SETUP OF THE DAY... TRADING THE WICK — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00hello everybody I hope that you are good
- 0:02the new week has started and yesterday I
- 0:06made this projection okay this was
- 0:07posted on Twitter in the Sunday update
- 0:10and I was expecting at the start of the
- 0:12week on Monday a retrace towards the
- 0:1550ma in the four hour time frame okay
- 0:17what I was expecting was you know this
- 0:20imagine this is the continuation of the
- 0:2250ma I was expecting a retest a support
- 0:25and then a bounce then some kind of
- 0:27sideways on Tuesday like this
- 0:29and on Wednesday I Spike hope to hit all
- 0:33these liquidations okay then a rejection
- 0:36this is an imbalance okay and then fill
- 0:39this imbalance before the weekend as you
- 0:42can see that you know we've already
- 0:44started with the wrong foot because you
- 0:46can see that Bitcoin one Bitcoin that
- 0:48retrace but it went below the 50ma
- 0:52what does this mean
- 0:54okay this means that what I put on
- 0:55Twitter the validation for this
- 0:58projection is that the EMA comes like
- 1:01this and then Bitcoin hits it again as
- 1:04resistance and then yes maybe see a
- 1:07small reaction then price might come
- 1:09back up okay some kind of sideways below
- 1:13resistance
- 1:14towards the 50 of this week okay so
- 1:18that's what I scenario that might be
- 1:20happening now in the other hand if you
- 1:22go to the one hour time frame we can see
- 1:25the
- 1:26something might be developing here okay
- 1:29let me remove this for you so it's not
- 1:30confusing okay what about
- 1:33let me remove these two
- 1:36okay
- 1:37we've had a dump in the Asian session
- 1:39you can see here okay and well this this
- 1:43candle was a vile that was like a one
- 1:46thousand dollar Scandal that's that's
- 1:48crazy and then we had a tiny bit of
- 1:50consolidation another dump and it left
- 1:52this long week behind so we're expecting
- 1:54this week to get filled at some point
- 1:57okay let me Mark it here
- 1:59and that's the 50 of the week okay and
- 2:02now the European season is holding
- 2:05it basically because it's a bank holiday
- 2:08in most European countries it's a labor
- 2:10day okay so the banks are closed the
- 2:13institutional Traders you know half the
- 2:15day off so really there is not much
- 2:18happening in the European session
- 2:20but this brings me to the idea what
- 2:23about if we see something like this
- 2:25within the New York session okay
- 2:27at right at the start of the New Year
- 2:29session I would like to see a sharp Doom
- 2:31okay that would be a stop hunt in my
- 2:32opinion to fill this week the 50 at the
- 2:35list of the week okay but I could go to
- 2:36the 100 or even shoot the lose let's
- 2:39draw like this for now and then
- 2:41a retrace of this imbalance I mean why
- 2:45not
- 2:46we could say this let me see what is the
- 2:4850 main one out I mean the most likely
- 2:51thing is that if this happens and we see
- 2:53a pump that this EMA in the 100 time
- 2:56frame accessory system so you know that
- 2:58will be a safer take profits in my
- 2:59opinion but that would be an idea I I
- 3:03just I I don't think it's a good place
- 3:05to Short
- 3:06okay neither too long we are now in no
- 3:09man's land in this zone now this is my
- 3:12plan for today okay what I'm expecting
- 3:13right at the start of the New York City
- 3:15units are doom to fill this week okay
- 3:17now at this point we could see price
- 3:20continuing going lower or what I'm going
- 3:23to be paying attention is in the 15
- 3:25minutes time frame five minutes time
- 3:26frame lower time frame if we see a
- 3:28bounce a quick bounce I'm gonna see if
- 3:30that bounce left any any imbalance
- 3:33behind for example like weak let me go
- 3:35to the five minutes time frame because I
- 3:37don't want to see something like this
- 3:38you see this long week here I don't want
- 3:41to see this if I see this but on a
- 3:43bounce I'm not gonna be long in this
- 3:45because I know this a week is going to
- 3:47get retraced okay
- 3:49let me go to the one hour time frame so
- 3:51at this point here if I see a bounce in
- 3:54lower time frame then without any
- 3:57violence behind I'm gonna open along and
- 3:59I'm going to close it in the one hour
- 4:0150ma that's the plan I have today then
- 4:05the stop loss is going to be quite tight
- 4:07okay it's going to be probably around
- 4:09this one here
- 4:10around this one here so that's what I
- 4:13have in mind for today let me tell you
- 4:15this guys when we have very big
- 4:18important data or news announcements
- 4:21coming in the next following days
- 4:23I would say especially fomc you know
- 4:26with the fat the fat meeting and the CPI
- 4:29data or earnings reports you know very
- 4:32important and heavy news that the market
- 4:35can react to okay then you should in
- 4:37principle expect that time to be a very
- 4:40difficult time to trade
- 4:42so when we are in those type in those
- 4:44weeks
- 4:46that we know are going to have big
- 4:48important news
- 4:49then I think we should be more selective
- 4:52with our trades because they're gonna
- 4:54get more complex
- 4:56okay saying that you have to have a more
- 4:59tight risk management in my opinion
- 5:03that's why for example I'm planning just
- 5:04to take this day but I'm you know not
- 5:07100 confident so I'm gonna have in my
- 5:08stop-loss here quite tight
- 5:10okay
- 5:12if this gets triggered I'm not losing
- 5:13much
- 5:15you can see 50 sorry 0 to 50 zero to
- 5:19five that's nothing zero to five percent
- 5:21is nothing
- 5:22if I win
- 5:25I'm making two and a half percent okay
- 5:28this is what I mean you have to be more
- 5:29selective for your trades
- 5:31there might be days where we don't trade
- 5:34that's okay you don't have to feel bad
- 5:36about it because you're gonna have other
- 5:38days
- 5:39that you're gonna be able to make that
- 5:41profit okay that's for example what we
- 5:43don't trade at the weekend
- 5:45because we know that the weekend there
- 5:47is not much volatility there is not much
- 5:48liquidity look this weekend look what
- 5:50happened what is this
- 5:52this was you know right before the
- 5:54monthly close and the weekly closed
- 5:56yesterday but look at this from Saturday
- 5:57here
- 5:59that we can change because it was
- 6:01hilarious
- 6:02this is the weekend range okay
- 6:04what is this
- 6:06do you want to trade this really
- 6:09or do you prefer to trade this
- 6:11okay that's what you have to try to
- 6:13understand so yes that's look it even
- 6:16seems that maybe New York well New York
- 6:17is opening in in 45 minutes
- 6:21so let's see how it goes
- 6:23this is today's plan my player might not
- 6:26people might not play out
- 6:28either way it's not Financial advice
- 6:30keep an eye on the five minutes time
- 6:33frame okay
- 6:34if we come here
- 6:37like if we come down here and then we
- 6:40have you know a boundary here you don't
- 6:42want to see a way like this
- 6:44because this week is telling me I can't
- 6:46belong here price is going to come back
- 6:48to the zone so like if we come here
- 6:51and we see a bounce but it's more a
- 6:54bounce like this style okay then yes you
- 6:57can long
- 6:58but if we see a week
- 7:00of course price can continue going lower
- 7:03okay so that's pretty much everything I
- 7:05want to say guys I'm gonna also prepare
- 7:07a video talking about the Bitcoin
- 7:09dominance because you know I saw in
- 7:12Twitter everybody calling foreign
- 7:29guys for for watching
- 7:32and I'll see you soon
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