New Millionaires will be made now‼️ — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00In my 18 years being in the stock
- 0:02market, every once in a while you're
- 0:03greeted with a shock and awe event.
- 0:05Something that comes out of nowhere and
- 0:07just simply shocks everybody and
- 0:09everybody's like, "Whoa, we never saw
- 0:11this situation coming, right?" And uh
- 0:13let's be very crystal clear, the stock
- 0:14market's going through one of those
- 0:15events right now. It's an absolute shock
- 0:17and awe out there. And investors, hedge
- 0:20funds, funds in general are making
- 0:23decisions at this point in time on what
- 0:25do they want to do moving forward. Where
- 0:27do they want to go? Um, by the way,
- 0:29appreciate you all for joining me here
- 0:30as always. So, AMD, [clears throat]
- 0:32massive move up here today. $80,000
- 0:35plus, now up $1.2 million on the stock
- 0:38just in the public account alone. Uh,
- 0:40stock continues to see momentum here.
- 0:43We'll speak about AMD in this video here
- 0:45today. Okay. Uh, we're going to
- 0:46obviously have to speak about the Jensen
- 0:48situation. As of a few hours ago, he is
- 0:51now officially kicked out of Nvidia.
- 0:54We'll talk about what this means for
- 0:55Nvidia moving forward, what this means
- 0:57for the semiconductor industry moving
- 0:58forward. So, since this is a reaction
- 1:00channel, I thought we'd react to some
- 1:01Wall Streeters and then I would share my
- 1:02opinion, perspectives here. Okay, after
- 1:04we get done going through that, I want
- 1:05to get uh into kind of AMD versus Nvidia
- 1:08a little bit here. Then I want to go
- 1:09ahead and react to this one. This is a
- 1:11big statement here. Nvidia is an
- 1:13uninvestable at these levels. I think
- 1:15this is a very big statement. So, I want
- 1:17to go ahead and react to that one. Share
- 1:18my opinion, perspectives there. And at
- 1:20the end of this video, I want to talk
- 1:21about some of the best opportunities.
- 1:23Now, I see at this point in time because
- 1:24we have so many different stocks moving
- 1:26around huge and so I thought I would
- 1:27share my opinions and perspectives
- 1:29there. Uh, by the way, I appreciate you
- 1:30all for joining me as always. If you
- 1:31haven't already done so, just please
- 1:33smash that like button for me. That's
- 1:34all I need from you. Additionally, if
- 1:36you want to be subscribed to the
- 1:37channel, you can certainly subscribe.
- 1:38We're at a new all-time high subscribers
- 1:40in the history of the channel. I
- 1:41appreciate each and every one of you for
- 1:42being here. Okay. Um, you know, let's
- 1:45get started right off the bat with I
- 1:49actually want to start off talking about
- 1:51a big subject. Okay, because
- 1:55we this is such a shock and awe event.
- 1:57How do you even prepare your portfolio
- 1:59for something like this? How do you even
- 2:01think about something like this, right?
- 2:04Um because you're putting in your
- 2:05hard-earned money toward a stock and
- 2:07it's like, what happens if your CEO is
- 2:09caught up into a situation like this or
- 2:11something like this, right? Listen, if
- 2:14you want to make a lot of money here,
- 2:15here's the way I'd think about it.
- 2:16Listen,
- 2:18you have to whenever you go into
- 2:21investment, you have to understand there
- 2:23are certain companies that have what I
- 2:25would call key man risk or key woman
- 2:28risk. And this is a situation where the
- 2:31CEO of the company is so incredibly
- 2:35important to that company that if that
- 2:37CEO suddenly just left overnight,
- 2:41the stock should be derated 10%, 20%,
- 2:4530%, like a significant number, right?
- 2:47There's a plenty of stocks out there in
- 2:49the market that if the CEO was to depart
- 2:52the company, if they would be caught up
- 2:53in something like this, um the stock
- 2:55wouldn't move that much, like maybe down
- 2:585%, 10%, something like that, but it
- 3:00wouldn't be anything crazy and the
- 3:02company would move just on and it'd be
- 3:05fine. Like there's plenty of stocks I
- 3:07can think of like, you know, American
- 3:09Express, Visa, companies like that. like
- 3:12if their CEO was caught up in some stuff
- 3:14and next thing you know they're kicked
- 3:15out, I'm I'm sure in the short term
- 3:17their stock price would go down a little
- 3:18bit, but there's not like such a big
- 3:19risk that people are like worried about
- 3:21the next 5 10 years of that company.
- 3:24Now, there are other CEOs out there
- 3:26think Elon Musk at Tesla that people
- 3:28would there's a lot of investors that if
- 3:30Elon Musk was to go away suddenly they'd
- 3:32be like, I'm not investing in that
- 3:34company anymore. SpaceX, right? A lot of
- 3:36people would be like, if Elon's not
- 3:37there, I'm not there. Right? Jensen is
- 3:40one of those CEOs that's up in that Elon
- 3:42category of people are like if Jensen's
- 3:45not there, I don't want to be invested
- 3:47in that stock. And so you have to
- 3:49consider that always with these
- 3:51particular company and with any sort of
- 3:53company that has somebody leading it
- 3:55that's so important to that company.
- 3:58AMD, we're about to talk about AMD,
- 4:00right? that has a sort a level of risk
- 4:03that if Lisa Sue um ever just, you know,
- 4:07departed from the company suddenly for
- 4:09whatever reason, there's no doubt AMD is
- 4:12worth less money without Lisa Sue. She's
- 4:15a legendary CEO at that company. When
- 4:17she took over this company, you know,
- 4:18shortly after it was a $2 stock. It was
- 4:20a two- buck chuck and even less than $2
- 4:22a share. People thought it was done.
