YouTube2Text

One Piece TCG Market Update - Winners, Losers and 6-Month Trends, Plus Bargains Under $20 — Transcript

by One Piece of Insight · 5,780 words · 792 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

Full transcript

  1. 0:00Hello and welcome to Piece of Insight.
  2. 0:03In today's video, we're going to be
  3. 0:04taking a little bit of a deeper dive
  4. 0:06into how the market has changed over the
  5. 0:08last 6 months, what that means for the
  6. 0:10specific sealed product SPs and promo
  7. 0:12cards that we've been looking at, and
  8. 0:13what that might mean for the future of
  9. 0:15the One Piece TCG in the near term. But
  10. 0:18I also wanted to do something a little
  11. 0:19bit fun at the end of the video, so
  12. 0:20we're going to be looking at a bunch of
  13. 0:21really cool cards for under $20.
  14. 0:24Uh with that, as always, this is
  15. 0:25intended to be interesting and
  16. 0:27informative, but not financial advice.
  17. 0:29So, let's jump right in. So, before we
  18. 0:31jump deeper into the details, we got to
  19. 0:32take a look at how our indexes have
  20. 0:34changed over the last approximate month
  21. 0:37since we last did our update. So, just a
  22. 0:39refresher for those who haven't watched
  23. 0:40every one of these religiously, we have
  24. 0:42three different indexes. We have our SP
  25. 0:44500. This is our price index for SPs
  26. 0:48around $500 or more. Then we have our
  27. 0:50didn't open the wrapper, our Dow index
  28. 0:53of sealed product. And then finally, we
  29. 0:55have our Nica index, uh which are promo
  30. 0:58cards. So, over approximately the last
  31. 1:00month, SPs have shown a lot of strength.
  32. 1:02They're up around 18%
  33. 1:05uh across all of the SPs in the index.
  34. 1:07Meanwhile, booster boxes are telling a
  35. 1:09very different story. They have fallen 3
  36. 1:11and 1/2% uh over the last month. And
  37. 1:14then finally, we have promos that have
  38. 1:16increased by 2% over the last month. All
  39. 1:18of these are telling a little bit of a
  40. 1:19different story. Some of them are
  41. 1:21specific to the cards, and some of them
  42. 1:23I think are more related to macro trends
  43. 1:25across the One Piece TCG market, but
  44. 1:27we're going to dig into all that. So,
  45. 1:29we've been tracking these products over
  46. 1:30the last 6 months, starting in February
  47. 1:32up until today. So, let's talk about how
  48. 1:34the prices have changed over that period
  49. 1:35of time, starting with booster boxes.
  50. 1:38When we started, the most expensive
  51. 1:40booster boxes, of course, were the blue
  52. 1:41bottoms and the white bottoms. Uh I was
  53. 1:43not able to fit every single booster box
  54. 1:45that we look at on this list, so these
  55. 1:46are just the most expensive ones. Uh but
  56. 1:49one of the things we'll notice over that
  57. 1:50period of time is that while about half
  58. 1:53of the booster boxes are up, some of
  59. 1:55them significantly so, about half of the
  60. 1:57booster boxes are also down.
  61. 1:59Uh particularly the most expensive
  62. 2:01booster boxes being the blue bottoms and
  63. 2:03the white bottoms have fallen
  64. 2:04significantly from where they were back
  65. 2:06in February. So, you know, I think for
  66. 2:08the most part we've seen a period of
  67. 2:09consolidation uh for these boxes. They
  68. 2:12ran up quite a bit during the last bull
  69. 2:14run uh and so I think it is healthy to
  70. 2:17see consolidation as opposed to a crash.
  71. 2:19Although over the last month or so we
  72. 2:21have seen the prices start to fall a
  73. 2:23little bit more. It's really tough with
  74. 2:25these because you get some wildly
  75. 2:27different sales and relatively small
  76. 2:28differences in terms of like box
  77. 2:30quality, does it come with acrylic, all
  78. 2:32these sorts of things can make a pretty
  79. 2:34big difference in price. So, I tried to
  80. 2:36take what I thought were the most
  81. 2:37representative numbers. So, the biggest
  82. 2:38move that we've seen over the last 6
  83. 2:40months has actually been with EBO 2.
  84. 2:43I'll be honest, I'm obviously biased.
  85. 2:44I've been a big fan of this box for a
  86. 2:46really long time. This does not surprise
  87. 2:48me and makes a ton of sense to me. You
  88. 2:50know, as we have seen the prices climb
  89. 2:52for the Gear 2 Luffy Manga which I
  90. 2:55believe just hit like an all-time high
  91. 2:57in a PSA 10. We've obviously also seen
  92. 3:00the gold leaders go up a ton. You have
  93. 3:01the Luffy leader in that set that's very
  94. 3:03expensive. Plus this is by my
  95. 3:05calculations probably the second
  96. 3:06shortest printed set after EBO 1s. And
  97. 3:08I'll be honest that even at $845
  98. 3:11I still think it should be above EBO 1.
