NVIDIA & Lilly: The AI Revolution in Drug Discovery | Jensen Huang & David Ricks — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:03[applause]
- 0:04>> Hello. It's great to see all of you.
- 0:07You know, once a year I get the benefit
- 0:09of
- 0:10thanking all of you for the incredible
- 0:12work work that you do. As you know, we
- 0:14pioneered a new way of doing computing
- 0:16called accelerated computing.
- 0:19And we've been working on this for now
- 0:2033 years.
- 0:22The big idea
- 0:23The big idea
- 0:24is that if you could co-design, meaning
- 0:27if you understood the problems you're
- 0:29trying to compute for
- 0:32and you develop the entire stack,
- 0:34meaning the algorithms
- 0:36the computers and the processors within
- 0:38it.
- 0:39That if you co-designed
- 0:41you solve the problem from top down, you
- 0:43solve the problem from bottom up and
- 0:44inside out that you could accelerate
- 0:48these applications, which are incredibly
- 0:50computing intensive
- 0:52by a level that Moore's law would only
- 0:55dream of.
- 0:56Moore's law runs at about 10 times every
- 0:585 years, 100 times every 10 years.
- 1:01In the last 10 years we've accelerated
- 1:03AI about a million times.
- 1:05A million times versus 100 times.
- 1:07A million times
- 1:09compounded over 20 years
- 1:12gives us an opportunity to maybe address
- 1:14some of the
- 1:16most incredible, most impactful
- 1:18challenges of humanity. That's you.
- 1:21And so, we've been thinking about
- 1:23accelerated computing and this co-design
- 1:25idea for a very long time.
- 1:27Well
- 1:28after some 30 years or so
- 1:30um
- 1:31each different fields of of uh computing
- 1:34domains uh became within reach. One of
- 1:37the first ones was computer graphics.
- 1:39And somebody told me
- 1:40about
- 1:4210 years ago
- 1:43that it would take 30 years for us to
- 1:45solve this incredibly hard problem
- 1:48called ray tracing for computer
- 1:49graphics. Literally following every
- 1:50photon of light as it bounces around the
- 1:52room, eventually reaching your eyes.
- 1:55And using ray tracing you could solve
- 1:58for really interesting computer graphics
- 2:00problems and create photorealistic
- 2:02images like this.
- 2:03Well, that was
- 2:0410 years ago
- 2:06that it would take 30 years. It was the
- 2:08computer graphics problem that was
- 2:10always the future.
- 2:12And literally today we ray trace every
- 2:15single pixel in a computer graphics
- 2:16program, in our video games, and not
- 2:18only do we ray trace it incredibly
- 2:20beautifully, we do it at several hundred
- 2:23frames a second.
- 2:24As large of a resolution as you like.
- 2:26And we've taught an AI
- 2:28how to we've taught our computer how to
- 2:31simulate with first principle
- 2:33simulations
- 2:34very few pixels
- 2:36and then we use AI to predict the rest
- 2:38of it.
- 2:40We teach an AI what an image should look
- 2:42like and it generates the
- 2:45the image for us. It's temporal
- 2:47consistent, it's spatially consistent,
- 2:49it's incredibly beautiful. It looks even
- 2:51better than we compute.
- 2:54Well
- 2:55each one of these different domains are
- 2:57becoming within reach.
- 2:59About 10 years ago we started talking
- 3:01about self-driving cars. Today I think
- 3:03we are at the ChatGPT moment of
- 3:05self-driving cars. There's no question
- 3:07in my mind that within the next 10 years
- 3:10you know, almost every car that gets
- 3:11manufactured will have of course
- 3:14uh either robotaxi capability or if you
- 3:16like to drive yourself you still can,
- 3:18but it has the ability to be a robotaxi.
- 3:21That future is just around the corner.
- 3:23Each one of these domains are within
- 3:24reach.
- 3:26Now of course, we now have uh the
- 3:28ChatGPT moment. The last year we've seen
- 3:31incredible progress in generative AI and
- 3:35large language models.
- 3:36Uh
- 3:37these ideas
- 3:39made it possible for us to take an AI
- 3:41that we thought was magical
- 3:44but hallucinated a great deal. It was
- 3:46essentially cute and very interesting to
- 3:49something that is incredibly useful.
- 3:51This last year, we saw last couple of
- 3:53years, uh breakthroughs in multimodality
- 3:56AIs. Not only do you understand the
- 4:00word cat
- 4:02and the letter c a t you could look at
- 4:05an image and hear the word hear the
- 4:07sound meow and recognize all of those
- 4:10words, all of those information is
- 4:12aligned to the same place in your brain.
- 4:14And we can now do that with all kinds of
- 4:17different modalities, which is very
- 4:19important to you.
- 4:20Uh we made huge breakthroughs
- 4:23in reasoning capabilities.
- 4:25To be able to decompose through
- 4:27composition, break down a problem we've
- 4:30never seen before into routine things
- 4:33and through that composition solve
- 4:35problems step-by-step, reasoning through
- 4:38hard problems.
- 4:39The ability to do multimodality
- 4:41reasoning and to be grounded by
- 4:44different sources of information is
- 4:46going to be a revolution even for your
- 4:48industry. It is clearly a revolution in
- 4:51ours.
- 4:52The idea that we would use multimodality
- 4:55sensors
- 4:57very sensible.
- 4:58But the idea that a car, a self-driving
- 5:01car stack that can think
- 5:04because it can reason through
- 5:06and
- 5:07experience a situation it's never
- 5:09experienced before, reason through it
- 5:11step-by-step and be able to solve that
- 5:13problem, navigate through it incredible
- 5:16capabilities.
- 5:18It expanded the operating domain of
- 5:19self-driving cars tremendously. It no
- 5:23longer it's now the case that we are
- 5:26very certain we don't have to test every
- 5:29single car across every single scenario
- 5:31in order for that car to do well. Just
- 5:33like us. That we have we can now have a
- 5:36car that can think and be basically
- 5:38intelligent.
- 5:39These techniques
- 5:41has made uh and and of course agentic
- 5:44capabilities the ability for agents to
- 5:47reason, use tools, work with other
- 5:50agents completely revolutionary.
- 5:53And so these these breakthroughs um in
- 5:56in the day that I've been here uh is
- 5:58permeating your industry, permeating
- 6:01life sciences. Some of the most exciting
- 6:03work that I've seen in a very long time.
- 6:06And so today I we announced a very
- 6:09important uh very important partnership.
- 6:11Before I get there, let me say a couple
- 6:13of things.
- 6:14We announced of course
- 6:16uh some of the work that we've done uh
- 6:17with all of you.
- 6:19We've brought an accelerated computing
- 6:21platform uh but on top of that are a
- 6:24suite of libraries that we're very proud
- 6:26of. Parabricks for uh gene sequencing
- 6:29um
- 6:31MONAI, an open source platform for
- 6:33medical imaging
- 6:35uh
- 6:36and one of the most important ones,
- 6:38BioNeMo, a platform that understands
- 6:41uh geometric structures like uh
- 6:43molecules and proteins.
- 6:45And these platforms
- 6:48uh are used by many of you in the room
- 6:49and I'm very grateful for that.
- 6:51Uh the
- 6:53uh several announcements that we made
- 6:56uh before before I say that uh there
- 6:58there uh uh so many partners here,
- 7:00couple of couple of hundred different
- 7:02companies here. Uh there are pharmas,
- 7:03there are hospitals, there are startups.
- 7:05There are startups in robotics, surgical
- 7:07robotics, there are startups in robotics
- 7:10labs.
- 7:11There are agentic AI companies here
- 7:14um helping with health health care
- 7:16diagnostics.
- 7:17And also of uh some really cool work
- 7:19being done in AI scientists. You know,
- 7:21part of part of being at the JP Morgan
- 7:24uh event is uh large companies uh
- 7:27meeting
- 7:29uh small companies and so many of them
- 7:31are doing uh revolutionary work and and
- 7:34I'm so grateful that that all of you
- 7:35have chosen the NVIDIA platform to work
- 7:37on.
- 7:38And so so our platforms
- 7:40our platforms um
- 7:43uh ended up uh achieving some really
- 7:45great results.
- 7:46Uh MONAI has been downloaded some 6
- 7:48million times.
- 7:51We achieved a Guinness World Record of
- 7:53gene sequencing.
- 7:57You know, that's cool.
- 8:02Yeah.
- 8:03I've always wanted to be in the Guinness
- 8:05World Record.
- 8:06So that's cool.
