Once You Understand DEBT, You’ll Never See Money the Same Way [DOCUMENTARY] — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:02How is money created?
- 0:04Where does it come from?
- 0:06Who benefits
- 0:08and what purpose does it serve?
- 0:12>> What is a money system? What is the
- 0:14money behind the money system?
- 0:17>> For centuries the mechanics of the
- 0:18monetary system have remained hidden
- 0:21from the prying eyes of the populace.
- 0:24Yet its impact both on a national and
- 0:26international level
- 0:28is perhaps unsurpassed.
- 0:32For it is the monetary system that
- 0:34provides the foundations for
- 0:35international dominance and national
- 0:38control.
- 0:43Today
- 0:44as these very foundations are being
- 0:46shaken by crises
- 0:48the need for open and honest dialogue on
- 0:50the future of the monetary system
- 0:53has never been greater.
- 0:55>> This economic crisis is like a cancer.
- 0:57If you just wait and wait thinking this
- 0:59is going to go away just like a cancer
- 1:01it's going to grow and it's going to be
- 1:03too late. What I would say to everybody
- 1:05is get prepared.
- 1:07This is not a time right now to
- 1:10wishful thinking the government is going
- 1:11to sort things out. The governments
- 1:12don't rule the world. Goldman Sachs
- 1:15rules the world.
- 1:17>> Statistical analysis has found that
- 1:20every time an empire begins to near its
- 1:22own demise you'll find that its currency
- 1:25will be debased.
- 1:27>> There is no guide to how this whole
- 1:28system operates.
- 1:30To give you an example a researcher at
- 1:32the BBC working on the Robert Peston
- 1:33documentary went to the Bank of England
- 1:36and said can you give me a you know a
- 1:38guide to how money is created
- 1:40and they just said no.
- 1:42>> This documentary will investigate and
- 1:44explain this ever changing system
- 1:47and the impact it has both on a national
- 1:50and international level.
- 2:27>> In 2010, the total UK money supply stood
- 2:30at 2.15 trillion pounds.
- 2:332.6% of this total was physical cash.
- 2:3753.5 billion.
- 2:39The rest, 2.1 trillion or 97.4%
- 2:43of the total money supply, was
- 2:45commercial bank money.
- 2:48>> The 3% of money,
- 2:50um, is created, uh, through the central
- 2:52bank. And that money, essentially, if
- 2:56you created a 10-pound note, you could
- 2:58sell that to a bank to put into their
- 3:00ATM, and the bank would have to repay
- 3:03that 10-pound or buy it for 10 pounds.
- 3:05There'd be no interest made, uh, charged
- 3:07on that money, but that money is then
- 3:10essentially transferred to the Treasury.
- 3:12And it's a it's a it's a form of
- 3:14fundraising,
- 3:16um, for the government. It's called
- 3:17seigniorage.
- 3:27>> When the Bank of England creates a
- 3:2910-pound note, it
- 3:31cost it about three or four pence to
- 3:33actually print that note. And it sells
- 3:35it to the high street banks at face
- 3:37value, so at 10 pounds.
- 3:39And
- 3:41the profit, the difference between
- 3:43printing the note and actually selling
- 3:45it for 10 pounds,
- 3:47goes directly to the Treasury.
- 3:49So, in effect, all the profit that we
- 3:51get on creating
- 3:53physical money, uh, uh banknotes,
- 3:56goes to the Treasury and it reduces how
- 3:58much taxes we have to pay.
- 4:00Um over the last 10 years, that's raised
- 4:03about 18 billion pounds.
- 4:05>> In 1948,
- 4:07notes and coins constituted 17% of the
- 4:10total money supply.
- 4:12This was one contributing factor in the
- 4:14government's ability to finance post-war
- 4:16reconstruction.
- 4:17This included the establishment of the
- 4:19NHS.
- 4:22In only 60 years, notes and coins have
- 4:24shrunk to less than 3%.
- 4:33Prior to 1844, banknotes were created by
- 4:35private banks and the government did not
- 4:38profit from their creation.
- 4:41>> Pre-
- 4:42industrialization, there was multiple
- 4:44forms of money coexisting. And so, the
- 4:47kind of rise of kind of
- 4:49of government-sponsored fiat money is a
- 4:51relatively recent, um phenomenon.
- 4:54>> In the 1840s, there was no law to stop
- 4:57banks from creating their own banknotes.
- 4:59So, they used to issue,
- 5:01um paper notes as as kind of a a
- 5:04representative of what you had in the
- 5:06bank account. Instead of you taking your
- 5:08heavy metal coins out of the bank and
- 5:10then going and paying somebody with
- 5:12them, you could get your paper which
- 5:14said how much money you had in the bank
- 5:16and you could give that to somebody and
- 5:17they could use that to go and get the
- 5:18heavy metal coins from the bank.
- 5:20Now, over time, these paper notes became
- 5:24as good as money. People would use the
- 5:26paper notes instead of going and getting
- 5:27the real money from the bank. And
- 5:30obviously, as soon as the banks realized
- 5:32that
- 5:33what they were creating had become, you
- 5:35know, the dominant type of money in the
- 5:37economy, they realized that by by
- 5:39creating more of it, they could generate
- 5:41profits. You know, they can just print
- 5:42up some new notes, lend it and get the
- 5:45interest on top of that. And they did
- 5:47that, you know, up until the 1840s. In
- 5:49the 1840s, they pushed it just a little
- 5:51bit too far. And that caused inflation.
- 5:53It destabilized the economy.
- 5:56So, in 1844,
- 5:57the conservative government of Robert
- 6:00Peel actually passed a law
- 6:03that took the power to create money away
- 6:04from the commercial banks
- 6:06um and brought it back to the state. So,
- 6:08since then, the Bank of England has been
- 6:10the only
- 6:12organization authorized to to create
- 6:15paper notes.
- 6:19Since then, everything's gone digital.
- 6:21And what we now use as money is the
- 6:23digital numbers that commercial banks
- 6:25can create out of nothing.
- 6:29>> The problem was
- 6:31that they did not include in that in
- 6:33that legislation um the deposits, the
- 6:36demand deposits, um held in banks by
- 6:40individuals
- 6:41or um electronic forms of money, which
- 6:45is essentially what those demand
- 6:46deposits are today. Most of the money
- 6:49in circulation is is electronic money.
- 6:52Um and it's bank it's bank um demand
- 6:55deposits
- 6:56um that just that that sit in our, you
- 6:58know, our accounts. So, in a way, the
- 6:59legislation has got needs to catch up
- 7:03with developments in in in electronic
- 7:05money uh uh and the way that banks
- 7:08actually operate.
- 7:10>> Money held in bank accounts are called
- 7:12demand deposits.
- 7:14This is an accounting term the banks use
- 7:16credit.
- 7:18Banks follow the same process when they
- 7:20create loans.
- 7:22All money held in bank accounts is an
- 7:25accounting entry.
- 7:34>> The reality is now that most money is
- 7:36not paper and it's not metal coins. It's
- 7:39digital. It's just numbers in a computer
- 7:41system, you know? It's your Visa debit
- 7:43card, it's your electronic, you know,
- 7:45ATM card. Um it's this, it's plastic,
- 7:49you know? It's numbers in the computer
- 7:50system.
- 7:51You move money from one computer system
- 7:53to another. It's all a big database. And
- 7:57this digital money is what we're now
- 7:59using to make payments with. It's what
- 8:01we actually use to run the economy.
- 8:03>> I think a lot of people in the UK
- 8:05probably think that the government or
- 8:07the central bank um it it is in control
- 8:10of most most money in circulation and
- 8:13issues new money
- 8:15into circulation, but that's uh not the
- 8:17case. It's private banks that creates
- 8:20the vast majority of new money in
- 8:22circulation and also decide uh how it's
- 8:25allocated.
- 8:30>> The official terminology for this
- 8:31accounting entry
- 8:33is commercial bank money.
- 8:36When banks issue loans to the public,
- 8:38they create new commercial bank money.
- 8:41When a customer repays a loan,
- 8:43commercial bank money is destroyed.
- 8:46The banks keep the interest as profit.
- 8:50>> There's a lot of misconceptions about
- 8:52the way banks work. There was a a poll
- 8:54done by the Cobden Centre where they
- 8:57asked people, you know, how how they
- 9:00thought banks actually operated. Around
- 9:0230% of the public think that when you
- 9:04put your money into the bank, it just
- 9:06stays there and it's safe. And you can
- 9:08understand why because, you know, every
- 9:10every child has a piggy bank where you
- 9:12keep putting money in and then when it's
- 9:14a rainy day, you smash it and you take
- 9:16that money out and you spend it. So, a
- 9:18lot of people keep this this idea of
- 9:20banking, you know, it's somewhere safe
- 9:22to keep your money so that it's there
- 9:23for whenever you need it.
- 9:25Um another the other 60% of people
- 9:28assume that when you put your money in,
- 9:31that money is then being moved across to
- 9:33somebody who wants to borrow it. So, you
- 9:35have a pensioner who keeps saving money
- 9:37her entire life and then her life
- 9:40savings have been lent to some, you
- 9:42know, young people who want to buy a
- 9:43house. But, actually banks don't work
- 9:45like that.
- 10:05>> At the moment in the UK, money creation
- 10:09and control is is largely in the hands
- 10:11of private banks.
- 10:13About 97 to 98% of money
- 10:16that's that's created is is created as
- 10:19bank
- 10:20bank debt money you could call it
- 10:22when banks issue money into circulation
- 10:25as as loans, essentially.
- 10:27This is very poorly understood fact.
- 10:31>> It's not a conspiracy theory. It's not a
- 10:35It's not a crackpot theory. It's the way
- 10:37the Bank of England describes the
- 10:38process. When banks make loans, they
- 10:40create new money.
- 10:54A few economists will realize the way
- 10:57the money system works. But, if you
- 10:58don't you don't realize the way that
- 11:00money works and you think that, you
- 11:02know, everybody saving is going to work
- 11:04well for the economy. What really
- 11:06happens once you understand the way the
- 11:08money system works is that if everybody
- 11:09starts saving
- 11:11the amount of money in the economy
- 11:13shrinks and we have a recession. So,
- 11:15most economists don't have this this
- 11:17full picture. They don't understand all
- 11:19elements of the system. They rely on
- 11:22assumptions on, you know, received
- 11:25knowledge without actually going into
- 11:27the details. And,
- 11:29you know, money is money is a center of
- 11:31the economy. If you don't understand
- 11:33where it comes from, who it creates who
- 11:35creates it, and when it gets created,
- 11:37then how can you understand the entire
- 11:38economy?
- 11:46When the vast majority of money that we
- 11:48use now is not cash, but it's electronic
- 11:51money,
- 11:52then whoever's creating the electronic
- 11:53money is getting the proceeds of
- 11:55creating that money. And obviously,
- 11:56creating electronic money is much more
- 11:58profitable than creating cash cuz you
- 12:00don't have any production cost at all.
- 12:03So, while we've got 18 billion over the
- 12:06course of a decade
- 12:08in profit from creating cash,
- 12:10the banks have actually created 1.2
- 12:12trillion pounds.
- 12:14>> Between 1998 and 2007, the UK money
- 12:17supply tripled.
- 12:191.2 trillion pounds was created by
- 12:21banks,
- 12:23whilst 18 billion pounds was created by
- 12:25the Treasury.
- 12:29>> A lot of people think when I say this,
- 12:31or when you say this, or when Positive
- 12:32Money say this, that we're all just a
- 12:34bunch of nutters. But on the 9th of
- 12:36March in 2009,
- 12:38the governor of the Federal Reserve, um,
- 12:41Ben Bernanke, gave the first ever
- 12:43broadcast interview the governor of the
- 12:45Central Bank of the United States of
- 12:47America had ever given.
- 12:49And uh, the day before that, he'd bailed
- 12:51out AIG,
- 12:52um,
- 12:53uh, which is a insurance company, not
- 12:55even a bank, actually, to the tune of
- 12:57about 160 billion dollars.
- 12:59>> So, the journalist system
- 13:01Now, Mr. Bernanke, where did you get 160
- 13:04billion dollars to bail out AIG?
- 13:07>> Is that tax money that the Fed is
- 13:08spending? It's not tax money. The banks
- 13:11have, um, accounts with the Fed, much
- 13:14the same way that you have an account in
- 13:16a commercial bank. So, to lend to a
- 13:18bank, we simply use the computer to mark
- 13:21up the, uh, size of the account that
- 13:22they have with the Fed. So, it's much
- 13:24more akin,
- 13:26uh, although not exactly the same, but
- 13:27it's much more akin to printing money
- 13:28than it is to borrowing.
- 13:32>> Banks create new money
- 13:34whenever they extend credit buy existing
- 13:37assets or make payments on their own
- 13:39account which mostly involves expanding
- 13:42their assets.
- 13:45When a bank buys securities such as a
- 13:47corporate or government bond
- 13:49it adds the bond to its assets
- 13:52and increases the company's bank
- 13:53deposits by the corresponding amount.
- 13:58New commercial bank money enters
- 13:59circulation when people spend the credit
- 14:02that has been granted to them by banks.
