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My UPDATED Day Trading Strategy (2026) — Transcript

by TJR · 10,646 words · 1,483 segments · language en · Watch on YouTube

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  1. 0:00What's up, guys? This is my updated
  2. 0:02strategy video. I have made over
  3. 0:04$700,000 from this strategy alone, from
  4. 0:07this year. So, I decided I haven't made
  5. 0:10one of these in a while. Might as well
  6. 0:11go over my exact strategy step by step,
  7. 0:14bar for bar, and back test it with you
  8. 0:16guys so you guys can understand it
  9. 0:17completely. First, what I want to do is
  10. 0:20before we get on the charts, show you
  11. 0:22guys proof. So, this here is Trade Zela.
  12. 0:26As we can see, this was from January 1st
  13. 0:27of 2026 to June 1st of 2026. Um, in the
  14. 0:32month of January, I made around $41,000.
  15. 0:35In the month of February, I made
  16. 0:37$148,000.
  17. 0:39In the month of March, I made $293,000.
  18. 0:42It actually could have been a lot more
  19. 0:44had I not uh upped the risk at the end.
  20. 0:47I was doing really well at the start of
  21. 0:49this month, but um and then in April
  22. 0:51made around $230,000.
  23. 0:54And then finally, this was last month. I
  24. 0:57didn't do the best last month, uh, but I
  25. 1:00made around $34,000. And I know what you
  26. 1:02guys are saying. You guys are probably
  27. 1:03saying, "Oh, well, Tradezella,
  28. 1:05Tradzella, you can manually input
  29. 1:07trades." Well, this is actually directly
  30. 1:10connected to my broker. So, whenever I
  31. 1:12take a trade, it automatically gets
  32. 1:13uploaded to Tradzella. But, I can go
  33. 1:16ahead and go on here and show you guys
  34. 1:19on this account. Boom. This is a live
  35. 1:23account as you guys can see down here.
  36. 1:26Okay.
  37. 1:27And if we see this year I've made
  38. 1:30$874,782.
  39. 1:33And you're probably saying, "Well, oh,
  40. 1:35those numbers are different than what
  41. 1:37was on Tradezella." Well, that's right.
  42. 1:39Because on Trade Zella, it subtracts the
  43. 1:41fees and the swap. So if you subtract
  44. 1:43the fees from the broker and you
  45. 1:45subtract the swap, then you get the
  46. 1:47exact same amount that I have made on
  47. 1:51Tradzella. So again, literally every
  48. 1:53single one of these trades are directly
  49. 1:55uploaded to Tradzella. Tradzella is just
  50. 1:58the journaling platform that helps me
  51. 1:59see it in a little bit of a cleaner way.
  52. 2:01And it also helps me see my win rate and
  53. 2:04my average risk-to-reward, which as we
  54. 2:06can see here, if we look at my overall
  55. 2:09win rate and my average risk-to-reward,
  56. 2:11my daily win rate is around 64% or
  57. 2:1464.29% and my average risk-to-reward on
  58. 2:17a trade is a 123.3,
  59. 2:20which is pretty good. So, pretty much
  60. 2:21every single winning trade I'm making on
  61. 2:23average $22,000. And every single losing
  62. 2:26trade, I'm losing around $16,000.
  63. 2:29And actually, this win rate should be a
  64. 2:32little bit higher. Um, because some of
  65. 2:36the break even trades, I'll show you
  66. 2:37guys the most recent one. This trade got
  67. 2:41stopped out at break even, but sometimes
  68. 2:44break even trades end up being a loss.
  69. 2:46So, it counts it as a loss because
  70. 2:48again, I didn't lose se or I did lose
  71. 2:51780 bucks on this, but this was a
  72. 2:54technically me getting stopped out at
  73. 2:55break even. you know, you take this plus
  74. 2:58the fee, you're getting a negative one
  75. 3:00uh $1,180
  76. 3:03in P&L, so it counts it as a loss. So,
  77. 3:05my win rate is actually a little bit
  78. 3:08higher than what it says on here. Uh the
  79. 3:10risk-to-reward is pretty on on on
  80. 3:14target, but as we can see, this year
  81. 3:16I've been trading incredible. Um I
  82. 3:18haven't had a single losing month. Oops,
  83. 3:20this that goes into June. Um but I
  84. 3:23haven't had a single losing month. I
  85. 3:24have had some months where, you know,
  86. 3:26it's been a little bit rickety. You
  87. 3:28know, like in January, I only made
  88. 3:31$41,000. In February, I did good. March
  89. 3:34I did good. April, I did good. And then
  90. 3:36this past month of May, I didn't um
  91. 3:38didn't trade the best. It was kind of
  92. 3:39back and forth. I honestly thought I was
  93. 3:41going to end the month red. But I'm
  94. 3:43still yet to have a red month this year.
  95. 3:45So, with all of that being said, I'm
  96. 3:48going to explain to you guys the
  97. 3:49strategy that I use throughout trading
  98. 3:52this entire year. And this is pretty
  99. 3:54much pretty similar to what I've been
  100. 3:58trading um historically. It's using all
  101. 4:01of the same concepts, but I do think
  102. 4:04that there's a couple tweaks that I
  103. 4:06should let you guys know about. Um that
  104. 4:09has just made my strategy, in my
  105. 4:11opinion, safer, more efficient, and has
  106. 4:15helped me actually take less trades. I
  107. 4:17know you guys are probably thinking, "We
  108. 4:19don't want to take less trades." we want
  109. 4:21to take more trades. And that's actually
  110. 4:24not what you guys want to do. Um, in
  111. 4:26fact, if you guys end up taking less
  112. 4:28trades, uh, it just means that you're
  113. 4:30protecting yourself from more losses.
  114. 4:32I'm sure a lot of you guys have probably
  115. 4:34taken a lot of losses in trading and you
  116. 4:37guys realize that the more you trade,
  117. 4:38the more you lose. So, strategy, I'm
  118. 4:41going to break down essentially what our
  119. 4:43trading strategy is supposed to be um
  120. 4:47before we get into actually breaking
  121. 4:48everything down step by step because I
  122. 4:50think that's super important. So, first
  123. 4:51of all, we need to break down what is
  124. 4:54trading like what is trading supposed to
  125. 4:56be? And in my head, trading is supposed
  126. 4:58to be
  127. 5:00getting onto the markets every single
  128. 5:02day over a long period of time and
  129. 5:04accurately predicting where price wants
  130. 5:06to go with a high probability on a daily
  131. 5:08basis. So, let's break that down. If we
  132. 5:12get into the markets and we're able to
  133. 5:13accurately predict where this little
  134. 5:16price movement wants to go with a high
  135. 5:19probability on a daily basis, we are
  136. 5:22going to end up making money. Now, what
  137. 5:24does our strategy help us do? Does our
  138. 5:27strategy help us predict where price
  139. 5:28wants to go? Yes, to an extent. But what
  140. 5:32does our strategy actually help us most
  141. 5:34in? It helps us not take low probability
  142. 5:38trades because there's a trade to be
  143. 5:40taken every single second. I could say,
  144. 5:42"Hey, I want to buy this right now." And
  145. 5:44then price could go down and then boom,
  146. 5:45I lost that trade. Technically, there's
  147. 5:47an opportunity to trade from 9:30 a.m.
  148. 5:50in the morning, Eastern time, all the
  149. 5:52way until 5 until market closes. So,
  150. 5:55what does the strategy actually help us
  151. 5:57do? It helps us not to take trades and
  152. 6:00it helps us give us, I guess you could
  153. 6:03say, signals of when we are actually
  154. 6:06going to get a high probability trade.
  155. 6:08Now, you're probably saying, well, how
  156. 6:10do we know it's a high probability
  157. 6:11trade? Well, we collect data. So, that's
  158. 6:14exactly why I showed you guys this at
  159. 6:16the beginning of the video, because I
  160. 6:19have data backing my strategy. So, I
  161. 6:22have proven that over just from this
  162. 6:25year up until now that my strategy when
  163. 6:28I take the trades following my
  164. 6:30step-by-step strategy, it gives me
  165. 6:33around a little bit over a 64% win rate.
  166. 6:36And when I win, I'm making around 1 to
  167. 6:381.33 risk to uh risk-to-reward ratio,
  168. 6:42meaning my wins are going to be bigger
  169. 6:43than my losses and also meaning I'm
  170. 6:46going to win more than I lose. So
  171. 6:48imagine trading is like a coin flip.
  172. 6:51Okay? So we have a coin and you know
  173. 6:54obviously the coin is either going to
  174. 6:55land on heads or tails. You're going to
  175. 6:57have pretty much a 50/50 chance of
  176. 6:59whether it's going to land on heads or
  177. 7:00tails. That's what trading is without a
  178. 7:02strategy. If you're trading without a
  179. 7:04strategy, you're pretty much just taking
  180. 7:06a guess of, hey, I think price is going
  181. 7:09to go up or price is going to go down.
