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New Millionaires will be made now‼️ — Transcript

by Jeremy Lefebvre Makes Money · 7,321 words · 1,029 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:00In my 18 years being in the stock
  2. 0:02market, every once in a while you're
  3. 0:03greeted with a shock and awe event.
  4. 0:05Something that comes out of nowhere and
  5. 0:07just simply shocks everybody and
  6. 0:09everybody's like, "Whoa, we never saw
  7. 0:11this situation coming, right?" And uh
  8. 0:13let's be very crystal clear, the stock
  9. 0:14market's going through one of those
  10. 0:15events right now. It's an absolute shock
  11. 0:17and awe out there. And investors, hedge
  12. 0:20funds, funds in general are making
  13. 0:23decisions at this point in time on what
  14. 0:25do they want to do moving forward. Where
  15. 0:27do they want to go? Um, by the way,
  16. 0:29appreciate you all for joining me here
  17. 0:30as always. So, AMD, [clears throat]
  18. 0:32massive move up here today. $80,000
  19. 0:35plus, now up $1.2 million on the stock
  20. 0:38just in the public account alone. Uh,
  21. 0:40stock continues to see momentum here.
  22. 0:43We'll speak about AMD in this video here
  23. 0:45today. Okay. Uh, we're going to
  24. 0:46obviously have to speak about the Jensen
  25. 0:48situation. As of a few hours ago, he is
  26. 0:51now officially kicked out of Nvidia.
  27. 0:54We'll talk about what this means for
  28. 0:55Nvidia moving forward, what this means
  29. 0:57for the semiconductor industry moving
  30. 0:58forward. So, since this is a reaction
  31. 1:00channel, I thought we'd react to some
  32. 1:01Wall Streeters and then I would share my
  33. 1:02opinion, perspectives here. Okay, after
  34. 1:04we get done going through that, I want
  35. 1:05to get uh into kind of AMD versus Nvidia
  36. 1:08a little bit here. Then I want to go
  37. 1:09ahead and react to this one. This is a
  38. 1:11big statement here. Nvidia is an
  39. 1:13uninvestable at these levels. I think
  40. 1:15this is a very big statement. So, I want
  41. 1:17to go ahead and react to that one. Share
  42. 1:18my opinion, perspectives there. And at
  43. 1:20the end of this video, I want to talk
  44. 1:21about some of the best opportunities.
  45. 1:23Now, I see at this point in time because
  46. 1:24we have so many different stocks moving
  47. 1:26around huge and so I thought I would
  48. 1:27share my opinions and perspectives
  49. 1:29there. Uh, by the way, I appreciate you
  50. 1:30all for joining me as always. If you
  51. 1:31haven't already done so, just please
  52. 1:33smash that like button for me. That's
  53. 1:34all I need from you. Additionally, if
  54. 1:36you want to be subscribed to the
  55. 1:37channel, you can certainly subscribe.
  56. 1:38We're at a new all-time high subscribers
  57. 1:40in the history of the channel. I
  58. 1:41appreciate each and every one of you for
  59. 1:42being here. Okay. Um, you know, let's
  60. 1:45get started right off the bat with I
  61. 1:49actually want to start off talking about
  62. 1:51a big subject. Okay, because
  63. 1:55we this is such a shock and awe event.
  64. 1:57How do you even prepare your portfolio
  65. 1:59for something like this? How do you even
  66. 2:01think about something like this, right?
  67. 2:04Um because you're putting in your
  68. 2:05hard-earned money toward a stock and
  69. 2:07it's like, what happens if your CEO is
  70. 2:09caught up into a situation like this or
  71. 2:11something like this, right? Listen, if
  72. 2:14you want to make a lot of money here,
  73. 2:15here's the way I'd think about it.
  74. 2:16Listen,
  75. 2:18you have to whenever you go into
  76. 2:21investment, you have to understand there
  77. 2:23are certain companies that have what I
  78. 2:25would call key man risk or key woman
  79. 2:28risk. And this is a situation where the
  80. 2:31CEO of the company is so incredibly
  81. 2:35important to that company that if that
  82. 2:37CEO suddenly just left overnight,
  83. 2:41the stock should be derated 10%, 20%,
  84. 2:4530%, like a significant number, right?
  85. 2:47There's a plenty of stocks out there in
  86. 2:49the market that if the CEO was to depart
  87. 2:52the company, if they would be caught up
  88. 2:53in something like this, um the stock
  89. 2:55wouldn't move that much, like maybe down
  90. 2:585%, 10%, something like that, but it
  91. 3:00wouldn't be anything crazy and the
  92. 3:02company would move just on and it'd be
  93. 3:05fine. Like there's plenty of stocks I
  94. 3:07can think of like, you know, American
  95. 3:09Express, Visa, companies like that. like
  96. 3:12if their CEO was caught up in some stuff
  97. 3:14and next thing you know they're kicked
  98. 3:15out, I'm I'm sure in the short term
  99. 3:17their stock price would go down a little
  100. 3:18bit, but there's not like such a big
  101. 3:19risk that people are like worried about
  102. 3:21the next 5 10 years of that company.
  103. 3:24Now, there are other CEOs out there
  104. 3:26think Elon Musk at Tesla that people
  105. 3:28would there's a lot of investors that if
  106. 3:30Elon Musk was to go away suddenly they'd
  107. 3:32be like, I'm not investing in that
  108. 3:34company anymore. SpaceX, right? A lot of
  109. 3:36people would be like, if Elon's not
  110. 3:37there, I'm not there. Right? Jensen is
  111. 3:40one of those CEOs that's up in that Elon
  112. 3:42category of people are like if Jensen's
  113. 3:45not there, I don't want to be invested
  114. 3:47in that stock. And so you have to
  115. 3:49consider that always with these
  116. 3:51particular company and with any sort of
  117. 3:53company that has somebody leading it
  118. 3:55that's so important to that company.
  119. 3:58AMD, we're about to talk about AMD,
  120. 4:00right? that has a sort a level of risk
  121. 4:03that if Lisa Sue um ever just, you know,
  122. 4:07departed from the company suddenly for
  123. 4:09whatever reason, there's no doubt AMD is
  124. 4:12worth less money without Lisa Sue. She's
  125. 4:15a legendary CEO at that company. When
  126. 4:17she took over this company, you know,
  127. 4:18shortly after it was a $2 stock. It was
  128. 4:20a two- buck chuck and even less than $2
  129. 4:22a share. People thought it was done.
