Opus 5 Released and CRUSHES 5 Minute Polymarkets — Transcript

Full transcript

1. 0:00Okay, Opus 5 is here and it's supposed
2. 0:02to be better than Fable 5 at half the
3. 0:04price. You can see it already built a
4. 0:06bot, actually five different bots for
5. 0:08me. I'm going to try to give you all of
6. 0:09the code here. You can see I'm in a down
7. 0:11position now. It ends in 2 minutes and
8. 0:1232 seconds. So, we'll keep checking back
9. 0:15on this to see if I win or not. I'm up
10. 0:1620%. This is the first trade with the
11. 0:19first Opus 5 bot that I've built. And
12. 0:22now what I'm going to try to do is I'm
13. 0:23going to try to speed run giving you all
14. 0:25five of them just in case you don't have
15. 0:27access to Opus 5 yet. You obviously
16. 0:29don't have the data that I have. The bot
17. 0:31that I'm running is here. I'm going to
18. 0:32go through it quickly. You'll just have
19. 0:34to pause, rewind, whatever sends to your
20. 0:36AI. Nobody's going to give you a
21. 0:37profitable bot just right off rip like
22. 0:39that. But hey, I can give you all the
23. 0:41infrastructure that I do have. I'm going
24. 0:43to scroll through this fast because I
25. 0:45have a bunch of them I want to get
26. 0:46through. I want to give you at least
27. 0:48three of them that Opus 5 built. And
28. 0:50it's not just random bots. This is based
29. 0:52off a lot of research that I've done, a
30. 0:53lot of tests that I've done so far. So,
31. 0:55with each model, the way I look at it is
32. 0:58my systems are getting better and better
33. 0:59just like Jim Simons says we should do.
34. 1:01Our systems, we need to keep working on
35. 1:03them, make them better and better and
36. 1:05better to
37. 1:06make sure to keep getting that
38. 1:08competitive edge cuz that's what
39. 1:09everybody else is going to do. You can
40. 1:11see there's 1 minute and 33 seconds left
41. 1:13here. I'm still up what? 20%? That's
42. 1:15interesting that hasn't changed. Let's
43. 1:16go ahead and refresh here.
44. 1:18So, it needs to be under 64 100
45. 1:221 minute left. I'm up 120%. Okay, let's
46. 1:25see what that happens to be. Let's keep
47. 1:27going through this code cuz this is the
48. 1:29exact bot that I'm running. Now, this
49. 1:31isn't going to be a plug and play make a
50. 1:32million dollars overnight. This is
51. 1:34something I just built with Opus 5. So,
52. 1:36I'm scrolling through as quickly as
53. 1:37possible because I do need to get back
54. 1:39there before the time changes. I want to
55. 1:41see if it's a dub or not. And this is
56. 1:43taking a little bit of time to go
57. 1:45through all this code, but hey, you
58. 1:46know,
59. 1:47the time that I've
60. 1:49worked on this,
61. 1:51you get instantly in a short video.
62. 1:54Opus 5 was working on this code and the
63. 1:58other four bots that I built today for
64. 2:0130 plus minutes. If I can break this
65. 2:03down into a few minutes and you can see
66. 2:05the actual results, then boom. There's
67. 2:0736 seconds left here, 34 seconds left.
68. 2:10It says I'm up 120%, but I think it's
69. 2:12getting a little sticky. Let's try to
70. 2:14keep going through this code and get to
71. 2:16the end before the 30 seconds is up. You
72. 2:18will have to pause, rewind, do whatever
73. 2:20you need to do, but hey, this is not
74. 2:22plug and play anyways. Please go ahead
75. 2:24and put your own ideas in. We're almost
76. 2:26to the end here and then I'm going to
77. 2:27show you one more after this.
78. 2:30So, this is a draw. Let's go ahead and
79. 2:31see where we are. Oh, we're at 12
80. 2:32seconds left. Do we get the dub or not?
81. 2:35Do we get the dub or not? It has to be
82. 2:36under 64,100.
83. 2:38We're at 64,082.
84. 2:41Oh my god, it's going up at the last
85. 2:43second.
86. 2:44I think we got the dub here. So, 141%.
87. 2:48Now, be careful. This is just the first
88. 2:51trade of the first bot.
89. 2:53Uh 141%
90. 2:55$5 position size. You can see whole tail
91. 2:57determining winner. We'll come back when
92. 2:59that is done. Let's keep going through
93. 3:00all of the code so you have the exact
94. 3:02bot that I just ran here.
95. 3:05But again, be careful.
96. 3:06You can see this is the main function
97. 3:08here. So, we're just about at the end
98. 3:10and I'm going to give you one more bot
99. 3:12after this and maybe we'll catch another
100. 3:13trade.
101. 3:14So, boom. If I scroll through this, you
102. 3:16can go ahead and refresh, pause,
103. 3:19whatever you need to do in order to get
104. 3:21all of the code. Okay, so boom. Let's
105. 3:23see if it determined the winner. Okay,
106. 3:25you can see claim your winnings.
107. 3:26Perfect. So, let's go to live market
108. 3:28here and let's see if it gets another
109. 3:30trade. I don't see anything thus far.
