My UPDATED Day Trading Strategy (2026) — Transcript
Full transcript
- 0:00What's up, guys? This is my updated
- 0:02strategy video. I have made over
- 0:04$700,000 from this strategy alone, from
- 0:07this year. So, I decided I haven't made
- 0:10one of these in a while. Might as well
- 0:11go over my exact strategy step by step,
- 0:14bar for bar, and back test it with you
- 0:16guys so you guys can understand it
- 0:17completely. First, what I want to do is
- 0:20before we get on the charts, show you
- 0:22guys proof. So, this here is Trade Zela.
- 0:26As we can see, this was from January 1st
- 0:27of 2026 to June 1st of 2026. Um, in the
- 0:32month of January, I made around $41,000.
- 0:35In the month of February, I made
- 0:37$148,000.
- 0:39In the month of March, I made $293,000.
- 0:42It actually could have been a lot more
- 0:44had I not uh upped the risk at the end.
- 0:47I was doing really well at the start of
- 0:49this month, but um and then in April
- 0:51made around $230,000.
- 0:54And then finally, this was last month. I
- 0:57didn't do the best last month, uh, but I
- 1:00made around $34,000. And I know what you
- 1:02guys are saying. You guys are probably
- 1:03saying, "Oh, well, Tradezella,
- 1:05Tradzella, you can manually input
- 1:07trades." Well, this is actually directly
- 1:10connected to my broker. So, whenever I
- 1:12take a trade, it automatically gets
- 1:13uploaded to Tradzella. But, I can go
- 1:16ahead and go on here and show you guys
- 1:19on this account. Boom. This is a live
- 1:23account as you guys can see down here.
- 1:26Okay.
- 1:27And if we see this year I've made
- 1:30$874,782.
- 1:33And you're probably saying, "Well, oh,
- 1:35those numbers are different than what
- 1:37was on Tradezella." Well, that's right.
- 1:39Because on Trade Zella, it subtracts the
- 1:41fees and the swap. So if you subtract
- 1:43the fees from the broker and you
- 1:45subtract the swap, then you get the
- 1:47exact same amount that I have made on
- 1:51Tradzella. So again, literally every
- 1:53single one of these trades are directly
- 1:55uploaded to Tradzella. Tradzella is just
- 1:58the journaling platform that helps me
- 1:59see it in a little bit of a cleaner way.
- 2:01And it also helps me see my win rate and
- 2:04my average risk-to-reward, which as we
- 2:06can see here, if we look at my overall
- 2:09win rate and my average risk-to-reward,
- 2:11my daily win rate is around 64% or
- 2:1464.29% and my average risk-to-reward on
- 2:17a trade is a 123.3,
- 2:20which is pretty good. So, pretty much
- 2:21every single winning trade I'm making on
- 2:23average $22,000. And every single losing
- 2:26trade, I'm losing around $16,000.
- 2:29And actually, this win rate should be a
- 2:32little bit higher. Um, because some of
- 2:36the break even trades, I'll show you
- 2:37guys the most recent one. This trade got
- 2:41stopped out at break even, but sometimes
- 2:44break even trades end up being a loss.
- 2:46So, it counts it as a loss because
- 2:48again, I didn't lose se or I did lose
- 2:51780 bucks on this, but this was a
- 2:54technically me getting stopped out at
- 2:55break even. you know, you take this plus
- 2:58the fee, you're getting a negative one
- 3:00uh $1,180
- 3:03in P&L, so it counts it as a loss. So,
- 3:05my win rate is actually a little bit
- 3:08higher than what it says on here. Uh the
- 3:10risk-to-reward is pretty on on on
- 3:14target, but as we can see, this year
- 3:16I've been trading incredible. Um I
- 3:18haven't had a single losing month. Oops,
- 3:20this that goes into June. Um but I
- 3:23haven't had a single losing month. I
- 3:24have had some months where, you know,
- 3:26it's been a little bit rickety. You
- 3:28know, like in January, I only made
- 3:31$41,000. In February, I did good. March
- 3:34I did good. April, I did good. And then
- 3:36this past month of May, I didn't um
- 3:38didn't trade the best. It was kind of
- 3:39back and forth. I honestly thought I was
- 3:41going to end the month red. But I'm
- 3:43still yet to have a red month this year.
- 3:45So, with all of that being said, I'm
- 3:48going to explain to you guys the
- 3:49strategy that I use throughout trading
- 3:52this entire year. And this is pretty
- 3:54much pretty similar to what I've been
- 3:58trading um historically. It's using all
- 4:01of the same concepts, but I do think
- 4:04that there's a couple tweaks that I
- 4:06should let you guys know about. Um that
- 4:09has just made my strategy, in my
- 4:11opinion, safer, more efficient, and has
- 4:15helped me actually take less trades. I
- 4:17know you guys are probably thinking, "We
- 4:19don't want to take less trades." we want
- 4:21to take more trades. And that's actually
- 4:24not what you guys want to do. Um, in
- 4:26fact, if you guys end up taking less
- 4:28trades, uh, it just means that you're
- 4:30protecting yourself from more losses.
- 4:32I'm sure a lot of you guys have probably
- 4:34taken a lot of losses in trading and you
- 4:37guys realize that the more you trade,
- 4:38the more you lose. So, strategy, I'm
- 4:41going to break down essentially what our
- 4:43trading strategy is supposed to be um
- 4:47before we get into actually breaking
- 4:48everything down step by step because I
- 4:50think that's super important. So, first
- 4:51of all, we need to break down what is
- 4:54trading like what is trading supposed to
- 4:56be? And in my head, trading is supposed
- 4:58to be
- 5:00getting onto the markets every single
- 5:02day over a long period of time and
- 5:04accurately predicting where price wants
- 5:06to go with a high probability on a daily
- 5:08basis. So, let's break that down. If we
- 5:12get into the markets and we're able to
- 5:13accurately predict where this little
- 5:16price movement wants to go with a high
- 5:19probability on a daily basis, we are
- 5:22going to end up making money. Now, what
- 5:24does our strategy help us do? Does our
- 5:27strategy help us predict where price
- 5:28wants to go? Yes, to an extent. But what
- 5:32does our strategy actually help us most
- 5:34in? It helps us not take low probability
- 5:38trades because there's a trade to be
- 5:40taken every single second. I could say,
- 5:42"Hey, I want to buy this right now." And
- 5:44then price could go down and then boom,
- 5:45I lost that trade. Technically, there's
- 5:47an opportunity to trade from 9:30 a.m.
- 5:50in the morning, Eastern time, all the
- 5:52way until 5 until market closes. So,
- 5:55what does the strategy actually help us
- 5:57do? It helps us not to take trades and
- 6:00it helps us give us, I guess you could
- 6:03say, signals of when we are actually
- 6:06going to get a high probability trade.
- 6:08Now, you're probably saying, well, how
- 6:10do we know it's a high probability
- 6:11trade? Well, we collect data. So, that's
- 6:14exactly why I showed you guys this at
- 6:16the beginning of the video, because I
- 6:19have data backing my strategy. So, I
- 6:22have proven that over just from this
- 6:25year up until now that my strategy when
- 6:28I take the trades following my
- 6:30step-by-step strategy, it gives me
- 6:33around a little bit over a 64% win rate.
- 6:36And when I win, I'm making around 1 to
- 6:381.33 risk to uh risk-to-reward ratio,
- 6:42meaning my wins are going to be bigger
- 6:43than my losses and also meaning I'm
- 6:46going to win more than I lose. So
- 6:48imagine trading is like a coin flip.
- 6:51Okay? So we have a coin and you know
- 6:54obviously the coin is either going to
- 6:55land on heads or tails. You're going to
- 6:57have pretty much a 50/50 chance of
- 6:59whether it's going to land on heads or
- 7:00tails. That's what trading is without a
- 7:02strategy. If you're trading without a
- 7:04strategy, you're pretty much just taking
- 7:06a guess of, hey, I think price is going
- 7:09to go up or price is going to go down.
