NEAR Protocol: Hier entsteht etwas GROSSES! — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00Yes, for a marketer, Wintermood is a
- 0:02clear winner in the current AI boom we
- 0:05are seeing. It was noticeable that we
- 0:08have seen a kind of capital rotation in
- 0:10the crypto market in recent weeks.
- 0:11Money has flowed out of established
- 0:14coins and into crypto projects with an
- 0:17AI focus. And that was one of the
- 0:19reasons why Bitcoin and other altcoins
- 0:21have been able to significantly
- 0:23outperform Nir in recent weeks. And
- 0:25this development might well continue
- 0:27over the coming weeks and months, as
- 0:29Nir is looking to further expand one of
- 0:31its most important applications. Find
- 0:34out more in the latest video. Welcome
- 0:42to our YouTube channel Kryptreportb,
- 0:44where we focus on Team Bitcoin Co.
- 0:45Everything is explained in a simple and
- 0:47easy way for you. Jan has been causing
- 0:50a stir for a few weeks now, at the
- 0:51latest since the beginning of September
- 0:53, when the prices literally exploded.
- 0:56And more recently, there has been even
- 0:58greater attention following the release
- 1:00of a highly positive market report by
- 1:02the market maker Wintermut. For those
- 1:07who are not familiar with Wintermut, it
- 1:08is a very large market maker based in
- 1:10London that was founded back in 2017.
- 1:12Wintermut provides the necessary
- 1:14liquidity for all major crypto trading
- 1:16platforms and, above all, processes
- 1:17these very large-scale transactions
- 1:19specifically for those institutional
- 1:21investors who are active within the
- 1:23current digital asset market landscape.
- 1:26This means that Wintermute possesses
- 1:28excellent insight into the capital
- 1:30flows of the crypto market, and it has
- 1:32recently been observed that capital is
- 1:35rotating out of established coins such
- 1:37as Bitcoin and Ethereum and into those
- 1:39various projects which maintain a very
- 1:41strong connection to the field of
- 1:43artificial intelligence. And NIAR is
- 1:46one of them, which is one reason why
- 1:48NIAR has been relatively robust in the
- 1:51market recently. While Bitcoin and the
- 1:55rest of the market have recently been
- 1:56consolidating, Niar managed to reach a
- 1:58new annual high over the weekend and at
- 2:00the beginning of the week, before
- 2:02profit-taking set in here as well.
- 2:05However, for Wintermut, it is clear
- 2:06that AI is by no means the only winner
- 2:08in this particular sector. When it
- 2:11comes to possible price drivers for
- 2:13Niar, Wintermut primarily points to the
- 2:15components that NIAR already offers to
- 2:17benefit from this AI boom. On the one
- 2:20hand, of course, from these
- 2:22quantum-secure signatures that are
- 2:24already available on Near and of course
- 2:26via these three applications Near
- 2:28Intense, Near AI and Confidential
- 2:31Intense. Now, Nia Intense is this
- 2:34cross-chain DEX from Near, where I can
- 2:37exchange various cryptocurrencies
- 2:39across 35 different blockchains with
- 2:41just a single click of the mouse; and
- 2:43of course, there is Nia, which is
- 2:45essentially the computing or inference
- 2:47platform provided by NEIAR. Over
- 2:50800,000 of them are already staked here
- 2:53. I can then use computing power and
- 2:56use AI models confidentially without my
- 3:00requests being processed further. And
- 3:04of course, Confidential Intense is the
- 3:06application that allows me to carry out
- 3:08confidential private financial
- 3:10transactions. It is especially relevant
- 3:13for large enterprises that prefer not
- 3:14to have every financial transaction
- 3:16publicly visible on the blockchain, and
- 3:18it is naturally also a potential
- 3:19solution for AI agents that are
- 3:21operating on the blockchain while
- 3:22acting on behalf of a company during
- 3:24their various business-related
- 3:25activities. And these are some of the
- 3:28reasons why Nia is relatively well
- 3:30positioned in the market. And what is
- 3:33also very important is that this whole
- 3:35thing is no longer a vision of the
- 3:37future, but the products already exist
- 3:39and there is a correspondingly high
- 3:41demand. Growth is apparent, as
- 3:43evidenced by the increasing transaction
- 3:44and trading volumes we are seeing. At
- 3:46the beginning of October, there was a
- 3:48brief moment of shock when Near Intense
- 3:50was partially hacked. The attackers
