Persiapan UAS Metodologi Penelitian | Buddy Tentir | Buddy Program ASP oleh Bu Nur Indah Lestari — Transcript
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- 0:01Can you see it?
- 0:03>> Yes,
- 0:04>> Ma'am.
- 0:05>> Okay. Alright. Okay. This um you have
- 0:13150 minutes, 2.5 hours, right? So make
- 0:18sure you answer them well. There are
- 0:23six questions in Quanti. Then in Quali,
- 0:28there are five yeah. 1 2 3 4 5. There
- 0:35are five questions. Now, the attachment
- 0:37is long. So, whether you like it or not
- 0:42, you have to understand what it
- 0:45contains. Mm I cannot explain
- 0:56everything from the start. Why? Because
- 1:00when talking about quantitative results
- 1:03, it inevitably depends on your
- 1:05experience working with Stata.
- 1:10Meanwhile, as far as I know, you in ASP
- 1:14don't have econometrics, and in data
- 1:21analytics, what do you use with Mr.
- 1:23Agung? What do you use?
- 1:26>> We use Orange, Ma'am.
- 1:27>> Okay, you use Orange with Mr. Agung. My
- 1:29former boss. That's why he even said, "
- 1:34Mbinda, just teach data analytics." Hmm
- 1:38. We'll see, Sir, it depends on the
- 1:41assignment. So, not everyone has
- 1:46experience with Stata. That's why if
- 1:51you want to know more, you'll have to
- 1:55try using Stata for the data you use in
- 1:58Orange so you can get familiar with it.
- 2:05Because if you don't, you won't get it.
- 2:09The questions from the last two years
- 2:12might not appear again, and they
- 2:15probably won't be like this either
- 2:18because if they were, they wouldn't be
- 2:22approved. There is still a coordinator,
- 2:28I suddenly forgot. So, the coordinator
- 2:32has to sign off that these questions
- 2:34haven't been given before or in class
- 2:37like that. Okay, I'll start from the
- 2:42first one; if there's anything you
- 2:44don't understand, feel free to ask
- 2:47right away. Because I don't know how
- 2:52far your understanding goes. Okay. Now,
- 2:58in attachment A, there is a long output
- 3:02. Should we discuss the questions first
- 3:05or look at the attachment first?
- 3:15>> I think we could discuss the questions
- 3:17first, Ma'am. And look at the
- 3:18attachment simultaneously.
- 3:20>> Okay. Alright. Because this, these are
- 3:24at 13, 14, 15, that's the line number
- 3:27where it's used, right. Okay, down here
- 3:31is a long attachment from beginning to
- 3:33end. I'll scroll down for a moment so
- 3:37we can go through it. Now, this is it,
- 3:40right. Um the first thing you can
- 3:45cross-check is that you can read this.
- 3:48This is Podes data. What is Podes? Does
- 3:57anyone know? Most likely village
- 4:03potential. Is that it? Now, it has
- 4:08these main variables. There's
- 4:10malnutrition, there's poor. Although I
- 4:13don't know if this "poor" is the number
- 4:16of poor people or the poverty rate.
- 4:22Because there's no description here.
- 4:24There's KUD, there's micro, there's
- 4:28savings. Then what is this "others"? I
- 4:30don't know either. And even if you
- 4:33don't know, that's natural because the
- 4:35question itself already had, uh, what
- 4:38do you call it? Uh, below it, it
- 4:40immediately went 13, 14, 15, right?
- 4:43Wait, it seemed like someone asked
- 4:44earlier. Oh, the Research Methodology
- 4:56final exam question. Okay, I thought
- 4:59those of you who don't have it yet were
- 5:00asking. Then, uh, total cooperatives,
- 5:04there are KUDs, micro, savings, and
- 5:06others. It seems this is talking about
- 5:08cooperatives and then there are the
- 5:10costs. Then there is the gen ln
- 5:13malnutrition, there is gen ln. Ln, for
- 5:18those of you who don't know, ln is
- 5:20natural logarithm, excuse me. Now,
- 5:25natural logarithm is actually a
- 5:28logarithmic form of a number. What
- 5:31numbers are used here? The numbers used
- 5:34are malnutrition, the numbers used are
- 5:37poverty data, total cooperatives, and
- 5:40total cooperatives squared.
- 5:48>> What do you call it? From this, it
- 5:50means we have this. Now, the question
- 5:54above in 13 to 14 is, why does it use
- 5:58ln? Why does it need to be
- 6:00ln-transformed? Here is the first one.
- 6:07Why does data need to be ln-transformed
- 6:09? Usually, it's not at the beginning.
- 6:13So, in terms of process, data is
- 6:16ln-transformed if later, after being
- 6:18regressed, it has a problem. There is a
- 6:23problem in the classical assumption
- 6:25test called normality or, uh,
- 6:27heteroscedasticity. That is, if there
- 6:33is a problem. Second, for example,
- 6:36there's no mention of a problem, but
- 6:38it's still using ln. Why? Because we
- 6:41want to see the elasticity. So, using
- 6:47ln, uh, there are several reasons. The
- 6:51first one earlier was because after
- 6:53regressing with the original data, it
- 6:54turned out to have problems in the
- 6:56classical assumption test. Now, for
- 7:00those of you who don't know, there are
- 7:02four classical assumption tests. There
- 7:06is normality, there is
- 7:08multicollinearity, there is
- 7:13heteroscedasticity. The last one is
- 7:16autocorrelation. Uh, for example, if
- 7:22all assumptions are safe or haven't
- 7:25been tested yet, why still use ln? Why
- 7:28is that? It's possible. The second
- 7:30reason is because what we want to see
- 7:33is its elasticity. So, we want to know
- 7:38which one is more elastic, you still
- 7:44remember economically, uh, there are
- 7:47elastic and inelastic ones, and that
- 7:51matters to the government. Why? Because
- 7:55if, for example, an item's behavior is
- 7:58inelastic, whatever booster the
- 8:01government gives won't have an effect,
- 8:06because it is inelastic. But if it is
- 8:14elastic, once boosted, it can jump. The
- 8:20economic growth could potentially
- 8:22skyrocket, for example like that. That
- 8:25is the second one. Or the third one,
- 8:28why use ln? Because, uh, the data from
- 8:31all the data used has too far a
- 8:34distance. Distance is range. The others
- 8:40, uh, the numbers, for example, are
- 8:43percentages only from 0 to 100 or
- 8:45ratios, even only from 0 to 1. Now,
- 8:51here is data that reaches millions like
- 8:53, for example, assets or the data is,
- 8:59uh, in the thousands. These are very
- 9:04different, like that. That is the
- 9:06reason why we use ln, uh, why it is
- 9:09logarithmically transformed. Well, but
- 9:11here, the thing being asked isn't about
- 9:14the logarithm itself. What's being
- 9:16asked is why use + 1 before taking the
- 9:22logarithm. First, can all data, all
- 9:27variables be log-transformed? Actually,
- 9:32yes, but it is not recommended for data
- 9:35that is already in ratio or percentage
- 9:38form. That's one thing. Second, for
- 9:42data that has a value of 0 or is
- 9:45negative, like that. So, if asked why
- 9:54add the number 1 before calculating the
- 9:57logarithm? Most likely because
- 10:01malnutrition, poverty, and total
- 10:03cooperatives have zero values in them.
- 10:08Why? Because the logarithm of 0 has no
- 10:12result, you see. So, from that, the
- 10:25reason is so that it can get a value
- 10:32that represents that. That's the first
- 10:38one. Second, no data is lost. It
- 10:45doesn't mean "lost" as in you deleted
- 10:48it, but it could be deleted by Stata
- 10:51automatically. If there's no plus 1,
- 10:55for example, gen len malnutrition
- 10:57equals ln open-bracket malnutrition. If
- 11:03it turns out there's zero data, after
- 11:05line 13, it will surely show something
- 11:08like 10 missing values. What does that
- 11:12mean? It means there will be 10 pieces
- 11:15of data whose malnutrition content is
- 11:18gone. Now, when it's gone, it becomes a
- 11:23missing value. It could mean it no
- 11:26longer depicts the whole picture, like
- 11:33that. So, in terms of data analysis,
- 11:39it's better to use plus one. That is so
- 11:42that the data can be representative.
- 11:50Because, for instance, in total
- 11:51cooperatives, there's one region that,
- 11:54oh, it turns out it has no cooperatives
- 11:56, so the sum result is still zero, well
- 11:58, that's just how it is. Most likely,
- 12:02this quantity—well, not quantity, the
- 12:04minimum value is definitely zero.
- 12:07Because if it's negative, adding 1
- 12:10might not be enough yet. So it's most
- 12:14likely because the data contains zero
- 12:16values. Any questions so far? If there
- 12:33aren't any, what are the implications?
- 12:41What are the implications? Uh,
- 12:46statistically, what is it? If there's a
- 12:53+ 1, it means we are shifting by one
- 12:58point. Everything increases by one. The
- 13:03minimum value should be 0. Then finally
- 13:07, the minimum value becomes one because
- 13:10of the plus. And usually, statistically
- 13:19, the most visible implication is that
- 13:25the data increases by one. So if the
- 13:32original data, for example, the total
- 13:35cooperatives was 100, after adding 1,
- 13:39the total cooperatives becomes 101. So,
- 13:45statistically, that's how it is
- 13:48regarding the zero value so it can be
- 13:52log-transformed. Then what else?