- 7:10You have no edge. You have no
- 7:12probability. You have no data backing
- 7:14whether or not this is actually going to
- 7:15be the case. But when we have a
- 7:17strategy, we have a coin that is
- 7:20weighted on our side. Does it mean we
- 7:22are going to win every single time? No,
- 7:24of course not. Because anybody that says
- 7:26they have a 100% win rate strategy is
- 7:29just straight up lying to you. But what
- 7:32we do know is when I execute on this
- 7:35strategy and when I follow my strategy
- 7:37to a te, I know that probability is on
- 7:39my side. Meaning, I'm going to win more
- 7:41than I lose. And when I do win, I'm
- 7:44going to make more money than when I do
- 7:46lose. So I win more than when I lose.
- 7:49And I make more money when I win than
- 7:51when I lose. So those are two
- 7:53probabilities that I'm personally going
- 7:55to want to take every single time I see
- 7:58my strategy present itself. So when I
- 8:01see my strategy present itself, you guys
- 8:03are probably saying, you know, obviously
- 8:06psychology plays a lot into this where
- 8:09people are like, "Oh man, like how do
- 8:12you have the confidence to take a
- 8:13trade?" The confidence is in the data.
- 8:16So if you guys haven't connected either
- 8:18your demo account to some sort of
- 8:21trading platform and you don't even have
- 8:22to use you don't even have to use
- 8:24Tradzella. Tradzella just does it for
- 8:26you. It just connects to the broker and
- 8:27then every time you take a trade, it
- 8:28just boom syncs it up and gives you
- 8:30spits out this data for you. But you
- 8:32guys can use a spreadsheet. If your
- 8:35broker offers it, awesome. Then you guys
- 8:37can look at that. But you need to be
- 8:39collecting data on your strategy because
- 8:42if you guys aren't collecting data, then
- 8:44your strategy very well could be like a
- 8:4630% win rate with a z one to 0.5
- 8:51risk-to-reward ratio. And that means,
- 8:54well, one, you suck at trading. And and
- 8:56two, why are you using that strategy?
- 8:58Because the data isn't backing it.
- 9:00You're you're going to lose more than
- 9:02you win. And when you lose, you're
- 9:04losing more money than when you when you
- 9:06win the trades. So, obviously, you're
- 9:08not going to be profitable long term.
- 9:10So, we need to understand all of these
- 9:12things before actually establishing our
- 9:15strategy. Now, for me, I've already
- 9:17established this and I kind of did the
- 9:19dirty work for you guys. But if you guys
- 9:22watch this video, I by all means, I
- 9:23don't want you guys to watch this video
- 9:25and just say like, "Yeah, TJR strategy,
- 9:28he already back tested it for me, so
- 9:29it's going to work for me." You know? I
- 9:31mean, I did do the dirty work and I've
- 9:34been doing this for a really long time,
- 9:36but I highly recommend you guys do your
- 9:40own due diligence and just back test
- 9:43whatever strategy you guys are planning
- 9:45on using and finding the actual data
- 9:49behind it. Whether you guys are putting
- 9:50it into a spreadsheet, whatever you guys
- 9:53need to do to know for a fact that the
- 9:56math is going to end up over a long
- 9:59period of time, you are going to be
- 10:00green, right? Cuz if if we just say, "Oh
- 10:03yeah, I found this strategy online and I
- 10:06watched this YouTube video and this
- 10:09YouTube video in the thumbnail it says
- 10:10like 80% win rate and then you just like
- 10:12blindly follow it, but then you go back
- 10:14and you look at the stats and then you
- 10:16see, oh damn, when I follow this
- 10:18strategy, I end up losing more than I
- 10:21win and my win rate sucks and my
- 10:22risk-to-reward sucks." Then obviously
- 10:24you shouldn't be trading that strategy.
- 10:26So, I wanted to clarify all of that
- 10:29before we get into this because I think
- 10:31a lot of people will get one like
- 10:36[clears throat]
- 10:36just a little bit discouraged because
- 10:39they'll take a couple trades learning
- 10:41this new strategy that they learned
- 10:43online from a YouTube video and they
- 10:46just are blindly following it because
- 10:49they see this person is making x amount
- 10:51of dollars or is like doing great for
- 10:53themselves and then they're just like,
- 10:55"Oh yeah, this should work for me. But
- 10:57if it doesn't work for you, then you
- 10:58need to find a strategy that actually
- 11:00does work for you. Um, so again, in this
- 11:03video, I'm going to be going over my
- 11:06strategy, which works for me, but it
- 11:08might not work for you. I mean, granted,
- 11:10I have the data backing that my strategy
- 11:13works for me. And if you guys follow it
- 11:14to a tea, which I do for the most part,
- 11:18you guys should be able to get similar
- 11:20results. But you guys should do your own
- 11:23due diligence and back test this. and
- 11:25actually like upload all of that
- 11:27information to some sort of tracker,
- 11:29some sort of spreadsheet for you guys to
- 11:31be able to see the data yourself. And
- 11:33then that leads me into the last thing
- 11:35that I want to go over before we
- 11:36actually start talking about the
- 11:37strategy is a lot of people deal with
- 11:39psychological issues. This video isn't
- 11:41about psychology, but this is something
- 11:43that I will say about trading
- 11:45psychology. A lot of people have fear in
- 11:48the markets and then a lot of people
- 11:50people will lack confidence in the
- 11:51markets. The only way to remove that
- 11:54fear and the only way to actually gain
- 11:56confidence in the markets, it's not by
- 11:59watching a YouTube video like this, it's
- 12:01by actually practicing and getting those
- 12:03shots or getting those repetitions up
- 12:05yourself. So, obviously, I have the
- 12:08confidence to take the trades that I do.
- 12:11Not only because I have the data backing
- 12:13it, but also because I've been doing
- 12:16this for a long time and I've taken
- 12:18these trades so many times to the point
- 12:20where I know over a long period of time
- 12:22I'm going to make money in the market.
- 12:24But if you guys just watch a YouTube
- 12:27video and say, "Okay, TJR told me this
- 12:30is a fact, but you guys haven't gotten
- 12:32any reps in." And then you guys
- 12:33immediately start risking your own
- 12:35money. You guys are probably going to be
- 12:37pretty scared about risking your own
- 12:39money. Why? because you guys haven't
- 12:42felt you guys haven't felt that before.
- 12:43You guys haven't actually put risk on
- 12:45the table using a strategy before. So
- 12:47that's something that you guys need to
- 12:48break in. And then the last thing that I
- 12:51want to tell you guys is again when it
- 12:53comes to fear in the markets, you guys
- 12:55will have no fear in the markets when
- 12:57you guys have data backing your
- 12:59strategy. So again, that's why I'm able
- 13:01to take the trades that I do without any
- 13:03fear. And that's why I'm also able to
- 13:05take losses that I do because I know,
- 13:08hey, when I take a loss, awesome. that's
- 13:10just a drop in my probability bucket of
- 13:12my win rate or that's just going to be a
- 13:14drop in my probability bucket of my
- 13:16risk-to-reward and I know that over a
- 13:19longer period of time like if we look
- 13:22back at this month of March right I had
- 13:25an in insane first trading week a great
- 13:29second trading week not the best third
- 13:32trading week and then not the best
- 13:33fourth trading week but I still ended up
- 13:35green on the month so when we look at
- 13:38this what a lot of People mis misconcept
- 13:43what trading is like they think trading
- 13:44is just like green day green day green
- 13:46day green day but what trading actually
- 13:48is is like green week green week red
- 13:51week red week still green on the month
- 13:53and then let me look at or we can even
- 13:57just look at this month the month of May
- 13:58so this month the month of May right
- 14:01this was like a very back and forth back
- 14:03and forth month where I made money the
- 14:07first week I lost 10k the second week
- 14:09and then I lost 70k the the third week
- 14:12and then I made 84k the fourth week. But
- 14:16what a lot of people will do is they'll
- 14:18focus on the day-to-day outcomes or
- 14:20they'll just say like, "Oh, I've had two
- 14:22losing weeks in a row. This strategy
- 14:25doesn't work. I need to stop everything
- 14:27and I need to go look at another
- 14:28strategy." But what will help you stay
- 14:31away from doing something like that is
- 14:33again when you have the data backing
- 14:36that hey these two losing weeks should
- 14:38mean nothing to you because we know that
- 14:41even if I lose two weeks in a row does
- 14:43that mean I I need to change anything?