  130. 4:23They thought it was going bankrupt,
  131. 4:24right? And now you look at AMD and
  132. 4:26people are gladly willing to pay $580
  133. 4:29something dollars for that stock now,
  134. 4:30right? And don't be surprised they're
  135. 4:32eventually paying $1,000 plus for that
  136. 4:34stock. And so there's a level of risk
  137. 4:37even in an AMD that a situation like
  138. 4:39this could come out, right? And so when
  139. 4:41you're running your valuation, you
  140. 4:43always have to like think about that in
  141. 4:45the back of your head like how important
  142. 4:46is the CEO of this company? And a lot of
  143. 4:48people love to invest into these sorts
  144. 4:50of companies that are founderled where
  145. 4:52the CEO is really leading the company
  146. 4:54and those can be phenomenal investments.
  147. 4:55But you also got to understand it comes
  148. 4:57with risk, right? There's a some sort of
  149. 4:59level of risk uh at Meta with
  150. 5:01Zuckerberg, right? I would say there's a
  151. 5:03lower level of risk with Zuckerberg than
  152. 5:05Jensen or even Elon at Tesla because
  153. 5:07those companies don't have very well
  154. 5:11diversified business models, right? Uh
  155. 5:13Tesla makes almost all his money from
  156. 5:14selling cars, you know, and when it
  157. 5:16comes to Nvidia, they make almost all
  158. 5:18their money from just selling GPUs,
  159. 5:20right? And Meta is a very well-
  160. 5:22diversified business since they own
  161. 5:24Facebook, Instagram, WhatsApp, uh they
  162. 5:27have threads, they have news, AI, they
  163. 5:29have so many different businesses and
  164. 5:31components there. They're much more well
  165. 5:33diversified, but even with a meta,
  166. 5:35there's still some sort of level of
  167. 5:36keyman risk, I would call it, right? And
  168. 5:38so that's the higher level way of
  169. 5:41thinking about it. And depending upon
  170. 5:44how important that SEO is to the
  171. 5:45company, it might be 10% of the value is
  172. 5:47SEO. It might be 20%, might be 30%. But
  173. 5:51you know, it was a great saying I think
  174. 5:52I think it was a Warren Buffett saying
  175. 5:54if I recall, do you know what Warren
  176. 5:55Buffett used to say? He said, "Buy a
  177. 5:58company that's so great any idiot could
  178. 6:01run it because eventually somebody
  179. 6:04will." And I think there's a great
  180. 6:05thing. I think there's a great um I
  181. 6:08think that's a great way of looking at
  182. 6:10it. uh buy a company that's so strong
  183. 6:12that any idiot could run that company.
  184. 6:14That's when you know you're really in a
  185. 6:15strong business, right? You know, I love
  186. 6:17my country, United States of America.
  187. 6:19You you got to always be prepared that
  188. 6:22somebody's going to run the country
  189. 6:23someday. Somebody's going to be
  190. 6:24president. That's just woo a whole
  191. 6:27situation, right? And
  192. 6:30the country's got to move on and we got
  193. 6:32to be okay and we got to make it through
  194. 6:33and we got to be prosperous and those
  195. 6:34sorts of things. And so that's the way I
  196. 6:37would put it to you guys and that's a
  197. 6:38way to kind of think about this right
  198. 6:40now when it comes to AMD stock
  199. 6:42specifically here. You know, obviously
  200. 6:45the stock has massive momentum. And
  201. 6:47listen, what have I told you guys with
  202. 6:49AMD? I told you this is a stock big
  203. 6:52money has to be in for 2027. They have
  204. 6:55to be in it, right?
  205. 6:57With the news that has come out here,
  206. 6:59has my opinion changed? The answer is
  207. 7:03this might shock a lot of you. Yes, my
  208. 7:06opinion has changed.
  209. 7:09I feel stronger, way stronger about that
  210. 7:12than I felt before because before it was
  211. 7:15just a story about revenue growth
  212. 7:17accelerating and the revenue growth
  213. 7:19percentage in in 2027 will start to
  214. 7:22overtake Nvidia's revenue growth rate in
  215. 7:25terms of percentage growth, which is the
  216. 7:27first time in like forever that has
  217. 7:29happened. such a long time, right? So,
  218. 7:32that's very exciting. The growth rates
  219. 7:34are going to be stronger. The margin
  220. 7:35acceleration is going to be stronger
  221. 7:36than Nvidia, all these sorts of things,
  222. 7:37right? So, it's a stock you got to be
  223. 7:39in. But now, I feel even way stronger
  224. 7:41about it because they have now a clean
  225. 7:44story along with it. Nvidia doesn't have
  226. 7:47that story. So, now you're looking out
  227. 7:49there, you're thinking, gosh, who do I
  228. 7:51want to be invested into in the
  229. 7:53semiconductor industry in 2027? and
  230. 7:56you're looking out there and you're
  231. 7:57like, okay, the memory, you know, memory
  232. 7:59chip stocks are are an opportunity, but
  233. 8:02there's always fear about the memory
  234. 8:03chip stocks. That's why they trade at
  235. 8:04three and four forward a piece. People
  236. 8:06are like, ah, you know, um, as soon as
  237. 8:09demand starts to weaken at all, pricing
  238. 8:11is going to plummet and margins will
  239. 8:13plummet for those companies and
  240. 8:14profitability will plummet and no one
  241. 8:15wants to be in that sort of situation.
  242. 8:17So, memory chip stocks, great profitable
  243. 8:19companies making more money than they
  244. 8:20know what to do with for at least the
  245. 8:21next year or two, but people are scared
  246. 8:24of those. Nvidia story is a mess now,
  247. 8:27right? We know that Nvidia Story is a
  248. 8:29mess. The one company that, you know,
  249. 8:32you're getting the numbers and you're
  250. 8:34getting the story and you're getting the
  251. 8:36long-term opportunity and the long-term
  252. 8:38comfort is AMD.