- 4:23They thought it was going bankrupt,
- 4:24right? And now you look at AMD and
- 4:26people are gladly willing to pay $580
- 4:29something dollars for that stock now,
- 4:30right? And don't be surprised they're
- 4:32eventually paying $1,000 plus for that
- 4:34stock. And so there's a level of risk
- 4:37even in an AMD that a situation like
- 4:39this could come out, right? And so when
- 4:41you're running your valuation, you
- 4:43always have to like think about that in
- 4:45the back of your head like how important
- 4:46is the CEO of this company? And a lot of
- 4:48people love to invest into these sorts
- 4:50of companies that are founderled where
- 4:52the CEO is really leading the company
- 4:54and those can be phenomenal investments.
- 4:55But you also got to understand it comes
- 4:57with risk, right? There's a some sort of
- 4:59level of risk uh at Meta with
- 5:01Zuckerberg, right? I would say there's a
- 5:03lower level of risk with Zuckerberg than
- 5:05Jensen or even Elon at Tesla because
- 5:07those companies don't have very well
- 5:11diversified business models, right? Uh
- 5:13Tesla makes almost all his money from
- 5:14selling cars, you know, and when it
- 5:16comes to Nvidia, they make almost all
- 5:18their money from just selling GPUs,
- 5:20right? And Meta is a very well-
- 5:22diversified business since they own
- 5:24Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, uh they
- 5:27have threads, they have news, AI, they
- 5:29have so many different businesses and
- 5:31components there. They're much more well
- 5:33diversified, but even with a meta,
- 5:35there's still some sort of level of
- 5:36keyman risk, I would call it, right? And
- 5:38so that's the higher level way of
- 5:41thinking about it. And depending upon
- 5:44how important that SEO is to the
- 5:45company, it might be 10% of the value is
- 5:47SEO. It might be 20%, might be 30%. But
- 5:51you know, it was a great saying I think
- 5:52I think it was a Warren Buffett saying
- 5:54if I recall, do you know what Warren
- 5:55Buffett used to say? He said, "Buy a
- 5:58company that's so great any idiot could
- 6:01run it because eventually somebody
- 6:04will." And I think there's a great
- 6:05thing. I think there's a great um I
- 6:08think that's a great way of looking at
- 6:10it. uh buy a company that's so strong
- 6:12that any idiot could run that company.
- 6:14That's when you know you're really in a
- 6:15strong business, right? You know, I love
- 6:17my country, United States of America.
- 6:19You you got to always be prepared that
- 6:22somebody's going to run the country
- 6:23someday. Somebody's going to be
- 6:24president. That's just woo a whole
- 6:27situation, right? And
- 6:30the country's got to move on and we got
- 6:32to be okay and we got to make it through
- 6:33and we got to be prosperous and those
- 6:34sorts of things. And so that's the way I
- 6:37would put it to you guys and that's a
- 6:38way to kind of think about this right
- 6:40now when it comes to AMD stock
- 6:42specifically here. You know, obviously
- 6:45the stock has massive momentum. And
- 6:47listen, what have I told you guys with
- 6:49AMD? I told you this is a stock big
- 6:52money has to be in for 2027. They have
- 6:55to be in it, right?
- 6:57With the news that has come out here,
- 6:59has my opinion changed? The answer is
- 7:03this might shock a lot of you. Yes, my
- 7:06opinion has changed.
- 7:09I feel stronger, way stronger about that
- 7:12than I felt before because before it was
- 7:15just a story about revenue growth
- 7:17accelerating and the revenue growth
- 7:19percentage in in 2027 will start to
- 7:22overtake Nvidia's revenue growth rate in
- 7:25terms of percentage growth, which is the
- 7:27first time in like forever that has
- 7:29happened. such a long time, right? So,
- 7:32that's very exciting. The growth rates
- 7:34are going to be stronger. The margin
- 7:35acceleration is going to be stronger
- 7:36than Nvidia, all these sorts of things,
- 7:37right? So, it's a stock you got to be
- 7:39in. But now, I feel even way stronger
- 7:41about it because they have now a clean
- 7:44story along with it. Nvidia doesn't have
- 7:47that story. So, now you're looking out
- 7:49there, you're thinking, gosh, who do I
- 7:51want to be invested into in the
- 7:53semiconductor industry in 2027? and
- 7:56you're looking out there and you're
- 7:57like, okay, the memory, you know, memory
- 7:59chip stocks are are an opportunity, but
- 8:02there's always fear about the memory
- 8:03chip stocks. That's why they trade at
- 8:04three and four forward a piece. People
- 8:06are like, ah, you know, um, as soon as
- 8:09demand starts to weaken at all, pricing
- 8:11is going to plummet and margins will
- 8:13plummet for those companies and
- 8:14profitability will plummet and no one
- 8:15wants to be in that sort of situation.
- 8:17So, memory chip stocks, great profitable
- 8:19companies making more money than they
- 8:20know what to do with for at least the
- 8:21next year or two, but people are scared
- 8:24of those. Nvidia story is a mess now,
- 8:27right? We know that Nvidia Story is a
- 8:29mess. The one company that, you know,
- 8:32you're getting the numbers and you're
- 8:34getting the story and you're getting the
- 8:36long-term opportunity and the long-term
- 8:38comfort is AMD.
- 8:40And so, I would feel I feel even
- 8:43stronger about like gosh, man, AMD is
- 8:45the one. Like, it's been the one and
- 8:48it's more the one than it's honestly
- 8:50ever been. It's incredible, right? And
- 8:52so as an AMD investor, you just got to
- 8:54be thankful. You just got to be
- 8:56thankful, man. You know, and to the
- 8:58Nvidia investors out there that are
- 8:59watching this, that's just tough, man.