- 8:07Uh the the vast majority of the world's
- 8:10uh structure prediction models are built
- 8:11on NVIDIA today. And so I'm really proud
- 8:13of that.
- 8:14And and on top of the BioNeMo platform
- 8:18are a whole bunch of pre-trained models.
- 8:20You use it for data processing, you use
- 8:21it for training uh these uh biological
- 8:23models, you use it for fine-tuning. Um
- 8:26but we also have a whole bunch of uh
- 8:28pre-trained models and a bunch of data
- 8:30that that you can start with and you
- 8:32could uh apply your data to fine-tune uh
- 8:35your your molecules. And and some of the
- 8:36some of the models that that we've
- 8:38created and participated in jointly
- 8:41developed, uh really proud of Llama
- 8:42Protina for protein design uh RE SE NT
- 8:45for molecular synthesis
- 8:48uh Kermit for uh predicting toxicity
- 8:52uh Evo Two, a a uh DNA foundation model.
- 8:56Uh these these foundation models uh
- 8:58start of course where where I try to
- 9:01we're trying to learn to represent the
- 9:02representation of of proteins so that we
- 9:04can create a foundation model for
- 9:05protein. But the the moment that that
- 9:09time where where we're going to learn a
- 9:11representation and create a foundation
- 9:13model for cells is just around around
- 9:14the corner, the multi-protein systems.
- 9:17Uh
- 9:17Codon FM for RNA design.
- 9:20Uh just just really really terrific real
- 9:22really terrific progress.
- 9:24And so today
- 9:26uh we announced a uh
- 9:28uh a large number of partners that are
- 9:29working with us in BioNeMo and I'm very
- 9:31grateful for that. And we also announced
- 9:34a
- 9:35a really really a a a
- 9:37a land landmark partnership
- 9:40uh with one of the most important
- 9:42companies in the world and and a really
- 9:44good friend, Dave Ricks
- 9:46uh in Lilly.
- 9:47And so I without without I I won't tell
- 9:51you more about it. I'm going to I'm
- 9:52going to let the two of us describe it
- 9:53together.
- 9:54Um but uh Dave Dave
- 9:57he he's been the CEO of Lilly since
- 9:592017.
- 10:01And, um
- 10:02I In the context of the history of
- 10:05Lilly, 150-year-old company, he's been
- 10:08with the company for 30 years. That's
- 10:10So, he's basically a new college grad in
- 10:13the context of Lilly. And,
- 10:16and I'm anxious to to learn from him uh
- 10:19you know, how how he learned so much in
- 10:21just a short period of time. But, but
- 10:23he's been with Lilly now 30 years. And,
- 10:25as you know, uh he has helped guide and
- 10:28and help build Lilly into one of the
- 10:30most valuable companies in the world and
- 10:31surely one of the most important
- 10:32companies in the world. And so, if you
- 10:34could join me in welcoming my guest,
- 10:36David Ricks.
- 10:38>> [applause]
- 10:43[applause]
- 10:46>> Thank you. Great to be here.
- 10:48>> [applause]
- 10:49>> So, so it turns out the two of us have
- 10:51have um
- 10:54I can't imagine more different
- 10:56upbringing.
- 10:57As So, uh
- 10:59Dave was a was an Eagle Scout and uh
- 11:02went to a juvenile delinquent uh
- 11:05school.
- 11:06Just [laughter] to be clear, I I was
- 11:08placed there as an accident. It wasn't
- 11:12>> [laughter]
- 11:12>> It was No, I was It was a very good
- 11:14school. It was very affordable.
- 11:16Um
- 11:20And so,
- 11:21so at
- 11:222017 you became CEO. Yes.
- 11:24>> My question is this.
- 11:25What was Lilly
- 11:27like and what was its vision for
- 11:31uh the future of life sciences? And and
- 11:34then what is it like today and your
- 11:37vision for the future of life sciences
- 11:38in the context of Lilly?
- 11:40Yeah, well, so in 2017 we were
- 11:43almost 140 years old or just a year
- 11:45older than that. And a pretty
- 11:47well-established company.
- 11:49Uh we had been through a difficult
- 11:51period of time. Um In our industry, and
- 11:54we'll get get into this a little bit
- 11:55later, you know, we are plagued by, as
- 11:58many people in the room know, the cycles
- 12:00of innovation that are actually longer
- 12:02than the reward cycles Mhm. on average.
- 12:06So, you have this peak tro- you know,
- 12:08you're peaking and troughing and
- 12:10um in the troughs, of course, you either
- 12:13don't survive, you end up as a back end
- 12:15of a hyphen on another company.
- 12:17Um
- 12:18or you learn how to survive.
- 12:21And you do difficult things. Mhm. And I
- 12:24think it's true that Lilly is the only
- 12:28uh major pharma company that has not
- 12:29merged or combined ourselves to get
- 12:32through such a period. So, and we've
- 12:35been through a few of them. So, I think
- 12:36we've developed a bit of a DNA for
- 12:39scraping by in these tough times. And
- 12:42one of the things that really stuck with
- 12:44me, I was a leader on the executive
- 12:45committee at the time we went through
- 12:47our last cycle, which was 2010, '11,
- 12:48'12,
- 12:50was, you know, how you have to be so
- 12:52relentless
- 12:53on invention
- 12:55because that time cycle is brutal. When
- 12:58you have a patent cliff and you have
- 13:00nothing to replace it, you have to
- 13:02rescale your whole company. And imagine
- 13:04doing this every 10 or 15 years, it's
- 13:07impossible to get momentum. People
- 13:09leave, you're lose inherent knowledge,
- 13:11et cetera. So,
- 13:12we set about to do that. And I think
- 13:15that problem can be attacked two ways.
- 13:16One, you can say, "Okay, we'll just have
- 13:18better ideas." But, as you may know,
- 13:20that's difficult to sustain. Uh even if
- 13:23you have a good idea, Everyone thinks
- 13:25>> you're smart. They think about that
- 13:27about Lilly now, but um it's hard to
- 13:29sustain. So, we try it We, of course,
- 13:32worked on that um
- 13:33more invention, but the more important
- 13:36thing we did was speed up invention.
- 13:37Mhm. So, we systematically took apart
- 13:40the R&D process,
- 13:42literally like every step, and there's
- 13:43hundreds of steps from candidate
- 13:45selection to first approval,
- 13:48and we squished the time. Mhm. And so,
- 13:50still today probably Lilly is about 40%
- 13:53faster
- 13:55than the next scaled pharma company on
- 13:57average across all therapeutic areas.
- 13:59And so, we can invent things inside the
- 14:02patent cycle. Yeah. Then you can start
- 14:04to grow. Yeah. So, I think um that was a
- 14:07notion in 2017, which we've actualized.
- 14:10Along the way then, of course, we did a
- 14:12lot of things to drive more invention.
- 14:15We were lucky enough to be early on an
- 14:18idea called GLP-1 in 2006. We launched
- 14:20the first one in the world. Never heard
- 14:22of it. We fit Yeah.
- 14:23We fit We fit fiddled around with it Is
- 14:25it doing well? If it weren't for you, it
- 14:27would be the most important idea in the
- 14:29stock market. Yeah.
- 14:31>> [laughter]
- 14:34>> Never heard of it. Pretty good idea for
- 14:35mankind, and we fiddled around with it
- 14:37for like 12 years. And to their credit,
- 14:40our Sounds like a chip. GLP-1. Yeah, it
- 14:43does. Yeah.
- 14:43>> GLP-1. Is there Is there a two coming?
- 14:46Uh
- 14:47>> [laughter]
- 14:47>> there's a there's a three coming. And
- 14:50so, there is a GLP-2. That's actually a
- 14:52real uh Is it really? Okay.
- 14:54>> protein. It sort of does the opposite.
- 14:56Uh but,
- 14:58>> [laughter]
- 14:59>> Don't But, All right, don't want that.
- 15:01what we've done is combined uh two
- 15:04hormones
- 15:04>> Very small market. I got to tell you.
- 15:06Yeah, that's right. That's right.
- 15:08Extremely small market. Um I I don't
- 15:10know health care, but I'm guessing
- 15:11>> of on GLP-2 now cuz there's appetites
- 15:13two proteins fused together, and that's
- 15:15a technology we've developed, too. And
- 15:17there's a there's a a triple-acting one
- 15:19coming next year, '27. So, that'll be a
- 15:22pretty interesting. But anyway, we
- 15:24caught that wave. Our competitor
- 15:26innovated in obesity. We chased and
- 15:28executed, I think, quite well to become
- 15:31the market leader last year. So, we not
- 15:33only now have an engine that's faster,
- 15:35we have a tremendous success cycle with
- 15:37this one idea. The challenge before us
- 15:39now is like, how do we find another
- 15:42success cycle before that one runs out?