- 14:06>> I found that
- 14:07talking on the doorstep from August last
- 14:10year round to August 2009 round to
- 14:14the general election 8 9 8 9 months I
- 14:17suppose knocking on doors
- 14:19is that when you try to explain how the
- 14:21money system works
- 14:24there's
- 14:25an almost inbuilt refusal of people to
- 14:28accept that such a bizarre situation
- 14:31could actually exist.
- 14:34No, it can't possibly, you know.
- 14:36You mean it can't banks can't banks
- 14:39don't create money out of thin air.
- 14:41That's ridiculous. They can't do that.
- 14:42They lend out their depositors' money.
- 14:45Most people have an idea of of how money
- 14:47is. They're used to their own way of
- 14:48handling money
- 14:50and they try and implement their own
- 14:53idea of how how their small household
- 14:56economy works
- 14:58into the national economy. And of course
- 15:00it just doesn't work out. It just
- 15:01doesn't work out at all.
- 15:03>> By 2008 the outstanding loan portfolio
- 15:06of bank created credit also known as
- 15:09commercial bank money
- 15:11stood at over 2 trillion pounds.
- 15:14As recently as 1982 the ratio of notes
- 15:17and coins to bank deposits was 1 to 12.
- 15:21By 2010 the ratio had risen to 1 to 37.
- 15:27That is for every pound of treasury
- 15:28created money,
- 15:30there was 37 pounds of bank created
- 15:32money.
- 15:35In the 10 years prior to the 2007
- 15:37crisis,
- 15:39the UK commercial bank money supply
- 15:41expanded by between 7 to 10% every year.
- 15:45A growth rate of 7% is the equivalent of
- 15:48doubling the money supply every 10
- 15:50years.
- 15:52>> The amount of money they're creating out
- 15:54of nothing is just incredible. 1.2
- 15:56trillion in the last 10 years. Um and
- 15:59there's that money has been distributed
- 16:01according to the priorities of the
- 16:03banking sector. You know, not the
- 16:05priorities of society.
- 16:08>> Banking sector
- 16:10itself grew from 1980, 2.5 trillion
- 16:14dollars,
- 16:16to 40 trillion dollars by assets. In
- 16:191980, global bank assets were worth 20
- 16:22times the then global economy.
- 16:25By 2006, they were worth 75 times,
- 16:27according to the UN.
- 16:30>> As the following chart shows, total bank
- 16:33assets of UK banks as a percentage of
- 16:36GDP remained relatively stable at 50 to
- 16:3960% up to the end of the 1960s.
- 16:43After that, they shot up dramatically.
- 16:46>> And the real money in in the world
- 16:49to be made today is not by producing
- 16:50anything at all. It's simply by forms of
- 16:53speculating, basically making money from
- 16:55money. That's the most profitable and
- 16:57and by far and away
- 17:00the the biggest form of of activity of
- 17:03economic activity that exists in the
- 17:04world today.
- 17:07>> Today,
- 17:08banks are no longer restricted by how
- 17:10much they can lend
- 17:12and as such, how much new credit they
- 17:14can create out of nothing.
- 17:17They are restricted solely by their own
- 17:19willingness to lend.
- 17:24>> The issue with allowing banks to create
- 17:25money uh there's two main issues.
- 17:27Firstly, the fact that they create this
- 17:29money when they make loans.
- 17:31So, it guarantees that, you know, we
- 17:33have to borrow all our money for the
- 17:35economy from the banks.
- 17:38>> As such,
- 17:39to have a healthy growing economy, the
- 17:41government needs to put in place
- 17:42strategies
- 17:43to allow for ever-increasing debt.
- 17:47>> The only way the government can create
- 17:49additional purchasing power is by
- 17:51getting itself and us into more debt.
- 17:55>> The second big issue with allowing banks
- 17:57to create money
- 17:59is that they have the incentive to
- 18:01always create more. You know, they
- 18:03create more money if they issue a loan,
- 18:05they get the bonuses and the commissions
- 18:07and the incentives to create, you know,
- 18:08to lend as much as possible.
- 18:10>> You have to develop a sales culture.
- 18:12What did they do? They recruited an
- 18:14amazing guy, lovely guy, Andy Hornby,
- 18:17who came from Asda,
- 18:19to turn the bank into a supermarket
- 18:22retailing operation.
- 18:23>> If you trust bankers to control the
- 18:26money supply, the money supply will just
- 18:28grow and grow and grow,
- 18:30as will the level of debt, until the
- 18:31point where it crashes, you know, when
- 18:34some people can't repay the debt, and
- 18:35then they'll stop lending.
- 18:38>> You hear politicians and journalists
- 18:40saying, you know, we've we've been
- 18:41living beyond our means, we've become
- 18:43dependent on debt, we need to rein in
- 18:45our spending and live within our means.
- 18:48Um it's not possible in the current
- 18:50system. You know,
- 18:52the reason why everyone is in debt now
- 18:54is not because they've been recklessly
- 18:55borrowing.
- 18:57Um we haven't borrowed all this money
- 18:59from, you know, an army of pensioners
- 19:00who've been saving up their whole whole
- 19:02lives.
- 19:03Money in the current system is debt. You
- 19:05know, it's created when banks make
- 19:07loans. So, the only way in the current
- 19:09system that we can have any money in the
- 19:11economy, you know, the only way we can
- 19:12have money for businesses to trade is if
- 19:15we borrowed it all from the banks.
- 19:20>> And it's the very opposite of what the
- 19:22Tory parties are arguing today, which is
- 19:25that you have to create savings before
- 19:27you can help the National Health
- 19:28Service.
- 19:29And it's because economists have
- 19:31completely confused those things both in
- 19:34monetary policy terms,
- 19:36but also in economic thinking. And
- 19:37because most people still harbor the
- 19:40old-fashioned view that you need savings
- 19:42before you can invest.
- 19:44That we have the mess that we're in
- 19:46today. Now, one of the reasons why we
- 19:49find it difficult to understand the
- 19:52banking system and credit creation is
- 19:53that we leave school without any money.
- 19:57And we go and get a job working as an
- 19:59apprentice to a plumber.
- 20:00We work really hard all month, and at
- 20:02the end of the month somebody puts money
- 20:04in our bank. And so for us the logic is
- 20:07you work and then you get money. You get
- 20:10savings. In reality, you would never
- 20:12have got that job if credit hadn't been
- 20:15created in the first instance. It's a
- 20:17really important
- 20:19um
- 20:21conceptual misunderstanding.
- 20:24And it isn't something that the public
- 20:25just are guilty of. Economists don't
- 20:27understand this stuff.
- 20:28>> Money doesn't come out of economic
- 20:30activity.
- 20:31A lot of people I've come across have
- 20:33kind of assumed that if you've got
- 20:35people if you've got businesses and you
- 20:36got people doing things that somehow
- 20:39money somehow
- 20:40emerges out of the process of people
- 20:42doing things, doing economic making
- 20:44things and growing things and selling
- 20:46things and producing things. That
- 20:48somehow money just emerges.
- 20:50It's not It's like oil in a car. You
- 20:52have to put it in.
- 20:53>> When I see David Cameron talking about
- 20:56how um we need an economy not based on
- 20:58debt, but we need an economy based on
- 21:00savings. He just doesn't know what he's
- 21:03saying. It's ridiculous. It's absolutely
- 21:04absurd and it shows his complete lack of
- 21:07understanding of how our money system
- 21:10actually works. What he's essentially
- 21:12saying is that we need an economy with
- 21:15no money. If everyone was saving, we'd
- 21:18have mass disappearing of money, which
- 21:21is essentially what a bank write-off is.
- 21:23Essentially, it's people defaulting on
- 21:24their debt, which which essentially is
- 21:27just money disappearing. But, if people
- 21:29weren't taking on the debt, then it's
- 21:32just it's just such a joke. It's just
- 21:35amateur understanding of how our economy
- 21:37works and how the monetary system works
- 21:40and how money is actually created. So,
- 21:42um I really do get a laugh out of
- 21:43watching what people are actually
- 21:45saying. And they're all just
- 21:46regurgitating what they've learned off
- 21:48each other and you just hear the same
- 21:49things and it just makes me it it really
- 21:53gets on my nerves when I hear people
- 21:55talking about um yeah, we need more
- 21:57regulations, we need to regulate the way
- 21:59banks are actually and the bonus It's
- 22:02all just one big smoke screen and
- 22:04working on all the symptoms of a greater
- 22:06disease, which is really you need to
- 22:08look at the the money system, the way
- 22:11money is created. And I if we don't want
- 22:13any debt, then we're essentially saying
- 22:15we don't want any money and we want a
- 22:17money-less economy with the exception of
- 22:18the 3% that's created debt-free.
- 22:22>> You know, it's a paradox under the
- 22:23current system. If you
- 22:25if we as the public go into further
- 22:27debt, then that's going to put more
- 22:28money into the economy and we're going
- 22:30to have a boom. When you have a boom,
- 22:32it's easier to borrow, so people get
- 22:34into even more debt. And eventually, you
- 22:36know, this this cycle continues. It gets
- 22:37easier and easier to get into debt until
- 22:40some people get over in debt and then,
- 22:42you know, they default. They can't repay
- 22:45their mortgage. That's what happened in,
- 22:47you know, it happened first in subprime
- 22:48America.
- 22:49Um and then, you know, that just
- 22:52brings through a wave of defaults, which
- 22:53will ripple across the entire economy.
- 22:56Banks go insolvent, then we're into a
- 22:58financial crisis.
- 23:00Um and then the banks stop lending. And,
- 23:03you know, they they were excessively
- 23:05lending in the boom, and then they
- 23:07stopped lending, and then that makes the
- 23:09recession even worse. People lose their
- 23:11jobs, and then they become even more
- 23:12dependent on debt just to survive,
- 23:15basically. You know, we have a a system
- 23:17where we have to borrow in order to have
- 23:20an economy. We have to be in debt to the
- 23:22banks.
- 23:23And that that guarantees, you know,
- 23:25massive profit for the banks.
- 23:28>> This is the boom bust cycle.
- 23:33>> And I have said before, Mr. Deputy
- 23:34Speaker, no return to boom and bust.
- 23:44>> Net bank lending must forever increase.
- 23:49>> We're paying interest on every single
- 23:50pound, even if even if you think the
- 23:52money belongs to you.
- 23:54Somebody somewhere is paying interest on
- 23:56that money.
- 23:56>> The banking system has such a huge
- 23:59impact on the world,
- 24:01but only because it supplies our
- 24:03nation's money supply.
- 24:05We have to protect them. We have to
- 24:06subsidize them. We have to allow them to
- 24:09continue because the the disaster of of
- 24:12a a bank collapse affects us all in a
- 24:14huge way, and anyone that says that we
- 24:16shouldn't have bailed out the banks
- 24:18doesn't quite understand the the the
- 24:20nature of our monetary system. That's
- 24:22like eliminating a huge chunk of our
- 24:24money,
- 24:25but also bailing out the banks is
- 24:28perpetuating a system which is never
- 24:30going to work anyway. So, whatever we
- 24:32do, we're always going to have this
- 24:34cycle until we separate how money is
- 24:36created and the activities of banking.
- 24:39Then the banks can do as they wish.
- 24:40They're a normal business like everyone
- 24:41else.
- 24:42>> There's a a major democratic issue here
- 24:45as well. I mean, you have these
- 24:48private profit-seeking banks creating up
- 24:50to 200 billion pounds a year and pumping
- 24:52that into the economy
- 24:54wherever they want, basically. Wherever
- 24:55it suits them.
- 24:57Whether they're pumping it into, you
- 24:58know, these toxic
- 25:00derivatives or putting money into
- 25:02housing bubbles, just making houses more
- 25:04expensive. 200 billion pounds in 2007 of
- 25:08new money coming into the economy,
- 25:10created out of nothing. And where that
- 25:13gets spent determines, you know, the
- 25:14shape of our economy effectively. So, if
- 25:17we're going to allow anybody to create
- 25:19new money out of nothing, then we should
- 25:21at least have some democratic control
- 25:23over how that money's used. I mean, it
- 25:25it Would we rather have had that money
- 25:27used for healthcare, you know, to deal
- 25:29with some of the environmental issues,
- 25:31to reduce poverty, or do we rather have
- 25:33it to make houses more expensive so that
- 25:35none of us can afford to to live in a
- 25:37house?
- 25:41>> You can see it as a subsidy, a special
- 25:45super subsidy to the banks
- 25:48for the right to create money,
- 25:51which should be for the benefit of the
- 25:53public and spent through a democratic
- 25:56process.
- 26:03>> There's also another form of money,
- 26:06which is effectively an electronic
- 26:08version of cash.
- 26:09And it's a type of money that the
- 26:11commercial banks use themselves to make
- 26:13payments between each other. The high
- 26:16street banks don't want to be carrying
- 26:17around huge quantities of money cuz it's
- 26:20dangerous and it's, you know,
- 26:21inconvenient and it's, you know,
- 26:22expensive. You have to hire security
- 26:24guards for that type of money. So, what
- 26:26they do is they pay each other in what
- 26:29is an electronic version of cash,
- 26:31which in the industry is known as
- 26:34central bank reserves.
- 26:36They keep this electronic cash in
- 26:39accounts at the Bank of England.
- 26:41But, as a member of the public, you
- 26:43can't access this electronic cash. You
- 26:45can't get an account with the Bank of
- 26:47England. What they do is they they
- 26:49effectively sell this central bank money
- 26:52to the banks.
