major issues in a
  1238. 45:58process known by their japanese names
  1239. 46:01muda mura and marie
  1240. 46:04muda refers to non-value-adding work
  1241. 46:06mura represents unevenness and marie
  1242. 46:09represents overburden
  1243. 46:11together they represent the key aspects
  1244. 46:14in lean
  1245. 46:15let us look at the types of waste in the
  1246. 46:17next screen
  1247. 46:22there are seven types of muda or waste
  1248. 46:25as per lean principles
  1249. 46:27let us understand these seven types of
  1250. 46:29muta
  1251. 46:30overproduction
  1252. 46:32this refers to producing more than is
  1253. 46:34required
  1254. 46:35for example a customer needed 10
  1255. 46:38products and 12 were delivered
  1256. 46:40inventory in simple words this refers to
  1257. 46:44stock
  1258. 46:45the term inventory includes finished
  1259. 46:47goods semi-finished goods raw materials
  1260. 46:50supplies kept in waiting and some of the
  1261. 46:53work in progress for example test
  1262. 46:56scripts waiting to be executed by the
  1263. 46:58testing team
  1264. 46:59defects repairs rejects
  1265. 47:01any product or service deemed unusable
  1266. 47:04by the customer or any effort to make it
  1267. 47:06usable to the original customer or a new
  1268. 47:08customer for example errors found in the
  1269. 47:11source code of a payroll module by
  1270. 47:14quality control team
  1271. 47:15motion
  1272. 47:16a waste due to poor ergonomics of the
  1273. 47:18workplace for example finance and
  1274. 47:21account teams sit on the first floor but
  1275. 47:23invoices to customers are printed on the
  1276. 47:26ground floor causing unnecessary
  1277. 47:28personnel movement
  1278. 47:30over processing
  1279. 47:32additional process on a product or
  1280. 47:34service to remove unnecessary attribute
  1281. 47:36or feature is over processing
  1282. 47:39for example a customer needs a bottle
  1283. 47:41and you deliver a bottle with extra
  1284. 47:43plastic casing a customer needs abec3
  1285. 47:47bearing and your process is tuned to
  1286. 47:49produce more precise abec 7 bearings
  1287. 47:53taking more time for something the
  1288. 47:54customer doesn't need
  1289. 47:56waiting when a part waits for processing
  1290. 47:59or the operator waits for work the
  1291. 48:01wastage of waiting occurs for example
  1292. 48:04improper scheduling of staff members
  1293. 48:06transport when the product moves
  1294. 48:09unnecessarily in the process without
  1295. 48:11adding value
  1296. 48:13for example a product is finished and
  1297. 48:15yet it travels 10 kilometers to the
  1298. 48:17warehouse before it gets shipped to the
  1299. 48:19customer
  1300. 48:20another example an electronic form is
  1301. 48:23transferred to 12 people some of them
  1302. 48:25seeing the form more than once that is
  1303. 48:28the form is traveling over the same
  1304. 48:30space multiple times
  1305. 48:32next we will look at lean wastes other
  1306. 48:34than the seven types of waste discussed
  1307. 48:36some lean experts talk about additional
  1308. 48:39areas of waste
  1309. 48:41under utilized skills
  1310. 48:43skills are underutilized when the
  1311. 48:45workforce has capabilities that are not
  1312. 48:47being fully used toward productive
  1313. 48:49efforts
  1314. 48:50people are assigned to jobs in which
  1315. 48:52they do not fit
  1316. 48:54underperforming processes
  1317. 48:56automation of poorly performing process
  1318. 48:59improving a process that should be
  1319. 49:01eliminated if possible for example the
  1320. 49:04product returns department or product
  1321. 49:06discounts process
  1322. 49:07a symmetry in processes that should be
  1323. 49:10eliminated for example two signatures to
  1324. 49:12approve a cost reduction and six
  1325. 49:14signatures to reverse a cost reduction
  1326. 49:17that created higher costs in other areas
  1327. 49:20in the next screen we will look at an
  1328. 49:22exercise on identifying the waste type
  1329. 49:25we will cover each step of the lean
  1330. 49:27process in the next few screens in this
  1331. 49:30screen we will learn about the first
  1332. 49:31step identify value to implement lean to
  1333. 49:35a process
  1334. 49:36it is important to find out what the
  1335. 49:38customer wants
  1336. 49:40once this is done the process should be
  1337. 49:42evaluated to identify what it needs to
  1338. 49:45possess to meet customer requirements
  1339. 49:48the next screen will focus on the next
  1340. 49:51step of the lean process
  1341. 49:53value stream mapping
  1342. 49:56in this screen we will discuss the
  1343. 49:58differences between push and pull
  1344. 50:00processes
  1345. 50:01an organization can adopt either of
  1346. 50:03these processes depending on the
  1347. 50:05requirement
  1348. 50:07contrary to a pull process in a push
  1349. 50:09process the first step is to forecast
  1350. 50:12the demand for a product or service
  1351. 50:15the production line then begins to fill
  1352. 50:17this demand and produced parts are
  1353. 50:19stocked in anticipation of customer
  1354. 50:21demand
  1355. 50:22for example a garments manufacturer
  1356. 50:25produces 200 shirts based on expected
  1357. 50:27demand and then waits for customer
  1358. 50:29orders for them
  1359. 50:31note that the demand is expected and not
  1360. 50:33actual
  1361. 50:34discounts offered to customers by big
  1362. 50:37retailers are examples of the push
  1363. 50:39process
  1364. 50:40if the garment company adopts a pull
  1365. 50:42process instead it would start making
  1366. 50:45the shirts only after receiving a
  1367. 50:47confirmed demand from customers
  1368. 50:50note that although the pull approach
  1369. 50:52seems better it is not applicable to all
  1370. 50:54situations for example a pharmacy uses a
  1371. 50:58push process
  1372. 50:59in the next screen we will learn about
  1373. 51:01theory of constraints
  1374. 51:04let us look at an example for the toc
  1375. 51:07methodology in this screen
  1376. 51:09the three sub processes in the packing
  1377. 51:12process are coding or printing filling
  1378. 51:15and sealing
  1379. 51:16the data for the three sub processes are
  1380. 51:19observed and collected as number of
  1381. 51:21units produced in an hour
  1382. 51:23the data is as follows
  1383. 51:25coding or printing is 900 units per hour
  1384. 51:29filling is 720 units per hour and
  1385. 51:32ceiling is 780 units per hour
  1386. 51:35how can you implement the toc
  1387. 51:37methodology in this example
  1388. 51:40let us build the toc map for this
  1389. 51:42example
  1390. 51:43the first step in the toc methodology is
  1391. 51:46to identify the constraint
  1392. 51:48looking at the data the output per hour
  1393. 51:51from the filling process is 720
  1394. 51:54this is the constraint in the system
  1395. 51:57in the second step the constraint is
  1396. 51:59exploited by analyzing the performance
  1397. 52:02using data
  1398. 52:03to break the constraint a repair and
  1399. 52:05maintenance personnel can be assigned to
  1400. 52:07maintain the filling machine on a daily
  1401. 52:09basis
  1402. 52:11in the third step the other fixes in the
  1403. 52:13repair and maintenance function are made
  1404. 52:15as subordinate decisions to the one
  1405. 52:17taken in step two
  1406. 52:19in this example carry out the
  1407. 52:21maintenance of the filling machine
  1408. 52:23in the fourth step the constraint is
  1409. 52:25elevated by implementing the decisions
  1410. 52:28in this example remove the damages from
  1411. 52:30the filling machine the next step is to
  1412. 52:33go back to step one and identify the
  1413. 52:35next system constraint
  1414. 52:37as per the data collected after
  1415. 52:39implementation of the first cycle of the
  1416. 52:41toc
  1417. 52:43ceiling can be identified as the next
  1418. 52:45system constraint
  1419. 52:48let us now analyze the data before and
  1420. 52:50after toc implementation in this example
  1421. 52:54the number of units produced per hour
  1422. 52:56before implementing the toc encoding or
  1423. 52:58printing process was 900 units filling
  1424. 53:02process was 720 units and sealing
  1425. 53:05process was 780 units
  1426. 53:08after implementing the toc the number of
  1427. 53:10units produced per hour for the filling
  1428. 53:12process increased to 840 from 720 units
  1429. 53:19let us proceed to the next topic of this
  1430. 53:21lesson
  1431. 53:22in this topic we will discuss the
  1432. 53:24concepts in design for six sigma or dfss
  1433. 53:28let us first understand dfss in the next
  1434. 53:32screen
  1435. 53:34dfss or design for six sigma is a
  1436. 53:38business process methodology that
  1437. 53:40ensures that any new product or service
  1438. 53:43meets customer requirements and the
  1439. 53:45process for that product or service is
  1440. 53:47already at six sigma level
  1441. 53:50dfss uses tools such as quality function
  1442. 53:53deployment or qfd and failure mode and
  1443. 53:57effects analysis or fmea
  1444. 54:01dfss can help a business system to
  1445. 54:04introduce an entirely new product or
  1446. 54:06service for the customer
  1447. 54:08it can also be used to introduce a new
  1448. 54:11category of product or service for the
  1449. 54:13business system
  1450. 54:14for example an fmcg company plans to
  1451. 54:18make a new brand of hair oil a type of
  1452. 54:20product already in the market
  1453. 54:23dfss also improves the product or
  1454. 54:26service and adds to the current product
  1455. 54:28or service lines
  1456. 54:30to implement dfss a business system has
  1457. 54:33to know its customer requirements
  1458. 54:36dfss can be used to design a new product
  1459. 54:39or service a new process for a new
  1460. 54:41product or service or redesign of an
  1461. 54:44existing product or service to meet
  1462. 54:46customer requirements
  1463. 54:48let us learn about processes for dfss in
  1464. 54:51the next screen
  1465. 54:55the two major processes for dfss are
  1466. 54:58idov and dmadv
  1467. 55:02idov stands for identify design optimize
  1468. 55:06and verify
  1469. 55:08dmadb stands for define measure analyze
  1470. 55:13design and verify
  1471. 55:15in the idov process
  1472. 55:18the first step involves identifying
  1473. 55:20specific customer needs based on which
  1474. 55:22the new product and business process
  1475. 55:24will be designed
  1476. 55:26the next step involves design which
  1477. 55:28involves identifying functional
  1478. 55:30requirements developing alternate
  1479. 55:32concepts evaluating the alternatives
  1480. 55:35selecting a best fit concept and
  1481. 55:38predicting sigma capability
  1482. 55:40tools such as fmea are used here
  1483. 55:44the third step optimize uses a
  1484. 55:47statistical approach to calculate
  1485. 55:49tolerance with respect to the desired
  1486. 55:51output
  1487. 55:52when idov is implemented to design a
  1488. 55:55process expected to work at six sigma
  1489. 55:58level this is checked in the optimize
  1490. 56:00phase if the process does not meet
  1491. 56:03expectations the optimize phase helps in
  1492. 56:06developing detailed design elements
  1493. 56:08predicting performances and optimizing
  1494. 56:11design
  1495. 56:12the last stage of idov is to verify that
  1496. 56:16is to test and validate the design and
  1497. 56:18finally to check conformance to six
  1498. 56:20sigma standards
  1499. 56:22the other process dmadv has five stages
  1500. 56:27the first stage is to define the
  1501. 56:28customer requirements and goals for the
  1502. 56:30process product or service
  1503. 56:33next measure and match performance to
  1504. 56:35customer requirements
  1505. 56:37the third stage involves analysis and
  1506. 56:40assessment of the design for the process
  1507. 56:42product or service the next step is to
  1508. 56:45design and implement the array of latest
  1509. 56:47processes required for the new process
  1510. 56:50product or service
  1511. 56:52the final stage is to verify results and
  1512. 56:54maintain performance
  1513. 56:57in the next screen we will look at the
  1514. 56:59differences between idov and dmadb
  1515. 57:05the primary difference between idov and
  1516. 57:08dmadb is that while i
  1517. 57:11is used only to design a new product or
  1518. 57:14service
  1519. 57:15dmadb can be used to design either a new
  1520. 57:18product or service or redesign an
  1521. 57:21existing product or service
  1522. 57:23idov involves design of a new process
  1523. 57:27while dmadv involves redesigning an
  1524. 57:30existing process
  1525. 57:31in idov no analysis or measurement of
  1526. 57:34existing process is done and the whole
  1527. 57:37development is new
  1528. 57:39the design step immediately follows the
  1529. 57:41identification of customer requirements
  1530. 57:44in contrast dmadv the existing product
  1531. 57:48service or process is examined
  1532. 57:50thoroughly before moving to the design
  1533. 57:52phase the design stage comes only after
  1534. 57:56defining requirements and analyzing the
  1535. 57:58existing product service or process
  1536. 58:02in the following screen we will learn
  1537. 58:04about tool quality function deployment
  1538. 58:06or qfd which is one of the dfss tools
  1539. 58:13qfd also called voice of customer or voc
  1540. 58:17or house of quality
  1541. 58:19is a predefined method of identifying
  1542. 58:21customer requirements
  1543. 58:23it is a systematic process to understand
  1544. 58:26the needs of the customer and convert
  1545. 58:28them into a set of design and
  1546. 58:30manufacturing requirements
  1547. 58:32qfd motivates business to focus on its
  1548. 58:35customers and design products that are
  1549. 58:38competitive in lesser time and at lesser
  1550. 58:40cost
  1551. 58:41the primary learning from qfd includes
  1552. 58:45which customer requirements are most
  1553. 58:47important what the organization
  1554. 58:49strengths and weaknesses are
  1555. 58:51where an organization should focus their
  1556. 58:53efforts and where most of the work needs
  1557. 58:56to be done
  1558. 58:58to learn from qfd the organization
  1559. 59:00should ask relevant questions to
  1560. 59:02customers and tabulate them to bring out
  1561. 59:05a set of parameters critical to the
  1562. 59:07design of the product
  1563. 59:09apart from understanding customer
  1564. 59:11requirements it is also important to
  1565. 59:13know what would happen if a particular
  1566. 59:15product or service fails when being used
  1567. 59:18by a customer
  1568. 59:20it is necessary to understand the
  1569. 59:21effects of failure on the customer to
  1570. 59:24ensure preventive actions are taken
  1571. 59:26and to be able to answer the customers
  1572. 59:28in the event of failure
  1573. 59:31in the next screen we will look at
  1574. 59:32another dfss tool
  1575. 59:34failure modes and effects analysis or
  1576. 59:37fmea
  1577. 59:41failure modes and effects analysis or
  1578. 59:44fmea is a preemptive tool that helps any
  1579. 59:47system to identify potential pitfalls at
  1580. 59:50all levels of a business system
  1581. 59:53it helps the organization to identify
  1582. 59:55and prioritize the different failure
  1583. 59:57modes of its product or service and what
  1584. 1:00:00effect the failure would have on the
  1585. 1:00:01customer
  1586. 1:00:02it helps in identifying the critical
  1587. 1:00:05areas in a system on which the
  1588. 1:00:06organization's efforts can be focused
  1589. 1:00:09note that while fmea enables
  1590. 1:00:12identification of critical areas it does
  1591. 1:00:15not offer solutions to the identified
  1592. 1:00:17problems
  1593. 1:00:18we will look at the varieties of fmea
  1594. 1:00:21such as dfmea and pfmea in the next
  1595. 1:00:26screen pfmea stands for process failure
  1596. 1:00:31mode and effects analysis
  1597. 1:00:33and df-mea stands for design failure
  1598. 1:00:37mode and effects analysis
  1599. 1:00:40pfmea
  1600. 1:00:41is used on a new or existing process to
  1601. 1:00:44uncover potential failures
  1602. 1:00:46it is done in the quality planning phase
  1603. 1:00:48to act as an aid during production
  1604. 1:00:51a process fmea can involve fabrication
  1605. 1:00:54assembly transactions or services
  1606. 1:00:58dfmea is used in the design of a new
  1607. 1:01:01product service or process to uncover
  1608. 1:01:03potential failures
  1609. 1:01:05the purpose is to find out how failure
  1610. 1:01:07modes affect the system and to reduce
  1611. 1:01:09the effect of failure on the system
  1612. 1:01:12this is done before the product is sent
  1613. 1:01:14to manufacturing
  1614. 1:01:15all design deficiencies are sorted out
  1615. 1:01:17at the end of this process
  1616. 1:01:20in the following screen we will
  1617. 1:01:21understand fmea risk priority number
  1618. 1:01:26fmea risk priority number or rpm is a
  1619. 1:01:31measure used to quantify or assess risk
  1620. 1:01:33associated with the design or process
  1621. 1:01:36assessing risk helps identify critical
  1622. 1:01:39failure modes
  1623. 1:01:40higher the rpn higher the priority the
  1624. 1:01:43product or process receives
  1625. 1:01:46rpn is a product of three numbers
  1626. 1:01:49severity of a failure
  1627. 1:01:51occurrence of a failure and the
  1628. 1:01:53detectability of a failure
  1629. 1:01:55all these numbers are given a value on a
  1630. 1:01:58scale of one to ten
  1631. 1:01:59the minimum value of rpn is one and the
  1632. 1:02:03maximum value is one thousand a failure
  1633. 1:02:06mode with a higher currency rating means
  1634. 1:02:08the failure mode occurs very frequently
  1635. 1:02:11a mode with a high severity rating means
  1636. 1:02:14that the mode is really critical to
  1637. 1:02:16ensure safety of operations
  1638. 1:02:18a mode with a high detection rating
  1639. 1:02:20means that the current controls are not
  1640. 1:02:22sufficient
  1641. 1:02:23in the next screen we will look at the
  1642. 1:02:25fmea table
  1643. 1:02:30the fmea table helps plan improvement
  1644. 1:02:33initiatives by underlining why and how
  1645. 1:02:35failure modes occur and helps
  1646. 1:02:37organizations plan for their prevention
  1647. 1:02:40typically fmea is applied on the output
  1648. 1:02:43of root cause analysis and is a better
  1649. 1:02:46tool for focus or prioritization as
  1650. 1:02:48compared to multi-voting
  1651. 1:02:51one important aspect of fmea is that it
  1652. 1:02:54does not need data
  1653. 1:02:56experts in a particular area can form
  1654. 1:02:59the fmea table without having to look at
  1655. 1:03:02data from any source
  1656. 1:03:04in functions such as human resources the
  1657. 1:03:07fmea table is very useful as there might
  1658. 1:03:11not be much data available to the
  1659. 1:03:13problem-solving team
  1660. 1:03:15the sample fmea table is given on the
  1661. 1:03:18screen
  1662. 1:03:19please go through the contents for
  1663. 1:03:21better understanding
  1664. 1:03:22in the following screen we will discuss
  1665. 1:03:25severity of risk priority number and
  1666. 1:03:27scale criteria
  1667. 1:03:31let us first discuss severity
  1668. 1:03:33severity refers to the seriousness of
  1669. 1:03:35the effect of the failure mode
  1670. 1:03:38or how critical the failure mode is to
  1671. 1:03:40the customer or the process
  1672. 1:03:42the severity of a failure mode is rated
  1673. 1:03:45on a scale of 1 to 10
  1674. 1:03:47using a severity table
  1675. 1:03:50different industries follow different
  1676. 1:03:52structures for the severity table
  1677. 1:03:54a high severity rating indicates a mode
  1678. 1:03:57is critical to operational safety
  1679. 1:04:00for example a team working on fmea of a
  1680. 1:04:03radioactive plant may insert fatal as
  1681. 1:04:06the effect with rating 10.
  1682. 1:04:09another example is the severity table
  1683. 1:04:11for a sports team
  1684. 1:04:13the team manager wants to rate the
  1685. 1:04:15severity of failure of the team in an
  1686. 1:04:17upcoming game
  1687. 1:04:18she might rate it at nine given that the
  1688. 1:04:21team would lose a big sponsorship should
  1689. 1:04:23they face defeat
  1690. 1:04:25which could in turn be hazardous to the
  1691. 1:04:27team's future
  1692. 1:04:29shown here is a generalized table of
  1693. 1:04:31severity
  1694. 1:04:32the severity rating can never be changed
  1695. 1:04:36for example if a mode has a rating of
  1696. 1:04:38nine before improvement it will continue
  1697. 1:04:40to have a rating of 9 after improvement
  1698. 1:04:432.
  1699. 1:04:44let us look at occurrence of rpm and
  1700. 1:04:47scale criteria
  1701. 1:04:50occurrence is the probability that a
  1702. 1:04:52specific cause will result in the
  1703. 1:04:54particular failure mode
  1704. 1:04:56as with severity occurrences rated on a
  1705. 1:04:59scale of one to ten based on a table
  1706. 1:05:02like the severity table higher the
  1707. 1:05:04occurrence of a failure higher is its
  1708. 1:05:06rating
  1709. 1:05:07again this table might vary depending on
  1710. 1:05:09the industry and scenario
  1711. 1:05:12sometimes the project team can use data
  1712. 1:05:14here if available
  1713. 1:05:16based on past data the probability of
  1714. 1:05:19occurrence of a failure can easily be
  1715. 1:05:21rated
  1716. 1:05:22shown here is a generalized table let us
  1717. 1:05:25next look at detection of rpn and scale
  1718. 1:05:28criteria
  1719. 1:05:31detection is the probability that a
  1720. 1:05:33particular failure will be detected
  1721. 1:05:36the table shown here is again a
  1722. 1:05:38generalized one
  1723. 1:05:40the rating here is a bit different from
  1724. 1:05:42severity or occurrence
  1725. 1:05:44higher the detectability of a failure
  1726. 1:05:46lower is its rating
  1727. 1:05:48this is because if the failure can
  1728. 1:05:51easily be detected then everyone would
  1729. 1:05:54know of it and therefore there would be
  1730. 1:05:56less or no damage
  1731. 1:05:58for example if detection is impossible
  1732. 1:06:01the failure is given a rating of ten
  1733. 1:06:03please note that at the start of a six
  1734. 1:06:05sigma project the failure mode is given
  1735. 1:06:08a relatively high detection rating
  1736. 1:06:10let us look at an example of fmea and
  1737. 1:06:14rpn in the next screen
  1738. 1:06:18in this example a bank wants to
  1739. 1:06:20recognize and prioritize the risks
  1740. 1:06:22involved in the process of withdrawing
  1741. 1:06:24cash from an atm
  1742. 1:06:27it can be observed from the table that
  1743. 1:06:29not having a control in place for
  1744. 1:06:31network issues has the highest rpm
  1745. 1:06:35this is due to the detectability for a
  1746. 1:06:37network issue being very low
  1747. 1:06:40the next set of information in the table
  1748. 1:06:42shows the action taken by the bank's
  1749. 1:06:44management to address the failure modes
  1750. 1:06:47following the implementation the new rpn
  1751. 1:06:50is calculated retaining the security
  1752. 1:06:52level at nine
  1753. 1:06:54this is because the actions were not
  1754. 1:06:56directed at reducing the severity but at
  1755. 1:06:59the causes of failure
  1756. 1:07:01it can be seen that the new rpn is much
  1757. 1:07:04lower and the risk for both causes has
  1758. 1:07:07been mitigated
  1759. 1:07:09this lesson will cover the details of
  1760. 1:07:11the define phase six sigma can be
  1761. 1:07:14applied to everything around
  1762. 1:07:16it can be applied across almost 70
  1763. 1:07:19different sectors however it cannot be
  1764. 1:07:21applied to all problems
  1765. 1:07:24the first step is to check if the
  1766. 1:07:26project qualifies to be a six sigma
  1767. 1:07:29project
  1768. 1:07:30the questions that need to be asked are
  1769. 1:07:32as follows
  1770. 1:07:34is there an existing process
  1771. 1:07:36to implement the dmac methodology of
  1772. 1:07:38problem solving a process needs to exist
  1773. 1:07:42the process should be in operation for
  1774. 1:07:44the development of the product or
  1775. 1:07:45service
  1776. 1:07:47is there a problem in the process
  1777. 1:07:50ideally the process should not have any
  1778. 1:07:53problem
  1779. 1:07:54if there is a problem in the process
  1780. 1:07:56performance the process needs to be
  1781. 1:07:59improved
  1782. 1:08:01is the problem measurable
  1783. 1:08:03the problem has to be measurable in
  1784. 1:08:05order to assess the root cause and the
  1785. 1:08:08impact of the problem on the process
  1786. 1:08:12does the problem impact customer
  1787. 1:08:14satisfaction
  1788. 1:08:16if the problem affects customer
  1789. 1:08:18satisfaction an action needs to be taken
  1790. 1:08:20immediately
  1791. 1:08:22else the customer may start finding
  1792. 1:08:24alternate products or switch to
  1793. 1:08:26competitors products
  1794. 1:08:28does working on the problem impact
  1795. 1:08:30profits of the company
  1796. 1:08:32it is very essential to assess the
  1797. 1:08:34impact of the project on the profits of
  1798. 1:08:37the company
  1799. 1:08:38if the project affects the profits of
  1800. 1:08:40the company adversely then such a
  1801. 1:08:43project is not feasible
  1802. 1:08:46is the root cause of the problem unknown
  1803. 1:08:49if the root cause of the problem is
  1804. 1:08:51visible then a six sigma project is not
  1805. 1:08:54required
  1806. 1:08:56other problem solving techniques can be
  1807. 1:08:58used in this case
  1808. 1:09:00is the solution unknown
  1809. 1:09:03if the solution to the problem is
  1810. 1:09:05already known then there is no need for
  1811. 1:09:08any project
  1812. 1:09:09the company can directly implement the
  1813. 1:09:11solution
  1814. 1:09:13the define phase of dmacc will be
  1815. 1:09:15introduced in the next
  1816. 1:09:18screen the six sigma project process is
  1817. 1:09:22known as a dmacc process
  1818. 1:09:24define is the first phase in the six
  1819. 1:09:27sigma project process
  1820. 1:09:29in the define phase the problem is
  1821. 1:09:32defined and the six sigma team is formed
  1822. 1:09:36the objectives of the define phase are
  1823. 1:09:38as follows
  1824. 1:09:40clearly define the problem statement
  1825. 1:09:42through customer analysis
  1826. 1:09:45understand customer requirements
  1827. 1:09:47and ensure that the six sigma project
  1828. 1:09:50goals are aligned to these requirements
  1829. 1:09:53define the objectives of the six sigma
  1830. 1:09:56project
  1831. 1:09:57plan the project in terms of time budget
  1832. 1:10:00and resource requirements
  1833. 1:10:03define the team structure for the
  1834. 1:10:05project
  1835. 1:10:06and establish roles and responsibilities
  1836. 1:10:09in the next screen let us learn about
  1837. 1:10:12benchmarking
  1838. 1:10:14benchmarking is the process of comparing
  1839. 1:10:16an organization's business processes
  1840. 1:10:19practices and performance metrics with
  1841. 1:10:22that of industry leaders
  1842. 1:10:24there are various types of benchmarking
  1843. 1:10:27let us briefly look at each type process
  1844. 1:10:30benchmarking entails comparing specific
  1845. 1:10:33processes to a leading company or an
  1846. 1:10:35industry standard
  1847. 1:10:37this is useful to obtain a simplified
  1848. 1:10:39view of business operations
  1849. 1:10:41and enables a focused review of major
  1850. 1:10:44business functions
  1851. 1:10:46process benchmarking includes
  1852. 1:10:48comparisons of production processes
  1853. 1:10:51data collection processes
  1854. 1:10:53performance indicators and productivity
  1855. 1:10:56and efficiency reviews
  1856. 1:10:58financial benchmarking is performed to
  1857. 1:11:01assess overall competitiveness and
  1858. 1:11:03productivity
  1859. 1:11:04it is done by running a detailed
  1860. 1:11:06financial analysis and analyzing the
  1861. 1:11:09result
  1862. 1:11:10performance benchmarking involves
  1863. 1:11:12comparison of products and services with
  1864. 1:11:14those of competitors
  1865. 1:11:16with the intention of evaluating the
  1866. 1:11:18organization's competitiveness
  1867. 1:11:21product benchmarking involves designing
  1868. 1:11:23new products or services or upgrading
  1869. 1:11:26existing products or services
  1870. 1:11:29this can involve reverse engineering a
  1871. 1:11:31competitor's products to study the
  1872. 1:11:33strengths and weaknesses and modeling
  1873. 1:11:35the new product on these findings
  1874. 1:11:38strategic benchmarking refers to
  1875. 1:11:40studying strategies and problem-solving
  1876. 1:11:42approaches in other industries
  1877. 1:11:45functional benchmarking is the focused
  1878. 1:11:48analysis of a single function with the
  1879. 1:11:50aim of improving it
  1880. 1:11:52complex functions may need to be divided
  1881. 1:11:54into processes before benchmarking is
  1882. 1:11:57done
  1883. 1:11:58competitive benchmarking includes
  1884. 1:12:00standardizing organizational strategies
  1885. 1:12:03process products services and procedures
  1886. 1:12:07against the competitors in the same
  1887. 1:12:08industry
  1888. 1:12:10collaborative benchmarking is a type of
  1889. 1:12:13benchmarking where the standardization
  1890. 1:12:15of various business parameters is
  1891. 1:12:17carried out by a group of companies and
  1892. 1:12:19the information is shared if the
  1893. 1:12:22subsidiary units of a company or its
  1894. 1:12:24various branches carry out the
  1895. 1:12:26benchmarking it is called collaborative
  1896. 1:12:28benchmarking
  1897. 1:12:30let us take a look at best practices for
  1898. 1:12:33benchmarking in the next screen
  1899. 1:12:37best practice is a method that ensures
  1900. 1:12:39continuous improvement leading to
  1901. 1:12:41exceptional performance
  1902. 1:12:43it is also a method to sustain and
  1903. 1:12:45develop the process continuously
  1904. 1:12:48some of the best practices in
  1905. 1:12:50benchmarking are as follows
  1906. 1:12:53increase the objectives or scope of
  1907. 1:12:55benchmarking
  1908. 1:12:57set the standards and path to be
  1909. 1:12:58followed at the initial stage
  1910. 1:13:01reduce unnecessary effort and comply
  1911. 1:13:04with the scope
  1912. 1:13:05recognize the best in the industry to
  1913. 1:13:08set a benchmark
  1914. 1:13:10share the information derived from
  1915. 1:13:12benchmarking
  1916. 1:13:14in the next screen we will discuss
  1917. 1:13:16project selection
  1918. 1:13:20let us understand process business
  1919. 1:13:23process and business system in this
  1920. 1:13:25screen
  1921. 1:13:27a process is a series of steps designed
  1922. 1:13:30to produce a product or service to meet
  1923. 1:13:33the requirement of a customer
  1924. 1:13:35a process mainly consists of three
  1925. 1:13:37elements
  1926. 1:13:39input
  1927. 1:13:40process and output
  1928. 1:13:42a business process is a systematic
  1929. 1:13:44organization of objects such as people
  1930. 1:13:47machinery and materials
  1931. 1:13:49into work activities designed to produce
  1932. 1:13:52a required product or service
  1933. 1:13:55as shown on the screen a process is a
  1934. 1:13:58subset of a business process
  1935. 1:14:00a business process is in turn a part of
  1936. 1:14:03a business system
  1937. 1:14:05a business system is a value-added chain
  1938. 1:14:08of various business processes such as
  1939. 1:14:11sales or finance
  1940. 1:14:13for example
  1941. 1:14:14payroll calculation is a process in the
  1942. 1:14:17hr business process of an i t company
  1943. 1:14:20which is a business system
  1944. 1:14:23in the next screen we will look at the
  1945. 1:14:25process elements
  1946. 1:14:28let us discuss the challenges to
  1947. 1:14:30business process improvement in this
  1948. 1:14:32screen
  1949. 1:14:33the improvement to a business process of
  1950. 1:14:36an organization faces challenges due to
  1951. 1:14:38the traditional business system
  1952. 1:14:40structure
  1953. 1:14:41because it is generally grouped around
  1954. 1:14:43the functional aspect
  1955. 1:14:45the main problem in a functionally
  1956. 1:14:47grouped organization is the movement or
  1957. 1:14:50flow of a product or service
  1958. 1:14:52a product or service has to go through
  1959. 1:14:54various functions and their functional
  1960. 1:14:57elements to reach the customer or end
  1961. 1:14:59user
  1962. 1:15:00the other problem is management of the
  1963. 1:15:02flow of products or services across
  1964. 1:15:05various functional elements
  1965. 1:15:07this is difficult as usually there is no
  1966. 1:15:09one in charge
  1967. 1:15:11these business process improvement
  1968. 1:15:13problems can be solved using the project
  1969. 1:15:16management approach to produce the
  1970. 1:15:18product or service
  1971. 1:15:20in the next screen we will learn about
  1972. 1:15:22process owners and different
  1973. 1:15:24stakeholders of a project
  1974. 1:15:28the representation of where the process
  1975. 1:15:30owner and stakeholders are placed in the
  1976. 1:15:32organizational hierarchy is on the
  1977. 1:15:34screen
  1978. 1:15:35the process owner is a person at a
  1979. 1:15:37senior level in the hierarchy
  1980. 1:15:40he is the one who takes responsibility
  1981. 1:15:42for the performance and execution of a
  1982. 1:15:44process
  1983. 1:15:45and also has the authority and the
  1984. 1:15:47ability to make necessary changes
  1985. 1:15:50on the other hand a stakeholder is a
  1986. 1:15:53person group or organization which is
  1987. 1:15:55affected or can affect an organization's
  1988. 1:15:58actions
  1989. 1:16:00businesses have many stakeholders like
  1990. 1:16:02stockholders customers suppliers company
  1991. 1:16:05management
  1992. 1:16:06employees of an organization and their
  1993. 1:16:08families the society etc
  1994. 1:16:11let us discuss the effects of process
  1995. 1:16:14failure on various stakeholders in the
  1996. 1:16:16next screen
  1997. 1:16:18while it is an absolute business
  1998. 1:16:20necessity to keep one stakeholder
  1999. 1:16:22satisfied at all times
  2000. 1:16:23failure to meet one or more process
  2001. 1:16:25objectives may result in negative
  2002. 1:16:27effects on them
  2003. 1:16:29in such situations for the stockholders
  2004. 1:16:32the perceived value for the company gets
  2005. 1:16:34reduced
  2006. 1:16:35customers may seek other competitors for
  2007. 1:16:37their deals while imposing penalties and
  2008. 1:16:40finding recourse in legal action against
  2009. 1:16:42the company
  2010. 1:16:43suppliers may be on the losing front
  2011. 1:16:46with delayed payments or not being paid
  2012. 1:16:48at all
  2013. 1:16:49company management may require cost cut
  2014. 1:16:52down
  2015. 1:16:52employees will receive diminishing wages
  2016. 1:16:55the community and society will be
  2017. 1:16:58affected due to pollution created by the
  2018. 1:17:00organization
  2019. 1:17:02in the next screen we will understand
  2020. 1:17:04the relationship between business and
  2021. 1:17:06the stakeholder
  2022. 1:17:09in the diagram shown on the screen
  2023. 1:17:11each stakeholder is both a supplier as
  2024. 1:17:14well as a customer
  2025. 1:17:15forming many closed loop processes that
  2026. 1:17:18must be managed controlled balanced and
  2027. 1:17:20optimized for the business to thrive
  2028. 1:17:23communication is the key in such
  2029. 1:17:25situations and is facilitated through
  2030. 1:17:27internal company processes
  2031. 1:17:30the next screen covers the importance
  2032. 1:17:32and relevance of stakeholder analysis
  2033. 1:17:35stakeholder analysis is an important
  2034. 1:17:38task to be completed before doing a six
  2035. 1:17:40sigma project
  2036. 1:17:42a business has many stakeholders and any
  2037. 1:17:46change to a business process affects
  2038. 1:17:48some or all of them
  2039. 1:17:50when a process does not meet its
  2040. 1:17:52objectives
  2041. 1:17:53it results in the stakeholders being
  2042. 1:17:55negatively affected
  2043. 1:17:57which in turn affects the organization's
  2044. 1:17:59performance
  2045. 1:18:01the six sigma team must factor in the
  2046. 1:18:03reasons why a stakeholder may oppose the
  2047. 1:18:06change effort
  2048. 1:18:08let us proceed to the next topic of this
  2049. 1:18:10lesson in the following screen
  2050. 1:18:14in this topic we will discuss voice of
  2051. 1:18:17the customer
  2052. 1:18:18let us start with how to identify the
  2053. 1:18:20customer in the following screen
  2054. 1:18:25customers are the most important part of
  2055. 1:18:27any business
  2056. 1:18:29a customer is someone who decides to
  2057. 1:18:31purchase pays consumes and gets affected
  2058. 1:18:34by a particular product or service
  2059. 1:18:37it is critical to identify and
  2060. 1:18:39understand the customer requirements
  2061. 1:18:42the products or services can be designed
  2062. 1:18:44according to these requirements
  2063. 1:18:46consequently the company is able to
  2064. 1:18:49provide products or services the
  2065. 1:18:51customers are willing to purchase there
  2066. 1:18:54are two types of customers
  2067. 1:18:56internal and external customers
  2068. 1:18:59in the next screen we will learn about
  2069. 1:19:01internal customers
  2070. 1:19:05an internal customer can be defined as
  2071. 1:19:07anyone within the business system who is
  2072. 1:19:10affected by the product or the service
  2073. 1:19:12while it is being developed
  2074. 1:19:15most often internal customers are the
  2075. 1:19:17employees of the company
  2076. 1:19:20for example
  2077. 1:19:21let us assume that there is a series of
  2078. 1:19:23processes in a particular business
  2079. 1:19:25system
  2080. 1:19:27in such a scenario
  2081. 1:19:29the second process is the internal
  2082. 1:19:31customer for the first process
  2083. 1:19:34the third process is an internal
  2084. 1:19:36customer for the second process and so
  2085. 1:19:39on
  2086. 1:19:40the basic needs of an internal customer
  2087. 1:19:42are to be provided proper tools and
  2088. 1:19:45necessary equipment imparted proper
  2089. 1:19:47training and given specific instructions
  2090. 1:19:50to carry out their responsibilities
  2091. 1:19:53however the needs are not limited to
  2092. 1:19:55these alone
  2093. 1:19:57other needs include the provision of
  2094. 1:19:58company newsletters projects storyboards
  2095. 1:20:01to display the letters etc team meetings
  2096. 1:20:03to share business news and announcements
  2097. 1:20:06staff meeting to share information and
  2098. 1:20:08quality awards from suppliers
  2099. 1:20:11an internal customer is important
  2100. 1:20:14first of all the activities of an
  2101. 1:20:16internal customer directly affect the
  2102. 1:20:18final or ultimate customer
  2103. 1:20:20secondly the activities of an internal
  2104. 1:20:23customer affect the next process in the
  2105. 1:20:25system
  2106. 1:20:27finally an internal customer also
  2107. 1:20:29affects the quality of the product
  2108. 1:20:30developed or service provided
  2109. 1:20:33when the needs of the internal customers
  2110. 1:20:36in most cases employees are met
  2111. 1:20:39they are more likely to have higher
  2112. 1:20:41perceptions of quality and also
  2113. 1:20:43contribute to greater productivity
  2114. 1:20:46the satisfaction levels of the internal
  2115. 1:20:48customers can be improved in various
  2116. 1:20:51ways these include a higher amount of
  2117. 1:20:53internal communication through company
  2118. 1:20:56newsletters and team meetings
  2119. 1:20:58recognitions for work quality awards etc
  2120. 1:21:01constant training on how to be ahead and
  2121. 1:21:03well equipped in a competitive
  2122. 1:21:05environment is very essential too
  2123. 1:21:08in the next screen we will learn about
  2124. 1:21:10external customers
  2125. 1:21:13this screen focuses on the positive
  2126. 1:21:15effects of a project on the customers
  2127. 1:21:18the most important aspect of any process
  2128. 1:21:21improvement project is the customers
  2129. 1:21:24internal customers are the ones who
  2130. 1:21:26drive the project
  2131. 1:21:27hence the effect of the project on
  2132. 1:21:29internal customers is a critical factor
  2133. 1:21:32that needs to be considered
  2134. 1:21:34the positive impact of a project on the
  2135. 1:21:36internal customers is as follows
  2136. 1:21:40the project is driven by highly
  2137. 1:21:42motivated individuals or internal
  2138. 1:21:44customers who are aware of the project
  2139. 1:21:46objectives and scope
  2140. 1:21:49individuals belonging to a credible
  2141. 1:21:51project understand the project
  2142. 1:21:53deliverables and display high levels of
  2143. 1:21:56job satisfaction
  2144. 1:21:58these individuals go the extra mile to
  2145. 1:22:00take up tasks beyond their job
  2146. 1:22:02description
  2147. 1:22:04such individuals make a highly motivated
  2148. 1:22:06team focused on delivering their
  2149. 1:22:08responsibilities in order to meet the
  2150. 1:22:10customer requirements
  2151. 1:22:13working together in a positive
  2152. 1:22:14environment also improves team spirit
  2153. 1:22:17and bonding
  2154. 1:22:19the positive impact of a project on the
  2155. 1:22:21external customers is as follows
  2156. 1:22:25process improvement projects analyze the
  2157. 1:22:27problems and come up with an effective
  2158. 1:22:30solution
  2159. 1:22:31consequently ensuring a better product
  2160. 1:22:34a successful process improvement project
  2161. 1:22:36assists the organization in effectively
  2162. 1:22:39meeting customer expectations or
  2163. 1:22:41requirements
  2164. 1:22:42there is visible improvement in customer
  2165. 1:22:45service
  2166. 1:22:46good quality product and service ensures
  2167. 1:22:48high customer satisfaction
  2168. 1:22:51let us learn about different methods of
  2169. 1:22:52customer data collection in the
  2170. 1:22:54following screen
  2171. 1:22:58once you begin to identify the customer
  2172. 1:23:01types you need to look forward to
  2173. 1:23:03collecting customer data
  2174. 1:23:05collecting data from customers is very
  2175. 1:23:07essential as it helps consider the
  2176. 1:23:09levels at which these customers affect
  2177. 1:23:11the business
  2178. 1:23:12begin by collecting feedback from both
  2179. 1:23:15internal as well as external customers
  2180. 1:23:18customer feedback helps fill the gaps
  2181. 1:23:20and improve the various business
  2182. 1:23:22processes in the organization
  2183. 1:23:25it helps define a good quality product
  2184. 1:23:27as perceived by the customer
  2185. 1:23:29and identify qualities that make the
  2186. 1:23:31competitors products or service better
  2187. 1:23:34it also helps identify factors which
  2188. 1:23:37provide a competitive edge to the
  2189. 1:23:38product or service on offer
  2190. 1:23:41there are various methods to collect
  2191. 1:23:43feedback from the customers many of you
  2192. 1:23:45might be involved in a similar activity
  2193. 1:23:47at some point or the other
  2194. 1:23:49popular and common methods are surveys
  2195. 1:23:52conducted through questionnaires focus
  2196. 1:23:54groups individual interviews with the
  2197. 1:23:56customers
  2198. 1:23:57customer complaints received via call
  2199. 1:24:00centers emails and feedback forms are
  2200. 1:24:03also quite prevalent
  2201. 1:24:05feedback received in this form are from
  2202. 1:24:07dissatisfied customers
  2203. 1:24:09in the next screen we will learn about
  2204. 1:24:11questionnaires
  2205. 1:24:15let us discuss the advantages and
  2206. 1:24:17disadvantages of questionnaires in this
  2207. 1:24:19screen
  2208. 1:24:21the advantages of a questionnaire are
  2209. 1:24:23that it costs less
  2210. 1:24:24the phone response rate is high anywhere
  2211. 1:24:27from around 70 to 90 percent and it
  2212. 1:24:30produces faster results
  2213. 1:24:32also analysis of male questionnaires
  2214. 1:24:35requires few trained resources
  2215. 1:24:38questionnaire is a method used to gather
  2216. 1:24:40data however there are a few
  2217. 1:24:42disadvantages associated with it
  2218. 1:24:46there may be incomplete results and
  2219. 1:24:48unanswered questions leading to a lack
  2220. 1:24:50of clarity
  2221. 1:24:52the response rate of mail surveys is
  2222. 1:24:54about 20 to 30 percent only
  2223. 1:24:57at times phone surveys can produce
  2224. 1:24:59undesirable results as the interviewer
  2225. 1:25:02can influence the person being
  2226. 1:25:04interviewed
  2227. 1:25:06we will differentiate between telephone
  2228. 1:25:08survey and web survey in the next screen
  2229. 1:25:12there are different methods to collect
  2230. 1:25:14data for a survey
  2231. 1:25:16the methods need to be based on the
  2232. 1:25:18requirements and needs of the
  2233. 1:25:19organization
  2234. 1:25:21the popular methods of survey are the
  2235. 1:25:23telephone survey and web survey both
  2236. 1:25:26have their own drawbacks and benefits
  2237. 1:25:28which are given on the screen
  2238. 1:25:30the organization needs to choose a
  2239. 1:25:32method of collecting data according to
  2240. 1:25:34the situation
  2241. 1:25:35it is recommended to go through the
  2242. 1:25:37content for a better understanding in
  2243. 1:25:40the next screen we will learn about
  2244. 1:25:42focus groups
  2245. 1:25:45let us now discuss the advantages and
  2246. 1:25:47disadvantages of using a focus group for
  2247. 1:25:50data collection
  2248. 1:25:51the interaction in a focus group
  2249. 1:25:53generates information provides in-depth
  2250. 1:25:56responses and can address more complex
  2251. 1:25:59questions or qualitative data
  2252. 1:26:01it is an excellent platform to get
  2253. 1:26:03critical to quality or ctq definitions
  2254. 1:26:06as well
  2255. 1:26:07on the other hand the disadvantages of
  2256. 1:26:10focus groups are that the learning only
  2257. 1:26:12applies to those within the group and it
  2258. 1:26:14is not possible to generalize
  2259. 1:26:17the information collected is more
  2260. 1:26:19qualitative than quantitative which is
  2261. 1:26:21another drawback
  2262. 1:26:23additionally they can also generate a
  2263. 1:26:25lot of information from anecdotes and
  2264. 1:26:27incidents experienced by the individuals
  2265. 1:26:30in the group
  2266. 1:26:31in the next screen we will discuss the
  2267. 1:26:33interview technique
  2268. 1:26:36this screen discusses advantages and
  2269. 1:26:39disadvantages of using the interview
  2270. 1:26:41technique for data collection
  2271. 1:26:43interviews have a capability to handle
  2272. 1:26:45complex questions and a large amount of
  2273. 1:26:48information
  2274. 1:26:49they also allow us to use visual aids in
  2275. 1:26:52the process
  2276. 1:26:53it is a better method to be employed
  2277. 1:26:55when people do not respond willingly and
  2278. 1:26:57or accurately by phone or email
  2279. 1:27:00however there are some shortcomings as
  2280. 1:27:02well
  2281. 1:27:03interviews are time consuming and the
  2282. 1:27:05resources or interviewer needs to be
  2283. 1:27:07trained and experienced to carry out the
  2284. 1:27:10task
  2285. 1:27:11let us discuss the importance and
  2286. 1:27:13urgency of these inputs in the next
  2287. 1:27:15screen
  2288. 1:27:19the table shows the importance and
  2289. 1:27:21urgency of different kinds of input
  2290. 1:27:24to understand the kind of input to be
  2291. 1:27:26chosen
  2292. 1:27:27different kinds of methods for
  2293. 1:27:28collecting data are identified
  2294. 1:27:31telephone survey
  2295. 1:27:32web survey and interview are the data
  2296. 1:27:34collection methods identified
  2297. 1:27:37to select the best methods the criteria
  2298. 1:27:40or the factors which are important to
  2299. 1:27:42the organization are listed
  2300. 1:27:44the criteria are the factors based on
  2301. 1:27:46which an organization is going to make
  2302. 1:27:48decisions
  2303. 1:27:49the list of factors is then given
  2304. 1:27:51weightage based on the importance of
  2305. 1:27:53each factor in decision making
  2306. 1:27:55as seen cost is the most important
  2307. 1:27:58criterion for which the weightage is
  2308. 1:27:59given twenty
  2309. 1:28:01response rate of the customer is next
  2310. 1:28:03important factor and the list follows
  2311. 1:28:06visualizing feature and compiling and
  2312. 1:28:08analyzing data are the factors which
  2313. 1:28:10have the lowest impact on the decision
  2314. 1:28:12of selecting the methods for data
  2315. 1:28:14collection
  2316. 1:28:16each of the data collecting methods is
  2317. 1:28:17rated between 1 and 10
  2318. 1:28:19based on its impact on the listed
  2319. 1:28:21factors
  2320. 1:28:22with 10 being highly favorable to the
  2321. 1:28:24organization and one being least
  2322. 1:28:27favorable
  2323. 1:28:28after rating all the methods with the
  2324. 1:28:30factors listed the sum or total is
  2325. 1:28:33calculated
  2326. 1:28:34the calculation of the total involves
  2327. 1:28:36multiplying each methods rating with the
  2328. 1:28:38factor weightage and adding all the
  2329. 1:28:40multiplied values of the column that is
  2330. 1:28:43for telephone survey the rating is
  2331. 1:28:45multiplied with factors rating
  2332. 1:28:48eight multiplied by twelve plus eight
  2333. 1:28:50multiplied by six plus three multiplied
  2334. 1:28:53by twenty plus five multiplied by five
  2335. 1:28:57plus three multiplied by five plus seven
  2336. 1:29:00multiplied by fifteen plus one
  2337. 1:29:03multiplied by ten plus seven multiplied
  2338. 1:29:06by three plus zero multiplied by two
  2339. 1:29:09plus three multiplied by two plus one
  2340. 1:29:13multiplied by ten plus seven multiplied
  2341. 1:29:16by five plus eight multiplied by five
  2342. 1:29:20and the total of this is four hundred
  2343. 1:29:22seventy one in a similar way calculate
  2344. 1:29:26the total value for the remaining two
  2345. 1:29:28methods
  2346. 1:29:29the total of other two methods are 744
  2347. 1:29:32and 522 respectively looking at the
  2348. 1:29:36overall total of the methods 744 is the
  2349. 1:29:39highest
  2350. 1:29:40hence web survey is the best method for
  2351. 1:29:43the organization to use for data
  2352. 1:29:45collection
  2353. 1:29:46let us look at the pros and cons of
  2354. 1:29:48customer complaints data in the next
  2355. 1:29:50screen
  2356. 1:29:52there are pros and cons in gathering
  2357. 1:29:54information from customer complaints
  2358. 1:29:56advantages include availability of
  2359. 1:29:58specific feedback directly from the
  2360. 1:30:00customer
  2361. 1:30:01and ease in responding appropriately to
  2362. 1:30:04every customer on the contrary feedback
  2363. 1:30:07in this method does not provide an
  2364. 1:30:09adequate sample size and may lead to
  2365. 1:30:11processed changes based on one or two
  2366. 1:30:14inputs from the customer
  2367. 1:30:16the next screen will discuss the
  2368. 1:30:17difference between product complaint and
  2369. 1:30:19expedited service request
  2370. 1:30:24product complaints and expedited service
  2371. 1:30:26requests can act as inputs to the
  2372. 1:30:28company for improving their process
  2373. 1:30:31these details address the needs of the
  2374. 1:30:33customer in an indirect way
  2375. 1:30:35a product complaint means that the
  2376. 1:30:37customer is not happy with the product
  2377. 1:30:39that he has purchased from the company
  2378. 1:30:41an expedited service request means a
  2379. 1:30:44service request is being rushed if the
  2380. 1:30:47customer requires the items immediately
  2381. 1:30:49then an expedited service request is
  2382. 1:30:52raised from the customer and the
  2383. 1:30:54organization tries to fulfill it to
  2384. 1:30:56please the customer
  2385. 1:30:58product complaint implies that a product
  2386. 1:31:00is not meeting customers specification
  2387. 1:31:02hence it has to be improved
  2388. 1:31:04expedited service request implies that
  2389. 1:31:07service timeliness are not meeting