  182. 7:10You have no edge. You have no
  183. 7:12probability. You have no data backing
  184. 7:14whether or not this is actually going to
  185. 7:15be the case. But when we have a
  186. 7:17strategy, we have a coin that is
  187. 7:20weighted on our side. Does it mean we
  188. 7:22are going to win every single time? No,
  189. 7:24of course not. Because anybody that says
  190. 7:26they have a 100% win rate strategy is
  191. 7:29just straight up lying to you. But what
  192. 7:32we do know is when I execute on this
  193. 7:35strategy and when I follow my strategy
  194. 7:37to a te, I know that probability is on
  195. 7:39my side. Meaning, I'm going to win more
  196. 7:41than I lose. And when I do win, I'm
  197. 7:44going to make more money than when I do
  198. 7:46lose. So I win more than when I lose.
  199. 7:49And I make more money when I win than
  200. 7:51when I lose. So those are two
  201. 7:53probabilities that I'm personally going
  202. 7:55to want to take every single time I see
  203. 7:58my strategy present itself. So when I
  204. 8:01see my strategy present itself, you guys
  205. 8:03are probably saying, you know, obviously
  206. 8:06psychology plays a lot into this where
  207. 8:09people are like, "Oh man, like how do
  208. 8:12you have the confidence to take a
  209. 8:13trade?" The confidence is in the data.
  210. 8:16So if you guys haven't connected either
  211. 8:18your demo account to some sort of
  212. 8:21trading platform and you don't even have
  213. 8:22to use you don't even have to use
  214. 8:24Tradzella. Tradzella just does it for
  215. 8:26you. It just connects to the broker and
  216. 8:27then every time you take a trade, it
  217. 8:28just boom syncs it up and gives you
  218. 8:30spits out this data for you. But you
  219. 8:32guys can use a spreadsheet. If your
  220. 8:35broker offers it, awesome. Then you guys
  221. 8:37can look at that. But you need to be
  222. 8:39collecting data on your strategy because
  223. 8:42if you guys aren't collecting data, then
  224. 8:44your strategy very well could be like a
  225. 8:4630% win rate with a z one to 0.5
  226. 8:51risk-to-reward ratio. And that means,
  227. 8:54well, one, you suck at trading. And and
  228. 8:56two, why are you using that strategy?
  229. 8:58Because the data isn't backing it.
  230. 9:00You're you're going to lose more than
  231. 9:02you win. And when you lose, you're
  232. 9:04losing more money than when you when you
  233. 9:06win the trades. So, obviously, you're
  234. 9:08not going to be profitable long term.
  235. 9:10So, we need to understand all of these
  236. 9:12things before actually establishing our
  237. 9:15strategy. Now, for me, I've already
  238. 9:17established this and I kind of did the
  239. 9:19dirty work for you guys. But if you guys
  240. 9:22watch this video, I by all means, I
  241. 9:23don't want you guys to watch this video
  242. 9:25and just say like, "Yeah, TJR strategy,
  243. 9:28he already back tested it for me, so
  244. 9:29it's going to work for me." You know? I
  245. 9:31mean, I did do the dirty work and I've
  246. 9:34been doing this for a really long time,
  247. 9:36but I highly recommend you guys do your
  248. 9:40own due diligence and just back test
  249. 9:43whatever strategy you guys are planning
  250. 9:45on using and finding the actual data
  251. 9:49behind it. Whether you guys are putting
  252. 9:50it into a spreadsheet, whatever you guys
  253. 9:53need to do to know for a fact that the
  254. 9:56math is going to end up over a long
  255. 9:59period of time, you are going to be
  256. 10:00green, right? Cuz if if we just say, "Oh
  257. 10:03yeah, I found this strategy online and I
  258. 10:06watched this YouTube video and this
  259. 10:09YouTube video in the thumbnail it says
  260. 10:10like 80% win rate and then you just like
  261. 10:12blindly follow it, but then you go back
  262. 10:14and you look at the stats and then you
  263. 10:16see, oh damn, when I follow this
  264. 10:18strategy, I end up losing more than I
  265. 10:21win and my win rate sucks and my
  266. 10:22risk-to-reward sucks." Then obviously
  267. 10:24you shouldn't be trading that strategy.
  268. 10:26So, I wanted to clarify all of that
  269. 10:29before we get into this because I think
  270. 10:31a lot of people will get one like
  271. 10:36[clears throat]
  272. 10:36just a little bit discouraged because
  273. 10:39they'll take a couple trades learning
  274. 10:41this new strategy that they learned
  275. 10:43online from a YouTube video and they
  276. 10:46just are blindly following it because
  277. 10:49they see this person is making x amount
  278. 10:51of dollars or is like doing great for
  279. 10:53themselves and then they're just like,
  280. 10:55"Oh yeah, this should work for me. But
  281. 10:57if it doesn't work for you, then you
  282. 10:58need to find a strategy that actually
  283. 11:00does work for you. Um, so again, in this
  284. 11:03video, I'm going to be going over my
  285. 11:06strategy, which works for me, but it
  286. 11:08might not work for you. I mean, granted,
  287. 11:10I have the data backing that my strategy
  288. 11:13works for me. And if you guys follow it
  289. 11:14to a tea, which I do for the most part,
  290. 11:18you guys should be able to get similar
  291. 11:20results. But you guys should do your own
  292. 11:23due diligence and back test this. and
  293. 11:25actually like upload all of that
  294. 11:27information to some sort of tracker,
  295. 11:29some sort of spreadsheet for you guys to
  296. 11:31be able to see the data yourself. And
  297. 11:33then that leads me into the last thing
  298. 11:35that I want to go over before we
  299. 11:36actually start talking about the
  300. 11:37strategy is a lot of people deal with
  301. 11:39psychological issues. This video isn't
  302. 11:41about psychology, but this is something
  303. 11:43that I will say about trading
  304. 11:45psychology. A lot of people have fear in
  305. 11:48the markets and then a lot of people
  306. 11:50people will lack confidence in the
  307. 11:51markets. The only way to remove that
  308. 11:54fear and the only way to actually gain
  309. 11:56confidence in the markets, it's not by
  310. 11:59watching a YouTube video like this, it's
  311. 12:01by actually practicing and getting those
  312. 12:03shots or getting those repetitions up
  313. 12:05yourself. So, obviously, I have the
  314. 12:08confidence to take the trades that I do.
  315. 12:11Not only because I have the data backing
  316. 12:13it, but also because I've been doing
  317. 12:16this for a long time and I've taken
  318. 12:18these trades so many times to the point
  319. 12:20where I know over a long period of time
  320. 12:22I'm going to make money in the market.
  321. 12:24But if you guys just watch a YouTube
  322. 12:27video and say, "Okay, TJR told me this
  323. 12:30is a fact, but you guys haven't gotten
  324. 12:32any reps in." And then you guys
  325. 12:33immediately start risking your own
  326. 12:35money. You guys are probably going to be
  327. 12:37pretty scared about risking your own
  328. 12:39money. Why? because you guys haven't
  329. 12:42felt you guys haven't felt that before.
  330. 12:43You guys haven't actually put risk on
  331. 12:45the table using a strategy before. So
  332. 12:47that's something that you guys need to
  333. 12:48break in. And then the last thing that I
  334. 12:51want to tell you guys is again when it
  335. 12:53comes to fear in the markets, you guys
  336. 12:55will have no fear in the markets when
  337. 12:57you guys have data backing your
  338. 12:59strategy. So again, that's why I'm able
  339. 13:01to take the trades that I do without any
  340. 13:03fear. And that's why I'm also able to
  341. 13:05take losses that I do because I know,
  342. 13:08hey, when I take a loss, awesome. that's
  343. 13:10just a drop in my probability bucket of
  344. 13:12my win rate or that's just going to be a
  345. 13:14drop in my probability bucket of my
  346. 13:16risk-to-reward and I know that over a
  347. 13:19longer period of time like if we look
  348. 13:22back at this month of March right I had
  349. 13:25an in insane first trading week a great
  350. 13:29second trading week not the best third
  351. 13:32trading week and then not the best
  352. 13:33fourth trading week but I still ended up
  353. 13:35green on the month so when we look at
  354. 13:38this what a lot of People mis misconcept
  355. 13:43what trading is like they think trading
  356. 13:44is just like green day green day green
  357. 13:46day green day but what trading actually
  358. 13:48is is like green week green week red
  359. 13:51week red week still green on the month
  360. 13:53and then let me look at or we can even
  361. 13:57just look at this month the month of May
  362. 13:58so this month the month of May right
  363. 14:01this was like a very back and forth back
  364. 14:03and forth month where I made money the
  365. 14:07first week I lost 10k the second week
  366. 14:09and then I lost 70k the the third week
  367. 14:12and then I made 84k the fourth week. But
  368. 14:16what a lot of people will do is they'll
  369. 14:18focus on the day-to-day outcomes or
  370. 14:20they'll just say like, "Oh, I've had two
  371. 14:22losing weeks in a row. This strategy
  372. 14:25doesn't work. I need to stop everything
  373. 14:27and I need to go look at another
  374. 14:28strategy." But what will help you stay
  375. 14:31away from doing something like that is
  376. 14:33again when you have the data backing
  377. 14:36that hey these two losing weeks should
  378. 14:38mean nothing to you because we know that
  379. 14:41even if I lose two weeks in a row does
  380. 14:43that mean I I need to change anything?