- 14:45No. It's just a drop in our probability
- 14:47bucket of hey I know I'm going to lose
- 14:50trades using this strategy. There's no
- 14:52strategy that gives me a 100% win rate.
- 14:54And I know that when I do lose I'm
- 14:56losing less than what I make when I win
- 14:58trades. And I know that when I lose, I
- 15:00know that over time I'm going to win
- 15:02more than I that and I know over time
- 15:05I'm going to win more than when I lose.
- 15:07So if I have two losing weeks, I'm not
- 15:10sweating it. I'm not scared about it
- 15:12whatsoever because I know that my
- 15:15strategy is giving me this probability
- 15:18in the market. So again, a lot of people
- 15:20get super super caught up or like
- 15:24they're so focused on the individual
- 15:25outcomes, they'll lose one trade and
- 15:27they'll just be like, "Oh, that's it.
- 15:28The strategy doesn't work. I quit." And
- 15:31it's like, "No, that's not the case."
- 15:33And some people will have a losing week
- 15:35and just be like, "I must be doing
- 15:36something wrong." And you know, I could
- 15:39show you guys a freaking million losing
- 15:42weeks. I had a losing week here, losing
- 15:43week here, but I still ended the month
- 15:45very green. I had a losing week here,
- 15:47losing week here, still ended the month
- 15:49green.
- 15:52I had a losing week here, still ended
- 15:54the month green, losing week, losing
- 15:56week, and then boom, back-to-back
- 15:57winning weeks, and I still ended the
- 15:58month green. So, what you guys need to
- 16:01do is you guys need to zoom out on the
- 16:05long timeline of what your trading
- 16:07journey is. And you guys need to
- 16:08understand that losing weeks are just a
- 16:10part of trading. Just like point blank
- 16:13period, they are a part of trading. And
- 16:14once you guys can accept that and you
- 16:16guys can accept just that trading is a
- 16:18game of probabilities, your goal is to
- 16:21win more than you lose. And when you do
- 16:23win, the goal is for that dollar amount
- 16:26to be more than the dollar amount than
- 16:28when you lose. And if you get both of
- 16:29those things correct, you got a strategy
- 16:31that works for you and you are going to
- 16:33be able to consistently make money from
- 16:34the markets over a long period of time.
- 16:36So with that being said, we are going to
- 16:39jump into this strategy video. So, I'm
- 16:43going to write down essentially what I'm
- 16:46looking for within my strategy before
- 16:49showing it on the charts. So, step
- 16:52number one, I'm looking for draws and
- 16:54liquidity.
- 16:58So, draws and liquidity are essentially
- 17:00going to be session highs, session lows,
- 17:021 hour highs, 1 hour lows, 4 hour highs,
- 17:054 hour lows. So, we have session highs
- 17:10or we'll just do sesh
- 17:131 hour, 4 hour,
- 17:16highs and lows. Okay, so I need an area
- 17:20that price is going to want to draw
- 17:22towards in order for that to be my
- 17:23target. And I also need draws and
- 17:25liquidity for me to be able to enter
- 17:27into a trade. So I'm looking for draws
- 17:30on liquidity for price to take out a
- 17:32draw in liquidity. And then from there,
- 17:34I'm looking for price to manipulate and
- 17:37then reverse off of that. So we're
- 17:38looking to manipulate these draws on
- 17:40liquidity and then reverse off of it. So
- 17:42draws and liquidity are just high time
- 17:44frame highs and lows. What lies above
- 17:46high time frame highs and lows? Resting
- 17:48orders. So when we have highs and lows
- 17:50in the market, let's just imagine
- 17:52there's just a bunch of buy orders
- 17:55sitting above highs and a bunch of sell
- 17:57orders sitting below lows. Now
- 18:00occasionally what the market will do
- 18:02when it wants to reverse, which is
- 18:04typically the trades that I'm trying to
- 18:05catch, is it will push above a high and
- 18:08it will activate all of these buy
- 18:10orders. Why? Because there's people
- 18:12during this move down that were selling
- 18:15or shorting the market and their stop
- 18:16loss is above this high. So when price
- 18:18pushes above this high, what happens?
- 18:20They get stopped out and they get forced
- 18:21to buy back that stock or whatever the
- 18:24asset is for a higher price, they lose
- 18:27that trade. So that's some people
- 18:29buying. And then also, if we're in an
- 18:31uptrend and we push past this high, what
- 18:33also is that causing people to do? It's
- 18:35causing people to buy because they say,
- 18:37"Hey, we're in an uptrend. We just
- 18:38pushed past a high, so we're going to
- 18:40continue higher. So, they're entering
- 18:42into the market right here. Now, what
- 18:44does that give the market the
- 18:46opportunity to do? Emphasis on the word
- 18:48opportunity because price doesn't always
- 18:52just push above a high and then
- 18:53instantly reverse. But it does give the
- 18:56market the opportunity because there's a
- 18:58massive amount of buy orders getting
- 18:59filled right here. It gives the market
- 19:02the opportunity to fill a massive amount
- 19:04of sell orders. Why? Because if we think
- 19:07back to just basic e economics, if I
- 19:10want to buy a stock, there has to be
- 19:12somebody that is willing to sell it to
- 19:14me for that same exact price. So when
- 19:16the market is moving, how can it reverse
- 19:19price? It will have to push price above
- 19:21a high to enter a whole bunch of people
- 19:23into buy positions so that it can fill
- 19:25their massive amounts of sell orders to
- 19:27then reverse the market. Okay, so same
- 19:29thing to the downside. Okay, when we
- 19:32push underneath a low, what is happening
- 19:34during this point in time? There are
- 19:36people who were buying on this move up
- 19:38who have their stop losses underneath
- 19:40this low. So, when price pushes
- 19:41underneath this low, all the people that
- 19:44were pressing buy throughout this move
- 19:46up are getting stopped out. Now, also,
- 19:48what are people doing when we push
- 19:50underneath this low? People are shorting
- 19:51the market. People are pressing sell.
- 19:54So, when we push underneath this low,
- 19:55what does that give the market the
- 19:57opportunity to do? It gives the market
- 19:59the opportunity to fill a massive amount
- 20:01of buy orders to then push price higher.
- 20:04Okay, so that's why we want draws on
- 20:06liquidity because we know that that
- 20:08gives the market the opportunity to fill
- 20:10orders. That is step number one. Now,
- 20:12step number two, what am I looking for?
- 20:14I'm looking for potential for orders get
- 20:17to get filled, which is what? Sitting
- 20:20above highs and lows in the market. I'm
- 20:22looking for a high or a low to get push
- 20:23above or below in order to potentially
- 20:26fill orders. Then what am I looking for?
- 20:29I'm looking for confirmation that those
- 20:31orders were filled through a change in
- 20:34trend. So what does that typically look
- 20:36like? I'm looking for a fiveminut break
- 20:39of structure or a 5minute inverse fair
- 20:42value gap. And I'll show you guys
- 20:43examples of what that looks like on the
- 20:45chart if you guys aren't familiar with
- 20:46those two confluences. So again, if we
- 20:49think think to the two steps right now,
- 20:52we have a high and we have a low in the
- 20:54market. Let's say the market boom pushes
- 20:56above a high. What does that give the
- 20:58market the opportunity to do? Fill
- 21:01orders. Fill their sell orders to push
- 21:03price to the downside. So awesome. We
- 21:06have the opportunity to do that with
- 21:08step number one. Then I'm looking for
- 21:09confirmation that price actually is
- 21:12going to do that. So, I'm going to be
- 21:13looking for a break of structure to the
- 21:16downside on the five minute time frame
- 21:18to show confirmation that hey, we had
- 21:20the opportunity to fill orders to push
- 21:22price lower. And now we're actually
- 21:25seeing a change in trend to the
- 21:27downside. Okay. Same thing with lows.