- 3:52were initially able to steal 3.8
- 3:54million dollars. The team then reacted
- 3:58very quickly, closed the security gap
- 4:00and after a short break, Intense was
- 4:03back online and after the attackers had
- 4:05been identified, the hackers also
- 4:08returned the money and fortunately for
- 4:10me, this did not cause too much damage
- 4:13to trust. For if we take a look at this
- 4:17chart, the volume has returned to the
- 4:19Near Intense level. Between 120 and 150
- 4:22million dollars in daily trading lumens
- 4:24continue to flow via Near Intense. So
- 4:27there is still interest in Near Intense
- 4:29and this is precisely the application
- 4:31Intense is to be further expanded. We
- 4:34will talk about this in a moment, but
- 4:36first let us take a quick look at the
- 4:37MT, because as I mentioned, it
- 4:39experienced an explosive rise during
- 4:40September. We have recently observed
- 4:43some profit-taking and we are
- 4:44considering where this correction might
- 4:47lead. For this, we will now take a look
- 4:49at the chart in my picture. So, we are
- 4:52looking at the chart in US dollars
- 4:54deposited from the crypto exchange
- 4:56Binance and today is October 15th,
- 4:58Thursday morning, and we see the NIR a
- 5:00little lower at around 4.75, after NIR
- 5:02had literally exploded in September. In
- 5:06August, it had initially been able to
- 5:08stabilize at about 1.60 on this 200-day
- 5:10line, and then at the beginning of
- 5:12September, it moved massively in an
- 5:14upward direction. The price temporarily
- 5:18rose by over 200%to around $ at the
- 5:20beginning of the week. So now there is
- 5:24a significant correction, which is not
- 5:26really surprising, because NIR was
- 5:27already overbought at the end of
- 5:29September. I already addressed this in
- 5:33the last NIR video, and the big
- 5:35question now is, of course: can NIR
- 5:37stabilize above the $ 4 mark—that is,
- 5:39above this 50-day line—and continue
- 5:42this dynamic upward trend that we have
- 5:44been observing since the beginning of
- 5:46September? And to do this, we will now
- 5:49look at the individual indicators.
- 5:50Exactly. The trend-following indicator
- 5:53MACD indicates further falling prices
- 5:55after this bearish crossover at the
- 5:56beginning of October. So the MCCD
- 5:59indicated this correction early on. The
- 6:02RSI that we see here is also in reverse
- 6:04gear, as I said, significantly
- 6:06overbought at the end of September. It
- 6:09has now moved back into the neutral
- 6:11zone, but I would actually interpret
- 6:13the RSI here within the downtrend as
- 6:14being bullish in nature. The OBV,
- 6:17following this slight dip downwards,
- 6:19continues to remain within an overall
- 6:21upward trend. This means that, in total
- 6:24, large investors have been positioned
- 6:26on the buy side over the recent weeks,
- 6:28a trend that we can also observe by
- 6:29looking at these Near ETFs. There is
- 6:33currently just one Near ETF offered by
- 6:35Bitwise, and a total of 79.3 million
- 6:38dollars has flowed into this specific
- 6:40Near ETF since the period beginning in
- 6:42early October and reaching back to the
- 6:45end of September. An interesting point
- 6:49to note here is that throughout the
- 6:51last few weeks we have observed only
- 6:53capital inflows, with no capital
- 6:54outflows, and that speaks rather in
- 6:56favor of an NIR scenario. This NIAR ETF
- 7:00has now also collected 15.82 million
- 7:02Nier, which naturally means they are
- 7:04effectively removed from the market for
- 7:07the time being. That is of course also
- 7:09to be viewed positively. Overall, the
- 7:11buying pressure has now significantly
- 7:14decreased. This is the JK Moneyflow,
- 7:16the CMF. We can see here that there was
- 7:19massive buying pressure building up,
- 7:20especially in September, starting in
- 7:22mid-September. However, this has now
- 7:25come to a complete standstill, and
- 7:27currently there seems to be a slight
- 7:29selling pressure building up, yet not
- 7:31the same level of massive profit-taking
- 7:33that we observed in June, for instance,
- 7:35when the price had also risen to over 3
- 7:37dollars here. And then we saw a long
- 7:42consolidation because there was a lot
- 7:45of profit-taking and capital flowing
- 7:47out. So we are not seeing that at the
- 7:50moment. It remains to be seen whether
- 7:53the massive selling pressure will build
- 7:55up. As I said, we are not there yet.
