Palantir CEO Alex Karp: AI Panic, Rise of Germany's AfD & Saving Europe — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:04[music]
- 0:15[music]
- 0:22[music]
- 0:23>> Good morning Alex. We are sitting here
- 0:25in the middle of the mountains of Idaho.
- 0:29Near you in your beautiful house.
- 0:32I remember very well when we met for the
- 0:36first time. It was in 2003. It was at a
- 0:39party in southern France.
- 0:42And somebody introduced you to me
- 0:46preparing me by saying Alex Karpis is a
- 0:48super interesting guy. He studied at the
- 0:51Goethe University in Frankfurt.
- 0:54Jürgen Habermas was his professor. He's
- 0:56an intellectual.
- 0:57Unfortunately, he has no job. Uh
- 1:00penniless, but an interesting guy.
- 1:03We met. We got along very well and I had
- 1:05the feeling this is a guy who is rather
- 1:07on the
- 1:08left side of the political spectrum. A
- 1:10very intellectual personality. Cares a
- 1:13lot about the state of democracy, about
- 1:15individual rights.
- 1:17And [clears throat]
- 1:19today
- 1:21this guy has launched one of the most
- 1:24successful companies of recent business
- 1:26since history, Palantir.
- 1:28Market cap currently north of 300
- 1:32billion.
- 1:34And suddenly people are describing you
- 1:36like a kind of Darth Vader.
- 1:39Uh
- 1:40a sinister figure
- 1:42of
- 1:44far right-wing ideologies and almost
- 1:48like a warmonger.
- 1:50Please tell me
- 1:52what happened? Did you change?
- 1:54>> Well, first of all, that that that the
- 1:56thing is
- 1:58Palantir is a hundred more ex-fans and
- 2:01and and people who describe me that way.
- 2:03In fact, my personal experience,
- 2:06including in Germany,
- 2:07including and especially in Germany, is
- 2:10you you
- 2:11the media version, and I'll get to that,
- 2:13is yeah, something like, you know,
- 2:16bringing war to peace times or
- 2:18something.
- 2:19>> [laughter]
- 2:20>> Um
- 2:21but the actual
- 2:23rational human being on the street is a
- 2:26Palantir fan. Uh part of our success
- 2:30there's the product side,
- 2:32um which we could talk about. There's
- 2:34also like plus wait, every single person
- 2:37in Silicon Valley who finances things
- 2:40would cut off their right arm to have
- 2:42the fans we have. And their and your
- 2:43left arm.
- 2:45So, but there there there there there's
- 2:48many many things in your question, and I
- 2:49remember meeting you too and thinking,
- 2:51oh, this is a really interesting person.
- 2:53Um and you know, well, how does somebody
- 2:56who studies music end up running
- 3:00what I mean, for those who are not
- 3:02in the German-speaking world,
- 3:04it's funny, outside the German-speaking
- 3:06world, people do not understand the
- 3:08impact of Axel Springer.
- 3:10Um and it which
- 3:13Axel Springer Verlag, which you
- 3:16it's you know, it's easy to say you run,
- 3:17but it's it's different, you know, in
- 3:19Germany, there really aren't that many I
- 3:22can't think of any other Eigentümer
- 3:25someone who owns a significant stake in
- 3:27the company that's also running it.
- 3:30So, it's a very very unusual setup. It's
- 3:32it's more similar to America, but then
- 3:34we don't have essentially a
- 3:36second-generation business
- 3:38run by
- 3:40uh an owner. So, even in America, that
- 3:43the whole setup is very very unusual.
- 3:46Uh and then,
- 3:47you know, yeah, I mean, what I think uh
- 3:49bound us together from beginning is
- 3:51you're
- 3:53your
- 3:54it it it doesn't translate well to
- 3:55English but a music scientist. So we
- 3:57don't really have
- 3:59science and music and I guess in America
- 4:00but it sounds kind of fake even though
- 4:02I'm sure there is a faculty that but in
- 4:04any case
- 4:05um
- 4:06uh
- 4:06that's a very unusual setup on your end.
- 4:09>> Yeah, we are both outsiders. That's
- 4:10absolutely true and
- 4:12we both
- 4:14are polarizing. That's also fair to say.
- 4:16I just tried to get it why
- 4:19a person that I met almost a quarter
- 4:21century ago
- 4:23and whom I've met
- 4:25during that time very regularly and I
- 4:28did not observe any change in your
- 4:30worldview or in your personality. And
- 4:33now the description of you the outside
- 4:35picture of you is in sharp contrast.
- 4:37>> Yeah, let me
- 4:39let me let me ask answer the question
- 4:40and it's the exact right framing but I
- 4:42still want to push back on uh
- 4:45it
- 4:46there's
- 4:47almost no one else in tech maybe one or
- 4:49two that were who has anything like the
- 4:51fans I have. So it's there's this both
- 4:54the outside kind of I would say
- 4:55especially in your much less so here
- 4:59version of me Palantir Peter which is
- 5:03exactly what you described but I I just
- 5:04want to also highlight the dynamic that
- 5:07these people also create fans. Like
- 5:10whenever I do something I'm basically
- 5:12only talk to Germany through you now.
- 5:14And I get hate but I would say a hundred
- 5:17times more fans writing hey could you
- 5:19please thank you for helping Germany.
- 5:21Especially young people who are want to
- 5:24do things in Germany as an example. So
- 5:26any case but let me get to let me answer
- 5:28your question directly
- 5:30without the caveat. Um
- 5:33But I do think there's a European and
- 5:34American difference here but
- 5:37our products
- 5:39PG
- 5:40um changed the course of history by
- 5:43reducing
- 5:44basically. I mean there have been minor
- 5:47terror attacks, and terror attacks can
- 5:48always happen. But, since we launched
- 5:50the product,
- 5:52you have it has stopped hundreds and
- 5:54hundreds of terror attacks.
- 5:56>> But, Alex, would you then simply
- 5:57describe the mission of Palantir, what
- 6:00you think Palantir is to doing
- 6:03to society? What is the mission in order
- 6:06to help people to decide whether they
- 6:08should feel safe or not?
- 6:09>> Well, again,
- 6:10but I let me just answer the I'm trying
- 6:12to get to the question you're asking,
- 6:13which is a really deep question. Why
- 6:15would
- 6:16people want to portray us so
- 6:18inaccurately? Is my version of the
- 6:20question. And I think there's a
- 6:21functional reason for that.
- 6:24And the function there it's really
- 6:25twofold, and I here I'm going to use
- 6:26Europe as an example. One, the products
- 6:29works too well, so people can afford it.
- 6:31The terror attacks in Europe have
- 6:33basically been reduced to something
- 6:34that's not something people are afraid
- 6:36of, even though there are way too many
- 6:37attacks on the streets, especially of
- 6:39Germany, and that but people view it as
- 6:41an immigration problem, not as a terror
- 6:42problem, right or wrong.
- 6:44And two, our products play a significant
- 6:47role in Ukraine. So, Russia and Russia
- 6:49doesn't appear to be winning. So, I I
- 6:52think the setup to to to answer the
- 6:54Palantir attack thing, especially in
- 6:55Europe, you also have to say, why can
- 6:58Europe Why does Europe believe they can
- 7:00afford to attack
- 7:02Palantir? And I'm telling you,
- 7:04the primary reason is cuz And this is a
- 7:06Palantir problem. Our products were well
- 7:08were powerful enough that people believe
- 7:10they can afford it, which is again,
- 7:12okay. So,
- 7:13um
- 7:15then what it what And so, like So, then
- 7:18you the So, that's I think the backdrop.
- 7:20Then, why would you want to perceive us
- 7:22that way? And then I do think there's a
- 7:23European and American difference, and it
- 7:25basically comes down to America is
- 7:27hyper-charging AI and tech, and has
- 7:30these phenomenal And that that's where I
- 7:32do think the reason why you're kind of a
- 7:34bridge between America and Europe. There
- 7:36are lots of reasons, but one of them is
- 7:38you look like more like an an business
- 7:40person, like you own the company This is
- 7:43a big like that's a banality, but it's
- 7:45also true. And if you are saying like
- 7:48essentially just take a neutral example,
- 7:50American businesses versus European
- 7:52businesses. American businesses believe
- 7:55they're at war
- 7:56all the time.
- 7:58So if you show up with a product that is
- 7:59demonstrably better
- 8:01on all scores
- 8:04in America and in Europe, you're going
- 8:06to have a very different reception. In
- 8:09America, it's going to It's not going to
- 8:10be I like or do not like the person.
- 8:13Although most
- 8:14your American businesses love pound you.
- 8:17But it's going to be how does it work?
- 8:19Why does it work? Does it transform my
- 8:21business? Does the technology work? Is
- 8:24the technology stealing my IP? And in
- 8:26Europe, you can't really afford to ask
- 8:29these questions or
- 8:31or they're not being asked correctly
- 8:33because the answer to the question will
- 8:35be some significant part of that
- 8:37infrastructure is going to have to be
- 8:39imported from America.