- 9:00Like sometimes you're going to get into
- 9:01some situations where, and believe me,
- 9:04it's happened to me plenty of times in
- 9:05my 18 years of being in the stock
- 9:06market, right? It's been plenty of
- 9:08situations I've been caught up into that
- 9:11something shocking happened and it was
- 9:13just like, how? What? Like this
- 9:15situation? And you know, I lost money
- 9:17from the situation or I lost a ton of
- 9:19gains and
- 9:21it's what I call the cost of doing
- 9:25business. It's the cost of doing
- 9:27business in this game. Sometimes some
- 9:29things are just going to come out of
- 9:30nowhere and you're just going to be
- 9:32like, "No freaking way. This thing
- 9:34happened." It's a cost of doing business
- 9:37and you have to move on. You have to
- 9:39say, "Gosh, man. Is there something I
- 9:41can learn from this?" And there always
- 9:42is, right? And so that's that. Okay,
- 9:45let's go ahead and react to some Wall
- 9:46Streeters and then I want to uh share my
- 9:49opinion perspectives here. Then we'll
- 9:50get more into AMD and Nvidia, more in
- 9:52Nvidia again and then we'll talk about
- 9:54some of the best opportunities I see
- 9:56personally in the stock market.
- 9:57>> That was a really hard decision though,
- 9:58Frank um because the fundamentals are
- 10:00very very strong at this company and I
- 10:02expect the quarter next week to be very
- 10:04good with uh 300 billion in free cash
- 10:07flow next year. They're going to grow
- 10:09revenues by in 28 of 70% and gross
- 10:12margins in the mid70s. But this stock is
- 10:15not going to trade on fundamentals I
- 10:16don't think for a while because you have
- 10:18the overhang of the investigations of
- 10:21leadership changes of potential
- 10:23departures. And so I think it's really
- 10:25for me as as an investor I'm thinking
- 10:27the opportunity cost here cuz I do think
- 10:30it's going to be kind of in a trading
- 10:32range for the next 6 to 12 months in my
- 10:35opinion. Um I will not have a problem
- 10:37buying the stock back if we get a a
- 10:38really amazing leader and we can get
- 10:41past this. But I think we have time and
- 10:43as a result I actually added to Micron
- 10:46because that stock is down just as much
- 10:47from its high 35%. And the fundamentals
- 10:50are very uh attractive and it's trading
- 10:52at five times earnings and I think
- 10:54they're going to announce a buyback in
- 10:56when they report earnings in early
- 10:57December. So that has a clean
- 10:59fundamentals, clean story, cheap stock,
- 11:02whereas Nvidia is just not clean at this
- 11:05point.
- 11:05>> All right. Not calling it clean.
- 11:06>> The clo So I've been in the market a
- 11:09long time man. I've seen a lot of crap.
- 11:11the closest thing I have ever seen to
- 11:13this. Let me tell you about what the
- 11:14situation was and let me tell you about
- 11:16how it turned out for that particular
- 11:18company. Okay,
- 11:20win resorts. I call them winning
- 11:22resorts, right? There's a company I've
- 11:25tracked or owned on and off for
- 11:2812, 14 years, something like that,
- 11:31right? It's not a position I have in the
- 11:33public account, but I do have it in some
- 11:34other portfolios like I own in the
- 11:35Patreon portfolio and I own it in some
- 11:37private portfolios as well, right? Win
- 11:40Resorts had a situation very similar to
- 11:42this. Um, a little different in terms of
- 11:44the dynamics and we don't need to get
- 11:46into all the details, but basically uh
- 11:48Steve Win was, you know, basically
- 11:51forced out of Win Resorts, right? And
- 11:53he's a legendary figure in Las Vegas.
- 11:56He's, you know, the reason the strip is
- 11:58what it is. He built the Mirage when no
- 12:00one saw the future for the Mirage and
- 12:02built it on junk bonds and made it an
- 12:03incredible success. He built Treasure
- 12:05Island. He built the Bellagio that ch
- 12:08changed the strip forever. And then
- 12:09obviously he built Win and Encore,
- 12:11right? And he got his real start in
- 12:13regards to the resort business with uh
- 12:14the gold nugget back in the day. Legend,
- 12:17legend, legend at Win Resorts. And then
- 12:20suddenly all this stuff starts to come
- 12:22about about Steve Win and massages.
- 12:25Okay, let's just put it like that. Next
- 12:27thing you know, bang, he's gone.
- 12:30Shocking. Like it was shocking to the
- 12:32city. He had to divest his shares in the
- 12:34company. Like it was uh it was crazy.
- 12:37And so that was the closest thing I've
- 12:39ever seen to this. Now, how did it turn
- 12:41out for Win Resorts? Well, you know, the
- 12:44stock price is lower today than it was
- 12:46actually back when he got kicked out of
- 12:47the company, but that's for a multitude
- 12:49of other reasons that have nothing
- 12:51really to do with him. That's because of
- 12:53Rona and, you know, slowdowns of Macau
- 12:56and a bunch of other various reasons,
- 12:58right? But the thing I'll say about that
- 13:00is the company has not fallen off since
- 13:03Steve Win left. If anything, they've
- 13:05actually gotten more impressive. I'm
- 13:07talking on profitability metrics and I'm
- 13:09talking about just from a customer
- 13:10experience cuz I went to win countless
- 13:12times when Steve Win was still running
- 13:14the place and then I went to obviously
- 13:16win. I go to win all the time, right? I
- 13:18I would say if anything, they're even
- 13:20more well-run than they were actually in
- 13:22the Steve Win era, right? So, you might
- 13:24look at something like that and say,
- 13:25"Hey, if Win Resorts could do it, Nvidia
- 13:28can do it." There's a big difference.