- 7:58And if we take a look at the whole
- 7:59thing on a weekly basis, then we see
- 8:01that it has now already moved
- 8:02relatively far away from these specific
- 8:04moving averages that we are currently
- 8:05looking at here. This 200-week line is
- 8:08situated at roughly $ 3 and this 50-
- 8:09week line, which is the white one, sits
- 8:11at about $ 2. Consequently, the
- 8:14potential downside would naturally tend
- 8:16to be somewhat greater, but the
- 8:18trend-following indicator MACD suggests
- 8:20further rising prices on a weekly basis
- 8:23following this bullish crossover that
- 8:25occurred back in the middle of August.
- 8:28So as long as the MACD does not reverse
- 8:31on a weekly basis, I would tend to
- 8:33assume that prices will continue to
- 8:36rise. This is also primarily because
- 8:39the RSI is no longer signaling an
- 8:41overbought situation, as it was still
- 8:44doing a few weeks ago, but has instead
- 8:46receded back into neutral territory.
- 8:50And what is also important is that the
- 8:52MACD has also reversed on a monthly
- 8:55basis, has delivered a bullish
- 8:57crossover here and is therefore tending
- 8:59to indicate further rising prices. This
- 9:02means that I believe after a brief
- 9:05period of consolidation—where prices
- 9:07could certainly pull back to the 4
- 9:09dollar level—the trend should
- 9:12continue to move upward towards the end
- 9:14of the year or the beginning of 2027.
- 9:17This outlook is also supported by the
- 9:19fact that Near Mid founder Ilia
- 9:21Polosukhin has announced that various
- 9:24features, including fiat currency
- 9:26integration, are to be further expanded
- 9:29on Near Mid, and that tokenized shares
- 9:31are also expected to be added to the
- 9:33platform. More about this now in front
- 9:35of the camera. So Near Mid is currently
- 9:38in correction mode, which is not really
- 9:40surprising, because as I said, since
- 9:42the beginning of September the prices
- 9:43have risen by over 200%at times.
- 9:46Therefore, in my view, this is a
- 9:47healthy correction that we are
- 9:49currently seeing, and I believe that
- 9:51this same correction will continue to
- 9:53play out over the course of the next
- 9:54few days. What is interesting at this
- 9:57point is that we are currently seeing a
- 9:59very high open interest, which amounts
- 10:01to a total of 1.92 billion dollars.
- 10:03This shows us that there is a lot of
- 10:05interest in Near Mid on the derivatives
- 10:07market. However, this could also mean
- 10:10that there will be higher price
- 10:12fluctuations in the coming weeks,
- 10:14because the majority of traders are
- 10:16positioned on the long side here. There
- 10:19is great optimism here that NIR will
- 10:21continue to rise, but if the opposite
- 10:23occurs, meaning that NIR were to
- 10:25effectively shift into reverse, then
- 10:27those very high long positions could be
- 10:29liquidated and forcibly closed out as a
- 10:31direct consequence of that market shift
- 10:33. For example, if N were to fall
- 10:36rapidly towards 4.25, then long
- 10:38positions on Hyperliquid alone, which
- 10:40are worth 43 million dollars, would be
- 10:42in direct danger of liquidation. And
- 10:44that could potentially mean that the
- 10:46downward trend would then accelerate
- 10:47once again. That's something to keep in
- 10:50mind. So, I'll stick to it. I already
- 10:53said it in the last Narv. I think
- 10:56prices below $ 4 are a good buying
- 10:58opportunity. But as I said, this is
- 11:00just my personal opinion, not
- 11:02investment advice. Back to Near Intense
- 11:05. Mück founder Ilia Polo Schukin
- 11:09shared his comments while attending the
- 11:10Digital Asset Summit held recently in
- 11:12Singapore. In an interview, he
- 11:13explained that they intend to expand
- 11:15Near Intens into a kind of universal
- 11:17trading platform, through which users
- 11:19would not only be enabled to exchange
- 11:21various cryptocurrencies on different
- 11:22blockchains, but through which one
- 11:24should also be able to exchange stable
- 11:26coins and tokenized stocks against each
- 11:28other in a seamless and efficient
- 11:30manner for all participants involved.