  381. 14:45No. It's just a drop in our probability
  382. 14:47bucket of hey I know I'm going to lose
  383. 14:50trades using this strategy. There's no
  384. 14:52strategy that gives me a 100% win rate.
  385. 14:54And I know that when I do lose I'm
  386. 14:56losing less than what I make when I win
  387. 14:58trades. And I know that when I lose, I
  388. 15:00know that over time I'm going to win
  389. 15:02more than I that and I know over time
  390. 15:05I'm going to win more than when I lose.
  391. 15:07So if I have two losing weeks, I'm not
  392. 15:10sweating it. I'm not scared about it
  393. 15:12whatsoever because I know that my
  394. 15:15strategy is giving me this probability
  395. 15:18in the market. So again, a lot of people
  396. 15:20get super super caught up or like
  397. 15:24they're so focused on the individual
  398. 15:25outcomes, they'll lose one trade and
  399. 15:27they'll just be like, "Oh, that's it.
  400. 15:28The strategy doesn't work. I quit." And
  401. 15:31it's like, "No, that's not the case."
  402. 15:33And some people will have a losing week
  403. 15:35and just be like, "I must be doing
  404. 15:36something wrong." And you know, I could
  405. 15:39show you guys a freaking million losing
  406. 15:42weeks. I had a losing week here, losing
  407. 15:43week here, but I still ended the month
  408. 15:45very green. I had a losing week here,
  409. 15:47losing week here, still ended the month
  410. 15:49green.
  411. 15:52I had a losing week here, still ended
  412. 15:54the month green, losing week, losing
  413. 15:56week, and then boom, back-to-back
  414. 15:57winning weeks, and I still ended the
  415. 15:58month green. So, what you guys need to
  416. 16:01do is you guys need to zoom out on the
  417. 16:05long timeline of what your trading
  418. 16:07journey is. And you guys need to
  419. 16:08understand that losing weeks are just a
  420. 16:10part of trading. Just like point blank
  421. 16:13period, they are a part of trading. And
  422. 16:14once you guys can accept that and you
  423. 16:16guys can accept just that trading is a
  424. 16:18game of probabilities, your goal is to
  425. 16:21win more than you lose. And when you do
  426. 16:23win, the goal is for that dollar amount
  427. 16:26to be more than the dollar amount than
  428. 16:28when you lose. And if you get both of
  429. 16:29those things correct, you got a strategy
  430. 16:31that works for you and you are going to
  431. 16:33be able to consistently make money from
  432. 16:34the markets over a long period of time.
  433. 16:36So with that being said, we are going to
  434. 16:39jump into this strategy video. So, I'm
  435. 16:43going to write down essentially what I'm
  436. 16:46looking for within my strategy before
  437. 16:49showing it on the charts. So, step
  438. 16:52number one, I'm looking for draws and
  439. 16:54liquidity.
  440. 16:58So, draws and liquidity are essentially
  441. 17:00going to be session highs, session lows,
  442. 17:021 hour highs, 1 hour lows, 4 hour highs,
  443. 17:054 hour lows. So, we have session highs
  444. 17:10or we'll just do sesh
  445. 17:131 hour, 4 hour,
  446. 17:16highs and lows. Okay, so I need an area
  447. 17:20that price is going to want to draw
  448. 17:22towards in order for that to be my
  449. 17:23target. And I also need draws and
  450. 17:25liquidity for me to be able to enter
  451. 17:27into a trade. So I'm looking for draws
  452. 17:30on liquidity for price to take out a
  453. 17:32draw in liquidity. And then from there,
  454. 17:34I'm looking for price to manipulate and
  455. 17:37then reverse off of that. So we're
  456. 17:38looking to manipulate these draws on
  457. 17:40liquidity and then reverse off of it. So
  458. 17:42draws and liquidity are just high time
  459. 17:44frame highs and lows. What lies above
  460. 17:46high time frame highs and lows? Resting
  461. 17:48orders. So when we have highs and lows
  462. 17:50in the market, let's just imagine
  463. 17:52there's just a bunch of buy orders
  464. 17:55sitting above highs and a bunch of sell
  465. 17:57orders sitting below lows. Now
  466. 18:00occasionally what the market will do
  467. 18:02when it wants to reverse, which is
  468. 18:04typically the trades that I'm trying to
  469. 18:05catch, is it will push above a high and
  470. 18:08it will activate all of these buy
  471. 18:10orders. Why? Because there's people
  472. 18:12during this move down that were selling
  473. 18:15or shorting the market and their stop
  474. 18:16loss is above this high. So when price
  475. 18:18pushes above this high, what happens?
  476. 18:20They get stopped out and they get forced
  477. 18:21to buy back that stock or whatever the
  478. 18:24asset is for a higher price, they lose
  479. 18:27that trade. So that's some people
  480. 18:29buying. And then also, if we're in an
  481. 18:31uptrend and we push past this high, what
  482. 18:33also is that causing people to do? It's
  483. 18:35causing people to buy because they say,
  484. 18:37"Hey, we're in an uptrend. We just
  485. 18:38pushed past a high, so we're going to
  486. 18:40continue higher. So, they're entering
  487. 18:42into the market right here. Now, what
  488. 18:44does that give the market the
  489. 18:46opportunity to do? Emphasis on the word
  490. 18:48opportunity because price doesn't always
  491. 18:52just push above a high and then
  492. 18:53instantly reverse. But it does give the
  493. 18:56market the opportunity because there's a
  494. 18:58massive amount of buy orders getting
  495. 18:59filled right here. It gives the market
  496. 19:02the opportunity to fill a massive amount
  497. 19:04of sell orders. Why? Because if we think
  498. 19:07back to just basic e economics, if I
  499. 19:10want to buy a stock, there has to be
  500. 19:12somebody that is willing to sell it to
  501. 19:14me for that same exact price. So when
  502. 19:16the market is moving, how can it reverse
  503. 19:19price? It will have to push price above
  504. 19:21a high to enter a whole bunch of people
  505. 19:23into buy positions so that it can fill
  506. 19:25their massive amounts of sell orders to
  507. 19:27then reverse the market. Okay, so same
  508. 19:29thing to the downside. Okay, when we
  509. 19:32push underneath a low, what is happening
  510. 19:34during this point in time? There are
  511. 19:36people who were buying on this move up
  512. 19:38who have their stop losses underneath
  513. 19:40this low. So, when price pushes
  514. 19:41underneath this low, all the people that
  515. 19:44were pressing buy throughout this move
  516. 19:46up are getting stopped out. Now, also,
  517. 19:48what are people doing when we push
  518. 19:50underneath this low? People are shorting
  519. 19:51the market. People are pressing sell.
  520. 19:54So, when we push underneath this low,
  521. 19:55what does that give the market the
  522. 19:57opportunity to do? It gives the market
  523. 19:59the opportunity to fill a massive amount
  524. 20:01of buy orders to then push price higher.
  525. 20:04Okay, so that's why we want draws on
  526. 20:06liquidity because we know that that
  527. 20:08gives the market the opportunity to fill
  528. 20:10orders. That is step number one. Now,
  529. 20:12step number two, what am I looking for?
  530. 20:14I'm looking for potential for orders get
  531. 20:17to get filled, which is what? Sitting
  532. 20:20above highs and lows in the market. I'm
  533. 20:22looking for a high or a low to get push
  534. 20:23above or below in order to potentially
  535. 20:26fill orders. Then what am I looking for?
  536. 20:29I'm looking for confirmation that those
  537. 20:31orders were filled through a change in
  538. 20:34trend. So what does that typically look
  539. 20:36like? I'm looking for a fiveminut break
  540. 20:39of structure or a 5minute inverse fair
  541. 20:42value gap. And I'll show you guys
  542. 20:43examples of what that looks like on the
  543. 20:45chart if you guys aren't familiar with
  544. 20:46those two confluences. So again, if we
  545. 20:49think think to the two steps right now,
  546. 20:52we have a high and we have a low in the
  547. 20:54market. Let's say the market boom pushes
  548. 20:56above a high. What does that give the
  549. 20:58market the opportunity to do? Fill
  550. 21:01orders. Fill their sell orders to push
  551. 21:03price to the downside. So awesome. We
  552. 21:06have the opportunity to do that with
  553. 21:08step number one. Then I'm looking for
  554. 21:09confirmation that price actually is
  555. 21:12going to do that. So, I'm going to be
  556. 21:13looking for a break of structure to the
  557. 21:16downside on the five minute time frame
  558. 21:18to show confirmation that hey, we had
  559. 21:20the opportunity to fill orders to push
  560. 21:22price lower. And now we're actually
  561. 21:25seeing a change in trend to the
  562. 21:27downside. Okay. Same thing with lows.
  563. 21:30So, when we pu when price pushes
  564. 21:32underneath a low in the market, what
  565. 21:34does that give the market the
  566. 21:35opportunity to do? Fill buy orders. How
  567. 21:38do I know that buy orders have been
  568. 21:40filled? by seeing a change in trend to
  569. 21:42the upside. So, I'm looking for either a
  570. 21:44breakup structure or an inverse fair for
  571. 21:46value gap to the upside.