- 13:57Because usually, when adding one, how
- 14:03do I draw it? Do you guys know the bell
- 14:09curve? The one shaped like this. Now,
- 14:17when there's a + 1 or a 0 value,
- 14:20usually the curve isn't symmetrical in
- 14:23the middle like this, but it will be
- 14:26more like this. Like that. It is skewed
- 14:37to the right. I hope I'm not drawing it
- 14:43wrong. If I draw it wrong later, feel
- 14:45free to correct me. I don't have a
- 14:47problem with that. Okay. So that is one
- 14:53of, what do you call it, statistically,
- 14:58the data that was more right-skewed
- 15:03changes because of that plus one. Now,
- 15:13what about the interpretation? What is
- 15:16meant by substantive? Substantive is
- 15:18basically interpretation, right? Well,
- 15:21interpretation is more towards when you
- 15:24interpret the natural logarithm itself.
- 15:29Why? Because, as I said earlier, why
- 15:32use a natural logarithm? Because we
- 15:35want to talk about elasticity. Now,
- 15:37when talking about elasticity, it
- 15:39depends on the coefficient. Whether the
- 15:42coefficient is greater than 1, equal to
- 15:451, or less than 1, like that. So, in
- 15:58terms of transformation, the
- 16:01statistical implication is not just
- 16:04from the plus sign, but the statistical
- 16:07and substantive implications of the
- 16:10natural logarithm, like that. So,
- 16:15earlier, statistically, the natural
- 16:17logarithm was more towards the data,
- 16:23and then more towards the data
- 16:25distribution related to normality. Then
- 16:31, from the heteroskedasticity side, it
- 16:34means the variance is diverse, which is
- 16:38why it is natural logged. Now,
- 16:41substantively, it is more towards the
- 16:43interpretation. Because if the
- 16:47coefficient of a variable has a "ln" in
- 16:50front of it, whatever the unit is—for
- 16:53example, total cooperatives, the unit
- 16:56would be, say, five cooperatives. Now,
- 17:01once you use "ln" total cooperatives,
- 17:03the unit becomes a percentage. That is
- 17:08why what is often read, or what is
- 17:11often used, is elasticity. Is there
- 17:16anything you want to ask before I
- 17:18proceed to number two? None. If there
- 17:28isn't, I will go to number two. So,
- 17:33there is output below, from 23 to 24,
- 17:37there is global Y malnutrition, global
- 17:41X ln poverty, and global Z. Okay. Now,
- 17:53what does this mean? Explain the
- 17:55regression equation form and the
- 17:57command. Which one is the regression
- 17:59equation? The regression equation is
- 18:03the one at number 33, the RE. But the
- 18:07global command means it creates a
- 18:11symbol; instead of typing "ln
- 18:13malnutrition," it's better to type Y.
- 18:20So, global replaces this malnutrition
- 18:23variable with the symbol Y, like that.
- 18:30Why? Because Stata is case-sensitive.
- 18:35You might have written "ln malnutrition
- 18:37" correctly. But if you use a capital
- 18:40L. Then a red command will surely
- 18:42appear: variable not found. Why?
- 18:49Because the L is a capital L. So, to
- 18:51overcome typos between capital and
- 18:53lowercase letters, the global command
- 18:56is used. So, it has Y as malnutrition,
- 19:01X as poverty, ln poverty, Z1 as total
- 19:04cooperatives, and Z2 as total
- 19:06cooperatives squared. Then C, what is
- 19:12CTRL? Most likely, my assumption is
- 19:14that this control means, what is it?
- 19:17Control variable. The control variable
- 19:19is ln total schools. Now, what does the
- 19:27regression become? Regression of Z1 on
- 19:31X and Control. So, who is the dependent
- 19:36variable? Z1. Why use the dollar sign?
- 19:41Yes. If you use a global name, or use a
- 19:45global command, when calling a variable
- 19:47, you need to write a dollar sign in
- 19:50front of it. So, you cannot just write
- 19:55Z1 X Ctrl; it won't be found. Stata
- 20:01will later say variable not found.
- 20:03Because in the variable section, there
- 20:05is no Z1 variable; there is a
- 20:07ln_total_cooperatives variable. There
- 20:11is no X variable; there is a ln_poor
- 20:13variable. Why did it change to this?
- 20:17Because above, it has been given
- 20:20symbols; ln_poor is symbolized by the
- 20:23letter X, and total cooperatives by Z1.
- 20:31Like that. Then, describe the meaning
- 20:34of each variable in the context of the
- 20:36relationship between cooperatives,
- 20:37poverty, and education on malnutrition
- 20:39rates. Well, you just need to connect
- 20:44these according to the knowledge you
- 20:48have. What is the relationship between
- 20:50cooperatives and malnutrition? What is
- 20:52the relationship between poverty and
- 20:53malnutrition? What is the relationship
- 20:56between education and malnutrition?
- 20:57Like that. Does anyone want to try
- 21:01explaining the relationship between
- 21:03cooperatives, poverty, and education?
- 21:08>> Uh, excuse me, Ma'am. Does this mean
- 21:10the relationship in general terms,
- 21:11Ma'am? We don't need to look at the
- 21:13estimation results from Stata down
- 21:15there? No, not yet. This is just for
- 21:22each variable. So, honestly, if I call
- 21:26this your prior knowledge. What, in
- 21:29your opinion, is the relationship
- 21:31between cooperatives and malnutrition?
- 21:35Oh, if it turns out the relationship is
- 21:37A, then fine. Later, the Stata results
- 21:41will confirm whether or not it matches
- 21:44what you predicted. Simply put, it's
- 21:49like you are trying to state your
- 21:51hypothesis. Although in the context of
- 21:55research methodology, this should be
- 21:57constructed. Constructed means there
- 22:01are foundations, literature books, or
- 22:04journals for it. But this is an exam,
- 22:10you can't open books or look for
- 22:12journals, right? So, it's based on the
- 22:15prior knowledge you have. How do you
- 22:19think the relationship is? Does anyone
- 22:20want to try? Cooperatives, poverty,
- 22:23education?
- 22:25>> Uh, maybe I'd like to try, Ma'am. If
- 22:27>> it's allowed, please go ahead.
- 22:29Cooperatives should be able to reduce
- 22:31malnutrition rates because the
- 22:33assumption is that they can buy
- 22:36>> nutrients at the cooperative. Then, if
- 22:39>> okay
- 22:41>> Poverty can increase malnutrition,
- 22:43assuming that the residents are unable
- 22:47to buy healthy, nutritious food. And
- 22:51education can reduce malnutrition rates
- 22:54because when a family has education
- 22:57about what food is good or healthy,
- 23:00they can choose food that can avoid
- 23:03that malnutrition.
- 23:06>> Okay, nice. Like that. So, you just
- 23:10need to provide your explanation. Don't
- 23:15just say cooperatives increase or
- 23:19education decreases, for example, but
- 23:23explain it like what Azani just said,
- 23:27why that is the case. Okay, I will
- 23:32continue. Number T. Oh, this is on a
- 23:35separate page again. Okay, here we have
- 23:40the command estat hettest. Now, for
- 23:45those of you who don't know, earlier I
- 23:47mentioned that you should have all
- 23:52studied statistics, right? When you get
- 23:55regression results from your statistics
- 23:58, can you use them right away? Actually
- 24:01, no. Because you need to satisfy the
- 24:04classical assumption tests first. As I
- 24:08said at the beginning, there are four:
- 24:11normality, multicollinearity,
- 24:13heteroskedasticity, and autocorrelation
- 24:16. Now, the estat hettest command here
- 24:22is used to test for heteroskedasticity.
- 24:31It says Breusch-Pagan and Cook-Weisberg
- 24:33, who are the people that developed the
- 24:36test formula. Where is the result? The
- 24:41result is right down here. There. So,
- 24:46when you are asked to explain what is
- 24:48being tested, this means we are testing
- 24:51for heteroskedasticity. What is the
- 24:55hypothesis? The hypothesis is H0 is
- 25:00homoskedasticity, or no
- 25:03heteroskedasticity. H1 is
- 25:07heteroskedasticity. Let me repeat that.
- 25:14H0 is homoskedasticity, or in other
- 25:18words, no. No means there is no
- 25:21heteroskedasticity. Meanwhile, H1 is
- 25:26heteroskedasticity, or there is
- 25:28heteroskedasticity. So, the next
- 25:36question is, based on the probability
- 25:38value, which one is the probability?
- 25:40The one down here. Based on this value,
- 25:44what is the conclusion of the test
- 25:46result? Before reaching a conclusion,
- 25:50there is a decision first. Our
- 25:54threshold for H0 and H1 gives us only
- 25:57two choices: reject H0 or fail to
- 26:00reject H0. Now, the threshold is the
- 26:06alpha. The alpha commonly used is 5%.
- 26:120.00 means it is less than 5%. So, do
- 26:18we reject H0 or fail to reject H0?
- 26:21Reject H0.
- 26:23>> Okay. Reject H0, so the decision is to
- 26:26reject H0. What is the conclusion? If
- 26:30we reject H0, which one was true, H0 or
- 26:32H1? Earlier, the truth was H0 is no
- 26:42hetero. H0 is no hetero, right?
- 26:46>> H1 is there is hetero. From the result
- 26:51of 0.00, the decision was to reject H0.
- 26:55So, does that mean the conclusion is
- 26:57there is hetero or not?
- 27:00>> There is hetero.
- 27:01>> Yes.
- 27:02>> Exactly. There is hetero. So, what is
- 27:07the conclusion then? Distinguish
- 27:08between the two. Don't answer "reject
- 27:10H0" when you are asked for a conclusion
- 27:12. That is a decision, not a conclusion.
