Russian Missile HITS Poland...—Then NATO's Response Was INSTANT and BRUTAL — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:10Russia just attacked a NATO country and
- 0:12this time it wasn't just some lowly
- 0:14drones going off course. It was a
- 0:16Russian Kh-101, one of the most advanced
- 0:19cruise missiles that Russia has, which
- 0:21means chances of this being an accident
- 0:24are very, very low. Now, here's the part
- 0:27that almost nobody saw coming. Somebody
- 0:30actually saw this attack coming weeks
- 0:32ago, wrote it down in detail before it
- 0:35ever happened. So, in this video we're
- 0:37going to get into who that was and why
- 0:39Russia went ahead with the attack
- 0:40despite their plans being exposed. Putin
- 0:43was hoping that this attack would
- 0:45finally put Poland in its place. Maybe
- 0:47Poland stops helping Ukraine and stops
- 0:49worrying about its own defenses for
- 0:51once. Instead, he triggered the one
- 0:53outcome that he was trying to prevent
- 0:55and that's just the first plan blowing
- 0:57up in his face. Because you see, Putin
- 0:59also sent an assassination squad into
- 1:01Ukraine to settle a personal score.
- 1:04Well, that mission did not go according
- 1:06to plan, either. Honestly, everything
- 1:08Putin touches right now just turns to
- 1:11failure. Crimea is falling apart.
- 1:13Russian warehouses are vanishing at a
- 1:15pace where I had to double check the
- 1:17numbers myself. And inside of Russia,
- 1:20people are now moving past complaining.
- 1:22They're now saying things on live
- 1:24television that would have been
- 1:25unthinkable just a year ago. So, as you
- 1:28guys know, my name is Sam and you're
- 1:30watching Business Basics. Let's get into
- 1:31all of this starting with the biggest
- 1:33news we have this week, Russia attacking
- 1:35a NATO country. A Russian cruise missile
- 1:38leaves a crater inside of Poland roughly
- 1:4060 miles from the Ukrainian border. And
- 1:42the official language, at least
- 1:44initially, called this attack yet
- 1:46another example of reckless acts by
- 1:49Russia. But, was this really reckless?
- 1:52Because roughly a month ago, American
- 1:54intelligence published a report that
- 1:56said that something like this would be
- 1:59coming. It happened at the start of
- 2:00July. Take a look. There was a US
- 2:02warning that Russia was planning an
- 2:04attack on Poland to test NATO's resolve.
- 2:07And that warning was actually passed on
- 2:09to Polish president directly by US
- 2:11intelligence at the start of the last
- 2:12month. And it had a lot of details. Now,
- 2:15before I get into the details, remember
- 2:17we have seen this movie before. Back in
- 2:192022 and in fact even in 2021, US
- 2:23intelligence was telling Ukraine and
- 2:25telling Europe that Putin was planning a
- 2:27full-on invasion. Russian commanders
- 2:30actually did not know this themselves at
- 2:32that point, but US intelligence did know
- 2:34this. So, almost like they could read
- 2:36Putin's brain or maybe his letters. They
- 2:39had someone really close to him handing
- 2:42them everything. But the problem was
- 2:44that because of the Iraq war and
- 2:46everything that came before it, some
- 2:48major allies like Germany just did not
- 2:51buy what US was trying to tell Europe.
- 2:53They actually believed that this was
- 2:55some kind of American trick. And Ukraine
- 2:57wasn't buying it completely either. But
- 2:59unfortunately, with benefit of
- 3:01hindsight, we know it wasn't a trick.
- 3:03Putin did invade Ukraine and that
- 3:05invasion is still going. Fortunately,
- 3:08because of the reluctance of European
- 3:10allies and Ukraine, Ukraine was actually
- 3:13less prepared than it could have been
- 3:15simply because the warnings weren't
- 3:17believed. And guess what? At the start
- 3:19of this month, the US intelligence hit
- 3:21the nail straight on the head. So, let
- 3:23me show you this report that came out.
- 3:25According to the intelligence, Russia
- 3:26was considering a couple of provocation
- 3:29scenarios against Poland. One would be
- 3:31an accidental drone strike on critical
- 3:34infrastructure, something like a power
- 3:36plant, something that's very, very
- 3:38important. Another scenario would be an
- 3:41air strike designed to activate Polish
- 3:44air defenses near the border. And then
- 3:46there's the most extreme scenario in
- 3:47this report, which would consist of
- 3:49literal hybrid attack in the border
- 3:51region. Russian troops would cross into
- 3:53Polish territory in this scenario. The
- 3:55version would go something like Russia
- 3:57pretending that one of its helicopters
- 3:59or jets goes down inside of Poland
- 4:02because of GPS failure. You know, just a
- 4:04honest mistake. Then a rescue mission
- 4:07gets activated and Russian troops cross
- 4:09into the border to get their guys out,
- 4:12but they never actually leave. They just
- 4:14end up occupying Poland's territory.
- 4:17Now, I know this does sound a little bit
- 4:19La-La Land, but remember this is the
- 4:21same country that truly believed that
- 4:23they would have Ukraine in 3 days. And
- 4:25on top of that, this is of course just
- 4:27Russia brainstorming what they could be
- 4:29doing. And this is like the craziest
- 4:31idea they had. The idea in this scenario
- 4:33would be that US or other NATO allies
- 4:35would stop Poland from firing back at
- 4:38Russian troops in its territory. And
- 4:40then Russia would negotiate with NATO,
- 4:43with the United States, and they would
- 4:45figure out some kind of deal where
- 4:47Russian troops would leave NATO
- 4:49territory. And in those negotiations,
- 4:51one Russian demand would be pretty
- 4:53simple. They want Western countries to
- 4:55end their military support for Ukraine.