- 26:54And they do this by creating it out of
- 26:56nothing and using this money to pay for
- 26:59bonds, to buy bonds from the high street
- 27:02banks.
- 27:03So, the high street bank will come along
- 27:05with a bond, which is, you know,
- 27:06effectively government debt.
- 27:08And it will give it to the Bank of
- 27:09England, and in return the Bank of
- 27:11England will type some new numbers into
- 27:14the bank's account at the Bank of
- 27:15England. So, effectively they're
- 27:17creating central bank reserves out of
- 27:19nothing.
- 27:20>> The Bank of England creates central bank
- 27:21reserves
- 27:23by increasing the available credit in
- 27:25the settlement bank's account with the
- 27:27Bank of England.
- 27:28The settlement bank, in return, posts
- 27:30bonds
- 27:31or sells assets as collateral for the
- 27:33reserves.
- 27:37A total of 46 banks hold central reserve
- 27:40accounts at the Bank of England.
- 27:42Smaller or foreign banks hold accounts
- 27:45with one of these 46 banks to allow them
- 27:47to accept or make payments in pounds
- 27:50sterling.
- 27:52Prior to March 2009, the Bank of England
- 27:56would ask each of the major settlement
- 27:57banks how much reserve currency they
- 27:59needed.
- 28:01The settlement banks would then swap a
- 28:03bond for the reserve currency
- 28:05and agree to repurchase the bond for a
- 28:07specific amount
- 28:09at a specified future date.
- 28:13The settlement banks would then receive
- 28:15interest at base or policy rate for the
- 28:17central bank reserves they held.
- 28:21>> Since the crisis, settlement bank
- 28:23central reserves have shot up
- 28:25dramatically.
- 28:40When bank customers transfer funds from
- 28:42their account to another person's
- 28:44account,
- 28:45a process called intraday clearing
- 28:47occurs.
- 28:49The amount of central reserve currency
- 28:51Bank A has at the Bank of England
- 28:54is reduced by the corresponding amount
- 28:56that Bank B receives.
- 28:58This is the importance of central
- 29:00reserve currency to banks.
- 29:03Before the credit crisis,
- 29:05if a bank was short of central reserves
- 29:07at the Bank of England to meet its
- 29:09obligations,
- 29:11then the bank would have to loan
- 29:12reserves from other banks with interest.
- 29:26>> If you sell something on eBay, you know
- 29:28that that deal's not complete until you
- 29:29get some money put into your account.
- 29:31You know, most people actually want to
- 29:32see the money in their account before
- 29:34they're happy to close on a deal. Now,
- 29:36the banks are pretty much the same, but
- 29:38they want to see the money in their
- 29:40account at the Bank of England before
- 29:42they consider a deal complete. So, for
- 29:44example, if you if you're buying a house
- 29:46from somebody who banks with a different
- 29:48bank, then what what will happen after
- 29:50you spend quarter of a million on a
- 29:52house is you'll tell your bank to
- 29:54transfer some money to this house
- 29:56seller's bank.
- 29:58And what the bank will do is actually
- 30:00instruct the Bank of England to move
- 30:03250,000 from their account at the Bank
- 30:05of England to the bank of the house
- 30:09seller.
- 30:10And that money will actually move across
- 30:11between the accounts at the Bank of
- 30:12England.
- 30:13Um when that money's moved across, then
- 30:15the banks will consider that that
- 30:17payment has been made. You know, it's
- 30:19been settled.
- 30:20Um they
- 30:22don't really deal in the kind of money
- 30:24that we have in our accounts. They deal
- 30:26in this special money that's can only be
- 30:28used at the central bank.
- 30:32>> There are millions of people across the
- 30:34country all transferring money to each
- 30:36other using only a few major banks.
- 30:40These banks can keep a tally on their
- 30:41computer systems.
- 30:43And usually many of the movements cancel
- 30:45each other out at the end of the day.
- 30:48The five major banks RBS, Lloyds,
- 30:52HSBC,
- 30:54Barclays and Santander
- 30:56hold over 85% of all deposits.
- 31:02As there are a limited number of banks
- 31:04in the system,
- 31:06the central reserve money can only be
- 31:07moved around them in a closed loop.
- 31:10>> The money is just circulating through
- 31:12the system over and over again. And if
- 31:15you think about it, a £1 coin could be
- 31:18used to make a billion pounds of
- 31:19payments if it was circulated a billion
- 31:22times. And that's effectively the system
- 31:24that you have now is you have a small
- 31:25pool of real money that's just going
- 31:27around and around the system and it's
- 31:29been used to make a a huge quantity of
- 31:31payments on our behalf. Just before the
- 31:33crisis, there was only 20 billion pounds
- 31:36in the accounts at the central bank.
- 31:41If they don't have enough of this
- 31:43central bank money, then effectively
- 31:45they can't make payments. And if that
- 31:47happens, then pretty quickly the entire
- 31:49system seizes up.
- 31:50So the Bank of England has the
- 31:52responsibility of making sure there's
- 31:54enough of this money in the system.
- 31:58>> The requirements for banks to hold a
- 32:00specific amount of reserves has changed
- 32:02many times since 1947.
- 32:05At that time, banks needed to hold a
- 32:07minimum ratio of 32% of reserves, cash
- 32:11or treasury bonds to deposits.
- 32:14In 2006, the corridor system was
- 32:17introduced
- 32:18in which banks could set their own
- 32:20reserve targets each month.
- 32:25The rules changed again in March 2009
- 32:29when the Bank of England introduced
- 32:30quantitative easing.
- 32:32Quantitative easing in effect gives
- 32:34settlement banks the central reserve
- 32:36currency, for free.
- 32:41The central reserve currency is what is
- 32:43referred to as the real money in the
- 32:45fractional reserve model.
- 32:48But, the fact is banks can have as much
- 32:50of this as they want.
- 32:52And central reserve currency itself is a
- 32:54form of fiat money, which is backed by
- 32:56nothing.
- 32:58As a consequence, there is no longer a
- 33:00meaningful fractional reserve.
- 33:14>> If you look over the history of the last
- 33:15150 years or so, you you start off
- 33:18um with the development of a
- 33:20a gold standard that really comes to
- 33:21form in the 1880s, 1890s, where
- 33:24essentially uh countries peg themselves
- 33:26to a particular defined value of gold,
- 33:28and then they have an agreement to uh
- 33:31fix that value, to hold that value, and
- 33:33to trade gold amongst themselves to the
- 33:34to make sure the balances are all there,
- 33:36and also to try and uh restrict or
- 33:39expand or contract um activity in their
- 33:41own economies uh to make sure that that
- 33:44the balance that particular fixed price
- 33:45is is maintained. That disintegrates uh
- 33:48in the well, after the First World War.
- 33:50I mean, this is where the whole thing
- 33:51breaks apart. Very major dislocation in
- 33:54the international monetary system at
- 33:55that point. Not really resolved until
- 33:57you get Bretton Woods agreements at the
- 34:00end of the Second World War, in which
- 34:02everything is pegged to the dollar, and
- 34:03the dollar is pegged to the gold. So,
- 34:05you kind of one remove from gold backing
- 34:07or saying that there is a definite, you
- 34:09know, sort of solid commodity money
- 34:12behind the paper money and the credit
- 34:13money that we're all using over here.
- 34:15You're kind of one remove from it.
- 34:17>> After Hiroshima, Tokyo wondered when the
- 34:20next atom bomb would fall.
- 34:23They did not wonder long.
- 34:30>> In 1944
- 34:32at Bretton Woods,
- 34:34the US and the UK began to negotiate how
- 34:37to govern the world economy, the world
- 34:40monetary system, and came up with the
- 34:42World Bank and the IMF and a series of
- 34:44other institutions designed to manage
- 34:47the global currency. And there was still
- 34:49a gold standard, but this gold standard
- 34:51was going to be tied to the dollar. All
- 34:53of the world's gold had moved from
- 34:56London
- 34:57to Fort Knox.
- 34:59And all of the world's currencies were
- 35:01tied to the dollar.
- 35:03This system was designed to manage the
- 35:06sorts of imbalances to avoid credit
- 35:08crunches, or for countries the credit
- 35:11crunches are known as balance of trades
- 35:13deficits, i.e. when they can't pay their
- 35:15bills and their currency collapses. The
- 35:18currencies were managed
- 35:20and the system was stable as long as the
- 35:23Americans played the role of oversight.
- 35:28Now, who knows the great story about how
- 35:30that all came to an end?
- 35:33So, the quantity of money that was
- 35:34needed to pay for the Vietnam War.
- 35:37That's
- 35:37exactly what I was trying to get at. Oil
- 35:39shocks was another one. That meant that
- 35:41the Americans were no longer respecting
- 35:43their role or playing their role
- 35:44governing the monetary system. They were
- 35:46inflating the value of their own
- 35:47currency, but ostensibly it was meant to
- 35:49be tied tied to gold and to every other
- 35:51currency.
- 35:53So, what did the French do?
- 35:55The French were a little bit worried
- 35:56that President Nixon wasn't entirely
- 35:58honest.
- 36:01And they were worried that they were
- 36:03that precisely what we described,
- 36:06that Nixon was printing money when he
- 36:09shouldn't have been, was going on. And
- 36:11they were worried there wasn't enough
- 36:12gold to honor the exchange rate of the
- 36:15French franc. So, they
- 36:18sent a gunboat to New York Harbor to
- 36:20ever so politely ask for our gold back,
- 36:22please.
- 36:24Did they get their gold back?
- 36:27Go on, guess.
- 36:29They didn't. And the Bretton Woods
- 36:31system came to an end.
- 36:34And this is the point in which we enter
- 36:36the modern era of the financial system.
- 36:47>> Historically,
- 36:48money creation was pegged to a
- 36:49commodity,
- 36:51often gold,
- 36:52but today, it is pegged to nothing.
- 36:56>> Which means there is nothing backing our
- 36:58money.
- 37:00This piece of paper
- 37:02is just a piece of paper.
- 37:06Where does this leave us?
- 37:09If money's based on nothing,
- 37:11why do we think it has any value?
- 37:15Sorry?
- 37:18Cuz we can still go and exchange it.
- 37:19What? What somebody else was going to
- 37:20shout?
- 37:22Great little Latin fact, the word for
- 37:23credit comes from
- 37:27belief.
- 37:28Correct.
- 37:36>> Since the collapse of the dollar gold
- 37:38standard in 1971
- 37:40and the deregulation of the financial
- 37:42system,
- 37:43money creation has grown exponentially.
- 37:47>> The World Economic Forum meeting in in
- 37:49Davos
- 37:51at the present time have called on a
- 37:54need for
- 37:55the credit within the
- 37:59economy, uh the global economy, to be
- 38:02expanded by
- 38:04100 trillion dollars, 100 trillion US
- 38:08dollars. Uh
- 38:11trillion is 12 naughts, so 100 trillion,
- 38:14if you want to imagine, is a one
- 38:16followed by 14 naughts.
- 38:19>> They believe this credit expansion will
- 38:21create a boom
- 38:22because there is now more money in the
- 38:23economy with which to make investments.
- 38:27>> It's fascinating that this the emergence
- 38:29of digital currencies, how it's
- 38:30transformed everything, really. Um
- 38:32because it just completely unleashed
- 38:35private banks
- 38:37to dominate and create the money system
- 38:39that works for them and works for the
- 38:41people who run private banks.
- 38:47>> If you want to grow an economy under the
- 38:49current system, we have to have growing
- 38:51debt. You can't
- 38:53you know, this is something that very,
- 38:55very few people really understand,
- 38:57especially not the politicians who are
- 38:59managing the economy, which is a a scary
- 39:01thought.
- 39:09>> As the money supply grows, more money is
- 39:12available
- 39:13which can be invested in productive
- 39:14avenues.
- 39:16However, it can also be used to gamble
- 39:18and drive up asset prices.
- 39:36Inflation is a rise in the general level
- 39:38of prices of goods and services in an
- 39:40economy over a period of time.
- 39:43When the general price level rises,
- 39:46each unit of currency buys fewer goods
- 39:48and services.
- 39:50As the money supply grows and there is
- 39:52more currency available,
- 39:54more money is available for investment
- 39:56which can lead to growth.
- 39:58But more money is also available for
- 40:00purchases of goods and speculation
- 40:03which leads to inflation.
- 40:07>> Essentially, inflation is what happens
- 40:10when too much money is chasing too few
- 40:14goods and services.
- 40:16So, that that there's too much money for
- 40:19the the actual output of the economy.
- 40:24>> In the 7 years between 2000 and 2007,
- 40:28the money supply doubled and the banks,
- 40:31you know, the central bank, the Bank of
- 40:32England in this time was under the
- 40:34impression that they had it under
- 40:35control because they were saying, you
- 40:37know, prices aren't going up that much.
- 40:39Of course, they were only looking at
- 40:40prices in, you know, in your local con-
- 40:43corner shop. They weren't looking at the
- 40:44price of housing and housing is, you
- 40:46know, the biggest expenditure that most
- 40:49people will make.
- 40:58>> Increasing house prices
- 41:00uh it may may make you feel like you're
- 41:03you're becoming wealthier,
- 41:05but as your wealth increases, the effect
- 41:09is that your children's wealth is
- 41:11actually decreasing. So, in fact,
- 41:12there's no net gain in wealth because
- 41:15your children
- 41:16are going to have to pay even more
- 41:19when they want to buy a house. So, in in
- 41:22effect, there's no there's no kind of
- 41:23net increase. They're going to have to
- 41:25earn even more. They're going to have to
- 41:26go into even more debt.