- 27:17The conclusion is that the model still
- 27:21contains heteroskedasticity, or it
- 27:24failed the heteroskedasticity test.
- 27:28What is the implication for the
- 27:30regression model being used? The
- 27:32implication. Well, I have to explain
- 27:36heteroscedasticity then. Okay. Uh, what
- 27:41is it called? Long story short, hetero
- 27:45is, uh, expecting from the model that
- 27:53it has the same bell shape. Earlier,
- 28:00those bells can be skewed to the right,
- 28:05skewed to the left, flat, or very steep
- 28:09. If I draw it, for instance, this is
- 28:14the normal one, but there are some that
- 28:18can be flat like this. Like that. Some
- 28:25drawings can be very steep. Is that
- 28:28possible? It is. So, if in one dataset
- 28:33you have all three, it means it is
- 28:36heteroskedastic. It is not uniform.
- 28:42Well, the expectation in a model is
- 28:44that it is uniform. It doesn't have to
- 28:47be uniformly flat, or middle-ground, or
- 28:49very sharp. No. It doesn't have to be
- 28:50like that. Any of them is fine. For
- 28:53example, if you want the data to be
- 28:55like this, that's okay. As long as they
- 28:57all lean to the right like this, that
- 29:03is called homoskedasticity. So, what
- 29:09happens to the model? In the model, it
- 29:13means, uh, it is diverse, the variance
- 29:20between, uh, the error and the
- 29:24variables. Then what happens to the
- 29:31model if it still contains
- 29:33heteroskedasticity? What happens is
- 29:40when uh, what do you call it? A model
- 29:46always has what is called a standard
- 29:48error. Now, the standard error usually
- 29:51becomes more biased. Like that. Now,
- 29:58when the standard error is biased, it
- 30:01means most likely the coefficients are
- 30:06not not stable, or rather the
- 30:11coefficients cannot be used because
- 30:13they are still biased, so the
- 30:15interpretation of the coefficients
- 30:18becomes, uh, ambiguous or could even be
- 30:21inconsistent. with, uh, reality as such
- 30:27. That is why it is necessary to, uh,
- 30:34check the autocorrelation results, the
- 30:38heteroskedasticity results, because if
- 30:41those are not met, then, uh, the
- 30:44regression needs to be fixed first.
- 30:49First, the error usually becomes larger
- 30:51. Second, uh, the coefficients cannot
- 30:56be used directly. Usually those two
- 31:00things. What is visible, uh, not always
- 31:10, but usually, uh, what is visible is
- 31:13that the R-squared is small, usually.
- 31:20Like that. So even if, for instance,
- 31:26the coefficients are interpreted, when
- 31:28applied to the real world, they become
- 31:31misleading. That is why, as I said,
- 31:35because the error is too large, it
- 31:38becomes ambiguous or misleading, like
- 31:40that. Is there anything you want to ask
- 31:45before I continue to number 4? Okay, if
- 32:07there isn't, I will continue. Number
- 32:10four, this, uh, comment above has a
- 32:13comment like this. Why is the global
- 32:18one always shown when the intention was
- 32:21only to ask about this regression? Yes,
- 32:24because we need to know who Y is, who
- 32:27Z1 is, who Z2 is, and who the control
- 32:31is. Now, from this equation, the
- 32:34question is which one undergoes a
- 32:36quadratic transformation. Which one
- 32:41undergoes a quadratic transformation?
- 32:43Does anyone know? Ln total cooperative
- 32:554.
- 32:57>> Which one?
- 32:58>> The ln total cooperative 2 that is
- 33:00squared.
- 33:01>> L I, okay, ln total cooperative 2,
- 33:03which is Z2, right?
- 33:05>> Yes, Ma'am.
- 33:06>> Yes, because Z2 is ln total cooperative
- 33:09squared. How do you know? You can look
- 33:12below or up here earlier, here it is,
- 33:14here it is. Z2. Above, uh, below
- 33:24earlier. Then write down the regression
- 33:28equation based on the estimation
- 33:31results in stage 2A. So what are these
- 33:33results? If the question is, uh, the
- 33:38regression based on these estimation
- 33:41results, it means you have to go down,
- 33:44go to the results on line 45. Where is
- 33:48line 45? This one. This is what you
- 33:52write. So which is the regression
- 33:55equation? The one right here. What is
- 34:00the equation? Ln malnutrition equals
- 34:040.29. Uh, this goes back to your
- 34:07respective lecturers, yes. Your
- 34:09lecturers prefer how many decimal
- 34:11places. If, for example, two digits,
- 34:15then uh 0.3 because this is 29, if
- 34:18rounded it becomes 0.3. Then plus 0.007
- 34:28or to keep it all three digits, that
- 34:31means ln malnutrition = 0.297 + 0.007*
- 34:37ln total cooperatives + 0.06 8 or 069
- 34:44ln total cooperatives squared + 0.0098
- 34:51that means 0.01 ln total schools. This
- 34:56is the equation that answers number 4.
- 35:06I'll go back up first here, yes. Here,
- 35:11based on the regression coefficients
- 35:13obtained, what is the shape of the
- 35:15squared variable curve? So what is the
- 35:18shape of the curve? Earlier, was
- 35:24variable Z2 positive or negative?
- 35:34>> Positive, Ma'am.
- 35:35>> Now, if it's positive, if asked what
- 35:38the image looks like for a quadratic,
- 35:41the image must be a parabola. It just
- 35:47depends on the coefficient. If the
- 35:48coefficient is positive, does that mean
- 35:50the parabola opens upward or downward?
- 35:54Now, try to remember your high school
- 35:56lessons when you learned quadratic
- 35:58equations. Come on, if it's positive,
- 36:00does it open upward or downward?
- 36:10>> Upward, Ma'am. Like a U shape.
- 36:12>> Okay. U shape. Okay, that's it. Then
- 36:20what's the next question? Wait, let me
- 36:22go back to number 4 here. Explain the
- 36:28shape of the curve in the context of
- 36:30the relationship between the number of
- 36:32cooperatives and the level of
- 36:33malnutrition. So, what does that mean?
- 36:44Y is malnutrition, right. So if you
- 36:46have a Cartesian coordinate axis, you
- 36:50will have something like this. This is
- 36:55malnutrition this is Y, and here is Z2
- 37:02like that. If it has a shape like this,
- 37:06then what does it mean in the context
- 37:08of the relationship between ln total
- 37:10cooperatives and uh malnutrition? So,
- 37:19uh, what is the condition of the
- 37:21cooperatives? If the number of
- 37:23cooperatives increases, what is the
- 37:28addition of the number of cooperatives
- 37:30to Y like? Here, it adds one point, it
- 37:34goes down by the amount of its power
- 37:42until it reaches the lowest point here,
- 37:48at what point? Now, what is the
- 37:53implication of this relationship shape
- 37:55for cooperative development in reducing
- 37:57malnutrition? So what needs to be done?
- 38:02What do you think if the cooperatives
- 38:05are left to run on their own? Uh, one
- 38:08moment. Okay, sorry, uh, I'm reminding
- 38:28my child to perform Asr prayer first.
- 38:33Now, this is what you need to
- 38:34cross-check. Because why? If the
- 38:37cooperatives are left to run on their
- 38:39own until a certain stage, they will
- 38:45reduce it, right? like that. Reduce
- 38:52malnutrition, but at another stage,
- 38:54they actually increase malnutrition.
- 38:56Right? So what must you have? You want
- 39:01more cooperatives, but malnutrition
- 39:03also rises. Now, that goes back to you
- 39:08on how to explain it okay. Both are
- 39:13mandates. like that, yes. So, uh, look
- 39:19at it visually. So it doesn't just stop
- 39:23at the uh coefficient. Oh, the
- 39:28coefficient is 0.007 for example. I
- 39:31don't remember what it was earlier. Oh,
- 39:34well, if the cooperatives increase,
- 39:37then the malnutrition will also
- 39:39increase by 0.007, like that. Now, how
- 39:45should we look at this first? Because
- 39:49if we're talking about total school
- 39:50cooperatives, they have a behavior like
- 39:51this. Even though when there is a
- 39:55quadratic like this, it cannot be
- 39:58discussed on its own, right? Why?
- 40:02Because there is a total of
- 40:03cooperatives that is not squared. So,
- 40:08it means we have ax² + bx + c, right?
- 40:15Well, those cannot be discussed
- 40:16separately, right? They must be
- 40:17discussed together. Both must be
- 40:21addressed because they are both total
- 40:22cooperatives. Linearly the effect is
- 40:26like this, non-linearly the quadratic
- 40:28effect is like that. So, you must have
- 40:35an idea of what aspect you want to
- 40:38discuss. If you want to limit it,
- 40:41roughly to what extent? Or, "Ma'am, we
- 40:45can't find the numbers because we don't
- 40:46have the data." Fine, then how will you
- 40:49present it here? Because you must know
- 40:53that, oh, at a certain point, when the
- 40:55number of cooperatives increases, it
- 40:57turns out malnutrition also increases.
- 41:01Okay, that's number four. Is there
- 41:03anything else you want to ask? If there
- 41:08isn't, I'll delete it. I'll move on to
- 41:11number 5. Now, this is number 5, there
- 41:17is a STA VIF command. What diagnostic
- 41:21test is performed with the STAT VIF
- 41:23command? As I mentioned earlier, there
- 41:28are 4 classic assumption tests, and VIF
- 41:31is for multicollinearity. Like that. So
- 41:38VIF is an assumption test related to
- 41:41multicollinearity. Why do we need to
- 41:45perform a multicollinearity test?