- 15:44Uh hopefully a lot sooner than it runs
- 15:46out. And
- 15:47you know, sort of get exit velocity,
- 15:49which really no major company in our
- 15:51industry has had. There's a They've just
- 15:53had these cycles. So, Yeah, you know,
- 15:54you You said something You said
- 15:56something earlier. And and
- 15:58uh I I I I have several of my employees
- 16:00here, and they they hear me say this all
- 16:02the time.
- 16:03You know, the fundamental purpose of the
- 16:05CEO is to create the conditions by which
- 16:08you know, not our job isn't to create
- 16:10ideas. Our job is to create the
- 16:11conditions by which great ideas can
- 16:14systematically,
- 16:15you know, arise.
- 16:17And and uh
- 16:19what what you just described is
- 16:20essentially, you know, Lilly with wisdom
- 16:22that that um you have to create the
- 16:24conditions by which these great
- 16:26inventions can happen. One of One of the
- 16:28you know, we we've spoken before about
- 16:30the early days of Nvidia getting into
- 16:32AI. And
- 16:33and I I would say I would say that that
- 16:36without exception,
- 16:37um probably the single uh most important
- 16:41thing that we did
- 16:43was investing in
- 16:45the infrastructure,
- 16:47the creating the conditions by which
- 16:49amazing AI researchers can come to our
- 16:51company
- 16:52and uh great great uh inventions could
- 16:56arise. Right. You know, today
- 16:59we're we're we're quite silent about
- 17:00this. Um but, people are in in-
- 17:03increasingly discovering that that um
- 17:05over the over the course of last 10
- 17:07years,
- 17:08one of the best decisions that I made in
- 17:09the beginning was was uh and at the time
- 17:12we could we couldn't afford it, um but
- 17:14nonetheless, I built one of the largest
- 17:15supercomputers in the in the world for
- 17:17Nvidia to use. Mhm. And at the time, I
- 17:20had nobody to use it.
- 17:22But,
- 17:23because Nvidia had very few AI
- 17:25researchers at the time. But, the
- 17:27problem is
- 17:28if if you don't have AI researchers, and
- 17:31therefore you don't have the instrument,
- 17:32if you don't have the instrument, you'll
- 17:33never have the AI researchers because
- 17:35they need Scientists need the instrument
- 17:38you know, necessary for for their
- 17:39science. If you If you want to attract
- 17:42the world's greatest uh particle
- 17:44physicists, if you don't have a uh a a
- 17:47particle a proton, you know, a collider,
- 17:50a large hadron collider, you're you're
- 17:52going to have a very hard time doing
- 17:53that work. And so, I came to the con-
- 17:56conclusion that the right answer is to
- 17:59to create the conditions for great uh AI
- 18:02work to be done. And I built that
- 18:03supercomputer. And we attracted some
- 18:05amazing people. And today, we do
- 18:07frontier work in physical AI and
- 18:09biological AI and robotics AI. And um uh
- 18:12the work that we do in self-driving cars
- 18:14is revolutionary. And And so, so which
- 18:17led led led our conversation Yep. to uh
- 18:23that that AI is is starting to to make
- 18:26enough progress that we might be able to
- 18:28apply it to tackle some of the most
- 18:31extraordinary challenges of humanity,
- 18:33which is biology. Yes.
- 18:35And And the two of us thought it'd be
- 18:37amazing if we have the the largest
- 18:40computer company in the world and
- 18:43computer science company in the world
- 18:44partner with the world's largest life
- 18:46science company.
- 18:47And it's as if if we created this uh
- 18:51lab where we are essentially one company
- 18:55combining all of the best amazing things
- 18:57together, which led us to our
- 18:59announcement today. Yeah. And so, So
- 19:01exciting. Yeah. Today we announced Yeah.
- 19:04>> [applause]
- 19:06>> Yeah.
- 19:07And so, and as you know, so there's like
- 19:09four parts to this. We we bought a bunch
- 19:12of chips, and we're building, I think
- 19:13it'll be finished this week, actually,
- 19:15the largest dedicated on-prem
- 19:18uh biology supercomputer in the world.
- 19:20Um that'll be in Indianapolis, Mhm.
- 19:22which is the world's center for
- 19:25biological discovery, by the way.
- 19:27You know, I was going to say I was going
- 19:29to say earlier [laughter] because of the
- 19:31selection of the headquarters of Lilly,
- 19:33it is exactly the reason why it has
- 19:35never merged with anyone. It maybe so.
- 19:37That could be true. That could be true.
- 19:40There's a lot of artifacts
- 19:41with that.
- 19:43I don't Yeah. You know, I think
- 19:46seriously, there's something to like if
- 19:48you manage to make it all the way to
- 19:50>> Everybody knows what I mean. Yeah.
- 19:52If you manage to make it all the way up
- 19:54that list
- 19:55and you're a discovery chemist or
- 19:57biologist, you really aren't going to
- 19:59leave, right? I mean, you made it all
- 20:00that way. Yeah, you're going to stay.
- 20:02So, we have great retention. Um anyway,
- 20:05we're building the this huge So, we have
- 20:06massive compute. Dave's invited me to
- 20:09visit him many times.
- 20:10>> Yeah, he's never
- 20:11>> And I'm Well, Actually, you did come in
- 20:122018. I don't know if you remember that.
- 20:14>> Yes, I did.
- 20:15>> Yeah.
- 20:15Actually, that just a sidebar, like that
- 20:18was the first time we met and that you
- 20:20gave a talk to our management team room
- 20:22about this size about AI in 2018. Yeah.
- 20:25And uh I guess I was lucky enough to
- 20:28100% of the audience I could see that I
- 20:30could see it in their eyes, nonsense.
- 20:32Yeah.
- 20:33Honestly, it blew my mind. It What you
- 20:35said blew my mind to the point where I
- 20:37spent several months like reading about
- 20:39some of these things which sounded like
- 20:41science fiction.
- 20:42>> Yeah. And now it's fact. Yeah. It's
- 20:44incredible what you've built and um it's
- 20:46great to partner with Nvidia on this.
- 20:48So, supercompute, we're going to put
- 20:50together a research team here in the Bay
- 20:52Area. So, if there's any smart um
- 20:55uh scientists or computer scientists who
- 20:56want to work at the center, it'll be a
- 20:58joint Lilly Nvidia
- 21:00lab AI lab. We're going to develop new
- 21:02data cuz anybody who knows about this
- 21:05problem we have is you can train models,
- 21:08but if the data is an inch thin you
- 21:10don't get very far. That's right. And
- 21:12biology is largely unknown. So, we need
- 21:14to create massive experimentation for
- 21:16the purpose of training machines and
- 21:19then we need to build on the work that
- 21:20Nvidia's done uh with the models you've
- 21:22created to ladder up to even more
- 21:24sophisticated predictions. So, um super
- 21:27exciting announcement.
- 21:28>> so, you know, one of the the important
- 21:30things to understand about AI is it
- 21:32it's easy to think about it as a
- 21:33multi-layer cake. I mean, at the lowest
- 21:35level you need some energy
- 21:37uh for these computers. And then, of
- 21:39course, you have the chips in the
- 21:41computers.
- 21:42You have the infrastructure layer. That
- 21:44infrastructure layer is is about, you
- 21:46know, how do you how do you cause this
- 21:49computer? It's kind of like the
- 21:50operating system of AI. How do you cause
- 21:52this computer to learn, process the
- 21:54data, learn? How do you guardrail it?
- 21:57How do you fine-tune it? How do you
- 21:58teach it? And so, that layer is is kind
- 22:01of like a the HR department of AI, you
- 22:04know? It's like it's like, you know,
- 22:06Only they're they tell better jokes.
- 22:08Exactly. [laughter]
- 22:10And so, that
- 22:11that's it. Yeah. And and so, they
- 22:14That that's the infrastructure layer and
- 22:15then the layer above that is the models.
- 22:17Yeah. And the layer above that, the
- 22:19domain the domain uh specific data and
- 22:23flywheel. And one of the areas that
- 22:25that's really exciting
- 22:27is it is a
- 22:30uh the idea that we would we would be
- 22:32able to uh train models
- 22:34uh synthesize proteins or chemicals go
- 22:37put it into an a robotics lab, collect
- 22:40more data, take that data back into our
- 22:42model and this this flywheel this
- 22:45flywheel
- 22:46of uh of um
- 22:48uh
- 22:49of data generation or pro- or model
- 22:52uh protein generation uh using AI, uh
- 22:55collecting ground truth, experimentation
- 22:58and then putting that scientific
- 23:00flywheel
- 23:02on steroids.