  2390. 1:31:09customer requirements hence service has
  2391. 1:31:11to be improved
  2392. 1:31:13product complaint also implies that the
  2393. 1:31:15customer needs for product are not
  2394. 1:31:17completely identified whereas expedited
  2395. 1:31:20service request implies that the
  2396. 1:31:22customer timings need to be recalculated
  2397. 1:31:25let us discuss the importance and
  2398. 1:31:28urgency of these inputs in the next
  2399. 1:31:30screen
  2400. 1:31:33the table shows the importance and
  2401. 1:31:35urgency of different kinds of input
  2402. 1:31:38to select the best methods the criteria
  2403. 1:31:40or the factors which are important to
  2404. 1:31:42the organization are listed
  2405. 1:31:45the criteria are the factors based on
  2406. 1:31:46which organization is going to make
  2407. 1:31:48decisions
  2408. 1:31:50these factors are then given weightage
  2409. 1:31:52based on the importance of each factor
  2410. 1:31:53in decision making
  2411. 1:31:55as seen cost involved and identification
  2412. 1:31:58of customer need are the most important
  2413. 1:32:01criteria for which the weightage given
  2414. 1:32:03is 15 and the list follows
  2415. 1:32:06time consumption and compiling and
  2416. 1:32:08analyzing data are the factors which
  2417. 1:32:10have the least impact on the decision of
  2418. 1:32:12selecting the methods for data
  2419. 1:32:13collection
  2420. 1:32:15each method is rated between 1 and 10
  2421. 1:32:17based on its impact of the listed
  2422. 1:32:19factors with 10 being highly favorable
  2423. 1:32:22to the organization and one being least
  2424. 1:32:24favorable to the organization
  2425. 1:32:27after reading all the methods with the
  2426. 1:32:29factors listed the summer total is
  2427. 1:32:31calculated
  2428. 1:32:32calculation of the total is derived by
  2429. 1:32:34multiplying each methods rating with the
  2430. 1:32:36factor weightage and adding all the
  2431. 1:32:38multiplied values that is for product
  2432. 1:32:41complaint the rating is multiplied with
  2433. 1:32:43the factors rating
  2434. 1:32:45eight multiplied by fifteen plus four
  2435. 1:32:47multiplied by fifteen plus three
  2436. 1:32:50multiplied by two plus one multiplied by
  2437. 1:32:53ten plus one multiplied by ten plus one
  2438. 1:32:56multiplied by ten plus one multiplied by
  2439. 1:33:00eight plus one multiplied by ten plus
  2440. 1:33:03four multiplied by two plus one
  2441. 1:33:05multiplied by eight plus one multiplied
  2442. 1:33:08by ten
  2443. 1:33:09and the total of this is two hundred
  2444. 1:33:11sixty
  2445. 1:33:12in the similar way calculate the total
  2446. 1:33:15value for expedited service request
  2447. 1:33:18the total of expedited service request
  2448. 1:33:20is eight hundred seventeen and hence it
  2449. 1:33:22is effective to the organization
  2450. 1:33:25let us discuss the key elements of data
  2451. 1:33:27collection tools in the next screen
  2452. 1:33:31data collection tools will be selected
  2453. 1:33:33based on the type of data to be
  2454. 1:33:35collected
  2455. 1:33:36the key elements that make these tools
  2456. 1:33:38effective are as follows
  2457. 1:33:40data is collected directly from the
  2458. 1:33:42primary source or customer hence there
  2459. 1:33:45is no scope for miscommunication or loss
  2460. 1:33:47of information
  2461. 1:33:49data is collected exclusively for the
  2462. 1:33:51stated purpose
  2463. 1:33:53hence data is highly reliable
  2464. 1:33:55the data is captured is after
  2465. 1:33:57understanding the organizational purpose
  2466. 1:34:00this makes the data exclusively relevant
  2467. 1:34:02and serves the purpose of the
  2468. 1:34:04organization
  2469. 1:34:05data is collected instantaneously when
  2470. 1:34:08there is a requirement
  2471. 1:34:10this ensures that the data is up to date
  2472. 1:34:12hence the data is valid
  2473. 1:34:14the tools accurately define customer
  2474. 1:34:17requirements the customer requirements
  2475. 1:34:19could be current needs or improvement to
  2476. 1:34:21the product or service that they are
  2477. 1:34:23currently using
  2478. 1:34:25the tools help to get enough information
  2479. 1:34:26about customer requirement through which
  2480. 1:34:29the process for improving or creating
  2481. 1:34:31the product or service that the customer
  2482. 1:34:33requires can be developed
  2483. 1:34:35in the next screen we will discuss how
  2484. 1:34:37the collected data can be reviewed
  2485. 1:34:41collated data must be reviewed to
  2486. 1:34:43eliminate vagueness ambiguity and any
  2487. 1:34:45unintended bias
  2488. 1:34:47nutra worldwide buys laptops for its
  2489. 1:34:50employees from a company that is into
  2490. 1:34:52manufacture and sales of laptops
  2491. 1:34:54the company also provides servicing and
  2492. 1:34:56repairs for their products to the
  2493. 1:34:58customers
  2494. 1:34:59to understand the level of customer
  2495. 1:35:01satisfaction in neutral worldwide and to
  2496. 1:35:04improve its process the laptop company
  2497. 1:35:06is conducting a survey
  2498. 1:35:08the questionnaire which was prepared
  2499. 1:35:10initially questionnaire before review
  2500. 1:35:13had questions that led to ambiguity
  2501. 1:35:15vagueness and unintended bias
  2502. 1:35:18let us look at each item on the survey
  2503. 1:35:21to understand the level of usage of the
  2504. 1:35:24laptop and to know their customer better
  2505. 1:35:27the survey is raising a question related
  2506. 1:35:29to the occupation of the customer
  2507. 1:35:31it gives the option of student or
  2508. 1:35:33professional
  2509. 1:35:34but with this low amount of information
  2510. 1:35:36the company is neither able to gather
  2511. 1:35:38the information nor will the given
  2512. 1:35:40option cover the entire possible
  2513. 1:35:42occupation in the market
  2514. 1:35:44including an option of other please
  2515. 1:35:46specify would help the customer to
  2516. 1:35:48choose and provide the information if he
  2517. 1:35:51does not belong to one of the two given
  2518. 1:35:53groups
  2519. 1:35:54hence the same is added in the review so
  2520. 1:35:57that the customer will not be in any
  2521. 1:35:59ambiguity while filling the
  2522. 1:36:01questionnaire
  2523. 1:36:02the question whether the sales executive
  2524. 1:36:04was supportive with an option of yes or
  2525. 1:36:06no
  2526. 1:36:07is a question which leads again to
  2527. 1:36:09ambiguity and unintended bias
  2528. 1:36:12the customer might be partially happy or
  2529. 1:36:15partially not happy
  2530. 1:36:17but the choice does not let them inform
  2531. 1:36:19their exact feeling
  2532. 1:36:21if the customer selects no as the option
  2533. 1:36:23then the company does not get enough
  2534. 1:36:25information to understand where their
  2535. 1:36:27sales executive went wrong
  2536. 1:36:29hence in the reviewed questionnaire the
  2537. 1:36:31customer is asked to rate the qualities
  2538. 1:36:33of their sales executive which will
  2539. 1:36:35provide better data to the company in
  2540. 1:36:37order to improve the process
  2541. 1:36:40next we will discuss a technique named
  2542. 1:36:42voice of customer
  2543. 1:36:46the voice of customer is a technique to
  2544. 1:36:48organize analyze and profile the
  2545. 1:36:50customer's requirements
  2546. 1:36:52voice of the customer is an expression
  2547. 1:36:54for listening to the external customer
  2548. 1:36:57the table shows the customer
  2549. 1:36:59requirements while purchasing an air
  2550. 1:37:01conditioner
  2551. 1:37:02in all cases the customer is purchasing
  2552. 1:37:04for his or her domestic usage
  2553. 1:37:07each customer is further categorized
  2554. 1:37:09according to his needs and requirements
  2555. 1:37:12when the customer says that he needs a
  2556. 1:37:14silent air conditioner he needs sound
  2557. 1:37:16sleep at night in the bedroom
  2558. 1:37:18this is primarily to remain fresh the
  2559. 1:37:21next morning and to get rid of the noisy
  2560. 1:37:23ceiling fan being used currently
  2561. 1:37:26in case the customer says that he needs
  2562. 1:37:28an efficient ac
  2563. 1:37:29he needs a machine which provides good
  2564. 1:37:31cooling at night in the bedroom this is
  2565. 1:37:34mainly because it gets extremely hot in
  2566. 1:37:36summer
  2567. 1:37:37also he currently uses a ceiling fan
  2568. 1:37:40which is not so effective in summers
  2569. 1:37:43on the other hand when the customer
  2570. 1:37:44wants to buy an ac which is not too
  2571. 1:37:47costly he has limited cash for the
  2572. 1:37:49purchase
  2573. 1:37:50he wants to purchase a low-cost ac
  2574. 1:37:53let us discuss the importance of
  2575. 1:37:55translating customer requirements in the
  2576. 1:37:57next screen
  2577. 1:38:00customer requirement is the data
  2578. 1:38:02collected from customers that gives
  2579. 1:38:04information about what they need or want
  2580. 1:38:06from the process
  2581. 1:38:08customer requirements are often high
  2582. 1:38:10level vague and non-specific
  2583. 1:38:12some customers may give you a set of
  2584. 1:38:14specific requirements to the business
  2585. 1:38:16but broadly customers requirements are a
  2586. 1:38:19reflection of their experience
  2587. 1:38:21customer requirements when translated
  2588. 1:38:24into critical process requirements that
  2589. 1:38:26are specific and measurable are called
  2590. 1:38:28critical to quality ctq factors
  2591. 1:38:32a fully developed ctq has four major
  2592. 1:38:35elements
  2593. 1:38:36output characteristic
  2594. 1:38:38y metric target and specification or
  2595. 1:38:41tolerance limits
  2596. 1:38:43we will discuss the meaning of ctq in
  2597. 1:38:46the next screen
  2598. 1:38:49let us understand what quality function
  2599. 1:38:51deployment is in this screen
  2600. 1:38:54qfd is a process to ensure that the
  2601. 1:38:56customers wants and needs are heard and
  2602. 1:38:59translated into technical
  2603. 1:39:00characteristics
  2604. 1:39:02it is also known as the voice of the
  2605. 1:39:04customer or house of quality
  2606. 1:39:07qfd is a process to understand the
  2607. 1:39:09customer's needs and translate them into
  2608. 1:39:12a set of design and manufacturing
  2609. 1:39:14requirements
  2610. 1:39:15while motivating businesses to focus on
  2611. 1:39:18their customers
  2612. 1:39:20it also helps companies to design and
  2613. 1:39:22build more competitive products in less
  2614. 1:39:24time and lesser costs
  2615. 1:39:26qfd helps in prioritizing customer
  2616. 1:39:29requirements recognizing strengths and
  2617. 1:39:32weaknesses of an organization and
  2618. 1:39:34recognizing areas that need to be worked
  2619. 1:39:36on and areas that need immediate focus
  2620. 1:39:38of efforts
  2621. 1:39:40qfd is carried out by asking relevant
  2622. 1:39:42questions to the customers and
  2623. 1:39:44tabulating them to bring out a set of
  2624. 1:39:46parameters critical to the product
  2625. 1:39:48design
  2626. 1:39:49let us discuss phases of qfd in the next
  2627. 1:39:53screen
  2628. 1:39:55quality function deployment involves
  2629. 1:39:58four phases
  2630. 1:39:59phase one product planning
  2631. 1:40:01in this phase the qfd team translates
  2632. 1:40:04the customer requirements into product
  2633. 1:40:06technical requirements
  2634. 1:40:08phase two
  2635. 1:40:09product design
  2636. 1:40:11in this phase the qfd team translates
  2637. 1:40:14the identified technical requirements
  2638. 1:40:16into key part characteristics or systems
  2639. 1:40:20phase three process planning
  2640. 1:40:23in this phase the qfd team identifies
  2641. 1:40:26the key process operations necessary to
  2642. 1:40:29achieve the identified key part
  2643. 1:40:31characteristics
  2644. 1:40:32phase four
  2645. 1:40:34production planning or process control
  2646. 1:40:37in this phase the qfd team establishes
  2647. 1:40:40process control plans maintenance plans
  2648. 1:40:43and training plans to control operations
  2649. 1:40:46next we will understand the structure of
  2650. 1:40:48qfd
  2651. 1:40:50let us see what happens after completing
  2652. 1:40:53the hoq matrix
  2653. 1:40:55completing one hoq matrix is not the end
  2654. 1:40:58of the qfd process
  2655. 1:41:01the output of the first hoq matrix can
  2656. 1:41:04be the first stage of the second qfd
  2657. 1:41:07phase
  2658. 1:41:08as shown in the image the translation
  2659. 1:41:10process is continued using linked hoq
  2660. 1:41:13type matrices until the production
  2661. 1:41:16planning targets are developed
  2662. 1:41:18let us proceed to the next topic of this
  2663. 1:41:20lesson in the following screen
  2664. 1:41:23in this topic we will discuss the basics
  2665. 1:41:26of project management
  2666. 1:41:28let us start with a discussion on
  2667. 1:41:30problem statement
  2668. 1:41:32every six sigma project targets a
  2669. 1:41:35problem that needs to be resolved the
  2670. 1:41:37first step of project initiation is
  2671. 1:41:39defining the problem statement
  2672. 1:41:42a problem statement needs to describe
  2673. 1:41:44the problem in a clear and concise
  2674. 1:41:46manner
  2675. 1:41:47a problem statement needs to identify
  2676. 1:41:49and specify the observed gap in
  2677. 1:41:51performance
  2678. 1:41:53it should indicate the current
  2679. 1:41:54performance state of a process and the
  2680. 1:41:56required performance state completely
  2681. 1:41:58derived from customer requirements
  2682. 1:42:01a problem statement should be
  2683. 1:42:02quantifiable
  2684. 1:42:04this means it should have specified
  2685. 1:42:06metrics including the respective units
  2686. 1:42:09please note that the problem statement
  2687. 1:42:11cannot contain solutions or causes for
  2688. 1:42:13the problem
  2689. 1:42:15in the next screen we will discuss the
  2690. 1:42:17is or is not template
  2691. 1:42:21the is or is not technique was first
  2692. 1:42:23popularized by kepner trigo incorporated
  2693. 1:42:26in the seventies it is a powerful tool
  2694. 1:42:29that helps define the problem and gather
  2695. 1:42:31required information
  2696. 1:42:33an example of a problem statement of
  2697. 1:42:35paper cup leaks is given on the screen
  2698. 1:42:39the six sigma team has to answer what is
  2699. 1:42:42the problem what isn't the problem where
  2700. 1:42:44is it where isn't it when is it when
  2701. 1:42:48isn't it the problem to what extent is
  2702. 1:42:50it a problem and to what extent isn't it
  2703. 1:42:53a problem
  2704. 1:42:54the information is then used to fill the
  2705. 1:42:56question areas in the is and is not
  2706. 1:42:59issue template in the analysis phase if
  2707. 1:43:02a cause cannot describe the is and the
  2708. 1:43:05is not data then it's not likely the
  2709. 1:43:07main cause
  2710. 1:43:09in the next screen we will list the
  2711. 1:43:10criteria for the project objectives
  2712. 1:43:15the project objectives must meet the
  2713. 1:43:18smarts criteria
  2714. 1:43:19smarts is an acronym of the
  2715. 1:43:21characteristics desired in project
  2716. 1:43:23objectives
  2717. 1:43:25specific
  2718. 1:43:26measurable attainable
  2719. 1:43:28relevant
  2720. 1:43:29time based and stretch
  2721. 1:43:32the project deliverables should be
  2722. 1:43:34specific
  2723. 1:43:35example
  2724. 1:43:36hospitals maintain records of all
  2725. 1:43:38patients
  2726. 1:43:39often a few forms are rejected or missed
  2727. 1:43:43due to errors in recording the id
  2728. 1:43:45numbers
  2729. 1:43:46in this case setting the objective as
  2730. 1:43:49reduce form rejection is very vague
  2731. 1:43:52instead reduce patient id errors in
  2732. 1:43:55recording lab results is specific and
  2733. 1:43:58effectively targets solving the problem
  2734. 1:44:01the project objectives should be
  2735. 1:44:03quantifiable
  2736. 1:44:05example setting the objective as fewer
  2737. 1:44:08form rejections is very vague instead
  2738. 1:44:11reduce patient id errors by 30 percent
  2739. 1:44:14sets a specific goal
  2740. 1:44:16the project objectives should be
  2741. 1:44:18achievable and practical
  2742. 1:44:21the project objectives should be
  2743. 1:44:23relevant to the problem
  2744. 1:44:25the project objectives must specify a
  2745. 1:44:28time frame within which they should be
  2746. 1:44:30delivered
  2747. 1:44:31the project objectives must not be
  2748. 1:44:33easily achievable
  2749. 1:44:35example
  2750. 1:44:36most problems and errors can be reduced
  2751. 1:44:39by creating awareness
  2752. 1:44:41hence the objective must stretch beyond
  2753. 1:44:43the easily attainable state
  2754. 1:44:46in the next screen we will understand
  2755. 1:44:49project documentation
  2756. 1:44:52project documentation refers to creating
  2757. 1:44:55documents to provide details about the
  2758. 1:44:58project
  2759. 1:44:59such documents are used to gain a better
  2760. 1:45:01understanding of the project prevent and
  2761. 1:45:04resolve conflict among stakeholders and
  2762. 1:45:06share plans and status for the project
  2763. 1:45:10documentation of a project is critical
  2764. 1:45:12throughout the project
  2765. 1:45:14some of the benefits achieved through
  2766. 1:45:16project documentation are mentioned
  2767. 1:45:18below
  2768. 1:45:19documentation serves as written proof
  2769. 1:45:22for execution of the project
  2770. 1:45:24it helps teams achieve a common
  2771. 1:45:26understanding of the requirements and
  2772. 1:45:28the status of the project
  2773. 1:45:30it removes personal bias as there is a
  2774. 1:45:33documented history of discussions and
  2775. 1:45:36decisions made for the project
  2776. 1:45:39depending on the nature of the project
  2777. 1:45:41each project produces a number of
  2778. 1:45:43different documents
  2779. 1:45:45some of these documents are the project
  2780. 1:45:47charter project plan and its subsidiary
  2781. 1:45:50plans
  2782. 1:45:52other examples of project documentation
  2783. 1:45:55include project status reports including
  2784. 1:45:57key milestones report risk items and
  2785. 1:46:00pending action items
  2786. 1:46:02the frequency of these reports is
  2787. 1:46:04determined by the need and complexity of
  2788. 1:46:06the project
  2789. 1:46:08these reports are sent to all
  2790. 1:46:09stakeholders to keep them abreast of the
  2791. 1:46:12status of the project
  2792. 1:46:13another example of project documentation
  2793. 1:46:16is the final project report
  2794. 1:46:19this report is prepared at the end of
  2795. 1:46:20the project and includes a summary of
  2796. 1:46:23the complete project
  2797. 1:46:25project storyboard inputs generated from
  2798. 1:46:28statistical tools
  2799. 1:46:29outputs from spreadsheets checklists and
  2800. 1:46:32other miscellaneous documents are also
  2801. 1:46:34classified as project documents
  2802. 1:46:37in the next screen we will understand
  2803. 1:46:40project charter
  2804. 1:46:45we will list the project charter
  2805. 1:46:47sections in this screen
  2806. 1:46:49the major sections of a project charter
  2807. 1:46:52are project name and description
  2808. 1:46:54business requirements
  2809. 1:46:56name of the project manager
  2810. 1:46:58project purpose or justification
  2811. 1:47:00including roi
  2812. 1:47:02stakeholder and stakeholder requirements
  2813. 1:47:05broad timelines major deliverables
  2814. 1:47:08constraints and assumptions and the
  2815. 1:47:10budget summary of the charter
  2816. 1:47:12in the next screen we will understand
  2817. 1:47:14the project plan
  2818. 1:47:18a project plan is the final approved
  2819. 1:47:20document which is used to manage and
  2820. 1:47:23control the various processes within the
  2821. 1:47:25project and ensure its seamless
  2822. 1:47:28execution
  2823. 1:47:30the project manager uses the project
  2824. 1:47:32charter as an input to create a detailed
  2825. 1:47:35project plan
  2826. 1:47:36a project plan comprises various
  2827. 1:47:39sections
  2828. 1:47:40prominent among them being the project
  2829. 1:47:42management approach the scope statement
  2830. 1:47:44the work breakdown structure the cost
  2831. 1:47:47estimates scheduling defining
  2832. 1:47:49performance baselines
  2833. 1:47:51marking major milestones to be achieved
  2834. 1:47:54and the key members and required staff
  2835. 1:47:56personnel for the project
  2836. 1:47:59it also includes the various open and
  2837. 1:48:01pending decisions related to the project
  2838. 1:48:04and the key risks involved
  2839. 1:48:06additionally it also contains references
  2840. 1:48:08to other subsidiary plans for managing
  2841. 1:48:11risk scope schedule etc
  2842. 1:48:14in the next screen we will learn about
  2843. 1:48:16project scope
  2844. 1:48:19we will look at different techniques
  2845. 1:48:21used for interpreting the project scope
  2846. 1:48:23in this screen
  2847. 1:48:25project scope can be interpreted from
  2848. 1:48:27the problem statement and project
  2849. 1:48:29charter using various tools like the
  2850. 1:48:31burrito chart and the cypoc map
  2851. 1:48:34the principle behind the burrito chart
  2852. 1:48:37or the 80 20 principle as we know it is
  2853. 1:48:40a vital few trivial many
  2854. 1:48:43the burrito chart helps the teams to
  2855. 1:48:45trim the scope of the project by
  2856. 1:48:48identifying the causes which have a
  2857. 1:48:50major impact on the outcome of the
  2858. 1:48:52project
  2859. 1:48:53the cypac map is a high level process
  2860. 1:48:56map which helps all team members in
  2861. 1:48:59understanding the process functions in
  2862. 1:49:01terms of addressing questions like who
  2863. 1:49:04are the suppliers
  2864. 1:49:05what are the inputs they provide
  2865. 1:49:08what are the outputs that can be
  2866. 1:49:10obtained and who are the customers
  2867. 1:49:13as discussed earlier cypoc stands for
  2868. 1:49:17suppliers inputs process
  2869. 1:49:20outputs and customers
  2870. 1:49:22in the subsequent screen we will learn
  2871. 1:49:24about process
  2872. 1:49:26maps scipok is a macro level map that
  2873. 1:49:30provides an overview of the business
  2874. 1:49:32process
  2875. 1:49:34where a process map is a micro level
  2876. 1:49:36flow chart that provides an in-depth
  2877. 1:49:39detail of a process
  2878. 1:49:41the process map covers details at all
  2879. 1:49:43levels and provides a walk through the
  2880. 1:49:45current process experience
  2881. 1:49:48the cypac map is used as a basis while
  2882. 1:49:51drawing a process map
  2883. 1:49:53a level one process map provides
  2884. 1:49:55in-depth information
  2885. 1:49:57but the final process map drills further
  2886. 1:50:00into detail
  2887. 1:50:01in the following screen we will
  2888. 1:50:03understand the project metrics
  2889. 1:50:07let us discuss consequential metrics in
  2890. 1:50:09this screen
  2891. 1:50:11consequential metrics measure any
  2892. 1:50:13negative consequences
  2893. 1:50:15these can be business metrics process
  2894. 1:50:18metrics or both
  2895. 1:50:20they measure the negative effects of
  2896. 1:50:22improving the primary or key metrics
  2897. 1:50:26they are used to measure the indemnity
  2898. 1:50:28triggered by any damage in the project
  2899. 1:50:31the inconsistent use of consequential
  2900. 1:50:34metrics can lead to loss of opportunity
  2901. 1:50:37and rework after a project ends
  2902. 1:50:40consequential metrics help to understand
  2903. 1:50:42the cause and effect relationship
  2904. 1:50:45between the primary and the secondary
  2905. 1:50:47metrics and the impact it has on the
  2906. 1:50:50organization
  2907. 1:50:52let us take a look at an example for
  2908. 1:50:54consequential metrics in the next screen
  2909. 1:50:59we will discuss the best practices in
  2910. 1:51:01this screen
  2911. 1:51:02the following are some of the best
  2912. 1:51:04practices of consequential metrics
  2913. 1:51:07setting consequential metrics during the
  2914. 1:51:10measure phase and monitoring these
  2915. 1:51:12metrics after finalizing the project
  2916. 1:51:14will help to analyze whether the link
  2917. 1:51:16between previous primary and secondary
  2918. 1:51:19metrics has been established
  2919. 1:51:22also linking consequential metrics with
  2920. 1:51:24primary metrics and finally linking them
  2921. 1:51:27with secondary metrics provides clarity
  2922. 1:51:30on the impact of these metrics
  2923. 1:51:33assessing and evaluating the cause and
  2924. 1:51:35effect relationship between these
  2925. 1:51:37metrics is helpful to the organization
  2926. 1:51:40as a whole
  2927. 1:51:41in the next screen we will list some
  2928. 1:51:43project planning tools
  2929. 1:51:46the project manager uses various tools
  2930. 1:51:49to plan and control a project
  2931. 1:51:52one of the tools which he uses is the
  2932. 1:51:54burrito chart
  2933. 1:51:56other prominent tools include the
  2934. 1:51:57network diagram the critical path method
  2935. 1:52:01also called cpm
  2936. 1:52:03the program evaluation and review
  2937. 1:52:05technique which is also known as pert
  2938. 1:52:08gantt charts and the work breakdown
  2939. 1:52:11structure also known as wbs
  2940. 1:52:15in the next screen we will discuss
  2941. 1:52:17burrito chart
  2942. 1:52:20pareto chart is a histogram ordered by
  2943. 1:52:22the frequency of occurrence of events
  2944. 1:52:25it is also known as the 80 20 rule or
  2945. 1:52:29vital few trivial many
  2946. 1:52:31it helps project teams to focus on the
  2947. 1:52:33issues which cause the highest number of
  2948. 1:52:35defects or complaints
  2949. 1:52:38to explain further the given chart plots
  2950. 1:52:40all the causes for defects in a product
  2951. 1:52:43or service the values are represented in
  2952. 1:52:46descending order by bars
  2953. 1:52:48and the cumulative total is represented
  2954. 1:52:50by the line
  2955. 1:52:52burrito chart emphasizes that 80 percent
  2956. 1:52:54of the effects come from 20 percent of
  2957. 1:52:57the causes
  2958. 1:52:58thus a burrito chart narrows the scope
  2959. 1:53:00of the project or problem solving by
  2960. 1:53:03identifying the major causes affecting
  2961. 1:53:05quality
  2962. 1:53:06pareto charts are useful only when
  2963. 1:53:08required data is available
  2964. 1:53:11if data is not available then other
  2965. 1:53:13tools such as brainstorming and
  2966. 1:53:16multi-voting should be used to find the
  2967. 1:53:18root cause of any problem
  2968. 1:53:20in the following screen we will continue
  2969. 1:53:22to discuss burrito chart with an example
  2970. 1:53:27a hotel receives plenty of complaints
  2971. 1:53:29from its customers and the hotel manager
  2972. 1:53:32wishes to identify the key areas of
  2973. 1:53:34complaints
  2974. 1:53:35complaints were received in the
  2975. 1:53:37following areas cleaning check-in pool
  2976. 1:53:40timings minibar room service and
  2977. 1:53:43miscellaneous
  2978. 1:53:45cleaning and check-in can be noted as
  2979. 1:53:47areas of concern with 35 and 19
  2980. 1:53:50complaints respectively
  2981. 1:53:53is calculated for each cause of
  2982. 1:53:55complaint and the cumulative is derived
  2983. 1:53:58burrito chart is plotted using this data
  2984. 1:54:01in the next screen we will discuss
  2985. 1:54:03network diagrams
  2986. 1:54:07network diagrams are one of the tools
  2987. 1:54:09used by the project manager for project
  2988. 1:54:12planning
  2989. 1:54:13they are also sometimes referred to as
  2990. 1:54:16arrow diagrams because they use arrows
  2991. 1:54:18to connect activities and represent
  2992. 1:54:20precedence and interdependencies between
  2993. 1:54:23activities of a project
  2994. 1:54:25there are some assumptions that need to
  2995. 1:54:27be made while forming the network
  2996. 1:54:29diagram
  2997. 1:54:30the first assumption is that before a
  2998. 1:54:32new activity begins all pending
  2999. 1:54:35activities have been completed
  3000. 1:54:37the second assumption is that all arrows
  3001. 1:54:40indicate logical precedence
  3002. 1:54:42this means that the direction of the
  3003. 1:54:44arrow represents the sequence that
  3004. 1:54:46activities need to follow
  3005. 1:54:48the last assumption is that a network
  3006. 1:54:51diagram must start from a single event
  3007. 1:54:53and end with a single event
  3008. 1:54:55there cannot be multiple start and end
  3009. 1:54:58points to the network diagram in the
  3010. 1:55:00next screen let us discuss some terms
  3011. 1:55:02related to network diagram
  3012. 1:55:06for the network diagram to calculate the
  3013. 1:55:08total duration of the project the
  3014. 1:55:10project manager needs to define four
  3015. 1:55:13dates for each task
  3016. 1:55:15the first two dates relate to the date
  3017. 1:55:17by when the task can be started
  3018. 1:55:19the first date is early start this is
  3019. 1:55:22the earliest date by when the task can
  3020. 1:55:24start
  3021. 1:55:26the second date is late start this is
  3022. 1:55:28the last date by when the task should
  3023. 1:55:31start the second two dates relate to the
  3024. 1:55:33dates when the task should be complete
  3025. 1:55:36early finish is the earliest date by
  3026. 1:55:38when the task can be completed
  3027. 1:55:41late finish is the last date by when the
  3028. 1:55:44task should be completed
  3029. 1:55:46the duration of the task is calculated
  3030. 1:55:49as the difference between the early
  3031. 1:55:51start and early finish of the task
  3032. 1:55:54the difference between the early start
  3033. 1:55:56and late start of the task is called the
  3034. 1:55:58slack time available for the task
  3035. 1:56:01slack can also be calculated as the
  3036. 1:56:03difference between the early finish and
  3037. 1:56:06late finish dates of the task
  3038. 1:56:08slack time or float time for a task is
  3039. 1:56:11the amount of time the task can be
  3040. 1:56:13delayed before it causes a delay in the
  3041. 1:56:16overall project timeline
  3042. 1:56:19in the next screen we will discuss
  3043. 1:56:21critical path method
  3044. 1:56:24critical path method also known as cpm
  3045. 1:56:28is an important tool used by project
  3046. 1:56:30managers to monitor the progress of the
  3047. 1:56:33project and to ensure that the project
  3048. 1:56:35is on schedule
  3049. 1:56:37the critical path for a project is the
  3050. 1:56:40longest sequence of tasks on the network
  3051. 1:56:42diagram
  3052. 1:56:44the critical path in the given network
  3053. 1:56:45diagram is highlighted in orange
  3054. 1:56:48critical path is characterized by zero
  3055. 1:56:51slack for all tasks on the sequence
  3056. 1:56:54this means that the smallest delay in
  3057. 1:56:56any of the tasks on the critical path
  3058. 1:56:59will cause a delay in the overall
  3059. 1:57:01timeline of the project
  3060. 1:57:03this makes it very important for the
  3061. 1:57:05project manager to closely monitor the
  3062. 1:57:08tasks on the critical path and ensure
  3063. 1:57:10that the tasks go smoothly
  3064. 1:57:13if needed the project manager can divert
  3065. 1:57:15resources from other tasks that are not
  3066. 1:57:18on the critical path to task on the
  3067. 1:57:20critical path to ensure that the project
  3068. 1:57:22is not delayed
  3069. 1:57:24when a project manager removes resources
  3070. 1:57:27from such tasks he needs to ensure that
  3071. 1:57:30the task does not become a critical path
  3072. 1:57:32task because of the reduced number of
  3073. 1:57:34resources
  3074. 1:57:36during the execution of the project
  3075. 1:57:38the critical path can easily shift
  3076. 1:57:40because of multiple factors and hence
  3077. 1:57:43needs to be constantly monitored by the
  3078. 1:57:45project manager
  3079. 1:57:47a complex project can also have multiple
  3080. 1:57:49critical paths in the next screen we
  3081. 1:57:52will discuss project evaluation and
  3082. 1:57:54review technique
  3083. 1:57:57we will understand the concept of risk
  3084. 1:58:00in this screen
  3085. 1:58:02risk is an uncertain event or
  3086. 1:58:04consequence probable of occurring during
  3087. 1:58:07a project
  3088. 1:58:08the main objectives of any project are
  3089. 1:58:11time cost quality and scope
  3090. 1:58:14risk affects at least one of the four
  3091. 1:58:16project objectives
  3092. 1:58:18it is important to understand that risk
  3093. 1:58:20can be both positive as well as negative
  3094. 1:58:24a positive risk enhances the success of
  3095. 1:58:26the project whereas a negative risk is a
  3096. 1:58:29threat to a project's success
  3097. 1:58:32some of the terms used in risk analysis
  3098. 1:58:34and management are risk probability
  3099. 1:58:37issue and risk consequences
  3100. 1:58:40the likelihood that a risk will occur is
  3101. 1:58:42called risk probability
  3102. 1:58:44to assess any risk is to assess the
  3103. 1:58:46probability and impact of the risk
  3104. 1:58:50issue is the occurrence of a risk
  3105. 1:58:53risk consequences are the effects on
  3106. 1:58:55project objectives if there is an
  3107. 1:58:58occurrence of a risk or issue
  3108. 1:59:01in the subsequent screen we will
  3109. 1:59:03understand the process of risk analysis
  3110. 1:59:06and management
  3111. 1:59:09we will list and understand some of the
  3112. 1:59:11elements of risk analysis in this screen
  3113. 1:59:15qualitative method
  3114. 1:59:17qualitative methods like interview
  3115. 1:59:19checklists and brainstorming are used to
  3116. 1:59:21identify potential risks
  3117. 1:59:24quantitative method
  3118. 1:59:26quantitative methods are databased and a
  3119. 1:59:29computer is required to calculate and
  3120. 1:59:31analyze
  3121. 1:59:33these methods are used to evaluate the
  3122. 1:59:35cost time and probabilistic combination
  3123. 1:59:38of individual uncertainties
  3124. 1:59:41feasibility
  3125. 1:59:42feasibility is the study of the project
  3126. 1:59:45risk
  3127. 1:59:46this is usually carried out in the
  3128. 1:59:47beginning of the project when the
  3129. 1:59:49project is most flexible and risks can
  3130. 1:59:52be reduced at a relatively low cost
  3131. 1:59:55it helps in deciding different
  3132. 1:59:57implementing options for the projects
  3133. 2:00:00potential impact
  3134. 2:00:02once the potential risks are identified
  3135. 2:00:05the impact of these on the project is
  3136. 2:00:07determined
  3137. 2:00:08using this data possible solutions for
  3138. 2:00:11the risks are identified
  3139. 2:00:14rpn
  3140. 2:00:15rpn of a failure is the product of its
  3141. 2:00:18probability of occurrence severity and
  3142. 2:00:21detectability
  3143. 2:00:22a failure is prioritized based on its
  3144. 2:00:25rpn value
  3145. 2:00:27a high rpn indicates high risk
  3146. 2:00:30rpn assists to prioritize risks
  3147. 2:00:34avoiding risk
  3148. 2:00:36when potential risks are identified
  3149. 2:00:38their impact in terms of cost time
  3150. 2:00:41resources and objective perspective is
  3151. 2:00:44calculated
  3152. 2:00:45if the impact is huge then avoiding the
  3153. 2:00:48risk is the best option
  3154. 2:00:51mitigating risk
  3155. 2:00:52mitigating is the second option when
  3156. 2:00:54dealing with risks
  3157. 2:00:56the loss that arises from mitigating a
  3158. 2:00:58risk is much less than the loss that
  3159. 2:01:01arises from the temporary avoiding a
  3160. 2:01:03risk
  3161. 2:01:05accepting the risk
  3162. 2:01:07if a risk cannot be avoided or mitigated
  3163. 2:01:10then it has to be accepted
  3164. 2:01:12the risk will be accepted if it doesn't
  3165. 2:01:14greatly impact the cost time and product
  3166. 2:01:16objective
  3167. 2:01:18in the following screen we will discuss
  3168. 2:01:20benefits of risk analysis
  3169. 2:01:24benefits of risk analysis are as follows
  3170. 2:01:27once the risk has been identified it can
  3171. 2:01:30be either mitigated transferred or
  3172. 2:01:33accepted
  3173. 2:01:34when risk is identified in a task slack
  3174. 2:01:37time is provided as a buffer identifying
  3175. 2:01:40risks also helps in setting up an actual
  3176. 2:01:42timeline for a project
  3177. 2:01:45slack time for an activity in a project
  3178. 2:01:47could be the result of a risk identified
  3179. 2:01:50proactively
  3180. 2:01:51identifying risks helps in setting
  3181. 2:01:54realistic expectations from the project
  3182. 2:01:57by communicating the risk probability
  3183. 2:01:59and consequence to stakeholders
  3184. 2:02:02risk analysis also helps to identify and
  3185. 2:02:05plan contingency activities if the risk
  3186. 2:02:08becomes an issue
  3187. 2:02:10the project team is then well prepared
  3188. 2:02:12to work on the issue thereby reducing
  3189. 2:02:15the impact of the risk
  3190. 2:02:17in the following screen we will take a
  3191. 2:02:19look at the risk assessment matrix
  3192. 2:02:23the potential risks of a project are
  3193. 2:02:25assessed using the risk assessment
  3194. 2:02:27matrix
  3195. 2:02:29it covers potential risk areas like
  3196. 2:02:31project scope team personnel material
  3197. 2:02:35facility and equipment and communication
  3198. 2:02:38each of these areas is assessed in terms
  3199. 2:02:40of risk of loss of money productivity
  3200. 2:02:43resources and customer confidence
  3201. 2:02:46in the subsequent screen we will discuss
  3202. 2:02:49project closure
  3203. 2:02:51by definition a project has a beginning
  3204. 2:02:54and an end
  3205. 2:02:56but without a formal closure process
  3206. 2:02:58project teams can fail to recognize the
  3207. 2:03:01end and then the project can drag on
  3208. 2:03:04sometimes at great expense
  3209. 2:03:06every project requires closure
  3210. 2:03:09for larger complex projects it's a good
  3211. 2:03:11idea to close each major project phase
  3212. 2:03:14for example design code and test
  3213. 2:03:17individually
  3214. 2:03:19project closure ensures that outcomes
  3215. 2:03:22match the stated goals of the project
  3216. 2:03:24customers and stakeholders are happy
  3217. 2:03:26with the results
  3218. 2:03:28critical knowledge is captured
  3219. 2:03:30the team feels a sense of completion
  3220. 2:03:33and project resources are released for
  3221. 2:03:35new projects
  3222. 2:03:37in the next screen we will list the
  3223. 2:03:39goals of a project closure report
  3224. 2:03:43the project closure report is created to
  3225. 2:03:46accomplish the following goals
  3226. 2:03:48review and validate the success of the
  3227. 2:03:50project
  3228. 2:03:52confirm outstanding issues limitations
  3229. 2:03:55and recommendations
  3230. 2:03:57outline tasks and activities
  3231. 2:03:59accomplished to complete the activity
  3232. 2:04:02highlight the best practices for future
  3233. 2:04:04projects
  3234. 2:04:06provide the project report or summary
  3235. 2:04:09provide a project background overview
  3236. 2:04:13summarize the planned activities of a
  3237. 2:04:15project
  3238. 2:04:16evaluate project performance
  3239. 2:04:19provide a synopsis of the process
  3240. 2:04:23generate discussions and recommendations
  3241. 2:04:26generate project closure recommendations
  3242. 2:04:30in the following screen we will list and
  3243. 2:04:33understand project closure activities
  3244. 2:04:37during project closure the project
  3245. 2:04:40manager needs to take care of the
  3246. 2:04:41following activities
  3247. 2:04:43finalize the project documents
  3248. 2:04:46much of a project's documentation is
  3249. 2:04:49created during the life of the project
  3250. 2:04:52document collection and update
  3251. 2:04:53procedures are well established during
  3252. 2:04:55the project lifeline
  3253. 2:04:58capture the project knowledge
  3254. 2:05:00project documents are helpful for future
  3255. 2:05:03projects in troubleshooting the product
  3256. 2:05:05or in a future audit
  3257. 2:05:08set up a project library
  3258. 2:05:10ideally the project library is set up at
  3259. 2:05:13the beginning of the project
  3260. 2:05:15and team members add documents as they
  3261. 2:05:17produce them
  3262. 2:05:19document the project learnings
  3263. 2:05:22project learnings can be captured
  3264. 2:05:23through team meetings meetings with
  3265. 2:05:26stakeholders and sponsor
  3266. 2:05:28and through feedbacks from consultants
  3267. 2:05:30and vendors
  3268. 2:05:32provide knowledge transfer
  3269. 2:05:34the project manager needs to provide a
  3270. 2:05:37summary of the project results to team
  3271. 2:05:39members
  3272. 2:05:40either as a presentation at a meeting or
  3273. 2:05:43as a formal document
  3274. 2:05:45consultants should not be relieved from
  3275. 2:05:47their position until they have
  3276. 2:05:48transferred all the important product
  3277. 2:05:50maintenance knowledge to the team
  3278. 2:05:53get a final sign off
  3279. 2:05:55schedule a meeting with the project
  3280. 2:05:57sponsor and key stakeholders to get
  3281. 2:05:59their final sign off on the project
  3282. 2:06:02close the project office
  3283. 2:06:04if the project team used a project
  3284. 2:06:06management office or a dedicated work
  3285. 2:06:09area
  3286. 2:06:09arrangements need to be made to return
  3287. 2:06:11that space for general use
  3288. 2:06:14recognize and reward
  3289. 2:06:17the project manager has the best
  3290. 2:06:19understanding of which of the team
  3291. 2:06:20members have worked the best have
  3292. 2:06:23transformed themselves with new skills
  3293. 2:06:25and who might be ready for a new level
  3294. 2:06:27of responsibility
  3295. 2:06:29the project manager needs to report to
  3296. 2:06:31the team superiors what each team member
  3297. 2:06:34has brought to the project
  3298. 2:06:36celebrate
  3299. 2:06:38after completion of every project the
  3300. 2:06:40team needs and deserves a celebration
  3301. 2:06:43a team dinner a team outing gift
  3302. 2:06:46certificates or other rewards are minor
  3303. 2:06:48costs that generate a large return in
  3304. 2:06:51terms of morale and job satisfaction
  3305. 2:06:54make a public announcement
  3306. 2:06:57an announcement to the organization is a
  3307. 2:06:59good way to highlight the success of the
  3308. 2:07:01project and its benefits to the company
  3309. 2:07:04conclude
  3310. 2:07:06formal project closure ensures that the
  3311. 2:07:08team has met its objectives satisfied
  3312. 2:07:11the customer
  3313. 2:07:12captured important knowledge and been
  3314. 2:07:14rewarded for their efforts
  3315. 2:07:17let us proceed to the next topic of this
  3316. 2:07:19lesson in the following screen
  3317. 2:07:22in this topic we will discuss management
  3318. 2:07:25and planning tools
  3319. 2:07:26let us start with the discussion on
  3320. 2:07:28affinity diagram in the next screen
  3321. 2:07:32the affinity diagram method is employed
  3322. 2:07:35by an individual or team to solve
  3323. 2:07:37unfamiliar problems it is an effective
  3324. 2:07:40medium where the consensus of the group
  3325. 2:07:43is necessary
  3326. 2:07:44the given affinity diagram is based on
  3327. 2:07:47an organization where the employees are
  3328. 2:07:49not satisfied
  3329. 2:07:51to begin with each member writes down
  3330. 2:07:53ideas and opinions on sticky notes
  3331. 2:07:56each note can have a single idea
  3332. 2:07:59the points which have surfaced during
  3333. 2:08:01the brainstorming session are that the
  3334. 2:08:03workers are unkind
  3335. 2:08:05pay is low
  3336. 2:08:06and it is difficult to survive on the
  3337. 2:08:08pay structure working hours are too long
  3338. 2:08:11etc
  3339. 2:08:12in the next step all the sticky notes
  3340. 2:08:14are pasted on a table or wall
  3341. 2:08:17the sticky papers are arranged according
  3342. 2:08:19to categories or thought patterns
  3343. 2:08:22members happen to arrange their ideas
  3344. 2:08:24based on affinity
  3345. 2:08:26in case a particular idea is good to go
  3346. 2:08:28into more than one category it is
  3347. 2:08:31duplicated and added to several
  3348. 2:08:32categories
  3349. 2:08:34after the arrangement is done
  3350. 2:08:36each category is named with a header
  3351. 2:08:39card
  3352. 2:08:40the header card captures the central
  3353. 2:08:42idea of all the cards in that category
  3354. 2:08:45and draws a boundary around them
  3355. 2:08:48poor compensation combines ideas like
  3356. 2:08:50low pay long working hours and
  3357. 2:08:53complaints about wages
  3358. 2:08:55poor work environment encompasses issues
  3359. 2:08:57like poor lighting
  3360. 2:08:59uncomfortable rooms and stuffy air
  3361. 2:09:02similarly poor relationships prevail in
  3362. 2:09:05the workspace as the workers are unkind
  3363. 2:09:08and there is mutual dislike
  3364. 2:09:11lack of motivation is due to repetitive
  3365. 2:09:13work and no work related challenges
  3366. 2:09:16you can see in the diagram on that slide
  3367. 2:09:19that once all the ideas are grouped to
  3368. 2:09:21the respective header cards
  3369. 2:09:23a diagram is drawn and borders are
  3370. 2:09:25placed around the group of ideas
  3371. 2:09:28thus affinity diagram helps in grouping
  3372. 2:09:31ideas with the common theme
  3373. 2:09:33in the next screen we will discuss the
  3374. 2:09:35interrelationship diagram
  3375. 2:09:40during problem solving the
  3376. 2:09:42inter-relationship diagram technique
  3377. 2:09:45helps in identifying the relationship
  3378. 2:09:47between problems and ideas in complex
  3379. 2:09:50situations
  3380. 2:09:52if the problem is really complex it may
  3381. 2:09:54not be easy to determine the exact
  3382. 2:09:56relationship between ideas
  3383. 2:09:59given inter-relationship diagram is the
  3384. 2:10:02result of a team brainstorming session
  3385. 2:10:05which identified 10 major issues
  3386. 2:10:07involved in developing an organization's
  3387. 2:10:09quality plan
  3388. 2:10:11initially the problem is defined and all
  3389. 2:10:14the members put down their ideas on
  3390. 2:10:16sticky notes
  3391. 2:10:18each note contains only one idea
  3392. 2:10:21all the sticky notes are put on a table
  3393. 2:10:23for a random display
  3394. 2:10:25in the next step the causes or areas of
  3395. 2:10:28concern are identified
  3396. 2:10:31and a cause effect arrangement of cards
  3397. 2:10:33is constructed by drawing an arrow
  3398. 2:10:35between the causes and effects of the
  3399. 2:10:37cause
  3400. 2:10:39this is done until all the ideas on the
  3401. 2:10:41sticky notes are accounted for and made
  3402. 2:10:43a part of the interrelationship diagram
  3403. 2:10:47take a large sheet of paper and
  3404. 2:10:49replicate the cause effect arrangement
  3405. 2:10:51on it
  3406. 2:10:52as depicted in the image a large number
  3407. 2:10:55of outgoing arrows indicate the root
  3408. 2:10:57cause
  3409. 2:10:58whereas a higher number of incoming
  3410. 2:11:01arrows indicates an outcome
  3411. 2:11:03there are as many as six arrows
  3412. 2:11:05originating from lack of quality
  3413. 2:11:07strategy
  3414. 2:11:09this leads us to understand that it is a
  3415. 2:11:11root cause
  3416. 2:11:13on the other hand there are three arrows
  3417. 2:11:15ending with the idea lack of tqm
  3418. 2:11:18commitment by managers
  3419. 2:11:20making it an outcome
  3420. 2:11:22in the next screen we will understand
  3421. 2:11:25the tree diagram
  3422. 2:11:28the tree diagram is a systematic
  3423. 2:11:31approach to outline all the details
  3424. 2:11:32needed to complete a given objective
  3425. 2:11:35in other words it is a method used to
  3426. 2:11:38identify the tasks and methods needed to
  3427. 2:11:40solve a problem and reach a predefined
  3428. 2:11:43goal
  3429. 2:11:44it is mostly used while developing
  3430. 2:11:46actions to execute a solution while
  3431. 2:11:48analyzing processes in detail during the
  3432. 2:11:51evaluation of implementation issues for
  3433. 2:11:54several potential solutions
  3434. 2:11:56and also as a communication tool to
  3435. 2:11:59explain the details of a process to
  3436. 2:12:01others
  3437. 2:12:02the given tree diagram shows the plan of
  3438. 2:12:05a coffee shop trying to set standards
  3439. 2:12:07for the coffee it delivers
  3440. 2:12:10first the objective is noted on a note
  3441. 2:12:12card and placed on the far left side of
  3442. 2:12:14the board
  3443. 2:12:15the basic goal of the coffee shop is to
  3444. 2:12:18provide a delightful cappuccino
  3445. 2:12:20experience
  3446. 2:12:21in the next step the coffee shop needs
  3447. 2:12:24to determine the means required to
  3448. 2:12:25achieve the goal and furnish three
  3449. 2:12:27different solutions
  3450. 2:12:29in other words the answers to the how or
  3451. 2:12:32why questions of the objectives
  3452. 2:12:34in this case the cappuccino needs to be
  3453. 2:12:37at a comfortable temperature
  3454. 2:12:39and it should have strong and pleasing
  3455. 2:12:41coffee aroma with the right amount of
  3456. 2:12:43sweetness
  3457. 2:12:45in the next step the three issues
  3458. 2:12:47mentioned in the second stage are
  3459. 2:12:49addressed at length
  3460. 2:12:50each issue is answered
  3461. 2:12:53by maintaining the espresso and steamed
  3462. 2:12:55milk temperature the cappuccino can be
  3463. 2:12:58served at a palatable temperature
  3464. 2:13:00strong flavored cappuccino can be
  3465. 2:13:02prepared using a good amount of finely
  3466. 2:13:04ground coffee beans
  3467. 2:13:06and a good quality sweetener used in the
  3468. 2:13:08right amount makes a great cappuccino
  3469. 2:13:12thus the tree diagram can be used to
  3470. 2:13:14achieve a goal or define a process
  3471. 2:13:18in the following screen we will discuss
  3472. 2:13:20prioritization matrices
  3473. 2:13:24let us learn about matrix diagram in
  3474. 2:13:26this screen
  3475. 2:13:28matrix diagrams show the relationship
  3476. 2:13:31between objectives and methods results
  3477. 2:13:34and causes
  3478. 2:13:35tasks and people etc
  3479. 2:13:38their objective is to provide
  3480. 2:13:39information about the relationship
  3481. 2:13:42they provide importance of task and
  3482. 2:13:44method elements of the subject
  3483. 2:13:47they also help determine the strength of
  3484. 2:13:49relationships between a grid of rows and
  3485. 2:13:51columns
  3486. 2:13:52they help in organizing a large amount
  3487. 2:13:54of inter-process related activities
  3488. 2:13:58let us discuss various types of matrices
  3489. 2:14:01in the next screen
  3490. 2:14:04let us learn about a process decision
  3491. 2:14:06program chart in this screen
  3492. 2:14:09process decision program chart or the
  3493. 2:14:12pdpc method
  3494. 2:14:14is used to chart the course of events
  3495. 2:14:17from the beginning of a process till the
  3496. 2:14:19goal
  3497. 2:14:20while emphasizing the ability to
  3498. 2:14:22identify the failure of important issues
  3499. 2:14:25on activity plans
  3500. 2:14:27the pdpc helps create appropriate
  3501. 2:14:29contingency plans to limit the number of
  3502. 2:14:32risks involved
  3503. 2:14:34the pdpc is used before implementing a
  3504. 2:14:37plan
  3505. 2:14:38especially when the plan is large and
  3506. 2:14:40complex if the plan must be completed on
  3507. 2:14:43schedule or if the price of failure is
  3508. 2:14:46quite high
  3509. 2:14:48the given process decision program chart
  3510. 2:14:51shows the process which can help in
  3511. 2:14:53securing a contract
  3512. 2:14:55the process starts when the seller
  3513. 2:14:57receives an order request from a
  3514. 2:14:59potential buyer
  3515. 2:15:01this can lead to fixing an appointment
  3516. 2:15:03with the buyer confirming the
  3517. 2:15:05appointment date and meeting the buyer
  3518. 2:15:08if the date is not fixed then buyers
  3519. 2:15:10should be contacted till the meeting is
  3520. 2:15:12confirmed
  3521. 2:15:13without a meeting there is a risk of
  3522. 2:15:15losing the order
  3523. 2:15:17considering an optimistic scenario where
  3524. 2:15:20a meeting is fixed with the buyer
  3525. 2:15:22the seller describes the price of the
  3526. 2:15:24product or service