  253. 8:40And so, I would feel I feel even
  254. 8:43stronger about like gosh, man, AMD is
  255. 8:45the one. Like, it's been the one and
  256. 8:48it's more the one than it's honestly
  257. 8:50ever been. It's incredible, right? And
  258. 8:52so as an AMD investor, you just got to
  259. 8:54be thankful. You just got to be
  260. 8:56thankful, man. You know, and to the
  261. 8:58Nvidia investors out there that are
  262. 8:59watching this, that's just tough, man.
  263. 9:00Like sometimes you're going to get into
  264. 9:01some situations where, and believe me,
  265. 9:04it's happened to me plenty of times in
  266. 9:05my 18 years of being in the stock
  267. 9:06market, right? It's been plenty of
  268. 9:08situations I've been caught up into that
  269. 9:11something shocking happened and it was
  270. 9:13just like, how? What? Like this
  271. 9:15situation? And you know, I lost money
  272. 9:17from the situation or I lost a ton of
  273. 9:19gains and
  274. 9:21it's what I call the cost of doing
  275. 9:25business. It's the cost of doing
  276. 9:27business in this game. Sometimes some
  277. 9:29things are just going to come out of
  278. 9:30nowhere and you're just going to be
  279. 9:32like, "No freaking way. This thing
  280. 9:34happened." It's a cost of doing business
  281. 9:37and you have to move on. You have to
  282. 9:39say, "Gosh, man. Is there something I
  283. 9:41can learn from this?" And there always
  284. 9:42is, right? And so that's that. Okay,
  285. 9:45let's go ahead and react to some Wall
  286. 9:46Streeters and then I want to uh share my
  287. 9:49opinion perspectives here. Then we'll
  288. 9:50get more into AMD and Nvidia, more in
  289. 9:52Nvidia again and then we'll talk about
  290. 9:54some of the best opportunities I see
  291. 9:56personally in the stock market.
  292. 9:57>> That was a really hard decision though,
  293. 9:58Frank um because the fundamentals are
  294. 10:00very very strong at this company and I
  295. 10:02expect the quarter next week to be very
  296. 10:04good with uh 300 billion in free cash
  297. 10:07flow next year. They're going to grow
  298. 10:09revenues by in 28 of 70% and gross
  299. 10:12margins in the mid70s. But this stock is
  300. 10:15not going to trade on fundamentals I
  301. 10:16don't think for a while because you have
  302. 10:18the overhang of the investigations of
  303. 10:21leadership changes of potential
  304. 10:23departures. And so I think it's really
  305. 10:25for me as as an investor I'm thinking
  306. 10:27the opportunity cost here cuz I do think
  307. 10:30it's going to be kind of in a trading
  308. 10:32range for the next 6 to 12 months in my
  309. 10:35opinion. Um I will not have a problem
  310. 10:37buying the stock back if we get a a
  311. 10:38really amazing leader and we can get
  312. 10:41past this. But I think we have time and
  313. 10:43as a result I actually added to Micron
  314. 10:46because that stock is down just as much
  315. 10:47from its high 35%. And the fundamentals
  316. 10:50are very uh attractive and it's trading
  317. 10:52at five times earnings and I think
  318. 10:54they're going to announce a buyback in
  319. 10:56when they report earnings in early
  320. 10:57December. So that has a clean
  321. 10:59fundamentals, clean story, cheap stock,
  322. 11:02whereas Nvidia is just not clean at this
  323. 11:05point.
  324. 11:05>> All right. Not calling it clean.
  325. 11:06>> The clo So I've been in the market a
  326. 11:09long time man. I've seen a lot of crap.
  327. 11:11the closest thing I have ever seen to
  328. 11:13this. Let me tell you about what the
  329. 11:14situation was and let me tell you about
  330. 11:16how it turned out for that particular
  331. 11:18company. Okay,
  332. 11:20win resorts. I call them winning
  333. 11:22resorts, right? There's a company I've
  334. 11:25tracked or owned on and off for
  335. 11:2812, 14 years, something like that,
  336. 11:31right? It's not a position I have in the
  337. 11:33public account, but I do have it in some
  338. 11:34other portfolios like I own in the
  339. 11:35Patreon portfolio and I own it in some
  340. 11:37private portfolios as well, right? Win
  341. 11:40Resorts had a situation very similar to
  342. 11:42this. Um, a little different in terms of
  343. 11:44the dynamics and we don't need to get
  344. 11:46into all the details, but basically uh
  345. 11:48Steve Win was, you know, basically
  346. 11:51forced out of Win Resorts, right? And
  347. 11:53he's a legendary figure in Las Vegas.
  348. 11:56He's, you know, the reason the strip is
  349. 11:58what it is. He built the Mirage when no
  350. 12:00one saw the future for the Mirage and
  351. 12:02built it on junk bonds and made it an
  352. 12:03incredible success. He built Treasure
  353. 12:05Island. He built the Bellagio that ch
  354. 12:08changed the strip forever. And then
  355. 12:09obviously he built Win and Encore,
  356. 12:11right? And he got his real start in
  357. 12:13regards to the resort business with uh
  358. 12:14the gold nugget back in the day. Legend,
  359. 12:17legend, legend at Win Resorts. And then
  360. 12:20suddenly all this stuff starts to come
  361. 12:22about about Steve Win and massages.
  362. 12:25Okay, let's just put it like that. Next
  363. 12:27thing you know, bang, he's gone.
  364. 12:30Shocking. Like it was shocking to the
  365. 12:32city. He had to divest his shares in the
  366. 12:34company. Like it was uh it was crazy.
  367. 12:37And so that was the closest thing I've
  368. 12:39ever seen to this. Now, how did it turn
  369. 12:41out for Win Resorts? Well, you know, the
  370. 12:44stock price is lower today than it was
  371. 12:46actually back when he got kicked out of
  372. 12:47the company, but that's for a multitude
  373. 12:49of other reasons that have nothing
  374. 12:51really to do with him. That's because of
  375. 12:53Rona and, you know, slowdowns of Macau
  376. 12:56and a bunch of other various reasons,
  377. 12:58right? But the thing I'll say about that
  378. 13:00is the company has not fallen off since
  379. 13:03Steve Win left. If anything, they've
  380. 13:05actually gotten more impressive. I'm
  381. 13:07talking on profitability metrics and I'm
  382. 13:09talking about just from a customer
  383. 13:10experience cuz I went to win countless
  384. 13:12times when Steve Win was still running
  385. 13:14the place and then I went to obviously
  386. 13:16win. I go to win all the time, right? I
  387. 13:18I would say if anything, they're even
  388. 13:20more well-run than they were actually in
  389. 13:22the Steve Win era, right? So, you might
  390. 13:24look at something like that and say,
  391. 13:25"Hey, if Win Resorts could do it, Nvidia
  392. 13:28can do it." There's a big difference.