- 23:03Um that that future is just incredibly
- 23:06exciting. And so, so we're we're uh
- 23:08we're systematically uh bringing
- 23:10together some of the brightest minds in
- 23:13in the field in the domain expertise of
- 23:15drug discovery
- 23:17and some of the brightest minds in
- 23:18computer science.
- 23:20And uh together, you know, between the
- 23:22two of us in our co-innovation lab,
- 23:24we'll have essentially every layer of
- 23:26that cake. Yeah. And put together uh you
- 23:29know, hopefully hopefully a blueprint
- 23:32for uh what is possible in the future of
- 23:34drug drug discovery. I was going to tell
- 23:36you this I was going to tell you earlier
- 23:37I was going to tell you the story. 40
- 23:38years ago
- 23:40So, um uh
- 23:42I I guess 43 years ago
- 23:44I I was the first generation of
- 23:47engineers where the concept of
- 23:50computer-aided design Mhm. was invented.
- 23:54Before before my generation
- 23:57uh
- 23:58my manager
- 23:59uh
- 24:01would
- 24:02that generation of engineers, they would
- 24:05they would design a chip
- 24:06and
- 24:07and uh it would be a hit.
- 24:10But, they would go several years without
- 24:12another hit. Mhm.
- 24:14And they would design another chip and
- 24:15then it would be a hit. And they would
- 24:17go several years without a hit.
- 24:18>> works now. Exactly. Yeah.
- 24:20Exactly. And and our generation came
- 24:23along
- 24:24and we were able to represent the
- 24:27transistor, the logical gates, the
- 24:29functionality. Mhm. We learned the
- 24:31representation and described it in
- 24:33software. Yeah. We did 43 years ago
- 24:37um finally a computer could could
- 24:39represent your domain and accurately
- 24:42simulate its its behavior.
- 24:43>> That's right. To do as much in situ in
- 24:46silicon as possible. To do as much as in
- 24:49silico as possible. And so, today we
- 24:52design
- 24:53massive chips. 15,000 people come
- 24:55together to design a computer system and
- 24:57we just we just taped out Vera Rubin.
- 25:00Billions of dollars of R&D goes into it.
- 25:02Uh the computer when it's done is 3
- 25:04tons, you know, million and a half parts
- 25:07and and uh uh six brand new chips, 220
- 25:11trillion transistors. I mean, it's
- 25:13gigantic systems.
- 25:1615,000 people coming together and that
- 25:18computer is going to work first time.
- 25:20It does exactly what we expected. And
- 25:23every single generation we build upon
- 25:25the last generation. Every single
- 25:26generation build upon the last
- 25:27generation. I think your time
- 25:30has come for that. Yeah. Finally, the
- 25:32computer, you know,
- 25:35a million times a million times a
- 25:37quadrillion times of computing power
- 25:39later I think finally we might be able
- 25:42to represent one of the hardest problems
- 25:43in the world, which is the human
- 25:44biology. And I'm really hoping that your
- 25:47industry moves from drug discovery,
- 25:50which is kind of like wandering around
- 25:52the forest looking for truffles
- 25:55Which literally sidebar we used to have
- 25:58a department of soil discovery.
- 26:01>> [laughter]
- 26:01>> Seriously, where we would send people
- 26:03into tropical forests and scoop up soils
- 26:05and bring them back to Indianapolis.
- 26:07Uh-huh. And refine out what became
- 26:09antibiotics. In fact, the most important
- 26:11antibiotic in the world still is
- 26:12vancomycin. It's a last resort
- 26:14antibiotic in the hospital. We couldn't
- 26:16run hospitals without it. Was discovered
- 26:18in Borneo in a soil sample by Lilly.
- 26:20Now, how did they know to go there? They
- 26:22would they would just go to exact
- 26:23because fungus produce
- 26:25uh as
- 26:26tools to fight bacteria and so, they'd
- 26:28dig in the soil and discover these
- 26:30naturally occurring defense mechanisms,
- 26:33refine them into drugs. Huh. But, that
- 26:35is true drug discovery when you think
- 26:37about it, right? That's that's like you
- 26:40could get malaria doing that job.
- 26:42>> [laughter]
- 26:43>> That was that's and that was in the
- 26:45'50s. That was, you know,
- 26:4770 years ago.
- 26:47>> Well, see, now your job gets to be just
- 26:49like my job. You never have to leave
- 26:50your office.
- 26:51>> There we go. Yeah, we do it all in
- 26:52silico. Yeah. Yeah, so I I think that
- 26:54that that's what really excites me, the
- 26:56concept that we could have
- 26:57computer-aided drug design. Yeah. And
- 27:00that that this is going to be of course
- 27:03the the science behind it is going to be
- 27:04incredible. It's incredibly complex.
- 27:07The human biology is incredibly complex.
- 27:09It's going to be still a decade yet, but
- 27:12I I I really think that this
- 27:13announcement between us you know, could
- 27:15be a blueprint
- 27:16>> start of something.
- 27:17>> of something. I hope you're right. I
- 27:19mean, we need it, right? I think if we
- 27:20think of all the unmet needs left at a
- 27:22conference at JP Morgan, you're reminded
- 27:24of like the incredible pipeline of the
- 27:26industry but most of that is sort of
- 27:28like
- 27:29chipped out of stone, you know, it's
- 27:31like hard work. And and especially um
- 27:34occasionally we we get we we can harness
- 27:36systems like when monoclonal antibodies
- 27:39came around, we we basically hijacked
- 27:41like biology's way of making solutions
- 27:44to infections and other things. But,
- 27:46mostly what we do is like really
- 27:48empirical and like chipping away and
- 27:50very difficult. Each small molecule
- 27:53discovery is like a work of art. Mhm.
- 27:55There's only one of them and
- 27:57you know, one brushstroke and it's
- 27:58wrong. Um if we can make that an
- 28:01engineering problem
- 28:03versus a you know, the sort of discovery
- 28:05and artisanal drug making problem uh
- 28:08think of the impact on human life.
- 28:11The first the first chips that that I
- 28:13worked on, my my first generation of
- 28:15computers were quite empirical. There's
- 28:17some rules that we used and we apply
- 28:20some intuition. We have no ex- we have
- 28:23no clue how it's going to perform. We
- 28:25know that it's it's going to perform
- 28:26better than the last one we built
- 28:28because we you know, we made mistakes
- 28:29and and so, we could we could at least
- 28:32correct those mistakes and we'll have
- 28:33more transistors and we'll more
- 28:34everything. So, it's going to do better.
- 28:36Yeah. However, the functionality of it
- 28:39unknown, it's full functionality
- 28:41unknown, its performance completely
- 28:43estimated. Today we know the
- 28:45functionality of the systems we created
- 28:47down to every single bit, the
- 28:48performance we could measure, we
- 28:50simulate everything. Yeah. And so, we
- 28:52know exactly what we're going to
- 28:53produce. I I really believe that that
- 28:55that could revolutionize the future
- 28:57>> It would if we can make that come true
- 28:59even for a part of human biology. Yeah,
- 29:01that's right.
- 29:02And so, tell me
- 29:04um
- 29:05GLP-1
- 29:08I
- 29:09you were saying that it's really in its
- 29:10third phase. Yeah, already. Yeah. And
- 29:13and where does it go from here? What
- 29:15happens? What other things can you use
- 29:16it for? How could it change everything?
- 29:19Yeah. Well, I think as it turns out, you
- 29:21know, obesity is like a key lynchpin
- 29:24driver of chronic disease in in adults.
- 29:27And um
- 29:29like a lot of things in evolution
- 29:32um most the elements of today are
- 29:34weren't weren't concerns in our
- 29:36evolutionary past, but we evolve much
- 29:39slower than our environment is and so,
- 29:41we're maladapted to the
- 29:43to the modern world and obesity is one
- 29:46of those things. We grew up in a world
- 29:47of scarcity. Sounds like you grew up in
- 29:50a world of scarcity, but most people
- 29:51here didn't. Uh, ourselves, our
- 29:53ancestors did. And so, um, that's behind
- 29:56me.
- 29:56>> There was no
- 29:59>> [laughter]
- 30:00>> I just I don't want I don't want you
- 30:02guys to get the wrong impression.
- 30:04There was no need for an off switch on
- 30:06hunger.