  572. 21:50From there, what am I looking for? Is
  573. 21:52that just going to be boom, green bean,
  574. 21:55enter the market? No. I'm looking for
  575. 21:57actual confirmation that this trend is
  576. 21:59going to continue. Okay. So step number
  577. 22:02three is going to be a five-minute
  578. 22:04continuation confluence which is either
  579. 22:07going to be equilibrium or a fair value
  580. 22:09gap getting filled. Okay. So if we go
  581. 22:11back to our drawing one more time we
  582. 22:13have opportunity to fill orders above
  583. 22:16here. Price comes up and then it does
  584. 22:18what? It takes advantage of that
  585. 22:19opportunity and says hey we actually
  586. 22:21want to go lower. So awesome we get step
  587. 22:23one. Step two we push above a draw on
  588. 22:25liquidity. Then we got to break the
  589. 22:27structure to the downside. Then what am
  590. 22:29I looking for? I'm looking for
  591. 22:31continuation of this trend. So, I'm
  592. 22:33going to mark out fair value gaps or I'm
  593. 22:36going to mark out equilibrium
  594. 22:39on the five-minute chart to see price
  595. 22:41push into that continuation confluence
  596. 22:44and then continue the trend lower
  597. 22:46because that is going to s signal three
  598. 22:49different things to me. One, price had
  599. 22:52the opportunity to reverse. That's step
  600. 22:54number one. Step number two, price
  601. 22:56actually took that opportunity and is
  602. 22:58changing the trend on the low time
  603. 23:00frame. Then step number three, price is
  604. 23:03actually continuing that trend on the
  605. 23:05low time frame. And that is going to
  606. 23:07give me a high conviction to be able to
  607. 23:09place that trade. So that's step one.
  608. 23:13Step two, step three. The last step is
  609. 23:15actually when we are within these
  610. 23:17confluences to help us get a better
  611. 23:19entry is we are going to scale down to
  612. 23:21the one minute time frame and we're
  613. 23:23going to look for a break of structure
  614. 23:25to the downside or an inverse for value
  615. 23:27gap to show confirmation that hey we're
  616. 23:29actually going to continue continue down
  617. 23:31and I'll just show you guys examples of
  618. 23:33step number four on the charts because
  619. 23:35it'll make more sense when I'm
  620. 23:38explaining it on the charts than just
  621. 23:40trying to put it on the drawings. And
  622. 23:42you guys are probably sick of the
  623. 23:43drawings by now. So, let's go on the
  624. 23:45charts. So, today we actually didn't get
  625. 23:48an opportunity. That's why you guys can
  626. 23:51see today
  627. 23:53I didn't make any money. I didn't place
  628. 23:55any trades.
  629. 23:58But if we go to previous days price
  630. 24:02action, well, today's Monday, so we'll
  631. 24:04have to go
  632. 24:07over to Friday's price action.
  633. 24:11We'll see if we got anything here.
  634. 24:22Yeah. So, this this was perfect.
  635. 24:25Friday's price action was perfect.
  636. 24:28So,
  637. 24:30where we at?
  638. 24:32So, this this was literally like step by
  639. 24:35step. Absolutely perfect. So, what do we
  640. 24:37see price do off rip? Okay, we see
  641. 24:41market open. Let me just move this to
  642. 24:43like right here.
  643. 24:46Okay, so market opens. What do we what
  644. 24:48do we do? Boom. We rip to the upside.
  645. 24:52Step one, manipulation, right? We push
  646. 24:54above London session highs on the S&P
  647. 24:57500. We push above London session highs.
  648. 24:59Okay, so on both the indexes, we push
  649. 25:02above session highs. That's step number
  650. 25:04one. What does price have the
  651. 25:05opportunity to do? Fill sell orders. So
  652. 25:08now we're looking for confirmation that
  653. 25:09those sell orders were actually filled.
  654. 25:11So we see move up. That's step number
  655. 25:13one. We got the manipulation. Step
  656. 25:15number two, what are we looking for?
  657. 25:17We're either looking for a break of
  658. 25:18structure to the downside. Whoa. We're
  659. 25:21either looking for a break of structure
  660. 25:23to the downside or an inverse fair value
  661. 25:25gap to the downside.
  662. 25:28What do we see right here? What does
  663. 25:30price do on this fivem minute gap?
  664. 25:32Again, we're looking on the fivem
  665. 25:33minute. We inverse this bullish gap to
  666. 25:36the downside. Awesome. What do we do on
  667. 25:40NASDAQ? We inverse this five-minute gap
  668. 25:44to the downside. Beautiful. So, we get
  669. 25:47manipulation. Step number one. We get
  670. 25:50reversal. Step number two. Now, what are
  671. 25:52we looking for? We're looking for some
  672. 25:54form of a continuation of this trend.
  673. 25:58So, I'm not just going to enter
  674. 26:02right here when I see the inverse value
  675. 26:04gap. No, I want to see some form of a
  676. 26:08retrace. And in this case, we see a
  677. 26:105minute retrace. So, I want to see a
  678. 26:115minute retrace. Right? So, how can we
  679. 26:14how can we tell when we're getting a
  680. 26:155minute retrace? We scale down to the
  681. 26:17one minute time frame. On the one minute
  682. 26:20time frame, what I like to do is I like
  683. 26:23to classify five minute retraces as a
  684. 26:25break of structure to the upside on the
  685. 26:27one minute because if you guys remember
  686. 26:29step number four, we need a break of
  687. 26:31structure or an inverse for value gap
  688. 26:34back in this case down towards the
  689. 26:36direction that we want to be that we
  690. 26:38want to favor. So, in order for that to
  691. 26:40happen, we in order for us to be looking
  692. 26:43for a break of structure down, we need
  693. 26:45to look for a break of structure up
  694. 26:47because why would we be looking for a
  695. 26:50break of structure down if we're already
  696. 26:51in a downtrend, a breaking structure to
  697. 26:53the downside while we're already in a
  698. 26:55downtrend? That just doesn't it that
  699. 26:57that's like not even a real thing
  700. 26:58because we're not actually breaking
  701. 26:59structure. We would just be continuing
  702. 27:01the trend. So, what we want to look for
  703. 27:04is a break of structure to the upside.
  704. 27:06Where do we get that break of structure
  705. 27:08to the upside on the one minute? We get
  706. 27:10it right here. Okay? So, we break one
  707. 27:12minute structure to the upside. What's a
  708. 27:16break of structure? A break of structure
  709. 27:17is when we are in a current trend. So,
  710. 27:20let's say we're in an uptrend
  711. 27:22and we close underneath the most recent
  712. 27:25low. That's a break of structure to the
  713. 27:27downside. If we're looking for a break
  714. 27:28of structure to the upside, we are in a
  715. 27:31current downtrend and we want to see a
  716. 27:34candlestick closure
  717. 27:36above the most recent high. So, a break
  718. 27:39of structure to the upside is a
  719. 27:41candlestick closure above the most
  720. 27:43recent high that was made within the
  721. 27:44market. And then a break of structure to
  722. 27:46the downside is when we see a candle
  723. 27:49closure underneath the most recent low.
  724. 27:54And before we get into the actual entry,
  725. 27:56let me explain inverse for value gaps
  726. 27:58really quick and why that's actually
  727. 28:00important. So breakup structure is
  728. 28:02pretty simple, right? Breakup structure
  729. 28:05is just how do trends move? Trends move
  730. 28:09in uptrends, higher highs and higher
  731. 28:10lows. When does that trend or structure
  732. 28:13get broken? When we end up closing
  733. 28:15underneath one of the lows because then
  734. 28:18that breaks the trend. That breaks the
  735. 28:20market structure that we're in. And then
  736. 28:21that puts us in a downtrend.
  737. 28:24In a downtrend, we're moving from higher
  738. 28:27or sorry, from lower highs to lower low.
  739. 28:30So, we have a high, then we have a low,
  740. 28:32then we have a lower high, then we have
  741. 28:33a lower low. What would be a break of
  742. 28:36this structure? If we push up and close
  743. 28:39above this high, why is that a break of
  744. 28:41structure? Because we just broke the
  745. 28:42current trend that we're in. So, when we
  746. 28:44come down, we're going to end up pushing
  747. 28:47higher. Why? Because we broke out of
  748. 28:48this downtrend that we're in. Simple
  749. 28:50break of structure. An inverse fair
  750. 28:53value gap is I have plenty video plenty
  751. 28:56of videos on fair value gaps if you guys
  752. 28:58want to look at them on my channel but
  753. 29:00so I don't really want to like get super
  754. 29:02super deep into this but it's
  755. 29:04essentially a fair value gap that gets
  756. 29:06disrespected. So in this case we see
  757. 29:09this is the lowest fair value gap that
  758. 29:11price could push to to continue this
  759. 29:13bullish trend.
  760. 29:15What does price do to it? We close
  761. 29:17underneath it. So ha whoa. So had this
  762. 29:21trend wanted to maintain its bullish
  763. 29:24structure, it should have just pushed
  764. 29:26into this and then pushed higher. But
  765. 29:29did it do that? No. It closed underneath
  766. 29:31it, disrespecting the the current order
  767. 29:35flow and the current market structure
  768. 29:39of price action, right? Because if it
  769. 29:41wanted to push higher, this is a bullish
  770. 29:44confluence, right?