  99. 3:13EBO 1, yeah, it's a little bit more
  100. 3:15scarce but there's not really much in
  101. 3:17the boxes. This has scarcity and it has
  102. 3:19actual value inside the box. For me at a
  103. 3:22minimum this should be the fourth most
  104. 3:23expensive box of all of these. This box
  105. 3:25had dipped to around $440 as recently as
  106. 3:282 months ago. So, this is a massive
  107. 3:31massive run-up. As a general rule, I do
  108. 3:33assume that when something has
  109. 3:34dramatically increased in price we
  110. 3:36should be careful because we don't know
  111. 3:38whether the market is actually going to
  112. 3:39accept that new price. So, even though I
  113. 3:41do see long-term fundamental value in
  114. 3:43this box and it is my favorite of the
  115. 3:45boxes
  116. 3:46uh I would be careful. So, it's really
  117. 3:48up to your risk tolerance whether or or
  118. 3:50that makes sense for you. Other boxes
  119. 3:52that have moved quite a bit here, EBO1
  120. 3:54continues to rise as well, which again,
  121. 3:56I'm a little bit surprised by. You know,
  122. 3:58one of the trends that I think we're
  123. 4:00going to see across all of these
  124. 4:01different items is that scarcity seems
  125. 4:04to be playing a huge role. And one of
  126. 4:06the biggest losers that we've seen over
  127. 4:07the last 6 months has been OP13
  128. 4:10precisely for this reason. We just got a
  129. 4:11reprint. It was already probably the
  130. 4:13largest supply of set that we've ever
  131. 4:15had even before the reprint. And so now
  132. 4:18we've seen prices go from around $600
  133. 4:20all the way down to $400. I'll be
  134. 4:22honest, I do think that $400 is still
  135. 4:24pretty cheap for OP13 given the value
  136. 4:27that some of the cards in the boxes are
  137. 4:29going for, but I also think that that's
  138. 4:31a demonstration that when there is a lot
  139. 4:32of supply available, that makes people
  140. 4:35feel a little bit nervous about the
  141. 4:36prices and so the prices may have a
  142. 4:38little bit harder of a time moving up. I
  143. 4:40do think that OP13 is going to get back
  144. 4:41to where it was. I just think it's going
  145. 4:42to take a little bit of a while to get
  146. 4:44there. Another big mover has been OP11.
  147. 4:47I think one of the other trends that
  148. 4:48we've seen in sealed is sets that have
  149. 4:50huge chase cards
  150. 4:52that haven't gotten a massive reprint
  151. 4:54are also being pulled up as well. We see
  152. 4:56this with OP05, you know, PRBO1,
  153. 4:58although it's fallen behind EBO1 a
  154. 5:00little bit is also up a bit as well as
  155. 5:03OP09. Like these sets that have these
  156. 5:04big chase cards continue to do well.
  157. 5:07Part of that is probably that people are
  158. 5:08ripping them so they become a little bit
  159. 5:09more scarce, but part of it is also that
  160. 5:11I think people want to own the boxes
  161. 5:13that have the best cards in them. You
  162. 5:15know, it's hard to know exactly how much
  163. 5:16of that is genuine versus hype, but that
  164. 5:19is a trend that we're seeing. Another
  165. 5:20thing I wanted to look at is how the
  166. 5:21boxes have changed in their positioning
  167. 5:24over the 6 months relative to one
  168. 5:25another. So what I did was I took the
  169. 5:28rank order of price of the booster boxes
  170. 5:316 months ago and then I compared them to
  171. 5:33where the booster boxes sit now in terms
  172. 5:36of rank order of price. So if we take
  173. 5:38the assumption that the market moves as
  174. 5:39a whole, things generally go up or
  175. 5:41things generally go down, looking at how
  176. 5:43things change in position relative to
  177. 5:45one another can help to tell us where
  178. 5:47certain boxes are seeing strength and
  179. 5:49where certain boxes are seeing weakness
  180. 5:51and what that might tell us about the
  181. 5:52market as a whole. So first, obviously,
  182. 5:54EBO2 has gone up five spots from where
  183. 5:57it was six months ago. You know, that's
  184. 6:00not a surprise given what we just talked
  185. 6:01about and how much the price has gone
  186. 6:02up. OP13 as well is up three spots
  187. 6:05relative from where it was six months
  188. 6:07ago. An interesting one here that has
  189. 6:09gone up is OP02.