- 21:30So, when we pu when price pushes
- 21:32underneath a low in the market, what
- 21:34does that give the market the
- 21:35opportunity to do? Fill buy orders. How
- 21:38do I know that buy orders have been
- 21:40filled? by seeing a change in trend to
- 21:42the upside. So, I'm looking for either a
- 21:44breakup structure or an inverse fair for
- 21:46value gap to the upside.
- 21:50From there, what am I looking for? Is
- 21:52that just going to be boom, green bean,
- 21:55enter the market? No. I'm looking for
- 21:57actual confirmation that this trend is
- 21:59going to continue. Okay. So step number
- 22:02three is going to be a five-minute
- 22:04continuation confluence which is either
- 22:07going to be equilibrium or a fair value
- 22:09gap getting filled. Okay. So if we go
- 22:11back to our drawing one more time we
- 22:13have opportunity to fill orders above
- 22:16here. Price comes up and then it does
- 22:18what? It takes advantage of that
- 22:19opportunity and says hey we actually
- 22:21want to go lower. So awesome we get step
- 22:23one. Step two we push above a draw on
- 22:25liquidity. Then we got to break the
- 22:27structure to the downside. Then what am
- 22:29I looking for? I'm looking for
- 22:31continuation of this trend. So, I'm
- 22:33going to mark out fair value gaps or I'm
- 22:36going to mark out equilibrium
- 22:39on the five-minute chart to see price
- 22:41push into that continuation confluence
- 22:44and then continue the trend lower
- 22:46because that is going to s signal three
- 22:49different things to me. One, price had
- 22:52the opportunity to reverse. That's step
- 22:54number one. Step number two, price
- 22:56actually took that opportunity and is
- 22:58changing the trend on the low time
- 23:00frame. Then step number three, price is
- 23:03actually continuing that trend on the
- 23:05low time frame. And that is going to
- 23:07give me a high conviction to be able to
- 23:09place that trade. So that's step one.
- 23:13Step two, step three. The last step is
- 23:15actually when we are within these
- 23:17confluences to help us get a better
- 23:19entry is we are going to scale down to
- 23:21the one minute time frame and we're
- 23:23going to look for a break of structure
- 23:25to the downside or an inverse for value
- 23:27gap to show confirmation that hey we're
- 23:29actually going to continue continue down
- 23:31and I'll just show you guys examples of
- 23:33step number four on the charts because
- 23:35it'll make more sense when I'm
- 23:38explaining it on the charts than just
- 23:40trying to put it on the drawings. And
- 23:42you guys are probably sick of the
- 23:43drawings by now. So, let's go on the
- 23:45charts. So, today we actually didn't get
- 23:48an opportunity. That's why you guys can
- 23:51see today
- 23:53I didn't make any money. I didn't place
- 23:55any trades.
- 23:58But if we go to previous days price
- 24:02action, well, today's Monday, so we'll
- 24:04have to go
- 24:07over to Friday's price action.
- 24:11We'll see if we got anything here.
- 24:22Yeah. So, this this was perfect.
- 24:25Friday's price action was perfect.
- 24:28So,
- 24:30where we at?
- 24:32So, this this was literally like step by
- 24:35step. Absolutely perfect. So, what do we
- 24:37see price do off rip? Okay, we see
- 24:41market open. Let me just move this to
- 24:43like right here.
- 24:46Okay, so market opens. What do we what
- 24:48do we do? Boom. We rip to the upside.
- 24:52Step one, manipulation, right? We push
- 24:54above London session highs on the S&P
- 24:57500. We push above London session highs.
- 24:59Okay, so on both the indexes, we push
- 25:02above session highs. That's step number
- 25:04one. What does price have the
- 25:05opportunity to do? Fill sell orders. So
- 25:08now we're looking for confirmation that
- 25:09those sell orders were actually filled.
- 25:11So we see move up. That's step number
- 25:13one. We got the manipulation. Step
- 25:15number two, what are we looking for?
- 25:17We're either looking for a break of
- 25:18structure to the downside. Whoa. We're
- 25:21either looking for a break of structure
- 25:23to the downside or an inverse fair value
- 25:25gap to the downside.
- 25:28What do we see right here? What does
- 25:30price do on this fivem minute gap?
- 25:32Again, we're looking on the fivem
- 25:33minute. We inverse this bullish gap to
- 25:36the downside. Awesome. What do we do on
- 25:40NASDAQ? We inverse this five-minute gap
- 25:44to the downside. Beautiful. So, we get
- 25:47manipulation. Step number one. We get
- 25:50reversal. Step number two. Now, what are
- 25:52we looking for? We're looking for some
- 25:54form of a continuation of this trend.
- 25:58So, I'm not just going to enter
- 26:02right here when I see the inverse value
- 26:04gap. No, I want to see some form of a
- 26:08retrace. And in this case, we see a
- 26:105minute retrace. So, I want to see a
- 26:115minute retrace. Right? So, how can we
- 26:14how can we tell when we're getting a
- 26:155minute retrace? We scale down to the
- 26:17one minute time frame. On the one minute
- 26:20time frame, what I like to do is I like
- 26:23to classify five minute retraces as a
- 26:25break of structure to the upside on the
- 26:27one minute because if you guys remember
- 26:29step number four, we need a break of
- 26:31structure or an inverse for value gap
- 26:34back in this case down towards the
- 26:36direction that we want to be that we
- 26:38want to favor. So, in order for that to
- 26:40happen, we in order for us to be looking
- 26:43for a break of structure down, we need
- 26:45to look for a break of structure up
- 26:47because why would we be looking for a
- 26:50break of structure down if we're already
- 26:51in a downtrend, a breaking structure to
- 26:53the downside while we're already in a
- 26:55downtrend? That just doesn't it that
- 26:57that's like not even a real thing
- 26:58because we're not actually breaking
- 26:59structure. We would just be continuing
- 27:01the trend. So, what we want to look for
- 27:04is a break of structure to the upside.
- 27:06Where do we get that break of structure
- 27:08to the upside on the one minute? We get
- 27:10it right here. Okay? So, we break one
- 27:12minute structure to the upside. What's a
- 27:16break of structure? A break of structure
- 27:17is when we are in a current trend. So,
- 27:20let's say we're in an uptrend
- 27:22and we close underneath the most recent
- 27:25low. That's a break of structure to the
- 27:27downside. If we're looking for a break
- 27:28of structure to the upside, we are in a
- 27:31current downtrend and we want to see a
- 27:34candlestick closure
- 27:36above the most recent high. So, a break
- 27:39of structure to the upside is a
- 27:41candlestick closure above the most
- 27:43recent high that was made within the
- 27:44market. And then a break of structure to
- 27:46the downside is when we see a candle
- 27:49closure underneath the most recent low.
- 27:54And before we get into the actual entry,
- 27:56let me explain inverse for value gaps
- 27:58really quick and why that's actually
- 28:00important. So breakup structure is
- 28:02pretty simple, right? Breakup structure
- 28:05is just how do trends move? Trends move
- 28:09in uptrends, higher highs and higher
- 28:10lows. When does that trend or structure
- 28:13get broken? When we end up closing
- 28:15underneath one of the lows because then
- 28:18that breaks the trend. That breaks the
- 28:20market structure that we're in. And then
- 28:21that puts us in a downtrend.
- 28:24In a downtrend, we're moving from higher
- 28:27or sorry, from lower highs to lower low.
- 28:30So, we have a high, then we have a low,
- 28:32then we have a lower high, then we have
- 28:33a lower low. What would be a break of
- 28:36this structure? If we push up and close
- 28:39above this high, why is that a break of
- 28:41structure? Because we just broke the
- 28:42current trend that we're in. So, when we
- 28:44come down, we're going to end up pushing
- 28:47higher. Why? Because we broke out of
- 28:48this downtrend that we're in. Simple
- 28:50break of structure. An inverse fair
- 28:53value gap is I have plenty video plenty
- 28:56of videos on fair value gaps if you guys
- 28:58want to look at them on my channel but
- 29:00so I don't really want to like get super
- 29:02super deep into this but it's
- 29:04essentially a fair value gap that gets
- 29:06disrespected. So in this case we see
- 29:09this is the lowest fair value gap that
- 29:11price could push to to continue this
- 29:13bullish trend.