- 41:48Because we need to know if there is a
- 41:51relationship between X1, X2, X3, and X4
- 41:53. Is it not allowed, Ma'am? To have a
- 41:58relationship? It is allowed. But the
- 42:01relationship cannot be linear. That's
- 42:07why if you look down, let me scroll
- 42:09down first. It was 47, if I'm not
- 42:13mistaken. Now, this VIF, does it mean
- 42:16there is a relationship? There is a
- 42:19relationship. Because when there is a
- 42:22value, it means there is a relationship
- 42:25between the first total cooperatives,
- 42:27the second total cooperatives, and
- 42:29total schools. But the relationship is
- 42:33not not very linear or not very strong.
- 42:40That's why, where is the threshold? The
- 42:42threshold for VIF is 10. If the VIF is
- 42:5210, or if the VIF is above 10, then it
- 42:55has a multicollinearity problem. As
- 43:01long as it is below 10, it is free from
- 43:04multicollinearity problems or, in other
- 43:07words, it passes the multicollinearity
- 43:10test. So, is there still a relationship
- 43:14? Yes. But the relationship is not, not
- 43:17very strong. Like, for example, you
- 43:20guys, uh more than 20 people, for
- 43:24instance, you have a relationship with
- 43:26each other, right? I have a
- 43:28relationship with you, right? But it's
- 43:30not very strong. Roughly speaking, if,
- 43:35uh, one friend leaves, not everyone
- 43:37else follows and leaves, right? Well,
- 43:42it's that simple. It's different if the
- 43:46relationship is very strong, then if
- 43:48one friend leaves, everyone leaves.
- 43:51Well, that means the relationship could
- 43:54be more than 10 in terms of VIF. Then
- 44:03what else? Wait, let me scroll up. Oh,
- 44:07I missed it. Based on the VIF values
- 44:11shown, how do you assess whether or not
- 44:13there is a testing problem in the model
- 44:15? Earlier I already told you that for
- 44:18VIF, the threshold is 10. Like that. So
- 44:22, from 10, that means Because the
- 44:28average result was three, looking at
- 44:30the mean is fine, or if you want to
- 44:32look at each variable individually, you
- 44:34are welcome to do so. But if you want
- 44:38to see it quickly, you can just look at
- 44:40the average. Since the average is three
- 44:42, it means it is below 10. This means
- 44:45there is no multicollinearity issue in
- 44:48the proposed model. Explain your
- 44:52reasoning. Yes, you need to explain it.
- 44:56Uh, is there a relationship between
- 44:58total schools and total schools squared
- 45:00? Yes. But the relationship is
- 45:02quadratic, not linear, right? Yes,
- 45:03isn't it? Because total schools is x,
- 45:07and total schools squared—uh, total
- 45:10schools 2—is x². Meanwhile,
- 45:12multicollinearity becomes significant
- 45:14if the relationship is linear. Simply
- 45:18put, if you are told to do A, you do A;
- 45:20if you are told to do B, you do B. Oh,
- 45:22directly. Well, that becomes very
- 45:25linear. So, explain that, and what was
- 45:28the other one again? Total schools. The
- 45:31other one. What was the other one? Oh,
- 45:41wait. That was wrong. Total
- 45:43cooperatives. Are total cooperatives
- 45:46and total cooperatives squared related?
- 45:48Yes, but the relationship is non-linear
- 45:50. Meanwhile, is there any relationship
- 45:52between total cooperatives and total
- 45:55schools? Yes. There is no relationship,
- 45:58Ma'am. Schools are schools, and
- 46:00cooperatives are cooperatives. Unless
- 46:01it were a canteen. If it were a canteen
- 46:03, every school might have one. So, like
- 46:05that. Well, that is what you need to
- 46:08write down, since you don't have a
- 46:10basis and weren't provided with journal
- 46:12attachments either. So, what is the
- 46:15logic you use regarding the
- 46:17relationship between total schools and
- 46:20cooperatives? If it's just with
- 46:23cooperatives, the relationship is
- 46:26clearly distant, Ma'am. For instance,
- 46:29there could be five schools in one
- 46:32village but only one cooperative. So,
- 46:39there is no relationship regardless of
- 46:41whether the number of schools increases
- 46:42or not. So, that is what you all need
- 46:48to explain. Then, explain the
- 46:50relationship between those test results
- 46:52and the reliability of interpreting the
- 46:53regression coefficients in this
- 46:58analysis. From the side of the
- 47:01regression results for
- 47:03multicollinearity, if it is already
- 47:06safe, then each variable is reliable.
- 47:10What does reliable mean? It means
- 47:13dependable, usable; it's okay to use
- 47:16directly because it has passed the
- 47:19classical assumption test. In other
- 47:25words, if you have heard of BLUE—Best
- 47:32Linear Unbiased Estimator—it means
- 47:35the model obtained is already BLUE.
- 47:41That's it. Why? Because, uh, if it
- 47:47doesn't pass the multicollinearity test
- 47:50, the model might still be BLUE, but,
- 47:53um, not quite. The downside of
- 47:59multicollinearity—if there is a
- 48:00multicollinearity issue—is that it is
- 48:02difficult to use for prediction. Why is
- 48:05it difficult to use for prediction?
- 48:07Because...He...Where? Okay. Earlier,
- 48:22after eating, he was asked to talk
- 48:24about animals. Just got back from the
- 48:26mosque, he said, "I ran, I was chased
- 48:28by a monitor lizard." Okay, very well.
- 48:32That's why he paused here. Sorry, that
- 48:35was an intermezzo. So, that is related
- 48:38to the coefficients. So, if it is safe
- 48:41from multicollinearity, it is safe to
- 48:45be inferred. What is inference? If you
- 48:48want to interpret it, it can be used
- 48:51directly. That's it. Why? Because, er,
- 48:57it's settled; there is a relationship,
- 48:59but it’s not pulling against each
- 49:01other. Simply put, that's it. The last
- 49:06one, okay. The last one, number 6. Er,
- 49:10please look at the combined regression
- 49:12table on lines 767. There are three
- 49:15regression models. 1, 2, 3. What can
- 49:19you what can you conclude? Okay. The
- 49:24influence of the poverty variable.
- 49:26Meaning the poverty variable, right. Uh
- 49:27, wait a minute. Is this a question or
- 49:29information? Okay, if there were
- 49:31symptoms in the heteroskedasticity test
- 49:34, they can be overcome by using natural
- 49:37logarithms. What if there are symptoms
- 49:39of multicollinearity? Is there a way to
- 49:42overcome it, Ma'am, besides removing
- 49:44one of the variables that has symptoms?
- 49:47If the case makes it hard to find a
- 49:50replacement variable, or if removing it
- 49:52leaves too few independent variables,
- 49:54causing the R-squared to become low.
- 49:57There is there is a way. Like that.
- 50:01There definitely is, er, er, what? But
- 50:04I can't give an example, er, what is it
- 50:07, Mas Fauzan. So, it's true what Mas
- 50:11Fauzan said, if there are symptoms of
- 50:13multicollinearity, the first solution
- 50:15is, er, not just removing the variable.
- 50:18The main solution that Mas Fauzan
- 50:20mentioned afterward is looking for not
- 50:24looking for a replacement variable, but
- 50:27looking for other indicators for that
- 50:29variable. For example, here we use,
- 50:32there's poverty, right. As I mentioned
- 50:34earlier, I don't know if this poverty
- 50:37is the number of poor people or the
- 50:39poverty rate like that. If you use the
- 50:44number of poor people and it turns out
- 50:46to be multicollinear, try changing it
- 50:47to the poverty rate, like that. That's
- 50:50the first one. The second, you can add
- 50:53other variables or, er, remove them.
- 50:57Why add or remove? Because it could be
- 51:00that once another variable is added,
- 51:03the multicollinearity isn't high, the
- 51:05relationship isn't high, like that. But
- 51:09if it turns out you can't, er, if you
- 51:10want to remove it, Ma'am, there are
- 51:12only three variables, if one is removed
- 51:13, only two are left, that's very little
- 51:15. Well, there is a solution called mean
- 51:18centering like that. Er, er, I don't
- 51:24know if you were taught this in
- 51:25Research Methods, because these kinds
- 51:27of solutions should be discussed in
- 51:29Research Methods, right. Because when I
- 51:32teach econometrics in the Master of
- 51:34Notary program, the solutions aren't
- 51:36taught in econometrics. The solutions
- 51:39taught are the same as what Mas Fauzan
- 51:40knows. If you have to look for other
- 51:44indicators, add variables, remove
- 51:45variables, like that. You aren't told,
- 51:48er, the others. Because the focus is
- 51:50really on you understanding the context
- 51:52first, like that. So if there is a way,
- 51:54there is something called mean
- 51:56centering, like that. But I can't, er,
- 51:58explain it because it would become too
- 52:00long-winded while we want to discuss
- 52:02this. But if you really want to ask or
- 52:05have a case that requires Mas Fauzan to
- 52:08ask, feel free, okay, to contact me.
- 52:11It's just, er, what I can give as a
- 52:14hint is that it's called mean centering
- 52:17. So you, like, er, earlier, for
- 52:20example, we have long poverty data here
- 52:22. Now, we find the average. After that,
- 52:26each piece of data is subtracted by its
- 52:28average. Then the result is what we use
- 52:33for the regression. So poverty that has
- 52:37been mean-centered, like that, then
- 52:40malnutrition that has been
- 52:42mean-centered, like that. I hope that
- 52:45answers your question, Mr. Fauzan. Okay
- 52:50, if that's clear, I'll move on to
- 52:52number 6. Number 6, earlier at line 77.