- 13:29Okay, Steve Win resorts, he had already
- 13:33sold MGM years ago, right? Um, he sold
- 13:37the Bellagio, Mirage, and Treasure
- 13:39Island. He'd already departed from a
- 13:40company. So, when he came to win
- 13:42resorts, he came with a different
- 13:44thought process of I need to build an
- 13:45overall leadership team and an overall
- 13:49culture that is going to outlast my
- 13:52life. Okay, this is very similar to
- 13:54Steve Jobs. Steve Jobs got kicked out of
- 13:57Apple, right? Then when he came back, he
- 14:00understood he needed to build a culture
- 14:01of Apple that could outlast him and a
- 14:04leadership team that could outlast him,
- 14:06right? And he did it. And so in both
- 14:08those situations, those companies were
- 14:09able to be successful. The issue here
- 14:11with Nvidia and Jensen, he never got
- 14:13kicked out of a company. Like he went
- 14:15from, you know, whatever he was doing, I
- 14:18don't remember if he was working at
- 14:18Denny's or what the situation was or if
- 14:20he just came up with thought of Nvidia,
- 14:22I think he was working for a
- 14:23semiconductor company and then they came
- 14:24up with it out of Denny's or something
- 14:25like that, right? And then he's been at
- 14:28Nvidia since he founded it back in what
- 14:30was that the early 90s. He he never got
- 14:33kicked out of a company. So he never had
- 14:35to think about oh the culture I need to
- 14:37cultivate here and the management team
- 14:39that's going to outlast me because he
- 14:40never got put in that situation before,
- 14:42right? And so don't automatically assume
- 14:45because these other situations the
- 14:47companies have been able to still do
- 14:48great and prosper. Don't you know and
- 14:51also with the Win Resorts situation
- 14:53understand Win stock got derated after
- 14:56that it it it fell a lot because a lot
- 15:00of people were investing in Win Resorts
- 15:01because of Steve Win. He was so amazing.
- 15:04He was such a salesman and so they felt
- 15:07comfortable and were excited to invest
- 15:08in the win and once he left the company
- 15:11that whole like Steve Win premium went
- 15:13away. Same thing's happening with
- 15:15Bergkshire Hathaway actually right now
- 15:16and will over the next several years. A
- 15:18lot of people are investing in
- 15:19Bergkshire Hathway because of who?
- 15:21Warren Buffett. Without Warren Buffett
- 15:22there, even though the company should
- 15:23still be a great company, there's a lot
- 15:25of people aren't willing to pay as much.
- 15:26The people aren't going to be as excited
- 15:28to buy it, right? And with Apple, huge
- 15:30rerating that happened in Apple stock.
- 15:32Like I remember a few years after, you
- 15:35know, uh Steve Jobs had passed on, Apple
- 15:37was trading at like a 10 or a 12p ratio,
- 15:41forward P. like you know and in the
- 15:42Steve Jobs era it was way higher than
- 15:44that and so do understand people are
- 15:47going to be willing to pay a lot less
- 15:48without that legend uh at the helm you
- 15:51know over the next many years
- 15:53>> by the way a lot of people talking about
- 15:54the valuation trading uh at a very low
- 15:57valuation right now I believe about 14
- 15:59times Ford earnings Malcolm I want to
- 16:00come over here
- 16:01>> 10 times
- 16:01>> is it 10 times okay I'm looking at our
- 16:03system we have it about
- 16:04>> John these people man they got some
- 16:07crazy like they they're just running
- 16:09with their own crazy earnings per share
- 16:11estim And it's like, holy smokes
- 16:12>> times. They're going to do $20 a share
- 16:14in fiscal 28. So yeah,
- 16:15>> it's it's it's unbelievable. Who cares?
- 16:18>> Yeah.
- 16:20>> Well, we know who doesn't care. It's
- 16:21you, Malcol. You also sold out of Nvidia
- 16:22as well.
- 16:23>> You care if you're still in it. You
- 16:24don't care if you're out of full. I
- 16:26guess the question is, what are you
- 16:27still waiting for? cuz I I I sold the
- 16:29shares uh in after hours because
- 16:33essentially the only question I was
- 16:34still asking initially was sell the
- 16:37stock and then by what cuz there's not
- 16:39really a lot that you can use to replace
- 16:40a company like this that's seated at the
- 16:43center of the entire AI trade but then
- 16:46the whole reason that I wanted to own
- 16:48the stock in the first place has left
- 16:50the building so I understand everything
- 16:52Jensen
- 16:53>> yes everything uh related to Nvidia left
- 16:58with the CEO. So, I understand
- 17:00everything that Stephanie's saying in
- 17:01terms of the fundamentals and all the
- 17:03all of the reasons that the stock is
- 17:04still attractive eventually. I don't
- 17:07understand though why there's still so
- 17:08many buyers in this name. So, yes, if
- 17:11you're already in the stock, maybe
- 17:13you're deciding you want to hold on and
- 17:14see what happens over the next 12
- 17:16months. I know uh uh Josh, personally,
- 17:18you have a low basis in the stock. I
- 17:20started buying it in the '9s after
- 17:22tariff liberation day. So it it matters
- 17:25where you got into the stock, but the
- 17:26fact that it's holding up the way that
- 17:28it is means that there's a substantial
- 17:30amount of buying pressure in this name,
- 17:31too. That part I don't really understand
- 17:33because it's going to take a very long
- 17:36time before it turns the ship, if ever.
