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POR ESTO el BARCELONA puede DESTROZAR al REAL MADRID — Transcript

by Zeira FC · 3,146 words · 497 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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0:00On Sunday, October 25th at 9 p.m.,
0:02Barcelona and Real Madrid face off at
0:04the Camp Nou. And this Clásico could
0:07mean much more than just a win. It
0:09could confirm a massive gap between two
0:11projects operating at different speeds.
0:15While Hansi Flick's Barcelona wins
0:17every match and scores goals at an
0:19absurd pace, José Mourinho's Real
0:20Madrid is still searching for something
0:22they haven't found in too long: a style
0:24of play that makes all their players
0:26better. But the worst part for Real
0:30Madrid is that Barcelona doesn't just
0:32threaten to rout their eternal rival;
0:34if they keep up a reasonable part of
0:35this pace, they could also challenge
0:37the scoring record of one of the best
0:39teams in Real Madrid's own history—
0:41the one with 100 points and 121 goals
0:43in 2012, coached by none other than
0:45José Mourinho. Let's start with the
0:48current situation of this matchup. As
0:50of October 18th, Barcelona has nine
0:53league matchdays, nine wins, 27 points,
0:5539 goals for, and nine against. Real
0:59Madrid, for its part, has played eight
1:01matches as I record this, with six wins
1:03and two losses, earning 18 points,
1:05scoring 19 goals, and conceding only
1:07eight. The Azulgranas have a nine-point
1:11lead, but also one more game played,
1:12because Real Madrid is set to host
1:14Sevilla as I record this. But even if
1:17they win that game, they will arrive at
1:18the Clásico six points behind.
1:20Therefore, a Barcelona victory on the
1:2325th could push the lead to nine points
1:25, with both having played only 10 games
1:27. And this doesn't automatically mean
1:30winning the league in October, but it
1:32would leave their main rival forced to
1:34overcome a very serious gap when the
1:36championship has barely begun. And the
1:40offensive data needs context because
1:41Barcelona is averaging approximately
1:434.33 goals per league game in these
1:45nine matches. Real Madrid, meanwhile,
1:48averages 2.38, and we aren't comparing
1:50a high-scoring team with one incapable
1:52of attacking, as 19 goals in eight
1:54games are very competitive numbers. We
1:57are comparing a good attack with one
1:59that is doing extraordinary things
2:01during these first few weeks. Barcelona
2:03has scored five against Elche, five
2:05against Valencia, seven against Racing,
2:07three against Sevilla, and three
2:08against Getafe. They also won 2-5 at
2:10Betis, who competed in phases of the
2:12match before going down to 10 players,
2:14which also facilitated the rout. The
2:17fact is that Barcelona has found
2:18different ways to do damage. And
2:20another precedent makes this match
2:21especially uncomfortable for Real
2:23Madrid. During the 24-25 season,
2:25Barcelona won all four official
2:27Clásicos. 4-0 at the Bernabéu in La
2:30Liga, 5-2 in the Super Cup, 3-2 in the
2:33Cup final, and 4-3 in the second league
2:36duel. The following season was
2:37different. Real Madrid won 2-1 in
2:40October 2025, but Barcelona took the
2:42Super Cup 3-2 and won the May match 2-0
2:44, which allowed them to be crowned
2:46league champions. Six Barcelona
2:49victories in the last seven official
2:51clashes, with 22 goals for Barcelona to
2:54Real Madrid's 11. They were different
2:57coaches and squads, so this doesn't
2:59guarantee anything, but it does show
3:01that Barcelona has repeatedly found
3:03ways to punish their rival on the
3:04biggest nights. And here lies Real
3:07Madrid's real problem. Over the last
3:10two seasons, they have changed coaches,
3:12tried different formations, and brought
3:14in top-level players, but they still
3:16fail to dominate games from midfield
3:19with the necessary consistency.
3:21Following the departure of Toni Kroos
3:23and later Luka Modric, they have lost
3:25two players capable of organizing every
3:27possession. And this doesn't mean
3:29Valverde or Tchouaméni are bad players
3:31; they are extraordinary at many tasks.