- 30:07>> The word is abundance now. Abundance,
- 30:09yes.
- 30:09>> Yes, yes, yes. And we live in a world of
- 30:11caloric
- 30:11>> Abundance of intelligence, abundance of
- 30:13productivity, abundance of those kind of
- 30:15things. I don't know what you were
- 30:16thinking about, but my life is
- 30:18surrounded by abundance. But
- 30:20unfortunately, we're all in caloric
- 30:21abundance now. And there was no need for
- 30:24us to wire in an off switch
- 30:26evolutionarily. So, um,
- 30:28that's why we have obesity, and that
- 30:30leads to many, many chronic diseases
- 30:33that ail people and probably shorten
- 30:35life. Um, so, um, I think by having a
- 30:39pretty effective set of tools, going to
- 30:41get more effective, and I'll get back to
- 30:42that in a second. Um, to really help
- 30:44people manage that, to create an off
- 30:46switch synthetically in a way. Yeah. Um,
- 30:48we can down regulate a lot of diseases,
- 30:51over 200 chronic diseases. No kidding.
- 30:53So, the the two big evolutions that are
- 30:55going to happen in the next 24 months
- 30:58are a real progress on more choices. So,
- 31:01GLP-1 is one peptide, but it's in a
- 31:04family. And by combining two in in
- 31:07tirzepatide, GIP plus GLP, we see we can
- 31:09get better performance and better
- 31:11tolerability. I think you can expect
- 31:13more of that kind of thing in the
- 31:14future. So, within this super family of
- 31:16proteins, we can harness their combined
- 31:19strengths to really have much more
- 31:21tolerable drugs that are even more
- 31:22effective. Mhm. Um,
- 31:24effective in the maintenance phase,
- 31:26effective in inducing weight loss,
- 31:27different, uh, patient characteristics.
- 31:30That's coming, and I as I said, our
- 31:31triple
- 31:31>> reducing weight loss has so many So many
- 31:34downstream
- 31:35>> And that's the second thing, which is
- 31:36use cases. So, we know you lose weight
- 31:39if you take our Zepbound today, you'll
- 31:41lose 23% of your body weight on average.
- 31:43But what we're starting to uncover is a
- 31:45series of obvious things, like reduced
- 31:48heart attack and other metabolic systems
- 31:50that improve. Diabetes, prediabetes,
- 31:53um, conversion to diabetes drops by 93%.
- 31:56Imagine if we treated the country where
- 31:59we have 70 million people with
- 32:00prediabetes with Zepbound, we would we
- 32:03literally would have 93% less diabetes
- 32:05in our country. That that's a profound
- 32:07finding, and hopefully with the
- 32:09government access deal we signed with
- 32:10the Trump administration, we'll be able
- 32:11to do something like that.
- 32:13But there's many, uh, now non-obvious, I
- 32:16think, use cases, or less obvious.
- 32:17Inflammation being a primary one. So,
- 32:20um, being obese causes excess
- 32:23inflammation, not acutely, like in
- 32:26response to an event, but chronically,
- 32:27and that's not good for you. Um, it's
- 32:29not good for
- 32:31your, uh, cardiovascular system. It's
- 32:33not good for your joints. And so,
- 32:34spontaneously in our trials, early on,
- 32:37people would report, "Gosh, I've lost
- 32:39weight, but actually, like I can
- 32:41I can stand up from a sitting position
- 32:44for the first time in 10 years.
- 32:46My knees don't ache as much. My back
- 32:48feels better."
- 32:49Or some people with, uh, Crohn's and
- 32:51colitis reported kind of resolution of
- 32:55their symptoms. So, why is this
- 32:56happening? It's because we're sort of
- 32:57taking down that chronic inflammation at
- 32:59a system level. So, we're doing a bunch
- 33:02of studies, the first one read out last
- 33:03month, on top of, uh, medicine for
- 33:06psoriatic arthritis, a kind of
- 33:08arthritis, and it boosted the effect of
- 33:10that medicine by about 50% to co- uh,
- 33:13prescribe Zepbound with it. So, we're
- 33:15going to take that on medically, because
- 33:16that's how the medical system adopts
- 33:18innovations. They need the use cases.
- 33:20Maybe similar to adopting AI technology,
- 33:22you need to prove the value in a partic-
- 33:25a particular setting.
- 33:27And then, we're also starting a number
- 33:29of brain health studies right now, and
- 33:30we've have a uh, special purposed uh,
- 33:33GLP-1 GIP for brain conditions,
- 33:36particularly addiction,
- 33:37which, you know, is really a major
- 33:39modern problem.
- 33:41And, uh, it turns out that for similar
- 33:44reasons that these these medicines down
- 33:47regulate your appetite,
- 33:50which is
- 33:51it turns out not really driven by our
- 33:53need for more calories, but driven by
- 33:54other self-learned behavior loops.
- 33:58Sounds like AI more and more, doesn't
- 34:00it? Um,
- 34:01that, uh, it can do the same thing or a
- 34:03similar thing for other
- 34:06harmful self-learned behavior loops,
- 34:08like
- 34:10gambling, like alcohol consumption,
- 34:13smoking cessation. So, we're exploring
- 34:15all of these as well, which are, you
- 34:17know, including all we're going to take
- 34:18on.
- 34:18>> doesn't I hope it doesn't affect working
- 34:20too hard.
- 34:21>> No. Okay.
- 34:22>> It's only the adverse ones we're trying
- 34:24to edit out, yeah. It's only the adverse
- 34:26ones. Um, but it's a common pattern with
- 34:29over food consumption, actually. There's
- 34:31a parallel for that.
- 34:31>> That's just a comment for all the
- 34:32startup CEOs. You got a lot of startup
- 34:34CEOs in the in the room here. Be
- 34:36careful. If you find your your your
- 34:38willpower starting to diminish,
- 34:41stop microdosing. Yeah, stop
- 34:42>> [laughter]
- 34:43>> microdosing.
- 34:45Yeah. So, um, anyway, that's very
- 34:47exciting.
- 34:47>> interesting. Yeah. And then, you know, I
- 34:49think on the horizon, uh, people are
- 34:51working on much longer acting, so you
- 34:53can take these less frequently. Of
- 34:55course, we'll launch our oral GLP-1 this
- 34:57spring, which I think is a major
- 34:59breakthrough, not just for convenience,
- 35:01but actually global reach. Um, it looks
- 35:04simple, our medicine in a auto-injector,
- 35:07you know, but it's actually the most one
- 35:08of the most complicated drugs marketed
- 35:10in the world, uh, from manufacturing
- 35:12perspective. And we have to do it times
- 35:14hundreds of millions based on the
- 35:16current demand.
- 35:17We just launched in China and India and
- 35:20in Southeast Asia. There's a lot of
- 35:22obesity there. We cannot possibly meet
- 35:24all that demand with just injectable
- 35:25systems. So, we need to get
- 35:27>> Southeast Asia
- 35:28really serious diabetes. Huge problem.
- 35:30Yeah. Yeah. And Southeast Asians sort of
- 35:33lost the genetic lottery of obesity
- 35:35because they're much at lower body
- 35:38weights,
- 35:39small gains in obe- small increases in
- 35:42the amount of obesity trigger more
- 35:43diseases.
- 35:45So, um, they're
- 35:47they need to to use, uh, something to
- 35:49mitigate obesity. Hopefully dietetics,
- 35:51if not, they can use our medication. But
- 35:53we have to make enough, and having an
- 35:54oral form that's a chemistry, it's not
- 35:57relying on protein synthesis and then
- 35:59putting it in these sterile injectable
- 36:01systems, just an oral pill, we can scale
- 36:03that massively. Man. Um, so, that will
- 36:06launch this year as well. So, huge, uh,
- 36:08This one idea, you're going to ride this
- 36:10for another 50 years.
- 36:11>> Right, right. We're hoping to. We're
- 36:13learning from you.
- 36:14>> My gosh.
- 36:15>> [laughter]
- 36:16>> Hang on a second.
- 36:18I'm convinced I'm convinced
- 36:20GLP-1, it's the second best technology.
- 36:23That's right, [laughter] exactly, yeah.
- 36:25Ours is not universal
- 36:27>> Blackwell, Blackwell's number one. GLP-2
- 36:29GLP-1 number Ours is not universal to
- 36:32the entire economy, just to the human
- 36:34economy.
- 36:34>> [laughter]
- 36:36>> That's incredible.