- 4:57If everyone agrees, Russia pulls out its
- 4:59troops, and it gets what it wants. Stop
- 5:03to Western aid to Ukraine. Like I said,
- 5:05sounds like La-La Land. Now, of course,
- 5:07this idea does have some holes. First
- 5:10one being Russia cannot actually afford
- 5:12a full-scale war with NATO right now.
- 5:14Because as you guys know, Russian troops
- 5:16are kind of busy in a 3-day special
- 5:18military operation that Putin isn't like
- 5:20talking about. Now, of course, according
- 5:22to Russia, the best-case scenario in
- 5:24this situation would be they undermine
- 5:26Polish sovereignty, they make NATO look
- 5:29like a paper tiger, and then lastly, the
- 5:31most important part, choke off Western
- 5:33support for Ukraine. And this would all
- 5:35be done without triggering a
- 5:37conventional war where Russia needs to
- 5:38commit more troops or more equipment.
- 5:41Now, of course, so after we go through,
- 5:44you know, Russia getting everything it
- 5:46wants without the conventional war. This
- 5:48is what we go into, okay? Now, of
- 5:50course, that is the Russian plan. Now,
- 5:52NATO was asked about this, and they
- 5:54actually named two specific cities,
- 5:56Russian cities, that they will go after.
- 5:58Now, before we get into NATO's response,
- 6:00let's wonder why Russia is picking
- 6:03Poland. Why not pick some other country,
- 6:05let's say a Baltic country, you know?
- 6:06Well, this is where we have to look back
- 6:08into something that's happening between
- 6:10Poland and Ukraine right now. The
- 6:12relationship between two countries are a
- 6:14lot weaker than they were a year ago.
- 6:16And it goes back to something that
- 6:18happened in 1943. You see, just
- 6:20recently, Zelenskyy named one of
- 6:22Ukraine's military units after a
- 6:24Ukrainian nationalist figure who fought
- 6:26against the Soviet Union during World
- 6:28War II. This guy's name is Bandera, and
- 6:30he wanted an independent Ukrainian
- 6:32state, and he fought the Soviets very
- 6:35hard for it. So, in Ukraine, he's very
- 6:37admired. But, the same guy is also tied
- 6:40to the mass killings of ethnic Polish
- 6:42civilians in 1943. So, Poland, it's
- 6:45actually a very deep historic trauma.
- 6:48So, when Zelenskyy named a unit after
- 6:50someone Poland hates this much and
- 6:53Ukraine loves this much, it became a
- 6:55divisive topic between these two
- 6:57countries. And Russia saw that crack,
- 7:00and Russia is hoping to hammer a wedge
- 7:03straight into that and make it worse.
- 7:05And this is exactly why Russian plan
- 7:07targeted Poland. And the best-case
- 7:09scenario would be Moscow gets everything
- 7:10it wants. But, unfortunately for Putin,
- 7:12NATO has its own answer to this plan. to
- 7:15a NATO commander, if Russia does start
- 7:16any direct provocations, then NATO will
- 7:19hit back. And here are the two cities
- 7:21that NATO is going to go after. First
- 7:22one is, of course, military strikes in
- 7:24Kaliningrad, or they could hit back
- 7:26naval bases that Russia has in St.
- 7:28Petersburg. So, clearly, NATO is very
- 7:30publicly saying that, "Hey, if you try
- 7:32something like this, it's not going to
- 7:33go how you're hoping it's going to go.
- 7:35It's going to go extremely, extremely
- 7:37wrong for Russia." So, the question is,
- 7:39why would Putin still go ahead with this
- 7:41missile strike on Poland if he knew his
- 7:43plan was already out there and if he
- 7:45knew NATO is not going to respond the
- 7:47way he wanted to. So, this all brings us
- 7:50to the recent strike. Just 1 month after
- 7:52that report comes out, a Russian cruise
- 7:53missile crosses into Poland's territory
- 7:56anyway. It ended up landing near a
- 7:58Polish village and creating a 10-m deep
- 8:01crater. And in this footage, you can see
- 8:03that the missile actually dropped pretty
- 8:05close to where houses are. So, there are
- 8:07people living there. Luckily, no one was
- 8:09hurt in this attack and where the
- 8:11missile landed was just an empty field.
- 8:13But, a little here or little there and
- 8:15we're talking about casualties or maybe
- 8:17even fatalities inside a NATO country
- 8:19from a Russian missile. And guess what?
- 8:21The Polish government is not treating
- 8:23this like some mistake. They're treating
- 8:25it like an opening move to some bigger
- 8:27plan that Russia has. The government
- 8:29security center is now urging citizens
- 8:31to prepare for more attacks, pack
- 8:33emergency bags, locate nearby shelters,
- 8:35and download the official safety guides.
- 8:38And guess what? If you just think about
- 8:39this logically, it makes sense. The more
- 8:41attacks will come pretty soon. Think
- 8:43about it. Just look at the pattern.
- 8:45First, Russia launched some accidental
- 8:47drones and then we have missiles. And
- 8:49there has been no strong response from
- 8:51Ukraine. So, Russia is going to keep
- 8:53going up the escalation ladder until
- 8:55they realize where the red line is. And
- 8:57of course, I'm not saying that a
- 8:58response from NATO has to mean that they
- 9:00attack Russia. It could be something
- 9:01purely defensive, but still tells Russia
- 9:04that NATO is not afraid of a fight.
- 9:06Here's an example from fellow YouTubers.