3:34The problem arises when both have to
3:36simultaneously offer defensive security
3:38, clean ball progression, and
3:39creativity against coordinated pressure
3:41. There, the team tends to advance
3:44through individual actions rather than
3:45advantages built collectively. Xabi
3:49Alonso arrived in 2025 to change that
3:50situation, but left in January 2026
3:52after losing the Super Cup against
3:54Barcelona. Arbeloa took over and was
3:57also unable to turn individual talent
3:59into a recognizable team. Now Mourinho
4:01has returned, and that makes it three
4:03coaches in little more than a year with
4:05quite different ideas, all trying to
4:07solve a very similar problem. Real
4:09Madrid has already lost against Betis
4:11and Atlético. Mourinho hasn't found
4:13the balance either. If he protects the
4:15center with physical players, he lacks
4:17clarity to break through lines. And if
4:20he brings together the most creative
4:21ones, he needs to reorganize who covers
4:23the spaces when losing the ball. It's
4:25not a matter of asking for all the good
4:27players to play at once, but rather
4:29deciding what the team needs and
4:31accepting the consequences of each
4:32choice. The recent Champions League
4:35comeback against Roma sums it up
4:37perfectly. Real Madrid won 4-3, so it
4:40would be absurd to describe them as a
4:42team without character or without
4:44solutions. But with very little time
4:46left to play, they were losing 3-1
4:48after suffering against the rival's
4:49pressure and relying too much on long
4:51balls. The introduction of players like
4:53Arda Güler and Bernardo Silva improved
4:55ball circulation and allowed them to
4:56change the game. The result
4:58demonstrates two things at once. Real
5:00Madrid has enough quality to survive
5:02nearly impossible situations, but its
5:04initial plan can still leave it too
5:06exposed. Against Barcelona, conceding
5:09an opening hour full of dangerous
5:11giveaways can cost much more than
5:12against an opponent you manage to come
5:14back against in the end. The contrast
5:16with Barça is huge because Flick does
5:18have a recognizable idea. His team
5:21wants to win the ball back high up,
5:22bunch their players near the opposing
5:24box, and attack whenever they spot an
5:25advantage. When a forward presses,
5:28their teammates know exactly who they
5:29need to cover. When the winger takes on
5:31his man, someone occupies the inside
5:33space, and when the ball is lost,
5:35several players are already prepared to
5:37go win it back. That is why their 39
5:39goals aren't explained just by Lamine
5:41Yamal's talent or a streak of good luck
5:43. Behind it are mechanisms that
5:46frequently create chances, and this
5:48year Barça has added a fundamental
5:49piece to control those exact moments
5:51when the mechanisms break down. Rodri
5:54—the arrival of Rodri changes much
5:55more than just the name at defensive
5:56midfield. Before, Pedri had to
5:58constantly drop near the center-backs
6:00to receive and help organize the
6:02build-up. With Rodri, he can appear
6:04higher up, turn between the lines, and
6:06play near those who decide games. Rodri
6:08offers a safe outlet for Cubarsí. He
6:11detects when the rival is pressing too
6:12hard and can switch the ball from one
6:14wing to the other without needing 10
6:16intermediate passes. And that forces
6:18the defenders to choose. If they tuck
6:19in to control Pedri, they leave space
6:21for the wingers. If they protect the
6:23flanks, passing lanes appear on the
6:25inside. It isn't simply about having
6:27more possession, but about using that
6:29possession to force the opponent to
6:31defend uncomfortable situations.
6:33Furthermore, Rodri also helps when
6:35Barcelona is attacking and hasn't yet
6:36lost the ball. It seems like a
6:38contradiction, but that is one of
6:40Flick's tactical keys. If the defensive
6:42midfielder positions himself well while
6:44his teammates push forward, he can cut
6:46off a pass to Mbappé before it turns
6:47into a 40-meter run. Barça continues
6:51to defend with a high line, and that
6:52obviously carries risks, but now they
6:54have someone especially prepared to
6:56anticipate the rival's transition.