- 29:15What does price do to it? We close
- 29:17underneath it. So ha whoa. So had this
- 29:21trend wanted to maintain its bullish
- 29:24structure, it should have just pushed
- 29:26into this and then pushed higher. But
- 29:29did it do that? No. It closed underneath
- 29:31it, disrespecting the the current order
- 29:35flow and the current market structure
- 29:39of price action, right? Because if it
- 29:41wanted to push higher, this is a bullish
- 29:44confluence, right?
- 29:46If price wanted to push higher, it would
- 29:48have filled this gap and it would have
- 29:50pushed price higher, but it didn't. It
- 29:53closed underneath the gap, pretty much
- 29:54signaling to us that, hey, we want price
- 29:57to go lower. So, awesome, we have an
- 30:00inverse gap to the downside. If we go
- 30:02over our strategy one more time, we got
- 30:05manipulation to the upside, potential
- 30:07for sell orders to get filled. Boom.
- 30:09Whole bunch of sell orders. How do we
- 30:10know the sell orders were filled?
- 30:12because we disrespected bullish market
- 30:14structure with this inverse fair value
- 30:17gap. Now what are we looking for? We are
- 30:19looking for continuation of this 5m
- 30:23minute downtrend that we just got
- 30:24ourselves into. So, in order for us to
- 30:27see a continuation of the 5-minute
- 30:29downtrend, we need to see a 5-minut
- 30:31retrace, meaning a one minute break of
- 30:34structure to the upside and then for the
- 30:36one minute then for the 1 minute to
- 30:38break back down, confirming
- 30:42that we are going to go lower. So, in
- 30:44this case, we can see on the S&P 500, we
- 30:48get manipulation
- 30:50inverse of the fair value gap. Awesome.
- 30:52A lot of people will probably enter
- 30:54here, but that's going to cause you guys
- 30:55to get a horrible entry and probably get
- 30:58you guys scared when we end up making
- 30:59this retrace. That's not what we want.
- 31:01We want to get optimal entries. Okay.
- 31:04So, what do we see? We see that happen.
- 31:08We say, "Awesome. Now, I want to wait
- 31:09for a five-minute retrace. How can I see
- 31:11a five-minute retrace? By a one minute
- 31:13break of structure to the upside." Okay,
- 31:15we see the one minute break to the
- 31:17upside right here. Then we say, boom, 5m
- 31:21minute retrace complete. What am I now
- 31:23looking for? Step number four is a break
- 31:27of structure back down to the downside
- 31:31to confirm that this 5minut trend is
- 31:35going to continue. So again,
- 31:37manipulation reversal, then I'm looking
- 31:40for continuation of the trend. So we see
- 31:44price broke structure to the upside and
- 31:46then boom, price breaks structure to the
- 31:47downside. That is where I would have
- 31:49entered short. And I'm pretty sure I
- 31:51took this exact same trade. I took this
- 31:52on the S&P 500. And then where do we
- 31:55target? We target our other draws on
- 31:58liquidity. So again, if you guys
- 31:59remember on step number one, we're
- 32:02looking at draws on liquidity. Okay,
- 32:04this is a pretty bad risk-to-reward
- 32:05ratio, but it's still a good example of
- 32:07the trade, right? So because we had a
- 32:10massive candlestick closure to the
- 32:11downside on this uh breaker structure to
- 32:13the downside. But still this shows our
- 32:15strategy per winning and executing
- 32:18perfectly. Um but what what was I saying
- 32:22on step number one? We understood that
- 32:26hey, not only does price have the
- 32:29opportunity to manipulate price and fill
- 32:31orders to the upside, but also price is
- 32:34going to draw towards these session lows
- 32:37in these hourly highs and lows. once it
- 32:40fills those orders because if we filled
- 32:44sell orders up here,
- 32:47we are also going to be looking for a
- 32:50spot to be able to get rid of these sell
- 32:52orders or be able to make a profit off
- 32:54of these sell orders. So, if the market
- 32:57filled sell orders up here, it needs to
- 33:00push price down to an area where it can
- 33:03liquidate and where it can get rid of
- 33:06those sell orders. So, where is that
- 33:07going to be a good spot? the same exact
- 33:10spot that the same exact the same exact
- 33:13highs and lows that we were looking for
- 33:15an entry. That's going to be our exits.
- 33:17So, we have a session low right here. We
- 33:19have a session low right here. We
- 33:21probably had some hourly lows within
- 33:22here. Okay. So when we're looking for
- 33:26entries off of these manipulations and
- 33:29then we're also looking for exits off of
- 33:32these draws and liquidity as draws and
- 33:34liquidities as well because just like
- 33:37how we were able to fill our massive
- 33:39amounts of sell orders up here, we also
- 33:41need to push price down to an area where
- 33:44it can empty off and it can take profit
- 33:46off of those sell orders. So, it needs
- 33:48to push price towards a draw in
- 33:50liquidity where down here, what are
- 33:52people going to be doing? They're going
- 33:54to be selling, right? So, people are
- 33:57going to be pressing the sell button
- 33:58when we push underneath these session
- 34:00lows.
- 34:02So, if we're in sell orders up here and
- 34:05we're trying to buy back these sell
- 34:07orders for a lower price, which is how
- 34:11you make money on a short,
- 34:14where is price going to want to push?
- 34:16it's going to want to push to where a
- 34:18whole bunch of sell orders are. Why?
- 34:20Because if if the market entered into a
- 34:22short up here, it's going to want to buy
- 34:25back those orders for a lower price. And
- 34:26if it filled a massive amount of orders
- 34:28up here, where's the next spot that
- 34:30price has the opportunity to be able to
- 34:33buy back a bunch of orders when a bunch
- 34:37of people are looking for sells? It's
- 34:39going to be underneath these lows. So,
- 34:41our exit and our entries are based off
- 34:44of the same exact thing. And that's why
- 34:46we need to set take profits based off of
- 34:49these draws in liquidity. Okay, so
- 34:52that
- 34:55is a good example. I'll show you guys on
- 34:57the NASDAQ really quickly. Same exact
- 35:00thing happened. We got manipulation to
- 35:03the upside. We inverse this 5minute gap.
- 35:06We go down to the one minute time frame.
- 35:09Let's look. Okay. Do we get an actual
- 35:11solid breaker structure to the upside
- 35:13right here? Yes, we do. Awesome. Then
- 35:16when do we get the break of structure to
- 35:17the downside? Right here. We get a
- 35:19closure underneath the low. This is
- 35:21where we want to short. Awesome. We can
- 35:24put our stop above the second high and
- 35:26then we can target. Boom.
- 35:28Really any of these lows within here.
- 35:30Boom. This is a really good risk-reward
- 35:32ratio. This is a 1:3
- 35:341 to 3.4 risk-to-reward ratio. Boom. We
- 35:36have an hourly low right here. Boom. We
- 35:38have some lows right here. And then we
- 35:39also have London lows, Asia lows. All of
- 35:41these lows that we can look for partial
- 35:43profits throughout the way. Okay,
- 35:46super super simple. Again, if we think
- 35:50about our strategy, we're looking for a
- 35:52liquidity sweep, meaning a higher low
- 35:54that gets a high or a low that gets
- 35:57pushed above or below. Then we're
- 35:59looking for a 5m minute break of
- 36:01structure or an inverse fair value gap.
- 36:03Then we're looking for a five minute
- 36:06equilibrium or fair value gap getting
- 36:08filled. Or just I mean we can even make
- 36:11this even simpler. Instead of just
- 36:14saying, "Oh yeah, I want equilibrium or
- 36:15a fair value gap getting filled." We can
- 36:17just say we want a one minute break of
- 36:19structure to the upside or to the
- 36:20downside. So we can look for a one
- 36:22minute break of structure or an inverse
- 36:23fair for value gap to the upside or the
- 36:25downside. And then we just want to look
- 36:27for the same exact thing
- 36:29in the direction in the direction that
- 36:32we're looking to push price.