- 11:32Ultimately, they want to integrate
- 11:35entire online markets and traditional
- 11:37markets, and also expand Near Intens
- 11:39with fiat currency functions. This
- 11:44means that people should also be able
- 11:46to inherit or exchange fiat currencies
- 11:48such as euros and dollars via Near
- 11:50Intens. And naturally, this would mean
- 11:52that one could use a stablecoin, such
- 11:55as USDC, to make an investment in
- 11:57something like a Tesla share, as one
- 11:59possible example. That would ultimately
- 12:02be possible via Near Intens in the long
- 12:04term. The vision is that you are able
- 12:06to exchange virtually any asset for any
- 12:08other asset by utilizing the Near
- 12:09Intense platform. By doing this, you
- 12:12would naturally expand the addressable
- 12:14market for Near Intense on a massive
- 12:16scale, which could lead to an increase
- 12:17in trading volume while simultaneously
- 12:19providing a competitive advantage over
- 12:21other decentralized exchange protocols,
- 12:23such as, for instance, Uniswap.
- 12:26Incidentally, thanks to the cooperation
- 12:28with Ondo Finance, it has been possible
- 12:30since September to deposit euros via
- 12:32near.com, where Near Intense is
- 12:34integrated, and with these euros you
- 12:36can then invest directly in tokenized
- 12:38stocks, such as Nvidia, Tesla shares
- 12:40and so on. And most recently, Intens
- 12:44has also integrated into this Silent
- 12:46Swap app. This means that the more
- 12:49platforms, or the greater number of
- 12:51platforms, on which Intens is
- 12:53integrated, the more potential users
- 12:55can be reached and the higher the
- 12:56trading volume that could be processed
- 12:58through the Intense system. And since
- 13:01we are currently talking about growth
- 13:03and mobile apps, we have been active
- 13:05with our Blockchain Investor app for
- 13:06quite some time, and we will naturally
- 13:08continue to keep you informed within
- 13:10this application regarding Nier, while
- 13:11also providing you with the latest
- 13:13market reports covering the entire
- 13:14market landscape. And you can, of
- 13:17course, discuss and exchange ideas with
- 13:19like-minded people in our app, without
- 13:21being disturbed by spambots as you
- 13:23currently are when you are on platforms
- 13:25like YouTube. So just take a look. Now,
- 13:29of course, the question is, what does
- 13:30all this mean for the cryptocurrency
- 13:32Nier? Quite simply, the more volume
- 13:35flows through Nar Intense, the more
- 13:38Nier fees are incurred. We have
- 13:41observed a cumulative trading volume of
- 13:43nearly 35 billion dollars that has been
- 13:44processed through the Near Intense
- 13:46platform so far. This means that over
- 13:4955 million dollars in fees have already
- 13:51been generated, and these fees are
- 13:53being utilized in part to buy back Nier
- 13:55on the open market, a process which has
- 13:57already partially occurred, and this
- 13:59development is naturally leading to the
- 14:01emergence of organic demand for the
- 14:03asset. And I have created a model
- 14:07calculation of what this could mean in
- 14:10the future, because 0.05%of the trading
- 14:13volume is incurred in fees. And if we
- 14:18had a trading volume of 100 billion
- 14:20dollars a year, then that would result
- 14:22in 50 million dollars in fees generated
- 14:23here, strictly through the use of
- 14:25Intens. And if the volume, that is to
- 14:28say the annual volume, were to grow to
- 14:30500 billion dollars, then fees
- 14:32amounting to 250 million dollars would
- 14:34be generated here in this case. And
- 14:36with a trading volume of one trillion
- 14:39dollars annually, this would result in
- 14:41fees totaling 500 million dollars every
- 14:43single year. But as I said, this is not