- 8:41>> I mean you you have described me many
- 8:44times that your main goal, your mission
- 8:46is to protect democracy. And that's what
- 8:48you are doing, I think quite
- 8:50efficiently. Nevertheless, the debate in
- 8:52Europe is mainly these guys are
- 8:56collaborating with the American secret
- 8:59service. That's bad. That's dangerous.
- 9:02What do we get wrong? I mean to work
- 9:05with the secret service of democracy to
- 9:07protect democracy, I think is a good
- 9:08thing. But why why is that perceived
- 9:11problematic?
- 9:14Boycotting Palantir
- 9:15and portray you as a force of evil,
- 9:18although you are obviously
- 9:21on the side of democracies.
- 9:24>> I just
- 9:25But nobody sees it that way outside of
- 9:27you. I mean we have Europe that's a
- 9:29widespread sentiment in Europe. And if
- 9:31the point I the point I would say to
- 9:34especially Germany where I care is
- 9:36is that really the wide sent is that
- 9:38that is I think that's way downstream of
- 9:41very bad decision-making. So, they
- 9:45perceive Palantir by the way again, I
- 9:47really really deeply believe the they
- 9:50here are the professional media,
- 9:53left of center politicians, people who
- 9:55equate Peter and me with an an old
- 9:57version of Germany, which they do not
- 9:59want. And that the vast majority of
- 10:01Germans, the vast majority of Germans
- 10:04would prefer a world where the
- 10:06decision-making was rational enough so
- 10:08you could evaluate Palantir in a
- 10:10rational way.
- 10:11That that's what I believe.
- 10:13>> Are you rather
- 10:14>> let me let me just get to the but
- 10:17but the the
- 10:18the the technical point that I think is
- 10:21very important is the decision-making is
- 10:24objectively wrong.
- 10:25From the perspective of
- 10:27how would you protect the data?
- 10:30You need an application layer. And so
- 10:33the crazy thing about what's happening
- 10:34in Europe is we have the only industrial
- 10:37industrial user application layer in the
- 10:39world. That application layer protects
- 10:41your data from being essentially abused
- 10:44by law large language model providers.
- 10:46So, what you have in Europe are
- 10:48technically illiterate bureaucrats that
- 10:52in the name of protecting their people
- 10:54from a company they don't like because
- 10:56they don't like basically what Peter and
- 10:58I represent, which in my view is
- 11:00actually old-school European values.
- 11:03Old-school European values mean the
- 11:05products are the best in the world and
- 11:07they actually are morally superior
- 11:09because of the competence involved. And
- 11:11every single one of our products is like
- 11:12that. Those products cannot touch. So, I
- 11:16So, you're framing it as a moral thing.
- 11:18I'm saying the moral thing is way
- 11:19downstream of the competence problem.
- 11:22And if you were to solve the if you were
- 11:24to solve the competence problem in tech
- 11:26in Europe, which is the bigger problem.
- 11:29Europe is It's a relevant market for
- 11:31Palantir except for that I care.
- 11:33>> But the main accusation is data
- 11:34surveillance. Palantir is
- 11:38a form of espionage, and the most
- 11:41aggressive term was you are
- 11:42techno-fascists.
- 11:45You
- 11:46are rather on the side of data
- 11:48surveillance, or are you rather on the
- 11:50side of
- 11:51>> Well, first of all, data protection
- 11:56The most interesting, like, fascinating
- 11:58thing, if it wasn't said, and and very
- 12:01very childish,
- 12:03is
- 12:05the products we provide.
- 12:08PG, for which is what she used in the
- 12:10police forces
- 12:12and intel services in Europe. Foundry,
- 12:16ontology, which is used in the Ukraine,
- 12:18and ontology is essentially a
- 12:20application layer. These products are
- 12:23the products you will need,
- 12:25and the only ones available at scale
- 12:27that I'm aware of,
- 12:29to stop what people mean by
- 12:31surveillance. What do we mean by What
- 12:34what what what should Europe mean by
- 12:35surveillance?
- 12:36What what it What it should mean is the
- 12:39IP, the indigenous know-how that still
- 12:41powers Europe, gets migrated to a
- 12:43different company in a company that's
- 12:46not European, that has no interest in
- 12:47Europe, that is not going to protect you
- 12:49to the rights, meaning your right to
- 12:51privacy, your right to that data being
- 12:53purged. Also, your right to have I mean,
- 12:55in Europe, one of the things I've always
- 12:56embraced is in America, we have rights
- 13:00that are basically moral rights. In
- 13:03Europe, you have economic rights, and
- 13:04they're intertwined, which is always the
- 13:06vexing discussion. So, the vexing
- 13:08discussion between America and Europe
- 13:10is, from the American perspective, you
- 13:12don't protect rights enough vis-a-vis
- 13:14your government. So, Europe No European
- 13:16country has anything like a First or
- 13:18Second Amendment. That's vexing. And the
- 13:20Fourth Amendment in Europe is probably
- 13:22the closest in America's closest to what
- 13:25you have, meaning the right to privacy.
- 13:27But even there, without going into
- 13:28technical details, we have widely
- 13:30divergent ideas of how to do that. Basic
- 13:33and so and then the the vexing thing
- 13:35from a European perspective is Americans
- 13:38have all these rights vis-a-vis the
- 13:39government, but you have no right of
- 13:41protection vis-a-vis companies and there
- 13:43are basically you have a right to
- 13:45succeed or fail here. You don't have a
- 13:47right to economic justice. I mean,
- 13:49that's maybe something people want
- 13:51politically, but in the Constitution
- 13:53that is not enshrined. So, you have a
- 13:55completely different idea of rights. I
- 13:58actually am a classic progressive. I'm
- 14:00more I'm I'm still American in that I I
- 14:04like my first, second, and fourth
- 14:06amendment, but I would like to see a
- 14:08better treatment for poor. Okay, so
- 14:10>> still describe yourself as a
- 14:11progressive, correct?
- 14:12>> Oh, I I would describe myself as one of
- 14:14the few last standing actual
- 14:16progressives in that I believe Well,
- 14:19first of all, I'm willing to defend the
- 14:20rights of someone I don't like.
- 14:22Okay, that somehow has gone and again,
- 14:25it's particularly gone in Europe. Like,
- 14:27they frame this as I don't like you.
- 14:28That How is that relevant? Like,
- 14:30>> Why do we moralize everything? Also, it
- 14:32is about Germans who have been very
- 14:35successful in America in the Silicon
- 14:36Valley, Peter Thiel,
- 14:39uh Tobi Lütke,
- 14:43Schindler, Philip Schindler. So, there
- 14:45are a couple of Germans who made
- 14:47impressive careers in the Silicon Valley
- 14:49and
- 14:50we in Europe and in Germany do so far
- 14:53not really take advantage of it, but
- 14:54first we moralize. We say, "Well, there
- 14:57must be something
- 14:59>> Well, there's there's there's there's
- 15:00there's a difference in like
- 15:02I mean, as a generalization Germany is a
- 15:05very Lutheran culture and we're a
- 15:07Calvinist culture. So, that like we
- 15:09equate success with being
- 15:11like the Swiss are Calvinist, the Dutch
- 15:12are Calvinist, but
- 15:15as a generalization, I would say Europe
- 15:17in general
- 15:18and Germany, obviously in particular, is
- 15:20a Lutheran culture where
- 15:22Lutheran culture tends to view massive
- 15:26success you've you've acquired during
- 15:29your lifetime with great skepticism.
- 15:30Calvinist we're like peak Calvinism.
- 15:33Maybe we even take it too far where we
- 15:35ascribe financial success to moral
- 15:37success.
- 15:40Both have their strengths and
- 15:41weaknesses. The the the way I tend to
- 15:44want to frame the question is but the
- 15:47excess in Europe immoralizing more
- 15:49moralizing is clearly
- 15:52in my view downstream from not wanting
- 15:55to solve the problems. And so and and
- 15:58then and I think Palantir is the
- 16:00archetypical example. You can say
- 16:03basically against all technical evidence
- 16:05that Palantir are techno-fascist. What
- 16:08would that mean and that we're engaged
- 16:10in surveillance when our products are
- 16:11actually the ones that stopped that.
- 16:14Or you can ask the more serious
- 16:16question, what has gone wrong in our
- 16:18culture that we have no other
- 16:20application layer that would allow us to
- 16:21do this.
- 16:22>> Probably the most impactful and
- 16:23successful German of recent decades is
- 16:26Peter Thiel. You know him well. He was
- 16:28the co-founder of Palantir.
- 16:30Is he an anti-democrat? Is he a
- 16:33religious fanatic? Could you
- 16:34>> No, I mean I so actually the way I would
- 16:36reframe the beginning of the question is
- 16:39I think my treatment in Germany is
- 16:44it's not what it should be but it's
- 16:46honestly given that how much money I've
- 16:49made
- 16:50fairer than you could think. I think the
- 16:51treatment of Peter is atrocious.