  190. 6:12I find this pretty surprising because
  191. 6:13most of the other vintage Heracross
  192. 6:15stuff has actually been falling. OP03 is
  193. 6:18down four spots. OP04 is down three
  194. 6:21spots. It may just be that OP02 was like
  195. 6:23just a tiny bit undervalued compared to
  196. 6:26the other ones
  197. 6:27six months ago, but I thought that was a
  198. 6:29little bit interesting. It was
  199. 6:30interesting to me that over the last six
  200. 6:32months the top three boxes have remained
  201. 6:34the top three boxes. I think we're
  202. 6:36starting to see some like consolidation
  203. 6:37and consensus that those are probably
  204. 6:39the three best sets
  205. 6:41that people want to collect to different
  206. 6:43degrees. I think once we get below that
  207. 6:45and we get into like the PRB01, EBO1,
  208. 6:48and EBO2 tier, I think there's maybe a
  209. 6:50little bit of discussion of which are
  210. 6:52better than the others, but I think
  211. 6:53clearly OP01 has its place in history
  212. 6:56and then OP05 is probably the best
  213. 6:58anniversary set that we've gotten and so
  214. 7:00those remain the top three for a reason.
  215. 7:03Okay, so enough of booster boxes. Let's
  216. 7:05talk about the SPs. So we did the same
  217. 7:08thing here. We looked at the SP prices
  218. 7:09from six months ago and we compared them
  219. 7:11to today to see how they've changed. So
  220. 7:14our big winners, we have the EBO3 Robin,
  221. 7:17the EBO3 Boa. EBO3 in general has done
  222. 7:20really, really well. The only reason the
  223. 7:21Nami hasn't increased as much as cuz the
  224. 7:23Nami was by far the most expensive
  225. 7:26when the set first came out. You know,
  226. 7:28this has been a good six-month period
  227. 7:29for Boa in general. She's been a little
  228. 7:31bit up and down, but right now she's
  229. 7:32back on the upswing. The OP04 Boa has
  230. 7:35also been one of the biggest winners
  231. 7:37over the past six months increasing
  232. 7:38$410, which is like almost 50% over the
  233. 7:426-month period. You know, I'm a big
  234. 7:44believer that that's an iconic SP and so
  235. 7:47I'm not surprised that it has gone up in
  236. 7:49price, but you know, again, a lot of
  237. 7:51these gains have been within like the
  238. 7:52last month. So I would be a little bit
  239. 7:54careful there. Same thing with Gum-Gum
  240. 7:56Giant. Gum-Gum Giant has increased a ton
  241. 7:59over the last 6 months. You know,
  242. 8:01obviously there's some playability
  243. 8:02relevance there. It is an event manga,
  244. 8:04but for those who don't know in PRB02
  245. 8:07event mangas were treated SPs. That's
  246. 8:08why I characterize it here. You know, I
  247. 8:10think people are starting to realize how
  248. 8:11good of a set PRB02 is, so I'm not
  249. 8:14surprised to see it rise there as well.
  250. 8:16Although it has gotten a little bit
  251. 8:18ahead of the other event mangas and SPs
  252. 8:20in that set, which I think are really
  253. 8:21really good. So although I do really
  254. 8:23like it, this is one that I would maybe
  255. 8:25be a little bit careful with. It does
  256. 8:27seem just like a little bit expensive to
  257. 8:28me
  258. 8:29compared to the other ones. And then the
  259. 8:31other good story here and as a
  260. 8:32percentage is actually the biggest
  261. 8:34change is the Luffy PRB02. You know,
  262. 8:36that one was only $350 6 months ago,
  263. 8:39which I think was like pretty
  264. 8:40ridiculously underpriced for a very long
  265. 8:43time. It went up to around $450
  266. 8:47and then up to $500 and then up to $600
  267. 8:50and now like in the last couple weeks
  268. 8:51it's now up to $750.
  269. 8:54I don't know how high it's going to
  270. 8:55climb. I'm of a mind that it's like one
  271. 8:56of the best SPs that there are, so I'm
  272. 8:59happy to see it like moving into the
  273. 9:00territory with the other like really
  274. 9:02highly valued SPs.
  275. 9:04But again, it's gone up a lot over a
  276. 9:06relatively short period of time, so I
  277. 9:08wouldn't get too crazy with that one. In
  278. 9:10terms of things that have gone down,
  279. 9:12there haven't been any like crazy
  280. 9:14losers, but the biggest loser has
  281. 9:15definitely been the Ace Wanted poster.
  282. 9:17And this is another one that doesn't
  283. 9:18really surprise me. I think the real
  284. 9:19issue here is just that like there is a
  285. 9:22huge population of these and like how
  286. 9:24many people really care about an error
  287. 9:26card, right? And I think that like a lot
  288. 9:28of its initial price was probably hype
  289. 9:30and people thinking that it was going to
  290. 9:31be super sought after in the future and
  291. 9:33sort of underestimating how common it
  292. 9:35was as a card. And I think we're
  293. 9:37starting to see a correction there. I
  294. 9:38still think it's a little bit expensive
  295. 9:39at this price, but I think we're getting
  296. 9:41into a much more reasonable territory.
  297. 9:43Uh other cards that have fallen a little
  298. 9:44bit, you know, the Boa from OP14. Again,
  299. 9:47I don't really have a great explanation
  300. 9:48for this other than there's like a lot
  301. 9:49of other better Boas out there. The
  302. 9:51Luffy wanted poster from OP09 has also
  303. 9:54fallen quite a bit. This one I am
  304. 9:56surprised about. Now, when I did the
  305. 9:58analysis of the populations for these, I
  306. 10:00did realize that this is a higher
  307. 10:02population SP than I would have guessed.