  771. 29:46If price wanted to push higher, it would
  772. 29:48have filled this gap and it would have
  773. 29:50pushed price higher, but it didn't. It
  774. 29:53closed underneath the gap, pretty much
  775. 29:54signaling to us that, hey, we want price
  776. 29:57to go lower. So, awesome, we have an
  777. 30:00inverse gap to the downside. If we go
  778. 30:02over our strategy one more time, we got
  779. 30:05manipulation to the upside, potential
  780. 30:07for sell orders to get filled. Boom.
  781. 30:09Whole bunch of sell orders. How do we
  782. 30:10know the sell orders were filled?
  783. 30:12because we disrespected bullish market
  784. 30:14structure with this inverse fair value
  785. 30:17gap. Now what are we looking for? We are
  786. 30:19looking for continuation of this 5m
  787. 30:23minute downtrend that we just got
  788. 30:24ourselves into. So, in order for us to
  789. 30:27see a continuation of the 5-minute
  790. 30:29downtrend, we need to see a 5-minut
  791. 30:31retrace, meaning a one minute break of
  792. 30:34structure to the upside and then for the
  793. 30:36one minute then for the 1 minute to
  794. 30:38break back down, confirming
  795. 30:42that we are going to go lower. So, in
  796. 30:44this case, we can see on the S&P 500, we
  797. 30:48get manipulation
  798. 30:50inverse of the fair value gap. Awesome.
  799. 30:52A lot of people will probably enter
  800. 30:54here, but that's going to cause you guys
  801. 30:55to get a horrible entry and probably get
  802. 30:58you guys scared when we end up making
  803. 30:59this retrace. That's not what we want.
  804. 31:01We want to get optimal entries. Okay.
  805. 31:04So, what do we see? We see that happen.
  806. 31:08We say, "Awesome. Now, I want to wait
  807. 31:09for a five-minute retrace. How can I see
  808. 31:11a five-minute retrace? By a one minute
  809. 31:13break of structure to the upside." Okay,
  810. 31:15we see the one minute break to the
  811. 31:17upside right here. Then we say, boom, 5m
  812. 31:21minute retrace complete. What am I now
  813. 31:23looking for? Step number four is a break
  814. 31:27of structure back down to the downside
  815. 31:31to confirm that this 5minut trend is
  816. 31:35going to continue. So again,
  817. 31:37manipulation reversal, then I'm looking
  818. 31:40for continuation of the trend. So we see
  819. 31:44price broke structure to the upside and
  820. 31:46then boom, price breaks structure to the
  821. 31:47downside. That is where I would have
  822. 31:49entered short. And I'm pretty sure I
  823. 31:51took this exact same trade. I took this
  824. 31:52on the S&P 500. And then where do we
  825. 31:55target? We target our other draws on
  826. 31:58liquidity. So again, if you guys
  827. 31:59remember on step number one, we're
  828. 32:02looking at draws on liquidity. Okay,
  829. 32:04this is a pretty bad risk-to-reward
  830. 32:05ratio, but it's still a good example of
  831. 32:07the trade, right? So because we had a
  832. 32:10massive candlestick closure to the
  833. 32:11downside on this uh breaker structure to
  834. 32:13the downside. But still this shows our
  835. 32:15strategy per winning and executing
  836. 32:18perfectly. Um but what what was I saying
  837. 32:22on step number one? We understood that
  838. 32:26hey, not only does price have the
  839. 32:29opportunity to manipulate price and fill
  840. 32:31orders to the upside, but also price is
  841. 32:34going to draw towards these session lows
  842. 32:37in these hourly highs and lows. once it
  843. 32:40fills those orders because if we filled
  844. 32:44sell orders up here,
  845. 32:47we are also going to be looking for a
  846. 32:50spot to be able to get rid of these sell
  847. 32:52orders or be able to make a profit off
  848. 32:54of these sell orders. So, if the market
  849. 32:57filled sell orders up here, it needs to
  850. 33:00push price down to an area where it can
  851. 33:03liquidate and where it can get rid of
  852. 33:06those sell orders. So, where is that
  853. 33:07going to be a good spot? the same exact
  854. 33:10spot that the same exact the same exact
  855. 33:13highs and lows that we were looking for
  856. 33:15an entry. That's going to be our exits.
  857. 33:17So, we have a session low right here. We
  858. 33:19have a session low right here. We
  859. 33:21probably had some hourly lows within
  860. 33:22here. Okay. So when we're looking for
  861. 33:26entries off of these manipulations and
  862. 33:29then we're also looking for exits off of
  863. 33:32these draws and liquidity as draws and
  864. 33:34liquidities as well because just like
  865. 33:37how we were able to fill our massive
  866. 33:39amounts of sell orders up here, we also
  867. 33:41need to push price down to an area where
  868. 33:44it can empty off and it can take profit
  869. 33:46off of those sell orders. So, it needs
  870. 33:48to push price towards a draw in
  871. 33:50liquidity where down here, what are
  872. 33:52people going to be doing? They're going
  873. 33:54to be selling, right? So, people are
  874. 33:57going to be pressing the sell button
  875. 33:58when we push underneath these session
  876. 34:00lows.
  877. 34:02So, if we're in sell orders up here and
  878. 34:05we're trying to buy back these sell
  879. 34:07orders for a lower price, which is how
  880. 34:11you make money on a short,
  881. 34:14where is price going to want to push?
  882. 34:16it's going to want to push to where a
  883. 34:18whole bunch of sell orders are. Why?
  884. 34:20Because if if the market entered into a
  885. 34:22short up here, it's going to want to buy
  886. 34:25back those orders for a lower price. And
  887. 34:26if it filled a massive amount of orders
  888. 34:28up here, where's the next spot that
  889. 34:30price has the opportunity to be able to
  890. 34:33buy back a bunch of orders when a bunch
  891. 34:37of people are looking for sells? It's
  892. 34:39going to be underneath these lows. So,
  893. 34:41our exit and our entries are based off
  894. 34:44of the same exact thing. And that's why
  895. 34:46we need to set take profits based off of
  896. 34:49these draws in liquidity. Okay, so
  897. 34:52that
  898. 34:55is a good example. I'll show you guys on
  899. 34:57the NASDAQ really quickly. Same exact
  900. 35:00thing happened. We got manipulation to
  901. 35:03the upside. We inverse this 5minute gap.
  902. 35:06We go down to the one minute time frame.
  903. 35:09Let's look. Okay. Do we get an actual
  904. 35:11solid breaker structure to the upside
  905. 35:13right here? Yes, we do. Awesome. Then
  906. 35:16when do we get the break of structure to
  907. 35:17the downside? Right here. We get a
  908. 35:19closure underneath the low. This is
  909. 35:21where we want to short. Awesome. We can
  910. 35:24put our stop above the second high and
  911. 35:26then we can target. Boom.
  912. 35:28Really any of these lows within here.
  913. 35:30Boom. This is a really good risk-reward
  914. 35:32ratio. This is a 1:3
  915. 35:341 to 3.4 risk-to-reward ratio. Boom. We
  916. 35:36have an hourly low right here. Boom. We
  917. 35:38have some lows right here. And then we
  918. 35:39also have London lows, Asia lows. All of
  919. 35:41these lows that we can look for partial
  920. 35:43profits throughout the way. Okay,
  921. 35:46super super simple. Again, if we think
  922. 35:50about our strategy, we're looking for a
  923. 35:52liquidity sweep, meaning a higher low
  924. 35:54that gets a high or a low that gets
  925. 35:57pushed above or below. Then we're
  926. 35:59looking for a 5m minute break of
  927. 36:01structure or an inverse fair value gap.
  928. 36:03Then we're looking for a five minute
  929. 36:06equilibrium or fair value gap getting
  930. 36:08filled. Or just I mean we can even make
  931. 36:11this even simpler. Instead of just
  932. 36:14saying, "Oh yeah, I want equilibrium or
  933. 36:15a fair value gap getting filled." We can
  934. 36:17just say we want a one minute break of
  935. 36:19structure to the upside or to the
  936. 36:20downside. So we can look for a one
  937. 36:22minute break of structure or an inverse
  938. 36:23fair for value gap to the upside or the
  939. 36:25downside. And then we just want to look
  940. 36:27for the same exact thing
  941. 36:29in the direction in the direction that
  942. 36:32we're looking to push price.
  943. 36:35Super simple. We're looking for a
  944. 36:37liquidity sweep, 5m minute break of
  945. 36:39structure. Then we're looking for a one
  946. 36:41minute break of structure to the upside
  947. 36:42and then one minute break of structure
  948. 36:44to the downside. Awesome. We're entering
  949. 36:45right there. And then we're using our
  950. 36:46other draws and liquidity as targets to
  951. 36:49be able to exit. Super super simple. Let
  952. 36:52me show you guys maybe one or two more
  953. 36:54examples of this.