- 53:08Here it is. Can you guys see this? This
- 53:21uh, there are three results. What
- 53:26distinguishes them? What distinguishes
- 53:29this number 1 is whose Y is it? Its Y
- 53:33is poor coop. I don't understand why
- 53:39its Y is poor coop. It has to be read
- 53:43from the top. The title is poor coop.
- 53:48This is mal coop mal poor. We'll
- 53:50cross-check later whose Y this is. Wait
- 53:54, let's just go up to the top, at least
- 53:56the last one. This is ln malnutrition.
- 54:04Ln malnutrition. Where are the other
- 54:13variable results? This is stage 2A.
- 54:16This is also ln malnutrition. It seems
- 54:22to be the same. This is stage one. Oh,
- 54:27this is total cooperatives. This is
- 54:31stage 1. Whose Y is this? You guys need
- 54:40to cross-check, okay. Whose Y it is.
- 54:44This is the estimate store for stage 2A
- 54:46. This is the Y, right here in the
- 54:50corner, this Y, the one in this box, is
- 54:53ln malnutrition, the Y for stage 2A
- 54:56using quadratic OLS. Then there is
- 54:59another regression result here. This is
- 55:05ln malnutrition. This is 2 SLS. Ln poor
- 55:11and total schools. This is stage 2B.
- 55:16Are there any more regressions? This is
- 55:21not one. This is you have and it wasn't
- 55:24saved. Now, okay. So it's here, right.
- 55:31If you look here at the top, you can
- 55:33see. Uh, so, uh, if if you want to see
- 55:36where this actually is, ma'am? You look
- 55:41at the sequence here, in the results
- 55:44sequence, look for the one that says
- 55:46estimate store. Estimate store stage 2B
- 55:50. So this is in number 3. So what is
- 55:56stage 2B? Quadratic 2 SLS. This uses a
- 56:01star. This star is not a comment. This
- 56:05star is just to indicate that this is
- 56:07stage 2B, what is it talking about?
- 56:09Quadratic 2 SLS. So it's not just OLS,
- 56:16there is 2 SLS, there is 3 SLS as well,
- 56:19like that. So you look here, there's
- 56:22estimate store stage 2B. So whose Y is
- 56:26it? The Y is malnutrition. Because,
- 56:28wait, let me show you guys first.
- 56:32Estimate store stage 2A here. Whose Y
- 56:35is it? The Y is also ln malnutrition,
- 56:37so what distinguishes it? Stage 2A is
- 56:40quadratic OLS. Then where is the other
- 56:44one? Earlier there was an estimate
- 56:46store stage 1 label. Now, in estimate
- 56:54store stage 1, whose Y is it? The Y is
- 56:57the same. Uh, the Y is different. Sorry
- 57:02. Here, total cooperatives, this is the
- 57:05one that's different. This is total
- 57:09cooperatives. So when looking at this,
- 57:14you guys need to be careful because the
- 57:16previous question was how is the effect
- 57:19of poverty on each dependent variable,
- 57:22right? Now, the dependent variable is
- 57:27not poor coop, not mal coop, not mal
- 57:29poor, no. The dependent variable. You
- 57:34guys must look up to see what the
- 57:35dependent variable is earlier. In this
- 57:39first one, it turns out the dependent
- 57:42variable is—let me write it here—if
- 57:45I’m wrong, please remind me, I think
- 57:48it was cooperatives. Like that. Total
- 57:55cooperatives, if I’m not mistaken.
- 57:58Total cooperatives. There. Meanwhile,
- 58:03in the second and the third ones here,
- 58:06the Y is the same, which is
- 58:08malnutrition. I put this in the middle
- 58:11because they—oh my goodness, can this
- 58:13be moved? Hmm. My mistake, I meant to
- 58:19move this. So, I placed this in the
- 58:22middle so that for these 2 and 3, the Y
- 58:25is malnutrition. So, the Y is not
- 58:28cooperatives for poverty, not
- 58:29malnutrition for cooperatives, not
- 58:31malnutrition for poverty. You all must
- 58:34return them to their original state.
- 58:41Now, the question was, if I recall
- 58:43correctly—or if others want to remind
- 58:46me while I'm at it—how does poverty
- 58:48influence each of these dependent
- 58:50variables from these three results, if
- 58:53I'm not mistaken. So, how is it in the
- 58:59first equation? The first equation is
- 59:01this one, right? Which one is the
- 59:04coefficient? The coefficient is this
- 59:07one, 0.054 is the coefficient. So, if
- 59:13the hypothesis talks about influence,
- 59:14what is the influence? The influence is
- 59:16positive. Is it significant or not
- 59:19significant? How do you know? There are
- 59:22these stars. The stars represent the
- 59:29level of significance. It's noted here,
- 59:33if there’s only one star, it means
- 59:35it’s significant at 10%. In other
- 59:38words, it uses an alpha of 10%. If
- 59:42there are two stars, it’s significant
- 59:44at 5%. Like what we usually use in
- 59:47statistics, an alpha of 5%, you know.
- 59:51If there are three stars, it’s
- 59:53significant at 1%. So, the influence of
- 59:57poverty on total cooperatives is
- 1:00:01positive and significant. Like that.
- 1:00:09Then, in the second equation, can it be
- 1:00:11checked? No, it can't, because in the
- 1:00:14second equation, there is no poverty
- 1:00:16variable. In the third variable, what
- 1:00:24is the relationship or influence of
- 1:00:27poverty on malnutrition? So, poverty
- 1:00:31has a positive and significant
- 1:00:33influence, both at 1%. That’s it.
- 1:00:40What else is the question? Can anyone
- 1:00:45show it to me? Or read it?
- 1:00:47>> The question is, what can you conclude
- 1:00:50regarding the influence of the ln
- 1:00:52poverty variable on the dependent
- 1:00:54variable based on the coefficients
- 1:00:57shown in columns 1 and 3, Ma'am?
- 1:01:00>> And why are the ln poverty coefficient
- 1:01:02values different between the two
- 1:01:03columns even though the variables
- 1:01:05tested are the same?
- 1:01:07>> Okay, very well. Okay, first, how about
- 1:01:12the coefficient? When talking about
- 1:01:16coefficients, it comes back to
- 1:01:22interpretation. Here, it uses a natural
- 1:01:26logarithm. Meanwhile, the Y is total
- 1:01:29cooperatives. The Y above here for
- 1:01:32total cooperatives, is it also a
- 1:01:34natural logarithm? Wait, let me go up
- 1:01:38first. Because if the Y is also a
- 1:01:41natural logarithm, then it’s safe. If
- 1:01:45not, then I have to add another
- 1:01:47explanation. Oh yes, it’s the same,
- 1:01:50ln total cooperatives, both use ln.
- 1:01:52Malnutrition also uses ln. Wait,
- 1:01:56scrolling up first. So what does this
- 1:01:59mean? Oh, it means if poverty increases
- 1:02:03by 1%. How do you know it's a percent,
- 1:02:09Ma'am? Because it uses ln. So when you
- 1:02:12guys change the coefficient—wait,
- 1:02:15change the variables into natural
- 1:02:18logarithms, the unit automatically
- 1:02:20becomes a percentage. So a 1%increase
- 1:02:24in poverty will increase total
- 1:02:27cooperatives by 0.05%. Meanwhile, in
- 1:02:33the third equation, a 1%increase in
- 1:02:35poverty will increase or will raise
- 1:02:39malnutrition by 0.1%. Like that, so uh
- 1:02:51automatically the influence of poverty
- 1:02:54will be greater on malnutrition
- 1:02:59compared to total cooperatives right?
- 1:03:04One is 0.1%, this one, uh, the total
- 1:03:07cooperatives is only 0.05%like that. So
- 1:03:12it has more influence on malnutrition,
- 1:03:14the effect is greater. Then why is it
- 1:03:18different? Yes, the first one is
- 1:03:20different because the dependent
- 1:03:22variables are clearly different right.
- 1:03:26The first reason is because the
- 1:03:28dependent variables are clearly
- 1:03:29different. One's dependent variable is
- 1:03:32total cooperatives, the other's is
- 1:03:33malnutrition. If they were the same,
- 1:03:36wouldn't it be a bit strange instead?
- 1:03:40Why would it be strange if they were
- 1:03:41the same, Ma'am? Yes, because the first
- 1:03:44one is uh it's a regular OLS while the
- 1:03:54third equation is 2SLS. So, the
- 1:04:00variables here, how do I explain 2SLS?
- 1:04:06Uh in terms of in terms of equations,
- 1:04:132SLS is like, for example, you have a
- 1:04:15first equation. The first equation is
- 1:04:20from X to Y like that. Then you have a
- 1:04:27second equation from Y to Z like that.
- 1:04:36Then what do you cross-check? You only
- 1:04:40cross-check from Y to Z. But inside it,
- 1:04:44you indicate that Y equals X. That's
- 1:04:49why—wait, let me close this first. If
- 1:04:52you guys go up here the result for the
- 1:04:58second stage A where was it? Stage 2A.
- 1:05:03Now, this one, for the quadratic, it's
- 1:05:07just y xx, right? This is the dependent
- 1:05:11variable, and these here are the
- 1:05:13independent ones. Meanwhile, for stage
- 1:05:162B you guys can see the dependent is Y
- 1:05:23and the independent seems to only be
- 1:05:26the controls, it seems. But actually,
- 1:05:34there is X. Now, this poverty X is
- 1:05:37depicted as another equation, which is
- 1:05:41cooperatives and cooperatives squared.