- 41:29So, the
- 41:30rising house prices do not create
- 41:33additional uh net GDP value to the
- 41:36economy. It They They Actually, what
- 41:38they do is they redistribute wealth
- 41:41uh towards those people who already have
- 41:43houses, i.e. wealthier people, and
- 41:45remove it from poorer people who can't
- 41:48afford to get on the housing ladder. So,
- 41:50it's another example of a very
- 41:52regressive policy, actually, to allow
- 41:54house prices to simply inflate. Uh it
- 41:57makes everybody feel kind of like things
- 42:00are going well
- 42:01uh uh and people spend more money on
- 42:02other stuff. They take equity out of
- 42:04their houses, but it it's not creating
- 42:06new jobs. It's not uh en- enhancing the
- 42:09quality of the economy. It's not helping
- 42:12our balance of trade. It's not helping
- 42:13the public deficit. Um it's a it's a
- 42:16zero-sum game.
- 42:19>> As of August 2011,
- 42:2285.5%
- 42:23of consumer bank lending was secured as
- 42:26mortgages on dwellings.
- 42:28>> If you have somebody creating money that
- 42:30can only be spent on one thing, which is
- 42:32housing, then the price of that thing is
- 42:34going to go up. Between 2000 and 2010,
- 42:38they created over a trillion pounds of
- 42:39new
- 42:41500 billion pounds just in the 3 years
- 42:43before the crisis. That's why house
- 42:45prices went up the way they were.
- 42:47There's nothing, you know, special about
- 42:49houses. It was just all this funny money
- 42:51being pumped into that market.
- 42:53>> If money is spent into the economy,
- 42:56into into a lot of money goes into
- 42:58houses, for example, into mortgages,
- 43:00um that's an increase in the amount of
- 43:03money in the economy without a
- 43:05corresponding increase in activity, in
- 43:08output, in GDP. It's non-GDP based
- 43:13um spending.
- 43:14Uh that's what causes inflation. And and
- 43:17and in the UK, we've we've had it in
- 43:19spades. We've had, you know, this
- 43:21massive uh housing boom.
- 43:24And the the main cause for the housing
- 43:26boom, in my opinion, is the huge amount
- 43:29of speculative credit created by the
- 43:31banks to go into houses. If houses were
- 43:35cheaper,
- 43:36um they would be easier to build, more
- 43:40be more of them would be built. There
- 43:42would be less huge houses with hardly
- 43:44any people in them. London would not be
- 43:47the center of a a kind of very rich um
- 43:51speculative orgy where where all the
- 43:53richest people in the world wants want
- 43:54to get a property in London cuz it's
- 43:56seen as a as a great asset. You know,
- 43:58houses would be seen as places to live
- 44:00primarily rather than places to invest.
- 44:03Important thing to think about is if
- 44:05you're a bank
- 44:07and you've got to make a loan
- 44:09you have choices. You can you can give
- 44:11that loan to um a small business
- 44:15and you'll know that the risk to you of
- 44:17that loan failing, defaulting, is
- 44:20actually quite high because that small
- 44:22business, the owners of that business
- 44:24have limited liability.
- 44:26Which means if the business goes bust
- 44:28you as a bank are getting nothing back
- 44:31essentially. You know, that that's it.
- 44:32So, that's kind of high risk compared to
- 44:35loaning your money to somebody with some
- 44:38collateral, with a house behind them,
- 44:40like a mortgage. So, there's a there's a
- 44:42kind of simple incentive for banks to
- 44:44prefer putting money into housing than
- 44:47into a a small business.
- 44:49Now, that's a real problem
- 44:51or if you if you if you widen that out
- 44:53across the whole economy
- 44:54because it means there's an incentive,
- 44:57you know, to put money into speculative
- 44:58rather than productive investments. So,
- 45:01again, we have to think about how we
- 45:03create a monetary system that is more
- 45:06balanced between those two kinds of
- 45:08speculative and productive investment.
- 45:11The government showing very little uh
- 45:13enormous reluctance to regulate the
- 45:15housing market and to again regulate the
- 45:18amount of money that that banks put into
- 45:20houses.
- 45:21>> We don't decide who creates credit for
- 45:23what. No, we leave that to a couple of
- 45:25chaps in a bank to decide basically.
- 45:35>> A bubble occurs when there is very high
- 45:37inflation in the price of a specific
- 45:38good or service over a short period of
- 45:41time.
- 45:45>> The idea of the tulips and their
- 45:46relevance is that we have saw the first
- 45:48ever financial bubble and crash.
- 45:52The craze for tulips, black tulips being
- 45:55a mythical ideal of what somebody could
- 45:59genetically engineer through cultivation
- 46:02after many generations became a mania in
- 46:06the Netherlands in the 1630s.
- 46:08What they didn't realize was that many
- 46:10of the very very rare patterns on tulips
- 46:12were caused by a virus and weren't
- 46:14genetic at all.
- 46:16But, they traded them to the extent that
- 46:18tulip bulbs got to the point where they
- 46:20were worth 10 times the average annual
- 46:22salary
- 46:23of a person working in the Netherlands.
- 46:26There was a futures market in tulip
- 46:28bulbs because obviously you plant them
- 46:29now, but you don't know what's going to
- 46:30come out of the ground. So, we see
- 46:32already 400 years ago that a money
- 46:35system or a financial system is not
- 46:37something that exists in the abstract,
- 46:39somewhere out there in the ether, but
- 46:42something that was to do with states,
- 46:45power, trade, and how they interact with
- 46:48each other.
- 46:51>> Unlike tulips, which are a disposable
- 46:53luxury,
- 46:55houses are both a necessity and a
- 46:57luxury.
- 46:58And as such, they are ideal as a vehicle
- 47:01for money and bubble creation.
- 47:04A dwelling
- 47:05is perhaps the most prized possession of
- 47:07value most people aspire to.
- 47:13Inflating house prices in this way
- 47:15allows a nation to expand its money
- 47:17supply
- 47:18without affecting inflation data.
- 47:22The additional purchasing power created
- 47:24increases the perceived wealth in
- 47:26relation to other nations
- 47:28and thus it creates relative power.
- 47:32It is a way of increasing monetary power
- 47:34without investing in the productive
- 47:35growth of industry.
- 47:40>> But certainly if you look at Britain and
- 47:41America as outstanding examples of this,
- 47:43these are countries with very high rates
- 47:45of private home ownership. So, you've
- 47:46got a good base to try and perform this
- 47:49sort of policy off the back of. I think
- 47:51it was quite deliberate in the case of
- 47:52the US, almost explicit. There's Alan
- 47:55Greenspan as head of the Federal
- 47:56Reserve,
- 47:57when confronted by a stock market crash
- 48:00at the end of the 1990s, quite
- 48:03deliberately slashed interest rates to
- 48:06almost zero. Everyone can borrow very,
- 48:09very cheaply. In particular, it's very
- 48:11easy to borrow against a house because
- 48:13this is an asset and it's potentially
- 48:15something that bank can say, "Well,
- 48:16okay, we're not just lending you money
- 48:18unsecured. You actually do have a house
- 48:19and that's great cuz you we can
- 48:21repossess it." They won't tell you this
- 48:22when you take the mortgage, but they can
- 48:24do this. And that bubble is then what
- 48:26fuels expansion such as it is inside the
- 48:29US.
- 48:30And inside the UK where something
- 48:31similar takes place for the next decade
- 48:33or so. It's also a reflection of an
- 48:36underlying weakness of these
- 48:37governments. That they they simply lack
- 48:40the will and possibly the ability, but I
- 48:42think it more comes down to a will to
- 48:45challenge financial markets, to
- 48:46challenge big capital and say, "We're
- 48:49going to do something different now and
- 48:51you're going to have to go along with it
- 48:53because we've been democratically
- 48:54elected and you lot frankly haven't and
- 48:56we have mandate to do this and we're
- 48:57going to make this happen."
- 48:58>> Just remember it's all part of the plan.
- 49:02What are you yapping about? You voted
- 49:04for it.
- 49:07>> In Holland or in the Netherlands, what
- 49:10we had over a period of trying to get
- 49:13independence initially from Spain and
- 49:15trying to raise money to get an army to
- 49:17free themselves
- 49:18was financial innovation. They innovated
- 49:21public lotteries to get money together.
- 49:23They had public subscription. This was
- 49:25the idea that led to the idea of public
- 49:27shares, a piece of the action that
- 49:29anybody could invest in. That meant that
- 49:30something like 2/3 of the population was
- 49:33investing in tulip bulbs by the 1630s.
- 49:36After independence, these these
- 49:38instruments were applied to financing
- 49:40expansion.
- 49:41Why was such a small country able to
- 49:44hold its own against so much bigger
- 49:46countries, for example, Spain and
- 49:48Portugal that had the benefits of their
- 49:50empires for over a century
- 49:53in respect of the Netherlands. Why could
- 49:55they compete on what resource basis?
- 49:57Well, they had a more efficient, a more
- 50:00involved, and a broader-based financial
- 50:03system with these instruments that
- 50:05they'd innovated that allowed them to
- 50:07bring more money to bear at one point
- 50:09than anybody else more quickly.
- 50:14>> Incredible.
- 50:16But true.
- 50:24>> Now, inflation can be avoided
- 50:27if the amount of money that goes into
- 50:29the economy
- 50:30um
- 50:31is regulated in a way that it doesn't
- 50:34exceed the actual activity that's
- 50:37happening in the economy.
- 50:39Now,
- 50:40the best way to do that, in my opinion,
- 50:42is to make sure that money is issued
- 50:45into the economy only for productive
- 50:49investment for productive goods and
- 50:52services. So, money goes in
- 50:54to help a small business start up, which
- 50:57creates jobs, which creates additional
- 51:01purchasing power,
- 51:02um which means there's no there's no
- 51:04inflation.
- 51:05>> During their history, almost all central
- 51:07banks have employed forms of direct
- 51:09credit regulation.
- 51:11The central bank would determine desired
- 51:13nominal GDP growth,
- 51:15then calculate the necessary amount of
- 51:17credit creation to achieve this,
- 51:20and then allocate this credit creation
- 51:22both across the various banks and type
- 51:24of banks and across industrial sectors.
- 51:28Unproductive credit was suppressed.
- 51:32Thus, it was difficult or impossible to
- 51:35obtain bank credit for large-scale,
- 51:37purely speculative transactions,
- 51:40such as today's large-scale bank funding
- 51:42to hedge funds.
- 51:44The World Bank recognized in a 1993
- 51:46study that this mechanism of
- 51:48intervention in credit allocation
- 51:50was at the core of the East Asian
- 51:52economic miracle.
- 51:54>> There's all sorts of things that
- 51:55governments have done in the past very
- 51:57successfully in a number of cases and
- 51:59and not often not unsuccessfully in this
- 52:01country. But you know, the examples that
- 52:02spring to mind like South Korea, Japan,
- 52:05often in East Asia where governments
- 52:06been quite targeted about how they going
- 52:08to rebalance the economy and picking
- 52:10sectors and deciding where the
- 52:12investment should take place. I think
- 52:13that has to start happening in the UK
- 52:15because we're in a demand side recession
- 52:17rather than looking at crisis of of
- 52:19supply.
- 52:20>> You you have to have a system
- 52:22where credit is put into productive
- 52:26avenues where credit is put into
- 52:28building high speed rail lines, where
- 52:30credit is put into
- 52:32building houses rather than giving
- 52:34people money to inflate the price of of
- 52:36houses. So it's it's quite simple really
- 52:39in that way. Um and
- 52:43the current system is simply set up not
- 52:45to do that basically.
- 52:48>> The creation of money by private banks
- 52:50for non-productive usage causes real
- 52:52inflation and as such it is a tax on the
- 52:55purchasing power of the medium of
- 52:57exchange.
- 53:05>> The figures for the UK are are quite
- 53:07stark actually that
- 53:09average median real incomes for so
- 53:12that's you know, what the bit in the
- 53:14middle uh for most people over the last
- 53:17eight years or so. They're now in quite
- 53:18sharp decline as as we go into the
- 53:20recession being the sharpest really
- 53:21since
- 53:22it looks like since about the 1930s put
- 53:24it that way. So real incomes are
- 53:25declining.
- 53:28>> Bank created fiat currency allows the
- 53:30private banks to suck wealth from the
- 53:31economy
- 53:33and over time results in a gradual
- 53:34decrease in the standard of living.
- 53:38As people become poorer they become even
- 53:40more dependent on debt.
- 53:43And this is a time when efficiency and
- 53:45machination have improved dramatically.
- 53:48>> If you know, you go back to the 1960s
- 53:50and we were expected to to we were
- 53:53looking forward to the an age of
- 53:54leisure. What will people What they were
- 53:56talking television programs saying,
- 53:58"What's people going to do with all
- 53:59their spare time?"
- 54:01You know.
- 54:02And now we've got more people working
- 54:04harder than ever.
- 54:06Spending more than ever.
- 54:08Which looks great, you know. Everyone's
- 54:10spending more. Everyone says, "Oh, yeah,
- 54:11we
- 54:12you know."