6:59Pedri, by his side, doesn't need to
7:01constantly choose between directing
7:02play and reaching the box, and players
7:04like Olmo or Fermín can move behind
7:06the Madrid midfield, where a clean
7:08reception is worth more than long
7:09possession without depth. And on the
7:11wings, there is another reason to
7:13consider a potential rout. Lamine Yamal
7:15has started the season with nine goals
7:17and 10 assists across all competitions.
7:19In La Liga, he has eight goals and
7:21Raphinha has 12, despite having
7:23recently gone through physical issues.
7:26But what’s interesting isn't just the
7:27quantity; Lamine draws the fullback in,
7:29forces help to arrive, and finds the
7:31open teammate if the opponent commits
7:33to him. Against a Madrid that uses
7:35Bellingham, Valverde, or Tchouaméni to
7:37compensate for imbalances, that extra
7:38attention can open up spaces in the
7:40middle. If Carras or Cucurellas are
7:42left alone against Lamine, the winger
7:44has options to get past them. If he
7:46receives a second layer of help, Pedri
7:48or another attacker can receive the
7:49ball unmarked. On the other wing,
7:51Anthony Gordon and Karim Adeyemi
7:53provide speed and runs in behind, two
7:55perfect resources to take advantage of
7:56Rodri's switches of play. Gabriel Jesus
7:59offers another solution as a forward.
8:01He doesn’t wait stationary between
8:02the center-backs; he moves to link up
8:04and participates in the press
8:05immediately after a turnover. Raphinha
8:07brings runs into the box, goals, and
8:09aggressiveness off the ball. And if
8:11Flick needs a different type of game,
8:13he has players like Olmo and Fermín to
8:15attack from interior positions. The
8:17importance of all these variants is
8:19that Real Madrid cannot prepare a
8:20single response. They can sit deep to
8:23slow down possession, but then they
8:24will have to control runs out wide.
8:26They can also push their defense up,
8:28but then they must take on many
8:30individual duels against very fast
8:31players. Mourinho, of course, also has
8:34arguments to cause damage. Barça has
8:36conceded nine goals in nine league
8:38matches, exactly one per game, the same
8:40average as Real Madrid. There is no
8:43defensive superiority in goals conceded
8:44that would allow us to speak of an
8:46invulnerable team. If the Blaugrana
8:48fullbacks go up at the same time and
8:50Rodri is far from the turnover, Mbappé
8:53can destroy any plan with a single run.
8:55The Frenchman already has seven league
8:57goals and Real Madrid also has
8:59Bellingham, Guler, and other players
9:01capable of finding him. Furthermore,
9:03Vinicius won't be in the Clásico due
9:05to his four-match ban, but Brahim can
9:06offer depth from the left. His absence
9:09changes the white attack, but it
9:10doesn't eliminate it. Therefore, the
9:12Clásico will likely be decided by the
9:14distances between the lines. If
9:15Mourinho sits too deep near Courtois,
9:17he will hand yards over to Pedri and
9:20Rodri. It will allow Lamine to receive
9:22the ball again and again and will force
9:23his defense to endure many attacks. If
9:26he decides to press high, he will have
9:28to coordinate Mbappé and the
9:29midfielders perfectly. A single
9:31mistimed jump could leave Pedri free
9:33behind the pressure and turn a simple
9:35clearance into a goal-scoring chance.
9:37And if he sets up an end-to-end game,
9:39he will be choosing a terrain where
9:41Barcelona arrives with much more
9:42collective rhythm. The best option for
9:44Madrid seems to be keeping a compact
9:46block, protecting the interior passing
9:48lanes, and breaking with precision. No,
9:50not just launching long balls to their
9:52strikers; the schedule also matters a
9:54great deal. Before the Clásico,
9:55Barcelona visits Paris Saint-Germain on
9:57Tuesday, October 20th, and Real Madrid
9:59hosts Leipzig on Wednesday the 21st.
10:01Both have Champions League matches and
10:03both will need to manage their efforts.