- 36:35Super simple. We're looking for a
- 36:37liquidity sweep, 5m minute break of
- 36:39structure. Then we're looking for a one
- 36:41minute break of structure to the upside
- 36:42and then one minute break of structure
- 36:44to the downside. Awesome. We're entering
- 36:45right there. And then we're using our
- 36:46other draws and liquidity as targets to
- 36:49be able to exit. Super super simple. Let
- 36:52me show you guys maybe one or two more
- 36:54examples of this.
- 37:25>> [sighs]
- 37:25>> All right, let's see. So,
- 37:29on this we didn't really we didn't
- 37:32really get too much. I mean, I actually
- 37:35I did take longs here on NASDAQ, so I
- 37:38can go over this, but I mean, it's
- 37:41decent. So, again, what are we looking
- 37:44for? We get market opens. We're looking
- 37:46for some form of form of a manipulation.
- 37:49Price comes down, manipulates these
- 37:51lows. Awesome. That's step number one.
- 37:55Okay, we get boom, push down. On ES, we
- 37:58don't take out these lows, but on
- 38:00NASDAQ, we do. So, awesome. As long as
- 38:02one of the indexes is doing it for us,
- 38:05that's all we need. Okay, so we get boom
- 38:08manipulation. Then, what are we looking
- 38:10for? We're looking for a change in order
- 38:12flow, either a breakup structure or an
- 38:14inverse for value gap where to the
- 38:16upside because we manipulated to the
- 38:18downside, right? We had a whole bunch of
- 38:21sell orders getting filled underneath
- 38:23here. So, what does that give the market
- 38:25the opportunity to do? Fill buy orders.
- 38:28Okay,
- 38:30so price pushes underneath a low. Then
- 38:33from there, what am I looking for? I'm
- 38:35either looking for a breaker structure
- 38:36to the upside or an inverse for value
- 38:39gap. In this case, we get the inverse
- 38:41for value gap first. Okay, we inverse
- 38:44this top gap to the upside. Step one and
- 38:47step two done. We got manipulation. Then
- 38:50we got confirmation that those orders
- 38:52were filled. Now, what do we need to
- 38:53see? We need to see a continuation.
- 38:57So, how do we see continuation? Well, we
- 38:59can just scale down to the 1 minute time
- 39:01frame. Look for a break of structure to
- 39:03the downside. then look for a break back
- 39:05up. So in this case, and also in this
- 39:08case, we have a fiveminute fair value
- 39:10gap that gets filled. Again, you guys
- 39:12can use either just the one minute break
- 39:14to the downside or you guys can actually
- 39:16look for these these confluences
- 39:18confluences to get filled. We do have
- 39:20this fiveminute gap right here that ends
- 39:21up getting filled. But
- 39:24right here, okay, we get one minute move
- 39:28down, move up, and then awesome. Where
- 39:29do we break structure to the downside?
- 39:31Boom. Right here we get a candlestick
- 39:33closure from there. My eyes light up.
- 39:36Why? Because we got manipulation.
- 39:39Boom. Reversal. Now I'm looking for this
- 39:42trend to continue. Okay. So price broke
- 39:45structure to the downside. Now what am I
- 39:47looking for? Price to break structure
- 39:49back to the upside or give us a fair
- 39:51value gap. Inverse fair for value gap,
- 39:53right? To confirm that price is going to
- 39:55move higher.
- 39:57So where do we get that? Well, there's a
- 39:59couple opportunities here. Is this a
- 40:01gap? This is a tiny tiny tiny little
- 40:03gap. So, we're going to want to mark
- 40:04this one out. It's like literally the
- 40:06tiniest bullish gap ever created. But
- 40:11boom. So, we do have that bullish gap
- 40:14right there, but we end up inversing
- 40:17this gap and breaking structure on the
- 40:18same exact candle, which is going to be
- 40:21this one right here. Okay. So, we get
- 40:24manipulation,
- 40:26reversal,
- 40:28continuation,
- 40:29and then boom.
- 40:32This right here, we get a break of
- 40:33structure to the upside. Awesome. I want
- 40:35to long that. I want my stops underneath
- 40:37the second low. And then what can we
- 40:38look for? We can look for our other
- 40:40draws on liquidity to the upside that
- 40:43price is probably going to want to take
- 40:44out. So, in this case, we had these
- 40:47highs that were all the way up here. Do
- 40:48I really want to sit and wait 10
- 40:51freaking years for these highs to get
- 40:52taken out? No, I don't. The the highs
- 40:55ended up getting taken out on the on the
- 40:57following trading day. But
- 40:59realistically, am I going to want to do
- 41:01that? No. So, I'll look for intermediate
- 41:02highs that can be taken out. We have
- 41:04these highs right here for an
- 41:06approximate 1:1 risk-to-reward ratio. We
- 41:08have highs right here, good
- 41:10risk-to-reward. We have highs right
- 41:12here. We have this big gap that we could
- 41:13get filled all the way through here.
- 41:15Regardless, price moves up and in our
- 41:19direction for another winning trade.
- 41:21Okay, we can look at the same exact
- 41:23thing on the S&P 500.
- 41:28I'll kind of I'll just super super skim
- 41:31through this. Okay, even though we
- 41:33didn't get the manipulation on ES,
- 41:35that's why I actually took the trade on
- 41:37NASDAQ. I guess can actually show you
- 41:40guys that I took this trade.
- 41:43We can see these were my buys on NASDAQ.
- 41:46So, let's see what day was this? This
- 41:49was on the 28th. So, I entered buys on
- 41:52NASDAQ. I can't reme remember how much I
- 41:55made on this day, but as we can see,
- 41:57oops, I'm covering it up. But right
- 41:59here, this was on the 28th of May. Okay.
- 42:02So, I entered buys on NASDAQ. Boom. We
- 42:05bought NASDAQ. And as you can see, we
- 42:07made money on these buy orders on
- 42:10NASDAQ. And actually, I can even show
- 42:12you guys on the freaking chart that I
- 42:14took that trade.
- 42:20Okay, so as you guys can see, I took the
- 42:23exact trade that I just showed you guys.
- 42:26I took the exact same trade that I
- 42:28showed you guys, and I took profit here,
- 42:30took profit here, and took profit all
- 42:32the way up here. Okay, so again, I'm
- 42:36telling you guys this strategy because
- 42:37it's actually what I [ __ ] use. And
- 42:40again, I have the data [ __ ] backing
- 42:42it. It's for a reason. Okay, so again, I
- 42:45took the same exact trade on NASDAQ and
- 42:47exited like all throughout here and then
- 42:50ended up finally exiting for my full
- 42:51take profit all the way up here and made
- 42:53money on the day. Um ES it was similar
- 42:56situation. So even though ES didn't get
- 42:58the manipulation, NASDAQ did. Um but ES
- 43:02ends up breaking five-minute structure
- 43:04to the upside right here. ES comes down,
- 43:06fills this gap, and then ends up pushing
- 43:08higher.
- 43:10Simple. All right,
- 43:13we'll do one more example.
- 43:16Now, again, I just went back to the past
- 43:19two trading days. It worked. It worked
- 43:21perfectly the past the past two trading
- 43:23days, okay? And again, when you guys are
- 43:26watching this, you guys are like
- 43:27probably like, "Holy [ __ ] this is the
- 43:28best strategy in the world. I'm going to
- 43:30have a 100% win rate." Understand that
- 43:32that is not the case, okay? There are
- 43:35losing days that are involved with this.
- 43:37Sometimes we lose, okay? Sometimes we
- 43:40lose. So, even though the last two days
- 43:42that we went over were winning days, I
- 43:44would honestly like to find a losing day
- 43:46so that I can show you that losing is a
- 43:48part of this. Um, let's see. So, that
- 43:52was Thursday. Let's go and see
- 43:55Wednesday.
- 44:14Okay.
- 44:17Yeah, Wednesday worked too.