- 16:54Um
- 16:55>> Why?
- 16:55>> Well, first of all again, it's
- 16:59one of the things I really you're you're
- 17:00I would start with again
- 17:03and it's a very German concept. See
- 17:05again, I I think what is happening what
- 17:07what scares me a lot in Germany is it's
- 17:09an importation of a version of America
- 17:12on top of German ideals that are of kind
- 17:16of are are attenuated, um
- 17:19and uh and so
- 17:22the real question to ask is I think the
- 17:25question historically one would have
- 17:26asked in Germany is
- 17:28can we afford this? Can we afford not to
- 17:31learn from this person?
- 17:33And I think that's the right question
- 17:34Germany has asked.
- 17:35>> Well, I make a point and could say,
- 17:37well, it depends on
- 17:39where the person stands with regard to
- 17:41values. So, if somebody is intrinsically
- 17:43anti-democratic or has a leaning towards
- 17:46authoritarian
- 17:47>> First of all, I I I It's a different
- 17:48thing than this person I think should go
- 17:50should not be a role model. A question
- 17:52is here, is it a misunderstanding of the
- 17:54person or is there a point?
- 17:55>> No, no. I'm going to First of all, it is
- 17:57a misunderstanding, it's not true, but
- 17:59I'm sure I'm going to push back on that.
- 18:00>> Mhm.
- 18:01>> I don't I you can I am reading
- 18:04books on Deng Xiaoping.
- 18:06I read a book on I'm reading books on
- 18:07Mao.
- 18:09I I've read a lot of books on
- 18:12I learn I've I'm learning a lot from Mao
- 18:15and Deng Xiaoping. I don't agree with
- 18:16Mao on anything. Like so, like I don't
- 18:18believe anyone can afford not to learn.
- 18:20And I And if you're in a very bad
- 18:22situation, let's just take an obvious
- 18:24example, the German tech scene.
- 18:27The German tech scene should be the
- 18:28number two in the world.
- 18:30By any historical standard, honestly,
- 18:32the German tech scene was the number one
- 18:33in the world.
- 18:35So, number two is already like maybe
- 18:37shouldn't be the aspiration. It's on no
- 18:39one's list. You're one of the more
- 18:40successful investors in Germany. You
- 18:42know that you probably know successful
- 18:44companies in Germany, but the the most
- 18:47largest company in Germany by market cap
- 18:49I think is Siemens and Palantir is
- 18:51significantly larger, even where we're
- 18:53obviously undervalued.
- 18:54So, currently. So,
- 18:57my first cut and and you see this in
- 18:59this like where you you know, you and I
- 19:01have been friends and we we actually
- 19:02agree on the moral stuff
- 19:04pretty much one-to-one on pro-democracy,
- 19:07what does democracy mean, pro-data
- 19:09protection, alignment with the West.
- 19:11We should have an alliance that is those
- 19:13of us who don't agree, that alliance
- 19:15should be Western Europe, America, the
- 19:18Five Eyes, and Israel, and Japan, and
- 19:20Korea. So, we we agree on those things
- 19:24and many other things almost
- 19:25deckungsgleich, meaning with almost but
- 19:28where I think there is distance would be
- 19:30my approach, which is
- 19:33I would the first question I would ask
- 19:34is
- 19:35can can Germany afford not to learn from
- 19:38Peter, even if all those things were
- 19:40true. Now, you're right. It has It
- 19:42should be clarified. I I've known Peter
- 19:46since we were poor students at Stanford.
- 19:49Um we had conversations as like just
- 19:52poor students fighting about
- 19:53intellectual things. He was always
- 19:55heterodox right. I was always heterodox
- 19:57left. I don't think much has changed.
- 19:59He's still heterodox right, meaning he's
- 20:01very frustrating to classic Republicans.
- 20:03I he I He's never been a neocon. Like a
- 20:06lot of the thing He He He does He's
- 20:09never He actually does not really
- 20:11believe in classic uh
- 20:14Republican economic theory.
- 20:16Uh
- 20:17he was the first person to flag and so
- 20:19will always flag like in conversations
- 20:22you tend to have people on the right
- 20:23basically explaining all problems as the
- 20:26result of capitalism not being driven
- 20:28far enough. That's just not Peter's
- 20:30view. Uh he he's not he's not a
- 20:33simplistic or caricatured thinker on the
- 20:35right.
- 20:36Meaning and he's definitely not the
- 20:38caricature that the left wants to
- 20:40present. But what's fascinating to me is
- 20:43why is it so important to spend so much
- 20:45time
- 20:47uh blocking Peter from the German
- 20:50market. Forget Palantir. Like forget
- 20:52It's not like I want to help Germany cuz
- 20:53I care about Europe and because I have a
- 20:56I mean because of historical fa- family
- 21:00and also I just felt at home in Germany
- 21:01for a long time.
- 21:03Uh but
- 21:04but for me that's cuz like let me just
- 21:07reframe the moral thing.
- 21:09It's so obviously thin.
- 21:11What they're saying about him, what they
- 21:13say about Palantir, so obviously doesn't
- 21:15make sense on the merits. You only need
- 21:1610 minutes, 5 minutes on Google to see
- 21:18this isn't true.
- 21:20Why do people want to and need to
- 21:23believe that truth? Was the question
- 21:25that I believe. And by the way, it's not
- 21:27that different. I mean, you're talking
- 21:28about Peter and me, I could ask you the
- 21:30same question. Like, I've known you for
- 21:33not as long as I've known Peter, but and
- 21:34you were very successful before I was.
- 21:38Um, I I mean, I don't the German
- 21:40non-German audience may not realize how
- 21:42Axel Springer is discussed. Okay, so
- 21:45like
- 21:46there I think there are very important
- 21:48political figures in Germany without
- 21:50naming names that see no difference
- 21:52between you and the right side of the
- 21:55AfD.
- 21:56Okay, it's absurd.
- 21:58I I I believe most of my left-wing
- 22:01friends in Germany think Axel Springer
- 22:03wakes up in the morning
- 22:05and tries to make the world worse and
- 22:06goes to bed with a smile when the world
- 22:08is worse. This obviously not true.
- 22:11>> What is your take actually on the rise
- 22:12of the AfD in Germany as somebody who
- 22:14has studied in Germany, speaks German,
- 22:16cares very much about the well-being of
- 22:18the country. We see now
- 22:20this kind of polarization of society,
- 22:22the very left and the far right are on
- 22:24the rise and the AfD, what is it for
- 22:27you? Is it a normal party or is it
- 22:30>> I I think the AfD is very complex and
- 22:32I'm not reading all the news all the
- 22:34time. I I I I give you
- 22:36um
- 22:37I I think first of all, the rise of the
- 22:40of extreme parties was super predictable
- 22:43and I may have been talk shouting about
- 22:45this for the last 10 years.
- 22:47You can't If you're going to bring in
- 22:50uh a doing wide square
- 22:52very deep and large migration into
- 22:55Germany without the buy-in of the German
- 22:58people and what without an honest
- 23:00discussion of the consequences. Again,
- 23:03I understand
- 23:05why this is hard to do in Germany and
- 23:06it's completely about history, which you
- 23:09know, if my family hadn't left Germany,
- 23:12I would be a lampshade. I mean, they
- 23:14left before the Holocaust. I'm very
- 23:16Everybody understands that and is
- 23:18sympathetic. But we haven't You have in
- 23:20Europe, but especially in Germany, just
- 23:22an impossibly
- 23:25difficult
- 23:27painful
- 23:28inability to talk about obvious facts.
- 23:31But the average person on the street is
- 23:33living with these facts, okay?
- 23:34>> You're avoiding my question. What do you
- 23:35think about the AfD?
- 23:36>> I was going to say keep
- 23:37>> No, no, as Palantir is
- 23:39>> No, no, I was going
- 23:40>> in Ukraine against Russia, the AfD is
- 23:42asking
- 23:43Ukraine and just recently one of the
- 23:46leaders said, "We have to force Ukraine
- 23:48at the table to negotiate with Russia."
- 23:49That is turning history and perpetrator
- 23:52and
- 23:53>> No, no, I I no, no, I totally I totally
- 23:56I I'm going to get to the point where I
- 23:57agree with you. I just I I I Again,
- 24:00we're we're like you're starting with
- 24:02the moral thing, I'm starting with the
- 24:03economic reason and cultural reason why
- 24:05this thing exists. So the question you
- 24:07asked is, "Why have they Why are they in
- 24:09ascendancy?" And they're much AfD is
- 24:11much stronger than they appear because I
- 24:13have friends who 5 years ago were
- 24:15telling me they would never vote for the
- 24:17AfD, who are voting for the AfD. Well,
- 24:19like people who are Social Democrats.
- 24:21And And then, when the AfD is polling at
- 24:2340%, there's another 10 points above
- 24:26that that would vote for them if they
- 24:28weren't the AfD.