10:05Furthermore, Eric García, Gerard
10:07Martín, and Koundé finished the match
10:08against Betis with discomfort that
10:10requires monitoring. The Paris match
10:13will be a massive test to measure if
10:14Barcelona can replicate their pressure
10:16and offensive ease against a top-tier
10:18European adversary. Excessive fatigue
10:21or an injury would change the scenario
10:23for Sunday. But predicting isn't about
10:26declaring a guaranteed rout, but rather
10:28explaining how advantages can translate
10:30onto the scoreboard. But the most
10:32impressive comparison isn't in the
10:34present, but in 2012. Back then,
10:36Mourinho's Real Madrid won the league
10:38with 100 points, 32 wins, four draws,
10:40two losses, and 121 goals. Cristiano
10:43Ronaldo scored 46 in the championship.
10:46It was a team that took off like a shot
10:48after recovering the ball, with Xabi
10:50Alonso organizing, Özil finding the
10:51final pass, and strikers capable of
10:53finishing attacks in seconds. Their
10:56figure of 121 goals remains the
10:57historical benchmark for the league. It
10:59is not a minor record nor a number that
11:01should be used only to exaggerate the
11:02current moment of another team. And
11:04precisely because of this, it is worth
11:06checking how that season actually began
11:09. Can Barça come close to this or
11:10surpass it? After their first nine
11:13league games, the 2011-12 Real Madrid
11:15had 22 points, 31 goals scored, and six
11:18conceded. They had won seven matches,
11:20drawn one, and lost one. They thrashed
11:23Zaragoza 6-0, Getafe 4-2, Rayo 6-2,
11:26Espanyol 4-0, and Málaga 4-0. But they
11:29also lost 1-0 against Levante and drew
11:31goalless against Racing. The current
11:34Barcelona, at nine games played, has 27
11:36points and 39 goals; that is, five
11:38points more and eight more goals than
11:40that historic Real Madrid. And there is
11:43one difference that favors the 2012
11:45team, which is that they had only
11:46conceded six goals, three fewer than
11:48what Barcelona has conceded so far. The
11:50comparison is even more striking when
11:52we look at the averages. During that
11:55entire record-breaking league, Real
11:57Madrid scored 3.18 goals per game and
11:59earned 2.63 points per match. The
12:01current Barcelona is at 4.33 goals and
12:04three points. If we simply multiplied
12:07their scoring rate over the 38
12:09matchdays, they would finish near 175
12:11goals, and if they won absolutely every
12:13match, they would reach 114 points. And
12:17this is obviously not a 100%serious
12:19prediction. No one can guarantee that a
12:21team will maintain a perfect winning
12:23streak for 9 months and 38 matchdays.
12:26The useful way to look at these stats
12:28is to calculate how much their
12:29performance would have to drop while
12:30still aspiring to these records. To
12:33surpass Real Madrid's 121 goals,
12:35Barcelona needs to score 83 more in the
12:3829 remaining matchdays. That is 2.86
12:41goals per game, quite a bit less than
12:44their current 4.33. Even if they scored
12:47exactly three per game from now on,
12:49they would finish with 126. To pass 100
12:52points, they need to secure 74 of the
12:5587 that are still in play. For example,
12:58if they won 24 of their 29 remaining
13:00matches, drew two, and lost three, they
13:02would finish with 101 points. It is a
13:05very high requirement, but we have
13:07moved from an impossible projection to
13:09two goals that can be calculated and
13:11discussed with data. However, there is
13:13an important caveat: the 2012 Real
13:15Madrid didn't win that league just
13:17because they started by scoring a ton
13:19of goals. They did it because they
13:21strung together victories for months
13:22and managed to maintain their
13:23efficiency against very different
13:25opponents. Barcelona still has to face
13:28the best defensive teams repeatedly,
13:29survive injuries, and sustain their
13:31pressure when the knockout rounds pile
13:33up. Furthermore, current figures are
13:36based on a sample of nine games, while
13:38Real Madrid's records describe 38.