- 17:39And even when it does, without having
- 17:41the champion in Jensen Wong that it has
- 17:43had for the last four years, I don't
- 17:46know how you place the premium on this
- 17:48stock that you have for the last four
- 17:49years.
- 17:50>> Well, it's holding up right now. Let me
- 17:51explain that. Let me be very crystal
- 17:53clear about this. It's holding up and
- 17:55not falling crazy amounts right now
- 17:57because
- 17:59you still have the numbers agree. If you
- 18:02get any slippage in the numbers,
- 18:05any slippage in the next few quarters,
- 18:07that all goes right out the window
- 18:09because then people will have doubts
- 18:10about the numbers and the story, the
- 18:13longer term story with Jensen. And
- 18:14that's when people start to really throw
- 18:17in the towel. If you don't have that,
- 18:19then you always have, oh, look at the
- 18:21valuation, look at the numbers, right?
- 18:24Any slippage, any slippage in a revenue
- 18:27growth rate or a margin growth rate or
- 18:30an earnings per share number or
- 18:32something like that, that's that's when
- 18:35you start to run into some trouble.
- 18:37>> No premium in the stock. So, let me
- 18:39disagree with you right there. Okay?
- 18:40>> Stock has been selling at a below market
- 18:42multiple for 24 months. There is no
- 18:45premium on the stock. there hasn't been
- 18:47since even before you bought it.
- 18:49>> However, the reason that the stock has
- 18:52been trading the way that it has is
- 18:53because there's been the promise that
- 18:55Nvidia is in at the center of literally
- 18:57everything. If Coree wins, so does
- 19:00Nvidia. If OpenAI wins, so does Nvidia.
- 19:02>> Do you think that just changed?
- 19:04>> I do. I I do. I I the reason I say that
- 19:07is because it's going to be very hard
- 19:08for this company to move the way it has
- 19:10moved in the past with the overhang of
- 19:13we don't know what all has happened from
- 19:15a national security perspective. We
- 19:17don't know what meetings they'll now be
- 19:18shut out of. We don't know what
- 19:19relationships have now been destroyed.
- 19:21So there's just so many unknowns here
- 19:23that I think it's impossible to expect
- 19:25Nvidia to be able to move the way that
- 19:27they have and be able to command any
- 19:29sort of a
- 19:31centerpiece relationship that they have
- 19:33to the AI train.
- 19:34>> All right. So you're saying that Jensen
- 19:35Wong's out, you're out. By the way,
- 19:36William Blair coming out.
- 19:37>> Yeah. I mean, Jensen was one of the best
- 19:39salesman in the world. Let's be very
- 19:41crystal clear about that. Like the way
- 19:43that man could sell his products and his
- 19:46vision is legendary as a oneonone,
- 19:48right? And every single CEO in the world
- 19:51wanted to be there with Jensen, right?
- 19:54Didn't matter if it was Benny off at
- 19:56Salesforce, didn't matter if it was
- 19:57McDermott at at uh Service Service Now.
- 20:00Didn't matter who it was. Everybody
- 20:02wanted to be like tied in with Jensen,
- 20:04right? Like this the guy, the salesman,
- 20:07the business legend, right? And um that
- 20:11certainly goes away. That doesn't mean
- 20:12companies like, oh, we're anti- Nvidia
- 20:14or something like that. It's just it's
- 20:16not going to be the way it was, right?
- 20:18and the speed you can move being founder
- 20:20le with a guy with that much power you
- 20:22can just move a lot faster and uh speed
- 20:26will be slowed down now at this point in
- 20:28time in an industry where AMD's on it
- 20:31man like AMD's on it and so you just got
- 20:34to understand like AMD is not going to
- 20:36they're not going to slow down like AMD
- 20:37is just speeding up AMD's been catching
- 20:39Nvidia we know this we can see it in the
- 20:42products that AMD's been launching over
- 20:44the last you know couple years here we
- 20:46can see it in the moves Nvidia's been or
- 20:48AMD's been making for acquisitions. And
- 20:50we can see it with the customer results,
- 20:53right? So like you're not in a position
- 20:56where if you're Nvidia, you can really
- 20:58slow down, but they're going to have no
- 21:00choice but to slow down. Meanwhile, AMD,
- 21:04they don't have to slow down. They can
- 21:06just keep going 1,000 m hour. So it's
- 21:10it's it matters.
- 21:11>> That Nvidia is going to lose its
- 21:12creative relationship driven dealmaking.
- 21:14It sounds like you you share that
- 21:16sentiment as well. Uh, Bill, I want to
- 21:17come to you. You and Josh still in in
- 21:18the name. So, go ahead. Why are you
- 21:20staying?
- 21:20>> Well, we we did trim at 217 3 weeks ago.
- 21:23So, that does help a little bit here.
- 21:25It's still a top holding of ours. Now, I
- 21:27think you also want to look at the path.
- 21:29How did we get here at 165 right now?
- 21:32>> We can't get we can't get into how we
- 21:33got here.
- 21:34>> Well, I mean, but if you look at the
- 21:36want us to do that,
- 21:36>> but the selling that took place that
- 21:38broke 200 late in the month of October
- 21:41was on the heels of these big hypers
- 21:43scale earnings reports. And the
- 21:44sentiment around that was not only about
- 21:46the the election that came the following
- 21:48week, but as well that the hyperscalers
- 21:50are going to maybe pull back on the
- 21:51capex. A lot of banks still believe that
- 21:53the capex is still going to be there. So
- 21:56I think there was already a tremendous
- 21:57amount of selling that that got us here.