- 24:29And so
- 24:29>> I think the AfD is just the consequence
- 24:31of a weak leadership in the center of
- 24:35political spectrum.
- 24:37Uh but that does not necessarily mean
- 24:39that that disruption
- 24:41is done by a force by a political force
- 24:44that has a concept that will be good for
- 24:47Germany. And I personally think that the
- 24:49AfD is just not an alternative because
- 24:52it is intrinsically in large parts of
- 24:54the party pro-Russia, pro-China, even
- 24:57with a certain tolerance to uh
- 25:00>> Well, I mean I have
- 25:00>> authoritarian forces in the Middle East.
- 25:02It is in large parts intrinsically
- 25:04anti-capitalist. It is in large parts
- 25:06anti-American. Just recently we heard
- 25:08that Germany is divided in two parts. We
- 25:10have East Germany where are the German
- 25:11Germans and then we have West Germany
- 25:13where are the American Germans. Okay, so
- 25:15this is
- 25:16just not a alternative.
- 25:19>> No.
- 25:19>> Uh and I just would like to
- 25:21>> a bone to pick with you because
- 25:21>> some people are accusing Peter or you or
- 25:24that you have a certain leaning or
- 25:27understanding for that
- 25:28>> No, no, no, okay, then I see.
- 25:29>> Well,
- 25:30this is again, I basically agree with
- 25:33everything you said, but the point I
- 25:34would push back on I have a deep
- 25:36understanding for why they're
- 25:37succeeding.
- 25:38So, it's like I would not vote for the
- 25:40AfD if I were able to vote and were
- 25:42voting in Germany. And um but that's
- 25:45different from I think part of the
- 25:47reason they're successful is that first
- 25:50of all, no one actually believes like
- 25:53let's just say the parties the classic
- 25:56parties are actually going to take
- 25:57migration seriously, but no one believes
- 25:59they're going to do it. So, you get
- 26:01people voting for AfD basically because
- 26:04you know it's a protest vote. And you
- 26:08know, you know, you're
- 26:10Germans and people who care about
- 26:12Germany like me have been screaming and
- 26:15been right and no one listens. And not
- 26:17only does no one listen and you are a
- 26:20great example of this.
- 26:21You are honestly
- 26:24pretty left wing on most issues as far
- 26:26as I can tell.
- 26:28And I've known you for 20 years. And and
- 26:30and you're kind of classically, if I
- 26:32were to describe you, classically
- 26:34left-leaning person who's a little bit
- 26:37more
- 26:38bought into the capitalist narrative
- 26:40than I am. That that's how I would
- 26:41describe and if I would describe you
- 26:42probably so okay.
- 26:44You get pilloried and and and you tell
- 26:48everybody I'm against the AfD. God knows
- 26:51you have no sympathy for anyone who's
- 26:53pro-Russia. I mean, like you believe for
- 26:55that? Like we're on the front line.
- 26:57>> Pro-Putin.
- 26:58>> I should always clarify we have nothing
- 27:00against the Russians. We have nothing
- 27:01against the Chinese, but we have a lot
- 27:03against
- 27:04>> I'm I'm I'm just kidding. Yeah,
- 27:05I I I'm a Tai Chi I'm an expert in one
- 27:08of the four great treasures in China.
- 27:10I'm reading all these things about I I I
- 27:12have a deep appreciation of Russian
- 27:14culture, Russian math. I have a So, we
- 27:16agree on that, but shorthand
- 27:19if I were to say what I think motivates
- 27:21you
- 27:22after watching you for 20 years is you
- 27:25are deeply pro-democratic.
- 27:27You're kind of progressive on most
- 27:29issues except for you do not like you
- 27:32don't want anything that's stupid and
- 27:33won't work. And if I had to say where
- 27:36you're kind of a zealot
- 27:39it's on the you know, anti-Putin,
- 27:42anti-China stuff. And actually on
- 27:46no tolerance for anti-Semitism. So,
- 27:47that's your those are those those are
- 27:49your
- 27:52>> Those positions are
- 27:56I mean, they're solidly mainstream. And
- 27:59I can tell people who are listening and
- 28:01want to hear this like if like even in
- 28:04private discussions they're like I'm
- 28:05much more on like yeah, I want to
- 28:07understand why still I of course I'm not
- 28:09going to I'm not interested in voting
- 28:10for them, but I understand why and
- 28:11you're more on the they're wrong,
- 28:14they're wrong, they're wrong, which is
- 28:15why our dialogues are fun. This is
- 28:17basically like it would be in private.
- 28:18Okay. So, the
- 28:21I how much you're we
- 28:25something I am actually frustrated with
- 28:27in Europe is again, the anti-terror
- 28:29things would be very different and
- 28:31Ukraine would not have been able to
- 28:33succeed they're Okay, let me just finish
- 28:35this. But so, obviously I'm not
- 28:38interested in supporting a party that is
- 28:40deeply sympathetic with Putin, is
- 28:42interested in like I think I think
- 28:44Europe made a like the season that is
- 28:47sympathetic with the CCP and and quite
- 28:49frankly these parties are complex but
- 28:51they're you know they have to it does
- 28:53contain people that I kind of would
- 28:56suspect would not like me very much. Um
- 28:58Okay.
- 28:59>> But
- 29:00Alex, I think the frustration of people
- 29:02is very much driven by a failed
- 29:05migration policy, a failed energy
- 29:07policy, and the journey in Europe is
- 29:09completely
- 29:11>> And the GDP decline.
- 29:12>> exactly. It's not delivering on economic
- 29:14growth. And that has to do with a lack
- 29:17of
- 29:19startup culture, of risk culture. In
- 29:21America, people deploy millions to a new
- 29:25idea
- 29:26and just believe that the impossible is
- 29:29possible. Whereas in Europe and in
- 29:30Germany, we have to a large degree a
- 29:31very risk-focused culture.
- 29:33>> Yeah, but but here we are entering the
- 29:35era of AI and whether it's an
- 29:38opportunity or a threat
- 29:40and I think we should also discuss the
- 29:44culture differences between America and
- 29:46Europe and Germany in the context of
- 29:48these developments. I I think we could
- 29:51turn it around and we could say this is
- 29:53an opportunity because I see a lot of AI
- 29:55skepticism in America. I see in America
- 29:57almost more AI skepticism at this moment
- 30:00than in Europe among normal people. If
- 30:04we have an all hands in America, people
- 30:06are raising posters and saying AI is
- 30:08killing our jobs. If we do the same in
- 30:10Germany or in Europe, people are saying,
- 30:12"Well, we want to learn. We want to
- 30:13understand. We want to take advantage of
- 30:14it."
- 30:15Do you think that there could be
- 30:17>> Well, yeah, but not without
- 30:19acknowledging that there's a crisis for
- 30:21the very simple reason. First of all,
- 30:23the the debate is different. Europe is
- 30:25partly not skeptical of AI because you
- 30:27are not like for example take the
- 30:29Palantir example. We are the only
- 30:32product available that makes AI useful
- 30:35on the battlefield and safe and useful
- 30:37and safe and commercial. It It's very
- 30:39hard to discuss AI when what they mean
- 30:42are largely companies
- 30:45being slightly unfair that would not be
- 30:47able to compete in America. So,
- 30:49you're talking about AI light, but the
- 30:52thing is
- 30:52>> But at least talk also about the
- 30:53opportunity.
- 30:54>> Yeah, I get it and we agree that Germany
- 30:56has not delivered Europe has not
- 30:57delivered.
- 30:57>> Let me finish Let me just finish this.
- 30:59It you It is nothing's going to work
- 31:02before
- 31:03the Chancellor gets up and says, "We
- 31:06have an a crisis."
- 31:08Because who fix the problem? Again, you
- 31:12are going Who's going to fix the
- 31:13problem? The problem is you are going to
- 31:15have to bring in a Tobias or a Schindler
- 31:18or a Thiel
- 31:20as in a very significant role. You can't
- 31:23rebuild with people who've never done
- 31:25this before. And so, and then who's
- 31:27going to build under what conditions?
- 31:29What are the working conditions? How do
- 31:30you bring the whole society along? How
- 31:32how How much can someone work per day?
- 31:35Tech works because people work are
- 31:38dedicated like doggedly dedicated around
- 31:41the clock for years. And by the way, if
- 31:44somebody doesn't belong on the team, you
- 31:45can move them out of the team or out of
- 31:47the company. By the way, the the for
- 31:49tech people again, I'm wildly I think
- 31:51people I got along with best when I was
- 31:53on boards in Germany were the unions.
- 31:55So, I'm not saying but you don't need
- 31:57worker protection for someone who isn't
- 32:00a software engineer that could work at
- 32:01an LLM lab. So, but
- 32:04to get this to work,
- 32:06you
- 32:07have to have someone saying, "This is a
- 32:09crisis."