110. 3:32You can see it running down here in the
111. 3:33bottom right. This is the bot running
112. 3:36and you can see Okay, it just picked
113. 3:38down again. So, let's go here and you
114. 3:40can see it picked down again. So, in 4
115. 3:42minutes, we will see if this is a win or
116. 3:45not. But ideally, I'm able to get you
117. 3:47the code even faster than that. So,
118. 3:50let's go ahead and give you one more of
119. 3:51these. How about the Ensemble Edge?
120. 3:53Okay, you can read about it here.
121. 3:56It's using an ensemble model here.
122. 3:59The other one was trading just BTC, but
123. 4:01a couple of these trade multiple symbols
124. 4:03because you can trade XRP, you can trade
125. 4:06ETH, you can trade other symbols, which
126. 4:08is interesting. I like to single it out
127. 4:10to BTC a lot of the times, but she's got
128. 4:12a mind of her own and maybe she's onto
129. 4:14something. Let me scroll through all
130. 4:15this code so you have access here. Paper
131. 4:17mode set to false, of course. I use
132. 4:19small size when I'm testing something
133. 4:21new, you know? The process that I
134. 4:24follow, the framework, is research,
135. 4:27find good ideas, then backtest those
136. 4:29ideas to see if they are trash. If
137. 4:30they're trash, throw them away.
138. 4:32It's kind of hard to backtest on
139. 4:34Polymarket for some of these things, so
140. 4:36I do just go on to I, which is incubate.
141. 4:40Incubating is using small size to build
142. 4:42a small bot, something that if it blows
143. 4:44up, I don't care about. These are $5
144. 4:46size. You can see calculate the number
145. 4:48of shares. It really depends on what the
146. 4:50price of the market is at the time,
147. 4:52right? How many shares can you get for
148. 4:53$5?
149. 4:55I think the minimum number of shares
150. 4:58that you can buy are five. So, if the
151. 5:01price of the Polymarket is at 10 cents,
152. 5:03it might be lower than if the price of
153. 5:05the market is at 90 cents. See what I'm
154. 5:07saying? So,
155. 5:09just use something that you don't care
156. 5:11about losing, because this is very, very
157. 5:13high frequency, and everybody wants to
158. 5:15be a high frequency trader.
159. 5:17I don't necessarily believe that's a
160. 5:18good place to start because everybody is
161. 5:20competing on that.
162. 5:22Higher frequency when there's plenty of
163. 5:24edge in lower frequency strategies. So,
164. 5:27you can see here, this is trading like
165. 5:29it's two for two so far. It's trading
166. 5:31two of the two markets. It's not winning
167. 5:33two for two. You can see it has to be
168. 5:34under 64089.
169. 5:36It's at 64120.
170. 5:38So, this is live. The first two trades,
171. 5:42that first bot I showed you, has taken.
172. 5:44We have about 1 minute here to go
173. 5:46through the rest of this second bot. You
174. 5:48can see I built five, but I'm not going
175. 5:49to go ahead and scroll through all five.
176. 5:51This should be plenty of infrastructure
177. 5:53for you to go ahead, post it into your
178. 5:55AI, then add in your ideas, because at
179. 5:58the end of the day
180. 5:59nobody's going to just give you a
181. 6:00million dollars. If I told all these
182. 6:02people that watch these videos, there's
183. 6:03a million dollars in the corner, it
184. 6:05would not be there for long. So, that
185. 6:07kind of explains something called alpha
186. 6:09decay, why nobody can just give you a
187. 6:12bot. And if you see somebody selling you
188. 6:14a bot or just trying to give you a bot,
189. 6:15you're probably about to get scammed.
190. 6:17You can see there's 1 minute and 25
191. 6:18seconds here.
192. 6:22If anybody says, "Hey, you can go ahead
193. 6:24and plug and play this bot and make X
194. 6:26dollars a day, a month, a year." Yeah,
195. 6:28you're about to get scammed, dude. So, I
196. 6:30can give you the infrastructure for the
197. 6:31things that Fable or Opus 5 built for me
198. 6:34today, but I can't just say, "Hey, plug
199. 6:36and play, make a million dollars."
200. 6:39But, I think this does save a lot of
201. 6:41time, because I've been working on these
202. 6:425-minute bots for multiple months now. I
203. 6:45still have not cracked the 5-minute
204. 6:47market,
205. 6:48but
206. 6:49since I haven't, I can give you all of
207. 6:51the the infrastructure here, and you can
208. 6:54go ahead and try to crack it with me.
209. 6:57We got 46 seconds here to see if we get
210. 7:00this one. It has to be under 64089.
211. 7:02It's at 64100. This is a nail-biter.
212. 7:05Let's get through the rest of this code
213. 7:06quickly, so we can go ahead and see if
214. 7:09we get two for two.
215. 7:12There's the rest of the code.
216. 7:16All right, this is a nail-biter, dude.
217. 7:17It's at 89. 84.
218. 7:20I'm in a down right now.
219. 7:22I've already given you two bots.
220. 7:3187. 88.
221. 7:3587. It's got to be under 89. It's at 87.
222. 7:3886. You already got both bots.
223. 7:41Am I going to win this? 90? No!
224. 7:44I don't know how, but we won.
225. 7:46Two for two, baby.
226. 7:47Let's get it.