  393. 13:29Okay, Steve Win resorts, he had already
  394. 13:33sold MGM years ago, right? Um, he sold
  395. 13:37the Bellagio, Mirage, and Treasure
  396. 13:39Island. He'd already departed from a
  397. 13:40company. So, when he came to win
  398. 13:42resorts, he came with a different
  399. 13:44thought process of I need to build an
  400. 13:45overall leadership team and an overall
  401. 13:49culture that is going to outlast my
  402. 13:52life. Okay, this is very similar to
  403. 13:54Steve Jobs. Steve Jobs got kicked out of
  404. 13:57Apple, right? Then when he came back, he
  405. 14:00understood he needed to build a culture
  406. 14:01of Apple that could outlast him and a
  407. 14:04leadership team that could outlast him,
  408. 14:06right? And he did it. And so in both
  409. 14:08those situations, those companies were
  410. 14:09able to be successful. The issue here
  411. 14:11with Nvidia and Jensen, he never got
  412. 14:13kicked out of a company. Like he went
  413. 14:15from, you know, whatever he was doing, I
  414. 14:18don't remember if he was working at
  415. 14:18Denny's or what the situation was or if
  416. 14:20he just came up with thought of Nvidia,
  417. 14:22I think he was working for a
  418. 14:23semiconductor company and then they came
  419. 14:24up with it out of Denny's or something
  420. 14:25like that, right? And then he's been at
  421. 14:28Nvidia since he founded it back in what
  422. 14:30was that the early 90s. He he never got
  423. 14:33kicked out of a company. So he never had
  424. 14:35to think about oh the culture I need to
  425. 14:37cultivate here and the management team
  426. 14:39that's going to outlast me because he
  427. 14:40never got put in that situation before,
  428. 14:42right? And so don't automatically assume
  429. 14:45because these other situations the
  430. 14:47companies have been able to still do
  431. 14:48great and prosper. Don't you know and
  432. 14:51also with the Win Resorts situation
  433. 14:53understand Win stock got derated after
  434. 14:56that it it it fell a lot because a lot
  435. 15:00of people were investing in Win Resorts
  436. 15:01because of Steve Win. He was so amazing.
  437. 15:04He was such a salesman and so they felt
  438. 15:07comfortable and were excited to invest
  439. 15:08in the win and once he left the company
  440. 15:11that whole like Steve Win premium went
  441. 15:13away. Same thing's happening with
  442. 15:15Bergkshire Hathaway actually right now
  443. 15:16and will over the next several years. A
  444. 15:18lot of people are investing in
  445. 15:19Bergkshire Hathway because of who?
  446. 15:21Warren Buffett. Without Warren Buffett
  447. 15:22there, even though the company should
  448. 15:23still be a great company, there's a lot
  449. 15:25of people aren't willing to pay as much.
  450. 15:26The people aren't going to be as excited
  451. 15:28to buy it, right? And with Apple, huge
  452. 15:30rerating that happened in Apple stock.
  453. 15:32Like I remember a few years after, you
  454. 15:35know, uh Steve Jobs had passed on, Apple
  455. 15:37was trading at like a 10 or a 12p ratio,
  456. 15:41forward P. like you know and in the
  457. 15:42Steve Jobs era it was way higher than
  458. 15:44that and so do understand people are
  459. 15:47going to be willing to pay a lot less
  460. 15:48without that legend uh at the helm you
  461. 15:51know over the next many years
  462. 15:53>> by the way a lot of people talking about
  463. 15:54the valuation trading uh at a very low
  464. 15:57valuation right now I believe about 14
  465. 15:59times Ford earnings Malcolm I want to
  466. 16:00come over here
  467. 16:01>> 10 times
  468. 16:01>> is it 10 times okay I'm looking at our
  469. 16:03system we have it about
  470. 16:04>> John these people man they got some
  471. 16:07crazy like they they're just running
  472. 16:09with their own crazy earnings per share
  473. 16:11estim And it's like, holy smokes
  474. 16:12>> times. They're going to do $20 a share
  475. 16:14in fiscal 28. So yeah,
  476. 16:15>> it's it's it's unbelievable. Who cares?
  477. 16:18>> Yeah.
  478. 16:20>> Well, we know who doesn't care. It's
  479. 16:21you, Malcol. You also sold out of Nvidia
  480. 16:22as well.
  481. 16:23>> You care if you're still in it. You
  482. 16:24don't care if you're out of full. I
  483. 16:26guess the question is, what are you
  484. 16:27still waiting for? cuz I I I sold the
  485. 16:29shares uh in after hours because
  486. 16:33essentially the only question I was
  487. 16:34still asking initially was sell the
  488. 16:37stock and then by what cuz there's not
  489. 16:39really a lot that you can use to replace
  490. 16:40a company like this that's seated at the
  491. 16:43center of the entire AI trade but then
  492. 16:46the whole reason that I wanted to own
  493. 16:48the stock in the first place has left
  494. 16:50the building so I understand everything
  495. 16:52Jensen
  496. 16:53>> yes everything uh related to Nvidia left
  497. 16:58with the CEO. So, I understand
  498. 17:00everything that Stephanie's saying in
  499. 17:01terms of the fundamentals and all the
  500. 17:03all of the reasons that the stock is
  501. 17:04still attractive eventually. I don't
  502. 17:07understand though why there's still so
  503. 17:08many buyers in this name. So, yes, if
  504. 17:11you're already in the stock, maybe
  505. 17:13you're deciding you want to hold on and
  506. 17:14see what happens over the next 12
  507. 17:16months. I know uh uh Josh, personally,
  508. 17:18you have a low basis in the stock. I
  509. 17:20started buying it in the '9s after
  510. 17:22tariff liberation day. So it it matters
  511. 17:25where you got into the stock, but the
  512. 17:26fact that it's holding up the way that
  513. 17:28it is means that there's a substantial
  514. 17:30amount of buying pressure in this name,
  515. 17:31too. That part I don't really understand
  516. 17:33because it's going to take a very long
  517. 17:36time before it turns the ship, if ever.