- 54:13But if you're not actually benefiting
- 54:15from what you're spending, if you're
- 54:17having to spend the money on child care
- 54:18costs, on commuting costs, you know, and
- 54:21so forth. Just you know, it's costs that
- 54:24people didn't in the past used to have
- 54:26to pay.
- 54:27Because you know, you could walk to work
- 54:29and you know, one member of the family
- 54:31remain was able to to stay at home and
- 54:33be a permanent homemaker. Then you're
- 54:35not actually much You're not actually
- 54:36any better off.
- 54:37You know, everyone's under Everyone's
- 54:39under such enormous pressures
- 54:41nowadays. You know. I am conscious that
- 54:45let's say my four nephews and nieces
- 54:48are facing difficult times.
- 54:50She's going to find themselves having to
- 54:52work
- 54:54you know, um
- 54:56very hard just to to keep just to keep a
- 54:59a roof over their just to get a roof
- 55:01over their just keep a roof over their
- 55:02head.
- 55:03>> People are getting poorer in real terms.
- 55:05It's because prices always going up
- 55:07because all this new funny money's being
- 55:09pumped into the system by the banks.
- 55:12And they're creating it all as debt. So,
- 55:15at the same time as prices are going up
- 55:16and things are getting more expensive,
- 55:18we're getting further and further into
- 55:19debt. And you know, our our wealth and
- 55:22the return that we get from actually
- 55:24working is getting less and less all the
- 55:25time. And you can't deal with poverty
- 55:28when you have a financial system and a
- 55:30money system that distributes money from
- 55:32the poor to the very rich.
- 55:34Any distribution that you try and do in
- 55:36the opposite direction is
- 55:38um, you know, it's effectively pissing
- 55:40in the wind. If you look at issues like,
- 55:42you know, increasing inequality,
- 55:45one obvious way to tackle inequality is
- 55:48to have, say for example, a
- 55:49redistributive tax system. You know, you
- 55:51tax the rich, you give some money to the
- 55:53poor, you move that money down down the
- 55:55scale.
- 55:56Um,
- 55:57that's all very well, but if you
- 55:59completely overlook the fact that
- 56:01there's another redistributive system
- 56:03which is taking money from the poor and
- 56:05giving it to the rich,
- 56:07then you're not really going to tackle
- 56:08this inequality. And um, the way
- 56:12a debt-based money system works, it
- 56:14guarantees that for every pound of money
- 56:16there's going to be a pound of debt.
- 56:18Now, that debt is typically going to end
- 56:19up with, you know, the poor,
- 56:21uh, the sort of lower middle classes.
- 56:23Those people end up with the debt and
- 56:25they end up paying interest on that
- 56:27money, which then goes back to the
- 56:28banking sector and gets distributed to
- 56:30the people working in the city or in
- 56:33Wall Street. Um, and what this what this
- 56:35system does overall is it distributes
- 56:37money from from the poor to the rich,
- 56:40essentially. Distributes money from, you
- 56:43know, the poorer regions of the UK back
- 56:45to the city of London.
- 56:48And it it also distributes money from
- 56:49all the small businesses, you know, all
- 56:51the little factories, um, around the UK
- 56:54and distributes that money back into the
- 56:56financial sector.
- 56:57>> We have a system whereby the activity of
- 57:01actually supplying our nation's money
- 57:04supply occurs under the very same roof
- 57:06as the same organization that's
- 57:08responsible for profiting from putting
- 57:11together borrowers and lenders, i.e. a
- 57:12bank.
- 57:13So, a bank creates our nation's money
- 57:16supply as well as
- 57:18um, making loans,
- 57:20uh, for profit.
- 57:21>> The government cannot allow the banking
- 57:22system to fail
- 57:24because if it did,
- 57:26over 97% of all money would disappear.
- 57:29This is why in the event of a crisis,
- 57:32the risk is transferred to the taxpayer.
- 57:35But even during normal times, banks
- 57:37receive numerous guarantees and benefits
- 57:39beyond the right to create money.
- 57:42>> Well, by the way, I know the Bank of
- 57:43America is a very big bank. It happens
- 57:45I've got $32 in myself.
- 57:47Just between us, what assurance do I
- 57:49have that this money is safe?
- 57:52>> Well, all deposits up to $10,000 are
- 57:55assured or insured by the federal
- 57:57government in Washington.
- 57:58>> That's my guarantee.
- 57:59>> Yes.
- 58:00>> Have you heard that the federal
- 58:01government is about $280 billion in the
- 58:04hole?
- 58:09>> Banks receive large safety nets from the
- 58:11government.
- 58:12The taxpayer guarantees £85,000 as
- 58:15deposit insurance.
- 58:17And the Bank of England provides
- 58:19liquidity insurance in case a bank runs
- 58:21out of reserve currency.
- 58:28>> Someone wrote that a big investment bank
- 58:31is like a giant vampire squid
- 58:35wrapped around the face of humanity
- 58:38hypnotizing politicians who throw money
- 58:40at the banks.
- 58:42No strings attached. No matter what
- 58:45damage is done.
- 58:47Trashing the planet.
- 58:49Forcing cuts to things that make life
- 58:51better.
- 58:53Goodbye schools.
- 58:55Goodbye playgrounds.
- 58:57Goodbye jobs.
- 59:00The bankers that we bailed out then gave
- 59:03themselves bonuses that were bigger than
- 59:06the first wave of public spending cuts.
- 59:10Britain alone gave the banks more money
- 59:13than it cost to put a man on the moon
- 59:16six times over.
- 59:19Where did our money go?
- 59:21Who let the banks get away with it?
- 59:24Why?
- 59:26Can vampire squids ever be useful?
- 59:30No government yet is brave enough to
- 59:32tame them.
- 59:34Perhaps
- 59:35they need a plan.
- 59:55>> The spending cuts agenda is an attempt
- 59:57by the government to shift debt from its
- 59:59account to that of the public.
- 1:00:03This is the government's response to the
- 1:00:04bank bailouts and is necessary in a
- 1:00:07debt-based monetary system
- 1:00:09where increased purchasing power is the
- 1:00:11result of growing debt
- 1:00:13and where a diversification of debt
- 1:00:15provides overall stability and market
- 1:00:17confidence.
- 1:00:19Policies such as student fee increases
- 1:00:22and the privatization of public
- 1:00:23services, assets, and industry follow
- 1:00:26the same model.
- 1:00:28>> The problem we're facing, I think, is
- 1:00:30that uh
- 1:00:31there's been there's this transference
- 1:00:32from the the public debt to to the
- 1:00:34private debt, which is a which is
- 1:00:36essentially a a way of transferring
- 1:00:38risk, actually, away from sort of UK PLC
- 1:00:42and the government onto the the heads of
- 1:00:45individuals. And it's going to be the
- 1:00:46most vulnerable individuals who are
- 1:00:48going to have the most debt. Uh thus,
- 1:00:50it's a very unprogressive, regressive uh
- 1:00:53policy framework that that the
- 1:00:55government's embarking on, where the
- 1:00:57risk is moved onto those who are most
- 1:00:59vulnerable. And if there is another
- 1:01:02financial shock, if there's an oil
- 1:01:03shock, for example, the people who will
- 1:01:05pay the penalty are those are the
- 1:01:07poorest people in society or homeowners,
- 1:01:09for example, who will fall into negative
- 1:01:12equity if interest rates go up even 1 or
- 1:01:142% uh there'll be real, really big
- 1:01:17problems. So, I don't think it's a a
- 1:01:19sensible way forward at the moment at
- 1:01:21all, and it's uh it's regressive, and
- 1:01:23it's certainly not fair
- 1:01:25in the terms that
- 1:01:27that the government's talking about, and
- 1:01:28it's certainly not a case of we're in
- 1:01:30this together.
- 1:01:32>> As more of a country's resources and
- 1:01:34industries are privatized, the private
- 1:01:36sector takes on more debt.
- 1:01:38As a result, more money is created, and
- 1:01:41there is a boom.
- 1:01:44Some private equity companies have taken
- 1:01:46this theory to the extreme,
- 1:01:48engaging in a practice known as a
- 1:01:50leveraged buyout,
- 1:01:53where a company is purchased at an often
- 1:01:55inflated price, and the purchase price
- 1:01:58is transferred to the business as a
- 1:01:59debt.
- 1:02:02The company becomes responsible for the
- 1:02:04funding of its own purchase.
- 1:02:06These debts are often so great that the
- 1:02:09company needs to reduce staff, salaries,
- 1:02:12and research activities.
- 1:02:16>> When you have to factor interest as a
- 1:02:17business, if you have to factor interest
- 1:02:19repayment into your goods and services,
- 1:02:22then you have to charge a perpetually
- 1:02:24higher price as you take on more and
- 1:02:25more debt.
- 1:02:27>> An increase in the diversification of
- 1:02:29debt results in an increase in the money
- 1:02:31supply.
- 1:02:33When the money supply increases, more
- 1:02:35money is available for productive
- 1:02:37activities and consumption,
- 1:02:39which is the condition for a boom.
- 1:02:43>> It's questionable whether we're going to
- 1:02:45get out of this recession or whether
- 1:02:46we'll just keep ticking along the way
- 1:02:48that we are now.
- 1:02:49Um however, if we do,
- 1:02:52then when we come out of this recession,
- 1:02:54when growth starts again, look at what
- 1:02:56happens to debt. It will rise, and it
- 1:02:58will keep rising, and the faster the
- 1:03:00economy is growing, the faster the debt
- 1:03:01will rise. And then, give it another
- 1:03:043 to 5 years,
- 1:03:06we'll be back where we were. You know,
- 1:03:07the debt will become too much, people
- 1:03:09will start defaulting again.
- 1:03:10Um it's kind of the system that we're
- 1:03:12locked into now is we can't we can't
- 1:03:14grow the economy without growing the
- 1:03:16debt, and the debt is the very thing
- 1:03:18that will bring down the economy.
- 1:03:20The only option going forwards is to
- 1:03:21reform it, to stop banks from creating
- 1:03:23money as debt.
- 1:03:25By fixing the monetary system, we can
- 1:03:27prevent the banks from ever causing
- 1:03:29another financial crisis, and we can
- 1:03:31also make the the current, you know,
- 1:03:33public service cuts and the tax rises,
- 1:03:35and the increase in national debt
- 1:03:37unnecessary.
- 1:03:40>> The current monetary system allows the
- 1:03:42banking sector to extract wealth from
- 1:03:44the economy whilst providing nothing
- 1:03:46productive in return.
- 1:03:49>> I mean, why is it that we've got all
- 1:03:51this technology, um
- 1:03:53you know, all this new efficiency, and
- 1:03:55yet it now requires two people to
- 1:03:57finance a household,
- 1:03:59whereas in the '50s it only needed one
- 1:04:01person working? And the reason for that
- 1:04:04is not because, you know, these washing
- 1:04:06machines and everything are more
- 1:04:07expensive, it's because of all the debt.
- 1:04:10And it's because, you know, effectively
- 1:04:11the banking sector's creaming it off
- 1:04:13from everybody else. So, a growing
- 1:04:15banking sector isn't a sign, you know,
- 1:04:17it's not a good thing. If the banking
- 1:04:19sector's growing, it's either that it's
- 1:04:21becoming less efficient, or it's
- 1:04:22becoming a parasite on the rest of the
- 1:04:24economy.
- 1:04:25And that's, you know, we can talk about
- 1:04:26the banking sector becoming 4%, 5%, 6%
- 1:04:29of GDP,
- 1:04:31what's happening to the rest of the
- 1:04:32economy? It's becoming 96%, 95%, 94% of
- 1:04:35GDP. We've got to get switched on to
- 1:04:37this now. You know, if you want to
- 1:04:39if you want to have a chance of tackling
- 1:04:41any of the other big social issues,
- 1:04:43you've got to figure out the money
- 1:04:44issue.
- 1:04:45>> The poorest in the world pay for crises,
- 1:04:48even when they've not benefited from the
- 1:04:50the often reckless and speculative
- 1:04:53booms, like the housing boom in in
- 1:04:55Ireland that that preceded
- 1:04:57that crisis. You know, over the last 30
- 1:04:59years we've seen income differentials
- 1:05:02increase, so that the rich have got
- 1:05:04much, much richer,
- 1:05:06and ordinary people haven't. They've
- 1:05:07stayed the same, or they've they've got
- 1:05:09poorer.
- 1:05:10And one of the ways that the economy was
- 1:05:11kept going was by providing cheap
- 1:05:14credit. Was provide providing debt to
- 1:05:15those very people who couldn't really
- 1:05:17afford things anymore. Um, so they kept
- 1:05:19buying. Um, and when it collapses, it's
- 1:05:22those same people that that have to pay
- 1:05:24once again. Even though in in many ways
- 1:05:26they were the victims the first time
- 1:05:28round.
- 1:05:29>> As a result of the crisis, the Bank of
- 1:05:31England has bought corporate debt
- 1:05:33and repackaged it at lower rates of
- 1:05:35interest.
- 1:05:37Yet the average person is being asked to
- 1:05:39pay more than ever to borrow on
- 1:05:41overdrafts and credit cards.