  308. 10:05Uh because the split between the wanted
  309. 10:08posters and the mosaic SPs in OP09 means
  310. 10:10that the wanted posters are less rare
  311. 10:13than the mosaic ones. So, it does make
  312. 10:15sense that this one is like a little bit
  313. 10:16less expensive than some SPs that are
  314. 10:18both top tier and also rarer, but I am
  315. 10:21surprised that while most things have
  316. 10:23gone up, this has continued to fall over
  317. 10:24that period. I think it's the type of
  318. 10:26thing that if you're really a One Piece
  319. 10:27fan, that you would really want to have
  320. 10:29in your collection. That one does feel a
  321. 10:30little undervalued to me even if it is a
  322. 10:32relatively high population. And then
  323. 10:34there are the cards that really haven't
  324. 10:35moved that much, uh which I think is
  325. 10:37pretty interesting. So, the OP14 Zoro,
  326. 10:40like when it first came out, it was like
  327. 10:41$950, and then it boomed up to like
  328. 10:44$1,500, and then it fell down to $750,
  329. 10:47and now it's climbed back up to end at
  330. 10:49exactly $950, right? And I think it's a
  331. 10:52great story of the volatility that is
  332. 10:55the One Piece market and how like hype
  333. 10:58trains can really, really pull things
  334. 11:00along. I think there's pretty general
  335. 11:02consensus that this is like one of the
  336. 11:04best SPs of all time, uh that the art is
  337. 11:07absolutely iconic. Um but, I think that
  338. 11:10like we saw a massive amount of hype and
  339. 11:12FOMO driving the prices all the way up,
  340. 11:15and then when the reality of the
  341. 11:16population hit as people finished
  342. 11:18opening all those cards, the price fell
  343. 11:21down quite a bit, and people moved on to
  344. 11:24other exciting things. And then
  345. 11:26naturally, the price has slowly
  346. 11:27increased over time uh as people saw it
  347. 11:30as being relatively inexpensive compared
  348. 11:33to what it was and then buying it back
  349. 11:34up to its price where it originally was.
  350. 11:37So, you know, again, the demand is going
  351. 11:39to change as we get new cards over time
  352. 11:41as attention moves somewhere else. So,
  353. 11:43this is part of the reason not to FOMO.
  354. 11:45In terms of other cards that have gone
  355. 11:46down or haven't really moved that much,
  356. 11:48you know, we have the Nami from OP09, we
  357. 11:50have the Zoro from OP09, we also have
  358. 11:52the Nami from OP05. What do those things
  359. 11:54have in common? Well, they're all from
  360. 11:56anniversary sets which are relatively
  361. 11:57high population, particularly the Nami
  362. 11:59from OP05 I think is like one of the
  363. 12:01largest if not the largest population of
  364. 12:03SPs, so I think that could be uh hurting
  365. 12:06its growth potential a little bit there.
  366. 12:09The 09 ones were like the first SPs to
  367. 12:11be really expensive, so I think seeing
  368. 12:13some consolidation there makes a ton of
  369. 12:14sense. So, I think the big takeaways
  370. 12:16here are to understand that when people
  371. 12:19recognize these are really, really good,
  372. 12:21there's going to be a lot of hype. And
  373. 12:22then we test what the actual scarcity
  374. 12:24is. And I think what we saw with EB03 is
  375. 12:27that we had the hype and then like not
  376. 12:29many cards came in to backfill because
  377. 12:31there actually are pretty scarce. And
  378. 12:33then we saw the price continue to go up
  379. 12:34from there because there wasn't much to
  380. 12:36come in and undercut the prices as they
  381. 12:38currently existed. Whereas I think some
  382. 12:40of these more common sets, we see a lot
  383. 12:42of hype and then we see backfill come in
  384. 12:44and that causes the price to go down.
  385. 12:47And so like over a long enough timeline,
  386. 12:49we are going to see like a normalization
  387. 12:51of supply and demand. So, in terms of
  388. 12:53how these SPs have changed, of course
  389. 12:55you have the PRB02 Luffy which is up six
  390. 12:58spots, that's the biggest mover having
  391. 13:00doubled in price over a 6-month period.
  392. 13:02This obviously doesn't surprise me. I
  393. 13:04think the more people that see it in
  394. 13:05person, the more they grow to appreciate
  395. 13:07it. We also have Gum-Gum Giant that's
  396. 13:08moved up four spots. The Boa EB03 has
  397. 13:11moved from third place into first place,
  398. 13:13which I do find a little bit surprising.
  399. 13:15I assumed that it was going to stay in
  400. 13:17third place given the character's
  401. 13:19popularity relative to Nami and Robin.