  954. 37:25>> [sighs]
  955. 37:25>> All right, let's see. So,
  956. 37:29on this we didn't really we didn't
  957. 37:32really get too much. I mean, I actually
  958. 37:35I did take longs here on NASDAQ, so I
  959. 37:38can go over this, but I mean, it's
  960. 37:41decent. So, again, what are we looking
  961. 37:44for? We get market opens. We're looking
  962. 37:46for some form of form of a manipulation.
  963. 37:49Price comes down, manipulates these
  964. 37:51lows. Awesome. That's step number one.
  965. 37:55Okay, we get boom, push down. On ES, we
  966. 37:58don't take out these lows, but on
  967. 38:00NASDAQ, we do. So, awesome. As long as
  968. 38:02one of the indexes is doing it for us,
  969. 38:05that's all we need. Okay, so we get boom
  970. 38:08manipulation. Then, what are we looking
  971. 38:10for? We're looking for a change in order
  972. 38:12flow, either a breakup structure or an
  973. 38:14inverse for value gap where to the
  974. 38:16upside because we manipulated to the
  975. 38:18downside, right? We had a whole bunch of
  976. 38:21sell orders getting filled underneath
  977. 38:23here. So, what does that give the market
  978. 38:25the opportunity to do? Fill buy orders.
  979. 38:28Okay,
  980. 38:30so price pushes underneath a low. Then
  981. 38:33from there, what am I looking for? I'm
  982. 38:35either looking for a breaker structure
  983. 38:36to the upside or an inverse for value
  984. 38:39gap. In this case, we get the inverse
  985. 38:41for value gap first. Okay, we inverse
  986. 38:44this top gap to the upside. Step one and
  987. 38:47step two done. We got manipulation. Then
  988. 38:50we got confirmation that those orders
  989. 38:52were filled. Now, what do we need to
  990. 38:53see? We need to see a continuation.
  991. 38:57So, how do we see continuation? Well, we
  992. 38:59can just scale down to the 1 minute time
  993. 39:01frame. Look for a break of structure to
  994. 39:03the downside. then look for a break back
  995. 39:05up. So in this case, and also in this
  996. 39:08case, we have a fiveminute fair value
  997. 39:10gap that gets filled. Again, you guys
  998. 39:12can use either just the one minute break
  999. 39:14to the downside or you guys can actually
  1000. 39:16look for these these confluences
  1001. 39:18confluences to get filled. We do have
  1002. 39:20this fiveminute gap right here that ends
  1003. 39:21up getting filled. But
  1004. 39:24right here, okay, we get one minute move
  1005. 39:28down, move up, and then awesome. Where
  1006. 39:29do we break structure to the downside?
  1007. 39:31Boom. Right here we get a candlestick
  1008. 39:33closure from there. My eyes light up.
  1009. 39:36Why? Because we got manipulation.
  1010. 39:39Boom. Reversal. Now I'm looking for this
  1011. 39:42trend to continue. Okay. So price broke
  1012. 39:45structure to the downside. Now what am I
  1013. 39:47looking for? Price to break structure
  1014. 39:49back to the upside or give us a fair
  1015. 39:51value gap. Inverse fair for value gap,
  1016. 39:53right? To confirm that price is going to
  1017. 39:55move higher.
  1018. 39:57So where do we get that? Well, there's a
  1019. 39:59couple opportunities here. Is this a
  1020. 40:01gap? This is a tiny tiny tiny little
  1021. 40:03gap. So, we're going to want to mark
  1022. 40:04this one out. It's like literally the
  1023. 40:06tiniest bullish gap ever created. But
  1024. 40:11boom. So, we do have that bullish gap
  1025. 40:14right there, but we end up inversing
  1026. 40:17this gap and breaking structure on the
  1027. 40:18same exact candle, which is going to be
  1028. 40:21this one right here. Okay. So, we get
  1029. 40:24manipulation,
  1030. 40:26reversal,
  1031. 40:28continuation,
  1032. 40:29and then boom.
  1033. 40:32This right here, we get a break of
  1034. 40:33structure to the upside. Awesome. I want
  1035. 40:35to long that. I want my stops underneath
  1036. 40:37the second low. And then what can we
  1037. 40:38look for? We can look for our other
  1038. 40:40draws on liquidity to the upside that
  1039. 40:43price is probably going to want to take
  1040. 40:44out. So, in this case, we had these
  1041. 40:47highs that were all the way up here. Do
  1042. 40:48I really want to sit and wait 10
  1043. 40:51freaking years for these highs to get
  1044. 40:52taken out? No, I don't. The the highs
  1045. 40:55ended up getting taken out on the on the
  1046. 40:57following trading day. But
  1047. 40:59realistically, am I going to want to do
  1048. 41:01that? No. So, I'll look for intermediate
  1049. 41:02highs that can be taken out. We have
  1050. 41:04these highs right here for an
  1051. 41:06approximate 1:1 risk-to-reward ratio. We
  1052. 41:08have highs right here, good
  1053. 41:10risk-to-reward. We have highs right
  1054. 41:12here. We have this big gap that we could
  1055. 41:13get filled all the way through here.
  1056. 41:15Regardless, price moves up and in our
  1057. 41:19direction for another winning trade.
  1058. 41:21Okay, we can look at the same exact
  1059. 41:23thing on the S&P 500.
  1060. 41:28I'll kind of I'll just super super skim
  1061. 41:31through this. Okay, even though we
  1062. 41:33didn't get the manipulation on ES,
  1063. 41:35that's why I actually took the trade on
  1064. 41:37NASDAQ. I guess can actually show you
  1065. 41:40guys that I took this trade.
  1066. 41:43We can see these were my buys on NASDAQ.
  1067. 41:46So, let's see what day was this? This
  1068. 41:49was on the 28th. So, I entered buys on
  1069. 41:52NASDAQ. I can't reme remember how much I
  1070. 41:55made on this day, but as we can see,
  1071. 41:57oops, I'm covering it up. But right
  1072. 41:59here, this was on the 28th of May. Okay.
  1073. 42:02So, I entered buys on NASDAQ. Boom. We
  1074. 42:05bought NASDAQ. And as you can see, we
  1075. 42:07made money on these buy orders on
  1076. 42:10NASDAQ. And actually, I can even show
  1077. 42:12you guys on the freaking chart that I
  1078. 42:14took that trade.
  1079. 42:20Okay, so as you guys can see, I took the
  1080. 42:23exact trade that I just showed you guys.
  1081. 42:26I took the exact same trade that I
  1082. 42:28showed you guys, and I took profit here,
  1083. 42:30took profit here, and took profit all
  1084. 42:32the way up here. Okay, so again, I'm
  1085. 42:36telling you guys this strategy because
  1086. 42:37it's actually what I [ __ ] use. And
  1087. 42:40again, I have the data [ __ ] backing
  1088. 42:42it. It's for a reason. Okay, so again, I
  1089. 42:45took the same exact trade on NASDAQ and
  1090. 42:47exited like all throughout here and then
  1091. 42:50ended up finally exiting for my full
  1092. 42:51take profit all the way up here and made
  1093. 42:53money on the day. Um ES it was similar
  1094. 42:56situation. So even though ES didn't get
  1095. 42:58the manipulation, NASDAQ did. Um but ES
  1096. 43:02ends up breaking five-minute structure
  1097. 43:04to the upside right here. ES comes down,
  1098. 43:06fills this gap, and then ends up pushing
  1099. 43:08higher.
  1100. 43:10Simple. All right,
  1101. 43:13we'll do one more example.
  1102. 43:16Now, again, I just went back to the past
  1103. 43:19two trading days. It worked. It worked
  1104. 43:21perfectly the past the past two trading
  1105. 43:23days, okay? And again, when you guys are
  1106. 43:26watching this, you guys are like
  1107. 43:27probably like, "Holy [ __ ] this is the
  1108. 43:28best strategy in the world. I'm going to
  1109. 43:30have a 100% win rate." Understand that
  1110. 43:32that is not the case, okay? There are
  1111. 43:35losing days that are involved with this.
  1112. 43:37Sometimes we lose, okay? Sometimes we
  1113. 43:40lose. So, even though the last two days
  1114. 43:42that we went over were winning days, I
  1115. 43:44would honestly like to find a losing day
  1116. 43:46so that I can show you that losing is a
  1117. 43:48part of this. Um, let's see. So, that
  1118. 43:52was Thursday. Let's go and see
  1119. 43:55Wednesday.
  1120. 44:14Okay.
  1121. 44:17Yeah, Wednesday worked too.
  1122. 44:20So, I mean, I'm trying to find an
  1123. 44:22example where this doesn't end up
  1124. 44:24happening, but in this case, I mean,
  1125. 44:26this is a good example to go over. In
  1126. 44:28this case, we get the manipulation
  1127. 44:29during pre-market, right? So, we see
  1128. 44:32boom, massive legs up, manipulating
  1129. 44:34these highs during pre-market and then
  1130. 44:36we see the reversal start happening
  1131. 44:38during pre-market. Do we want to be
  1132. 44:40entering during pre-market? The answer
  1133. 44:42is always going to be no. I want to wait
  1134. 44:44until price actually until market
  1135. 44:46actually opens and like gives us some
  1136. 44:49real volume. Okay, so we get
  1137. 44:51manipulation, we get the reversal. So
  1138. 44:55really all I'm going to be looking for
  1139. 44:57is going to be our continuation
  1140. 44:58confluence. Okay.