- 9:08NATO could announce a defensive no-fly
- 9:10zone enforced by NATO jets and NATO
- 9:12missiles. Basically saying that, "Hey,
- 9:14with Ukraine's permission, we'll shoot
- 9:16down anything that reaches western
- 9:17Ukraine because that's getting just a
- 9:19bit too close to our own borders." And
- 9:22that would be a signal enough to Russia,
- 9:24an embarrassment enough for Putin, that
- 9:26Russia will stop trying things like
- 9:27these. Now, luckily for all of us, even
- 9:29without a NATO response, Putin's Poland
- 9:32plan is already blowing up in his face.
- 9:34Take a look. Remember, the entire point
- 9:36of this whole planning that Russia has
- 9:38been carrying out is to scare Poland out
- 9:41of supporting Ukraine. And guess what
- 9:43Poland is doing after this missile
- 9:44strike? Poland is now considering
- 9:46providing Ukraine with additional
- 9:48Patriot missiles after the Russian
- 9:50missile fell inside Poland. So, exact
- 9:52opposite of what the Kremlin is hoping
- 9:54for. Now, let's play that Curb Your
- 9:56Enthusiasm music to tell Putin how
- 9:58things are going. Now, unfortunately for
- 10:00little Vladimir though, this isn't the
- 10:01only plan that failed this week. Here's
- 10:03what I'm talking about. As you guys
- 10:05know, ever since this war began, Ukraine
- 10:07has been systematically going after
- 10:09Russian generals, Russian officials, and
- 10:11Russian officers who have committed war
- 10:13crimes inside of Ukraine. Some of those
- 10:15generals died mere miles away from
- 10:18Kremlin. They're not even safe in
- 10:19Russia's capital city. Now, of course,
- 10:22because of all this, Putin wanted his
- 10:24revenge. So, he sent someone to take out
- 10:26a Ukrainian commander inside of Ukraine.
- 10:28But, things did not go how he was
- 10:30hoping. Zelenskyy recently confirmed
- 10:32that there was an attempt made on
- 10:34Kartiia commander Ihor Obolensky.
- 10:37The attacker and an accomplice have been
- 10:39detained. Procedural actions are
- 10:41ongoing. Now, I looked into this
- 10:43assassination attempt, and this was a
- 10:45very, very close call. Let me show you
- 10:47what I mean. We actually have a footage
- 10:48of the guy who carried out the attempt,
- 10:50and he's actually an Ukrainian. Russian
- 10:52handlers approached him pretending to be
- 10:55SBU, so Ukrainian security services, and
- 10:57told him that this commander that he was
- 10:59targeting was actually a traitor to
- 11:01Ukraine who had to be eliminated. So,
- 11:03this guy believed his Russian handler,
- 11:05and he walks up to this commander and
- 11:08puts a gun in his back. Now, fortunately
- 11:10for everyone, the gun jammed. Even
- 11:12fortunately for the guy who was holding
- 11:13the gun because he truly believed he was
- 11:16helping Ukraine when in reality he
- 11:18wasn't. So, luckily, he the gun didn't
- 11:21go off, and shockingly, Putin did not
- 11:23succeed again. And it seems like it's
- 11:25kind of becoming a trend. Everything
- 11:27Putin tries does not go according to
- 11:29plan. And that's something Russians
- 11:30inside of Russia are also realizing. We
- 11:32now have Russian propagandists and
- 11:34ordinary Russian citizens now calling on
- 11:36officials to just resign and leave the
- 11:38country. They want someone else to run
- 11:40it so they can get out of the mess all
- 11:42these elites have created. Now, we'll
- 11:44get into that clip in just a moment, but
- 11:45before that, I want to show you this
- 11:47headline that really pissed me off. Take
- 11:49a look. It's truly, truly disappointing.
- 11:51Now, just a little context. This is
- 11:53something we had covered in previous
- 11:54videos, but Iran has been sending drone
- 11:56components to Russia for a very long
- 11:58time. And just recently, there was a
- 12:00cargo ship carrying those components
- 12:02towards Russia across the Caspian Sea.
- 12:05And guess what? Ukraine figured out that
- 12:06this ship is smuggling weapons to Russia
- 12:09and they took down the ship. They
- 12:10attacked the ship. From Ukrainian point
- 12:12of view, they did this to save Ukrainian
- 12:14lives because if Russia gets those
- 12:16components, they will make the drone and
- 12:17they'll send it over to attack Ukrainian
- 12:19apartment buildings, Ukrainian malls,
- 12:21anything else you can imagine that
- 12:22Russia attacks. And guess what the New
- 12:24York Times headline says. Take a look.
- 12:26And of course, this is not just New York
- 12:27Times, by the way. A lot of mainstream
- 12:29outlets ran similar headlines. Take a
- 12:31look. Ukraine strike on Iranian ships
- 12:34show how two wars could spiral. And
- 12:36they're calling it start of World War
- 12:38because Ukraine took down a ship that
- 12:40was delivering weapons to Russia.
- 12:43Sometimes I see headlines like these and
- 12:45I realize like these people are not
- 12:46following the same war that you and I
- 12:48are following because think about what
- 12:50has happened in this war since Putin
- 12:52started his three-day special military
- 12:54operation. North Korean troops were sent
- 12:56to Europe to fight for Russia against
- 12:58Ukraine. Is that World War III or is
- 13:00that not World War III? Then think about
- 13:01from day one, Iran has been sending
- 13:03Shahed drones, they've been sending
- 13:05missiles to Russia. They even sent
- 13:07Iranian engineers to Russia so they can
- 13:09build factories that Russia can use to
- 13:12build more drones, more Shahed drones.