- 44:20So, I mean, I'm trying to find an
- 44:22example where this doesn't end up
- 44:24happening, but in this case, I mean,
- 44:26this is a good example to go over. In
- 44:28this case, we get the manipulation
- 44:29during pre-market, right? So, we see
- 44:32boom, massive legs up, manipulating
- 44:34these highs during pre-market and then
- 44:36we see the reversal start happening
- 44:38during pre-market. Do we want to be
- 44:40entering during pre-market? The answer
- 44:42is always going to be no. I want to wait
- 44:44until price actually until market
- 44:46actually opens and like gives us some
- 44:49real volume. Okay, so we get
- 44:51manipulation, we get the reversal. So
- 44:55really all I'm going to be looking for
- 44:57is going to be our continuation
- 44:58confluence. Okay.
- 45:01On NASDAQ, if we go in here again, what
- 45:04are we looking for? We're looking for a
- 45:05one minute breakup structure or an
- 45:06inverse for value gap to the upside. I
- 45:09mean, this should be this should be
- 45:11clockwork to you guys at this point.
- 45:13When do we get the breakup structure to
- 45:14the upside? We get it right here. Now,
- 45:16what are we waiting for? We're waiting
- 45:17for a breaker structure to the downside.
- 45:19Okay. When do we get that? Boom. Right
- 45:21here. This is where we want to short.
- 45:26Boom. Stops above this high.
- 45:30Come on, bro. There you go. Stops above
- 45:33this high. And then you guys can target
- 45:36these lows. I think I took this trade as
- 45:38well.
- 45:43So, it's proof in the freaking pudding.
- 45:45I took the same exact trade that I
- 45:47showed you guys, and I exited at the
- 45:49same exact spot. We can see I entered
- 45:51right here and then boom, exited right
- 45:53here. So again, it's clear that I'm
- 45:56using this strategy and we just went
- 45:57over three days back to back to back
- 45:59where this has where this played out in
- 46:02our favor. Again, we get boom
- 46:05manipulation, we get reversal. What are
- 46:07we looking for? We're looking for the
- 46:08gap to get filled and then boom, we end
- 46:10up getting the breakup structure to the
- 46:11downside right here. Awesome. That's
- 46:13where we're looking to enter. And then
- 46:14we're looking to exit underneath hourly
- 46:17draws on liquidity, 4hour draws on
- 46:19liquidity, all of that. This is
- 46:20obviously a significant low. So, this is
- 46:23where I'm going to want to take some
- 46:24profit at. I did have extended
- 46:26takeprofits at this daily low and then
- 46:28at these lows down here, but I took my
- 46:30first profit and then I moved my stop
- 46:32loss to break even. Obviously, the rest
- 46:34got stopped out at break even, but we
- 46:37still won. We still won and we still
- 46:39made money on the day. So, I mean,
- 46:44I'll let's let's keep trying to find
- 46:45like a losing day so I can like convince
- 46:48you guys that this [ __ ] isn't just like
- 46:50a 100% hit rate. Um, I'm lit I'm
- 46:54literally just going back over the days
- 46:57um just unfortunately the past three
- 46:59days. Or maybe I show you guys today's
- 47:01price action on how there wasn't a
- 47:03trade. We Well, let's see if Tuesday was
- 47:06a losing day. Um,
- 47:09[sighs]
- 47:11let's see if Tuesday was a losing day.
- 47:17I'm like trying to convince you guys.
- 47:19God [ __ ] damn it. It was a winning
- 47:21day. All right. The strategy is good. I
- 47:23guess the strategy is good. Um,
- 47:28yes. Oh my god. It's too good. The
- 47:32strategy is good. The strategy um it
- 47:34clearly works. What? like we'll we'll
- 47:37skim through this, [laughter] but
- 47:39[gasps]
- 47:40it works. Um, okay, market open. What do
- 47:43we do? We manipulate these hourly lows.
- 47:46Then what? We get this 5m minute inverse
- 47:48for value gap to the upside. Then what?
- 47:49We get the five minute for value gap
- 47:51fill. And then there's an there's the
- 47:54entry.
- 47:56Okay, within here target these draws and
- 47:58liquidity, you would have won. You would
- 47:59have won on that day as well. So,
- 48:02[sighs]
- 48:06we need to find a losing day. Let me
- 48:08just show you guys today's price action
- 48:10because I didn't take a trade today and
- 48:11our strategy didn't present itself. So,
- 48:13I can like like maybe just make myself
- 48:16seem worse. Um,
- 48:19okay.
- 48:21Today's price action. Today's price
- 48:23action. Bad bad bad. Okay. Why is it bad
- 48:27bad bad? So, let's look at this. We have
- 48:31boom. This is market open.
- 48:34This is market open. Okay.
- 48:37We get market open. Do we get any sort
- 48:41of manipulation? Yes. Awesome. We get
- 48:43manipulation to the downside. Boom.
- 48:44Price comes down, manipulates this, and
- 48:46awesome. We get a break of structure to
- 48:48the upside on the fiveminut time frame
- 48:50right here. Right on NASDAQ. On the S&P
- 48:53500 though, do we get a break of
- 48:55structure to the upside? No. Uh uh.
- 49:00No, we don't get a break of structure to
- 49:01the upside. This is something. Thank
- 49:04you. Perfect. We found a a bad day to
- 49:07trade so I can remember this. Okay.
- 49:11I do not like and I would highly
- 49:13recommend you guys don't take trades
- 49:15when the two indexes are not aligned. So
- 49:19what does that mean? I forgot. I forgot
- 49:22about this. Okay. When the two indexes
- 49:25are not aligned like if ES is bullish on
- 49:29the fivem minute [ __ ] [ __ ]
- 49:35bulls bulls balls okay if ES is bullish
- 49:39and NASDAQ is bearish
- 49:43bearish be am I high bearish bearish
- 49:49I don't want to take the trade okay now
- 49:53why is that because if both the indexes
- 49:55are telling us two different things,
- 49:56then the market is probably indecisive.
- 49:59Okay, so if we look at today, right, ES
- 50:02is maintaining bearish order flow,
- 50:04right? We get a big move down, but do we
- 50:05get a break structure to the upside on
- 50:07the 5minute? No. On NASDAQ, we get a big
- 50:10move down and then we do get a breakup
- 50:11structure to the upside on the 5minute.
- 50:14So, what index is right? If ES is
- 50:16bearish but NASDAQ is bullish, how do we
- 50:18decide which one to trade? Well, that's
- 50:20the awesome thing. Remember what I was
- 50:22telling you guys? What I was telling you
- 50:23guys at the start of this video?
- 50:26Jeez. What I was telling you guys at the
- 50:28start of this video is that less trades
- 50:31are better. So, even though we just went
- 50:33over three or like four trading days
- 50:36where this ended up working out and you
- 50:37guys are like, "Oh my gosh, this is the
- 50:39best strategy ever."
- 50:41Sometimes there's going to be days where
- 50:43we don't want to trade. And today is a
- 50:45perfect example of that where ES was
- 50:47bearish and NASDAQ was bullish on the
- 50:49fiveminut time frame. Meaning the market
- 50:51is indecisive. The market does not know
- 50:54where it wants to go. And until these
- 50:57two indexes are correlated, meaning both
- 51:01ES is in either a 5minute uptrend and
- 51:04NASDAQ is in a 5minute uptrend or NASDAQ
- 51:07is in a 5minute downtrend and ES is in a
- 51:10fiveminute downtrend, I don't want to
- 51:11take a trade because if ES is telling us
- 51:14one thing and NASDAQ is telling us
- 51:16another thing and NASDAQ is saying,
- 51:18"Hey, we want to go down." But the S&P
- 51:19500 is saying, "Hey, we want to go up."
- 51:22Cue the LAR song. We could go up. Right?
- 51:24So if if both of the indexes are telling
- 51:27us two different things then why should
- 51:31we take a trade if ES is saying hey we
- 51:33want to go higher and NASDAQ is say
- 51:34saying hey we want to go lower we should
- 51:36not be taking a trade under these market
- 51:39circumstances until both of them can be
- 51:41aligned okay so in this case ES was it
- 51:45bullish no we didn't get a fiveminute
- 51:47break structure to the upside on NASDAQ
- 51:49were we bullish yes so NASDAQ is bullish
- 51:51but ES is bearish okay so I don't want
- 51:54anything to do with this [ __ ] today.