- 14:46a forecast; it is merely a possible
- 14:48model calculation if Intens were to
- 14:50grow accordingly, if it were to be
- 14:51well-received by the market, and if it
- 14:53were to successfully gain significant
- 14:55market share. One more brief conclusion
- 14:58on this whole topic. For me, it is not
- 15:02merely a nice AI story, but an
- 15:04ecosystem featuring real products,
- 15:06actual users and, above all, tangible
- 15:08trading spaces which could potentially
- 15:11benefit from three important megatrends
- 15:14. Firstly, of course, the trend towards
- 15:16decentralized trading platforms;
- 15:18secondly, from the tokenization of
- 15:20assets; and thirdly, of course, from
- 15:22the trend towards artificial
- 15:23intelligence, i.e. from this AI boom
- 15:25with these AI agents on the blockchain,
- 15:27NIE could benefit from that. Otherwise,
- 15:31there are two other important proposals
- 15:33on the table. Namely, a staking
- 15:37provider wants to reduce coin inflation
- 15:40from 2.6%currently to 1.6%. This would
- 15:45naturally cause the supply to tighten
- 15:47even further, and in the long run, the
- 15:48plan is to establish a fixed upper
- 15:50limit for the total number of tokens.
- 15:52So the protocol, the Near Blockchain,
- 15:55is intended to be self-sustaining
- 15:56through the network fees it generates.
- 15:59However, as I mentioned, these are
- 16:01merely proposals, and nothing has been
- 16:03finalized yet. Nonetheless, the overall
- 16:05trend points toward a potential
- 16:06tightening of the Near supply, as it is
- 16:08expected that these token buybacks will
- 16:10naturally scale up in frequency as
- 16:11trading volumes continue to rise over
- 16:13the coming period. Otherwise, in short,
- 16:15I continue to view this project very
- 16:17positively. As I said, I have been an
- 16:20ICO investor in myself since the
- 16:21beginning for 6 years. I have not sold
- 16:24a single coin and am instead prepared
- 16:25to increase my position even further at
- 16:27this time. But as I said, this is just
- 16:30my personal strategy, not investment
- 16:32advice. Then of course I am interested
- 16:33in your opinion on this whole topic. In
- 16:35your opinion, do you see a big winner
- 16:37in this whole AI trend or do you say no
- 16:39, the whole thing is far too
- 16:40speculative, I would rather stick with
- 16:42Bitcoin. Please leave a short comment
- 16:44below, or feel free to comment for
- 16:46longer. As I mentioned, I am reading
- 16:47through all of the comments and am
- 16:48happy to discuss them with all of you
- 16:50there. Otherwise, I would naturally be
- 16:51happy to receive a thumbs up if you
- 16:53enjoyed this video and found it helpful
- 16:54; you are also very welcome to
- 16:56subscribe to the channel and share my
- 16:57videos with your friends if you would
- 16:59like to support my work further. I
- 17:00would be very happy about that, because
- 17:02that way my channel can continue to
- 17:03grow. Thank you very much in advance
- 17:05for your support. Next week we will
- 17:08probably continue with Solana. The
- 17:13Alpen Glow upgrade is just around the
- 17:14corner. Otherwise, on Saturday in our
- 17:16crypto report we will be discussing the
- 17:19topic of are our Bitcoins still safe?
- 17:21Ledger, as I said, is having problems
- 17:23here. The products were recently also
- 17:26taken off the market at Mediamarkt. We
- 17:29will take a closer look at the whole
- 17:31thing on Saturday. And by the way, you
- 17:33can already read about our Blockchain
- 17:35Investor App in the crypto report on
- 17:37Friday evening. That's all from me for
- 17:39today. I hope you have a nice weekend.
- 17:42Thank you very much for watching. Until
- 17:43the next video.
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