- 1:05:48See. So actually, there are two
- 1:05:50regressions. You first regress poverty
- 1:05:54with X as cooperatives and cooperatives
- 1:05:56squared. After that, the result of
- 1:06:00poverty is used as an independent
- 1:06:02variable along with control variables
- 1:06:05to measure malnutrition C, like that.
- 1:06:09So it's like this, but the first one is
- 1:06:12implicit and not visible. That's why
- 1:06:15it's put in parentheses here like that.
- 1:06:22So the first one is indeed a different
- 1:06:25dependent variable. The second one is
- 1:06:28because—oh, missed it. The second one
- 1:06:31is because the method is different. The
- 1:06:34first one uses the Ordinary Least
- 1:06:36Squares method, OLS. The second one
- 1:06:38uses the Two-Stage Least Squares method
- 1:06:40. So it's like having two equations.
- 1:06:45Not like, it actually has two equations
- 1:06:48, only one of them is run implicitly.
- 1:06:52Like in Indonesian, it's like implied
- 1:06:55versus explicit. What's explicit is
- 1:07:02only Y influencing Z. This is the
- 1:07:04second equation. But it is implied
- 1:07:08within it that Y is the result of a
- 1:07:11regression from X xxx xxx like that.
- 1:07:14That is allowed. Done there. Number 6.
- 1:07:29Okay, if you are ready Should we move
- 1:07:34on to qualitative, or is there anything
- 1:07:36you want to ask first or anything from
- 1:07:38these results that you don't understand
- 1:07:40yet? Because you won't be asked about
- 1:07:50that later. Is there anything? There is
- 1:07:57. Okay. If there isn't, I'll just add
- 1:08:19what's here. What's here earlier was
- 1:08:23only vif for multicollinearity, then
- 1:08:26hettest for heteroskedasticity, and one
- 1:08:29more here, numbers 48, 49. This is used
- 1:08:34for the normality test, even though it
- 1:08:40can't be concluded, it can't. That's
- 1:08:43why it didn't become a question because
- 1:08:44there's no prob. Right. So, as I said
- 1:08:54earlier, there are four; the ones that
- 1:08:58haven't been discussed are normality
- 1:09:01and autocorrelation. Now, for normality
- 1:09:04, the command here is sktest. This is
- 1:09:09for the residuals, and then there will
- 1:09:10be the results. Does the command always
- 1:09:13have to be sktest? No. The command can
- 1:09:15be swilk, the command can be sfrancia.
- 1:09:23So there are several commands,
- 1:09:25including hettest. Is the command
- 1:09:27really only hettest? No. There is the
- 1:09:29mtest command. There's a command I
- 1:09:37forgot because it once appeared on a
- 1:09:40research methods exam—was it for MKN
- 1:09:43or MAP? Because it appeared once, and
- 1:09:45suddenly I was asked after the exam. "
- 1:09:47Ma'am, what is this command?" I forgot,
- 1:09:49I didn't teach it in class. So the
- 1:09:53commands aren't just this, except for
- 1:09:55multicollinearity. Multicollinearity
- 1:09:56has no other commands; it's only vif.
- 1:10:00But for the rest, there are several
- 1:10:02commands. Now, for normality, what is
- 1:10:04the H0? The H0 is not normally
- 1:10:07distributed. Eh, that's reversed. The
- 1:10:09H0 is that the error is normally
- 1:10:11distributed. The H1 is that the error
- 1:10:13is not normally distributed. What
- 1:10:16should be cross-checked, Prof? The one
- 1:10:18right here. This should have content.
- 1:10:21Because it has no content, it's
- 1:10:22definitely not turned into a question.
- 1:10:25Who is the research methods course
- 1:10:26coordinator? Is it still Mr. Yun? Or
- 1:10:41does anyone know who the research
- 1:10:42methods coordinator is? Nobody knows
- 1:10:45anymore. What about you guys? I have
- 1:10:50been teaching research methods with Mr.
- 1:10:52Yun since 2014. The coordinator is Mr.
- 1:10:54Yun. Then, well, it's just that because
- 1:10:59Mr. Yun is in ASP, then for MKN and MAP
- 1:11:02, it's automatically different. Unless
- 1:11:06it's being merged into one in the same
- 1:11:08semester, that usually goes back to Mr.
- 1:11:11Yun. Like that.
- 1:11:14>> Oh yes, Ma'am. In the RPS, it's Mr.
- 1:11:16Yuniarto.
- 1:11:17>> Okay. Still okay. That's it. So looking
- 1:11:21at it here, the benchmark is the same
- 1:11:24as the hettest earlier. Look at the
- 1:11:26prob here to see what the result is.
- 1:11:27Compare it with 5%. So, what is the
- 1:11:31solution if it's not normally
- 1:11:33distributed? The solution is to add
- 1:11:36data. But there are times when we can't
- 1:11:39add data; it's difficult, Ma'am, to
- 1:11:41find questionnaires, for example. Well,
- 1:11:44if you really can't add data, then you
- 1:11:46must cross-check how much data is
- 1:11:49already available. That's why the
- 1:11:53natural logarithm is also one of the
- 1:11:55solutions for normality. If the data's
- 1:11:59errors, after being regressed, are not
- 1:12:02normally distributed, another way is to
- 1:12:04log-transform it. But if it has been
- 1:12:08log-transformed, like this one, it’s
- 1:12:10already been ln-transformed, so why
- 1:12:12doesn't the normality test show up? Yes
- 1:12:15, because my feeling is that the data
- 1:12:17must be too small. It isn't visible
- 1:12:21here because there is no summary. But
- 1:12:24personally, whenever I teach data
- 1:12:26processing, the first thing, number 2
- 1:12:29or 3 after inputting data, I always
- 1:12:31require a summary so you know the
- 1:12:33behavior of the data. There, so the
- 1:12:37cross-check is here. Now, what if it
- 1:12:40has been log-transformed but there are
- 1:12:41still no satisfactory results—in
- 1:12:44other words, it didn't pass the
- 1:12:46normality test, what should I do, Ma'am
- 1:12:47? Like that. Just like the
- 1:12:49multicollinearity earlier, what is the
- 1:12:51solution, Ma'am? Well, the solution is
- 1:12:53for you to use theory. Use a theory
- 1:12:55called the Central Limit Theorem. Read
- 1:12:58the book again; it should be in there.
- 1:13:03It states that if your n is already
- 1:13:07more than 30, it will be considered
- 1:13:10normally distributed. But you still
- 1:13:14have to go through the process first,
- 1:13:16okay. You can't just jump to the
- 1:13:18conclusion that you don't need a
- 1:13:19normality test because it's already
- 1:13:20above 30. It doesn't work like that.
- 1:13:25That's all regarding the classical
- 1:13:27assumption tests. Is there anything
- 1:13:29else here? Uh, no. That's all I see.
- 1:13:35It's rare for Mr. Yun not to include an
- 1:13:38OLS test or not to include uh well, who
- 1:13:46knows what you guys will get. I don't
- 1:13:48know. Is there anything else, uh,
- 1:13:52quantitative? None. If there isn't,
- 1:14:05I'll move on to qualitative, okay.
- 1:14:06There are attachments down here. Okay.
- 1:14:10Uh, transcripts. Yeah. There aren't any
- 1:14:18, Mr. Yun. He didn't give anything
- 1:14:19strange. He's being kind again, Mr. Yun
- 1:14:28. Or maybe this was made in a rush.
- 1:14:34Okay, done. If there's nothing else,
- 1:14:36I'll move on to number two. Uh, number
- 1:14:40two, the second method related to, uh,
- 1:14:44qualitative. When dealing with
- 1:14:48qualitative, I always tell students,
- 1:14:51whether for their thesis or when I
- 1:14:54teach research methods, uh, don't
- 1:14:56forget to cross-check the recording.
- 1:15:03Once you have the recording, hurry up
- 1:15:05and get the wording done, the interview
- 1:15:07transcript. It's tiring. Yes, it is
- 1:15:11really tiring because there is so much,
- 1:15:13although actually there is there is
- 1:15:18assistance, uh, using NVivo or, uh,
- 1:15:21what is it called? Uh. If you guys
- 1:15:27upload it to YouTube and ask for it to
- 1:15:29be transcribed, later you can download
- 1:15:32the transcript. Now, that can be one
- 1:15:36method, it's just that it still has to
- 1:15:39be, uh, listened to again. Now, from
- 1:15:46there, once it's finished like what is
- 1:15:48below—even though that definitely
- 1:15:50isn't everything, because if it were,
- 1:15:52your 2.5 hours wouldn't be enough. Now,
- 1:15:56you are asked to recap the coding
- 1:15:59results into a format like this. This
- 1:16:01is the category, this is the code, this
- 1:16:03is where the interview quote is located
- 1:16:05. It is only written by line. That is
- 1:16:09why, whenever I make an interview
- 1:16:11transcript, I always teach to, uh, have
- 1:16:14one side on the left or the right,
- 1:16:17whichever you are more comfortable with
- 1:16:20. Put numbers 5, 10, 15, and so on. So
- 1:16:25you don't take too long looking for
- 1:16:28which line it is. Uh, Ma'am, I just
- 1:16:32want to highlight something. Yes, feel
- 1:16:33free to highlight it if you want. But
- 1:16:35when you want to input it into the
- 1:16:38coding, the coding should ideally be a
- 1:16:40new Excel file. You shouldn't be
- 1:16:44working in Word anymore. Because it
- 1:16:47should have been moved already. Now,
- 1:16:50when moving it, why bother copying such
- 1:16:53long interview quotes? So, that's why
- 1:16:56you only need to write which line it's
- 1:16:58on, or for example, informant one, row
- 1:17:01such-and-such. Or, informant two, row
- 1:17:05such-and-such, like that. So, you just
- 1:17:09have to look at this; whether you like
- 1:17:12it or not, you must cross-check it
- 1:17:14downwards, you have to read your
- 1:17:16previous methodology. Mm, doing
- 1:17:21qualitative research, be grateful
- 1:17:23because it means you are already
- 1:17:25experienced. You will certainly be
- 1:17:29faster compared to those who chose, for
- 1:17:33example, quantitative, as they aren't
- 1:17:36as experienced as you are, like that.