  518. 17:39And even when it does, without having
  519. 17:41the champion in Jensen Wong that it has
  520. 17:43had for the last four years, I don't
  521. 17:46know how you place the premium on this
  522. 17:48stock that you have for the last four
  523. 17:49years.
  524. 17:50>> Well, it's holding up right now. Let me
  525. 17:51explain that. Let me be very crystal
  526. 17:53clear about this. It's holding up and
  527. 17:55not falling crazy amounts right now
  528. 17:57because
  529. 17:59you still have the numbers agree. If you
  530. 18:02get any slippage in the numbers,
  531. 18:05any slippage in the next few quarters,
  532. 18:07that all goes right out the window
  533. 18:09because then people will have doubts
  534. 18:10about the numbers and the story, the
  535. 18:13longer term story with Jensen. And
  536. 18:14that's when people start to really throw
  537. 18:17in the towel. If you don't have that,
  538. 18:19then you always have, oh, look at the
  539. 18:21valuation, look at the numbers, right?
  540. 18:24Any slippage, any slippage in a revenue
  541. 18:27growth rate or a margin growth rate or
  542. 18:30an earnings per share number or
  543. 18:32something like that, that's that's when
  544. 18:35you start to run into some trouble.
  545. 18:37>> No premium in the stock. So, let me
  546. 18:39disagree with you right there. Okay?
  547. 18:40>> Stock has been selling at a below market
  548. 18:42multiple for 24 months. There is no
  549. 18:45premium on the stock. there hasn't been
  550. 18:47since even before you bought it.
  551. 18:49>> However, the reason that the stock has
  552. 18:52been trading the way that it has is
  553. 18:53because there's been the promise that
  554. 18:55Nvidia is in at the center of literally
  555. 18:57everything. If Coree wins, so does
  556. 19:00Nvidia. If OpenAI wins, so does Nvidia.
  557. 19:02>> Do you think that just changed?
  558. 19:04>> I do. I I do. I I the reason I say that
  559. 19:07is because it's going to be very hard
  560. 19:08for this company to move the way it has
  561. 19:10moved in the past with the overhang of
  562. 19:13we don't know what all has happened from
  563. 19:15a national security perspective. We
  564. 19:17don't know what meetings they'll now be
  565. 19:18shut out of. We don't know what
  566. 19:19relationships have now been destroyed.
  567. 19:21So there's just so many unknowns here
  568. 19:23that I think it's impossible to expect
  569. 19:25Nvidia to be able to move the way that
  570. 19:27they have and be able to command any
  571. 19:29sort of a
  572. 19:31centerpiece relationship that they have
  573. 19:33to the AI train.
  574. 19:34>> All right. So you're saying that Jensen
  575. 19:35Wong's out, you're out. By the way,
  576. 19:36William Blair coming out.
  577. 19:37>> Yeah. I mean, Jensen was one of the best
  578. 19:39salesman in the world. Let's be very
  579. 19:41crystal clear about that. Like the way
  580. 19:43that man could sell his products and his
  581. 19:46vision is legendary as a oneonone,
  582. 19:48right? And every single CEO in the world
  583. 19:51wanted to be there with Jensen, right?
  584. 19:54Didn't matter if it was Benny off at
  585. 19:56Salesforce, didn't matter if it was
  586. 19:57McDermott at at uh Service Service Now.
  587. 20:00Didn't matter who it was. Everybody
  588. 20:02wanted to be like tied in with Jensen,
  589. 20:04right? Like this the guy, the salesman,
  590. 20:07the business legend, right? And um that
  591. 20:11certainly goes away. That doesn't mean
  592. 20:12companies like, oh, we're anti- Nvidia
  593. 20:14or something like that. It's just it's
  594. 20:16not going to be the way it was, right?
  595. 20:18and the speed you can move being founder
  596. 20:20le with a guy with that much power you
  597. 20:22can just move a lot faster and uh speed
  598. 20:26will be slowed down now at this point in
  599. 20:28time in an industry where AMD's on it
  600. 20:31man like AMD's on it and so you just got
  601. 20:34to understand like AMD is not going to
  602. 20:36they're not going to slow down like AMD
  603. 20:37is just speeding up AMD's been catching
  604. 20:39Nvidia we know this we can see it in the
  605. 20:42products that AMD's been launching over
  606. 20:44the last you know couple years here we
  607. 20:46can see it in the moves Nvidia's been or
  608. 20:48AMD's been making for acquisitions. And
  609. 20:50we can see it with the customer results,
  610. 20:53right? So like you're not in a position
  611. 20:56where if you're Nvidia, you can really
  612. 20:58slow down, but they're going to have no
  613. 21:00choice but to slow down. Meanwhile, AMD,
  614. 21:04they don't have to slow down. They can
  615. 21:06just keep going 1,000 m hour. So it's
  616. 21:10it's it matters.
  617. 21:11>> That Nvidia is going to lose its
  618. 21:12creative relationship driven dealmaking.
  619. 21:14It sounds like you you share that
  620. 21:16sentiment as well. Uh, Bill, I want to
  621. 21:17come to you. You and Josh still in in
  622. 21:18the name. So, go ahead. Why are you
  623. 21:20staying?
  624. 21:20>> Well, we we did trim at 217 3 weeks ago.
  625. 21:23So, that does help a little bit here.
  626. 21:25It's still a top holding of ours. Now, I
  627. 21:27think you also want to look at the path.
  628. 21:29How did we get here at 165 right now?
  629. 21:32>> We can't get we can't get into how we
  630. 21:33got here.
  631. 21:34>> Well, I mean, but if you look at the
  632. 21:36want us to do that,
  633. 21:36>> but the selling that took place that
  634. 21:38broke 200 late in the month of October
  635. 21:41was on the heels of these big hypers
  636. 21:43scale earnings reports. And the
  637. 21:44sentiment around that was not only about
  638. 21:46the the election that came the following
  639. 21:48week, but as well that the hyperscalers
  640. 21:50are going to maybe pull back on the
  641. 21:51capex. A lot of banks still believe that
  642. 21:53the capex is still going to be there. So
  643. 21:56I think there was already a tremendous
  644. 21:57amount of selling that that got us here.