- 13:14And of course, on top of that, China has
- 13:15been helping Russia evade sanctions so
- 13:17they can keep waging war on a European
- 13:19country. Does that all sound like World
- 13:22War III or is it only when Ukraine hits
- 13:24the one Iranian military cargo ship and
- 13:26suddenly everyone's talking about how
- 13:28the country defending itself might start
- 13:31World War III. And this is exactly why
- 13:32we do what we're doing here, because
- 13:34sometimes it just seems like reading
- 13:36mainstream media that they're not
- 13:37looking at the war from the same point
- 13:39of view as I'm looking at it and as you
- 13:41guys are looking at it. And this is
- 13:43exactly why we do what we do here,
- 13:44because sometimes reading mainstream
- 13:46media feels like that they're not
- 13:47following the same war that you and I
- 13:49are following. And that's why if you're
- 13:51not subscribed, be sure to hit the
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- 13:54believe it or not, there are millions
- 13:56and millions of people reading New York
- 13:58Times, Washington Post than watch this
- 14:00channel. And those outlets are not
- 14:02covering Ukraine's defense properly. The
- 14:04more you subscribe, the more we grow,
- 14:06and that way we can reach more people
- 14:08and drown out the propaganda that
- 14:09mainstream media outlets are putting
- 14:11out. And that's exactly why we built
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- 15:17Substack, all the links are down below.
- 15:19And now let's talk about why Russians
- 15:21are turning on their own government.
- 15:23Let's go over the clips that I promised.
- 15:25First, we have a Kremlin propagandist
- 15:28who's publicly saying that, "Hey, is
- 15:30there a coup coming from the Russian
- 15:31Prime Minister who's going to replace
- 15:33Putin and save the country?" That's what
- 15:35they're discussing on Russian shows.
- 15:37Take a listen.
- 15:40>> It's about how tensions are being
- 15:42stirred up throughout society.
- 15:44I don't understand.
- 15:46Honestly, I follow the news and I just
- 15:48don't understand anything.
- 15:51Guys, are you trying to maintain
- 15:52stability or are you trying to make
- 15:54people as angry as possible? So, what is
- 15:56it?
- 15:58Is a coup already underway or not?
- 16:01Hypothetically, there's this version
- 16:03that some people are suggesting that
- 16:05Kiriyenko is preparing a coup.
- 16:08Any moment now, he and his team, his
- 16:10people, will come in and everything will
- 16:13be hooray, hooray.
- 16:15I don't get it.
- 16:17Is he planning to take over a
- 16:19burned-down wasteland? Is he planning to
- 16:21come into a situation of complete chaos
- 16:23and lawlessness? Or
- 16:27maybe I'm naive and not knowledgeable
- 16:29enough.
- 16:30I'm a chemistry teacher, not a
- 16:32historian, but this story sounds
- 16:34completely ridiculous to me.
- 16:39>> And remember what I said at the start of
- 16:41this video. Some Russians are calling on
- 16:42officials to simply resign and leave the
- 16:44country. And others are literally
- 16:46bringing up Bolshevik-style executions
- 16:48for people who are even ruining the
- 16:50country. That's where the Russian
- 16:52information space is right now. And then
- 16:54we have Wildberries seller talking about
- 16:56how normal people are struggling, but
- 16:59Russian elites and Russian officials are
- 17:01living it up despite making horrendous
- 17:03decisions that's just ruining the
- 17:05country. Take a listen and then we'll
- 17:07get into the recent strikes. Recent
- 17:09strikes against Russian warehouses that
- 17:11Ukraine has carried out in last couple
- 17:13of days. Here's the clip.
- 17:15>> It's becoming a pretty grim tradition to
- 17:17start the day with news that yet another
- 17:19Wildberries warehouse has been trashed.
- 17:21Penza is burning right now.
- 17:23Yesterday it was Kazan.
- 17:25That's the eighth or ninth warehouse by
- 17:27now.
- 17:29We're approaching roughly half of
- 17:30Wildberries entire logistics network
- 17:33destroyed in the past week and a half.
- 17:36What's truly awful is that people were
- 17:38physically harmed. There were
- 17:39casualties.
- 17:43Business owners have suffered massive
- 17:45financial losses. It's also a problem
- 17:47for Wildberries itself.
- 17:49This affects a huge number of people
- 17:51because there are those who support the
- 17:53supply chain.
- 17:56Some people manufacture the goods,
- 17:58others transport and deliver everything,
- 18:01and some hand out orders at pickup
- 18:03points, including those who own the
- 18:05pickup points.
- 18:07That's a huge number of jobs,
- 18:09and it looks like this trend isn't going
- 18:11to stop anytime soon. Quite the
- 18:13opposite.
- 18:14It will only get worse.
- 18:17The damage and the sheer scale of this
- 18:19[ __ ] disaster are both frightening
- 18:21and infuriating
- 18:23because this is happening and we're the
- 18:25ones who have to live through it.
- 18:28There are reasons for this, and the
- 18:29people responsible for this collapse,
- 18:32while it is still actively unfolding,
- 18:35are feeling its effects far less. The
- 18:37burden is left for us, ordinary people,
- 18:40to bear.
- 18:44>> In the last 2 days, two more logistics
- 18:46warehouse have been struck by Ukrainian
- 18:48drones inside of Russia. That makes it
- 18:5018 warehouses in just 13 days. These
- 18:53warehouses are helping fuel the war
- 18:55machine that Putin has built, and now
- 18:57that fuel is literally burning. Now, by
- 19:00the way, in the last video I asked, "Why
- 19:02are these buildings burning so like
- 19:04strongly?" When you look at some of
- 19:06these videos, it seems like it's really
- 19:08burning. And I have my answer from the
- 19:10comments. Much like Amazon, Wildberries
- 19:13uses paper boxes to deliver all anything
- 19:16that someone's buying and those paper
- 19:18boxes are basically like fuel to a fire.