  3527. 2:15:26if the price is competitive the order is
  3528. 2:15:28secured
  3529. 2:15:30if the price is not competitive the
  3530. 2:15:32seller may have to repeat the bid until
  3531. 2:15:34the buyer agrees and the order is secure
  3532. 2:15:38however the buyer may not agree to a
  3533. 2:15:40revised bid either
  3534. 2:15:42in which case the seller might lose the
  3535. 2:15:44bid
  3536. 2:15:46in such a scenario
  3537. 2:15:47the seller can justify the pricing and
  3538. 2:15:50pursue the buyer to agree to the bid
  3539. 2:15:53it might work and the seller might
  3540. 2:15:55secure the order
  3541. 2:15:57in the next screen we will discuss the
  3542. 2:15:59activity network diagram
  3543. 2:16:03an activity network diagram is used to
  3544. 2:16:06show the time required for solving a
  3545. 2:16:08problem and to identify items that can
  3546. 2:16:10be done in parallel
  3547. 2:16:12it is used in scheduling and monitoring
  3548. 2:16:14tasks within a complex project or
  3549. 2:16:17process with interrelated tasks and
  3550. 2:16:19resources moreover it is also used when
  3551. 2:16:22you know the steps of the project or
  3552. 2:16:24process their sequence and the time
  3553. 2:16:26taken by each of the steps involved
  3554. 2:16:29the original japanese name for this tool
  3555. 2:16:32is arrow diagram
  3556. 2:16:34the given activity network diagram shows
  3557. 2:16:36a house construction plan and identifies
  3558. 2:16:39the factors involved separately
  3559. 2:16:42like the amount of time for each
  3560. 2:16:43operation in one situation the
  3561. 2:16:46relationship of work without time for
  3562. 2:16:48each operation and an operation by
  3563. 2:16:50itself
  3564. 2:16:52the number of days is denoted by d
  3565. 2:16:55so the time taken for an activity like
  3566. 2:16:57foundation to scaffolding takes around
  3567. 2:17:00five days plus four days which is nine
  3568. 2:17:03days in total
  3569. 2:17:05the line joining electrical work and
  3570. 2:17:07interior walls is dotted
  3571. 2:17:10this shows relation between them but
  3572. 2:17:12without any timeline
  3573. 2:17:15basically it means that electrical work
  3574. 2:17:17has to be done before interior walls
  3575. 2:17:20but the time is either not important or
  3576. 2:17:23not available
  3577. 2:17:24let us proceed to the next topic of this
  3578. 2:17:27lesson in the following screen
  3579. 2:17:31in this topic we will introduce business
  3580. 2:17:33results for projects
  3581. 2:17:35let us start with the discussion on
  3582. 2:17:37defect per unit
  3583. 2:17:40we will learn about throughput yield in
  3584. 2:17:42this screen
  3585. 2:17:43throughput yield or tpy
  3586. 2:17:46is the number of acceptable pieces at
  3587. 2:17:48the end of a process divided by the
  3588. 2:17:51number of starting pieces excluding
  3589. 2:17:53scrap and rework
  3590. 2:17:55throughput yield is used to measure a
  3591. 2:17:57single process only
  3592. 2:17:59if the dpu is known tpy can be easily
  3593. 2:18:03calculated as e to the power of the
  3594. 2:18:06negative of dpu
  3595. 2:18:08here e is the mathematical constant and
  3596. 2:18:11has a value of 2.7183
  3597. 2:18:14the expression can also be stated as dpu
  3598. 2:18:18equals the negative of natural logarithm
  3599. 2:18:20e of tpy
  3600. 2:18:23in the next screen we will discuss
  3601. 2:18:25rolled throughput yield
  3602. 2:18:29rolled throughput yield or rty
  3603. 2:18:32is the probability of the entire process
  3604. 2:18:34producing zero defects
  3605. 2:18:37rty is the true measure of process
  3606. 2:18:39efficiency and is considered across
  3607. 2:18:42multiple processes
  3608. 2:18:44it is important as a metric when a
  3609. 2:18:46process has excessive rework
  3610. 2:18:49tdpu is total defects per unit
  3611. 2:18:53and is defined for a set of processes
  3612. 2:18:56when the total defects per unit is known
  3613. 2:18:59rolled throughput yield is calculated
  3614. 2:19:01using the expression e to the power of
  3615. 2:19:04negative of tdpu
  3616. 2:19:07the expression can also be written as
  3617. 2:19:09tdpu
  3618. 2:19:11is equal to negative of natural
  3619. 2:19:13logarithm of rty
  3620. 2:19:15when the defectives are known roll
  3621. 2:19:18through foot yield can be calculated as
  3622. 2:19:20the product of each process's first pass
  3623. 2:19:23yield or fpy
  3624. 2:19:25first pass yield is the number of
  3625. 2:19:27products which pass without any rework
  3626. 2:19:30over the total number of units
  3627. 2:19:32first pass yield is calculated as total
  3628. 2:19:35number of quality products over total
  3629. 2:19:37number of units
  3630. 2:19:39total number of quality products is
  3631. 2:19:41total number of units minus total number
  3632. 2:19:44of defective units
  3633. 2:19:46in the following screen we will
  3634. 2:19:47understand fby and rty with an example
  3635. 2:19:55we will discuss process capability in
  3636. 2:19:58this screen
  3637. 2:19:59process capability or cp
  3638. 2:20:02is defined as the inherent variability
  3639. 2:20:06of a characteristic of a process or a
  3640. 2:20:08product
  3641. 2:20:09in other words it might also mean how
  3642. 2:20:12well a process meets customer
  3643. 2:20:15cp is an indicator of capability of a
  3644. 2:20:18process
  3645. 2:20:19and is expressed as difference of usl
  3646. 2:20:22and lsl divided by product of six sigma
  3647. 2:20:27usl stands for upper specification limit
  3648. 2:20:31lsl is lower specification limit and
  3649. 2:20:34sigma is the standard deviation of a
  3650. 2:20:37process
  3651. 2:20:38the difference between usl and lsl is
  3652. 2:20:42also called the specification with or
  3653. 2:20:45tolerance
  3654. 2:20:46in the following screen we will discuss
  3655. 2:20:49process capability indices
  3656. 2:20:53process capability indices or cpk
  3657. 2:20:56was developed to objectively measure the
  3658. 2:20:59degree to which a process meets or does
  3659. 2:21:01not meet customer requirements
  3660. 2:21:04it was developed to account for the
  3661. 2:21:05position of mean with respect to usl and
  3662. 2:21:09lsl
  3663. 2:21:11to calculate cpk
  3664. 2:21:13the first step is to determine if the
  3665. 2:21:15process mean is closer to the lsl or the
  3666. 2:21:19usl
  3667. 2:21:20if the process mean is closer to lsl
  3668. 2:21:23cpkl is determined
  3669. 2:21:26cpkl is mean minus lsl divided by
  3670. 2:21:30product of 3 and sigma
  3671. 2:21:33if the process mean is closer to usl
  3672. 2:21:36cpku is calculated
  3673. 2:21:39cpku is usl minus mean divided by
  3674. 2:21:43product of three and sigma
  3675. 2:21:46here mean is the process average and
  3676. 2:21:49sigma represents the standard deviation
  3677. 2:21:52if the process mean is equidistant
  3678. 2:21:54either of the specification limit can be
  3679. 2:21:57chosen
  3680. 2:21:58cpk takes up the value of cpku and cpkl
  3681. 2:22:03depending on whichever is the lower
  3682. 2:22:05value
  3683. 2:22:06in the next screen we will understand
  3684. 2:22:08process capability indices with an
  3685. 2:22:11example
  3686. 2:22:13in this screen we will discuss cpk and
  3687. 2:22:16cp interpretations
  3688. 2:22:18a cp value of less than 1 indicates the
  3689. 2:22:21process is not capable
  3690. 2:22:24even if cp is greater than one to
  3691. 2:22:27ascertain if the process really is not
  3692. 2:22:29capable check the cpk value
  3693. 2:22:33a cpk value of less than one indicates
  3694. 2:22:36that the process is definitely not
  3695. 2:22:38capable but might be if cp is greater
  3696. 2:22:41than one and the process mean is at or
  3697. 2:22:44near the midpoint of the tolerance range
  3698. 2:22:47the cpk value will always be less than
  3699. 2:22:50cp
  3700. 2:22:51especially as long as the process mean
  3701. 2:22:54is not at the center of the process
  3702. 2:22:56tolerance range
  3703. 2:22:58non-centering can happen when the
  3704. 2:22:59process has not understood the customer
  3705. 2:23:02expectations clearly or the process is
  3706. 2:23:05complete as soon as the output reaches a
  3707. 2:23:08specific limit
  3708. 2:23:09for example a shirt size of 40 has a
  3709. 2:23:13target chest diameter of 40 inches
  3710. 2:23:16but the process consistently delivers
  3711. 2:23:18shirts with a mean of 41 inches as the
  3712. 2:23:21chest diameter
  3713. 2:23:23a machine stops removing material as
  3714. 2:23:25soon as the measured dimension is within
  3715. 2:23:27specified limit
  3716. 2:23:29let us proceed to the next topic of this
  3717. 2:23:32lesson in the following screen
  3718. 2:23:36in this topic we will discuss team
  3719. 2:23:38dynamics and performance
  3720. 2:23:40let us start with the discussion on team
  3721. 2:23:43stages
  3722. 2:23:45there are five typical stages in the
  3723. 2:23:47team building process
  3724. 2:23:49each team passes through these stages as
  3725. 2:23:51they start and proceed through the
  3726. 2:23:53project
  3727. 2:23:54the five stages in the team building
  3728. 2:23:57process are as follows
  3729. 2:23:59forming storming norming performing and
  3730. 2:24:02adjourning
  3731. 2:24:04in the next screen we will discuss the
  3732. 2:24:06first stage forming
  3733. 2:24:10the first stage in the team building
  3734. 2:24:12process is called the forming stage
  3735. 2:24:14in this stage the team comes together
  3736. 2:24:16and begins to formulate roles and
  3737. 2:24:18responsibilities
  3738. 2:24:20the team leader is identified and he or
  3739. 2:24:22she starts directing the team and
  3740. 2:24:24assigning responsibilities to other team
  3741. 2:24:27members
  3742. 2:24:28most team members at this stage are
  3743. 2:24:31generally enthusiastic and motivated by
  3744. 2:24:33desire to be accepted within the team
  3745. 2:24:36the leader employs a directive style of
  3746. 2:24:38management which includes delegating
  3747. 2:24:41responsibility within the team providing
  3748. 2:24:44a structure to the team and determining
  3749. 2:24:46processes needed for the smooth
  3750. 2:24:48functioning of the team
  3751. 2:24:50toward the end of this phase the team
  3752. 2:24:52should achieve a commitment to the
  3753. 2:24:54project and an acceptance of a common
  3754. 2:24:56purpose
  3755. 2:24:58in the next screen we will discuss the
  3756. 2:25:00second stage storming
  3757. 2:25:03the second phase in the team building
  3758. 2:25:05process is called the storming stage
  3759. 2:25:08as suggested by the name itself in this
  3760. 2:25:11stage conflicts start to arise within
  3761. 2:25:14the team
  3762. 2:25:15team members often struggle over
  3763. 2:25:17responsibilities and control within the
  3764. 2:25:20project
  3765. 2:25:21it is the responsibility of the team
  3766. 2:25:23leader to coach and conciliate the team
  3767. 2:25:26the leader employs a coaching style of
  3768. 2:25:28management which is reflected through
  3769. 2:25:30facilitating change managing conflict
  3770. 2:25:33and mediating understanding between
  3771. 2:25:36different parties
  3772. 2:25:37towards the end of this phase team
  3773. 2:25:40members need to learn to voice
  3774. 2:25:41disagreement openly and constructively
  3775. 2:25:44while staying focused on common
  3776. 2:25:46objectives and areas of agreement
  3777. 2:25:49in the next screen we will discuss the
  3778. 2:25:51third stage norming
  3779. 2:25:54the third stage in the team building
  3780. 2:25:56process is called the norming stage
  3781. 2:26:00in this stage people get along and the
  3782. 2:26:02team develops a unified commitment
  3783. 2:26:03toward the project goal
  3784. 2:26:05the team leader promotes the team and
  3785. 2:26:07participates in the team activities
  3786. 2:26:10team members look to the leader to
  3787. 2:26:12clarify their understanding as some
  3788. 2:26:15leadership roles begin to shift within
  3789. 2:26:17the lower rungs of the group
  3790. 2:26:19the leader employs a participatory style
  3791. 2:26:21of management through facilitating
  3792. 2:26:23change working to build consensus and
  3793. 2:26:26overseeing quality control
  3794. 2:26:28toward the end of this phase team
  3795. 2:26:30members need to accept individual
  3796. 2:26:32responsibilities and workout agreements
  3797. 2:26:35about team procedures
  3798. 2:26:37in the next screen we will discuss the
  3799. 2:26:39fourth stage performing
  3800. 2:26:43the next stage in the team building
  3801. 2:26:45process is called the performing stage
  3802. 2:26:48this is the most productive stage for
  3803. 2:26:50the project team
  3804. 2:26:52in this stage team members manage
  3805. 2:26:54complex tasks and work toward the common
  3806. 2:26:57goals of the project
  3807. 2:26:58the leader employs a supervisory style
  3808. 2:27:01of management by overseeing progress
  3809. 2:27:04rewarding achievement and supervising
  3810. 2:27:06process
  3811. 2:27:07the team leader leads the project on
  3812. 2:27:09more or less an automated mode
  3813. 2:27:12when the project has completed
  3814. 2:27:14successfully or when the end is in sight
  3815. 2:27:17the team moves into the final stage
  3816. 2:27:20in the next screen we will discuss the
  3817. 2:27:23fifth stage adjourning
  3818. 2:27:27the last stage of team building is
  3819. 2:27:29called the adjourning stage
  3820. 2:27:31in this stage the project is winding
  3821. 2:27:33down and the goals are within reach
  3822. 2:27:36the team members are dealing with their
  3823. 2:27:38impending separation from the team
  3824. 2:27:41the team leader provides feedback to the
  3825. 2:27:43team the leader employs a supportive
  3826. 2:27:45style of management by giving feedback
  3827. 2:27:48celebrating accomplishments and
  3828. 2:27:50providing closure
  3829. 2:27:52the team leader needs to adopt a
  3830. 2:27:54different style of leadership at every
  3831. 2:27:56stage
  3832. 2:27:57it is therefore important for a leader
  3833. 2:27:59to understand these stages and identify
  3834. 2:28:02the current stage that a team is in
  3835. 2:28:05the success of the team depends on how
  3836. 2:28:08well the leader can guide them through
  3837. 2:28:10these phases in the next screen we will
  3838. 2:28:13learn about negative dynamics
  3839. 2:28:17team members can exhibit negative
  3840. 2:28:19behavior in more than one way during the
  3841. 2:28:21project life cycle
  3842. 2:28:23this behavior has a negative effect on
  3843. 2:28:26the dynamics of the team
  3844. 2:28:28the first kind of negative participants
  3845. 2:28:31fall in the category of overbearing
  3846. 2:28:33participants
  3847. 2:28:34these participants use their influence
  3848. 2:28:37or expertise to take on a position of
  3849. 2:28:40authority
  3850. 2:28:41discounting contributions from other
  3851. 2:28:43team members
  3852. 2:28:44to cope with such participants team
  3853. 2:28:47leaders must establish ground rules for
  3854. 2:28:49participation and reinforce that the
  3855. 2:28:52group has the right to explore any area
  3856. 2:28:54pertinent to team goals and objectives
  3857. 2:28:58another kind of negative participant is
  3858. 2:29:01often referred to as the dominant
  3859. 2:29:03participant
  3860. 2:29:05these participants take up an excessive
  3861. 2:29:07amount of group time by talking too much
  3862. 2:29:10focusing on trivial concerns and
  3863. 2:29:12otherwise preventing participation by
  3864. 2:29:15others
  3865. 2:29:16team leaders need to be able to control
  3866. 2:29:18dominant participants without inhibiting
  3867. 2:29:21their energy or enthusiasm
  3868. 2:29:24some other participants are reluctant
  3869. 2:29:26participants
  3870. 2:29:28who feel intimidated and are not happy
  3871. 2:29:30with the team process
  3872. 2:29:32owing to their reluctance they miss
  3873. 2:29:34opportunities to bring up data that is
  3874. 2:29:37valuable to the project
  3875. 2:29:39this can often lead to hostility within
  3876. 2:29:41the team
  3877. 2:29:43one way to deal with reluctant
  3878. 2:29:45participants
  3879. 2:29:46is to respond positively and with
  3880. 2:29:49encouragement to any contribution from
  3881. 2:29:51the team member
  3882. 2:29:53teamwork is more than a natural
  3883. 2:29:55consequence of working together
  3884. 2:29:57team management is more than building a
  3885. 2:29:59relationship with individual team
  3886. 2:30:01members
  3887. 2:30:02all teams face group challenges that
  3888. 2:30:05need group based diagnosis and problem
  3889. 2:30:07solving to ensure that negative
  3890. 2:30:09participants are able to contribute and
  3891. 2:30:12perform as part of the team
  3892. 2:30:15in the next screen we will learn about
  3893. 2:30:17group challenges
  3894. 2:30:21six sigma team and their
  3895. 2:30:22responsibilities are described here
  3896. 2:30:25various roles assist the smooth
  3897. 2:30:27execution of a six sigma project
  3898. 2:30:31these roles are required to support the
  3899. 2:30:33project by providing the information and
  3900. 2:30:36resources that are needed to execute the
  3901. 2:30:38project
  3902. 2:30:39the first important member of the six
  3903. 2:30:42sigma team is the executive sponsor
  3904. 2:30:45sponsors are the source or conduit for
  3905. 2:30:48project resources
  3906. 2:30:50and they are usually the recipients of
  3907. 2:30:52the benefits the project will produce
  3908. 2:30:55the sponsor is responsible for setting
  3909. 2:30:57the direction and priorities for the
  3910. 2:30:59organization
  3911. 2:31:01the sponsor may be a functional manager
  3912. 2:31:03or an external customer
  3913. 2:31:06the next important role is that of the
  3914. 2:31:08process owners
  3915. 2:31:10they work with the black belts to
  3916. 2:31:12improve their respective processes
  3917. 2:31:14they provide functional expertise about
  3918. 2:31:17the process to the project
  3919. 2:31:20usually this role is played by the
  3920. 2:31:22functional managers in charge of
  3921. 2:31:24specific processes
  3922. 2:31:26the next role in the project is that of
  3923. 2:31:28the champions
  3924. 2:31:30they are typically upper level managers
  3925. 2:31:32who control and allocate resources to
  3926. 2:31:35promote process improvements
  3927. 2:31:37they ensure the organization is
  3928. 2:31:39providing necessary resources to the
  3929. 2:31:41project
  3930. 2:31:42and the project is fitting into the
  3931. 2:31:44strategic plans of the organization
  3932. 2:31:48the first role related to the execution
  3933. 2:31:50of the project is the role of the master
  3934. 2:31:52black belt
  3935. 2:31:54this role acts as a consultant to team
  3936. 2:31:56leaders and offers expertise in the use
  3937. 2:31:59of six sigma tools and methodologies
  3938. 2:32:02master black belts are experts in six
  3939. 2:32:05sigma statistical tools and are
  3940. 2:32:08qualified to teach high level six sigma
  3941. 2:32:10methodologies and applications
  3942. 2:32:13each master black belt will have
  3943. 2:32:15multiple black belts under him
  3944. 2:32:18black belts are the leaders of
  3945. 2:32:19individual six sigma projects
  3946. 2:32:22they lead project teams and conduct the
  3947. 2:32:25detailed analysis required in six sigma
  3948. 2:32:28methodologies
  3949. 2:32:29black belts act as instructors and
  3950. 2:32:32mentors for green belts
  3951. 2:32:34and educate them in six sigma tools and
  3952. 2:32:37methods they also protect the interests
  3953. 2:32:40of the project by coordinating with
  3954. 2:32:42functional managers
  3955. 2:32:44green belts are trained in six sigma but
  3956. 2:32:47typically lead project teams working in
  3957. 2:32:49their own areas of expertise
  3958. 2:32:52they are focused on the basic six sigma
  3959. 2:32:54tools for acceleration of projects
  3960. 2:32:57green belts work on projects on a
  3961. 2:32:59part-time basis dividing time between
  3962. 2:33:01project and functional responsibilities
  3963. 2:33:05an executive is the person who manages
  3964. 2:33:08and leads the team to ensure smooth
  3965. 2:33:10working of tasks and has the power to
  3966. 2:33:13execute decisions
  3967. 2:33:15a coach takes on a number of roles
  3968. 2:33:18he or she is the person who trains
  3969. 2:33:20mentors teaches and guides the team when
  3970. 2:33:23required
  3971. 2:33:24coach also motivates and builds
  3972. 2:33:26confidence of the members
  3973. 2:33:28a facilitator is a guide for the team or
  3974. 2:33:31group also known as a discussion leader
  3975. 2:33:35facilitators help the group or team to
  3976. 2:33:37understand their common objective and
  3977. 2:33:40plan their activities
  3978. 2:33:42a sponsor is a person who supports the
  3979. 2:33:44event or the project by providing all
  3980. 2:33:47the required resources
  3981. 2:33:49a team member is an individual who
  3982. 2:33:51belongs to a particular project team
  3983. 2:33:54a team member contributes to the
  3984. 2:33:56performance of the team and actively
  3985. 2:33:58participates for fulfillment of the
  3986. 2:34:00project objectives
  3987. 2:34:03the progress achievements and the
  3988. 2:34:05details of the project have to be
  3989. 2:34:07effectively communicated to the team
  3990. 2:34:09management customers and stakeholders
  3991. 2:34:13we will learn about modes of
  3992. 2:34:14communication in the next screen
  3993. 2:34:18let us understand communication within
  3994. 2:34:20the team in this screen
  3995. 2:34:23the purpose of communication within the
  3996. 2:34:25team and the modes of communication used
  3997. 2:34:28are as follows
  3998. 2:34:30meetings and emails are suitable to
  3999. 2:34:32communicate the roles and
  4000. 2:34:33responsibilities of the team members
  4001. 2:34:37meetings memos and emails are used by
  4002. 2:34:39the team to understand the project
  4003. 2:34:41status
  4004. 2:34:43workshops and meetings are conducted to
  4005. 2:34:45identify the outstanding tasks risks and
  4006. 2:34:48their corrective actions
  4007. 2:34:51team meetings assist decision making
  4008. 2:34:54meetings and emails ensure coordination
  4009. 2:34:56and efficient work the next screen will
  4010. 2:34:59focus on communication with stakeholders
  4011. 2:35:04the purpose of communication with
  4012. 2:35:06stakeholders and the modes of
  4013. 2:35:08communication used are as follows
  4014. 2:35:11meeting emails and events are suitable
  4015. 2:35:14to convey project objectives and goals
  4016. 2:35:17to stakeholders
  4017. 2:35:19meetings emails and newsletters assist
  4018. 2:35:22stakeholders in understanding project
  4019. 2:35:24status workshops meetings and events
  4020. 2:35:28help stakeholders to identify the
  4021. 2:35:30adverse effects of a situation
  4022. 2:35:33meetings with stakeholders assist
  4023. 2:35:35decision making process
  4024. 2:35:38in the next screen we will discuss the
  4025. 2:35:40communication technique
  4026. 2:35:42communication techniques can be grouped
  4027. 2:35:45in various ways
  4028. 2:35:47the first grouping of communication
  4029. 2:35:49techniques is based on the direction in
  4030. 2:35:51which communication flows vertical
  4031. 2:35:54communication consists of two subtypes
  4032. 2:35:57namely downward flow of communication
  4033. 2:35:59and upward flow of communication
  4034. 2:36:03in the downward flow of communication
  4035. 2:36:06the managers must pass information and
  4036. 2:36:08give orders and directives to the lower
  4037. 2:36:10levels in the organization
  4038. 2:36:13on the contrary
  4039. 2:36:14upward communication consists of
  4040. 2:36:16information relayed from the bottom or
  4041. 2:36:19grassroot levels to the higher levels of
  4042. 2:36:22the company
  4043. 2:36:23horizontal communication refers to the
  4044. 2:36:26sharing of information across the same
  4045. 2:36:28levels of the organization
  4046. 2:36:31this can be in the form of formal and
  4047. 2:36:33informal communication
  4048. 2:36:36formal communications are official
  4049. 2:36:38company sanctioned methods of
  4050. 2:36:39communicating to the employees
  4051. 2:36:42the grapevine rumor mill etc are some of
  4052. 2:36:45the means of informal communication in
  4053. 2:36:48the organization
  4054. 2:36:50the second grouping of communication
  4055. 2:36:52techniques is based on the usage of
  4056. 2:36:54words
  4057. 2:36:56verbal communication includes use of
  4058. 2:36:58words for communication
  4059. 2:37:00via telephone face to face etc
  4060. 2:37:04non-verbal communication conveys
  4061. 2:37:06messages without the use of words
  4062. 2:37:08through body language facial expressions
  4063. 2:37:11etc
  4064. 2:37:13the last grouping of communication
  4065. 2:37:15techniques
  4066. 2:37:16is based on participation of the people
  4067. 2:37:18involved in communication
  4068. 2:37:21one way communication happens when
  4069. 2:37:23information is relayed from the sender
  4070. 2:37:25to the receiver without the expectation
  4071. 2:37:28of a response like memos and
  4072. 2:37:31announcements
  4073. 2:37:32two-way communication is a method in
  4074. 2:37:34which both parties are involved in the
  4075. 2:37:36exchange of information
  4076. 2:37:39team tools are a part of the team
  4077. 2:37:42dynamics and performance
  4078. 2:37:44the various team tools that are used are
  4079. 2:37:46brainstorming
  4080. 2:37:48nominal group technique and multi-voting
  4081. 2:37:51if getting your learning started is half
  4082. 2:37:53the battle what if you could do that for
  4083. 2:37:55free
  4084. 2:37:56visit skillup by simply learn click on
  4085. 2:37:58the link in the description to know more
  4086. 2:38:01this lesson will cover the details of
  4087. 2:38:03the measure phase
  4088. 2:38:04the key objective of the measure phase
  4089. 2:38:07is to gather as much information as
  4090. 2:38:09possible on the current processes
  4091. 2:38:12this involves three key tasks that is
  4092. 2:38:15creating a detailed process map
  4093. 2:38:17gathering baseline data
  4094. 2:38:20and summarizing and analyzing the data
  4095. 2:38:23let us understand process modeling in
  4096. 2:38:25the following screen
  4097. 2:38:28process modeling refers to the
  4098. 2:38:29visualization of a proposed system
  4099. 2:38:32layout or other change in the process
  4100. 2:38:35process modeling and simulation can
  4101. 2:38:38determine the effectiveness or
  4102. 2:38:39ineffectiveness of a new design or
  4103. 2:38:42process
  4104. 2:38:43they can be done using process mapping
  4105. 2:38:46and flow charts
  4106. 2:38:47we will learn about these in the
  4107. 2:38:49forthcoming screens
  4108. 2:38:51let us understand process mapping in
  4109. 2:38:54this screen
  4110. 2:38:55process mapping refers to a workflow
  4111. 2:38:58diagram which gives a clear
  4112. 2:39:00understanding of the process or a series
  4113. 2:39:02of parallel processes
  4114. 2:39:04it is also known as process charting or
  4115. 2:39:07flow charting
  4116. 2:39:09process mapping can be done either in
  4117. 2:39:11the measure phase or the analyze phase
  4118. 2:39:15the features of process mapping are as
  4119. 2:39:17follows
  4120. 2:39:19process mapping is usually the first
  4121. 2:39:21step in process improvement
  4122. 2:39:24process mapping gives a wider
  4123. 2:39:26perspective of the problems and
  4124. 2:39:28opportunities for process improvement
  4125. 2:39:32it is a systematic way of recording all
  4126. 2:39:34the activities performed
  4127. 2:39:37process mapping can be done by using any
  4128. 2:39:40of the methods like flow charts written
  4129. 2:39:42procedures and detailed work
  4130. 2:39:45instructions
  4131. 2:39:46let us learn about flowchart in the
  4132. 2:39:49following screen
  4133. 2:39:51a flowchart is a pictorial
  4134. 2:39:53representation of all the steps of a
  4135. 2:39:55process in consecutive order
  4136. 2:39:58it is used to plan a project
  4137. 2:40:00document processes and communicate the
  4138. 2:40:03process methodology with others
  4139. 2:40:06there are many symbols used in a
  4140. 2:40:08flowchart and the common symbols are
  4141. 2:40:11shown in the given table
  4142. 2:40:13it is recommended you take a look at the
  4143. 2:40:15symbols and their description for better
  4144. 2:40:17understanding
  4145. 2:40:19click the button to view an example of a
  4146. 2:40:21flowchart
  4147. 2:40:24the given flowchart shows the processes
  4148. 2:40:27involved in software development
  4149. 2:40:29the flowchart starts with the start box
  4150. 2:40:32which connects to the design box
  4151. 2:40:34in a software project a software design
  4152. 2:40:37is followed by coding which is then
  4153. 2:40:39followed by testing
  4154. 2:40:41in the next step there is a check for
  4155. 2:40:43errors
  4156. 2:40:44in case of errors it is evaluated for
  4157. 2:40:47the error type
  4158. 2:40:48if it is a design error it goes back to
  4159. 2:40:51the beginning of the design stage
  4160. 2:40:53if it is not a design error it is then
  4161. 2:40:56routed to the beginning of the coding
  4162. 2:40:58stage
  4163. 2:40:59on the contrary if there are no errors
  4164. 2:41:02the flowchart ends
  4165. 2:41:06let us learn about written procedures in
  4166. 2:41:08this screen
  4167. 2:41:10a written procedure is a step-by-step
  4168. 2:41:12guide to direct the reader through a
  4169. 2:41:14task
  4170. 2:41:15it is used when the process of a routine
  4171. 2:41:18task is lengthy and complex
  4172. 2:41:20and it is essential for everyone to
  4173. 2:41:22strictly follow the rules
  4174. 2:41:24written procedures can also be used when
  4175. 2:41:27you want to know what is going on during
  4176. 2:41:29product or process development phases
  4177. 2:41:32there are a number of benefits of
  4178. 2:41:34documenting procedures
  4179. 2:41:36writing procedures help you avoid
  4180. 2:41:38mistakes and ensure consistency
  4181. 2:41:41they streamline the process and help
  4182. 2:41:44your employees take relevant decisions
  4183. 2:41:46and save a lot of time
  4184. 2:41:49written procedures help in improving
  4185. 2:41:51quality
  4186. 2:41:52they are simple to understand
  4187. 2:41:54as they tend to describe the processes
  4188. 2:41:57at a general level
  4189. 2:41:59in the next screen we will discuss how
  4190. 2:42:01work instructions are helpful in
  4191. 2:42:03understanding the process in detail
  4192. 2:42:07work instructions define how one or more
  4193. 2:42:09activities involved in a procedure
  4194. 2:42:12should be written in a detailed manner
  4195. 2:42:14with the aid of technology or other
  4196. 2:42:16resources like flowcharts
  4197. 2:42:18they provide step-by-step details for a
  4198. 2:42:20sequence of activities organized in a
  4199. 2:42:23logical format so that an employee can
  4200. 2:42:26follow it easily and independently
  4201. 2:42:29for example in the internal audit
  4202. 2:42:31procedure how to fill out the audit
  4203. 2:42:33results report comes under work
  4204. 2:42:35instructions
  4205. 2:42:37selection of the three process mapping
  4206. 2:42:39tools is based on the amount of detail
  4207. 2:42:42involved in the process
  4208. 2:42:44for a less detailed process you can
  4209. 2:42:46select flowchart and for a detailed
  4210. 2:42:48process with lots of instructions you
  4211. 2:42:51can select work instructions
  4212. 2:42:54click the button to view an example of
  4213. 2:42:56work instructions
  4214. 2:42:59this example shows the work instructions
  4215. 2:43:02for shipping electronic instruments
  4216. 2:43:05the company name is nutri worldwide inc
  4217. 2:43:07the instructions are written by brianna
  4218. 2:43:09scott and approved by andrew murphy it
  4219. 2:43:12is a one-page instruction
  4220. 2:43:15the work instructions are documented for
  4221. 2:43:17the shipping of electronic instruments
  4222. 2:43:19by the shipping department
  4223. 2:43:21the scope of the project states that it
  4224. 2:43:23is applicable to shipping operations
  4225. 2:43:26the procedure is divided into three
  4226. 2:43:28broad steps
  4227. 2:43:30as a first step the order for the
  4228. 2:43:32shipment must be prepared
  4229. 2:43:34in this step the shipping person
  4230. 2:43:36receives an order number from the sales
  4231. 2:43:38department through an automatic order
  4232. 2:43:40system
  4233. 2:43:41the quantity of the instrument and its
  4234. 2:43:43card number are looked up from the
  4235. 2:43:45system file and the packaging is done as
  4236. 2:43:48per the instructions on the card
  4237. 2:43:51the next step is packaging
  4238. 2:43:53special packing instructions must be
  4239. 2:43:56checked
  4240. 2:43:57the instruments are then marked as per
  4241. 2:43:59the instructions on the card and packed
  4242. 2:44:01in a special or standard container as
  4243. 2:44:03per the requirement
  4244. 2:44:05the order number is written in the
  4245. 2:44:07shipping system and the packing list and
  4246. 2:44:09shipping documentation are obtained
  4247. 2:44:12finally the quantity of instruments and
  4248. 2:44:15the documents is checked
  4249. 2:44:18let us understand process input and
  4250. 2:44:20output variables in this screen
  4251. 2:44:24any improvement of a process has a few
  4252. 2:44:26prerequisites
  4253. 2:44:28to improve a process the key process
  4254. 2:44:31output variables kpov
  4255. 2:44:34and key process input variables kpiv
  4256. 2:44:38should first be measured
  4257. 2:44:40metrics for key process variables
  4258. 2:44:42include percent defective operation cost
  4259. 2:44:46elapsed time
  4260. 2:44:48backlog quantity and documentation
  4261. 2:44:51errors
  4262. 2:44:52critical variables are best identified
  4263. 2:44:55by the process owners
  4264. 2:44:57process owners know and understand each
  4265. 2:45:00step of a process and are in a better
  4266. 2:45:02position to identify the critical
  4267. 2:45:04variables initially
  4268. 2:45:06once identified the relationship between
  4269. 2:45:09the variables is depicted using tools
  4270. 2:45:11such as cypoc and cause and effect
  4271. 2:45:14matrix
  4272. 2:45:15the process input variables results are
  4273. 2:45:18compared to determine which input
  4274. 2:45:20variables have the greatest effect on
  4275. 2:45:22the output variables
  4276. 2:45:24let us proceed to the next topic of this
  4277. 2:45:27lesson in the following screen
  4278. 2:45:30in this topic we will discuss
  4279. 2:45:32probability and statistics in detail
  4280. 2:45:35let us learn about probability in the
  4281. 2:45:37following screen
  4282. 2:45:38probability refers to the chance of
  4283. 2:45:41something occurring or happening
  4284. 2:45:43an outcome is the result of a single
  4285. 2:45:45trial of an experiment
  4286. 2:45:48suppose there are n possible outcomes
  4287. 2:45:50that are equally likely
  4288. 2:45:52the probability that a specific type of
  4289. 2:45:54event or outcome say f can occur is the
  4290. 2:45:58number of specific outcomes divided by
  4291. 2:46:01the total possible outcomes
  4292. 2:46:03click the button to view an example of
  4293. 2:46:06probability
  4294. 2:46:09in the event of tossing a coin what is
  4295. 2:46:11the probability of the occurrence of
  4296. 2:46:14heads
  4297. 2:46:15a single trial of tossing a coin has two
  4298. 2:46:18outcomes heads and tails
  4299. 2:46:21hence the probability of heads occurring
  4300. 2:46:23is one divided by two the total number
  4301. 2:46:26of outcomes
  4302. 2:46:28let us look at some basic properties of
  4303. 2:46:30probability in this screen
  4304. 2:46:33there are three basic properties of
  4305. 2:46:35probability
  4306. 2:46:36click each property to know more
  4307. 2:46:40property 1 states that the probability
  4308. 2:46:42of an event is always between 0 and 1
  4309. 2:46:45both inclusive
  4310. 2:46:48according to property 2 the probability
  4311. 2:46:51of an event that cannot occur is zero
  4312. 2:46:54in other words an event that cannot
  4313. 2:46:56occur is called an impossible event
  4314. 2:47:01property 3 states that the probability
  4315. 2:47:03of an event that must occur is one
  4316. 2:47:06in other words an event that must occur
  4317. 2:47:09is called a certain event
  4318. 2:47:11if e is an event then the probability of
  4319. 2:47:15its occurrence is given by p of e
  4320. 2:47:18it is also read as the probability of
  4321. 2:47:21event e
  4322. 2:47:24in this screen let us look at some
  4323. 2:47:26common terms used in probability along
  4324. 2:47:28with an example
  4325. 2:47:30the commonly used terms in probability
  4326. 2:47:32are sample space
  4327. 2:47:34venn diagram and event
  4328. 2:47:37sample space is the collection of all
  4329. 2:47:39possible outcomes for a given experiment
  4330. 2:47:42in the coin example discussed earlier
  4331. 2:47:44the sample space consists of one
  4332. 2:47:46instance each of heads and tails
  4333. 2:47:48if two coins are tossed the sample space
  4334. 2:47:51would be four in total a venn diagram
  4335. 2:47:54shows all hypothetically possible
  4336. 2:47:56logical relations between a finite
  4337. 2:47:58collection of sets
  4338. 2:48:00an event is a collection of outcomes for
  4339. 2:48:02an experiment which is any subset of the
  4340. 2:48:05sample space
  4341. 2:48:07click the button to view an example of
  4342. 2:48:09probability
  4343. 2:48:12what is the probability of getting a 3
  4344. 2:48:14followed by two when a dice is thrown
  4345. 2:48:17twice
  4346. 2:48:19when the dice is thrown twice the first
  4347. 2:48:21throw can have any number from one to
  4348. 2:48:23six
  4349. 2:48:25similarly the second throw can also have
  4350. 2:48:27any number from one to six so the total
  4351. 2:48:30sample space is six times six
  4352. 2:48:34that is thirty six
  4353. 2:48:36the event in this case is three followed
  4354. 2:48:38by two
  4355. 2:48:40this can happen in only one way
  4356. 2:48:42so the probability in the question is
  4357. 2:48:45one divided by thirty-six
  4358. 2:48:49let us discuss the basic concepts of
  4359. 2:48:51probability in this screen
  4360. 2:48:54some basic concepts of probability are
  4361. 2:48:57independent event
  4362. 2:48:58dependent event
  4363. 2:49:00mutually exclusive and mutually
  4364. 2:49:03inclusive events
  4365. 2:49:05click each concept to know more
  4366. 2:49:09when the probability of occurrence of an
  4367. 2:49:11event does not affect the probability of
  4368. 2:49:14occurrence of another event
  4369. 2:49:16the two events are said to be
  4370. 2:49:18independent
  4371. 2:49:19suppose you rolled a dice and flipped a
  4372. 2:49:22coin at the same time
  4373. 2:49:24the probability of getting any number on
  4374. 2:49:26the dice in no way influences the
  4375. 2:49:28probability of getting heads or tails on
  4376. 2:49:31the coin
  4377. 2:49:33when the probability of one event
  4378. 2:49:35occurring influences the likelihood of
  4379. 2:49:38the other event the events are said to
  4380. 2:49:40be dependent
  4381. 2:49:43events are said to be mutually exclusive
  4382. 2:49:46if the occurrence of any one of them
  4383. 2:49:48prevents the occurrence of all the
  4384. 2:49:50others in other words only one event can
  4385. 2:49:53occur at a time
  4386. 2:49:55consider an example of flipping a coin
  4387. 2:49:58when you flip a coin you will either get
  4388. 2:50:00heads or tails but not both
  4389. 2:50:03you can add the probabilities of these
  4390. 2:50:05two events to prove they are mutually
  4391. 2:50:08exclusive
  4392. 2:50:10any two events wherein one event cannot
  4393. 2:50:12occur without the other are said to be
  4394. 2:50:15mutually inclusive events
  4395. 2:50:19in this screen let us learn about the
  4396. 2:50:21multiplication rules also known as and
  4397. 2:50:24rules
  4398. 2:50:26the multiplication rules or and rules
  4399. 2:50:29depend on the event dependency
  4400. 2:50:32for independent events that is if two
  4401. 2:50:35events are independent of each other the
  4402. 2:50:37special multiplication rule applies
  4403. 2:50:41for mutually independent events the
  4404. 2:50:43special multiplication rule is as
  4405. 2:50:46follows
  4406. 2:50:47if the events a b c and so on are
  4407. 2:50:51independent of each other
  4408. 2:50:53then the probability of a and b and c
  4409. 2:50:56and so on is equal to the product of
  4410. 2:50:58their individual probabilities
  4411. 2:51:01click the button to view an example of
  4412. 2:51:04this rule
  4413. 2:51:06suppose there are three events which are
  4414. 2:51:08independent of each other such as the
  4415. 2:51:11event of flipping a coin and getting
  4416. 2:51:13heads
  4417. 2:51:14drawing a card and getting an ace and
  4418. 2:51:16throwing a dice and getting a one
  4419. 2:51:19what is the probability of occurrence of
  4420. 2:51:21all these events
  4421. 2:51:23the answer is the probability of a and b
  4422. 2:51:27and c
  4423. 2:51:28is equal to the product of their
  4424. 2:51:30individual probabilities
  4425. 2:51:32which is half multiplied by
  4426. 2:51:34one-thirteenth multiplied by one-sixth
  4427. 2:51:37the result is
  4428. 2:51:390.0064 which is 0.64
  4429. 2:51:44hence there is 0.64 probability of all
  4430. 2:51:49of the events occurring
  4431. 2:51:51we will continue the discussion on
  4432. 2:51:53multiplication rules in this screen
  4433. 2:51:56the multiplication rule for
  4434. 2:51:58non-independent or conditional events
  4435. 2:52:01which is also the general multiplication
  4436. 2:52:03rule is as follows
  4437. 2:52:06if a and b are two events then the
  4438. 2:52:08probability of a and b is equal to the
  4439. 2:52:11product of probability of a and the
  4440. 2:52:13probability of b given a alternatively
  4441. 2:52:17we can say that for any two events their
  4442. 2:52:20joint probability is equal to the
  4443. 2:52:22probability that one of these events
  4444. 2:52:24occurs multiplied with the conditional
  4445. 2:52:27probability of the other event given the
  4446. 2:52:29first event
  4447. 2:52:31click the button to view an example of
  4448. 2:52:33this rule
  4449. 2:52:35a bag contains six golden coins and four
  4450. 2:52:39silver coins
  4451. 2:52:40two coins are drawn without replacement
  4452. 2:52:42from the bag
  4453. 2:52:44what is the probability that both of the
  4454. 2:52:46coins are silver
  4455. 2:52:48let a be the event that the first coin
  4456. 2:52:51is silver and b be the event that the
  4457. 2:52:53second coin is silver there are ten
  4458. 2:52:57coins in the bag
  4459. 2:52:58four of which are silver
  4460. 2:53:00therefore p of a equals four divided by
  4461. 2:53:03ten
  4462. 2:53:05after the first selection there are nine
  4463. 2:53:07coins in the bag
  4464. 2:53:09three of which are silver
  4465. 2:53:11therefore p of b given a equals three
  4466. 2:53:14divided by nine
  4467. 2:53:16therefore based on the rule of
  4468. 2:53:18multiplication
  4469. 2:53:19probability of a intersection b
  4470. 2:53:22equals four divided by ten multiplied by
  4471. 2:53:26three divided by nine
  4472. 2:53:28the answer is twelve divided by ninety
  4473. 2:53:31which is zero point one three three four
  4474. 2:53:34hence there is thirteen percent
  4475. 2:53:35probability that both the coins are
  4476. 2:53:38silver
  4477. 2:53:41in this screen we will look at the
  4478. 2:53:42definitions and formula of permutation
  4479. 2:53:45and combination
  4480. 2:53:47permutation is the total number of ways
  4481. 2:53:50in which a set group or number of things
  4482. 2:53:53can be arranged
  4483. 2:53:54the order matters to a great extent in
  4484. 2:53:57permutation
  4485. 2:53:58the manner in which the objects or
  4486. 2:54:00numbers are arranged will be considered
  4487. 2:54:02in permutation
  4488. 2:54:04the formula for permutation is
  4489. 2:54:07npr equals p of n and r equals n
  4490. 2:54:10factorial divided by n minus r factorial
  4491. 2:54:14where n is the number of objects and r
  4492. 2:54:17is the number of objects taken at a time
  4493. 2:54:20the unordered arrangement of set group
  4494. 2:54:22or number of things is known as
  4495. 2:54:24combination
  4496. 2:54:26the order does not matter in combination
  4497. 2:54:29the formula for combination is ncr
  4498. 2:54:32equals c of n and r equals n factorial
  4499. 2:54:35divided by r factorial multiplied by n
  4500. 2:54:38minus r factorial where n is the number
  4501. 2:54:42of objects and r is the number of
  4502. 2:54:44objects taken at a time
  4503. 2:54:47let us look at an example for
  4504. 2:54:48calculating permutation and combination
  4505. 2:54:51in the following screen
  4506. 2:54:54from a group of ten employees a company
  4507. 2:54:56has to select four for a particular
  4508. 2:54:58project
  4509. 2:55:00in how many ways can the selection
  4510. 2:55:02happen given the following conditions
  4511. 2:55:05when the arrangements of employees needs
  4512. 2:55:07to be different
  4513. 2:55:08when the arrangement of employees need
  4514. 2:55:10not be different
  4515. 2:55:12click the button to know the answer
  4516. 2:55:15in the given example the values of n and
  4517. 2:55:18r are ten and four respectively
  4518. 2:55:21let us consider the first condition
  4519. 2:55:24from a group of ten employees four
  4520. 2:55:27employees need to be selected
  4521. 2:55:29the arrangement needs to be different
  4522. 2:55:32using the permutation formula
  4523. 2:55:34n p r equals p of n and r equals n
  4524. 2:55:38factorial divided by n minus r factorial
  4525. 2:55:4210 p four equals p of ten and four
  4526. 2:55:45equals ten factorial divided by ten
  4527. 2:55:48minus four factorial equals five
  4528. 2:55:50thousand forty
  4529. 2:55:52therefore the four employees can be
  4530. 2:55:54selected in five thousand forty ways
  4531. 2:55:58let us now consider the second condition
  4532. 2:56:01from a group of ten employees four
  4533. 2:56:04employees need to be selected
  4534. 2:56:06the arrangement of employees need not be
  4535. 2:56:09different
  4536. 2:56:10using the combination formula
  4537. 2:56:12n c r equals c of n and r equals n
  4538. 2:56:16factorial divided by r factorial
  4539. 2:56:19multiplied by n minus r factorial
  4540. 2:56:2310 c 4 equals c of ten and four equals
  4541. 2:56:26ten factorial divided by four factorial
  4542. 2:56:29multiplied by ten minus four factorial
  4543. 2:56:32equals two hundred and ten
  4544. 2:56:35therefore the four employees can be
  4545. 2:56:37selected from a group of 10 employees in
  4546. 2:56:40210 different ways
  4547. 2:56:43let us understand the two types of
  4548. 2:56:46statistics in this screen
  4549. 2:56:48statistics refers to the science of
  4550. 2:56:50collection analysis interpretation and
  4551. 2:56:54presentation of data
  4552. 2:56:56in six sigma statistical methods and
  4553. 2:56:58principles are used to measure and
  4554. 2:57:00analyze the process performance and
  4555. 2:57:02improvements
  4556. 2:57:04there are two major types of statistics
  4557. 2:57:07descriptive statistics and inferential
  4558. 2:57:09statistics
  4559. 2:57:11descriptive statistics is also known as
  4560. 2:57:14enumerative statistics and inferential
  4561. 2:57:17statistics is also known as analytical
  4562. 2:57:20statistics
  4563. 2:57:21descriptive statistics include
  4564. 2:57:23organizing summarizing and presenting
  4565. 2:57:25the data in a meaningful way
  4566. 2:57:28whereas inferential statistics includes
  4567. 2:57:31making inferences and drawing
  4568. 2:57:33conclusions from the data
  4569. 2:57:35descriptive statistics describes what's
  4570. 2:57:38going on in the data the main objective
  4571. 2:57:40of inferential statistics is to make
  4572. 2:57:43inferences from the data to more general
  4573. 2:57:45conditions
  4574. 2:57:46histograms pie charts box plots
  4575. 2:57:50frequency distributions and measures of
  4576. 2:57:52central tendency mean median and mode
  4577. 2:57:56are all examples of descriptive
  4578. 2:57:58statistics
  4579. 2:57:59on the other hand examples of
  4580. 2:58:01inferential statistics are hypothesis
  4581. 2:58:03testing scatter diagrams etc
  4582. 2:58:08the main objective of statistical
  4583. 2:58:10inference is to draw conclusions on
  4584. 2:58:13population characteristics based on the
  4585. 2:58:15information available in the sample
  4586. 2:58:18collecting data from a population is not
  4587. 2:58:20always easy especially if the size of
  4588. 2:58:23the population is big
  4589. 2:58:25the easier way is to collect a sample
  4590. 2:58:28from the population and from the sample
  4591. 2:58:30statistic collected make an assessment
  4592. 2:58:33about the population parameter
  4593. 2:58:35click the button to see an example of
  4594. 2:58:38statistical inference
  4595. 2:58:41the management team of a cricket council
  4596. 2:58:43wants to know if the team's performance
  4597. 2:58:45has improved after recruiting a new
  4598. 2:58:47coach
  4599. 2:58:48the management conducts a test to prove
  4600. 2:58:50this statistically
  4601. 2:58:52let us consider y a and y b
  4602. 2:58:55where y a stands for efficiency of coach
  4603. 2:58:59a
  4604. 2:58:59and yb stands for efficiency of coach b
  4605. 2:59:03to conduct the test the basic assumption
  4606. 2:59:06is coach a and coach b are both
  4607. 2:59:09effective
  4608. 2:59:10this basic assumption is known as null
  4609. 2:59:12hypothesis
  4610. 2:59:14here let us assume the status quo is
  4611. 2:59:17null hypothesis hence null hypothesis h
  4612. 2:59:20o can be given by y a equals yb
  4613. 2:59:24the management team also challenges
  4614. 2:59:26their basic assumption by assuming the
  4615. 2:59:29coaches are not equally effective
  4616. 2:59:32this is their alternate hypothesis
  4617. 2:59:35the alternate hypothesis states that the
  4618. 2:59:37efficiencies of the two coaches differ
  4619. 2:59:40if the null hypothesis is proven wrong
  4620. 2:59:42the alternate hypothesis must be right
  4621. 2:59:46hence alternate hypothesis h1 can be
  4622. 2:59:49given y a is not equal to yb
  4623. 2:59:53these hypothesis statements are used in
  4624. 2:59:56a hypothesis test which will be
  4625. 2:59:58discussed in the later part of the
  4626. 3:00:00course
  4627. 3:00:02in this screen we will learn about the
  4628. 3:00:04types of errors
  4629. 3:00:06when collecting data from a population
  4630. 3:00:08as a sample
  4631. 3:00:09and forming a conclusion on the
  4632. 3:00:11population based on the sample you run
  4633. 3:00:13into the risk of committing errors
  4634. 3:00:16there are two possible errors that can
  4635. 3:00:18happen
  4636. 3:00:19type 1 error and type 2 error
  4637. 3:00:22the type 1 error occurs when the null
  4638. 3:00:24hypothesis is rejected when it is in
  4639. 3:00:27fact true
  4640. 3:00:28type 1 error is also known as producer's
  4641. 3:00:31risk
  4642. 3:00:32the chance of committing a type 1 error
  4643. 3:00:35is known as alpha
  4644. 3:00:37alpha or significance level is the
  4645. 3:00:40chance of committing a type one error
  4646. 3:00:42and is typically chosen to be five
  4647. 3:00:44percent
  4648. 3:00:46this means the maximum amount of risk
  4649. 3:00:48you have for committing a type one error
  4650. 3:00:50is five percent
  4651. 3:00:52let us consider the previous example
  4652. 3:00:55arriving at a conclusion that coach b is
  4653. 3:00:58better than coach a when in fact they
  4654. 3:01:00are at the same level is a type one
  4655. 3:01:03error
  4656. 3:01:04the risk you have of committing this
  4657. 3:01:06error is 5
  4658. 3:01:08which means there is a 5 chance your
  4659. 3:01:10experiment can give wrong results the
  4660. 3:01:13type 2 error occurs when the null
  4661. 3:01:15hypothesis is accepted when it is in
  4662. 3:01:18fact false also when you reject the
  4663. 3:01:22alternate hypothesis when it is actually
  4664. 3:01:24true
  4665. 3:01:25you commit a type 2 error
  4666. 3:01:28type 2 error is also referred to as
  4667. 3:01:30consumer's risk
  4668. 3:01:32in comparing the two coaches the coaches