- 1:05:44>> Debts between the very wealthy, um, or
- 1:05:47between governments can always be
- 1:05:49renegotiated and always have been
- 1:05:51throughout world history. They are not
- 1:05:53anything set in stone. It's generally
- 1:05:55speaking when you have debts owed by the
- 1:05:57poor to the rich that suddenly debts
- 1:05:59become a sacred obligation, more
- 1:06:00important than anything else.
- 1:06:02Um, the idea of renegotiating them
- 1:06:04becomes unthinkable.
- 1:06:07>> Can you pin down exactly what would keep
- 1:06:09investors happy, make them feel more
- 1:06:12confident?
- 1:06:14>> Uh, that's a tough one. Um,
- 1:06:17personally, uh, it doesn't matter.
- 1:06:18That's it. See, I'm a trader. Uh, I
- 1:06:20don't really care about that kind of
- 1:06:21stuff.
- 1:06:25If I see an opportunity to make money, I
- 1:06:27go with that. Um, so for most traders,
- 1:06:30we don't really care that much how
- 1:06:32they're going to fix the how they're
- 1:06:33going to fix the economy, how they're
- 1:06:34going to fix the uh, the whole
- 1:06:35situation.
- 1:06:36Our job is to make money from it. And
- 1:06:39personally, I've been dreaming of this
- 1:06:41moment for 3 years.
- 1:06:43If you know what to do, you can make a
- 1:06:45lot of money from this. Uh, I I I had a
- 1:06:46confession which is
- 1:06:48uh, I go to bed every night, I dream of
- 1:06:49another recession. I dream of another
- 1:06:51moment like this.
- 1:06:53I dream of another recession. I dream of
- 1:06:54another moment like this.
- 1:06:56You can make a lot of money from this.
- 1:07:00>> Bruno, Virginia hurt somebody real bad.
- 1:07:05You ought to hate her.
- 1:07:07>> Incoming!
- 1:07:10>> The way in which you can look across
- 1:07:12Europe now and see that the new prime
- 1:07:15minister of Greece, not elected, is
- 1:07:16essentially imposed Papademos, former
- 1:07:18employee of Goldman Sachs, the new prime
- 1:07:21minister and finance minister of Italy,
- 1:07:23Mario Monti, former employee of Goldman
- 1:07:24Sachs, the new president of the European
- 1:07:26Central Bank, former employee of Goldman
- 1:07:28Sachs. It's quite, you know, you kind of
- 1:07:30see these people popping up absolutely
- 1:07:31everywhere.
- 1:07:32>> That's the way to change what we have,
- 1:07:34take all power and all freedoms away
- 1:07:36from the people, and collect everything
- 1:07:38into the hands of one small group with
- 1:07:40absolute power.
- 1:07:43From the people,
- 1:07:45without the people,
- 1:07:47against the people.
- 1:07:49>> What's been interesting out of all this,
- 1:07:51I suppose, is the question of democracy
- 1:07:53that's been opened up very starkly in
- 1:07:55Europe, that that you have a government
- 1:07:56of bankers essentially imposed on you.
- 1:07:58It's bankers who more or less got us
- 1:08:00into this mess, to put it rather
- 1:08:02crudely, but that's a good first
- 1:08:03approximation to it. And then you say,
- 1:08:06"Okay, bankers are the people who are
- 1:08:07therefore going to get us out of it."
- 1:08:08And incidentally, they're going to run
- 1:08:09your your country now. There's there's
- 1:08:10there's a serious question of democracy
- 1:08:12that's opened up here.
- 1:08:13>> By the way, the banking crisis
- 1:08:15drove more than a hundred million people
- 1:08:19back into poverty.
- 1:08:22The mortality statistics of people who
- 1:08:25go into poverty rise hugely
- 1:08:28for a whole range of reasons. So, the
- 1:08:31banking crisis isn't just about becoming
- 1:08:33poorer, it was about killing people as
- 1:08:34well.
- 1:08:36And guess what?
- 1:08:38We haven't really got to the bottom of
- 1:08:40it. We never held anybody to account,
- 1:08:42and we haven't done the radical
- 1:08:43reforming job that we really needed to
- 1:08:45do.
- 1:08:46Because we mistakenly thought
- 1:08:50if we destabilize the position any
- 1:08:51further, it'll make matters worse. And
- 1:08:54guess who took the decisions? All the
- 1:08:56people who were there in the first
- 1:08:57place.
- 1:09:00>> I think you ought to know that the
- 1:09:02business of one of these businessmen is
- 1:09:04murder.
- 1:09:11>> Their weapons are modern.
- 1:09:13Their thinking
- 1:09:152,000 years
- 1:09:17out of date.
- 1:09:26>> Look, I was there when the secretary and
- 1:09:28the chairman of Federal Reserve came
- 1:09:30those days and talked with members of
- 1:09:32Congress about what was going on. It was
- 1:09:35about September 15th. Here's the facts
- 1:09:37and we don't even need talk about these
- 1:09:39things. On Thursday at about 11:00 in
- 1:09:43the morning the Federal Reserve noticed
- 1:09:46a tremendous drawdown of
- 1:09:50uh
- 1:09:51money market accounts in the United
- 1:09:53States to the tune of $550
- 1:09:56billion
- 1:09:58was being drawn out in a matter of an
- 1:10:00hour or two. The Treasury opened up its
- 1:10:05window to help. They pumped $105 billion
- 1:10:09in the system and quickly realized that
- 1:10:11they could not stem the tide. We were
- 1:10:13having an electronic run on the banks.
- 1:10:17They decided to close the operation,
- 1:10:19close down the money accounts and
- 1:10:22announce a guarantee of $250,000
- 1:10:25per account so there wouldn't be further
- 1:10:27panic out there and that's what actually
- 1:10:29happened. If they had not done that
- 1:10:31that their estimation was that by 2:00
- 1:10:34that afternoon $5.5 trillion
- 1:10:38would have been drawn out of the money
- 1:10:40market system of the United States,
- 1:10:42would have collapsed the entire economy
- 1:10:45of the United States and within 24 hours
- 1:10:47the world economy would have collapsed.
- 1:10:51>> When money is withdrawn internationally
- 1:10:52from one currency to another
- 1:10:55the reserve currency shifts from the
- 1:10:57National Bank of one country
- 1:10:59to the reserve account of the foreign
- 1:11:01bank.
- 1:11:03Foreign banks have relationships with
- 1:11:04local banks that allow them to hold
- 1:11:07foreign reserve currencies whilst not
- 1:11:09being a part of the central bank scheme
- 1:11:12at the local central bank.
- 1:11:17For example,
- 1:11:18when 1,000 pounds is transferred into
- 1:11:20euros,
- 1:11:23a UK bank will agree an exchange rate
- 1:11:25with a euro area bank,
- 1:11:28perhaps 1.15 euros to the pound.
- 1:11:32The UK bank will then transfer 1,000
- 1:11:34pounds of the central reserve currency
- 1:11:37to the UK partner bank of the European
- 1:11:39bank.
- 1:11:40Whilst the European bank will transfer
- 1:11:431,150
- 1:11:44euros of reserve currency to the
- 1:11:47European partner bank of the UK bank.
- 1:11:51>> What happens when currencies and the
- 1:11:53exchange rate system is no longer
- 1:11:54managed? What are some of the first
- 1:11:56consequences?
- 1:11:58Devaluations,
- 1:11:59speculation,
- 1:12:01imbalances where some countries would
- 1:12:04accrue more and more and more
- 1:12:05what? What would they accrue?
- 1:12:08Other currencies.
- 1:12:10Other currencies.
- 1:12:14>> The reserve currency needs to be spent
- 1:12:15in the country of origin
- 1:12:17or exchanged into other currencies.
- 1:12:21Most foreign banks do not have deposit
- 1:12:24taking accounts outside of their
- 1:12:25national borders
- 1:12:27and as such, the foreign reserves they
- 1:12:29hold do not come back to them in the
- 1:12:31form of deposits.
- 1:12:35When a country accumulates trade
- 1:12:36imbalances,
- 1:12:38it either accumulates foreign reserve
- 1:12:40currencies
- 1:12:41in the case of surplus
- 1:12:43or spends its own reserves
- 1:12:46in the case of negative trade balances.
- 1:12:49>> Balance of trade is is basically uh
- 1:12:52the
- 1:12:53between what you're selling abroad
- 1:12:55and what you're buying from abroad. Now,
- 1:12:57the feature on the UK is that for a very
- 1:13:01long period of time it's had a deficit
- 1:13:04on something called visible balance of
- 1:13:05trade, which is trading things things
- 1:13:07that you can see. So, that is goods that
- 1:13:10you'd recognize, stuff you can put in
- 1:13:11containers, it's cars, computers, things
- 1:13:14that you'd see in a shop. That's been in
- 1:13:16substantial deficit for I think opened
- 1:13:19up in in the
- 1:13:20did open up in the early 1980s and
- 1:13:23essentially it hasn't it hasn't gone
- 1:13:24away since if anything has got wider and
- 1:13:26wider.
- 1:13:27>> Foreign exchange reserves cannot be
- 1:13:29directly used for domestic spending.
- 1:13:32The money can only be spent abroad
- 1:13:35or on imports.
- 1:13:39A country with a large balance of trade
- 1:13:41deficit
- 1:13:42relies on its creditors to spend the
- 1:13:44imbalances accrued in its own market.
- 1:13:48>> I mean there there have been proposals
- 1:13:49in the past to try and create a
- 1:13:51mechanism
- 1:13:53for those imbalances to to match up.
- 1:13:55So, Keynes for instance, John Maynard
- 1:13:58Keynes,
- 1:13:59at the end of the Second World War, his
- 1:14:00original proposal for
- 1:14:02what became Bretton Woods and the set of
- 1:14:04institutions set up there like the IMF
- 1:14:06and the World Bank was that there would
- 1:14:07be a kind of international clearing
- 1:14:09union. This is particularly relating to
- 1:14:11to the trade side rather than the sort
- 1:14:13of the financial side directly. But, the
- 1:14:15principle was that, you know, once trade
- 1:14:16balances had opened up everybody would
- 1:14:18bank through an international clearing
- 1:14:20bank
- 1:14:21and that would kind of force everyone to
- 1:14:23to eventually reconcile the imbalances
- 1:14:25that appeared in the real economy.
- 1:14:28>> But, no such mechanism exists.
- 1:14:31The accumulated net trade imbalance for
- 1:14:34the UK is around 800 billion pounds.
- 1:14:46>> In essence, what has happened is that
- 1:14:48over many years some countries have had
- 1:14:50big trade surpluses and others big trade
- 1:14:52deficits.
- 1:14:53The countries with trade deficits have
- 1:14:55been spending more than they've been
- 1:14:57earning, so they've had to borrow from
- 1:14:58abroad. And they've been doing this year
- 1:15:01after year.
- 1:15:02Countries like that are the United
- 1:15:04States,
- 1:15:05ourselves, and some other countries in
- 1:15:07Europe. That cannot go on.
- 1:15:10And there are two ways in which this can
- 1:15:11come to an end. Either, and we're seeing
- 1:15:13this in some other countries in Europe,
- 1:15:15if they can't find new ways to become
- 1:15:17competitive, then their ability to repay
- 1:15:20the debts is called into question.
- 1:15:22Another way of doing it, which we
- 1:15:23followed, is that we got a credible plan
- 1:15:26to repay our debts.
- 1:15:27And the value of sterling has fallen by
- 1:15:2925% to make our exports more competitive
- 1:15:33and attractive to overseas buyers.
- 1:15:35And it to be more attractive for British
- 1:15:37consumers to buy from British producers
- 1:15:39rather than overseas producers. That is
- 1:15:42what we have done to put in place a
- 1:15:43framework to rebalance our economy, and
- 1:15:46I'm sure that's the right way to do it.
- 1:15:49>> Currency war,
- 1:15:50also known as competitive devaluation,
- 1:15:53is a condition where countries compete
- 1:15:55against each other to achieve a
- 1:15:57relatively low exchange rate for their
- 1:15:59currency.
- 1:16:00As the price to buy a particular
- 1:16:02currency falls,
- 1:16:03so too does the real price of exports
- 1:16:05from that country.
- 1:16:08Domestic industry receives a boost in
- 1:16:10demand both at home and abroad.
- 1:16:14>> It's made British exports appear rather
- 1:16:16cheaper, so they've kind of recovered a
- 1:16:18little bit, but because the rest of the
- 1:16:19world is now looking really quite ropy,
- 1:16:21they've started to fall back down again.
- 1:16:23So, what we're looking at is something
- 1:16:24that that
- 1:16:25almost a kind of anarchy. And in a way,
- 1:16:28the increasing anarchy. This is what's
- 1:16:29happened over the last few years where
- 1:16:31you know, the Brazilian finance minister
- 1:16:33has been most vocal about this, talking
- 1:16:35about currency wars, talking about the
- 1:16:37desire of national governments when
- 1:16:40confronted by a major recession. They
- 1:16:42think if we could export more, we could
- 1:16:44dig ourselves out of this recession. If
- 1:16:46we want to export more, we depreciate
- 1:16:48our currency. That makes our goods
- 1:16:50cheaper, everyone else buys them, we'll
- 1:16:52all be better off. Now, the issue here
- 1:16:54is that if you depreciate, it's like
- 1:16:56everybody else appreciates against you.