- 36:37>> Very exciting. And you know, what So,
- 36:39you know, one challenge we have is like,
- 36:41can we keep inventing things that are
- 36:42better and better enough that people
- 36:44will pay for them to improve beyond the
- 36:46patent cycle. But has there ever been a
- 36:49a drug has there ever been a life
- 36:51sciences technology that has benefited
- 36:54so broadly humanity? The The ones
- 36:58>> The only other I I'd say it's a class of
- 37:00drugs, and the only class that did
- 37:02something like this, I alluded to
- 37:04earlier, which is antibiotics. The
- 37:05discovery of penicillin invented modern
- 37:07medicine. If we subtracted antibiotics
- 37:09from our lives, we couldn't have modern
- 37:11dentistry. Yeah, right.
- 37:13>> We couldn't have surgeries. We couldn't
- 37:15do a lot. So, now we take that all for
- 37:17granted.
- 37:18But in, you know, when Fleming just, you
- 37:21know, self-dosed this weird mold he grew
- 37:23in his lab, that was the start of like a
- 37:25major wave, and that lasted into the
- 37:27'90s. So, that was a 60-year
- 37:30cycle with 100 plus new medicines.
- 37:34I think this could be like that. Yeah.
- 37:36Um, which would be profound, but this is
- 37:38not for an acute infection, it's for
- 37:39chronic disease of the modern homo
- 37:42sapien. That's That's what we're
- 37:44affecting.
- 37:44>> did you ever realize that you were going
- 37:46to have such an easy job?
- 37:48You know,
- 37:50my wife asked me that a few times, like,
- 37:52I mean, just Why aren't you working on
- 37:54>> one incredible discovery, one incredible
- 37:56I mean, you were just running around the
- 37:58forest and you discovered this
- 38:00this thing called GLP-1. Yeah. That's
- 38:02one of Imagine, you're digging up stuff
- 38:04and you found this incredible truffle,
- 38:06and it's so it's solid for 60 years.
- 38:08Yeah.
- 38:09Actually, you know, so the What's the
- 38:10history of this? So, um,
- 38:12>> It goes to the '70s, and, um, a German
- 38:15scientist discovered this thing called
- 38:16the incretin effect, and we call these
- 38:18GLP-1s part of this incretin family.
- 38:20These are hormones excreted by our gut,
- 38:23which signal the rest of the body that
- 38:24you're fed.
- 38:26And, um, we overboost those, and that's
- 38:28what is happening. But he observed that
- 38:30if you
- 38:31give sugar
- 38:33orally
- 38:35versus intravenously,
- 38:37you get a very different insulin
- 38:39response. Insulin's like the opposite,
- 38:40it stimulates absorption of sugar. It
- 38:43was slower, um, if you give it orally.
- 38:46And so, that's what's called the
- 38:48incretin effect, which was the first
- 38:50insight that somehow your body's doing
- 38:53something different
- 38:54when the gut is involved than when it's
- 38:57not.
- 38:58And that then led in the '80s to the
- 39:00discovery of actually GIP first, then
- 39:02GLP. Those are the two parts of
- 39:04Zepbound. And later, a whole 'nother set
- 39:06of, um,
- 39:08hormones, but, uh, one of the things I
- 39:10hope we can crack with our supercomputer
- 39:12and our team
- 39:13is here we had targets,
- 39:16but really difficult to drug. The
- 39:19half-life of the native human form of
- 39:20GLP is like 7 minutes.
- 39:23So, to give that as a medicine, the
- 39:25native peptide sequence, which was
- 39:27identified in the '90s, you'd have to
- 39:29like infu- walk around in with an
- 39:30infusion all day and all night. So, that
- 39:33doesn't make for a product. Um, it
- 39:35wasn't until we figured out how to
- 39:36extend that life, first to twice a day,
- 39:39and then to once a week, and now people
- 39:41are working on monthly and even beyond
- 39:43that we could make that a effective
- 39:46product. So,
- 39:47one
- 39:48thing in AI drug discovery that is
- 39:50really working is this ability to
- 39:52uh create massive combination
- 39:55possibilities and then test those in
- 39:56silico and and filter out good ideas.
- 39:59We're doing that at scale now. We can do
- 40:00that at an even bigger scale with our
- 40:02collaboration.
- 40:03The other side is discovering so that's
- 40:05the key discovering the lock.
- 40:07Can we find more biology targets
- 40:10using uh AI? And that is the really the
- 40:13holy grail cuz if we put those two
- 40:15things together then we can model the
- 40:17whole system at once. Could be could be
- 40:19super exciting.
- 40:20>> Yeah, one of the things that that that
- 40:23that Dave really wanted to do was to put
- 40:25the AI lab the co-innovation lab here
- 40:28Yeah. in Silicon Valley and even close
- 40:30right here in AI City, you know, San
- 40:32Francisco is really epicenter of a lot
- 40:34of AI researchers and we have an office
- 40:36here and and so this is going to be
- 40:38either either in South San San San
- 40:40Francisco Which is really the biotech
- 40:42hub of the Bay Area or we could do it up
- 40:44here. We We want to go where people want
- 40:46to live. Yeah. Yeah.
- 40:48Yeah.
- 40:48Well,
- 40:50San Francisco's pretty cool. It's cool.
- 40:52Yeah. Yeah, yeah. It's cool.
- 40:53Indianapolis is cool as well. Yeah.
- 40:56Yeah. Yeah, I've heard from from from
- 40:59from just one person.
- 41:01From
- 41:02one other person. We're very adaptive,
- 41:04you know, we we used to be good at
- 41:05basketball but now we're good at
- 41:06football. Uh-huh. And so
- 41:09the uh
- 41:11uh
- 41:12so we used to be good at
- 41:14chemistry but now we can be good at AI.
- 41:15Or you're just good at something. Yeah,
- 41:17we're good at something. Not sure.
- 41:18Better than the alternative.
- 41:19>> Yeah, yeah, it's it's incredible. And so
- 41:22so um
- 41:24I
- 41:27GLP-1 beyond
- 41:30you know, one of the things that that uh
- 41:32a fair amount of Silicon Valley's
- 41:34talking about
- 41:36longevity and Right. Aging. Yeah.
- 41:40And and the absence of Yeah. Yeah.
- 41:42Subtracting aging. Subtracting aging,
- 41:43yeah.
- 41:44>> Yeah. And and so so tell me is there
- 41:46what is the technology behind that? Is
- 41:49it
- 41:50Yeah. Well, I mean it's an interesting
- 41:52topic. Obviously it's it's attractive to
- 41:54a lot of people because who wants to get
- 41:57old?
- 41:58Um
- 41:59the Sometimes I just want it to be over.
- 42:01There are a number of yeah. Yeah. Yeah,
- 42:04I get that too. Yeah. [laughter]
- 42:06Um the
- 42:10there's a lot of biology on what why
- 42:11individual cells expire and you can
- 42:15extrapolate that to cell systems and
- 42:17then organs and then potentially the
- 42:18whole organism.
- 42:20But as we were talking off stage, that
- 42:23is not really a problem we work on that
- 42:26way. Mhm. So that idea is essentially
- 42:28can we extend the maximum shelf life of
- 42:32a human
- 42:33to something beyond what that is under
- 42:36perfect conditions. So let's just say
- 42:37under perfect conditions we're meant we
- 42:39can live up to 100 years.
- 42:41And then for maybe good reasons
- 42:44the system shut down, right? I think
- 42:46there it would be a weird world if
- 42:48people live forever, you know, it would
- 42:50why would we reproduce? How do we
- 42:52evolve? Like the there's a lot of
- 42:54problems with that kind of
- 42:56even philosophically.
- 42:58>> nature fix that original design? Yeah.
- 43:00Even philosophically though like then
- 43:02yeah. It yeah.
- 43:05We would have a a very weird world I
- 43:07think. But I understand why people
- 43:09pursue it. We're more focused on a more
- 43:11practical problem which is if the if the
- 43:13maximum shelf life is 100 years, how do
- 43:15we get more people a better shot to get
- 43:17that full life? Mhm. And the way we do
- 43:20that is by knocking out disease. So the
- 43:22reason people perished, if you look at
- 43:24life expectancy in our country in 1900
- 43:26it was like 46 years old for a male.
- 43:29And the biggest factor there was child
- 43:31death.
- 43:32So you lost life because you died when
- 43:34you were young at a pretty high rate
- 43:36from infection mostly and by having
- 43:38antibiotics and vaccination and other
- 43:41tools to manage childhood disease that
- 43:43quickly shot up.