- 32:11I think you're also going to have to
- 32:12say, "This is an economic zone. We are
- 32:15going to create an economic zone in
- 32:16Germany and in that economic zone
- 32:19competition is going to look exactly
- 32:21like it looks in America or does in
- 32:23China or does in Israel."
- 32:25>> Why are people in America more afraid of
- 32:27AI than in Europe at the moment? Do they
- 32:28know more?
- 32:30Or is it
- 32:31>> Well, first of all, yeah, I mean, really
- 32:33honestly, yes. And so, like again, I
- 32:36think So, do think the fear is
- 32:37appropriate?
- 32:38Of course. It's a These are It's like
- 32:41the simple metaphor that is simple but
- 32:44works is the the large language models
- 32:46are like uranium.
- 32:48Okay.
- 32:49You can use it for a good cause or for a
- 32:51bad cause. No, no, they have to be
- 32:52processed. And in the processing, they
- 32:55become First of all, just touching them
- 32:57probably is not a good idea. But so,
- 33:00using them Like again, Yeah, but if you
- 33:02use the metaphor of uranium, I think
- 33:04it's very appropriate because you can
- 33:05use it for bad or for good causes. And
- 33:07here again, people start to
- 33:10have a moral discussion or discuss
- 33:13whether it's good or bad instead of
- 33:14saying, "Let's make sure that we use it
- 33:16for for good causes." I mean, it's
- 33:19Again, there is this comparison to a
- 33:21knife. You can use a knife in order to
- 33:23prepare food, and you can use a knife in
- 33:25order to kill people. So, we should not
- 33:28But the the reason why
- 33:30But but it it is both true and Again,
- 33:32this is why I think these things are
- 33:33actually economic and technical first.
- 33:36It is
- 33:37you have to understand what the
- 33:39technologies do.
- 33:41You have to have people who are working
- 33:43natively with these technologies.
- 33:45And those people have to be involved.
- 33:48And again, here it's like you basically
- 33:50have different parts of the stack. You
- 33:51have the GPU part of the stack, so
- 33:53that's chips.
- 33:54You have essentially an You can in an
- 33:56enterprise you can have a data
- 33:57integration part of the stack.
- 33:59You can do that by hand. If you want
- 34:01civil liberties, you're going to We do
- 34:03that. You have an application part of
- 34:04the stack, so ontology. What does it
- 34:07mean? How does it mean? How is it
- 34:08deployed? How is it safely deployed? How
- 34:09do you process? How do you use? And you
- 34:11have the large language models, both
- 34:12closed and open models.
- 34:14And the closed and open models have
- 34:16different advantages to the world. Here,
- 34:19to have a tech scene in Europe,
- 34:22you need world-leading components in all
- 34:25those parts. That's not realistic. So,
- 34:27you're going to have to figure out which
- 34:28components are actually the ones that
- 34:31can advance European industry, European
- 34:33sovereignty. The The sovereignty issue
- 34:36is a completely technical issue. And in
- 34:40in it It's not just Germany, honestly.
- 34:43It The what's really happening in Europe
- 34:45is you have bureaucrats whose primary
- 34:47idea is how do I protect the market
- 34:49against American companies? And And
- 34:51everything else is downstream.
- 34:52>> Let me again try to twist it towards an
- 34:56opportunity.
- 34:57If this kind of
- 34:59anti-AI sentiment is ongoing in America,
- 35:01and I fear that Americans could see an
- 35:03election campaign where the two parties
- 35:05are basically competing in order to
- 35:08explain that their party is protecting
- 35:10their people better against AI. I think
- 35:13that's a very dangerous place, but
- 35:14that's what what's
- 35:15>> Yeah, that's happening and has already
- 35:16started.
- 35:17>> So, if that's ongoing, and every kind of
- 35:20new data center is a big
- 35:22issue and
- 35:24raises a lot of protest and so on,
- 35:26wouldn't that be an opportunity for
- 35:28Europe and say, "Okay, Europe, welcome.
- 35:30Keep building the data centers here.
- 35:32>> I I Matthias, I feel like I'm more
- 35:34German than you. I'm just going to put
- 35:35that out there. You're playing the
- 35:37American. I'm playing it Like, okay.
- 35:40Of course it's an opportunity, but it's
- 35:41only an opportunity if it's technically
- 35:44credible. So, like, if you ask me, I'm
- 35:46in charge of Germany or in charge of
- 35:48France or some great nation,
- 35:50you have to say, "First, we have a
- 35:52crisis. We We are going to get the best
- 35:55people in the world to come.
- 35:58We're going to call the best people in
- 35:59the world and say, "What
- 36:00>> Wait, what?
- 36:01>> would stop you from By the way, I told I
- 36:03haven't told this to this Chancellor,
- 36:04but I've literally told directly or
- 36:06indirectly to every Chancellor and every
- 36:09important politician that you can think
- 36:11of for the last 10-15 years. You got to
- 36:14do what Israel does, what China does,
- 36:18what America would do, what what we did
- 36:20after World War II. Do you Do you Like,
- 36:22we built our industry on German
- 36:24scientists.
- 36:26Like,
- 36:26it's like and the people who built the
- 36:29bomb, like when we built the bomb,
- 36:32like Einstein writes the president,
- 36:35the massive opportunity begins with
- 36:39I know we have a problem that is
- 36:41dangerous for the present and future of
- 36:44our society and has to be solved.
- 36:46There's only a political leader in
- 36:48Europe has to make that statement.
- 36:51It would be best if that was Germany for
- 36:55the leaving all of our
- 36:57emotional attachments to Germany simply
- 37:00because Germany once had the best tech
- 37:02scene and still is the driving economic
- 37:04motor of Europe and there is no Europe
- 37:06without Germany. Okay, but then sorry,
- 37:08let me just
- 37:09then the question is
- 37:12you're going to have to bring those
- 37:14people over and they're going to have to
- 37:16be the ones distributing the capital,
- 37:18hiring the people, saying how you do
- 37:21this.
- 37:22Of course, what happens is the local
- 37:24people I mean, Germany has more talent
- 37:27and France is the same thing that any
- 37:28other country per per square Okay, those
- 37:31people learn how to do it and then build
- 37:34their things themselves and that's and
- 37:36by the way, another thing, it's talent
- 37:40not money. It's like it it is
- 37:43part of the problem here.
- 37:45Let me give you a different version.
- 37:46Part of the reason it's hard to do the
- 37:47optimistic thing is every day Europe
- 37:50makes another decision
- 37:52that makes it harder to fix the problem.
- 37:55>> Okay, Alex,
- 37:57I I agree absolutely on the opportunity
- 37:59and on the necessity to bring back to
- 38:02Germany the best talent. Unfortunately,
- 38:03we have a lot of people who made their
- 38:05careers, who know how things are working
- 38:07and who still feel a certain degree of
- 38:10patriotism or in any case want that
- 38:12Europe and that Germany succeeds. So,
- 38:14let's bring them back, let's take
- 38:16advantage of them or let's use them
- 38:18where they are. We agree on that. But, a
- 38:20fundamental for would be that people
- 38:22believe in the opportunity and believe
- 38:25in the necessity to embrace AI to be at
- 38:27the forefront of these developments.
- 38:29Could you briefly explain why AI is more
- 38:32of an opportunity than a threat if you
- 38:33think if you think
- 38:34>> Well, I mean again, it's I'm just going
- 38:36to start at the battlefield is not where
- 38:37you want me to start maybe, but without
- 38:41AI systems
- 38:42Russia would have won.
- 38:45And by the way, without pre-AI, but
- 38:47things that can almost do that, you the
- 38:50parties that, you know, you're very
- 38:51focused on would be running Europe
- 38:52because you would have terror attacks
- 38:54that are rampant. So, Europe is already
- 38:56completely existing because of these
- 38:59technologies. Europe, as we know it now
- 39:01with all its problems, would not exist
- 39:03without these technologies being used
- 39:06actively. So, that's like the baseline.
- 39:08Then you get to okay,
- 39:10Germany has now has to compete with
- 39:13China.
- 39:14And to do that it's going to have to
- 39:16rebuild how it builds cars, how it
- 39:17processes chemicals, how it re- changes
- 39:21its historically dominant industries
- 39:24into industries that can compete against
- 39:26America and China.
- 39:27Uh and it has a limited workforce and in
- 39:30migration is failing.
- 39:32Okay, how would you get how would you
- 39:34raise GDP where you have very strict
- 39:37laws, but some of which may have to
- 39:39change. You have energy things which
- 39:41probably will change, but it's going to
- 39:43take a long time where it where
- 39:45migration has not worked.
- 39:47There is only one technology that can do
- 39:49this. And by the way, I tend to think
- 39:51these things should be always asked and
- 39:53answered in the empirical. There are two
- 39:56and a half countries that are embracing
- 39:57these technologies. America, which has
- 40:00GDP growth that part of the problem we
- 40:02have politically is it works almost too
- 40:05well. It's just not widely distributed.