  402. 13:21The Boa from OP04 has moved up, which I
  403. 13:24think makes a ton of sense uh how iconic
  404. 13:26I view that. In in terms of the ones
  405. 13:28that are falling, the OP14 Zoro falling
  406. 13:31two spots I found to be a little bit
  407. 13:33surprising given how iconic I think that
  408. 13:35one is. You know, the OP09 Nami falling
  409. 13:38two spots doesn't shock me because we
  410. 13:39got the EB03 Nami uh that's above it, so
  411. 13:43that made some sense to me there. Again,
  412. 13:45the Luffy wanted poster falling three
  413. 13:47spots
  414. 13:48continues to surprise me. Um but, you
  415. 13:51know, it is what it is. The Boa from
  416. 13:53OP14 fell three spots, and then the Ace
  417. 13:55from OP13
  418. 13:57fell four spots as well. So, what are
  419. 13:59the big takeaways from this? Well, the
  420. 14:01first is that some people are clearly
  421. 14:02taking profits, particularly in booster
  422. 14:04boxes. While I don't cover it in the
  423. 14:06market indexes, uh it has been clear
  424. 14:09that certain segments of the slab market
  425. 14:12have also been decreasing in price,
  426. 14:14particularly the lower-end cards. There
  427. 14:15are certainly still some like grails and
  428. 14:17super high-end cards that are running,
  429. 14:18but I think a lot of cards that have
  430. 14:20been overhyped are starting to correct a
  431. 14:22little bit on the slab side. We're also
  432. 14:24starting to see some corrections in
  433. 14:25booster boxes. This doesn't surprise me
  434. 14:27very much. When we talked about our
  435. 14:28video trying to predict what was going
  436. 14:30to happen over the next 6 months, I said
  437. 14:32that I thought that some people were
  438. 14:33going to start to take profits going
  439. 14:34into OP17 partly as a way to save money
  440. 14:36so that they can then spend on OP17, um
  441. 14:40but also that depending on how OP17 is
  442. 14:42perceived will help to determine how
  443. 14:44long people think this bull run is going
  444. 14:45to go, right? So far at least, the
  445. 14:47demand for OP17 seems a little bit
  446. 14:49muted. Not everyone is happy with the
  447. 14:51card reveals. We may still get a couple
  448. 14:53epic cards. We may still get a god pack.
  449. 14:56You know, we're not really sure that
  450. 14:57we're done with all of the cards yet, so
  451. 14:59that could affect the perception. Uh but
  452. 15:01for now at least, I think it's led to a
  453. 15:02little bit of market cooling in the
  454. 15:04short term.
  455. 15:05You know, I actually think that a lot of
  456. 15:06these price corrections represent
  457. 15:07maturity. What you really don't want to
  458. 15:09see in a market is where like things get
  459. 15:11bought up through extreme hype, and then
  460. 15:14they fall down really fast because that
  461. 15:16means that like there's a very small
  462. 15:18active group of people who are willing
  463. 15:19to spend a lot of money, but then
  464. 15:21underneath that there isn't really very
  465. 15:23much. I think the fact that we're seeing
  466. 15:25prices correct very, very slowly after
  467. 15:29they've been bought up shows that there
  468. 15:30is a lot of consistent demand for One
  469. 15:33Piece, um which I think is really,
  470. 15:34really good and I think it's a strong
  471. 15:36signal for the future. I think scarcity
  472. 15:38is pushing prices higher right now. As
  473. 15:41I've said, you know, as we saw a lot of
  474. 15:43changes in demand over a 6-month period,
  475. 15:45the one thing that seemed to carry
  476. 15:47through is that the scarcer products
  477. 15:49seem to maintain their prices or
  478. 15:51increase their prices better over the
  479. 15:526-month period than the prices that had
  480. 15:54larger supply. As the market matures and
  481. 15:58we get a better understanding of what
  482. 15:59supply is, those scarcer things tend to
  483. 16:02create their own demand and be more
  484. 16:04demanded than the things that are less
  485. 16:05scarce. I also expect promos and SPs to
  486. 16:08correct. Now, a lot of people are not
  487. 16:09going to want to hear this, especially
  488. 16:10after I just did a video where I talked
  489. 16:12about SPs and I questioned whether or
  490. 16:14not SPs are undervalued. I think whether
  491. 16:17SPs are undervalued compared to mangas
  492. 16:19is still an important question. But I
  493. 16:21also have to acknowledge that the way
  494. 16:23the market tends to work is that it
  495. 16:26moves in waves. And so, now that we've
  496. 16:28seen booster boxes start to correct, I
  497. 16:31do think at some point we will see these
  498. 16:33promos and the SPs, which have continued
  499. 16:35to move up, start to correct as well.
  500. 16:38You know, how hard is that going to hit
  501. 16:40them? It's really, really hard to say.
  502. 16:42So, you know, I think that if we do see
  503. 16:44a correction there, I think there could
  504. 16:45be good buying opportunities for a lot
  505. 16:47of these SPs. Some of the promos I do
  506. 16:49think are still way too expensive, um
  507. 16:51but we'll see what happens there. I do
  508. 16:53expect to see a price correction across
  509. 16:55the board over the next few months, but
  510. 16:57I think SPs and promos in particular,
  511. 16:59because they have just run up so much in
  512. 17:01such a short period of time. And then
  513. 17:03the final thing I want to say is make
  514. 17:04sure you're not overpaying for OP-17.