- 1:17:40So, there are pros and cons. From here,
- 1:17:45you look for what exactly? Look for
- 1:17:49things related to the theme. If the
- 1:17:55theme is cooperatives, feel free, for
- 1:18:02example, the launch of village
- 1:18:06cooperatives. So, if it's the launch of
- 1:18:12the 80,081 village cooperative
- 1:18:13institutions, what does this likely
- 1:18:15mean? Creating something new, right? So
- 1:18:20, where do you want to put that
- 1:18:25interview and its coding? Try to ensure
- 1:18:32that coding isn't done just once; it
- 1:18:36should be raw first. "Raw" in quotes
- 1:18:39means it's still long, and later it
- 1:18:41will be summarized to be smaller. Why?
- 1:18:44Because you have to group them: oh,
- 1:18:46this is related to new cooperatives,
- 1:18:48new cooperatives, new cooperatives. Oh,
- 1:18:51this is related to the attitudes of
- 1:18:54leaders, like that. Oh, this is related
- 1:18:57to technical matters in the field; only
- 1:19:00then can it be named. Here, you are
- 1:19:03indirectly forced to determine the
- 1:19:11category, the code, and the interview
- 1:19:16quote. Actually, you should start from
- 1:19:21the table on the far right. You have
- 1:19:25the important interview quotes first,
- 1:19:27what will you code them as? Oh, this is
- 1:19:31a new cooperative. Oh, this is the
- 1:19:34nature of the cooperative. Then, after
- 1:19:37that, you categorize it. So, the order
- 1:19:43is actually from the interview quote,
- 1:19:45then you code it. Then, from those
- 1:19:48codes, you categorize them. Let's take
- 1:19:51this as an example. Wait, wait. This is
- 1:19:56the launch of the Merah Putih
- 1:19:58Cooperative, including...Wait, where
- 1:20:04was the result? Like I said earlier,
- 1:20:09for example, this is the launch of the
- 1:20:11Village Cooperative institution. This
- 1:20:14is the interview, the line...oh,
- 1:20:17there's an A here, so A3. This is A3,
- 1:20:22the launch of 80,081 Merah Putih
- 1:20:27Village and Subdistrict Cooperatives.
- 1:20:30If you want to stick to "Village
- 1:20:31Cooperative," just go ahead. And what
- 1:20:35is the code for this? What is the
- 1:20:38coding? What do you want to code it as?
- 1:20:43For example, what do you mean by "new
- 1:20:47cooperative"? Or just write "
- 1:20:52cooperative creation," for instance.
- 1:20:55Then what else? "Cooperatives are a
- 1:20:57tool for economic struggle for the weak
- 1:20:59." So what is this? Economic struggle.
- 1:21:06So, it's about improving the economy,
- 1:21:07right? What is the coding? improving
- 1:21:10the economy, if there are many related
- 1:21:13to, uh, cooperatives, they improve the
- 1:21:16economy, and then cooperatives, uh uh,
- 1:21:22the concept is simple, one stick has no
- 1:21:24power, but joined together it becomes a
- 1:21:25strength. What does that mean?
- 1:21:28Cooperatives unite because this is in a
- 1:21:33region. Now, when that is made into,
- 1:21:35what is the category? the category of
- 1:21:38cooperative goals. What was the goal of
- 1:21:40the cooperative earlier? Improving the
- 1:21:42economy, uniting the surrounding
- 1:21:44community, like that. And cooperatives
- 1:21:48are not for those who are strong and
- 1:21:49established. The strong ones have
- 1:21:52surely already created a holding, uh, a
- 1:21:54company, a PT. These cooperatives are
- 1:21:57for those who don't have access yet,
- 1:21:59right? So the goal, uh, the goal, what
- 1:22:01is the coding? uh, opening access not
- 1:22:07yet having economic power. So it's
- 1:22:09similar to the one before, right,
- 1:22:11earlier, uh, improving the economy,
- 1:22:13this one is strengthening the economy.
- 1:22:15Now, that means, uh, there are
- 1:22:17different codings. Improving the
- 1:22:21economy, strengthening the economy,
- 1:22:23adding access. Later, when it is turned
- 1:22:26into a category. What is the category?
- 1:22:28The category is cooperative goals. like
- 1:22:33that. So if you make, what do you call
- 1:22:35it, if it branches out, why did I
- 1:22:38suddenly forget things like this,
- 1:22:42brainstorming. Now, in brainstorming
- 1:22:46you have one idea at the start and then
- 1:22:48you break it down to the right. Oh, how
- 1:22:50about the location? Oh, if this, well,
- 1:22:53if this is reversed, you have it on the
- 1:22:55outside. The interview results, you
- 1:22:57have them on the outside. Later you
- 1:23:00enter one, enter another one. That's
- 1:23:05messy, right. Earlier A3, there was
- 1:23:11line A5 6 7, A7, then there was line A8
- 1:23:14, there was line A11, like that. Now,
- 1:23:23those are entered one by one. Hm. Then
- 1:23:29what's this? There are forces that do
- 1:23:32not want the country to grow strong and
- 1:23:34, uh, the country of Indonesia to grow
- 1:23:37strong independently, like that. There
- 1:23:41are big forces that do not want a
- 1:23:43country like Indonesia to grow strong
- 1:23:45independently. So what is the category?
- 1:23:53a country's lack of independence, like
- 1:23:55that. What else is the category
- 1:24:01competitors in the trading world, like
- 1:24:05that. Later, when entered into a
- 1:24:09category, what is the category?
- 1:24:11Obstacles for cooperatives like that.
- 1:24:16Now, indeed, in qualitative work,
- 1:24:18friends, you must read a lot because if
- 1:24:21you don't read a lot, you won't find
- 1:24:23what the category is, like that.
- 1:24:29Because from coding to category, a new
- 1:24:32word should emerge see. Now, here I can
- 1:24:41only give examples, right, earlier,
- 1:24:42cooperative functions. But in reality,
- 1:24:47it's not like that. It still must be
- 1:24:50dissected one by one. Uh, missed it.
- 1:24:55Here. This is an example of the
- 1:24:56distribution center function, the
- 1:24:58interview quote. Yes, you have to read
- 1:25:00A50, what was the interview quote
- 1:25:02earlier. Why did the code become
- 1:25:04distribution center? Just this, uh,
- 1:25:08when I teach qualitative, uh, coding
- 1:25:10usually has at least three like this.
- 1:25:14interview quote, coding one, this
- 1:25:16coding two, but if the language is
- 1:25:18still very complicated, it could be
- 1:25:20four or five because sometimes from the
- 1:25:22interview quote we cannot yet get what
- 1:25:25the code is. Can't find it, Ma'am, they
- 1:25:29say, to represent the code, right. If
- 1:25:32the words used to represent the codes
- 1:25:34are essentially just you not finding
- 1:25:36how to search for the categories yet.
- 1:25:40So, you really do need to read a lot so
- 1:25:41you can get it. Well, that is the way.
- 1:25:47So, like it or not, you all have to
- 1:25:50make them one by one. Don't be too
- 1:25:54detailed because I don't know how many
- 1:25:56interview attachments there are. I only
- 1:25:57opened A earlier. How many attachments
- 1:26:00are there?
- 1:26:02>> There are two, Ma'am.
- 1:26:03>> So A and B?
- 1:26:05>> Yes. Okay. Well, here are A and B. Two
- 1:26:11pages. Okay. Oh, two pages is still
- 1:26:14safe. It's just that the speed depends
- 1:26:20on each of you. Later, once you get
- 1:26:25many codes, you'll think, "Oh, this is
- 1:26:28related to the function, oh, this is
- 1:26:31related to the goal, oh, these are the
- 1:26:34cooperative's obstacles, oh, this could
- 1:26:37be an innovation, oh, what else is
- 1:26:40there?" Oh, this...for the future, what
- 1:26:47is it? Target. From there, there will
- 1:26:55be many items that become categories
- 1:26:58which will later appear in the next
- 1:27:01questions. That's why in the next
- 1:27:04question, if I'm not mistaken, I read
- 1:27:06about latent constructs. Yes, exactly.
- 1:27:14What latent constructs can be
- 1:27:16identified from the text? Mention and
- 1:27:19explain briefly. So, what is a latent
- 1:27:25construct? A latent construct is, in
- 1:27:27quantitative terms, like asking, "What
- 1:27:29is the variable?""What are the
- 1:27:31indicators?" Yes, something like that.
- 1:27:36What do you think you have? Oh, I see.