  1141. 45:01On NASDAQ, if we go in here again, what
  1142. 45:04are we looking for? We're looking for a
  1143. 45:05one minute breakup structure or an
  1144. 45:06inverse for value gap to the upside. I
  1145. 45:09mean, this should be this should be
  1146. 45:11clockwork to you guys at this point.
  1147. 45:13When do we get the breakup structure to
  1148. 45:14the upside? We get it right here. Now,
  1149. 45:16what are we waiting for? We're waiting
  1150. 45:17for a breaker structure to the downside.
  1151. 45:19Okay. When do we get that? Boom. Right
  1152. 45:21here. This is where we want to short.
  1153. 45:26Boom. Stops above this high.
  1154. 45:30Come on, bro. There you go. Stops above
  1155. 45:33this high. And then you guys can target
  1156. 45:36these lows. I think I took this trade as
  1157. 45:38well.
  1158. 45:43So, it's proof in the freaking pudding.
  1159. 45:45I took the same exact trade that I
  1160. 45:47showed you guys, and I exited at the
  1161. 45:49same exact spot. We can see I entered
  1162. 45:51right here and then boom, exited right
  1163. 45:53here. So again, it's clear that I'm
  1164. 45:56using this strategy and we just went
  1165. 45:57over three days back to back to back
  1166. 45:59where this has where this played out in
  1167. 46:02our favor. Again, we get boom
  1168. 46:05manipulation, we get reversal. What are
  1169. 46:07we looking for? We're looking for the
  1170. 46:08gap to get filled and then boom, we end
  1171. 46:10up getting the breakup structure to the
  1172. 46:11downside right here. Awesome. That's
  1173. 46:13where we're looking to enter. And then
  1174. 46:14we're looking to exit underneath hourly
  1175. 46:17draws on liquidity, 4hour draws on
  1176. 46:19liquidity, all of that. This is
  1177. 46:20obviously a significant low. So, this is
  1178. 46:23where I'm going to want to take some
  1179. 46:24profit at. I did have extended
  1180. 46:26takeprofits at this daily low and then
  1181. 46:28at these lows down here, but I took my
  1182. 46:30first profit and then I moved my stop
  1183. 46:32loss to break even. Obviously, the rest
  1184. 46:34got stopped out at break even, but we
  1185. 46:37still won. We still won and we still
  1186. 46:39made money on the day. So, I mean,
  1187. 46:44I'll let's let's keep trying to find
  1188. 46:45like a losing day so I can like convince
  1189. 46:48you guys that this [ __ ] isn't just like
  1190. 46:50a 100% hit rate. Um, I'm lit I'm
  1191. 46:54literally just going back over the days
  1192. 46:57um just unfortunately the past three
  1193. 46:59days. Or maybe I show you guys today's
  1194. 47:01price action on how there wasn't a
  1195. 47:03trade. We Well, let's see if Tuesday was
  1196. 47:06a losing day. Um,
  1197. 47:09[sighs]
  1198. 47:11let's see if Tuesday was a losing day.
  1199. 47:17I'm like trying to convince you guys.
  1200. 47:19God [ __ ] damn it. It was a winning
  1201. 47:21day. All right. The strategy is good. I
  1202. 47:23guess the strategy is good. Um,
  1203. 47:28yes. Oh my god. It's too good. The
  1204. 47:32strategy is good. The strategy um it
  1205. 47:34clearly works. What? like we'll we'll
  1206. 47:37skim through this, [laughter] but
  1207. 47:39[gasps]
  1208. 47:40it works. Um, okay, market open. What do
  1209. 47:43we do? We manipulate these hourly lows.
  1210. 47:46Then what? We get this 5m minute inverse
  1211. 47:48for value gap to the upside. Then what?
  1212. 47:49We get the five minute for value gap
  1213. 47:51fill. And then there's an there's the
  1214. 47:54entry.
  1215. 47:56Okay, within here target these draws and
  1216. 47:58liquidity, you would have won. You would
  1217. 47:59have won on that day as well. So,
  1218. 48:02[sighs]
  1219. 48:06we need to find a losing day. Let me
  1220. 48:08just show you guys today's price action
  1221. 48:10because I didn't take a trade today and
  1222. 48:11our strategy didn't present itself. So,
  1223. 48:13I can like like maybe just make myself
  1224. 48:16seem worse. Um,
  1225. 48:19okay.
  1226. 48:21Today's price action. Today's price
  1227. 48:23action. Bad bad bad. Okay. Why is it bad
  1228. 48:27bad bad? So, let's look at this. We have
  1229. 48:31boom. This is market open.
  1230. 48:34This is market open. Okay.
  1231. 48:37We get market open. Do we get any sort
  1232. 48:41of manipulation? Yes. Awesome. We get
  1233. 48:43manipulation to the downside. Boom.
  1234. 48:44Price comes down, manipulates this, and
  1235. 48:46awesome. We get a break of structure to
  1236. 48:48the upside on the fiveminut time frame
  1237. 48:50right here. Right on NASDAQ. On the S&P
  1238. 48:53500 though, do we get a break of
  1239. 48:55structure to the upside? No. Uh uh.
  1240. 49:00No, we don't get a break of structure to
  1241. 49:01the upside. This is something. Thank
  1242. 49:04you. Perfect. We found a a bad day to
  1243. 49:07trade so I can remember this. Okay.
  1244. 49:11I do not like and I would highly
  1245. 49:13recommend you guys don't take trades
  1246. 49:15when the two indexes are not aligned. So
  1247. 49:19what does that mean? I forgot. I forgot
  1248. 49:22about this. Okay. When the two indexes
  1249. 49:25are not aligned like if ES is bullish on
  1250. 49:29the fivem minute [ __ ] [ __ ]
  1251. 49:35bulls bulls balls okay if ES is bullish
  1252. 49:39and NASDAQ is bearish
  1253. 49:43bearish be am I high bearish bearish
  1254. 49:49I don't want to take the trade okay now
  1255. 49:53why is that because if both the indexes
  1256. 49:55are telling us two different things,
  1257. 49:56then the market is probably indecisive.
  1258. 49:59Okay, so if we look at today, right, ES
  1259. 50:02is maintaining bearish order flow,
  1260. 50:04right? We get a big move down, but do we
  1261. 50:05get a break structure to the upside on
  1262. 50:07the 5minute? No. On NASDAQ, we get a big
  1263. 50:10move down and then we do get a breakup
  1264. 50:11structure to the upside on the 5minute.
  1265. 50:14So, what index is right? If ES is
  1266. 50:16bearish but NASDAQ is bullish, how do we
  1267. 50:18decide which one to trade? Well, that's
  1268. 50:20the awesome thing. Remember what I was
  1269. 50:22telling you guys? What I was telling you
  1270. 50:23guys at the start of this video?
  1271. 50:26Jeez. What I was telling you guys at the
  1272. 50:28start of this video is that less trades
  1273. 50:31are better. So, even though we just went
  1274. 50:33over three or like four trading days
  1275. 50:36where this ended up working out and you
  1276. 50:37guys are like, "Oh my gosh, this is the
  1277. 50:39best strategy ever."
  1278. 50:41Sometimes there's going to be days where
  1279. 50:43we don't want to trade. And today is a
  1280. 50:45perfect example of that where ES was
  1281. 50:47bearish and NASDAQ was bullish on the
  1282. 50:49fiveminut time frame. Meaning the market
  1283. 50:51is indecisive. The market does not know
  1284. 50:54where it wants to go. And until these
  1285. 50:57two indexes are correlated, meaning both
  1286. 51:01ES is in either a 5minute uptrend and
  1287. 51:04NASDAQ is in a 5minute uptrend or NASDAQ
  1288. 51:07is in a 5minute downtrend and ES is in a
  1289. 51:10fiveminute downtrend, I don't want to
  1290. 51:11take a trade because if ES is telling us
  1291. 51:14one thing and NASDAQ is telling us
  1292. 51:16another thing and NASDAQ is saying,
  1293. 51:18"Hey, we want to go down." But the S&P
  1294. 51:19500 is saying, "Hey, we want to go up."
  1295. 51:22Cue the LAR song. We could go up. Right?
  1296. 51:24So if if both of the indexes are telling
  1297. 51:27us two different things then why should
  1298. 51:31we take a trade if ES is saying hey we
  1299. 51:33want to go higher and NASDAQ is say
  1300. 51:34saying hey we want to go lower we should
  1301. 51:36not be taking a trade under these market
  1302. 51:39circumstances until both of them can be
  1303. 51:41aligned okay so in this case ES was it
  1304. 51:45bullish no we didn't get a fiveminute
  1305. 51:47break structure to the upside on NASDAQ
  1306. 51:49were we bullish yes so NASDAQ is bullish
  1307. 51:51but ES is bearish okay so I don't want
  1308. 51:54anything to do with this [ __ ] today.