  515. 17:07Obviously, we know it's an anniversary
  516. 17:08set. We know it's going to be good. We
  517. 17:11still don't know what the biggest chases
  518. 17:12are going to be yet, and some of the
  519. 17:13cards that we've seen so far are really
  520. 17:15cool. I just saw that it finally hit
  521. 17:17like pre-sale prices on TCGPlayer.
  522. 17:19As a word of caution, don't give those
  523. 17:21people your money. Like you're giving
  524. 17:22them an interest-free loan. If the
  525. 17:24prices go up a ton, they'll probably
  526. 17:25just cancel your order anyway. So, it's
  527. 17:27not like you're locking in a great price
  528. 17:29now. I will also say too, you know, what
  529. 17:31we have seen from OP13 is that prices
  530. 17:35spiked up to like $600 relatively
  531. 17:37shortly after release once like all the
  532. 17:39initial supply was eaten up.
  533. 17:41But then as they reprinted, we now see
  534. 17:43that they're like $400 a box, right? It
  535. 17:46will be interesting once we get all the
  536. 17:48cards from OP17 to compare it to OP13
  537. 17:51for which is a better set. But like
  538. 17:54I would be using $400 as a benchmark. If
  539. 17:56we think the set is better than OP13,
  540. 17:58okay, maybe it's worth more than $400.
  541. 18:00If we think it's worse than OP13, maybe
  542. 18:02it should be worth less than $400,
  543. 18:04right? I would expect as a minimum to
  544. 18:06see the same population we had for OP13,
  545. 18:08but we could also see a bigger
  546. 18:09population, right? So, let's not get
  547. 18:11crazy with these prices before we have
  548. 18:14much more information that we need to
  549. 18:16understand like how this actually fits
  550. 18:18among the other sets. Okay, so as I was
  551. 18:20preparing to find some cool cards under
  552. 18:22$20, I'll be honest, I came up with like
  553. 18:2460 and which were like way more than I
  554. 18:26could reasonably go through in a video.
  555. 18:28So, I'm going to try to touch on some
  556. 18:30areas where there are some really really
  557. 18:31cool cards to be found, but I definitely
  558. 18:33encourage you to dig around, you know,
  559. 18:35in the under $20 range cuz there still
  560. 18:37is so much cool stuff to be had uh even
  561. 18:39though most of the time we focus on the
  562. 18:41expensive things. So, the first category
  563. 18:43I want to talk about are the
  564. 18:44illustration boxes. Obviously, most
  565. 18:46people know like the Boa and the Nami,
  566. 18:48those are the most expensive, but you
  567. 18:50know, there's also this Yamato uh Peach
  568. 18:52Momoko. For those who don't know, Peach
  569. 18:54Momoko did the first two illustration
  570. 18:56boxes. So, there were four that that are
  571. 18:58very similar art style. There's this
  572. 18:59one, there's the Black Maria, there's
  573. 19:00the Nami and the Boa. Um I think this
  574. 19:02one is like really iconic looking, you
  575. 19:04know, at $17. All these cards we're
  576. 19:06going to talk about are relatively high
  577. 19:08population, right? So, I wouldn't go
  578. 19:09crazy on them, but if you were looking
  579. 19:10to spend like $100 on the six set, like
  580. 19:12getting all four of those cards
  581. 19:14together, I think would be really,
  582. 19:15really cool.
  583. 19:16But, the illustration boxes in general,
  584. 19:18I think have some really good art, and I
  585. 19:20think at their prices, um even though
  586. 19:22they're relatively high population, can
  587. 19:24still be really good value. You know,
  588. 19:25there's this Egghead Luffy, uh the
  589. 19:27market price on this one is around $9.
  590. 19:30It has gone up a bunch, but it's still a
  591. 19:32really cool-looking card. It's a Luffy
  592. 19:33card. You know, if this was a regular
  593. 19:35alt art, what would it be? 25, 30, 40
  594. 19:38dollars? And instead it's $10, right?
  595. 19:41Like I'm not trying to talk about any of
  596. 19:43these things from an investment
  597. 19:44perspective, but if you like it, like I
  598. 19:46think it's a pretty cheap way to get a
  599. 19:47really cool card. Some other cards I
  600. 19:49like from the illustration box set, I
  601. 19:50think this Law is absolutely sick for
  602. 19:52like $5. The texture uh and the foiling
  603. 19:56on some of the illustration boxes can be
  604. 19:57a little bit hit or miss, but this one
  605. 19:59is absolutely spectacular. We also have
  606. 20:01the Zoro again for around $5. The Zoro
  607. 20:05and the Luffy deliberately go together,
  608. 20:07um which I think looks really, really
  609. 20:08cool.