- 21:59And this is this the kick while you're
- 22:00down. But yeah, 101 forward earnings,
- 22:03the backlog and current infrastructure,
- 22:04it's it's highly probable that you're
- 22:06going to get an above market rate of
- 22:07return in the future off this name. But
- 22:10when you start to look one to two years
- 22:11out, yes, there going to be questions
- 22:13about how and will they move forward.
- 22:15Where does that competition going to
- 22:17come from? Maybe a Broadcom, maybe an
- 22:18Alphabet uh with the TPU. But again, I I
- 22:22think that we're [laughter]
- 22:23Oh, John mentioned AMD. Holy smokes, I
- 22:26can't listen to that guy anymore. Uh so
- 22:29here's a big mistake uh people are
- 22:31making with Nvidia. Big big mistake.
- 22:34Okay, if you watch my last reaction
- 22:37channel video I released on the channel,
- 22:39I called this out. A lot of you guys
- 22:41picked up on this, right? Remember what
- 22:42happened? Dan Niles is like, I can't
- 22:46imagine how much worse it can get from
- 22:48here. And I'm like, are you kidding me?
- 22:50This could easily get worse. More
- 22:52affairs could come out. He could be
- 22:53kicked out of the company. Like, there's
- 22:55so many things that could happen. And
- 22:57obviously, guess what happened? It got
- 22:59worse. So now people like, it can't get
- 23:01any worse. Yes, it can get worse.
- 23:03doesn't mean it for sure will, but it
- 23:05could absolutely get worse. You know,
- 23:07Jensen's going to have to get in front
- 23:08of Congress. There's always a potent
- 23:11like that's either going to be a neutral
- 23:13event or a negative event. There's no
- 23:14coming out of that where that's a
- 23:16positive event. It's either neutral or
- 23:17negative. Okay? So, there's that that
- 23:20things are going to have to be dealt
- 23:21with. There could be full-scale big
- 23:24government investigations into Nvidia's
- 23:26business. There can be things that come
- 23:28out of Nvidia's customers doing illegal
- 23:31business practices um and selling chips
- 23:34to China or whatever. There there's so
- 23:37much crap that is going to tie up
- 23:40executive teams attention for a certain
- 23:42amount of time, right? And how did they
- 23:45navigate all this without Jensen at the
- 23:49helm? Like Jensen's a genius with
- 23:51dealing with all this crap, right? It's
- 23:54like Jensen is not just a genius in
- 23:55terms of um understanding like here's
- 23:57the chips we need to come out with for
- 23:59the future and here's where this
- 24:00technology is going in the future. He's
- 24:02a genius with dealing with all this BS.
- 24:05He's the guy that does it. He's a guy
- 24:07that understands I need to, you know, be
- 24:09in with Xi in China and I need to be in
- 24:11with President Trump in uh United States
- 24:14and I need to, you know, be in with this
- 24:16person and this business legend and this
- 24:18business leader and and this big bank
- 24:20and he understands like this whole game.
- 24:22He's been playing this since the '9s.
- 24:24So, he's gone away. So, now, who's going
- 24:27to be able to take that spot and be able
- 24:29to deal with all these individuals
- 24:33the way he was? Who's going to be able
- 24:35to command that level of respect?
- 24:38Like, if Jensen's in a room with Trump,
- 24:41Jensen commands a level of respect
- 24:44that's incredible.
- 24:46a random CEO of Nvidia that's in that
- 24:49same room does not command that same
- 24:51level of respect.
- 24:53If if if Jensen's having, you know, a
- 24:56meeting with Xi in China or somebody
- 24:58that's right underneath Xi, there's a
- 25:00whole different level of respect that
- 25:02goes along with that versus a random CEO
- 25:04at Nvidia. They're they're not on the
- 25:07same level.
- 25:09They're not on the same level. And uh
- 25:11the same goes for any sort of situation.
- 25:14If Jensen's in a room with any sort of
- 25:17business CEO, the level of respect that
- 25:19other individual has for Jensen is is is
- 25:22skyhigh. Like you can't even imagine it.
- 25:25And um if there's another CEO in the
- 25:28place, there's just not that level of
- 25:30respect, right? Um and so that that's
- 25:33something very important to understand
- 25:34here, folks. Okay. Okay. Next up here,
- 25:37you know, I made a very a very big call
- 25:40back around liberation day last year,
- 25:43right? And I said AMD over the next
- 25:46several years is going to significantly
- 25:48outperform Nvidia. And I said it won't
- 25:50even be close. And so what are the
- 25:53results of that very big prediction? And
- 25:55I got a lot of hate when I made that
- 25:57prediction. Oh, I get so much hate all
- 25:59the time, man. It's unbelievable. I get
- 26:01a lot of love, too. Okay? I get a lot of
- 26:02love from you guys. I appreciate it. But
- 26:04I also get plenty of hate, especially
- 26:06when I make controversial statements.
- 26:08And a lot of times people then look back
- 26:10a year later, a few years later, and
- 26:11like
- 26:13he was he that was a controversial
- 26:14statement, but damn, he was he was right
- 26:16about that. And uh I'm not afraid to
- 26:18stick my head out there and get a lot of
- 26:20crap in the short term and then people
- 26:23usually get caught up to it in there and
- 26:25be like, "Oh, now we see it, right?" And
- 26:28so I made a very controversial statement
- 26:31and I put my money where my mouth is
- 26:33back, you know, early 2025, invested
- 26:35heavily into AMD and I said AMD is going
- 26:38to obliterate Nvidia's returns over the
- 26:41coming years. It's not even going to be
- 26:42close. And you know, at that time AMD
- 26:45was an underperforming stock that was
- 26:47seen as a disappointment. People called
- 26:49it advanced money decimator, right? And
- 26:52now they call it advanced money
- 26:53duplicator. And Nvidia could do no wrong
- 26:56at that particular time. like Nvidia was
- 26:58the one, right? And now you look at the
- 27:00performance of these two stocks and
- 27:03you know it speaks volumes. AMD is up
- 27:06648%.