- 19:20So, if there's a fire that's started,
- 19:22the paper boxes just keep on burning and
- 19:24the whole building is just destroyed
- 19:26because of few drones. In fact, we have
- 19:28a clip. Take a look at this Volgograd
- 19:30warehouse that was struck just 2 days
- 19:32ago and this is what the aftermath looks
- 19:34like after the fire is out.
- 19:41And of course, when the warehouse is
- 19:42burning, Russians are not happy about it
- 19:44because think about it. If you're a
- 19:46Russian or if you're just a normal
- 19:47person, right? Doesn't even have to be
- 19:48in Russia and you open the window of
- 19:50your house and you see your city
- 19:52literally burning, of course you're not
- 19:54going to be happy. Take a look at this
- 19:55clip of a resident who's just purely
- 19:58pissed about what he's seeing.
- 21:02>> [sighs]
- 21:02>> Now, if you guys been following the
- 21:03channel for a while, you remember that
- 21:05Ukrainians had this game for Russian
- 21:07refineries, where whenever Ukrainian
- 21:09drones would target a refinery, they
- 21:11created a bingo where they would cross
- 21:13off that refinery. Guess what? Now that
- 21:15Ukraine has taken care of Russia's
- 21:17refining industry, they're now moving on
- 21:19to Russian warehouses, and they have a
- 21:21new game, warehouse bingo. Take a look
- 21:23at what this looks like. Now, these
- 21:25warehouses are ranked by size, and the
- 21:28biggest one is the Moscow region one.
- 21:30That's not touched yet, but I'm sure
- 21:32it's going to be touched very soon. The
- 21:34second biggest one is in the same
- 21:35region, completely destroyed. Third,
- 21:37fourth destroyed. The fifth one has been
- 21:40hit, but not destroyed yet. So, it's
- 21:41damaged, but not destroyed. Sixth
- 21:44destroyed, and then you can see all the
- 21:46other ones. In total, 10 warehouses out
- 21:48of top 24 have been destroyed, and other
- 21:51three have been damaged. So, let's see
- 21:53how long it takes for us to get bingo.
- 21:55In total, drone strikes have knocked out
- 21:57more than 15% of Wildberries warehouse
- 21:59capacity in Russia. Since July 18th,
- 22:02when this campaign began, at least eight
- 22:04of the marketplaces warehouses, with a
- 22:06combined area of about 860,000 square
- 22:09meters. I think that's roughly the size
- 22:11of Monaco, or double the size of Monaco,
- 22:14actually, have been hit. This accounts
- 22:16for 15.4% of company's total warehouse
- 22:18capacity. According to Russian media,
- 22:20the biggest losses are the warehouses in
- 22:22Moscow region. That's the number two.
- 22:24That's the second biggest that we just
- 22:25looked at. And the other one in Ryazan
- 22:28region. In addition, fires have broken
- 22:30out at other facilities in St.
- 22:32Petersburg and in occupied Simferopol.
- 22:35Here's the map. You can see all of this.
- 22:36And if you guys pay attention, this is
- 22:38basically western Russia. And this is
- 22:41kind of the negative of Russian
- 22:43geography. A lot of the people
- 22:46vast majority of the people in Russia
- 22:48live on the western side of the country,
- 22:50even though the country is so massive.
- 22:52And that means all the economic centers,
- 22:54all the warehouses, all the businesses,
- 22:56they are on the western side. So, easier
- 22:58for Ukraine to get to them than
- 23:00something that's like on the east side.
- 23:02And again, I'm not saying there are not
- 23:03people in eastern Russia. It's just vast
- 23:05majority of Russians and the economy is
- 23:08centered around the west and that's why
- 23:10you see all these strikes in such a
- 23:12small area. Now, here's a funny meme
- 23:14that popped up on Russian social media.
- 23:16Some Russians are now talking about,
- 23:18"Hey, maybe we can move these warehouses
- 23:20underground." And one of the comments to
- 23:23this idea says, "Perhaps Putin will have
- 23:25to make a little room in his bunker. So,
- 23:28you know, we can store some supplies." I
- 23:30doubt Putin is going to let people into
- 23:31his bunker, but that's what Russians are
- 23:33laughing about right now. Now, on top of
- 23:35this, there's another comedic news
- 23:37that's coming out of Russia. And this is
- 23:39where just a little bit more context.
- 23:41You guys know how eBay is kind of like
- 23:43Amazon? It's not really like Amazon, but
- 23:44it is a little bit. Well, in Russia,
- 23:46there's this other company called Ozon,
- 23:49which is basically like Amazon, like
- 23:51Wildberries. It's just smaller. So, it's
- 23:53a small competitor. And this is what
- 23:55Ozon warehouses are now painting on top
- 23:58of their warehouses on the roof. Take a
- 24:00look. The roof says, "This is not
- 24:01Wildberries. Please fly away." Now,
- 24:04important point here, Ozon, much like
- 24:06Wildberries, is also working with the
- 24:07Russian military helping with logistics
- 24:09and everything. So, I doubt this is
- 24:12going to work. I'm sure Ukrainian drones
- 24:13are going to go after this warehouse at
- 24:15some point. But it is still funny that
- 24:17this is what Russian media is reporting.
- 24:19This is what Putin's Russia has come to
- 24:22where companies, instead of depending on
- 24:23their own government to protect their
- 24:25businesses, they're going to just
- 24:26saying, "Hey, we're not Wildberries.
- 24:28Just keep going. Keep moving forward."