  610. 20:09And then you also have the Ace here at
  611. 20:11around $3. Uh the Ace also goes with the
  612. 20:14Sabo, so you have the two flame flame
  613. 20:16fruits together, which looks really,
  614. 20:17really cool together. There's this
  615. 20:19Perona uh
  616. 20:21for a dollar, right? The cheapest Perona
  617. 20:23alt art is probably like four bucks, and
  618. 20:26then most of the other ones are like,
  619. 20:27you know, more than $10. So, for a
  620. 20:29dollar, I feel like it's hard to go
  621. 20:30wrong if you like it. This Corazon is
  622. 20:33also like a really, really awesome piece
  623. 20:36of art in my opinion. You know, this one
  624. 20:38again is less than the dollar. And then
  625. 20:41the cheapest of the illustration boxes
  626. 20:42is actually the Sabo um for 50 cents.
  627. 20:46So, I just think these are really,
  628. 20:47really fun promo cards if you're looking
  629. 20:49for something cheap to pick up. Another
  630. 20:51category of cards that I think are
  631. 20:52really cool for their price, you know,
  632. 20:54obviously we talked about the mangas
  633. 20:56versus the SPs, and there was a lot of
  634. 20:57conversation about like original Oda art
  635. 20:59being like the best thing that you can
  636. 21:01have like in the game. Here we have
  637. 21:04something a little bit different. We
  638. 21:05have original sketches from the anime. I
  639. 21:08think this one in particular is really
  640. 21:10iconic of Luffy. And so I think that
  641. 21:12these will stand the test of time a
  642. 21:14little bit just because they are so
  643. 21:15different and so unique. There's also
  644. 21:17this one
  645. 21:18that has all of the Straw Hats. They're
  646. 21:20still pretty cheap. They kind of remind
  647. 21:22me of like if you follow Pokémon, the
  648. 21:24amazing rares, right? Which were like
  649. 21:26cool-looking cards, but like they
  650. 21:28weren't super rare, so nobody really
  651. 21:29paid attention to them. And then as the
  652. 21:31game grew, people found them more
  653. 21:33desirable and now they're worth, not a
  654. 21:34fortune, but they're worth a little bit
  655. 21:36more. The next category where I want to
  656. 21:38talk about are the best selection cards.
  657. 21:40There's like a ton of really, really
  658. 21:42awesome cards in these sets that are
  659. 21:44still really cheap. Obviously, the main
  660. 21:46characters have gotten more expensive. I
  661. 21:48wanted to point out this Makino. Props
  662. 21:50to our friends from Argentina for
  663. 21:51pointing out that we should be checking
  664. 21:53out Makino cards cuz sometimes they have
  665. 21:55other characters in the background. This
  666. 21:57one has little Luffy and you can also
  667. 21:59see Shanks's arm as well. And so it's
  668. 22:01like a cute reminder
  669. 22:02of how Luffy came to be, Luffy and
  670. 22:04Shanks's relationship and all that for a
  671. 22:07really, really affordable package. So
  672. 22:08again, thanks to them for pointing that
  673. 22:10out about actually the Makino first
  674. 22:11anniversary Japanese card, which you can
  675. 22:13really see them clearly, but I also
  676. 22:15checked and found it on this card as
  677. 22:16well. Another card from these types of
  678. 22:19sets. This isn't the best collection,
  679. 22:21but this is the Bandai Card Games Fest.
  680. 22:23I think the Sanji looks absolutely
  681. 22:25awesome. I've talked about it before. It
  682. 22:27used to be like three bucks, now it's
  683. 22:28like five to seven dollars. Again, I
  684. 22:32just feel like for less than $10, this
  685. 22:33is like one of the coolest cards you can
  686. 22:34own. Another card that I also like from
  687. 22:36that folder is the Jinbe. Obviously, I
  688. 22:38really enjoy Jinbe and this is like such
  689. 22:40a good Jinbe face. I make this face
  690. 22:43frankly all the time, especially at my
  691. 22:44children.
  692. 22:46I also think that the artistic style is
  693. 22:47really, really fun. So again, for like
  694. 22:49four bucks, I absolutely adore this
  695. 22:51card. Another card I wanted to talk
  696. 22:53about is the Luffy and Ace starter deck
  697. 22:56EX leader card. This card is like six
  698. 22:59bucks because this set just came out.
  699. 23:01Obviously, everybody's chasing the alt
  700. 23:02art version, which is over $100. But,
  701. 23:05I'll be honest, I got fortunate enough
  702. 23:06to pull the alt art version, and my kid
  703. 23:08only pulled the regular one, and we put
  704. 23:10them side by side, and like they both
  705. 23:12basically look as good. They They look
  706. 23:14different, but they both look awesome.