- 27:09Since that time last year, Nvidia is up
- 27:1172%. 72% by the way is not bad. Um but
- 27:15it's a long way from 648%. Right? And
- 27:18this whole situation with Jensen, this
- 27:20is just one component. Even without
- 27:22this, AMD was already just absolutely
- 27:25knocking the, you know, the cover off
- 27:27the ball. And so, you know, you you got
- 27:30to have your conviction. You got to know
- 27:32what you're doing. And the thing gave me
- 27:33conviction is really understanding AMD's
- 27:35business model, understanding the
- 27:37financials around it, what could happen
- 27:38to the financials in the future, and all
- 27:40this sort of stuff, right? And if you
- 27:41need help understanding all this, I
- 27:43teach it all in my private group. I
- 27:44teach it all in my private group. All
- 27:46the stuff that's gotten me to this place
- 27:48where I can make a controversial call
- 27:49like that and then capitalize and make
- 27:51millions, literally multiple millions of
- 27:53dollars has come a long way. And I teach
- 27:55you all the stuff that I know right up
- 27:57here. There's no other like product I
- 27:59have that I'm like, oh, you know, I'm
- 28:01saving some for this other product. No,
- 28:02I teach you all in those course
- 28:04curriculums. I teach you everything I
- 28:05know. And so, you want to access that,
- 28:07that will be the pinned comment down
- 28:08there today. You go down there, click on
- 28:10that, fill out a form. Let's get you in
- 28:12there. Let's get you up to a much higher
- 28:13level than where you're at today. All
- 28:16right, let's get into the next one.
- 28:17Nvidia is in uninvestable at these
- 28:18levels and then we'll get into my
- 28:19favorite opportunities in this market.
- 28:22>> At these levels, I don't think so. I
- 28:24mean, there's too much, you know, too
- 28:26much to happen right now. We're probably
- 28:27going to see uh for better or worse,
- 28:29Jesse Young is going to be, you know,
- 28:31probably removed a CEO. I mean, it's
- 28:33it's pretty rare for a CEO to, you know,
- 28:36be involved with a subordinate and not
- 28:38ultimately it cost them their their job.
- 28:40So, I can't see how he survives this.
- 28:42and the board has painted themselves
- 28:45into a bit of a corner by not having any
- 28:47kind of succession plan. You know, I've
- 28:48heard him compared to, you know, this is
- 28:50like Steve Jobs being removed from
- 28:52Apple, but he he put in place a
- 28:54succession plan and cultivated and
- 28:56groomed Tim Cook for years. So that when
- 28:59his time, you know, when he finally
- 29:00passed away and he took over, there was
- 29:02a real leader there. And right now,
- 29:04Nvidia doesn't have that person in
- 29:06place. And so it's going to be either a
- 29:09choice of have keeping Jensen and being
- 29:11faced with months and months of being
- 29:13hauled in front of probably
- 29:14congressional
- 29:15uh you know uh uh uh boards and things
- 29:19to explain themselves and you know all
- 29:20kinds of interrogations or they're going
- 29:23to have to move on from him and that's
- 29:24just going to make the stock
- 29:25uninvestable. That doesn't make the AI
- 29:27trade uninvestable but it certainly
- 29:29makes Nvidian uninvestable.
- 29:33Richard, we're seeing right now the
- 29:34stock down more than 8% in extended
- 29:37hours. What happens to the stock if the
- 29:40board does decide to go ahead? Do I feel
- 29:43like Nvidia's uninvestable? My take is
- 29:48I wouldn't necessarily put it in that
- 29:49category. The category I put it in is
- 29:51the same category I've had it in since
- 29:54this time last year. Since this time
- 29:56last year, I said Nvidia is a rangebound
- 29:59stock. They're feeling really negative
- 30:01about it. it's going to go down to the
- 30:03125ish level, right? If they're feeling
- 30:06really bullish about it, they're going
- 30:07to move it up to 200 or a little above
- 30:09200. And ultimately, it's just going to
- 30:12be stuck there for the next several
- 30:13years. And that's the call I made last
- 30:15year, right? And it's still what I would
- 30:19say about that stock today. It's a stock
- 30:22that's just it's just a rangebound
- 30:23stock. And so, you know, it's the way
- 30:26it's been. It's the way it's going to be
- 30:28for a while. Um, and there could be a
- 30:32moment in the future when it is very
- 30:34interesting again, but it's not at this
- 30:36exact time, right? Uh, but I also
- 30:38wouldn't put it in the uninvestable
- 30:39category because that makes it sound
- 30:40like it's like a toxic asset that's, you
- 30:42know, going to crash 70% or something
- 30:44like that. And I I don't see that
- 30:46scenario
- 30:46>> and decide ultimately that Jensen Hong's
- 30:50position is untenable now.
- 30:53>> Yeah, I think the stock goes lower from
- 30:54here. I think we're getting the opening
- 30:56bid right now and then there's still a
- 30:58question mark. They may not do it. I
- 30:59mean, as some of the other analysts have
- 31:01mentioned, they have painted themselves
- 31:03in such a corner where they don't have a
- 31:05succession plan. There's no obvious uh
- 31:08bench there that can step right in and
- 31:10take over. And so, they may kind of ride
- 31:13try to ride this out and retain him. Um,
- 31:16but you know, there's that that's that's
- 31:18the issue. Jensen really made a big
- 31:20mistake here. He never even made it
- 31:22publicly known of who's the number two
- 31:25at Nvidia. Unless you are super into
- 31:28Nvidia, you have no clue who the number
- 31:30two is at Nvidia. Like who is that
- 31:32second most important person with Apple?