  1309. 51:57Why? Because we we don't get we don't
  1310. 52:00get we we
  1311. 52:03Okay, neither of the indexes are
  1312. 52:05aligned. So, let's just say like
  1313. 52:07awesome. If the indexes weren't aligned
  1314. 52:09at the start at the start of the
  1315. 52:11session, that's fine. They can still get
  1316. 52:12aligned later in the session. So, let's
  1317. 52:14look for it. Awesome. NASDAQ gets a
  1318. 52:16break structure to the downside at 950.
  1319. 52:18Beautiful. Okay. At 950. Awesome. NASDAQ
  1320. 52:22breaks pressure to the downside and ES
  1321. 52:24is still in its downtrend. Beautiful. We
  1322. 52:27can potentially look for a trade here,
  1323. 52:28right? Wrong. NASDAQ dumps all the way
  1324. 52:32down and doesn't give us the opportunity
  1325. 52:34to be able to enter into any sort of
  1326. 52:38continuation trade, right? It just moves
  1327. 52:40all the way down. We don't get any sort
  1328. 52:42of a fiveminute retrace. We don't get
  1329. 52:43any sort of a one minute break of
  1330. 52:45structure to the upside. But then you're
  1331. 52:47probably saying, "Well, TJR, we broke
  1332. 52:49one minute structure to the upside right
  1333. 52:51here at 10:07." Okay, you're right. I'll
  1334. 52:55I'll let you in. Okay, we got a one
  1335. 52:56minute break of structure to the upside
  1336. 52:58at 10:07. And awesome. We got draws and
  1337. 53:00liquidity to the downside. We got boom,
  1338. 53:03we got all of these lows stacked up.
  1339. 53:04Perfect, right? Looks like great draws
  1340. 53:06and liquidity. But what do we need? We
  1341. 53:08need the 1 minute to break structure
  1342. 53:09back down to the downside. Do we see
  1343. 53:12that happen? No. This is the low that
  1344. 53:13we're looking at. Nope. This is the low
  1345. 53:15that we're looking at. Nope. This is the
  1346. 53:16low that we're looking at. Nope. This is
  1347. 53:18the low that we're looking at. And then
  1348. 53:20before you freaking know it,
  1349. 53:22what has NASDAQ done? It has broken five
  1350. 53:25minute structure back to the upside. And
  1351. 53:27at this point in time, it's 10:20. By
  1352. 53:3010:30, I'm done for the freaking day. If
  1353. 53:33neither of the indexes are aligned and
  1354. 53:35it's 10:20 on the freaking timer on the
  1355. 53:38Eastern Eastern time zone, call it a
  1356. 53:41freaking day because we're going to have
  1357. 53:42a whole bunch of [ __ ] going on. And
  1358. 53:44as you can see following that, what did
  1359. 53:46we have? A whole bunch of [ __ ]
  1360. 53:48right? Nobody wants to be trading this
  1361. 53:50price action. This is ugly, ugly, ugly,
  1362. 53:52ugly on the on the S&P 500. Does anybody
  1363. 53:55want to be trading this? No. This looks
  1364. 53:57like piano keys across our freaking
  1365. 53:59across our freaking board. Okay? Nobody
  1366. 54:01wants to be trading this. This is not
  1367. 54:03optimal price action whatsoever. So, we
  1368. 54:07just call it a day. All right. That was
  1369. 54:10that's good that we went over today
  1370. 54:12because if the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ on
  1371. 54:16the five minute are not aligned, I do
  1372. 54:19not want to be taking a trade. Okay? If
  1373. 54:21the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ are not
  1374. 54:24aligned, I do not want to be taking a
  1375. 54:27trade. Okay? So on the 5m minute, even
  1376. 54:29though NASDAQ broke structure to the
  1377. 54:31upside, ES did not. So I'm not looking
  1378. 54:34for longs until ES can actually break
  1379. 54:36structure to the upside. And it doesn't
  1380. 54:39end up doing that all the way until like
  1381. 54:41right here. And I mean technically, when
  1382. 54:45was this? This was 11:05. I mean, yeah,
  1383. 54:48technically at 11:05,
  1384. 54:51boom, we were already in a bullish trend
  1385. 54:53on the 5m minute on NASDAQ because we
  1386. 54:55broke structure to the upside. Sure. At
  1387. 54:5711:05, if you're able to find a freaking
  1388. 55:00entry, awesome. Go for it. We get a
  1389. 55:04freaking one minute break of structure
  1390. 55:05to the downside right here. And then we
  1391. 55:06end up breaking to the upside. Boom.
  1392. 55:09That's your freaking entry. Your stops
  1393. 55:11under are underneath here. And then you
  1394. 55:12end up targeting whatever all of these
  1395. 55:14highs that are throughout here. Boom.
  1396. 55:16High right here. High right here. High
  1397. 55:17right here. High right here. And it ends
  1398. 55:18up working out in your favor.
  1399. 55:21But do you really want to be sitting on
  1400. 55:23the chart for that freaking long?
  1401. 55:24Personally, I do not. We can see when
  1402. 55:28was this? This is 11:05. This is when we
  1403. 55:30get the break to the upside. Awesome. We
  1404. 55:32inverse this gap to the downside and
  1405. 55:34then boom, we get the break structure to
  1406. 55:35the upside. So yeah, this would this
  1407. 55:37would technically be when you would want
  1408. 55:39to enter using our strategy and sure
  1409. 55:44we can target these highs for like a 1
  1410. 55:46to1 risk-toreward ratio. Sure, it played
  1411. 55:49sure it played out in our favor. But me
  1412. 55:52personally, I'm not willing to sit
  1413. 55:53through all of this chop and all of this
  1414. 55:55BS
  1415. 55:57to to take this trade at 1120. And and
  1416. 56:00more often than not, you're just again,
  1417. 56:04the less trades, the better. Because if
  1418. 56:06we think back to what our strategy does,
  1419. 56:08our strategy helps us, its steps to help
  1420. 56:11us not take bad trades. Our strategy is
  1421. 56:15less about what trade to take and more
  1422. 56:18about what trades it stops us from
  1423. 56:20taking. Holy [ __ ] bar. Holy bars. So,
  1424. 56:25if you guys made it this far in the
  1425. 56:26video, drop a freaking subscribe for
  1426. 56:29that absolute bar of a trading. Wow. I'm
  1427. 56:32going to make a Tik Tok on that
  1428. 56:33literally right now.
  1429. 56:39>> Your strategy is Hold on. Hold on. Let
  1430. 56:41me redo this. You guys are seeing this
  1431. 56:43happen in real time.
  1432. 56:46Your strategy is less Sorry. You guys
  1433. 56:49are seeing this happen in real time.
  1434. 56:51What What was it? Your strategy is less
  1435. 56:53about telling Oh, yeah. Your strategy is
  1436. 56:56less about telling you guys what trade
  1437. 56:59to take and more about telling you guys
  1438. 57:01what trades not to take.
  1439. 57:06I don't really know what else I'm going
  1440. 57:08to say in this Tik Tok to be completely
  1441. 57:10honest. I just thought that was smart.
  1442. 57:11Okay, I'll finish it later. But anyways,
  1443. 57:13long story short, your strategy is pres
  1444. 57:16preventing you guys because again within
  1445. 57:18our strategy, there's a lot of steps
  1446. 57:20that we need to get through. And I mean
  1447. 57:23on this day, this is a perfect example,
  1448. 57:25right? If our if we didn't have our
  1449. 57:27strategy, we would have seen
  1450. 57:29manipulation, awesome fiveminute
  1451. 57:30breaking structure to the upside. If we
  1452. 57:32just had those two steps, boom, we would
  1453. 57:35have we would have gotten crushed. Okay?
  1454. 57:37We would we would have gotten stopped
  1455. 57:39out on this trade. Okay? So, our
  1456. 57:42strategy has these steps built in to
  1457. 57:44help give us
  1458. 57:47probability in the market. Okay? Because
  1459. 57:49without probability, trading is
  1460. 57:52literally nothing. And you guys might as
  1461. 57:53you you guys literally are better off
  1462. 57:55hitting the casino. I mean, that it
  1463. 57:57sounds lit to be honest. Like, I would I
  1464. 57:59would much rather just like take the
  1465. 58:00trading day off and just spin that [ __ ]
  1466. 58:03you know? Like, if I don't trade,
  1467. 58:04awesome. You know exactly where I'm
  1468. 58:06going, bro, cuz I need to get my fill.
  1469. 58:08But if the strategy does present itself,
  1470. 58:10you know that probability is on your
  1471. 58:12side, so you might as well take that
  1472. 58:13risk. So, that's going to wrap it up for
  1473. 58:16today's video. We went literally a whole
  1474. 58:18freaking hour dissecting my strategy
  1475. 58:20that has given me probability in the
  1476. 58:22markets um and has continued to help me
  1477. 58:25make money from trading over the past
  1478. 58:27couple years now. So, if you guys
  1479. 58:29enjoyed this, grop a freaking like or
  1480. 58:33whatever the heck is involved with that.
  1481. 58:34Give me a freaking subscribe button. I
  1482. 58:36love and appreciate you guys. I'll catch
  1483. 58:38you guys in the next one.

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