- 43:45From 1960 till now
- 43:47we've added about 10 years of life
- 43:49expectancy mostly through chronic
- 43:51disease extension. Cancer care has
- 43:53improved dramatically. Most companies in
- 43:56this room have had a big role in
- 43:58those chronic disease management. HIV
- 44:01AIDS and other new pathogens have been
- 44:02conquered and that's you know, now we're
- 44:04we're up to almost 80 years in our
- 44:06country.
- 44:07Actually the the the number would be
- 44:08more like 84 if it weren't for opioids
- 44:10and traffic deaths
- 44:12which is exceptionally high in the
- 44:14United States both of those. So
- 44:16self-driving cars can help with one of
- 44:17those.
- 44:18Maybe GLP-1s will help with the other
- 44:20because we're studying opioid addiction
- 44:21actually
- 44:22as a as a solution there. But we chip
- 44:25away at it this way. And of course as
- 44:28people live longer the incidence of new
- 44:30maladies of aging rise.
- 44:33So the next frontier for us beyond GLP
- 44:35that I'm really
- 44:37excited about and interested in is is
- 44:40dementia and diseases of the aging
- 44:42brain. Mhm. Because as we as our the
- 44:45rest of our bodies
- 44:46are able to carry us into the 80s and
- 44:4890s this is something we haven't really
- 44:51figured out
- 44:52how to address and for quality of life
- 44:54but also quantity of life. Um that's
- 44:57that's going to be important frontier.
- 44:59We're spending a lot of effort in that
- 45:01area. We've got some exciting programs
- 45:03running now in studies but I think you
- 45:05know, through drug discovery that's um
- 45:07simulating brain tissue and how to look
- 45:10for new targets and the interaction
- 45:12between targets we don't understand.
- 45:14There's inflammation plus uh protein
- 45:16misfolding happening in the brain the
- 45:18aging brain. Perhaps we can discover
- 45:20something really exciting and new. And
- 45:22so if you take a step back and look at
- 45:24our
- 45:25now looking at our co-innovation lab the
- 45:27the first thing that we have to do is we
- 45:29have to set up the computing platform
- 45:31for the researchers to do work. And so
- 45:34we have we have the computers, we have
- 45:36we have the the infrastructure layer and
- 45:38we have BioNeMo and uh we have a whole
- 45:41bunch of of
- 45:42of models that model models and model
- 45:44architectures we've already invented and
- 45:47and we'll get our scientists together
- 45:48and they they can they can start
- 45:50collaborating in in that particular area
- 45:51just building the foundations. But but
- 45:54if you had a wish list for the
- 45:56researchers you know, I know that that
- 45:59and certainly it is the case with with
- 46:00me. I try to influence the research
- 46:03>> the direction of it.
- 46:04>> But I try not to be directive.
- 46:06>> Yeah.
- 46:06And and obviously the reason for that is
- 46:08because we don't know what we don't know
- 46:09and we don't know what can be discovered
- 46:12um and there are many things that are
- 46:13discovered that quite frankly we didn't
- 46:15even know was possible. Yeah. But once
- 46:17it's it's created uh you know, our our
- 46:20our innovation brain could kick kick in
- 46:23and and together try to figure out how
- 46:24to bring that to the market.
- 46:26Uh but but if you had a direction that
- 46:28you would like to set them on uh in in
- 46:30what direction would you would you hope
- 46:32that they do some research? Yeah, I
- 46:34think there's like two
- 46:36basic problems and I think within these
- 46:37we'd have to narrow the scope to make
- 46:39progress and feel achievement. Um the
- 46:41first one there's a lot of momentum um
- 46:43in our space already which is what I
- 46:44talked about the the the drug design uh
- 46:48engineer drug design which I mean you
- 46:50could argue a lot of drugs these days
- 46:52you fall into that category. You know
- 46:53the target cuz it's been around and well
- 46:54profiled and you're better customizing
- 46:57kind of the the key to the lock.
- 47:00Um but there are new modalities that
- 47:02have emerged you know, RNA
- 47:06uh gene therapies etc. They really
- 47:08haven't been optimized because they
- 47:09haven't been around as long. So I think
- 47:11that whole uh suite of problems around
- 47:14uh drug engineering drug optimization is
- 47:16pretty tractable and I think the NVIDIA
- 47:18scientists coupled with ours could make
- 47:20a lot of progress pretty quickly there.
- 47:23Um that solution by the way would be um
- 47:25highly amenable to our Tune Lab um kind
- 47:28of interface we've built Yeah. um for
- 47:30all of our biotech partners as well.
- 47:32Better drug making through uh in silico
- 47:35design engineered And and just so you
- 47:36guys know there's anybody who doesn't
- 47:38know about Tune Lab this this is this is
- 47:40a a platform
- 47:42where where uh Lilly and startups or
- 47:46third parties uh could work together to
- 47:50uh con both contributing data Yeah. uh
- 47:53to advance a particular space and it's
- 47:55built on top of a platform
- 47:58that is called federated learning. It's
- 48:00called MV Flare that we contributed to
- 48:03uh so that so that um
- 48:05developers and researchers
- 48:07uh don't have to aggregate all of your
- 48:09data commingle your your data but you
- 48:10could still train a train a model
- 48:12together so that you can benefit
- 48:14together. The the thing that's really
- 48:16since our announcement all day long the
- 48:19number of startups have been really
- 48:21excited about Tune Labs and and
- 48:23co-innovation and how they could be
- 48:24involved are just coming out of the
- 48:26woodwork and
- 48:27and so I think the the the vision you
- 48:29have for Tune Labs and the work that you
- 48:30did in building up Tune Labs is
- 48:32completely visionary and and it makes
- 48:34possible for collaboration of AI
- 48:37researchers that are that are not in the
- 48:38same company and it's very Exactly,
- 48:40yeah. Protecting the intellectual
- 48:42property but the process of improving
- 48:46their idea improves the training of the
- 48:48model itself. So we all gain by
- 48:50participation. There's no fees. We do
- 48:53curate it so there's like legitimate
- 48:54biotech projects but um we will add the
- 48:58product of our work together to the Tune
- 49:00Lab interface and so not just Lilly
- 49:02scientists can benefit many biotech
- 49:03scientists. The other side of the
- 49:05equation of course is target. And here I
- 49:08think we need our robotics uh effort to
- 49:11really kick in.
- 49:12Why do we have more targets and why do
- 49:14we understand the targets that we have
- 49:15better which are probably um
- 49:18structurally more complicated than we
- 49:19understand and that's one of the reasons
- 49:21drug drug development fails is we think
- 49:23we have the target but we don't really
- 49:24understand it. And that's because we
- 49:26need massively more amounts of um
- 49:29experimental data on specific good
- 49:32targets.
- 49:33Um so I think here we'll work with you
- 49:36on flushing out We already have one
- 49:38robotic lab um running, wet lab, but
- 49:41we'll build more. And we can have them
- 49:44running 24/7 experimenting around a
- 49:48target space to really fully profile
- 49:50that and then couple that with those
- 49:52engineered drug designs. So, that's a
- 49:54little bit harder problem. It's more
- 49:56empirical, but I think machines are made
- 49:59to work day and night to solve this
- 50:02problem. And that flywheel is going to
- 50:03is going to fly. I think you know, Dave,
- 50:05if you if you look at some of the the
- 50:07advances that we've had in other
- 50:09domains.
- 50:11Um the first the first thing is you need
- 50:13the flywheel to eventually land a ground
- 50:15truth. So, you have to have physical
- 50:17world experimentation, collect that
- 50:19data.
- 50:20Um and and you close the loop that way.
- 50:22Uh eventually that model becomes
- 50:24sufficiently good. That foundation model
- 50:26becomes sufficiently good.
- 50:28And you could teach it how to generate
- 50:30new be generative.
- 50:32And eventually
- 50:34there's a there's a model
- 50:36that is being tested against another
- 50:38model.
- 50:39And this other model is the world model
- 50:42or the target model.
- 50:44And and uh the target model along with
- 50:47the model that you you're training uh
- 50:49runs in a closed loop. So, essentially
- 50:52the the lab is another model.
- 50:55And so, you eventually have to to to
- 50:57ground it again by producing and
- 50:59synthesizing the proteins and and
- 51:00collecting real data. But we we get
- 51:02ourselves in a synthetic data flywheel.
- 51:05And that synthetic data flywheel is
- 51:07incredibly effective.
- 51:08>> I don't think that's been attempted in
- 51:09our industry and at scale and I think
- 51:11we'll do that here. But I think really
- 51:13uh taking a handful of targets which we
- 51:16have highly suspect will be useful in
- 51:19key diseases.