  4669. 3:01:34were actually different in their
  4670. 3:01:36efficiencies but the conclusion was that
  4671. 3:01:38they are the same
  4672. 3:01:40the chance of committing a type 2 error
  4673. 3:01:42is known as beta the maximum chance of
  4674. 3:01:46committing a type 2 error is 20
  4675. 3:01:49in the next screen we will learn about
  4676. 3:01:51central limit theorem
  4677. 3:01:55central limit theorem clt states that
  4678. 3:01:57for a sample size greater than 30 the
  4679. 3:02:00sample mean is very close to the
  4680. 3:02:02population mean
  4681. 3:02:03in simple words the sample mean
  4682. 3:02:05approaches the normal distribution
  4683. 3:02:07for example if you have sample 1 and its
  4684. 3:02:10mean is mean 1 sample 2 and its mean is
  4685. 3:02:14mean 2 and so on
  4686. 3:02:16take the means of mean one mean two etc
  4687. 3:02:19and you will find that it is the same as
  4688. 3:02:21the population mean
  4689. 3:02:23population mean is the average of the
  4690. 3:02:25sample means
  4691. 3:02:26in such cases the standard error of mean
  4692. 3:02:30also known as sem that represents the
  4693. 3:02:32variability between the sample means is
  4694. 3:02:35very less
  4695. 3:02:37the sem is often used to represent the
  4696. 3:02:39standard deviation of the sample
  4697. 3:02:42the formula for sem is population
  4698. 3:02:45standard deviation divided by the square
  4699. 3:02:47root of the sample size
  4700. 3:02:50selecting a sample size also depends on
  4701. 3:02:52the concept called power also known as
  4702. 3:02:55power of the test
  4703. 3:02:57we will cover this concept in detail in
  4704. 3:03:00the later part of the course
  4705. 3:03:02let us look at the graphical
  4706. 3:03:03representation of the central limit
  4707. 3:03:06theorem in the following screen
  4708. 3:03:09the plot of the three numbers 2 three
  4709. 3:03:11and four looks as shown in the graph
  4710. 3:03:14it is interesting to note that the total
  4711. 3:03:16number of times each digit is chosen is
  4712. 3:03:18six
  4713. 3:03:19when the plot of the sample mean of nine
  4714. 3:03:22samples of size two each is drawn
  4715. 3:03:24it looks like the red line which is
  4716. 3:03:26plotted in the figure
  4717. 3:03:28the x-axis shows numbers of the mean
  4718. 3:03:30which are two two point five three and
  4719. 3:03:33four
  4720. 3:03:34on the y-axis the frequency is plotted
  4721. 3:03:37the point at which arrows from number
  4722. 3:03:39two and three converge is the mean of
  4723. 3:03:41two and three
  4724. 3:03:43similarly the point at which arrows from
  4725. 3:03:45two and four converge is the mean of the
  4726. 3:03:47numbers two and four
  4727. 3:03:49let us discuss the concluding points of
  4728. 3:03:51the central limit theorem in the next
  4729. 3:03:53screen
  4730. 3:03:55the central limit theorem concludes that
  4731. 3:03:58the sampling distributions are helpful
  4732. 3:04:00in dealing with non-normal data
  4733. 3:04:02if you take the sample data points from
  4734. 3:04:04a population and plot the distribution
  4735. 3:04:07of the means of the sample you get the
  4736. 3:04:09sampling distribution of the means
  4737. 3:04:12the mean of the sampling distribution
  4738. 3:04:14also known as the mean of means will be
  4739. 3:04:16equal to the population mean
  4740. 3:04:19also the sampling distribution
  4741. 3:04:21approaches normality as the sample size
  4742. 3:04:23increases
  4743. 3:04:25note that clt enables you to draw
  4744. 3:04:28inferences from the sample statistics
  4745. 3:04:30about the population parameters
  4746. 3:04:32this is irrespective of the distribution
  4747. 3:04:35of the population
  4748. 3:04:37clt also becomes the basis for
  4749. 3:04:39calculating confidence interval for
  4750. 3:04:41hypothesis tests as it allows the use of
  4751. 3:04:44a standard normal table
  4752. 3:04:47let us proceed to the next topic of this
  4753. 3:04:49lesson in the following screen
  4754. 3:04:52in this topic we will cover the concept
  4755. 3:04:54of statistical distributions
  4756. 3:04:56let us start with discrete probability
  4757. 3:04:58distribution in the following screen
  4758. 3:05:01discrete probability distribution is
  4759. 3:05:04characterized by the probability mass
  4760. 3:05:06function
  4761. 3:05:07it is important to be familiar with
  4762. 3:05:09discrete distributions while dealing
  4763. 3:05:11with discrete data
  4764. 3:05:13some of the examples of discrete
  4765. 3:05:15probability distribution are binomial
  4766. 3:05:18distribution poisson distribution
  4767. 3:05:20negative binomial distribution geometric
  4768. 3:05:24distribution and hyper geometric
  4769. 3:05:26distribution
  4770. 3:05:28we will focus only on the two most
  4771. 3:05:30useful discrete distributions
  4772. 3:05:33binomial distribution and poisson
  4773. 3:05:35distribution
  4774. 3:05:37like most probability distributions
  4775. 3:05:39these distributions also help in
  4776. 3:05:42predicting the sample behavior that has
  4777. 3:05:44been observed in a population
  4778. 3:05:47let us learn about binomial distribution
  4779. 3:05:49in the following screen
  4780. 3:05:52binomial distribution is a probability
  4781. 3:05:55distribution for discrete data
  4782. 3:05:58named after the swiss mathematician
  4783. 3:06:00jacob bernoulli it is an application of
  4784. 3:06:03popular knowledge to predict the sample
  4785. 3:06:05behavior
  4786. 3:06:06binomial distribution also describes the
  4787. 3:06:09discrete data as a result of a
  4788. 3:06:12particular process like the tossing of a
  4789. 3:06:14coin for a fixed number of times and the
  4790. 3:06:17success or failure in an interview
  4791. 3:06:20a process is known as bernoulli's
  4792. 3:06:22process when the process output has only
  4793. 3:06:25two possible values like defective or
  4794. 3:06:28okay
  4795. 3:06:29pass or fail and yes or no
  4796. 3:06:33binomial distribution is used to deal
  4797. 3:06:35with defective items defect is any
  4798. 3:06:38non-compliance with a specification
  4799. 3:06:41defective is a product or service with
  4800. 3:06:43at least one defect
  4801. 3:06:45binomial distribution is most suitable
  4802. 3:06:48when the sample size is less than 30 and
  4803. 3:06:50less than 10 percent of the population
  4804. 3:06:53it is the percentage of non-defective
  4805. 3:06:55items provided the probability of
  4806. 3:06:58creating a defective item remains the
  4807. 3:07:00same over a period
  4808. 3:07:02let us look at the equation
  4809. 3:07:04the probability of exactly r successes
  4810. 3:07:08out of a sample size of n
  4811. 3:07:10is denoted by p of r
  4812. 3:07:12which is equal to ncr whole multiplied
  4813. 3:07:16by p to the power of r and one minus p
  4814. 3:07:19whole to the power of n minus r
  4815. 3:07:22in the equation b is the probability of
  4816. 3:07:25success
  4817. 3:07:26r is the number of successes desired and
  4818. 3:07:29n is the sample size
  4819. 3:07:32to continue discussing the binomial
  4820. 3:07:34distribution
  4821. 3:07:35let us look at some of its key
  4822. 3:07:37calculations in the following screen
  4823. 3:07:41the mean of a binomial distribution is
  4824. 3:07:44denoted by mio and is given by n
  4825. 3:07:47multiplied by p
  4826. 3:07:49the standard deviation of a binomial
  4827. 3:07:51distribution
  4828. 3:07:52is denoted by sigma which is equal to n
  4829. 3:07:55multiplied by p multiplied by 1 minus p
  4830. 3:08:00the method of calculating factorials say
  4831. 3:08:02factorial of 5 is the product of five
  4832. 3:08:06four three two and one
  4833. 3:08:08which is equal to one hundred twenty
  4834. 3:08:11similarly factorial of four is the
  4835. 3:08:14product of four three two and one
  4836. 3:08:17which is equal to twenty four let us
  4837. 3:08:20look at an example of calculating
  4838. 3:08:22binomial distribution in the next screen
  4839. 3:08:26suppose you wish to know the probability
  4840. 3:08:29of getting heads five times in eight
  4841. 3:08:31coin tosses
  4842. 3:08:33you can use the binomial equation for
  4843. 3:08:35the same
  4844. 3:08:36click the answer button to see how this
  4845. 3:08:38is done
  4846. 3:08:40the tossing of a coin has only two
  4847. 3:08:42outcomes heads and tails
  4848. 3:08:45it means that the probability of each
  4849. 3:08:47outcome is 0.5 and it remains fixed over
  4850. 3:08:50a period of time
  4851. 3:08:52additionally the outcomes are
  4852. 3:08:53statistically independent
  4853. 3:08:56in this case the probability of success
  4854. 3:08:58denoted by p is 0.5 the number of
  4855. 3:09:02successes desired is denoted by r which
  4856. 3:09:04is five and the sample size is denoted
  4857. 3:09:07by n which is eight
  4858. 3:09:09therefore the probability of five heads
  4859. 3:09:12is equal to factorial of eight c r which
  4860. 3:09:15is eight divided by factorial of five
  4861. 3:09:18and factorial of eight minus five whole
  4862. 3:09:21multiplied by zero point five to the
  4863. 3:09:23power of five multiplied by one minus
  4864. 3:09:26zero point five whole to the power of
  4865. 3:09:28eight minus five this calculation gives
  4866. 3:09:31a result of zero point two one eight
  4867. 3:09:34seven
  4868. 3:09:35which is equal to twenty one point eight
  4869. 3:09:37seven percent
  4870. 3:09:39let us learn about poisson distribution
  4871. 3:09:41in this screen
  4872. 3:09:42poisson distribution is named after
  4873. 3:09:44simeone denis on and is also used for
  4874. 3:09:47discrete data
  4875. 3:09:49poisson distribution is an application
  4876. 3:09:52of the population knowledge to predict
  4877. 3:09:54the sample behavior
  4878. 3:09:55it is generally used for describing the
  4879. 3:09:58probability distribution of an event
  4880. 3:10:00with respect to time or space
  4881. 3:10:03some of the characteristics of poisson
  4882. 3:10:05distribution are as follows
  4883. 3:10:07poisson distribution describes the
  4884. 3:10:09discrete data resulting from a process
  4885. 3:10:11like the number of calls received by a
  4886. 3:10:13call center agent or the number of
  4887. 3:10:15accidents at a signal
  4888. 3:10:18unlike binomial distribution which deals
  4889. 3:10:20with binary discrete data possum
  4890. 3:10:22distribution deals with integers which
  4891. 3:10:24can take any value
  4892. 3:10:26poisson distribution is suitable for
  4893. 3:10:28analyzing situations wherein the number
  4894. 3:10:31of trials similar to the sample size in
  4895. 3:10:33binomial distribution is large and tends
  4896. 3:10:37towards infinity
  4897. 3:10:38additionally it is used in situations
  4898. 3:10:41where the probability of success in each
  4899. 3:10:43trial is very small almost tending
  4900. 3:10:46towards zero
  4901. 3:10:47this is the reason why poisson
  4902. 3:10:49distribution is applicable for
  4903. 3:10:51predicting the occurrence of rare events
  4904. 3:10:53like plane crashes car accidents etc and
  4905. 3:10:57is therefore widely used in the
  4906. 3:10:58insurance sector poisson distribution
  4907. 3:11:01can be used for predicting the number of
  4908. 3:11:03defects as well given a low defect
  4909. 3:11:05occurrence rate
  4910. 3:11:07let us look at the formula for
  4911. 3:11:09calculating poisson distribution in the
  4912. 3:11:11next screen
  4913. 3:11:13the poisson distribution for a
  4914. 3:11:15probability of exactly x occurrences is
  4915. 3:11:18given by p of x equals to lambda to the
  4916. 3:11:21power of x multiplied with log e to the
  4917. 3:11:23power of minus lambda whole divided by
  4918. 3:11:26factorial of x
  4919. 3:11:28in this equation lambda is the mean
  4920. 3:11:31number of occurrences during the
  4921. 3:11:32interval
  4922. 3:11:33x is the number of occurrences desired
  4923. 3:11:36and e is the base of natural logarithm
  4924. 3:11:39which is equal to 2.71828
  4925. 3:11:42the mean of the poisson distribution is
  4926. 3:11:45given by the lambda and the standard
  4927. 3:11:47deviation of a poisson distribution is
  4928. 3:11:49given by sigma which is the square root
  4929. 3:11:52of lambda
  4930. 3:11:53let us look at an example to calculate
  4931. 3:11:56poisson distribution in the next screen
  4932. 3:11:59the past records of a road junction
  4933. 3:12:01which is accident prone show a mean
  4934. 3:12:04number of five accidents per week at
  4935. 3:12:06this junction
  4936. 3:12:07assume that the number of accidents
  4937. 3:12:09follows up with song distribution and
  4938. 3:12:12calculate the probability of any number
  4939. 3:12:14of accidents happening in a week
  4940. 3:12:16click the button to know the answer
  4941. 3:12:20given the situation you know that the
  4942. 3:12:22value of lambda or mean is five
  4943. 3:12:25so p of zero that is the probability of
  4944. 3:12:27zero accidents per week is calculated as
  4945. 3:12:30five to the power of zero multiplied by
  4946. 3:12:33e to the power of minus five whole
  4947. 3:12:35divided by factorial of zero
  4948. 3:12:38the answer is zero point zero zero six
  4949. 3:12:42applying the same formula the
  4950. 3:12:44probability of one accident per week is
  4951. 3:12:460.03
  4952. 3:12:48the probability of more than two
  4953. 3:12:50accidents per week is one minus the sum
  4954. 3:12:53of probabilities of zero one and two
  4955. 3:12:56accidents
  4956. 3:12:57which is 0.884
  4957. 3:13:00in other words the probability is 88.4
  4958. 3:13:03percent
  4959. 3:13:05let us learn about normal distribution
  4960. 3:13:07in this screen
  4961. 3:13:09the normal or gaussian distribution is a
  4962. 3:13:11continuous probability distribution
  4963. 3:13:14the normal distribution is represented
  4964. 3:13:16as n and depends on two factors
  4965. 3:13:20me u which stands for mean and sigma
  4966. 3:13:23which gives the standard deviation of
  4967. 3:13:24the data points
  4968. 3:13:26normal distribution normally has a
  4969. 3:13:28higher frequency of values around the
  4970. 3:13:31mean and lesser occurrences away from it
  4971. 3:13:34it is often used as a first
  4972. 3:13:36approximation to describe real valued
  4973. 3:13:38random variables that tend to cluster
  4974. 3:13:40around a single mean value
  4975. 3:13:43the distribution is bell shaped and
  4976. 3:13:45symmetrical the total area under the
  4977. 3:13:47normal curve is one which is p of x
  4978. 3:13:51various types of data such as body
  4979. 3:13:53weight height the output of a
  4980. 3:13:55manufacturing device etc follow the
  4981. 3:13:57normal distribution
  4982. 3:13:59additionally normal distribution is
  4983. 3:14:01continuous and symmetrical with the
  4984. 3:14:03tails asymptotic to the x-axis which
  4985. 3:14:06means they touch the x-axis at infinity
  4986. 3:14:10let us continue to discuss normal
  4987. 3:14:12distribution in the following screen
  4988. 3:14:15in a normal distribution to standardize
  4989. 3:14:17comparisons of dispersion or the
  4990. 3:14:19different measurement units like inches
  4991. 3:14:21meters grams etc
  4992. 3:14:23a standard z variable is used the uses
  4993. 3:14:26of z value are as follows
  4994. 3:14:29while the value of z or the number of
  4995. 3:14:31standard deviations is unique for each
  4996. 3:14:34probability within the normal
  4997. 3:14:36distribution
  4998. 3:14:37it helps in finding probabilities of
  4999. 3:14:39data points anywhere within the
  5000. 3:14:41distribution
  5001. 3:14:42it is dimensionless as well that is it
  5002. 3:14:45has no units such as millimeters liters
  5003. 3:14:48columns etc
  5004. 3:14:50there are different formulas to arrive
  5005. 3:14:52at the normal distribution
  5006. 3:14:53we will focus on one commonly used
  5007. 3:14:56formula for calculating normal
  5008. 3:14:57distribution which is
  5009. 3:15:00z equals y minus mu whole divided by
  5010. 3:15:03sigma
  5011. 3:15:04here z is the number of standard
  5012. 3:15:06deviations between y and the mean
  5013. 3:15:09denoted by mu
  5014. 3:15:11y is the value of the data point in
  5015. 3:15:13concern
  5016. 3:15:14me u is mean of the population or data
  5017. 3:15:16points and sigma is the standard
  5018. 3:15:19deviation of the population or data
  5019. 3:15:21points
  5020. 3:15:22let us look at an example for
  5021. 3:15:24calculating normal distribution in the
  5022. 3:15:26following screen
  5023. 3:15:28suppose the time taken to resolve
  5024. 3:15:31customer problems follows a normal
  5025. 3:15:32distribution with a mean of 250 hours
  5026. 3:15:36and standard deviation of 23 hours
  5027. 3:15:39find the probability of a problem
  5028. 3:15:41resolution taking more than 300 hours
  5029. 3:15:44click the button to know the answer
  5030. 3:15:47in this case y is equal to 300 me u
  5031. 3:15:50equals 250 and sigma equals 23.
  5032. 3:15:54applying the normal distribution formula
  5033. 3:15:57z is equal to 300 minus 250 whole
  5034. 3:16:00divided by 23
  5035. 3:16:02the result is 2.17
  5036. 3:16:05when you look at the normal distribution
  5037. 3:16:07table the z value of 2.17 covers an area
  5038. 3:16:12of
  5039. 3:16:130.98499 under itself this means the
  5040. 3:16:16probability of a problem taking 0 to 300
  5041. 3:16:19hours to be resolved is 98.5 percent and
  5042. 3:16:23therefore the chances of a problem
  5043. 3:16:25resolution taking more than 300 hours is
  5044. 3:16:28point five percent
  5045. 3:16:31let us understand the usage of z table
  5046. 3:16:33in this screen
  5047. 3:16:35the graphical representation of z table
  5048. 3:16:38usage is given here
  5049. 3:16:40the probability of areas under the curve
  5050. 3:16:42is one
  5051. 3:16:43for the actual value one can identify
  5052. 3:16:46the z score by using the z table
  5053. 3:16:49as shown this probability is the area
  5054. 3:16:52under the curve to the left of point
  5055. 3:16:54plus a to zero
  5056. 3:16:57using the actual data when you calculate
  5057. 3:16:59mean and standard deviation and the
  5058. 3:17:02values are 25 and 5 respectively it is
  5059. 3:17:05the normal distribution
  5060. 3:17:07if the same data is standardized to a
  5061. 3:17:10mean value of zero and standard
  5062. 3:17:12deviation value of one
  5063. 3:17:14it is the standard normal distribution
  5064. 3:17:17in the next screen we will take a look
  5065. 3:17:19at the z table
  5066. 3:17:22the z table gives the probability that z
  5067. 3:17:25is between zero and a positive number
  5068. 3:17:28there are different forms of normal
  5069. 3:17:30distribution z tables followed globally
  5070. 3:17:33the most common form of z table with
  5071. 3:17:36positive z scores is shown here
  5072. 3:17:39the value of a called the percentage
  5073. 3:17:41point is given along the borders of the
  5074. 3:17:44table in bold and is to two decimal
  5075. 3:17:47places
  5076. 3:17:48the values in the main table are the
  5077. 3:17:50probabilities that z is between 0 and
  5078. 3:17:53plus a
  5079. 3:17:55note that the values running down the
  5080. 3:17:57table are to one decimal place
  5081. 3:18:00the numbers along the column change only
  5082. 3:18:02for the second decimal place
  5083. 3:18:04let us look at some examples and how to
  5084. 3:18:07use a z table in the following screen
  5085. 3:18:11let us find the value of p of z less
  5086. 3:18:14than zero
  5087. 3:18:15the table is not needed to find the
  5088. 3:18:17answer once we know that the variable z
  5089. 3:18:20takes a value less than or equal to zero
  5090. 3:18:24first the area under the curve is one
  5091. 3:18:26and second the curve is symmetrical
  5092. 3:18:29about z equals zero
  5093. 3:18:31hence there is 0.5 or 50 percent above
  5094. 3:18:35chance of z equals zero and zero point
  5095. 3:18:37five or fifty percent below chance of z
  5096. 3:18:41equals zero
  5097. 3:18:43let us find the value of p of z greater
  5098. 3:18:46than one point one two
  5099. 3:18:48in this case the chance of z is greater
  5100. 3:18:51than a number in this case 1.12
  5101. 3:18:54you can find this by using the following
  5102. 3:18:57fact
  5103. 3:18:58the opposite or complement of an event
  5104. 3:19:00of a is the event of not a
  5105. 3:19:03that is the opposite or complement of
  5106. 3:19:05event a occurring is the event a not
  5107. 3:19:08occurring
  5108. 3:19:10its probability is given by p of not
  5109. 3:19:12equal a equals one minus p of a
  5110. 3:19:16in other words p of z greater than 1.12
  5111. 3:19:19is 1 minus the opposite
  5112. 3:19:21which is p of z lesser than 1.12
  5113. 3:19:25using the table p of z less than 1.12
  5114. 3:19:29equals 0.5 plus p of 0 less than z less
  5115. 3:19:34than 1.12 equals 0.5 plus
  5116. 3:19:380.3686
  5117. 3:19:40which is
  5118. 3:19:410.8686
  5119. 3:19:43hence the answer is p of z greater than
  5120. 3:19:461.12 equals 1 minus
  5121. 3:19:490.8686 which is
  5122. 3:19:520.1314
  5123. 3:19:54note the answer is less than 0.5
  5124. 3:19:58let us find the value of p of z lies
  5125. 3:20:01between 0 and 1.12
  5126. 3:20:04in this case where z falls within an
  5127. 3:20:06interval the probability can be read
  5128. 3:20:08straight off the table
  5129. 3:20:10p of z lies between 0 and 1.12 equals
  5130. 3:20:140.3686
  5131. 3:20:17we will learn about chi-square
  5132. 3:20:18distribution in this screen
  5133. 3:20:21chi-square distribution is also known as
  5134. 3:20:24chi squared or chi-square
  5135. 3:20:26distribution chi squared with k minus 1
  5136. 3:20:29degrees of freedom is the distribution
  5137. 3:20:32of a sum of the squares of k independent
  5138. 3:20:35standard normal random variables
  5139. 3:20:38the chi-square distribution is one of
  5140. 3:20:40the most widely used probability
  5141. 3:20:42distributions in inferential statistics
  5142. 3:20:46it is also known as hypothesis testing
  5143. 3:20:49and the distribution is used in
  5144. 3:20:50hypothesis tests
  5145. 3:20:52when used in hypothesis tests it only
  5146. 3:20:55needs one sample for the test to be
  5147. 3:20:57conducted
  5148. 3:20:58conventionally degree of freedom is k
  5149. 3:21:01minus one
  5150. 3:21:02where k is the sample size
  5151. 3:21:05for example if w x y and z are four
  5152. 3:21:08random variables with standard normal
  5153. 3:21:11distributions
  5154. 3:21:12then the random variable f
  5155. 3:21:15which is the sum of w square x square y
  5156. 3:21:18square and z square has a chi-square
  5157. 3:21:21distribution
  5158. 3:21:22the degrees of the freedom of the
  5159. 3:21:24distribution df equals the number of
  5160. 3:21:26normally distributed variables used
  5161. 3:21:29in this case df is equal to four
  5162. 3:21:33let us look at the formula to calculate
  5163. 3:21:35chi-square distribution in the following
  5164. 3:21:37screen
  5165. 3:21:39chi-square calculated or sigma or the
  5166. 3:21:43chi-square index equals f of o minus f
  5167. 3:21:47of e whole square divided by f of e
  5168. 3:21:50here f of o stands for an observed
  5169. 3:21:53frequency and f of e stands for an
  5170. 3:21:56expected frequency determined through a
  5171. 3:21:58contingency table
  5172. 3:22:00let us understand t distribution in the
  5173. 3:22:03next screen
  5174. 3:22:04the t distribution method is the most
  5175. 3:22:07appropriate method to be used in the
  5176. 3:22:09following situations
  5177. 3:22:11when you have a sample size of less than
  5178. 3:22:1330 when the population standard
  5179. 3:22:16deviation is not known
  5180. 3:22:18when the population is approximately
  5181. 3:22:20normal
  5182. 3:22:21unlike the normal distribution a t
  5183. 3:22:24distribution is lower at the mean and
  5184. 3:22:26higher at the tails as seen in the image
  5185. 3:22:30t distribution is used for hypothesis
  5186. 3:22:32testing also as seen in the image the t
  5187. 3:22:36distribution is symmetrical in shape but
  5188. 3:22:39flatter than the normal distribution
  5189. 3:22:42as the sample size increases the t
  5190. 3:22:45distribution approaches normality
  5191. 3:22:47for every possible sample size or
  5192. 3:22:50degrees of freedom there is a different
  5193. 3:22:53t distribution
  5194. 3:22:54let us learn about f distribution in the
  5195. 3:22:57following screen
  5196. 3:23:00the f distribution is a ratio of two
  5197. 3:23:03chi-square distributions
  5198. 3:23:05a specific f distribution is denoted by
  5199. 3:23:08the ratio of the degrees of freedom for
  5200. 3:23:11the numerator chi-square
  5201. 3:23:13and the degrees of freedom for the
  5202. 3:23:15denominator chi-square
  5203. 3:23:17the f-test is performed to calculate and
  5204. 3:23:20observe if the standard deviations or
  5205. 3:23:23variances of two processes are
  5206. 3:23:25significantly different
  5207. 3:23:27the project teams are usually concerned
  5208. 3:23:30about reducing the process variance
  5209. 3:23:33as per the formula f calculated equals
  5210. 3:23:36s1 square divided by s2 square where s1
  5211. 3:23:40and s2 are the standard deviations of
  5212. 3:23:43the two samples
  5213. 3:23:45if the f calculated is one it implies
  5214. 3:23:48there is no difference in the variance
  5215. 3:23:51if s1 is greater than s2
  5216. 3:23:54then the numerator must be greater than
  5217. 3:23:57the denominator
  5218. 3:23:58in other words df1 equals n1 minus 1 and
  5219. 3:24:03df2 equals n2 minus 1.
  5220. 3:24:07from the f distribution table you can
  5221. 3:24:10easily find out the critical f
  5222. 3:24:12distribution at alpha and the degrees of
  5223. 3:24:14freedom of the samples of two different
  5224. 3:24:17processes df1 and df2
  5225. 3:24:20let us proceed to the next topic of this
  5226. 3:24:23lesson in the following screen
  5227. 3:24:26in this topic we will discuss collecting
  5228. 3:24:28and summarizing data in detail
  5229. 3:24:31let us learn about types of data in the
  5230. 3:24:33following screen
  5231. 3:24:35data is objective information which
  5232. 3:24:38everyone can agree on it is a collection
  5233. 3:24:41of facts from which conclusions may be
  5234. 3:24:43drawn
  5235. 3:24:44the two types of data are attribute data
  5236. 3:24:47and variable data
  5237. 3:24:49click each type to know more
  5238. 3:24:52discrete data is data that can be
  5239. 3:24:54counted and only includes numbers such
  5240. 3:24:57as two forty or thousand fifty
  5241. 3:25:00attribute data is commonly called pass
  5242. 3:25:03fail or good bad data
  5243. 3:25:06attribute or discrete data cannot be
  5244. 3:25:09broken down into a smaller unit
  5245. 3:25:11meaningfully
  5246. 3:25:12it answers questions such as how many
  5247. 3:25:15how often or what type
  5248. 3:25:17some examples of attribute data are
  5249. 3:25:20number of defective products percentage
  5250. 3:25:22of defective products
  5251. 3:25:25frequency at which a machine is repaired
  5252. 3:25:27or the type of award received
  5253. 3:25:32any data that can be measured on a
  5254. 3:25:34continuous scale is continuous or
  5255. 3:25:37variable data
  5256. 3:25:38this type of data answers questions such
  5257. 3:25:41as how long what volume or how far
  5258. 3:25:45examples of continuous data include
  5259. 3:25:48height weight
  5260. 3:25:49time taken to complete a task
  5261. 3:25:52temperature and so on
  5262. 3:25:55let us understand the importance of
  5263. 3:25:56selecting the data type in this screen
  5264. 3:26:00deciding the data type facilitates
  5265. 3:26:02analysis and interpretation
  5266. 3:26:05therefore the first step in the measure
  5267. 3:26:07phase is to determine what type of data
  5268. 3:26:10should be collected
  5269. 3:26:11this can be done by considering the
  5270. 3:26:13following
  5271. 3:26:15the first consideration is to identify
  5272. 3:26:17what is already known
  5273. 3:26:19for this the values already identified
  5274. 3:26:21for the process are listed
  5275. 3:26:24these include critical to quality
  5276. 3:26:26parameters or ctq's
  5277. 3:26:28key process output variables or
  5278. 3:26:31kpovs
  5279. 3:26:33and the key process input variable or
  5280. 3:26:36kpivs
  5281. 3:26:38next to understand how to proceed with
  5282. 3:26:41the data gathered it is necessary to
  5283. 3:26:43determine the data type that fits the
  5284. 3:26:45metrics for the key variables identified
  5285. 3:26:49the question now arises
  5286. 3:26:51why should the data type be identified
  5287. 3:26:54this is important as it enables the
  5288. 3:26:57right set of data to be collected
  5289. 3:27:00analyzed and used to draw inferences
  5290. 3:27:03it is not advisable to convert one type
  5291. 3:27:06of data into another
  5292. 3:27:08converting attribute data to variable
  5293. 3:27:10data is difficult and requires
  5294. 3:27:13assumptions to be made about the process
  5295. 3:27:16it may also require additional data
  5296. 3:27:18gathering including retesting units
  5297. 3:27:21let us look at measurement scales in the
  5298. 3:27:23following screen
  5299. 3:27:26there are four measurement scales
  5300. 3:27:28arranged in the table in increasing
  5301. 3:27:30order of their statistical desirability
  5302. 3:27:33in the nominal scale the data consists
  5303. 3:27:36of only names or categories and there is
  5304. 3:27:38no possibility of ordering
  5305. 3:27:41an example of this type of measurement
  5306. 3:27:43can be a bag of colored balls which
  5307. 3:27:46contains ten green balls five black
  5308. 3:27:49balls eight yellow balls and nine white
  5309. 3:27:52balls
  5310. 3:27:53this is the least informative of all
  5311. 3:27:55scales
  5312. 3:27:56the most appropriate measure of central
  5313. 3:27:58tendency for this scale is mode
  5314. 3:28:01in the ordinal or ranking scale data is
  5315. 3:28:04arranged in order and values can be
  5316. 3:28:06compared with each other
  5317. 3:28:08an example of this scale can be the
  5318. 3:28:10ratings given to different restaurants
  5319. 3:28:13three for a five for b
  5320. 3:28:15two for c and four for d
  5321. 3:28:18the central tendency for this scale is
  5322. 3:28:21median or mode the interval scale is
  5323. 3:28:24used for ranking items in step order
  5324. 3:28:26along a scale of equidistant points
  5325. 3:28:29for example the temperatures of three
  5326. 3:28:32metal rods are 100 degrees 200 degrees
  5327. 3:28:35and 600 degrees fahrenheit respectively
  5328. 3:28:39note that three times 200 degrees is not
  5329. 3:28:42the same as 600 degrees as a temperature
  5330. 3:28:44measurement
  5331. 3:28:46the central tendency here is mean median
  5332. 3:28:49or mode
  5333. 3:28:50mean is used if the data does not have
  5334. 3:28:52any outliers
  5335. 3:28:54the ratio scale represents variable data
  5336. 3:28:57and is measured against a known standard
  5337. 3:28:59or increment
  5338. 3:29:01however this scale also has an absolute
  5339. 3:29:04zero that is no numbers exist below zero
  5340. 3:29:08an example of the ratio scale are
  5341. 3:29:10physical measures where height weight
  5342. 3:29:12and electric charge represent ratio
  5343. 3:29:15scale data
  5344. 3:29:16note that negative length is not
  5345. 3:29:18possible
  5346. 3:29:19again here you would use mean median or
  5347. 3:29:22mode as the central tendency measure
  5348. 3:29:26in the next screen we will learn about
  5349. 3:29:28assuring data accuracy
  5350. 3:29:31to ensure data is accurate sampling
  5351. 3:29:34techniques are used
  5352. 3:29:36sampling is the process act or technique
  5353. 3:29:39of selecting an appropriate test group
  5354. 3:29:41or sample from a larger population
  5355. 3:29:44it is preferable to survey 100 people to
  5356. 3:29:47surveying 10 000 people
  5357. 3:29:50sampling saves the time money and effort
  5358. 3:29:52involved in collecting data
  5359. 3:29:54the three types of sampling techniques
  5360. 3:29:56described here are random sampling
  5361. 3:30:00sequential sampling and stratified
  5362. 3:30:02sampling
  5363. 3:30:03click each type to know more
  5364. 3:30:07random sampling is the technique where a
  5365. 3:30:09group of subjects or a sample for study
  5366. 3:30:12is selected from a larger group or
  5367. 3:30:14population at random
  5368. 3:30:18sequential sampling is similar to
  5369. 3:30:20multiple sampling plans except that it
  5370. 3:30:22can in theory continue indefinitely
  5371. 3:30:26in other words it is a non-probability
  5372. 3:30:28sampling technique wherein the
  5373. 3:30:30researcher picks a single subject or a
  5374. 3:30:33group of subjects in a given time
  5375. 3:30:35interval conducts the study analyzes the
  5376. 3:30:38results and then picks another group of
  5377. 3:30:41subjects if needed and so on
  5378. 3:30:44in stratified sampling the idea is to
  5379. 3:30:47take samples from subgroups of a
  5380. 3:30:49population
  5381. 3:30:51this technique gives an accurate
  5382. 3:30:52estimate of the population parameter
  5383. 3:30:56in this screen we will compare simple
  5384. 3:30:58random sampling with stratified sampling
  5385. 3:31:02simple random sampling is easy to do
  5386. 3:31:05while stratified sampling takes a lot of
  5387. 3:31:07time
  5388. 3:31:08the possibility of simple random
  5389. 3:31:11sampling giving erroneous results is
  5390. 3:31:13very high
  5391. 3:31:15while stratified sampling minimizes the
  5392. 3:31:17chances of error
  5393. 3:31:19simple random sampling doesn't have the
  5394. 3:31:22power to show possible causes of
  5395. 3:31:24variation while stratified sampling if
  5396. 3:31:27done correctly will show assignable
  5397. 3:31:29causes
  5398. 3:31:31in the next screen we will look at the
  5399. 3:31:33check sheet method of collecting data
  5400. 3:31:36the process of collecting data is
  5401. 3:31:38expensive wrongly collected data leading
  5402. 3:31:41to wrong analysis and inferences results
  5403. 3:31:44in resources being wasted
  5404. 3:31:47a check sheet is a structured form
  5405. 3:31:49prepared to collect and analyze data
  5406. 3:31:52it is a generic tool that is relatively
  5407. 3:31:54simple to use and can be adopted for a
  5408. 3:31:57variety of purposes
  5409. 3:31:59check sheets are used when the data can
  5410. 3:32:01be observed and collected repeatedly by
  5411. 3:32:04the same person or at the same location
  5412. 3:32:07they are also used while collecting data
  5413. 3:32:10from a production process
  5414. 3:32:12a common example is calculating the
  5415. 3:32:14number of absentees in a company
  5416. 3:32:17the table shows absentee data collected
  5417. 3:32:20for a week
  5418. 3:32:21we will discuss data coding and its
  5419. 3:32:24advantages in the following screen
  5420. 3:32:27data coding is a process of converting
  5421. 3:32:30and condensing raw data into categories
  5422. 3:32:33and sets so that the data can be used
  5423. 3:32:35for further analysis
  5424. 3:32:37the benefits of data coding are listed
  5425. 3:32:39here
  5426. 3:32:41data coding simplifies the large
  5427. 3:32:43quantity of data that is collected from
  5428. 3:32:45sources
  5429. 3:32:46the large amount of data makes analysis
  5430. 3:32:49and drawing conclusions difficult
  5431. 3:32:51it leads to chaos and ambiguity
  5432. 3:32:54data coding simplifies the data by
  5433. 3:32:56coding it into variables and then
  5434. 3:32:59categorizing these variables
  5435. 3:33:02raw data cannot be easily entered into
  5436. 3:33:04computers for analysis
  5437. 3:33:06data coding is used to convert raw data
  5438. 3:33:09into process data that can be easily fed
  5439. 3:33:12into computing systems for calculation
  5440. 3:33:15and analysis
  5441. 3:33:17coding of data makes it easy to analyze
  5442. 3:33:20the data
  5443. 3:33:21converted data can either be analyzed
  5444. 3:33:23directly or fed into computers
  5445. 3:33:26the analyst can easily draw conclusions
  5446. 3:33:28when all the data is categorized and
  5447. 3:33:31computerized
  5448. 3:33:33data coding also enables organized
  5449. 3:33:35representation of data
  5450. 3:33:37division of data into categories helps
  5451. 3:33:40organize large chunks of information
  5452. 3:33:43thus making analysis and interpretation
  5453. 3:33:45easier data coding also ensures that
  5454. 3:33:48data repetition does not occur and
  5455. 3:33:51duplicate entries are eliminated so that
  5456. 3:33:53the final result is not affected in the
  5457. 3:33:56following screen we will discuss
  5458. 3:33:58measures of central tendency of the
  5459. 3:34:00descriptive statistics in detail
  5460. 3:34:04a measure of central tendency is a
  5461. 3:34:06single value that indicates the central
  5462. 3:34:09point in a set of data and helps in
  5463. 3:34:11identifying data trends the three most
  5464. 3:34:14commonly used measures of the central
  5465. 3:34:17tendency are mean median and mode
  5466. 3:34:21click each measure to know more
  5467. 3:34:24mean is the most common measure of
  5468. 3:34:26central tendency it is the sum of all
  5469. 3:34:29the data values divided by the number of
  5470. 3:34:32data points
  5471. 3:34:33also called arithmetic mean or average
  5472. 3:34:36it is the most widely used measure of
  5473. 3:34:38central tendency
  5474. 3:34:41also known as positional mean median is
  5475. 3:34:44the number present in the middle of the
  5476. 3:34:46data set when the numbers are arranged
  5477. 3:34:48in ascending or descending order
  5478. 3:34:52if the data set has an even number of
  5479. 3:34:54entries then the median is the mean of
  5480. 3:34:56the two middle numbers
  5481. 3:34:59median can also be calculated by the
  5482. 3:35:01formula n plus one divided by two
  5483. 3:35:04where n is the number of entries
  5484. 3:35:08mode also known as frequency mean is the
  5485. 3:35:11value that occurs most frequently in a
  5486. 3:35:14set of data
  5487. 3:35:15data sets that have more than one mode
  5488. 3:35:18are known as bimodal data
  5489. 3:35:22let us look at an example for
  5490. 3:35:24determining mean median and mode in this
  5491. 3:35:27screen
  5492. 3:35:28the data set has the numbers one two
  5493. 3:35:31three four five five six seven and eight
  5494. 3:35:36click the button to know the answer
  5495. 3:35:39as previously defined
  5496. 3:35:41mean is the sum of all the data items
  5497. 3:35:44divided by the number of items
  5498. 3:35:46therefore the mean is equal to 41
  5499. 3:35:49divided by 9 which is equal to four
  5500. 3:35:52point five six
  5501. 3:35:54the number in the middle of the data set
  5502. 3:35:56is five
  5503. 3:35:57therefore the median is five
  5504. 3:36:00mode is the most frequently occurring
  5505. 3:36:02number which is again five
  5506. 3:36:05in this screen we will understand the
  5507. 3:36:07effect of outliers on the data set
  5508. 3:36:10let us consider a minor change to the
  5509. 3:36:13data set a new number 100 is added to
  5510. 3:36:16the data set
  5511. 3:36:18on using the same formula to calculate
  5512. 3:36:20mean
  5513. 3:36:21the new mean is
  5514. 3:36:2315.11
  5515. 3:36:24ideally 50 percent of values should lie
  5516. 3:36:27on either side of the mean value
  5517. 3:36:30however in this example it can be seen
  5518. 3:36:33that almost 90 percent of values lie
  5519. 3:36:35below the mean value of 15.11
  5520. 3:36:39and only one value above the mean
  5521. 3:36:42the data point 100 is called an outlier
  5522. 3:36:46an outlier is an extreme value in the
  5523. 3:36:48data set that skews the mean value to
  5524. 3:36:51one side of the data set
  5525. 3:36:53note that the median remains unchanged
  5526. 3:36:55at five therefore mean is not an
  5527. 3:36:58appropriate measure of central tendency
  5528. 3:37:01if the data has outliers
  5529. 3:37:03median is preferred in this case
  5530. 3:37:06in the next screen we will look at
  5531. 3:37:07measures of dispersion of the
  5532. 3:37:09descriptive statistics
  5533. 3:37:12apart from central tendency another
  5534. 3:37:15important parameter to describe a data
  5535. 3:37:17set is spread or dispersion
  5536. 3:37:20contrary to the measures of central
  5537. 3:37:22tendency such as mean median and mode
  5538. 3:37:26measures of dispersion express the
  5539. 3:37:28spread of values
  5540. 3:37:30higher the variation of data points
  5541. 3:37:32higher the spread of the data
  5542. 3:37:35the three main measures of dispersion
  5543. 3:37:37are range
  5544. 3:37:38variance and standard deviation
  5545. 3:37:41we will discuss each of these in the
  5546. 3:37:44upcoming screens
  5547. 3:37:46let us start with the first measure of
  5548. 3:37:48dispersion range
  5549. 3:37:50the range of a particular set of data is
  5550. 3:37:52defined as the difference between the
  5551. 3:37:54largest and smallest values of the data
  5552. 3:37:58in the example the largest value of the
  5553. 3:38:01data is nine and the smallest value is
  5554. 3:38:04one
  5555. 3:38:05therefore the range is nine minus one
  5556. 3:38:08eight
  5557. 3:38:09in calculating range all the data points
  5558. 3:38:11are not needed and only the maximum and
  5559. 3:38:14minimum values are required
  5560. 3:38:17let us understand the next measure of
  5561. 3:38:19dispersion variance in the following
  5562. 3:38:22screen
  5563. 3:38:25the variance denoted as sigma square or
  5564. 3:38:28s square
  5565. 3:38:29is defined as the average of squared
  5566. 3:38:32mean differences
  5567. 3:38:33and shows the variation in a data set
  5568. 3:38:37to calculate the variance for a sample
  5569. 3:38:39data set of 10 numbers type the numbers
  5570. 3:38:42in an excel sheet calculate the variance
  5571. 3:38:45using the formula equals v-a-r-p or
  5572. 3:38:48v-a-r-s
  5573. 3:38:51the v-a-r-p formula gives the population
  5574. 3:38:54variance which is 7.24 for this example
  5575. 3:38:58the v a r s formula gives the sample
  5576. 3:39:01variance 8.04
  5577. 3:39:05population variance is calculated when
  5578. 3:39:07the data set is for the entire
  5579. 3:39:09population and sample variance is
  5580. 3:39:11calculated when data is available only
  5581. 3:39:14for a sample of the population
  5582. 3:39:16population variance is preferred over
  5583. 3:39:19sample variance as the latter is only an
  5584. 3:39:22estimate
  5585. 3:39:23sample variance allows for a broader
  5586. 3:39:25range of possible answers for the true
  5587. 3:39:28mean of the population
  5588. 3:39:29that is the confidence levels are higher
  5589. 3:39:32in sample variance
  5590. 3:39:34note that variance is a measure of
  5591. 3:39:36variation and cannot be considered as
  5592. 3:39:38the variation in a data set
  5593. 3:39:41in the following screen we will
  5594. 3:39:43understand the next measure of
  5595. 3:39:44dispersion
  5596. 3:39:46standard deviation
  5597. 3:39:48standard deviation denoted by sigma or s
  5598. 3:39:52is given by the square root of variance
  5599. 3:39:55the statistical notation of this is
  5600. 3:39:57given on screen
  5601. 3:39:59standard deviation is the most important
  5602. 3:40:01measure of dispersion
  5603. 3:40:03standard deviation is always relative to
  5604. 3:40:06the mean
  5605. 3:40:07for the same data set the population
  5606. 3:40:10standard deviation is 2.69
  5607. 3:40:13and sample standard deviation is 2.83
  5608. 3:40:17as in variance calculation if the data
  5609. 3:40:20set is measured for every unit in a
  5610. 3:40:22population
  5611. 3:40:23the population standard deviation and
  5612. 3:40:26sample standard deviation can be
  5613. 3:40:28calculated in excel using the formula
  5614. 3:40:31given on the screen
  5615. 3:40:33the steps to manually calculate the
  5616. 3:40:35standard deviation are
  5617. 3:40:38first calculate the mean
  5618. 3:40:40then calculate the difference between
  5619. 3:40:43each data point and the mean and square
  5620. 3:40:45that answer
  5621. 3:40:47next calculate the sum of the squares
  5622. 3:40:50next divide the sum of the squares by n
  5623. 3:40:53or n minus 1 to find the variance
  5624. 3:40:57lastly find the square root of variance
  5625. 3:40:59which gives the standard deviation
  5626. 3:41:02in the next screen we will look at
  5627. 3:41:04frequency distribution of the
  5628. 3:41:05descriptive statistics
  5629. 3:41:08frequency distribution is a method of
  5630. 3:41:10grouping data into mutually exclusive
  5631. 3:41:13categories showing the number of
  5632. 3:41:14observations in each class
  5633. 3:41:17an example is presented to demonstrate
  5634. 3:41:20frequency distribution
  5635. 3:41:22a survey was conducted among the
  5636. 3:41:24residents of a particular area to
  5637. 3:41:26collect data on cars owned by each home
  5638. 3:41:30a total of 20 homes were surveyed
  5639. 3:41:33to create a frequency table for the
  5640. 3:41:35results collected in the survey
  5641. 3:41:37the first step is to divide the results
  5642. 3:41:39into intervals and count the number of
  5643. 3:41:42results in each interval
  5644. 3:41:44for instance in this example
  5645. 3:41:47the intervals would be the number of
  5646. 3:41:48households with no car
  5647. 3:41:51one car
  5648. 3:41:52two cars and so on
  5649. 3:41:55next a table is created with separate
  5650. 3:41:57columns for the intervals the tallied
  5651. 3:42:00results for each interval and the number
  5652. 3:42:02of occurrences or frequency of results
  5653. 3:42:05in each interval
  5654. 3:42:07each result for a given interval is
  5655. 3:42:09recorded with a tally mark in the second
  5656. 3:42:11column the tally marks for each interval
  5657. 3:42:14are added and the sum is entered in the
  5658. 3:42:16frequency column
  5659. 3:42:18the frequency table allows viewing
  5660. 3:42:20distribution of data across a set of
  5661. 3:42:22values at a glance in the following
  5662. 3:42:24screen we will look at cumulative
  5663. 3:42:27frequency distribution
  5664. 3:42:29a cumulative frequency distribution
  5665. 3:42:32table is similar to the frequency
  5666. 3:42:34distribution table only more detailed
  5667. 3:42:37there are additional columns for
  5668. 3:42:39cumulative frequency percentage and
  5669. 3:42:42cumulative percentage
  5670. 3:42:44in the cumulative frequency column the
  5671. 3:42:46cumulative frequency or the previous row
  5672. 3:42:49or rows is added to the current row
  5673. 3:42:52the percentage is calculated by dividing
  5674. 3:42:54the frequency by the total number of
  5675. 3:42:56results and multiplying by one hundred
  5676. 3:42:59the cumulative percentage is calculated
  5677. 3:43:02similar to the cumulative frequency
  5678. 3:43:06let us look at an example for cumulative
  5679. 3:43:08frequency distribution
  5680. 3:43:11the ages of all the participants in a
  5681. 3:43:13chess tournament are recorded
  5682. 3:43:16the lowest age is 37 and the highest is
  5683. 3:43:1991.
  5684. 3:43:20keeping intervals of 10
  5685. 3:43:23the lowest interval starts with the
  5686. 3:43:24lower limit as 35
  5687. 3:43:27and the upper limit as 44.
  5688. 3:43:30similar intervals are created until an
  5689. 3:43:32upper limit of ninety four
  5690. 3:43:34in the frequency column the number of
  5691. 3:43:37times a result appears in a particular
  5692. 3:43:40interval is recorded in the cumulative
  5693. 3:43:42frequency column the cumulative
  5694. 3:43:44frequency of the previous row is added
  5695. 3:43:46to the frequency of the current row
  5696. 3:43:49for the first row the cumulative
  5697. 3:43:51frequency is the same as the frequency
  5698. 3:43:54in the second row the cumulative
  5699. 3:43:56frequency is one plus two which is three
  5700. 3:43:59and so on
  5701. 3:44:01in the percentage column the percentage
  5702. 3:44:03of the frequency is listed by dividing
  5703. 3:44:06the frequency by the total number of
  5704. 3:44:08results which is 10 and multiplying the
  5705. 3:44:11value by 100
  5706. 3:44:13for instance in the first row the
  5707. 3:44:15frequency is one and the number of
  5708. 3:44:18results is ten
  5709. 3:44:20therefore the percentage is ten the
  5710. 3:44:22final column is the cumulative
  5711. 3:44:24percentage column in this column the
  5712. 3:44:27cumulative frequency is divided by the
  5713. 3:44:29total number of results which is ten and
  5714. 3:44:32the value is multiplied by hundred
  5715. 3:44:35note that the last number in this column
  5716. 3:44:37should be equal to one hundred in this
  5717. 3:44:39example the cumulative frequency is one
  5718. 3:44:42and the total number of results is ten
  5719. 3:44:45therefore the cumulative percentage of
  5720. 3:44:47the first row is ten
  5721. 3:44:49let us look at the stem and leaf plots
  5722. 3:44:52which is one of the graphical methods of
  5723. 3:44:54understanding distribution
  5724. 3:44:56graphical methods are extremely useful
  5725. 3:44:59tools to understand how data is
  5726. 3:45:01distributed
  5727. 3:45:02sometimes merely by looking at the data
  5728. 3:45:04distribution errors in a process can be
  5729. 3:45:07identified
  5730. 3:45:09the stem and leaf method is a convenient
  5731. 3:45:11method of manually plotting data sets
  5732. 3:45:14it is used for presenting data in a
  5733. 3:45:16graphical format to assist visualizing
  5734. 3:45:19the shape of a given distribution
  5735. 3:45:22in the example on the screen the
  5736. 3:45:24temperatures in fahrenheit for the month
  5737. 3:45:26of may are given
  5738. 3:45:28to collate this information in a stem
  5739. 3:45:30and leaf plot
  5740. 3:45:31all the tens digits are entered in the
  5741. 3:45:33stem column and all the units digits
  5742. 3:45:36against each tens digit are entered in
  5743. 3:45:38the leaf column to start with the lowest
  5744. 3:45:41value is considered
  5745. 3:45:42in this case the lowest temperature is
  5746. 3:45:4551.
  5747. 3:45:46in the first row five is entered in the
  5748. 3:45:48stem column and zero in the leaf column
  5749. 3:45:52the next lowest temperature is 58.
  5750. 3:45:54eight is entered in the leaf column
  5751. 3:45:56corresponding to five in the stem
  5752. 3:45:59the next number is fifty-nine
  5753. 3:46:01all the temperatures falling in the
  5754. 3:46:03fifties are similarly entered
  5755. 3:46:05in the next row the same process is
  5756. 3:46:07repeated for temperatures in the sixties
  5757. 3:46:10this is continued till all the
  5758. 3:46:12temperature values are entered in the
  5759. 3:46:14table
  5760. 3:46:16let us understand another graphical
  5761. 3:46:18method in the next screen
  5762. 3:46:20box and whisker plots
  5763. 3:46:23a box and whisker graph based on medians
  5764. 3:46:26or quartiles is used to display a data
  5765. 3:46:29set in a way that allows viewing the
  5766. 3:46:30distribution of the data points easily
  5767. 3:46:33consider the following example the
  5768. 3:46:36lengths of 13 fish caught in a lake were
  5769. 3:46:39measured and recorded
  5770. 3:46:40the data set is given on the screen
  5771. 3:46:43the first step to draw a box and whisker
  5772. 3:46:45plot is therefore to arrange the numbers
  5773. 3:46:48in increasing order next find the median
  5774. 3:46:51as there is an odd number of data
  5775. 3:46:54entries the median is the number in the
  5776. 3:46:56middle of the data set which in this
  5777. 3:46:58case is 12.
  5778. 3:47:00the next step is to find the lower
  5779. 3:47:02median or quartile
  5780. 3:47:04this is the median of the lower six
  5781. 3:47:06numbers
  5782. 3:47:07the middle of these numbers is halfway
  5783. 3:47:09between 8 and 9 which would be 8.5
  5784. 3:47:13similarly the upper median or quartile
  5785. 3:47:16is located for the upper six numbers to
  5786. 3:47:18the right of the median the upper median
  5787. 3:47:21is halfway between the two values
  5788. 3:47:23fourteen and fourteen
  5789. 3:47:25therefore the upper median is fourteen
  5790. 3:47:29let us now understand how the box and
  5791. 3:47:31whisker chart is drawn using the values
  5792. 3:47:34of the median and upper and lower
  5793. 3:47:36quartiles
  5794. 3:47:37the next step is a numbered line is
  5795. 3:47:39drawn extending far enough to include
  5796. 3:47:42all the data points
  5797. 3:47:44then a vertical line is drawn from the
  5798. 3:47:46median point 12.