- 31:35It was a very different story. That's a
- 31:38very different story. You had um I
- 31:41remember Apple. You had Eddie Q. You had
- 31:45Phil Schiller we knew about. You had the
- 31:47amazing and legendary Johnny IV we knew
- 31:51about, right? You had Tim Cook we knew
- 31:53about. Like there was like this bench
- 31:55behind Steve Jobs and that's what I talk
- 31:57about when he left Apple. He, you know,
- 31:59we knew about all these individuals.
- 32:01Unless you're like insanely into Nvidia,
- 32:04you don't even know who the number two
- 32:05at Nvidia is. Like who's the second most
- 32:07important person at that company? Who's
- 32:09the number three? Jensen just never gave
- 32:11enough opportunity to really spotlight
- 32:15other executives and make them shine,
- 32:17right? Um he might have made him shine
- 32:19in different ways, but damn it, it
- 32:21wasn't in the public eye, right? Uh,
- 32:23okay. Let's talk about some of the best
- 32:24opportunities in the market that I see
- 32:26personally out there right now. And, uh,
- 32:28then we'll go from there. And once
- 32:30again, if you're looking to join the
- 32:30private group, that'll be pinned comment
- 32:32down there today. Fill the form. We'll
- 32:33see if we can get you access maybe this
- 32:34weekend or next week. That's also access
- 32:36to my Discord chat, exclusive weekly
- 32:38videos, see all the moves I'm personally
- 32:40making out there, and all that good
- 32:42stuff. Okay? And let's get you up to a
- 32:43much higher level than where you're at
- 32:44today. So, best opportunities I see in
- 32:47the market. There's a few, right? So
- 32:50honest is still a great opportunity I
- 32:53believe um in the market. I think that's
- 32:55the most undervalued
- 32:57uh under $1 billion company in the world
- 32:59and uh I think people will see that over
- 33:02time. Hims is interesting but I was
- 33:05looking at him recent numbers their
- 33:07their member numbers definitely is
- 33:10concerning. So you know I I don't know
- 33:14like him is getting to that valuation
- 33:16where it's very compelling. It's under
- 33:1720 bucks, but I'm just not sure if I
- 33:20feel super comfortable investing into
- 33:22him. So, it's one I'm I'm paying closer
- 33:24attention to as a potential, but I'm I'm
- 33:28slightly concerned there. Right. RH is
- 33:30still a great opportunity, I believe.
- 33:31Obviously, the stock has bottomed and
- 33:33has started to head up, but I think RH
- 33:34is a great opportunity. ELF continues to
- 33:36be a great opportunity. You guys know
- 33:38how I feel about that. I believe them
- 33:39and Eel both finished somewhere between
- 33:42120 and 140 this year. Uh, the hood's
- 33:45interesting, but I still the hood. What
- 33:46do I say to you guys about the hood? I
- 33:48need in order for Robin Hood u for me to
- 33:51want to buy Hood, I need that stock to
- 33:55not only be down, but I really need the
- 33:57market to be in like a bare market at
- 33:58that particular time. for me to buy hood
- 34:01when I mean how much the S&P 500's
- 34:03probably only down uh I don't know four
- 34:06or five% off all-time highs you know the
- 34:10the QQQ the NASDAQ's probably down I
- 34:12don't know 11% from alltime highs or
- 34:15something in that ballpark let's call it
- 34:1610 to 12% you know that's just not super
- 34:19big compelling
- 34:21you know reasons to buy hood like I
- 34:23really want to see the S&P 500 be hit
- 34:25double digit percentage and the Q's be
- 34:27hit like 20% plus for me to say, you
- 34:30know what, I want to buy Hood. Celsius,
- 34:31the wealthiest remains a phenomenal
- 34:33opportunity out in the market. Um,
- 34:35anything anywhere around these levels, I
- 34:37think, is just a great long-term buy
- 34:39there. The Flicks, I think, is a
- 34:41phenomenal buy there. Uh, that's super
- 34:44attractive right now. Wind as a
- 34:46long-term investment is a very
- 34:47attractive buy as well. E, I told you
- 34:51guys I think that stock finishes this
- 34:52year somewhere between 120 and 140. U,
- 34:55but the long-term opportunity there in
- 34:56E's immense. It's just not as big as
- 34:58ALF. Uh American Express, yes, you know,
- 35:02American Express anywhere in the high
- 35:03twos, low 3s is absolutely a great
- 35:06long-term buy. You know, Nike, we're
- 35:08staying with it, baby. We're staying
- 35:09with it. And uh yeah, so th those are
- 35:12kind of the ones that really stick out
- 35:13to me as great opportunities. Okay, I
- 35:15appreciate you all for joining me as
- 35:16always. Thank you so much for being
- 35:18here. If you want full access to
- 35:19thousandx.com, you want full access to
- 35:21all of my course curriculum such as
- 35:23become master of stock market,
- 35:24millionaire playbook, stock options
- 35:25mastery, dividend investing mastery,
- 35:27financial statements mastery, my
- 35:28valuation mastery course, you want
- 35:30access to all the moves I'm making out
- 35:32there, exclusive weekly videos, all that
- 35:33good stuff, that'll be the pinned
- 35:34comment down there. Click on that, fill
- 35:36out a form, see if we you're a good fit
- 35:38to join us in there, and then maybe we
- 35:39can get to you in there this weekend or
- 35:41next week. Much love and have a great
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