13:41Comparing them serves to measure the
13:43scale of the start, but not to declare
13:44that Flick has already surpassed
13:45Mourinho. That judgment can only be
13:48made when the season ends, but for now,
13:50what is clear is that they can aspire
13:52to it. The reason to take Barcelona's
13:55candidacy seriously is not just this
13:57start. They were already superior to
13:59Real Madrid in the two previous leagues
14:00. In '24-'25, they finished with 88
14:03points and 102 goals compared to the 84
14:05points and 78 goals from the whites. In
14:09'25-'26, they won again with 94 points
14:11and 95 goals, while Real Madrid
14:14finished with 86 points and 77 goals.
14:17We are talking about two championships
14:19in which Barcelona scored 24 and 18
14:21more goals, respectively. And now, in
14:23nine matchdays, that offensive
14:25difference is appearing again. It
14:27doesn't mean Real Madrid can't react,
14:29but it does mean that the Blaugrana's
14:31superiority has more depth than just a
14:33few weeks of inspiration. And someone
14:35watching this video who doesn't know me
14:36might think I'm a Barcelona fan because
14:38of what I've said, but no, I am a Real
14:39Madrid fan, and a big one; I want
14:41Barça to lose even their training
14:42sessions. But being a Real Madrid fan
14:44is one thing, and being blind is
14:45another. And what I have mentioned are
14:47objective facts. I hope we win the
14:48Clásico, but it’s tough. In terms of
14:50titles, the difference in recent
14:52seasons also matters. Flick won the
14:54League, the Copa del Rey, and the Super
14:56Cup in 24/25, and repeated the League
14:58and Super Cup in 25/26—five domestic
15:00titles in two seasons. Real Madrid, for
15:03its part, despite having extraordinary
15:05stars, ended last campaign without
15:07winning any. Barcelona's challenge this
15:10time isn't just about repeating the
15:12league. If they win the Clásico and
15:14consolidate their lead, they can
15:15approach the Cup and the Super Cup with
15:17a more stable collective foundation and
15:19aim to compete for several trophies at
15:21the same time. This does not mean that
15:23the short tournaments are already
15:24decided. A bad afternoon can get you
15:26knocked out, and Real Madrid retains a
15:28capacity to react that would be a
15:30mistake to underestimate. And there is
15:32also the Champions League. Barcelona
15:33has already won its first two European
15:36matches, 5-1 against Feyenoord and 4-1
15:38against Galatasaray. Added to the
15:40League, that makes 11 wins in 11
15:42official matches and 48 goals. It’s a
15:45spectacular start, but last season they
15:47were eliminated in the quarterfinals by
15:48Atlético, and Real Madrid also fell in
15:50the quarterfinals against Bayern.
15:52Winning the Champions League requires
15:54something different than scoring a lot
15:55every weekend. Knowing how to defend a
15:58small lead, control a knockout tie, and
16:00not give away a transition at the worst
16:02possible moment. Roder could be
16:04especially important there. If
16:06Barcelona learns to choose when to
16:07accelerate and when to close out a game
16:09, their European candidacy will be much
16:10more convincing than that of a team
16:12that only knows how to attack. So when
16:15I say that Barcelona could destroy Real
16:16Madrid this year, I’m not talking
16:18exclusively about scoring four goals in
16:20a Clásico. I’m talking about a much
16:23broader scenario: winning on Sunday,
16:25opening up a gap that forces Real
16:27Madrid to chase them for months,
16:28confirming a superiority of play we
16:30already saw in the previous two seasons
16:32, and ending up competing for all the
16:34major titles. Meanwhile, and no less
16:37important, threatening the 121 goals of
16:39the 2012 Real Madrid, the great record
16:41of Mourinho, who just happens to be
16:43sitting on the Madrid bench again today
16:45. There is a lot of the season left and
16:47the numbers can change, but as of today
16:49, the question is not whether Barcelona
16:51has reasons to dream of something
16:52historic. The question is, what can
16:55Real Madrid do to prevent that dream
16:56from becoming a reality?

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