  5799. 3:47:48the lower and upper quartiles 8.5 and 14
  5800. 3:47:52respectively are marked with vertical
  5801. 3:47:54lines and these are joined with the
  5802. 3:47:56median line to form two boxes as shown
  5803. 3:47:59on the screen
  5804. 3:48:00next two whiskers are extended from
  5805. 3:48:03either ends of the boxes as shown to the
  5806. 3:48:05smallest and largest numbers in the data
  5807. 3:48:07set
  5808. 3:48:085 and 20 respectively
  5809. 3:48:10the box and whiskers graph is now
  5810. 3:48:13complete the following inferences can be
  5811. 3:48:16drawn from the box and whisker plot
  5812. 3:48:18the lengths of the fish range from five
  5813. 3:48:20to twenty the range is therefore fifteen
  5814. 3:48:24the quartiles split the data into four
  5815. 3:48:27equal parts
  5816. 3:48:28in other words one quarter of the data
  5817. 3:48:30numbers is less than 8.5
  5818. 3:48:33one quarter between 8.5 and 12
  5819. 3:48:36next quarter of the data numbers are
  5820. 3:48:38between 12 and 14
  5821. 3:48:40and another quarter has data numbers
  5822. 3:48:43greater than 14.
  5823. 3:48:46in this screen we will learn about
  5824. 3:48:48another graphical method scatter
  5825. 3:48:50diagrams
  5826. 3:48:52a scatter diagram or scatter plot is a
  5827. 3:48:55tool used to analyze the relationship or
  5828. 3:48:58correlation between two sets of
  5829. 3:49:00variables x and y
  5830. 3:49:02with x as the independent variable and y
  5831. 3:49:05as the dependent variable
  5832. 3:49:07a scatter diagram is also useful when
  5833. 3:49:10cause effect relationships have to be
  5834. 3:49:12examined or root causes have to be
  5835. 3:49:15identified
  5836. 3:49:16there are five different types of
  5837. 3:49:18correlation that can be used in a
  5838. 3:49:20scatter diagram
  5839. 3:49:22let us learn about them in the next
  5840. 3:49:23screen
  5841. 3:49:26the five types of correlation are
  5842. 3:49:28perfect positive correlation moderate
  5843. 3:49:31positive correlation
  5844. 3:49:32no relation or no correlation
  5845. 3:49:35moderate negative correlation
  5846. 3:49:37and perfect negative correlation
  5847. 3:49:40click each type to learn more
  5848. 3:49:43in perfect positive correlation the
  5849. 3:49:46value of dependent variable y increases
  5850. 3:49:49proportionally with any increase in the
  5851. 3:49:51value of independent variable x
  5852. 3:49:54this is said to be one is to one
  5853. 3:49:57that is any change in one variable
  5854. 3:49:59results in an equal amount of change in
  5855. 3:50:02the other
  5856. 3:50:03the following example is presented to
  5857. 3:50:05demonstrate perfect positive correlation
  5858. 3:50:08the consumption of milk is found to
  5859. 3:50:11increase proportionally with an increase
  5860. 3:50:13in the consumption of coffee
  5861. 3:50:15the data is presented in the table on
  5862. 3:50:17the screen
  5863. 3:50:19the scatter diagram for the data is also
  5864. 3:50:21shown
  5865. 3:50:22it can be observed from the graph that
  5866. 3:50:24as x increases y also increases
  5867. 3:50:28proportionally
  5868. 3:50:29hence the points are linear
  5869. 3:50:33in this type of correlation as the value
  5870. 3:50:36of the x variable increases the value of
  5871. 3:50:39y also increases but not in the same
  5872. 3:50:42proportion
  5873. 3:50:44to demonstrate this the following
  5874. 3:50:46example is presented the increase in
  5875. 3:50:49savings for increase in salary is shown
  5876. 3:50:51in the table
  5877. 3:50:53as you can notice in the scatter diagram
  5878. 3:50:56the points are not linear
  5879. 3:50:58although the value of y increases with
  5880. 3:51:01increase in the value of x the increase
  5881. 3:51:04is not proportional
  5882. 3:51:07when a change in one variable has no
  5883. 3:51:10impact on the other
  5884. 3:51:11there is no relation or correlation
  5885. 3:51:14between them
  5886. 3:51:15let us consider the following example
  5887. 3:51:18to study the relation between the number
  5888. 3:51:20of fresh graduates in the city and the
  5889. 3:51:23job openings available
  5890. 3:51:25data for both was collected over a few
  5891. 3:51:27months and tabulated as shown
  5892. 3:51:30the scatter diagram for the same is also
  5893. 3:51:32displayed
  5894. 3:51:34it can be observed that the data points
  5895. 3:51:36are scattered and there is no trend
  5896. 3:51:38emerging from the graph
  5897. 3:51:40therefore there is no correlation
  5898. 3:51:42between the number of fresh graduates
  5899. 3:51:45and the number of job openings in the
  5900. 3:51:47city
  5901. 3:51:50in moderate negative correlation an
  5902. 3:51:52increase in one variable results in a
  5903. 3:51:55decrease in the other variable however
  5904. 3:51:58this change is not proportional to the
  5905. 3:52:00change in the first variable
  5906. 3:52:02to demonstrate modern negative
  5907. 3:52:04correlation
  5908. 3:52:05the prices of different products are
  5909. 3:52:07listed along with the number of units
  5910. 3:52:10sold for each product the data is shown
  5911. 3:52:12in the table
  5912. 3:52:14from the scatter diagram shown
  5913. 3:52:16it can be observed that higher the price
  5914. 3:52:19of a product
  5915. 3:52:20lesser are the number of units of that
  5916. 3:52:22product sold
  5917. 3:52:24however the decrease in the number of
  5918. 3:52:26units with increasing price is not
  5919. 3:52:28proportional
  5920. 3:52:32in perfect negative correlation an
  5921. 3:52:34increase in one variable results in a
  5922. 3:52:37proportional decrease of the other
  5923. 3:52:39variable
  5924. 3:52:40this is also an example of one is to one
  5925. 3:52:43correlation
  5926. 3:52:45as an example the effect of an increase
  5927. 3:52:47in the project time extension on the
  5928. 3:52:49success of project is considered
  5929. 3:52:52the data is shown in the table the
  5930. 3:52:55scatter diagram for the data shows a
  5931. 3:52:57proportional decrease in the probability
  5932. 3:53:00of the project's success with each
  5933. 3:53:02extension of the project time
  5934. 3:53:04hence the points are linear
  5935. 3:53:07perfect correlations are rare in the
  5936. 3:53:09real world
  5937. 3:53:10when encountered they should be
  5938. 3:53:12investigated and verified
  5939. 3:53:16in this screen we will look at another
  5940. 3:53:18graphical method histograms
  5941. 3:53:21histograms are similar to bar graphs
  5942. 3:53:23except that the data in histograms is
  5943. 3:53:26grouped into intervals
  5944. 3:53:28they are used to represent category wise
  5945. 3:53:30data graphically
  5946. 3:53:32a histogram is best suited for
  5947. 3:53:33continuous data
  5948. 3:53:35the following example illustrates how a
  5949. 3:53:38histogram is used to represent data
  5950. 3:53:41data on the number of hours spent by a
  5951. 3:53:43group of 15 people on a special project
  5952. 3:53:46in one week is collected
  5953. 3:53:49this data is then divided into intervals
  5954. 3:53:51of two and the frequency table for the
  5955. 3:53:54data is created
  5956. 3:53:56the histogram for the same data is also
  5957. 3:53:58displayed
  5958. 3:54:00looking at the histogram it can be
  5959. 3:54:02observed at a glance that most of the
  5960. 3:54:05team members spent between two to four
  5961. 3:54:07hours on the project
  5962. 3:54:09in the following screen we will look at
  5963. 3:54:11the next graphical method
  5964. 3:54:14normal probability plots
  5965. 3:54:16normal probability plots are used to
  5966. 3:54:19identify if a sample has been taken from
  5967. 3:54:21a normal distributed population
  5968. 3:54:24when sample data from a normal
  5969. 3:54:25distributive population is represented
  5970. 3:54:28as a normal probability plot it forms a
  5971. 3:54:31straight line
  5972. 3:54:33the following example is presented to
  5973. 3:54:35illustrate normal probability plots
  5974. 3:54:38a sampling of diameters from a drilling
  5975. 3:54:40operation is done and the data is
  5976. 3:54:42recorded
  5977. 3:54:43the data set is given to create a normal
  5978. 3:54:47probability plot the first step is to
  5979. 3:54:49construct a cumulative frequency
  5980. 3:54:51distribution table
  5981. 3:54:53this is followed by calculating the mean
  5982. 3:54:55rank probability by dividing the
  5983. 3:54:57cumulative frequency by the number of
  5984. 3:54:59samples plus one and multiplying the
  5985. 3:55:02answer by one hundred
  5986. 3:55:04the fully populated table for mean rank
  5987. 3:55:07probability estimation is shown on the
  5988. 3:55:09screen
  5989. 3:55:10please take a look at the same
  5990. 3:55:12in the next step a graph is plotted on
  5991. 3:55:14log paper or with minitab using this
  5992. 3:55:17data
  5993. 3:55:18minitab is a statistical software used
  5994. 3:55:21in six sigma
  5995. 3:55:22minitab normal probability plot
  5996. 3:55:24instructions are also given on the
  5997. 3:55:26screen the completed graph is shown on
  5998. 3:55:29the screen
  5999. 3:55:30from the graph it can be seen that the
  6000. 3:55:32random sample forms a straight line and
  6001. 3:55:35therefore the data is taken from a
  6002. 3:55:36normally distributed population
  6003. 3:55:39let us proceed to the next topic of this
  6004. 3:55:42lesson
  6005. 3:55:43in this topic we will discuss
  6006. 3:55:45measurement system analysis or msa in
  6007. 3:55:48detail
  6008. 3:55:49let us understand what msa is in the
  6009. 3:55:51following screen throughout the dmac
  6010. 3:55:53process the output of the measurement
  6011. 3:55:55system ms is used for metrics analysis
  6012. 3:55:59and control efforts
  6013. 3:56:00an error prone measurement system will
  6014. 3:56:02only lead to incorrect data
  6015. 3:56:05incorrect data leads to incorrect
  6016. 3:56:06conclusions
  6017. 3:56:08it is important to set right the ms
  6018. 3:56:10before collecting the data
  6019. 3:56:13measurement system analysis or msa
  6020. 3:56:16is a technique that identifies
  6021. 3:56:18measurement error or variation and
  6022. 3:56:21sources of that error in order to reduce
  6023. 3:56:23the variation
  6024. 3:56:25it evaluates the measuring system to
  6025. 3:56:27ensure the integrity of data used for
  6026. 3:56:30analysis
  6027. 3:56:31msa is therefore one of the first
  6028. 3:56:33activities in the measure phase
  6029. 3:56:36the measurement systems capability is
  6030. 3:56:38calculated analyzed and interpreted
  6031. 3:56:41using gauge repeatability and
  6032. 3:56:43reproducibility to determine measurement
  6033. 3:56:45correlation bias linearity percent
  6034. 3:56:49agreement and precision or tolerance
  6035. 3:56:52let us discuss the objectives of msa in
  6036. 3:56:55the next screen
  6037. 3:56:59a primary objective of msa is to obtain
  6038. 3:57:02information about the type of
  6039. 3:57:04measurement variation associated with
  6040. 3:57:06the measurement system
  6041. 3:57:08it is also used to establish criteria to
  6042. 3:57:11accept and release new measuring
  6043. 3:57:12equipment
  6044. 3:57:14msa also compares measuring one method
  6045. 3:57:17against another it helps to form a basis
  6046. 3:57:20for evaluating a method which is
  6047. 3:57:22suspected of being deficient
  6048. 3:57:24the measurement system variations should
  6049. 3:57:27be resolved to arrive at the correct
  6050. 3:57:28baselines for the project objectives
  6051. 3:57:31as baselines contain crucial data based
  6052. 3:57:34on which decisions are taken it is
  6053. 3:57:36extremely important that the measurement
  6054. 3:57:38system be free of error as far as
  6055. 3:57:40possible
  6056. 3:57:42let us look at measurement analysis in
  6057. 3:57:44detail in the next screen
  6058. 3:57:48in measurement analysis the observed
  6059. 3:57:50value is equal to the sum of the true
  6060. 3:57:52value and the measurement error
  6061. 3:57:55the measurement error can be a negative
  6062. 3:57:57or a positive value
  6063. 3:57:59measurement error refers to the net
  6064. 3:58:01effect of all sources of measurement
  6065. 3:58:03variability that cause an observed value
  6066. 3:58:06to deviate from the true value
  6067. 3:58:09true variability is the sum of the
  6068. 3:58:11process variability and the measurement
  6069. 3:58:14variability process variability and
  6070. 3:58:17measurement variability must be
  6071. 3:58:19evaluated and improved together
  6072. 3:58:22measurement variability should be
  6073. 3:58:24addressed before looking at process
  6074. 3:58:26variability
  6075. 3:58:28if process variability is corrected
  6076. 3:58:30before resolving measurement variability
  6077. 3:58:33then any improvements to the process can
  6078. 3:58:36not be trusted to have taken place owing
  6079. 3:58:38to a faulty measurement system
  6080. 3:58:41in the following screen we will identify
  6081. 3:58:44the types of measurement errors
  6082. 3:58:47the two types of measurement errors are
  6083. 3:58:50measurement system bias and measurement
  6084. 3:58:52system variation
  6085. 3:58:54click each type to know more
  6086. 3:58:56measurement system bias involves
  6087. 3:58:58calibration study
  6088. 3:59:00in the calibration study the total mean
  6089. 3:59:02is given by the sum of the process mean
  6090. 3:59:04and the measurement mean
  6091. 3:59:06the statistical notation is shown on the
  6092. 3:59:09screen
  6093. 3:59:10measurement system variation involves
  6094. 3:59:13gauge repeatability and reproducibility
  6095. 3:59:16or grrr study
  6096. 3:59:18in the grr study the total variance is
  6097. 3:59:21calculated by adding the process
  6098. 3:59:23variance with the measurement variation
  6099. 3:59:25the statistical notation is shown on the
  6100. 3:59:28screen
  6101. 3:59:30in this screen we will discuss the
  6102. 3:59:32sources of variation the chart on the
  6103. 3:59:34screen lists the different sources of
  6104. 3:59:36variation
  6105. 3:59:37observed process variation is divided
  6106. 3:59:40into two
  6107. 3:59:41actual process variation and measurement
  6108. 3:59:43variation
  6109. 3:59:45actual process variation can be divided
  6110. 3:59:48into long-term and short-term process
  6111. 3:59:50variations
  6112. 3:59:52in a gauge rr study process variation is
  6113. 3:59:55often called part variation
  6114. 3:59:58measurement variation can be divided
  6115. 4:00:00into variations caused by operators and
  6116. 4:00:03variations due to the gauge
  6117. 4:00:05the variation due to operators is owing
  6118. 4:00:08to reproducibility
  6119. 4:00:10variation due to gauge is owing to
  6120. 4:00:12repeatability
  6121. 4:00:14both actual process variation and
  6122. 4:00:16measurement variation have a common
  6123. 4:00:18factor that is variation within a sample
  6124. 4:00:22let us understand gauge repeatability
  6125. 4:00:25and reproducibility or grr in the next
  6126. 4:00:28screen
  6127. 4:00:30gauge repeatability and reproducibility
  6128. 4:00:32or grr is a statistical technique to
  6129. 4:00:36assess if a gauge or gauging system will
  6130. 4:00:38obtain the same reading each time a
  6131. 4:00:40particular characteristic or parameter
  6132. 4:00:42is measured
  6133. 4:00:44gauge repeatability is the variation in
  6134. 4:00:47measurement when one operator uses the
  6135. 4:00:49same gauge to measure identical
  6136. 4:00:51characteristics of the same part
  6137. 4:00:53repeatedly
  6138. 4:00:55gauge reproducibility is the variation
  6139. 4:00:57in the average of measurements when
  6140. 4:00:59different operators use the same gauge
  6141. 4:01:02to measure identical characteristics of
  6142. 4:01:04the same part
  6143. 4:01:05the figures on the screen illustrate
  6144. 4:01:07gauge repeatability and reproducibility
  6145. 4:01:11in the next screen we will discuss the
  6146. 4:01:13components of grr study
  6147. 4:01:17the figure on the screen illustrates the
  6148. 4:01:19difference between gauge repeatability
  6149. 4:01:22and reproducibility
  6150. 4:01:24the figure shows the repeatability and
  6151. 4:01:26reproducibility for six different parts
  6152. 4:01:29represented by the numbers one to six
  6153. 4:01:31for two different trial readings by
  6154. 4:01:33three different operators
  6155. 4:01:35as can be observed a difference in
  6156. 4:01:38reading for part one indicated by the
  6157. 4:01:40color green by three different operators
  6158. 4:01:43is known as reproducibility error a
  6159. 4:01:46difference in reading of part 4
  6160. 4:01:48indicated by red by the same operator in
  6161. 4:01:51two different trials is known as the
  6162. 4:01:53repeatability error
  6163. 4:01:55in the following screen we will look at
  6164. 4:01:57some guidelines for gauge repeatability
  6165. 4:02:00and reproducibility studies
  6166. 4:02:03the following should be kept in mind
  6167. 4:02:05while carrying out gauge repeatability
  6168. 4:02:07and reproducibility or grr studies
  6169. 4:02:11grr studies should be performed over the
  6170. 4:02:14range of expected observations
  6171. 4:02:16care should be taken to use actual
  6172. 4:02:18equipment for gr studies
  6173. 4:02:21written procedures and approved
  6174. 4:02:23practices should be followed as would
  6175. 4:02:25have been in actual operations
  6176. 4:02:27the measurement variability should be
  6177. 4:02:29represented as is
  6178. 4:02:31not the way it was designed to be
  6179. 4:02:34after grr the measurement variability is
  6180. 4:02:37separated into casual components sorted
  6181. 4:02:40according to priority and then targeted
  6182. 4:02:42for action
  6183. 4:02:43in the following screen let us look at
  6184. 4:02:46some more concepts associated with grr
  6185. 4:02:51bias is the distance between the sample
  6186. 4:02:53mean value and the sample true value
  6187. 4:02:56it is also called accuracy
  6188. 4:02:59bias is equal to mean minus reference
  6189. 4:03:01value process variation is equal to six
  6190. 4:03:04times the standard deviation
  6191. 4:03:06the bias percentage is calculated as
  6192. 4:03:09bias divided by the process variation
  6193. 4:03:12the next term is linearity
  6194. 4:03:14linearity refers to the consistency of
  6195. 4:03:17bias over the range of the gauge
  6196. 4:03:19linearity is given by the product of
  6197. 4:03:21slope and process variation
  6198. 4:03:24precision is the degree of repeatability
  6199. 4:03:27or closeness of data
  6200. 4:03:29smaller the dispersion in the data set
  6201. 4:03:32better the precision
  6202. 4:03:33the variation in the gauge is the sum of
  6203. 4:03:36variation due to repeatability and the
  6204. 4:03:38variation due to reproducibility
  6205. 4:03:42in the following screen we will
  6206. 4:03:43understand measurement resolution
  6207. 4:03:47measurement resolution is the smallest
  6208. 4:03:49detectable increment that an instrument
  6209. 4:03:51will measure or display
  6210. 4:03:53the number of increments in the
  6211. 4:03:55measurement system should extend over
  6212. 4:03:57the full range for a given parameter
  6213. 4:04:00some examples of wrong gauges or
  6214. 4:04:02incorrect measurement resolution are
  6215. 4:04:04given here a truck weighing scale is
  6216. 4:04:07used for measuring the weight of a
  6217. 4:04:09t-pack
  6218. 4:04:10a caliper capable of measuring
  6219. 4:04:12differences of 0.1 millimeters
  6220. 4:04:15is used to show compliance when the
  6221. 4:04:17tolerance limits are plus or minus 0.07
  6222. 4:04:20millimeters
  6223. 4:04:21thus the measurement system that matches
  6224. 4:04:24the range of the data should only be
  6225. 4:04:26used
  6226. 4:04:27an important prerequisite for grr
  6227. 4:04:29studies is that the gauge has an
  6228. 4:04:31acceptable resolution
  6229. 4:04:34in the next screen we will look at
  6230. 4:04:35examples for repeatability and
  6231. 4:04:37reproducibility
  6232. 4:04:40repeatability is also called equipment
  6233. 4:04:43variation or ev
  6234. 4:04:46it occurs when the same technician or
  6235. 4:04:48operator repeatedly measures the same
  6236. 4:04:50part or process under identical
  6237. 4:04:53conditions with the same measurement
  6238. 4:04:55system
  6239. 4:04:56the following example illustrates this
  6240. 4:04:58concept
  6241. 4:04:59a 36 kilometer per hour pace mechanism
  6242. 4:05:02is timed by a single operator over a
  6243. 4:05:05distance of 100 meters on a stopwatch
  6244. 4:05:08and three readings are taken
  6245. 4:05:10trial one takes nine seconds trial two
  6246. 4:05:13takes ten seconds and trial 3 takes 11
  6247. 4:05:16seconds
  6248. 4:05:18the process is measured with the same
  6249. 4:05:20equipment in identical conditions by the
  6250. 4:05:22same operator
  6251. 4:05:23assuming no operator error the variation
  6252. 4:05:26in the three readings is known as
  6253. 4:05:28repeatability or equipment variation
  6254. 4:05:32reproducibility is also called appraiser
  6255. 4:05:35variation or av
  6256. 4:05:38it occurs when different technicians or
  6257. 4:05:40operators measure the same part or
  6258. 4:05:42process under identical conditions using
  6259. 4:05:44the same measurement system
  6260. 4:05:47let us extend the example for
  6261. 4:05:48repeatability to include data measured
  6262. 4:05:51by two operators
  6263. 4:05:52the readings are displayed on the slide
  6264. 4:05:55the difference in the readings of both
  6265. 4:05:57operators is called reproducibility or
  6266. 4:06:00appraiser variation
  6267. 4:06:02it is important to resolve equipment
  6268. 4:06:04variation before appraiser variation
  6269. 4:06:07if appraiser variation is resolved first
  6270. 4:06:10the results will still not be identical
  6271. 4:06:12due to variation in the equipment itself
  6272. 4:06:16in this screen we will learn about data
  6273. 4:06:19collection in grr
  6274. 4:06:21there are some important considerations
  6275. 4:06:23for data collection in grr studies there
  6276. 4:06:26are usually three operators and around
  6277. 4:06:28ten units to measure
  6278. 4:06:30general sampling techniques must be used
  6279. 4:06:33to represent the population and each
  6280. 4:06:35unit must be measured two to three times
  6281. 4:06:38by each operator it is important that
  6282. 4:06:40the gauge be calibrated accurately it
  6283. 4:06:43should also be ensured that the gauge
  6284. 4:06:45has an acceptable resolution
  6285. 4:06:48another practice is that the first
  6286. 4:06:50operator measures all the units in
  6287. 4:06:52random order
  6288. 4:06:53then this order is maintained by all
  6289. 4:06:55other operators
  6290. 4:06:57all the trials must be repeated
  6291. 4:06:59in the next screen we will discuss the
  6292. 4:07:01anova method of analyzing grr studies
  6293. 4:07:06the anova method is considered to be the
  6294. 4:07:08best method for analyzing grr studies
  6295. 4:07:11this is because of two reasons
  6296. 4:07:14the first being anova not only separates
  6297. 4:07:17equipment and operator variation but
  6298. 4:07:19also provides insight on the combined
  6299. 4:07:21effect of the two
  6300. 4:07:23second anova uses standard deviation
  6301. 4:07:26instead of range as a measure of
  6302. 4:07:28variation and therefore gives a better
  6303. 4:07:31estimate of the measurement system
  6304. 4:07:33variation
  6305. 4:07:34the one drawback of using anova is the
  6306. 4:07:36considerations of time resources and
  6307. 4:07:39cost
  6308. 4:07:40in the next screen we will understand
  6309. 4:07:42how msa can be interpreted
  6310. 4:07:45two results are possible for an msa
  6311. 4:07:49in the first case the reproducibility
  6312. 4:07:51error is larger than the repeatability
  6313. 4:07:54error
  6314. 4:07:55this occurs when the operators are not
  6315. 4:07:57trained and calibrations on the gauge
  6316. 4:07:59dial are not clear
  6317. 4:08:01the other possibility is that the
  6318. 4:08:03repeatability error is larger than the
  6319. 4:08:06reproducibility error
  6320. 4:08:08this is clearly a maintenance issue and
  6321. 4:08:10can be resolved by calibrating the
  6322. 4:08:12equipment or performing maintenance on
  6323. 4:08:14the equipment
  6324. 4:08:16this indicates that the gauge needs
  6325. 4:08:18redesign to be more rigid and the
  6326. 4:08:20location needs to be improved
  6327. 4:08:22it also occurs when there is ambiguity
  6328. 4:08:25in sops
  6329. 4:08:27msa is an experiment which seeks to
  6330. 4:08:30identify the components of variation in
  6331. 4:08:32the measurement
  6332. 4:08:34in the following screen we will look at
  6333. 4:08:36a template used for grr studies
  6334. 4:08:40a sample gauge rr sheet is given on this
  6335. 4:08:43screen
  6336. 4:08:44the operators here are andrew murphy and
  6337. 4:08:46lucy wang who are the appraisers in this
  6338. 4:08:49study
  6339. 4:08:50they have measured and rated the
  6340. 4:08:52performance of three employees
  6341. 4:08:54ibrahim glasoff brianna scott and jason
  6342. 4:08:57schmidt
  6343. 4:08:59this is a sample template for a gauge r
  6344. 4:09:02r study
  6345. 4:09:03the parts are shown across the top of
  6346. 4:09:05the sheet
  6347. 4:09:06in this case the measurement system is
  6348. 4:09:08being evaluated using three parts the
  6349. 4:09:11employees abraham glasoff brianna scott
  6350. 4:09:15and jason schmidt
  6351. 4:09:17the operators measure each part
  6352. 4:09:19repeatedly
  6353. 4:09:20from this data the average x and ranges
  6354. 4:09:23are for each inspector and for each part
  6355. 4:09:26are calculated
  6356. 4:09:28the grand average for each inspector and
  6357. 4:09:31each part is also calculated
  6358. 4:09:34in this example a control limit ucl in
  6359. 4:09:37the sheet was compared with the
  6360. 4:09:39difference in averages of the two
  6361. 4:09:41inspectors to identify if there is a
  6362. 4:09:44significant difference in their
  6363. 4:09:46measurements
  6364. 4:09:47their difference is 0.111
  6365. 4:09:51which is outside the ucl of 0.108
  6366. 4:09:55given the r average of 0.042
  6367. 4:09:59in the next screen we will look at the
  6368. 4:10:01results page for this grr study
  6369. 4:10:05the sheet on the screen displays the
  6370. 4:10:07results for the data entered in the
  6371. 4:10:08template in the previous screen
  6372. 4:10:11please spend some time to go through the
  6373. 4:10:12data for a better understanding of the
  6374. 4:10:14concept
  6375. 4:10:16in the following screen we will look at
  6376. 4:10:18the interpretation to this results page
  6377. 4:10:22the percentage grrr value is highlighted
  6378. 4:10:25in the center right of the table in the
  6379. 4:10:27previous screen
  6380. 4:10:28there are three important observations
  6381. 4:10:30to be made here about the gauge rr study
  6382. 4:10:34first this study also shows the
  6383. 4:10:36interaction between operators and parts
  6384. 4:10:39if the percentage grr value is less than
  6385. 4:10:4230 then the gauge is acceptable and the
  6386. 4:10:45measurement system does not require any
  6387. 4:10:47change
  6388. 4:10:48if the value is greater than 30 then the
  6389. 4:10:51gauge needs correction
  6390. 4:10:53the equipment variation is checked and
  6391. 4:10:55resolved first followed by the appraiser
  6392. 4:10:58variation
  6393. 4:10:59second if ev equals zero it means the ms
  6394. 4:11:03is reliable the equipment is perfect and
  6395. 4:11:06the variation in the gauge is
  6396. 4:11:08contributed by different operators
  6397. 4:11:10if the av is equal to zero the ms is
  6398. 4:11:14precise
  6399. 4:11:15third if ev is equal to zero and there
  6400. 4:11:18is a v the operators have to be trained
  6401. 4:11:21to ensure all operators follow identical
  6402. 4:11:24steps during measurement and the av is
  6403. 4:11:27minimal
  6404. 4:11:28the interaction between operators and
  6405. 4:11:30parts can also be studied under grr
  6406. 4:11:33using part variation the trueness and
  6407. 4:11:36precision cannot be determined in a grrr
  6408. 4:11:39if only one gauge or measurement method
  6409. 4:11:41is evaluated as it may have an inherent
  6410. 4:11:44bias that would go undetected merely by
  6411. 4:11:47varying operators and parts
  6412. 4:11:50let us proceed to the next topic of this
  6413. 4:11:52lesson in the following screen
  6414. 4:11:55in this topic we will discuss process
  6415. 4:11:57and performance capability in detail
  6416. 4:12:00in the following screen we will look at
  6417. 4:12:02the differences between natural process
  6418. 4:12:05limits and specification limits
  6419. 4:12:08natural process limits or control limits
  6420. 4:12:12are derived from the process data and
  6421. 4:12:14are the voice of the process
  6422. 4:12:16the data consists of real-time values
  6423. 4:12:19from past process performance
  6424. 4:12:21therefore these values represent the
  6425. 4:12:24actual process limits
  6426. 4:12:26and indicate variation in the process
  6427. 4:12:29the two control limits are upper control
  6428. 4:12:32limit ucl and lower control limit lcl
  6429. 4:12:37specification limits are provided by
  6430. 4:12:39customers based on their requirements or
  6431. 4:12:42the voice of the customer and cannot be
  6432. 4:12:44changed by the organization
  6433. 4:12:47these limits act as targets for the
  6434. 4:12:49organization
  6435. 4:12:51and processes are designed around the
  6436. 4:12:53requirements
  6437. 4:12:54the product or service has to meet
  6438. 4:12:56customer requirements and has to be well
  6439. 4:12:59within the specification limits
  6440. 4:13:02if the product or service does not meet
  6441. 4:13:04customer requirements it is considered
  6442. 4:13:06as a defect
  6443. 4:13:08therefore specification limits are the
  6444. 4:13:10intended results or requirements from
  6445. 4:13:13the product or service that are defined
  6446. 4:13:15by the customer
  6447. 4:13:17the two specification limits are upper
  6448. 4:13:19specification limit or usl
  6449. 4:13:22and lower specification limit or lsl
  6450. 4:13:27the difference between the two is called
  6451. 4:13:29tolerance
  6452. 4:13:30an important point to note is that for a
  6453. 4:13:33process
  6454. 4:13:34if the control limits lie within the
  6455. 4:13:36specification limits the process is said
  6456. 4:13:38to be under control
  6457. 4:13:41conversely if specification limits lie
  6458. 4:13:44within the control limits the process
  6459. 4:13:46will not meet customer requirements
  6460. 4:13:49in the following screen we will look at
  6461. 4:13:51process performance metrics and how they
  6462. 4:13:54are calculated
  6463. 4:13:56the two major metrics used to measure
  6464. 4:13:58process performance are defects per unit
  6465. 4:14:01or dpu
  6466. 4:14:02and defects per million opportunities or
  6467. 4:14:06dpmo dpu is calculated by dividing the
  6468. 4:14:10number of defects by the total number of
  6469. 4:14:12units
  6470. 4:14:13dpmo is calculated by multiplying the
  6471. 4:14:16defects per opportunity with 1 million
  6472. 4:14:20in the following screen we will look at
  6473. 4:14:22an example for calculating process
  6474. 4:14:24performance
  6475. 4:14:28in this example the quality control
  6476. 4:14:30department checks the quality of
  6477. 4:14:31finished goods by sampling a batch of 10
  6478. 4:14:34items from the produced lot every hour
  6479. 4:14:36the data is collected over 24 hours
  6480. 4:14:40the table displays the data for the
  6481. 4:14:41number of defectives for the sampling
  6482. 4:14:43period
  6483. 4:14:45if items are consistently found to be
  6484. 4:14:47outside the control limits on any given
  6485. 4:14:49day the production process is stopped
  6486. 4:14:52for the next day
  6487. 4:14:53let us now interpret the results of the
  6488. 4:14:55sampling
  6489. 4:14:57in this example as the sample size is
  6490. 4:14:59constant dpu or p-bar is used to
  6491. 4:15:03calculate the process capability
  6492. 4:15:06the total number of defectives is 34 and
  6493. 4:15:09the subgroup size is 10.
  6494. 4:15:11the total number of units is 10
  6495. 4:15:13multiplied by 24 which is 240.
  6496. 4:15:17the defects per unit is 0.0124
  6497. 4:15:21the defects per million opportunities is
  6498. 4:15:24obtained by multiplying the defects per
  6499. 4:15:26unit with 1 million which is 141
  6500. 4:15:29666.66
  6501. 4:15:32therefore by looking at the dpmo table
  6502. 4:15:36it can be said that the process is
  6503. 4:15:37currently working at 2.6 sigma or 86.4
  6504. 4:15:42percent yield
  6505. 4:15:44we will learn about process stability
  6506. 4:15:46studies in this screen
  6507. 4:15:48the activities carried out in the
  6508. 4:15:50measure phase are msa collection of data
  6509. 4:15:54statistical calculations and checking
  6510. 4:15:56for accuracy and validity
  6511. 4:15:59this is followed by a test for stability
  6512. 4:16:01as changes cannot be made to an unstable
  6513. 4:16:04process with a set of data believed to
  6514. 4:16:06be accurate the process is checked for
  6515. 4:16:08stability
  6516. 4:16:10this is important because if a process
  6517. 4:16:12is unstable no changes can be
  6518. 4:16:15implemented
  6519. 4:16:16why does a process become unstable
  6520. 4:16:19a process can become unstable due to
  6521. 4:16:21special causes of variation
  6522. 4:16:24multiple special causes of variation
  6523. 4:16:26lead to instability
  6524. 4:16:28a single special cause leads to an out
  6525. 4:16:30of control condition
  6526. 4:16:32run charts in minitab can be used to
  6527. 4:16:35check for process stability
  6528. 4:16:37let us look at the steps to plot a run
  6529. 4:16:39chart in minitab in the following screen
  6530. 4:16:42to plot a run chart in minitab first
  6531. 4:16:45enter the sample data collected to check
  6532. 4:16:47for stability
  6533. 4:16:49next click stat on the minitab window
  6534. 4:16:51followed by quality tools
  6535. 4:16:54next click run charts
  6536. 4:16:56select the column and choose the
  6537. 4:16:58subgroup size as two click ok
  6538. 4:17:02the graph shown on the screen is
  6539. 4:17:03interpreted by looking at the last four
  6540. 4:17:05values
  6541. 4:17:06if any of the p values is less than 0.05
  6542. 4:17:11the presence of special causes of
  6543. 4:17:13variation can be validated
  6544. 4:17:15this means there is a good chance that
  6545. 4:17:17the process will become unstable
  6546. 4:17:20in the following screen we will look at
  6547. 4:17:23process stability studies causes of
  6548. 4:17:25variation
  6549. 4:17:28variation can be due to two types of
  6550. 4:17:30causes
  6551. 4:17:31common causes of variation and special
  6552. 4:17:34causes of variation
  6553. 4:17:36click each type to learn more
  6554. 4:17:39common causes of variation are the many
  6555. 4:17:41sources of variation within a process
  6556. 4:17:44which have a stable and repeatable
  6557. 4:17:46distribution over a period
  6558. 4:17:48they contribute to a state of
  6559. 4:17:49statistical control where the output is
  6560. 4:17:52predictable
  6561. 4:17:54some other factors which do not always
  6562. 4:17:56act on the process can also cause
  6563. 4:17:58variation
  6564. 4:17:59these are special causes of variation
  6565. 4:18:02these are external to the process and
  6566. 4:18:05are irregular in nature
  6567. 4:18:07when present the process distribution
  6568. 4:18:09changes and the process output is not
  6569. 4:18:11stable over a period
  6570. 4:18:13special causes may result in defects and
  6571. 4:18:16need to be eliminated to bring the
  6572. 4:18:18process under control
  6573. 4:18:20run charts indicate the presence of
  6574. 4:18:22special causes of variation in the
  6575. 4:18:24process
  6576. 4:18:25if special causes are detected the
  6577. 4:18:28process has to be brought to a stop and
  6578. 4:18:30a root cause analysis has to be carried
  6579. 4:18:33out if the root cause analysis reveals
  6580. 4:18:36the special cause to be undesirable
  6581. 4:18:38corrective actions are taken to remove
  6582. 4:18:40the special cause
  6583. 4:18:43we will learn about verifying process
  6584. 4:18:45stability and normality in this screen
  6585. 4:18:48based on the type of variation of
  6586. 4:18:50process exhibits it can be verified if
  6587. 4:18:52the process is in control
  6588. 4:18:55if there are special causes of variation
  6589. 4:18:58the process output is not stable over
  6590. 4:19:00time
  6591. 4:19:01the process cannot be said to be in
  6592. 4:19:03control
  6593. 4:19:05conversely if there are only common
  6594. 4:19:07causes of variation in a process the
  6595. 4:19:10output forms a distribution that is
  6596. 4:19:12stable and predictable over time
  6597. 4:19:15a process being in control means the
  6598. 4:19:17process does not have any special causes
  6599. 4:19:20of variation
  6600. 4:19:22once a process is understood to be
  6601. 4:19:24stable the control chart data can be
  6602. 4:19:26used to calculate the process capability
  6603. 4:19:29indices
  6604. 4:19:30in the following screen we will discuss
  6605. 4:19:32process capability studies
  6606. 4:19:35process capability is the actual
  6607. 4:19:37variation in the process specification
  6608. 4:19:40to carry out a process capability study
  6609. 4:19:43first plan for data collection next
  6610. 4:19:46collect the data finally plot and
  6611. 4:19:48analyze the results
  6612. 4:19:50obtaining the appropriate sampling plan
  6613. 4:19:53for the process capability study depends
  6614. 4:19:55on the purpose and whether there are any
  6615. 4:19:57customer or standard requirements for
  6616. 4:19:59the study
  6617. 4:20:01for new processes or a project proposal
  6618. 4:20:04the project capability can be estimated
  6619. 4:20:06by a pilot run
  6620. 4:20:08let us look at the objectives of process
  6621. 4:20:10capability studies in the next screen
  6622. 4:20:13the objectives of a process capability
  6623. 4:20:15study are to establish a state of
  6624. 4:20:17control over a manufacturing process
  6625. 4:20:20and then maintain the state of control
  6626. 4:20:22over a period of time
  6627. 4:20:24on comparing the natural process limits
  6628. 4:20:26or the control limits within the
  6629. 4:20:28specification limits any of the
  6630. 4:20:30following outcomes is possible
  6631. 4:20:33first the process limits are found to
  6632. 4:20:35fall between the specification limits
  6633. 4:20:37this shows the process is running well
  6634. 4:20:40and no action is required
  6635. 4:20:42the second possibility is that the
  6636. 4:20:44process spread and the specification
  6637. 4:20:47spread are approximately the same
  6638. 4:20:50in this case the process is centered by
  6639. 4:20:52making an adjustment to the centering of
  6640. 4:20:54the process
  6641. 4:20:56this would bring the batch of products
  6642. 4:20:57within the specifications
  6643. 4:21:00the third possibility is that the
  6644. 4:21:02process limits fall outside the
  6645. 4:21:04specification limits
  6646. 4:21:06in this case reduce the variability by
  6647. 4:21:09partitioning the pieces of batches to
  6648. 4:21:11locate and target the largest offender
  6649. 4:21:14a design experiment can be used to
  6650. 4:21:16identify the primary source of variation
  6651. 4:21:19in the following screen we will learn
  6652. 4:21:21about identifying characteristics in
  6653. 4:21:23process capability
  6654. 4:21:25process capability deals with the
  6655. 4:21:27ability of the process to meet customer
  6656. 4:21:30requirements
  6657. 4:21:31therefore it is crucial that the
  6658. 4:21:33characteristics selected for a process
  6659. 4:21:35capability study indicates a key factor
  6660. 4:21:38in the quality of the product or process
  6661. 4:21:41also it should be possible to influence
  6662. 4:21:43the value of the characteristic by
  6663. 4:21:45adjusting the process
  6664. 4:21:47the operating conditions that affect the
  6665. 4:21:49characteristic should also be defined
  6666. 4:21:51and controlled
  6667. 4:21:53apart from these requirements other
  6668. 4:21:55factors determining the characteristics
  6669. 4:21:57to be measured are customer purchase
  6670. 4:21:59order requirements or industry standards
  6671. 4:22:02in the following screen we will look at
  6672. 4:22:04identifying specifications or tolerances
  6673. 4:22:07in process capability
  6674. 4:22:10the process specification or tolerances
  6675. 4:22:13are defined either by industry standards
  6676. 4:22:15based on customer requirements or by the
  6677. 4:22:18organization's engineering department in
  6678. 4:22:20consultation with the customer
  6679. 4:22:22a stability study followed by a
  6680. 4:22:24comprehensive capability study also
  6681. 4:22:27helps in identifying if the process mean
  6682. 4:22:29meets the target or the customer mean
  6683. 4:22:32the process capability study indicates
  6684. 4:22:34whether the process is capable it is
  6685. 4:22:37used to determine if the output
  6686. 4:22:39consistently meets specifications and
  6687. 4:22:41the probability of a defect or defective
  6688. 4:22:45this information is used to evaluate and
  6689. 4:22:47improve the process to meet the
  6690. 4:22:49tolerance requirements
  6691. 4:22:51in the following screen we will learn
  6692. 4:22:53about process performance indices
  6693. 4:22:57process performance is defined as a
  6694. 4:22:59statistical measurement of the outcome
  6695. 4:23:01of a process characteristic which may or
  6696. 4:23:04may not have been demonstrated to be in
  6697. 4:23:06a state of statistical control
  6698. 4:23:08in other words it is an estimate of the
  6699. 4:23:11process capability of a process during
  6700. 4:23:13its initial setup before it has been
  6701. 4:23:15brought into a state of statistical
  6702. 4:23:17control
  6703. 4:23:18it differs from the process capability
  6704. 4:23:21in that for process performance a state
  6705. 4:23:23of statistical control is not required
  6706. 4:23:26the three basic process performance
  6707. 4:23:28indices are process performance or pp
  6708. 4:23:32process performance index or ppk
  6709. 4:23:35and process capability index denoted as
  6710. 4:23:39ppm or cpm click each index to know more
  6711. 4:23:45pp stands for process performance it is
  6712. 4:23:48computed by subtracting the lower
  6713. 4:23:50specification limit from the upper
  6714. 4:23:52specification limit the whole divided by
  6715. 4:23:55natural process variation or six sigma
  6716. 4:24:00ppk is the process performance index and
  6717. 4:24:04a minimum of the values of the upper and
  6718. 4:24:06lower process capability indices
  6719. 4:24:09the upper and lower process capability
  6720. 4:24:11indices are calculated as shown on the
  6721. 4:24:14screen
  6722. 4:24:15ppu or upper process capability index is
  6723. 4:24:19given by the formula usl minus x divided
  6724. 4:24:22by 3s
  6725. 4:24:24ppl or lower process capability index is
  6726. 4:24:28given by x minus lsl divided by 3s
  6727. 4:24:32here x is process average better known
  6728. 4:24:35as x bar and s is sample standard
  6729. 4:24:38deviation
  6730. 4:24:41cpm denotes the process capability index
  6731. 4:24:45mean which accounts for the location of
  6732. 4:24:47the process average relative to a target
  6733. 4:24:50value
  6734. 4:24:51it can be calculated as shown on the
  6735. 4:24:53screen
  6736. 4:24:54here myu stands for process average
  6737. 4:24:58sigma symbol denotes the process
  6738. 4:25:00standard deviation
  6739. 4:25:01usl is the upper specification limit and
  6740. 4:25:05lsl is the lower specification limit
  6741. 4:25:08t is the target value which is typically
  6742. 4:25:11the center of the tolerance
  6743. 4:25:13x i is the sample reading and n is the
  6744. 4:25:16number of sample readings
  6745. 4:25:19we will look at the key terms in process
  6746. 4:25:21capability in this screen
  6747. 4:25:24zst or short term capability is the
  6748. 4:25:27potential performance of the process in
  6749. 4:25:29control at any given point of time
  6750. 4:25:32it is based on the sample collected in
  6751. 4:25:34the short term
  6752. 4:25:36the long term performance is denoted by
  6753. 4:25:38zlt
  6754. 4:25:39it is the actual performance of the
  6755. 4:25:41process over a given period of time
  6756. 4:25:44subgroups are several small samples
  6757. 4:25:46collected consecutively
  6758. 4:25:48each sample forms a subgroup
  6759. 4:25:51the subgroups are chosen so that the
  6760. 4:25:52data points are likely to be identical
  6761. 4:25:54within the subgroup but different
  6762. 4:25:57between two subgroups
  6763. 4:25:59the process shift is calculated by
  6764. 4:26:01subtracting the long-term capability
  6765. 4:26:03from the short-term capability
  6766. 4:26:06the process shift also reflects how well
  6767. 4:26:08a process is controlled
  6768. 4:26:10it is usually a factor of 1.5
  6769. 4:26:13let us look at short-term and long-term
  6770. 4:26:15process capability in the next screen
  6771. 4:26:19the concept of short-term and long-term
  6772. 4:26:21process shift is explained graphically
  6773. 4:26:23on this screen
  6774. 4:26:25there are three different samples taken
  6775. 4:26:26at time 1 time 2 and time 3. the smaller
  6776. 4:26:30waveforms represent the short-term
  6777. 4:26:32capability and they are joined with
  6778. 4:26:35their means to show the shift in
  6779. 4:26:36long-term performance
  6780. 4:26:38the long-term performance curve is shown
  6781. 4:26:40below with the target value marked in
  6782. 4:26:43the center
  6783. 4:26:44it is important to note that over a
  6784. 4:26:46period of time or subgroups a typical
  6785. 4:26:49process will shift by approximately 1.5
  6786. 4:26:52times the standard deviation
  6787. 4:26:54also long-term variation is more than
  6788. 4:26:57short-term variation
  6789. 4:26:59this difference is known as the sigma
  6790. 4:27:01shift and is an indicator of the process
  6791. 4:27:04control
  6792. 4:27:05the reasons for a process shift include
  6793. 4:27:08changes in operators raw material used
  6794. 4:27:11wear and tear and time periods
  6795. 4:27:14we will discuss the assumptions and
  6796. 4:27:16conventions of process variations in the
  6797. 4:27:18following screen
  6798. 4:27:20long-term variation is always longer
  6799. 4:27:22than short-term variation
  6800. 4:27:24click each term to know more
  6801. 4:27:27short-term variations are due to the
  6802. 4:27:29common causes the variance is inherent
  6803. 4:27:32in the process and known as the natural
  6804. 4:27:34variation
  6805. 4:27:36short-term variations show variation
  6806. 4:27:38within subgroup and are therefore called
  6807. 4:27:40within subgroup variation
  6808. 4:27:43they are usually a small number of
  6809. 4:27:44samples collected at short intervals
  6810. 4:27:47in short-term variation the variation
  6811. 4:27:49due to common causes are captured
  6812. 4:27:51however common causes are difficult to
  6813. 4:27:54identify and correct
  6814. 4:27:56the process may have to be redesigned to
  6815. 4:27:58remove common causes of variation
  6816. 4:28:02long-term variations are due to common
  6817. 4:28:05as well as special causes the added
  6818. 4:28:07variation or abnormal variation is due
  6819. 4:28:10to factors external to the usual process
  6820. 4:28:13long-term variation is also known as the
  6821. 4:28:16overall variation and is a sample
  6822. 4:28:18standard deviation for all the samples
  6823. 4:28:21put together
  6824. 4:28:22long-term variation shows variations
  6825. 4:28:24within the subgroup and between
  6826. 4:28:26subgroups
  6827. 4:28:28special causes increasing variation
  6828. 4:28:30include changes in operators raw
  6829. 4:28:33material and wear and tear
  6830. 4:28:35the special causes need to be identified
  6831. 4:28:37and corrected for process improvement
  6832. 4:28:41this screen explains how the factors of
  6833. 4:28:43stability capability spread and defect
  6834. 4:28:46summary are used to interpret the
  6835. 4:28:48process condition this table gives the
  6836. 4:28:51process condition for different levels
  6837. 4:28:53or types of variation with reference to
  6838. 4:28:55common causes and special causes
  6839. 4:28:58the table is read as follows
  6840. 4:29:01in the first scenario the process has
  6841. 4:29:03lesser common causes of variation or ccv
  6842. 4:29:07and no special causes of variation or
  6843. 4:29:10scv
  6844. 4:29:11in this case the variability is less the
  6845. 4:29:14capability is high the possibility of
  6846. 4:29:17defects is less and the process is said
  6847. 4:29:20to be capable and in control
  6848. 4:29:23next if the process has lesser ccv and
  6849. 4:29:26some scb are present then it has high
  6850. 4:29:30variability low capability and a high
  6851. 4:29:33possibility of defects
  6852. 4:29:35the process is said to be out of control
  6853. 4:29:38and incapable
  6854. 4:29:40the third possibility is that the
  6855. 4:29:42process has high ccv and no scv
  6856. 4:29:47in this case the variability is moderate
  6857. 4:29:49to high the capability is very low
  6858. 4:29:53and possibility of defects is very high
  6859. 4:29:57although the process is in control it is
  6860. 4:29:59incapable
  6861. 4:30:01finally at the other extreme is the
  6862. 4:30:04situation where the process has high ccv
  6863. 4:30:07and scv is also present
  6864. 4:30:10here the process has high variability
  6865. 4:30:13low capability high possibility of
  6866. 4:30:16defects and is out of control and
  6867. 4:30:19incapable
  6868. 4:30:20this table is a quick reference to
  6869. 4:30:22understand process conditions
  6870. 4:30:25in the next screen we will compare the
  6871. 4:30:27cpk and cp values
  6872. 4:30:30when cpk and cp values are compared
  6873. 4:30:33three outcomes are possible
  6874. 4:30:35when cpk is lesser than cp it can be
  6875. 4:30:38inferred that the mean is not centered
  6876. 4:30:41when cpk is equal to cp the inference is
  6877. 4:30:44that the process is accurate
  6878. 4:30:47the process is considered capable if cpk
  6879. 4:30:50is greater than one
  6880. 4:30:51this will happen only if variations are
  6881. 4:30:53in control
  6882. 4:30:55cpk can never be greater than cp
  6883. 4:30:58if this situation occurs the
  6884. 4:31:00calculations have to be rechecked
  6885. 4:31:03we will look at an example problem for
  6886. 4:31:05calculating process variation in the
  6887. 4:31:07following screen
  6888. 4:31:09the table on this screen shows data for
  6889. 4:31:11customer complaint resolution time over
  6890. 4:31:14a period of three weeks
  6891. 4:31:16each week's data forms a sub group
  6892. 4:31:18for example the resolution time is 48
  6893. 4:31:21hours for a particular case in week 1.
  6894. 4:31:24in week 2 the case takes up 50 hours and
  6895. 4:31:27in week 3 it takes about 49 hours
  6896. 4:31:30the subgroup size is 10.