- 51:20And really doing the full sort of
- 51:23profiling of those in
- 51:26um robotic wet labs to train the data
- 51:28set and then use the machines to fill in
- 51:31the
- 51:31fill in the space, make better drugs cuz
- 51:33we understand
- 51:34>> so exciting. It's very it's very it's I
- 51:37think it's singularly true that finally
- 51:40we're going to have we're going to have
- 51:41a lab where the expertise and the scale
- 51:45of that lab is going to be sufficient to
- 51:47attract people who really want to do
- 51:49their lives work in that intersection.
- 51:51Yeah, we'll be so excited. Yeah, I'm
- 51:52super excited about that. And so, one of
- 51:54the things that that that is really cool
- 51:56about this conference
- 51:58is large companies and small companies
- 52:00getting together. Um this year uh
- 52:04AI scientists
- 52:06Uh there's a company I met today and
- 52:08we've been working with them for for
- 52:09some time. I hope they don't mind that I
- 52:10mention their name, Edison, is really
- 52:12terrific.
- 52:14Uh
- 52:14um a
- 52:16a foundation model
- 52:18uh company who who is going to build
- 52:21um both
- 52:22the life sciences lab as well as the AI
- 52:25lab
- 52:26uh where the the the factory
- 52:29a a real robotics factory and and a a
- 52:32large scale system uh Lyra uh
- 52:35uh incredible companies. They're they're
- 52:37probably in the audience. Uh what are
- 52:39what are some of the companies that
- 52:40you've seen? So, so robotics labs
- 52:42companies, um AI scientists companies,
- 52:45of course uh agentic health care um
- 52:49assistants
- 52:50uh the work that Abridge is doing and
- 52:53Open Evidence is doing. Really really
- 52:55cool work that's that's being done
- 52:56there. Uh what are some of the some of
- 52:58the areas that that you've seen that are
- 53:01really cool?
- 53:02Yeah, I mean it well, I think at the for
- 53:04AI [clears throat] the most tractable
- 53:05problem now that you're seeing more and
- 53:07more on is health care service. So, this
- 53:09is not as complicated as what we're
- 53:11talking about here today, but rather how
- 53:13do you replace human level service with
- 53:16agentic service, AI service. And it
- 53:18seems so obvious for what is like the
- 53:20least productive part of the entire
- 53:22economy
- 53:23to adopt AI, but there are a lot of
- 53:24frictions for that. So, a lot of our
- 53:26discussions are well, how can we
- 53:28collaborate, you know, we run I think
- 53:30it's probably the largest pharmacy
- 53:32direct pharmacy platform in the country,
- 53:35Lilly Direct. Um it's only a year old,
- 53:38but um it's annualizing close to a
- 53:41billion dollars uh a quarter right now,
- 53:434 billion a year, just selling
- 53:47pharmacy. So, people want to say, "Well,
- 53:48can Lilly work with us
- 53:51to kind of use your market weight to
- 53:53force adoption and sort of work against,
- 53:55you know, let's be honest, insurance
- 53:57companies that like they don't they
- 53:58don't into change.
- 54:01And physician groups are frightened by
- 54:03some of these technologies, but we
- 54:04really do need to make the US health
- 54:06care system more efficient and in doing
- 54:08so, we can we can actually have more
- 54:10room for innovation, more room for
- 54:13adoption of cutting edge medicines and
- 54:16maybe more accurate and comprehensive
- 54:18workup of people.
- 54:20Um so, that's that seems inevitable, but
- 54:23what can we do to speed that up and
- 54:25really harness that? I'm there's a lot
- 54:27of new modalities as I was mentioning
- 54:29earlier to drug targets. And really in
- 54:33the last 10 years without AI in the run
- 54:36rate, I think the productivity of the
- 54:37industry on new modalities is
- 54:39accelerating. And that's exciting.
- 54:42And yet it's early days. So, there a lot
- 54:44of companies are
- 54:45combining new and old modalities into
- 54:47bifunctional medicines. That's a whole
- 54:50hot field where you have a targeting
- 54:53part and then a warhead part um say to
- 54:55kill cancer cells.
- 54:57And even just refining how we get these
- 54:59medicines to the right tissue
- 55:01is a important problem and there's a lot
- 55:04of interesting new approaches, different
- 55:05approaches happening that I took
- 55:07meetings on today. That was pretty
- 55:09interesting to me. So, um that's the
- 55:11drug making side and I think here again
- 55:14AI can help us accelerate that, but a
- 55:16lot of smart people working on on those
- 55:17problems. Um
- 55:19yeah, and of course a lot of people want
- 55:20to talk about GLP-1s. That's that's my
- 55:22life. Yeah.
- 55:24Yeah, but it was good you said like
- 55:25small companies and big companies
- 55:27getting together. So, here like we're
- 55:29the small company and you're the big
- 55:30company. Yeah, yeah, cut it out.
- 55:32>> And and we're getting together. Yeah.
- 55:33Cut it out. Cut it out. But I was I was
- 55:35going to say like, you know, the
- 55:36probably Lilly has a reputation 10 years
- 55:39ago when I started, you were asking
- 55:40about 2017, of like a little bit of a
- 55:42sleepy uh Midwestern company. But here's
- 55:46a like fun facts for the computer
- 55:48people. I think the first
- 55:51you may may not know, but that the first
- 55:52approved biotech product made by living
- 55:55organism, a medicine made sort of in the
- 55:56most modern way, was a Lilly product,
- 55:58Humulin, which we collaborated with
- 56:00Genentech on.
- 56:01And then 12 years later
- 56:03we bought the first supercomputer in the
- 56:06pharmaceutical industry and put it in
- 56:08Indianapolis.
- 56:09It was a Cray supercomputer.
- 56:11It was called Big Red.
- 56:12Our our company logo is red.
- 56:15Very clever. Yeah.
- 56:16And um we designed the first approved
- 56:19medicine designed on a computer
- 56:22on that thing. It's called insulin
- 56:24lispro, which is Humalog. It's still uh
- 56:27used by type type 1 diabetics and type 2
- 56:29diabetics globally today.
- 56:31By playing around with amino acid
- 56:33sequences empirically and solving the
- 56:34>> trying to convince me that Lilly is
- 56:37cool. We are cool.
- 56:39We are cool.
- 56:40You know. We are cool. And uh we've been
- 56:42working with computers and the cutting
- 56:44edge of science and computer technology.
- 56:47>> Yeah. I I was convinced at hello.
- 56:50>> just makes tons of sense. This is
- 56:51[laughter] a natural evolution of our
- 56:53company.
- 56:55So awesome. It is it is so awesome to
- 56:57work with you and your team. And I am so
- 56:59excited about the work that we're about
- 57:01to do together. I I think that that um
- 57:04I
- 57:05I can't imagine a more worthy, a more
- 57:08complex uh more exciting field to go
- 57:12apply computer science to.
- 57:14And and uh
- 57:16for someone who's dedicated a a whole
- 57:18career in basically one job uh building
- 57:21computers uh the opportunity to work
- 57:23with with you and and Lilly and the
- 57:26scientists there uh in service of of the
- 57:29next breakthrough can't be more
- 57:31exciting. And and so, I want to thank
- 57:33you for your partnership and uh for
- 57:35personally driving this and and uh
- 57:37the two of us uh uh you know
- 57:40teaming up together, pulling together
- 57:42the the mights of our two company, you
- 57:44know, hopefully we could go bend bend
- 57:46the arc
- 57:47of of history and
- 57:49see we can make a difference. I'm super
- 57:51excited.
- 57:51>> exciting to hear you say that. Thank you
- 57:53for helping make this come together.
- 57:56We're just getting started, but this
- 57:58could be you know, a new day. Yeah. And
- 58:01if we can accelerate progress even even
- 58:04if we set modest goals, I think we can
- 58:06accelerate progress in, you know, a use
- 58:09case for computer technology that has to
- 58:11be the most personal and impactful um
- 58:15for our country and for for the world.
- 58:17And for an industry that really needs to
- 58:19find more ways to be more productive
- 58:22with R&D dollars. So, it's it's a worthy
- 58:25tribe, but I we're going to do more
- 58:27and win.
- 58:27>> We're going to make it happen. Ladies
- 58:29and gentlemen, David Ricks and the
- 58:31second most I'm just kidding.
- 58:33>> [laughter]
- 58:34>> Thank you. [applause] Thank you. Thank
- 58:35you. Great. Yeah. Thank you. Thank you.
- 58:39>> [applause]
- 58:40>> That's fun. That was fun to do. Yeah.
- 58:41Thank you. Yeah.
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