- 1:16:58Their stuff becomes more expensive. So,
- 1:17:00they're not too happy about that. They
- 1:17:01also want to depreciate. And this is
- 1:17:03where you can see a competitive round of
- 1:17:04devaluations breaking out.
- 1:17:07>> To decrease the value of its national
- 1:17:09currency,
- 1:17:10a national central bank sells reserve
- 1:17:12currency into the market.
- 1:17:15It creates this currency out of nothing
- 1:17:17by typing numbers into a computer.
- 1:17:33During the long phase of commodity
- 1:17:35money,
- 1:17:36the exchange rate would depend on the
- 1:17:37amount of gold, silver,
- 1:17:40or copper contained in the coins of each
- 1:17:42country.
- 1:17:43Similarly, after the advent of paper
- 1:17:46money and the gold standard,
- 1:17:49the exchange rate depended on the amount
- 1:17:51of gold a government promised to pay the
- 1:17:52holder of the bank notes.
- 1:17:54These amounts did not vary greatly in
- 1:17:56the short term.
- 1:17:58And as such, exchange rates between
- 1:18:00currencies were relatively stable.
- 1:18:05After the Second World War, currencies
- 1:18:07were pegged to the dollar,
- 1:18:09and the dollar was backed by gold.
- 1:18:12This system came to an end in 1971.
- 1:18:15>> So, we have a modern financial system
- 1:18:18where money
- 1:18:19is now chaotically organized. There is
- 1:18:22no exchange rate because there's no gold
- 1:18:24standard system to sustain.
- 1:18:26So, we don't need it. In fact, we
- 1:18:28believe the market will resolve all of
- 1:18:29the problems of exchange. Whether your
- 1:18:31currency should be worth more than mine
- 1:18:33is a reflection of your economy relative
- 1:18:35to mine. And if that changes, the
- 1:18:37currency and the exchange rate can
- 1:18:38change. And if we need that to happen,
- 1:18:41it'll happen magically by the efficiency
- 1:18:42of market and profit seeking and you
- 1:18:45guys know the rest, I think.
- 1:18:48>> A currency's value in relation to
- 1:18:49another currency is determined by the
- 1:18:51market.
- 1:18:53If more people want to buy a currency
- 1:18:55than sell it, its value increases.
- 1:18:58If more people want to sell,
- 1:19:01its value decreases.
- 1:19:03The value is set by individual banks.
- 1:19:06As they buy and sell currencies, they
- 1:19:08will adjust the exchange rate.
- 1:19:11>> In the la- last study I read in 2007,
- 1:19:15each day on currency markets, 3.2
- 1:19:19trillion dollars are traded each day.
- 1:19:24Who knows what the global GDP is?
- 1:19:2850. Again, Brucey, higher.
- 1:19:3260, that's closer.
- 1:19:33The point is, think about that exchange
- 1:19:36happening every single day. There's
- 1:19:38about 260 business days a year.
- 1:19:41It takes a few weeks to match the global
- 1:19:45value of every economic transaction that
- 1:19:48happens everywhere, every day in a year.
- 1:19:52And it takes a few weeks.
- 1:19:54>> Obviously, all of us trade currency
- 1:19:56very, very regularly. If you go abroad,
- 1:19:58you exchange into another currency.
- 1:19:59That's a form of currency trading.
- 1:20:01You're swapping your pounds into
- 1:20:03whatever euros or yen or whatever it
- 1:20:05might be. That happens very regularly,
- 1:20:07and that's a conventional part of the
- 1:20:09trading process. Now, large corporations
- 1:20:11have to do this
- 1:20:12on a regular basis. Where it becomes
- 1:20:14something that people question,
- 1:20:16where you get people saying, "Well, hang
- 1:20:18on, this is speculation." is when you
- 1:20:19get people realizing that currencies
- 1:20:21move around next to each other. And if
- 1:20:23they move around in value next to each
- 1:20:24other, there's always an opportunity to
- 1:20:25try and make money out of those changes
- 1:20:27in value. And therefore, you can
- 1:20:29speculate on it. And that's that's the
- 1:20:30more sort of questionable end of the
- 1:20:32market. That's the bit of the market
- 1:20:33that things like a financial
- 1:20:35transactions tax would try and chop away
- 1:20:37at. Because the the assumption there,
- 1:20:39and it's it's kind of not incorrect, is
- 1:20:41that this just produces instability for
- 1:20:43everyone else. That these people want
- 1:20:45volatility in the market cuz that's how
- 1:20:47they make their money. They want to
- 1:20:48encourage it and they do encourage it by
- 1:20:50uh, trading and speculating in the way
- 1:20:51that they do.
- 1:20:53>> By 2010,
- 1:20:55the foreign exchange market had grown to
- 1:20:57be the largest and most liquid market in
- 1:20:59the world,
- 1:21:01with an average of $4 trillion of
- 1:21:03currency being exchanged every day.
- 1:21:09>> Volatility creates a need. What does it
- 1:21:12do to countries, especially perhaps
- 1:21:15small ones like developing countries, if
- 1:21:18there are suddenly huge and instantly
- 1:21:21fluctuating financial flow?
- 1:21:25What do they have to do to cope?
- 1:21:27>> Their production of the products that
- 1:21:29they're selling on the
- 1:21:29>> Increase their production and sell more?
- 1:21:33Lowering the price?
- 1:21:35>> possibly even poorer.
- 1:21:36>> And becoming possibly even poorer?
- 1:21:37>> Once you start talking about the
- 1:21:38international system, it it becomes
- 1:21:40really quite a peculiar uh, quite
- 1:21:43peculiar thing in that a lot of it
- 1:21:45depends on simply sentiment and beliefs
- 1:21:48about what an economy is like, rather
- 1:21:50more than it depends on anything the
- 1:21:51economy might or might not actually be
- 1:21:52doing. And that can shift very very
- 1:21:54rapidly because, you know, if if it's
- 1:21:55just somebody's belief about a currency
- 1:21:57is supportable,
- 1:21:58uh, then you know, they can carry on
- 1:22:00believing this until well, till
- 1:22:01whenever. If that belief changes, it can
- 1:22:03change very rapidly in a financial
- 1:22:05market, the process of financial
- 1:22:07contagion can can take place, you know,
- 1:22:09in just minutes, seconds even. That you
- 1:22:12can just move from being apparently
- 1:22:14quite a stable, robust economy to being
- 1:22:18one that suddenly sentiment has turned
- 1:22:20against you and you find that markets
- 1:22:23are picking on you. And it can often be
- 1:22:24not much more than you're simply the
- 1:22:26next door neighbor of, uh, you know, a
- 1:22:28country that's currently in trouble.
- 1:22:32>> Many of the world's financial crises in
- 1:22:34the past 30 years have been caused by
- 1:22:37rapid withdrawals of the nation's
- 1:22:38currency
- 1:22:40or the currencies of an entire region.
- 1:22:43This type of activity is often referred
- 1:22:45to as financial warfare.
- 1:22:49>> It's benefited
- 1:22:51major institutions really quite
- 1:22:53substantially. Goldman Sachs, yeah, for
- 1:22:55example, or any large bank has done
- 1:22:58somewhat better out of this set of
- 1:23:00arrangements than it would have done in
- 1:23:02a formal regulated environment. It's
- 1:23:03made people very very wealthy. It's
- 1:23:05allowed financial markets to expand
- 1:23:07absolutely enormously.
- 1:23:09Anybody involved in that is keen on
- 1:23:11seeing a deregulated world. In the case
- 1:23:13of the UK, you have a government which
- 1:23:15has been quite overtly and deliberately
- 1:23:18and aggressively arguing against any
- 1:23:20forms of regulation being imposed on
- 1:23:22those financial markets. But it's not
- 1:23:24the case that someone's behind the
- 1:23:25scenes pulling the strings. It's It's
- 1:23:27that This is This is how the thing works
- 1:23:29quite deliberately, quite, you know,
- 1:23:30overtly in front of you. That's the
- 1:23:32world as it is. It's making some people
- 1:23:33very rich, and they're quite happy with
- 1:23:35it.
- 1:23:38>> I think it is a form of
- 1:23:40economic warfare.
- 1:23:42Much of the the change in the in the way
- 1:23:45that the global economy works over the
- 1:23:47last 30 years result from this this debt
- 1:23:50this third world debt because it's given
- 1:23:53rich countries and banks and financial
- 1:23:55sector enormous amounts of power and
- 1:23:57control over the poorer bits of the
- 1:24:00world where a lot of the resources are
- 1:24:01that we like using. And that's been used
- 1:24:05in a way that many people have compared
- 1:24:07to a form of colonialism. It's a very
- 1:24:09real direct form of of power that's been
- 1:24:13used over those countries to force those
- 1:24:15countries to do what are really in the
- 1:24:17interests of the richest segments of the
- 1:24:19world that they do. And as a result of
- 1:24:22that, not only have corporations become
- 1:24:24absolutely in very, you know, made huge
- 1:24:27amounts of profits and become absolutely
- 1:24:29enormous and
- 1:24:30and all pervasive,
- 1:24:32but the financial sector has become even
- 1:24:34bigger than that and the and the real
- 1:24:36money in in the world
- 1:24:38to be made today is not by producing
- 1:24:40anything at all. It's simply by forms of
- 1:24:43speculating, basically making money from
- 1:24:45money. That's the most profitable and
- 1:24:47and by far and away the the biggest form
- 1:24:51of of of activity of economic activity
- 1:24:53that exists in the world today.
- 1:24:56>> To protect themselves, vulnerable
- 1:24:57countries need to accrue currency from
- 1:25:00rich countries
- 1:25:01who create these currencies out of
- 1:25:03nothing.
- 1:25:05>> The Netherlands first governor-general
- 1:25:07of Indonesia, the man who built the
- 1:25:09trade routes, fortified them.
- 1:25:12What I mean by that is built forts along
- 1:25:14them and fought Spanish fleets and
- 1:25:16British fleets said about the
- 1:25:18development of the of the of the
- 1:25:21Netherlands empire, Netherlands trade
- 1:25:24was we cannot make trade without war,
- 1:25:27nor war without trade.
- 1:25:31Money and power.
- 1:25:39So, reserves have become the way in
- 1:25:41which you can insure yourself against
- 1:25:43what? Speculation. You said speculation.
- 1:25:46Speculative attack.
- 1:25:48>> Fall in the market.
- 1:25:49>> Fall in the market.
- 1:25:51Bubbles.
- 1:25:54>> When a country succumbs to a speculative
- 1:25:56attack, it is asked to deregulate its
- 1:25:58markets and conform its financial system
- 1:26:02to that of the dominant party.
- 1:26:06>> The big problem that's faced by most
- 1:26:08developing countries who got into a debt
- 1:26:09crisis was that they were told by the
- 1:26:12powers that be in the world, the
- 1:26:13International Monetary Fund, which is in
- 1:26:15many ways governs the the the global
- 1:26:17financial system, that the way to get
- 1:26:19out of debt actually is first of all to
- 1:26:22to restructure your economy, especially
- 1:26:24to increase your exports, so you're
- 1:26:26earning more more dollars, and then you
- 1:26:28can pay off your your debt, which is
- 1:26:30normally in dollars or some other
- 1:26:31foreign currency.
- 1:26:33Unfortunately, time and time again that
- 1:26:35was proved to to not be the case at all.
- 1:26:37Actually, countries cut back their
- 1:26:39public spending to the bone, so they
- 1:26:40stopped growing, they stopped having any
- 1:26:43potential for growth. Um and what they
- 1:26:46did produce was was
- 1:26:48was aimed at the export market, was
- 1:26:49aimed at creating dollars or so on. So,
- 1:26:50they were paying off their debts, but
- 1:26:52they weren't
- 1:26:53developing their own economy at all.
- 1:26:55They were paying far far far more in
- 1:26:57debt repayments than they were spending
- 1:26:58on health or education or anything else.
- 1:27:00And their debts just kept getting bigger
- 1:27:01and bigger and bigger.
- 1:27:03>> The country becomes a vassal state,
- 1:27:05allowing large corporations to exploit
- 1:27:08its natural resources and workforce.
- 1:27:16>> It's not It's not even shadowy. It's
- 1:27:17There's no great mystery about about
- 1:27:19what what's happening here and about the
- 1:27:20way the world operates. It's not It's
- 1:27:22It's quite blunt. I mean, for for the
- 1:27:23last 30 years, you've got something
- 1:27:25pretty much everywhere, or certainly
- 1:27:27spreads pretty much everywhere, that
- 1:27:28generally gets labeled neoliberalism,
- 1:27:30this idea that you should have floating
- 1:27:33exchange rates, you know, weak
- 1:27:35regulation, particularly financial
- 1:27:36markets, minimal government interference
- 1:27:39or involvement with what market it does.
- 1:27:40And that's that's more or less how the
- 1:27:41world operates. And then there are
- 1:27:43institutions, and the outstanding one at
- 1:27:45this point is the IMF, that that will
- 1:27:47actively try and enforce this state of
- 1:27:48affairs. So, it's it's not greatly
- 1:27:51shadowy, if you see what I mean. That
- 1:27:52that there are people behind the scenes
- 1:27:54somewhere trying to manipulate stuff.
- 1:27:55It's actually This is quite This is
- 1:27:56quite overt. This This is happening. And
- 1:27:58this is how
- 1:27:59for entire my entire adult life,
- 1:28:02actually, is what it starts to look
- 1:28:03like, this is how the world the world
- 1:28:05has operated. And it's made some people
- 1:28:07very very wealthy. It's produced
- 1:28:08enormous concentrations of wealth.