  6897. 4:31:32let us understand how to calculate
  6898. 4:31:34long-term and short-term standard
  6899. 4:31:36deviations are calculated for this data
  6900. 4:31:40the average for each week is calculated
  6901. 4:31:42by dividing the total number of
  6902. 4:31:44complaints resolved by the subgroup size
  6903. 4:31:47a grand average is also calculated for
  6904. 4:31:50all the three weeks
  6905. 4:31:51the variations within subgroups and
  6906. 4:31:54between subgroups for each week are
  6907. 4:31:56calculated
  6908. 4:31:57this is followed by calculating the
  6909. 4:31:59total variations within and between
  6910. 4:32:01subgroups
  6911. 4:32:03overall variation is given by the sum of
  6912. 4:32:05total variation within subgroups and
  6913. 4:32:08total variation between subgroups
  6914. 4:32:11finally the standard deviations for the
  6915. 4:32:12short term and the long term are
  6916. 4:32:14calculated using the formula given on
  6917. 4:32:16the screen
  6918. 4:32:18the results for the process variation
  6919. 4:32:20calculations are as follows
  6920. 4:32:23the grand average for all three weeks is
  6921. 4:32:2547.5
  6922. 4:32:27the total variation within subgroups is
  6923. 4:32:301023.8
  6924. 4:32:33the total variation between subgroups is
  6925. 4:32:36161.67
  6926. 4:32:39both these variations are added to give
  6927. 4:32:41the overall variation of 1185.5
  6928. 4:32:47the short-term standard deviation is 6.2
  6929. 4:32:50and the long-term standard deviation is
  6930. 4:32:536.4
  6931. 4:32:55note that the overall variation can also
  6932. 4:32:57be calculated with the usual sample
  6933. 4:32:59variance formula
  6934. 4:33:02let us discuss the effective mean shift
  6935. 4:33:04on the process capability in this screen
  6936. 4:33:07the table given here shows the defect
  6937. 4:33:10level at different sigma multiple values
  6938. 4:33:12and different mean shifts
  6939. 4:33:14from the table it can be seen that when
  6940. 4:33:16the mean is centered within the
  6941. 4:33:17specification limits and the process
  6942. 4:33:20capability is 1 that is plus or minus 3s
  6943. 4:33:24fits within the specification limits
  6944. 4:33:27the dpmo is 2700 percent and the
  6945. 4:33:30probability of a good result is
  6946. 4:33:3399.73 percent
  6947. 4:33:35if the mean shifts by 1.5 sigma then a
  6948. 4:33:38tail moves outside the specification
  6949. 4:33:40limit to a greater extent
  6950. 4:33:42now the dpmo increases to over sixty six
  6951. 4:33:45thousand this is almost a twenty five
  6952. 4:33:48hundred percent increase in defects
  6953. 4:33:50if the process has a process capability
  6954. 4:33:53of two that is plus or minus six s fits
  6955. 4:33:56within the specification limits and the
  6956. 4:33:58mean shifts by 1.5 sigma then the
  6957. 4:34:01probability of a good result is
  6958. 4:34:0499.99966 percent
  6959. 4:34:06this is the same as a process with a
  6960. 4:34:08capability of 1.5 that is plus or minus
  6961. 4:34:124.5 s fitting within the specification
  6962. 4:34:15limits and no shift in the mean
  6963. 4:34:17the long-term and short-term capability
  6964. 4:34:19table shows the variations in
  6965. 4:34:21capabilities
  6966. 4:34:23for the purposes of six sigma the
  6967. 4:34:25assumption is that the long-term
  6968. 4:34:27variability will have a 1.5 s difference
  6969. 4:34:30from the short-term variability
  6970. 4:34:32as seen in statistical process control
  6971. 4:34:35this assumption can be challenged if
  6972. 4:34:37control charts are used and these kinds
  6973. 4:34:40of shifts are detected quickly
  6974. 4:34:42in the chart it can be seen that the
  6975. 4:34:44mean shift is negligible as the process
  6976. 4:34:47capability increases
  6977. 4:34:49therefore for a six sigma process the
  6978. 4:34:51long-term variation does not have much
  6979. 4:34:53effect
  6980. 4:34:55in the next screen we will look at key
  6981. 4:34:57concepts in process capability for
  6982. 4:34:59attribute data
  6983. 4:35:01the customary procedure for defining
  6984. 4:35:03process capability for attribute data is
  6985. 4:35:06to define the mean rate of
  6986. 4:35:07non-conformity
  6987. 4:35:09defects and defectives are examples of
  6988. 4:35:11non-conformity
  6989. 4:35:12defects per million opportunities or
  6990. 4:35:14dpmo is the measure of process
  6991. 4:35:17capability for attribute data
  6992. 4:35:20for this the mean and the standard
  6993. 4:35:22deviation for attribute data have to be
  6994. 4:35:24defined
  6995. 4:35:25for defectives p bar is used for
  6996. 4:35:27checking process capability for both
  6997. 4:35:29constant and variable sample sizes
  6998. 4:35:32for defects c bar and u bar are used for
  6999. 4:35:35constant and variable sample sizes
  7000. 4:35:38respectively
  7001. 4:35:39the p bar c bar and u bar are the
  7002. 4:35:42equivalent of the standard deviation
  7003. 4:35:44denoted by sigma for continuous data
  7004. 4:35:47in this topic we will learn about the
  7005. 4:35:49patterns of variation in detail
  7006. 4:35:52let us start with the classes of
  7007. 4:35:54distributions in the following screen
  7008. 4:35:57when data obtained from the measurement
  7009. 4:35:59phase is plotted on a chart it is
  7010. 4:36:02observed that it exhibits a variety of
  7011. 4:36:04distributions depending on the data type
  7012. 4:36:07and its source
  7013. 4:36:09these distribution patterns will help
  7014. 4:36:11you understand the data better
  7015. 4:36:14probability statistics and inferential
  7016. 4:36:17statistics
  7017. 4:36:18are the methods used to describe the
  7018. 4:36:20parameters for the classes of
  7019. 4:36:22distributions
  7020. 4:36:23click each method to know more
  7021. 4:36:26probability is based on the assumed
  7022. 4:36:29model of distribution and it is used to
  7023. 4:36:32find the chances of a certain outcome or
  7024. 4:36:34event to occur
  7025. 4:36:37statistics uses the measured data to
  7026. 4:36:40determine a model to describe the data
  7027. 4:36:42used
  7028. 4:36:44inferential statistics describe the
  7029. 4:36:46population parameters based on the
  7030. 4:36:48sample data using a particular model
  7031. 4:36:52in this screen we will discuss the types
  7032. 4:36:55of distributions there are two types of
  7033. 4:36:58distributions discrete distribution and
  7034. 4:37:01continuous distribution
  7035. 4:37:04discrete distribution includes binomial
  7036. 4:37:07distribution and poisson distribution
  7037. 4:37:10continuous distribution includes normal
  7038. 4:37:12distribution chi square distribution
  7039. 4:37:16t distribution and f distribution let us
  7040. 4:37:19learn about discrete probability
  7041. 4:37:21distribution in the following screen
  7042. 4:37:24discrete probability distribution is
  7043. 4:37:27characterized by the probability mass
  7044. 4:37:29function
  7045. 4:37:30it is important to be familiar with
  7046. 4:37:32discrete distributions while dealing
  7047. 4:37:34with discrete data some of the examples
  7048. 4:37:37of discrete probability distribution are
  7049. 4:37:40binomial distribution poisson
  7050. 4:37:42distribution negative binomial
  7051. 4:37:45distribution geometric distribution and
  7052. 4:37:48hyper geometric distribution
  7053. 4:37:51we will focus only on the two most
  7054. 4:37:53useful discrete distributions binomial
  7055. 4:37:56distribution and poisson distribution
  7056. 4:38:00like most probability distributions
  7057. 4:38:02these distributions also help in
  7058. 4:38:04predicting the sample behavior that has
  7059. 4:38:07been observed in a population let us
  7060. 4:38:10learn about binomial distribution in the
  7061. 4:38:13following screen
  7062. 4:38:16binomial distribution is a probability
  7063. 4:38:19distribution for discrete data
  7064. 4:38:21named after the swiss mathematician
  7065. 4:38:24jacob bernoulli it is an application of
  7066. 4:38:26popular knowledge to predict the sample
  7067. 4:38:29behavior
  7068. 4:38:30binomial distribution also describes the
  7069. 4:38:33discrete data as a result of a
  7070. 4:38:35particular process like the tossing of a
  7071. 4:38:38coin for a fixed number of times and the
  7072. 4:38:41success or failure in an interview
  7073. 4:38:44a process is known as bernoulli's
  7074. 4:38:46process when the process output has only
  7075. 4:38:49two possible values like defective or
  7076. 4:38:52okay pass or fail and yes or no
  7077. 4:38:56binomial distribution is used to deal
  7078. 4:38:59with defective items defect is any
  7079. 4:39:02non-compliance with a specification
  7080. 4:39:04defective is a product or service with
  7081. 4:39:07at least one defect
  7082. 4:39:09binomial distribution is most suitable
  7083. 4:39:11when the sample size is less than 30 and
  7084. 4:39:14less than 10 percent of the population
  7085. 4:39:17it is the percentage of non-defective
  7086. 4:39:19items provided the probability of
  7087. 4:39:21creating a defective item remains the
  7088. 4:39:24same over a period
  7089. 4:39:26let us look at the equation
  7090. 4:39:28the probability of exactly r successes
  7091. 4:39:31out of a sample size of n is denoted by
  7092. 4:39:35p of r
  7093. 4:39:36which is equal to ncr whole multiplied
  7094. 4:39:40by p to the power of r and one minus p
  7095. 4:39:43whole to the power of n minus r
  7096. 4:39:46in the equation b is the probability of
  7097. 4:39:49success
  7098. 4:39:50r is the number of successes desired and
  7099. 4:39:53n is the sample size
  7100. 4:39:55to continue discussing the binomial
  7101. 4:39:58distribution let us look at some of its
  7102. 4:40:00key calculations in the following screen
  7103. 4:40:03the mean of a binomial distribution is
  7104. 4:40:06denoted by mio and is given by n
  7105. 4:40:09multiplied by p
  7106. 4:40:10the standard deviation of a binomial
  7107. 4:40:13distribution is denoted by sigma which
  7108. 4:40:16is equal to n multiplied by p multiplied
  7109. 4:40:19by one minus p
  7110. 4:40:21the method of calculating factorials say
  7111. 4:40:24factorial of five
  7112. 4:40:26is the product of five four three two
  7113. 4:40:29and one
  7114. 4:40:30which is equal to one hundred twenty
  7115. 4:40:33similarly factorial of four is the
  7116. 4:40:36product of four three two and one
  7117. 4:40:39which is equal to twenty four
  7118. 4:40:42let us look at an example of calculating
  7119. 4:40:44binomial distribution in the next screen
  7120. 4:40:49suppose you wish to know the probability
  7121. 4:40:51of getting heads five times in eight
  7122. 4:40:54coin tosses
  7123. 4:40:55you can use the binomial equation for
  7124. 4:40:57the same
  7125. 4:40:58click the answer button to see how this
  7126. 4:41:00is done
  7127. 4:41:02the tossing of a coin has only two
  7128. 4:41:05outcomes heads and tails
  7129. 4:41:07it means that the probability of each
  7130. 4:41:09outcome is 0.5 and it remains fixed over
  7131. 4:41:13a period of time
  7132. 4:41:14additionally the outcomes are
  7133. 4:41:16statistically independent
  7134. 4:41:18in this case the probability of success
  7135. 4:41:21denoted by p is 0.5 the number of
  7136. 4:41:24successes desired is denoted by r which
  7137. 4:41:27is five and the sample size is denoted
  7138. 4:41:30by n which is eight
  7139. 4:41:32therefore the probability of five heads
  7140. 4:41:35is equal to factorial of eight c r which
  7141. 4:41:38is eight divided by factorial of five
  7142. 4:41:41and factorial of eight minus five whole
  7143. 4:41:44multiplied by zero point five to the
  7144. 4:41:46power of five multiplied by one minus
  7145. 4:41:48zero point five whole to the power of
  7146. 4:41:51eight minus five
  7147. 4:41:52this calculation gives a result of zero
  7148. 4:41:55point two one eight seven
  7149. 4:41:57which is equal to twenty one point eight
  7150. 4:42:00seven percent
  7151. 4:42:03let us learn about poisson distribution
  7152. 4:42:05in this screen
  7153. 4:42:07fuson distribution is named after simeon
  7154. 4:42:09denis posson and is also used for
  7155. 4:42:12discrete data
  7156. 4:42:13poisson distribution is an application
  7157. 4:42:16of the population knowledge to predict
  7158. 4:42:18the sample behavior
  7159. 4:42:20it is generally used for describing the
  7160. 4:42:22probability distribution of an event
  7161. 4:42:24with respect to time or space
  7162. 4:42:27some of the characteristics of poisson
  7163. 4:42:29distribution are as follows
  7164. 4:42:31poisson distribution describes the
  7165. 4:42:33discrete data resulting from a process
  7166. 4:42:35like the number of calls received by a
  7167. 4:42:37call center agent or the number of
  7168. 4:42:40accidents at a signal
  7169. 4:42:42unlike binomial distribution which deals
  7170. 4:42:44with binary discrete data poisson
  7171. 4:42:47distribution deals with integers which
  7172. 4:42:49can take any value poisson distribution
  7173. 4:42:52is suitable for analyzing situations
  7174. 4:42:54wherein the number of trials similar to
  7175. 4:42:56the sample size in binomial distribution
  7176. 4:42:59is large and tends towards infinity
  7177. 4:43:03additionally it is used in situations
  7178. 4:43:05where the probability of success in each
  7179. 4:43:08trial is very small almost tending
  7180. 4:43:10towards zero
  7181. 4:43:12this is the reason why poisson
  7182. 4:43:13distribution is applicable for
  7183. 4:43:15predicting the occurrence of rare events
  7184. 4:43:17like plane crashes car accidents etc and
  7185. 4:43:21is therefore widely used in the
  7186. 4:43:23insurance sector poisson distribution
  7187. 4:43:25can be used for predicting the number of
  7188. 4:43:27defects as well given a low defect
  7189. 4:43:30occurrence rate
  7190. 4:43:31let us look at the formula for
  7191. 4:43:33calculating poisson distribution in the
  7192. 4:43:35next screen the poisson distribution for
  7193. 4:43:37a probability of exactly x occurrences
  7194. 4:43:41is given by p of x equals to lambda to
  7195. 4:43:44the power of x multiplied with log e to
  7196. 4:43:46the power of minus lambda whole divided
  7197. 4:43:48by factorial of x
  7198. 4:43:51in this equation lambda is the mean
  7199. 4:43:53number of occurrences during the
  7200. 4:43:55interval
  7201. 4:43:56x is the number of occurrences desired
  7202. 4:43:59and e is the base of natural logarithm
  7203. 4:44:02which is equal to 2.71828
  7204. 4:44:05the mean of the poisson distribution is
  7205. 4:44:08given by the lambda and the standard
  7206. 4:44:10deviation of a poisson distribution is
  7207. 4:44:12given by sigma which is the square root
  7208. 4:44:15of lambda
  7209. 4:44:16let us look at an example to calculate
  7210. 4:44:19poisson distribution in the next screen
  7211. 4:44:22the past records of a road junction
  7212. 4:44:24which is accident prone show a mean
  7213. 4:44:27number of five accidents per week at
  7214. 4:44:29this junction
  7215. 4:44:30assume that the number of accidents
  7216. 4:44:32follows a poisson distribution and
  7217. 4:44:35calculate the probability of any number
  7218. 4:44:37of accidents happening in a week
  7219. 4:44:39click the button to know the answer
  7220. 4:44:43given the situation you know that the
  7221. 4:44:45value of lambda or mean is five
  7222. 4:44:48so p of zero that is the probability of
  7223. 4:44:50zero accidents per week is calculated as
  7224. 4:44:53five to the power of 0 multiplied by e
  7225. 4:44:56to the power of minus 5 whole divided by
  7226. 4:44:59factorial of zero
  7227. 4:45:01the answer is
  7228. 4:45:030.006
  7229. 4:45:05applying the same formula the
  7230. 4:45:07probability of one accident per week is
  7231. 4:45:090.03
  7232. 4:45:11the probability of more than two
  7233. 4:45:13accidents per week is one minus the sum
  7234. 4:45:16of probabilities of zero one and two
  7235. 4:45:19accidents
  7236. 4:45:20which is 0.884
  7237. 4:45:23in other words the probability is 88.4
  7238. 4:45:26percent
  7239. 4:45:29let us learn about continuous
  7240. 4:45:31probability distribution in this screen
  7241. 4:45:34continuous probability distribution is
  7242. 4:45:37characterized by the probability density
  7243. 4:45:40function
  7244. 4:45:41a variable is said to be continuous if
  7245. 4:45:44the range of possible values falls along
  7246. 4:45:46a continuum
  7247. 4:45:48for example loudness of cheering at a
  7248. 4:45:50ball game weight of cookies in a package
  7249. 4:45:54length of a pen
  7250. 4:45:55or the time required to assemble a car
  7251. 4:45:59continuous probability distributions
  7252. 4:46:01help in predicting the sample behavior
  7253. 4:46:04observed in a population
  7254. 4:46:07let us learn about normal distribution
  7255. 4:46:09in this screen
  7256. 4:46:11the normal or gaussian distribution is a
  7257. 4:46:13continuous probability distribution
  7258. 4:46:16the normal distribution is represented
  7259. 4:46:18as n and depends on two factors
  7260. 4:46:21me u which stands for mean and sigma
  7261. 4:46:24which gives the standard deviation of
  7262. 4:46:26the data points
  7263. 4:46:28normal distribution normally has a
  7264. 4:46:30higher frequency of values around the
  7265. 4:46:32mean and lesser occurrences away from it
  7266. 4:46:36it is often used as a first
  7267. 4:46:38approximation to describe real valued
  7268. 4:46:40random variables that tend to cluster
  7269. 4:46:42around a single mean value
  7270. 4:46:45the distribution is bell shaped and
  7271. 4:46:47symmetrical the total area under the
  7272. 4:46:49normal curve is 1 which is p of x
  7273. 4:46:53various types of data such as body
  7274. 4:46:55weight height the output of a
  7275. 4:46:56manufacturing device etc follow the
  7276. 4:46:59normal distribution
  7277. 4:47:01additionally normal distribution is
  7278. 4:47:03continuous and symmetrical with the
  7279. 4:47:05tails asymptotic to the x-axis which
  7280. 4:47:08means they touch the x-axis at infinity
  7281. 4:47:11let us continue to discuss normal
  7282. 4:47:13distribution in the following screen
  7283. 4:47:17in a normal distribution to standardize
  7284. 4:47:19comparisons of dispersion or the
  7285. 4:47:21different measurement units like inches
  7286. 4:47:23meters grams etc
  7287. 4:47:25a standard z variable is used the uses
  7288. 4:47:28of z value are as follows
  7289. 4:47:31while the value of z or the number of
  7290. 4:47:34standard deviations is unique for each
  7291. 4:47:36probability within the normal
  7292. 4:47:38distribution
  7293. 4:47:39it helps in finding probabilities of
  7294. 4:47:41data points anywhere within the
  7295. 4:47:43distribution
  7296. 4:47:44it is dimensionless as well that is it
  7297. 4:47:47has no units such as millimeters liters
  7298. 4:47:50coulombs etc
  7299. 4:47:52there are different formulas to arrive
  7300. 4:47:54at the normal distribution
  7301. 4:47:56we will focus on one commonly used
  7302. 4:47:58formula for calculating normal
  7303. 4:48:00distribution which is
  7304. 4:48:02z equals y minus mu whole divided by
  7305. 4:48:05sigma
  7306. 4:48:06here z is the number of standard
  7307. 4:48:08deviations between y and the mean
  7308. 4:48:11denoted by miu
  7309. 4:48:13why is the value of the data point in
  7310. 4:48:15concern
  7311. 4:48:16me u is mean of the population or data
  7312. 4:48:18points and sigma is the standard
  7313. 4:48:21deviation of the population or data
  7314. 4:48:23points
  7315. 4:48:24let us look at an example for
  7316. 4:48:26calculating normal distribution in the
  7317. 4:48:28following screen
  7318. 4:48:31suppose the time taken to resolve
  7319. 4:48:33customer problems follows a normal
  7320. 4:48:35distribution with a mean of 250 hours
  7321. 4:48:38and standard deviation of twenty three
  7322. 4:48:40hours
  7323. 4:48:41find the probability of a problem
  7324. 4:48:43resolution taking more than three
  7325. 4:48:45hundred hours
  7326. 4:48:46click the button to know the answer
  7327. 4:48:50in this case y is equal to three hundred
  7328. 4:48:52me u equals 250 and sigma equals 23.
  7329. 4:48:57applying the normal distribution formula
  7330. 4:48:59z is equal to 300 minus 250 whole
  7331. 4:49:03divided by 23. the result is 2.17
  7332. 4:49:08when you look at the normal distribution
  7333. 4:49:10table the z value of 2.17 covers an area
  7334. 4:49:14of
  7335. 4:49:150.98499 under itself
  7336. 4:49:18this means the probability of a problem
  7337. 4:49:21taking 0 to 300 hours to be resolved is
  7338. 4:49:2498.5 percent and therefore the chances
  7339. 4:49:27of a problem resolution taking more than
  7340. 4:49:30300 hours is 1.5 percent
  7341. 4:49:34let us understand the usage of z table
  7342. 4:49:36in this screen
  7343. 4:49:38the graphical representation of z table
  7344. 4:49:40usage is given here
  7345. 4:49:43the probability of areas under the curve
  7346. 4:49:45is one
  7347. 4:49:46for the actual value one can identify
  7348. 4:49:49the z score by using the z table
  7349. 4:49:52as shown this probability is the area
  7350. 4:49:55under the curve to the left of point
  7351. 4:49:57plus a to zero
  7352. 4:50:00using the actual data when you calculate
  7353. 4:50:02mean and standard deviation and the
  7354. 4:50:05values are 25 and 5 respectively it is
  7355. 4:50:08the normal distribution
  7356. 4:50:10if the same data is standardized to a
  7357. 4:50:13mean value of 0 and standard deviation
  7358. 4:50:16value of 1
  7359. 4:50:17it is the standard normal distribution
  7360. 4:50:20in the next screen we will take a look
  7361. 4:50:22at the z table
  7362. 4:50:25the z table gives the probability that z
  7363. 4:50:28is between zero and a positive number
  7364. 4:50:31there are different forms of normal
  7365. 4:50:33distribution z tables followed globally
  7366. 4:50:36the most common form of z table with
  7367. 4:50:38positive z scores is shown here
  7368. 4:50:41the value of a called the percentage
  7369. 4:50:44point is given along the borders of the
  7370. 4:50:46table in bold and is to two decimal
  7371. 4:50:49places
  7372. 4:50:51the values in the main table are the
  7373. 4:50:53probabilities that z is between zero and
  7374. 4:50:56plus a
  7375. 4:50:58note that the values running down the
  7376. 4:50:59table are to one decimal place
  7377. 4:51:02the numbers along the column change only
  7378. 4:51:04for the second decimal place
  7379. 4:51:07let us look at some examples on how to
  7380. 4:51:09use a z table in the following screen
  7381. 4:51:13let us find the value of p of z less
  7382. 4:51:15than zero
  7383. 4:51:17the table is not needed to find the
  7384. 4:51:19answer once we know that the variable z
  7385. 4:51:22takes a value less than or equal to zero
  7386. 4:51:26first the area under the curve is one
  7387. 4:51:28and second the curve is symmetrical
  7388. 4:51:31about z equals zero
  7389. 4:51:33hence there is zero point five or fifty
  7390. 4:51:35percent above chance of z equals zero
  7391. 4:51:38and zero point five or fifty percent
  7392. 4:51:41below chance of z equals zero
  7393. 4:51:46let us find the value of p of z greater
  7394. 4:51:48than one point one two
  7395. 4:51:51in this case the chance of z is greater
  7396. 4:51:53than a number in this case 1.12
  7397. 4:51:57you can find this by using the following
  7398. 4:51:59fact
  7399. 4:52:00the opposite or complement of an event
  7400. 4:52:03of a is the event of not a
  7401. 4:52:06that is the opposite or complement of
  7402. 4:52:08event a occurring is the event a not
  7403. 4:52:11occurring
  7404. 4:52:12its probability is given by p of not a
  7405. 4:52:15equals one minus p of a
  7406. 4:52:18in other words p of z greater than one
  7407. 4:52:20point one two is one minus the opposite
  7408. 4:52:23which is p of z lesser than 1.12
  7409. 4:52:28using the table p of z less than 1.12
  7410. 4:52:31equals 0.5 plus p of 0 less than z less
  7411. 4:52:36than 1.12 equals 0.5 plus
  7412. 4:52:400.3686 which is
  7413. 4:52:430.8686
  7414. 4:52:45hence the answer is p of z greater than
  7415. 4:52:481.12 equals 1 minus 0.86
  7416. 4:52:53which is 0.1314
  7417. 4:52:56note the answer is less than 0.5
  7418. 4:53:00let us find the value of p of z lies
  7419. 4:53:03between 0 and 1.12
  7420. 4:53:06in this case where z falls within an
  7421. 4:53:08interval the probability can be read
  7422. 4:53:10straight off the table
  7423. 4:53:12p of z lies between 0 and 1.12 equals
  7424. 4:53:160.3686
  7425. 4:53:19we will learn about chi-square
  7426. 4:53:21distribution in this screen
  7427. 4:53:23chi-square distribution is also known as
  7428. 4:53:26chi squared or chi-square distribution
  7429. 4:53:30chi squared with k-1 degrees of freedom
  7430. 4:53:33is the distribution of a sum of the
  7431. 4:53:35squares of k independent standard normal
  7432. 4:53:38random variables
  7433. 4:53:40the chi-squared distribution is one of
  7434. 4:53:42the most widely used probability
  7435. 4:53:44distributions in inferential statistics
  7436. 4:53:47it is also known as hypothesis testing
  7437. 4:53:51and the distribution is used in
  7438. 4:53:52hypothesis tests
  7439. 4:53:54when used in hypothesis tests it only
  7440. 4:53:57needs one sample for the test to be
  7441. 4:53:59conducted
  7442. 4:54:01degree of freedom is k1 where k is the
  7443. 4:54:05sample size
  7444. 4:54:06click the button to view the chi-square
  7445. 4:54:09distribution formula
  7446. 4:54:12chi-square calculated or sigma or the
  7447. 4:54:15chi-square index equals f of o minus f
  7448. 4:54:18of e
  7449. 4:54:19the whole square divided by f of e
  7450. 4:54:22here f of o stands for an observed
  7451. 4:54:25frequency and f of e stands for an
  7452. 4:54:28expected frequency determined through a
  7453. 4:54:31contingency table
  7454. 4:54:33we will learn about the chi-square
  7455. 4:54:34distribution in detail in the later part
  7456. 4:54:37of this lesson
  7457. 4:54:39let us proceed to the next screen to
  7458. 4:54:41discuss t distribution
  7459. 4:54:45the t distribution method is the most
  7460. 4:54:47appropriate method to be used in the
  7461. 4:54:49following situations
  7462. 4:54:51when you have a sample size of less than
  7463. 4:54:5430 when the population standard
  7464. 4:54:56deviation is not known
  7465. 4:54:58when the population is approximately
  7466. 4:55:00normal
  7467. 4:55:01unlike the normal distribution a t
  7468. 4:55:04distribution is lower at the mean and
  7469. 4:55:06higher at the tails as seen in the image
  7470. 4:55:10t distribution is used for hypothesis
  7471. 4:55:12testing
  7472. 4:55:14also as seen in the image the t
  7473. 4:55:16distribution is symmetrical in shape but
  7474. 4:55:19flatter than the normal distribution
  7475. 4:55:22as the sample size increases the t
  7476. 4:55:25distribution approaches normality
  7477. 4:55:27for every possible sample size or
  7478. 4:55:30degrees of freedom there is a different
  7479. 4:55:33t distribution
  7480. 4:55:35let us learn about f distribution in the
  7481. 4:55:37following screen
  7482. 4:55:39the f distribution is a ratio of two
  7483. 4:55:42chi-square distributions
  7484. 4:55:44a specific f distribution is denoted by
  7485. 4:55:47the ratio of the degrees of freedom for
  7486. 4:55:50the numerator chi square
  7487. 4:55:52and the degrees of freedom for the
  7488. 4:55:54denominator chi-square
  7489. 4:55:57the f-test is performed to calculate and
  7490. 4:55:59observe if the standard deviations or
  7491. 4:56:02variances of two processes are
  7492. 4:56:04significantly different
  7493. 4:56:07the project teams are usually concerned
  7494. 4:56:09about reducing the process variance
  7495. 4:56:12as per the formula f calculated equals
  7496. 4:56:15s1 square divided by s2 square
  7497. 4:56:19where s1 and s2 are the standard
  7498. 4:56:21deviations of the two samples
  7499. 4:56:24if the f calculated is 1
  7500. 4:56:27it implies there is no difference in the
  7501. 4:56:29variance
  7502. 4:56:31if s 1 is greater than s 2
  7503. 4:56:34then the numerator must be greater than
  7504. 4:56:36the denominator
  7505. 4:56:37in other words df1 equals n1 minus 1 and
  7506. 4:56:42df2 equals n2 minus 1.
  7507. 4:56:46from the f distribution table you can
  7508. 4:56:49easily find out the critical f
  7509. 4:56:51distribution at alpha and the degrees of
  7510. 4:56:54freedom of the samples of two different
  7511. 4:56:56processes df1 and df2
  7512. 4:57:00let us proceed to the next topic of this
  7513. 4:57:02lesson in the following screen
  7514. 4:57:05in this topic we will discuss
  7515. 4:57:07exploratory data analysis in detail
  7516. 4:57:11let us learn about multivariate studies
  7517. 4:57:13in the following screen
  7518. 4:57:16multivariate studies or multi-variable
  7519. 4:57:19studies are used to analyze variation in
  7520. 4:57:21a process
  7521. 4:57:23analyzing variation helps in
  7522. 4:57:25investigating the stability of a process
  7523. 4:57:29more stable the process less is the
  7524. 4:57:31variation
  7525. 4:57:32multivariate studies also help in
  7526. 4:57:34identifying areas to be investigated
  7527. 4:57:37finally they help in breaking down the
  7528. 4:57:39variation into components to make the
  7529. 4:57:42required improvements
  7530. 4:57:44multivariate studies classify variation
  7531. 4:57:46sources into three major types
  7532. 4:57:49positional cyclical and temporal
  7533. 4:57:52click each type to learn more
  7534. 4:57:55positional variation occurs within a
  7535. 4:57:58single piece or a product
  7536. 4:58:00variation in pieces of a batch is also
  7537. 4:58:03an example of positional variation
  7538. 4:58:06in positional variation measurements at
  7539. 4:58:08different locations of a piece would
  7540. 4:58:10produce different values
  7541. 4:58:13suppose a company is manufacturing a
  7542. 4:58:15metal plate of thickness one inch and
  7543. 4:58:18the plate thickness is different at many
  7544. 4:58:20points
  7545. 4:58:21it is an example of positional variation
  7546. 4:58:24some of the other examples can be pallet
  7547. 4:58:27stacking in a truck
  7548. 4:58:28temperature gradient in an oven
  7549. 4:58:31variation observed from cavity to cavity
  7550. 4:58:33within a mold
  7551. 4:58:35region of a country and line on invoice
  7552. 4:58:40cyclical variation occurs when
  7553. 4:58:43measurement differs from piece to piece
  7554. 4:58:45or product to product but over a short
  7555. 4:58:47period of time
  7556. 4:58:49time is important because certain
  7557. 4:58:51measurements may change if a product
  7558. 4:58:53such as a hot metal sheet is measured
  7559. 4:58:55after a long interval
  7560. 4:58:57if the measurement at the same location
  7561. 4:58:59in a piece varies with different pieces
  7562. 4:59:02it is an example of cyclical variation
  7563. 4:59:05other examples of cyclical variations
  7564. 4:59:08are match to batch variation
  7565. 4:59:10lot to lot variation and account
  7566. 4:59:13activity week to week
  7567. 4:59:16temporal variation occurs over a longer
  7568. 4:59:19period of time
  7569. 4:59:20such as machine wear and tear and
  7570. 4:59:22changes in efficiency of an operator
  7571. 4:59:24before and after lunch
  7572. 4:59:27temporal variations may also be seasonal
  7573. 4:59:30if the range of positional variation in
  7574. 4:59:32a piece is more in winter than in summer
  7575. 4:59:35it is an example of temporal variation
  7576. 4:59:38the variation may occur because of
  7577. 4:59:40unfavorable working conditions in winter
  7578. 4:59:43process drift performance before and
  7579. 4:59:45after breaks seasonal and shift based
  7580. 4:59:47differences month-to-month closings and
  7581. 4:59:50quarterly returns can be examples of
  7582. 4:59:53temporal variation
  7583. 4:59:56we will learn about creating a
  7584. 4:59:57multivariate chart in this screen
  7585. 5:00:00the outcome of multivariate studies is
  7586. 5:00:03the multivariate chart
  7587. 5:00:04it depicts the type of variation in the
  7588. 5:00:07product and helps in identifying the
  7589. 5:00:09root cause
  7590. 5:00:11there are five major steps involved in
  7591. 5:00:13creating a multivariate chart
  7592. 5:00:16they are select process and
  7593. 5:00:17characteristics
  7594. 5:00:19decide sample size
  7595. 5:00:21create a tabulation sheet
  7596. 5:00:24plot the chart and link the observed
  7597. 5:00:27values
  7598. 5:00:28click each step to learn more
  7599. 5:00:32the first step is to select the process
  7600. 5:00:34and the relevant characteristics to be
  7601. 5:00:36investigated
  7602. 5:00:38for example selecting the process where
  7603. 5:00:40the plate of one inch thickness is being
  7604. 5:00:42manufactured
  7605. 5:00:44in this process four equipment numbered
  7606. 5:00:46one to four produce the one-inch plates
  7607. 5:00:49the characteristic to be measured is the
  7608. 5:00:51thickness of the plate ranging from 0.95
  7609. 5:00:55inch to 1.05 inches
  7610. 5:00:58any plate thickness outside this range
  7611. 5:01:00is a defect
  7612. 5:01:04the second step is to decide the sample
  7613. 5:01:06size and the frequency of data
  7614. 5:01:08collection
  7615. 5:01:10in this example the sample size is five
  7616. 5:01:13pieces per equipment and the frequency
  7617. 5:01:15of collecting data is every two hours
  7618. 5:01:18starting from eight in the morning to
  7619. 5:01:20two in the afternoon
  7620. 5:01:22then the tabulation sheet is created
  7621. 5:01:24where the data will be recorded
  7622. 5:01:27so one should measure the thickness of
  7623. 5:01:28the plate being produced by the four
  7624. 5:01:30equipment at a data collection frequency
  7625. 5:01:33of two hours
  7626. 5:01:36the third step is to create a tabulation
  7627. 5:01:39sheet
  7628. 5:01:40in this example the tabulation sheet
  7629. 5:01:42with data records contains the columns
  7630. 5:01:45with time equipment number and thickness
  7631. 5:01:48as headers
  7632. 5:01:51the fourth step is to plot the chart
  7633. 5:01:54in this example a chart can be plotted
  7634. 5:01:57with time on the x-axis and plate
  7635. 5:02:00thickness on the y-axis
  7636. 5:02:04the last step is to link the observed
  7637. 5:02:06values
  7638. 5:02:07in this example the observed values can
  7639. 5:02:09be linked by appropriate lines
  7640. 5:02:12we will continue to learn about creating
  7641. 5:02:15a multivariate chart in this screen
  7642. 5:02:18the path to create a multivariate chart
  7643. 5:02:20in minitab is by selecting stat then
  7644. 5:02:23quality tools followed by multivariate
  7645. 5:02:26chart
  7646. 5:02:28the multivariate chart created from the
  7647. 5:02:30data recorded is shown here
  7648. 5:02:32the upper specification limit of 1.05
  7649. 5:02:36inches and the lower specification limit
  7650. 5:02:38of 0.95 inches has been marked by green
  7651. 5:02:42lines
  7652. 5:02:43data outside these lines are defects
  7653. 5:02:47the blue dots show the positional
  7654. 5:02:49variation
  7655. 5:02:50the dots are the measurements of pieces
  7656. 5:02:52in a batch of any single equipment
  7657. 5:02:55the black lines join the mean of the
  7658. 5:02:57data recorded from the equipment
  7659. 5:03:00the mean of the data recorded from the
  7660. 5:03:02products of equipment number three
  7661. 5:03:05is much below the similar mean of other
  7662. 5:03:07equipment
  7663. 5:03:09this shows that equipment number three
  7664. 5:03:11is producing more defects than the other
  7665. 5:03:14equipment
  7666. 5:03:15the red line is the mean of the data
  7667. 5:03:17recorded at a particular time
  7668. 5:03:20the red line rises toward the right
  7669. 5:03:22which means the data points shift up
  7670. 5:03:25after 12 pm
  7671. 5:03:27this may be because of the change in
  7672. 5:03:29operator efficiency after a lunch break
  7673. 5:03:32at 12 pm
  7674. 5:03:34multivariate chart helps us visually
  7675. 5:03:36depict the variations and establish the
  7676. 5:03:39root causes of variations
  7677. 5:03:42in the next screen we will learn about
  7678. 5:03:44simple linear correlation
  7679. 5:03:47correlation means association between
  7680. 5:03:49variables
  7681. 5:03:51simple linear regression and multiple
  7682. 5:03:53regression techniques are very important
  7683. 5:03:56as they help in validating the
  7684. 5:03:58association of x with y
  7685. 5:04:01the coefficient correlation shows the
  7686. 5:04:04strength of the relationship between y
  7687. 5:04:06and x
  7688. 5:04:08to associate y with a single x
  7689. 5:04:11and statistically validate the
  7690. 5:04:13relationship correlation is used in
  7691. 5:04:16excel
  7692. 5:04:17use equals corel open bracket close
  7693. 5:04:20bracket function to calculate
  7694. 5:04:22correlation coefficient
  7695. 5:04:25the dependent variable y may depend on
  7696. 5:04:28many independent variables x
  7697. 5:04:31but correlation is used to find the
  7698. 5:04:33behavior of y as one of the x's changes
  7699. 5:04:37correlation helps us to predict the
  7700. 5:04:39direction of movement in values in y
  7701. 5:04:42when x changes
  7702. 5:04:44statistical significance of this
  7703. 5:04:46movement is denoted by correlation
  7704. 5:04:49coefficient r
  7705. 5:04:51it is also known as pearson's
  7706. 5:04:52coefficient of correlation
  7707. 5:04:55in any correlation the value of the
  7708. 5:04:57correlation coefficient is always
  7709. 5:04:59between minus one and plus one
  7710. 5:05:02positive value of r denotes the
  7711. 5:05:04direction of movement in both variables
  7712. 5:05:06is the same
  7713. 5:05:08as x increases y also increases and vice
  7714. 5:05:12versa
  7715. 5:05:13negative value of r denotes that the
  7716. 5:05:16direction of movement in both variables
  7717. 5:05:18is in inverse fashion
  7718. 5:05:20as x increases y decreases and as x
  7719. 5:05:24decreases y increases
  7720. 5:05:27when the value of r is zero it means
  7721. 5:05:30that there is no correlation between the
  7722. 5:05:32two variables
  7723. 5:05:34higher the absolute value of r stronger
  7724. 5:05:37the correlation between y and x
  7725. 5:05:40absolute value of a number is its value
  7726. 5:05:43without the sign
  7727. 5:05:45plus four has an absolute value of four
  7728. 5:05:48and minus four
  7729. 5:05:50again has an absolute value of four
  7730. 5:05:53an r value of greater than plus 0.85
  7731. 5:05:57or lesser than minus 0.85
  7732. 5:06:00indicates a strong correlation
  7733. 5:06:03hence r value of minus 0.95
  7734. 5:06:06shows a stronger correlation than the r
  7735. 5:06:08value of minus 0.74
  7736. 5:06:12the next screen will elaborate on
  7737. 5:06:14correlation with the help of an example
  7738. 5:06:16and illustrations through scatter plots
  7739. 5:06:20the four graphs on the screen are
  7740. 5:06:22scatter plots displaying four different
  7741. 5:06:24levels of correlation
  7742. 5:06:26correlation measures the linear
  7743. 5:06:28association between the dependent
  7744. 5:06:30variable or output variable y and one
  7745. 5:06:34independent or input variable x
  7746. 5:06:37as can be deduced from the graphs
  7747. 5:06:40a definite pattern emerges as the
  7748. 5:06:42absolute value of correlation
  7749. 5:06:43coefficient r increases
  7750. 5:06:46it is easy to see a pattern in r value
  7751. 5:06:49of 0.9 and above than to see a pattern
  7752. 5:06:52in r value of 0.07
  7753. 5:06:55it is difficult to find a pattern below
  7754. 5:06:57correlation coefficient of 0.5 click the
  7755. 5:07:01example button to know more
  7756. 5:07:04to understand how correlation helps let
  7757. 5:07:07us consider an example
  7758. 5:07:09a correlation test was performed on the
  7759. 5:07:11scores of a set of students from their
  7760. 5:07:14first grade high school and under
  7761. 5:07:16graduation
  7762. 5:07:17the undergraduation score was the
  7763. 5:07:19dependent variable and first grade score
  7764. 5:07:22the independent variable
  7765. 5:07:24the value of correlation coefficient r
  7766. 5:07:27was calculated to be 0.29
  7767. 5:07:30and the correlation between
  7768. 5:07:31undergraduation scores and high school
  7769. 5:07:34scores was 0.45
  7770. 5:07:37this means the high school scores have
  7771. 5:07:39higher correlation compared to the first
  7772. 5:07:41grade scores
  7773. 5:07:43this states the performance of students
  7774. 5:07:45in high school is a better indicator of
  7775. 5:07:47their performance in undergraduation
  7776. 5:07:50than their performance in the first
  7777. 5:07:51grade
  7778. 5:07:53although the correlation exists as both
  7779. 5:07:55the values of r are less than 0.85
  7780. 5:07:59it will be difficult to draw a straight
  7781. 5:08:01line on the scanner plot
  7782. 5:08:04in this screen we will learn about
  7783. 5:08:06regression although correlation gives
  7784. 5:08:08the direction of movement of the
  7785. 5:08:10dependent variable y as independent
  7786. 5:08:13variable x changes
  7787. 5:08:15it does not provide the extent of the
  7788. 5:08:17movement of y as x changes
  7789. 5:08:20this degree of movement can be
  7790. 5:08:22calculated using regression
  7791. 5:08:25if a high percentage of variability in y
  7792. 5:08:28is explained by changes in x
  7793. 5:08:31one can use the model to write a
  7794. 5:08:32transfer equation y is equal to f x and
  7795. 5:08:36use the same equation to predict future
  7796. 5:08:39values of y given x and x given y
  7797. 5:08:43the output of regression on y and x is a
  7798. 5:08:46transfer function equation that can
  7799. 5:08:48predict values of y for any other value
  7800. 5:08:52of x
  7801. 5:08:53transfer function is generally denoted
  7802. 5:08:55by f and the equation is written as y
  7803. 5:08:59equals to f of x
  7804. 5:09:01y can be regressed on one or more x's
  7805. 5:09:04simultaneously
  7806. 5:09:06simple linear regression is for 1x and
  7807. 5:09:09multiple linear regression is for more
  7808. 5:09:12than one x
  7809. 5:09:13the next screen will focus on key
  7810. 5:09:15concepts of regression
  7811. 5:09:19there are two key concepts of regression
  7812. 5:09:22transfer function to control y and vital
  7813. 5:09:25x click each concept to learn more
  7814. 5:09:29the output of regression is a transfer
  7815. 5:09:32function f of x
  7816. 5:09:34although the transfer function f of x
  7817. 5:09:37gives the degree of movement in y as x
  7818. 5:09:40changes
  7819. 5:09:41it is not the correct transfer function
  7820. 5:09:43to control y as there may be a low level
  7821. 5:09:46of correlation between the two
  7822. 5:09:50the main thrust of regression is to
  7823. 5:09:52discover whether a significant
  7824. 5:09:54statistical relationship exists between
  7825. 5:09:56y and a particular x that is by looking
  7826. 5:10:00at p values
  7827. 5:10:02based on regression one can infer the
  7828. 5:10:04vital x and eliminate the unimportant
  7829. 5:10:07x's
  7830. 5:10:08the analyze phase helps in understanding
  7831. 5:10:11if there is statistical relevance
  7832. 5:10:13between y and x if the relevance is
  7833. 5:10:16established using metrics from
  7834. 5:10:18regression analysis
  7835. 5:10:20one can move forward with the tests
  7836. 5:10:22the simple linear regression or slr
  7837. 5:10:26should be used as a statistical
  7838. 5:10:28validation tool in the beginning of this
  7839. 5:10:30phase
  7840. 5:10:33in this screen we will understand the
  7841. 5:10:35concept of simple linear regression
  7842. 5:10:38a simple linear regression equation is a
  7843. 5:10:41fitted linear equation and is
  7844. 5:10:44represented by the equation shown here
  7845. 5:10:47in this equation y is the dependent
  7846. 5:10:50variable and x is the independent
  7847. 5:10:52variable
  7848. 5:10:53a is the intercept of the fitted line on
  7849. 5:10:56the y axis which is equal to the value
  7850. 5:10:59of y at x equal to zero
  7851. 5:11:02b is the regression coefficient or the
  7852. 5:11:06slope of the line and c is the error in
  7853. 5:11:09the regression model which has a mean of
  7854. 5:11:12zero
  7855. 5:11:13the next screen will focus on the least
  7856. 5:11:15squares method in simple linear
  7857. 5:11:17regression
  7858. 5:11:20with reference to the error mentioned
  7859. 5:11:22earlier if correlation coefficient of y
  7860. 5:11:25and x is not equal to one
  7861. 5:11:27meaning the relation is not perfectly
  7862. 5:11:30linear there could be several lines that
  7863. 5:11:32could fit in the scatter plot
  7864. 5:11:35notice the two graphs displayed
  7865. 5:11:37for the same set of five points two
  7866. 5:11:40different types of lines are drawn and
  7867. 5:11:42both of them have errors
  7868. 5:11:44error refers to the points on the
  7869. 5:11:46scatter plot that do not fall on the
  7870. 5:11:49straight line drawn the second graph
  7871. 5:11:51shows the y-intercept
  7872. 5:11:53statistical software like minitab fits
  7873. 5:11:56the line which has the least value of
  7874. 5:11:58error squared and added
  7875. 5:12:01as is clear from the graph error is the
  7876. 5:12:03distance of the point from the fitted
  7877. 5:12:05line
  7878. 5:12:06typically the data lies off the line
  7879. 5:12:10in perfect linear relation
  7880. 5:12:12all points would lie on the line and
  7881. 5:12:14error would be zero
  7882. 5:12:16the distance from the point to the line
  7883. 5:12:18is the error distance used in the sse
  7884. 5:12:21calculations
  7885. 5:12:23let's understand slr with the help of an
  7886. 5:12:25example in the next screen
  7887. 5:12:28consider the following example
  7888. 5:12:31suppose a farmer wishes to predict the
  7889. 5:12:33relationship between the amount spent on
  7890. 5:12:36fertilizers and the annual sales of his
  7891. 5:12:39crops
  7892. 5:12:40he collects the data shown here for the
  7893. 5:12:42last few years and determines his
  7894. 5:12:45expected revenue if he spends eight
  7895. 5:12:47dollars annually on fertilizers
  7896. 5:12:50he has targeted sales of thirty one
  7897. 5:12:52dollars this year
  7898. 5:12:54the steps to perform
  7899. 5:12:56simple linear regression in ms excel are
  7900. 5:12:59as follows
  7901. 5:13:01copy the data table on an excel
  7902. 5:13:03worksheet
  7903. 5:13:04select all the data from b1 to c6
  7904. 5:13:08this is assuming the years table appears
  7905. 5:13:11in cells a1 to a6
  7906. 5:13:14click insert and choose the plain
  7907. 5:13:16scatter chart
  7908. 5:13:18it is titled scatter with only markers
  7909. 5:13:21the basic scatter chart will appear as
  7910. 5:13:24shown on the screen
  7911. 5:13:26right click on the data points in the
  7912. 5:13:27scatter chart and choose the option add
  7913. 5:13:30trendline
  7914. 5:13:32then choose the option linear and select
  7915. 5:13:35the boxes titled display r squared value
  7916. 5:13:38and display equation
  7917. 5:13:41a linear line will appear which is
  7918. 5:13:43called the best fit line
  7919. 5:13:45or the least squares line
  7920. 5:13:48to use the data for regression analysis
  7921. 5:13:51the interpretation of the scatter chart
  7922. 5:13:53is as follows
  7923. 5:13:55the r-square value or the coefficient of
  7924. 5:13:58determination conveys if the model is
  7925. 5:14:00good and can be used
  7926. 5:14:02the r-square value here is 0.3797
  7927. 5:14:08it means 38 percent of variability in y
  7928. 5:14:12is explained by x
  7929. 5:14:14the remaining 62 variation is
  7930. 5:14:17unexplained or due to residual factors
  7931. 5:14:21other factors like rain amount and
  7932. 5:14:23variability sunshine temperatures seed
  7933. 5:14:27type and seed quality could be tested
  7934. 5:14:30the low value of r square statistically
  7935. 5:14:33validates poor relationship between y
  7936. 5:14:36and x
  7937. 5:14:37thus the equation presented cannot be
  7938. 5:14:39used for further analysis
  7939. 5:14:42in a similar situation one should refer
  7940. 5:14:45to the cause and effect matrix and study
  7941. 5:14:47the relationship between y and a
  7942. 5:14:50different x variable
  7943. 5:14:53we will discuss multiple linear
  7944. 5:14:55regression in this screen
  7945. 5:14:57if a new variable x2 is added to the r
  7946. 5:15:01square model the impact of x1 and x2 on
  7947. 5:15:05y gets tested
  7948. 5:15:07this is known as multiple linear
  7949. 5:15:09regression
  7950. 5:15:10the value of r square changes due to the
  7951. 5:15:13introduction of the new variable
  7952. 5:15:16the resulting value of r square which
  7953. 5:15:19can be used in cases of multiple
  7954. 5:15:21regression is known as r square adjusted
  7955. 5:15:25the model can be used if r square
  7956. 5:15:27adjusted value is greater than seventy
  7957. 5:15:30percent
  7958. 5:15:31we will look at the key concepts in the
  7959. 5:15:33next screen
  7960. 5:15:36the key concepts in multiple linear
  7961. 5:15:38regression are as follows
  7962. 5:15:41the residuals or the differences between
  7963. 5:15:43the actual value and the predicted value
  7964. 5:15:46give an indication of how good the model
  7965. 5:15:49is
  7966. 5:15:50if the errors or residuals are small and
  7967. 5:15:53predictions use x's that are within the
  7968. 5:15:55range of the collected data the
  7969. 5:15:58predictions should be fine
  7970. 5:16:00the sum of squares total can be
  7971. 5:16:02calculated as follows
  7972. 5:16:05sum of squares total or sst
  7973. 5:16:08equals the sum of squares of regression
  7974. 5:16:11or ssr plus sum of squares of error or
  7975. 5:16:15sse
  7976. 5:16:17to arrive at sum of squares of
  7977. 5:16:19regression ssr
  7978. 5:16:21use the formula ssr equals sum of
  7979. 5:16:25squares total
  7980. 5:16:26or sst minus sum of squares of error or
  7981. 5:16:30sse
  7982. 5:16:32since ssr is sse subtracted from sst
  7983. 5:16:37value of sse should be less than sst
  7984. 5:16:43r squared is sum of squares of
  7985. 5:16:45regression or ssr divided by sum of
  7986. 5:16:48squares total or sst
  7987. 5:16:52calculating sst and sse helps in
  7988. 5:16:56determining ssr and r square
  7989. 5:17:00to get a sense of the error in the
  7990. 5:17:02fitted model
  7991. 5:17:03calculate the value of y for a given
  7992. 5:17:06data using the fitted line equation
  7993. 5:17:09to check for error take two observations
  7994. 5:17:12of y at the same x
  7995. 5:17:14the most important thing to remember in
  7996. 5:17:17regression analysis
  7997. 5:17:18is that the obtained fitted line
  7998. 5:17:21equation cannot be used to predict y for
  7999. 5:17:24values of x outside the data
  8000. 5:17:27for example it would not be possible to
  8001. 5:17:29predict the amount spent on fertilizers
  8002. 5:17:32for a forecasted sales of 15 or sixty
  8003. 5:17:36dollars
  8004. 5:17:37both data points lie outside the data
  8005. 5:17:39set on which regression analysis is
  8006. 5:17:42performed
  8007. 5:17:43if y is dependent on many x's then
  8008. 5:17:47simple linear regression analysis can be
  8009. 5:17:50used to prioritize x
  8010. 5:17:52but it requires running separate
  8011. 5:17:54regressions on y with each x
  8012. 5:17:58if an x does not explain variation in y
  8013. 5:18:01then it should not be explored any
  8014. 5:18:03further
  8015. 5:18:04these were the interpretations of the
  8016. 5:18:06simple linear regression equation
  8017. 5:18:09in the next screen we will learn that
  8018. 5:18:11despite a relationship being established
  8019. 5:18:14between two variables the change in one
  8020. 5:18:17may not cause a change in the other
  8021. 5:18:20let us discuss the difference between
  8022. 5:18:22correlation and causation in the
  8023. 5:18:24following screen
  8024. 5:18:26a regression equation denotes only a
  8025. 5:18:28relationship between the y and the x
  8026. 5:18:32this does not mean that a change in one
  8027. 5:18:34variable will cause a change in the
  8028. 5:18:36other
  8029. 5:18:37if number of schools and incidents of
  8030. 5:18:39crime in a city rise together there may
  8031. 5:18:42be a relationship but no causation
  8032. 5:18:45the increase in both the factors could
  8033. 5:18:47be due to a third factor that is
  8034. 5:18:50population
  8035. 5:18:51in other words both of them may be
  8036. 5:18:53dependent variables to an independent
  8037. 5:18:56variable
  8038. 5:18:57consider the graphs shown on the screen
  8039. 5:19:00the graphs on the left show the
  8040. 5:19:02relations between number of sneezes and
  8041. 5:19:05incidence of death with respect to
  8042. 5:19:07population
  8043. 5:19:09both have a positive correlation
  8044. 5:19:11finding a positive correlation between
  8045. 5:19:14incidents of deaths and number of
  8046. 5:19:16sneezes does not mean we assume sneezing
  8047. 5:19:19is the cause of somebody's death
  8048. 5:19:21despite the correlation being very
  8049. 5:19:23strong as depicted in the graph on the
  8050. 5:19:26right
  8051. 5:19:27let us proceed to the next topic of this
  8052. 5:19:29lesson in the following screen
  8053. 5:19:32in this topic we will discuss hypothesis
  8054. 5:19:35testing in detail
  8055. 5:19:37let us learn about statistical and
  8056. 5:19:40practical significance of hypothesis
  8057. 5:19:42test in the following screen
  8058. 5:19:45the differences between a variable and
  8059. 5:19:48its hypothesized value may be
  8060. 5:19:50statistically significant
  8061. 5:19:52but may not be practical or economically
  8062. 5:19:55meaningful
  8063. 5:19:57for example based on a hypothesis test
  8064. 5:20:00nutra worldwide inc wants to implement a
  8065. 5:20:03trading strategy which is proven to
  8066. 5:20:05provide statistically significant
  8067. 5:20:07returns
  8068. 5:20:09however it does not guarantee trading on
  8069. 5:20:11this strategy would result in
  8070. 5:20:13economically meaningful positive returns
  8071. 5:20:17when the logical reasons are examined
  8072. 5:20:19before implementation the returns are
  8073. 5:20:22economically significant
  8074. 5:20:24the returns may not be significant when
  8075. 5:20:26statistically proven strategy is
  8076. 5:20:29implemented directly
  8077. 5:20:31the returns may not be economically
  8078. 5:20:33significant after accounting for taxes
  8079. 5:20:36transaction costs and risks inherent in
  8080. 5:20:39the strategy
  8081. 5:20:40thus there should be a practical or
  8082. 5:20:42economic significant study before
  8083. 5:20:45implementing any statistically
  8084. 5:20:46significant data
  8085. 5:20:48the next screen will briefly focus on
  8086. 5:20:50the conceptual differences between a
  8087. 5:20:53null and an alternate hypothesis
  8088. 5:20:57the conceptual differences between a
  8089. 5:20:59null and an alternate hypothesis are as
  8090. 5:21:02follows
  8091. 5:21:04assume the specification of the current
  8092. 5:21:06process is itself the null hypothesis
  8093. 5:21:10null hypothesis denoted as the basic
  8094. 5:21:13assumption for any activity or
  8095. 5:21:15experiment
  8096. 5:21:16is represented as h o
  8097. 5:21:19no hypothesis cannot be proved it can
  8098. 5:21:22only be rejected or disproved
  8099. 5:21:25it is important to note that if null
  8100. 5:21:27hypothesis is rejected
  8101. 5:21:30alternative hypothesis must be right
  8102. 5:21:33for example assuming that a movie is
  8103. 5:21:35good one plans to watch it
  8104. 5:21:37therefore the null hypothesis in this
  8105. 5:21:40scenario will be
  8106. 5:21:41movie is good
  8107. 5:21:44alternative hypothesis or h a
  8108. 5:21:46challenges the null hypothesis
  8109. 5:21:49or is the converse of the null
  8110. 5:21:51hypothesis
  8111. 5:21:53in this scenario alternate hypothesis
  8112. 5:21:55will be movie is not good
  8113. 5:21:58in the following screen we will discuss
  8114. 5:22:00type 1 and type 2 error
  8115. 5:22:04rejecting a null hypothesis when it is
  8116. 5:22:07true is called type 1 error
  8117. 5:22:09it is also known as producer's risk
  8118. 5:22:12for example the rejection of a product
  8119. 5:22:15by the qa team when it is not defective
  8120. 5:22:18will cause loss to the producer suppose
  8121. 5:22:21when a movie is good it is reviewed to
  8122. 5:22:24be not good this reflects type 1 error
  8123. 5:22:28in this case the null hypothesis
  8124. 5:22:30is rejected when it is actually true
  8125. 5:22:33the two important points to be noted are
  8126. 5:22:36significance level or alpha is the
  8127. 5:22:39chance of committing a type 1 error
  8128. 5:22:42the value of alpha is
  8129. 5:22:440.05 or 5 percent
  8130. 5:22:48accepting a null hypothesis when it is
  8131. 5:22:50false is called type 2 error
  8132. 5:22:54it is also known as consumer's risk
  8133. 5:22:57for example the acceptance of a
  8134. 5:22:59defective product by the quality analyst
  8135. 5:23:01of an organization will cause loss to
  8136. 5:23:04the consumer who buys it
  8137. 5:23:07minimizing type 2 error requires
  8138. 5:23:09acceptance criteria to be very strict
  8139. 5:23:12suppose when a movie is not good it is
  8140. 5:23:15reviewed to be good this reflects type
  8141. 5:23:18two error
  8142. 5:23:19in this case the alternate hypothesis is
  8143. 5:23:22rejected when it was actually true the
  8144. 5:23:26two important points to be noted are
  8145. 5:23:28beta is the chance of committing a type
  8146. 5:23:302 error
  8147. 5:23:32the value of beta is 0.2 or 20 percent
  8148. 5:23:36any experiment should have as less beta
  8149. 5:23:38value as possible
  8150. 5:23:40the next screen will cover the key
  8151. 5:23:42points to remember about type 1 and type
  8152. 5:23:452 error
  8153. 5:23:48as you start dealing with the two types
  8154. 5:23:50of errors keep the following points in
  8155. 5:23:52mind the probability of making one type
  8156. 5:23:56of error can be reduced when one is
  8157. 5:23:58willing to accept a higher probability
  8158. 5:24:01of making the other type of error
  8159. 5:24:04suppose the management of a company
  8160. 5:24:05producing pacemakers wants to ensure no
  8161. 5:24:09defective pacemaker reaches the consumer
  8162. 5:24:12so the quality assurance team makes
  8163. 5:24:15stringent guidelines to inspect the
  8164. 5:24:17pacemakers
  8165. 5:24:18this would invariably decrease the beta
  8166. 5:24:21error or type 2 error
  8167. 5:24:23but this will also increase the chance
  8168. 5:24:26that a non-defective pacemaker is
  8169. 5:24:28declared defective by the quality
  8170. 5:24:31assurance team
  8171. 5:24:32thus alpha error or type 1 error
  8172. 5:24:35increases
  8173. 5:24:37if all null hypotheses are accepted to
  8174. 5:24:40avoid rejecting true null hypothesis
  8175. 5:24:43it will lead to type 2 error
  8176. 5:24:45typically alpha is set at 0.05
  8177. 5:24:49which means that the risk of committing
  8178. 5:24:51a type 1 error is 1 out of 20
  8179. 5:24:54experiments
  8180. 5:24:55in case of any product the teams must
  8181. 5:24:58decide what type of error should be less
  8182. 5:25:01and set the value of alpha and beta
  8183. 5:25:04accordingly
  8184. 5:25:05in the next screen we will discuss the
  8185. 5:25:07power of test
  8186. 5:25:10the power of a hypothesis test or the
  8187. 5:25:13power of test is the probability of
  8188. 5:25:16correctly rejecting the null hypothesis
  8189. 5:25:18when it is false
  8190. 5:25:20power of a test is represented by 1
  8191. 5:25:23minus beta which is also the type 2
  8192. 5:25:26error
  8193. 5:25:27the probability of not committing a type
  8194. 5:25:292 error is called the power of a
  8195. 5:25:31hypothesis test
  8196. 5:25:33the power of a test helps in improving
  8197. 5:25:36the advantage of hypothesis testing
  8198. 5:25:39the higher the power of a test the
  8199. 5:25:42better it is for purposes of hypothesis
  8200. 5:25:44testing given a choice of tests the one
  8201. 5:25:48with the highest power should be
  8202. 5:25:50preferred
  8203. 5:25:51the only way to decrease the probability
  8204. 5:25:54of a type 2 error given the significance
  8205. 5:25:57level or probability of type 1 error
  8206. 5:26:00is to increase the sample size
  8207. 5:26:03it is important to note that quality
  8208. 5:26:05inspection is done on sample pieces and
  8209. 5:26:08not on all the products
  8210. 5:26:10so beta error is a function of the
  8211. 5:26:13sample size
  8212. 5:26:14if the sample size is not appropriate
  8213. 5:26:17the defects in a product line could
  8214. 5:26:19easily be missed out giving a wrong
  8215. 5:26:22perception of the quality of the product
  8216. 5:26:25this will increase the type ii error
  8217. 5:26:28to decrease this error the quality
  8218. 5:26:30assurance team has to increase the
  8219. 5:26:32sample size
  8220. 5:26:34in hypothesis testing
  8221. 5:26:36alpha is called the significance level
  8222. 5:26:39and one minus alpha is called the
  8223. 5:26:41confidence level of the test
  8224. 5:26:43in the next screen we will focus on the
  8225. 5:26:46determinants of sample size for
  8226. 5:26:48continuous data
  8227. 5:26:50the sample size can be calculated by
  8228. 5:26:53answering three simple questions how
  8229. 5:26:56much variation is present in the
  8230. 5:26:58population
  8231. 5:26:59at what interval does the true
  8232. 5:27:01population mean need to be estimated
  8233. 5:27:04and how much representation error is
  8234. 5:27:06allowed in the sample
  8235. 5:27:08continuous data is data which can be
  8236. 5:27:10measured
  8237. 5:27:12the sample size for continuous data can
  8238. 5:27:14be determined by the formula shown on
  8239. 5:27:16the screen
  8240. 5:27:18we will learn about the standard sample
  8241. 5:27:20size formula for continuous data in the
  8242. 5:27:22next screen
  8243. 5:27:25representation error or alpha error is
  8244. 5:27:28generally assumed to be 5
  8245. 5:27:30or 0.05
  8246. 5:27:33hence the expression of 1 minus alpha
  8247. 5:27:36divided by 2 amounts to
  8248. 5:27:380.975 or 97.5 percent
  8249. 5:27:43looking up the value of z 97.5 from the
  8250. 5:27:46z table gives the value 1.96
  8251. 5:27:51the expression reduces to the one shown
  8252. 5:27:53on screen
  8253. 5:27:55when alpha is 5
  8254. 5:27:57z is 1.96
  8255. 5:27:59to detect a change that is half the
  8256. 5:28:02standard deviation
  8257. 5:28:03one needs to get at least 16 data points
  8258. 5:28:06for the sample
  8259. 5:28:08click the example tab to view an example
  8260. 5:28:10of continuous data calculation using
  8261. 5:28:13standard sample size formula
  8262. 5:28:17the population standard deviation for
  8263. 5:28:19the time to resolve customer problems is
  8264. 5:28:2230 hours
  8265. 5:28:23what should be the size of a sample that
  8266. 5:28:26can estimate the average problem
  8267. 5:28:28resolution time within plus or minus 5
  8268. 5:28:31hours tolerance with 99 percent
  8269. 5:28:33confidence
  8270. 5:28:35to know with 99 confidence that the time
  8271. 5:28:38to resolve a customer problem ranges
  8272. 5:28:40between 25 and 35 hours
  8273. 5:28:43the value of z for 99.5 must be two
  8274. 5:28:47point five seven five
  8275. 5:28:49a good result should fall outside the
  8276. 5:28:51range of zero point five percent which
  8277. 5:28:54is one in two hundred trials
  8278. 5:28:56it is expected that one hundred ninety
  8279. 5:28:58nine out of two hundred trials will
  8280. 5:29:00confirm a proper conclusion
  8281. 5:29:03the calculation gives a result of 238.70
  8282. 5:29:08one cannot have point seven zero of a
  8283. 5:29:10sample so one needs to round up to the
  8284. 5:29:13nearest integer
  8285. 5:29:15if there are 239 samples
  8286. 5:29:18the significance level is greater than
  8287. 5:29:200.01
  8288. 5:29:22which indicates the confidence is less
  8289. 5:29:24than 99
  8290. 5:29:26using 239 reduces alpha and increases
  8291. 5:29:30the confidence level
  8292. 5:29:32the rounded up value 239 means the
  8293. 5:29:35expectations are being met for the
  8294. 5:29:37confidence level of the test
  8295. 5:29:41we will learn about the standard sample
  8296. 5:29:43size formula for discrete data in this
  8297. 5:29:46screen
  8298. 5:29:47like continuous data one can find out
  8299. 5:29:49the sample size required while dealing
  8300. 5:29:51with discrete population
  8301. 5:29:53if the average population proportion
  8302. 5:29:56non-defective is p then population
  8303. 5:29:59standard deviation can be calculated by
  8304. 5:30:01using the expression shown on the screen
  8305. 5:30:04the expression for sample size is
  8306. 5:30:06present
  8307. 5:30:08it is important to note that in this
  8308. 5:30:09expression the interval or tolerance is
  8309. 5:30:12in percentage
  8310. 5:30:14click the example tab to view an example
  8311. 5:30:16of discrete data calculation using
  8312. 5:30:19standard sample size formula
  8313. 5:30:23the non-defective population proportion
  8314. 5:30:25for pen manufacturing is eighty percent
  8315. 5:30:28what should be the sample size to draw a
  8316. 5:30:31sample that can estimate the proportion
  8317. 5:30:33of compliant pans within plus or minus
  8318. 5:30:36five percent with an alpha of five
  8319. 5:30:38percent consider calculating the sample
  8320. 5:30:41size for discrete data for which the
  8321. 5:30:43population proportion non-defective is
  8322. 5:30:46eighty percent and the tolerance limit
  8323. 5:30:48is within plus or minus five percent
  8324. 5:30:51substituting the values it is found the
  8325. 5:30:54sample size should be 246. in this
  8326. 5:30:57example to know if the population
  8327. 5:30:59proportion for good pens is still within
  8328. 5:31:0175 to 85 percent
  8329. 5:31:04and to have 95 percent confidence that
  8330. 5:31:07the sample will allow a good conclusion
  8331. 5:31:10one needs to inspect
  8332. 5:31:12245.86 pounds
  8333. 5:31:140.86 of a pen cannot be inspected so the
  8334. 5:31:18value is rounded up to maintain the
  8335. 5:31:20confidence level
  8336. 5:31:22inspecting 245 or fewer pens reduces the
  8337. 5:31:26confidence level
  8338. 5:31:28this means the z value would be lower
  8339. 5:31:30than 1.96
  8340. 5:31:32and alpha would be greater than 0.05
  8341. 5:31:36suppose one is willing to accept a
  8342. 5:31:38greater range in the estimate
  8343. 5:31:40the proportion is within 20 percent of
  8344. 5:31:42the past results and approximately
  8345. 5:31:45within one standard deviation of the
  8346. 5:31:47proportion
  8347. 5:31:48delta changes to 0.20 and the number of
  8348. 5:31:52needed samples is 15.4 is approximately
  8349. 5:31:56equal to 16.