- 51:57Why? Because we we don't get we don't
- 52:00get we we
- 52:03Okay, neither of the indexes are
- 52:05aligned. So, let's just say like
- 52:07awesome. If the indexes weren't aligned
- 52:09at the start at the start of the
- 52:11session, that's fine. They can still get
- 52:12aligned later in the session. So, let's
- 52:14look for it. Awesome. NASDAQ gets a
- 52:16break structure to the downside at 950.
- 52:18Beautiful. Okay. At 950. Awesome. NASDAQ
- 52:22breaks pressure to the downside and ES
- 52:24is still in its downtrend. Beautiful. We
- 52:27can potentially look for a trade here,
- 52:28right? Wrong. NASDAQ dumps all the way
- 52:32down and doesn't give us the opportunity
- 52:34to be able to enter into any sort of
- 52:38continuation trade, right? It just moves
- 52:40all the way down. We don't get any sort
- 52:42of a fiveminute retrace. We don't get
- 52:43any sort of a one minute break of
- 52:45structure to the upside. But then you're
- 52:47probably saying, "Well, TJR, we broke
- 52:49one minute structure to the upside right
- 52:51here at 10:07." Okay, you're right. I'll
- 52:55I'll let you in. Okay, we got a one
- 52:56minute break of structure to the upside
- 52:58at 10:07. And awesome. We got draws and
- 53:00liquidity to the downside. We got boom,
- 53:03we got all of these lows stacked up.
- 53:04Perfect, right? Looks like great draws
- 53:06and liquidity. But what do we need? We
- 53:08need the 1 minute to break structure
- 53:09back down to the downside. Do we see
- 53:12that happen? No. This is the low that
- 53:13we're looking at. Nope. This is the low
- 53:15that we're looking at. Nope. This is the
- 53:16low that we're looking at. Nope. This is
- 53:18the low that we're looking at. And then
- 53:20before you freaking know it,
- 53:22what has NASDAQ done? It has broken five
- 53:25minute structure back to the upside. And
- 53:27at this point in time, it's 10:20. By
- 53:3010:30, I'm done for the freaking day. If
- 53:33neither of the indexes are aligned and
- 53:35it's 10:20 on the freaking timer on the
- 53:38Eastern Eastern time zone, call it a
- 53:41freaking day because we're going to have
- 53:42a whole bunch of [ __ ] going on. And
- 53:44as you can see following that, what did
- 53:46we have? A whole bunch of [ __ ]
- 53:48right? Nobody wants to be trading this
- 53:50price action. This is ugly, ugly, ugly,
- 53:52ugly on the on the S&P 500. Does anybody
- 53:55want to be trading this? No. This looks
- 53:57like piano keys across our freaking
- 53:59across our freaking board. Okay? Nobody
- 54:01wants to be trading this. This is not
- 54:03optimal price action whatsoever. So, we
- 54:07just call it a day. All right. That was
- 54:10that's good that we went over today
- 54:12because if the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ on
- 54:16the five minute are not aligned, I do
- 54:19not want to be taking a trade. Okay? If
- 54:21the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ are not
- 54:24aligned, I do not want to be taking a
- 54:27trade. Okay? So on the 5m minute, even
- 54:29though NASDAQ broke structure to the
- 54:31upside, ES did not. So I'm not looking
- 54:34for longs until ES can actually break
- 54:36structure to the upside. And it doesn't
- 54:39end up doing that all the way until like
- 54:41right here. And I mean technically, when
- 54:45was this? This was 11:05. I mean, yeah,
- 54:48technically at 11:05,
- 54:51boom, we were already in a bullish trend
- 54:53on the 5m minute on NASDAQ because we
- 54:55broke structure to the upside. Sure. At
- 54:5711:05, if you're able to find a freaking
- 55:00entry, awesome. Go for it. We get a
- 55:04freaking one minute break of structure
- 55:05to the downside right here. And then we
- 55:06end up breaking to the upside. Boom.
- 55:09That's your freaking entry. Your stops
- 55:11under are underneath here. And then you
- 55:12end up targeting whatever all of these
- 55:14highs that are throughout here. Boom.
- 55:16High right here. High right here. High
- 55:17right here. High right here. And it ends
- 55:18up working out in your favor.
- 55:21But do you really want to be sitting on
- 55:23the chart for that freaking long?
- 55:24Personally, I do not. We can see when
- 55:28was this? This is 11:05. This is when we
- 55:30get the break to the upside. Awesome. We
- 55:32inverse this gap to the downside and
- 55:34then boom, we get the break structure to
- 55:35the upside. So yeah, this would this
- 55:37would technically be when you would want
- 55:39to enter using our strategy and sure
- 55:44we can target these highs for like a 1
- 55:46to1 risk-toreward ratio. Sure, it played
- 55:49sure it played out in our favor. But me
- 55:52personally, I'm not willing to sit
- 55:53through all of this chop and all of this
- 55:55BS
- 55:57to to take this trade at 1120. And and
- 56:00more often than not, you're just again,
- 56:04the less trades, the better. Because if
- 56:06we think back to what our strategy does,
- 56:08our strategy helps us, its steps to help
- 56:11us not take bad trades. Our strategy is
- 56:15less about what trade to take and more
- 56:18about what trades it stops us from
- 56:20taking. Holy [ __ ] bar. Holy bars. So,
- 56:25if you guys made it this far in the
- 56:26video, drop a freaking subscribe for
- 56:29that absolute bar of a trading. Wow. I'm
- 56:32going to make a Tik Tok on that
- 56:33literally right now.
- 56:39>> Your strategy is Hold on. Hold on. Let
- 56:41me redo this. You guys are seeing this
- 56:43happen in real time.
- 56:46Your strategy is less Sorry. You guys
- 56:49are seeing this happen in real time.
- 56:51What What was it? Your strategy is less
- 56:53about telling Oh, yeah. Your strategy is
- 56:56less about telling you guys what trade
- 56:59to take and more about telling you guys
- 57:01what trades not to take.
- 57:06I don't really know what else I'm going
- 57:08to say in this Tik Tok to be completely
- 57:10honest. I just thought that was smart.
- 57:11Okay, I'll finish it later. But anyways,
- 57:13long story short, your strategy is pres
- 57:16preventing you guys because again within
- 57:18our strategy, there's a lot of steps
- 57:20that we need to get through. And I mean
- 57:23on this day, this is a perfect example,
- 57:25right? If our if we didn't have our
- 57:27strategy, we would have seen
- 57:29manipulation, awesome fiveminute
- 57:30breaking structure to the upside. If we
- 57:32just had those two steps, boom, we would
- 57:35have we would have gotten crushed. Okay?
- 57:37We would we would have gotten stopped
- 57:39out on this trade. Okay? So, our
- 57:42strategy has these steps built in to
- 57:44help give us
- 57:47probability in the market. Okay? Because
- 57:49without probability, trading is
- 57:52literally nothing. And you guys might as
- 57:53you you guys literally are better off
- 57:55hitting the casino. I mean, that it
- 57:57sounds lit to be honest. Like, I would I
- 57:59would much rather just like take the
- 58:00trading day off and just spin that [ __ ]
- 58:03you know? Like, if I don't trade,
- 58:04awesome. You know exactly where I'm
- 58:06going, bro, cuz I need to get my fill.
- 58:08But if the strategy does present itself,
- 58:10you know that probability is on your
- 58:12side, so you might as well take that
- 58:13risk. So, that's going to wrap it up for
- 58:16today's video. We went literally a whole
- 58:18freaking hour dissecting my strategy
- 58:20that has given me probability in the
- 58:22markets um and has continued to help me
- 58:25make money from trading over the past
- 58:27couple years now. So, if you guys
- 58:29enjoyed this, grop a freaking like or
- 58:33whatever the heck is involved with that.
- 58:34Give me a freaking subscribe button. I
- 58:36love and appreciate you guys. I'll catch
- 58:38you guys in the next one.
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