- 40:07China seems to be working and Israel
- 40:09seems to be working. Where have people
- 40:11not embraced these technologies? And so,
- 40:14that that's like it but again, if you
- 40:17just start with the core problem Germany
- 40:19has, it's an export culture. Its
- 40:21products have to be better than everyone
- 40:22else's or no one's going to buy them.
- 40:25And
- 40:26you can basically ask Germans do you
- 40:28think your products are going to be
- 40:30responsible for your for your
- 40:33economic health, bullstand, or is it
- 40:35going to be your diplomatic service
- 40:37that's going to deliver that? You're
- 40:38going to you're going to rely on German
- 40:40popularity. And so the opportunity is
- 40:43it's I tend to think like the
- 40:45opportunity is that if you want to
- 40:48succeed and thrive, there's only one set
- 40:50of technologies that can do this. How
- 40:52are you going to rebuild your car
- 40:53industry so it's as good as China's?
- 40:55Just start there.
- 40:56Like again, that
- 40:58and people are doing that. We have
- 40:59partners. How are you going to rebuild
- 41:01these industries so you can compete and
- 41:02win?
- 41:03There there is no other way.
- 41:06>> Alex, I think we are living
- 41:09in one of the most exciting times of
- 41:11civilization. There is so much change.
- 41:13There is so much progress. There is
- 41:15progress on so many levels in highest in
- 41:19accelerated speed. It is
- 41:21the case for space. It is the case for
- 41:25health. It is the case for computing and
- 41:27robotics.
- 41:28It is the case also for defense.
- 41:31Unfortunately, we need that. So my
- 41:35question is although we are
- 41:38at the eve of an incredible accelerated
- 41:42productivity gain and uh
- 41:45potentially
- 41:46a better form
- 41:48of
- 41:49living in civilization.
- 41:52I really see that opportunity.
- 41:54Nevertheless,
- 41:55it is one of the most skeptical times.
- 41:57There is a lot of fear. There is a lot
- 41:59of anger.
- 42:01How do you explain that? Is it simply
- 42:03the speed of change?
- 42:05>> it's too much and now let me just focus
- 42:07on America. I
- 42:08>> And by the way, that is not a European
- 42:10origin.
- 42:12>> And it is arguably bigger problem here?
- 42:15This is where I do think America might
- 42:17have like I think
- 42:18Okay. Europe has an obvious tech problem
- 42:21with political consequences that are
- 42:24really bad. America has a more of a
- 42:26political problem where left far left
- 42:30far right have just like
- 42:33they it's more hurt the people are
- 42:36successful than
- 42:37any solution. And they're very serious
- 42:39about that. And you know the the idea
- 42:41they couldn't win is
- 42:43not true unfortunately. Um the
- 42:46the the the the the central framing I'm
- 42:48skeptical of here with people so people
- 42:51I agree with probably you and definitely
- 42:53people in my tech world. Um it's always
- 42:57like this is going to be a bastion of
- 43:01plethora of good things that everyone's
- 43:04going to profit from
- 43:06and there are no dangers. Not saying you
- 43:07say this but but it is a commonly held
- 43:09view and the the tech people want
- 43:12everyone to like to stand up and say
- 43:14that and I think that is not credible.
- 43:17What but I what I think is actually just
- 43:19like the overselling of AI in this
- 43:21country is really really
- 43:24really
- 43:26somewhat disconcerting but it's also
- 43:29depressing because you don't have to do
- 43:30it. This is a natural resource
- 43:34that is net net excruciatingly valuable
- 43:38for
- 43:39the betterment of humanity.
- 43:41But it does have some negative
- 43:42externalities. First of all, we don't
- 43:44know where it's going to go.
- 43:46It's these things are not deployable
- 43:48without processing engines, application
- 43:50layers, ontology, etc. Um
- 43:53it
- 43:54And the biggest problem in this country
- 43:56is
- 43:57it does
- 43:58it while it will raise the standard of
- 44:00living of the average person the people
- 44:02involved are like going to get 10 100
- 44:04times wealthier than they already are.
- 44:07That's a problem for society. Like, you
- 44:09know, the the way I try to explain to my
- 44:10Silicon Valley colleagues is
- 44:14>> Do you think that the wealth I mean, if
- 44:16we go back to history, then innovation
- 44:19and new technologies have always led to
- 44:22uh growth, to prosperity, and to an
- 44:25improvement of the standard of living of
- 44:27all people.
- 44:29Particularly of the lower income income
- 44:32classes. That has started uh
- 44:35centuries ago. It was true when the
- 44:37wheel was invented. It was true when the
- 44:39steam engine was invented. It was true
- 44:42when
- 44:43computers were invented. It has, in the
- 44:47end, if we draw a line, contributed to
- 44:50the well-being of people, and it has
- 44:52improved the shape of society.
- 44:54Nevertheless, at the beginning, there's
- 44:56always the concern
- 44:57the
- 44:58steam engine is going to destroy
- 45:00>> Let me just Sorry.
- 45:02>> jobs.
- 45:03>> We are always here afraid
- 45:05>> So, my my point is that I think that
- 45:07life is not different Let me give you a
- 45:08different first. Let me give you a
- 45:10different the answer that I think sums
- 45:12up a lot of the problems
- 45:14in Europe and America. This is new
- 45:15playbook.
- 45:16Like, there or there is no playbook.
- 45:18Like
- 45:19why am I doing so well? Because this is
- 45:21a neuro diversion age. And what the
- 45:24people had skills
- 45:26So, so this is a different revolution.
- 45:29And even if that is true, and let's
- 45:31assume it is that everybody will do
- 45:33well, I think that's not I think most
- 45:35people will do better.
- 45:35>> You You think the society is going to
- 45:37divide into a very few with incredible
- 45:40wealth
- 45:41>> the mass that has nothing. No, no, I'm
- 45:42No, I'm not saying that. Again, I think
- 45:44that's like that's kind of the the It
- 45:46That's not what I'm saying. I'm saying
- 45:48most people who are middle and lower and
- 45:49little class will do better. Everybody
- 45:52People who are willing to change their
- 45:53jobs are likely to do better. But not
- 45:55everyone.
- 45:57But that's not the real political
- 45:58problem. We have a political problem in
- 46:00this country, not a tech problem.
- 46:03In past revolutions,
- 46:05uh the person at the bottom maybe their
- 46:08salary doubled and the person at the top
- 46:11became
- 46:13five times wealthier, but like it was
- 46:15very unusual to be a billionaire 40
- 46:17years ago,
- 46:18right?
- 46:19You now have a revolution where,
- 46:22you know, I could become 20 times
- 46:23wealthier than I am now. And the person
- 46:26who is working out here could become,
- 46:29you know, they could have their salary
- 46:30could go over certainly could go up
- 46:32significantly by any normal standard
- 46:34over a period of 10 years.
- 46:36Go up 50% or double, okay?
- 46:39It When you have a complete decoupling
- 46:41of like unimaginable wealth
- 46:45and normal and that unimaginable wealth
- 46:48and then this is where we're not really
- 46:49allowed to say this, but it's done by
- 46:52people that you don't really relate to.
- 46:54Like these are like very oddly shaped IQ
- 46:57specimens
- 46:59that, you know, you probably wouldn't
- 47:01want to have over for dinner. If they
- 47:02were over for dinner, you have nothing
- 47:03to talk to them about.
- 47:05And by the way, vice versa.
- 47:07And you know, and then our whole fabric
- 47:10is not like I got screamed at for like
- 47:13first of all, wasn't a draft. It was
- 47:14like we should have some kind of
- 47:15service. By the way, by that I meant
- 47:17hospital, taking care of old people.
- 47:19Our our fabric of our society's already
- 47:21strained.
- 47:22Wealthy people, it's not like in the
- 47:24'50s and '60s where people actually knew
- 47:26each other, went to the same schools.
- 47:28We're already totally separate
- 47:30societies. Right? It basically is. I
- 47:32mean, it's inflammatory, but we already
- 47:34live in a separate but non-equal
- 47:35society. And then you hypercharge it
- 47:38with like extreme economic wealth.
- 47:42Like like ex- egregiously extreme while
- 47:45everybody else is kind of growing and
- 47:47even if it's not true,
- 47:50people are afraid, even if it is true
- 47:52that most people are raised, the actual
- 47:54fear people have is I'm going to lose my
- 47:56job. Now,
- 47:58that fear, even if it's not true,
- 48:00the people running the lab companies,
- 48:03who are the leaders, told you it's true.
- 48:06They're telling you your life is going
- 48:08to suck, and they're also getting very
- 48:10wealthy, and you don't find them very
- 48:11likable.