  8350. 5:32:00this screen will focus on the hypothesis
  8351. 5:32:02testing roadmap
  8352. 5:32:04though the basic determinants of
  8353. 5:32:06accepting or rejecting a hypothesis
  8354. 5:32:08remain the same
  8355. 5:32:09various tests are used depending on the
  8356. 5:32:12type of data from the figure shown on
  8357. 5:32:14the screen you can conclude the type of
  8358. 5:32:16test to be performed based on the kind
  8359. 5:32:18of data and values available
  8360. 5:32:21for discrete data if mean and standard
  8361. 5:32:23deviation are both known the z-test is
  8362. 5:32:26used
  8363. 5:32:27and if mean is known but standard
  8364. 5:32:29deviation is unknown the t-test is used
  8365. 5:32:33if the standard deviation is unknown and
  8366. 5:32:36if the sample size is less than 30
  8367. 5:32:39it is preferable to use the t-test if
  8368. 5:32:42variance is known one should go for
  8369. 5:32:44chi-squared test
  8370. 5:32:46if mean and standard deviation are known
  8371. 5:32:48for a set of continuous data it is
  8372. 5:32:51recommended to go for the z-test
  8373. 5:32:54for mean comparison of two with standard
  8374. 5:32:56deviation unknown
  8375. 5:32:57go for t-test and for mean comparison of
  8376. 5:33:00many with standard deviation unknown go
  8377. 5:33:03for f-test
  8378. 5:33:05also if the variance is known for
  8379. 5:33:07continuous data go for f-test the next
  8380. 5:33:10few screens will discuss in detail the
  8381. 5:33:12tests for mean variance and proportions
  8382. 5:33:15let us understand hypothesis test for
  8383. 5:33:18means theoretical through an example in
  8384. 5:33:20the next screen
  8385. 5:33:22the examples of hypothesis testing based
  8386. 5:33:25on the types of data and values
  8387. 5:33:26available are discussed here
  8388. 5:33:29the value of alpha can be assumed to be
  8389. 5:33:315
  8390. 5:33:32or
  8391. 5:33:330.05
  8392. 5:33:35suppose you want to check for the
  8393. 5:33:36average height of a population
  8394. 5:33:39north american males are selected as the
  8395. 5:33:41population here
  8396. 5:33:43from the population 117 men are gathered
  8397. 5:33:46as the sample and the readings of their
  8398. 5:33:48height are taken
  8399. 5:33:50the null hypothesis is that the average
  8400. 5:33:53height of north american males is 165
  8401. 5:33:56centimeters
  8402. 5:33:57and the alternate hypothesis is that the
  8403. 5:34:00height is lesser or greater than 165
  8404. 5:34:04centimeters
  8405. 5:34:05consider the sample size n as 117 for z
  8406. 5:34:09test and sample size n is 25 for t test
  8407. 5:34:14sample average or x bar is
  8408. 5:34:16164.5 centimeters
  8409. 5:34:19using the data given let us calculate
  8410. 5:34:22the z calc value and t calc value
  8411. 5:34:25the population height is 165 centimeters
  8412. 5:34:29with a standard deviation of 5.2
  8413. 5:34:31centimeters and the average height of
  8414. 5:34:33the sample group is
  8415. 5:34:35164.5 centimeters the test for
  8416. 5:34:38significant difference should be
  8417. 5:34:40conducted
  8418. 5:34:42first let us compute z calc value using
  8419. 5:34:45the formula given on the screen
  8420. 5:34:47hence the z calc is 1.04
  8421. 5:34:51which is less than 1.96 or t critical
  8422. 5:34:55therefore the null hypothesis cannot be
  8423. 5:34:58rejected
  8424. 5:34:59since z
  8425. 5:35:000.05 equals 1.96
  8426. 5:35:03the null hypothesis is not rejected at
  8427. 5:35:06five percent level of significance
  8428. 5:35:09the statistical notation is shown on the
  8429. 5:35:11screen
  8430. 5:35:12thus a conclusion based on the sample
  8431. 5:35:14collected is that the average height of
  8432. 5:35:16north american males is 165 centimeters
  8433. 5:35:20if the population standard deviation is
  8434. 5:35:23not known a t-test is used
  8435. 5:35:26it is similar to the z-test
  8436. 5:35:28instead of using the population
  8437. 5:35:30parameter or sigma the sample statistic
  8438. 5:35:33standard deviation or s is used
  8439. 5:35:36in this example the s value is 5.0
  8440. 5:35:40let us now compute t value using the
  8441. 5:35:42formula given on the screen
  8442. 5:35:45the statistical notation to reject null
  8443. 5:35:47hypothesis is shown on the screen
  8444. 5:35:50the t critical value is 2.064
  8445. 5:35:53and we know the t calc value is 0.5
  8446. 5:35:57which is less than 2.064
  8447. 5:36:00therefore the null hypothesis cannot be
  8448. 5:36:02rejected at five percent level of
  8449. 5:36:04significance
  8450. 5:36:06thus a conclusion based on the sample
  8451. 5:36:08collected is that the average height of
  8452. 5:36:10north american males is 165 centimeters
  8453. 5:36:14the conclusion of not rejecting the null
  8454. 5:36:17hypothesis
  8455. 5:36:18is based on the assumption that the 25
  8456. 5:36:21males are randomly selected from all
  8457. 5:36:23males in north america
  8458. 5:36:25null and alternative hypotheses are same
  8459. 5:36:29for both z-test and t-test
  8460. 5:36:32in both the examples the null hypothesis
  8461. 5:36:34is not rejected
  8462. 5:36:36in the next screen we will understand
  8463. 5:36:38the hypothesis test for variance with an
  8464. 5:36:41example
  8465. 5:36:43in hypothesis test for variance
  8466. 5:36:45chi-square test is used
  8467. 5:36:48in the case of a chi-square test the
  8468. 5:36:50null and alternate hypotheses are
  8469. 5:36:52defined and the values of chi-square
  8470. 5:36:55critical and chi-square are calculated
  8471. 5:36:59to understand this concept with an
  8472. 5:37:01example click the button given on the
  8473. 5:37:03screen
  8474. 5:37:05the null hypothesis is that the
  8475. 5:37:07proportion of wins in australia or
  8476. 5:37:10abroad is independent of the country
  8477. 5:37:12played against
  8478. 5:37:14the alternate hypothesis is that the
  8479. 5:37:16proportion of wins in australia or
  8480. 5:37:18abroad is dependent on the country
  8481. 5:37:21played against
  8482. 5:37:22chi-square critical is 6.251
  8483. 5:37:26and chi-square calculated is 1.36
  8484. 5:37:30since the calculated value is less than
  8485. 5:37:32the critical value the proportion of
  8486. 5:37:34wins of the australia hockey team is
  8487. 5:37:37independent of the country played or
  8488. 5:37:40place
  8489. 5:37:42in this screen we will discuss
  8490. 5:37:44hypothesis test for proportions with an
  8491. 5:37:46example
  8492. 5:37:47the hypothesis test on population
  8493. 5:37:50proportion can be performed
  8494. 5:37:52to understand this with an example click
  8495. 5:37:55the button given on the screen
  8496. 5:37:59let us perform hypothesis test on
  8497. 5:38:01population proportion
  8498. 5:38:03the null hypothesis is that the
  8499. 5:38:05proportion of smokers among males in a
  8500. 5:38:07place named r is 0.10
  8501. 5:38:11represented as p 0.
  8502. 5:38:14the alternative hypothesis is the
  8503. 5:38:16proportion is different than 0.10
  8504. 5:38:19in notation it is represented as null
  8505. 5:38:22hypothesis is p equals p zero against
  8506. 5:38:26alternative hypothesis is p different
  8507. 5:38:29than p zero
  8508. 5:38:31a sample of 150 adult males are
  8509. 5:38:34interviewed and it is found that 23 of
  8510. 5:38:37them are smokers
  8511. 5:38:38thus the sample proportion is 23 divided
  8512. 5:38:42by 150 which is 0.153
  8513. 5:38:46substituting this value in the
  8514. 5:38:48expression of z given on the screen
  8515. 5:38:51gives the result of 1.80
  8516. 5:38:54you can reject the null hypothesis at
  8517. 5:38:56level of significance alpha if z is
  8518. 5:38:59greater than z alpha for five percent
  8519. 5:39:02level of confidence the z value should
  8520. 5:39:05be 1.96
  8521. 5:39:07since the calculated z value is more
  8522. 5:39:09than what is required for five percent
  8523. 5:39:11level of confidence the null hypothesis
  8524. 5:39:14is rejected
  8525. 5:39:16hence it can be concluded that the
  8526. 5:39:18proportion of smokers in r is greater
  8527. 5:39:21than 0.10
  8528. 5:39:24in this screen we will focus on
  8529. 5:39:26comparison of means of two processes
  8530. 5:39:29means of two processes are compared to
  8531. 5:39:32understand whether the outcomes of the
  8532. 5:39:34two processes are significantly
  8533. 5:39:36different
  8534. 5:39:37this test is helpful in understanding
  8535. 5:39:39whether a new process is better than an
  8536. 5:39:41old process
  8537. 5:39:43this test can also determine whether the
  8538. 5:39:45two samples belong to the same
  8539. 5:39:47population or different populations
  8540. 5:39:50it is especially required for
  8541. 5:39:52benchmarking to compare an existing
  8542. 5:39:54process with another benchmarked process
  8543. 5:39:58let us proceed to the next screen to
  8544. 5:40:00learn about the paired comparison
  8545. 5:40:01hypothesis test for means
  8546. 5:40:04the example of two mean t-tests with
  8547. 5:40:06unequal variances is discussed here
  8548. 5:40:10null and alternate hypotheses are
  8549. 5:40:12defined
  8550. 5:40:13the average heights of men in two
  8551. 5:40:15different sets of people are compared to
  8552. 5:40:17see if the means are significantly
  8553. 5:40:19different
  8554. 5:40:20for this test the sample sizes means and
  8555. 5:40:23variances are required to calculate the
  8556. 5:40:26value of t
  8557. 5:40:28two samples of sizes n one of one
  8558. 5:40:31hundred twenty five and n two of one
  8559. 5:40:33hundred ten are taken from the two
  8560. 5:40:36populations
  8561. 5:40:37the mean value of sample size one is one
  8562. 5:40:40hundred 167.3
  8563. 5:40:42and sample size 2 is 165.8
  8564. 5:40:47the standard deviation for sample sizes
  8565. 5:40:501 and 2 are 4.2 and 5.0 respectively
  8566. 5:40:55using the formula given on the screen
  8567. 5:40:58the t value is derived as 2.47
  8568. 5:41:02the null hypothesis is rejected if the
  8569. 5:41:05calculated value of t is more than the
  8570. 5:41:07required value of t in other words
  8571. 5:41:11reject null hypothesis at level of
  8572. 5:41:13significance a if computed t value is
  8573. 5:41:16greater than t of df a divided by two
  8574. 5:41:21with a t-test we're comparing two means
  8575. 5:41:24and the population parameter sigma is
  8576. 5:41:26unknown
  8577. 5:41:27therefore we're pulling the sample
  8578. 5:41:29standard deviations in order to
  8579. 5:41:31calculate t
  8580. 5:41:33the variances are weighted by the number
  8581. 5:41:35of data points in each sample group
  8582. 5:41:38since t 223 and
  8583. 5:41:410.025 equals 1.96
  8584. 5:41:44the null hypothesis is rejected at 5
  8585. 5:41:48level of significance
  8586. 5:41:50the test used here is known as the
  8587. 5:41:52paired t-test and is considered a very
  8588. 5:41:55powerful test in the next screen we will
  8589. 5:41:58look into the example of the paired
  8590. 5:42:00comparison hypothesis test for variance
  8591. 5:42:03of f-test
  8592. 5:42:05it is important to understand the
  8593. 5:42:07different types of tests through an
  8594. 5:42:09example
  8595. 5:42:10susan is trying to compare the standard
  8596. 5:42:12deviation of two companies
  8597. 5:42:15according to her the earnings of company
  8598. 5:42:17a are more volatile than those of
  8599. 5:42:20company b
  8600. 5:42:21she has been obtaining earnings data for
  8601. 5:42:23the past 31 years for company a
  8602. 5:42:26and for the past 41 years for company b
  8603. 5:42:30she finds that the sample standard
  8604. 5:42:32deviation of company a's earnings is
  8605. 5:42:34four dollars forty cents
  8606. 5:42:36and of company b's earnings is three
  8607. 5:42:39dollars ninety cents
  8608. 5:42:41determine whether the earnings of
  8609. 5:42:42company a have a greater standard
  8610. 5:42:45deviation than those of company b at
  8611. 5:42:47five percent level of significance click
  8612. 5:42:50the button given on the screen to know
  8613. 5:42:53the answer
  8614. 5:42:55susan has the data of the earnings of
  8615. 5:42:58the companies
  8616. 5:42:59distributions rarely have the same
  8617. 5:43:01spread or variance
  8618. 5:43:03when processes are improved one of the
  8619. 5:43:06strategies is to reduce the variation
  8620. 5:43:09it is important to be able to compare
  8621. 5:43:11variances with each other
  8622. 5:43:13a null hypothesis would indicate no
  8623. 5:43:16change has occurred
  8624. 5:43:17if it can be rejected and the variance
  8625. 5:43:20is lower one can claim success
  8626. 5:43:23the statistical notation for this
  8627. 5:43:25example is given on the screen
  8628. 5:43:28suppose one has to compare two sets of
  8629. 5:43:30company data
  8630. 5:43:32susan has looked at the earnings of two
  8631. 5:43:34companies
  8632. 5:43:35she has been studying the effects of
  8633. 5:43:37strategy management styles and
  8634. 5:43:39leadership profiles on the earnings of
  8635. 5:43:42these companies
  8636. 5:43:43there are significant differences in
  8637. 5:43:45these kpiv's
  8638. 5:43:47she wants to know if they have an effect
  8639. 5:43:49on the variance in the earnings
  8640. 5:43:51she has sample data over several decades
  8641. 5:43:54for each company by the given data it
  8642. 5:43:57can be concluded that earnings of
  8643. 5:43:59company a have a greater standard
  8644. 5:44:01deviation than those of company b
  8645. 5:44:04in calculating the f-test statistic
  8646. 5:44:07always put the greater variance in the
  8647. 5:44:09numerator
  8648. 5:44:11let us look at the f test example of
  8649. 5:44:13hypothesis test for equality of variance
  8650. 5:44:16in this screen
  8651. 5:44:18the degrees of freedom for company a and
  8652. 5:44:20company b are 30 and 40 respectively
  8653. 5:44:24the critical value from f table equals
  8654. 5:44:261.74
  8655. 5:44:28the null hypothesis is rejected if the f
  8656. 5:44:32test statistic is greater than 1.74
  8657. 5:44:36the calculated value of f test statistic
  8658. 5:44:38is 1.273
  8659. 5:44:41and therefore at the 5 significance
  8660. 5:44:44level the null hypothesis cannot be
  8661. 5:44:46rejected
  8662. 5:44:48the next screen will focus on hypothesis
  8663. 5:44:50tests f-test for independent groups
  8664. 5:44:55a restaurant which wants to explore the
  8665. 5:44:57recent overuse of avocados suspects
  8666. 5:45:00there is a difference between two chefs
  8667. 5:45:03and the number of avocados used to
  8668. 5:45:05prepare the salads
  8669. 5:45:06the data shown in the table is the
  8670. 5:45:08measure of avocados in ounces
  8671. 5:45:11the weight of avocado slices used in
  8672. 5:45:13salads prepared by two different chefs
  8673. 5:45:16is to determine if one chef is using
  8674. 5:45:18more avocados than the other
  8675. 5:45:21perhaps the restaurant's expenditures on
  8676. 5:45:23avocados is greater this month than the
  8677. 5:45:26average of the past 12 months
  8678. 5:45:28this is assuming there is no change in
  8679. 5:45:30avocado prices or the amount of avocados
  8680. 5:45:33being used
  8681. 5:45:35click the tab to learn to conduct an
  8682. 5:45:37f-test in ms excel
  8683. 5:45:41the f-test is conducted in ms excel
  8684. 5:45:44through the following steps
  8685. 5:45:46open ms excel
  8686. 5:45:48click data click data analysis
  8687. 5:45:52please follow the facilitator
  8688. 5:45:53instruction on how to install add-ins
  8689. 5:45:56select f-test to sample for variances
  8690. 5:46:00in variable one range select the data
  8691. 5:46:02set for group a and select data set for
  8692. 5:46:05group b in variable 2 range
  8693. 5:46:08click ok
  8694. 5:46:10the screen shot of the f test window is
  8695. 5:46:12also shown here
  8696. 5:46:14in this screen we will discuss the f
  8697. 5:46:17test assumptions
  8698. 5:46:18before interpreting the f test the
  8699. 5:46:21assumptions to be considered are
  8700. 5:46:23null hypothesis
  8701. 5:46:25there is no significant statistical
  8702. 5:46:27difference between the variances of the
  8703. 5:46:29two groups thus concluding any variation
  8704. 5:46:32could be because of chance
  8705. 5:46:34this is common cause of variation
  8706. 5:46:37alternate hypothesis
  8707. 5:46:39there is a significant statistical
  8708. 5:46:41difference between the variances of the
  8709. 5:46:44two groups
  8710. 5:46:45thus concluding that variations could be
  8711. 5:46:47because of assignable causes too
  8712. 5:46:50this is special cause of variation
  8713. 5:46:53the following screen will focus on
  8714. 5:46:55f-test interpretations
  8715. 5:47:00the interpretations for the conducted
  8716. 5:47:02f-test are
  8717. 5:47:04from the excel result sheet the p-value
  8718. 5:47:07is 0.03
  8719. 5:47:09if p-value is low or below 0.05 the null
  8720. 5:47:14must be rejected
  8721. 5:47:15thus no hypothesis with 97 confidence is
  8722. 5:47:20rejected
  8723. 5:47:21also the fact that variation could only
  8724. 5:47:23be due to common cause of variation is
  8725. 5:47:26rejected it is inferred from the test
  8726. 5:47:29that there could be assignable causes of
  8727. 5:47:32variation or special causes of variation
  8728. 5:47:36excel provides the descriptive
  8729. 5:47:38statistics for each variable
  8730. 5:47:40it also gives the degrees of freedom for
  8731. 5:47:42each
  8732. 5:47:43f is the calculated f statistic f
  8733. 5:47:46critical is a reference number found in
  8734. 5:47:48a statistics book table
  8735. 5:47:50p of f less than or equal to f is the
  8736. 5:47:54probability that f really is less than f
  8737. 5:47:57critical
  8738. 5:47:58or that the null hypothesis would be
  8739. 5:48:00falsely rejected
  8740. 5:48:02since the p-value is less than the alpha
  8741. 5:48:05the null hypothesis can be confidently
  8742. 5:48:08rejected
  8743. 5:48:09alongside conducting a hypothesis test
  8744. 5:48:12a meaningful conclusion from the test
  8745. 5:48:14has been drawn
  8746. 5:48:16the following screen will focus on
  8747. 5:48:18hypothesis test t-test for independent
  8748. 5:48:21groups
  8749. 5:48:23as discussed earlier the table shows the
  8750. 5:48:25measure of avocados in ounces and the
  8751. 5:48:27significant difference in their means
  8752. 5:48:30needs to be inspected
  8753. 5:48:32if a significant amount of difference is
  8754. 5:48:34found it can be concluded that there is
  8755. 5:48:36a possibility of special cause of
  8756. 5:48:38variation
  8757. 5:48:40the next screen will demonstrate how to
  8758. 5:48:42conduct the two-sample t-test
  8759. 5:48:46the two-sample independent t-test
  8760. 5:48:48inspects two groups of data for
  8761. 5:48:50significant difference in their means
  8762. 5:48:53the idea is to conclude if there is a
  8763. 5:48:55significant amount of difference
  8764. 5:48:58if there is a statistical evidence of
  8765. 5:49:00variation
  8766. 5:49:01one can conclude a possibility of
  8767. 5:49:03special cause of variation the steps for
  8768. 5:49:06conducting a two-sample t-test are
  8769. 5:49:10open ms excel click data and click data
  8770. 5:49:13analysis
  8771. 5:49:15select two-sample independent t-test
  8772. 5:49:18assuming unequal variances
  8773. 5:49:20in variable 1 range select the data set
  8774. 5:49:23for group a and select the data set for
  8775. 5:49:26group b in variable 2 range
  8776. 5:49:29keep the hypothesized mean difference as
  8777. 5:49:320.
  8778. 5:49:33click ok
  8779. 5:49:35in the following screen we will focus on
  8780. 5:49:37two sample independent t test
  8781. 5:49:39assumptions
  8782. 5:49:42the assumptions for a two sample
  8783. 5:49:44independent t test are
  8784. 5:49:46null hypothesis
  8785. 5:49:48there is no significant statistical
  8786. 5:49:50difference between the means of the two
  8787. 5:49:52groups thus concluding any variation
  8788. 5:49:54could be because of chance
  8789. 5:49:57this is common cause of variation
  8790. 5:50:00alternate hypothesis
  8791. 5:50:02there is a significant statistical
  8792. 5:50:04difference between the means of the two
  8793. 5:50:06groups
  8794. 5:50:07thus concluding that variations could be
  8795. 5:50:09because of assignable causes too
  8796. 5:50:12this is special cause of variation
  8797. 5:50:15the null hypothesis states the mean of
  8798. 5:50:17group a is equal to the mean of group b
  8799. 5:50:21the alternate hypothesis states that the
  8800. 5:50:23mean of group a is not equal to the mean
  8801. 5:50:26of group b
  8802. 5:50:28note that alternate hypothesis tests two
  8803. 5:50:30conditions
  8804. 5:50:32mean of a is less than mean of b
  8805. 5:50:35and mean of a is greater than mean of b
  8806. 5:50:38thus a two-tailed probability needs to
  8807. 5:50:40be used
  8808. 5:50:42before we interpret the t-test results
  8809. 5:50:45let us compare the two-tailed and
  8810. 5:50:47one-tailed probability in the next
  8811. 5:50:49screen
  8812. 5:50:50two-tailed probability and one-tailed
  8813. 5:50:53probability are used depending on the
  8814. 5:50:55direction of the alternate hypothesis
  8815. 5:50:58if the alternate hypothesis tests more
  8816. 5:51:00than one direction either less or more
  8817. 5:51:03use a two-tailed probability value from
  8818. 5:51:06the test
  8819. 5:51:07example
  8820. 5:51:08if mean of a is not equal to mean of b
  8821. 5:51:12then it is two-tailed probability
  8822. 5:51:15if the alternate hypothesis tests only
  8823. 5:51:17one direction
  8824. 5:51:19use a one-tailed probability value from
  8825. 5:51:21the test
  8826. 5:51:22example if mean of a is greater than
  8827. 5:51:26mean of b then it is one-tailed
  8828. 5:51:28probability
  8829. 5:51:30in the next screen let us look at the
  8830. 5:51:32two-sample independent t-test results
  8831. 5:51:35and interpretations
  8832. 5:51:37the results are shown in the table on
  8833. 5:51:39the screen
  8834. 5:51:41the inference is as the two-tailed
  8835. 5:51:43probability is being tested the p-value
  8836. 5:51:46of two-tailed probability testing is
  8837. 5:51:480.24
  8838. 5:51:49which is greater than 0.05
  8839. 5:51:52if p-value is greater than 0.05 the null
  8840. 5:51:56hypothesis is not rejected
  8841. 5:51:59this means one cannot reject the fact
  8842. 5:52:01that there is no significant statistical
  8843. 5:52:03difference between the two means similar
  8844. 5:52:06to the f-test excel provides the
  8845. 5:52:08descriptive statistics for each group or
  8846. 5:52:10variable
  8847. 5:52:11the t stat is shown
  8848. 5:52:13excel also shows one-tailed or
  8849. 5:52:15two-tailed data
  8850. 5:52:17for the one-tailed test the alpha is
  8851. 5:52:190.05
  8852. 5:52:21the error is expected to be in one
  8853. 5:52:23direction
  8854. 5:52:24for the two-tailed test the error is
  8855. 5:52:27alpha slash two or zero point zero two
  8856. 5:52:30five
  8857. 5:52:32in this example t stat or t calculated
  8858. 5:52:35is less than either t criticals
  8859. 5:52:37therefore the null hypothesis cannot be
  8860. 5:52:39rejected
  8861. 5:52:40thus it can be inferred that both the
  8862. 5:52:42groups are statistically same
  8863. 5:52:45we will discuss the paired t-test in the
  8864. 5:52:47next screen
  8865. 5:52:49paired t-test is another hypothesis test
  8866. 5:52:52from the family of t-tests
  8867. 5:52:55the following points will help in
  8868. 5:52:56understanding the paired t-test in
  8869. 5:52:58detail
  8870. 5:53:00the paired t-test is one of the most
  8871. 5:53:01powerful tests from the t-test family
  8872. 5:53:05the paired t-test is conducted before
  8873. 5:53:07and after the process to be measured for
  8874. 5:53:10example a group of students score x in
  8875. 5:53:13cssgb
  8876. 5:53:14before taking the training program
  8877. 5:53:17post the training program the scores are
  8878. 5:53:19taken again one needs to find out if
  8879. 5:53:21there is a statistical difference
  8880. 5:53:23between the two sets of scores
  8881. 5:53:26if there is a significant difference the
  8882. 5:53:28inference could be that the training was
  8883. 5:53:30effective it is important to note that
  8884. 5:53:33the paired t-test interpretation shows
  8885. 5:53:36the effectiveness of the improvement
  8886. 5:53:37measures
  8887. 5:53:39this is the main reason why paired
  8888. 5:53:41t-tests are often used in the improve
  8889. 5:53:43stage let us learn about sample variance
  8890. 5:53:46in the following screen
  8891. 5:53:48sample variance is defined as the
  8892. 5:53:50average of the squared differences from
  8893. 5:53:53the mean
  8894. 5:53:54the sample variance that is s square can
  8895. 5:53:57be used to calculate and understand the
  8896. 5:53:59degree of variation of a sample
  8897. 5:54:02it can also be used in statistics
  8898. 5:54:05however it cannot be used or explained
  8899. 5:54:07directly because its value does not
  8900. 5:54:10provide any information
  8901. 5:54:12to use the value you have to first
  8902. 5:54:14convert it into standard deviation and
  8903. 5:54:17then combine it with the mean
  8904. 5:54:19click the button to know the steps for
  8905. 5:54:21calculating the sample variance
  8906. 5:54:26step one calculate the mean or average
  8907. 5:54:29of the sample
  8908. 5:54:30step two subtract each of the values
  8909. 5:54:33from the mean
  8910. 5:54:35step three calculate the square value of
  8911. 5:54:38the results
  8912. 5:54:39step four take the average of the
  8913. 5:54:42squared differences
  8914. 5:54:45let us understand how to calculate the
  8915. 5:54:47sample variance with the help of an
  8916. 5:54:49example in this screen
  8917. 5:54:52consider the sample of weights
  8918. 5:54:54the mean value is one hundred forty
  8919. 5:54:57when you subtract the individual values
  8920. 5:54:59from the mean
  8921. 5:55:00take the square value of the results and
  8922. 5:55:03then take the average of the squared
  8923. 5:55:05differences
  8924. 5:55:06you will get 1936
  8925. 5:55:09as the sample variance
  8926. 5:55:12this number is not useful as it is
  8927. 5:55:14in order to get the standard deviation
  8928. 5:55:17take the square root of the sample
  8929. 5:55:19variance
  8930. 5:55:20square root of 1936 equals forty four
  8931. 5:55:24the standard deviation in combination
  8932. 5:55:26with the mean will tell you how much the
  8933. 5:55:29majority of the people weigh
  8934. 5:55:31in this example if your mean is one
  8935. 5:55:33hundred forty and your variance is forty
  8936. 5:55:36four
  8937. 5:55:37you can conclude that the majority of
  8938. 5:55:40people weigh between 96 pounds
  8939. 5:55:43mean minus 44
  8940. 5:55:45and 184 pounds
  8941. 5:55:47mean plus 44.
  8942. 5:55:50let us proceed to the next screen that
  8943. 5:55:52focuses on the analysis of variance or
  8944. 5:55:55anova which is the comparison of more
  8945. 5:55:58than two means
  8946. 5:56:00a t-test is used for one sample
  8947. 5:56:03two sample tests are used for comparing
  8948. 5:56:05two means
  8949. 5:56:07to compare the means of more than two
  8950. 5:56:08samples use the anova method
  8951. 5:56:12anova stands for analysis of variance
  8952. 5:56:15anova does not tell the better mean it
  8953. 5:56:18helps in understanding that all the
  8954. 5:56:19sample means are not equal
  8955. 5:56:21the shortlisted samples based on anova
  8956. 5:56:24output can further be tested
  8957. 5:56:26one important aspect of anova is it
  8958. 5:56:29generalizes the t test to include more
  8959. 5:56:31than two samples
  8960. 5:56:33performing multiple two-sample t-tests
  8961. 5:56:36would increase the chance of committing
  8962. 5:56:37a type one error
  8963. 5:56:39hence anovas is useful in comparing two
  8964. 5:56:42or more means
  8965. 5:56:43the next screen will help in
  8966. 5:56:45understanding this concept through an
  8967. 5:56:47exam
  8968. 5:56:48as an example consider the takeaway food
  8969. 5:56:50delivery time of three different outlets
  8970. 5:56:54is there any evidence that the averages
  8971. 5:56:56for the three outlets are not equal
  8972. 5:56:59in other words can the delivery time be
  8973. 5:57:01benchmarked on the outlet
  8974. 5:57:04the null hypothesis will assume that the
  8975. 5:57:06three means are equal
  8976. 5:57:08if the null hypothesis is rejected it
  8977. 5:57:11would mean that there are at least two
  8978. 5:57:13outlets that are different in their
  8979. 5:57:14average delivery time
  8980. 5:57:17in minitab one can perform anova in one
  8981. 5:57:20of the statistics packages
  8982. 5:57:22ensure that the data of the table is
  8983. 5:57:24stacked in two columns
  8984. 5:57:26in the main menu go to stat anova and
  8985. 5:57:29then one way
  8986. 5:57:31the left column of the table will have
  8987. 5:57:32the outlets and the right column will
  8988. 5:57:34have the time in minutes
  8989. 5:57:37this is similar to the table shown on
  8990. 5:57:39the screen
  8991. 5:57:40in the one-way analysis of variance
  8992. 5:57:42window
  8993. 5:57:43select the response as delivery time and
  8994. 5:57:46factor as outlet and click ok
  8995. 5:57:50the output of this process is shown here
  8996. 5:57:53notice the p value which is much higher
  8997. 5:57:56than 0.05
  8998. 5:58:00the steps to perform anova in excel are
  8999. 5:58:02as follows
  9000. 5:58:04after entering the data to a spreadsheet
  9001. 5:58:07select the anova single factor test from
  9002. 5:58:09the data analysis tool pack select the
  9003. 5:58:12array for analysis designate that the
  9004. 5:58:15data is in columns and select an output
  9005. 5:58:17range
  9006. 5:58:19excel shows the descriptive statistics
  9007. 5:58:21for each column in the top table
  9008. 5:58:24in the second table the anova analysis
  9009. 5:58:26shows whether the variation is greater
  9010. 5:58:28between the groups or within the groups
  9011. 5:58:32it shows the sum of squares or ss
  9012. 5:58:34degrees of freedom df
  9013. 5:58:37means of squares ms or sum of squares
  9014. 5:58:39divided by n minus 1 or variance
  9015. 5:58:42the f statistic
  9016. 5:58:44ms between divided by ms within
  9017. 5:58:47p-value and f-critical from a reference
  9018. 5:58:49table
  9019. 5:58:51the f and p are calculated for the
  9020. 5:58:52variation that occurs within each of the
  9021. 5:58:54groups and between the groups
  9022. 5:58:57if the conditions in the groups are
  9023. 5:58:59significant it would be expected to see
  9024. 5:59:02the between groups ss much higher and
  9025. 5:59:05the ms slightly higher let us now
  9026. 5:59:08interpret the minitab anova results
  9027. 5:59:11since the p-value is more than 0.05
  9028. 5:59:15the null hypothesis is accepted
  9029. 5:59:18this means there is no significant
  9030. 5:59:20difference between means of delivery
  9031. 5:59:22time for the three outlets
  9032. 5:59:25based on the confidence intervals it is
  9033. 5:59:27found that the intervals overlap
  9034. 5:59:29which means there is little that
  9035. 5:59:30separates the means of the three samples
  9036. 5:59:34in one-way anova where there was only
  9037. 5:59:36one factor to be benchmarked that is the
  9038. 5:59:39outlet of delivery
  9039. 5:59:40if there are two factors you may use the
  9040. 5:59:43two-way anova
  9041. 5:59:45in this screen we will learn in detail
  9042. 5:59:48about chi-square distribution
  9043. 5:59:50the chi-square distribution is one of
  9044. 5:59:53the most widely used probability
  9045. 5:59:55distributions in inferential statistics
  9046. 5:59:58it is also known as hypothesis testing
  9047. 6:00:01and the distribution is used in
  9048. 6:00:03hypothesis tests
  9049. 6:00:05when used in hypothesis test needs one
  9050. 6:00:08sample for the test to be conducted
  9051. 6:00:11the chi-squared distribution is also
  9052. 6:00:13known as chi squared
  9053. 6:00:15it has k1 degrees of freedom and is the
  9054. 6:00:18distribution of a sum of the squares of
  9055. 6:00:20k independent standard normal random
  9056. 6:00:22variables suppose in a field for nine
  9057. 6:00:25players player one comes in and can
  9058. 6:00:27choose amongst all nine positions
  9059. 6:00:29available
  9060. 6:00:30player two can choose only amongst eight
  9061. 6:00:33and so on
  9062. 6:00:34after all the eight players have chosen
  9063. 6:00:36their positions the last player gets to
  9064. 6:00:39choose the last position left
  9065. 6:00:42the eight players are free to choose in
  9066. 6:00:44a playing field of nine eight is the
  9067. 6:00:46degree of freedom for this example
  9068. 6:00:48conventionally degree of freedom is n1
  9069. 6:00:51where n is the sample size
  9070. 6:00:54for example if w x y and z are four
  9071. 6:00:57random variables with standard normal
  9072. 6:01:00distributions
  9073. 6:01:01the random variable f which is the sum
  9074. 6:01:03of w square x square y square and z
  9075. 6:01:07square has a chi-square distribution
  9076. 6:01:10the degrees of freedom of the
  9077. 6:01:11distribution or the df equals the number
  9078. 6:01:15of normally distributed variables used
  9079. 6:01:17in this case df equals four
  9080. 6:01:21the formula for chi-squared distribution
  9081. 6:01:23is shown on the screen
  9082. 6:01:25it is important to note that f of o
  9083. 6:01:28stands for an observed frequency and f
  9084. 6:01:31of e stands for an expected frequency
  9085. 6:01:34the next screen will explain chi-square
  9086. 6:01:36test through an example
  9087. 6:01:39suppose the australian hockey team
  9088. 6:01:41wishes to analyze its wins at home and
  9089. 6:01:44abroad against four different countries
  9090. 6:01:47the data has two classifications and the
  9091. 6:01:49table is also known as a two by four
  9092. 6:01:52contingency table with two rows and four
  9093. 6:01:55columns
  9094. 6:01:56the expected frequencies can be
  9095. 6:01:58calculated assuming there is a
  9096. 6:02:00relationship
  9097. 6:02:02thus expected frequency for each of the
  9098. 6:02:04observed frequency is equal to product
  9099. 6:02:07of row total and column total divided by
  9100. 6:02:10overall total
  9101. 6:02:11one has to find out how to calculate the
  9102. 6:02:14expected frequency
  9103. 6:02:16if the observed frequency is three wins
  9104. 6:02:18against south africa in australia then
  9105. 6:02:21it would convert to total winds at home
  9106. 6:02:23which is 21 divided by the total number
  9107. 6:02:26of wins or 31 and is the result
  9108. 6:02:29multiplied by five
  9109. 6:02:31the result is 3.39
  9110. 6:02:34similarly the expected population
  9111. 6:02:37parameters for all cases are found
  9112. 6:02:40in this step all the information of the
  9113. 6:02:42previous screen is combined and the
  9114. 6:02:44table is populated
  9115. 6:02:46the estimated population parameters are
  9116. 6:02:49calculated and added
  9117. 6:02:51the formula estimates the observed
  9118. 6:02:52frequency to calculate the final
  9119. 6:02:54chi-square index which in this case is
  9120. 6:02:571.36
  9121. 6:02:59it is important to note that there is a
  9122. 6:03:01different chi-squared distribution for
  9123. 6:03:04each of the different numbers of degrees
  9124. 6:03:05of freedom
  9125. 6:03:07for the chi-square distribution the
  9126. 6:03:09degrees of freedom are calculated as per
  9127. 6:03:11the number of rows and columns in the
  9128. 6:03:13contingency table
  9129. 6:03:15the equation for degrees of freedom
  9130. 6:03:17should be noticed
  9131. 6:03:18the number of degrees of freedom is
  9132. 6:03:20equal to three
  9133. 6:03:22assuming an alpha of ten percent the
  9134. 6:03:24chi-squared distribution in the
  9135. 6:03:26chi-square table is noticed and a
  9136. 6:03:29critical chi-square index of 6.251 is
  9137. 6:03:32arrived at chi-square calculated value
  9138. 6:03:35is 1.36
  9139. 6:03:38both the values of the chi-square index
  9140. 6:03:40should be plotted
  9141. 6:03:42the critical chi-square distribution
  9142. 6:03:44divides the whole region into acceptance
  9143. 6:03:47and rejection
  9144. 6:03:48while the calculated chi-square
  9145. 6:03:50distribution is based on data and
  9146. 6:03:52conveys whether the data falls into an
  9147. 6:03:55acceptance or rejection region
  9148. 6:03:58therefore as the calculated value is
  9149. 6:04:00less than the critical value
  9150. 6:04:02and falls in the acceptance region
  9151. 6:04:05the proportion of wins of the aussie
  9152. 6:04:06team at home or abroad has nothing to do
  9153. 6:04:09with the opponent being played against
  9154. 6:04:12let us proceed to the next topic of this
  9155. 6:04:15lesson in the next screen in this topic
  9156. 6:04:17we will learn in detail about hypothesis
  9157. 6:04:20testing with non-normal data
  9158. 6:04:23let us begin with the mon whitney test
  9159. 6:04:25in the next screen
  9160. 6:04:27the mon whitney test also known as the
  9161. 6:04:30wilcoxon rank sum test is a
  9162. 6:04:32non-parametric test which is used to
  9163. 6:04:35compare two unpaired groups
  9164. 6:04:37in this test the value of alpha is by
  9165. 6:04:40default set at 0.05 and the rejection
  9166. 6:04:44and acceptance condition remains the
  9167. 6:04:46same for different cases
  9168. 6:04:48that is if p is less than alpha reject
  9169. 6:04:51the null hypothesis
  9170. 6:04:53if p is greater than alpha reject the
  9171. 6:04:56alternate hypothesis
  9172. 6:04:58the aim of this test is to rank the
  9173. 6:05:00entire data available for each condition
  9174. 6:05:03and then compare the total outcome of
  9175. 6:05:05the two ranks
  9176. 6:05:06click the button to know the steps to
  9177. 6:05:08perform the mon whitney test
  9178. 6:05:12to perform the mon whitney test first
  9179. 6:05:15rank all the values from low to high
  9180. 6:05:17without paying any attention to the
  9181. 6:05:19group to which each value belongs
  9182. 6:05:21the smallest number gets a rank of one
  9183. 6:05:24the largest number gets a rank of n
  9184. 6:05:26where n is the total number of values in
  9185. 6:05:29the two groups
  9186. 6:05:30if there are ties continue to rank the
  9187. 6:05:33values anyway pretending they are
  9188. 6:05:35slightly different
  9189. 6:05:37then find the average of the ranks for
  9190. 6:05:39all the identical values and assign that
  9191. 6:05:42rank to all these values
  9192. 6:05:44continue this till all the whole number
  9193. 6:05:46ranks have been used
  9194. 6:05:48next sort the values into two groups
  9195. 6:05:52these can now be used for the mon
  9196. 6:05:53whitney u test
  9197. 6:05:55summate the ranks for the observations
  9198. 6:05:57from sample one and then summate the
  9199. 6:05:59ranks in sample two larger group
  9200. 6:06:04let us look at an example of the mon
  9201. 6:06:06whitney test in this screen
  9202. 6:06:09suppose you have two sets of data g1 and
  9203. 6:06:12g2
  9204. 6:06:13the g1 values are 14 2 5 16 and 9
  9205. 6:06:19and the g2 values are 4 2 18 14 and 8.