  645. 21:59And this is this the kick while you're
  646. 22:00down. But yeah, 101 forward earnings,
  647. 22:03the backlog and current infrastructure,
  648. 22:04it's it's highly probable that you're
  649. 22:06going to get an above market rate of
  650. 22:07return in the future off this name. But
  651. 22:10when you start to look one to two years
  652. 22:11out, yes, there going to be questions
  653. 22:13about how and will they move forward.
  654. 22:15Where does that competition going to
  655. 22:17come from? Maybe a Broadcom, maybe an
  656. 22:18Alphabet uh with the TPU. But again, I I
  657. 22:22think that we're [laughter]
  658. 22:23Oh, John mentioned AMD. Holy smokes, I
  659. 22:26can't listen to that guy anymore. Uh so
  660. 22:29here's a big mistake uh people are
  661. 22:31making with Nvidia. Big big mistake.
  662. 22:34Okay, if you watch my last reaction
  663. 22:37channel video I released on the channel,
  664. 22:39I called this out. A lot of you guys
  665. 22:41picked up on this, right? Remember what
  666. 22:42happened? Dan Niles is like, I can't
  667. 22:46imagine how much worse it can get from
  668. 22:48here. And I'm like, are you kidding me?
  669. 22:50This could easily get worse. More
  670. 22:52affairs could come out. He could be
  671. 22:53kicked out of the company. Like, there's
  672. 22:55so many things that could happen. And
  673. 22:57obviously, guess what happened? It got
  674. 22:59worse. So now people like, it can't get
  675. 23:01any worse. Yes, it can get worse.
  676. 23:03doesn't mean it for sure will, but it
  677. 23:05could absolutely get worse. You know,
  678. 23:07Jensen's going to have to get in front
  679. 23:08of Congress. There's always a potent
  680. 23:11like that's either going to be a neutral
  681. 23:13event or a negative event. There's no
  682. 23:14coming out of that where that's a
  683. 23:16positive event. It's either neutral or
  684. 23:17negative. Okay? So, there's that that
  685. 23:20things are going to have to be dealt
  686. 23:21with. There could be full-scale big
  687. 23:24government investigations into Nvidia's
  688. 23:26business. There can be things that come
  689. 23:28out of Nvidia's customers doing illegal
  690. 23:31business practices um and selling chips
  691. 23:34to China or whatever. There there's so
  692. 23:37much crap that is going to tie up
  693. 23:40executive teams attention for a certain
  694. 23:42amount of time, right? And how did they
  695. 23:45navigate all this without Jensen at the
  696. 23:49helm? Like Jensen's a genius with
  697. 23:51dealing with all this crap, right? It's
  698. 23:54like Jensen is not just a genius in
  699. 23:55terms of um understanding like here's
  700. 23:57the chips we need to come out with for
  701. 23:59the future and here's where this
  702. 24:00technology is going in the future. He's
  703. 24:02a genius with dealing with all this BS.
  704. 24:05He's the guy that does it. He's a guy
  705. 24:07that understands I need to, you know, be
  706. 24:09in with Xi in China and I need to be in
  707. 24:11with President Trump in uh United States
  708. 24:14and I need to, you know, be in with this
  709. 24:16person and this business legend and this
  710. 24:18business leader and and this big bank
  711. 24:20and he understands like this whole game.
  712. 24:22He's been playing this since the '9s.
  713. 24:24So, he's gone away. So, now, who's going
  714. 24:27to be able to take that spot and be able
  715. 24:29to deal with all these individuals
  716. 24:33the way he was? Who's going to be able
  717. 24:35to command that level of respect?
  718. 24:38Like, if Jensen's in a room with Trump,
  719. 24:41Jensen commands a level of respect
  720. 24:44that's incredible.
  721. 24:46a random CEO of Nvidia that's in that
  722. 24:49same room does not command that same
  723. 24:51level of respect.
  724. 24:53If if if Jensen's having, you know, a
  725. 24:56meeting with Xi in China or somebody
  726. 24:58that's right underneath Xi, there's a
  727. 25:00whole different level of respect that
  728. 25:02goes along with that versus a random CEO
  729. 25:04at Nvidia. They're they're not on the
  730. 25:07same level.
  731. 25:09They're not on the same level. And uh
  732. 25:11the same goes for any sort of situation.
  733. 25:14If Jensen's in a room with any sort of
  734. 25:17business CEO, the level of respect that
  735. 25:19other individual has for Jensen is is is
  736. 25:22skyhigh. Like you can't even imagine it.
  737. 25:25And um if there's another CEO in the
  738. 25:28place, there's just not that level of
  739. 25:30respect, right? Um and so that that's
  740. 25:33something very important to understand
  741. 25:34here, folks. Okay. Okay. Next up here,
  742. 25:37you know, I made a very a very big call
  743. 25:40back around liberation day last year,
  744. 25:43right? And I said AMD over the next
  745. 25:46several years is going to significantly
  746. 25:48outperform Nvidia. And I said it won't
  747. 25:50even be close. And so what are the
  748. 25:53results of that very big prediction? And
  749. 25:55I got a lot of hate when I made that
  750. 25:57prediction. Oh, I get so much hate all
  751. 25:59the time, man. It's unbelievable. I get
  752. 26:01a lot of love, too. Okay? I get a lot of
  753. 26:02love from you guys. I appreciate it. But
  754. 26:04I also get plenty of hate, especially
  755. 26:06when I make controversial statements.
  756. 26:08And a lot of times people then look back
  757. 26:10a year later, a few years later, and
  758. 26:11like
  759. 26:13he was he that was a controversial
  760. 26:14statement, but damn, he was he was right
  761. 26:16about that. And uh I'm not afraid to
  762. 26:18stick my head out there and get a lot of
  763. 26:20crap in the short term and then people
  764. 26:23usually get caught up to it in there and
  765. 26:25be like, "Oh, now we see it, right?" And
  766. 26:28so I made a very controversial statement
  767. 26:31and I put my money where my mouth is
  768. 26:33back, you know, early 2025, invested
  769. 26:35heavily into AMD and I said AMD is going
  770. 26:38to obliterate Nvidia's returns over the
  771. 26:41coming years. It's not even going to be
  772. 26:42close. And you know, at that time AMD
  773. 26:45was an underperforming stock that was
  774. 26:47seen as a disappointment. People called
  775. 26:49it advanced money decimator, right? And
  776. 26:52now they call it advanced money
  777. 26:53duplicator. And Nvidia could do no wrong
  778. 26:56at that particular time. like Nvidia was
  779. 26:58the one, right? And now you look at the
  780. 27:00performance of these two stocks and
  781. 27:03you know it speaks volumes. AMD is up
  782. 27:06648%.