- 1:27:39There is the cooperative's function,
- 1:27:40the cooperative's goal, and the
- 1:27:41cooperative's obstacles. Hmm, from
- 1:27:44there, what else? Why? Because if you
- 1:27:52already have several categories that
- 1:27:55can be made into one variable, or one
- 1:27:58construct, then from here you should be
- 1:28:02able to make arrows. Arrows that, in
- 1:28:06quotation marks, if in quantitative,
- 1:28:07the arrows just go from X to Y, right?
- 1:28:10At most, X2 to Y, they all point to Y.
- 1:28:13Now, this is the same, where do they
- 1:28:15point? It's just that it becomes more
- 1:28:22...that's why it's written as a
- 1:28:25flowchart, more like a story because
- 1:28:27it's not just one-way like quantitative
- 1:28:30, because it will say, "Oh, from this
- 1:28:33cooperative, there's its function, its
- 1:28:35goal, and its obstacles.""So, what do
- 1:28:39you want to discuss?""Oh, what's being
- 1:28:40discussed are the obstacles.""How do
- 1:28:42you control them?" So it's only here.
- 1:28:44Then the story continues, the flowchart
- 1:28:48. Anything not discussed in detail, no
- 1:28:51need to include. Well, so that's...
- 1:29:05what's it called?...in short......yeah,
- 1:29:12that's it. You really have to work on
- 1:29:17it one by one. Then, while I
- 1:29:22cross-check number 10, question number
- 1:29:309 is about the findings framework and
- 1:29:34empirical interpretation that you have
- 1:29:37outlined from questions 1 to 6 in
- 1:29:40method 1. So from here, later you all
- 1:29:45will have...that's my assumption. I
- 1:29:49haven't read the interview results to
- 1:29:51the end yet. But my assumption is that
- 1:29:55later below there will definitely be
- 1:29:57someone talking about, for example,
- 1:30:00things related to schools related to,
- 1:30:05well, as mentioned above, there are
- 1:30:09total operations, schools, and
- 1:30:12malnutrition. So there will be a
- 1:30:17connection here. Now, from that
- 1:30:20flowchart, connect it to what was above
- 1:30:27and answering this is like you all are
- 1:30:32doing research using mixed methods. So
- 1:30:37there is the quant part and the quali
- 1:30:39part. Now, this quali part is
- 1:30:43supporting. If earlier it said
- 1:30:46malnutrition is influenced by—wait,
- 1:30:48reversed—poverty influences
- 1:30:50malnutrition, well, that's my guess, I
- 1:30:53haven't read it in detail yet. My guess
- 1:30:56is that below there will surely be one
- 1:30:58sub-theme categorizing the causes for
- 1:31:02the emergence of the cooperative idea.
- 1:31:06One of them could be poverty. It could
- 1:31:12possibly be, um, what is it, not
- 1:31:14graduating from school or even not
- 1:31:17going to school. That means it's the
- 1:31:20education level, right? Even though
- 1:31:23when combined with the quant results,
- 1:31:25there's no education level in the quant
- 1:31:28, Ma'am. Having the total number of
- 1:31:30schools is fine. Why? Because the total
- 1:31:34number of schools indirectly depicts
- 1:31:37how the surrounding community obtains
- 1:31:39education. If there are, say, 1,000
- 1:31:45people in the community and only one
- 1:31:48school, are you sure those 1,000 can
- 1:31:51all be educated, even if one class only
- 1:31:55has 40 people? Yes, where are the
- 1:31:59others supposed to go? Like that. So
- 1:32:03this will be explained here the
- 1:32:07connection between what was mentioned
- 1:32:09earlier, surely below it will appear:
- 1:32:10there's poverty, there's malnutrition,
- 1:32:12there's government intervention. Why?
- 1:32:14Because there were obstacles earlier,
- 1:32:16right? At least that’s what I think,
- 1:32:19and, um, I don’t know the answer key.
- 1:32:23And as far as I’ve worked, as far as
- 1:32:26I’ve worked with Mr. Yun, Mr. Yun
- 1:32:28never gives an answer key that is
- 1:32:30strictly rigid. What is given are the
- 1:32:35boundaries. Um, why? Because especially
- 1:32:40with qualitative, in qualitative you
- 1:32:43can give different category names, you
- 1:32:46can give different coding clauses, and
- 1:32:49that can be justified as long as it's
- 1:32:53within those boundaries. Like that. Now
- 1:33:01, including number 10, um, you are
- 1:33:04asked for the implications. Why?
- 1:33:09Because for you, simply put, in a
- 1:33:11thesis, this is the conclusion and
- 1:33:13suggestions. Like that. That’s it. So
- 1:33:22if you want more details, come on, feel
- 1:33:25free, whoever wants to try, but not me.
- 1:33:31I shouldn't be the one doing everything
- 1:33:33, right? Why? Because you all need to
- 1:33:36know it, right? These are the best
- 1:33:42mango farmers, but there are no trucks,
- 1:33:44no one to buy, so they end up rotting.
- 1:33:49So what does that mean, Ma'am? Does
- 1:33:51that mean accommodation or
- 1:33:53transportation? Or distribution. Now,
- 1:33:57you all will have different codes for
- 1:34:00that. Subsidized fertilizer is scarce,
- 1:34:05regulations are convoluted. So what
- 1:34:08does this fall under? Oh, I made the
- 1:34:10category government policy, Ma'am. Like
- 1:34:12that. Go ahead. Oh, I made the category
- 1:34:15rules, that's allowed. Because nothing
- 1:34:19is wrong. like that. the price drops
- 1:34:24like that. Now, what is the context
- 1:34:29here? From the context of the results.
- 1:34:33If before we were talking about the
- 1:34:35function, earlier we mentioned the
- 1:34:37function of cooperatives, the goals,
- 1:34:39and the obstacles. Now, this is from
- 1:34:42the agricultural context. that. Because
- 1:34:49, if the goal of the cooperative was,
- 1:34:51if I recall correctly, to increase
- 1:34:53access. Now, there is no access. No
- 1:34:57trucks, no one to buy. That means there
- 1:35:01is no access if there are no trucks.
- 1:35:06this. The people are losing 10 trillion
- 1:35:09per year. manipulating rice quality,
- 1:35:12playing with prices like that. Greed,
- 1:35:16so what is this that? That means, what
- 1:35:26do you call it, the problem, right?
- 1:35:34what is this, but immediately at 83,000
- 1:35:39points. Cooperatives are formed in
- 1:35:4383,000 locations. This is on, uh, line
- 1:35:4743. So it goes along with which one?
- 1:35:51Along with the number of cooperatives
- 1:35:54earlier. It's, uh, switching back and
- 1:35:59forth. If you want to read it easier
- 1:36:05after taking notes like this. If it's
- 1:36:08on a computer it's easy, you can write
- 1:36:11based on the transcripts below and then
- 1:36:14just cut and paste above. But if you're
- 1:36:18writing by hand on a PDF, how many
- 1:36:20lines do I actually need? Because if I
- 1:36:25provide five lines for five codes, five
- 1:36:28interview transcripts, but then when
- 1:36:30reading further down, oh, there's more.
- 1:36:34Like that. It's hard to insert. like
- 1:36:42that. Okay, any questions so far? Look,
- 1:37:08this is about pregnant women being able
- 1:37:10to get enough protein intake. So what
- 1:37:12does that mean? This is, uh, me wanting
- 1:37:16. If I want, it means a hope. So what
- 1:37:20is the condition? Here, you can find
- 1:37:23the condition of malnutrition. So, yes,
- 1:37:33as I mentioned earlier, there is
- 1:37:35implied and explicit. So you have to
- 1:37:47cross-check them one by one, slowly.
- 1:37:53Please try it while we're here, if you
- 1:37:56have any questions, feel free. So you
- 1:38:02must cross-check one by one. Now, here
- 1:38:09there is also 80,000 plus village
- 1:38:10cooperatives. So what does that mean,
- 1:38:13the number of cooperatives? Well, it's
- 1:38:29finished. Down here, I don't see it. It
- 1:38:33doesn't seem to be related to
- 1:38:35malnutrition. If I read it briefly, I'm
- 1:38:40just skimming, I only got the
- 1:38:42malnutrition context above. That's it,
- 1:38:55everyone. Any questions? If there are
- 1:39:11none, I will stop sharing for now. Okay
- 1:39:24, sure. Uh, any questions? Anything
- 1:39:37else? If not, do you want to continue,
- 1:40:11or what else is there? Or is it enough,
- 1:40:17or what? It seems enough, Ma'am.
- 1:40:25Because you've explained the
- 1:40:27quantitative and qualitative aspects
- 1:40:29very well, and based on the guide, it's
- 1:40:31just those two, the coding and how to
- 1:40:33read the stats.
- 1:40:36>> Okay, ready. Alright then, if that's
- 1:40:41all, hopefully it helps you all, sorry
- 1:40:44I can't discuss both. Otherwise, we'd
- 1:40:47end up with 3 credits. So, I'll stop
- 1:40:52here for now, please read through it
- 1:40:55again. If there’s still anything
- 1:40:59you're not sure about regarding the
- 1:41:01quant or qual, feel free to ask. Okay,
- 1:41:05I’ll wrap it up for now. That's all,
- 1:41:07good afternoon everyone. Peace be upon
- 1:41:11you.
- 1:41:12>> And peace be upon you too.
- 1:41:13>> And peace be upon you too. Thank you so
- 1:41:15much for your time, Ma'am.
- 1:41:18>> You're welcome. Okay, I'm going to head
- 1:41:20out now. Thanks, Fat Nazani and
- 1:41:22everyone. Yeah.
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