- 24:30Anyways, coming back to Wildberries, it
- 24:32seems like one of the biggest companies
- 24:33in Russia is looking to leave the
- 24:35country or at least move some of its
- 24:38operations out of the country because
- 24:40it's just safer that way, you know? Take
- 24:42a look at this news. Russian media
- 24:43reports that Wildberries urgently
- 24:45looking for warehouses in Kazakhstan
- 24:47after attacks by Ukrainian drones. Now,
- 24:50another important thing I recently read
- 24:51about, by the way, which I need to cover
- 24:53in the future, is that warehouses, this
- 24:56company could probably replace it
- 24:58easily. What's going to be a bigger
- 24:59issue is replacing the workers. Much
- 25:02like Amazon, I'm sure this company is a
- 25:04major employer inside of Russia. And
- 25:06right now, there is a positive to
- 25:08everything Putin is doing when it comes
- 25:09to economic standpoint, is that Russian
- 25:11unemployment has been super super low.
- 25:14It's at like 2%. Historically, that's
- 25:16not the case in Russia. Unemployment is
- 25:18usually high. But right now, think about
- 25:20it. There are million people fighting on
- 25:22the front lines, probably more than
- 25:23that, 1.6 million in casualties. And on
- 25:26top of that, a million people left when
- 25:28Putin tried mobilizing the country back
- 25:30in 2022. So so many people, especially
- 25:33people who used to work, who used to be
- 25:34part of the workforce, have just left
- 25:36the country. So, the Russian
- 25:38unemployment is super low. And if you're
- 25:40someone who's looking for a job, you can
- 25:41find a job pretty easily. So, now that
- 25:44the workers who work at Wildberries are
- 25:46seeing what's happening to their
- 25:47warehouses, right? They're not even
- 25:49getting warnings sometimes. Like some of
- 25:50these clips that are coming out of
- 25:52Russia, we see workers running out of
- 25:55these warehouses while drones are
- 25:56heading the warehouses. Like, where is
- 25:58the warning signs that drones are in the
- 26:00area? Especially now that they know that
- 26:02Ukraine has a campaign going on against
- 26:04these warehouses. I feel like workers
- 26:07should get some kind of heads-up. Hey,
- 26:08you should evacuate. There are drones
- 26:10coming to the city. But they're not
- 26:12getting that. So, if you're a worker
- 26:13working at one of these warehouses,
- 26:14you're looking at all this and you're
- 26:15like, maybe maybe I should get a job
- 26:18somewhere else. So, they're going to
- 26:19start leaving, and it's going to end
- 26:21this company's going to have a very hard
- 26:23time getting them back. Especially
- 26:24considering that I doubt these companies
- 26:26can compete with defense factories or
- 26:29anything in the defense industry when it
- 26:31comes to wages, you know? Defense
- 26:33companies are just paying such a high
- 26:34rate in Russia that it's very hard to
- 26:36get the workers to switch back to
- 26:38something that's paying a lower rate and
- 26:40probably has a higher risk now. But
- 26:42anyways, that's something we will dig
- 26:44deeper into in the future. But now, I
- 26:46want to look at how the Russian media is
- 26:48covering all this, especially the
- 26:50warehouse strikes. So, take a listen.
- 26:52>> Today, Nezavisimaya Gazeta has an
- 26:53opinion piece on what to do about
- 26:56Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian
- 26:58warehouses.
- 26:59The daily raids by Ukrainian drones on
- 27:02the entire European part of Russia
- 27:04require an urgent, decisive, and
- 27:06systematic response.
- 27:09An analysis of reports by Russia's
- 27:10Defense Ministry shows that since the
- 27:12start of 2026, more than 50 regions of
- 27:15Russia have come under regular attack by
- 27:17aerial armies of between 500 800 drones.
- 27:21But in this air war, an additional front
- 27:24has been opened.
- 27:25One after another, warehouses with
- 27:27civilian goods for online retail are
- 27:30burning. For example, today, that's
- 27:33yesterday, the Wildberries warehouse in
- 27:35the Ryazan region was under attack. This
- 27:38requires special attention.
- 27:41Kyiv's large-scale war on marketplaces
- 27:44is apparently aimed at sharply
- 27:45destabilizing the country's consumer
- 27:47market, spurring inflation, and in
- 27:49addition, psychologically traumatizing a
- 27:51significant part of the population,
- 27:54breaking the foundations of its daily
- 27:56existence, perhaps even sparking social
- 27:59discontent and localized unrest that can
- 28:01somehow affect the upcoming elections.
- 28:04First, it is necessary to quickly help
- 28:06operators of large warehouse complexes
- 28:09to protect from further air attacks,
- 28:11facilities that are totally vulnerable
- 28:13due to their size, openness, and
- 28:15accessibility.
- 28:17Warehouses, however, also have an
- 28:19advantage. The large space on their flat
- 28:21roofs is convenient [music]
- 28:23for fortified air defense points, for
- 28:26which good old sandbags, searchlights,
- 28:29large-caliber machine gun systems, and
- 28:31rapid-fire anti-aircraft guns are
- 28:33suitable.
- 28:35There may also be launch points for
- 28:37drone interceptors and reinforced
- 28:39firefighting installations.
- 28:42On the approaches to warehouses, when
- 28:44there's an alarm, it's quite possible to
- 28:46put into the air barrage balloons.
- 28:48Perhaps it's time to create and train
- 28:50civilian anti-drone volunteer squads.
- 28:53>> So, those are the next steps for the
- 28:55Russian population. First, train
- 28:57volunteer anti-drone squads. And then
- 28:59they're going to be like, "Hey, these
- 29:01guys are already trained. Why not just
- 29:04send them to the front lines? It would
- 29:05be quicker since Russia always needs
- 29:07troops at the front, right?" I'm sure
- 29:09that's going to happen next. Now, since
- 29:11we are talking about drones, there's one
- 29:12more thing you need to see. Ukrainian
- 29:14shotgun drones. Drones that can
- 29:16literally shoot down Russian drones
- 29:18using shotguns mid-air. And again, this
- 29:21is a short segment, a short clip from
- 29:24our usual exclusive videos that we are
- 29:25putting out for Basics Insider member.