  783. 27:09Since that time last year, Nvidia is up
  784. 27:1172%. 72% by the way is not bad. Um but
  785. 27:15it's a long way from 648%. Right? And
  786. 27:18this whole situation with Jensen, this
  787. 27:20is just one component. Even without
  788. 27:22this, AMD was already just absolutely
  789. 27:25knocking the, you know, the cover off
  790. 27:27the ball. And so, you know, you you got
  791. 27:30to have your conviction. You got to know
  792. 27:32what you're doing. And the thing gave me
  793. 27:33conviction is really understanding AMD's
  794. 27:35business model, understanding the
  795. 27:37financials around it, what could happen
  796. 27:38to the financials in the future, and all
  797. 27:40this sort of stuff, right? And if you
  798. 27:41need help understanding all this, I
  799. 27:43teach it all in my private group. I
  800. 27:44teach it all in my private group. All
  801. 27:46the stuff that's gotten me to this place
  802. 27:48where I can make a controversial call
  803. 27:49like that and then capitalize and make
  804. 27:51millions, literally multiple millions of
  805. 27:53dollars has come a long way. And I teach
  806. 27:55you all the stuff that I know right up
  807. 27:57here. There's no other like product I
  808. 27:59have that I'm like, oh, you know, I'm
  809. 28:01saving some for this other product. No,
  810. 28:02I teach you all in those course
  811. 28:04curriculums. I teach you everything I
  812. 28:05know. And so, you want to access that,
  813. 28:07that will be the pinned comment down
  814. 28:08there today. You go down there, click on
  815. 28:10that, fill out a form. Let's get you in
  816. 28:12there. Let's get you up to a much higher
  817. 28:13level than where you're at today. All
  818. 28:16right, let's get into the next one.
  819. 28:17Nvidia is in uninvestable at these
  820. 28:18levels and then we'll get into my
  821. 28:19favorite opportunities in this market.
  822. 28:22>> At these levels, I don't think so. I
  823. 28:24mean, there's too much, you know, too
  824. 28:26much to happen right now. We're probably
  825. 28:27going to see uh for better or worse,
  826. 28:29Jesse Young is going to be, you know,
  827. 28:31probably removed a CEO. I mean, it's
  828. 28:33it's pretty rare for a CEO to, you know,
  829. 28:36be involved with a subordinate and not
  830. 28:38ultimately it cost them their their job.
  831. 28:40So, I can't see how he survives this.
  832. 28:42and the board has painted themselves
  833. 28:45into a bit of a corner by not having any
  834. 28:47kind of succession plan. You know, I've
  835. 28:48heard him compared to, you know, this is
  836. 28:50like Steve Jobs being removed from
  837. 28:52Apple, but he he put in place a
  838. 28:54succession plan and cultivated and
  839. 28:56groomed Tim Cook for years. So that when
  840. 28:59his time, you know, when he finally
  841. 29:00passed away and he took over, there was
  842. 29:02a real leader there. And right now,
  843. 29:04Nvidia doesn't have that person in
  844. 29:06place. And so it's going to be either a
  845. 29:09choice of have keeping Jensen and being
  846. 29:11faced with months and months of being
  847. 29:13hauled in front of probably
  848. 29:14congressional
  849. 29:15uh you know uh uh uh boards and things
  850. 29:19to explain themselves and you know all
  851. 29:20kinds of interrogations or they're going
  852. 29:23to have to move on from him and that's
  853. 29:24just going to make the stock
  854. 29:25uninvestable. That doesn't make the AI
  855. 29:27trade uninvestable but it certainly
  856. 29:29makes Nvidian uninvestable.
  857. 29:33Richard, we're seeing right now the
  858. 29:34stock down more than 8% in extended
  859. 29:37hours. What happens to the stock if the
  860. 29:40board does decide to go ahead? Do I feel
  861. 29:43like Nvidia's uninvestable? My take is
  862. 29:48I wouldn't necessarily put it in that
  863. 29:49category. The category I put it in is
  864. 29:51the same category I've had it in since
  865. 29:54this time last year. Since this time
  866. 29:56last year, I said Nvidia is a rangebound
  867. 29:59stock. They're feeling really negative
  868. 30:01about it. it's going to go down to the
  869. 30:03125ish level, right? If they're feeling
  870. 30:06really bullish about it, they're going
  871. 30:07to move it up to 200 or a little above
  872. 30:09200. And ultimately, it's just going to
  873. 30:12be stuck there for the next several
  874. 30:13years. And that's the call I made last
  875. 30:15year, right? And it's still what I would
  876. 30:19say about that stock today. It's a stock
  877. 30:22that's just it's just a rangebound
  878. 30:23stock. And so, you know, it's the way
  879. 30:26it's been. It's the way it's going to be
  880. 30:28for a while. Um, and there could be a
  881. 30:32moment in the future when it is very
  882. 30:34interesting again, but it's not at this
  883. 30:36exact time, right? Uh, but I also
  884. 30:38wouldn't put it in the uninvestable
  885. 30:39category because that makes it sound
  886. 30:40like it's like a toxic asset that's, you
  887. 30:42know, going to crash 70% or something
  888. 30:44like that. And I I don't see that
  889. 30:46scenario
  890. 30:46>> and decide ultimately that Jensen Hong's
  891. 30:50position is untenable now.
  892. 30:53>> Yeah, I think the stock goes lower from
  893. 30:54here. I think we're getting the opening
  894. 30:56bid right now and then there's still a
  895. 30:58question mark. They may not do it. I
  896. 30:59mean, as some of the other analysts have
  897. 31:01mentioned, they have painted themselves
  898. 31:03in such a corner where they don't have a
  899. 31:05succession plan. There's no obvious uh
  900. 31:08bench there that can step right in and
  901. 31:10take over. And so, they may kind of ride
  902. 31:13try to ride this out and retain him. Um,
  903. 31:16but you know, there's that that's that's
  904. 31:18the issue. Jensen really made a big
  905. 31:20mistake here. He never even made it
  906. 31:22publicly known of who's the number two
  907. 31:25at Nvidia. Unless you are super into
  908. 31:28Nvidia, you have no clue who the number
  909. 31:30two is at Nvidia. Like who is that
  910. 31:32second most important person with Apple?