- 1:28:10>> So, when the International Monetary Fund
- 1:28:12comes in in order to try and uh
- 1:28:15alleviate a country's debt problems, it
- 1:28:17imposes a set of conditions. And in the
- 1:28:191980s and 90s, they called that set of
- 1:28:21conditions structural adjustment,
- 1:28:22structural adjustment program. And it
- 1:28:24tends to take very similar forms
- 1:28:26wherever it happens. And indeed, we can
- 1:28:27see structural adjustment programs in
- 1:28:29essence happening today in countries
- 1:28:30like Greece, and Portugal, and Ireland,
- 1:28:33where countries are instructed to uh
- 1:28:38decrease the amount that they spend on
- 1:28:40the public sector.
- 1:28:41Um they are instructed to liberalize
- 1:28:44their their trade market, and liberalize
- 1:28:46their capital market, so money can much
- 1:28:50more easily come in and out of their
- 1:28:51economy.
- 1:28:52And the idea is that this will encourage
- 1:28:54investment to come in from richer parts
- 1:28:56of the world, and that all of their
- 1:28:58problems will be solved from this
- 1:29:00investment. And in actual fact, this has
- 1:29:01proved um time and time again to be um
- 1:29:05completely without foundation. In actual
- 1:29:07fact, what happens is it destroys
- 1:29:09fledgling industries and capacities in
- 1:29:11these developing countries. And
- 1:29:12developing countries become completely
- 1:29:14dependent on goods and services from
- 1:29:16developed countries, and also from
- 1:29:17capital from developed countries. Uh one
- 1:29:20of the things the International Monetary
- 1:29:21Fund is very is very um keen on is um
- 1:29:24telling countries to lower the taxes um
- 1:29:27that should be paid by multinational
- 1:29:28corporations when they come and operate
- 1:29:30in a country, cuz then you'll encourage
- 1:29:31more multinational corporations to come
- 1:29:33in. Of course, what it also means is the
- 1:29:35profits that are made by those
- 1:29:36multinational corporations leave the
- 1:29:38country just as quickly, and the country
- 1:29:40itself doesn't benefit. And today, you
- 1:29:42have many developing countries which
- 1:29:44have got um almost no tax base. Um
- 1:29:46they've not developed a tax base at all.
- 1:29:48And so, they're even more dependent on
- 1:29:51international capital markets, on the
- 1:29:52money markets, on creating debt. Um and
- 1:29:55that's why you have so many countries in
- 1:29:57the world that have really been robbed
- 1:29:58of their sovereignty. It's very
- 1:30:00difficult to see how democratic
- 1:30:01societies can evolve or function when
- 1:30:03actually a government is more more
- 1:30:05on the dictates of the International
- 1:30:07Monetary Fund and the money markets than
- 1:30:09it is on their own people.
- 1:30:17>> What we've seen since the 1970s is a
- 1:30:20dramatic increase
- 1:30:21in a series of phenomena that have had a
- 1:30:25a stimulative effect on the changes in
- 1:30:27the financial system that have brought
- 1:30:29us to the gleaming, shining metal in
- 1:30:31steel
- 1:30:32business that's over there.
- 1:30:34In case you don't know, that's the City
- 1:30:35of London I'm pointing at.
- 1:30:37>> To compensate for the lack of a defined
- 1:30:39commodity-based value underlying
- 1:30:42currencies,
- 1:30:43financial institutions developed
- 1:30:45securitization
- 1:30:47as a means to manage risk.
- 1:30:50>> You know, you develop securitization as
- 1:30:52a means to try and stabilize the whole
- 1:30:54system. This is a set of financial
- 1:30:56processes and financial innovations that
- 1:30:58really accelerate from the '70s, '80s
- 1:31:01onwards.
- 1:31:01>> You had a chaotic system that needed to
- 1:31:03manage risk. And you had to innovate.
- 1:31:06You needed derivatives, options,
- 1:31:09futures. You have new markets in
- 1:31:12volatility management tools. Who knows
- 1:31:14what the term hedging is?
- 1:31:15>> Spreading your risk. Managing your risk.
- 1:31:18Insuring against your risk. Precisely.
- 1:31:21>> Well, until very recently, you know, up
- 1:31:23until the 1960s, the Securities and
- 1:31:25Exchange Commission would be quite clear
- 1:31:27that, you know, derivatives that weren't
- 1:31:29based on real products like agricultural
- 1:31:31products, so pork belly futures or
- 1:31:33whatever, would in fact be essentially
- 1:31:35kind of gambling. And therefore, you
- 1:31:37weren't allowed to trade them. That that
- 1:31:38changes in the '60s, and everybody can
- 1:31:40trade, you know,
- 1:31:41uh currency futures,
- 1:31:43things that are not based on real
- 1:31:45products being traded at some point in
- 1:31:47the future, but based on movements of
- 1:31:48currency prices.
- 1:31:50Once you have the system of fixed
- 1:31:52exchange rates breaks down, obviously
- 1:31:53this thing accelerates enormously. So,
- 1:31:55as you get the roll back of government
- 1:31:57regulation here, you get the market
- 1:31:59taking over with its own products here.
- 1:32:01And the theory is that the market's
- 1:32:03better at regulating itself. It's more
- 1:32:05stable than if you have a government
- 1:32:06interfering all the time. The efficient
- 1:32:08markets hypothesis, the idea that, you
- 1:32:10know, you set up a financial market,
- 1:32:12they're fast, everybody in them is well
- 1:32:14informed, they all keep a very careful
- 1:32:16eye on what everyone else is doing,
- 1:32:17you'll therefore
- 1:32:18be very stable, and it reflects real
- 1:32:20changes in the economy. It's not going
- 1:32:22to be driven by, you know, panics and
- 1:32:24manias and speculative bubbles. None of
- 1:32:27this really going to happen. If if there
- 1:32:28is movement up and down, it's because
- 1:32:30something real is happening, and traders
- 1:32:33and investors in financial market
- 1:32:34responding to it. So, that's the
- 1:32:35efficient markets hypothesis. The
- 1:32:37practice, but I think what you see in
- 1:32:392008 is a kind of end of that process.
- 1:32:41The appearance of this crisis so major,
- 1:32:43the the belief that it will simply be
- 1:32:46self-stabilizing, self-regulating really
- 1:32:48can't carry on. I mean, the practice
- 1:32:50carries on anyway, but you can't really
- 1:32:51argue in the same way that you used to
- 1:32:52that it's good or it's necessary or this
- 1:32:54is okay for the world.
- 1:33:00>> In the last decade, we had a new
- 1:33:01innovation, something called the credit
- 1:33:02default swap, a way of buying insurance
- 1:33:05against the company you've invested in
- 1:33:06going bust.
- 1:33:07And in 2002,
- 1:33:10they were less worth in total less than
- 1:33:12a trillion dollars. In 2007, they were
- 1:33:15worth 60 trillion dollars.
- 1:33:18That's 5 years.
- 1:33:20>> Everybody suddenly sitting there and
- 1:33:22thinking, "Oh, these CDOs we've made
- 1:33:25don't in fact provide the kind of
- 1:33:27stability that we thought. The maths
- 1:33:30that's inside of the risk is complete
- 1:33:31nonsense, it turns out.
- 1:33:33There's far more risk attached to
- 1:33:36trying to securitize risk and securitize
- 1:33:38debt in the way that we have done this
- 1:33:40than we thought, and we think these
- 1:33:42things are now worthless."
- 1:33:46The attempt to get more and more complex
- 1:33:48ways of regulating and shaping a
- 1:33:50financial market and trying to make a
- 1:33:52quick buck out of it as well, actually
- 1:33:54helped produce the the opposite effect
- 1:33:57of what its kind of apologetics said,
- 1:33:59which is that it led to led to a
- 1:34:00spectacular crash.
- 1:34:06>> What we saw as a result of this very
- 1:34:08different situation was one phenomenon
- 1:34:12above all. One sector above all grew,
- 1:34:15and that was the financial sector.
- 1:34:18>> While the financial sector benefits
- 1:34:20enormously from the current monetary
- 1:34:22system, the system is neither stable nor
- 1:34:25fair.
- 1:34:26>> The assumption
- 1:34:28in what the Bank of England does right
- 1:34:30now is that the cash that we hold is
- 1:34:33backed up by government debt. The
- 1:34:35government can back up its promises by
- 1:34:37the fact that it can tax the public. So,
- 1:34:40what they're implying is that cash is
- 1:34:42backed up by government debt, when get
- 1:34:44government debt is backed up by the
- 1:34:45ability of government to get cash from
- 1:34:47the public.
- 1:34:48>> Time and time again over the last 30
- 1:34:49years, we've seen uh private debts being
- 1:34:52transformed into into public debts. And
- 1:34:56um
- 1:34:56the ultimately the price of that debt is
- 1:34:58paid by uh by the public in the in the
- 1:35:01debtor country.
- 1:35:04>> This is why spending cuts are necessary.
- 1:35:07The system is designed to make certain
- 1:35:09people very rich at the expense of a
- 1:35:11nation's citizens and taxpayers.
- 1:35:15The system lowers the standard of living
- 1:35:17of the majority
- 1:35:19and distributes this wealth among the
- 1:35:21privileged.
- 1:35:23>> So, what we're left with is a financial
- 1:35:26system since the early '70s that has no
- 1:35:28fixed exchange rates,
- 1:35:30that suddenly has increasingly open
- 1:35:33financial borders,
- 1:35:35that has central banks having to manage
- 1:35:38without having any control because
- 1:35:40there's
- 1:35:41nothing here
- 1:35:42where the gold used to be.
- 1:35:44Chaotically, they have to ease
- 1:35:47quantitatively. They have to lend as a
- 1:35:51lender of last resort.
- 1:35:53>> Throughout history,
- 1:35:54monetary systems were designed to give
- 1:35:56the dominant international power
- 1:35:59an advantage.
- 1:36:00And this power is fiercely defended and
- 1:36:03expanded on.
- 1:36:12>> And they flee in terror from an
- 1:36:14incredible bogeyman.
- 1:36:18>> An American flag is burned at the height
- 1:36:19of a demonstration. Both President
- 1:36:21Johnson and Francisco Franco were
- 1:36:23vilified. A new law in public protest
- 1:36:26added strain on Spanish-American
- 1:36:28relations.
- 1:36:31>> Order in the court. Order in the court.
- 1:36:36>> I want Americans in all the world to
- 1:36:38know
- 1:36:38>> Come on. Fire.
- 1:36:39>> I want Americans in all the world to
- 1:36:41know America has no regard for
- 1:36:44conventions of war or rules of morality.
- 1:36:48>> Fire.
- 1:36:56>> Objection overruled.
- 1:37:11>> And what I would like to see
- 1:37:13is um
- 1:37:15a a new kind of currency that is backed
- 1:37:18by
- 1:37:19uh something that that is scarce and
- 1:37:21that we really need and we really value.
- 1:37:24Something like energy or renewable
- 1:37:26energy, for example. So, a a sort of
- 1:37:28kilowatt-hour backed
- 1:37:29currency would be would be very
- 1:37:31interesting to me. We need to start
- 1:37:33valuing the things that are most scarce
- 1:37:36um and and that we need to survive as a
- 1:37:39human race in the long run. And backing
- 1:37:42an international currency with something
- 1:37:43like that will generate enormous
- 1:37:46investment in, for example, renewable
- 1:37:48energy.
- 1:37:50If that's the, you know, the primary
- 1:37:51international um unit of account that's
- 1:37:55that's that's being used. Uh another
- 1:37:57option is is a basket of of currencies,
- 1:38:00so you you know, you you mix up the
- 1:38:02value of of of different currencies
- 1:38:05um
- 1:38:05to to create a very solid currency that
- 1:38:07people have confidence in.
- 1:38:11>> Perhaps even better would be a basket of
- 1:38:14commodities with which to back up
- 1:38:16international currencies.
- 1:38:19>> Now, if it was possible
- 1:38:21internationally, some way or another, to
- 1:38:22get all these competing and increasingly
- 1:38:25competing national economies together
- 1:38:27and say,
- 1:38:28uh we're all going to sit down and write
- 1:38:30out an agreement, somewhat like the
- 1:38:31Bretton Woods agreement, which will
- 1:38:32allow for, unlike Bretton Woods, allow
- 1:38:35for, you know, some currencies to to be
- 1:38:37pegged against different baskets of
- 1:38:39goods that more appropriate to to their
- 1:38:41national economies. And you could sort
- 1:38:43of arrange this. If you could have
- 1:38:44arranged that to happen, then that would
- 1:38:46be nice. And you can see how that would
- 1:38:48start to create a kind of order in the
- 1:38:50international macroeconomy, which is
- 1:38:51otherwise lacking. The The real
- 1:38:52difficulty there is just political. It's
- 1:38:54like, who in earth is going to do this?
- 1:38:56Who Who is the force that that's going
- 1:38:58to kind of make this thing happen?
- 1:39:02>> Creating a monetary system which is both
- 1:39:04fair and stable
- 1:39:06is possible and can be achieved.
- 1:39:09What are international organizations for
- 1:39:13if not for such a purpose?
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