  707. 23:15And so, I feel like for six bucks, you
  708. 23:17have Luffy and you have Ace on the same
  709. 23:19card, you know, the tag team cards in
  710. 23:21Pokémon do super super well. I think
  711. 23:24these cards that put multiple characters
  712. 23:26on a card to better capture a moment in
  713. 23:28time are really really iconic. And so,
  714. 23:30like I just think it's a really
  715. 23:31desirable card and only six bucks. And I
  716. 23:33wouldn't be surprised if this one gets
  717. 23:34more expensive as the ST10 become a lot
  718. 23:36harder to get. Another promo card that I
  719. 23:38like is the I Know You're Strong.
  720. 23:41Something this has in common with the
  721. 23:42previous card is I'm running both of
  722. 23:44them in my deck since I'm playing Luffy
  723. 23:46and Ace. But, this card, I feel like if
  724. 23:49this was an event manga, would be a very
  725. 23:51expensive card, but because it came from
  726. 23:54the dash packs for OP13, and because
  727. 23:56there's a lot of them, there's a massive
  728. 23:58population of these cards, so you know,
  729. 24:00they're not as rare as the event mangas.
  730. 24:02But, I do think the art on this is super
  731. 24:03super fun, plus it's a good card. For
  732. 24:05only eight bucks, I feel like if you're
  733. 24:07looking at some of these event mangas
  734. 24:08and thinking, "Man, that's so expensive.
  735. 24:10How could I afford that?" Like this is a
  736. 24:11great alternative to that. Also, digging
  737. 24:13a little bit deep here, sometimes
  738. 24:15there's some really fun art that exists
  739. 24:17in the starter decks even on like the
  740. 24:19commons or the uncommons. And so, this
  741. 24:22Chopper was an example. Again, like I
  742. 24:24don't think this is going to be an
  743. 24:25expensive card at any point in the
  744. 24:26future. For $2, I thought it was a fun
  745. 24:29binder card. Um I actually have this
  746. 24:31starter deck, but I completely forgot
  747. 24:33about this card, so I might need to go
  748. 24:34pull it out at some point. And then the
  749. 24:36last card for today that I wanted to
  750. 24:37talk about was this O-Nami pirate foil.
  751. 24:40For those who didn't have the pleasure
  752. 24:41of opening PRB-01 and PRB-02, they had
  753. 24:44like special foiled versions of regular
  754. 24:46cards. PRB-01 had the Jolly Roger foil,
  755. 24:49and then PRB-02 had a different foil for
  756. 24:51every individual card, which was really
  757. 24:53really sick. If there is like art that
  758. 24:56you like in some of the commons and
  759. 24:58uncommons and rares and stuff that they
  760. 25:00may have gotten special treatment in
  761. 25:01those sets. I definitely encourage you
  762. 25:03to take a look because some of them look
  763. 25:04really, really cool. And this is one of
  764. 25:06the Namis that I thought stood out in
  765. 25:07terms of like it's a cool-looking card
  766. 25:09normally, but then you add the foil and
  767. 25:11that makes it kind of special. You know,
  768. 25:13again, for less than a dollar, I just
  769. 25:14think it's a fun binder card. So, that's
  770. 25:16all I have for today. As always, I hope
  771. 25:18you found this helpful. If you found
  772. 25:20that you agreed or disagreed with any of
  773. 25:21this, you know, I'd be interested in
  774. 25:22hearing your insights in the comments.
  775. 25:24As always, I love engaging with you all
  776. 25:25on this. I learn a ton and it's super,
  777. 25:28super enjoyable. If you haven't already,
  778. 25:30you know, we'd appreciate if you'd
  779. 25:31subscribe. If you are looking to pick up
  780. 25:33any of these cards or anything else, you
  781. 25:34know, we have our TCGPlayer affiliate
  782. 25:36link. We're also an eBay affiliate. I'll
  783. 25:38be putting some of these cards up on my
  784. 25:40eBay storefront as well just so that
  785. 25:42people can find them. Again, no pressure
  786. 25:44to buy, but if you do, we'll get a small
  787. 25:45commission, which is really helpful. I
  788. 25:46mostly just want to have them in one
  789. 25:48place
  790. 25:49so that they're easy to find. So, with
  791. 25:51that, as always, I appreciate your time
  792. 25:53and I will see you in the next one.

About this transcript

This page contains the full transcript of One Piece TCG Market Update - Winners, Losers and 6-Month Trends, Plus Bargains Under $20 by One Piece of Insight, generated from the public captions YouTube serves with the video. The transcript has 5,780 words across 792 segments, with the original timestamps preserved so you can click any line to jump to that moment in the embedded player.

What you can do with it

Use the transcript to take notes, quote the speaker, build a study guide, generate a summary with ChatGPT or Claude via the YouTube Summary tool, or export it as a timed subtitle file with YouTube to SRT. You can also re-open it in the transcriber to translate the transcript into 100+ languages.

Free YouTube transcript tool

YouTube2Text is a free YouTube transcript generator — no signup, no daily limit. Paste any YouTube link and get the full transcript instantly, with timestamps, click-to-jump, translation to 100+ languages, AI prompts for ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini, and exports to TXT, SRT, VTT, or Markdown.