  911. 31:35It was a very different story. That's a
  912. 31:38very different story. You had um I
  913. 31:41remember Apple. You had Eddie Q. You had
  914. 31:45Phil Schiller we knew about. You had the
  915. 31:47amazing and legendary Johnny IV we knew
  916. 31:51about, right? You had Tim Cook we knew
  917. 31:53about. Like there was like this bench
  918. 31:55behind Steve Jobs and that's what I talk
  919. 31:57about when he left Apple. He, you know,
  920. 31:59we knew about all these individuals.
  921. 32:01Unless you're like insanely into Nvidia,
  922. 32:04you don't even know who the number two
  923. 32:05at Nvidia is. Like who's the second most
  924. 32:07important person at that company? Who's
  925. 32:09the number three? Jensen just never gave
  926. 32:11enough opportunity to really spotlight
  927. 32:15other executives and make them shine,
  928. 32:17right? Um he might have made him shine
  929. 32:19in different ways, but damn it, it
  930. 32:21wasn't in the public eye, right? Uh,
  931. 32:23okay. Let's talk about some of the best
  932. 32:24opportunities in the market that I see
  933. 32:26personally out there right now. And, uh,
  934. 32:28then we'll go from there. And once
  935. 32:30again, if you're looking to join the
  936. 32:30private group, that'll be pinned comment
  937. 32:32down there today. Fill the form. We'll
  938. 32:33see if we can get you access maybe this
  939. 32:34weekend or next week. That's also access
  940. 32:36to my Discord chat, exclusive weekly
  941. 32:38videos, see all the moves I'm personally
  942. 32:40making out there, and all that good
  943. 32:42stuff. Okay? And let's get you up to a
  944. 32:43much higher level than where you're at
  945. 32:44today. So, best opportunities I see in
  946. 32:47the market. There's a few, right? So
  947. 32:50honest is still a great opportunity I
  948. 32:53believe um in the market. I think that's
  949. 32:55the most undervalued
  950. 32:57uh under $1 billion company in the world
  951. 32:59and uh I think people will see that over
  952. 33:02time. Hims is interesting but I was
  953. 33:05looking at him recent numbers their
  954. 33:07their member numbers definitely is
  955. 33:10concerning. So you know I I don't know
  956. 33:14like him is getting to that valuation
  957. 33:16where it's very compelling. It's under
  958. 33:1720 bucks, but I'm just not sure if I
  959. 33:20feel super comfortable investing into
  960. 33:22him. So, it's one I'm I'm paying closer
  961. 33:24attention to as a potential, but I'm I'm
  962. 33:28slightly concerned there. Right. RH is
  963. 33:30still a great opportunity, I believe.
  964. 33:31Obviously, the stock has bottomed and
  965. 33:33has started to head up, but I think RH
  966. 33:34is a great opportunity. ELF continues to
  967. 33:36be a great opportunity. You guys know
  968. 33:38how I feel about that. I believe them
  969. 33:39and Eel both finished somewhere between
  970. 33:42120 and 140 this year. Uh, the hood's
  971. 33:45interesting, but I still the hood. What
  972. 33:46do I say to you guys about the hood? I
  973. 33:48need in order for Robin Hood u for me to
  974. 33:51want to buy Hood, I need that stock to
  975. 33:55not only be down, but I really need the
  976. 33:57market to be in like a bare market at
  977. 33:58that particular time. for me to buy hood
  978. 34:01when I mean how much the S&P 500's
  979. 34:03probably only down uh I don't know four
  980. 34:06or five% off all-time highs you know the
  981. 34:10the QQQ the NASDAQ's probably down I
  982. 34:12don't know 11% from alltime highs or
  983. 34:15something in that ballpark let's call it
  984. 34:1610 to 12% you know that's just not super
  985. 34:19big compelling
  986. 34:21you know reasons to buy hood like I
  987. 34:23really want to see the S&P 500 be hit
  988. 34:25double digit percentage and the Q's be
  989. 34:27hit like 20% plus for me to say, you
  990. 34:30know what, I want to buy Hood. Celsius,
  991. 34:31the wealthiest remains a phenomenal
  992. 34:33opportunity out in the market. Um,
  993. 34:35anything anywhere around these levels, I
  994. 34:37think, is just a great long-term buy
  995. 34:39there. The Flicks, I think, is a
  996. 34:41phenomenal buy there. Uh, that's super
  997. 34:44attractive right now. Wind as a
  998. 34:46long-term investment is a very
  999. 34:47attractive buy as well. E, I told you
  1000. 34:51guys I think that stock finishes this
  1001. 34:52year somewhere between 120 and 140. U,
  1002. 34:55but the long-term opportunity there in
  1003. 34:56E's immense. It's just not as big as
  1004. 34:58ALF. Uh American Express, yes, you know,
  1005. 35:02American Express anywhere in the high
  1006. 35:03twos, low 3s is absolutely a great
  1007. 35:06long-term buy. You know, Nike, we're
  1008. 35:08staying with it, baby. We're staying
  1009. 35:09with it. And uh yeah, so th those are
  1010. 35:12kind of the ones that really stick out
  1011. 35:13to me as great opportunities. Okay, I
  1012. 35:15appreciate you all for joining me as
  1013. 35:16always. Thank you so much for being
  1014. 35:18here. If you want full access to
  1015. 35:19thousandx.com, you want full access to
  1016. 35:21all of my course curriculum such as
  1017. 35:23become master of stock market,
  1018. 35:24millionaire playbook, stock options
  1019. 35:25mastery, dividend investing mastery,
  1020. 35:27financial statements mastery, my
  1021. 35:28valuation mastery course, you want
  1022. 35:30access to all the moves I'm making out
  1023. 35:32there, exclusive weekly videos, all that
  1024. 35:33good stuff, that'll be the pinned
  1025. 35:34comment down there. Click on that, fill
  1026. 35:36out a form, see if we you're a good fit
  1027. 35:38to join us in there, and then maybe we
  1028. 35:39can get to you in there this weekend or
  1029. 35:41next week. Much love and have a great

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