- 29:28If you want to watch this on a regular
- 29:29basis, you can become a member right now
- 29:32by clicking the join button down below,
- 29:33by going to Basics Insider, or go to our
- 29:35Patreon, Substack, all the links are
- 29:37down below. But here's a clip. Enjoy.
- 29:44>> Yeah.
- 29:46Uh
- 29:48You have this uh
- 29:49problem with kinetic and when you're
- 29:51hitting one drone on another, it's a
- 29:53one-for-one exchange. That's not
- 29:56um you know, eventually that's not
- 29:58effective.
- 29:59So, we have a larger drone in in almost
- 30:03every case, the Ukrainian drone toting
- 30:05that shotgun is going to be slightly
- 30:08larger than the drone it's hitting. You
- 30:09see, they're all quadcopters. They
- 30:11started out literally with double-barrel
- 30:13shotguns like Elmer Fudd. So, they got
- 30:15two shots, one barrel and the other
- 30:17barrel. But they've been able to cut
- 30:19down semi-automatic shotguns like a
- 30:22Remington 1100. And you know, every time
- 30:25you pull the trigger, a round comes out,
- 30:27usually six.
- 30:28You can extend the mag for eight, but I
- 30:30I think it's probably six, but you know,
- 30:33and and you're not even using buckshot,
- 30:34you're using birdshot cuz you don't
- 30:36really have to make a big dent in the
- 30:38other guy's drone to turn it into you
- 30:40know, flying art.
- 30:42>> This one's kind of cool. It was
- 30:44a sea drone.
- 30:48>> Yeah, there we go. So, the evolution of
- 30:51unmanned surface vessels, a technology
- 30:54that Ukraine matured,
- 30:56they often now can deliver
- 31:00submunitions, but in this case, they're
- 31:02delivering other drones.
- 31:04So, you can see this thing has been
- 31:06discovered. This is a daylight
- 31:07operation. You saw it just get missed by
- 31:10a Russian drone.
- 31:12And here's the incoming drone, and wham.
- 31:15I don't know what that target was,
- 31:17but it seems to be burning pretty well.
- 31:20So, you see these longer strips of fire,
- 31:22that implies to me that it was a heavy
- 31:25fuel oil.
- 31:27Because if it's gasoline,
- 31:29it'll tend to go up all at once. If it's
- 31:31a heavier oil, lubricant maybe, they
- 31:33don't burn as quickly, but they'll move
- 31:35along the ground like that. One cool
- 31:37thing about this, so this is the manner
- 31:39in which Ukraine was able to nibble away
- 31:43at the Crimean air defenses. So, they
- 31:46send one of these in at night, it would
- 31:48creep up to the shore, release one or
- 31:50two drones, and they'd attack Russian
- 31:53radars and sensor antennas. And see that
- 31:56big mast that is extended there?
- 32:00That's to increase the range
- 32:03of the,
- 32:04you know, of the drone control. So, that
- 32:06can actually be That mast can be lifted,
- 32:09so it deploys a fiber optic cable and
- 32:13keeps it off the water, cuz that will
- 32:16enable the drone,
- 32:18the unmanned surface vessel to move
- 32:20around. So, it's not pinned anywhere.
- 32:25So, all this stuff is pretty cool, and I
- 32:26can tell you what the US Navy
- 32:29developed this technology, and it was
- 32:31principally used in my day, it was they
- 32:34were special access programs, and it was
- 32:36used mostly for reconnaissance. But, you
- 32:38know, does the US Navy have stuff like
- 32:40this? Yeah, because they watch your
- 32:42channel and they write it down and go,
- 32:43"Hey, we got we need to get one of
- 32:44these."
- 32:46>> It's pretty cool.
- 32:47>> Okay.
- 32:48Uh Ukraine has hit 170
- 32:51merchant ships in the Sea of Azov and
- 32:54the Black Sea. Sea of Azov is on top
- 32:57there.
- 32:57You can see these two uh tankers. I've
- 33:00reported on this for the Kyiv Post,
- 33:01Louise and Banda, Louise 1 and Banda.
- 33:05You just saw what was likely cannon fire
- 33:08fired from an aircraft to hit this
- 33:11drone.
- 33:12Okay, it missed, but eventually the
- 33:15aircraft broke off the attack because it
- 33:17was too close to the tanker.
- 33:19So, that probably was a was a bomb they
- 33:23tried to drop, but that's, you know,
- 33:25ridiculous.
- 33:26So, we're going for a mission kill here.
- 33:28You're hitting the ship right where you
- 33:30want to, between the rudder post and
- 33:33what's called the packing gland, which
- 33:36is the
- 33:37uh flange that allows the propeller to
- 33:40turn.
- 33:41So, you hit a ship there and it's got to
- 33:43go into a shipyard to be repaired.
- 33:46The other thing is they're not trying to
- 33:49release oil, right? And they're not
- 33:51trying to kill the crewmen.
- 33:53They're
- 33:54they're knocking the wheels off this
- 33:56thing.
- 33:57And Ukraine has been exceptional about
- 33:59doing that. But, every one of these
- 34:01tankers are already internationally
- 34:03sanctioned.
- 34:05The other thing I'll point out is they
- 34:07were anchored close to the Russian naval
- 34:09base at Novorossiysk, which is to the
- 34:12east.
- 34:13Uh good luck. If you sailed in and
- 34:16you're making about $43 million a load
- 34:18on a tanker of this size, you expect the
- 34:21Russian Navy to put out and help you?