  9206. 6:06:24now combine the g1 and g2 values sort
  9207. 6:06:28them in ascending order and mention the
  9208. 6:06:30group name against each value
  9209. 6:06:33next rank the groups from 1 to 10 and
  9210. 6:06:36check if any values are identical
  9211. 6:06:39take an average of the ranks of the
  9212. 6:06:40identical values and place it against
  9213. 6:06:43the identical values in the final rank
  9214. 6:06:45column
  9215. 6:06:46hence the average final rank is 1.5 for
  9216. 6:06:49ranks 1 and 2.
  9217. 6:06:51similarly the average final rank is 7.5
  9218. 6:06:55for ranks 7 and 8.
  9219. 6:06:57next calculate r1 and r2 by adding the
  9220. 6:07:00ranks of the groups 1 and 2 respectively
  9221. 6:07:04in this example the r 1 value is 28 and
  9222. 6:07:07our 2 value is 27
  9223. 6:07:10from the given data 5 is the value of
  9224. 6:07:12both n1 and n2
  9225. 6:07:16the formula for the mon whitney u test
  9226. 6:07:19for n one and n two values is
  9227. 6:07:21u one equals n one multiplied by n two
  9228. 6:07:25plus n one multiplied by n one plus one
  9229. 6:07:28whole divided by two minus r one
  9230. 6:07:31similarly u2 equals n1 multiplied by n2
  9231. 6:07:35plus n2 multiplied by n2 plus 1 whole
  9232. 6:07:39divided by 2 minus r2
  9233. 6:07:42in this example the value of u1 is 12
  9234. 6:07:45and u2 is 13.
  9235. 6:07:48now the u value can be calculated by
  9236. 6:07:51taking the minimum value among 12 and 13
  9237. 6:07:54which is 12.
  9238. 6:07:55look up the mon whitney u test table for
  9239. 6:07:58n 1 equals five and n two equals five
  9240. 6:08:01you will get the critical value of u as
  9241. 6:08:04two
  9242. 6:08:05to be statistically significant the
  9243. 6:08:07obtained u has to be equal to or less
  9244. 6:08:10than this critical value
  9245. 6:08:12our calculated value of u is 12 which is
  9246. 6:08:15not less than two that means there is no
  9247. 6:08:18statistical difference between the means
  9248. 6:08:20of the two groups
  9249. 6:08:22in this screen we will learn about the
  9250. 6:08:24kruskal-wallis test
  9251. 6:08:26the kruskal-wallis test is named after
  9252. 6:08:28william kruskal and w alan wallace
  9253. 6:08:31it is also a non-parametric test used
  9254. 6:08:34for testing the source of origin of
  9255. 6:08:36samples for example whether the samples
  9256. 6:08:39originate from the same distribution or
  9257. 6:08:41not
  9258. 6:08:42the characteristics of the
  9259. 6:08:43kruskal-wallis test are as follows
  9260. 6:08:46it is the only way to analyze variants
  9261. 6:08:49by ranks
  9262. 6:08:50this test compares the medians of two or
  9263. 6:08:53more samples to find out if the samples
  9264. 6:08:55are from different populations
  9265. 6:08:58since this test is a non-parametric
  9266. 6:09:00method it does not assume the normal
  9267. 6:09:03distribution of the residuals unlike the
  9268. 6:09:06analogous one-way analysis of variance
  9269. 6:09:09for this test the null hypothesis is
  9270. 6:09:12that the medians of all groups are equal
  9271. 6:09:15and the alternate hypothesis is that at
  9272. 6:09:18least one population median of one group
  9273. 6:09:21is different from the population median
  9274. 6:09:23of at least one other group
  9275. 6:09:25let us learn about the moods median in
  9276. 6:09:27the next screen
  9277. 6:09:30the mood's median is also a
  9278. 6:09:32non-parametric test that is used to test
  9279. 6:09:34the equality of medians from two or more
  9280. 6:09:37different populations
  9281. 6:09:39this test works when the output y
  9282. 6:09:41variable is continuous and discrete
  9283. 6:09:44ordinal or discrete count
  9284. 6:09:46while the input x variable is discrete
  9285. 6:09:48with two or more attributes
  9286. 6:09:51click the button to view the steps
  9287. 6:09:52involved in the mood's median test
  9288. 6:09:56following are the steps in the mood's
  9289. 6:09:58median test
  9290. 6:10:00first find the median of the combined
  9291. 6:10:02data set
  9292. 6:10:03next find the number of values in each
  9293. 6:10:05sample that are greater than the median
  9294. 6:10:07and form a contingency table
  9295. 6:10:10then find the expected value for each
  9296. 6:10:12cell and finally find the chi-square
  9297. 6:10:14value
  9298. 6:10:16we will learn about the freedmen test in
  9299. 6:10:18this screen the friedman test is another
  9300. 6:10:21form of a non-parametric test
  9301. 6:10:24it does not make any assumptions about
  9302. 6:10:26the specific shape of the population
  9303. 6:10:28from which the sample is drawn
  9304. 6:10:31and therefore allows smaller sample data
  9305. 6:10:33sets to be analyzed
  9306. 6:10:35unlike anova the friedman test does not
  9307. 6:10:38require the data set to be randomly
  9308. 6:10:40sampled from normally distributed
  9309. 6:10:42populations with equal variances
  9310. 6:10:45this test uses a two-tailed hypothesis
  9311. 6:10:48test
  9312. 6:10:49where the null hypothesis is that the
  9313. 6:10:52population medians of each treatment are
  9314. 6:10:54statistically identical to the rest of
  9315. 6:10:56the group
  9316. 6:10:58in the next screen we will learn about
  9317. 6:10:59the one sample sign test
  9318. 6:11:03the one sample sign test is the simplest
  9319. 6:11:06of all the non-parametric tests that can
  9320. 6:11:08be used instead of a one-sample t-test
  9321. 6:11:11it is similar to the concept of testing
  9322. 6:11:14if a coin is fair in showing heads or
  9323. 6:11:16tails
  9324. 6:11:17here the null hypothesis represented as
  9325. 6:11:20h o
  9326. 6:11:21is the hypothecated median or assumed
  9327. 6:11:24median of the sample which belongs to
  9328. 6:11:26the population
  9329. 6:11:27click the button to view the steps
  9330. 6:11:29involved in the one sample sign test
  9331. 6:11:33following are the steps in a one sample
  9332. 6:11:36sign test
  9333. 6:11:37first count the number of positive
  9334. 6:11:39values
  9335. 6:11:40these are the values that are larger
  9336. 6:11:42than the hypothesized median
  9337. 6:11:44next count the number of negative values
  9338. 6:11:47these are the values that are smaller
  9339. 6:11:49than the hypothesized median
  9340. 6:11:51finally test the values to check if
  9341. 6:11:53there are significantly more positive
  9342. 6:11:56values or negative values than expected
  9343. 6:12:00this screen will focus on the one sample
  9344. 6:12:02wilcoxon test
  9345. 6:12:04the one sample wilcoxon test also known
  9346. 6:12:07as the wilcoxon signed rank test
  9347. 6:12:10is another form of a non-parametric test
  9348. 6:12:13this test is equivalent to the
  9349. 6:12:15parametric one-sample t-test and more
  9350. 6:12:18powerful than the non-parametric
  9351. 6:12:20one-sample sign test
  9352. 6:12:22let us discuss the characteristics of
  9353. 6:12:24this test in the following screen
  9354. 6:12:27some of the characteristics of this test
  9355. 6:12:29are as follows
  9356. 6:12:31this test assumes that the sample is
  9357. 6:12:33randomly taken from a population
  9358. 6:12:35with a symmetric frequency distribution
  9359. 6:12:37around the median
  9360. 6:12:39also in this test the symmetry can be
  9361. 6:12:42observed with the histogram or by
  9362. 6:12:44checking if the median and mean are
  9363. 6:12:46approximately equal
  9364. 6:12:48the conclusion in this test is that if
  9365. 6:12:50the value is on the midpoint you can
  9366. 6:12:53continue and accept the null hypothesis
  9367. 6:12:56if not you need to reject the alternate
  9368. 6:12:58hypothesis
  9369. 6:13:00click the button given on the screen to
  9370. 6:13:02view an example
  9371. 6:13:05let us consider an example
  9372. 6:13:07the median customer satisfaction score
  9373. 6:13:09of an organization has always been 3.7
  9374. 6:13:13and the management wants to see if this
  9375. 6:13:15has changed
  9376. 6:13:17they conduct a survey and get the
  9377. 6:13:18results grouped by the customer type
  9378. 6:13:21the conclusion will be as follows
  9379. 6:13:24if the median value is 3.7 the null
  9380. 6:13:27hypothesis h o can be accepted if not
  9381. 6:13:31the alternate hypothesis needs to be
  9382. 6:13:33rejected the alpha value will be 0.05
  9383. 6:13:38choose from over 300 in-demand skills
  9384. 6:13:40and get access to 1 000 plus hours of
  9385. 6:13:43video content for free visit scale up by
  9386. 6:13:45simply learn click on the link in the
  9387. 6:13:47description to know more
  9388. 6:13:49this lesson will focus on the improved
  9389. 6:13:51phase of the dmacc process
  9390. 6:13:54the improved phase comes after the
  9391. 6:13:56analyze phase
  9392. 6:13:57in the analyze phase the data was
  9393. 6:13:59analyzed and some patterns were found to
  9394. 6:14:02identify where the problem lies
  9395. 6:14:05design of experiments or doe consists of
  9396. 6:14:08a series of planned and scientific
  9397. 6:14:10experiments that test various input
  9398. 6:14:12variables and their eventual impact on
  9399. 6:14:15the output variable
  9400. 6:14:17design of experiments can be used as a
  9401. 6:14:19one-stop alternative for analyzing all
  9402. 6:14:22influencing factors to arrive at a
  9403. 6:14:24successful model
  9404. 6:14:26doe is applicable where multiple input
  9405. 6:14:28variables known as factors affect a
  9406. 6:14:31single response variable
  9407. 6:14:33an output variable is the variable which
  9408. 6:14:35may get affected due to multiple input
  9409. 6:14:38variables
  9410. 6:14:39doe is preferred over one factor at a
  9411. 6:14:42time or o fat experiments because it
  9412. 6:14:44does not miss interactions
  9413. 6:14:47with techniques like blocking
  9414. 6:14:48experimental error can be eliminated
  9415. 6:14:51the trials should be randomized to avoid
  9416. 6:14:54concluding that a factor is significant
  9417. 6:14:56when the time at which it is measured or
  9418. 6:14:57the sequence followed may have
  9419. 6:14:59influenced the responses result
  9420. 6:15:01an example of blocking is highlighted in
  9421. 6:15:03the table given on the screen
  9422. 6:15:06with techniques like replication many
  9423. 6:15:08experiments can be conducted to ensure a
  9424. 6:15:10robust model
  9425. 6:15:12we will understand the concept of design
  9426. 6:15:14experiments through an example in the
  9427. 6:15:16upcoming screen
  9428. 6:15:18to understand doe and the main effects
  9429. 6:15:21consider the following example
  9430. 6:15:23suppose the objective of the experiment
  9431. 6:15:26is to achieve uniform part dimensions at
  9432. 6:15:28a particular target value to reduce
  9433. 6:15:30variations
  9434. 6:15:32the inputs x or factors that affect the
  9435. 6:15:35output are cycle time mold temperature
  9436. 6:15:38holding pressure
  9437. 6:15:39holding time and material type
  9438. 6:15:42the process is the molding process and
  9439. 6:15:45the output or the response of the
  9440. 6:15:46experiment is the part hardness
  9441. 6:15:49the components of the doe in this
  9442. 6:15:51example will be described in the next
  9443. 6:15:53screen
  9444. 6:15:57output response factors levels and
  9445. 6:16:00interactions are the components of the
  9446. 6:16:01doe in the given example
  9447. 6:16:04click each component to learn more
  9448. 6:16:07the response variable is the part
  9449. 6:16:09hardness and is measured as a result of
  9450. 6:16:11the experiment and is used to judge the
  9451. 6:16:14effects of factors
  9452. 6:16:16factors of this experimental setup are
  9453. 6:16:19cycle time mold temperature holding
  9454. 6:16:21pressure holding time and material type
  9455. 6:16:26factors can be varied and are called
  9456. 6:16:28levels the molding temperature can be
  9457. 6:16:30set at 600 degrees fahrenheit or 700
  9458. 6:16:34degrees fahrenheit
  9459. 6:16:35plastic type can be fillers and no
  9460. 6:16:38fillers and the material type has two
  9461. 6:16:40levels of nylon or acetyl
  9462. 6:16:45interactions refer to the degree to
  9463. 6:16:47which factors depend on one another
  9464. 6:16:50some experiments evaluate the effect of
  9465. 6:16:52interactions
  9466. 6:16:54in the molding example the interaction
  9467. 6:16:56between cycle time and molding
  9468. 6:16:58temperature is critical
  9469. 6:17:01the best level for time depends on what
  9470. 6:17:03temperature is set
  9471. 6:17:05if the temperature level is higher the
  9472. 6:17:07cycle time may have to be decreased to
  9473. 6:17:10achieve the same response from the
  9474. 6:17:12experiment
  9475. 6:17:14let us understand full factorial
  9476. 6:17:17experiments through an example
  9477. 6:17:19full factorial experimental design
  9478. 6:17:22contains all combinations of all levels
  9479. 6:17:24of all factors
  9480. 6:17:26this experimental design ensures no
  9481. 6:17:29possible treatment combinations get
  9482. 6:17:30omitted
  9483. 6:17:32hence full factorial designs are often
  9484. 6:17:34preferred over other designs
  9485. 6:17:37the table shown here is for a two-way
  9486. 6:17:39heat treatment experiment
  9487. 6:17:41there are two factors
  9488. 6:17:43oven time x2 and the temperature x1 at
  9489. 6:17:47which the material is drawn out of the
  9490. 6:17:49oven
  9491. 6:17:50the output y of the experiment is the
  9492. 6:17:52hardness of the material
  9493. 6:17:54each of the factors has two levels
  9494. 6:17:57this example illustrates the concepts of
  9495. 6:18:00main factor and interaction effects
  9496. 6:18:03from the table it is clear that without
  9497. 6:18:05repetition the experiment will have four
  9498. 6:18:07different outcomes based on the changes
  9499. 6:18:10in levels of factors
  9500. 6:18:12each experimental trial here is repeated
  9501. 6:18:15to give a total of eight values
  9502. 6:18:17let us now analyze the mean effect
  9503. 6:18:20an analysis of the means helps in
  9504. 6:18:23understanding how a change in
  9505. 6:18:24temperature at which the material is
  9506. 6:18:26drawn creates a difference in the
  9507. 6:18:28average part hardness
  9508. 6:18:30this affects the output and is called
  9509. 6:18:32the main effect
  9510. 6:18:34analysis of means also tells how a
  9511. 6:18:36change in oven time creates a difference
  9512. 6:18:38in the average part hardness
  9513. 6:18:40this is also the main effect
  9514. 6:18:43analysis of means explains how
  9515. 6:18:45interaction between temperature and time
  9516. 6:18:48affects the average part hardness
  9517. 6:18:50this is known as the interaction effect
  9518. 6:18:53let us next understand the concept of
  9519. 6:18:56main effect for calculating the main
  9520. 6:18:59effect the means have to be calculated
  9521. 6:19:02hence to calculate the main effect of
  9522. 6:19:04draw temperature the mean of the
  9523. 6:19:06hardness values has to be calculated
  9524. 6:19:09the values are populated in the
  9525. 6:19:10corresponding columns of draw
  9526. 6:19:12temperatures
  9527. 6:19:13the columns have been labeled a1 and a2
  9528. 6:19:17the value of the mean of a1 is 91
  9529. 6:19:20and of a2 is 82.
  9530. 6:19:23plotting the data on a graph shows that
  9531. 6:19:26changing draw temperatures changes the
  9532. 6:19:28average hardness
  9533. 6:19:30similarly we calculate the mean of
  9534. 6:19:32hardness values in b1 and b2
  9535. 6:19:36the values are 87 and 86 which are
  9536. 6:19:39plotted on a graph
  9537. 6:19:41it can be seen that changing the oven
  9538. 6:19:43time does not affect the average
  9539. 6:19:45hardness
  9540. 6:19:47now let us understand how the
  9541. 6:19:49interaction between temperature and time
  9542. 6:19:51affects the average part hardness to
  9543. 6:19:54check how draw temperature and oven time
  9544. 6:19:56interact
  9545. 6:19:57the mean values are calculated by taking
  9546. 6:20:00the repetition response
  9547. 6:20:02hence the cell a1 b1 has the mean of the
  9548. 6:20:05values 90 and 87. the cell a2 b1 has the
  9549. 6:20:10mean of the values 84 and 87.
  9550. 6:20:14after the mean values are calculated
  9551. 6:20:16they are plotted on a graph
  9552. 6:20:18the graph shows that to reduce
  9553. 6:20:20interactions
  9554. 6:20:21low temperature and high oven time
  9555. 6:20:24should be selected to have the desired
  9556. 6:20:26output of high hardness
  9557. 6:20:28also called renault hardness
  9558. 6:20:30if low hardness is the desired output
  9559. 6:20:33the experimental setup should have high
  9560. 6:20:36draw temperature and high oven time
  9561. 6:20:39the ideal case is represented by the
  9562. 6:20:41parallel lines which give the desired
  9563. 6:20:44output based on the main effect without
  9564. 6:20:46being affected by the interaction
  9565. 6:20:48between the factors the parallel lines
  9566. 6:20:51are shown as a dotted line
  9567. 6:20:53the mean of the factors are also
  9568. 6:20:55calculated and shown in the small table
  9569. 6:20:59in this we will introduce the concept of
  9570. 6:21:01runs in design of experiments
  9571. 6:21:04the numbers of experiments in a doe
  9572. 6:21:06setting is known as runs
  9573. 6:21:09a full factorial experiment without
  9574. 6:21:11replication on five factors and two
  9575. 6:21:13levels is two raised to the power of
  9576. 6:21:16five which equals 32 runs
  9577. 6:21:19a full factorial experiment with one
  9578. 6:21:21replication on five factors and two
  9579. 6:21:24levels is 32 plus 32 which equals 64
  9580. 6:21:28runs
  9581. 6:21:29a half fractional factorial experiment
  9582. 6:21:32without replication on five factors and
  9583. 6:21:35two levels is two raised to the power of
  9584. 6:21:37five minus one which equals sixteen runs
  9585. 6:21:42a half factorial experiment with one
  9586. 6:21:44replication on five factors and two
  9587. 6:21:46levels is 16 plus 16 which equals 32
  9588. 6:21:50runs
  9589. 6:21:52the number of combinations can be
  9590. 6:21:53determined using the formula l to the
  9591. 6:21:56power of f where l is the number of
  9592. 6:21:58levels and f is the number of factors
  9593. 6:22:01half fractional factorial is calculated
  9594. 6:22:03using the formula l to the power f minus
  9595. 6:22:06one
  9596. 6:22:07at three levels five factors full
  9597. 6:22:10factorial experiment would amount to 243
  9598. 6:22:13trials and half factorial experiments
  9599. 6:22:16would require 81 trials
  9600. 6:22:18the difference between full factorial
  9601. 6:22:20and half fractional factorial
  9602. 6:22:22experiments can be seen from the number
  9603. 6:22:24of runs
  9604. 6:22:26let us proceed to the next topic of this
  9605. 6:22:28lesson in the following screen
  9606. 6:22:31in this topic we will discuss root cause
  9607. 6:22:34analysis in detail
  9608. 6:22:36we will learn about residuals analysis
  9609. 6:22:38in the following screen
  9610. 6:22:42while performing the regression analysis
  9611. 6:22:45of a linear or non-linear model
  9612. 6:22:47you will get a model with the predicted
  9613. 6:22:49values
  9614. 6:22:50some of the data might fit within that
  9615. 6:22:52model whereas others may be scattered
  9616. 6:22:54across the modeled equation predicts one
  9617. 6:22:57value for y at level x
  9618. 6:23:00however the actual value for y observed
  9619. 6:23:03at that level of x is different from the
  9620. 6:23:05predicted value
  9621. 6:23:07this difference between the observed
  9622. 6:23:09value of the dependent variable y
  9623. 6:23:12and the predicted value is called
  9624. 6:23:14residual
  9625. 6:23:15the formula to calculate residual is
  9626. 6:23:18observed value minus predicted value
  9627. 6:23:21residuals are considered to be errors
  9628. 6:23:24and each data point has one residual
  9629. 6:23:26you can validate the assumptions on
  9630. 6:23:28random errors as they are independent
  9631. 6:23:31exhibit normal distribution have a
  9632. 6:23:33constant various sigma square for all
  9633. 6:23:35the settings of the independent
  9634. 6:23:37variables and finally have a mean as
  9635. 6:23:40zero
  9636. 6:23:41in the next slide we will continue to
  9637. 6:23:43discuss residuals analysis
  9638. 6:23:46as discussed in the previous screen
  9639. 6:23:49while performing any regression analysis
  9640. 6:23:51you will observe that not all the data
  9641. 6:23:53fits into the linear model
  9642. 6:23:56as the linear regression model is not
  9643. 6:23:58always appropriate for the data
  9644. 6:24:00therefore you should assess the
  9645. 6:24:02appropriateness of the model by defining
  9646. 6:24:05residuals and examining the residual
  9647. 6:24:07plots
  9648. 6:24:09if all assumptions are satisfied the
  9649. 6:24:11residuals should randomly vary around
  9650. 6:24:14zero
  9651. 6:24:15and the spread of the residuals should
  9652. 6:24:17be the same throughout the plot
  9653. 6:24:19that is no systematic patterns are
  9654. 6:24:21observed
  9655. 6:24:23remember in residuals analysis both the
  9656. 6:24:26sum and the mean of the residuals are
  9657. 6:24:28zero
  9658. 6:24:30residuals and diagnostic statistics
  9659. 6:24:32allow you to identify patterns that
  9660. 6:24:34either poorly fit in the model with a
  9661. 6:24:37strong influence on the estimated
  9662. 6:24:38parameters
  9663. 6:24:40or have a high leverage
  9664. 6:24:42it is helpful to interpret these
  9665. 6:24:44diagnostics together to understand any
  9666. 6:24:46potential problems with the model
  9667. 6:24:49in the next screen we will learn about
  9668. 6:24:51data transformation using the box cox
  9669. 6:24:54method the available data must be
  9670. 6:24:56transformed when it does not exhibit the
  9671. 6:24:58normal distribution
  9672. 6:25:00box and cox in the year 1964 developed a
  9673. 6:25:03procedure for estimating the best
  9674. 6:25:05transformation to normality within the
  9675. 6:25:07family of power transformation
  9676. 6:25:10it works by taking the current y data
  9677. 6:25:12and raising it to the power known as
  9678. 6:25:14lambda
  9679. 6:25:15the formula for transformation of y is
  9680. 6:25:18represented as y asterisk equals y to
  9681. 6:25:21the power lambda minus one
  9682. 6:25:24the whole divided by lambda
  9683. 6:25:26this formula is used where the value of
  9684. 6:25:28lambda is not zero if the value of
  9685. 6:25:31lambda is zero you can use natural
  9686. 6:25:33logarithm to transform y
  9687. 6:25:36the family of power transformations can
  9688. 6:25:38be used for the following
  9689. 6:25:40for converting a data set so that
  9690. 6:25:42parametric statistics can be used
  9691. 6:25:44here lambda is a parameter to be defined
  9692. 6:25:47from the data
  9693. 6:25:48for any continuous data greater than
  9694. 6:25:50zero this will not work when the values
  9695. 6:25:53are less than or equal to zero
  9696. 6:25:55transforming specs
  9697. 6:25:57note that the use of the transformation
  9698. 6:25:59does not guarantee normality
  9699. 6:26:02in the next screen we will continue the
  9700. 6:26:04discussion on data transformation using
  9701. 6:26:06box and cox
  9702. 6:26:09the table on the screen shows how the
  9703. 6:26:11data can be transformed using lambda
  9704. 6:26:14the first column lists down values of
  9705. 6:26:16lambda and the second column shows the
  9706. 6:26:18transformed value
  9707. 6:26:20if the value of lambda is negative 2 it
  9708. 6:26:23becomes y to the power negative two
  9709. 6:26:25after the transformation which is one
  9710. 6:26:27divided by y square
  9711. 6:26:29similarly if the value of lambda is
  9712. 6:26:32negative one after transformation it
  9713. 6:26:34becomes y to the power of negative one
  9714. 6:26:36which is one divided by y and so on note
  9715. 6:26:39that you will use a different formula
  9716. 6:26:41when you have the value of lambda as
  9717. 6:26:43zero wherein you will take natural log
  9718. 6:26:46of the value y
  9719. 6:26:48similarly transform values are also
  9720. 6:26:51shown on the screen
  9721. 6:26:52click the example button to know more
  9722. 6:26:56let us look at an example of how data
  9723. 6:26:58transformation is done using box
  9724. 6:27:02the difference between original data and
  9725. 6:27:04the data transformed using box is
  9726. 6:27:06shown on the screen
  9727. 6:27:08figure one shows the original data
  9728. 6:27:10plotted on a histogram
  9729. 6:27:12here you can see that this data is
  9730. 6:27:14abnormal
  9731. 6:27:16in figure two the box and cox procedure
  9732. 6:27:18is applied on the original data and it
  9733. 6:27:21is transformed
  9734. 6:27:23you can see that the data in the second
  9735. 6:27:25figure is more normal than figure one
  9736. 6:27:28let us learn about process input and
  9737. 6:27:30output variables in the following screen
  9738. 6:27:34process improvement has a few
  9739. 6:27:36prerequisites before a process can be
  9740. 6:27:39improved it must first be measured to
  9741. 6:27:41assess the level of improvement required
  9742. 6:27:44the first step is to know the input
  9743. 6:27:46variables and output variables and check
  9744. 6:27:49for any relationship
  9745. 6:27:51the sipoc map and the cause and effect
  9746. 6:27:54matrix are very helpful
  9747. 6:27:56there are many ways to measure the key
  9748. 6:27:58process variables
  9749. 6:28:00metrics such as the percent defective
  9750. 6:28:02operation costs elapsed time
  9751. 6:28:05backlog quantity and documentation
  9752. 6:28:08errors can be used
  9753. 6:28:10critical variables are best identified
  9754. 6:28:12by the process owners
  9755. 6:28:14once they are identified cause and
  9756. 6:28:16effect tools are used to establish the
  9757. 6:28:18relationship between variables
  9758. 6:28:21a cause and effect matrix is shown on
  9759. 6:28:23the screen
  9760. 6:28:24the key process input variables have
  9761. 6:28:27been listed vertically
  9762. 6:28:28and the key process output variables
  9763. 6:28:31horizontally
  9764. 6:28:32for each of the output variables a
  9765. 6:28:34prioritization number is assigned
  9766. 6:28:37numbers which reflect the effect of each
  9767. 6:28:39input variable on the output variable
  9768. 6:28:42are entered in the matrix
  9769. 6:28:44the process output priority is
  9770. 6:28:47multiplied with the input variables to
  9771. 6:28:49arrive at the results for each input
  9772. 6:28:51variable
  9773. 6:28:52the values are added to determine the
  9774. 6:28:54results for each input variable
  9775. 6:28:57for process input variable 1 the output
  9776. 6:29:00variables are 3 4 and 7 with a
  9777. 6:29:04prioritization value of 4 7 and 11
  9778. 6:29:07respectively
  9779. 6:29:08therefore multiplying the output
  9780. 6:29:10variables with their corresponding
  9781. 6:29:12prioritization numbers and adding those
  9782. 6:29:15gives one hundred seventeen
  9783. 6:29:17which is around thirty three percent of
  9784. 6:29:18the total effect
  9785. 6:29:20the process input variables results are
  9786. 6:29:23compared to each other to determine
  9787. 6:29:25which input variable has the greatest
  9788. 6:29:27effect on the output variables
  9789. 6:29:30click the cause and effect matrix
  9790. 6:29:32template button to view another template
  9791. 6:29:36a sample of the cause effect matrix or
  9792. 6:29:38ce matrix is shown here
  9793. 6:29:41the ce matrix gives the correlation
  9794. 6:29:43between input and output variables
  9795. 6:29:47in this screen we will discuss the steps
  9796. 6:29:49to update the ce matrix
  9797. 6:29:52the steps for updating the cause and
  9798. 6:29:53effect matrix r
  9799. 6:29:56list the input variables vertically
  9800. 6:29:58under the column process inputs
  9801. 6:30:00list the output variables horizontally
  9802. 6:30:03under the numbers 1 to 15.
  9803. 6:30:06these output variables are important
  9804. 6:30:08from the customer's perspective
  9805. 6:30:10one can refer to either the qfd or the
  9806. 6:30:13ctq tree to know the key output
  9807. 6:30:16variables
  9808. 6:30:17rank the output variables based on
  9809. 6:30:20customer priority
  9810. 6:30:22these numbers can also be taken from the
  9811. 6:30:23qfd
  9812. 6:30:25the input variables with the highest
  9813. 6:30:27score become the point of focus in the
  9814. 6:30:29project
  9815. 6:30:30another method to establish the cause
  9816. 6:30:32effect relation is the cause and effect
  9817. 6:30:35diagram
  9818. 6:30:36this is explained in detail in the
  9819. 6:30:38following screen
  9820. 6:30:39the cause and effect diagram is used to
  9821. 6:30:42find the root cause and the potential
  9822. 6:30:44solutions to a problem
  9823. 6:30:46a cause and effect diagram breaks down a
  9824. 6:30:49problem into bite-sized pieces and also
  9825. 6:30:52displays the possible causes in a
  9826. 6:30:54graphic manner
  9827. 6:30:55it is also known as the fishbone the 4m
  9828. 6:30:59or the ishikawa diagram
  9829. 6:31:02it is commonly used to examine effects
  9830. 6:31:04or problems to find out the possible
  9831. 6:31:06causes and to indicate the possible
  9832. 6:31:09areas to collect data
  9833. 6:31:11the steps involved in the cause and
  9834. 6:31:13effect diagram are
  9835. 6:31:15all the possible causes of the problem
  9836. 6:31:17or effects selected for analysis are
  9837. 6:31:19brainstormed
  9838. 6:31:21the major causes are classified under
  9839. 6:31:23the headings of materials methods
  9840. 6:31:26machinery and manpower
  9841. 6:31:29the cause and effect diagram is drawn
  9842. 6:31:31with the problem at the point of the
  9843. 6:31:33central access line and the causes on
  9844. 6:31:35the diagram are written under the
  9845. 6:31:37classifications chosen
  9846. 6:31:40the next screen illustrates the cause
  9847. 6:31:42and effect diagram with the help of an
  9848. 6:31:44example
  9849. 6:31:47the diagram shows the cause and effect
  9850. 6:31:49diagram for the possible causes of
  9851. 6:31:51solder defects on a reflow soldering
  9852. 6:31:53line
  9853. 6:31:54this diagram helps in collecting data
  9854. 6:31:57and discovering the root cause
  9855. 6:31:59during brainstorming the group looked at
  9856. 6:32:02all the major causes and then grouped
  9857. 6:32:04them under the main headings
  9858. 6:32:06under materials causes like types of
  9859. 6:32:09solder paste components and the
  9860. 6:32:11components packaging used are considered
  9861. 6:32:14the major causes under methods are
  9862. 6:32:16technology and preventive maintenance
  9863. 6:32:19similarly operator and schedule are
  9864. 6:32:21placed under manpower
  9865. 6:32:23while tools and oven are grouped under
  9866. 6:32:26machinery causes
  9867. 6:32:28the next screen will discuss another
  9868. 6:32:30root cause analysis tool in detail
  9869. 6:32:335y is one of the tools used to analyze
  9870. 6:32:36the root cause of a problem
  9871. 6:32:38the responsibility of the root cause
  9872. 6:32:40analysis lies with the 5y analysis team
  9873. 6:32:44the technical experts have a great
  9874. 6:32:46responsibility as the conclusion will be
  9875. 6:32:48drawn from the way the drill down of the
  9876. 6:32:50symptoms is carried out
  9877. 6:32:53the 5y is a very simple tool as it poses
  9878. 6:32:56the y question to every problem till the
  9879. 6:32:59root cause is obtained
  9880. 6:33:01it is important to know that the 5y tool
  9881. 6:33:04does not restrict the interrogation to 5
  9882. 6:33:06questions
  9883. 6:33:08y can be asked as many times as required
  9884. 6:33:11till the root cause for the problem is
  9885. 6:33:13found
  9886. 6:33:14it can be used along with the cause and
  9887. 6:33:16effect diagram
  9888. 6:33:18the following screen will explain the
  9889. 6:33:19process of the five why technique
  9890. 6:33:23the process for the 5-y technique is
  9891. 6:33:27identify the problem and emphasize the
  9892. 6:33:29problem statement
  9893. 6:33:31arrange for a brainstorming session with
  9894. 6:33:33the team including subject matter
  9895. 6:33:35experts process owners and team members
  9896. 6:33:40explain the purpose and the problem
  9897. 6:33:41statement
  9898. 6:33:43analyze scenarios working backwards from
  9899. 6:33:45the problem
  9900. 6:33:47ask why for the answers obtained until
  9901. 6:33:50the root cause is found
  9902. 6:33:52normally reasons like insufficient
  9903. 6:33:55resources and time become the root
  9904. 6:33:57causes
  9905. 6:33:58if the drill down in brainstorming is
  9906. 6:34:00carried out in the right direction
  9907. 6:34:03it is often found that the root cause is
  9908. 6:34:05related to the process
  9909. 6:34:07therefore the occurrence of a problem is
  9910. 6:34:10often due to the process
  9911. 6:34:12and not an individual or a team
  9912. 6:34:15in the next screen we will understand
  9913. 6:34:17the concept of the five-wide technique
  9914. 6:34:20with the help of an example
  9915. 6:34:23the process for the 5y technique is
  9916. 6:34:26identify the problem and emphasize the
  9917. 6:34:28problem statement
  9918. 6:34:30arrange for a brainstorming session with
  9919. 6:34:32the team including subject matter
  9920. 6:34:34experts process owners and team members
  9921. 6:34:39explain the purpose and the problem
  9922. 6:34:41statement
  9923. 6:34:42analyze scenarios working backwards from
  9924. 6:34:45the problem
  9925. 6:34:46ask why for the answers obtained until
  9926. 6:34:49the root cause is found
  9927. 6:34:52normally reasons like insufficient
  9928. 6:34:54resources and time become the root
  9929. 6:34:56causes
  9930. 6:34:58if the drill down in brainstorming is
  9931. 6:35:00carried out in the right direction
  9932. 6:35:02it is often found that the root cause is
  9933. 6:35:04related to the process
  9934. 6:35:06therefore the occurrence of a problem is
  9935. 6:35:09often due to the process
  9936. 6:35:11and not an individual or a team
  9937. 6:35:15in the next screen we will understand
  9938. 6:35:17the concept of the five why technique
  9939. 6:35:19with the help of an example
  9940. 6:35:22in this topic we will discuss lean tools
  9941. 6:35:25in detail
  9942. 6:35:26let us learn about lean techniques in
  9943. 6:35:28the following screen
  9944. 6:35:30the eight lean techniques are kaizen
  9945. 6:35:32bokayoke 5s just in time kanban jadoka
  9946. 6:35:38tactime and hijanka
  9947. 6:35:40click each technique to know more
  9948. 6:35:44kaizen or continuous improvement is the
  9949. 6:35:47building block of all lean production
  9950. 6:35:49methods
  9951. 6:35:50kaizen philosophy implies that all
  9952. 6:35:52incremental changes routinely applied
  9953. 6:35:55and sustained over a long period of time
  9954. 6:35:57results in significant improvements
  9955. 6:36:02the second technique is pokayoka it is
  9956. 6:36:04also known as mistake proofing
  9957. 6:36:06it is good to do it right the first time
  9958. 6:36:09and even better to make it impossible to
  9959. 6:36:11do it wrong the first time
  9960. 6:36:13the prompt received to save the word
  9961. 6:36:15document before closing it without
  9962. 6:36:17saving is an example of bokoyoka
  9963. 6:36:215s is a set of five japanese words which
  9964. 6:36:24translate to sort
  9965. 6:36:27set in order shine
  9966. 6:36:29standardize and sustain
  9967. 6:36:32this is a simple and yet powerful tool
  9968. 6:36:34of lean
  9969. 6:36:35the sort principle refers to sorting
  9970. 6:36:38items according to a rule
  9971. 6:36:40the rule could be frequency of use or
  9972. 6:36:43time of use
  9973. 6:36:44after sorting the objects are set in
  9974. 6:36:46order
  9975. 6:36:47the place for everything is defined and
  9976. 6:36:50everything is placed accordingly
  9977. 6:36:52cleaning of the area refers to the shine
  9978. 6:36:55principle
  9979. 6:36:56the fourth step requires formation and
  9980. 6:36:58circulation of a set of written
  9981. 6:37:00standards
  9982. 6:37:01the last step refers to sustaining the
  9983. 6:37:04process by following the standards set
  9984. 6:37:06earlier
  9985. 6:37:085s is useful as a framework to create
  9986. 6:37:10and maintain the workplace
  9987. 6:37:14just in time or jit is another lean
  9988. 6:37:18technique
  9989. 6:37:19this technique philosophizes about
  9990. 6:37:21producing the necessary units in the
  9991. 6:37:23necessary quantity at the necessary time
  9992. 6:37:26with the required quality
  9993. 6:37:29as an item is removed from a shelf of a
  9994. 6:37:31super mart the system confirms it and
  9995. 6:37:34automatically sends a note for
  9996. 6:37:35replenishment
  9997. 6:37:37this kind of technique can be used in an
  9998. 6:37:39organization to prevent accumulation of
  9999. 6:37:41inventory
  10000. 6:37:44the fifth technique is known as kanban
  10001. 6:37:46which means signboard in japanese
  10002. 6:37:49kanban utilizes visual display cards to
  10003. 6:37:52signal movement of material between the
  10004. 6:37:54steps of a product process
  10005. 6:37:57this is one of the examples of visual
  10006. 6:37:59control in lean
  10007. 6:38:02the next technique is jiduka
  10008. 6:38:05it means automation with human touch and
  10009. 6:38:07is sometimes known as autonomation
  10010. 6:38:10jiduka implements supervisory function
  10011. 6:38:12in the production line and stops the
  10012. 6:38:14process as soon as a defect is
  10013. 6:38:16encountered
  10014. 6:38:18the process does not start again till
  10015. 6:38:20the root cause of the defect is
  10016. 6:38:21eliminated
  10017. 6:38:24tack time is the maximum time in which
  10018. 6:38:26the customer demands need to be met
  10019. 6:38:29for example a customer needs 100
  10020. 6:38:31products and the company has 420 minutes
  10021. 6:38:34of available production time
  10022. 6:38:36tax time equals time available divided
  10023. 6:38:39by demand
  10024. 6:38:41in this case the company has a maximum
  10025. 6:38:43of 4.2 minutes per product
  10026. 6:38:46this will be the target for the
  10027. 6:38:47production line
  10028. 6:38:50the final technique is hijanka which
  10029. 6:38:52means production leveling and smoothing
  10030. 6:38:55it is a technique to reduce waste
  10031. 6:38:58occurring due to fluctuating customer
  10032. 6:39:00demand
  10033. 6:39:02let us understand the concept of cycle
  10034. 6:39:04time reduction in this screen
  10035. 6:39:07cycle time reduction refers to the
  10036. 6:39:08reduction in the time taken for a
  10037. 6:39:10complete process
  10038. 6:39:12implementing lean techniques reduces
  10039. 6:39:15cycle time
  10040. 6:39:16and releases resources faster than any
  10041. 6:39:19other method
  10042. 6:39:20low cycle time increases productivity
  10043. 6:39:23and throughput
  10044. 6:39:24lean techniques release resources early
  10045. 6:39:27achieving more production with the same
  10046. 6:39:29machinery
  10047. 6:39:30internal and external waste is reduced
  10048. 6:39:33and the operational process is
  10049. 6:39:35simplified with a decrease in product
  10050. 6:39:38damage
  10051. 6:39:39all these factors help in satisfying the
  10052. 6:39:41customer and staying ahead in
  10053. 6:39:43competition
  10054. 6:39:44the following screen describes the
  10055. 6:39:46concept of cycle time reduction through
  10056. 6:39:48an example
  10057. 6:39:50the changes brought by implementing lean
  10058. 6:39:53techniques on an existing process are
  10059. 6:39:55illustrated in the given diagram things
  10060. 6:39:58to be noticed are number of operators
  10061. 6:40:01used work allocation to the operators
  10062. 6:40:04path or the movement in the process and
  10063. 6:40:06flow of the process
  10064. 6:40:08notice the changes brought about by
  10065. 6:40:10implementing lean techniques on the old
  10066. 6:40:12process
  10067. 6:40:13first the path followed by the material
  10068. 6:40:15in between the process is considerably
  10069. 6:40:18reduced
  10070. 6:40:19this decreases the cycle time for the
  10071. 6:40:21entire process
  10072. 6:40:23second the number of operators is
  10073. 6:40:25reduced to 3 when compared to 5 in the
  10074. 6:40:28old process
  10075. 6:40:29operator 1 can now work on process 1 and
  10076. 6:40:32process 4.
  10077. 6:40:34similarly operator 2 can work on process
  10078. 6:40:372 and process 3.
  10079. 6:40:39there is an increased productivity of
  10080. 6:40:41the operators and the remaining skilled
  10081. 6:40:43operators can be used in some other
  10082. 6:40:45process or system
  10083. 6:40:48the next screen will introduce the
  10084. 6:40:49concept of kaizen and kaizen blitz
  10085. 6:40:53kaizen means good change in japanese
  10086. 6:40:57kaizen is a continuous improvement
  10087. 6:40:59method to improve the functions of an
  10088. 6:41:01organization
  10089. 6:41:02the improvements could be in process
  10090. 6:41:04productivity quality technology and
  10091. 6:41:07safety
  10092. 6:41:08it brings in small incremental changes
  10093. 6:41:11to the process
  10094. 6:41:12kaizen blitz is known as kaizen event or
  10095. 6:41:16kaizen workshop if the event is tightly
  10096. 6:41:19defined and the scope is evident for
  10097. 6:41:21implementation
  10098. 6:41:22processes can be easily changed and
  10099. 6:41:25improved
  10100. 6:41:26teams could improve processes through
  10101. 6:41:28creative problem solving methods in
  10102. 6:41:30structured workshops over a short time
  10103. 6:41:32scale
  10104. 6:41:33the next screen will provide the
  10105. 6:41:35differences between kaizen and kaizen
  10106. 6:41:38blitz
  10107. 6:41:39the differences between kaizen and
  10108. 6:41:41kaizen blitz are
  10109. 6:41:44kaizen is a method that brings
  10110. 6:41:46continuous improvement in the
  10111. 6:41:47organization
  10112. 6:41:49while kaizen blitz is a workshop or an
  10113. 6:41:51event that brings in change
  10114. 6:41:54kaizen brings in small incremental
  10115. 6:41:56changes in the organization
  10116. 6:41:58there are no major changes made within
  10117. 6:42:01the processes
  10118. 6:42:02kaizen blitz is applied when a rapid
  10119. 6:42:05solution is required
  10120. 6:42:07the kaizen method follows a step-by-step
  10121. 6:42:09process
  10122. 6:42:11it standardizes measures and compares
  10123. 6:42:13the process with the requirement before
  10124. 6:42:16improving it
  10125. 6:42:17kaizen blitz plans for the event
  10126. 6:42:20executes it arrives at a solution and
  10127. 6:42:22follows it through
  10128. 6:42:24all the people of the organization are
  10129. 6:42:26involved in kaizen whereas kaizen blitz
  10130. 6:42:29is led by the top management and others
  10131. 6:42:31are invited to participate
  10132. 6:42:34the decision making lies with the upper
  10133. 6:42:36management
  10134. 6:42:37in kaizen the process is standardized
  10135. 6:42:40and measurements are regularly collected
  10136. 6:42:42and compared before the decision is
  10137. 6:42:44taken this relatively delays the process
  10138. 6:42:48of decision making
  10139. 6:42:49in kaizen blitz decisions are taken soon
  10140. 6:42:53and the process change is wrapped in
  10141. 6:42:55three to five days
  10142. 6:42:57kaizen is a continuous improvement
  10143. 6:42:59method whereas the kaizen blitz is part
  10144. 6:43:02of the improving process
  10145. 6:43:04kaizen follows pdca in essence plan do
  10146. 6:43:08and check and act for the improvement
  10147. 6:43:10process
  10148. 6:43:11kaizen blitz uses pdca for execution
  10149. 6:43:15where the events are planned conducted
  10150. 6:43:17decided implemented and followed up
  10151. 6:43:21the following screen will elaborate on
  10152. 6:43:22the concepts of kaizen and kaizen blitz
  10153. 6:43:25through examples
  10154. 6:43:28kaizen and kaizen blitz are practiced in
  10155. 6:43:30many organizations across the world
  10156. 6:43:33the examples of kaizen and kaizen blitz
  10157. 6:43:36method are shown here
  10158. 6:43:37click each tab to know more
  10159. 6:43:41the toyota production system is known
  10160. 6:43:43for kaizen practices
  10161. 6:43:45in toyota if any issue arises in the
  10162. 6:43:48production line the line personnel sees
  10163. 6:43:51all the production until the issue is
  10164. 6:43:53resolved
  10165. 6:43:54once the solution is implemented the
  10166. 6:43:56team resumes the production cycle
  10167. 6:44:00a wood window company in the state of
  10168. 6:44:02iowa us uses the kaizen blitz method to
  10169. 6:44:06redesign their shop floor and replace
  10170. 6:44:08expensive non-flexible automation with
  10171. 6:44:11low-cost highly flexible cellular
  10172. 6:44:14applications
  10173. 6:44:15eliminating scraps reorganizing work
  10174. 6:44:18areas and reducing inventory are some of
  10175. 6:44:20the examples of quick implementation
  10176. 6:44:23through kaizen blitz
  10177. 6:44:25the term lien refers to creating more
  10178. 6:44:27value to customers with fewer resources
  10179. 6:44:30it means reducing unwanted activities or
  10180. 6:44:33processes that do not add value to the
  10181. 6:44:35product or service for the customer the
  10182. 6:44:38lean philosophy is to provide perfect
  10183. 6:44:40value to the customer through a perfect
  10184. 6:44:43value creation process that has zero
  10185. 6:44:45waste
  10186. 6:44:46while the ultimate goal is to achieve
  10187. 6:44:48zero waste you may not always get that
  10188. 6:44:51in the first couple of tries
  10189. 6:44:53however you will achieve minimum waste
  10190. 6:44:55and continue to move towards zero waste
  10191. 6:44:57eventually
  10192. 6:44:59hence lean is the path towards
  10193. 6:45:01perfection
  10194. 6:45:03lean is about optimizing the process
  10195. 6:45:05from beginning to end
  10196. 6:45:06eliminating non-value-adding activities
  10197. 6:45:09in vas and increasing flow to ensure
  10198. 6:45:12that parts and services are provided to
  10199. 6:45:14customers more quickly
  10200. 6:45:16if quality is the word to describe six
  10201. 6:45:18sigma then speed is the word to describe
  10202. 6:45:21lean
  10203. 6:45:22let's understand the importance of lean
  10204. 6:45:26there are many benefits of lean and some
  10205. 6:45:28of them are reduced cost reduced cycle
  10206. 6:45:30time
  10207. 6:45:31more throughput and increased
  10208. 6:45:33productivity
  10209. 6:45:35despite all of these benefits lean is
  10210. 6:45:37not implemented by most of the
  10211. 6:45:38organizations because of the
  10212. 6:45:40misconception that it is only suited in
  10213. 6:45:42manufacturing areas
  10214. 6:45:44the reason for this misconception is the
  10215. 6:45:46beginning of lean it began and grew in
  10216. 6:45:49popularity in the manufacturing areas
  10217. 6:45:51starting with toyota
  10218. 6:45:53in recent years one can notice more
  10219. 6:45:56applications of lane in other areas such
  10220. 6:45:58as healthcare and the transactional
  10221. 6:46:00space however the truth is that lean
  10222. 6:46:04concepts can be applied in any business
  10223. 6:46:06and in any process
  10224. 6:46:08on the next screen let's discuss how
  10225. 6:46:10lean and six sigma combine
  10226. 6:46:13lean and six sigma are two different
  10227. 6:46:15principles or methodologies that combine
  10228. 6:46:17to form and create one powerful
  10229. 6:46:20continuous improvement methodology
  10230. 6:46:23they have various overlapping goals
  10231. 6:46:24toward the improvement with the aim of
  10232. 6:46:27creating the most efficient system
  10233. 6:46:29though the approaches are different the
  10234. 6:46:31methods complement each other
  10235. 6:46:34lean six sigma takes the power and rigor
  10236. 6:46:36of six sigma methodology and combines it
  10237. 6:46:39with lean concepts leading to faster
  10238. 6:46:41results better quality and improved
  10239. 6:46:44customer satisfaction
  10240. 6:46:47let's look at the differences between
  10241. 6:46:48lean and six sigma
  10242. 6:46:50lean focuses on efficiency by
  10243. 6:46:53identifying value from the customer's
  10244. 6:46:55point of view removing unnecessary steps
  10245. 6:46:58in the process and improving process
  10246. 6:47:00speed or velocity
  10247. 6:47:02on the other hand
  10248. 6:47:04six sigma focuses on effectiveness with
  10249. 6:47:06the help of breakthrough processes
  10250. 6:47:09identifying root causes
  10251. 6:47:11and reduction in variation
  10252. 6:47:14therefore when six sigma is combined
  10253. 6:47:16with lean it is possible to achieve
  10254. 6:47:18business transformation
  10255. 6:47:20so remember lean is about speed with a
  10256. 6:47:23focus on efficiency six sigma is about
  10257. 6:47:26quality with a focus on effectiveness
  10258. 6:47:28and lean six sigma brings the best of
  10259. 6:47:30both together
  10260. 6:47:32to yield a better result first implement
  10261. 6:47:35lean to streamline the process
  10262. 6:47:37this helps to understand the chronic
  10263. 6:47:38problems and the ways to handle them
  10264. 6:47:41quickly
  10265. 6:47:42once the problem is identified use six
  10266. 6:47:45sigma methodology to analyze the issues
  10267. 6:47:48and provide business improvement
  10268. 6:47:49transformation
  10269. 6:47:50in other words lean is used to reduce
  10270. 6:47:52the waste and six sigma is used to
  10271. 6:47:55reduce the variation
  10272. 6:47:57thanks to our training experts it was a
  10273. 6:47:58real pleasure having you with us
  10274. 6:48:01and with that we have come to an end of
  10275. 6:48:02this full course video on six sigma i
  10276. 6:48:05hope it was informative and interesting
  10277. 6:48:07if you have any questions related to the
  10278. 6:48:09topics that we covered in this video
  10279. 6:48:11please ask away in the comment section
  10280. 6:48:13below our team of experts will be
  10281. 6:48:14delighted to hear it from you thanks for
  10282. 6:48:16watching stay safe and keep learning
  10283. 6:48:21[Music]
  10284. 6:48:23hi there if you like this video
  10285. 6:48:25subscribe to the simply learn youtube
  10286. 6:48:26channel and click here to watch similar
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