- 48:12>> And people who used to be on the winning
- 48:15side of history are now suddenly very
- 48:19much afraid that they would lose their
- 48:20job. I traveled to the Silicon Valley
- 48:23three times over the last
- 48:25few weeks, and the the level of
- 48:28nervousness
- 48:29is really surprising. A lot of people
- 48:31think we have only 6 months until our
- 48:33jobs are going to be gone, and that is
- 48:36the tech community, that is developers,
- 48:38and they they work day and night in
- 48:41order to reinvent themselves because
- 48:43they are afraid that in a few months
- 48:45>> And and again, [clears throat] and then
- 48:46no income.
- 48:46>> And then and then the political version
- 48:48that scares me a lot, and I do think
- 48:51that I'm yelling at everyone in Silicon
- 48:53Valley in private and
- 48:54on public,
- 48:55I've been a Democrat, despite what you
- 48:57may be reading about me, most of my
- 48:59life. I'm still a '70s progressive,
- 49:02which is actually a real progressive,
- 49:03meaning I want to help the poor. I just
- 49:05don't want to burn the rich.
- 49:07The the Silicon Valley
- 49:09line basically is don't believe your
- 49:12lying eyes. Okay, this doesn't work
- 49:14politically. And by the way, it's the
- 49:15same problem Germany and Europe have
- 49:17about all these issues. And if you if
- 49:19you tell people don't believe your lying
- 49:21eyes, you know what they do? They
- 49:22protest vote.
- 49:24That's what happened, and they protest
- 49:25vote cuz what they're really saying is
- 49:28you are telling me not to believe
- 49:29everything I know to By the way, also,
- 49:32just overarching in Europe and in
- 49:33America, the political class has low
- 49:36legitimacy. So, what you know, what your
- 49:39version of reality is, they're always
- 49:40lying to me.
- 49:42I don't know why they're lying. That's
- 49:44hard to figure out, but you people
- 49:45believe they're always lying to me.
- 49:47And again, to just overly tie this in
- 49:49to, annoyingly, why I'll give you a
- 49:52different version. Why is Palantir the
- 49:54most popular brand in the world? People
- 49:56always frame it as the most unpopular.
- 49:58We have For every time you read someone,
- 50:00we have 100 times that. I'll tell you
- 50:01why we're the most popular brand in the
- 50:03world, and that's why they attack us
- 50:04often. We're the most popular brand in
- 50:06the world cuz I might be crazy. I am
- 50:08saying things you don't want to hear
- 50:09like the West is superior, national
- 50:12service, which means helping out old
- 50:13people. Doesn't mean no
- 50:15uh industry should be fully aligned with
- 50:17the country. Uh we have to fight for
- 50:19these things. We have real adversaries.
- 50:21If we're not competent, we'll lose.
- 50:23These things are Technologies are not
- 50:25perfect, and you have to listen to
- 50:26annoying people. And by the way, you
- 50:28can't blame everything on a country you
- 50:30hate, whatever. Okay. And you know why
- 50:33we're so popular? Because everybody else
- 50:36is telling you they're only trying to
- 50:38figure out what you want to hear so they
- 50:40can That's the felt version. And that's
- 50:42why when you when politicians in this
- 50:44country or anywhere else say, "Hey,
- 50:46don't believe your lying eyes on
- 50:48migration. Don't believe your lying eyes
- 50:50>> on nuclear.
- 50:50>> Don't believe your lying eyes on AI."
- 50:52They get up, and they vote for people
- 50:53like, "Screw these people. I'm going to
- 50:55burn down the house."
- 50:56>> What you are addressing is I think one
- 50:57of the most important topics. It is
- 50:59trust. It is about trust. Trust is lost,
- 51:01and trust has been lost in large parts
- 51:03of the political spectrum and the
- 51:06political scene, and trust has also been
- 51:09damaged with regard to media and their
- 51:11credibility. So, we could have a long
- 51:13discussion about that. Would be super
- 51:14interesting, but we have to come to an
- 51:16end sooner or later, Alexander. That's
- 51:17why I would like to touch upon
- 51:18geopolitics. And here the arms race
- 51:22mainly in AI, but not only also in
- 51:25conventional military
- 51:28aspects between America
- 51:30and China or perhaps even ideally
- 51:32between America and Europe on the one
- 51:34side and on the other side China and
- 51:37Russia and Iran and other
- 51:41evil forces. How do you see
- 51:43that thing going to develop?
- 51:46How is the chance
- 51:48that America is continuing to have the
- 51:53upper hand on AI and the developments
- 51:55and how likely is it that China, simply
- 51:58because there is no
- 52:00ethical limitation and there is more
- 52:03access to data of
- 52:05an incredibly
- 52:07large population. I mean, that China is
- 52:10going to win the race. Let me reframe
- 52:12annoyingly it as the inverse.
- 52:15That our moral standards, the advantage
- 52:18America has and Europe does have and I
- 52:21really hope and and Ukraine proves.
- 52:24Um, so it it's very deep in the European
- 52:26history and can be really exposed is
- 52:28that solving the moral issue often
- 52:30uncovers a technical issue about which
- 52:33you're not aware. So, again, Palantir is
- 52:35the data protection platform. It is the
- 52:37sovereign platform that drives our
- 52:39revenue. It is why Ukrainians did so
- 52:41well, why Israel against Iran over
- 52:43performed, why America over performed.
- 52:45And then in tech, there is an advantage
- 52:48if you've actually been on the
- 52:49battlefield that so that China has those
- 52:51they're actually disadvantages. Access
- 52:53to data, I
- 52:54I think actually honestly that might be
- 52:56roughly equal given signal collection on
- 52:59the battle but China has for example
- 53:02medical data of 700 million people.
- 53:05China has
- 53:06full
- 53:07You're talking transparency through
- 53:09complete surveillance with regard to
- 53:10behavioral data of their people. I think
- 53:12that's a different quality because
- 53:14there's simply no democratic
- 53:16Again, we we should have that's a longer
- 53:18technical and it depends what you mean
- 53:20by informatics, machinery, or
- 53:23battlefield. Battlefield I would push
- 53:25back on that. Um, and
- 53:28and I would also also there's not the
- 53:31correlation between
- 53:33too feel too much too much data can also
- 53:35be a problem. It really depends on their
- 53:37processing capabilities. Also, the
- 53:40depending on whether Europe and America
- 53:42changes, the the we there's a lot of
- 53:45complexity in that statement. It it is
- 53:46both true and not true. It depends on
- 53:48the thing. I I'll give you an advantage
- 53:50I think China really does have, which is
- 53:53these technologies pound chairs like
- 53:554,000 people
- 53:564,200 or something were were on every
- 53:59major battlefield. It
- 54:01The reality is there are very big
- 54:03hardware projects that are still about
- 54:05still valuable in in in in in
- 54:08if you look at Iran as opposed to
- 54:09Ukraine heavy hardware
- 54:11plane ships other things played a big
- 54:14role. Those things employ thousands
- 54:17millions of people.
- 54:18They they end up with a political
- 54:20constituency.
- 54:21One of the biggest problems we have in
- 54:23the West that China doesn't have is
- 54:25these technologies are clearly the
- 54:27future
- 54:28combined with others, but you just are
- 54:30feeding
- 54:31fewer families. And so it's much harder
- 54:34for us to shift the budget to exactly
- 54:37where it should go.
- 54:39Whereas in a like China and also China's
- 54:41run by more of an engineering class. So
- 54:43I think they they I would suspect they
- 54:46have a better like if you I I'm pretty
- 54:47sure if you went to the Chinese
- 54:50level like two levels below the person
- 54:53at the top and you did that in any
- 54:54European country, you would find
- 54:56somebody I could explain the technical
- 54:58issues to. I don't I don't know where
- 55:00that person is in Europe and it's harder
- 55:02in the West. So I think that that's the
- 55:04advantage. The disadvantage they have is
- 55:06one, people like you and me and the
- 55:08people that Europe could recruit
- 55:11really don't want to live in a country
- 55:12where they have no democratic rights or
- 55:14economic rights. Uh uh two, um the
- 55:18actual again, this is where I think the
- 55:20commercial and battlefield thing of
- 55:22American industry is at battle.
- 55:24These things are not theoretical. And
- 55:27China like America for again, I've been
- 55:28against I'm not pro-war despite what
- 55:31people think, but one of the advantages
- 55:33Ukraine Israel America has just quite
- 55:35frankly is we know a lot about war, what
- 55:38works, what doesn't, how it works, what
- 55:40products work, what products don't work.
- 55:42Um so, I would say knit knit, that
- 55:45again, the chief political the chief
- 55:48technological weakness we have in the
- 55:50West is kind of political. It's not
- 55:51technical.
- 55:52>> Okay, but if you had to
- 55:54take a bet now, would you rather bet
- 55:56that China is going to win the race in
- 55:5910 years down the road, or will the US
- 56:01keep winning?
- 56:02>> Well, again, it it 10 years too far out.