- 34:23It's not going to happen, dude. They
- 34:24can't. They'd love to,
- 34:26but they can't.
- 34:29I love a little maritime sabotage.
- 34:31That's uh, you know, that's where I got
- 34:33started. So uh uh
- 34:35it's my roots.
- 34:37>> These sea drones are pretty cool.
- 34:38>> awesome, man.
- 34:40You know, they can move about you know,
- 34:4240 knots. Uh they don't often have to go
- 34:45that fast. They're made out of carbon
- 34:47fiber and I suspect that this has radar
- 34:50absorbing paint on it as well.
- 34:54When you have that kind of a platform
- 34:56the radar can't see you, but sometimes
- 34:58it can see your wake. So you go slower.
- 35:02>> So they're pretty much undetectable by
- 35:04these these ships.
- 35:05>> Yeah, we we had a when I first got into
- 35:07the Navy, we had a patrol boat called
- 35:09the Sea Fox
- 35:10and it had zigzags on the windows. It
- 35:13was gray and what was not advertised
- 35:16about the Sea Fox was it was completely
- 35:18invisible to radar.
- 35:20They didn't mention it to anybody.
- 35:22And in my day it was we could not be
- 35:25seen unless we were going about 35 knots
- 35:29and it put up a rooster tail and they
- 35:30could radar could pick up your rooster
- 35:33tail.
- 35:34So that was a stealth program that hid
- 35:36completely in plain sight. And
- 35:39interestingly, they sold five Sea Fox
- 35:41patrol boats to the Israelis, but they
- 35:44put bands of metal in them.
- 35:47So
- 35:48they they actually did show up on radar.
- 35:51It was a pretty weird little little
- 35:53trick, but sea drones here, I think
- 35:55we're looking at the same technology.
- 35:56>> How many of these does it take to take
- 35:58one of these tankers down?
- 35:59>> Just one.
- 36:01>> Oh, wow.
- 36:01>> You know, on a warship you've got
- 36:04you know, well an aircraft carrier is a
- 36:05big example. There's 5,000 people on an
- 36:07aircraft carrier. You got a 300-ft
- 36:10destroyer, there might be 200 people on
- 36:12it because you've got a you've got to
- 36:14work all the sensors, you've got to work
- 36:16all the weapons and you need the rest of
- 36:18the crew to repair damage.
- 36:20And you know, this merchant even the one
- 36:22we're looking at now, it probably
- 36:24doesn't even have 30 guys on it.
- 36:26And you know, their ability for damage
- 36:28control is limited.
- 36:30>> It's a lot of oil for Russia.
- 36:31>> Yeah, it is. But, you know what? They're
- 36:33Listen, they're not they're not
- 36:35exporting distillates anymore. They
- 36:36don't export gasoline or diesel anymore.
- 36:39They can't get it. Their their
- 36:41supply is 65% below
- 36:44uh consumption and uh
- 36:48you know, we're we're looking at the
- 36:50beginning of the end of this war. I I
- 36:53really feel that way.
- 36:54>> See a
- 36:56couple uh
- 36:58thing
- 37:01>> Yeah, I remember this one. So,
- 37:03that is uh an [music] air strike on a
- 37:06drone control point. So, we've got a big
- 37:09explosion like that. And then, this is
- 37:11the battle damage assessment.
- 37:14Uh so, you've got a Ukrainian fighter
- 37:16that actually delivered a guided bomb
- 37:19onto this target. I don't know exactly
- 37:21where this is, but I expect that is a
- 37:23canal over
- 37:25uh
- 37:26on the left side of the photo.
- 37:29You know, the fact that there is a
- 37:30Ukrainian air strike is says a lot about
- 37:33the local air superiority or dominance
- 37:36over the zero line.
- 37:394 years ago, Russia had you know, air
- 37:42superiority everywhere.
- 37:44Now, both sides switch with local air
- 37:47dominance.
- 37:49And generally, these guided bombs
- 37:50they're saved for
- 37:52command nodes and drone control points.
- 37:56So, you can see if you were taking
- 37:59you know, if you took refuge in that
- 38:00building, uh you know,
- 38:02we might find a sock, maybe. But, uh
- 38:06that was the whole purpose of the
- 38:06strike.
- 38:07>> This is a glide bomb from a fighter.
- 38:09>> Yeah, it's it's I think in this case,
- 38:11it's probably you know, they call them
- 38:13glide bombs. This came in so fast. I
- 38:16think we're looking at more of a French
- 38:18AASM Hammer
- 38:20bomb or a GBU kind of uh
- 38:24uh you know, what did you used to be
- 38:25called a JDAM? You know, it has minimal
- 38:29flight surfaces, but it can be guided.
- 38:32In a lot of case, the Russian glide
- 38:34bombs
- 38:35they resemble what what is called a JDAM
- 38:38ER.
- 38:40So, the Russian glide bombs extend
- 38:41wings.
- 38:43And they move really pretty fast, but
- 38:45you might be able to see them.
- 38:48It's something like a GBU or a
- 38:50Hammer, they're going too fast really to
- 38:52see. You can hear them sometimes.
- 38:56If you can hear them, uh chances are
- 38:57you're the target.
- 38:59So.
- 39:00It's not really a good thing to hear.
- 39:03Okay.
- 39:05Here we've got uh something that I have
- 39:07quite a lot of experience getting shot
- 39:08at with, which is a you know, Grad 21.
- 39:12In my era, it was called a Katyusha,
- 39:14which was the carryover name from World
- 39:16War II. And again, if you want to
- 39:17continue watching this episode, you can
- 39:19do so by becoming a member. My name is
- 39:21Sam, and I'll see you guys in the next
- 39:22video.
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