- 56:05We don't know That's impossible to
- 56:06answer because also,
- 56:07again, I think the chief problem we have
- 56:09is political. Like would China win if
- 56:12you start banning the ability to pure
- 56:14procure like Look, again, I'm not saying
- 56:16all the anti-poverty stuff is fine
- 56:18funded by our adversaries, but it's also
- 56:20funded by the adversaries. What is the
- 56:21best thing that can happen to Russia and
- 56:24China and Iran? Is you don't buy the
- 56:26things that work. So, like that these
- 56:29things And you know who knows this? I
- 56:31mean, these people, again, they are
- 56:33excruciatingly intelligent and ruthless.
- 56:36And if they find out that in your local
- 56:37culture, there people who view
- 56:39technology as witchcraft, you can bet
- 56:40your last dollar they're going to fund
- 56:42those people. And you see this in
- 56:43America on all sorts of issues. You see
- 56:45it vis-a-vis us everywhere. Like the
- 56:47most inane things that actually kind of
- 56:49work, but you know, so it's like does
- 56:52the Is the West able to continue to
- 56:55produce these things? By the way, but
- 56:57again, I think Silicon Valley in this
- 56:59country and your people who think
- 57:01they're advocating for sovereignty in
- 57:02Europe are, you know, could really have
- 57:04to do a better job. Um and so, but if
- 57:07you asked if we can mitigate that risk
- 57:10by by being more honest and more frontal
- 57:12and and more realistic both in America
- 57:15and Europe about our strengths and
- 57:16weaknesses,
- 57:18we have a very good chance of winning,
- 57:19but it is very good chance. Like it's
- 57:21like you can't Like just take the actual
- 57:23technical things. The best open models
- 57:26in the world now are Chinese. That's a
- 57:28problem also because the closed model
- 57:31some of the closed model providers are
- 57:33actually trying to monetize your data.
- 57:36And if you have China offering models
- 57:39that are where they're encouraging an
- 57:41application layer like ours,
- 57:42interestingly, and you can control the
- 57:45weights, and that's why we did this
- 57:46whole thing with with
- 57:48Nvidia, but it's like the the
- 57:52the openings here for China are very,
- 57:54very real. And again, I'm just repeating
- 57:56myself, but
- 57:57if they can control the political
- 58:00apparatus because it's one tribe, one
- 58:02person, one gender, and we somehow can't
- 58:05do that, that's a that's a problem.
- 58:08>> Alex, the very last question of our
- 58:09conversation. We are living in the world
- 58:12where most of the centrist
- 58:15countries and their leadership is
- 58:19stumbling or weak, where
- 58:21populists and autocrats are on the rise.
- 58:26We are
- 58:28challenged by
- 58:31opportunities, and there is a lot of
- 58:33fear, and anger,
- 58:36and at the time time,
- 58:38a lot of opportunity.
- 58:40We have
- 58:41an incredibly unpredictable geopolitical
- 58:44situation.
- 58:46Wars are part of daily reality.
- 58:51A couple of years down the road, do you
- 58:54think that what we're experiencing now,
- 58:56all these discussions, all these
- 58:58changes, are the beginning of the end of
- 59:02the open society model, and we will have
- 59:04in 5 to 10 years a more autocratic
- 59:06world, where strongmen
- 59:09and autocrats are dominant, or do you
- 59:12rather think that what we're
- 59:14experiencing now is
- 59:16the healthy wake-up call, is the
- 59:19beginning of a reinvention, of a
- 59:22rejuvenation, of the centrist,
- 59:25rules-based,
- 59:27open society model.
- 59:29>> Well, thank you. That's a great way to
- 59:31end. Like just if like when I'm saying
- 59:34China and our adversaries have an
- 59:36advantage in procurement because of like
- 59:39very narrow selection and
- 59:43like what I'm trying to say is we don't
- 59:46know the answer to this question, but we
- 59:47have to fight like hell to make sure we
- 59:50are not in societies where they're like
- 59:52the crazy thing is the functional allies
- 59:55of our adversaries now
- 59:57uh who claim to want these progressive
- 1:00:00things, both actually far right and far
- 1:00:02left, which are actually structurally
- 1:00:04very similar, are helping to fight for
- 1:00:06structures
- 1:00:08that would not include anyone like them.
- 1:00:10Like so I want a society where it is the
- 1:00:14best people succeed, those people every
- 1:00:16the inputs are very as as equal as they
- 1:00:19can be, the outputs depend on your
- 1:00:22aptitude and
- 1:00:24discipline and honestly and fortunately
- 1:00:26luck and other variables.
- 1:00:27Um where their rule of law is enforced,
- 1:00:31including if you do not like the person.
- 1:00:33So there's a right of free speech
- 1:00:35whether you like the person or not,
- 1:00:37there's a right of privacy whether you
- 1:00:38like the person or not, there's a right
- 1:00:40to put checks on the government whether
- 1:00:42you know they like you or not, where we
- 1:00:45are able to do creative things and the
- 1:00:47people who do them get to keep some
- 1:00:49portion of the proceeds, but where those
- 1:00:51proceeds are distributed enough so that
- 1:00:54everybody feels like they're
- 1:00:55participating, that we have an idea of
- 1:00:57national order, but that's actually
- 1:00:59national, but progressive. Like you
- 1:01:02know, you get to be Swiss if you're
- 1:01:03Swiss, but you also believe that people
- 1:01:06who aren't Swiss have a valuable
- 1:01:07culture.
- 1:01:08You get to be American if you're you
- 1:01:10know, the the the the people who are
- 1:01:13working the hardest to destroy that
- 1:01:15those concepts and are the most
- 1:01:17effective in destroying these concepts
- 1:01:19call themselves progressive. And they're
- 1:01:22not progressive. or they call
- 1:01:23themselves, you know, uh I don't know,
- 1:01:26super far right. They're not even
- 1:01:28right-wing. Like, you know, one of the
- 1:01:30one of the things I think is hilarious,
- 1:01:32though, on that score is, you know, I
- 1:01:34spent a lot of time in Germany uh
- 1:01:36talking to people who, you know, some of
- 1:01:38them regretted, some of them didn't
- 1:01:39regret their role in in history and dark
- 1:01:42times.
- 1:01:43I think they would be very amused to
- 1:01:45know that people who've taken up their
- 1:01:47mantle on the right are
- 1:01:49mostly uh
- 1:01:51uh people of color, gay, and or Jewish.
- 1:01:54So, we've had some progress in our
- 1:01:56societies.
- 1:01:57>> [laughter]
- 1:01:59>> We now people on the far right are very
- 1:02:01diverse
- 1:02:02on all fronts. And uh but um people on
- 1:02:05the uh and the people on the far left, I
- 1:02:07think in the people I hung out with in
- 1:02:09the Frankfurt School, which is
- 1:02:11a truly
- 1:02:12was left of center from where I was, but
- 1:02:14true progressives would be somewhat not
- 1:02:16amused to know that the the the actual
- 1:02:19philosophical background of most modern
- 1:02:23actual non-progressive progressive is
- 1:02:24not Marx, it's Heidegger.
- 1:02:26And it they're not actually left-wing.
- 1:02:28They're actually asking for things that
- 1:02:30are classically right-wing. What are
- 1:02:31those things?
- 1:02:33They're asking for we all get to be the
- 1:02:35same.
- 1:02:36We're all defined by who we are, by how
- 1:02:38we were born, or what we impute
- 1:02:40ourselves to be. There are only rights
- 1:02:43for a sect of people, the a sector of
- 1:02:46people. The rights do not apply to
- 1:02:48people who are not like us because of
- 1:02:50wealth or because they think
- 1:02:52differently. And that we want a society
- 1:02:54that is essentially looks communal and
- 1:02:56it is no way These These are like
- 1:02:58prototypical non-progressive
- 1:03:01classically right-wing thoughts, just
- 1:03:03reapplied to people who call themselves
- 1:03:05progressive.
- 1:03:07And that's the society that Palantir and
- 1:03:09I are effectively working against.
- 1:03:13By By How are we working against it? By
- 1:03:15by people giving people more
- 1:03:16sovereignty, whether they believe it or
- 1:03:18not, giving people,
- 1:03:20protecting people from terrorism with
- 1:03:21civil liberties,
- 1:03:22>> [music]
- 1:03:23>> by making businesses wealthier, better,
- 1:03:25where the businesses keep their actual
- 1:03:27alpha,
- 1:03:28by helping Ukraine, Israel, and America
- 1:03:31establish a dominant position.
- 1:03:34That's actually helping. [music]
- 1:03:35>> That's one of the most beautiful
- 1:03:36sentences
- 1:03:38of democracies. We agree to disagree. In
- 1:03:40that case, I have to say we agree. Thank
- 1:03:43you very much for the discussion.
- 1:03:44>> [music]
- 1:03:44>> Take care.
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This page contains the full transcript of Palantir CEO Alex Karp: AI Panic, Rise of Germany's AfD & Saving Europe by MDMEETS - Essential Talks with Mathias Döpfner, generated from the public captions YouTube serves with the video. The transcript has 10,976 words across 1,794 segments, with the original timestamps preserved so you can click any line to jump to that moment in the embedded player.
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